FinalWin Prob.pScore
758%112
125
1742%109
118
ORTG#PossPace
DAL logo DAL
131.69589.9
NOP logo NOP
122.996101.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

PelicansMavericksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

PelicansMavericksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDALNOP
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.125
100%
118
0%
Q4 - 0:04.4MavericksMaxi Kleber makes regular free throw 2 of 2125
99.9%
118
0.1%
Q4 - 0:04.4MavericksMaxi Kleber misses regular free throw 1 of 2124
99.9%
118
0.1%
Q4 - 0:04.4PelicansTony Snell personal foul (Take) (Maxi Kleber draws the foul)124
99.9%
118
0.1%
Q4 - 0:04.5PelicansCJ McCollum turnover (lost ball) (Maxi Kleber steals)124
99.9%
118
0.1%
Q4 - 0:10.2PelicansJonas Valanciunas defensive rebound124
99.8%
118
0.2%
Q4 - 0:13.4MavericksLuka Doncic misses regular free throw 2 of 2124
99.7%
118
0.3%
Q4 - 0:13.4MavericksLuka Doncic misses regular free throw 1 of 2124
99.8%
118
0.2%
Q4 - 0:13.4PelicansDevonte' Graham personal foul (Take) (Luka Doncic draws the foul)124
99.9%
118
0.1%
Q4 - 0:13.4MavericksLuka Doncic defensive rebound124
99.9%
118
0.1%
Q4 - 0:16.6PelicansTony Snell misses three point jump shot124
99.8%
118
0.2%
Q4 - 0:17.4PelicansTony Snell offensive rebound124
99.5%
118
0.5%
Q4 - 0:21.2PelicansBrandon Ingram misses three point jump shot124
99.6%
118
0.4%
Q4 - 0:28.7MavericksJalen Brunson makes regular free throw 2 of 2124
98.9%
118
1.1%
Q4 - 0:28.7MavericksJalen Brunson makes regular free throw 1 of 2123
98.7%
118
1.3%
Q4 - 0:28.7PelicansCJ McCollum personal foul (Take) (Jalen Brunson draws the foul)122
98.5%
118
1.5%
Q4 - 0:30.1PelicansCJ McCollum personal foul (Jalen Brunson draws the foul)122
97.9%
118
2.1%
Q4 - 0:37.2PelicansCJ McCollum makes two point running dunk122
98.1%
118
1.9%
Q4 - 0:38.9MavericksLuka Doncic turnover (lost ball) (CJ McCollum steals)122
98.1%
116
1.9%
Q4 - 0:51.3PelicansHerbert Jones makes regular free throw 2 of 2122
98.6%
116
1.4%
Q4 - 0:51.3PelicansHerbert Jones makes regular free throw 1 of 2122
98.7%
115
1.3%
Q4 - 0:51.3MavericksMaxi Kleber shooting foul (Herbert Jones draws the foul)122
98.8%
114
1.2%
Q4 - 0:53.2PelicansHerbert Jones defensive rebound122
99.1%
114
0.9%
Q4 - 0:56.6MavericksLuka Doncic misses two point stepback jump shot122
99.2%
114
0.8%
Q4 - 1:15MavericksLuka Doncic defensive rebound122
99.2%
114
0.8%
Q4 - 1:17PelicansCJ McCollum misses two point stepback jump shot122
99.0%
114
1.0%
Q4 - 1:23PelicansJonas Valanciunas defensive rebound122
98.2%
114
1.8%
Q4 - 1:25MavericksMaxi Kleber misses two point stepback jump shot122
98.5%
114
1.5%
Q4 - 1:25MavericksMaxi Kleber offensive rebound122
99.0%
114
1.0%
Q4 - 1:29MavericksLuka Doncic misses two point driving floating bank jump shot122
98.4%
114
1.6%
Q4 - 1:49MavericksMaxi Kleber defensive rebound122
98.3%
114
1.7%
Q4 - 1:51PelicansBrandon Ingram misses two point stepback jump shot122
98.0%
114
2.0%
Q4 - 2:11PelicansPelicans defensive rebound122
97.2%
114
2.8%
Q4 - 2:14MavericksLuka Doncic misses three point pullup jump shot122
97.7%
114
2.3%
Q4 - 2:31MavericksDorian Finney-Smith defensive rebound122
98.5%
114
1.5%
Q4 - 2:34PelicansCJ McCollum misses regular free throw 2 of 2122
98.4%
114
1.6%
Q4 - 2:34PelicansCJ McCollum makes regular free throw 1 of 2122
97.8%
114
2.2%
Q4 - 2:34MavericksDorian Finney-Smith shooting foul (CJ McCollum draws the foul)122
98.0%
113
2.0%
Q4 - 2:52MavericksDorian Finney-Smith makes two point running layup122
97.5%
113
2.5%
Q4 - 2:57PelicansCJ McCollum turnover (lost ball) (Dorian Finney-Smith steals)120
96.6%
113
3.4%
Q4 - 3:21MavericksLuka Doncic makes two point driving layup120
94.6%
113
5.4%
Q4 - 3:36PelicansBrandon Ingram makes two point pullup jump shot118
89.3%
113
10.7%
Q4 - 3:38PelicansBrandon Ingram offensive rebound118
92.1%
111
7.9%
Q4 - 3:42PelicansBrandon Ingram misses two point turnaround jump shot118
93.9%
111
6.1%
Q4 - 4:00PelicansBrandon Ingram defensive rebound118
92.4%
111
7.6%
Q4 - 4:03MavericksMaxi Kleber misses three point jump shot118
93.2%
111
6.8%
Q4 - 4:23PelicansHerbert Jones makes two point driving layup118
94.8%
111
5.2%
Q4 - 4:27PelicansJonas Valanciunas defensive rebound118
96.3%
109
3.7%
Q4 - 4:30MavericksLuka Doncic misses two point driving floating bank jump shot118
96.7%
109
3.3%
Q4 - 4:45PelicansCJ McCollum makes three point jump shot (Brandon Ingram assists)118
