FinalWin Prob.pScore
2537%104
94
963%109
105
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
102.29292.6
CLE logo CLE
111.79493.4

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

CavaliersHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

CavaliersHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIACLE
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.94
0%
105
100%
Q4 - 0:07.4CavaliersJarrett Allen defensive rebound94
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 0:11.8HeatOmer Yurtseven misses three point jump shot94
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 0:23.1CavaliersJarrett Allen makes two point hook shot (Ricky Rubio assists)94
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 0:43.9HeatKyle Lowry makes regular free throw 2 of 294
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 0:43.9HeatKyle Lowry makes regular free throw 1 of 293
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 0:43.9CavaliersDarius Garland personal foul (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)92
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 0:49.4CavaliersJarrett Allen personal foul (Loose ball) (P.J. Tucker draws the foul)92
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 0:49.4HeatHeat defensive rebound92
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 0:49.9CavaliersDarius Garland misses three point stepback jump shot92
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 1:09CavaliersEvan Mobley defensive rebound92
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 1:12HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot92
0.2%
103
99.8%
Q4 - 1:18CavaliersJarrett Allen turnover (lost ball) (Kyle Lowry steals)92
0.3%
103
99.7%
Q4 - 1:40HeatOmer Yurtseven makes two point floating jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)92
0.3%
103
99.7%
Q4 - 1:53CavaliersDarius Garland turnover (out of bounds bad pass)90
0.2%
103
99.8%
Q4 - 2:09CavaliersJarrett Allen defensive rebound90
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 2:14HeatP.J. Tucker misses three point jump shot90
0.2%
103
99.8%
Q4 - 2:21HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound90
0.2%
103
99.8%
Q4 - 2:24CavaliersDarius Garland misses two point driving floating jump shot90
0.2%
103
99.8%
Q4 - 2:40CavaliersRicky Rubio defensive rebound90
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 2:44HeatKyle Lowry misses two point cutting layup90
0.2%
103
99.8%
Q4 - 2:50CavaliersRicky Rubio personal foul (Gabe Vincent draws the foul)90
0.2%
103
99.8%
Q4 - 3:01CavaliersDarius Garland turnover (offensive foul)90
0.4%
103
99.6%
Q4 - 3:01CavaliersDarius Garland offensive foul (Gabe Vincent draws the foul)90
0.2%
103
99.8%
Q4 - 3:16HeatGabe Vincent turnover (lost ball) (Ricky Rubio steals)90
0.2%
103
99.8%
Q4 - 3:31CavaliersJarrett Allen makes regular free throw 1 of 190
0.9%
103
99.1%
Q4 - 3:31HeatKyle Lowry shooting foul (Jarrett Allen draws the foul)90
1.0%
102
99.0%
Q4 - 3:43HeatGabe Vincent makes two point pullup jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)90
1.6%
100
98.4%
Q4 - 3:57CavaliersJarrett Allen turnover (bad pass) (Duncan Robinson steals)88
1.1%
100
98.9%
Q4 - 4:12HeatKyle Lowry makes two point driving layup88
0.7%
100
99.3%
Q4 - 4:16HeatOmer Yurtseven defensive rebound86
0.5%
100
99.5%
Q4 - 4:19CavaliersKevin Love misses three point jump shot86
0.5%
100
99.5%
Q4 - 4:48HeatKyle Lowry makes two point turnaround jump shot86
0.4%
100
99.6%
Q4 - 5:10CavaliersKevin Love makes three point jump shot (Ricky Rubio assists)84
0.5%
100
99.5%
Q4 - 5:21CavaliersIsaac Okoro defensive rebound84
0.9%
97
99.1%
Q4 - 5:25HeatKyle Lowry misses three point pullup jump shot84
1.0%
97
99.0%
Q4 - 5:33CavaliersRicky Rubio makes two point driving finger roll layup (Jarrett Allen assists)84
1.2%
97
98.8%
Q4 - 5:56HeatGabe Vincent makes three point stepback jump shot (P.J. Tucker assists)84
1.6%
95
98.4%
Q4 - 6:09CavaliersKevin Love makes three point jump shot81
1.3%
95
98.7%
Q4 - 6:25HeatOmer Yurtseven makes two point driving hook shot81
2.2%
92
97.8%
Q4 - 6:46CavaliersEvan Mobley turnover (offensive foul)79
1.7%
92
98.3%
