FinalWin Prob.pScore
751%112
108
1149%111
110
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
117.49297.3
ATL logo ATL
118.39388.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HawksHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HawksHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAATL
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.108
0%
110
100%
Q4 - 0:01.0HawksDe'Andre Hunter defensive rebound108
0.6%
110
99.4%
Q4 - 0:02.0HeatMax Strus misses two point tip layup108
3.5%
110
96.5%
Q4 - 0:02.6HeatMax Strus offensive rebound108
8.1%
110
91.9%
Q4 - 0:05.6HeatJimmy Butler misses three point jump shot108
5.0%
110
95.0%
Q4 - 0:10.7HawksTrae Young makes regular free throw 2 of 2108
17.2%
110
82.8%
Q4 - 0:10.7HawksTrae Young misses regular free throw 1 of 2108
18.7%
109
81.3%
Q4 - 0:10.7HeatGabe Vincent personal foul (Take) (Trae Young draws the foul)108
8.1%
109
91.9%
Q4 - 0:15.4HeatGabe Vincent personal foul (Take) (Trae Young draws the foul)108
17.0%
109
83.0%
Q4 - 0:20.7HawksDe'Andre Hunter defensive rebound108
18.1%
109
81.9%
Q4 - 0:22.8HeatJimmy Butler misses two point alley-oop layup108
23.9%
109
76.1%
Q4 - 0:31.4HawksHawks turnover (shot clock violation)108
40.5%
109
59.5%
Q4 - 0:55.1HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Gabe Vincent assists)108
27.6%
109
72.4%
Q4 - 1:07HawksClint Capela makes two point alley-oop dunk (Trae Young assists)105
12.0%
109
88.0%
Q4 - 1:26HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 2105
20.9%
107
79.1%
Q4 - 1:26HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 2104
19.9%
107
80.1%
Q4 - 1:26HawksDe'Andre Hunter shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)103
18.7%
107
81.3%
Q4 - 1:47HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound103
16.6%
107
83.4%
Q4 - 1:50HawksTrae Young misses three point pullup jump shot103
14.7%
107
85.3%
Q4 - 2:07HeatBam Adebayo makes two point jump shot (Duncan Robinson assists)103
10.5%
107
89.5%
Q4 - 2:29HawksTrae Young makes regular free throw 2 of 2101
8.1%
107
91.9%
Q4 - 2:29HawksTrae Young makes regular free throw 1 of 2101
8.4%
106
91.6%
Q4 - 2:29HeatJimmy Butler shooting foul (Trae Young draws the foul)101
8.8%
105
91.2%
Q4 - 2:41HeatBam Adebayo makes two point cutting layup (Jimmy Butler assists)101
10.4%
105
89.6%
Q4 - 2:49HeatGabe Vincent defensive rebound99
8.1%
105
91.9%
Q4 - 2:53HawksKevin Huerter misses three point jump shot99
8.2%
105
91.8%
Q4 - 3:15HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)99
5.7%
105
94.3%
Q4 - 3:15HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound96
2.9%
105
97.1%
Q4 - 3:17HeatMax Strus misses two point running layup96
2.0%
105
98.0%
Q4 - 3:22HawksTrae Young turnover (lost ball) (Bam Adebayo steals)96
2.9%
105
97.1%
Q4 - 3:49HeatJimmy Butler makes two point turnaround jump shot (Gabe Vincent assists)96
3.1%
105
96.9%
Q4 - 4:01HawksKevin Huerter makes three point jump shot (De'Andre Hunter assists)94
2.2%
105
97.8%
Q4 - 4:22HawksDe'Andre Hunter defensive rebound94
4.2%
102
95.8%
Q4 - 4:25HeatBam Adebayo misses two point jump shot94
4.7%
102
95.3%
Q4 - 4:43HeatGabe Vincent defensive rebound94
6.0%
102
94.0%
Q4 - 4:45HawksDe'Andre Hunter misses three point jump shot94
5.3%
102
94.7%
Q4 - 5:10HeatGabe Vincent makes three point jump shot (Max Strus assists)94
5.9%
102
94.1%
Q4 - 5:18HawksDelon Wright personal foul (Loose ball) (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)91
3.3%
102
96.7%
Q4 - 5:18HeatHeat offensive rebound91
3.3%
102
96.7%
Q4 - 5:19HeatBam Adebayo misses two point hook shot91
2.6%
102
97.4%
Q4 - 5:26HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound91
3.3%
102
96.7%
Q4 - 5:28HawksTrae Young misses two point running layup91
2.9%
102
97.1%
Q4 - 5:32HawksTrae Young defensive rebound91
2.3%
102
97.7%
Q4 - 5:36HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point pullup jump shot91
2.6%
102
97.4%
Q4 - 5:43HawksJohn Collins personal foul (Gabe Vincent draws the foul)91
3.2%
102
96.8%
Q4 - 5:50HawksJohn Collins makes two point tip layup91
