FinalWin Prob.pScore
2824%101
83
1476%111
93
ORTG#PossPace
ORL logo ORL
91.29188.4
MIA logo MIA
103.39093.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventORLMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.83
0%
93
100%
Q4 - 0:13.2HeatMax Strus makes regular free throw 2 of 283
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 0:13.2HeatMax Strus makes regular free throw 1 of 283
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 0:13.2MagicFreddie Gillespie personal foul (Max Strus draws the foul)83
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 0:27.4MagicGary Harris makes three point jump shot (R.J. Hampton assists)83
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 0:34.8HeatMax Strus turnover (bad pass) (R.J. Hampton steals)80
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 0:56.1MagicHassani Gravett makes three point pullup jump shot80
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 0:58.3HeatGabe Vincent turnover (bad pass) (Hassani Gravett steals)77
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 1:02HeatOmer Yurtseven offensive rebound77
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 1:04HeatGabe Vincent misses three point pullup jump shot77
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 1:16HeatCaleb Martin offensive rebound77
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 1:18HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot77
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 1:26HeatMarcus Garrett offensive rebound77
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 1:29HeatGabe Vincent misses two point pullup jump shot77
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 1:51MagicGary Harris makes regular free throw 2 of 277
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 1:51MagicGary Harris makes regular free throw 1 of 276
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 1:51HeatMarcus Garrett shooting foul (Gary Harris draws the foul)75
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 1:52HeatMarcus Garrett makes regular free throw 2 of 275
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 1:52HeatMarcus Garrett misses regular free throw 1 of 275
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 1:52MagicHassani Gravett shooting foul (Marcus Garrett draws the foul)75
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 1:55MagicHassani Gravett turnover (bad pass) (Marcus Garrett steals)75
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 2:05MagicWendell Carter Jr. defensive rebound75
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 2:08HeatCaleb Martin misses regular free throw 2 of 275
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 2:08HeatCaleb Martin misses regular free throw 1 of 275
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 2:08MagicWendell Carter Jr. shooting foul (Caleb Martin draws the foul)75
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 2:30MagicFranz Wagner makes three point jump shot (R.J. Hampton assists)75
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 2:37HeatGabe Vincent makes two point fadeaway jump shot72
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 3:02MagicFranz Wagner personal foul (Loose ball) (Omer Yurtseven draws the foul)72
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 3:02HeatHeat defensive rebound72
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 3:03MagicFranz Wagner misses two point driving bank jump shot72
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 3:14HeatMax Strus makes three point jump shot (Gabe Vincent assists)72
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 3:27HeatGabe Vincent defensive rebound72
0.2%
85
99.8%
Q4 - 3:33MagicCaleb Martin blocks Hassani Gravett's two point driving layup72
0.5%
85
99.5%
Q4 - 3:40MagicWendell Carter Jr. defensive rebound72
0.6%
85
99.4%
Q4 - 3:43HeatOmer Yurtseven misses two point hook shot72
0.5%
85
99.5%
Q4 - 3:56HeatGabe Vincent defensive rebound72
0.4%
85
99.6%
Q4 - 4:00MagicR.J. Hampton misses three point jump shot72
0.4%
85
99.6%
Q4 - 4:22HeatOmer Yurtseven makes two point tip layup72
0.6%
85
99.4%
Q4 - 4:22HeatOmer Yurtseven offensive rebound72
0.8%
83
99.2%
Q4 - 4:26HeatGabe Vincent misses two point driving floating jump shot72
1.0%
83
99.0%
Q4 - 4:49MagicWendell Carter Jr. turnover (offensive foul)72
0.8%
83
99.2%
