FinalWin Prob.pScore
1839%103
120
1261%107
111
ORTG#PossPace
DEN logo DEN
130.49290.2
MIA logo MIA
119.49394.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDENMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.120
100%
111
0%
Q4 - 0:05.5HeatOmer Yurtseven defensive rebound120
99.9%
108
0.1%
Q4 - 0:10.6NuggetsMarkus Howard misses three point jump shot120
99.9%
108
0.1%
Q4 - 0:31.8HeatCaleb Martin makes two point putback layup120
99.9%
108
0.1%
Q4 - 0:32.0HeatCaleb Martin offensive rebound120
99.9%
106
0.1%
Q4 - 0:34.1HeatCaleb Martin misses two point driving floating jump shot120
99.9%
106
0.1%
Q4 - 0:40.5HeatOmer Yurtseven defensive rebound120
99.9%
106
0.1%
Q4 - 0:40.5NuggetsVlatko Cancar misses two point driving layup120
99.9%
106
0.1%
Q4 - 1:04HeatGabe Vincent makes three point jump shot (Caleb Martin assists)120
99.9%
106
0.1%
Q4 - 1:11NuggetsBones Hyland personal foul (Gabe Vincent draws the foul)120
99.9%
103
0.1%
Q4 - 1:12HeatKZ Okpala defensive rebound120
99.9%
103
0.1%
Q4 - 1:16NuggetsFacundo Campazzo misses two point pullup jump shot120
99.9%
103
0.1%
Q4 - 1:40HeatGabe Vincent makes three point jump shot (P.J. Tucker assists)120
99.9%
103
0.1%
Q4 - 1:59NuggetsMonte Morris makes two point pullup jump shot120
99.9%
100
0.1%
Q4 - 2:25HeatMax Strus makes three point pullup bank jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)118
99.9%
100
0.1%
Q4 - 2:37NuggetsAaron Gordon turnover (traveling)118
99.9%
97
0.1%
Q4 - 2:57NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound118
99.9%
97
0.1%
Q4 - 3:01HeatGabe Vincent misses three point jump shot118
99.9%
97
0.1%
Q4 - 3:09HeatP.J. Tucker defensive rebound118
99.9%
97
0.1%
Q4 - 3:14NuggetsNikola Jokic misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot118
99.9%
97
0.1%
Q4 - 3:39HeatBam Adebayo turnover (out of bounds bad pass)118
99.9%
97
0.1%
Q4 - 3:46NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point floating jump shot (Monte Morris assists)118
99.9%
97
0.1%
Q4 - 3:59NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound116
99.9%
97
0.1%
Q4 - 4:04HeatP.J. Tucker misses three point jump shot116
99.9%
97
0.1%
Q4 - 4:17NuggetsAaron Gordon makes regular free throw 2 of 2116
99.8%
97
0.2%
Q4 - 4:17NuggetsAaron Gordon makes regular free throw 1 of 2115
99.8%
97
0.2%
Q4 - 4:17HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (Aaron Gordon draws the foul)114
99.8%
97
0.2%
Q4 - 4:31HeatGabe Vincent turnover (bad pass) (Nikola Jokic steals)114
99.8%
97
0.2%
Q4 - 4:43NuggetsAaron Gordon makes two point layup (Nikola Jokic assists)114
99.7%
97
0.3%
Q4 - 5:01NuggetsAaron Gordon defensive rebound112
99.0%
97
1.0%
Q4 - 5:05HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot112
98.9%
97
1.1%
Q4 - 5:19HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound112
98.7%
97
1.3%
Q4 - 5:23NuggetsAaron Gordon misses three point jump shot112
98.8%
97
1.2%
Q4 - 5:38HeatBam Adebayo makes two point cutting dunk (Gabe Vincent assists)112
99.1%
97
0.9%
Q4 - 5:50NuggetsMonte Morris makes two point driving floating jump shot112
99.3%
95
0.7%
Q4 - 6:10HeatKyle Lowry makes three point jump shot (Max Strus assists)110
98.5%
95
1.5%
Q4 - 6:20NuggetsBones Hyland turnover (offensive foul)110
99.1%
92
0.9%
Q4 - 6:20NuggetsBones Hyland offensive foul (Off the ball) (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)110
99.4%
92
0.6%
Q4 - 6:29HeatMax Strus personal foul (Bones Hyland draws the foul)110
99.4%
92
0.6%
Q4 - 6:43HeatBam Adebayo turnover (out of bounds lost ball)110
99.4%
92
0.6%
Q4 - 6:58HeatMax Strus makes technical free throw 1 of 1110
99.1%
92
0.9%
Q4 - 6:58NuggetsBones Hyland technical foul110
99.2%
91
0.8%
Q4 - 6:59NuggetsBones Hyland makes three point jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)110
99.3%
91
0.7%
Q4 - 7:15NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound107
98.3%
91
1.7%
Q4 - 7:19HeatGabe Vincent misses two point reverse layup107
98.1%
91
1.9%
Q4 - 7:31NuggetsAaron Gordon makes two point alley-oop layup (Nikola Jokic assists)107
97.7%
91
2.3%
Q4 - 7:48HeatGabe Vincent makes two point cutting finger roll layup (Bam Adebayo assists)105
97.2%
91
2.8%
