FinalWin Prob.pScore
1548%112
115
1752%113
91
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
115.010095.8
ATL logo ATL
91.999103.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HawksHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HawksHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAATL
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.115
100%
91
0%
Q4 - 0:01.8HawksGorgui Dieng offensive rebound115
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 0:05.3HawksSharife Cooper misses three point stepback jump shot115
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 0:11.8HeatHeat turnover (shot clock violation)115
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 0:34.2HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound115
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 0:37.4HawksDelon Wright misses three point jump shot115
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 0:54.5HeatGabe Vincent makes three point jump shot (Kyle Guy assists)115
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 1:08HawksGorgui Dieng makes three point jump shot (Skylar Mays assists)112
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 1:23HeatCaleb Martin personal foul (Take) (Sharife Cooper draws the foul)112
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 1:24HeatGabe Vincent makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)112
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 1:30HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound109
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 1:34HawksSkylar Mays misses three point jump shot109
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 1:52HawksOnyeka Okongwu defensive rebound109
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 1:56HeatCaleb Martin misses three point jump shot109
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 2:05HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound109
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 2:08HawksGorgui Dieng misses three point jump shot109
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 2:20HeatCaleb Martin makes two point cutting dunk (Omer Yurtseven assists)109
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 2:34HeatOmer Yurtseven defensive rebound107
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 2:38HawksTrae Young misses three point stepback jump shot107
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 2:51HeatCaleb Martin makes three point jump shot107
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 3:14HawksBogdan Bogdanovic makes three point pullup jump shot104
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 3:30HeatOmer Yurtseven makes two point jump shot (Gabe Vincent assists)104
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 3:50HawksDe'Andre Hunter makes regular free throw 2 of 2102
99.8%
85
0.2%
Q4 - 3:50HawksDe'Andre Hunter makes regular free throw 1 of 2102
99.8%
84
0.2%
Q4 - 3:50HeatOmer Yurtseven shooting foul (De'Andre Hunter draws the foul)102
99.8%
83
0.2%
Q4 - 3:56HeatOmer Yurtseven turnover (bad pass) (De'Andre Hunter steals)102
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 3:58HeatOmer Yurtseven defensive rebound102
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 4:02HawksTrae Young misses two point pullup jump shot102
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 4:17HeatOmer Yurtseven makes regular free throw 1 of 1102
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 4:17HawksJohn Collins shooting foul (Omer Yurtseven draws the foul)101
99.8%
83
0.2%
Q4 - 4:25HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound99
99.7%
83
0.3%
Q4 - 4:27HawksKevin Huerter misses three point jump shot99
99.7%
83
0.3%
Q4 - 4:46HeatTyler Herro makes three point jump shot (Omer Yurtseven assists)99
99.6%
83
0.4%
Q4 - 4:48HeatOmer Yurtseven offensive rebound96
99.2%
83
0.8%
Q4 - 4:53HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot96
99.0%
83
1.0%
Q4 - 5:06HawksBogdan Bogdanovic makes two point running layup (Trae Young assists)96
98.6%
83
1.4%
Q4 - 5:10HeatDuncan Robinson turnover (lost ball) (Kevin Huerter steals)96
98.9%
81
1.1%
Q4 - 5:39HawksJohn Collins makes three point running jump shot (Trae Young assists)96
99.3%
81
0.7%
Q4 - 5:43HawksTrae Young defensive rebound96
99.6%
78
0.4%
Q4 - 5:46HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point running jump shot96
99.6%
78
0.4%
Q4 - 5:52HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound96