Q4 - 4:49MagicWendell Carter Jr. offensive foul (Omer Yurtseven draws the foul)72
1.1%
83
98.9%
Q4 - 5:02HeatOmer Yurtseven turnover (offensive foul)72
1.7%
83
98.3%
Q4 - 5:02HeatOmer Yurtseven offensive foul (Wendell Carter Jr. draws the foul)72
1.2%
83
98.8%
Q4 - 5:15MagicWendell Carter Jr. turnover (offensive foul)72
1.2%
83
98.8%
Q4 - 5:15MagicWendell Carter Jr. offensive foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)72
1.7%
83
98.3%
Q4 - 5:23HeatCaleb Martin makes regular free throw 1 of 172
1.7%
83
98.3%
Q4 - 5:23MagicFreddie Gillespie shooting foul (Caleb Martin draws the foul)72
1.8%
82
98.2%
Q4 - 5:25HeatCaleb Martin offensive rebound72
3.0%
80
97.0%
Q4 - 5:25HeatCaleb Martin misses two point driving floating jump shot72
3.8%
80
96.2%
Q4 - 5:28HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound72
3.0%
80
97.0%
Q4 - 5:32MagicR.J. Hampton misses three point stepback jump shot72
3.3%
80
96.7%
Q4 - 5:37MagicTim Frazier defensive rebound72
4.2%
80
95.8%
Q4 - 5:39HeatJimmy Butler misses two point pullup jump shot72
3.8%
80
96.2%
Q4 - 6:03MagicR.J. Hampton makes three point jump shot (Tim Frazier assists)72
3.7%
80
96.3%
Q4 - 6:12MagicFreddie Gillespie offensive rebound69
2.2%
80
97.8%
Q4 - 6:15MagicGary Harris misses two point layup69
1.7%
80
98.3%
Q4 - 6:25HeatJimmy Butler makes two point bank jump shot69
2.2%
80
97.8%
Q4 - 6:36HeatMax Strus defensive rebound69
2.7%
78
97.3%
Q4 - 6:42MagicGary Harris misses three point jump shot69
3.0%
78
97.0%
Q4 - 6:55MagicAdmiral Schofield defensive rebound69
3.8%
78
96.2%
Q4 - 6:58HeatCaleb Martin misses three point jump shot69
3.4%
78
96.6%
Q4 - 7:23MagicTim Frazier makes three point jump shot69
3.3%
78
96.7%
Q4 - 7:49HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 266
2.0%
78
98.0%
Q4 - 7:49HeatJimmy Butler misses regular free throw 1 of 266
2.1%
77
97.9%
Q4 - 7:49MagicAleem Ford shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)66
1.7%
77
98.3%
Q4 - 8:07HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound66
2.3%
77
97.7%
Q4 - 8:10MagicAdmiral Schofield misses three point jump shot66
2.5%
77
97.5%
Q4 - 8:28HeatCaleb Martin makes two point putback layup66
3.0%
77
97.0%
Q4 - 8:29HeatCaleb Martin offensive rebound66
3.8%
75
96.2%
Q4 - 8:32HeatR.J. Hampton blocks Max Strus's two point running layup66
4.5%
75
95.5%
Q4 - 8:36HeatGabe Vincent defensive rebound66
3.8%
75
96.2%
Q4 - 8:40MagicR.J. Hampton misses three point jump shot66
4.1%
75
95.9%
Q4 - 8:52MagicAdmiral Schofield defensive rebound66
4.8%
75
95.2%
Q4 - 8:55HeatCaleb Martin misses three point stepback jump shot66
4.5%
75
95.5%
Q4 - 9:09HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound66
4.1%
75
95.9%
Q4 - 9:12MagicTim Frazier misses regular free throw 2 of 266
4.2%
75
95.8%
Q4 - 9:12MagicTim Frazier makes regular free throw 1 of 266
4.9%
75
95.1%
Q4 - 9:12HeatMarcus Garrett shooting foul (Tim Frazier draws the foul)65
4.6%
75
95.4%
Q4 - 9:24MagicTim Frazier defensive rebound65
4.2%
75
95.8%
Q4 - 9:28HeatMarcus Garrett misses three point jump shot65
3.9%
75
96.1%
Q4 - 9:35HeatOmer Yurtseven defensive rebound65
3.2%
75
96.8%
Q4 - 9:37MagicAleem Ford misses three point jump shot65
3.5%
75
96.5%
Q4 - 9:55MagicFreddie Gillespie defensive rebound65
4.2%
75
95.8%
Q4 - 9:58HeatOmer Yurtseven misses two point jump shot65
3.9%
75
96.1%
Q4 - 10:13MagicR.J. Hampton makes three point jump shot (Tim Frazier assists)65
3.7%
75
96.3%
Q4 - 10:24MagicAleem Ford defensive rebound62
2.5%
75
97.5%
Q4 - 10:28HeatGabe Vincent misses three point stepback jump shot62
2.3%
75
97.7%
Q4 - 10:40HeatMarcus Garrett defensive rebound62
1.9%
75
98.1%
Q4 - 10:42MagicFreddie Gillespie misses two point jump shot62
2.1%
75
97.9%
Q4 - 11:00HeatGabe Vincent makes three point jump shot62
2.5%
75
97.5%
Q4 - 11:23MagicFreddie Gillespie makes two point cutting dunk (Aleem Ford assists)62
4.2%
72
95.8%
Q4 - 11:34HeatUdonis Haslem personal foul (Loose ball) (Aleem Ford draws the foul)60
3.4%
72
96.6%
Q4 - 11:34MagicMagic defensive rebound60
3.4%
72
96.6%
Q4 - 11:34HeatUdonis Haslem misses two point putback layup60
3.2%
72
96.8%
Q4 - 11:34HeatUdonis Haslem offensive rebound60
2.8%
72
97.2%
Q4 - 11:35HeatFreddie Gillespie blocks Udonis Haslem's two point layup60
3.2%
72
96.8%
Q4 - 11:48MagicTim Frazier turnover (bad pass) (Caleb Martin steals)60
2.8%
72
97.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.60
3.4%
72
96.6%
Q3 - 0:02.5MagicFreddie Gillespie defensive rebound60