3.2%
102
96.8%
Q4 - 5:50HawksJohn Collins offensive rebound91
4.3%
100
95.7%
Q4 - 5:54HawksJohn Collins misses two point alley-oop layup91
5.4%
100
94.6%
Q4 - 6:12HawksDe'Andre Hunter defensive rebound91
5.7%
100
94.3%
Q4 - 6:16HeatCaleb Martin misses three point jump shot91
6.3%
100
93.7%
Q4 - 6:28HawksTrae Young makes regular free throw 2 of 291
7.8%
100
92.2%
Q4 - 6:28HawksTrae Young makes regular free throw 1 of 291
8.0%
99
92.0%
Q4 - 6:28HeatCaleb Martin shooting foul (Trae Young draws the foul)91
8.2%
98
91.8%
Q4 - 6:40HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Gabe Vincent assists)91
9.6%
98
90.4%
Q4 - 6:48HawksTrae Young personal foul (Take) (Caleb Martin draws the foul)88
5.9%
98
94.1%
Q4 - 6:49HawksTrae Young turnover (lost ball) (Caleb Martin steals)88
5.9%
98
94.1%
Q4 - 7:04HeatCaleb Martin makes two point layup88
5.6%
98
94.4%
Q4 - 7:10HawksOnyeka Okongwu turnover (lost ball) (Caleb Martin steals)86
4.6%
98
95.4%
Q4 - 7:36HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Gabe Vincent assists)86
3.3%
98
96.7%
Q4 - 7:44HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound83
2.1%
98
97.9%
Q4 - 7:47HawksLou Williams misses two point driving floating jump shot83
1.9%
98
98.1%
Q4 - 7:56HeatDuncan Robinson turnover (offensive foul)83
1.5%
98
98.5%
Q4 - 7:56HeatDuncan Robinson offensive foul (Kevin Knox II draws the foul)83
2.1%
98
97.9%
Q4 - 8:10HawksKevin Knox II makes three point jump shot (Kevin Huerter assists)83
2.5%
98
97.5%
Q4 - 8:36HeatBam Adebayo makes two point cutting dunk (Duncan Robinson assists)83
4.1%
95
95.9%
Q4 - 8:44HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound81
3.2%
95
96.8%
Q4 - 8:47HawksLou Williams misses three point jump shot81
3.0%
95
97.0%
Q4 - 9:05HeatBam Adebayo makes two point alley-oop dunk (Gabe Vincent assists)81
3.1%
95
96.9%
Q4 - 9:16HawksClint Capela makes two point alley-oop layup (Lou Williams assists)79
2.5%
95
97.5%
Q4 - 9:23HeatCaleb Martin turnover (lost ball) (Delon Wright steals)79
3.0%
93
97.0%
Q4 - 9:41HawksKevin Huerter makes three point stepback jump shot79
3.9%
93
96.1%
Q4 - 9:54HawksClint Capela defensive rebound79
5.9%
90
94.1%
Q4 - 9:57HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot79
6.4%
90
93.6%
Q4 - 10:08HawksLou Williams makes two point driving layup (Kevin Huerter assists)79
8.8%
90
91.2%
Q4 - 10:23HeatDewayne Dedmon makes two point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)79
10.5%
88
89.5%
Q4 - 10:41HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound77
8.8%
88
91.2%
Q4 - 10:44HawksLou Williams misses two point pullup jump shot77
8.2%
88
91.8%
Q4 - 11:00HeatKyle Guy makes three point jump shot (Max Strus assists)77
6.9%
88
93.1%
Q4 - 11:15HawksKevin Knox II turnover (out of bounds lost ball)74
5.3%
88
94.7%
Q4 - 11:29HawksKevin Knox II defensive rebound74
4.3%
88
95.7%
Q4 - 11:33HeatCaleb Martin misses two point driving floating bank jump shot74
4.6%
88
95.4%
Q4 - 11:46HawksDelon Wright personal foul (Max Strus draws the foul)74
5.3%
88
94.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.74
5.2%
88
94.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0HeatHeat offensive rebound74
5.2%
88
94.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0HeatMax Strus misses three point pullup jump shot74
4.6%
88
95.4%
Q3 - 0:15.6HawksDe'Andre Hunter turnover (out of bounds step)74
6.1%
88
93.9%
Q3 - 0:32.4HeatDewayne Dedmon makes two point tip dunk74
5.0%
88
95.0%
Q3 - 0:32.4HeatDewayne Dedmon offensive rebound72
4.1%
88
95.9%
Q3 - 0:32.5HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving layup72
3.6%
88
96.4%
Q3 - 0:35.4HeatDewayne Dedmon offensive rebound72
4.1%
88
95.9%
Q3 - 0:40.6HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot72
3.6%
88
96.4%
Q3 - 0:49.2HawksTrae Young turnover (out of bounds bad pass)72
4.1%
88
95.9%
Q3 - 1:02HeatKyle Guy makes two point pullup jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)72
4.0%
88
96.0%
Q3 - 1:13HawksTrae Young makes regular free throw 2 of 270
