for complete access.
All Games Monday, January 31, 2022
FinalWin Prob.pScore
10
Heat
37%103
92
4
Celtics
63%108
122
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
95.896108.1
BOS logo BOS
125.89787.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

CelticsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

CelticsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIABOS
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.92
0%
122
100%
Q4 - 0:15.6HeatUdonis Haslem makes two point reverse layup (Chris Silva assists)92
0%
122
100%
Q4 - 0:26.3CelticsAaron Nesmith makes regular free throw 2 of 290
0%
122
100%
Q4 - 0:26.3CelticsAaron Nesmith makes regular free throw 1 of 290
0%
121
100%
Q4 - 0:26.3HeatMax Strus shooting foul (Aaron Nesmith draws the foul)90
0%
120
100%
Q4 - 0:28.4HeatKyle Guy turnover (bad pass) (Aaron Nesmith steals)90
0%
120
100%
Q4 - 0:35.7CelticsBruno Fernando makes three point jump shot (Payton Pritchard assists)90
0%
120
100%
Q4 - 0:43.5HeatMax Strus makes three point jump shot (Chris Silva assists)90
0%
117
100%
Q4 - 0:53.8HeatHeat defensive rebound87
0%
117
100%
Q4 - 0:55.7CelticsChris Silva blocks Bruno Fernando's two point putback layup87
0%
117
100%
Q4 - 0:56.6CelticsBruno Fernando offensive rebound87
0%
117
100%
Q4 - 0:58.5CelticsRomeo Langford misses three point running pullup jump shot87
0%
117
100%
Q4 - 1:04HeatKyle Guy turnover (bad pass) (Aaron Nesmith steals)87
0%
117
100%
Q4 - 1:13HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound87
0%
117
100%
Q4 - 1:15CelticsRomeo Langford misses two point driving floating jump shot87
0%
117
100%
Q4 - 1:25HeatKyle Guy makes regular free throw 2 of 287
0%
117
100%
Q4 - 1:25HeatKyle Guy misses regular free throw 1 of 286
0%
117
100%
Q4 - 1:25CelticsSam Hauser shooting foul (Kyle Guy draws the foul)86
0%
117
100%
Q4 - 1:31HeatUdonis Haslem defensive rebound86
0%
117
100%
Q4 - 1:34CelticsAaron Nesmith misses three point jump shot86
0%
117
100%
Q4 - 1:49HeatUdonis Haslem turnover (out of bounds lost ball)86
0%
117
100%
Q4 - 2:04CelticsAaron Nesmith makes two point pullup jump shot (Bruno Fernando assists)86
0.1%
117
99.9%
Q4 - 2:19CelticsPayton Pritchard defensive rebound86
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 2:23HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot86
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 2:33CelticsPayton Pritchard turnover (traveling)86
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 2:47CelticsEnes Freedom defensive rebound86
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 2:50HeatUdonis Haslem misses two point fadeaway jump shot86
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 3:04CelticsEnes Freedom makes regular free throw 2 of 286
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 3:04CelticsEnes Freedom makes regular free throw 1 of 286
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 3:04HeatChris Silva shooting foul (Enes Freedom draws the foul)86
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 3:18HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Udonis Haslem assists)86
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 3:28CelticsSam Hauser personal foul (Kyle Guy draws the foul)83
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 3:41CelticsSam Hauser makes three point fadeaway jump shot (Payton Pritchard assists)83
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 3:54HeatKyle Guy turnover (out of bounds bad pass)83
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 3:55HeatHeat offensive rebound83
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 3:57HeatKyle Guy misses three point jump shot83
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 4:03HeatMax Strus defensive rebound83
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 4:05CelticsRomeo Langford misses three point jump shot83
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 4:22HeatChris Silva turnover (out of bounds bad pass)83
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 4:38CelticsPayton Pritchard personal foul (Take) (Kyle Guy draws the foul)83
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 4:40CelticsAl Horford makes two point driving layup83
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 4:45CelticsAl Horford defensive rebound83
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 4:48HeatAl Horford blocks Kyle Guy's two point layup83
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 5:03CelticsAl Horford makes regular free throw 2 of 283
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 5:03CelticsAl Horford makes regular free throw 1 of 283