3.8%
72
96.2%
Q3 - 0:02.5HeatGabe Vincent misses two point driving layup60
3.6%
72
96.4%
Q3 - 0:09.8MagicFranz Wagner makes two point cutting layup (Tim Frazier assists)60
3.1%
72
96.9%
Q3 - 0:29.2MagicFranz Wagner misses technical free throw 1 of 158
2.5%
72
97.5%
Q3 - 0:29.2HeatTyler Herro technical foul58
3.0%
72
97.0%
Q3 - 0:29.2HeatTyler Herro turnover (offensive foul)58
3.0%
72
97.0%
Q3 - 0:29.2HeatTyler Herro offensive foul (Tim Frazier draws the foul)58
2.1%
72
97.9%
Q3 - 0:39.0MagicFreddie Gillespie personal foul (Udonis Haslem draws the foul)58
2.1%
72
97.9%
Q3 - 0:39.0HeatUdonis Haslem defensive rebound58
2.1%
72
97.9%
Q3 - 0:39.8MagicFranz Wagner misses two point driving finger roll layup58
2.2%
72
97.8%
Q3 - 0:57.5HeatCaleb Martin makes two point driving layup (Udonis Haslem assists)58
2.5%
72
97.5%
Q3 - 1:07HeatUdonis Haslem defensive rebound58
3.4%
70
96.6%
Q3 - 1:10MagicR.J. Hampton misses regular free throw 2 of 258
3.5%
70
96.5%
Q3 - 1:10MagicR.J. Hampton misses regular free throw 1 of 258
3.9%
70
96.1%
Q3 - 1:10HeatUdonis Haslem shooting foul (R.J. Hampton draws the foul)58
4.4%
70
95.6%
Q3 - 1:23HeatUdonis Haslem personal foul (Loose ball) (Freddie Gillespie draws the foul)58
4.2%
70
95.8%
Q3 - 1:23MagicMagic offensive rebound58
4.2%
70
95.8%
Q3 - 1:23MagicR.J. Hampton misses three point pullup jump shot58
3.6%
70
96.4%
Q3 - 1:37HeatCaleb Martin makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)58
4.2%
70
95.8%
Q3 - 1:58MagicR.J. Hampton makes two point stepback jump shot (Tim Frazier assists)58
5.9%
67
94.1%
Q3 - 2:03HeatCaleb Martin personal foul (Take) (Hassani Gravett draws the foul)56
5.5%
67
94.5%
Q3 - 2:03MagicHassani Gravett defensive rebound56
5.5%
67
94.5%
Q3 - 2:05HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving floating jump shot56
5.2%
67
94.8%
Q3 - 2:14MagicGary Harris makes two point tip dunk56
4.5%
67
95.5%
Q3 - 2:14MagicGary Harris offensive rebound54
3.9%
67
96.1%
Q3 - 2:19MagicR.J. Hampton misses two point driving layup54
3.4%
67
96.6%
Q3 - 2:42HeatCaleb Martin makes two point cutting layup (Tyler Herro assists)54
3.8%
67
96.2%
Q3 - 2:55MagicFreddie Gillespie turnover (lost ball) (Udonis Haslem steals)54
4.5%
65
95.5%
Q3 - 3:14HeatTyler Herro turnover (out of bounds bad pass)54
5.9%
65
94.1%
Q3 - 3:26MagicFreddie Gillespie makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot54
4.8%
65
95.2%
Q3 - 3:28MagicFreddie Gillespie offensive rebound52
4.2%
65
95.8%
Q3 - 3:30MagicFranz Wagner misses two point layup52
3.7%
65
96.3%
Q3 - 3:43HeatUdonis Haslem makes two point layup (Jimmy Butler assists)52
4.2%
65
95.8%
Q3 - 4:05MagicR.J. Hampton makes two point driving layup (Hassani Gravett assists)52
5.1%
63
94.9%
Q3 - 4:10MagicGary Harris defensive rebound50
4.5%
63
95.5%
Q3 - 4:13HeatJimmy Butler misses two point running reverse layup50
4.2%
63
95.8%
Q3 - 4:19HeatOmer Yurtseven defensive rebound50
3.7%
63
96.3%
Q3 - 4:21MagicHassani Gravett misses two point driving bank jump shot50
3.9%
63
96.1%
Q3 - 4:24MagicFranz Wagner defensive rebound50
4.5%
63
95.5%
Q3 - 4:27HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot50
4.2%
63
95.8%
Q3 - 4:50MagicGary Harris turnover (out of bounds lost ball)50
3.7%
63
96.3%
Q3 - 5:07HeatOmer Yurtseven personal foul (Hassani Gravett draws the foul)50
4.8%
63
95.2%
Q3 - 5:07HeatJimmy Butler turnover (bad pass) (Franz Wagner steals)50
4.8%
63
95.2%
Q3 - 5:29HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound50
4.1%
63
95.9%
Q3 - 5:31MagicWendell Carter Jr. misses three point jump shot50
4.3%
63
95.7%
Q3 - 5:38MagicHassani Gravett defensive rebound50
4.8%
63
95.2%
Q3 - 5:42HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot50
4.6%
63
95.4%
Q3 - 5:49HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound50
4.1%
63
95.9%
Q3 - 5:51HeatOmer Yurtseven misses two point jump shot50
4.6%
63
95.4%
Q3 - 6:09MagicAdmiral Schofield makes two point layup (Gary Harris assists)50
4.3%
63
95.7%
Q3 - 6:22MagicWendell Carter Jr. defensive rebound48
3.7%
63
96.3%
Q3 - 6:22HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot48
3.6%
63
96.4%
Q3 - 6:31HeatGabe Vincent defensive rebound48
3.2%
63
96.8%
Q3 - 6:34MagicAdmiral Schofield misses three point jump shot48
3.3%
63
96.7%
Q3 - 6:51HeatMax Strus makes three point jump shot (Duncan Robinson assists)48
3.7%
63
96.3%
Q3 - 6:58HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound48
4.9%
60
95.1%