3.4%
88
96.6%
Q3 - 1:13HawksTrae Young makes regular free throw 1 of 270
3.5%
87
96.5%
Q3 - 1:13HeatGabe Vincent personal foul (Trae Young draws the foul)70
3.5%
86
96.5%
Q3 - 1:14HawksClint Capela defensive rebound70
4.0%
86
96.0%
Q3 - 1:17HeatJimmy Butler misses two point turnaround jump shot70
4.3%
86
95.7%
Q3 - 1:27HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound70
4.9%
86
95.1%
Q3 - 1:31HawksTrae Young misses three point pullup jump shot70
4.6%
86
95.4%
Q3 - 1:44Jump ball. Trae Young vs. Jimmy Butler (De'Andre Hunter gains possession)70
4.0%
86
96.0%
Q3 - 1:50HawksTrae Young turnover (lost ball) (Jimmy Butler steals)70
4.9%
86
95.1%
Q3 - 1:59HawksDe'Andre Hunter defensive rebound70
4.0%
86
96.0%
Q3 - 2:03HeatJimmy Butler misses two point pullup jump shot70
5.0%
86
95.0%
Q3 - 2:14HawksTrae Young turnover (back court violation)70
5.7%
86
94.3%
Q3 - 2:25HawksTrae Young makes technical free throw 1 of 170
4.7%
86
95.3%
Q3 - 2:25HeatErik Spoelstra technical foul70
4.9%
85
95.1%
Q3 - 2:30HawksDelon Wright defensive rebound70
5.6%
85
94.4%
Q3 - 2:34HeatBam Adebayo misses two point floating jump shot70
5.9%
85
94.1%
Q3 - 2:48HawksTrae Young makes regular free throw 2 of 270
6.7%
85
93.3%
Q3 - 2:48HawksTrae Young makes regular free throw 1 of 270
6.8%
84
93.2%
Q3 - 2:48HeatCaleb Martin personal foul (Trae Young draws the foul)70
6.9%
83
93.1%
Q3 - 2:53HawksDe'Andre Hunter defensive rebound70
7.8%
83
92.2%
Q3 - 2:56HeatGabe Vincent misses three point pullup jump shot70
8.2%
83
91.8%
Q3 - 3:03HawksKevin Knox II personal foul (Gabe Vincent draws the foul)70
10.3%
83
89.7%
Q3 - 3:16HawksOnyeka Okongwu makes two point putback layup70
10.3%
83
89.7%
Q3 - 3:17HawksOnyeka Okongwu offensive rebound70
11.7%
81
88.3%
Q3 - 3:19HawksTrae Young misses three point pullup jump shot70
13.2%
81
86.8%
Q3 - 3:34HeatCaleb Martin makes two point running dunk70
11.7%
81
88.3%
Q3 - 3:38HawksOnyeka Okongwu turnover (bad pass) (Caleb Martin steals)68
10.3%
81
89.7%
Q3 - 3:48HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 268
8.5%
81
91.5%
Q3 - 3:48HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 267
8.3%
81
91.7%
Q3 - 3:48HawksDe'Andre Hunter shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)66
8.0%
81
92.0%
Q3 - 4:02HawksDe'Andre Hunter makes regular free throw 2 of 266
8.3%
81
91.7%
Q3 - 4:02HawksDe'Andre Hunter misses regular free throw 1 of 266
8.5%
80
91.5%
Q3 - 4:02HeatCaleb Martin shooting foul (De'Andre Hunter draws the foul)66
7.6%
80
92.4%
Q3 - 4:15HawksKevin Huerter defensive rebound66
8.1%
80
91.9%
Q3 - 4:18HeatCaleb Martin misses three point pullup jump shot66
8.5%
80
91.5%
Q3 - 4:44HawksDelon Wright makes three point jump shot (Trae Young assists)66
9.6%
80
90.4%
Q3 - 5:00HeatJimmy Butler makes two point alley-oop layup (Bam Adebayo assists)66
12.6%
77
87.4%
Q3 - 5:14HawksDe'Andre Hunter makes regular free throw 1 of 164
12.0%
77
88.0%
Q3 - 5:14HeatDuncan Robinson shooting foul (De'Andre Hunter draws the foul)64
12.3%
76
87.7%
Q3 - 5:16HawksTrae Young defensive rebound64
15.7%
74
84.3%
Q3 - 5:19HeatBam Adebayo misses two point pullup jump shot64
16.4%
74
83.6%
Q3 - 5:24HeatOmer Yurtseven offensive rebound64
18.1%
74
81.9%
Q3 - 5:26HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point pullup jump shot64
16.3%
74
83.7%
Q3 - 5:40HawksKevin Huerter makes three point jump shot (Trae Young assists)64
18.0%
74
82.0%
Q3 - 6:04HeatOmer Yurtseven makes two point dunk (Jimmy Butler assists)64
23.9%
71
76.1%
Q3 - 6:26HawksTrae Young makes three point jump shot (Clint Capela assists)62
21.4%
71
78.6%
Q3 - 6:27HawksClint Capela offensive rebound62
26.7%
68
73.3%
Q3 - 6:31HawksDe'Andre Hunter misses three point jump shot62
29.1%
68
70.9%
Q3 - 6:39HeatBam Adebayo personal foul (Trae Young draws the foul)62
26.7%
68
73.3%
Q3 - 6:53HeatGabe Vincent turnover (out of bounds bad pass)62
26.7%
68
73.3%
Q3 - 7:00HawksKevin Huerter makes two point pullup jump shot (Onyeka Okongwu assists)62
30.2%
68
69.8%
