FinalWin Prob.pScore
1851%108
98
2249%107
101
ORTG#PossPace
IND logo IND
106.59294.3
DEN logo DEN
112.29087.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

NuggetsPacersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

NuggetsPacersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventINDDEN
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.98
0%
101
100%
Q4 - 0:02.0NuggetsBones Hyland personal foul (Take) (Chris Duarte draws the foul)98
1.1%
101
98.9%
Q4 - 0:03.3PacersChris Duarte defensive rebound98
1.2%
101
98.8%
Q4 - 0:06.0NuggetsBones Hyland misses regular free throw 2 of 298
3.1%
101
96.9%
Q4 - 0:06.0NuggetsBones Hyland makes regular free throw 1 of 298
1.4%
101
98.6%
Q4 - 0:06.0PacersJustin Holiday personal foul (Take) (Bones Hyland draws the foul)98
1.7%
100
98.3%
Q4 - 0:07.0PacersMalcolm Brogdon makes two point running layup98
3.8%
100
96.2%
Q4 - 0:12.6NuggetsJeff Green makes two point dunk (Aaron Gordon assists)96
3.0%
100
97.0%
Q4 - 0:14.1PacersJeremy Lamb makes two point driving floating jump shot (Malcolm Brogdon assists)96
7.0%
98
93.0%
Q4 - 0:27.2NuggetsWill Barton makes two point driving floating bank jump shot94
5.2%
98
94.8%
Q4 - 0:42.9NuggetsNuggets defensive rebound94
14.5%
96
85.5%
Q4 - 0:42.9PacersJeff Green blocks Domantas Sabonis's two point cutting layup94
17.6%
96
82.4%
Q4 - 0:55.5PacersMyles Turner defensive rebound94
29.2%
96
70.8%
Q4 - 0:56.8NuggetsWill Barton misses two point driving reverse layup94
25.2%
96
74.8%
Q4 - 1:11PacersMalcolm Brogdon turnover (back court violation)94
18.4%
96
81.6%
Q4 - 1:24PacersMalcolm Brogdon defensive rebound94
32.1%
96
67.9%
Q4 - 1:27NuggetsDomantas Sabonis blocks Monte Morris's two point driving floating jump shot94
28.7%
96
71.3%
Q4 - 1:36PacersDomantas Sabonis makes two point putback dunk94
22.3%
96
77.7%
Q4 - 1:43PacersDomantas Sabonis offensive rebound92
16.3%
96
83.7%
Q4 - 1:43PacersMalcolm Brogdon misses two point driving layup92
11.9%
96
88.1%
Q4 - 1:47NuggetsAaron Gordon makes two point putback layup92
16.6%
96
83.4%
Q4 - 1:49NuggetsAaron Gordon offensive rebound92
23.1%
94
76.9%
Q4 - 1:50NuggetsJeff Green misses two point driving layup92
30.2%
94
69.8%
Q4 - 2:10PacersMalcolm Brogdon makes two point driving finger roll layup92
22.8%
94
77.2%
Q4 - 2:15PacersDomantas Sabonis defensive rebound90
18.0%
94
82.0%
Q4 - 2:17NuggetsWill Barton misses two point floating jump shot90
15.3%
94
84.7%
Q4 - 2:45PacersT.J. McConnell makes two point driving finger roll layup90
10.5%
94
89.5%
Q4 - 2:55NuggetsWill Barton turnover (bad pass) (Malcolm Brogdon steals)88
9.5%
94
90.5%
Q4 - 3:07NuggetsWill Barton defensive rebound88
5.8%
94
94.2%
Q4 - 3:10PacersJustin Holiday misses three point jump shot88
6.7%
94
93.3%
Q4 - 3:16NuggetsJeff Green makes regular free throw 2 of 288
9.5%
94
90.5%
Q4 - 3:16NuggetsJeff Green makes regular free throw 1 of 288
10.1%
93
89.9%
Q4 - 3:16PacersMyles Turner shooting foul (Jeff Green draws the foul)88
10.9%
92
89.1%
Q4 - 3:36PacersDomantas Sabonis makes two point turnaround hook shot (T.J. McConnell assists)88
16.5%
92
83.5%
Q4 - 3:41PacersDomantas Sabonis defensive rebound86
12.3%
92
87.7%
Q4 - 3:45NuggetsWill Barton misses three point jump shot86
11.0%
92
89.0%
Q4 - 3:58NuggetsP.J. Dozier defensive rebound86
8.5%
92
91.5%
Q4 - 4:02PacersMyles Turner misses three point jump shot86
9.4%
92
90.6%
Q4 - 4:11NuggetsP.J. Dozier personal foul (Malcolm Brogdon draws the foul)86
11.9%
92
88.1%
Q4 - 4:18NuggetsAaron Gordon makes regular free throw 2 of 286
11.8%
92
88.2%
Q4 - 4:18NuggetsAaron Gordon makes regular free throw 1 of 286
12.9%
91
87.1%
Q4 - 4:18PacersDomantas Sabonis shooting foul (Aaron Gordon draws the foul)86
14.3%
90
85.7%
Q4 - 4:33NuggetsWill Barton defensive rebound86
15.6%
90
84.4%
Q4 - 4:37PacersMalcolm Brogdon misses three point jump shot86
17.3%
90
82.7%
Q4 - 4:45NuggetsWill Barton makes three point pullup jump shot86
21.5%
90
78.5%
Q4 - 4:47NuggetsZeke Nnaji defensive rebound86
