FinalWin Prob.pScore
269%110
121
2231%103
100
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
121.0100106.8
WAS logo WAS
101.09993.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

WizardsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

WizardsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAWAS
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.121
100%
100
0%
Q4 - 0:04.3WizardsDeni Avdija makes three point jump shot (Aaron Holiday assists)121
99.9%
100
0.1%
Q4 - 0:13.4HeatHeat turnover (shot clock violation)121
99.9%
97
0.1%
Q4 - 0:37.4WizardsAaron Holiday makes two point driving finger roll layup121
99.9%
97
0.1%
Q4 - 0:48.3HeatMax Strus turnover (out of bounds bad pass)121
99.9%
95
0.1%
Q4 - 0:58.1WizardsDavis Bertans makes two point dunk (Aaron Holiday assists)121
99.9%
95
0.1%
Q4 - 1:06WizardsCorey Kispert defensive rebound121
99.9%
93
0.1%
Q4 - 1:08HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot121
99.9%
93
0.1%
Q4 - 1:16HeatOmer Yurtseven defensive rebound121
99.9%
93
0.1%
Q4 - 1:18WizardsRui Hachimura misses two point driving layup121
99.9%
93
0.1%
Q4 - 1:24WizardsRui Hachimura offensive rebound121
99.9%
93
0.1%
Q4 - 1:26WizardsCorey Kispert misses three point jump shot121
99.9%
93
0.1%
Q4 - 1:38HeatKyle Guy makes two point cutting layup (Omer Yurtseven assists)121
99.9%
93
0.1%
Q4 - 1:57WizardsRui Hachimura makes three point jump shot (Deni Avdija assists)119
99.9%
93
0.1%
Q4 - 2:08WizardsDeni Avdija defensive rebound119
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 2:09HeatKyle Guy misses two point layup119
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 2:30HeatHeat defensive rebound119
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 2:30WizardsMax Strus blocks Corey Kispert's two point layup119
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 2:32WizardsAaron Holiday defensive rebound119
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 2:35HeatOmer Yurtseven misses two point floating jump shot119
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 2:59WizardsCorey Kispert makes two point layup119
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 3:00WizardsCorey Kispert offensive rebound119
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 3:03WizardsRui Hachimura misses two point stepback jump shot119
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 3:17HeatOmer Yurtseven makes two point tip layup119
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 3:18HeatOmer Yurtseven offensive rebound117
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 3:20HeatGabe Vincent misses three point stepback jump shot117
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 3:29HeatGabe Vincent defensive rebound117
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 3:33WizardsDavis Bertans misses three point jump shot117
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 3:42HeatKyle Guy makes regular free throw 3 of 3117
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 3:42HeatKyle Guy makes regular free throw 2 of 3116
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 3:42HeatKyle Guy misses regular free throw 1 of 3115
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 3:42WizardsCorey Kispert shooting foul (Kyle Guy draws the foul)115
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 3:54WizardsRui Hachimura makes regular free throw 1 of 1115
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 3:54HeatOmer Yurtseven shooting foul (Rui Hachimura draws the foul)115
99.9%
87
0.1%
Q4 - 3:56WizardsDeni Avdija defensive rebound115
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 3:58HeatKyle Guy misses two point driving layup115
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 4:11WizardsCorey Kispert makes two point driving layup (Davis Bertans assists)115
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 4:27WizardsAaron Holiday defensive rebound115
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 4:31HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot115
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 4:44WizardsCorey Kispert turnover (traveling)115
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 5:05HeatOmer Yurtseven makes two point alley-oop dunk (Kyle Guy assists)115
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 5:24WizardsCorey Kispert makes two point tip layup113
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 5:25WizardsCorey Kispert offensive rebound113
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 5:26WizardsRui Hachimura misses two point driving hook shot113