97.5%
109
2.5%
Q4 - 5:06MavericksMaxi Kleber makes three point jump shot (Davis Bertans assists)118
97.9%
106
2.1%
Q4 - 5:22PelicansCJ McCollum makes two point driving floating bank jump shot115
96.3%
106
3.7%
Q4 - 5:29PelicansJonas Valanciunas defensive rebound115
97.2%
104
2.8%
Q4 - 5:32MavericksDorian Finney-Smith misses three point jump shot115
97.5%
104
2.5%
Q4 - 5:51PelicansHerbert Jones makes two point driving layup115
98.0%
104
2.0%
Q4 - 5:55PelicansHerbert Jones defensive rebound115
98.5%
102
1.5%
Q4 - 5:58MavericksLuka Doncic misses two point stepback bank jump shot115
98.7%
102
1.3%
Q4 - 6:01MavericksDorian Finney-Smith defensive rebound115
98.4%
102
1.6%
Q4 - 6:10PelicansCJ McCollum misses regular free throw 1 of 1115
98.4%
102
1.6%
Q4 - 6:10MavericksJalen Brunson shooting foul (CJ McCollum draws the foul)115
98.1%
102
1.9%
Q4 - 6:15PelicansJonas Valanciunas defensive rebound115
98.8%
100
1.2%
Q4 - 6:18MavericksDavis Bertans misses three point jump shot115
98.9%
100
1.1%
Q4 - 6:38PelicansCJ McCollum makes three point jump shot (Tony Snell assists)115
99.1%
100
0.9%
Q4 - 6:54PelicansHerbert Jones defensive rebound115
99.5%
97
0.5%
Q4 - 6:57MavericksJalen Brunson misses two point pullup bank jump shot115
99.5%
97
0.5%
Q4 - 7:18PelicansTony Snell makes three point jump shot (Herbert Jones assists)115
99.4%
97
0.6%
Q4 - 7:34MavericksSpencer Dinwiddie makes three point jump shot (Jalen Brunson assists)115
99.7%
94
0.3%
Q4 - 7:50PelicansDevonte' Graham makes three point jump shot (CJ McCollum assists)112
99.4%
94
0.6%
Q4 - 7:59PelicansDevonte' Graham offensive rebound112
99.7%
91
0.3%
Q4 - 8:03PelicansCJ McCollum misses two point pullup jump shot112
99.6%
91
0.4%
Q4 - 8:12MavericksJalen Brunson turnover (lost ball) (Tony Snell steals)112
99.5%
91
0.5%
Q4 - 8:30PelicansCJ McCollum makes regular free throw 2 of 2112
99.6%
91
0.4%
Q4 - 8:30PelicansCJ McCollum makes regular free throw 1 of 2112
99.7%
90
0.3%
Q4 - 8:30MavericksJosh Green shooting foul (CJ McCollum draws the foul)112
99.7%
89
0.3%
Q4 - 8:36MavericksJosh Green personal foul (CJ McCollum draws the foul)112
99.7%
89
0.3%
Q4 - 8:46MavericksJalen Brunson makes two point layup112
99.7%
89
0.3%
Q4 - 8:52MavericksDwight Powell offensive rebound110
99.6%
89
0.4%
Q4 - 8:58MavericksDavis Bertans misses three point stepback jump shot110
99.6%
89
0.4%
Q4 - 9:21PelicansHerbert Jones makes regular free throw 1 of 1110
99.5%
89
0.5%
Q4 - 9:21MavericksDavis Bertans shooting foul (Herbert Jones draws the foul)110
99.5%
88
0.5%
Q4 - 9:30PelicansJonas Valanciunas offensive rebound110
99.7%
86
0.3%
Q4 - 9:33PelicansCJ McCollum misses three point jump shot110
99.7%
86
0.3%
Q4 - 9:43PelicansDevonte' Graham defensive rebound110
99.7%
86
0.3%
Q4 - 9:46MavericksDwight Powell misses two point cutting layup110
99.7%
86
0.3%
Q4 - 9:53PelicansCJ McCollum turnover (out of bounds bad pass)110
99.8%
86
0.2%
Q4 - 9:59MavericksSpencer Dinwiddie personal foul (Jonas Valanciunas draws the foul)110
99.7%
86
0.3%
Q4 - 10:10MavericksJalen Brunson makes three point jump shot (Josh Green assists)110
99.6%
86
0.4%
Q4 - 10:17MavericksLuka Doncic defensive rebound107
99.4%
86
0.6%
Q4 - 10:22PelicansDevonte' Graham misses three point pullup jump shot107
99.3%
86
0.7%
Q4 - 10:29PelicansJonas Valanciunas defensive rebound107
99.2%
86
0.8%
Q4 - 10:32MavericksLuka Doncic misses three point turnaround jump shot107
99.2%
86
0.8%
Q4 - 10:52PelicansCJ McCollum makes three point pullup jump shot (Jonas Valanciunas assists)107
99.4%
86
0.6%
Q4 - 11:02MavericksLuka Doncic makes two point turnaround jump shot107
99.5%
83
0.5%
Q4 - 11:17MavericksLuka Doncic defensive rebound105
99.3%
83
0.7%
Q4 - 11:20PelicansDevonte' Graham misses regular free throw 1 of 1105
99.3%
83
0.7%
Q4 - 11:20MavericksSpencer Dinwiddie shooting foul (Devonte' Graham draws the foul)105
99.2%
83
0.8%
Q4 - 11:22PelicansDevonte' Graham defensive rebound105
99.5%
81
0.5%
Q4 - 11:26MavericksLuka Doncic misses two point driving floating jump shot105
99.5%
81
0.5%
Q4 - 11:50PelicansCJ McCollum turnover (out of bounds bad pass)105
99.6%
81
0.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.105
99.5%
81
0.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0MavericksLuka Doncic defensive rebound105
99.6%
81
0.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0PelicansJaxson Hayes misses two point reverse layup105
99.5%
81
0.5%