35.7%
87
64.3%
Q4 - 4:50PacersMalcolm Brogdon misses two point driving finger roll layup86
38.5%
87
61.5%
Q4 - 5:02PacersMyles Turner defensive rebound86
45.8%
87
54.2%
Q4 - 5:05NuggetsMonte Morris misses three point pullup jump shot86
43.2%
87
56.8%
Q4 - 5:29PacersMalcolm Brogdon makes two point pullup jump shot86
37.3%
87
62.7%
Q4 - 5:43NuggetsZeke Nnaji makes regular free throw 2 of 284
30.6%
87
69.4%
Q4 - 5:43NuggetsZeke Nnaji makes regular free throw 1 of 284
32.3%
86
67.7%
Q4 - 5:43PacersMyles Turner shooting foul (Zeke Nnaji draws the foul)84
34.2%
85
65.8%
Q4 - 6:02PacersMalcolm Brogdon makes three point stepback jump shot84
38.2%
85
61.8%
Q4 - 6:19NuggetsWill Barton makes three point jump shot (Aaron Gordon assists)81
26.8%
85
73.2%
Q4 - 6:39PacersMalcolm Brogdon makes three point jump shot (Torrey Craig assists)81
38.1%
82
61.9%
Q4 - 6:55NuggetsWill Barton makes three point jump shot (Monte Morris assists)78
26.7%
82
73.3%
Q4 - 7:02NuggetsAaron Gordon offensive rebound78
39.5%
79
60.5%
Q4 - 7:06NuggetsMonte Morris misses two point pullup jump shot78
44.8%
79
55.2%
Q4 - 7:13PacersJustin Holiday personal foul (Austin Rivers draws the foul)78
39.5%
79
60.5%
Q4 - 7:29PacersDomantas Sabonis makes two point putback layup78
39.4%
79
60.6%
Q4 - 7:33PacersDomantas Sabonis offensive rebound76
34.3%
79
65.7%
Q4 - 7:36PacersKelan Martin misses two point pullup jump shot76
29.6%
79
70.4%
Q4 - 7:59NuggetsZeke Nnaji makes three point jump shot (P.J. Dozier assists)76
34.3%
79
65.7%
Q4 - 8:16PacersChris Duarte makes three point jump shot (T.J. McConnell assists)76
46.4%
76
53.6%
Q4 - 8:21PacersDomantas Sabonis defensive rebound73
34.6%
76
65.4%
Q4 - 8:24NuggetsBones Hyland misses three point stepback jump shot73
32.8%
76
67.2%
Q4 - 8:33NuggetsP.J. Dozier offensive rebound73
28.9%
76
71.1%
Q4 - 8:37NuggetsAustin Rivers misses three point jump shot73
32.8%
76
67.2%
Q4 - 8:45NuggetsAaron Gordon defensive rebound73
28.9%
76
71.1%
Q4 - 8:48PacersJustin Holiday misses three point jump shot73
30.6%
76
69.4%
Q4 - 9:14NuggetsP.J. Dozier makes two point pullup jump shot73
35.8%
76
64.2%
Q4 - 9:35PacersT.J. McConnell makes two point driving finger roll layup73
40.6%
74
59.4%
Q4 - 9:44PacersDomantas Sabonis defensive rebound71
35.7%
74
64.3%
Q4 - 9:47NuggetsZeke Nnaji misses regular free throw 2 of 271
34.9%
74
65.1%
Q4 - 9:47NuggetsZeke Nnaji makes regular free throw 1 of 271
31.6%
74
68.4%
Q4 - 9:47PacersMalcolm Brogdon shooting foul (Zeke Nnaji draws the foul)71
33.0%
73
67.0%
Q4 - 10:08PacersDomantas Sabonis makes two point floating jump shot (Malcolm Brogdon assists)71
36.0%
73
64.0%
Q4 - 10:35NuggetsP.J. Dozier makes two point turnaround jump shot69
31.6%
73
68.4%
Q4 - 10:43PacersKelan Martin personal foul (P.J. Dozier draws the foul)69
35.9%
71
64.1%
Q4 - 10:55PacersT.J. McConnell makes two point driving finger roll layup69
35.9%
71
64.1%
Q4 - 11:01PacersDomantas Sabonis defensive rebound67
31.9%
71
68.1%
Q4 - 11:02NuggetsAustin Rivers misses two point pullup jump shot67
30.5%
71
69.5%
Q4 - 11:23PacersMalcolm Brogdon makes two point layup (T.J. McConnell assists)67
27.5%
71
72.5%
Q4 - 11:30PacersPacers offensive rebound65
23.5%
71
76.5%
Q4 - 11:30PacersMalcolm Brogdon misses two point pullup jump shot65
20.9%
71
79.1%
Q4 - 11:43NuggetsAustin Rivers makes two point driving finger roll layup65
23.5%
71
76.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.65
27.4%
69
72.6%
Q3 - 0:01.4NuggetsBones Hyland makes regular free throw 2 of 265
33.0%
69
67.0%
Q3 - 0:01.4NuggetsBones Hyland makes regular free throw 1 of 265
33.8%
68
66.2%
Q3 - 0:01.4PacersMalcolm Brogdon shooting foul (Bones Hyland draws the foul)65
34.7%
67
65.3%
Q3 - 0:06.3PacersMalcolm Brogdon makes two point driving finger roll layup65
37.6%
67
62.4%
Q3 - 0:23.7NuggetsP.J. Dozier makes two point tip dunk63
32.9%
67
67.1%
Q3 - 0:23.7NuggetsP.J. Dozier offensive rebound63
37.6%
65
62.4%