Q4 - 6:46CavaliersEvan Mobley offensive foul (Charge) (Gabe Vincent draws the foul)79
1.2%
92
98.8%
Q4 - 6:46CavaliersKevin Love defensive rebound79
1.2%
92
98.8%
Q4 - 6:51HeatKyle Lowry misses two point pullup jump shot79
1.4%
92
98.6%
Q4 - 7:04CavaliersEvan Mobley makes two point layup (Kevin Love assists)79
2.3%
92
97.7%
Q4 - 7:20CavaliersKevin Love defensive rebound79
2.9%
90
97.1%
Q4 - 7:25HeatKyle Lowry misses two point pullup jump shot79
3.1%
90
96.9%
Q4 - 7:45CavaliersKevin Love makes three point stepback jump shot (Darius Garland assists)79
3.9%
90
96.1%
Q4 - 7:55CavaliersIsaac Okoro defensive rebound79
6.1%
87
93.9%
Q4 - 7:59HeatKZ Okpala misses three point jump shot79
6.7%
87
93.3%
Q4 - 8:12CavaliersIsaac Okoro makes three point jump shot (Evan Mobley assists)79
8.9%
87
91.1%
Q4 - 8:28HeatDewayne Dedmon makes two point reverse layup (KZ Okpala assists)79
13.7%
84
86.3%
Q4 - 8:48HeatHeat defensive rebound77
11.1%
84
88.9%
Q4 - 8:48CavaliersEvan Mobley misses two point alley-oop layup77
10.3%
84
89.7%
Q4 - 8:52CavaliersKevin Love defensive rebound77
8.8%
84
91.2%
Q4 - 8:54HeatKZ Okpala misses two point turnaround jump shot77
9.4%
84
90.6%
Q4 - 8:59HeatKZ Okpala offensive rebound77
11.1%
84
88.9%
Q4 - 9:01HeatGabe Vincent misses three point pullup jump shot77
10.2%
84
89.8%
Q4 - 9:21HeatDewayne Dedmon defensive rebound77
12.0%
84
88.0%
Q4 - 9:25CavaliersRicky Rubio misses three point jump shot77
11.1%
84
88.9%
Q4 - 9:50HeatGabe Vincent makes two point jump shot77
9.4%
84
90.6%
Q4 - 10:10CavaliersKevin Love turnover (lost ball) (Dewayne Dedmon steals)75
8.7%
84
91.3%
Q4 - 10:20CavaliersDarius Garland defensive rebound75
6.9%
84
93.1%
Q4 - 10:24HeatKZ Okpala misses three point jump shot75
7.4%
84
92.6%
Q4 - 10:30CavaliersEvan Mobley makes two point tip dunk75
8.7%
84
91.3%
Q4 - 10:30CavaliersEvan Mobley offensive rebound75
10.3%
82
89.7%
Q4 - 10:43CavaliersDarius Garland misses two point driving floating bank jump shot75
12.1%
82
87.9%
Q4 - 10:58CavaliersLamar Stevens defensive rebound75
10.3%
82
89.7%
Q4 - 11:03HeatTyler Herro misses two point stepback jump shot75
11.9%
82
88.1%
Q4 - 11:16CavaliersRicky Rubio makes two point driving floating bank jump shot75
13.5%
82
86.5%
Q4 - 11:33HeatTyler Herro makes two point cutting layup (Gabe Vincent assists)75
16.2%
80
83.8%
Q4 - 11:46CavaliersKevin Love makes regular free throw 2 of 273
13.5%
80
86.5%
Q4 - 11:46CavaliersKevin Love makes regular free throw 1 of 273
13.8%
79
86.2%
Q4 - 11:46HeatDewayne Dedmon shooting foul (Kevin Love draws the foul)73
14.1%
78
85.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.73
16.2%
78
83.8%
Q3 - 0:05.2CavaliersKevin Love defensive rebound73
17.0%
78
83.0%
Q3 - 0:05.2HeatOmer Yurtseven misses regular free throw 2 of 273
17.3%
78
82.7%
Q3 - 0:05.2HeatOmer Yurtseven misses regular free throw 1 of 273
19.1%
78
80.9%
Q3 - 0:05.2CavaliersLamar Stevens shooting foul (Omer Yurtseven draws the foul)73
21.3%
78
78.7%
Q3 - 0:05.2HeatOmer Yurtseven offensive rebound73
19.9%
78
80.1%
Q3 - 0:06.4HeatGabe Vincent misses two point driving layup73
17.8%
78
82.2%
Q3 - 0:26.3CavaliersKevin Love makes regular free throw 1 of 173
19.9%
78
80.1%
Q3 - 0:26.3HeatMax Strus shooting foul (Kevin Love draws the foul)73
20.3%
77
79.7%
Q3 - 0:41.2CavaliersLamar Stevens defensive rebound73
27.2%
75
72.8%
Q3 - 0:44.0HeatTyler Herro misses three point pullup jump shot73
28.4%
75
71.6%
Q3 - 0:54.6HeatOmer Yurtseven defensive rebound73
31.3%
75
68.7%
Q3 - 0:56.9CavaliersEvan Mobley misses two point turnaround hook shot73
30.0%
75
70.0%
Q3 - 1:08HeatP.J. Tucker makes two point floating jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)73
27.2%
75
72.8%
Q3 - 1:29CavaliersDarius Garland turnover (out of bounds bad pass)71
24.0%
75
76.0%
Q3 - 1:35CavaliersKevin Love offensive rebound71
20.3%
75
79.7%
Q3 - 1:37CavaliersRicky Rubio misses three point jump shot71
22.8%
75
77.2%
Q3 - 1:58HeatP.J. Tucker makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)71
20.3%
75
79.7%
Q3 - 2:14HeatHeat defensive rebound68
15.8%
75
84.2%
Q3 - 2:14CavaliersKevin Love misses three point stepback jump shot68
15.0%
75
85.0%
Q3 - 2:30HeatOmer Yurtseven makes regular free throw 2 of 268
13.3%
75
86.7%