Q3 - 0:19.5MavericksLuka Doncic makes two point driving dunk105
99.3%
81
0.7%
Q3 - 0:31.5PelicansJaxson Hayes turnover (bad pass) (Dorian Finney-Smith steals)103
99.2%
81
0.8%
Q3 - 0:44.6MavericksLuka Doncic makes three point stepback jump shot103
99.0%
81
1.0%
Q3 - 0:58.2PelicansJaxson Hayes makes regular free throw 2 of 2100
98.5%
81
1.5%
Q3 - 0:58.2PelicansJaxson Hayes misses regular free throw 1 of 2100
98.6%
80
1.4%
Q3 - 0:58.2MavericksMaxi Kleber shooting foul (Jaxson Hayes draws the foul)100
98.4%
80
1.6%
Q3 - 1:04MavericksLuka Doncic makes regular free throw 1 of 1100
98.2%
80
1.8%
Q3 - 1:04PelicansJaxson Hayes shooting foul (Luka Doncic draws the foul)99
98.1%
80
1.9%
Q3 - 1:18MavericksLuka Doncic defensive rebound97
97.4%
80
2.6%
Q3 - 1:21PelicansGarrett Temple misses regular free throw 2 of 297
97.3%
80
2.7%
Q3 - 1:21PelicansGarrett Temple misses regular free throw 1 of 297
97.0%
80
3.0%
Q3 - 1:21MavericksLuka Doncic shooting foul (Garrett Temple draws the foul)97
96.5%
80
3.5%
Q3 - 1:37MavericksMaxi Kleber makes three point jump shot (Luka Doncic assists)97
96.8%
80
3.2%
Q3 - 1:45MavericksDavis Bertans defensive rebound94
95.5%
80
4.5%
Q3 - 1:48PelicansBrandon Ingram misses two point jump shot94
95.2%
80
4.8%
Q3 - 2:06MavericksDorian Finney-Smith makes three point jump shot (Spencer Dinwiddie assists)94
93.7%
80
6.3%
Q3 - 2:22MavericksDorian Finney-Smith defensive rebound91
91.3%
80
8.7%
Q3 - 2:26PelicansBrandon Ingram misses regular free throw 1 of 191
91.1%
80
8.9%
Q3 - 2:26MavericksLuka Doncic shooting foul (Brandon Ingram draws the foul)91
90.1%
80
9.9%
Q3 - 2:40PelicansDevonte' Graham defensive rebound91
92.6%
78
7.4%
Q3 - 2:40MavericksDavis Bertans misses three point jump shot91
93.0%
78
7.0%
Q3 - 2:50PelicansGarrett Temple makes two point tip dunk91
93.8%
78
6.2%
Q3 - 2:50PelicansGarrett Temple offensive rebound91
94.7%
76
5.3%
Q3 - 2:56PelicansBrandon Ingram misses two point fadeaway jump shot91
95.4%
76
4.6%
Q3 - 3:04MavericksJalen Brunson personal foul (Brandon Ingram draws the foul)91
94.2%
76
5.8%
Q3 - 3:22MavericksJalen Brunson makes two point driving layup91
94.2%
76
5.8%
Q3 - 3:40PelicansTony Snell makes three point pullup jump shot89
93.4%
76
6.6%
Q3 - 3:57MavericksSpencer Dinwiddie makes two point driving layup89
95.1%
73
4.9%
Q3 - 3:58MavericksSpencer Dinwiddie offensive rebound87
94.4%
73
5.6%
Q3 - 4:02MavericksLuka Doncic misses three point stepback jump shot87
93.0%
73
7.0%
Q3 - 4:08MavericksLuka Doncic defensive rebound87
93.9%
73
6.1%
Q3 - 4:12PelicansBrandon Ingram misses three point jump shot87
93.5%
73
6.5%
Q3 - 4:24MavericksMaxi Kleber personal foul (Loose ball) (Jonas Valanciunas draws the foul)87
92.7%
73
7.3%
Q3 - 4:24PelicansPelicans offensive rebound87
92.7%
73
7.3%
Q3 - 4:25PelicansBrandon Ingram misses three point jump shot87
93.5%
73
6.5%
Q3 - 4:27PelicansJaxson Hayes offensive rebound87
92.7%
73
7.3%
Q3 - 4:30PelicansBrandon Ingram misses two point fadeaway jump shot87
93.5%
73
6.5%
Q3 - 4:52MavericksLuka Doncic makes three point pullup jump shot87
92.7%
73
7.3%
Q3 - 5:04PelicansBrandon Ingram makes two point pullup jump shot84
89.5%
73
10.5%
Q3 - 5:22MavericksLuka Doncic makes two point layup84
90.8%
71
9.2%
Q3 - 5:48PelicansCJ McCollum makes two point fadeaway jump shot82
89.6%
71
10.4%
Q3 - 5:57PelicansJonas Valanciunas defensive rebound82
90.9%
69
9.1%
Q3 - 5:59MavericksLuka Doncic misses two point driving floating jump shot82
91.3%
69
8.7%
Q3 - 6:09MavericksSpencer Dinwiddie defensive rebound82
91.7%
69
8.3%
Q3 - 6:11PelicansCJ McCollum misses two point driving floating jump shot82
91.3%
69
8.7%
Q3 - 6:38MavericksMaxi Kleber makes two point alley-oop dunk (Luka Doncic assists)82
90.3%
69
9.7%
Q3 - 6:53MavericksMavericks defensive rebound80
89.0%
69
11.0%
Q3 - 6:53PelicansBrandon Ingram misses three point jump shot80
88.5%
69
11.5%
Q3 - 7:12MavericksLuka Doncic makes two point driving floating jump shot80
86.6%
69
13.4%
Q3 - 7:23PelicansJonas Valanciunas makes two point putback layup78
85.1%
69
14.9%
Q3 - 7:23PelicansJonas Valanciunas offensive rebound78
86.6%
67
13.4%
Q3 - 7:28PelicansJaxson Hayes misses two point turnaround hook shot78
88.0%
67
12.0%
Q3 - 7:47MavericksDwight Powell personal foul (Jonas Valanciunas draws the foul)78
86.7%
67
13.3%
Q3 - 7:47PelicansJonas Valanciunas defensive rebound78
86.7%
67
13.3%
Q3 - 7:49MavericksLuka Doncic misses regular free throw 2 of 278