Q3 - 0:29.7NuggetsMarkus Howard misses three point jump shot63
40.9%
65
59.1%
Q3 - 0:40.5PacersT.J. McConnell makes two point driving finger roll layup63
37.6%
65
62.4%
Q3 - 0:51.7NuggetsZeke Nnaji makes three point jump shot61
32.8%
65
67.2%
Q3 - 1:01PacersJustin Holiday makes three point jump shot (Jeremy Lamb assists)61
42.5%
62
57.5%
Q3 - 1:17NuggetsBones Hyland makes regular free throw 1 of 158
34.0%
62
66.0%
Q3 - 1:17PacersTorrey Craig shooting foul (Bones Hyland draws the foul)58
34.8%
61
65.2%
Q3 - 1:18NuggetsBones Hyland defensive rebound58
42.6%
59
57.4%
Q3 - 1:18PacersMyles Turner misses two point tip layup58
44.1%
59
55.9%
Q3 - 1:18PacersMyles Turner offensive rebound58
47.8%
59
52.2%
Q3 - 1:23PacersMyles Turner misses two point cutting layup58
44.1%
59
55.9%
Q3 - 1:31NuggetsZeke Nnaji makes two point tip layup58
47.8%
59
52.2%
Q3 - 1:40NuggetsZeke Nnaji offensive rebound58
52.1%
57
47.9%
Q3 - 1:40NuggetsP.J. Dozier misses two point driving finger roll layup58
55.7%
57
44.3%
Q3 - 1:50NuggetsZeke Nnaji defensive rebound58
52.1%
57
47.9%
Q3 - 1:52PacersKelan Martin misses three point jump shot58
53.7%
57
46.3%
Q3 - 2:03PacersJeremy Lamb defensive rebound58
56.7%
57
43.3%
Q3 - 2:07NuggetsBones Hyland misses three point stepback jump shot58
55.2%
57
44.8%
Q3 - 2:24PacersMyles Turner makes regular free throw 2 of 258
51.9%
57
48.1%
Q3 - 2:24PacersMyles Turner makes regular free throw 1 of 257
50.9%
57
49.1%
Q3 - 2:24NuggetsZeke Nnaji shooting foul (Myles Turner draws the foul)56
49.7%
57
50.3%
Q3 - 2:31NuggetsMarkus Howard turnover (offensive foul)56
47.7%
57
52.3%
Q3 - 2:31NuggetsMarkus Howard offensive foul (Torrey Craig draws the foul)56
42.9%
57
57.1%
Q3 - 2:41PacersJeremy Lamb personal foul (Bones Hyland draws the foul)56
42.9%
57
57.1%
Q3 - 2:41NuggetsBones Hyland defensive rebound56
42.9%
57
57.1%
Q3 - 2:41PacersZeke Nnaji blocks Jeremy Lamb's two point driving floating jump shot56
44.3%
57
55.7%
Q3 - 2:56NuggetsWill Barton personal foul (Myles Turner draws the foul)56
47.8%
57
52.2%
Q3 - 2:56PacersTorrey Craig offensive rebound56
47.8%
57
52.2%
Q3 - 2:59PacersT.J. McConnell misses two point jump shot56
44.3%
57
55.7%
Q3 - 3:00PacersT.J. McConnell offensive rebound56
47.8%
57
52.2%
Q3 - 3:05PacersAustin Rivers blocks Torrey Craig's two point layup56
44.7%
57
55.3%
Q3 - 3:07PacersT.J. McConnell defensive rebound56
48.2%
57
51.8%
Q3 - 3:12NuggetsMyles Turner blocks Bones Hyland's two point driving layup56
46.7%
57
53.3%
Q3 - 3:30PacersT.J. McConnell personal foul (Take) (Monte Morris draws the foul)56
43.2%
57
56.8%
Q3 - 3:30PacersKelan Martin turnover (bad pass) (Will Barton steals)56
43.2%
57
56.8%
Q3 - 3:43PacersKelan Martin defensive rebound56
48.2%
57
51.8%
Q3 - 3:45NuggetsTorrey Craig blocks Zeke Nnaji's two point driving layup56
46.7%
57
53.3%
Q3 - 4:06PacersMyles Turner turnover (offensive foul)56
43.6%
57
56.4%
Q3 - 4:06PacersMyles Turner offensive foul (Jeff Green draws the foul)56
48.5%
57
51.5%
Q3 - 4:09PacersKelan Martin defensive rebound56
48.5%
57
51.5%
Q3 - 4:13NuggetsMyles Turner blocks Jeff Green's two point running layup56
47.0%
57
53.0%
Q3 - 4:17NuggetsJeff Green defensive rebound56
43.6%
57
56.4%
Q3 - 4:20PacersT.J. McConnell misses two point driving layup56
45.1%
57
54.9%
Q3 - 4:26PacersJeremy Lamb defensive rebound56
48.5%
57
51.5%
Q3 - 4:29NuggetsP.J. Dozier misses three point pullup jump shot56
47.0%
57
53.0%
Q3 - 4:35PacersMyles Turner turnover (bad pass) (P.J. Dozier steals)56
43.6%
57
56.4%
Q3 - 4:46NuggetsMonte Morris turnover (bad pass) (Kelan Martin steals)56
48.5%
57
51.5%
Q3 - 4:53PacersMyles Turner turnover (lost ball) (Monte Morris steals)56
43.6%
57
56.4%
Q3 - 5:09NuggetsWill Barton makes two point running finger roll layup56
48.4%
57
51.6%
Q3 - 5:12NuggetsJaMychal Green defensive rebound56
52.1%
55
47.9%
Q3 - 5:16PacersMalcolm Brogdon misses three point jump shot56
53.4%
55
46.6%
Q3 - 5:30NuggetsWill Barton makes three point jump shot (Monte Morris assists)56