99.7%
78
0.3%
Q4 - 5:55HawksBogdan Bogdanovic misses three point jump shot96
99.7%
78
0.3%
Q4 - 6:10HeatOmer Yurtseven makes two point tip layup96
99.3%
78
0.7%
Q4 - 6:10HeatOmer Yurtseven offensive rebound94
99.1%
78
0.9%
Q4 - 6:11HeatTyler Herro misses three point running jump shot94
98.9%
78
1.1%
Q4 - 6:16HawksTrae Young turnover (bad pass) (Gabe Vincent steals)94
99.1%
78
0.9%
Q4 - 6:29HeatOmer Yurtseven makes two point dunk (Tyler Herro assists)94
98.8%
78
1.2%
Q4 - 6:30HeatTyler Herro offensive rebound92
98.5%
78
1.5%
Q4 - 6:32HeatOmer Yurtseven misses two point cutting dunk92
98.1%
78
1.9%
Q4 - 6:42HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound92
98.5%
78
1.5%
Q4 - 6:45HawksTrae Young misses three point pullup jump shot92
98.3%
78
1.7%
Q4 - 6:54HeatOmer Yurtseven turnover (3-second violation)92
97.9%
78
2.1%
Q4 - 7:06HawksDanilo Gallinari turnover (offensive foul)92
97.8%
78
2.2%
Q4 - 7:06HawksDanilo Gallinari offensive foul (Gabe Vincent draws the foul)92
97.0%
78
3.0%
Q4 - 7:22HeatCaleb Martin turnover (offensive foul)92
97.1%
78
2.9%
Q4 - 7:22HeatCaleb Martin offensive foul (Off the ball) (Kevin Huerter draws the foul)92
97.8%
78
2.2%
Q4 - 7:32HawksBogdan Bogdanovic personal foul (Duncan Robinson draws the foul)92
97.8%
78
2.2%
Q4 - 7:36HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound92
97.9%
78
2.1%
Q4 - 7:40HawksJohn Collins misses two point jump shot92
97.7%
78
2.3%
Q4 - 7:51HawksDelon Wright defensive rebound92
97.1%
78
2.9%
Q4 - 7:53HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot92
97.4%
78
2.6%
Q4 - 8:10HawksJohn Collins makes three point jump shot (Delon Wright assists)92
97.2%
78
2.8%
Q4 - 8:21HeatCaleb Martin makes two point putback layup92
98.3%
75
1.7%
Q4 - 8:21HeatCaleb Martin offensive rebound90
97.8%
75
2.2%
Q4 - 8:25HeatCaleb Martin misses two point driving layup90
97.4%
75
2.6%
Q4 - 8:41HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound90
97.8%
75
2.2%
Q4 - 8:44HawksDanilo Gallinari misses three point pullup jump shot90
97.7%
75
2.3%
Q4 - 8:59HeatGabe Vincent makes two point cutting layup (Omer Yurtseven assists)90
97.2%
75
2.8%
Q4 - 9:15HawksDelon Wright makes three point running jump shot (Kevin Huerter assists)88
95.8%
75
4.2%
Q4 - 9:19HawksKevin Huerter defensive rebound88
97.3%
72
2.7%
Q4 - 9:22HeatGabe Vincent misses three point stepback jump shot88
97.5%
72
2.5%
Q4 - 9:41HawksOnyeka Okongwu makes two point tip dunk88
97.9%
72
2.1%
Q4 - 9:41HawksOnyeka Okongwu offensive rebound88
98.3%
70
1.7%
Q4 - 9:46HawksDelon Wright misses two point floating jump shot88
98.6%
70
1.4%
Q4 - 9:53HawksDelon Wright defensive rebound88
98.3%
70
1.7%
Q4 - 9:56HeatTyler Herro misses three point pullup jump shot88
98.4%
70
1.6%
Q4 - 10:09HawksOnyeka Okongwu makes two point layup (Bogdan Bogdanovic assists)88
98.3%
70
1.7%
Q4 - 10:25HeatDewayne Dedmon makes two point driving reverse layup (Gabe Vincent assists)88
98.6%
68
1.4%
Q4 - 10:37HawksKevin Huerter makes regular free throw 2 of 286
98.3%
68
1.7%
Q4 - 10:37HawksKevin Huerter misses regular free throw 1 of 286
98.4%
67
1.6%
Q4 - 10:37HeatDuncan Robinson shooting foul (Kevin Huerter draws the foul)86
98.1%
67
1.9%
Q4 - 10:48HeatCaleb Martin personal foul (Danilo Gallinari draws the foul)86
98.3%
67
1.7%
Q4 - 10:57HawksBogdan Bogdanovic defensive rebound86
98.3%
67
1.7%
Q4 - 11:00HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot86
98.4%
67
1.6%
Q4 - 11:20HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound86
98.3%
67
1.7%
Q4 - 11:24HawksKevin Huerter misses three point pullup jump shot86
98.2%
67
1.8%
Q4 - 11:46HeatGabe Vincent turnover (out of bounds bad pass)86
97.9%
67
2.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.86
98.3%
67
1.7%
Q3 - 0:01.0HeatHeat offensive rebound86
97.9%
67
2.1%
Q3 - 0:01.0HeatTyler Herro misses two point pullup jump shot86
97.6%
67
2.4%
Q3 - 0:12.2HawksOnyeka Okongwu personal foul (Loose ball) (Tyler Herro draws the foul)86
97.9%
67
2.1%
Q3 - 0:12.2HeatHeat defensive rebound86
97.9%
67
2.1%
Q3 - 0:13.0HawksKevin Huerter misses two point jump shot86
97.8%
67
2.2%
Q3 - 0:24.8HawksDanilo Gallinari defensive rebound86
97.5%
67
2.5%
Q3 - 0:28.5HeatTyler Herro misses three point pullup jump shot86
97.6%
67
2.4%
Q3 - 0:35.3HawksKevin Huerter makes two point pullup jump shot86
97.9%
67
2.1%
Q3 - 0:48.2HeatTyler Herro makes two point running layup86
98.3%
65
1.7%
Q3 - 0:52.8HeatP.J. Tucker defensive rebound84
97.9%
65
2.1%