Q3 - 7:17HeatJimmy Butler makes three point running jump shot (Gabe Vincent assists)62
33.4%
66
66.6%
Q3 - 7:25HawksDe'Andre Hunter makes two point driving floating jump shot59
27.6%
66
72.4%
Q3 - 7:31HawksHawks offensive rebound59
30.2%
64
69.8%
Q3 - 7:34HawksTrae Young misses three point stepback jump shot59
32.8%
64
67.2%
Q3 - 7:47HeatBam Adebayo turnover (offensive foul)59
30.2%
64
69.8%
Q3 - 7:47HeatBam Adebayo offensive foul (Off the ball) (Kevin Huerter draws the foul)59
33.9%
64
66.1%
Q3 - 8:00HawksOnyeka Okongwu turnover (traveling)59
33.9%
64
66.1%
Q3 - 8:01HawksOnyeka Okongwu offensive rebound59
30.6%
64
69.4%
Q3 - 8:05HawksBam Adebayo blocks Onyeka Okongwu's two point layup59
33.2%
64
66.8%
Q3 - 8:19HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 259
30.6%
64
69.4%
Q3 - 8:19HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 258
30.0%
64
70.0%
Q3 - 8:19HawksJohn Collins shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)57
29.3%
64
70.7%
Q3 - 8:35HawksTrae Young turnover (discontinue dribble)57
28.1%
64
71.9%
Q3 - 8:45HeatBam Adebayo makes two point driving layup57
24.7%
64
75.3%
Q3 - 8:51HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound55
22.6%
64
77.4%
Q3 - 8:54HawksTrae Young misses two point driving floating jump shot55
21.7%
64
78.3%
Q3 - 9:07HeatJimmy Butler makes two point cutting dunk (Bam Adebayo assists)55
20.5%
64
79.5%
Q3 - 9:23HeatOmer Yurtseven defensive rebound53
18.5%
64
81.5%
Q3 - 9:27HawksDe'Andre Hunter misses two point pullup jump shot53
17.8%
64
82.2%
Q3 - 9:47HeatOmer Yurtseven turnover (offensive foul)53
16.2%
64
83.8%
Q3 - 9:47HeatOmer Yurtseven offensive foul (Off the ball) (De'Andre Hunter draws the foul)53
18.5%
64
81.5%
Q3 - 9:57HawksHawks turnover (shot clock violation)53
18.4%
64
81.6%
Q3 - 10:25HeatOmer Yurtseven makes two point alley-oop dunk (Gabe Vincent assists)53
16.9%
64
83.1%
Q3 - 10:38HawksKevin Huerter makes two point floating jump shot51
15.3%
64
84.7%
Q3 - 10:55HeatDuncan Robinson turnover (out of bounds step)51
16.9%
62
83.1%
Q3 - 11:11HawksDe'Andre Hunter makes two point driving floating jump shot51
19.7%
62
80.3%
Q3 - 11:18HawksDe'Andre Hunter defensive rebound51
21.8%
60
78.2%
Q3 - 11:22HeatJimmy Butler misses two point floating jump shot51
22.5%
60
77.5%
Q3 - 11:32HawksTrae Young turnover (out of bounds bad pass)51
24.2%
60
75.8%
Q3 - 11:46HeatOmer Yurtseven personal foul (Onyeka Okongwu draws the foul)51
21.7%
60
78.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.51
21.7%
60
78.3%
Q2 - 0:00.4HeatMax Strus makes two point tip layup51
22.9%
60
77.1%
Q2 - 0:00.4HeatMax Strus offensive rebound49
20.2%
60
79.8%
Q2 - 0:02.2HeatBam Adebayo misses two point pullup jump shot49
19.1%
60
80.9%
Q2 - 0:20.6HawksJohn Collins personal foul (Caleb Martin draws the foul)49
20.1%
60
79.9%
Q2 - 0:25.1HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound49
20.1%
60
79.9%
Q2 - 0:29.6HawksTrae Young misses three point stepback jump shot49
19.6%
60
80.4%
Q2 - 0:39.1HeatCaleb Martin makes three point jump shot (Max Strus assists)49
18.5%
60
81.5%
Q2 - 0:52.7HawksJohn Collins makes regular free throw 2 of 246
14.5%
60
85.5%
Q2 - 0:52.7HawksJohn Collins makes regular free throw 1 of 246
14.8%
59
85.2%
Q2 - 0:52.7HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (John Collins draws the foul)46
15.1%
58
84.9%
Q2 - 1:16HeatCaleb Martin makes two point tip layup46
17.6%
58
82.4%
Q2 - 1:16HeatCaleb Martin offensive rebound44
15.3%
58
84.7%
Q2 - 1:21HeatJimmy Butler misses three point jump shot44
14.5%
58
85.5%
Q2 - 1:42HawksJohn Collins personal foul (Double) (Gabe Vincent draws the foul)44
15.2%
58
84.8%
Q2 - 1:42HeatGabe Vincent personal foul (Double) (John Collins draws the foul)44
15.2%
58
84.8%
Q2 - 1:47HawksDe'Andre Hunter makes three point jump shot (Clint Capela assists)44
15.2%
58
84.8%
Q2 - 1:53HawksJohn Collins defensive rebound44
19.5%
55
80.5%
Q2 - 1:56HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving floating jump shot44
19.9%
55
80.1%