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 5:30HeatMax Strus turnover (bad pass) (Aaron Holiday steals)113
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 5:47WizardsThomas Bryant turnover (offensive foul)113
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 5:47WizardsThomas Bryant offensive foul (Gabe Vincent draws the foul)113
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 6:01WizardsWizards defensive rebound113
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 6:01HeatCaleb Martin misses two point driving floating jump shot113
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 6:06WizardsThomas Bryant turnover (bad pass) (Kyle Guy steals)113
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 6:20WizardsRui Hachimura defensive rebound113
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 6:22HeatOmer Yurtseven misses two point turnaround jump shot113
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 6:33HeatMax Strus defensive rebound113
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 6:36WizardsThomas Bryant misses three point jump shot113
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 6:47WizardsThomas Bryant defensive rebound113
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 6:50HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot113
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 6:57WizardsAaron Holiday personal foul (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)113
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 7:04WizardsCorey Kispert makes three point jump shot (Aaron Holiday assists)113
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 7:27HeatCaleb Martin makes three point jump shot (Gabe Vincent assists)113
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 7:38HeatOmer Yurtseven defensive rebound110
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 7:42WizardsDeni Avdija misses three point jump shot110
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 7:52HeatKyle Lowry personal foul (Rui Hachimura draws the foul)110
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 8:03HeatKyle Lowry makes three point jump shot (Caleb Martin assists)110
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 8:07WizardsAaron Holiday turnover (lost ball) (Gabe Vincent steals)107
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 8:11HeatGabe Vincent turnover (lost ball) (Aaron Holiday steals)107
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 8:25WizardsDeni Avdija makes regular free throw 2 of 2107
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 8:25WizardsDeni Avdija makes regular free throw 1 of 2107
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 8:25HeatMax Strus shooting foul (Deni Avdija draws the foul)107
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 8:46HeatKyle Lowry makes three point jump shot (Gabe Vincent assists)107
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 8:54HeatGabe Vincent defensive rebound104
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 8:57WizardsRui Hachimura misses three point jump shot104
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 9:11HeatGabe Vincent makes three point stepback jump shot104
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 9:19WizardsMontrezl Harrell makes regular free throw 2 of 2101
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 9:19WizardsMontrezl Harrell makes regular free throw 1 of 2101
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 9:19HeatGabe Vincent shooting foul (Montrezl Harrell draws the foul)101
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 9:22WizardsRui Hachimura defensive rebound101
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 9:25HeatGabe Vincent misses two point pullup jump shot101
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 9:43WizardsCorey Kispert makes two point driving layup (Rui Hachimura assists)101
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 9:51HeatGabe Vincent turnover (bad pass) (Rui Hachimura steals)101
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 9:55HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound101
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 9:57WizardsMontrezl Harrell misses two point driving layup101
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 10:17HeatDewayne Dedmon makes three point pullup jump shot101
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 10:39WizardsKyle Kuzma makes two point cutting layup (Montrezl Harrell assists)98