Q3 - 2:30HeatOmer Yurtseven makes regular free throw 1 of 267
12.8%
75
87.2%
Q3 - 2:30CavaliersLamar Stevens shooting foul (Omer Yurtseven draws the foul)66
12.1%
75
87.9%
Q3 - 2:31HeatMax Strus defensive rebound66
11.5%
75
88.5%
Q3 - 2:36CavaliersDarius Garland misses two point floating jump shot66
10.9%
75
89.1%
Q3 - 2:44CavaliersLauri Markkanen defensive rebound66
9.7%
75
90.3%
Q3 - 2:48HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot66
10.2%
75
89.8%
Q3 - 2:56CavaliersKevin Love makes regular free throw 3 of 366
11.5%
75
88.5%
Q3 - 2:56CavaliersKevin Love makes regular free throw 2 of 366
11.7%
74
88.3%
Q3 - 2:56CavaliersKevin Love makes regular free throw 1 of 366
12.0%
73
88.0%
Q3 - 2:56HeatP.J. Tucker shooting foul (Kevin Love draws the foul)66
12.2%
72
87.8%
Q3 - 3:05HeatHeat turnover (shot clock violation)66
16.2%
72
83.8%
Q3 - 3:05HeatHeat offensive rebound66
19.1%
72
80.9%
Q3 - 3:05HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving floating bank jump shot66
17.0%
72
83.0%
Q3 - 3:34CavaliersKevin Love makes three point jump shot (Ricky Rubio assists)66
19.1%
72
80.9%
Q3 - 3:36CavaliersJarrett Allen offensive rebound66
24.5%
69
75.5%
Q3 - 3:38CavaliersIsaac Okoro misses three point jump shot66
27.2%
69
72.8%
Q3 - 3:59HeatTyler Herro makes two point cutting layup (Kyle Lowry assists)66
24.5%
69
75.5%
Q3 - 4:14CavaliersIsaac Okoro makes two point driving layup64
22.3%
69
77.7%
Q3 - 4:19CavaliersKevin Love defensive rebound64
24.7%
67
75.3%
Q3 - 4:21HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving floating jump shot64
25.9%
67
74.1%
Q3 - 4:35CavaliersKevin Love makes three point jump shot (Ricky Rubio assists)64
28.6%
67
71.4%
Q3 - 4:46HeatP.J. Tucker makes two point floating jump shot (Max Strus assists)64
35.2%
64
64.8%
Q3 - 5:08CavaliersKevin Love turnover (offensive foul)62
32.1%
64
67.9%
Q3 - 5:08CavaliersKevin Love offensive foul (Charge) (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)62
28.5%
64
71.5%
Q3 - 5:23HeatKyle Lowry makes three point pullup jump shot62
28.5%
64
71.5%
Q3 - 5:39CavaliersLauri Markkanen makes two point putback layup59
22.6%
64
77.4%
Q3 - 5:40CavaliersLauri Markkanen offensive rebound59
25.3%
62
74.7%
Q3 - 5:42CavaliersLauri Markkanen misses two point driving layup59
27.6%
62
72.4%
Q3 - 5:57HeatDuncan Robinson turnover (traveling)59
25.3%
62
74.7%
Q3 - 6:01CavaliersIsaac Okoro personal foul (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)59
28.7%
62
71.3%
Q3 - 6:04HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound59
28.7%
62
71.3%
Q3 - 6:07CavaliersIsaac Okoro misses three point jump shot59
27.7%
62
72.3%
Q3 - 6:21HeatKyle Lowry makes three point pullup jump shot59
25.4%
62
74.6%
Q3 - 6:34CavaliersDarius Garland makes two point stepback jump shot (Isaac Okoro assists)56
20.3%
62
79.7%
Q3 - 6:45HeatGabe Vincent personal foul (Darius Garland draws the foul)56
22.6%
60
77.4%
Q3 - 6:58HeatDewayne Dedmon turnover (traveling)56
22.6%
60
77.4%
Q3 - 7:08CavaliersEvan Mobley turnover (traveling)56
25.8%
60
74.2%
Q3 - 7:23CavaliersLauri Markkanen defensive rebound56
22.6%
60
77.4%
Q3 - 7:27HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot56
23.6%
60
76.4%
Q3 - 7:34CavaliersJarrett Allen personal foul (Dewayne Dedmon draws the foul)56
25.8%
60
74.2%
Q3 - 7:49CavaliersDarius Garland makes regular free throw 2 of 256
25.8%
60
74.2%
Q3 - 7:49CavaliersDarius Garland makes regular free throw 1 of 256
26.1%
59
73.9%
Q3 - 7:49HeatDuncan Robinson shooting foul (Darius Garland draws the foul)56
26.5%
58
73.5%
Q3 - 8:04HeatGabe Vincent turnover (out of bounds bad pass)56
28.3%
58
71.7%
Q3 - 8:14CavaliersIsaac Okoro turnover (offensive foul)56
31.9%
58
68.1%
Q3 - 8:14CavaliersIsaac Okoro offensive foul (Charge) (Gabe Vincent draws the foul)56
28.3%
58
71.7%
Q3 - 8:38HeatDewayne Dedmon makes two point cutting dunk (P.J. Tucker assists)56
28.3%
58
71.7%
Q3 - 9:03CavaliersIsaac Okoro makes three point bank jump shot (Darius Garland assists)54
25.9%
58
74.1%
Q3 - 9:32HeatKyle Lowry makes three point pullup jump shot (P.J. Tucker assists)54
31.4%
55
68.6%
Q3 - 9:34HeatDewayne Dedmon offensive rebound51
25.9%
55
74.1%
