FinalWin Prob.pScore
3021%100
79
1679%112
152
ORTG#PossPace
OKC logo OKC
80.69896.3
MEM logo MEM
155.19899.7

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

GrizzliesThunderQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

GrizzliesThunderQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventOKCMEM
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.79
0%
152
100%
Q4 - 0:23.7ThunderTy Jerome makes two point pullup jump shot79
0%
152
100%
Q4 - 0:32.5GrizzliesJohn Konchar makes two point driving dunk (Jarrett Culver assists)77
0%
152
100%
Q4 - 0:49.4GrizzliesSanti Aldama defensive rebound77
0%
150
100%
Q4 - 0:54.2ThunderTre Mann misses regular free throw 1 of 177
0%
150
100%
Q4 - 0:54.2GrizzliesXavier Tillman shooting foul (Tre Mann draws the foul)77
0%
150
100%
Q4 - 1:04ThunderTy Jerome defensive rebound75
0%
150
100%
Q4 - 1:07GrizzliesSanti Aldama misses regular free throw 1 of 175
0%
150
100%
Q4 - 1:07ThunderGabriel Deck shooting foul (Santi Aldama draws the foul)75
0%
150
100%
Q4 - 1:25ThunderPaul Watson makes regular free throw 2 of 275
0%
148
100%
Q4 - 1:25ThunderPaul Watson misses regular free throw 1 of 274
0%
148
100%
Q4 - 1:25GrizzliesXavier Tillman personal foul (Paul Watson draws the foul)74
0%
148
100%
Q4 - 1:25ThunderPaul Watson defensive rebound74
0%
148
100%
Q4 - 1:28GrizzliesJohn Konchar misses three point jump shot74
0%
148
100%
Q4 - 1:44ThunderGabriel Deck makes two point running finger roll layup (Isaiah Roby assists)74
0%
148
100%
Q4 - 1:45ThunderIsaiah Roby defensive rebound72
0%
148
100%
Q4 - 1:49GrizzliesSanti Aldama misses two point driving hook shot72
0%
148
100%
Q4 - 1:53GrizzliesSanti Aldama offensive rebound72
0%
148
100%
Q4 - 1:56GrizzliesSanti Aldama misses three point jump shot72
0%
148
100%
Q4 - 2:11ThunderIsaiah Roby makes two point driving finger roll layup (Gabriel Deck assists)72
0%
148
100%
Q4 - 2:32GrizzliesJohn Konchar makes three point jump shot (Xavier Tillman assists)70
0%
148
100%
Q4 - 2:52ThunderTy Jerome makes three point running jump shot (Tre Mann assists)70
0%
145
100%
Q4 - 3:02GrizzliesJohn Konchar makes two point running dunk (Xavier Tillman assists)67
0%
145
100%
Q4 - 3:05ThunderTy Jerome turnover (lost ball) (John Konchar steals)67
0%
143
100%
Q4 - 3:14ThunderPaul Watson defensive rebound67
0%
143
100%
Q4 - 3:17GrizzliesJarrett Culver misses regular free throw 2 of 267
0%
143
100%
Q4 - 3:17GrizzliesJarrett Culver misses regular free throw 1 of 267
0%
143
100%
Q4 - 3:17ThunderPaul Watson shooting foul (Jarrett Culver draws the foul)67
0%
143
100%
Q4 - 3:33ThunderPaul Watson personal foul (Take) (Jarrett Culver draws the foul)67
0%
143
100%
Q4 - 3:36GrizzliesJarrett Culver defensive rebound67
0%
143
100%
Q4 - 3:41ThunderIsaiah Roby misses two point turnaround bank jump shot67
0%
143
100%
Q4 - 3:47ThunderIsaiah Roby defensive rebound67
0%
143
100%
Q4 - 3:49GrizzliesXavier Tillman misses three point jump shot67
0%
143
100%
Q4 - 4:09ThunderAleksej Pokusevski turnover (bad pass) (Santi Aldama steals)67
0%
143
100%
Q4 - 4:22GrizzliesJohn Konchar makes two point driving layup (Jarrett Culver assists)67
0%
143
100%
Q4 - 4:38GrizzliesXavier Tillman defensive rebound67
0%
141
100%
Q4 - 4:42ThunderTre Mann misses three point pullup jump shot67
0%
141
100%
Q4 - 5:04GrizzliesXavier Tillman makes two point driving finger roll layup (Jarrett Culver assists)67
0%
141
100%
Q4 - 5:18ThunderIsaiah Roby turnover (lost ball) (John Konchar steals)67
0%
139
100%
Q4 - 5:39GrizzliesJarrett Culver makes two point driving floating bank jump shot67
0%
139
100%
Q4 - 5:48GrizzliesJarrett Culver defensive rebound67
0%
137
100%
Q4 - 5:54ThunderTy Jerome misses three point pullup jump shot67
0%
137
100%
Q4 - 6:18GrizzliesSanti Aldama makes two point putback layup67
0%
137
100%
Q4 - 6:20GrizzliesSanti Aldama offensive rebound67
0%
135
100%
Q4 - 6:20GrizzliesSanti Aldama misses two point tip layup67
0%
135
100%
Q4 - 6:20GrizzliesSanti Aldama offensive rebound67
0%
135
100%
Q4 - 6:21GrizzliesXavier Tillman misses two point driving floating jump shot67
0%
135
100%
Q4 - 6:22GrizzliesJohn Konchar offensive rebound67
0%
135
100%
Q4 - 6:25GrizzliesKillian Tillie misses three point jump shot67
0%
135
100%
Q4 - 6:42ThunderIsaiah Roby makes regular free throw 2 of 267
0%
135
100%
Q4 - 6:42ThunderIsaiah Roby makes regular free throw 1 of 266
0%
135
100%
Q4 - 6:42GrizzliesKillian Tillie shooting foul (Isaiah Roby draws the foul)65
0%
135
100%
Q4 - 6:50GrizzliesSanti Aldama makes two point cutting layup (John Konchar assists)65
0%
135
100%
Q4 - 6:58GrizzliesSanti Aldama defensive rebound65
0%
133
100%
Q4 - 7:01ThunderIsaiah Roby misses three point jump shot65
0%
133