Q2 - 2:08HawksTrae Young makes regular free throw 2 of 244
22.1%
55
77.9%
Q2 - 2:08HawksTrae Young misses regular free throw 1 of 244
22.3%
54
77.7%
Q2 - 2:08HeatGabe Vincent shooting foul (Trae Young draws the foul)44
20.5%
54
79.5%
Q2 - 2:16HawksDe'Andre Hunter defensive rebound44
22.0%
54
78.0%
Q2 - 2:20HeatCaleb Martin misses three point jump shot44
22.7%
54
77.3%
Q2 - 2:43HawksTrae Young makes three point stepback jump shot44
24.2%
54
75.8%
Q2 - 2:57HeatGabe Vincent turnover (out of bounds lost ball)44
28.9%
51
71.1%
Q2 - 3:05HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound44
32.5%
51
67.5%
Q2 - 3:10HawksDe'Andre Hunter misses three point jump shot44
31.5%
51
68.5%
Q2 - 3:28HeatCaleb Martin turnover (out of bounds lost ball)44
29.4%
51
70.6%
Q2 - 3:35HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound44
32.4%
51
67.6%
Q2 - 3:40HawksJohn Collins misses three point pullup jump shot44
31.5%
51
68.5%
Q2 - 3:46HawksDe'Andre Hunter defensive rebound44
29.4%
51
70.6%
Q2 - 3:49HeatMax Strus misses three point pullup jump shot44
30.3%
51
69.7%
Q2 - 4:01HawksOnyeka Okongwu personal foul (Duncan Robinson draws the foul)44
32.9%
51
67.1%
Q2 - 4:14HawksTrae Young turnover (bad pass) (Caleb Martin steals)44
32.9%
51
67.1%
Q2 - 4:26HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 144
30.3%
51
69.7%
Q2 - 4:26HawksJohn Collins shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)43
29.8%
51
70.2%
Q2 - 4:48HawksJohn Collins makes two point fadeaway jump shot (Trae Young assists)41
25.8%
51
74.2%
Q2 - 5:12HeatDuncan Robinson turnover (offensive foul)41
28.1%
49
71.9%
Q2 - 5:12HeatDuncan Robinson offensive foul (Off the ball) (De'Andre Hunter draws the foul)41
30.9%
49
69.1%
Q2 - 5:22HawksLou Williams makes two point running layup (Trae Young assists)41
30.9%
49
69.1%
Q2 - 5:24HawksJohn Collins defensive rebound41
32.8%
47
67.2%
Q2 - 5:28HeatOnyeka Okongwu blocks Max Strus's two point driving layup41
33.7%
47
66.3%
Q2 - 5:37HawksTrae Young makes three point stepback jump shot41
35.8%
47
64.2%
Q2 - 5:47HawksTrae Young defensive rebound41
40.5%
44
59.5%
Q2 - 5:49HeatKyle Guy misses three point jump shot41
41.5%
44
58.5%
Q2 - 6:04HawksJohn Collins makes two point cutting dunk (Delon Wright assists)41
44.0%
44
56.0%
Q2 - 6:10HawksJohn Collins defensive rebound41
46.1%
42
53.9%
Q2 - 6:13HeatGabe Vincent misses three point jump shot41
47.1%
42
52.9%
Q2 - 6:22HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound41
49.5%
42
50.5%
Q2 - 6:25HawksLou Williams misses three point jump shot41
48.4%
42
51.6%
Q2 - 6:36HawksJohn Collins defensive rebound41
46.1%
42
53.9%
Q2 - 6:40HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot41
47.1%
42
52.9%
Q2 - 6:51HeatHeat defensive rebound41
49.5%
42
50.5%
Q2 - 6:53HawksLou Williams misses two point pullup jump shot41
48.4%
42
51.6%
Q2 - 7:17HeatGabe Vincent makes two point driving reverse layup41
46.5%
42
53.5%
Q2 - 7:22HeatDewayne Dedmon defensive rebound39
44.0%
42
56.0%
Q2 - 7:27HawksDelon Wright misses two point driving floating jump shot39
43.2%
42
56.8%
Q2 - 7:52HeatMax Strus turnover (traveling)39
41.3%
42
58.7%
Q2 - 8:04HawksOnyeka Okongwu makes regular free throw 2 of 239
43.9%
42
56.1%
Q2 - 8:04HawksOnyeka Okongwu makes regular free throw 1 of 239
44.6%
41
55.4%
Q2 - 8:04HeatMax Strus shooting foul (Onyeka Okongwu draws the foul)39
45.4%
40
54.6%
Q2 - 8:04HawksOnyeka Okongwu offensive rebound39
46.4%
40
53.6%
Q2 - 8:05HawksKevin Huerter misses two point driving layup39
48.3%
40
51.7%
Q2 - 8:17HeatMax Strus makes three point running jump shot (Gabe Vincent assists)39
46.4%
40
53.6%
Q2 - 8:21HeatDewayne Dedmon defensive rebound36
41.4%
40
58.6%
Q2 - 8:25HawksKevin Huerter misses three point jump shot36
40.6%
40
59.4%
Q2 - 8:27HawksOnyeka Okongwu offensive rebound36
38.8%
40
61.2%
Q2 - 8:30HawksKevin Huerter misses three point jump shot36
40.6%
40
59.4%
Q2 - 8:45HeatMax Strus makes two point driving reverse layup36
38.8%
40
61.2%
Q2 - 9:00HawksKevin Huerter makes two point driving floating jump shot (Delon Wright assists)34