56.3%
55
43.7%
Q3 - 5:49NuggetsJaMychal Green defensive rebound56
63.7%
52
36.3%
Q3 - 5:52PacersDomantas Sabonis misses two point layup56
64.9%
52
35.1%
Q3 - 6:00NuggetsJaMychal Green personal foul (Domantas Sabonis draws the foul)56
67.6%
52
32.4%
Q3 - 6:10NuggetsWill Barton makes two point running finger roll layup56
67.1%
52
32.9%
Q3 - 6:15PacersChris Duarte turnover (lost ball) (Will Barton steals)56
70.0%
50
30.0%
Q3 - 6:28PacersChris Duarte defensive rebound56
73.5%
50
26.5%
Q3 - 6:31NuggetsJaMychal Green misses three point jump shot56
72.5%
50
27.5%
Q3 - 6:34NuggetsJeff Green defensive rebound56
70.0%
50
30.0%
Q3 - 6:40PacersChris Duarte misses three point stepback jump shot56
71.1%
50
28.9%
Q3 - 6:54NuggetsJeff Green makes two point cutting layup (Monte Morris assists)56
73.5%
50
26.5%
Q3 - 7:07PacersDomantas Sabonis makes regular free throw 1 of 156
75.2%
48
24.8%
Q3 - 7:07NuggetsAaron Gordon shooting foul (Domantas Sabonis draws the foul)55
74.6%
48
25.4%
Q3 - 7:08PacersDomantas Sabonis offensive rebound53
69.8%
48
30.2%
Q3 - 7:08PacersMalcolm Brogdon misses two point driving layup53
67.2%
48
32.8%
Q3 - 7:30PacersDomantas Sabonis defensive rebound53
69.8%
48
30.2%
Q3 - 7:30NuggetsMyles Turner blocks Will Barton's two point driving layup53
68.7%
48
31.3%
Q3 - 7:53PacersChris Duarte makes three point stepback jump shot53
66.1%
48
33.9%
Q3 - 7:58PacersDomantas Sabonis offensive rebound50
59.6%
48
40.4%
Q3 - 7:59PacersDomantas Sabonis misses two point driving layup50
56.7%
48
43.3%
Q3 - 8:10PacersMyles Turner defensive rebound50
59.5%
48
40.5%
Q3 - 8:14NuggetsJeff Green misses three point jump shot50
58.2%
48
41.8%
Q3 - 8:26NuggetsNuggets defensive rebound50
55.3%
48
44.7%
Q3 - 8:26PacersDomantas Sabonis misses three point jump shot50
56.6%
48
43.4%
Q3 - 8:39NuggetsAaron Gordon makes regular free throw 2 of 250
59.5%
48
40.5%
Q3 - 8:39NuggetsAaron Gordon makes regular free throw 1 of 250
60.4%
47
39.6%
Q3 - 8:39PacersMyles Turner shooting foul (Aaron Gordon draws the foul)50
61.6%
46
38.4%
Q3 - 8:42PacersMalcolm Brogdon turnover (bad pass) (Aaron Gordon steals)50
62.3%
46
37.7%
Q3 - 8:55NuggetsWill Barton makes two point driving floating jump shot (Jeff Green assists)50
66.3%
46
33.7%
Q3 - 9:18PacersMyles Turner makes three point jump shot (Malcolm Brogdon assists)50
68.5%
44
31.5%
Q3 - 9:28PacersJustin Holiday defensive rebound47
62.5%
44
37.5%
Q3 - 9:32NuggetsMonte Morris misses two point pullup jump shot47
61.4%
44
38.6%
Q3 - 9:48NuggetsJaMychal Green defensive rebound47
58.8%
44
41.2%
Q3 - 9:49PacersChris Duarte misses two point pullup jump shot47
59.9%
44
40.1%
Q3 - 9:55PacersDomantas Sabonis defensive rebound47
62.5%
44
37.5%
Q3 - 9:58NuggetsAaron Gordon misses two point turnaround jump shot47
61.4%
44
38.6%
Q3 - 10:01NuggetsAaron Gordon offensive rebound47
58.5%
44
41.5%
Q3 - 10:08NuggetsMalcolm Brogdon blocks Aaron Gordon's two point reverse layup47
61.1%
44
38.9%
Q3 - 10:14NuggetsNuggets offensive rebound47
58.5%
44
41.5%
Q3 - 10:14NuggetsMyles Turner blocks Aaron Gordon's two point layup47
61.1%
44
38.9%
Q3 - 10:14NuggetsAaron Gordon offensive rebound47
58.5%
44
41.5%
Q3 - 10:17NuggetsMyles Turner blocks JaMychal Green's two point layup47
61.1%
44
38.9%
Q3 - 10:22NuggetsJaMychal Green defensive rebound47
58.5%
44
41.5%
Q3 - 10:24PacersMalcolm Brogdon misses two point driving layup47
59.7%
44
40.3%
Q3 - 10:32PacersDomantas Sabonis defensive rebound47
62.3%
44
37.7%
Q3 - 10:35NuggetsWill Barton misses two point driving finger roll layup47
61.2%
44
38.8%
Q3 - 10:54PacersDomantas Sabonis turnover (out of bounds lost ball)47
58.6%
44
41.4%
Q3 - 10:57NuggetsMonte Morris turnover (bad pass) (Domantas Sabonis steals)47
62.3%
44
37.7%
Q3 - 11:06PacersDomantas Sabonis turnover (offensive foul)47
58.5%
44
41.5%
Q3 - 11:06PacersDomantas Sabonis offensive foul (Aaron Gordon draws the foul)47
61.9%
44
38.1%
Q3 - 11:21PacersMalcolm Brogdon defensive rebound47