Q4 - 8:06NuggetsFacundo Campazzo makes two point driving floating jump shot (Monte Morris assists)105
97.0%
89
3.0%
Q4 - 8:26HeatBam Adebayo turnover (offensive foul)103
96.3%
89
3.7%
Q4 - 8:26HeatBam Adebayo offensive foul (Off the ball) (Facundo Campazzo draws the foul)103
95.3%
89
4.7%
Q4 - 8:29HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound103
95.3%
89
4.7%
Q4 - 8:33HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot103
96.0%
89
4.0%
Q4 - 8:43NuggetsFacundo Campazzo turnover (out of bounds bad pass)103
95.3%
89
4.7%
Q4 - 8:59HeatMax Strus makes three point pullup jump shot103
96.3%
89
3.7%
Q4 - 9:18NuggetsAaron Gordon makes two point cutting dunk (Will Barton assists)103
97.1%
86
2.9%
Q4 - 9:32NuggetsWill Barton defensive rebound101
96.4%
86
3.6%
Q4 - 9:35HeatBam Adebayo misses regular free throw 2 of 2101
96.3%
86
3.7%
Q4 - 9:35HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 2101
95.7%
86
4.3%
Q4 - 9:35NuggetsJeff Green shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)101
95.9%
85
4.1%
Q4 - 9:55NuggetsWill Barton makes three point jump shot (Bones Hyland assists)101
96.4%
85
3.6%
Q4 - 10:15HeatCaleb Martin makes two point alley-oop dunk (Gabe Vincent assists)98
93.3%
85
6.7%
Q4 - 10:18HeatMax Strus defensive rebound98
94.4%
83
5.6%
Q4 - 10:23NuggetsBones Hyland misses three point jump shot98
94.8%
83
5.2%
Q4 - 10:41HeatMax Strus makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)98
95.6%
83
4.4%
Q4 - 11:01NuggetsBones Hyland makes three point jump shot (Will Barton assists)98
96.5%
80
3.5%
Q4 - 11:19HeatBam Adebayo makes two point turnaround jump shot95
94.8%
80
5.2%
Q4 - 11:34HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound95
95.7%
78
4.3%
Q4 - 11:39NuggetsAaron Gordon misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot95
96.0%
78
4.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.95
96.6%
78
3.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0HeatHeat offensive rebound95
95.8%
78
4.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0HeatGabe Vincent misses three point jump shot95
96.3%
78
3.7%
Q3 - 0:01.6NuggetsFacundo Campazzo makes three point jump shot (Bones Hyland assists)95
94.9%
78
5.1%
Q3 - 0:05.5HeatGabe Vincent makes three point jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)92
92.6%
78
7.4%
Q3 - 0:21.7HeatMax Strus defensive rebound92
95.0%
75
5.0%
Q3 - 0:26.4NuggetsFacundo Campazzo misses two point floating jump shot92
95.2%
75
4.8%
Q3 - 0:50.2HeatKyle Lowry makes regular free throw 2 of 292
95.9%
75
4.1%
Q3 - 0:50.2HeatKyle Lowry makes regular free throw 1 of 292
96.0%
74
4.0%
Q3 - 0:50.2NuggetsAustin Rivers personal foul (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)92
96.1%
73
3.9%
Q3 - 1:02NuggetsWill Barton makes three point jump shot (Bones Hyland assists)92
95.7%
73
4.3%
Q3 - 1:06NuggetsAustin Rivers defensive rebound89
94.0%
73
6.0%
Q3 - 1:11HeatDewayne Dedmon misses three point jump shot89
93.6%
73
6.4%
Q3 - 1:17HeatDewayne Dedmon defensive rebound89
92.7%
73
7.3%
Q3 - 1:20NuggetsBones Hyland misses three point jump shot89
93.2%
73
6.8%
Q3 - 1:35HeatKyle Lowry makes two point stepback jump shot89
94.1%
73
5.9%
Q3 - 1:45NuggetsFacundo Campazzo turnover (offensive foul)89
95.0%
71
5.0%
Q3 - 1:45NuggetsFacundo Campazzo offensive foul (Charge) (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)89
95.9%
71
4.1%
Q3 - 1:56HeatKyle Lowry makes regular free throw 2 of 289
95.9%
71
4.1%
Q3 - 1:56HeatKyle Lowry makes regular free throw 1 of 289
96.0%
70
4.0%
Q3 - 1:56NuggetsZeke Nnaji personal foul (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)89
96.1%
69
3.9%
Q3 - 2:21NuggetsFacundo Campazzo makes three point jump shot (Austin Rivers assists)89
95.7%
69
4.3%
Q3 - 2:22NuggetsAustin Rivers offensive rebound86
94.0%
69
6.0%
Q3 - 2:28NuggetsNikola Jokic misses three point bank jump shot86
93.2%
69
6.8%
Q3 - 2:52HeatBam Adebayo makes two point jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)86
94.0%
69
6.0%
Q3 - 3:11NuggetsAustin Rivers makes two point driving layup (Facundo Campazzo assists)86
94.2%
67
5.8%
Q3 - 3:31HeatBam Adebayo makes two point pullup jump shot84
93.4%
67
6.6%
Q3 - 3:50NuggetsZeke Nnaji makes three point jump shot (Facundo Campazzo assists)84