86.9%
67
13.1%
Q3 - 7:49MavericksLuka Doncic makes regular free throw 1 of 278
87.9%
67
12.1%
Q3 - 7:49PelicansHerbert Jones shooting foul (Luka Doncic draws the foul)77
87.5%
67
12.5%
Q3 - 8:00PelicansBrandon Ingram turnover (out of bounds bad pass)77
86.9%
67
13.1%
Q3 - 8:15MavericksLuka Doncic makes two point turnaround fadeaway bank jump shot77
84.4%
67
15.6%
Q3 - 8:34PelicansCJ McCollum makes two point floating jump shot75
82.8%
67
17.2%
Q3 - 8:44PelicansJonas Valanciunas defensive rebound75
84.5%
65
15.5%
Q3 - 8:47MavericksLuka Doncic misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot75
85.1%
65
14.9%
Q3 - 8:57MavericksJosh Green defensive rebound75
86.6%
65
13.4%
Q3 - 9:03PelicansJonas Valanciunas misses two point jump shot75
85.5%
65
14.5%
Q3 - 9:27MavericksDwight Powell makes two point alley-oop dunk (Luka Doncic assists)75
84.1%
65
15.9%
Q3 - 9:45PelicansBrandon Ingram makes two point pullup jump shot (Jonas Valanciunas assists)73
82.4%
65
17.6%
Q3 - 9:59MavericksLuka Doncic makes two point putback layup73
84.1%
63
15.9%
Q3 - 9:59MavericksLuka Doncic offensive rebound71
82.4%
63
17.6%
Q3 - 10:06MavericksJosh Green misses three point jump shot71
80.3%
63
19.7%
Q3 - 10:33PelicansJonas Valanciunas makes two point cutting layup (Brandon Ingram assists)71
82.0%
63
18.0%
Q3 - 10:40PelicansJonas Valanciunas defensive rebound71
83.7%
61
16.3%
Q3 - 10:42MavericksJalen Brunson misses two point floating jump shot71
84.3%
61
15.7%
Q3 - 10:57PelicansCJ McCollum makes three point running jump shot71
85.7%
61
14.3%
Q3 - 11:01MavericksLuka Doncic turnover (lost ball) (CJ McCollum steals)71
88.3%
58
11.7%
Q3 - 11:18PelicansHerbert Jones turnover (offensive foul)71
89.7%
58
10.3%
Q3 - 11:18PelicansHerbert Jones offensive foul (Charge) (Dwight Powell draws the foul)71
88.3%
58
11.7%
Q3 - 11:32PelicansJonas Valanciunas defensive rebound71
88.3%
58
11.7%
Q3 - 11:34MavericksJalen Brunson misses two point driving floating jump shot71
88.8%
58
11.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.71
89.7%
58
10.3%
Q2 - 0:03.8PelicansCJ McCollum makes two point driving reverse layup (Brandon Ingram assists)71
89.1%
58
10.9%
Q2 - 0:26.5MavericksLuka Doncic makes two point driving layup71
90.6%
56
9.4%
Q2 - 0:34.4PelicansHerbert Jones turnover (offensive foul)69
89.2%
56
10.8%
Q2 - 0:34.4PelicansHerbert Jones offensive foul (Josh Green draws the foul)69
88.1%
56
11.9%
Q2 - 0:38.6MavericksJalen Brunson makes regular free throw 2 of 269
88.1%
56
11.9%
Q2 - 0:38.6MavericksLuka Doncic makes technical free throw 1 of 168
87.8%
56
12.2%
Q2 - 0:38.6PelicansWillie Green technical foul67
87.5%
56
12.5%
Q2 - 0:38.6MavericksJalen Brunson makes regular free throw 1 of 267
86.4%
56
13.6%
Q2 - 0:38.6PelicansDevonte' Graham personal foul (Jalen Brunson draws the foul)66
86.1%
56
13.9%
Q2 - 0:51.0MavericksLuka Doncic defensive rebound66
84.8%
56
15.2%
Q2 - 0:54.4PelicansHerbert Jones misses three point jump shot66
84.4%
56
15.6%
Q2 - 1:10MavericksMaxi Kleber makes regular free throw 2 of 266
83.2%
56
16.8%
Q2 - 1:10MavericksMaxi Kleber makes regular free throw 1 of 265
82.9%
56
17.1%
Q2 - 1:10PelicansJonas Valanciunas personal foul (Loose ball) (Maxi Kleber draws the foul)64
82.5%
56
17.5%
Q2 - 1:10MavericksMavericks defensive rebound64
80.7%
56
19.3%
Q2 - 1:11PelicansBrandon Ingram misses two point fadeaway jump shot64
80.3%
56
19.7%
Q2 - 1:23MavericksMavericks turnover (shot clock violation)64
79.4%
56
20.6%
Q2 - 1:23MavericksMavericks offensive rebound64
80.7%
56
19.3%
Q2 - 1:23MavericksLuka Doncic misses three point pullup jump shot64
79.8%
56
20.2%
Q2 - 1:36MavericksMaxi Kleber offensive rebound64
80.7%
56
19.3%
Q2 - 1:40MavericksLuka Doncic misses three point jump shot64
79.8%
56
20.2%
Q2 - 1:43PelicansJaxson Hayes personal foul (Luka Doncic draws the foul)64
80.7%
56
19.3%
Q2 - 1:57PelicansJaxson Hayes makes regular free throw 1 of 164
80.7%
56
19.3%
Q2 - 1:57MavericksDwight Powell shooting foul (Jaxson Hayes draws the foul)64
81.1%
55
18.9%
Q2 - 2:03PelicansBrandon Ingram defensive rebound64
83.9%
53
16.1%
Q2 - 2:05MavericksLuka Doncic misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot64
84.5%
53
15.5%
Q2 - 2:21MavericksDwight Powell defensive rebound64
85.6%
53
14.4%
Q2 - 2:24PelicansCJ McCollum misses two point fadeaway jump shot64
85.1%
53
14.9%
Q2 - 2:31MavericksLuka Doncic turnover (bad pass) (Brandon Ingram steals)64