Q3 - 9:37HeatDuncan Robinson misses two point driving reverse layup51
23.9%
55
76.1%
Q3 - 9:47HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound51
25.9%
55
74.1%
Q3 - 9:49CavaliersDarius Garland misses three point jump shot51
25.0%
55
75.0%
Q3 - 10:09HeatDewayne Dedmon makes two point layup (Duncan Robinson assists)51
23.2%
55
76.8%
Q3 - 10:21HeatP.J. Tucker defensive rebound49
21.1%
55
78.9%
Q3 - 10:24CavaliersEvan Mobley misses two point hook shot49
20.3%
55
79.7%
Q3 - 10:37CavaliersDarius Garland defensive rebound49
18.6%
55
81.4%
Q3 - 10:40HeatP.J. Tucker misses two point floating jump shot49
19.3%
55
80.7%
Q3 - 10:47HeatP.J. Tucker defensive rebound49
21.1%
55
78.9%
Q3 - 10:50CavaliersDarius Garland misses three point jump shot49
20.3%
55
79.7%
Q3 - 11:03HeatP.J. Tucker makes two point floating jump shot (Duncan Robinson assists)49
18.8%
55
81.2%
Q3 - 11:16HeatDewayne Dedmon defensive rebound47
16.9%
55
83.1%
Q3 - 11:19CavaliersLauri Markkanen misses three point jump shot47
16.3%
55
83.7%
Q3 - 11:41HeatGabe Vincent makes three point pullup jump shot (P.J. Tucker assists)47
15.0%
55
85.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.44
12.0%
55
88.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0CavaliersCavaliers offensive rebound44
10.5%
55
89.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0CavaliersEvan Mobley misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot44
11.5%
55
88.5%
Q2 - 0:18.1HeatP.J. Tucker makes three point jump shot (Gabe Vincent assists)44
11.1%
55
88.9%
Q2 - 0:30.7CavaliersRicky Rubio personal foul (Take) (Gabe Vincent draws the foul)41
8.5%
55
91.5%
Q2 - 0:30.7HeatGabe Vincent defensive rebound41
8.5%
55
91.5%
Q2 - 0:36.0CavaliersIsaac Okoro misses three point jump shot41
8.3%
55
91.7%
Q2 - 0:42.4CavaliersIsaac Okoro defensive rebound41
7.8%
55
92.2%
Q2 - 0:44.8HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot41
8.0%
55
92.0%
Q2 - 0:53.2CavaliersIsaac Okoro makes three point jump shot (Ricky Rubio assists)41
8.5%
55
91.5%
Q2 - 1:02HeatP.J. Tucker makes three point jump shot (Gabe Vincent assists)41
11.7%
52
88.3%
Q2 - 1:18CavaliersEvan Mobley makes two point alley-oop dunk (Ricky Rubio assists)38
8.9%
52
91.1%
Q2 - 1:29Jump ball. Evan Mobley vs. P.J. Tucker (Lauri Markkanen gains possession)38
10.4%
50
89.6%
Q2 - 1:32HeatHeat offensive rebound38
11.2%
50
88.8%
Q2 - 1:33HeatKZ Okpala misses three point pullup jump shot38
10.6%
50
89.4%
Q2 - 1:53CavaliersIsaac Okoro makes two point cutting dunk (Jarrett Allen assists)38
11.2%
50
88.8%
Q2 - 1:54CavaliersJarrett Allen offensive rebound38
13.0%
48
87.0%
Q2 - 1:58CavaliersLauri Markkanen misses three point jump shot38
13.6%
48
86.4%
Q2 - 2:12HeatP.J. Tucker turnover (offensive foul)38
13.2%
48
86.8%
Q2 - 2:12HeatP.J. Tucker offensive foul (Isaac Okoro draws the foul)38
14.8%
48
85.2%
Q2 - 2:19CavaliersJarrett Allen makes two point turnaround hook shot38
14.7%
48
85.3%
Q2 - 2:33HeatKyle Lowry personal foul (Lauri Markkanen draws the foul)38
16.3%
46
83.7%
Q2 - 2:44HeatKyle Lowry turnover (out of bounds step)38
16.3%
46
83.7%
Q2 - 2:51CavaliersJarrett Allen makes two point tip dunk38
18.0%
46
82.0%
Q2 - 2:51CavaliersJarrett Allen offensive rebound38
19.9%
44
80.1%
Q2 - 2:59CavaliersRicky Rubio misses two point floating jump shot38
21.3%
44
78.7%
Q2 - 3:10CavaliersJarrett Allen defensive rebound38
20.1%
44
79.9%
Q2 - 3:13HeatTyler Herro misses two point floating jump shot38
20.8%
44
79.2%
Q2 - 3:27CavaliersLauri Markkanen makes two point hook shot38
22.4%
44
77.6%
Q2 - 3:39CavaliersJarrett Allen defensive rebound38
24.1%
42
75.9%
Q2 - 3:43HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot38
24.9%
42
75.1%
Q2 - 3:47HeatDewayne Dedmon offensive rebound38
26.7%
42
73.3%
Q2 - 3:50HeatDuncan Robinson misses regular free throw 3 of 338
24.4%
42
75.6%
Q2 - 3:50HeatDuncan Robinson makes regular free throw 2 of 338
26.0%
42
74.0%
Q2 - 3:50HeatDuncan Robinson misses regular free throw 1 of 337
25.6%
42
74.4%
Q2 - 3:50CavaliersIsaac Okoro shooting foul (Duncan Robinson draws the foul)37
27.6%
42
72.4%
Q2 - 4:00CavaliersJarrett Allen makes regular free throw 2 of 237
24.5%
42
75.5%
Q2 - 4:00CavaliersJarrett Allen makes regular free throw 1 of 237