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 10:45HeatCaleb Martin personal foul (Kyle Kuzma draws the foul)98
99.9%
70
0.1%
Q4 - 10:50HeatDewayne Dedmon makes regular free throw 2 of 298
99.9%
70
0.1%
Q4 - 10:50HeatDewayne Dedmon misses regular free throw 1 of 297
99.9%
70
0.1%
Q4 - 10:50WizardsMontrezl Harrell shooting foul (Dewayne Dedmon draws the foul)97
99.9%
70
0.1%
Q4 - 10:57HeatDewayne Dedmon defensive rebound97
99.9%
70
0.1%
Q4 - 11:01WizardsRaul Neto misses three point jump shot97
99.8%
70
0.2%
Q4 - 11:18HeatCaleb Martin makes three point jump shot (Gabe Vincent assists)97
99.8%
70
0.2%
Q4 - 11:23HeatDewayne Dedmon defensive rebound94
99.7%
70
0.3%
Q4 - 11:27WizardsCorey Kispert misses three point jump shot94
99.7%
70
0.3%
Q4 - 11:44HeatMax Strus makes three point jump shot (Gabe Vincent assists)94
99.6%
70
0.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.91
99.4%
70
0.6%
Q3 - 0:00.1HeatHeat offensive rebound91
99.3%
70
0.7%
Q3 - 0:00.1HeatDewayne Dedmon misses three point jump shot91
99.2%
70
0.8%
Q3 - 0:01.1WizardsRaul Neto turnover (lost ball) (Gabe Vincent steals)91
99.3%
70
0.7%
Q3 - 0:06.0HeatJimmy Butler makes two point running alley-oop dunk (Caleb Martin assists)91
99.2%
70
0.8%
Q3 - 0:09.9WizardsKyle Kuzma turnover (lost ball) (Max Strus steals)89
99.0%
70
1.0%
Q3 - 0:31.5HeatMax Strus makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)89
98.8%
70
1.2%
Q3 - 0:35.2WizardsDeni Avdija turnover (traveling)86
98.1%
70
1.9%
Q3 - 0:48.9HeatDewayne Dedmon turnover (offensive foul)86
97.7%
70
2.3%
Q3 - 0:48.9HeatDewayne Dedmon offensive foul (Raul Neto draws the foul)86
98.1%
70
1.9%
Q3 - 0:58.3HeatJimmy Butler makes technical free throw 1 of 186
98.1%
70
1.9%
Q3 - 0:58.3WizardsMontrezl Harrell technical foul85
98.1%
70
1.9%
Q3 - 0:58.3HeatHeat defensive rebound85
97.7%
70
2.3%
Q3 - 1:00WizardsRaul Neto misses three point jump shot85
97.6%
70
2.4%
Q3 - 1:12WizardsDeni Avdija defensive rebound85
96.8%
70
3.2%
Q3 - 1:14HeatGabe Vincent misses three point jump shot85
97.0%
70
3.0%
Q3 - 1:22HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound85
97.4%
70
2.6%
Q3 - 1:26WizardsMontrezl Harrell misses two point jump shot85
97.3%
70
2.7%
Q3 - 1:43HeatCaleb Martin makes two point driving layup (Gabe Vincent assists)85
96.8%
70
3.2%
Q3 - 2:00HeatMax Strus defensive rebound83
96.3%
70
3.7%
Q3 - 2:02WizardsRui Hachimura misses two point hook shot83
95.4%
70
4.6%
Q3 - 2:10WizardsCorey Kispert makes technical free throw 1 of 183
94.8%
70
5.2%
Q3 - 2:10HeatCaron Butler technical foul83
95.0%
69
5.0%
Q3 - 2:10HeatCaleb Martin personal foul (Loose ball) (Montrezl Harrell draws the foul)83
95.6%
69
4.4%
Q3 - 2:10WizardsWizards offensive rebound83
95.6%
69
4.4%
Q3 - 2:12WizardsRaul Neto misses three point jump shot83
96.2%
69
3.8%
Q3 - 2:32HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 283
95.7%
69
4.3%
Q3 - 2:32HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 282
95.5%
69
4.5%
Q3 - 2:32WizardsRui Hachimura shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)81
95.3%
69
4.7%
Q3 - 2:41HeatGabe Vincent defensive rebound81
94.9%
69
5.1%
Q3 - 2:44WizardsCorey Kispert misses three point jump shot81
94.6%
69
5.4%
Q3 - 3:01HeatBam Adebayo makes two point hook shot (Jimmy Butler assists)81
93.5%
69
6.5%
Q3 - 3:11WizardsDeni Avdija turnover (bad pass) (Max Strus steals)79
92.5%
69
7.5%
Q3 - 3:32HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 279
91.0%
69
9.0%
Q3 - 3:32HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 278
90.7%
69
9.3%
Q3 - 3:32HeatJimmy Butler makes technical free throw 1 of 177
89.8%
69
10.2%
Q3 - 3:32WizardsDeni Avdija technical foul76
89.4%
69
10.6%
Q3 - 3:32WizardsDeni Avdija shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)76
88.8%
69
11.2%
Q3 - 3:47WizardsMontrezl Harrell makes two point reverse layup (Spencer Dinwiddie assists)76
88.0%
69
12.0%
Q3 - 4:05HeatBam Adebayo makes two point cutting dunk (Gabe Vincent assists)76
89.2%
67
10.8%
Q3 - 4:18WizardsCorey Kispert makes two point cutting layup (Deni Avdija assists)74
87.8%
67
12.2%
Q3 - 4:21WizardsSpencer Dinwiddie defensive rebound74
89.2%
65
10.8%
Q3 - 4:23HeatDuncan Robinson misses two point layup74
89.7%
65
10.3%
Q3 - 4:34WizardsKentavious Caldwell-Pope personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)74
90.9%
65
9.1%
Q3 - 4:44WizardsCorey Kispert makes two point floating jump shot (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope assists)74
91.0%
65
9.0%
Q3 - 5:03HeatGabe Vincent makes two point cutting layup (Bam Adebayo assists)74
91.5%
63
8.5%
Q3 - 5:17WizardsMontrezl Harrell turnover (offensive foul)72
90.3%
63
9.7%