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 5:03HeatChris Silva shooting foul (Al Horford draws the foul)83
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 5:09CelticsGrant Williams offensive rebound83
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 5:13CelticsJosh Richardson misses three point jump shot83
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 5:34HeatMax Strus makes three point jump shot (Gabe Vincent assists)83
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 5:40HeatChris Silva defensive rebound80
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 5:43CelticsAaron Nesmith misses two point driving finger roll layup80
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 6:00HeatGabe Vincent makes three point pullup jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)80
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 6:22CelticsGrant Williams makes two point turnaround bank jump shot77
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 6:40CelticsJosh Richardson defensive rebound77
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 6:42HeatBam Adebayo misses two point turnaround hook shot77
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 6:58CelticsJosh Richardson makes two point fadeaway jump shot77
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 7:27HeatGabe Vincent makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)77
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 7:46CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point pullup jump shot74
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 7:51CelticsAl Horford offensive rebound74
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 7:54CelticsJaylen Brown misses three point jump shot74
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 8:03CelticsDennis Schroder defensive rebound74
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 8:06HeatTyler Herro misses three point running jump shot74
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 8:10HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound74
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 8:12CelticsAl Horford misses two point hook shot74
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 8:32CelticsCeltics defensive rebound74
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 8:36HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot74
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 8:37HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound74
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 8:39HeatTyler Herro misses three point stepback jump shot74
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 8:45HeatHeat offensive rebound74
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 8:46HeatDennis Schroder blocks Chris Silva's two point layup74
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 8:47HeatChris Silva offensive rebound74
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 8:49HeatBam Adebayo misses two point turnaround hook shot74
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 8:58HeatChris Silva defensive rebound74
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 9:01CelticsAl Horford misses three point running jump shot74
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 9:04CelticsGrant Williams defensive rebound74
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 9:07HeatMax Strus misses two point cutting layup74
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 9:13CelticsGrant Williams personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)74
0.2%
100
99.8%
Q4 - 9:20HeatGabe Vincent defensive rebound74
0.2%
100
99.8%
Q4 - 9:23CelticsDennis Schroder misses three point running jump shot74
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 9:28HeatChris Silva turnover (bad pass) (Jaylen Brown steals)74
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 9:31HeatChris Silva offensive rebound74
0.2%
100
99.8%
Q4 - 9:33HeatBam Adebayo misses two point turnaround hook shot74
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 9:36HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound74
0.2%
100
99.8%
Q4 - 9:39HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot74
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 9:48CelticsGrant Williams turnover (bad pass) (Gabe Vincent steals)74
0.2%
100
99.8%
Q4 - 9:55HeatChris Silva turnover (offensive foul)74
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 9:55HeatChris Silva offensive foul (Dennis Schroder draws the foul)74
0.2%
100
99.8%
Q4 - 10:07CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point driving layup74
0.2%
100
99.8%
Q4 - 10:23HeatMax Strus makes three point jump shot (Gabe Vincent assists)74