25.0%
41
75.0%
Q2 - 4:00HeatKyle Lowry shooting foul (Jarrett Allen draws the foul)37
25.7%
40
74.3%
Q2 - 4:00CavaliersJarrett Allen offensive rebound37
26.3%
40
73.7%
Q2 - 4:02CavaliersDarius Garland misses two point driving layup37
28.1%
40
71.9%
Q2 - 4:12CavaliersLamar Stevens defensive rebound37
26.5%
40
73.5%
Q2 - 4:18HeatKyle Lowry misses three point pullup jump shot37
27.2%
40
72.8%
Q2 - 4:39CavaliersLauri Markkanen makes three point jump shot (Isaac Okoro assists)37
28.9%
40
71.1%
Q2 - 4:54HeatDewayne Dedmon makes two point layup (KZ Okpala assists)37
33.6%
37
66.4%
Q2 - 5:06HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound35
31.2%
37
68.8%
Q2 - 5:09CavaliersLauri Markkanen misses three point jump shot35
30.4%
37
69.6%
Q2 - 5:25HeatDewayne Dedmon makes two point cutting dunk (Kyle Lowry assists)35
28.4%
37
71.6%
Q2 - 5:43CavaliersDarius Garland makes two point floating jump shot33
26.7%
37
73.3%
Q2 - 5:58HeatKyle Lowry makes two point driving floating jump shot (Dewayne Dedmon assists)33
28.4%
35
71.6%
Q2 - 6:20CavaliersJarrett Allen makes two point alley-oop dunk (Darius Garland assists)31
26.8%
35
73.2%
Q2 - 6:25CavaliersLamar Stevens defensive rebound31
28.4%
33
71.6%
Q2 - 6:29HeatDewayne Dedmon misses three point jump shot31
29.3%
33
70.7%
Q2 - 6:56CavaliersJarrett Allen makes two point jump shot31
31.3%
33
68.7%
Q2 - 7:09HeatHeat turnover (shot clock violation)31
33.3%
31
66.7%
Q2 - 7:35CavaliersDarius Garland makes three point pullup jump shot31
35.8%
31
64.2%
Q2 - 7:46CavaliersIsaac Okoro defensive rebound31
40.7%
28
59.3%
Q2 - 7:48HeatJarrett Allen blocks Omer Yurtseven's two point cutting dunk31
41.5%
28
58.5%
Q2 - 8:02HeatHeat defensive rebound31
43.1%
28
56.9%
Q2 - 8:02CavaliersP.J. Tucker blocks Isaac Okoro's two point running layup31
42.3%
28
57.7%
Q2 - 8:03CavaliersKevin Love defensive rebound31
40.5%
28
59.5%
Q2 - 8:05HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving floating jump shot31
41.3%
28
58.7%
Q2 - 8:20CavaliersLamar Stevens makes three point jump shot (Darius Garland assists)31
43.1%
28
56.9%
Q2 - 8:32HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving layup (P.J. Tucker assists)31
48.2%
25
51.8%
Q2 - 8:43HeatHeat defensive rebound29
45.7%
25
54.3%
Q2 - 8:44CavaliersLauri Markkanen misses three point jump shot29
44.9%
25
55.1%
Q2 - 9:09HeatGabe Vincent turnover (out of bounds bad pass)29
42.6%
25
57.4%
Q2 - 9:09HeatMax Strus defensive rebound29
45.2%
25
54.8%
Q2 - 9:14CavaliersOmer Yurtseven blocks Evan Mobley's two point jump shot29
44.4%
25
55.6%
Q2 - 9:29HeatOmer Yurtseven makes two point hook shot (Max Strus assists)29
42.6%
25
57.4%
Q2 - 9:33HeatGabe Vincent defensive rebound27
40.2%
25
59.8%
Q2 - 9:38CavaliersKevin Love misses three point jump shot27
39.5%
25
60.5%
Q2 - 9:41CavaliersDarius Garland defensive rebound27
37.7%
25
62.3%
Q2 - 9:46HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot27
38.5%
25
61.5%
Q2 - 9:52CavaliersKevin Love personal foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)27
40.3%
25
59.7%
Q2 - 10:00HeatOmer Yurtseven defensive rebound27
40.3%
25
59.7%
Q2 - 10:02CavaliersRicky Rubio misses two point driving floating bank jump shot27
39.4%
25
60.6%
Q2 - 10:17HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving layup27
37.7%
25
62.3%
Q2 - 10:27HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound25
35.5%
25
64.5%
Q2 - 10:27CavaliersEvan Mobley misses two point jump shot25
34.7%
25
65.3%
Q2 - 10:44CavaliersCavaliers defensive rebound25
33.1%
25
66.9%
Q2 - 10:48HeatGabe Vincent misses three point jump shot25
33.8%
25
66.2%
Q2 - 10:50HeatP.J. Tucker offensive rebound25
35.5%
25
64.5%
Q2 - 10:51HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot25
33.8%
25
66.2%
Q2 - 11:07CavaliersEvan Mobley makes regular free throw 2 of 225
35.0%
25
65.0%
Q2 - 11:07CavaliersEvan Mobley makes regular free throw 1 of 225
35.5%
24
64.5%
Q2 - 11:07HeatP.J. Tucker shooting foul (Evan Mobley draws the foul)25
36.1%
23
63.9%
Q2 - 11:07CavaliersEvan Mobley offensive rebound25
37.4%
23
62.6%
Q2 - 11:08CavaliersEvan Mobley misses two point jump shot25
38.9%
23
61.1%
Q2 - 11:14CavaliersRicky Rubio defensive rebound25
37.5%
23
62.5%