84.0%
53
16.0%
Q2 - 2:42MavericksSpencer Dinwiddie defensive rebound64
85.6%
53
14.4%
Q2 - 2:44PelicansCJ McCollum misses two point driving floating jump shot64
85.2%
53
14.8%
Q2 - 2:50PelicansBrandon Ingram defensive rebound64
84.1%
53
15.9%
Q2 - 2:52MavericksSpencer Dinwiddie misses three point pullup jump shot64
84.6%
53
15.4%
Q2 - 3:07PelicansJaxson Hayes makes two point tip layup64
85.0%
53
15.0%
Q2 - 3:07PelicansJaxson Hayes offensive rebound64
86.1%
51
13.9%
Q2 - 3:10PelicansBrandon Ingram misses two point driving layup64
87.3%
51
12.7%
Q2 - 3:19PelicansBrandon Ingram defensive rebound64
86.1%
51
13.9%
Q2 - 3:22MavericksSpencer Dinwiddie misses three point jump shot64
86.7%
51
13.3%
Q2 - 3:37PelicansJaxson Hayes makes regular free throw 2 of 264
87.8%
51
12.2%
Q2 - 3:37PelicansJaxson Hayes makes regular free throw 1 of 264
88.0%
50
12.0%
Q2 - 3:37MavericksDwight Powell shooting foul (Jaxson Hayes draws the foul)64
88.3%
49
11.7%
Q2 - 3:53MavericksDorian Finney-Smith makes three point jump shot (Luka Doncic assists)64
88.7%
49
11.3%
Q2 - 4:03PelicansDevonte' Graham turnover (bad pass) (Dorian Finney-Smith steals)61
85.9%
49
14.1%
Q2 - 4:16PelicansTony Snell defensive rebound61
84.4%
49
15.6%
Q2 - 4:21MavericksLuka Doncic misses three point jump shot61
84.9%
49
15.1%
Q2 - 4:36PelicansJaxson Hayes makes two point running dunk (Devonte' Graham assists)61
85.9%
49
14.1%
Q2 - 4:40MavericksLuka Doncic turnover (lost ball) (Devonte' Graham steals)61
87.2%
47
12.8%
Q2 - 4:51PelicansTony Snell makes two point cutting finger roll layup (Brandon Ingram assists)61
88.5%
47
11.5%
Q2 - 4:59MavericksLuka Doncic personal foul (Herbert Jones draws the foul)61
89.5%
45
10.5%
Q2 - 5:14MavericksLuka Doncic makes three point stepback jump shot61
89.2%
45
10.8%
Q2 - 5:20MavericksLuka Doncic defensive rebound58
87.2%
45
12.8%
Q2 - 5:22PelicansBrandon Ingram misses two point fadeaway jump shot58
86.7%
45
13.3%
Q2 - 5:40PelicansTony Snell defensive rebound58
85.6%
45
14.4%
Q2 - 5:46MavericksJosh Green misses three point jump shot58
86.1%
45
13.9%
Q2 - 6:11PelicansCJ McCollum makes three point pullup jump shot58
87.0%
45
13.0%
Q2 - 6:22MavericksSpencer Dinwiddie makes two point driving floating jump shot58
89.0%
42
11.0%
Q2 - 6:31MavericksJosh Green defensive rebound56
88.2%
42
11.8%
Q2 - 6:34PelicansCJ McCollum misses two point stepback jump shot56
87.8%
42
12.2%
Q2 - 6:53MavericksDwight Powell makes two point cutting layup (Jalen Brunson assists)56
86.7%
42
13.3%
Q2 - 7:04MavericksDwight Powell offensive rebound54
85.0%
42
15.0%
Q2 - 7:09MavericksJalen Brunson misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot54
84.1%
42
15.9%
Q2 - 7:24PelicansTony Snell makes three point jump shot (Herbert Jones assists)54
85.1%
42
14.9%
Q2 - 7:34PelicansCJ McCollum offensive rebound54
87.5%
39
12.5%
Q2 - 7:34PelicansJosh Green blocks CJ McCollum's two point driving layup54
88.3%
39
11.7%
Q2 - 7:36PelicansDevonte' Graham defensive rebound54
87.5%
39
12.5%
Q2 - 7:40MavericksDavis Bertans misses three point jump shot54
87.9%
39
12.1%
Q2 - 7:58PelicansJonas Valanciunas makes two point cutting layup (CJ McCollum assists)54
88.7%
39
11.3%
Q2 - 8:02PelicansCJ McCollum offensive rebound54
89.3%
37
10.7%
Q2 - 8:04PelicansCJ McCollum misses three point jump shot54
90.0%
37
10.0%
Q2 - 8:13MavericksMaxi Kleber turnover (out of bounds bad pass)54
89.3%
37
10.7%
Q2 - 8:26MavericksJosh Green defensive rebound54
90.3%
37
9.7%
Q2 - 8:30PelicansDevonte' Graham misses three point jump shot54
90.0%
37
10.0%
Q2 - 8:46MavericksJalen Brunson makes two point pullup jump shot54
89.3%
37
10.7%
Q2 - 9:02PelicansDevonte' Graham makes three point jump shot (CJ McCollum assists)52
87.9%
37
12.1%
Q2 - 9:14MavericksJalen Brunson turnover (lost ball) (Garrett Temple steals)52
89.9%
34
10.1%
Q2 - 9:29PelicansCJ McCollum makes three point fadeaway jump shot (Jonas Valanciunas assists)52
90.8%
34
9.2%
Q2 - 9:41MavericksMaxi Kleber makes two point alley-oop layup (Jalen Brunson assists)52
92.4%
31
7.6%
Q2 - 9:55PelicansDevonte' Graham makes regular free throw 2 of 250
91.6%
31
8.4%
Q2 - 9:55PelicansDevonte' Graham makes regular free throw 1 of 250
91.8%
30
8.2%
Q2 - 9:55MavericksDavis Bertans shooting foul (Devonte' Graham draws the foul)50
91.9%
29
8.1%
Q2 - 10:11MavericksMaxi Kleber makes two point driving dunk (Jalen Brunson assists)50
92.1%
29
7.9%