61.9%
44
38.1%
Q3 - 11:26NuggetsWill Barton misses three point jump shot47
60.9%
44
39.1%
Q3 - 11:42PacersMalcolm Brogdon makes three point jump shot (Domantas Sabonis assists)47
58.5%
44
41.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.44
52.1%
44
47.9%
Q2 - 0:00.1PacersPacers offensive rebound44
51.6%
44
48.4%
Q2 - 0:00.1PacersT.J. McConnell misses three point running jump shot44
50.0%
44
50.0%
Q2 - 0:01.4NuggetsMonte Morris makes three point pullup jump shot44
51.6%
44
48.4%
Q2 - 0:10.4PacersMalcolm Brogdon makes two point driving layup44
58.9%
41
41.1%
Q2 - 0:20.1NuggetsAaron Gordon personal foul (Malcolm Brogdon draws the foul)42
54.9%
41
45.1%
Q2 - 0:33.9NuggetsJaMychal Green turnover (offensive goaltending)42
54.9%
41
45.1%
Q2 - 0:41.8NuggetsAaron Gordon defensive rebound42
52.4%
41
47.6%
Q2 - 0:41.8PacersTorrey Craig misses three point pullup jump shot42
53.2%
41
46.8%
Q2 - 0:44.6PacersDomantas Sabonis defensive rebound42
54.9%
41
45.1%
Q2 - 0:48.4NuggetsMalcolm Brogdon blocks Aaron Gordon's two point pullup jump shot42
54.2%
41
45.8%
Q2 - 1:08PacersDomantas Sabonis makes two point jump shot (T.J. McConnell assists)42
52.8%
41
47.2%
Q2 - 1:23NuggetsMonte Morris makes three point pullup jump shot40
48.6%
41
51.4%
Q2 - 1:53PacersMalcolm Brogdon makes two point driving layup40
55.9%
38
44.1%
Q2 - 1:58PacersDomantas Sabonis defensive rebound38
51.7%
38
48.3%
Q2 - 1:58NuggetsAaron Gordon misses regular free throw 1 of 138
51.4%
38
48.6%
Q2 - 1:58PacersKelan Martin shooting foul (Aaron Gordon draws the foul)38
49.5%
38
50.5%
Q2 - 2:16PacersDomantas Sabonis turnover (offensive foul)38
55.2%
36
44.8%
Q2 - 2:16PacersDomantas Sabonis offensive foul (JaMychal Green draws the foul)38
58.3%
36
41.7%
Q2 - 2:32PacersDomantas Sabonis defensive rebound38
58.3%
36
41.7%
Q2 - 2:34NuggetsJeff Green misses three point jump shot38
57.4%
36
42.6%
Q2 - 2:50NuggetsMonte Morris defensive rebound38
55.3%
36
44.7%
Q2 - 2:53PacersJustin Holiday misses three point jump shot38
56.2%
36
43.8%
Q2 - 3:06NuggetsMonte Morris makes two point driving layup38
58.1%
36
41.9%
Q2 - 3:27PacersJustin Holiday makes three point stepback jump shot (Domantas Sabonis assists)38
60.4%
34
39.6%
Q2 - 3:41NuggetsWill Barton turnover (out of bounds bad pass)35
55.3%
34
44.7%
Q2 - 4:00PacersTorrey Craig makes regular free throw 2 of 235
51.8%
34
48.2%
Q2 - 4:00PacersTorrey Craig makes regular free throw 1 of 234
51.1%
34
48.9%
Q2 - 4:00NuggetsWill Barton shooting foul (Torrey Craig draws the foul)33
50.2%
34
49.8%
Q2 - 4:09PacersMyles Turner defensive rebound33
49.4%
34
50.6%
Q2 - 4:12NuggetsJeff Green misses two point stepback jump shot33
48.5%
34
51.5%
Q2 - 4:41PacersT.J. McConnell makes two point pullup jump shot33
46.4%
34
53.6%
Q2 - 4:46PacersKelan Martin defensive rebound31
43.8%
34
56.2%
Q2 - 4:48NuggetsWill Barton misses two point driving floating jump shot31
42.9%
34
57.1%
Q2 - 4:54NuggetsMonte Morris offensive rebound31
40.9%
34
59.1%
Q2 - 4:57NuggetsMonte Morris misses two point driving floating jump shot31
42.9%
34
57.1%
Q2 - 5:18PacersKelan Martin makes three point jump shot (T.J. McConnell assists)31
40.8%
34
59.2%
Q2 - 5:30NuggetsJeff Green makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot (Will Barton assists)28
36.1%
34
63.9%
Q2 - 5:52PacersKelan Martin turnover (out of bounds step)28
38.2%
32
61.8%
Q2 - 6:01NuggetsJeff Green makes regular free throw 2 of 228
41.7%
32
58.3%
Q2 - 6:01NuggetsJeff Green makes regular free throw 1 of 228
42.1%
31
57.9%
Q2 - 6:01PacersJustin Holiday shooting foul (Jeff Green draws the foul)28
42.7%
30
57.3%
Q2 - 6:10NuggetsNuggets offensive rebound28
43.7%
30
56.3%
Q2 - 6:12NuggetsJaMychal Green misses three point jump shot28
46.0%
30
54.0%
Q2 - 6:33NuggetsNuggets defensive rebound28
43.7%
30
56.3%
Q2 - 6:35PacersJustin Holiday misses two point turnaround jump shot28
44.7%
30
55.3%
Q2 - 6:57PacersJustin Holiday defensive rebound28
47.1%
30