94.2%
65
5.8%
Q3 - 4:03HeatBam Adebayo makes two point cutting layup (Duncan Robinson assists)81
91.2%
65
8.8%
Q3 - 4:11NuggetsFacundo Campazzo personal foul (Duncan Robinson draws the foul)81
92.3%
63
7.7%
Q3 - 4:13HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound81
92.3%
63
7.7%
Q3 - 4:19NuggetsAustin Rivers misses three point stepback jump shot81
92.7%
63
7.3%
Q3 - 4:37NuggetsJeff Green defensive rebound81
93.6%
63
6.4%
Q3 - 4:41HeatCaleb Martin misses two point alley-oop layup81
93.3%
63
6.7%
Q3 - 4:49NuggetsJeff Green personal foul (Take) (Duncan Robinson draws the foul)81
92.3%
63
7.6%
Q3 - 4:49HeatP.J. Tucker defensive rebound81
92.3%
63
7.6%
Q3 - 4:55NuggetsMonte Morris misses three point jump shot81
92.8%
63
7.2%
Q3 - 4:58NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound81
93.6%
63
6.4%
Q3 - 4:58HeatBam Adebayo misses two point tip layup81
93.3%
63
6.7%
Q3 - 4:58HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound81
92.4%
63
7.6%
Q3 - 5:01HeatBam Adebayo misses two point driving layup81
92.3%
63
7.7%
Q3 - 5:08HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound81
91.4%
63
8.6%
Q3 - 5:12NuggetsAaron Gordon misses three point jump shot81
91.8%
63
8.2%
Q3 - 5:28NuggetsJeff Green defensive rebound81
92.7%
63
7.3%
Q3 - 5:31HeatBam Adebayo misses regular free throw 1 of 181
92.5%
63
7.5%
Q3 - 5:31NuggetsWill Barton shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)81
91.8%
63
8.2%
Q3 - 5:32HeatP.J. Tucker defensive rebound81
93.6%
61
6.4%
Q3 - 5:35NuggetsNikola Jokic misses two point turnaround hook shot81
93.9%
61
6.1%
Q3 - 5:58HeatCaleb Martin makes two point driving layup81
94.6%
61
5.4%
Q3 - 6:22NuggetsNikola Jokic makes regular free throw 2 of 281
94.6%
59
5.4%
Q3 - 6:22NuggetsNikola Jokic makes regular free throw 1 of 280
94.5%
59
5.5%
Q3 - 6:22HeatCaleb Martin shooting foul (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)79
94.4%
59
5.6%
Q3 - 6:29HeatCaleb Martin makes two point running layup (Kyle Lowry assists)79
93.9%
59
6.1%
Q3 - 6:31HeatP.J. Tucker defensive rebound79
94.6%
57
5.4%
Q3 - 6:34NuggetsNikola Jokic misses two point running jump shot79
94.9%
57
5.1%
Q3 - 6:51HeatCaleb Martin makes two point cutting layup (Bam Adebayo assists)79
95.4%
57
4.6%
Q3 - 7:05NuggetsJeff Green makes two point running layup (Aaron Gordon assists)79
95.4%
55
4.6%
Q3 - 7:07NuggetsAaron Gordon defensive rebound77
94.9%
55
5.1%
Q3 - 7:10HeatBam Adebayo misses two point driving layup77
94.6%
55
5.4%
Q3 - 7:22NuggetsAaron Gordon makes three point jump shot (Monte Morris assists)77
94.0%
55
6.0%
Q3 - 7:38HeatP.J. Tucker makes two point cutting layup (Kyle Lowry assists)74
92.3%
55
7.7%
Q3 - 7:49HeatP.J. Tucker defensive rebound74
93.1%
53
6.9%
Q3 - 7:52NuggetsNikola Jokic misses regular free throw 1 of 174
93.3%
53
6.7%
Q3 - 7:52HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)74
93.9%
53
6.1%
Q3 - 8:00HeatKyle Lowry personal foul (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)71
91.1%
53
8.9%
Q3 - 8:20HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 171
90.6%
53
9.4%
Q3 - 8:20NuggetsNikola Jokic shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)71
90.8%
52
9.2%
Q3 - 8:28NuggetsJeff Green turnover (out of bounds step)71
92.6%
50
7.4%
Q3 - 8:33NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound71
93.7%
50
6.3%
Q3 - 8:35HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot71
93.4%
50
6.6%
Q3 - 8:42HeatHeat defensive rebound71
92.6%
50
7.4%
Q3 - 8:43NuggetsMonte Morris misses two point stepback jump shot71
93.0%
50
7.0%
Q3 - 9:01HeatBam Adebayo makes two point jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)71
93.0%
50
7.0%
Q3 - 9:15NuggetsWill Barton makes three point stepback jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)71
93.8%
48
6.2%
Q3 - 9:35HeatBam Adebayo makes two point jump shot (Duncan Robinson assists)68
92.1%
48
7.9%
Q3 - 9:44HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound68
93.0%
46
7.0%
Q3 - 9:48HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot68
93.7%
46
6.3%
Q3 - 10:08NuggetsAaron Gordon makes two point running dunk (Monte Morris assists)68
92.3%
46
7.7%