Q2 - 10:32PelicansDevonte' Graham makes two point pullup jump shot (Jonas Valanciunas assists)48
91.4%
29
8.6%
Q2 - 10:36MavericksSterling Brown personal foul (Tony Snell draws the foul)48
92.1%
27
7.9%
Q2 - 10:44PelicansJonas Valanciunas defensive rebound48
92.1%
27
7.9%
Q2 - 10:47MavericksMaxi Kleber misses three point jump shot48
92.3%
27
7.7%
Q2 - 11:02MavericksMaxi Kleber defensive rebound48
92.3%
27
7.7%
Q2 - 11:06PelicansGarrett Temple misses three point jump shot48
92.1%
27
7.9%
Q2 - 11:10PelicansTony Snell defensive rebound48
91.7%
27
8.3%
Q2 - 11:14MavericksDavis Bertans misses three point jump shot48
91.9%
27
8.1%
Q2 - 11:16MavericksSterling Brown defensive rebound48
92.3%
27
7.7%
Q2 - 11:20PelicansMaxi Kleber blocks Jonas Valanciunas's two point layup48
92.2%
27
7.8%
Q2 - 11:47MavericksDavis Bertans makes three point jump shot (Jalen Brunson assists)48
91.7%
27
8.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.45
90.1%
27
9.9%
Q1 - 0:00.8MavericksLuka Doncic makes three point stepback jump shot45
88.8%
27
11.2%
Q1 - 0:10.8MavericksLuka Doncic defensive rebound42
86.6%
27
13.4%
Q1 - 0:14.0PelicansCJ McCollum misses two point pullup jump shot42
86.3%
27
13.7%
Q1 - 0:32.6MavericksSpencer Dinwiddie makes regular free throw 2 of 242
85.6%
27
14.4%
Q1 - 0:32.6MavericksSpencer Dinwiddie misses regular free throw 1 of 241
85.4%
27
14.6%
Q1 - 0:32.6PelicansJaxson Hayes shooting foul (Spencer Dinwiddie draws the foul)41
86.3%
27
13.7%
Q1 - 0:39.1MavericksSpencer Dinwiddie defensive rebound41
85.5%
27
14.5%
Q1 - 0:43.0PelicansTony Snell misses three point jump shot41
85.2%
27
14.8%
Q1 - 0:54.1MavericksMaxi Kleber makes two point alley-oop dunk (Luka Doncic assists)41
84.4%
27
15.6%
Q1 - 1:06PelicansCJ McCollum makes three point stepback jump shot39
82.9%
27
17.1%
Q1 - 1:17MavericksDorian Finney-Smith makes three point jump shot (Luka Doncic assists)39
85.6%
24
14.4%
Q1 - 1:31PelicansCJ McCollum makes two point driving layup36
82.9%
24
17.1%
Q1 - 1:46MavericksMaxi Kleber makes three point jump shot (Luka Doncic assists)36
84.4%
22
15.6%
Q1 - 1:57PelicansTony Snell turnover (bad pass) (Spencer Dinwiddie steals)33
81.5%
22
18.5%
Q1 - 2:14MavericksLuka Doncic makes three point stepback jump shot33
79.7%
22
20.3%
Q1 - 2:34PelicansJaxson Hayes makes regular free throw 1 of 130
76.7%
22
23.3%
Q1 - 2:34MavericksDorian Finney-Smith shooting foul (Jaxson Hayes draws the foul)30
77.0%
21
23.0%
Q1 - 2:39MavericksLuka Doncic makes regular free throw 2 of 230
79.7%
19
20.3%
Q1 - 2:39MavericksLuka Doncic makes regular free throw 1 of 229
79.4%
19
20.6%
Q1 - 2:39PelicansJaxson Hayes shooting foul (Luka Doncic draws the foul)28
79.0%
19
21.0%
Q1 - 2:46MavericksDavis Bertans defensive rebound28
78.3%
19
21.7%
Q1 - 2:55PelicansBrandon Ingram misses two point stepback jump shot28
77.8%
19
22.2%
Q1 - 3:02PelicansJaxson Hayes defensive rebound28
76.0%
19
24.0%
Q1 - 3:11MavericksDavis Bertans misses three point jump shot28
76.6%
19
23.4%
Q1 - 3:24MavericksLuka Doncic defensive rebound28
77.9%
19
22.1%
Q1 - 3:24PelicansBrandon Ingram misses two point pullup jump shot28
77.3%
19
22.7%
Q1 - 3:41MavericksLuka Doncic makes three point stepback jump shot28
76.0%
19
24.0%
Q1 - 3:56PelicansGarrett Temple turnover (out of bounds lost ball)25
72.9%
19
27.1%
Q1 - 3:56PelicansGarrett Temple defensive rebound25
70.8%
19
29.2%
Q1 - 3:59MavericksLuka Doncic misses three point jump shot25
71.5%
19
28.5%
Q1 - 4:21PelicansJaxson Hayes makes regular free throw 1 of 125
72.6%
19
27.4%
Q1 - 4:21MavericksDorian Finney-Smith shooting foul (Jaxson Hayes draws the foul)25
73.0%
18
27.0%
Q1 - 4:34MavericksJalen Brunson personal foul (Jaxson Hayes draws the foul)25
75.6%
16
24.4%
Q1 - 4:48MavericksDwight Powell makes regular free throw 2 of 225
75.6%
16
24.4%
Q1 - 4:48MavericksDwight Powell misses regular free throw 1 of 224
75.3%
16
24.7%
Q1 - 4:48PelicansJonas Valanciunas shooting foul (Dwight Powell draws the foul)24
76.5%
16
23.5%
Q1 - 4:56MavericksLuka Doncic defensive rebound24
75.9%
16
24.1%
Q1 - 4:59PelicansGarrett Temple misses three point jump shot24
75.3%
16
24.7%
Q1 - 5:13MavericksJalen Brunson makes three point pullup jump shot (Luka Doncic assists)24
73.8%
16
26.2%
Q1 - 5:34PelicansJonas Valanciunas makes two point cutting dunk (CJ McCollum assists)21
70.7%
16
29.3%
Q1 - 5:55MavericksLuka Doncic makes regular free throw 2 of 221
72.1%
14
27.9%