Q3 - 7:00HeatOmer Yurtseven misses two point floating jump shot48
5.5%
60
94.5%
Q3 - 7:18MagicFranz Wagner makes two point driving layup48
5.1%
60
94.9%
Q3 - 7:37HeatGabe Vincent makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)46
4.5%
60
95.5%
Q3 - 7:41HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound46
5.8%
57
94.2%
Q3 - 7:44MagicHassani Gravett misses two point stepback jump shot46
6.1%
57
93.9%
Q3 - 7:58HeatGabe Vincent makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)46
6.9%
57
93.1%
Q3 - 8:18MagicFranz Wagner makes regular free throw 2 of 246
9.0%
54
91.0%
Q3 - 8:18MagicFranz Wagner makes regular free throw 1 of 245
8.8%
54
91.2%
Q3 - 8:18HeatMax Strus shooting foul (Franz Wagner draws the foul)44
8.5%
54
91.5%
Q3 - 8:22HeatGabe Vincent turnover (lost ball) (Hassani Gravett steals)44
8.0%
54
92.0%
Q3 - 8:30MagicWendell Carter Jr. turnover (offensive foul)44
6.9%
54
93.1%
Q3 - 8:30MagicWendell Carter Jr. offensive foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)44
8.0%
54
92.0%
Q3 - 8:42HeatJimmy Butler makes two point putback layup44
8.0%
54
92.0%
Q3 - 8:44HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound44
9.0%
52
91.0%
Q3 - 8:47HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot44
10.0%
52
90.0%
Q3 - 9:05MagicWendell Carter Jr. makes three point jump shot (Admiral Schofield assists)44
9.2%
52
90.8%
Q3 - 9:11HeatJimmy Butler turnover (bad pass) (Franz Wagner steals)41
7.2%
52
92.8%
Q3 - 9:14MagicWendell Carter Jr. makes two point driving layup41
6.2%
52
93.8%
Q3 - 9:29HeatGabe Vincent makes two point jump shot (Duncan Robinson assists)39
5.5%
52
94.5%
Q3 - 9:46HeatOmer Yurtseven defensive rebound39
6.2%
50
93.8%
Q3 - 9:49MagicAdmiral Schofield misses three point jump shot39
6.4%
50
93.6%
Q3 - 10:17HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Gabe Vincent assists)39
7.3%
50
92.7%
Q3 - 10:32HeatMax Strus defensive rebound39
9.3%
47
90.7%
Q3 - 10:36MagicGary Harris misses three point jump shot39
9.7%
47
90.3%
Q3 - 10:53MagicAdmiral Schofield defensive rebound39
10.7%
47
89.3%
Q3 - 10:55HeatOmer Yurtseven misses regular free throw 1 of 139
10.5%
47
89.5%
Q3 - 10:55MagicGary Harris shooting foul (Omer Yurtseven draws the foul)39
9.7%
47
90.3%
Q3 - 11:00HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound39
11.9%
45
88.1%
Q3 - 11:04MagicWendell Carter Jr. misses two point jump shot39
12.2%
45
87.8%
Q3 - 11:21HeatMax Strus makes three point jump shot (Gabe Vincent assists)39
13.3%
45
86.7%
Q3 - 11:25HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound39
16.7%
42
83.3%
Q3 - 11:28MagicFranz Wagner misses two point driving layup39
17.3%
42
82.7%
Q3 - 11:33MagicWendell Carter Jr. defensive rebound39
18.7%
42
81.3%
Q3 - 11:37HeatDuncan Robinson misses two point layup39
18.1%
42
81.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.39
16.7%
42
83.3%
Q2 - 0:00.1MagicMagic offensive rebound39
18.2%
42
81.8%
Q2 - 0:02.1MagicRobin Lopez misses three point jump shot39
17.2%
42
82.8%
Q2 - 0:21.9HeatOmer Yurtseven makes two point driving hook shot (Gabe Vincent assists)39
18.2%
42
81.8%
Q2 - 0:29.1HeatOmer Yurtseven defensive rebound39
20.7%
40
79.3%
Q2 - 0:31.4MagicHassani Gravett misses three point pullup jump shot39
21.2%
40
78.8%
Q2 - 0:33.6MagicHassani Gravett defensive rebound39
22.4%
40
77.6%
Q2 - 0:34.4HeatJimmy Butler misses two point tip layup39
21.9%
40
78.1%
Q2 - 0:39.4HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound39
20.7%
40
79.3%
Q2 - 0:39.4HeatOmer Yurtseven misses two point hook shot39
21.9%
40
78.1%
Q2 - 0:40.8HeatOmer Yurtseven offensive rebound39
20.7%
40
79.3%
Q2 - 0:42.7HeatJimmy Butler misses two point turnaround jump shot39
21.9%
40
78.1%
Q2 - 0:49.8HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound39
20.7%
40
79.3%
Q2 - 0:51.3HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot39
21.9%
40
78.1%
Q2 - 1:08MagicGary Harris makes two point pullup jump shot (Robin Lopez assists)39
20.9%
40
79.1%
Q2 - 1:20MagicHassani Gravett defensive rebound37
18.2%
40
81.8%
Q2 - 1:27HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot37
17.8%
40
82.2%
Q2 - 1:31MagicGary Harris personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)37
17.0%
40
83.0%
Q2 - 1:35MagicFranz Wagner makes regular free throw 2 of 237
17.0%
40
83.0%
Q2 - 1:35MagicFranz Wagner makes regular free throw 1 of 236
16.7%
40
83.3%
Q2 - 1:35HeatJimmy Butler shooting foul (Franz Wagner draws the foul)35