100%
Q4 - 7:14GrizzliesJarrett Culver personal foul (Isaiah Roby draws the foul)65
0%
133
100%
Q4 - 7:37GrizzliesJarrett Culver makes two point running alley-oop dunk (John Konchar assists)65
0%
133
100%
Q4 - 7:41ThunderGabriel Deck turnover (bad pass) (Xavier Tillman steals)65
0%
131
100%
Q4 - 7:54GrizzliesKillian Tillie makes two point driving floating jump shot65
0%
131
100%
Q4 - 7:59GrizzliesKillian Tillie defensive rebound65
0%
129
100%
Q4 - 8:01ThunderJeremiah Robinson-Earl misses three point stepback jump shot65
0%
129
100%
Q4 - 8:03ThunderJeremiah Robinson-Earl offensive rebound65
0%
129
100%
Q4 - 8:08ThunderTre Mann misses two point driving floating bank jump shot65
0%
129
100%
Q4 - 8:27GrizzliesJarrett Culver makes two point running layup65
0%
129
100%
Q4 - 8:32ThunderTy Jerome turnover (lost ball) (Jarrett Culver steals)65
0%
127
100%
Q4 - 8:48GrizzliesJarrett Culver makes three point jump shot (John Konchar assists)65
0%
127
100%
Q4 - 8:51GrizzliesKillian Tillie offensive rebound65
0%
124
100%
Q4 - 8:53GrizzliesKillian Tillie misses two point pullup jump shot65
0%
124
100%
Q4 - 9:10ThunderThunder turnover (shot clock violation)65
0%
124
100%
Q4 - 9:24GrizzliesKillian Tillie personal foul (Isaiah Roby draws the foul)65
0%
124
100%
Q4 - 9:36GrizzliesKillian Tillie makes regular free throw 2 of 265
0%
124
100%
Q4 - 9:36GrizzliesKillian Tillie misses regular free throw 1 of 265
0%
123
100%
Q4 - 9:36ThunderIsaiah Roby shooting foul (Killian Tillie draws the foul)65
0%
123
100%
Q4 - 9:39GrizzliesJarrett Culver defensive rebound65
0%
123
100%
Q4 - 9:42ThunderTy Jerome misses two point fadeaway jump shot65
0%
123
100%
Q4 - 10:09GrizzliesJohn Konchar makes three point jump shot (Jarrett Culver assists)65
0.1%
123
99.9%
Q4 - 10:27ThunderMike Muscala makes regular free throw 1 of 165
0.1%
120
99.9%
Q4 - 10:27GrizzliesKillian Tillie shooting foul (Mike Muscala draws the foul)64
0.1%
120
99.9%
Q4 - 10:45GrizzliesJarrett Culver makes two point tip layup62
0.1%
120
99.9%
Q4 - 10:45GrizzliesJarrett Culver offensive rebound62
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 10:49GrizzliesJarrett Culver misses two point driving layup62
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 10:55GrizzliesJohn Konchar defensive rebound62
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 10:58ThunderTy Jerome misses two point driving floating jump shot62
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 11:24GrizzliesSanti Aldama makes two point running alley-oop layup (Xavier Tillman assists)62
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 11:29ThunderTy Jerome turnover (bad pass) (Jarrett Culver steals)62
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 11:45GrizzliesKillian Tillie makes three point jump shot (Jarrett Culver assists)62
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.62
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0GrizzliesGrizzlies offensive rebound62
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0GrizzliesJarrett Culver misses two point cutting layup62
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q3 - 0:06.2ThunderTy Jerome makes two point driving finger roll layup62
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q3 - 0:28.2GrizzliesJohn Konchar makes two point driving layup60
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q3 - 0:29.6ThunderAleksej Pokusevski turnover (bad pass) (John Konchar steals)60
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q3 - 0:32.4GrizzliesJohn Konchar makes three point jump shot (Jarrett Culver assists)60
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q3 - 0:42.7ThunderMike Muscala makes three point jump shot (Paul Watson assists)60
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q3 - 0:49.0ThunderMike Muscala defensive rebound57
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q3 - 0:51.8GrizzliesJarrett Culver misses three point jump shot57
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q3 - 1:00ThunderGabriel Deck makes two point cutting layup (Ty Jerome assists)57
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q3 - 1:15GrizzliesKillian Tillie turnover (out of bounds lost ball)55
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q3 - 1:25ThunderTy Jerome makes two point pullup jump shot55
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q3 - 1:42GrizzliesXavier Tillman makes three point jump shot (Santi Aldama assists)53
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q3 - 2:06ThunderAleksej Pokusevski makes two point stepback jump shot53
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q3 - 2:26GrizzliesSanti Aldama makes regular free throw 2 of 251