0.3%
98
99.7%
Q4 - 10:24HeatGabe Vincent offensive rebound71
0.2%
98
99.8%
Q4 - 10:28HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot71
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 10:46CelticsDennis Schroder makes regular free throw 2 of 271
0.2%
98
99.8%
Q4 - 10:46CelticsDennis Schroder makes regular free throw 1 of 271
0.2%
97
99.8%
Q4 - 10:46HeatMax Strus shooting foul (Dennis Schroder draws the foul)71
0.2%
96
99.8%
Q4 - 10:52CelticsAl Horford defensive rebound71
0.2%
96
99.8%
Q4 - 10:55HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot71
0.2%
96
99.8%
Q4 - 11:05HeatChris Silva defensive rebound71
0.4%
96
99.6%
Q4 - 11:09CelticsDennis Schroder misses regular free throw 1 of 171
0.3%
96
99.7%
Q4 - 11:09HeatGabe Vincent shooting foul (Dennis Schroder draws the foul)71
0.3%
96
99.7%
Q4 - 11:13CelticsAl Horford defensive rebound71
0.4%
94
99.6%
Q4 - 11:16HeatGabe Vincent misses two point pullup jump shot71
0.5%
94
99.5%
Q4 - 11:29CelticsJosh Richardson turnover (out of bounds step)71
0.5%
94
99.5%
Q4 - 11:41HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 2 of 271
0.4%
94
99.6%
Q4 - 11:41HeatTyler Herro misses regular free throw 1 of 270
0.4%
94
99.6%
Q4 - 11:41CelticsAl Horford shooting foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)70
0.5%
94
99.5%
Q4 - 11:47HeatGabe Vincent defensive rebound70
0.4%
94
99.6%
Q4 - 11:49CelticsAl Horford misses two point alley-oop dunk70
0.4%
94
99.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.70
0.3%
94
99.7%
Q3 - 0:00.1HeatHeat offensive rebound70
0.6%
94
99.4%
Q3 - 0:00.1HeatTyler Herro misses two point jump shot70
0.5%
94
99.5%
Q3 - 0:10.1CelticsJosh Richardson makes regular free throw 1 of 170
0.6%
94
99.4%
Q3 - 0:10.1HeatTyler Herro shooting foul (Josh Richardson draws the foul)70
0.6%
93
99.4%
Q3 - 0:14.6HeatKyle Guy turnover (bad pass) (Grant Williams steals)70
0.8%
91
99.2%
Q3 - 0:31.1CelticsAl Horford makes three point jump shot (Josh Richardson assists)70
1.0%
91
99.0%
Q3 - 0:44.3HeatTyler Herro makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)70
1.5%
88
98.5%
Q3 - 0:50.7CelticsJayson Tatum turnover (bad pass) (Bam Adebayo steals)67
1.0%
88
99.0%
Q3 - 1:02HeatDewayne Dedmon personal foul (Loose ball) (Dennis Schroder draws the foul)67
1.0%
88
99.0%
Q3 - 1:02CelticsCeltics defensive rebound67
1.0%
88
99.0%
Q3 - 1:04HeatKyle Guy misses two point jump shot67
1.1%
88
98.9%
Q3 - 1:11HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound67
1.2%
88
98.8%
Q3 - 1:13CelticsJayson Tatum misses three point jump shot67
1.2%
88
98.8%
Q3 - 1:19CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound67
1.0%
88
99.0%
Q3 - 1:22HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot67
1.1%
88
98.9%
Q3 - 1:32CelticsDennis Schroder personal foul (Kyle Guy draws the foul)67
1.2%
88
98.8%
Q3 - 1:53CelticsGrant Williams makes two point driving dunk67
1.2%
88
98.8%
Q3 - 2:04HeatDewayne Dedmon turnover (offensive foul)67
1.8%
86
98.2%
Q3 - 2:04HeatDewayne Dedmon offensive foul (Charge) (Marcus Smart draws the foul)67
2.2%
86
97.8%
Q3 - 2:16HeatDuncan Robinson offensive rebound67
2.2%
86
97.8%
Q3 - 2:20HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot67
1.9%
86
98.1%
Q3 - 2:33HeatDewayne Dedmon defensive rebound67
2.1%
86
97.9%
Q3 - 2:36CelticsJayson Tatum misses two point jump shot67
2.0%
86
98.0%
Q3 - 2:54CelticsRobert Williams III defensive rebound67
1.8%
86
98.2%
Q3 - 2:57HeatCaleb Martin misses two point driving floating bank jump shot67
1.9%
86
98.1%
Q3 - 3:02HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound67
2.5%
86
97.5%
Q3 - 3:05CelticsMarcus Smart misses three point jump shot67
2.3%
86
97.7%
Q3 - 3:09CelticsGrant Williams offensive rebound67
2.0%
86
98.0%
Q3 - 3:13CelticsJaylen Brown misses three point running pullup jump shot67
2.3%
86
97.7%
Q3 - 3:17CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound67
2.0%
86
98.0%
Q3 - 3:17HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot67
2.1%
86
97.9%
Q3 - 3:34CelticsJaylen Brown makes three point jump shot67
2.5%
86
97.5%
Q3 - 3:51HeatCaleb Martin makes two point pullup jump shot67
3.3%
83
96.7%
Q3 - 4:07CelticsGrant Williams makes three point jump shot (Jaylen Brown assists)65
3.3%
83
96.7%
Q3 - 4:23HeatDewayne Dedmon makes two point putback dunk65
4.4%
80
95.6%
Q3 - 4:25HeatDewayne Dedmon offensive rebound63
3.8%
80
96.2%
Q3 - 4:27HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving reverse layup63
3.3%
80
96.7%
Q3 - 4:37CelticsJaylen Brown makes regular free throw 2 of 263
3.8%
80
96.2%
Q3 - 4:37CelticsJaylen Brown makes regular free throw 1 of 263
3.9%
79
96.1%