Q3 - 10:11NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound66
91.4%
46
8.6%
Q3 - 10:14HeatCaleb Martin misses two point layup66
91.0%
46
9.0%
Q3 - 10:28HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound66
90.1%
46
9.9%
Q3 - 10:31NuggetsWill Barton misses three point jump shot66
90.5%
46
9.5%
Q3 - 10:42NuggetsJeff Green defensive rebound66
91.4%
46
8.6%
Q3 - 10:45HeatCaleb Martin misses three point jump shot66
91.1%
46
8.9%
Q3 - 11:11NuggetsAaron Gordon makes three point jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)66
89.4%
46
10.6%
Q3 - 11:32HeatCaleb Martin makes three point jump shot (P.J. Tucker assists)63
86.7%
46
13.3%
Q3 - 11:43HeatKyle Lowry offensive rebound63
89.5%
43
10.5%
Q3 - 11:48HeatKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot63
90.4%
43
9.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.63
89.5%
43
10.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0HeatHeat offensive rebound63
89.5%
43
10.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0HeatP.J. Tucker misses three point jump shot63
90.4%
43
9.6%
Q2 - 0:07.2HeatP.J. Tucker defensive rebound63
88.8%
43
11.2%
Q2 - 0:11.2NuggetsDewayne Dedmon blocks Nikola Jokic's two point cutting layup63
89.1%
43
10.9%
Q2 - 0:31.8HeatDewayne Dedmon turnover (offensive foul)63
89.8%
43
10.2%
Q2 - 0:31.8HeatDewayne Dedmon offensive foul (Charge) (Jeff Green draws the foul)63
88.8%
43
11.2%
Q2 - 0:42.4NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point cutting layup (Aaron Gordon assists)63
88.8%
43
11.2%
Q2 - 1:00HeatDewayne Dedmon makes regular free throw 2 of 261
87.2%
43
12.8%
Q2 - 1:00HeatDewayne Dedmon makes regular free throw 1 of 261
87.5%
42
12.5%
Q2 - 1:00NuggetsNikola Jokic shooting foul (Dewayne Dedmon draws the foul)61
87.8%
41
12.2%
Q2 - 1:18NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point layup (Monte Morris assists)61
88.2%
41
11.8%
Q2 - 1:24NuggetsAaron Gordon defensive rebound59
86.3%
41
13.7%
Q2 - 1:27HeatGabe Vincent misses three point jump shot59
86.0%
41
14.0%
Q2 - 1:42NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point layup (Will Barton assists)59
85.3%
41
14.7%
Q2 - 1:52HeatKyle Lowry makes two point driving layup57
83.0%
41
17.0%
Q2 - 2:03NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point putback layup57
83.7%
39
16.3%
Q2 - 2:06NuggetsNikola Jokic offensive rebound55
82.1%
39
17.9%
Q2 - 2:08NuggetsJeff Green misses three point jump shot55
80.8%
39
19.2%
Q2 - 2:13NuggetsMonte Morris defensive rebound55
82.1%
39
17.9%
Q2 - 2:18HeatDewayne Dedmon misses two point cutting layup55
81.6%
39
18.4%
Q2 - 2:38NuggetsJeff Green makes two point driving finger roll layup55
80.3%
39
19.7%
Q2 - 2:54HeatP.J. Tucker makes two point hook shot (Max Strus assists)53
78.4%
39
21.6%
Q2 - 3:07NuggetsAaron Gordon makes regular free throw 2 of 253
78.5%
37
21.5%
Q2 - 3:07NuggetsAaron Gordon misses regular free throw 1 of 252
78.0%
37
22.0%
Q2 - 3:07HeatDuncan Robinson personal foul (Aaron Gordon draws the foul)52
79.4%
37
20.6%
Q2 - 3:20NuggetsMonte Morris defensive rebound52
79.0%
37
21.0%
Q2 - 3:23HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot52
78.3%
37
21.7%
Q2 - 3:34NuggetsJeff Green makes two point dunk (Aaron Gordon assists)52
76.6%
37
23.4%
Q2 - 3:55HeatBam Adebayo makes two point pullup jump shot (Gabe Vincent assists)50
75.0%
37
25.0%
Q2 - 4:03HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound50
75.6%
35
24.4%
Q2 - 4:08NuggetsMonte Morris misses three point jump shot50
76.3%
35
23.7%
Q2 - 4:14NuggetsWill Barton defensive rebound50
77.7%
35
22.3%
Q2 - 4:20HeatBam Adebayo misses two point turnaround hook shot50
77.1%
35
22.9%
Q2 - 4:21HeatGabe Vincent offensive rebound50
75.6%
35
24.4%
Q2 - 4:25HeatGabe Vincent misses two point pullup jump shot50
77.1%
35
22.9%
Q2 - 4:49NuggetsMonte Morris makes three point jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)50
75.7%
35
24.3%
Q2 - 5:01HeatBam Adebayo personal foul (Loose ball) (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)47
70.9%
35
29.1%
Q2 - 5:01NuggetsNuggets defensive rebound47
70.9%
35
29.1%
Q2 - 5:03HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot47
70.0%
35
30.0%