16.3%
40
83.7%
Q2 - 1:41MagicAdmiral Schofield defensive rebound35
14.7%
40
85.3%
Q2 - 1:46HeatGabe Vincent misses three point jump shot35
14.4%
40
85.6%
Q2 - 2:06MagicAdmiral Schofield makes two point driving hook shot35
13.6%
40
86.4%
Q2 - 2:21HeatOmer Yurtseven turnover (offensive foul)33
12.3%
40
87.7%
Q2 - 2:21HeatOmer Yurtseven offensive foul (Gary Harris draws the foul)33
11.0%
40
89.0%
Q2 - 2:22HeatDuncan Robinson offensive rebound33
11.0%
40
89.0%
Q2 - 2:25HeatOmer Yurtseven misses two point jump shot33
11.9%
40
88.1%
Q2 - 2:36HeatOmer Yurtseven defensive rebound33
11.0%
40
89.0%
Q2 - 2:38MagicRobin Lopez misses two point driving hook shot33
11.4%
40
88.6%
Q2 - 2:52HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Gabe Vincent assists)33
12.3%
40
87.7%
Q2 - 2:55HeatDuncan Robinson offensive rebound33
15.1%
37
84.9%
Q2 - 2:58HeatAdmiral Schofield blocks Omer Yurtseven's two point layup33
16.3%
37
83.7%
Q2 - 3:03HeatOmer Yurtseven offensive rebound33
15.1%
37
84.9%
Q2 - 3:04HeatJimmy Butler misses two point jump shot33
16.4%
37
83.6%
Q2 - 3:26MagicFranz Wagner turnover (out of bounds step)33
15.1%
37
84.9%
Q2 - 3:44MagicRobin Lopez defensive rebound33
16.9%
37
83.1%
Q2 - 3:48HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot33
16.3%
37
83.7%
Q2 - 4:12MagicGary Harris makes two point driving layup33
15.1%
37
84.9%
Q2 - 4:33HeatCaleb Martin makes two point running dunk (Jimmy Butler assists)31
13.7%
37
86.3%
Q2 - 4:37MagicGary Harris turnover (bad pass) (Jimmy Butler steals)31
15.1%
35
84.9%
Q2 - 5:01HeatOmer Yurtseven turnover (out of bounds lost ball)31
16.5%
35
83.5%
Q2 - 5:14MagicRobin Lopez makes two point turnaround hook shot31
14.7%
35
85.3%
Q2 - 5:27HeatOmer Yurtseven makes two point tip dunk29
13.7%
35
86.3%
Q2 - 5:27HeatOmer Yurtseven offensive rebound29
14.8%
33
85.2%
Q2 - 5:33HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot29
16.0%
33
84.0%
Q2 - 5:38MagicWendell Carter Jr. personal foul (Caleb Martin draws the foul)29
14.8%
33
85.2%
Q2 - 5:40HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound29
14.8%
33
85.2%
Q2 - 5:43MagicHassani Gravett misses three point jump shot29
15.3%
33
84.7%
Q2 - 5:58HeatOmer Yurtseven makes two point floating jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)29
16.5%
33
83.5%
Q2 - 6:06HeatOmer Yurtseven defensive rebound29
17.7%
31
82.3%
Q2 - 6:09MagicAdmiral Schofield misses three point jump shot29
18.3%
31
81.7%
Q2 - 6:28HeatCaleb Martin makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)29
19.8%
31
80.2%
Q2 - 6:42MagicWendell Carter Jr. makes two point jump shot (R.J. Hampton assists)29
23.0%
28
77.0%
Q2 - 6:51MagicWendell Carter Jr. defensive rebound27
21.6%
28
78.4%
Q2 - 6:55HeatCaleb Martin misses three point jump shot27
20.9%
28
79.1%
Q2 - 7:01HeatOmer Yurtseven defensive rebound27
19.5%
28
80.5%
Q2 - 7:04MagicR.J. Hampton misses two point stepback jump shot27
20.0%
28
80.0%
Q2 - 7:29HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 227
21.3%
28
78.7%
Q2 - 7:29HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 227
21.5%
27
78.5%
Q2 - 7:29MagicAleem Ford shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)27
21.8%
26
78.2%
Q2 - 7:37MagicTim Frazier turnover (out of bounds bad pass)27
23.0%
26
77.0%
Q2 - 7:49MagicR.J. Hampton technical foul (Double)27
25.1%
26
74.9%
Q2 - 7:49HeatTyler Herro technical foul (Double)27
25.1%
26
74.9%
Q2 - 7:49HeatTyler Herro personal foul (R.J. Hampton draws the foul)27
25.1%
26
74.9%
Q2 - 8:06MagicWendell Carter Jr. defensive rebound27
24.9%
26
75.1%
Q2 - 8:08HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot27
24.3%
26
75.7%
Q2 - 8:18HeatGabe Vincent defensive rebound27
23.0%
26
77.0%
Q2 - 8:20MagicAleem Ford misses three point jump shot27
23.6%
26
76.4%
Q2 - 8:47HeatOmer Yurtseven makes two point layup (Tyler Herro assists)27
24.9%
26
75.1%
Q2 - 8:55MagicHassani Gravett turnover (bad pass) (Tyler Herro steals)27
26.9%
24
73.1%
Q2 - 9:03MagicWendell Carter Jr. defensive rebound27
28.7%
24
71.3%
Q2 - 9:05HeatGabe Vincent misses two point driving layup27
28.0%
24
72.0%
Q2 - 9:12HeatOmer Yurtseven offensive rebound27
26.6%
24
73.4%
Q2 - 9:15HeatGabe Vincent misses three point jump shot27
28.0%
24
72.0%
Q2 - 9:36HeatOmer Yurtseven defensive rebound27
26.6%
24
73.4%
Q2 - 9:40MagicTim Frazier misses three point jump shot27
27.2%
24
72.8%
Q2 - 9:49MagicHassani Gravett defensive rebound27
28.7%