Q2 - 11:21HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot25
38.1%
23
61.9%
Q2 - 11:26HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound25
39.6%
23
60.4%
Q2 - 11:30CavaliersDarius Garland misses two point jump shot25
38.9%
23
61.1%
Q2 - 11:43CavaliersKevin Love defensive rebound25
37.5%
23
62.5%
Q2 - 11:46HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot25
38.1%
23
61.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.25
39.6%
23
60.4%
Q1 - 0:00.8HeatTyler Herro makes two point stepback jump shot25
37.0%
23
63.0%
Q1 - 0:12.0CavaliersEvan Mobley makes regular free throw 2 of 223
34.5%
23
65.5%
Q1 - 0:12.0CavaliersEvan Mobley misses regular free throw 1 of 223
35.0%
22
65.0%
Q1 - 0:12.0HeatKZ Okpala shooting foul (Evan Mobley draws the foul)23
33.4%
22
66.6%
Q1 - 0:29.9HeatTyler Herro turnover (out of bounds bad pass)23
34.9%
22
65.1%
Q1 - 0:35.5HeatP.J. Tucker offensive rebound23
36.7%
22
63.3%
Q1 - 0:39.3HeatTyler Herro misses two point jump shot23
35.5%
22
64.5%
Q1 - 0:51.4CavaliersDarius Garland makes three point jump shot (Evan Mobley assists)23
36.7%
22
63.3%
Q1 - 1:14HeatKZ Okpala makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)23
41.6%
19
58.4%
Q1 - 1:24CavaliersCavaliers turnover (shot clock violation)20
36.8%
19
63.2%
Q1 - 1:25CavaliersCavaliers offensive rebound20
34.9%
19
65.1%
Q1 - 1:26CavaliersRicky Rubio misses two point driving floating jump shot20
36.2%
19
63.8%
Q1 - 1:40HeatKyle Lowry personal foul (Ricky Rubio draws the foul)20
34.9%
19
65.1%
Q1 - 1:49CavaliersKevin Love defensive rebound20
34.9%
19
65.1%
Q1 - 1:54HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot20
35.5%
19
64.5%
Q1 - 2:01HeatKZ Okpala defensive rebound20
36.8%
19
63.2%
Q1 - 2:04CavaliersRicky Rubio misses three point jump shot20
36.1%
19
63.9%
Q1 - 2:11CavaliersRicky Rubio defensive rebound20
34.6%
19
65.4%
Q1 - 2:15HeatKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot20
35.3%
19
64.7%
Q1 - 2:22HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound20
36.8%
19
63.2%
Q1 - 2:22CavaliersCedi Osman misses three point jump shot20
36.1%
19
63.9%
Q1 - 2:28HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving floating jump shot20
34.7%
19
65.3%
Q1 - 2:32CavaliersRicky Rubio makes three point pullup jump shot (Cedi Osman assists)18
32.7%
19
67.3%
Q1 - 2:53HeatKZ Okpala turnover (bad pass) (Darius Garland steals)18
36.8%
16
63.2%
Q1 - 2:59HeatKZ Okpala defensive rebound18
39.0%
16
61.0%
Q1 - 3:02CavaliersCedi Osman misses two point running reverse layup18
38.1%
16
61.9%
Q1 - 3:09HeatDuncan Robinson makes two point driving layup18
36.4%
16
63.6%
Q1 - 3:16HeatOmer Yurtseven defensive rebound16
34.7%
16
65.3%
Q1 - 3:20CavaliersCedi Osman misses two point layup16
34.0%
16
66.0%
Q1 - 3:33HeatTyler Herro turnover (kicked ball violation)16
32.4%
16
67.6%
Q1 - 3:42CavaliersRicky Rubio personal foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)16
34.7%
16
65.3%
Q1 - 3:51CavaliersRicky Rubio turnover (lost ball) (KZ Okpala steals)16
34.7%
16
65.3%
Q1 - 4:12CavaliersCavaliers defensive rebound16
32.4%
16
67.6%
Q1 - 4:14HeatOmer Yurtseven misses two point hook shot16
33.0%
16
67.0%
Q1 - 4:15HeatOmer Yurtseven offensive rebound16
34.6%
16
65.4%
Q1 - 4:16HeatOmer Yurtseven misses two point putback layup16
33.0%
16
67.0%
Q1 - 4:16HeatOmer Yurtseven offensive rebound16
34.6%
16
65.4%
Q1 - 4:17HeatKyle Lowry misses two point driving layup16
33.0%
16
67.0%
Q1 - 4:28HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound16
34.6%
16
65.4%
Q1 - 4:31CavaliersKevin Love misses two point hook shot16
33.9%
16
66.1%
Q1 - 4:46HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Omer Yurtseven assists)16
32.4%
16
67.6%
Q1 - 4:51CavaliersLauri Markkanen personal foul (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)13
29.0%
16
71.0%
Q1 - 5:13CavaliersIsaac Okoro makes two point driving dunk (Ricky Rubio assists)13
29.0%
16
71.0%
Q1 - 5:25HeatDewayne Dedmon personal foul (Jarrett Allen draws the foul)13
30.5%
14
69.5%
Q1 - 5:44HeatP.J. Tucker makes three point jump shot (Dewayne Dedmon assists)13
30.5%
14
69.5%
Q1 - 5:52HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound10
27.3%
14
72.7%