Q2 - 5:17NuggetsBones Hyland turnover (bad pass) (Gabe Vincent steals)47
68.0%
35
32.0%
Q2 - 5:24NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound47
70.9%
35
29.1%
Q2 - 5:29HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot47
70.1%
35
29.9%
Q2 - 5:30HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound47
68.1%
35
31.9%
Q2 - 5:32HeatBam Adebayo misses two point driving layup47
70.1%
35
29.9%
Q2 - 5:41NuggetsBones Hyland personal foul (Max Strus draws the foul)47
68.1%
35
31.9%
Q2 - 5:50NuggetsAaron Gordon turnover (offensive goaltending)47
68.1%
35
31.9%
Q2 - 6:00NuggetsNuggets defensive rebound47
70.9%
35
29.1%
Q2 - 6:00HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot47
70.1%
35
29.9%
Q2 - 6:23NuggetsJeff Green makes three point jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)47
67.6%
35
32.4%
Q2 - 6:38NuggetsMonte Morris defensive rebound44
63.3%
35
36.7%
Q2 - 6:43HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot44
62.3%
35
37.7%
Q2 - 6:57NuggetsBones Hyland makes regular free throw 2 of 244
60.0%
35
40.0%
Q2 - 6:57NuggetsBones Hyland makes regular free throw 1 of 243
59.7%
35
40.3%
Q2 - 6:57HeatKyle Lowry shooting foul (Bones Hyland draws the foul)42
59.2%
35
40.8%
Q2 - 7:02NuggetsAaron Gordon defensive rebound42
56.9%
35
43.1%
Q2 - 7:05HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot42
56.1%
35
43.9%
Q2 - 7:14HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound42
54.3%
35
45.7%
Q2 - 7:16NuggetsJeff Green misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot42
55.1%
35
44.9%
Q2 - 7:40NuggetsNuggets defensive rebound42
57.0%
35
43.0%
Q2 - 7:41HeatCaleb Martin misses three point jump shot42
56.2%
35
43.8%
Q2 - 7:49HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound42
54.3%
35
45.7%
Q2 - 7:54HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point pullup jump shot42
56.2%
35
43.8%
Q2 - 8:11HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound42
53.9%
35
46.1%
Q2 - 8:13NuggetsAaron Gordon misses regular free throw 2 of 242
54.2%
35
45.8%
Q2 - 8:13NuggetsAaron Gordon makes regular free throw 1 of 242
55.8%
35
44.2%
Q2 - 8:13HeatDuncan Robinson shooting foul (Aaron Gordon draws the foul)41
55.0%
35
45.0%
Q2 - 8:21HeatBam Adebayo turnover (out of bounds bad pass)41
54.0%
35
46.0%
Q2 - 8:33NuggetsBones Hyland makes three point jump shot (Aaron Gordon assists)41
51.3%
35
48.7%
Q2 - 8:46HeatMax Strus makes three point jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)38
46.2%
35
53.8%
Q2 - 9:03NuggetsBones Hyland makes three point jump shot (Facundo Campazzo assists)38
50.7%
32
49.3%
Q2 - 9:19HeatMax Strus makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)35
45.8%
32
54.2%
Q2 - 9:26NuggetsWill Barton turnover (out of bounds bad pass)35
50.8%
29
49.2%
Q2 - 9:48HeatBam Adebayo makes two point alley-oop dunk (Max Strus assists)35
53.5%
29
46.5%
Q2 - 9:56NuggetsWill Barton turnover (out of bounds lost ball)35
55.9%
27
44.1%
Q2 - 10:03HeatDewayne Dedmon makes two point putback layup35
58.1%
27
41.9%
Q2 - 10:04HeatDewayne Dedmon offensive rebound35
60.4%
25
39.6%
Q2 - 10:06HeatCaleb Martin misses two point driving layup35
62.2%
25
37.8%
Q2 - 10:21NuggetsBones Hyland makes three point jump shot (Facundo Campazzo assists)35
60.4%
25
39.6%
Q2 - 10:31NuggetsFacundo Campazzo offensive rebound32
55.7%
25
44.3%
Q2 - 10:34NuggetsAustin Rivers misses three point jump shot32
53.9%
25
46.1%
Q2 - 10:42HeatDewayne Dedmon personal foul (Vlatko Cancar draws the foul)32
55.7%
25
44.3%
Q2 - 10:49HeatDewayne Dedmon makes two point putback layup32
55.7%
25
44.3%
Q2 - 10:49HeatDewayne Dedmon offensive rebound32
58.0%
23
42.0%
Q2 - 10:53HeatKyle Lowry misses three point pullup jump shot32
59.8%
23
40.2%
Q2 - 11:08NuggetsVlatko Cancar turnover (offensive foul)32
57.2%
23
42.8%
Q2 - 11:08NuggetsVlatko Cancar offensive foul (Off the ball) (Gabe Vincent draws the foul)32
59.4%
23
40.6%
Q2 - 11:15HeatGabe Vincent turnover (out of bounds bad pass)32
59.4%
23
40.6%
Q2 - 11:27HeatDewayne Dedmon defensive rebound32
57.3%
23
42.7%
Q2 - 11:32NuggetsBones Hyland misses three point jump shot32
58.0%
23
42.0%
Q2 - 11:47NuggetsWill Barton defensive rebound32
59.5%
23
40.5%
Q2 - 11:49HeatDewayne Dedmon misses regular free throw 2 of 232