36.4%
40
63.6%
Q2 - 9:06HeatMax Strus personal foul (Lou Williams draws the foul)34
38.9%
38
61.1%
Q2 - 9:12HeatCaleb Martin makes two point driving layup (Dewayne Dedmon assists)34
38.9%
38
61.1%
Q2 - 9:15HeatDewayne Dedmon offensive rebound32
36.6%
38
63.4%
Q2 - 9:17HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot32
34.9%
38
65.1%
Q2 - 9:31HawksDelon Wright makes regular free throw 2 of 232
36.6%
38
63.4%
Q2 - 9:31HawksDelon Wright makes regular free throw 1 of 232
37.0%
37
63.0%
Q2 - 9:31HeatGabe Vincent shooting foul (Delon Wright draws the foul)32
37.5%
36
62.5%
Q2 - 9:47HawksKevin Huerter defensive rebound32
38.9%
36
61.1%
Q2 - 9:50HeatKyle Guy misses three point jump shot32
39.6%
36
60.4%
Q2 - 9:59HawksKevin Huerter turnover (traveling)32
41.4%
36
58.6%
Q2 - 10:15HeatMax Strus makes two point stepback jump shot32
39.2%
36
60.8%
Q2 - 10:28HawksDelon Wright personal foul (Kyle Guy draws the foul)30
36.9%
36
63.1%
Q2 - 10:38HawksDelon Wright makes two point driving layup30
36.9%
36
63.1%
Q2 - 10:44HawksDelon Wright defensive rebound30
39.2%
34
60.8%
Q2 - 10:47HeatGabe Vincent misses two point pullup jump shot30
39.9%
34
60.1%
Q2 - 11:05HeatDewayne Dedmon defensive rebound30
41.8%
34
58.2%
Q2 - 11:08HawksKevin Knox II misses three point jump shot30
41.1%
34
58.9%
Q2 - 11:16HawksClint Capela defensive rebound30
39.6%
34
60.4%
Q2 - 11:19HeatCaleb Martin misses three point jump shot30
40.3%
34
59.7%
Q2 - 11:41HawksKevin Huerter makes three point jump shot (Delon Wright assists)30
41.8%
34
58.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.30
46.8%
31
53.2%
Q1 - 0:03.1HawksDelon Wright defensive rebound30
46.7%
31
53.3%
Q1 - 0:03.1HeatDewayne Dedmon misses two point jump shot30
47.3%
31
52.7%
Q1 - 0:25.1HawksLou Williams makes two point driving floating jump shot (Kevin Huerter assists)30
48.7%
31
51.3%
Q1 - 0:32.8HawksClint Capela defensive rebound30
51.4%
29
48.6%
Q1 - 0:35.5HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point pullup jump shot30
52.0%
29
48.0%
Q1 - 0:36.9HeatDuncan Robinson offensive rebound30
53.4%
29
46.6%
Q1 - 0:40.4HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot30
52.0%
29
48.0%
Q1 - 0:49.1HawksLou Williams makes three point jump shot (Delon Wright assists)30
53.4%
29
46.6%
Q1 - 1:04HeatDuncan Robinson personal foul (John Collins draws the foul)30
58.5%
26
41.5%
Q1 - 1:17HeatGabe Vincent makes three point jump shot (Max Strus assists)30
58.5%
26
41.5%
Q1 - 1:20HawksKevin Knox II personal foul (Duncan Robinson draws the foul)27
53.5%
26
46.5%
Q1 - 1:27HawksJohn Collins makes two point jump shot (Delon Wright assists)27
53.5%
26
46.5%
Q1 - 1:40HeatMax Strus makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)27
56.2%
24
43.8%
Q1 - 1:53HawksDelon Wright makes two point stepback jump shot (Lou Williams assists)24
51.2%
24
48.8%
Q1 - 2:15HeatBam Adebayo turnover (out of bounds bad pass)24
53.6%
22
46.4%
Q1 - 2:24HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound24
55.9%
22
44.1%
Q1 - 2:28HawksTrae Young misses three point stepback jump shot24
55.2%
22
44.8%
Q1 - 2:53HeatMax Strus makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)24
53.6%
22
46.4%
Q1 - 3:12HawksClint Capela makes two point dunk (John Collins assists)21
49.0%
22
51.0%
Q1 - 3:26HawksJohn Collins defensive rebound21
50.9%
20
49.1%
Q1 - 3:29HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving layup21
51.7%
20
48.3%
Q1 - 3:43HawksDe'Andre Hunter personal foul (Duncan Robinson draws the foul)21
53.5%
20
46.5%
Q1 - 3:56HawksTrae Young makes two point driving layup21
53.5%
20
46.5%
Q1 - 4:07HawksDe'Andre Hunter defensive rebound21
55.2%
18
44.8%
Q1 - 4:09HeatP.J. Tucker misses three point jump shot21
56.0%
18
44.0%
Q1 - 4:24HawksTrae Young makes two point stepback jump shot21
57.7%
18
42.3%
Q1 - 4:31HawksClint Capela defensive rebound21
59.4%
16
40.6%
Q1 - 4:34HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot21
60.2%
16
39.8%
Q1 - 4:48HawksDe'Andre Hunter makes two point running layup (Trae Young assists)21