Q3 - 0:55.0HawksKevin Huerter misses three point pullup jump shot84
97.8%
65
2.2%
Q3 - 1:11HawksDanilo Gallinari defensive rebound84
96.9%
65
3.1%
Q3 - 1:14HeatGabe Vincent misses three point jump shot84
97.1%
65
2.9%
Q3 - 1:28HeatDewayne Dedmon defensive rebound84
97.5%
65
2.5%
Q3 - 1:31HawksDe'Andre Hunter misses two point stepback jump shot84
97.3%
65
2.7%
Q3 - 1:49HeatGabe Vincent makes three point running jump shot84
96.9%
65
3.1%
Q3 - 1:53HeatP.J. Tucker defensive rebound81
95.7%
65
4.3%
Q3 - 1:56HawksDe'Andre Hunter misses two point driving layup81
95.4%
65
4.6%
Q3 - 2:02HawksDanilo Gallinari defensive rebound81
93.7%
65
6.3%
Q3 - 2:05HeatOnyeka Okongwu blocks P.J. Tucker's two point cutting layup81
94.0%
65
6.0%
Q3 - 2:18HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound81
94.8%
65
5.2%
Q3 - 2:21HawksDe'Andre Hunter misses two point pullup jump shot81
94.5%
65
5.5%
Q3 - 2:31HawksHawks defensive rebound81
93.8%
65
6.2%
Q3 - 2:33HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot81
94.1%
65
5.9%
Q3 - 2:41HawksTrae Young makes regular free throw 2 of 281
94.8%
65
5.2%
Q3 - 2:41HawksTrae Young misses regular free throw 1 of 281
94.9%
64
5.1%
Q3 - 2:41HeatDewayne Dedmon shooting foul (Trae Young draws the foul)81
94.1%
64
5.9%
Q3 - 2:57HeatDuncan Robinson makes two point layup (P.J. Tucker assists)81
94.8%
64
5.2%
Q3 - 3:17HawksTrae Young makes regular free throw 1 of 179
93.3%
64
6.7%
Q3 - 3:17HeatP.J. Tucker shooting foul (Trae Young draws the foul)79
93.4%
63
6.6%
Q3 - 3:21HawksOnyeka Okongwu defensive rebound79
95.0%
61
5.0%
Q3 - 3:26HeatP.J. Tucker misses three point jump shot79
95.3%
61
4.7%
Q3 - 3:48HawksTrae Young makes regular free throw 2 of 279
95.9%
61
4.1%
Q3 - 3:48HawksTrae Young makes regular free throw 1 of 279
96.0%
60
4.0%
Q3 - 3:48HeatMax Strus shooting foul (Trae Young draws the foul)79
96.1%
59
3.9%
Q3 - 4:04HeatOmer Yurtseven makes two point alley-oop dunk (Tyler Herro assists)79
95.9%
59
4.1%
Q3 - 4:24HawksKevin Huerter personal foul (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)77
95.4%
59
4.6%
Q3 - 4:24HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound77
95.4%
59
4.6%
Q3 - 4:26HawksKevin Huerter misses three point jump shot77
95.1%
59
4.9%
Q3 - 4:32HawksJohn Collins defensive rebound77
94.5%
59
5.5%
Q3 - 4:36HeatKyle Lowry misses two point driving layup77
94.8%
59
5.2%
Q3 - 4:57HawksJohn Collins makes two point cutting layup (Trae Young assists)77
95.4%
59
4.6%
Q3 - 5:07HawksJohn Collins defensive rebound77
95.4%
57
4.6%
Q3 - 5:11HeatKyle Lowry misses two point pullup jump shot77
95.6%
57
4.4%
Q3 - 5:21HeatHeat offensive rebound77
96.1%
57
3.9%
Q3 - 5:24HeatCaleb Martin misses three point jump shot77
95.6%
57
4.4%
Q3 - 5:46HawksKevin Huerter makes two point driving floating bank jump shot (John Collins assists)77
96.1%
57
3.9%
Q3 - 5:59HeatKyle Lowry makes two point driving layup (Omer Yurtseven assists)77
96.7%
55
3.3%
Q3 - 6:19HawksKevin Huerter makes regular free throw 2 of 275
95.6%
55
4.4%
Q3 - 6:19HawksKevin Huerter makes regular free throw 1 of 275
95.8%
54
4.2%
Q3 - 6:19HeatMax Strus shooting foul (Kevin Huerter draws the foul)75
95.9%
53
4.1%
Q3 - 6:34HeatP.J. Tucker makes three point jump shot (Max Strus assists)75
96.2%
53
3.8%
Q3 - 6:45HeatP.J. Tucker defensive rebound72
95.0%
53
5.0%
Q3 - 6:48HawksBogdan Bogdanovic misses three point jump shot72
94.7%
53
5.3%
Q3 - 6:57HawksJohn Collins defensive rebound72
94.1%
53
5.9%
Q3 - 7:00HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot72
94.4%
53
5.6%
Q3 - 7:20HawksDanilo Gallinari makes two point turnaround jump shot72
94.5%
53
5.5%
Q3 - 7:40HeatOmer Yurtseven makes two point alley-oop dunk (Kyle Lowry assists)72
95.1%
51
4.9%
Q3 - 7:50HawksJohn Collins turnover (bad pass) (Kyle Lowry steals)70
94.5%
51
5.5%
Q3 - 8:00HeatKyle Lowry personal foul (Trae Young draws the foul)70
93.6%
51
6.4%
Q3 - 8:07HeatCaleb Martin makes two point driving layup (Kyle Lowry assists)70
93.1%
51
6.9%
Q3 - 8:12HeatMax Strus offensive rebound68
92.3%
51
7.7%
Q3 - 8:15HeatP.J. Tucker misses two point running layup68
91.4%
51
8.6%
Q3 - 8:18HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound68
92.3%
51
7.7%
Q3 - 8:21HawksDanilo Gallinari misses three point jump shot68
92.0%
51
8.0%
Q3 - 8:28HeatKyle Lowry personal foul (Bogdan Bogdanovic draws the foul)68
91.0%
51
9.0%
Q3 - 8:46HeatKyle Lowry makes regular free throw 2 of 268
91.0%
51
9.0%
Q3 - 8:46HeatKyle Lowry misses regular free throw 1 of 267
90.9%
51
9.1%