59.2%
23
40.8%
Q2 - 11:49HeatDewayne Dedmon misses regular free throw 1 of 232
57.6%
23
42.4%
Q2 - 11:49NuggetsVlatko Cancar shooting foul (Dewayne Dedmon draws the foul)32
55.8%
23
44.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.32
57.3%
23
42.7%
Q1 - 0:00.1HeatHeat offensive rebound32
56.5%
23
43.5%
Q1 - 0:01.0HeatFacundo Campazzo blocks Gabe Vincent's three point jump shot32
57.8%
23
42.2%
Q1 - 0:21.4NuggetsAustin Rivers makes three point jump shot (Will Barton assists)32
56.5%
23
43.5%
Q1 - 0:37.8HeatDewayne Dedmon makes two point running alley-oop dunk (Kyle Lowry assists)29
51.5%
23
48.5%
Q1 - 0:40.7HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound29
54.2%
21
45.8%
Q1 - 0:43.7NuggetsZeke Nnaji misses two point cutting layup29
54.8%
21
45.2%
Q1 - 0:55.1HeatKyle Lowry turnover (bad pass) (Bones Hyland steals)29
56.2%
21
43.8%
Q1 - 1:06HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound29
54.1%
21
45.9%
Q1 - 1:08NuggetsWill Barton misses three point fadeaway jump shot29
54.7%
21
45.3%
Q1 - 1:36HeatKyle Lowry makes regular free throw 2 of 229
56.1%
21
43.9%
Q1 - 1:36HeatKyle Lowry misses regular free throw 1 of 229
56.4%
20
43.6%
Q1 - 1:36NuggetsZeke Nnaji shooting foul (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)29
54.5%
20
45.5%
Q1 - 1:48NuggetsBones Hyland makes two point jump shot (Facundo Campazzo assists)29
56.4%
20
43.6%
Q1 - 2:04NuggetsNuggets defensive rebound27
53.3%
20
46.7%
Q1 - 2:05HeatGabe Vincent misses three point stepback jump shot27
52.6%
20
47.4%
Q1 - 2:20NuggetsWill Barton turnover (out of bounds bad pass)27
51.0%
20
49.0%
Q1 - 2:25NuggetsZeke Nnaji defensive rebound27
53.4%
20
46.6%
Q1 - 2:29HeatCaleb Martin misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot27
52.7%
20
47.3%
Q1 - 2:53NuggetsAustin Rivers makes two point driving layup27
51.1%
20
48.9%
Q1 - 3:12NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound25
48.5%
20
51.5%
Q1 - 3:13HeatGabe Vincent misses two point driving layup25
47.7%
20
52.3%
Q1 - 3:29HeatDewayne Dedmon defensive rebound25
46.0%
20
54.0%
Q1 - 3:31NuggetsFacundo Campazzo misses regular free throw 1 of 125
46.3%
20
53.7%
Q1 - 3:31HeatDuncan Robinson shooting foul (Facundo Campazzo draws the foul)25
47.9%
20
52.1%
Q1 - 3:33NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound23
44.1%
20
55.9%
Q1 - 3:37HeatP.J. Tucker misses three point jump shot23
43.3%
20
56.7%
Q1 - 3:39HeatHeat offensive rebound23
41.6%
20
58.4%
Q1 - 3:41HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot23
43.3%
20
56.7%
Q1 - 3:42HeatDewayne Dedmon offensive rebound23
41.6%
20
58.4%
Q1 - 3:44HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot23
43.3%
20
56.7%
Q1 - 4:07NuggetsAaron Gordon personal foul (Loose ball) (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)23
41.3%
20
58.7%
Q1 - 4:07HeatHeat defensive rebound23
41.3%
20
58.7%
Q1 - 4:07NuggetsFacundo Campazzo misses three point jump shot23
42.1%
20
57.9%
Q1 - 4:29NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound23
43.8%
20
56.2%
Q1 - 4:33HeatBam Adebayo misses two point pullup jump shot23
43.0%
20
57.0%
Q1 - 4:38NuggetsZeke Nnaji personal foul (P.J. Tucker draws the foul)23
41.3%
20
58.7%
Q1 - 4:48NuggetsAaron Gordon makes regular free throw 2 of 223
41.3%
20
58.7%
Q1 - 4:48NuggetsAaron Gordon makes regular free throw 1 of 222
40.8%
20
59.2%
Q1 - 4:48HeatMax Strus shooting foul (Aaron Gordon draws the foul)21
40.2%
20
59.8%
Q1 - 5:03HeatMax Strus makes three point jump shot (Duncan Robinson assists)21
39.3%
20
60.7%
Q1 - 5:19NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point putback layup21
43.0%
17
57.0%
Q1 - 5:20NuggetsNikola Jokic offensive rebound19
41.3%
17
58.7%
Q1 - 5:22NuggetsJeff Green misses three point jump shot19
39.7%
17
60.3%
Q1 - 5:27NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound19
41.3%
17
58.7%
Q1 - 5:30HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot19
40.6%
17
59.4%
Q1 - 5:42NuggetsMonte Morris makes two point pullup jump shot19
39.1%
17
60.9%
Q1 - 6:05HeatCaleb Martin makes three point jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)17
37.2%
17
62.8%
Q1 - 6:16NuggetsWill Barton makes three point pullup jump shot17