Q1 - 5:55MavericksLuka Doncic makes regular free throw 1 of 220
71.8%
14
28.2%
Q1 - 5:55PelicansJonas Valanciunas shooting foul (Luka Doncic draws the foul)19
71.3%
14
28.7%
Q1 - 6:08PelicansJonas Valanciunas makes two point finger roll layup19
70.4%
14
29.6%
Q1 - 6:30MavericksJalen Brunson makes three point pullup jump shot19
72.0%
12
28.0%
Q1 - 6:38MavericksJalen Brunson defensive rebound16
68.7%
12
31.3%
Q1 - 6:39PelicansHerbert Jones misses two point tip layup16
68.2%
12
31.8%
Q1 - 6:39PelicansHerbert Jones offensive rebound16
66.9%
12
33.1%
Q1 - 6:44PelicansCJ McCollum misses three point pullup jump shot16
68.2%
12
31.8%
Q1 - 6:54PelicansJaxson Hayes defensive rebound16
66.9%
12
33.1%
Q1 - 6:57MavericksJalen Brunson misses three point jump shot16
67.5%
12
32.5%
Q1 - 7:01MavericksDwight Powell defensive rebound16
68.9%
12
31.1%
Q1 - 7:04PelicansDwight Powell blocks CJ McCollum's two point driving layup16
68.3%
12
31.7%
Q1 - 7:17MavericksDwight Powell makes regular free throw 1 of 116
67.0%
12
33.0%
Q1 - 7:17PelicansJaxson Hayes shooting foul (Dwight Powell draws the foul)15
66.6%
12
33.4%
Q1 - 7:18MavericksDwight Powell offensive rebound13
63.6%
12
36.4%
Q1 - 7:21MavericksLuka Doncic misses two point floating jump shot13
62.2%
12
37.8%
Q1 - 7:39PelicansJonas Valanciunas makes two point cutting finger roll layup (Brandon Ingram assists)13
63.6%
12
36.4%
Q1 - 7:56MavericksJalen Brunson makes two point pullup jump shot13
65.2%
10
34.8%
Q1 - 8:14PelicansBrandon Ingram makes two point jump shot (Herbert Jones assists)11
63.9%
10
36.1%
Q1 - 8:28PelicansJonas Valanciunas defensive rebound11
65.4%
8
34.6%
Q1 - 8:32MavericksLuka Doncic misses two point stepback jump shot11
66.0%
8
34.0%
Q1 - 8:39PelicansJonas Valanciunas makes two point putback dunk11
67.4%
8
32.6%
Q1 - 8:39PelicansJonas Valanciunas offensive rebound11
68.8%
6
31.2%
Q1 - 8:43PelicansBrandon Ingram misses two point driving reverse layup11
70.1%
6
29.9%
Q1 - 8:57MavericksDorian Finney-Smith makes three point jump shot (Jalen Brunson assists)11
68.8%
6
31.2%
Q1 - 9:02MavericksLuka Doncic defensive rebound8
65.5%
6
34.5%
Q1 - 9:06PelicansJonas Valanciunas misses three point jump shot8
64.8%
6
35.2%
Q1 - 9:13MavericksLuka Doncic turnover (bad pass) (Jonas Valanciunas steals)8
63.4%
6
36.6%
Q1 - 9:26PelicansJaxson Hayes makes two point tip layup8
65.5%
6
34.5%
Q1 - 9:26PelicansJaxson Hayes offensive rebound8
66.9%
4
33.1%
Q1 - 9:32PelicansLuka Doncic blocks Jaxson Hayes's two point dunk8
68.2%
4
31.8%
Q1 - 9:45MavericksLuka Doncic makes three point stepback jump shot8
66.9%
4
33.1%
Q1 - 9:54PelicansJonas Valanciunas makes two point putback layup5
63.8%
4
36.2%
Q1 - 9:54PelicansJonas Valanciunas offensive rebound5
65.2%
2
34.8%
Q1 - 10:01PelicansJonas Valanciunas misses two point driving layup5
66.4%
2
33.6%
Q1 - 10:08PelicansJaxson Hayes offensive rebound5
65.1%
2
34.9%
Q1 - 10:12PelicansHerbert Jones misses two point jump shot5
66.4%
2
33.6%
Q1 - 10:19MavericksJalen Brunson makes two point driving floating jump shot5
65.1%
2
34.9%
Q1 - 10:30PelicansBrandon Ingram makes two point fadeaway jump shot3
63.6%
2
36.4%
Q1 - 10:46MavericksLuka Doncic makes regular free throw 2 of 23
65.1%
0
34.9%
Q1 - 10:46MavericksLuka Doncic misses regular free throw 1 of 22
64.7%
0
35.3%
Q1 - 10:46PelicansBrandon Ingram shooting foul (Luka Doncic draws the foul)2
66.0%
0
34.0%
Q1 - 10:54PelicansHerbert Jones turnover (out of bounds lost ball)2
65.3%
0
34.7%
Q1 - 10:54PelicansHerbert Jones offensive rebound2
63.4%
0
36.6%
Q1 - 10:54PelicansHerbert Jones misses two point tip layup2
64.7%
0
35.3%
Q1 - 10:54PelicansHerbert Jones offensive rebound2
63.4%
0
36.6%
Q1 - 10:56PelicansHerbert Jones misses two point driving floating jump shot2
64.7%
0
35.3%
Q1 - 11:11MavericksLuka Doncic makes two point stepback jump shot2
63.4%
0
36.6%
Q1 - 11:18MavericksLuka Doncic defensive rebound0
62.0%
0
38.0%
Q1 - 11:21PelicansJonas Valanciunas misses three point jump shot0
61.4%
0
38.6%
Q1 - 11:30PelicansJonas Valanciunas defensive rebound0
60.0%
0
40.0%
Q1 - 11:34MavericksLuka Doncic misses two point turnaround jump shot0
60.6%
0
39.4%
Q1 - 11:51PelicansHerbert Jones turnover (offensive foul)0
62.0%
0
38.0%
Q1 - 11:51PelicansHerbert Jones offensive foul (Jalen Brunson draws the foul)0
60.0%
0
40.0%
Q1 - 12:00Dwight Powell vs. Jonas Valanciunas (Brandon Ingram gains possession)0
60.0%
0