Q3 - 5:17WizardsMontrezl Harrell offensive foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)72
88.7%
63
11.3%
Q3 - 5:28HeatDuncan Robinson turnover (traveling)72
88.7%
63
11.3%
Q3 - 5:45WizardsSpencer Dinwiddie makes two point driving layup72
90.4%
63
9.6%
Q3 - 5:56WizardsDeni Avdija defensive rebound72
91.6%
61
8.4%
Q3 - 5:58HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving layup72
92.0%
61
8.0%
Q3 - 6:16WizardsCorey Kispert makes two point running dunk (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope assists)72
92.5%
61
7.5%
Q3 - 6:20HeatDuncan Robinson turnover (bad pass) (Spencer Dinwiddie steals)72
93.4%
59
6.6%
Q3 - 6:38WizardsAaron Holiday turnover (out of bounds lost ball)72
94.4%
59
5.6%
Q3 - 6:39WizardsThomas Bryant defensive rebound72
93.4%
59
6.6%
Q3 - 6:42HeatBam Adebayo misses two point alley-oop dunk72
93.7%
59
6.3%
Q3 - 7:00WizardsAaron Holiday makes regular free throw 2 of 272
94.4%
59
5.6%
Q3 - 7:00WizardsAaron Holiday makes regular free throw 1 of 272
94.5%
58
5.5%
Q3 - 7:00HeatJimmy Butler shooting foul (Aaron Holiday draws the foul)72
94.7%
57
5.3%
Q3 - 7:15HeatJimmy Butler turnover (offensive foul)72
94.8%
57
5.2%
Q3 - 7:15HeatJimmy Butler offensive foul (Spencer Dinwiddie draws the foul)72
95.6%
57
4.4%
Q3 - 7:28HeatP.J. Tucker defensive rebound72
95.6%
57
4.4%
Q3 - 7:30WizardsKyle Kuzma misses three point jump shot72
95.3%
57
4.7%
Q3 - 7:41HeatBam Adebayo makes two point driving layup (Kyle Lowry assists)72
94.8%
57
5.2%
Q3 - 7:54WizardsThomas Bryant makes two point tip dunk70
94.1%
57
5.9%
Q3 - 7:54WizardsThomas Bryant offensive rebound70
94.8%
55
5.2%
Q3 - 8:00WizardsSpencer Dinwiddie misses two point bank jump shot70
95.3%
55
4.7%
Q3 - 8:19HeatBam Adebayo turnover (offensive foul)70
94.6%
55
5.4%
Q3 - 8:19HeatBam Adebayo offensive foul (Spencer Dinwiddie draws the foul)70
95.4%
55
4.6%
Q3 - 8:29WizardsSpencer Dinwiddie personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)70
95.4%
55
4.6%
Q3 - 8:41WizardsAaron Holiday makes two point driving floating jump shot (Spencer Dinwiddie assists)70
95.4%
55
4.6%
Q3 - 8:53HeatP.J. Tucker personal foul (Spencer Dinwiddie draws the foul)70
95.9%
53
4.1%
Q3 - 9:19HeatBam Adebayo makes two point tip layup70
95.7%
53
4.3%
Q3 - 9:20HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound68
95.2%
53
4.8%
Q3 - 9:21HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot68
94.6%
53
5.4%
Q3 - 9:35WizardsThomas Bryant turnover (3-second violation)68
95.2%
53
4.8%
Q3 - 9:51HeatBam Adebayo makes two point cutting dunk (Jimmy Butler assists)68
94.4%
53
5.6%
Q3 - 10:00HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound66
93.7%
53
6.3%
Q3 - 10:02WizardsKentavious Caldwell-Pope misses three point jump shot66
93.1%
53
6.9%
Q3 - 10:05WizardsWizards offensive rebound66
92.4%
53
7.6%
Q3 - 10:06WizardsKentavious Caldwell-Pope misses three point jump shot66
93.1%
53
6.9%
Q3 - 10:24HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)66
92.4%
53
7.6%
Q3 - 10:30HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound63
90.4%
53
9.6%
Q3 - 10:33WizardsKyle Kuzma misses three point jump shot63
90.0%
53
10.0%
Q3 - 10:53WizardsSpencer Dinwiddie defensive rebound63
89.0%
53
11.0%
Q3 - 10:56HeatBam Adebayo misses two point jump shot63
89.4%
53
10.6%
Q3 - 11:05WizardsAaron Holiday turnover (bad pass) (Kyle Lowry steals)63
90.3%
53
9.7%
Q3 - 11:21HeatKyle Lowry makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)63
89.0%
53
11.0%
Q3 - 11:38HeatP.J. Tucker defensive rebound60
86.1%
53
13.9%
Q3 - 11:42WizardsAaron Holiday misses three point jump shot60
85.6%
53
14.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.60
84.3%
53
15.7%
Q2 - 0:00.4WizardsKyle Kuzma defensive rebound60
84.6%
53
15.4%
Q2 - 0:00.4HeatCaleb Martin misses two point driving reverse layup60
85.0%
53
15.0%
Q2 - 0:22.6WizardsKentavious Caldwell-Pope makes two point layup60
85.9%
53
14.1%
Q2 - 0:27.3WizardsAaron Holiday offensive rebound60
87.7%
51
12.3%
Q2 - 0:29.0WizardsSpencer Dinwiddie misses two point driving reverse layup60
88.4%
51
11.6%
Q2 - 0:38.4HeatCaleb Martin makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)60
87.7%
51
12.3%
Q2 - 0:56.0WizardsKyle Kuzma makes three point jump shot (Spencer Dinwiddie assists)57
84.2%
51
15.8%
Q2 - 1:09HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 257
87.6%
48
12.4%
Q2 - 1:09HeatBam Adebayo misses regular free throw 1 of 256
87.4%
48
12.6%
Q2 - 1:09WizardsThomas Bryant personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)56
88.4%
48
11.6%
Q2 - 1:14HeatP.J. Tucker defensive rebound56
87.2%
48
12.8%
Q2 - 1:16WizardsKyle Kuzma misses three point jump shot56