Q3 - 4:37HeatDewayne Dedmon shooting foul (Jaylen Brown draws the foul)63
4.1%
78
95.9%
Q3 - 4:53HeatMax Strus makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)63
4.3%
78
95.7%
Q3 - 5:09CelticsGrant Williams makes three point running jump shot (Jaylen Brown assists)60
3.6%
78
96.4%
Q3 - 5:13CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound60
4.9%
75
95.1%
Q3 - 5:16HeatTyler Herro misses two point jump shot60
5.1%
75
94.9%
Q3 - 5:40CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point running dunk (Robert Williams III assists)60
5.7%
75
94.3%
Q3 - 5:44HeatGabe Vincent turnover (bad pass) (Robert Williams III steals)60
6.5%
73
93.5%
Q3 - 5:59CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point driving floating jump shot (Al Horford assists)60
7.7%
73
92.3%
Q3 - 6:28HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Gabe Vincent assists)60
9.2%
71
90.8%
Q3 - 6:34CelticsJayson Tatum turnover (lost ball) (Gabe Vincent steals)57
7.1%
71
92.9%
Q3 - 6:39CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound57
6.0%
71
94.0%
Q3 - 6:41HeatGabe Vincent misses three point running pullup jump shot57
6.3%
71
93.7%
Q3 - 6:49HeatDewayne Dedmon defensive rebound57
7.1%
71
92.9%
Q3 - 6:51CelticsJayson Tatum misses three point jump shot57
6.7%
71
93.3%
Q3 - 7:01CelticsAl Horford defensive rebound57
6.3%
71
93.7%
Q3 - 7:04HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot57
6.7%
71
93.3%
Q3 - 7:12CelticsRobert Williams III turnover (3-second violation)57
7.4%
71
92.6%
Q3 - 7:35HeatMax Strus makes three point jump shot (Gabe Vincent assists)57
6.3%
71
93.7%
Q3 - 7:47CelticsRobert Williams III makes two point alley-oop layup (Marcus Smart assists)54
4.9%
71
95.1%
Q3 - 8:00HeatGabe Vincent makes two point driving layup54
5.5%
69
94.5%
Q3 - 8:08HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound52
5.1%
69
94.9%
Q3 - 8:10CelticsJaylen Brown misses three point running pullup jump shot52
4.9%
69
95.1%
Q3 - 8:15CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound52
4.3%
69
95.7%
Q3 - 8:18HeatCaleb Martin misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot52
4.6%
69
95.4%
Q3 - 8:38CelticsAl Horford makes regular free throw 2 of 252
5.1%
69
94.9%
Q3 - 8:38CelticsAl Horford misses regular free throw 1 of 252
5.2%
68
94.8%
Q3 - 8:38CelticsJayson Tatum makes technical free throw 1 of 152
5.0%
68
95.0%
Q3 - 8:38HeatBam Adebayo technical foul52
5.2%
67
94.8%
Q3 - 8:38HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (Al Horford draws the foul)52
5.4%
67
94.6%
Q3 - 8:51HeatGabe Vincent turnover (bad pass) (Marcus Smart steals)52
5.7%
67
94.3%
Q3 - 8:57HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound52
6.7%
67
93.3%
Q3 - 8:59CelticsRobert Williams III misses two point layup52
6.4%
67
93.6%
Q3 - 9:09CelticsJaylen Brown defensive rebound52
6.1%
67
93.9%
Q3 - 9:11HeatGabe Vincent misses three point jump shot52
6.3%
67
93.7%
Q3 - 9:22CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point driving layup52
7.0%
67
93.0%
Q3 - 9:41HeatCaleb Martin makes three point jump shot (Gabe Vincent assists)52
7.9%
65
92.1%
Q3 - 9:51CelticsMarcus Smart makes three point jump shot (Robert Williams III assists)49
6.1%
65
93.9%
Q3 - 9:52CelticsRobert Williams III offensive rebound49
7.9%
62
92.1%
Q3 - 9:54CelticsAl Horford misses three point jump shot49
8.7%
62
91.3%
Q3 - 10:13HeatBam Adebayo makes two point driving finger roll layup (Gabe Vincent assists)49
8.2%
62
91.8%
Q3 - 10:22CelticsRobert Williams III makes two point dunk (Jayson Tatum assists)47
7.4%
62
92.6%
Q3 - 10:38HeatBam Adebayo turnover (offensive foul)47
8.2%
60
91.8%
Q3 - 10:38HeatBam Adebayo offensive foul (Jayson Tatum draws the foul)47
9.5%
60
90.5%
Q3 - 10:53CelticsJaylen Brown makes three point jump shot (Jayson Tatum assists)47
9.5%
60
90.5%
Q3 - 11:03HeatGabe Vincent personal foul (Jayson Tatum draws the foul)47
12.2%
57
87.8%
Q3 - 11:12HeatBam Adebayo makes two point cutting dunk (Gabe Vincent assists)47
12.2%
57
87.8%
Q3 - 11:25CelticsJayson Tatum makes three point jump shot (Marcus Smart assists)45
10.9%
57
89.1%
Q3 - 11:48CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound45
13.7%
54
86.3%
Q3 - 11:50HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot45
14.2%
54
85.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.45
15.5%
54
84.5%
Q2 - 0:01.3CelticsCeltics offensive rebound45
14.3%
54
85.7%
Q2 - 0:01.3CelticsJaylen Brown misses three point jump shot45
15.1%
54
84.9%
Q2 - 0:11.1CelticsCeltics offensive rebound45
14.3%
54
85.7%
Q2 - 0:11.3CelticsRobert Williams III misses two point alley-oop dunk45
15.1%
54
84.9%
Q2 - 0:30.0CelticsJaylen Brown defensive rebound45
14.2%
54
85.8%
Q2 - 0:33.6HeatGabe Vincent misses three point jump shot45