61.8%
16
38.2%
Q1 - 4:55HeatBam Adebayo makes two point pullup jump shot21
63.5%
14
36.5%
Q1 - 5:19HawksJohn Collins makes three point jump shot (Kevin Huerter assists)19
61.4%
14
38.6%
Q1 - 5:36HeatGabe Vincent makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)19
65.0%
11
35.0%
Q1 - 5:43HawksDe'Andre Hunter turnover (lost ball) (P.J. Tucker steals)16
61.4%
11
38.6%
Q1 - 6:09HeatGabe Vincent makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)16
59.1%
11
40.9%
Q1 - 6:24HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound13
55.2%
11
44.8%
Q1 - 6:26HawksDe'Andre Hunter misses two point stepback jump shot13
54.6%
11
45.4%
Q1 - 6:50HeatP.J. Tucker makes two point floating jump shot (Duncan Robinson assists)13
53.2%
11
46.8%
Q1 - 7:03HawksTrae Young makes regular free throw 2 of 211
51.4%
11
48.6%
Q1 - 7:03HawksTrae Young misses regular free throw 1 of 211
51.6%
10
48.4%
Q1 - 7:03HeatDuncan Robinson shooting foul (Trae Young draws the foul)11
49.8%
10
50.2%
Q1 - 7:06HeatJimmy Butler turnover (bad pass) (De'Andre Hunter steals)11
51.2%
10
48.8%
Q1 - 7:21HawksJohn Collins makes two point cutting layup (De'Andre Hunter assists)11
53.3%
10
46.7%
Q1 - 7:37HeatDuncan Robinson makes regular free throw 3 of 311
55.1%
8
44.9%
Q1 - 7:37HeatDuncan Robinson misses regular free throw 2 of 310
54.9%
8
45.1%
Q1 - 7:37HeatDuncan Robinson makes regular free throw 1 of 310
56.5%
8
43.5%
Q1 - 7:37HawksOnyeka Okongwu shooting foul (Duncan Robinson draws the foul)9
56.2%
8
43.8%
Q1 - 7:47HeatHeat offensive rebound9
53.3%
8
46.7%
Q1 - 7:50HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot9
51.8%
8
48.2%
Q1 - 8:09HawksTrae Young makes three point pullup jump shot9
53.5%
8
46.5%
Q1 - 8:23HeatGabe Vincent turnover (out of bounds bad pass)9
57.1%
5
42.9%
Q1 - 8:31HeatP.J. Tucker offensive rebound9
59.2%
5
40.8%
Q1 - 8:35HeatGabe Vincent misses three point jump shot9
57.7%
5
42.3%
Q1 - 8:41HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound9
59.2%
5
40.8%
Q1 - 8:44HeatP.J. Tucker misses three point jump shot9
57.7%
5
42.3%
Q1 - 8:56HeatP.J. Tucker defensive rebound9
59.2%
5
40.8%
Q1 - 9:00HawksKevin Huerter misses three point jump shot9
58.5%
5
41.5%
Q1 - 9:14HeatDuncan Robinson makes two point cutting layup (Jimmy Butler assists)9
56.7%
5
43.3%
Q1 - 9:23HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound7
55.2%
5
44.8%
Q1 - 9:26HawksDe'Andre Hunter misses three point jump shot7
54.5%
5
45.5%
Q1 - 9:53HeatJimmy Butler makes two point running dunk (Gabe Vincent assists)7
53.0%
5
47.0%
Q1 - 9:58HawksDe'Andre Hunter turnover (lost ball) (Jimmy Butler steals)5
51.5%
5
48.5%
Q1 - 10:15HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 25
49.2%
5
50.8%
Q1 - 10:15HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 24
48.8%
5
51.2%
Q1 - 10:15HawksOnyeka Okongwu shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)3
48.4%
5
51.6%
Q1 - 10:30HawksOnyeka Okongwu makes two point dunk (John Collins assists)3
47.6%
5
52.4%
Q1 - 10:42HawksJohn Collins defensive rebound3
49.2%
3
50.8%
Q1 - 10:45HeatBam Adebayo misses two point pullup jump shot3
49.8%
3
50.2%
Q1 - 10:52HeatP.J. Tucker defensive rebound3
51.2%
3
48.8%
Q1 - 10:56HawksTrae Young misses three point pullup jump shot3
50.6%
3
49.4%
Q1 - 11:08HeatBam Adebayo turnover (out of bounds bad pass)3
49.1%
3
50.9%
Q1 - 11:23HawksKevin Huerter makes three point jump shot (De'Andre Hunter assists)3
51.2%
3
48.8%
Q1 - 11:46HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)3
54.5%
0
45.5%
Q1 - 12:00Bam Adebayo vs. Onyeka Okongwu (Gabe Vincent gains possession)0
51.2%
0
48.8%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.19 59.3%
ATL
1.29 64.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
19
28
68%
ATL
14
18
78%
Midrange
MIA
7
17
41%
ATL
10
17
59%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
15
22.5
40
38%
56%
ATL
14
21.0
33
42%
64%
Free Throws
MIA
11
12
92%
ATL
20
24
83%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