24
71.3%
Q2 - 9:52HeatTyler Herro misses two point pullup jump shot27
28.1%
24
71.9%
Q2 - 10:08MagicMagic turnover (shot clock violation)27
26.5%
24
73.5%
Q2 - 10:08MagicMagic offensive rebound27
28.6%
24
71.4%
Q2 - 10:08MagicHassani Gravett misses three point stepback jump shot27
27.1%
24
72.9%
Q2 - 10:32HeatCaleb Martin turnover (offensive foul)27
28.6%
24
71.4%
Q2 - 10:32HeatCaleb Martin offensive foul (Charge) (Aleem Ford draws the foul)27
26.5%
24
73.5%
Q2 - 10:46MagicHassani Gravett makes three point jump shot (R.J. Hampton assists)27
26.5%
24
73.5%
Q2 - 11:02HeatUdonis Haslem makes two point cutting layup (Tyler Herro assists)24
22.3%
24
77.7%
Q2 - 11:14MagicWendell Carter Jr. turnover (out of bounds lost ball)24
24.2%
22
75.8%
Q2 - 11:26HeatUdonis Haslem personal foul (Loose ball) (Wendell Carter Jr. draws the foul)24
25.9%
22
74.1%
Q2 - 11:36HeatHeat turnover (shot clock violation)24
25.9%
22
74.1%
Q2 - 11:37HeatUdonis Haslem offensive rebound24
24.2%
22
75.8%
Q2 - 11:39HeatMarcus Garrett misses three point jump shot24
25.4%
22
74.6%
Q2 - 11:51MagicTim Frazier personal foul (Gabe Vincent draws the foul)24
24.2%
22
75.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.24
24.2%
22
75.8%
Q1 - 0:01.8HeatHeat offensive rebound24
23.8%
22
76.2%
Q1 - 0:01.8HeatHassani Gravett blocks Udonis Haslem's two point layup24
24.8%
22
75.2%
Q1 - 0:23.1MagicTim Frazier turnover (out of bounds bad pass)24
23.8%
22
76.2%
Q1 - 0:32.5MagicWendell Carter Jr. offensive rebound24
25.3%
22
74.7%
Q1 - 0:35.4MagicR.J. Hampton misses three point jump shot24
24.3%
22
75.7%
Q1 - 0:41.8MagicWendell Carter Jr. defensive rebound24
25.3%
22
74.7%
Q1 - 0:43.7HeatTyler Herro misses two point turnaround jump shot24
24.8%
22
75.2%
Q1 - 0:59.6HeatMarcus Garrett defensive rebound24
23.8%
22
76.2%
Q1 - 1:01MagicWendell Carter Jr. misses three point jump shot24
24.3%
22
75.7%
Q1 - 1:21HeatUdonis Haslem makes two point layup (Tyler Herro assists)24
25.3%
22
74.7%
Q1 - 1:34MagicWendell Carter Jr. turnover (traveling)24
27.4%
20
72.6%
Q1 - 1:45HeatUdonis Haslem makes two point cutting layup (Gabe Vincent assists)24
29.0%
20
71.0%
Q1 - 1:57MagicR.J. Hampton makes two point running dunk24
31.2%
18
68.8%
Q1 - 2:02HeatGabe Vincent turnover (bad pass) (R.J. Hampton steals)22
28.7%
18
71.3%
Q1 - 2:13MagicWendell Carter Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 222
26.9%
18
73.1%
Q1 - 2:13MagicWendell Carter Jr. misses regular free throw 1 of 221
26.5%
18
73.5%
Q1 - 2:13HeatUdonis Haslem shooting foul (Wendell Carter Jr. draws the foul)21
27.8%
18
72.2%
Q1 - 2:13MagicWendell Carter Jr. offensive rebound21
26.9%
18
73.1%
Q1 - 2:14MagicFranz Wagner misses two point cutting layup21
25.7%
18
74.3%
Q1 - 2:33HeatJimmy Butler makes two point running dunk (Tyler Herro assists)21
26.9%
18
73.1%
Q1 - 2:33HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound21
28.7%
16
71.3%
Q1 - 2:36MagicFranz Wagner misses two point jump shot21
29.3%
16
70.7%
Q1 - 2:58MagicAleem Ford defensive rebound21
30.7%
16
69.3%
Q1 - 3:01HeatUdonis Haslem misses two point jump shot21
29.8%
16
70.2%
Q1 - 3:06HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound21
28.3%
16
71.7%
Q1 - 3:06MagicRobin Lopez misses two point tip layup21
29.0%
16
71.0%
Q1 - 3:06MagicRobin Lopez offensive rebound21
30.5%
16
69.5%
Q1 - 3:11MagicR.J. Hampton misses two point driving floating jump shot21
29.0%
16
71.0%
Q1 - 3:29HeatTyler Herro makes two point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)21
30.5%
16
69.5%
Q1 - 3:41MagicRobin Lopez turnover (traveling)21
32.1%
14
67.9%
Q1 - 3:57HeatJimmy Butler makes two point cutting dunk (Max Strus assists)21
34.4%
14
65.6%
Q1 - 4:05HeatUdonis Haslem defensive rebound21
35.1%
12
64.9%
Q1 - 4:08MagicAleem Ford misses three point jump shot21
35.8%
12
64.2%
Q1 - 4:15MagicAleem Ford defensive rebound21
37.5%
12
62.5%
Q1 - 4:17HeatJimmy Butler misses two point stepback jump shot21
36.8%
12
63.2%
Q1 - 4:42MagicR.J. Hampton makes two point pullup bank jump shot21
35.2%
12
64.8%
Q1 - 4:47MagicAleem Ford defensive rebound19
33.6%
12
66.4%
Q1 - 4:49HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving layup19
32.9%
12
67.1%
Q1 - 5:06MagicGary Harris makes three point jump shot (R.J. Hampton assists)19
30.5%
12
69.5%
Q1 - 5:15MagicR.J. Hampton defensive rebound16
27.4%
12
72.6%
Q1 - 5:20HeatJimmy Butler misses three point jump shot16
26.8%
12
73.2%