41.0%
14
59.0%
Q1 - 6:17NuggetsWill Barton defensive rebound14
37.2%
14
62.8%
Q1 - 6:21HeatP.J. Tucker misses two point turnaround jump shot14
36.6%
14
63.4%
Q1 - 6:49NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point cutting layup (Monte Morris assists)14
35.3%
14
64.7%
Q1 - 7:00HeatCaleb Martin personal foul (Loose ball) (Jeff Green draws the foul)12
33.5%
14
66.5%
Q1 - 7:00NuggetsNuggets defensive rebound12
33.5%
14
66.5%
Q1 - 7:01HeatBam Adebayo misses two point jump shot12
32.9%
14
67.1%
Q1 - 7:05HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound12
31.6%
14
68.4%
Q1 - 7:07NuggetsAaron Gordon misses two point driving layup12
32.2%
14
67.8%
Q1 - 7:22HeatKyle Lowry makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)12
33.5%
14
66.5%
Q1 - 7:30NuggetsMonte Morris personal foul (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)12
36.9%
11
63.1%
Q1 - 7:49NuggetsJeff Green makes two point driving layup12
36.9%
11
63.1%
Q1 - 7:56HeatKyle Lowry makes two point driving layup10
35.3%
11
64.7%
Q1 - 8:00HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound10
36.9%
9
63.1%
Q1 - 8:04NuggetsMonte Morris misses three point jump shot10
37.4%
9
62.6%
Q1 - 8:10NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound10
38.9%
9
61.1%
Q1 - 8:13HeatKyle Lowry misses two point driving floating jump shot10
38.2%
9
61.8%
Q1 - 8:24HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound10
36.8%
9
63.2%
Q1 - 8:24HeatKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot10
38.2%
9
61.8%
Q1 - 8:28NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point putback layup10
36.8%
9
63.2%
Q1 - 8:28NuggetsNikola Jokic offensive rebound8
35.3%
9
64.7%
Q1 - 8:34NuggetsWill Barton misses two point driving bank jump shot8
33.9%
9
66.1%
Q1 - 8:46HeatCaleb Martin makes two point running alley-oop dunk (Kyle Lowry assists)8
35.3%
9
64.7%
Q1 - 8:52NuggetsMonte Morris makes two point pullup jump shot8
36.8%
7
63.2%
Q1 - 9:06HeatP.J. Tucker makes two point cutting layup (Bam Adebayo assists)6
35.2%
7
64.8%
Q1 - 9:24NuggetsJeff Green makes regular free throw 2 of 26
36.7%
5
63.3%
Q1 - 9:24NuggetsJeff Green misses regular free throw 1 of 25
36.4%
5
63.6%
Q1 - 9:24HeatKyle Lowry shooting foul (Jeff Green draws the foul)5
37.8%
5
62.2%
Q1 - 9:45HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)5
37.0%
5
63.0%
Q1 - 9:55NuggetsWill Barton makes regular free throw 2 of 25
40.3%
2
59.7%
Q1 - 9:55NuggetsWill Barton makes regular free throw 1 of 24
39.9%
2
60.1%
Q1 - 9:55HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (Will Barton draws the foul)3
39.5%
2
60.5%
Q1 - 9:56NuggetsWill Barton defensive rebound3
38.8%
2
61.2%
Q1 - 10:01HeatBam Adebayo misses two point pullup jump shot3
37.7%
2
62.3%
Q1 - 10:09NuggetsJeff Green turnover (out of bounds bad pass)3
36.4%
2
63.6%
Q1 - 10:27HeatP.J. Tucker makes two point floating jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)3
38.3%
2
61.7%
Q1 - 10:46HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound3
39.9%
0
60.1%
Q1 - 10:50NuggetsAaron Gordon misses two point turnaround jump shot3
40.5%
0
59.5%
Q1 - 10:56NuggetsMonte Morris defensive rebound3
41.9%
0
58.1%
Q1 - 11:00HeatP.J. Tucker misses three point jump shot3
41.3%
0
58.7%
Q1 - 11:05NuggetsNikola Jokic turnover (lost ball) (P.J. Tucker steals)3
39.5%
0
60.5%
Q1 - 11:25HeatBam Adebayo turnover (out of bounds bad pass)3
41.5%
0
58.5%
Q1 - 11:37NuggetsNikola Jokic makes regular free throw 3 of 33
39.6%
0
60.4%
Q1 - 11:37NuggetsNikola Jokic makes regular free throw 2 of 32
39.3%
0
60.7%
Q1 - 11:37NuggetsNikola Jokic makes regular free throw 1 of 31
39.0%
0
61.0%
Q1 - 11:37HeatP.J. Tucker shooting foul (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)0
38.7%
0
61.3%
Q1 - 12:00Nikola Jokic vs. Bam Adebayo (Aaron Gordon gains possession)0
36.4%
0
63.6%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.43 71.4%
MIA
1.11 55.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DEN
16
20
80%
MIA
19
30
63%
Midrange
DEN
9
19
47%
MIA
9
17
53%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DEN
18
27.0
35
51%
77%
MIA
15
22.5
44
34%
51%
Free Throws
DEN
16
21
76%
MIA
10
15