Q1 - 5:56CavaliersDarius Garland misses two point driving floating bank jump shot10
26.8%
14
73.2%
Q1 - 6:09CavaliersIsaac Okoro defensive rebound10
25.8%
14
74.2%
Q1 - 6:09HeatKyle Lowry misses three point pullup jump shot10
26.2%
14
73.8%
Q1 - 6:17HeatGabe Vincent defensive rebound10
27.3%
14
72.7%
Q1 - 6:22CavaliersIsaac Okoro misses three point stepback jump shot10
26.8%
14
73.2%
Q1 - 6:41HeatP.J. Tucker makes two point pullup bank jump shot10
25.8%
14
74.2%
Q1 - 6:46HeatP.J. Tucker offensive rebound8
24.3%
14
75.7%
Q1 - 6:50HeatP.J. Tucker misses two point floating jump shot8
23.2%
14
76.8%
Q1 - 7:01CavaliersJarrett Allen turnover (traveling)8
24.3%
14
75.7%
Q1 - 7:09CavaliersEvan Mobley defensive rebound8
22.7%
14
77.3%
Q1 - 7:12HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot8
23.2%
14
76.8%
Q1 - 7:31CavaliersDarius Garland makes three point jump shot (Lauri Markkanen assists)8
24.3%
14
75.7%
Q1 - 7:50HeatKyle Lowry makes three point jump shot (Gabe Vincent assists)8
27.2%
11
72.8%
Q1 - 7:53HeatDewayne Dedmon offensive rebound5
24.3%
11
75.7%
Q1 - 7:57HeatP.J. Tucker misses three point jump shot5
23.2%
11
76.8%
Q1 - 8:08CavaliersLauri Markkanen makes three point jump shot (Jarrett Allen assists)5
24.4%
11
75.6%
Q1 - 8:22HeatKyle Lowry makes two point turnaround jump shot5
27.2%
8
72.8%
Q1 - 8:31CavaliersIsaac Okoro makes three point jump shot (Lauri Markkanen assists)3
25.9%
8
74.1%
Q1 - 8:39HeatP.J. Tucker turnover (bad pass) (Darius Garland steals)3
28.7%
5
71.3%
Q1 - 8:41HeatP.J. Tucker offensive rebound3
30.5%
5
69.5%
Q1 - 8:44HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot3
29.3%
5
70.7%
Q1 - 9:01CavaliersJarrett Allen makes regular free throw 2 of 23
30.5%
5
69.5%
Q1 - 9:01CavaliersJarrett Allen makes regular free throw 1 of 23
30.9%
4
69.1%
Q1 - 9:01HeatDewayne Dedmon shooting foul (Jarrett Allen draws the foul)3
31.4%
3
68.6%
Q1 - 9:14CavaliersLauri Markkanen defensive rebound3
31.9%
3
68.1%
Q1 - 9:18HeatP.J. Tucker misses three point jump shot3
32.5%
3
67.5%
Q1 - 9:30HeatP.J. Tucker defensive rebound3
33.8%
3
66.2%
Q1 - 9:32CavaliersDarius Garland misses two point driving floating jump shot3
33.2%
3
66.8%
Q1 - 9:40HeatP.J. Tucker turnover (lost ball) (Evan Mobley steals)3
31.9%
3
68.1%
Q1 - 9:46HeatP.J. Tucker defensive rebound3
33.8%
3
66.2%
Q1 - 9:47CavaliersKyle Lowry blocks Lauri Markkanen's two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot3
33.2%
3
66.8%
Q1 - 9:54CavaliersDarius Garland defensive rebound3
31.9%
3
68.1%
Q1 - 9:58HeatDewayne Dedmon misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot3
32.5%
3
67.5%
Q1 - 10:21CavaliersLauri Markkanen makes two point running alley-oop dunk (Evan Mobley assists)3
33.4%
3
66.6%
Q1 - 10:27HeatKyle Lowry turnover (bad pass) (Darius Garland steals)3
34.9%
1
65.1%
Q1 - 10:31HeatP.J. Tucker defensive rebound3
36.8%
1
63.2%
Q1 - 10:36CavaliersDarius Garland misses three point jump shot3
36.2%
1
63.8%
Q1 - 10:43CavaliersEvan Mobley defensive rebound3
34.9%
1
65.1%
Q1 - 10:48HeatP.J. Tucker misses two point jump shot3
35.5%
1
64.5%
Q1 - 10:52HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound3
36.8%
1
63.2%
Q1 - 10:57CavaliersLauri Markkanen misses three point jump shot3
36.2%
1
63.8%
Q1 - 11:12HeatP.J. Tucker makes three point jump shot (Duncan Robinson assists)3
34.6%
1
65.4%
Q1 - 11:30CavaliersCavaliers turnover (shot clock violation)0
31.7%
1
68.3%
Q1 - 11:30CavaliersCavaliers offensive rebound0
29.9%
1
70.1%
Q1 - 11:31CavaliersEvan Mobley misses two point jump shot0
31.1%
1
68.9%
Q1 - 11:44CavaliersDarius Garland makes regular free throw 1 of 10
29.9%
1
70.1%
Q1 - 11:44HeatDuncan Robinson personal foul (Away from play) (Lauri Markkanen draws the foul)0
30.2%
0
69.8%
Q1 - 11:45CavaliersCavaliers offensive rebound0
31.4%
0
68.6%
Q1 - 11:45CavaliersGabe Vincent blocks Lauri Markkanen's two point layup0
32.7%
0
67.3%
Q1 - 12:00Dewayne Dedmon vs. Jarrett Allen (Lauri Markkanen gains possession)0
31.5%
0
68.5%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.03 51.6%
CLE
1.12 55.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
11
18
61%
CLE
13
24
54%
Midrange
MIA
14
27
52%
CLE
7
21
33%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