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q3 - 2:26GrizzliesSanti Aldama makes regular free throw 1 of 251
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q3 - 2:26ThunderAleksej Pokusevski shooting foul (Santi Aldama draws the foul)51
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q3 - 2:30GrizzliesJohn Konchar defensive rebound51
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q3 - 2:33ThunderLuguentz Dort misses three point jump shot51
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q3 - 2:44ThunderMike Muscala defensive rebound51
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q3 - 2:47GrizzliesSanti Aldama misses three point jump shot51
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q3 - 3:02GrizzliesGrizzlies defensive rebound51
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q3 - 3:02ThunderBrandon Clarke blocks Aleksej Pokusevski's two point driving floating jump shot51
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q3 - 3:15GrizzliesSanti Aldama makes two point putback dunk51
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q3 - 3:15GrizzliesSanti Aldama offensive rebound51
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q3 - 3:21GrizzliesDe'Anthony Melton misses three point jump shot51
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q3 - 3:33GrizzliesDe'Anthony Melton defensive rebound51
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q3 - 3:36ThunderPaul Watson misses three point pullup jump shot51
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q3 - 3:53GrizzliesDe'Anthony Melton makes two point running layup51
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q3 - 3:58GrizzliesDe'Anthony Melton defensive rebound51
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q3 - 4:01ThunderGabriel Deck misses three point jump shot51
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q3 - 4:12GrizzliesSteven Adams makes regular free throw 2 of 251
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q3 - 4:12GrizzliesSteven Adams makes regular free throw 1 of 251
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q3 - 4:12ThunderMike Muscala shooting foul (Steven Adams draws the foul)51
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q3 - 4:12GrizzliesSteven Adams offensive rebound51
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q3 - 4:15GrizzliesBrandon Clarke misses three point jump shot51
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q3 - 4:29ThunderMike Muscala makes three point jump shot (Luguentz Dort assists)51
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q3 - 4:38ThunderMike Muscala defensive rebound48
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q3 - 4:41GrizzliesDe'Anthony Melton misses three point jump shot48
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q3 - 5:06ThunderLuguentz Dort makes three point jump shot (Gabriel Deck assists)48
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q3 - 5:15ThunderAleksej Pokusevski defensive rebound45
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q3 - 5:18GrizzliesDillon Brooks misses three point jump shot45
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q3 - 5:32GrizzliesDe'Anthony Melton defensive rebound45
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q3 - 5:34ThunderMike Muscala misses three point jump shot45
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q3 - 5:49GrizzliesBrandon Clarke makes three point jump shot (Dillon Brooks assists)45
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q3 - 6:00GrizzliesJohn Konchar defensive rebound45
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q3 - 6:03ThunderAleksej Pokusevski misses three point jump shot45
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q3 - 6:20GrizzliesSteven Adams makes two point cutting finger roll layup (De'Anthony Melton assists)45
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q3 - 6:28ThunderPaul Watson turnover (bad pass) (Tyus Jones steals)45
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q3 - 6:46GrizzliesJaren Jackson Jr. makes three point jump shot (Tyus Jones assists)45
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q3 - 6:58ThunderJeremiah Robinson-Earl makes regular free throw 2 of 245
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q3 - 6:58ThunderJeremiah Robinson-Earl makes regular free throw 1 of 244
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q3 - 6:58GrizzliesSteven Adams shooting foul (Jeremiah Robinson-Earl draws the foul)43
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q3 - 7:21GrizzliesDillon Brooks makes two point driving finger roll layup (Desmond Bane assists)43