14.6%
54
85.4%
Q2 - 0:38.3CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point driving reverse layup45
15.5%
54
84.5%
Q2 - 0:49.6HeatBam Adebayo makes two point cutting dunk (Max Strus assists)45
17.7%
52
82.3%
Q2 - 0:59.2CelticsJayson Tatum makes three point jump shot43
15.5%
52
84.5%
Q2 - 1:09CelticsAl Horford defensive rebound43
20.3%
49
79.7%
Q2 - 1:12HeatKyle Guy misses three point jump shot43
20.7%
49
79.3%
Q2 - 1:23CelticsMarcus Smart makes three point jump shot (Jayson Tatum assists)43
21.7%
49
78.3%
Q2 - 1:29CelticsAl Horford offensive rebound43
27.1%
46
72.9%
Q2 - 1:32CelticsJaylen Brown misses three point jump shot43
28.3%
46
71.7%
Q2 - 1:56HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 143
27.1%
46
72.9%
Q2 - 1:56CelticsRobert Williams III shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)42
26.6%
46
73.4%
Q2 - 2:09CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 2 of 240
22.5%
46
77.5%
Q2 - 2:09CelticsJayson Tatum misses regular free throw 1 of 240
22.7%
45
77.3%
Q2 - 2:09HeatGabe Vincent personal foul (Jayson Tatum draws the foul)40
20.9%
45
79.1%
Q2 - 2:25HeatMax Strus makes three point jump shot (Gabe Vincent assists)40
22.4%
45
77.6%
Q2 - 2:36CelticsJaylen Brown makes regular free throw 2 of 237
18.5%
45
81.5%
Q2 - 2:36CelticsJaylen Brown makes regular free throw 1 of 237
18.8%
44
81.2%
Q2 - 2:36HeatMax Strus shooting foul (Jaylen Brown draws the foul)37
19.3%
43
80.7%
Q2 - 2:37CelticsJaylen Brown offensive rebound37
20.3%
43
79.7%
Q2 - 2:40CelticsJayson Tatum misses three point jump shot37
21.8%
43
78.2%
Q2 - 2:54CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound37
20.3%
43
79.7%
Q2 - 2:54HeatBam Adebayo misses regular free throw 2 of 237
20.6%
43
79.4%
Q2 - 2:54HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 237
22.0%
43
78.0%
Q2 - 2:54CelticsJosh Richardson shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)36
21.5%
43
78.5%
Q2 - 3:11CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point driving finger roll layup36
20.9%
43
79.1%
Q2 - 3:26HeatCaleb Martin makes two point driving dunk (Bam Adebayo assists)36
22.5%
41
77.5%
Q2 - 3:52CelticsMarcus Smart makes two point running dunk (Jayson Tatum assists)34
20.9%
41
79.1%
Q2 - 3:54CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound34
22.5%
39
77.5%
Q2 - 3:56HeatCaleb Martin misses two point running layup34
23.3%
39
76.7%
Q2 - 4:00CelticsJosh Richardson turnover (bad pass) (Bam Adebayo steals)34
25.0%
39
75.0%
Q2 - 4:15CelticsCeltics defensive rebound34
22.9%
39
77.1%
Q2 - 4:17HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot34
23.5%
39
76.5%
Q2 - 4:22HeatKyle Guy defensive rebound34
25.0%
39
75.0%
Q2 - 4:26CelticsJaylen Brown misses three point jump shot34
24.3%
39
75.7%
Q2 - 4:46HeatCaleb Martin makes two point running layup34
22.8%
39
77.2%
Q2 - 4:50HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound32
21.0%
39
79.0%
Q2 - 4:53CelticsJaylen Brown misses two point running layup32
20.4%
39
79.6%
Q2 - 4:57CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound32
19.1%
39
80.9%
Q2 - 4:59HeatRobert Williams III blocks Tyler Herro's two point driving layup32
19.7%
39
80.3%
Q2 - 5:11CelticsJaylen Brown personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)32
21.2%
39
78.8%
Q2 - 5:28CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point pullup jump shot32
21.2%
39
78.8%
Q2 - 5:37CelticsRobert Williams III defensive rebound32
22.7%
37
77.3%
Q2 - 5:40HeatCaleb Martin misses three point jump shot32
23.4%
37
76.6%
Q2 - 5:58CelticsMarcus Smart makes two point running layup32
25.1%
37
74.9%
Q2 - 6:00HeatCaleb Martin turnover (bad pass) (Marcus Smart steals)32
26.8%
35
73.2%
Q2 - 6:12CelticsJaylen Brown makes three point jump shot (Marcus Smart assists)32
29.6%
35
70.4%
Q2 - 6:37HeatMax Strus makes three point jump shot (Caleb Martin assists)32
33.8%
32
66.2%
Q2 - 6:44HeatHeat defensive rebound29
29.6%
32
70.4%
Q2 - 6:46CelticsMarcus Smart misses three point jump shot29
28.7%
32
71.3%
Q2 - 6:55HeatTyler Herro makes three point jump shot (Max Strus assists)29
26.8%
32
73.2%
Q2 - 7:12HeatChris Silva defensive rebound26
23.3%
32
76.7%
Q2 - 7:12CelticsMarcus Smart misses regular free throw 2 of 226
23.1%
32
76.9%
Q2 - 7:12CelticsMarcus Smart misses regular free throw 1 of 226
21.8%
32
78.2%
Q2 - 7:12HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (Marcus Smart draws the foul)26
20.4%
32
79.6%
Q2 - 7:20HeatChris Silva turnover (lost ball) (Grant Williams steals)26
21.4%
32
78.6%
Q2 - 7:35HeatChris Silva defensive rebound26
23.3%
32
76.7%
Q2 - 7:37CelticsJaylen Brown misses two point pullup jump shot26
22.7%
32
77.3%
Q2 - 7:51HeatChris Silva makes regular free throw 2 of 226