52.9%
Q2 - 7:00NuggetsAaron Gordon misses two point pullup jump shot28
46.0%
30
54.0%
Q2 - 7:17PacersKelan Martin makes two point running dunk (T.J. McConnell assists)28
44.2%
30
55.8%
Q2 - 7:18PacersTorrey Craig defensive rebound26
41.7%
30
58.3%
Q2 - 7:22NuggetsT.J. McConnell blocks Facundo Campazzo's two point jump shot26
40.9%
30
59.1%
Q2 - 7:26NuggetsZeke Nnaji defensive rebound26
39.1%
30
60.9%
Q2 - 7:31PacersJustin Holiday misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot26
39.9%
30
60.1%
Q2 - 7:44NuggetsBones Hyland turnover (traveling)26
41.7%
30
58.3%
Q2 - 7:58PacersMyles Turner makes two point cutting finger roll layup (T.J. McConnell assists)26
39.1%
30
60.9%
Q2 - 8:12PacersKelan Martin defensive rebound24
36.7%
30
63.3%
Q2 - 8:16NuggetsZeke Nnaji misses three point jump shot24
36.0%
30
64.0%
Q2 - 8:30PacersT.J. McConnell makes two point fadeaway jump shot24
34.3%
30
65.7%
Q2 - 8:35PacersMyles Turner offensive rebound22
32.0%
30
68.0%
Q2 - 8:40PacersJustin Holiday misses three point jump shot22
30.4%
30
69.6%
Q2 - 8:48PacersOshae Brissett defensive rebound22
32.0%
30
68.0%
Q2 - 8:51NuggetsAustin Rivers misses two point driving floating jump shot22
31.3%
30
68.7%
Q2 - 9:07NuggetsBones Hyland defensive rebound22
30.0%
30
70.0%
Q2 - 9:11PacersOshae Brissett misses regular free throw 2 of 222
30.3%
30
69.7%
Q2 - 9:11PacersOshae Brissett misses regular free throw 1 of 222
31.7%
30
68.3%
Q2 - 9:11NuggetsAustin Rivers shooting foul (Oshae Brissett draws the foul)22
33.3%
30
66.7%
Q2 - 9:13PacersDomantas Sabonis defensive rebound22
32.3%
30
67.7%
Q2 - 9:15NuggetsZeke Nnaji misses two point tip layup22
31.6%
30
68.4%
Q2 - 9:17NuggetsZeke Nnaji offensive rebound22
30.0%
30
70.0%
Q2 - 9:20NuggetsBones Hyland misses two point fadeaway jump shot22
31.5%
30
68.5%
Q2 - 9:41NuggetsP.J. Dozier defensive rebound22
30.0%
30
70.0%
Q2 - 9:45PacersKelan Martin misses two point driving floating jump shot22
30.6%
30
69.4%
Q2 - 10:02NuggetsBones Hyland makes three point jump shot (Facundo Campazzo assists)22
32.7%
30
67.3%
Q2 - 10:11PacersPacers turnover (shot clock violation)22
37.1%
27
62.9%
Q2 - 10:11PacersPacers offensive rebound22
39.6%
27
60.4%
Q2 - 10:11PacersChris Duarte misses three point jump shot22
37.9%
27
62.1%
Q2 - 10:35NuggetsZeke Nnaji makes two point alley-oop layup (Bones Hyland assists)22
39.6%
27
60.4%
Q2 - 10:48PacersPacers turnover (shot clock violation)22
41.9%
25
58.1%
Q2 - 11:02PacersMalcolm Brogdon misses technical free throw 1 of 122
44.5%
25
55.5%
Q2 - 11:02Nuggets technical foul (Defensive three second)22
46.3%
25
53.7%
Q2 - 11:27NuggetsZeke Nnaji makes two point dunk (Bones Hyland assists)22
44.5%
25
55.5%
Q2 - 11:51PacersMalcolm Brogdon makes two point floating jump shot22
47.1%
23
52.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.20
44.5%
23
55.5%
Q1 - 0:00.7PacersPacers offensive rebound20
44.3%
23
55.7%
Q1 - 0:00.7PacersTorrey Craig misses two point running finger roll layup20
42.9%
23
57.1%
Q1 - 0:05.4NuggetsP.J. Dozier turnover (bad pass) (Malcolm Brogdon steals)20
44.3%
23
55.7%
Q1 - 0:28.2PacersDomantas Sabonis makes three point jump shot (Malcolm Brogdon assists)20
42.3%
23
57.7%
Q1 - 0:36.9NuggetsAustin Rivers personal foul (T.J. McConnell draws the foul)17
37.4%
23
62.6%
Q1 - 0:49.8PacersJeremy Lamb defensive rebound17
37.4%
23
62.6%
Q1 - 0:53.9NuggetsBones Hyland misses three point pullup jump shot17
36.9%
23
63.1%
Q1 - 1:10PacersT.J. McConnell makes two point layup (Malcolm Brogdon assists)17
35.8%
23
64.2%
Q1 - 1:40NuggetsZeke Nnaji makes two point dunk (Bones Hyland assists)15
33.4%
23
66.6%
Q1 - 2:07PacersT.J. McConnell makes two point cutting layup (Jeremy Lamb assists)15
36.1%
21
63.9%
Q1 - 2:25NuggetsBones Hyland makes three point stepback jump shot (P.J. Dozier assists)13
34.1%
21
65.9%
Q1 - 2:48NuggetsWill Barton defensive rebound13
38.2%
18
61.8%
Q1 - 2:50PacersJeremy Lamb misses three point pullup jump shot13
38.9%