86.9%
48
13.1%
Q2 - 1:43HeatBam Adebayo makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot56
86.2%
48
13.8%
Q2 - 1:51WizardsThomas Bryant personal foul (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)54
84.1%
48
15.9%
Q2 - 2:05WizardsThomas Bryant makes regular free throw 2 of 254
84.1%
48
15.9%
Q2 - 2:05WizardsThomas Bryant makes regular free throw 1 of 254
84.5%
47
15.5%
Q2 - 2:05HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (Thomas Bryant draws the foul)54
84.9%
46
15.1%
Q2 - 2:16WizardsAaron Holiday defensive rebound54
85.6%
46
14.4%
Q2 - 2:19HeatBam Adebayo misses two point hook shot54
86.1%
46
13.9%
Q2 - 2:31WizardsKyle Kuzma makes regular free throw 2 of 254
87.1%
46
12.9%
Q2 - 2:31WizardsKyle Kuzma makes regular free throw 1 of 254
87.4%
45
12.6%
Q2 - 2:31HeatP.J. Tucker shooting foul (Kyle Kuzma draws the foul)54
87.8%
44
12.2%
Q2 - 2:42HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving layup (Kyle Lowry assists)54
88.4%
44
11.6%
Q2 - 2:59WizardsWizards turnover (shot clock violation)52
87.1%
44
12.9%
Q2 - 3:27HeatJimmy Butler makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot52
85.1%
44
14.9%
Q2 - 3:36WizardsDeni Avdija personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)50
83.9%
44
16.1%
Q2 - 3:59WizardsKentavious Caldwell-Pope makes three point jump shot (Deni Avdija assists)50
83.9%
44
16.1%
Q2 - 4:22HeatJimmy Butler turnover (bad pass) (Deni Avdija steals)50
86.6%
41
13.4%
Q2 - 4:40WizardsAaron Holiday makes regular free throw 2 of 250
87.9%
41
12.1%
Q2 - 4:40WizardsAaron Holiday misses regular free throw 1 of 250
88.1%
40
11.9%
Q2 - 4:40HeatGabe Vincent personal foul (Aaron Holiday draws the foul)50
87.0%
40
13.0%
Q2 - 4:51WizardsDeni Avdija defensive rebound50
87.8%
40
12.2%
Q2 - 4:53HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving layup50
88.2%
40
11.8%
Q2 - 5:12WizardsAaron Holiday makes two point floating jump shot50
89.1%
40
10.9%
Q2 - 5:26HeatBam Adebayo turnover (offensive foul)50
89.9%
38
10.1%
Q2 - 5:26HeatBam Adebayo offensive foul (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope draws the foul)50
91.1%
38
8.9%
Q2 - 5:38HeatHeat defensive rebound50
91.1%
38
8.9%
Q2 - 5:39WizardsKentavious Caldwell-Pope misses two point pullup jump shot50
90.7%
38
9.3%
Q2 - 5:52HeatP.J. Tucker turnover (offensive foul)50
89.9%
38
10.1%
Q2 - 5:52HeatP.J. Tucker offensive foul (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope draws the foul)50
91.1%
38
8.9%
Q2 - 6:08WizardsMontrezl Harrell makes regular free throw 2 of 250
91.0%
38
9.0%
Q2 - 6:08WizardsMontrezl Harrell makes regular free throw 1 of 250
91.2%
37
8.8%
Q2 - 6:08HeatMax Strus shooting foul (Montrezl Harrell draws the foul)50
91.5%
36
8.5%
Q2 - 6:18WizardsKentavious Caldwell-Pope defensive rebound50
91.7%
36
8.3%
Q2 - 6:21HeatCaleb Martin misses three point jump shot50
92.0%
36
8.0%
Q2 - 6:30HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound50
92.7%
36
7.3%
Q2 - 6:32WizardsKentavious Caldwell-Pope misses two point driving bank jump shot50
92.4%
36
7.6%
Q2 - 6:50HeatDuncan Robinson turnover (out of bounds step)50
91.7%
36
8.3%
Q2 - 7:01WizardsCorey Kispert personal foul (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)50
92.2%
36
7.8%
Q2 - 7:16WizardsMontrezl Harrell makes two point alley-oop dunk (Aaron Holiday assists)50
92.3%
36
7.7%
Q2 - 7:37HeatCaleb Martin makes two point running dunk (Kyle Lowry assists)50
93.0%
34
7.0%
Q2 - 7:39HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound48
92.3%
34
7.7%
Q2 - 7:43WizardsCorey Kispert misses three point jump shot48
92.0%
34
8.0%
Q2 - 7:57WizardsCorey Kispert defensive rebound48
91.5%
34
8.5%
Q2 - 7:59HeatKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot48
91.7%
34
8.3%
Q2 - 8:18WizardsAaron Holiday makes three point jump shot (Montrezl Harrell assists)48
92.0%
34
8.0%
Q2 - 8:48HeatDewayne Dedmon makes two point dunk (Gabe Vincent assists)48
93.4%
31
6.6%
Q2 - 8:59WizardsMontrezl Harrell makes two point putback dunk46
92.8%
31
7.2%
Q2 - 8:59WizardsMontrezl Harrell offensive rebound46
93.4%
29
6.6%
Q2 - 9:02WizardsRaul Neto misses two point driving layup46
93.6%
29
6.4%
Q2 - 9:08HeatGabe Vincent personal foul (Montrezl Harrell draws the foul)46
93.1%
29
6.9%
Q2 - 9:11HeatMax Strus turnover (bad pass) (Raul Neto steals)46
93.1%
29
6.9%
Q2 - 9:22WizardsMontrezl Harrell makes two point running layup (Corey Kispert assists)46
93.8%
29
6.2%
Q2 - 9:27HeatKyle Lowry turnover (bad pass) (Corey Kispert steals)46
94.3%
27
5.7%
Q2 - 9:40WizardsMontrezl Harrell makes regular free throw 2 of 246
94.9%
27