B. Adebayo2166%10.5 / 16
D. Robinson1979%9.5 / 12
M. Strus1547%7.5 / 16
G. Vincent1478%7.0 / 9
J. Butler1343%6.5 / 15
C. Martin1155%5.5 / 10
K. Guy563%2.5 / 4
D. Dedmon467%2.0 / 3
O. Yurtseven4100%2.0 / 2
P. Tucker233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Young2864%14.0 / 22
K. Huerter2181%10.5 / 13
J. Collins1583%7.5 / 9
D. Hunter1350%6.5 / 13
D. Wright990%4.5 / 5
L. Williams950%4.5 / 9
O. Okongwu675%3.0 / 4
C. Capela6100%3.0 / 3
K. Knox375%1.5 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
77
+14
-15
91
ATL
77
+7
-16
84
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.19 59.3%
ATL
1.29 64.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
113.3
115.9
MIA 117.4
ATL 118.3 +0.9
Pace
96.2
98.1
MIA 97.3 +9.0
ATL 88.2
Avg. Poss. Time
15.0
14.7
MIA 14.8 +1.5
ATL 16.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
54.7%
54.3%
MIA 57.1%
ATL 66.2% +9.1%
TO %
14.2%
11.5%
MIA 14.2% +4.4%
ATL 18.6%
ORB %
23.5%
23.0%
MIA 26.8% +5.4%
ATL 21.4%
FTrt
25.2
25.3
MIA 14.1
ATL 35.3 +21.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
64.4%
59.3%
MIA 73.2% +4.8%
ATL 68.4%
STL %
7.6%
7.3%
MIA 8.7% +5.5%
ATL 3.2%
BLK %
7.1%
7.9%
MIA 2.9% +0.7%
ATL 2.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
56.8%
56.6%
MIA 59.3%
ATL 64.7% +5.4%
Rim FG%
63.4%
61.1%
MIA 67.9%
ATL 77.8% +9.9%
Mid FG%
41.4%
44.5%
MIA 41.2%
ATL 58.8% +17.6%
3P %
37.9%
37.4%
MIA 37.5%
ATL 42.4% +4.9%
FT %
80.8%
81.2%
MIA 91.7% +8.4%
ATL 83.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
30.6%
31.6%
MIA 32.9% +6.5%
ATL 26.5%
Mid Att. %
27.1%
29.5%
MIA 20.0% +5.0%
ATL 25.0%
3P Att. %
42.2%
39.0%
MIA 47.1%
ATL 48.5% +1.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIAATL
Possessions9293
Possession Minutes22.725.3
Points108110
Rebounds3336
Assists3026
Steals83
Blocks11
Turnovers (Team)15 (0)16 (2)
Fouls2217
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (3)6 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)22 (1)30 (0)
Field Goals41-8538-68
At-the-Rim FG19-2814-18
Midrange FG7-1710-17
2-Point FG26-4524-35
3-Point FG15-4014-33
Free Throws11-1220-24
Fast Break Pts103
2nd Chance Pts1611
Points in Paint4236
Pts off Turnovers2220
Bench Points3927
Biggest Lead818

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#2 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 26
37.7
14
78%
2
9
0
0
3
6
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
50%
4-7
57%
#22 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 32
36.5
13
43%
8
8
2
0
2
1
1
7
2-2
100%
4-11
36%
1-3
33%
#13 · C · 6'9" 255 · 25
34.0
21
66%
6
5
1
1
3
3
1
5
7-7
100%
7-13
54%
0-0
-
#55 · SG · 6'7" 215 · 28
30.1
19
79%
1
3
0
0
3
5
1
0
2-3
67%
1-1
100%
5-10
50%
#17 · PF · 6'6" 245 · 37
8.1
2
33%
3
0
1
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-2
0%
#31 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 26
33.2
15
47%
2
4
0
0
1
2
2
0
0-0
-
3-6
50%
3-10
30%
#16 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 26
27.7
11
55%
3
0
4
0
2
3
1
2
0-0
-
4-5
80%
1-5
20%
#21 · C · 7'0" 245 · 32
13.8
4
67%
6
1
0
0
0
0
3
3
0-0
-
2-3
67%
0-0
-
#5 · SG · 6'1" 167 · 24
12.3
5
63%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
1-3
33%
#77 · C · 7'0" 275 · 24
6.8
4
100%
2
0
0
0
1
2
1
1
0-0
-
2-2
100%
0-0
-
#30 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 25
DNP – Coach's Decision
#40 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 42
DNP – Coach's Decision
#14 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 22
Inactive - Health and Safety Protocols
#4 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 30
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Knee; Injury Recovery
#11 · PF · 6'9" 210 · 23
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Wrist; Sprain
#7 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 36
Inactive – Personal
#8 · PF · 6'10" 245 · 32
INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
108
59%
33
30
8
1
15
22
11
22
11-12
92%
26-45
58%
15-40
38%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.