18
61.1%
Q1 - 3:18NuggetsZeke Nnaji makes two point layup (Bones Hyland assists)13
40.6%
18
59.4%
Q1 - 3:29PacersDomantas Sabonis makes two point cutting dunk (Jeremy Lamb assists)13
42.4%
16
57.6%
Q1 - 3:41PacersDomantas Sabonis defensive rebound11
40.6%
16
59.4%
Q1 - 3:44NuggetsWill Barton misses three point stepback jump shot11
39.8%
16
60.2%
Q1 - 4:08PacersTorrey Craig makes regular free throw 1 of 111
38.7%
16
61.3%
Q1 - 4:08NuggetsP.J. Dozier shooting foul (Torrey Craig draws the foul)10
38.2%
16
61.8%
Q1 - 4:23NuggetsWill Barton makes regular free throw 2 of 28
35.0%
16
65.0%
Q1 - 4:23NuggetsWill Barton makes regular free throw 1 of 28
35.4%
15
64.6%
Q1 - 4:23PacersJustin Holiday shooting foul (Will Barton draws the foul)8
35.8%
14
64.2%
Q1 - 4:40PacersTorrey Craig turnover (out of bounds bad pass)8
36.6%
14
63.4%
Q1 - 4:52NuggetsJaMychal Green makes two point driving reverse layup (Will Barton assists)8
39.0%
14
61.0%
Q1 - 5:08NuggetsWill Barton defensive rebound8
41.3%
12
58.7%
Q1 - 5:10PacersMyles Turner misses two point turnaround hook shot8
42.0%
12
58.0%
Q1 - 5:31NuggetsJeff Green makes two point driving finger roll layup (Will Barton assists)8
43.5%
12
56.5%
Q1 - 5:48PacersMyles Turner makes two point dunk (T.J. McConnell assists)8
45.3%
10
54.7%
Q1 - 6:05PacersT.J. McConnell defensive rebound6
43.6%
10
56.4%
Q1 - 6:08NuggetsJaMychal Green misses three point jump shot6
43.0%
10
57.0%
Q1 - 6:17PacersChris Duarte personal foul (Take) (Will Barton draws the foul)6
41.6%
10
58.4%
Q1 - 6:19NuggetsWill Barton defensive rebound6
41.6%
10
58.4%
Q1 - 6:22PacersChris Duarte misses two point fadeaway jump shot6
42.2%
10
57.8%
Q1 - 6:31PacersChris Duarte defensive rebound6
43.6%
10
56.4%
Q1 - 6:34NuggetsAaron Gordon misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot6
43.0%
10
57.0%
Q1 - 6:41NuggetsAaron Gordon offensive rebound6
41.6%
10
58.4%
Q1 - 6:43NuggetsJeff Green misses three point jump shot6
43.0%
10
57.0%
Q1 - 6:52NuggetsJaMychal Green defensive rebound6
41.6%
10
58.4%
Q1 - 6:56PacersMalcolm Brogdon misses three point jump shot6
42.2%
10
57.8%
Q1 - 7:11NuggetsJaMychal Green turnover (bad pass) (Malcolm Brogdon steals)6
43.9%
10
56.1%
Q1 - 7:29NuggetsJaMychal Green defensive rebound6
41.8%
10
58.2%
Q1 - 7:31PacersMalcolm Brogdon misses three point jump shot6
42.4%
10
57.6%
Q1 - 7:33PacersMyles Turner offensive rebound6
43.9%
10
56.1%
Q1 - 7:37PacersChris Duarte misses three point jump shot6
42.4%
10
57.6%
Q1 - 7:51NuggetsWill Barton makes two point driving floating bank jump shot6
43.9%
10
56.1%
Q1 - 8:10PacersDomantas Sabonis makes two point floating jump shot (Chris Duarte assists)6
45.9%
8
54.1%
Q1 - 8:20PacersMalcolm Brogdon defensive rebound4
44.2%
8
55.8%
Q1 - 8:23NuggetsAaron Gordon misses two point pullup jump shot4
43.6%
8
56.4%
Q1 - 8:44PacersMyles Turner makes three point jump shot (Justin Holiday assists)4
42.1%
8
57.9%
Q1 - 8:58NuggetsJeff Green turnover (offensive foul)1
38.6%
8
61.4%
Q1 - 8:58NuggetsJeff Green offensive foul (Justin Holiday draws the foul)1
36.5%
8
63.5%
Q1 - 9:09NuggetsJaMychal Green defensive rebound1
36.7%
8
63.3%
Q1 - 9:13PacersMyles Turner misses regular free throw 2 of 21
37.0%
8
63.0%
Q1 - 9:13PacersMyles Turner makes regular free throw 1 of 21
38.1%
8
61.9%
Q1 - 9:13NuggetsJaMychal Green shooting foul (Myles Turner draws the foul)0
37.7%
8
62.3%
Q1 - 9:24PacersDomantas Sabonis defensive rebound0
37.0%
8
63.0%
Q1 - 9:26NuggetsMonte Morris misses three point jump shot0
36.4%
8
63.6%
Q1 - 9:27NuggetsAaron Gordon offensive rebound0
35.0%
8
65.0%
Q1 - 9:30NuggetsMyles Turner blocks Jeff Green's two point driving layup0
36.4%
8
63.6%
Q1 - 9:44NuggetsAaron Gordon defensive rebound0
35.0%
8
65.0%
Q1 - 9:48PacersChris Duarte misses three point stepback jump shot0
35.6%
8
64.4%
Q1 - 10:12NuggetsMonte Morris makes two point pullup jump shot0
37.2%
8
62.8%
Q1 - 10:21NuggetsMonte Morris defensive rebound0
38.7%
6
61.3%