5.1%
Q2 - 9:40WizardsMontrezl Harrell misses regular free throw 1 of 246
95.0%
26
5.0%
Q2 - 9:40HeatDewayne Dedmon shooting foul (Montrezl Harrell draws the foul)46
94.7%
26
5.3%
Q2 - 9:49HeatDewayne Dedmon personal foul (Montrezl Harrell draws the foul)46
94.9%
26
5.1%
Q2 - 9:55HeatCaleb Martin makes regular free throw 2 of 246
94.9%
26
5.1%
Q2 - 9:55HeatCaleb Martin makes regular free throw 1 of 245
94.7%
26
5.3%
Q2 - 9:55WizardsRaul Neto shooting foul (Caleb Martin draws the foul)44
94.6%
26
5.4%
Q2 - 10:01HeatDewayne Dedmon defensive rebound44
94.2%
26
5.8%
Q2 - 10:03WizardsRui Hachimura misses two point pullup jump shot44
94.0%
26
6.0%
Q2 - 10:27HeatDewayne Dedmon makes three point jump shot (Max Strus assists)44
93.6%
26
6.4%
Q2 - 10:33HeatDewayne Dedmon defensive rebound41
92.3%
26
7.7%
Q2 - 10:34WizardsKyle Kuzma misses two point driving hook shot41
92.1%
26
7.9%
Q2 - 10:43WizardsCorey Kispert defensive rebound41
91.6%
26
8.4%
Q2 - 10:45HeatDewayne Dedmon misses two point jump shot41
91.8%
26
8.2%
Q2 - 11:06WizardsRui Hachimura makes two point layup (Kyle Kuzma assists)41
92.0%
26
8.0%
Q2 - 11:28HeatKyle Lowry makes two point pullup jump shot (Gabe Vincent assists)41
92.8%
24
7.2%
Q2 - 11:32HeatGabe Vincent defensive rebound39
92.0%
24
8.0%
Q2 - 11:36WizardsKyle Kuzma misses three point jump shot39
91.8%
24
8.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.39
91.4%
24
8.6%
Q1 - 0:22.7WizardsRui Hachimura makes three point jump shot (Raul Neto assists)39
91.7%
24
8.3%
Q1 - 0:34.9HeatGabe Vincent makes three point jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)39
93.2%
21
6.8%
Q1 - 0:41.6WizardsRaul Neto makes regular free throw 2 of 236
91.7%
21
8.3%
Q1 - 0:41.6WizardsRaul Neto makes regular free throw 1 of 236
91.9%
20
8.1%
Q1 - 0:41.6HeatCaleb Martin shooting foul (Raul Neto draws the foul)36
92.0%
19
8.0%
Q1 - 1:00HeatGabe Vincent makes three point jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)36
92.5%
19
7.5%
Q1 - 1:07WizardsKyle Kuzma makes regular free throw 1 of 133
91.0%
19
9.0%
Q1 - 1:07HeatGabe Vincent shooting foul (Kyle Kuzma draws the foul)33
91.2%
18
8.8%
Q1 - 1:21HeatDewayne Dedmon makes two point hook shot33
92.5%
16
7.5%
Q1 - 1:38WizardsKyle Kuzma makes two point driving bank jump shot31
91.7%
16
8.3%
Q1 - 1:51HeatGabe Vincent makes two point fadeaway jump shot31
92.5%
14
7.5%
Q1 - 2:06WizardsRui Hachimura turnover (traveling)29
91.5%
14
8.5%
Q1 - 2:29HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 129
90.7%
14
9.3%
Q1 - 2:29WizardsRui Hachimura shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)28
90.6%
14
9.4%
Q1 - 2:34HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound26
89.1%
14
10.9%
Q1 - 2:38HeatJimmy Butler misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot26
88.5%
14
11.5%
Q1 - 2:46HeatDewayne Dedmon offensive rebound26
89.1%
14
10.9%
Q1 - 2:49HeatJimmy Butler misses two point jump shot26
88.5%
14
11.5%
Q1 - 3:00WizardsSpencer Dinwiddie turnover (bad pass) (Jimmy Butler steals)26
89.1%
14
10.9%
Q1 - 3:06HeatJimmy Butler turnover (bad pass) (Deni Avdija steals)26
87.7%
14
12.3%
Q1 - 3:17HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound26
88.8%
14
11.2%
Q1 - 3:21WizardsCorey Kispert misses three point jump shot26
88.5%
14
11.5%
Q1 - 3:35HeatGabe Vincent makes three point jump shot (P.J. Tucker assists)26
87.7%
14
12.3%
Q1 - 3:52WizardsMontrezl Harrell turnover (lost ball) (P.J. Tucker steals)23
85.8%
14
14.2%
Q1 - 4:00WizardsDeni Avdija defensive rebound23
84.5%
14
15.5%
Q1 - 4:04HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot23
84.7%
14
15.3%
Q1 - 4:11WizardsDeni Avdija personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)23
85.6%
14
14.4%
Q1 - 4:19WizardsCorey Kispert makes two point putback layup23
85.6%
14
14.4%
Q1 - 4:19WizardsCorey Kispert offensive rebound23
86.5%
12
13.5%
Q1 - 4:23WizardsSpencer Dinwiddie misses two point driving layup23
87.3%
12
12.7%
Q1 - 4:29WizardsSpencer Dinwiddie defensive rebound23
86.5%
12
13.5%
Q1 - 4:35HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot23
86.8%
12
13.2%
Q1 - 4:41HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound23
87.6%
12
12.4%
Q1 - 4:43WizardsSpencer Dinwiddie misses three point stepback jump shot23
87.3%
12
12.7%
Q1 - 5:02HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving layup23
86.3%
12
13.7%
Q1 - 5:13WizardsKentavious Caldwell-Pope makes two point running layup (Spencer Dinwiddie assists)21
85.4%
12
14.6%
Q1 - 5:16HeatBam Adebayo turnover (bad pass) (Spencer Dinwiddie steals)21
86.3%
10
13.7%
Q1 - 5:23HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound21