Q3 - 8:46HawksKevin Huerter shooting foul (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)67
91.8%
51
8.2%
Q3 - 8:48HawksJohn Collins turnover (lost ball) (Kyle Lowry steals)67
91.2%
51
8.8%
Q3 - 8:54HawksJohn Collins defensive rebound67
89.8%
51
10.2%
Q3 - 8:57HeatKyle Lowry misses two point layup67
90.2%
51
9.8%
Q3 - 9:08HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound67
90.6%
51
9.4%
Q3 - 9:14HawksKevin Huerter misses two point driving floating jump shot67
90.2%
51
9.8%
Q3 - 9:33HeatKyle Lowry makes three point jump shot67
89.2%
51
10.8%
Q3 - 9:42HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound64
86.4%
51
13.6%
Q3 - 9:45HawksBogdan Bogdanovic misses three point running jump shot64
85.8%
51
14.2%
Q3 - 9:50HawksJohn Collins defensive rebound64
84.4%
51
15.6%
Q3 - 9:53HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot64
85.0%
51
15.0%
Q3 - 9:57HeatCaleb Martin offensive rebound64
86.4%
51
13.6%
Q3 - 10:01HeatKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot64
84.3%
51
15.7%
Q3 - 10:12HawksKevin Huerter turnover (inbound)64
85.7%
51
14.3%
Q3 - 10:18HawksJohn Collins defensive rebound64
83.7%
51
16.3%
Q3 - 10:23HeatCaleb Martin misses three point jump shot64
84.3%
51
15.7%
Q3 - 10:26HeatMax Strus defensive rebound64
85.7%
51
14.3%
Q3 - 10:28HawksTrae Young misses two point driving floating jump shot64
85.1%
51
14.9%
Q3 - 10:40HeatMax Strus makes three point jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)64
83.7%
51
16.3%
Q3 - 10:45HeatOmer Yurtseven defensive rebound61
79.9%
51
20.1%
Q3 - 10:50HawksBogdan Bogdanovic misses three point jump shot61
79.1%
51
20.9%
Q3 - 11:09HeatMax Strus makes regular free throw 2 of 261
76.8%
51
23.2%
Q3 - 11:09HeatMax Strus makes regular free throw 1 of 260
76.3%
51
23.7%
Q3 - 11:09HawksTimothe Luwawu-Cabarrot shooting foul (Max Strus draws the foul)59
75.7%
51
24.3%
Q3 - 11:11HeatOmer Yurtseven defensive rebound59
74.4%
51
25.6%
Q3 - 11:13HawksTrae Young misses two point driving layup59
73.6%
51
26.4%
Q3 - 11:25HeatMax Strus makes three point jump shot (P.J. Tucker assists)59
71.6%
51
28.4%
Q3 - 11:42HawksTrae Young turnover (bad pass) (Kyle Lowry steals)56
66.0%
51
34.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.56
62.8%
51
37.2%
Q2 - 0:01.7HawksTrae Young makes regular free throw 2 of 256
65.1%
51
34.9%
Q2 - 0:01.7HawksTrae Young makes regular free throw 1 of 256
65.4%
50
34.6%
Q2 - 0:01.7HeatP.J. Tucker personal foul (Trae Young draws the foul)56
65.8%
49
34.2%
Q2 - 0:08.3HeatP.J. Tucker makes two point floating jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)56
68.7%
49
31.3%
Q2 - 0:27.4HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound54
65.2%
49
34.8%
Q2 - 0:30.7HawksTrae Young misses two point driving floating jump shot54
64.5%
49
35.5%
Q2 - 0:42.2HeatDewayne Dedmon makes regular free throw 2 of 254
62.9%
49
37.1%
Q2 - 0:42.2HeatDewayne Dedmon makes regular free throw 1 of 253
62.2%
49
37.8%
Q2 - 0:42.2HawksJohn Collins shooting foul (Dewayne Dedmon draws the foul)52
61.4%
49
38.6%
Q2 - 0:51.2HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound52
59.1%
49
40.9%
Q2 - 0:53.7HawksDe'Andre Hunter misses three point jump shot52
58.3%
49
41.7%
Q2 - 0:59.6HawksBogdan Bogdanovic defensive rebound52
56.6%
49
43.4%
Q2 - 1:04HeatKyle Lowry misses three point pullup jump shot52
57.4%
49
42.6%
Q2 - 1:12HeatP.J. Tucker defensive rebound52
58.8%
49
41.2%
Q2 - 1:12HawksTrae Young misses two point driving finger roll layup52
58.2%
49
41.8%
Q2 - 1:19HawksHawks defensive rebound52
56.8%
49
43.2%
Q2 - 1:20HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot52
57.4%
49
42.6%
Q2 - 1:35HawksDe'Andre Hunter makes regular free throw 2 of 252
58.8%
49
41.2%
Q2 - 1:35HawksDe'Andre Hunter makes regular free throw 1 of 252
59.4%
48
40.6%
Q2 - 1:35HeatTyler Herro shooting foul (De'Andre Hunter draws the foul)52
60.0%
47
40.0%
Q2 - 1:44HawksHawks defensive rebound52
62.9%
47
37.1%
Q2 - 1:46HeatKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot52
63.5%
47
36.5%
Q2 - 1:58HeatDewayne Dedmon defensive rebound52
64.8%
47
35.2%
Q2 - 2:00HawksBogdan Bogdanovic misses three point pullup jump shot52
64.2%
47
35.8%
Q2 - 2:14HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)52
61.8%
47
38.2%
Q2 - 2:29HeatP.J. Tucker defensive rebound49
56.0%
47
44.0%
Q2 - 2:33HawksTyler Herro blocks De'Andre Hunter's two point alley-oop layup49
55.1%
47
44.9%
Q2 - 2:37HawksJohn Collins defensive rebound49
52.9%
47
47.1%
Q2 - 2:41HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot49