Q1 - 5:38MagicHassani Gravett makes regular free throw 2 of 216
25.6%
12
74.4%
Q1 - 5:38MagicHassani Gravett misses regular free throw 1 of 215
25.4%
12
74.6%
Q1 - 5:38HeatOmer Yurtseven shooting foul (Hassani Gravett draws the foul)15
26.7%
12
73.3%
Q1 - 5:46MagicGary Harris defensive rebound15
25.8%
12
74.2%
Q1 - 5:49HeatJimmy Butler misses two point pullup jump shot15
25.3%
12
74.7%
Q1 - 5:58MagicFranz Wagner turnover (bad pass) (Jimmy Butler steals)15
24.1%
12
75.9%
Q1 - 6:24HeatOmer Yurtseven makes two point cutting dunk (Duncan Robinson assists)15
25.4%
12
74.6%
Q1 - 6:43MagicGary Harris makes two point driving reverse layup15
27.0%
10
73.0%
Q1 - 6:57HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 113
25.4%
10
74.6%
Q1 - 6:57MagicAdmiral Schofield shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)13
25.6%
9
74.4%
Q1 - 7:04HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound13
27.9%
7
72.1%
Q1 - 7:06HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot13
29.1%
7
70.9%
Q1 - 7:22MagicGary Harris makes two point pullup jump shot13
27.9%
7
72.1%
Q1 - 7:47HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 211
26.6%
7
73.4%
Q1 - 7:47HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 211
26.7%
6
73.3%
Q1 - 7:47MagicHassani Gravett shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)11
27.0%
5
73.0%
Q1 - 7:56MagicFranz Wagner turnover (bad pass) (Jimmy Butler steals)11
28.0%
5
72.0%
Q1 - 8:05MagicWendell Carter Jr. defensive rebound11
29.2%
5
70.8%
Q1 - 8:07HeatGabe Vincent misses three point pullup jump shot11
28.7%
5
71.3%
Q1 - 8:17MagicWendell Carter Jr. turnover (out of bounds lost ball)11
27.5%
5
72.5%
Q1 - 8:34MagicWendell Carter Jr. defensive rebound11
29.3%
5
70.7%
Q1 - 8:36HeatJimmy Butler misses regular free throw 2 of 211
29.0%
5
71.0%
Q1 - 8:36HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 211
27.9%
5
72.1%
Q1 - 8:36MagicAdmiral Schofield shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)11
28.1%
4
71.9%
Q1 - 8:49MagicAdmiral Schofield makes two point floating jump shot (Wendell Carter Jr. assists)11
29.0%
4
71.0%
Q1 - 9:03HeatGabe Vincent turnover (offensive foul)9
27.4%
4
72.6%
Q1 - 9:03HeatGabe Vincent offensive foul (Gary Harris draws the foul)9
25.7%
4
74.3%
Q1 - 9:18MagicHassani Gravett makes three point jump shot (Franz Wagner assists)9
25.7%
4
74.3%
Q1 - 9:37MagicWendell Carter Jr. defensive rebound6
23.2%
4
76.8%
Q1 - 9:41HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot6
22.7%
4
77.3%
Q1 - 9:52MagicGary Harris makes regular free throw 2 of 26
21.6%
4
78.4%
Q1 - 9:52MagicGary Harris makes regular free throw 1 of 25
21.4%
4
78.6%
Q1 - 9:52HeatDuncan Robinson shooting foul (Gary Harris draws the foul)4
21.2%
4
78.8%
Q1 - 10:01MagicAdmiral Schofield defensive rebound4
20.1%
4
79.9%
Q1 - 10:03HeatOmer Yurtseven misses regular free throw 1 of 14
20.0%
4
80.0%
Q1 - 10:03MagicAdmiral Schofield shooting foul (Omer Yurtseven draws the foul)4
19.3%
4
80.7%
Q1 - 10:24MagicHassani Gravett makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot (Wendell Carter Jr. assists)4
21.2%
2
78.8%
Q1 - 10:37MagicAdmiral Schofield defensive rebound2
20.2%
2
79.8%
Q1 - 10:40HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point pullup jump shot2
19.8%
2
80.2%
Q1 - 10:49HeatOmer Yurtseven defensive rebound2
18.9%
2
81.1%
Q1 - 10:52MagicWendell Carter Jr. misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot2
19.3%
2
80.7%
Q1 - 11:10HeatMax Strus makes two point driving finger roll layup (Omer Yurtseven assists)2
19.9%
2
80.1%
Q1 - 11:28MagicFranz Wagner makes two point driving bank hook shot2
20.9%
0
79.1%
Q1 - 11:34MagicFranz Wagner offensive rebound0
19.9%
0
80.1%
Q1 - 11:37MagicGary Harris misses three point pullup jump shot0
19.0%
0
81.0%
Q1 - 11:40MagicWendell Carter Jr. offensive rebound0
19.9%
0
80.1%
Q1 - 11:41MagicFranz Wagner misses two point driving layup0
19.0%
0
81.0%
Q1 - 12:00Wendell Carter Jr. vs. Omer Yurtseven (Hassani Gravett gains possession)0
19.9%
0
80.1%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
0.99 49.4%
MIA
0.95 47.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ORL
13
24
54%
MIA
21
35
60%
Midrange
ORL
8
16
50%
MIA
5
20
25%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ORL
10
15.0
32
31%
47%
MIA
10
15.0
34
29%
44%
Free Throws
ORL
11
17
65%
MIA
11
18
61%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
G. Harris2077%10.0 / 13
R. Hampton1447%7.0 / 15