87.3%
10
12.7%
Q1 - 5:25WizardsKentavious Caldwell-Pope misses two point pullup jump shot21
87.0%
10
13.0%
Q1 - 5:47HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point pullup jump shot21
86.3%
10
13.7%
Q1 - 6:03WizardsSpencer Dinwiddie makes two point turnaround hook shot18
84.1%
10
15.9%
Q1 - 6:17WizardsSpencer Dinwiddie defensive rebound18
85.2%
8
14.8%
Q1 - 6:20HeatKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot18
85.5%
8
14.5%
Q1 - 6:30HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound18
86.2%
8
13.8%
Q1 - 6:33WizardsKentavious Caldwell-Pope misses two point fadeaway jump shot18
85.9%
8
14.1%
Q1 - 6:45HeatJimmy Butler misses technical free throw 1 of 118
85.2%
8
14.8%
Q1 - 6:45WizardsAaron Holiday technical foul18
85.9%
8
14.1%
Q1 - 6:45HeatP.J. Tucker makes two point putback layup18
85.2%
8
14.8%
Q1 - 6:45HeatP.J. Tucker offensive rebound16
84.1%
8
15.9%
Q1 - 6:48HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point running jump shot16
83.4%
8
16.6%
Q1 - 6:52HeatP.J. Tucker defensive rebound16
84.1%
8
15.9%
Q1 - 6:55WizardsAaron Holiday misses two point running layup16
83.8%
8
16.2%
Q1 - 6:59HeatJimmy Butler turnover (bad pass) (Aaron Holiday steals)16
83.0%
8
17.0%
Q1 - 7:05HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound16
84.3%
8
15.7%
Q1 - 7:09WizardsAaron Holiday misses two point driving floating jump shot16
84.0%
8
16.0%
Q1 - 7:20HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 216
83.1%
8
16.9%
Q1 - 7:20HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 215
82.9%
8
17.1%
Q1 - 7:20WizardsKentavious Caldwell-Pope shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)14
82.7%
8
17.3%
Q1 - 7:25HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound14
82.1%
8
17.9%
Q1 - 7:28WizardsKentavious Caldwell-Pope misses three point running jump shot14
81.7%
8
18.3%
Q1 - 7:31WizardsThomas Bryant defensive rebound14
80.8%
8
19.2%
Q1 - 7:34HeatJimmy Butler misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot14
81.2%
8
18.8%
Q1 - 7:41HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound14
82.1%
8
17.9%
Q1 - 7:44WizardsKentavious Caldwell-Pope misses two point layup14
81.7%
8
18.3%
Q1 - 7:51WizardsThomas Bryant defensive rebound14
80.8%
8
19.2%
Q1 - 7:53HeatJimmy Butler misses two point fadeaway jump shot14
81.2%
8
18.8%
Q1 - 8:04WizardsThomas Bryant makes two point reverse layup (Kyle Kuzma assists)14
82.4%
8
17.6%
Q1 - 8:15WizardsSpencer Dinwiddie defensive rebound14
83.3%
6
16.7%
Q1 - 8:18HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point pullup jump shot14
83.7%
6
16.3%
Q1 - 8:26HeatP.J. Tucker defensive rebound14
84.5%
6
15.5%
Q1 - 8:30WizardsAaron Holiday misses three point pullup jump shot14
84.1%
6
15.9%
Q1 - 8:52HeatJimmy Butler makes two point turnaround jump shot14
83.3%
6
16.7%
Q1 - 9:02WizardsKentavious Caldwell-Pope makes regular free throw 2 of 212
82.1%
6
17.9%
Q1 - 9:02WizardsKentavious Caldwell-Pope makes regular free throw 1 of 212
82.2%
5
17.8%
Q1 - 9:02HeatDuncan Robinson shooting foul (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope draws the foul)12
82.3%
4
17.6%
Q1 - 9:17HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 212
83.0%
4
17.0%
Q1 - 9:17HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 211
82.9%
4
17.1%
Q1 - 9:17WizardsKyle Kuzma shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)10
82.7%
4
17.3%
Q1 - 9:28WizardsThomas Bryant makes two point cutting layup (Spencer Dinwiddie assists)10
82.1%
4
17.9%
Q1 - 9:51HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving reverse layup10
83.0%
2
17.0%
Q1 - 10:01WizardsKyle Kuzma turnover (bad pass) (Bam Adebayo steals)8
82.0%
2
18.0%
Q1 - 10:06WizardsKyle Kuzma defensive rebound8
80.8%
2
19.2%
Q1 - 10:08HeatBam Adebayo misses two point driving layup8
81.1%
2
18.9%
Q1 - 10:13HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound8
82.0%
2
18.0%
Q1 - 10:16WizardsThomas Bryant misses three point jump shot8
81.6%
2
18.4%
Q1 - 10:26HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point pullup jump shot (P.J. Tucker assists)8
80.7%
2
19.3%
Q1 - 10:30HeatP.J. Tucker defensive rebound5
78.5%
2
21.5%
Q1 - 10:33WizardsAaron Holiday misses three point jump shot5
78.1%
2
21.9%
Q1 - 10:53HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)5
77.1%
2
22.9%
Q1 - 11:16WizardsAaron Holiday makes two point fadeaway jump shot (Spencer Dinwiddie assists)2
74.7%
2
25.3%
Q1 - 11:40HeatBam Adebayo makes two point pullup jump shot2
75.8%
0
24.2%
Q1 - 12:00Bam Adebayo vs. Thomas Bryant (P.J. Tucker gains possession)0
74.7%
0
25.3%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.38 68.8%