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q3 - 7:35ThunderGabriel Deck personal foul (Tyus Jones draws the foul)43
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q3 - 7:39ThunderDarius Bazley makes three point jump shot (Paul Watson assists)43
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q3 - 7:47ThunderDarius Bazley defensive rebound40
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q3 - 7:51GrizzliesDillon Brooks misses three point stepback jump shot40
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q3 - 8:03ThunderLuguentz Dort turnover (out of bounds lost ball)40
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q3 - 8:16GrizzliesJaren Jackson Jr. makes three point jump shot (Tyus Jones assists)40
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q3 - 8:22GrizzliesTyus Jones defensive rebound40
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q3 - 8:25ThunderJeremiah Robinson-Earl misses three point jump shot40
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q3 - 8:37GrizzliesTyus Jones turnover (back court violation)40
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q3 - 8:43ThunderLuguentz Dort makes regular free throw 2 of 240
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q3 - 8:43ThunderLuguentz Dort makes regular free throw 1 of 239
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q3 - 8:43GrizzliesSteven Adams shooting foul (Luguentz Dort draws the foul)38
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q3 - 8:59GrizzliesDillon Brooks makes two point cutting finger roll layup (Tyus Jones assists)38
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q3 - 9:05GrizzliesSteven Adams defensive rebound38
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q3 - 9:07ThunderTre Mann misses two point driving floating jump shot38
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q3 - 9:18GrizzliesDillon Brooks makes two point running alley-oop dunk (Tyus Jones assists)38
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q3 - 9:22ThunderTy Jerome turnover (lost ball) (Dillon Brooks steals)38
0.1%
80
99.9%
Q3 - 9:39GrizzliesJaren Jackson Jr. makes three point jump shot (Desmond Bane assists)38
0.1%
80
99.9%
Q3 - 9:51ThunderLuguentz Dort turnover (bad pass) (Tyus Jones steals)38
0.1%
77
99.9%
Q3 - 10:13GrizzliesSteven Adams makes regular free throw 2 of 238
0.1%
77
99.9%
Q3 - 10:13GrizzliesSteven Adams makes regular free throw 1 of 238
0.2%
76
99.8%
Q3 - 10:13ThunderDarius Bazley shooting foul (Steven Adams draws the foul)38
0.2%
75
99.8%
Q3 - 10:14GrizzliesDesmond Bane defensive rebound38
0.2%
75
99.8%
Q3 - 10:21ThunderJeremiah Robinson-Earl misses two point jump shot38
0.2%
75
99.8%
Q3 - 10:23ThunderJeremiah Robinson-Earl offensive rebound38
0.2%
75
99.8%
Q3 - 10:26ThunderSteven Adams blocks Jeremiah Robinson-Earl's two point reverse layup38
0.2%
75
99.8%
Q3 - 10:28ThunderJeremiah Robinson-Earl offensive rebound38
0.2%
75
99.8%
Q3 - 10:28ThunderDesmond Bane blocks Ty Jerome's two point driving layup38
0.2%
75
99.8%
Q3 - 10:40GrizzliesJaren Jackson Jr. makes three point jump shot (Dillon Brooks assists)38
0.2%
75
99.8%
Q3 - 10:56ThunderTre Mann makes two point driving floating jump shot38
0.2%
72
99.8%
Q3 - 11:11GrizzliesDillon Brooks turnover (offensive goaltending)36
0.2%
72
99.8%
Q3 - 11:24ThunderJeremiah Robinson-Earl turnover (bad pass) (Desmond Bane steals)36
0.2%
72
99.8%
Q3 - 11:32ThunderJeremiah Robinson-Earl defensive rebound36
0.2%
72
99.8%
Q3 - 11:35GrizzliesDarius Bazley blocks Jaren Jackson Jr.'s three point stepback jump shot36
0.2%
72
99.8%
Q3 - 11:42GrizzliesTyus Jones defensive rebound36
0.2%
72
99.8%
Q3 - 11:46ThunderJeremiah Robinson-Earl misses three point jump shot36
0.2%
72
99.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.36
0.2%
72
99.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0ThunderThunder offensive rebound36
0.2%
72
99.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0ThunderTy Jerome misses two point driving floating bank jump shot36
0.2%
72
99.8%
Q2 - 0:12.1GrizzliesXavier Tillman makes three point jump shot (Santi Aldama assists)36
0.3%
72
99.7%
Q2 - 0:33.8ThunderTy Jerome makes regular free throw 2 of 236
0.3%
69
99.7%
Q2 - 0:33.8ThunderTy Jerome misses regular free throw 1 of 235
0.3%
69
99.7%
Q2 - 0:33.8GrizzliesXavier Tillman shooting foul (Ty Jerome draws the foul)35
0.4%
69
99.6%
Q2 - 0:50.3GrizzliesDe'Anthony Melton makes two point driving floating jump shot35
0.3%
69
99.7%
Q2 - 1:17ThunderTre Mann makes three point pullup jump shot35
0.4%
67
99.6%
Q2 - 1:35GrizzliesBrandon Clarke makes two point cutting dunk (De'Anthony Melton assists)32