13
19.5
40
33%
49%
CLE
16
24.0
36
44%
67%
Free Throws
MIA
5
9
56%
CLE
17
18
94%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
P. Tucker2377%11.5 / 15
K. Lowry2265%11.0 / 17
T. Herro1240%6.0 / 15
G. Vincent1071%5.0 / 7
D. Dedmon1071%5.0 / 7
O. Yurtseven844%4.0 / 9
D. Robinson630%3.0 / 10
K. Okpala330%1.5 / 5
M. Strus0-0.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
CLE logo Cavaliers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Love2396%11.5 / 12
I. Okoro1875%9.0 / 12
J. Allen17106%8.5 / 8
D. Garland1647%8.0 / 17
L. Markkanen1246%6.0 / 13
E. Mobley935%4.5 / 13
R. Rubio739%3.5 / 9
L. Stevens3150%1.5 / 1
C. Osman0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
78
+13
-14
91
CLE
82
+12
-12
94
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.03 51.6%
CLE
1.12 55.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
113.3
111.5
MIA 102.2
CLE 111.7 +9.5
Pace
96.2
96.5
MIA 92.6
CLE 93.4 +0.7
Avg. Poss. Time
15.0
15.4
MIA 15.5
CLE 15.4 +0.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
54.7%
53.8%
MIA 52.4%
CLE 54.3% +1.9%
TO %
14.2%
13.7%
MIA 15.2%
CLE 13.6% +1.6%
ORB %
23.5%
24.0%
MIA 24.4% +2.2%
CLE 22.2%
FTrt
25.2
26.1
MIA 10.6
CLE 22.2 +11.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
64.4%
63.4%
MIA 68.4% +1.7%
CLE 66.7%
STL %
7.6%
7.3%
MIA 4.3%
CLE 6.4% +2.1%
BLK %
7.1%
7.8%
MIA 8.9% +6.7%
CLE 2.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
56.8%
55.5%
MIA 51.6%
CLE 55.9% +4.3%
Rim FG%
63.4%
63.4%
MIA 61.1% +6.9%
CLE 54.2%
Mid FG%
41.4%
41.0%
MIA 51.9% +18.6%
CLE 33.3%
3P %
37.9%
35.5%
MIA 32.5%
CLE 44.4% +11.9%
FT %
80.8%
76.0%
MIA 55.6%
CLE 94.4% +38.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
30.6%
35.8%
MIA 21.2%
CLE 29.6% +8.5%
Mid Att. %
27.1%
25.5%
MIA 31.8%
CLE 25.9% +5.8%
3P Att. %
42.2%
38.7%
MIA 47.1% +2.6%
CLE 44.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIACLE
Possessions9294
Possession Minutes23.824.2
Points94105
Rebounds3942
Assists2624
Steals46
Blocks41
Turnovers (Team)14 (2)12 (2)
Fouls1516
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (2)8 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)28 (5)34 (2)
Field Goals38-8536-81
At-the-Rim FG11-1813-24
Midrange FG14-277-21
2-Point FG25-4520-45
3-Point FG13-4016-36
Free Throws5-917-18
Fast Break Pts66
2nd Chance Pts816
Points in Paint3634
Pts off Turnovers2026
Bench Points2333
Biggest Lead616

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#7 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 36
38.0
22
65%
3
5
1
1
2
4
0
3
2-2
100%
4-8
50%
4-8
50%
#17 · PF · 6'6" 245 · 37
35.1
23
77%
9
5
0
1
3
3
4
5
0-0
-
4-7
57%
5-8
63%
#2 · SG · 6'2" 200 · 25
33.7
10
71%
3
4
0
1
3
1
0
3
0-0
-
2-3
67%
2-4
50%
#55 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 28
32.4
6
30%
5
3
1
0
1
2
0
5
1-3
33%
1-2
50%
1-7
14%
#21 · C · 7'0" 245 · 32
23.3
10
71%
5
2
1
0
1
3
3
2
0-0
-
5-6
83%
0-1
0%
#14 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 22
24.7
12
40%
2
2
0
0
2
0
0
2
0-0
-
6-12
50%
0-3
0%
#77 · C · 7'0" 275 · 23
19.9
8
44%
7
1
0
1
0
0
3
4
2-4
50%
3-6
50%
0-1
0%
#11 · PF · 6'9" 210 · 23
17.4
3
30%
3
2
1
0
2
1
1
2
0-0
-
0-1
0%
1-4
25%
#31 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 26
15.6
0
0%
2
2
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-4
0%
#0 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 23
DNP – Coach's Decision
#40 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 42
DNP – Coach's Decision
#16 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 26
Inactive - Health and Safety Protocols
#13 · C · 6'9" 255 · 24
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Thumb; UCL Reconstruction
#4 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 30
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Knee; Injury Recovery
#22 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 32
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Tailbone; Contusion
#8 · PF · 6'10" 245 · 32
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Neck; Whiplash
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
94
52%
39
26
4
4
14
15
11
28
5-9
56%
25-45
56%
13-40
33%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.