53.9%
47
46.1%
Q2 - 2:47HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound49
56.0%
47
44.0%
Q2 - 2:51HawksTimothe Luwawu-Cabarrot misses three point jump shot49
55.1%
47
44.9%
Q2 - 3:07HeatP.J. Tucker makes three point jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)49
52.3%
47
47.7%
Q2 - 3:31HawksDe'Andre Hunter makes three point jump shot (Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot assists)46
47.1%
47
52.9%
Q2 - 3:48HeatTyler Herro makes two point running layup46
52.4%
44
47.6%
Q2 - 3:52HeatDewayne Dedmon defensive rebound44
50.0%
44
50.0%
Q2 - 3:54HawksDewayne Dedmon blocks De'Andre Hunter's two point driving layup44
49.0%
44
51.0%
Q2 - 4:14HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point running jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)44
46.9%
44
53.1%
Q2 - 4:17HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound41
41.4%
44
58.6%
Q2 - 4:20HawksJohn Collins misses three point jump shot41
40.6%
44
59.4%
Q2 - 4:38HeatTyler Herro makes two point pullup jump shot41
38.6%
44
61.4%
Q2 - 5:00HawksBogdan Bogdanovic makes three point stepback jump shot39
36.1%
44
63.9%
Q2 - 5:06HawksHawks offensive rebound39
41.1%
41
58.9%
Q2 - 5:06HawksDewayne Dedmon blocks John Collins's two point hook shot39
43.4%
41
56.6%
Q2 - 5:23HeatDewayne Dedmon turnover (offensive foul)39
41.1%
41
58.9%
Q2 - 5:23HeatDewayne Dedmon offensive foul (Off the ball) (Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot draws the foul)39
44.4%
41
55.6%
Q2 - 5:37HeatDewayne Dedmon defensive rebound39
44.4%
41
55.6%
Q2 - 5:40HawksBogdan Bogdanovic misses three point jump shot39
43.4%
41
56.6%
Q2 - 5:48HawksJohn Collins defensive rebound39
41.1%
41
58.9%
Q2 - 5:51HeatP.J. Tucker misses three point jump shot39
42.1%
41
57.9%
Q2 - 5:59HawksTrae Young makes three point running jump shot (Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot assists)39
44.4%
41
55.6%
Q2 - 6:04HeatTyler Herro turnover (lost ball) (Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot steals)39
49.4%
38
50.6%
Q2 - 6:13HawksTrae Young turnover (out of bounds bad pass)39
52.8%
38
47.2%
Q2 - 6:24HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 2 of 239
49.4%
38
50.6%
Q2 - 6:24HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 238
49.1%
38
50.9%
Q2 - 6:24HawksTimothe Luwawu-Cabarrot shooting foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)37
48.7%
38
51.3%
Q2 - 6:36HeatDewayne Dedmon defensive rebound37
47.3%
38
52.7%
Q2 - 6:38HawksJohn Collins misses regular free throw 2 of 237
46.9%
38
53.1%
Q2 - 6:38HawksJohn Collins makes regular free throw 1 of 237
45.0%
38
55.0%
Q2 - 6:38HeatOmer Yurtseven shooting foul (John Collins draws the foul)37
45.6%
37
54.4%
Q2 - 6:38HawksJohn Collins offensive rebound37
46.7%
37
53.3%
Q2 - 6:41HawksDanilo Gallinari misses two point driving layup37
49.0%
37
51.0%
Q2 - 6:47HawksDanilo Gallinari defensive rebound37
46.7%
37
53.3%
Q2 - 6:50HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot37
47.7%
37
52.3%
Q2 - 7:01HawksDanilo Gallinari turnover (offensive foul)37
49.7%
37
50.3%
Q2 - 7:01HawksDanilo Gallinari offensive foul (Gabe Vincent draws the foul)37
47.0%
37
53.0%
Q2 - 7:06HawksBogdan Bogdanovic defensive rebound37
47.0%
37
53.0%
Q2 - 7:09HeatGabe Vincent misses three point pullup jump shot37
47.9%
37
52.1%
Q2 - 7:26HawksBogdan Bogdanovic makes two point driving layup37
49.8%
37
50.2%
Q2 - 7:35HeatGabe Vincent personal foul (Danilo Gallinari draws the foul)37
52.3%
35
47.7%
Q2 - 7:49HeatCaleb Martin makes two point tip layup37
52.3%
35
47.7%
Q2 - 7:50HeatCaleb Martin offensive rebound35
49.8%
35
50.2%
Q2 - 7:50HeatCaleb Martin misses two point tip layup35
47.8%
35
52.2%
Q2 - 7:50HeatCaleb Martin offensive rebound35
49.8%
35
50.2%
Q2 - 7:51HeatCaleb Martin misses two point layup35
47.8%
35
52.2%
Q2 - 7:58HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound35
49.8%
35
50.2%
Q2 - 8:00HawksKevin Huerter misses three point running jump shot35
48.9%
35
51.1%
Q2 - 8:02HawksDe'Andre Hunter defensive rebound35
46.9%
35
53.1%
Q2 - 8:02HeatTyler Herro misses two point putback layup35
47.7%
35
52.3%
Q2 - 8:02HeatTyler Herro offensive rebound35
49.6%
35
50.4%
Q2 - 8:09HeatDe'Andre Hunter blocks Tyler Herro's two point driving layup35
47.7%
35
52.3%
Q2 - 8:23HeatOmer Yurtseven defensive rebound35
49.6%
35
50.4%
Q2 - 8:26HawksDelon Wright misses three point pullup jump shot35
48.7%
35
51.3%
Q2 - 8:44HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)35