0.3%
67
99.7%
Q2 - 1:54GrizzliesGrizzlies defensive rebound32
0.4%
65
99.6%
Q2 - 1:55ThunderLuguentz Dort misses three point jump shot32
0.4%
65
99.6%
Q2 - 2:18GrizzliesDe'Anthony Melton makes three point jump shot (Desmond Bane assists)32
0.5%
65
99.5%
Q2 - 2:41ThunderTy Jerome makes two point driving floating jump shot32
0.6%
62
99.4%
Q2 - 2:49GrizzliesBrandon Clarke makes two point driving layup (Xavier Tillman assists)30
0.6%
62
99.4%
Q2 - 3:04ThunderTre Mann turnover (out of bounds step)30
0.7%
60
99.3%
Q2 - 3:15GrizzliesBrandon Clarke makes two point turnaround hook shot (Jaren Jackson Jr. assists)30
0.8%
60
99.2%
Q2 - 3:29ThunderTre Mann turnover (lost ball) (Jaren Jackson Jr. steals)30
0.9%
58
99.1%
Q2 - 3:48GrizzliesBrandon Clarke makes two point floating jump shot (De'Anthony Melton assists)30
1.0%
58
99.0%
Q2 - 4:05GrizzliesGrizzlies defensive rebound30
1.2%
56
98.8%
Q2 - 4:06ThunderSanti Aldama blocks Darius Bazley's two point driving layup30
1.3%
56
98.7%
Q2 - 4:29GrizzliesDe'Anthony Melton makes two point driving floating jump shot (Brandon Clarke assists)30
1.4%
56
98.6%
Q2 - 4:48ThunderLuguentz Dort makes regular free throw 2 of 230
1.6%
54
98.4%
Q2 - 4:48ThunderLuguentz Dort makes regular free throw 1 of 229
1.5%
54
98.5%
Q2 - 4:48GrizzliesSanti Aldama shooting foul (Luguentz Dort draws the foul)28
1.5%
54
98.5%
Q2 - 4:53GrizzliesDesmond Bane personal foul (Luguentz Dort draws the foul)28
1.4%
54
98.6%
Q2 - 5:09GrizzliesJaren Jackson Jr. makes three point jump shot (Santi Aldama assists)28
1.4%
54
98.6%
Q2 - 5:17GrizzliesSanti Aldama defensive rebound28
1.7%
51
98.3%
Q2 - 5:19ThunderLuguentz Dort misses three point jump shot28
1.8%
51
98.2%
Q2 - 5:42GrizzliesTyus Jones makes three point jump shot (De'Anthony Melton assists)28
2.0%
51
98.0%
Q2 - 5:47GrizzliesSteven Adams defensive rebound28
2.4%
48
97.6%
Q2 - 5:49ThunderJaren Jackson Jr. blocks Mike Muscala's three point jump shot28
2.5%
48
97.5%
Q2 - 6:07GrizzliesDe'Anthony Melton makes three point jump shot (Tyus Jones assists)28
2.8%
48
97.2%
Q2 - 6:21GrizzliesGrizzlies defensive rebound28
3.4%
45
96.6%
Q2 - 6:25ThunderAleksej Pokusevski misses three point jump shot28
3.6%
45
96.4%
Q2 - 6:31ThunderJeremiah Robinson-Earl offensive rebound28
3.9%
45
96.1%
Q2 - 6:33ThunderPaul Watson misses three point jump shot28
3.5%
45
96.5%
Q2 - 6:48GrizzliesSteven Adams makes two point putback layup28
3.9%
45
96.1%
Q2 - 6:49GrizzliesSteven Adams offensive rebound28
4.2%
43
95.8%
Q2 - 6:53GrizzliesTyus Jones misses two point pullup jump shot28
4.6%
43
95.4%
Q2 - 7:08ThunderMike Muscala makes three point jump shot (Ty Jerome assists)28
4.5%
43
95.5%
Q2 - 7:21GrizzliesJaren Jackson Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 125
3.6%
43
96.4%
Q2 - 7:21ThunderIsaiah Roby shooting foul (Jaren Jackson Jr. draws the foul)25
3.7%
42
96.3%
Q2 - 7:26GrizzliesJaren Jackson Jr. defensive rebound25
4.4%
40
95.6%
Q2 - 7:29ThunderMike Muscala misses three point jump shot25
4.6%
40
95.4%
Q2 - 7:41GrizzliesDe'Anthony Melton makes two point driving dunk (Tyus Jones assists)25
4.9%
40
95.1%
Q2 - 7:48ThunderAleksej Pokusevski makes two point tip dunk25
5.4%
38
94.6%
Q2 - 7:48ThunderAleksej Pokusevski offensive rebound23
4.9%
38
95.1%
Q2 - 7:52ThunderTy Jerome misses three point jump shot23
4.6%
38
95.4%
Q2 - 8:04GrizzliesTyus Jones makes two point driving floating jump shot23
5.0%
38
95.0%
Q2 - 8:12GrizzliesSteven Adams defensive rebound23
5.5%
36
94.5%
Q2 - 8:15ThunderPaul Watson misses three point jump shot23
5.7%
36
94.3%
Q2 - 8:32GrizzliesTyus Jones makes two point driving floating bank jump shot (Steven Adams assists)23
6.1%
36
93.9%
Q2 - 8:42GrizzliesSteven Adams defensive rebound23
6.7%
34
93.3%
Q2 - 8:44ThunderAleksej Pokusevski misses two point pullup jump shot23
7.0%
34
93.0%
Q2 - 9:00ThunderThunder defensive rebound23
7.4%
34
92.6%
Q2 - 9:01GrizzliesTyus Jones misses three point jump shot23
7.3%
34
92.7%
Q2 - 9:22ThunderPaul Watson makes three point jump shot (Ty Jerome assists)23
6.9%
34
93.1%
Q2 - 9:34ThunderMike Muscala defensive rebound20
5.7%
34
94.3%
Q2 - 9:38GrizzliesAleksej Pokusevski blocks Jaren Jackson Jr.'s two point driving floating jump shot20
5.5%
34
94.5%
Q2 - 9:49ThunderTy Jerome turnover (out of bounds bad pass)20
5.1%
34
94.9%
Q2 - 10:01GrizzliesTyus Jones makes regular free throw 1 of 120
5.8%
34
94.2%
Q2 - 10:01ThunderPaul Watson shooting foul (Tyus Jones draws the foul)20
5.9%
33
94.1%
Q2 - 10:04GrizzliesTyus Jones defensive rebound20
7.0%
31
93.0%
Q2 - 10:09ThunderMike Muscala misses three point jump shot20
7.2%
31
92.8%
Q2 - 10:18GrizzliesDe'Anthony Melton turnover (traveling)20