F. Wagner1350%6.5 / 13
H. Gravett1255%6.0 / 11
W. Carter857%4.0 / 7
A. Schofield643%3.0 / 7
T. Frazier467%2.0 / 3
F. Gillespie467%2.0 / 3
R. Lopez225%1.0 / 4
A. Ford0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Butler1747%8.5 / 18
C. Martin1771%8.5 / 12
O. Yurtseven1653%8.0 / 15
M. Strus1354%6.5 / 12
G. Vincent1346%6.5 / 14
U. Haslem850%4.0 / 8
D. Robinson633%3.0 / 9
T. Herro220%1.0 / 5
M. Garrett117%0.5 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ORL
73
+11
-18
84
MIA
77
+21
-13
98
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
0.99 49.4%
MIA
0.95 47.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
104.3
113.3
ORL 91.2 +12.1
MIA 103.3
Pace
99.4
96.2
ORL 88.4
MIA 93.3 +4.9
Avg. Poss. Time
14.4
15.0
ORL 16.3
MIA 15.4 +0.9
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.2%
54.7%
ORL 50.0% +3.9%
MIA 46.1%
TO %
13.8%
14.2%
ORL 19.3%
MIA 12.6% +6.7%
ORB %
19.9%
23.5%
ORL 20.5%
MIA 36.4% +15.9%
FTrt
22.3
25.2
ORL 23.6 +3.4
MIA 20.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
62.0%
64.4%
ORL 54.8%
MIA 77.8% +23.0%
STL %
6.8%
7.6%
ORL 6.6%
MIA 7.8% +1.2%
BLK %
8.5%
7.1%
ORL 7.3% +4.8%
MIA 2.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.36 and 2.36.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.4%
56.8%
ORL 49.4% +2.0%
MIA 47.4%
Rim FG%
59.8%
63.4%
ORL 54.2%
MIA 60.0% +5.8%
Mid FG%
37.5%
41.4%
ORL 50.0% +25.0%
MIA 25.0%
3P %
33.1%
37.9%
ORL 31.3% +1.9%
MIA 29.4%
FT %
78.7%
80.8%
ORL 64.7% +3.6%
MIA 61.1%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.6%
30.6%
ORL 33.3%
MIA 39.3% +6.0%
Mid Att. %
23.7%
27.1%
ORL 22.2% +0.2%
MIA 22.5%
3P Att. %
41.7%
42.2%
ORL 44.4% +6.2%
MIA 38.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsORLMIA
Possessions9190
Possession Minutes24.723.1
Points8393
Rebounds4351
Assists1728
Steals67
Blocks41
Turnovers (Team)18 (1)13 (1)
Fouls1919
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (3)20 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)35 (1)31 (1)
Field Goals31-7236-89
At-the-Rim FG13-2421-35
Midrange FG8-165-20
2-Point FG21-4026-55
3-Point FG10-3210-34
Free Throws11-1711-18
Fast Break Pts613
2nd Chance Pts1020
Points in Paint3446
Pts off Turnovers1922
Bench Points2428
Biggest Lead918

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#14 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 27
34.7
20
77%
3
1
0
0
2
2
1
2
4-4
100%
5-6
83%
2-5
40%
#12 · PG · 6'2" 188 · 25
32.7
12
55%
5
1
2
1
2
2
0
5
1-2
50%
1-4
25%
3-6
50%
#22 · SF · 6'10" 220 · 20
31.6
13
50%
2
1
2
0
3
1
1
1
4-5
80%
3-10
30%
1-1
100%
#25 · PF · 6'5" 241 · 25
26.0
6
43%
6
1
0
1
0
3
0
6
0-0
-
3-3
100%
0-4
0%
#34 · C · 6'10" 270 · 23
25.4
8
57%
14
2
0
0
6
5
3
11
1-2
50%
2-4
50%
1-3
33%
#13 · PG · 6'4" 175 · 21
31.7
14
47%
1
5
2
1
0
0
0
1
0-2
0%
4-7
57%
2-7
29%
#11 · SF · 6'8" 220 · 24
19.6
0
0%
4
1
0
0
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-3
0%
#8 · PG · 6'1" 170 · 31
15.7
4
67%
2
4
0
0
3
1
0
2
1-2
50%
0-0
-
1-2
50%
#44 · PF · 6'9" 245 · 25
12.6
4
67%
4
0
0
1
1
3
2
2
0-0
-
2-3
67%
0-0
-
#33 · C · 7'0" 277 · 34
10.0
2
25%
2
1
0
0
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-1
0%
#50 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 22
DND - Injury/Illness | Right Ankle; Injury Maintenance (Sprain)
#24 · SF · 6'6" 200 · 26
Inactive - Health and Safety Protocols
#21 · C · 6'11" 245 · 25
INACTIVE
#5 · C · 7'1" 225 · 24
Inactive - Health and Safety Protocols
#3 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 23
Inactive - Health and Safety Protocols
#2 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 28
Inactive - Health and Safety Protocols
#17 · SF · 6'7" 221 · 23
Inactive - Health and Safety Protocols
#1 · PF · 6'10" 230 · 24
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Knee; Injury Recovery
#20 · SG · 6'4" 209 · 24
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Knee; Injury Recovery
#7 · PG · 6'6" 190 · 30
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Ankle; Injury Recovery
#31 · SG · 6'7" 206 · 31
Inactive - Health and Safety Protocols
#55 · SG · 6'4" 191 · 33
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Knee; Sprain
#4 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 21
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Thumb; Fracture
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
83
49%
43
17
6
4
18
19
8
35
11-17
65%
21-40
53%
10-32
31%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.