67%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
N. Jokić2475%12.0 / 16
A. Gordon2067%10.0 / 15
B. Hyland1995%9.5 / 10
W. Barton1488%7.0 / 8
J. Green1267%6.0 / 9
M. Morris1161%5.5 / 9
F. Campazzo1071%5.0 / 7
A. Rivers770%3.5 / 5
Z. Nnaji375%1.5 / 2
V. Cancar0-0.0 / 1
M. Howard0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
B. Adebayo2460%12.0 / 20
M. Strus1979%9.5 / 12
C. Martin1860%9.0 / 15
K. Lowry1771%8.5 / 12
G. Vincent1454%7.0 / 13
P. Tucker844%4.0 / 9
D. Dedmon857%4.0 / 7
D. Robinson317%1.5 / 9
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DEN
79
+5
-13
84
MIA
84
+16
-9
100
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.43 71.4%
MIA
1.11 55.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
114.2
113.3
DEN 130.4 +11.1
MIA 119.4
Pace
98.0
96.2
DEN 90.2
MIA 94.9 +4.7
Avg. Poss. Time
14.7
15.0
DEN 16.0
MIA 15.2 +0.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
55.6%
54.7%
DEN 70.3% +14.8%
MIA 55.5%
TO %
14.0%
14.2%
DEN 13.5%
MIA 8.4% +5.1%
ORB %
21.9%
23.5%
DEN 15.6%
MIA 28.6% +13.0%
FTrt
24.4
25.2
DEN 28.4 +11.9
MIA 16.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
66.7%
64.4%
DEN 74.4%
MIA 74.4%
STL %
7.3%
7.6%
DEN 2.2%
MIA 2.2%
BLK %
7.0%
7.1%
DEN 2.1%
MIA 2.6% +0.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
57.6%
56.8%
DEN 71.4% +15.9%
MIA 55.5%
Rim FG%
66.2%
63.4%
DEN 80.0% +16.7%
MIA 63.3%
Mid FG%
44.3%
41.4%
DEN 47.4%
MIA 52.9% +5.5%
3P %
35.3%
37.9%
DEN 51.4% +17.3%
MIA 34.1%
FT %
79.5%
80.8%
DEN 76.2% +9.5%
MIA 66.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
35.2%
30.6%
DEN 27.0%
MIA 33.0% +5.9%
Mid Att. %
23.2%
27.1%
DEN 25.7%
MIA 18.7% +7.0%
3P Att. %
41.6%
42.2%
DEN 47.3%
MIA 48.4% +1.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsDENMIA
Possessions9293
Possession Minutes24.523.5
Points120111
Rebounds3539
Assists3232
Steals22
Blocks11
Turnovers (Team)13 (0)9 (0)
Fouls1818
Off. Rebounds (Team)5 (0)12 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)30 (5)27 (2)
Field Goals43-7443-91
At-the-Rim FG16-2019-30
Midrange FG9-199-17
2-Point FG25-3928-47
3-Point FG18-3515-44
Free Throws16-2110-15
Fast Break Pts128
2nd Chance Pts1211
Points in Paint4448
Pts off Turnovers518
Bench Points3941
Biggest Lead242

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#50 · SF · 6'8" 235 · 26
37.9
20
67%
4
5
0
0
2
1
0
4
6-8
75%
4-7
57%
2-4
50%
#5 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 31
32.6
14
88%
5
4
0
0
3
1
0
5
2-2
100%
0-1
0%
4-6
67%
#15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 27
32.6
24
75%
15
7
1
0
1
2
3
12
5-6
83%
8-12
67%
1-2
50%
#32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 35
30.9
12
67%
3
0
0
0
2
2
0
3
1-2
50%
4-5
80%
1-3
33%
#11 · PG · 6'3" 175 · 26
28.1
11
61%
4
6
0
0
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
4-5
80%
1-4
25%
#7 · PG · 5'11" 195 · 31
23.6
10
71%
1
5
0
1
2
2
1
0
0-1
0%
2-4
50%
2-3
67%
#3 · PG · 6'2" 169 · 21
20.5
19
95%
0
3
1
0
2
3
0
0
2-2
100%
1-1
100%
5-8
63%
#25 · SG · 6'4" 200 · 29
15.9
7
70%
2
1
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
2-2
100%
1-3
33%
#22 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 21
10.7
3
75%
1
1
0
0
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
1-1
100%
#31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 25
4.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
#10 · PF · 7'2" 208 · 22
1.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
#00 · SG · 5'11" 175 · 23
1.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
#21 · PF · 6'11" 220 · 26
DNP – Coach's Decision
#0 · PF · 6'9" 227 · 31
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Elbow; Sprain
#1 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 23
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Low Back; Pain
#27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 25
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Knee; Injury Management
#35 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 25
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left ACL; Sprain
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
120
71%
35
32
2
1
13
18
5
30
16-21
76%
25-39
64%
18-35
51%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.