40.0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DAL
1.30 65.1%
NOP
1.17 58.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DAL
15
16
94%
NOP
22
31
71%
Midrange
DAL
10
26
38%
NOP
12
33
36%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DAL
19
28.5
40
48%
71%
NOP
12
18.0
28
43%
64%
Free Throws
DAL
18
25
72%
NOP
14
21
67%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DAL logo Mavericks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. Dončić4961%24.5 / 40
J. Brunson2377%11.5 / 15
M. Kleber2083%10.0 / 12
D. Finney-Smith14117%7.0 / 6
D. Powell880%4.0 / 5
S. Dinwiddie867%4.0 / 6
D. Bertans321%1.5 / 7
J. Green0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
NOP logo Pelicans
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. McCollum3868%19.0 / 28
J. Hayes1882%9.0 / 11
J. Valančiūnas1662%8.0 / 13
B. Ingram1229%6.0 / 21
D. Graham1286%6.0 / 7
T. Snell1192%5.5 / 6
H. Jones950%4.5 / 9
G. Temple225%1.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DAL
87
+8
-8
95
NOP
83
+18
-13
101
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DAL
1.30 65.1%
NOP
1.17 58.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
112.9
111.6
DAL 131.6 +8.7
NOP 122.9
Pace
95.3
97.5
DAL 89.9
NOP 101.8 +11.8
Avg. Poss. Time
15.6
14.7
DAL 16.0
NOP 14.2 +1.9
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
53.8%
51.7%
DAL 65.2% +8.7%
NOP 56.5%
TO %
12.2%
13.6%
DAL 8.8% +2.6%
NOP 11.4%
ORB %
21.4%
26.9%
DAL 18.4%
NOP 35.4% +17.0%
FTrt
24.9
26.4
DAL 30.5 +7.7
NOP 22.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
59.5%
62.1%
DAL 40.9%
NOP 47.8% +6.9%
STL %
7.0%
8.5%
DAL 5.3%
NOP 7.3% +2.0%
BLK %
7.4%
7.9%
DAL 6.3% +6.3%
NOP 0.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.15 and 2.15.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
55.8%
54.4%
DAL 65.1% +6.7%
NOP 58.4%
Rim FG%
65.4%
60.5%
DAL 93.8% +22.8%
NOP 71.0%
Mid FG%
43.8%
43.1%
DAL 38.5% +2.1%
NOP 36.4%
3P %
35.0%
33.2%
DAL 47.5% +4.6%
NOP 42.9%
FT %
77.1%
78.9%
DAL 72.0% +5.3%
NOP 66.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
28.7%
35.5%
DAL 19.5%
NOP 33.7% +14.2%
Mid Att. %
27.5%
28.0%
DAL 31.7% +4.2%
NOP 35.9%
3P Att. %
43.8%
36.5%
DAL 48.8% +18.3%
NOP 30.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsDALNOP
Possessions9596
Possession Minutes25.422.6
Points125118
Rebounds3848
Assists1822
Steals57
Blocks40
Turnovers (Team)8 (1)13 (0)
Fouls2218
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (1)17 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)31 (2)31 (1)
Field Goals44-8246-92
At-the-Rim FG15-1622-31
Midrange FG10-2612-33
2-Point FG25-4234-64
3-Point FG19-4012-28
Free Throws18-2514-21
Fast Break Pts214
2nd Chance Pts1125
Points in Paint4654
Pts off Turnovers1815
Bench Points3125
Biggest Lead240

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#77 · PG · 6'6" 230 · 23
38.0
49
61%
15
8
0
1
5
3
1
14
8-12
67%
10-21
48%
7-14
50%
#10 · PF · 6'7" 220 · 29
37.4
14
117%
3
0
3
0
0
3
0
3
0-0
-
1-1
100%
4-5
80%
#13 · SG · 6'2" 190 · 25
37.3
23
77%
1
6
0
0
2
3
0
1
4-4
100%
5-9
56%
3-4
75%
#8 · SF · 6'5" 200 · 21
25.2
0
0%
3
2
0
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-2
0%
#7 · C · 6'10" 240 · 31
24.2
8
80%
5
0
0
1
0
3
3
2
2-3
67%
3-4
75%
0-0
-
#26 · PG · 6'5" 215 · 29
30.5
8
67%
4
1
1
0
0
2
1
3
1-2
50%
2-2
100%
1-3
33%
#42 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 30
25.5
20
83%
4
0
1
1
1
3
2
2
3-4
75%
4-5
80%
3-5
60%
#44 · PF · 6'10" 210 · 29
17.4
3
21%
2
1
0
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-7
14%
#0 · SG · 6'6" 230 · 27
4.3
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
#21 · PG · 6'5" 190 · 24
DNP – Injury/Illness | Left Ankle; Soreness
#3 · PG · 6'1" 191 · 29
DNP – Injury/Illness | Right Shoulder; Sprain
#51 · C · 7'3" 290 · 34
DNP – Coach's Decision
#11 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 30
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Foot; Surgery
#1 · SG · 6'6" 218 · 26
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Fifth Finger; Fracture
#25 · SF · 6'7" 205 · 31
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Hip; Contusion
#32 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 25
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Knee; Soreness
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
125
65%
38
18
5
4
8
22
7
31
18-25
72%
25-42
60%
19-40
48%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.