7.7%
31
92.3%
Q2 - 10:32ThunderIsaiah Roby makes regular free throw 2 of 220
7.0%
31
93.0%
Q2 - 10:32ThunderIsaiah Roby makes regular free throw 1 of 219
6.8%
31
93.2%
Q2 - 10:32GrizzliesDillon Brooks shooting foul (Isaiah Roby draws the foul)18
6.7%
31
93.3%
Q2 - 10:35GrizzliesJaren Jackson Jr. turnover (lost ball) (Ty Jerome steals)18
6.4%
31
93.6%
Q2 - 10:45GrizzliesGrizzlies offensive rebound18
5.8%
31
94.2%
Q2 - 10:47GrizzliesPaul Watson blocks Dillon Brooks's two point running alley-oop dunk18
6.2%
31
93.8%
Q2 - 10:50ThunderIsaiah Roby turnover (lost ball) (Xavier Tillman steals)18
5.8%
31
94.2%
Q2 - 10:56ThunderMike Muscala defensive rebound18
6.4%
31
93.6%
Q2 - 11:00GrizzliesDesmond Bane misses two point pullup jump shot18
6.2%
31
93.8%
Q2 - 11:21ThunderIsaiah Roby makes regular free throw 2 of 218
5.9%
31
94.1%
Q2 - 11:21ThunderIsaiah Roby makes regular free throw 1 of 217
5.8%
31
94.2%
Q2 - 11:21GrizzliesDillon Brooks shooting foul (Isaiah Roby draws the foul)16
5.7%
31
94.3%
Q2 - 11:29GrizzliesDillon Brooks turnover (traveling)16
5.4%
31
94.6%
Q2 - 11:39GrizzliesDesmond Bane defensive rebound16
4.9%
31
95.1%
Q2 - 11:42ThunderTy Jerome misses three point jump shot16
5.1%
31
94.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.16
5.4%
31
94.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0GrizzliesSanti Aldama defensive rebound16
4.9%
31
95.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0ThunderBrandon Clarke blocks Paul Watson's two point floating jump shot16
5.1%
31
94.9%
Q1 - 0:00.3ThunderPaul Watson offensive rebound16
5.4%
31
94.6%
Q1 - 0:02.2ThunderTy Jerome misses three point running pullup jump shot16
5.1%
31
94.9%
Q1 - 0:06.4ThunderTy Jerome defensive rebound16
5.4%
31
94.6%
Q1 - 0:09.5GrizzliesBrandon Clarke misses two point jump shot16
5.3%
31
94.7%
Q1 - 0:30.1GrizzliesBrandon Clarke defensive rebound16
5.0%
31
95.0%
Q1 - 0:33.5ThunderGabriel Deck misses two point fadeaway jump shot16
5.1%
31
94.9%
Q1 - 0:35.1ThunderAleksej Pokusevski offensive rebound16
5.4%
31
94.6%
Q1 - 0:38.5ThunderPaul Watson misses three point jump shot16
5.1%
31
94.9%
Q1 - 0:40.2ThunderAleksej Pokusevski offensive rebound16
5.4%
31
94.6%
Q1 - 0:42.5ThunderAleksej Pokusevski misses two point pullup jump shot16
5.1%
31
94.9%
Q1 - 0:50.1ThunderIsaiah Roby defensive rebound16
5.4%
31
94.6%
Q1 - 0:54.3GrizzliesSanti Aldama misses two point reverse layup16
5.3%
31
94.7%
Q1 - 0:56.6GrizzliesXavier Tillman offensive rebound16
5.0%
31
95.0%
Q1 - 0:59.9GrizzliesDesmond Bane misses three point jump shot16
5.3%
31
94.7%
Q1 - 1:15ThunderIsaiah Roby makes three point jump shot (Aleksej Pokusevski assists)16
5.1%
31
94.9%
Q1 - 1:41GrizzliesDe'Anthony Melton makes two point driving floating jump shot13
4.2%
31
95.8%
Q1 - 1:47GrizzliesBrandon Clarke defensive rebound13
4.6%
29
95.4%
Q1 - 1:51ThunderIsaiah Roby misses two point floating jump shot13
4.7%
29
95.3%
Q1 - 2:08GrizzliesBrandon Clarke turnover (traveling)13
5.2%
29
94.8%
Q1 - 2:08GrizzliesDe'Anthony Melton offensive rebound13
4.8%
29
95.2%
Q1 - 2:11GrizzliesSanti Aldama misses two point cutting layup13
5.1%
29
94.9%
Q1 - 2:18GrizzliesDe'Anthony Melton defensive rebound13
4.8%
29
95.2%
Q1 - 2:21ThunderXavier Tillman blocks Ty Jerome's two point fadeaway jump shot13
4.9%
29
95.1%
Q1 - 2:40GrizzliesSanti Aldama makes two point cutting dunk (De'Anthony Melton assists)13
5.2%
29
94.8%
Q1 - 2:42GrizzliesDe'Anthony Melton defensive rebound13
5.7%
27
94.3%
Q1 - 2:46ThunderXavier Tillman blocks Luguentz Dort's two point driving layup13
5.8%
27
94.2%
Q1 - 2:58GrizzliesSanti Aldama makes two point tip layup13
6.2%
27
93.8%
Q1 - 2:58GrizzliesSanti Aldama offensive rebound13
6.7%
25
93.3%
Q1 - 3:04GrizzliesBrandon Clarke misses three point jump shot13
7.3%
25
92.7%
Q1 - 3:20GrizzliesTyus Jones defensive rebound13
6.8%
25
93.2%
Q1 - 3:22ThunderPaul Watson misses three point jump shot13
7.0%
25
93.0%
Q1 - 3:35GrizzliesSanti Aldama makes two point running dunk (Tyus Jones assists)13
7.5%
25
92.5%
Q1 - 3:37GrizzliesTyus Jones defensive rebound13
8.0%
23
92.0%
Q1 - 3:41ThunderPaul Watson misses two point driving dunk13
8.3%
23
91.7%
Q1 - 3:51ThunderGabriel Deck defensive rebound13
8.8%
23
91.2%
Q1 - 3:54GrizzliesSanti Aldama misses two point driving hook shot13
8.6%
23
91.4%
Q1 - 3:59GrizzliesSanti Aldama defensive rebound13
8.0%
23
92.0%
Q1 - 4:02ThunderGabriel Deck misses two point driving reverse layup13
8.5%
23
91.5%
Q1 - 4:06ThunderGabriel Deck defensive rebound13
9.0%
23
91.0%
Q1 - 4:13GrizzliesSanti Aldama misses three point jump shot13
8.8%
23
91.2%
Q1 - 4:24ThunderLuguentz Dort makes two point driving reverse layup13
8.2%
23
91.8%