21.4%
32
78.6%
Q2 - 7:51HeatChris Silva makes regular free throw 1 of 225
21.0%
32
79.0%
Q2 - 7:51CelticsGrant Williams shooting foul (Chris Silva draws the foul)24
20.5%
32
79.5%
Q2 - 8:04CelticsAl Horford turnover (out of bounds lost ball)24
19.9%
32
80.1%
Q2 - 8:13CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound24
18.2%
32
81.8%
Q2 - 8:15HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot24
18.7%
32
81.3%
Q2 - 8:26CelticsMarcus Smart personal foul (Loose ball) (Tyler Herro draws the foul)24
19.8%
32
80.2%
Q2 - 8:26HeatHeat offensive rebound24
19.8%
32
80.2%
Q2 - 8:29HeatBam Adebayo misses two point jump shot24
18.7%
32
81.3%
Q2 - 8:51CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 2 of 224
19.8%
32
80.2%
Q2 - 8:51CelticsJayson Tatum misses regular free throw 1 of 224
20.1%
31
79.9%
Q2 - 8:51HeatChris Silva shooting foul (Jayson Tatum draws the foul)24
18.7%
31
81.3%
Q2 - 8:52CelticsJayson Tatum offensive rebound24
19.8%
31
80.2%
Q2 - 8:55CelticsGrant Williams misses three point jump shot24
21.0%
31
79.0%
Q2 - 9:13HeatKyle Guy makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)24
19.9%
31
80.1%
Q2 - 9:18HeatChris Silva offensive rebound21
16.9%
31
83.1%
Q2 - 9:21HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot21
15.9%
31
84.1%
Q2 - 9:35HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound21
16.9%
31
83.1%
Q2 - 9:37CelticsDennis Schroder misses three point jump shot21
16.5%
31
83.5%
Q2 - 9:52HeatTyler Herro makes two point stepback jump shot21
15.5%
31
84.5%
Q2 - 10:03HeatChris Silva defensive rebound19
14.6%
31
85.4%
Q2 - 10:05CelticsJayson Tatum misses two point jump shot19
14.2%
31
85.8%
Q2 - 10:25HeatMax Strus makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)19
13.3%
31
86.7%
Q2 - 10:31CelticsJayson Tatum personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)16
11.2%
31
88.8%
Q2 - 10:43CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point turnaround jump shot (Dennis Schroder assists)16
11.2%
31
88.8%
Q2 - 11:02HeatTyler Herro makes two point fadeaway jump shot (Chris Silva assists)16
12.6%
29
87.4%
Q2 - 11:24CelticsJosh Richardson makes two point reverse layup (Al Horford assists)14
11.5%
29
88.5%
Q2 - 11:40HeatDuncan Robinson turnover14
12.6%
27
87.4%
Q2 - 11:40HeatDuncan Robinson personal foul (Loose ball) (Al Horford draws the foul)14
13.6%
27
86.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.14
13.6%
27
86.4%
Q1 - 0:00.1CelticsCeltics offensive rebound14
12.8%
27
87.2%
Q1 - 0:00.5CelticsJayson Tatum misses two point fadeaway jump shot14
13.4%
27
86.6%
Q1 - 0:24.3CelticsCeltics defensive rebound14
12.8%
27
87.2%
Q1 - 0:27.1HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot14
13.1%
27
86.9%
Q1 - 0:36.5HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound14
13.7%
27
86.3%
Q1 - 0:39.2CelticsJayson Tatum misses three point jump shot14
13.4%
27
86.6%
Q1 - 0:47.7CelticsAl Horford defensive rebound14
12.8%
27
87.2%
Q1 - 0:50.1HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot14
13.1%
27
86.9%
Q1 - 0:57.6HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound14
13.7%
27
86.3%
Q1 - 1:00CelticsGrant Williams misses three point jump shot14
13.4%
27
86.6%
Q1 - 1:24HeatBam Adebayo makes two point pullup jump shot14
12.9%
27
87.1%
Q1 - 1:39CelticsJosh Richardson makes two point driving floating jump shot12
11.8%
27
88.2%
Q1 - 1:48CelticsDennis Schroder defensive rebound12
12.9%
25
87.1%
Q1 - 1:51HeatGabe Vincent misses three point jump shot12
13.2%
25
86.8%
Q1 - 2:01HeatDewayne Dedmon defensive rebound12
14.4%
25
85.6%
Q1 - 2:04CelticsJosh Richardson misses two point turnaround hook shot12
14.1%
25
85.9%
Q1 - 2:11CelticsJosh Richardson defensive rebound12
13.3%
25
86.7%
Q1 - 2:12HeatDewayne Dedmon misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot12
13.6%
25
86.4%
Q1 - 2:33HeatDewayne Dedmon defensive rebound12
14.4%
25
85.6%
Q1 - 2:39CelticsGrant Williams misses three point jump shot12
14.0%
25
86.0%
Q1 - 3:01HeatHeat turnover (shot clock violation)12
13.4%
25
86.6%
Q1 - 3:01HeatCaleb Martin offensive rebound12
14.7%
25
85.3%
Q1 - 3:03HeatGrant Williams blocks Tyler Herro's two point driving layup12
13.8%
25
86.2%
Q1 - 3:26CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point jump shot (Marcus Smart assists)12
14.7%
25
85.3%
Q1 - 3:42HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving floating jump shot12
15.6%
23
84.4%
Q1 - 4:02CelticsJosh Richardson makes two point driving finger roll layup10
15.3%
23
84.7%
Q1 - 4:10CelticsMarcus Smart defensive rebound10
16.2%
21
83.8%
Q1 - 4:12HeatTyler Herro misses two point pullup jump shot10
16.6%
21
83.4%