46.9%
35
53.1%
Q2 - 8:58HawksDe'Andre Hunter makes two point driving floating jump shot (John Collins assists)32
41.8%
35
58.2%
Q2 - 9:09HawksDelon Wright offensive rebound32
44.2%
33
55.8%
Q2 - 9:13HawksDanilo Gallinari misses three point jump shot32
46.0%
33
54.0%
Q2 - 9:25HawksHawks offensive rebound32
44.2%
33
55.8%
Q2 - 9:27HawksOmer Yurtseven blocks De'Andre Hunter's two point cutting layup32
46.0%
33
54.0%
Q2 - 9:40HeatTyler Herro makes two point fadeaway jump shot32
44.2%
33
55.8%
Q2 - 9:53HeatOmer Yurtseven defensive rebound30
41.8%
33
58.2%
Q2 - 9:55HawksOnyeka Okongwu misses regular free throw 2 of 230
41.4%
33
58.6%
Q2 - 9:55HawksOnyeka Okongwu misses regular free throw 1 of 230
39.9%
33
60.1%
Q2 - 9:55HeatOmer Yurtseven shooting foul (Onyeka Okongwu draws the foul)30
38.2%
33
61.8%
Q2 - 9:55HawksOnyeka Okongwu offensive rebound30
39.2%
33
60.8%
Q2 - 9:57HawksDelon Wright misses three point jump shot30
41.0%
33
59.0%
Q2 - 10:24HeatCaleb Martin makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)30
39.5%
33
60.5%
Q2 - 10:34HawksDanilo Gallinari makes three point jump shot (Kevin Huerter assists)27
34.9%
33
65.1%
Q2 - 10:53HeatGabe Vincent makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)27
39.5%
30
60.5%
Q2 - 11:00HawksDelon Wright turnover (lost ball) (Gabe Vincent steals)24
34.9%
30
65.1%
Q2 - 11:14HawksDanilo Gallinari defensive rebound24
33.1%
30
66.9%
Q2 - 11:17HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot24
33.7%
30
66.3%
Q2 - 11:24Delon Wright kicked ball violation24
35.1%
30
64.9%
Q2 - 11:24HeatDuncan Robinson makes flagrant free throw 3 of 324
33.1%
30
66.9%
Q2 - 11:24HeatDuncan Robinson makes flagrant free throw 2 of 323
34.8%
30
65.2%
Q2 - 11:24HeatDuncan Robinson makes flagrant free throw 1 of 322
34.4%
30
65.6%
Q2 - 11:24HawksOnyeka Okongwu flagrant 1 (Duncan Robinson draws the foul)21
34.1%
30
65.9%
Q2 - 11:41HawksDe'Andre Hunter makes three point jump shot (Delon Wright assists)21
28.8%
30
71.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.21
33.1%
27
66.9%
Q1 - 0:01.2HeatHeat offensive rebound21
35.0%
27
65.0%
Q1 - 0:01.2HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving floating jump shot21
33.8%
27
66.2%
Q1 - 0:15.3HawksDe'Andre Hunter makes three point jump shot (Onyeka Okongwu assists)21
35.1%
27
64.9%
Q1 - 0:30.7HeatCaleb Martin makes two point driving layup (Tyler Herro assists)21
39.8%
24
60.2%
Q1 - 0:52.8HawksTrae Young makes two point running layup19
37.3%
24
62.7%
Q1 - 0:55.0HeatKyle Lowry turnover (bad pass) (Trae Young steals)19
39.9%
22
60.1%
Q1 - 1:00HeatDewayne Dedmon defensive rebound19
41.8%
22
58.2%
Q1 - 1:03HawksTrae Young misses two point pullup jump shot19
41.4%
22
58.6%
Q1 - 1:15HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving bank jump shot19
40.0%
22
60.0%
Q1 - 1:28HawksDanilo Gallinari makes two point pullup jump shot (Kevin Huerter assists)17
37.5%
22
62.5%
Q1 - 1:54HeatTyler Herro makes two point finger roll layup17
40.0%
20
60.0%
Q1 - 2:05HeatDewayne Dedmon defensive rebound15
38.0%
20
62.0%
Q1 - 2:09HawksTrae Young misses three point stepback jump shot15
37.3%
20
62.7%
Q1 - 2:23HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving layup15
35.8%
20
64.2%
Q1 - 2:36HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound13
33.8%
20
66.2%
Q1 - 2:38HawksOnyeka Okongwu misses regular free throw 2 of 213
33.5%
20
66.5%
Q1 - 2:38HawksOnyeka Okongwu misses regular free throw 1 of 213
32.2%
20
67.8%
Q1 - 2:38HeatDewayne Dedmon shooting foul (Onyeka Okongwu draws the foul)13
30.8%
20
69.2%
Q1 - 2:51HeatKyle Lowry turnover (out of bounds bad pass)13
31.7%
20
68.3%
Q1 - 3:06HawksJohn Collins turnover (traveling)13
34.0%
20
66.0%
Q1 - 3:11HeatDuncan Robinson turnover (lost ball) (Kevin Huerter steals)13
31.7%
20
68.3%
Q1 - 3:21HawksJohn Collins makes two point layup (Kevin Huerter assists)13
34.0%
20
66.0%
Q1 - 3:42HeatDewayne Dedmon makes two point putback layup13
35.7%
18
64.3%
Q1 - 3:42HeatDewayne Dedmon offensive rebound11
34.0%
18
66.0%
Q1 - 3:46HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving layup11
32.4%
18
67.6%
Q1 - 3:59HawksJohn Collins personal foul (Dewayne Dedmon draws the foul)11
34.0%
18
66.0%
Q1 - 4:14HawksJohn Collins makes two point floating jump shot (Bogdan Bogdanovic assists)11
34.6%
18
65.4%
Q1 - 4:24HeatKyle Lowry personal foul (John Collins draws the foul)11
36.2%
16
63.8%
Q1 - 4:41HeatP.J. Tucker makes two point hook shot (Tyler Herro assists)11
36.2%
16
63.8%