Q1 - 4:41GrizzliesXavier Tillman makes regular free throw 1 of 111
7.7%
23
92.3%
Q1 - 4:41ThunderJeremiah Robinson-Earl shooting foul (Xavier Tillman draws the foul)11
7.9%
22
92.1%
Q1 - 4:42GrizzliesXavier Tillman offensive rebound11
8.9%
20
91.1%
Q1 - 4:43GrizzliesXavier Tillman misses two point turnaround hook shot11
9.5%
20
90.5%
Q1 - 4:55ThunderTre Mann makes three point jump shot (Luguentz Dort assists)11
8.9%
20
91.1%
Q1 - 5:08GrizzliesJaren Jackson Jr. makes three point jump shot (Steven Adams assists)8
7.8%
20
92.2%
Q1 - 5:20GrizzliesSteven Adams defensive rebound8
9.0%
17
91.0%
Q1 - 5:23ThunderJeremiah Robinson-Earl misses two point pullup jump shot8
9.3%
17
90.7%
Q1 - 5:37GrizzliesJaren Jackson Jr. makes two point driving layup (Tyus Jones assists)8
9.8%
17
90.2%
Q1 - 5:53ThunderDarius Bazley turnover (lost ball) (Jaren Jackson Jr. steals)8
10.5%
15
89.5%
Q1 - 6:16GrizzliesDe'Anthony Melton makes three point jump shot (Tyus Jones assists)8
11.4%
15
88.6%
Q1 - 6:18GrizzliesTyus Jones offensive rebound8
13.1%
12
86.9%
Q1 - 6:22GrizzliesTyus Jones misses two point driving floating jump shot8
13.7%
12
86.3%
Q1 - 6:38GrizzliesGrizzlies defensive rebound8
13.1%
12
86.9%
Q1 - 6:40ThunderJeremiah Robinson-Earl misses three point jump shot8
13.4%
12
86.6%
Q1 - 7:01ThunderThunder defensive rebound8
13.8%
12
86.2%
Q1 - 7:04GrizzliesDesmond Bane misses two point pullup jump shot8
13.5%
12
86.5%
Q1 - 7:10ThunderDarius Bazley personal foul (Jaren Jackson Jr. draws the foul)8
12.8%
12
87.2%
Q1 - 7:20ThunderTre Mann makes two point driving floating jump shot8
12.9%
12
87.1%
Q1 - 7:26GrizzliesDillon Brooks turnover (bad pass) (Ty Jerome steals)6
12.1%
12
87.9%
Q1 - 7:31GrizzliesDesmond Bane defensive rebound6
11.2%
12
88.8%
Q1 - 7:35ThunderLuguentz Dort misses three point jump shot6
11.5%
12
88.5%
Q1 - 7:52GrizzliesJaren Jackson Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 26
12.1%
12
87.9%
Q1 - 7:52GrizzliesJaren Jackson Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 26
12.2%
11
87.8%
Q1 - 7:52ThunderJeremiah Robinson-Earl shooting foul (Jaren Jackson Jr. draws the foul)6
12.4%
10
87.6%
Q1 - 8:06GrizzliesDesmond Bane defensive rebound6
12.7%
10
87.3%
Q1 - 8:08ThunderLuguentz Dort misses regular free throw 2 of 26
12.8%
10
87.2%
Q1 - 8:08ThunderLuguentz Dort makes regular free throw 1 of 26
13.4%
10
86.6%
Q1 - 8:08GrizzliesDesmond Bane shooting foul (Luguentz Dort draws the foul)5
13.2%
10
86.8%
Q1 - 8:19ThunderLuguentz Dort defensive rebound5
12.8%
10
87.2%
Q1 - 8:22GrizzliesTre Mann blocks Desmond Bane's two point cutting layup5
12.5%
10
87.5%
Q1 - 8:33ThunderLuguentz Dort makes regular free throw 2 of 25
11.9%
10
88.1%
Q1 - 8:33ThunderLuguentz Dort makes regular free throw 1 of 24
11.7%
10
88.3%
Q1 - 8:33GrizzliesDillon Brooks shooting foul (Luguentz Dort draws the foul)3
11.5%
10
88.5%
Q1 - 8:46GrizzliesDesmond Bane turnover (out of bounds lost ball)3
11.2%
10
88.8%
Q1 - 8:50GrizzliesJaren Jackson Jr. defensive rebound3
10.4%
10
89.6%
Q1 - 8:53ThunderTre Mann misses three point stepback jump shot3
10.6%
10
89.4%
Q1 - 9:13GrizzliesDillon Brooks makes three point pullup jump shot3
11.3%
10
88.7%
Q1 - 9:24ThunderDarius Bazley turnover (bad pass) (Desmond Bane steals)3
12.8%
7
87.2%
Q1 - 9:37GrizzliesDesmond Bane makes two point driving floating jump shot3
13.8%
7
86.2%
Q1 - 9:45GrizzliesSteven Adams defensive rebound3
14.5%
5
85.5%
Q1 - 9:48ThunderTre Mann misses two point driving floating jump shot3
14.9%
5
85.1%
Q1 - 10:03GrizzliesSteven Adams makes regular free throw 2 of 23
15.3%
5
84.7%
Q1 - 10:03GrizzliesSteven Adams misses regular free throw 1 of 23
15.7%
4
84.3%
Q1 - 10:03ThunderTy Jerome shooting foul (Steven Adams draws the foul)3
15.2%
4
84.8%
Q1 - 10:07GrizzliesGrizzlies offensive rebound3
15.2%
4
84.8%
Q1 - 10:07GrizzliesLuguentz Dort blocks Dillon Brooks's two point driving layup3
16.0%
4
84.0%
Q1 - 10:20ThunderLuguentz Dort makes three point jump shot (Darius Bazley assists)3
15.2%
4
84.8%
Q1 - 10:32GrizzliesDillon Brooks turnover (out of bounds step)0
13.5%
4
86.5%
Q1 - 10:36ThunderDarius Bazley turnover (bad pass) (Dillon Brooks steals)0
12.6%
4
87.4%
Q1 - 10:52GrizzliesDillon Brooks makes two point running layup0
13.6%
4
86.4%
Q1 - 10:54GrizzliesDillon Brooks defensive rebound0
14.3%
2
85.7%
Q1 - 10:57ThunderJaren Jackson Jr. blocks Darius Bazley's two point turnaround hook shot0
14.7%
2
85.3%
Q1 - 11:11ThunderThunder defensive rebound0
15.2%
2
84.8%
Q1 - 11:12GrizzliesDesmond Bane misses three point running pullup jump shot0
14.8%
2
85.2%
Q1 - 11:16GrizzliesJaren Jackson Jr. defensive rebound0
14.1%
2
85.9%
Q1 - 11:19ThunderTre Mann misses two point driving floating bank jump shot0