Q1 - 4:18HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound10
17.6%
21
82.4%
Q1 - 4:21CelticsMarcus Smart misses three point jump shot10
17.1%
21
82.9%
Q1 - 4:40HeatGabe Vincent personal foul (Marcus Smart draws the foul)10
16.1%
21
83.9%
Q1 - 4:42HeatCaleb Martin makes regular free throw 1 of 110
16.1%
21
83.9%
Q1 - 4:42CelticsMarcus Smart shooting foul (Caleb Martin draws the foul)9
15.9%
21
84.1%
Q1 - 5:04CelticsMarcus Smart makes three point jump shot (Grant Williams assists)7
14.6%
21
85.4%
Q1 - 5:20HeatMax Strus turnover (bad pass) (Jaylen Brown steals)7
16.6%
18
83.4%
Q1 - 5:29CelticsJaylen Brown personal foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)7
17.9%
18
82.1%
Q1 - 5:36HeatHeat defensive rebound7
17.9%
18
82.1%
Q1 - 5:38CelticsJosh Richardson misses three point jump shot7
17.5%
18
82.5%
Q1 - 6:00HeatTyler Herro turnover (out of bounds bad pass)7
16.6%
18
83.4%
Q1 - 6:07HeatMax Strus defensive rebound7
18.2%
18
81.8%
Q1 - 6:10CelticsAl Horford misses three point jump shot7
17.8%
18
82.2%
Q1 - 6:16CelticsRobert Williams III defensive rebound7
17.0%
18
83.0%
Q1 - 6:18HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot7
17.4%
18
82.6%
Q1 - 6:21HeatCaleb Martin offensive rebound7
18.2%
18
81.8%
Q1 - 6:24HeatRobert Williams III blocks Caleb Martin's two point driving layup7
17.3%
18
82.7%
Q1 - 6:39CelticsAl Horford makes two point turnaround hook shot (Marcus Smart assists)7
18.2%
18
81.8%
Q1 - 6:49CelticsAl Horford defensive rebound7
19.4%
16
80.6%
Q1 - 6:52HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving floating jump shot7
19.7%
16
80.3%
Q1 - 6:59CelticsAl Horford personal foul (Loose ball) (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)7
20.7%
16
79.3%
Q1 - 6:59HeatHeat offensive rebound7
20.7%
16
79.3%
Q1 - 7:02HeatGabe Vincent misses two point pullup jump shot7
19.8%
16
80.2%
Q1 - 7:13CelticsAl Horford makes three point jump shot (Marcus Smart assists)7
20.8%
16
79.2%
Q1 - 7:26HeatGabe Vincent makes two point pullup jump shot7
23.3%
13
76.7%
Q1 - 7:36CelticsAl Horford makes regular free throw 2 of 25
22.1%
13
77.9%
Q1 - 7:36CelticsAl Horford misses regular free throw 1 of 25
22.3%
12
77.7%
Q1 - 7:36HeatDuncan Robinson shooting foul (Al Horford draws the foul)5
21.2%
12
78.8%
Q1 - 7:48HeatMax Strus makes three point jump shot (Caleb Martin assists)5
22.0%
12
78.0%
Q1 - 8:07CelticsMarcus Smart makes three point jump shot (Jayson Tatum assists)2
19.7%
12
80.3%
Q1 - 8:19CelticsRobert Williams III defensive rebound2
22.1%
9
77.9%
Q1 - 8:22HeatBam Adebayo misses two point cutting layup2
22.5%
9
77.5%
Q1 - 8:36CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point fadeaway jump shot2
23.6%
9
76.4%
Q1 - 8:51HeatCaleb Martin makes two point reverse layup (Bam Adebayo assists)2
24.8%
7
75.2%
Q1 - 9:07CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point pullup jump shot0
23.8%
7
76.2%
Q1 - 9:15HeatBam Adebayo personal foul (Jaylen Brown draws the foul)0
24.9%
5
75.1%
Q1 - 9:21CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound0
24.9%
5
75.1%
Q1 - 9:24HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot0
25.4%
5
74.6%
Q1 - 9:36CelticsJayson Tatum makes three point jump shot0
26.6%
5
73.4%
Q1 - 9:55CelticsRobert Williams III defensive rebound0
29.4%
2
70.6%
Q1 - 9:57HeatBam Adebayo misses two point jump shot0
30.0%
2
70.0%
Q1 - 10:15CelticsAl Horford turnover (bad pass) (Bam Adebayo steals)0
31.0%
2
69.0%
Q1 - 10:22CelticsJaylen Brown defensive rebound0
29.3%
2
70.7%
Q1 - 10:23HeatAl Horford blocks Max Strus's two point driving layup0
29.8%
2
70.2%
Q1 - 10:42CelticsRobert Williams III makes two point cutting dunk (Marcus Smart assists)0
31.0%
2
69.0%
Q1 - 10:55HeatBam Adebayo turnover (out of bounds bad pass)0
32.4%
0
67.6%
Q1 - 11:01CelticsMarcus Smart turnover (bad pass) (Duncan Robinson steals)0
34.0%
0
66.0%
Q1 - 11:23CelticsMarcus Smart defensive rebound0
32.2%
0
67.8%
Q1 - 11:24HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot0
32.7%
0
67.3%
Q1 - 11:29HeatMax Strus defensive rebound0
34.0%
0
66.0%
Q1 - 11:31CelticsBam Adebayo blocks Jayson Tatum's two point driving layup0
33.4%
0
66.6%
Q1 - 11:35CelticsRobert Williams III offensive rebound0
32.2%
0
67.8%
Q1 - 11:39CelticsRobert Williams III misses regular free throw 2 of 20
33.8%
0
66.2%
Q1 - 11:39CelticsRobert Williams III misses regular free throw 1 of 20
32.8%
0
67.2%
Q1 - 11:39HeatDuncan Robinson shooting foul (Robert Williams III draws the foul)0
31.8%
0
68.2%
Q1 - 12:00Bam Adebayo vs. Robert Williams III (Al Horford gains possession)0
32.2%
0
67.8%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.99 49.5%
BOS
1.22 61.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
11
20
55%
BOS
15