Q1 - 5:00HawksKevin Huerter turnover (traveling)9
34.6%
16
65.4%
Q1 - 5:14HeatMax Strus makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)9
33.1%
16
66.9%
Q1 - 5:20HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound6
29.7%
16
70.3%
Q1 - 5:23HawksTimothe Luwawu-Cabarrot misses two point cutting layup6
29.2%
16
70.8%
Q1 - 5:39HeatTyler Herro turnover (bad pass) (Bogdan Bogdanovic steals)6
27.8%
16
72.2%
Q1 - 5:50HawksJohn Collins makes three point jump shot (Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot assists)6
29.7%
16
70.3%
Q1 - 6:05HeatTyler Herro makes two point cutting layup (Omer Yurtseven assists)6
33.5%
13
66.5%
Q1 - 6:18HawksTimothe Luwawu-Cabarrot personal foul (Max Strus draws the foul)4
31.8%
13
68.2%
Q1 - 6:21HeatOmer Yurtseven defensive rebound4
31.8%
13
68.2%
Q1 - 6:24HawksBogdan Bogdanovic misses three point stepback jump shot4
31.2%
13
68.8%
Q1 - 6:30HawksBogdan Bogdanovic defensive rebound4
30.1%
13
69.9%
Q1 - 6:33HeatCaleb Martin misses three point jump shot4
30.6%
13
69.4%
Q1 - 6:49HeatP.J. Tucker defensive rebound4
31.8%
13
68.2%
Q1 - 6:52HawksTrae Young misses three point jump shot4
31.2%
13
68.8%
Q1 - 7:07HeatKyle Lowry makes regular free throw 2 of 24
30.3%
13
69.7%
Q1 - 7:07HeatKyle Lowry makes regular free throw 1 of 23
30.1%
13
69.9%
Q1 - 7:07HawksOnyeka Okongwu shooting foul (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)2
29.8%
13
70.2%
Q1 - 7:21HawksBogdan Bogdanovic makes three point jump shot (Trae Young assists)2
28.8%
13
71.2%
Q1 - 7:30HeatOmer Yurtseven turnover (lost ball) (Onyeka Okongwu steals)2
32.0%
10
68.0%
Q1 - 7:49HawksJohn Collins turnover (offensive foul)2
33.9%
10
66.1%
Q1 - 7:49HawksJohn Collins offensive foul (Charge) (P.J. Tucker draws the foul)2
32.0%
10
68.0%
Q1 - 7:55HawksBogdan Bogdanovic defensive rebound2
32.0%
10
68.0%
Q1 - 7:59HeatCaleb Martin misses two point driving floating jump shot2
32.5%
10
67.5%
Q1 - 8:08HawksOnyeka Okongwu makes two point putback layup2
34.3%
10
65.7%
Q1 - 8:08HawksOnyeka Okongwu offensive rebound2
35.8%
8
64.2%
Q1 - 8:13HawksTimothe Luwawu-Cabarrot misses three point jump shot2
37.2%
8
62.8%
Q1 - 8:30HeatCaleb Martin makes two point pullup jump shot (Omer Yurtseven assists)2
35.8%
8
64.2%
Q1 - 8:46HawksTimothe Luwawu-Cabarrot makes regular free throw 2 of 20
34.3%
8
65.7%
Q1 - 8:46HawksTimothe Luwawu-Cabarrot makes regular free throw 1 of 20
34.5%
7
65.5%
Q1 - 8:46HeatP.J. Tucker shooting foul (Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot draws the foul)0
34.8%
6
65.2%
Q1 - 8:55HawksOnyeka Okongwu defensive rebound0
35.8%
6
64.2%
Q1 - 8:58HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot0
36.4%
6
63.6%
Q1 - 9:19HawksTrae Young makes two point running layup0
38.0%
6
62.0%
Q1 - 9:24HawksTrae Young defensive rebound0
39.5%
4
60.5%
Q1 - 9:26HeatP.J. Tucker misses three point jump shot0
40.1%
4
59.9%
Q1 - 9:44HawksTimothe Luwawu-Cabarrot makes two point running layup (Trae Young assists)0
41.6%
4
58.4%
Q1 - 9:48HeatCaleb Martin turnover (bad pass) (John Collins steals)0
43.1%
2
56.9%
Q1 - 10:00HawksTrae Young turnover (bad pass) (P.J. Tucker steals)0
45.3%
2
54.7%
Q1 - 10:07HawksOnyeka Okongwu defensive rebound0
43.2%
2
56.8%
Q1 - 10:10HeatOmer Yurtseven misses two point jump shot0
43.8%
2
56.2%
Q1 - 10:19HeatOmer Yurtseven defensive rebound0
45.1%
2
54.9%
Q1 - 10:22HawksBogdan Bogdanovic misses three point running jump shot0
44.5%
2
55.5%
Q1 - 10:25HawksJohn Collins defensive rebound0
43.2%
2
56.8%
Q1 - 10:29HeatMax Strus misses two point driving floating jump shot0
43.8%
2
56.2%
Q1 - 10:38HawksBogdan Bogdanovic turnover (bad pass) (P.J. Tucker steals)0
45.2%
2
54.8%
Q1 - 10:41HawksJohn Collins defensive rebound0
43.1%
2
56.9%
Q1 - 10:46HeatBogdan Bogdanovic blocks Omer Yurtseven's two point layup0
43.8%
2
56.2%
Q1 - 10:57HeatP.J. Tucker defensive rebound0
45.2%
2
54.8%
Q1 - 11:00HawksTrae Young misses three point pullup jump shot0
44.5%
2
55.5%
Q1 - 11:06HawksTrae Young defensive rebound0
43.2%
2
56.8%
Q1 - 11:08HeatKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot0
43.8%
2
56.2%
Q1 - 11:29HawksBogdan Bogdanovic makes two point pullup jump shot0
45.2%
2
54.8%
Q1 - 11:53HeatCaleb Martin turnover (traveling)0
46.7%
0
53.3%
Q1 - 12:00Omer Yurtseven vs. Onyeka Okongwu (Caleb Martin gains possession)0
48.7%
0
51.3%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.16 58.1%
ATL
0.97 48.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
22
34
65%
ATL
10
18
56%
Midrange
MIA
5
11