14.4%
2
85.6%
Q1 - 11:39GrizzliesJaren Jackson Jr. makes two point driving finger roll layup (Dillon Brooks assists)0
15.2%
2
84.8%
Q1 - 12:00Jeremiah Robinson-Earl vs. Steven Adams (Tyus Jones gains possession)0
16.0%
0
84.0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

OKC
0.90 44.9%
MEM
1.43 71.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
OKC
7
17
41%
MEM
31
39
79%
Midrange
OKC
7
21
33%
MEM
10
21
48%
3PT | Effective 3PT
OKC
11
16.5
38
29%
43%
MEM
19
28.5
36
53%
79%
Free Throws
OKC
18
22
82%
MEM
13
18
72%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
OKC logo Thunder
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. Dort1563%7.5 / 12
T. Jerome1240%6.0 / 15
T. Mann1255%6.0 / 11
M. Muscala1275%6.0 / 8
I. Roby1169%5.5 / 8
P. Watson422%2.0 / 9
G. Deck440%2.0 / 5
A. Pokusevski429%2.0 / 7
D. Bazley350%1.5 / 3
J. Robinson-Earl213%1.0 / 8
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MEM logo Grizzlies
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Jackson27113%13.5 / 12
D. Melton1995%9.5 / 10
S. Aldama1853%9.0 / 17
J. Konchar17106%8.5 / 8
D. Brooks1161%5.5 / 9
X. Tillman1179%5.5 / 7
B. Clarke1169%5.5 / 8
J. Culver1161%5.5 / 9
T. Jones1071%5.0 / 7
S. Adams990%4.5 / 5
K. Tillie660%3.0 / 5
D. Bane217%1.0 / 6
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

OKC
79
+9
-19
88
MEM
88
+17
-10
105
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

OKC
0.90 44.9%
MEM
1.43 71.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
104.1
114.9
OKC 80.6 +74.5
MEM 155.1
Pace
99.0
100.0
OKC 96.3
MEM 99.7 +3.4
Avg. Poss. Time
14.3
14.4
OKC 14.9
MEM 14.4 +0.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.8%
52.3%
OKC 40.1%
MEM 72.4% +32.3%
TO %
13.3%
12.4%
OKC 18.9%
MEM 8.8% +10.1%
ORB %
21.8%
30.0%
OKC 17.0%
MEM 43.8% +26.8%
FTrt
22.3
24.5
OKC 28.9 +10.1
MEM 18.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.0%
59.7%
OKC 56.0%
MEM 68.3% +12.3%
STL %
7.6%
9.7%
OKC 2.0%
MEM 16.3% +14.3%
BLK %
8.9%
12.0%
OKC 8.3%
MEM 23.7% +15.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.84 and 2.84.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
51.7%
54.0%
OKC 44.9%
MEM 71.7% +26.8%
Rim FG%
57.2%
60.7%
OKC 41.2%
MEM 79.5% +38.3%
Mid FG%
40.8%
41.7%
OKC 33.3%
MEM 47.6% +14.3%
3P %
32.3%
35.3%
OKC 28.9%
MEM 52.8% +23.9%
FT %
75.5%
73.3%
OKC 81.8% +9.6%
MEM 72.2%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
35.1%
35.1%
OKC 22.4%
MEM 40.6% +18.3%
Mid Att. %
22.9%
30.3%
OKC 27.6%
MEM 21.9% +5.8%
3P Att. %
42.0%
34.6%
OKC 50.0% +12.5%
MEM 37.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.25 and 2.25.
Game TotalsOKCMEM
Possessions9898
Possession Minutes24.423.6
Points79152
Rebounds2653
Assists1441
Steals216
Blocks59
Turnovers (Team)19 (1)10 (0)
Fouls1415
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (1)14 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)18 (3)39 (5)
Field Goals25-7660-96
At-the-Rim FG7-1731-39
Midrange FG7-2110-21
2-Point FG14-3841-60
3-Point FG11-3819-36
Free Throws18-2213-18
Fast Break Pts929
2nd Chance Pts222
Points in Paint2482
Pts off Turnovers1531
Bench Points3593
Biggest Lead078

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#16 · PG · 6'5" 195 · 24
35.3
12
40%
2
4
2
0
5
1
0
2
1-2
50%
4-9
44%
1-5
20%
#23 · SG · 6'3" 178 · 21
26.5
12
55%
0
1
0
1
2
0
0
0
0-1
0%
3-7
43%
2-4
50%
#5 · SF · 6'4" 220 · 23
25.3
15
63%
1
2
0
1
2
0
0
1
7-8
88%
1-2
50%
2-6
33%
#50 · C · 6'8" 242 · 21
23.6
2
13%
5
0
0
0
1
2
4
1
2-2
100%
0-3
0%
0-4
0%
#7 · PF · 6'9" 208 · 21
15.2
3
50%
1
1
0
1
3
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
0%
1-1
100%
#8 · SF · 6'6" 210 · 27
32.1
4
22%
3
2
0
1
1
3
1
2
1-2
50%
0-2
0%
1-6
17%
#22 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 24
24.4
11
69%
3
1
0
0
2
2
0
3
6-6
100%
1-3
33%
1-2
50%
#6 · PF · 6'6" 231 · 27
22.0
4
40%
2
2
0
0
1
2
0
2
0-0
-
2-4
50%
0-1
0%
#17 · PF · 7'0" 190 · 20
19.0
4
29%
4
1
0
1
2
1
3
1
0-0
-
2-5
40%
0-2
0%
#33 · C · 6'11" 240 · 30
16.6
12
75%
5
0
0
0
0
1
0
5
1-1
100%
1-1
100%
3-7
43%
#34 · PF · 6'6" 210 · 27
DNP – Injury/Illness | Right Ankle; Sprain
#21 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 23
Inactive - G League - Two-Way
#3 · SG · 6'8" 216 · 19
Inactive - Injury/Illness | N/A; Non-COVID Illness
#15 · PF · 6'10" 265 · 30
Inactive - Injury/Illness | N/A; Non-COVID Illness
#2 · SG · 6'6" 195 · 23
Inactive - Injury/Illness | N/a; Concussion Protocol
#11 · PG · 6'5" 175 · 20
Inactive - G League - On Assignment
#27 · PG · 6'8" 195 · 21
Inactive - G League - On Assignment
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
79
45%
26
14
2
5
19
14
8
18
18-22
82%
14-38
37%
11-38
29%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.