21
71%
Midrange
MIA
6
23
26%
BOS
13
21
62%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
17
25.5
44
39%
58%
BOS
16
24.0
42
38%
57%
Free Throws
MIA
7
10
70%
BOS
18
27
67%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Strus2771%13.5 / 19
C. Martin1464%7.0 / 11
T. Herro1334%6.5 / 19
B. Adebayo1250%6.0 / 12
G. Vincent1050%5.0 / 10
D. Robinson638%3.0 / 8
K. Guy433%2.0 / 6
C. Silva250%1.0 / 2
D. Dedmon250%1.0 / 2
U. Haslem250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
BOS logo Celtics
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Brown2969%14.5 / 21
J. Tatum2059%10.0 / 17
M. Smart1680%8.0 / 10
A. Horford1458%7.0 / 12
J. Richardson1169%5.5 / 8
G. Williams1071%5.0 / 7
R. Williams650%3.0 / 6
D. Schröder440%2.0 / 5
A. Nesmith450%2.0 / 4
S. Hauser3150%1.5 / 1
B. Fernando375%1.5 / 2
E. Kanter2100%1.0 / 1
R. Langford0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
78
+15
-18
93
BOS
87
+12
-10
99
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.99 49.5%
BOS
1.22 61.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
113.3
114.2
MIA 95.8 +29.9
BOS 125.8
Pace
96.2
96.8
MIA 108.1 +20.8
BOS 87.3
Avg. Poss. Time
15.0
15.1
MIA 13.3 +3.2
BOS 16.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
54.7%
54.2%
MIA 48.9%
BOS 61.9% +13.0%
TO %
14.2%
13.3%
MIA 17.2%
BOS 9.4% +7.8%
ORB %
23.5%
24.1%
MIA 22.2%
BOS 24.3% +2.1%
FTrt
25.2
23.9
MIA 11.5
BOS 32.1 +20.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
64.4%
60.9%
MIA 73.5% +19.0%
BOS 54.5%
STL %
7.6%
7.4%
MIA 6.3%
BOS 9.3% +3.0%
BLK %
7.1%
10.9%
MIA 4.8%
BOS 14.0% +9.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
56.8%
56.6%
MIA 49.5%
BOS 61.0% +11.5%
Rim FG%
63.4%
65.0%
MIA 55.0%
BOS 71.4% +16.4%
Mid FG%
41.4%
41.0%
MIA 26.1%
BOS 61.9% +35.8%
3P %
37.9%
35.6%
MIA 38.6% +0.5%
BOS 38.1%
FT %
80.8%
81.6%
MIA 70.0% +3.3%
BOS 66.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
30.6%
32.9%
MIA 23.0%
BOS 25.0% +2.0%
Mid Att. %
27.1%
24.6%
MIA 26.4%
BOS 25.0% +1.4%
3P Att. %
42.2%
42.5%
MIA 50.6% +0.6%
BOS 50.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIABOS
Possessions9697
Possession Minutes21.326.7
Points92122
Rebounds3844
Assists2524
Steals69
Blocks26
Turnovers (Team)18 (1)10 (0)
Fouls2215
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (5)9 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)28 (3)35 (4)
Field Goals34-8744-84
At-the-Rim FG11-2015-21
Midrange FG6-2313-21
2-Point FG17-4328-42
3-Point FG17-4416-42
Free Throws7-1018-27
Fast Break Pts213
2nd Chance Pts813
Points in Paint2640
Pts off Turnovers824
Bench Points2337
Biggest Lead032

BOXSCORE

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10 Miami Heat
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Max Strus
#31 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 26
40.6
27
71%
3
2
0
0
1
3
0
3
0-0
-
0-2
0%
9-17
53%
Bam Adebayo
#13 · C · 6'9" 255 · 25
31.6
12
50%
5
5
3
1
2
4
2
3
2-3
67%
5-11
45%
0-0
-
Gabe Vincent
#2 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 26
28.9
10
50%
3
9
2
0
2
4
1
2
0-0
-
2-4
50%
2-6
33%
Duncan Robinson
#55 · SG · 6'7" 215 · 28
26.8
6
38%
5
0
1
0
1
3
1
4
0-0
-
0-0
-
2-8
25%
Caleb Martin
#16 · PF · 6'5" 205 · 26
26.4
14
64%
4
2
0
0
1
0
2
2
1-1
100%
5-9
56%
1-2
50%
Tyler Herro
#14 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 22
29.5
13
34%
2
3
0
0
1
1
0
2
1-2
50%
3-10
30%
2-8
25%
Chris Silva
#30 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 25
18.6
2
50%
9
3
0
1
4
4
3
6
2-2
100%
0-1
0%
0-0
-
Kyle Guy
#5 · SG · 6'1" 167 · 24
18.2
4
33%
1
0
0
0
4
0
0
1
1-2
50%
0-2
0%
1-3
33%
Dewayne Dedmon
#21 · C · 7'0" 245 · 32
14.4
2
50%
5
0
0
0
1
3
1
4
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
Udonis Haslem
#40 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 42
5.0
2
50%
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
P.J. Tucker
#17 · SF · 6'6" 245 · 37
DND - Injury/Illness | Left Knee; Irritation
Victor Oladipo
#4 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 30
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Knee; Injury Recovery
KZ Okpala
#11 · PF · 6'9" 210 · 23
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Wrist; Sprain
Jimmy Butler
#22 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 32
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Big Toe; Irritation
Markieff Morris
#8 · PF · 6'10" 245 · 32
INACTIVE
Omer Yurtseven
#77 · C · 7'0" 275 · 24
Inactive - Health and Safety Protocols
Kyle Lowry
#7 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 36
Inactive – Personal
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
92
50%
38
25
6
2
18
22
10
28
7-10
70%
17-43
40%
17-44
39%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.