45%
ATL
8
19
42%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
16
24.0
45
36%
53%
ATL
13
19.5
45
29%
43%
Free Throws
MIA
13
14
93%
ATL
16
23
70%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Herro2153%10.5 / 20
C. Martin1856%9.0 / 16
D. Robinson1464%7.0 / 11
G. Vincent1488%7.0 / 8
O. Yurtseven1372%6.5 / 9
M. Strus1169%5.5 / 8
P. Tucker1056%5.0 / 9
K. Lowry836%4.0 / 11
D. Dedmon6100%3.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Collins1680%8.0 / 10
T. Young1542%7.5 / 18
B. Bogdanović1554%7.5 / 14
D. Hunter1558%7.5 / 13
K. Huerter732%3.5 / 11
D. Gallinari750%3.5 / 7
O. Okongwu660%3.0 / 5
T. Luwawu-Cabarrot440%2.0 / 5
D. Wright330%1.5 / 5
G. Dieng375%1.5 / 2
S. Mays0-0.0 / 2
S. Cooper0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
86
+13
-14
99
ATL
85
+9
-14
94
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.16 58.1%
ATL
0.97 48.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
113.3
115.9
MIA 115.0
ATL 91.9 +23.1
Pace
96.2
98.1
MIA 95.8
ATL 103.5 +7.7
Avg. Poss. Time
15.0
14.7
MIA 15.0
ATL 13.9 +1.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
54.7%
54.3%
MIA 56.7% +11.0%
ATL 45.7%
TO %
14.2%
11.5%
MIA 13.5%
ATL 13.2% +0.3%
ORB %
23.5%
23.0%
MIA 24.4% +12.4%
ATL 12.0%
FTrt
25.2
25.3
MIA 15.6
ATL 28.0 +12.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
64.4%
59.3%
MIA 65.1% +0.6%
ATL 64.5%
STL %
7.6%
7.3%
MIA 7.0%
ATL 8.1% +1.1%
BLK %
7.1%
7.9%
MIA 10.8% +4.1%
ATL 6.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
56.8%
56.6%
MIA 58.1% +9.7%
ATL 48.4%
Rim FG%
63.4%
61.1%
MIA 64.7% +9.1%
ATL 55.6%
Mid FG%
41.4%
44.5%
MIA 45.5% +3.4%
ATL 42.1%
3P %
37.9%
37.4%
MIA 35.6% +6.7%
ATL 28.9%
FT %
80.8%
81.2%
MIA 92.9% +23.3%
ATL 69.6%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
30.6%
31.6%
MIA 37.8% +15.8%
ATL 22.0%
Mid Att. %
27.1%
29.5%
MIA 12.2% +10.9%
ATL 23.2%
3P Att. %
42.2%
39.0%
MIA 50.0%
ATL 54.9% +4.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIAATL
Possessions10099
Possession Minutes25.023.0
Points11591
Rebounds5437
Assists2820
Steals78
Blocks43
Turnovers (Team)14 (1)14 (0)
Fouls2015
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (3)6 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)44 (1)31 (3)
Field Goals43-9031-82
At-the-Rim FG22-3410-18
Midrange FG5-118-19
2-Point FG27-4518-37
3-Point FG16-4513-45
Free Throws13-1416-23
Fast Break Pts1317
2nd Chance Pts1510
Points in Paint4630
Pts off Turnovers1319
Bench Points5535
Biggest Lead2411

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#16 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 26
32.8
18
56%
10
0
0
0
3
3
4
6
0-0
-
6-10
60%
2-6
33%
#77 · C · 7'0" 275 · 24
28.7
13
72%
10
6
0
1
3
3
2
8
1-1
100%
6-9
67%
0-0
-
#7 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 36
27.6
8
36%
6
5
3
0
2
3
0
6
3-4
75%
1-4
25%
1-5
20%
#17 · PF · 6'6" 245 · 37
27.6
10
56%
7
2
2
0
0
3
0
7
0-0
-
2-4
50%
2-5
40%
#31 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 26
15.0
11
69%
2
1
0
0
0
2
1
1
2-2
100%
0-1
0%
3-6
50%
#14 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 22
35.6
21
53%
9
11
0
1
2
1
2
7
2-2
100%
8-13
62%
1-6
17%
#55 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 28
31.6
14
64%
2
0
0
0
2
1
0
2
3-3
100%
1-1
100%
3-10
30%
#2 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 26
20.4
14
88%
0
2
2
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
4-7
57%
#21 · C · 7'0" 245 · 32
17.9
6
100%
8
0
0
2
1
3
1
7
2-2
100%
2-2
100%
0-0
-
#5 · SG · 6'1" 167 · 24
1.4
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
#30 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 25
1.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
#40 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 42
DNP – Coach's Decision
#0 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 23
INACTIVE
#11 · PF · 6'9" 210 · 23
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Wrist; Sprain
#8 · PF · 6'10" 245 · 32
Inactive - Health and Safety Protocols
#22 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 32
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Ankle; Sprain
#13 · C · 6'9" 255 · 24
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Thumb; UCL Reconstruction
#4 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 30
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Knee; Injury Recovery
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
115
58%
54
28
7
4
14
20
10
44
13-14
93%
27-45
60%
16-45
36%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.