WAS
1.09 54.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
18
24
75%
WAS
26
36
72%
Midrange
MIA
7
20
35%
WAS
3
13
23%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
18
27.0
32
56%
84%
WAS
7
10.5
31
23%
34%
Free Throws
MIA
17
21
81%
WAS
21
23
91%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
B. Adebayo2170%10.5 / 15
J. Butler1968%9.5 / 14
G. Vincent1689%8.0 / 9
C. Martin1583%7.5 / 9
D. Robinson1260%6.0 / 10
K. Lowry1192%5.5 / 6
D. Dedmon1179%5.5 / 7
M. Strus660%3.0 / 5
O. Yurtseven450%2.0 / 4
K. Guy450%2.0 / 4
P. Tucker2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
WAS logo Wizards
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Kispert2067%10.0 / 15
A. Holiday1458%7.0 / 12
M. Harrell1372%6.5 / 9
K. Kuzma1260%6.0 / 10
R. Hachimura1155%5.5 / 10
K. Caldwell-Pope938%4.5 / 12
T. Bryant867%4.0 / 6
D. Avdija5125%2.5 / 2
S. Dinwiddie433%2.0 / 6
R. Neto220%1.0 / 5
D. Bertans250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
82
+6
-18
88
WAS
83
+9
-16
92
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.38 68.8%
WAS
1.09 54.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
113.3
110.8
MIA 121.0 +20.0
WAS 101.0
Pace
96.2
97.3
MIA 106.8 +13.8
WAS 93.0
Avg. Poss. Time
15.0
15.1
MIA 13.5 +2.0
WAS 15.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
54.7%
53.3%
MIA 68.4% +19.0%
WAS 49.4%
TO %
14.2%
12.9%
MIA 18.2%
WAS 15.9% +2.3%
ORB %
23.5%
20.9%
MIA 16.1%
WAS 17.9% +1.8%
FTrt
25.2
25.2
MIA 27.6
WAS 28.8 +1.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
64.4%
61.7%
MIA 67.4%
WAS 69.4% +2.0%
STL %
7.6%
6.5%
MIA 9.0%
WAS 10.1% +1.1%
BLK %
7.1%
8.7%
MIA 2.0% +2.0%
WAS 0.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
56.8%
55.5%
MIA 68.8% +14.5%
WAS 54.3%
Rim FG%
63.4%
65.8%
MIA 75.0% +2.8%
WAS 72.2%
Mid FG%
41.4%
40.8%
MIA 35.0% +11.9%
WAS 23.1%
3P %
37.9%
34.2%
MIA 56.3% +33.7%
WAS 22.6%
FT %
80.8%
78.3%
MIA 81.0%
WAS 91.3% +10.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
30.6%
34.7%
MIA 31.6%
WAS 45.0% +13.4%
Mid Att. %
27.1%
29.7%
MIA 26.3%
WAS 16.3% +10.1%
3P Att. %
42.2%
35.6%
MIA 42.1% +3.4%
WAS 38.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIAWAS
Possessions10099
Possession Minutes22.525.6
Points121100
Rebounds3733
Assists2925
Steals910
Blocks10
Turnovers (Team)18 (1)16 (1)
Fouls2318
Off. Rebounds (Team)5 (1)7 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)32 (3)26 (1)
Field Goals43-7636-80
At-the-Rim FG18-2426-36
Midrange FG7-203-13
2-Point FG25-4429-49
3-Point FG18-327-31
Free Throws17-2121-23
Fast Break Pts1210
2nd Chance Pts912
Points in Paint4058
Pts off Turnovers2626
Bench Points5653
Biggest Lead350

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#7 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 36
30.1
11
92%
4
5
1
0
1
1
0
4
0-0
-
1-1
100%
3-5
60%
#22 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 32
29.7
19
68%
3
4
1
0
4
2
1
2
5-6
83%
7-13
54%
0-0
-
#55 · SG · 6'7" 215 · 28
28.6
12
60%
1
0
0
0
3
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
4-9
44%
#13 · C · 6'9" 255 · 25
24.2
21
70%
7
4
1
0
3
3
1
6
7-8
88%
7-11
64%
0-0
-
#17 · PF · 6'6" 245 · 37
22.7
2
100%
7
2
1
0
1
3
1
6
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
#2 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 26
28.1
16
89%
4
8
2
0
2
4
0
4
0-0
-
2-3
67%
4-6
67%
#31 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 26
24.4
6
60%
2
1
2
1
3
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
-
2-5
40%
#16 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 26
21.4
15
83%
1
3
0
0
0
3
0
1
2-2
100%
2-4
50%
3-4
75%
#21 · C · 7'0" 245 · 32
15.9
11
79%
5
0
0
0
1
3
1
4
1-2
50%
2-3
67%
2-3
67%
#77 · C · 7'0" 275 · 24
7.9
4
50%
3
1
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
2-4
50%
0-0
-
#5 · SG · 6'1" 167 · 24
7.0
4
50%
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
2-3
67%
1-3
33%
0-0
-
#40 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 42
DNP – Coach's Decision
#4 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 30
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Knee; Injury Recovery
#30 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 25
Inactive – Eligible to Play
#11 · PF · 6'9" 210 · 23
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Wrist; Sprain
#14 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 22
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Knee; Soreness
#8 · PF · 6'10" 245 · 32
INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
121
69%
37
29
9
1
18
23
5
32
17-21
81%
25-44
57%
18-32
56%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.