Q1 - 10:22PacersMalcolm Brogdon misses two point driving layup0
39.3%
6
60.7%
Q1 - 10:29PacersDomantas Sabonis defensive rebound0
40.7%
6
59.3%
Q1 - 10:31NuggetsAaron Gordon misses two point turnaround bank jump shot0
40.1%
6
59.9%
Q1 - 10:44PacersPacers turnover (shot clock violation)0
38.7%
6
61.3%
Q1 - 10:55PacersMyles Turner offensive rebound0
40.7%
6
59.3%
Q1 - 10:55PacersJaMychal Green blocks Domantas Sabonis's two point turnaround jump shot0
39.3%
6
60.7%
Q1 - 11:12NuggetsWill Barton makes three point stepback jump shot (Monte Morris assists)0
40.9%
6
59.1%
Q1 - 11:16NuggetsWill Barton defensive rebound0
44.2%
3
55.8%
Q1 - 11:20PacersChris Duarte misses three point pullup jump shot0
44.8%
3
55.2%
Q1 - 11:43NuggetsWill Barton makes three point stepback jump shot (JaMychal Green assists)0
46.2%
3
53.8%
Q1 - 12:00Myles Turner vs. JaMychal Green (Jeff Green gains possession)0
49.5%
0
50.5%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

IND
1.03 51.6%
DEN
1.09 54.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
IND
20
29
69%
DEN
16
21
76%
Midrange
IND
9
24
38%
DEN
8
33
24%
3PT | Effective 3PT
IND
11
16.5
31
35%
53%
DEN
12
18.0
30
40%
60%
Free Throws
IND
7
11
64%
DEN
17
20
85%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
IND logo Pacers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Brogdon2560%12.5 / 21
D. Sabonis2071%10.0 / 14
T. McConnell1673%8.0 / 11
M. Turner1365%6.5 / 10
J. Holiday638%3.0 / 8
C. Duarte633%3.0 / 9
T. Craig550%2.5 / 5
K. Martin550%2.5 / 5
J. Lamb225%1.0 / 4
O. Brissett0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
W. Barton3075%15.0 / 20
Z. Nnaji1979%9.5 / 12
J. Green1246%6.0 / 13
B. Hyland1260%6.0 / 10
M. Morris1050%5.0 / 10
A. Gordon833%4.0 / 12
P. Dozier660%3.0 / 5
J. Green220%1.0 / 5
A. Rivers225%1.0 / 4
F. Campazzo0-0.0 / 1
M. Howard0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

IND
80
+15
-12
95
DEN
80
+13
-10
93
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

IND
1.03 51.6%
DEN
1.09 54.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
112.5
114.2
IND 106.5
DEN 112.2 +5.7
Pace
98.1
98.0
IND 94.3 +6.5
DEN 87.8
Avg. Poss. Time
14.6
14.7
IND 15.3 +1.1
DEN 16.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
53.1%
55.6%
IND 54.2% +4.2%
DEN 50.0%
TO %
13.7%
14.0%
IND 14.4%
DEN 9.7% +4.7%
ORB %
25.6%
21.9%
IND 26.3% +3.9%
DEN 22.4%
FTrt
23.9
24.4
IND 13.1
DEN 23.8 +10.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
61.2%
66.7%
IND 55.0% +2.2%
DEN 52.8%
STL %
7.1%
7.3%
IND 5.4%
DEN 5.6% +0.2%
BLK %
10.0%
7.0%
IND 20.4% +12.9%
DEN 7.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.8%
57.6%
IND 51.6%
DEN 54.3% +2.7%
Rim FG%
62.5%
66.2%
IND 69.0%
DEN 76.2% +7.2%
Mid FG%
41.6%
44.3%
IND 37.5% +13.3%
DEN 24.2%
3P %
34.4%
35.3%
IND 35.5%
DEN 40.0% +4.5%
FT %
76.8%
79.5%
IND 63.6%
DEN 85.0% +21.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
36.2%
35.2%
IND 34.5% +9.5%
DEN 25.0%
Mid Att. %
24.3%
23.2%
IND 28.6% +10.7%
DEN 39.3%
3P Att. %
39.5%
41.6%
IND 36.9% +1.2%
DEN 35.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsINDDEN
Possessions9290
Possession Minutes23.424.6
Points98101
Rebounds4839
Assists2219
Steals55
Blocks114
Turnovers (Team)12 (3)10 (0)
Fouls1914
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (5)11 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)38 (0)28 (3)
Field Goals40-8436-84
At-the-Rim FG20-2916-21
Midrange FG9-248-33
2-Point FG29-5324-54
3-Point FG11-3112-30
Free Throws7-1117-20
Fast Break Pts136
2nd Chance Pts1411
Points in Paint5642
Pts off Turnovers1215
Bench Points2839
Biggest Lead88

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#8 · SF · 6'6" 185 · 33
35.0
6
38%
2
1
0
0
0
4
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
0%
2-6
33%
#7 · PG · 6'5" 215 · 29
34.7
25
60%
3
5
3
2
2
2
0
3
0-1
0%
8-14
57%
3-7
43%
#11 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 26
33.1
20
71%
19
2
1
1
3
3
4
15
1-1
100%
8-12
67%
1-2
50%
#33 · C · 6'11" 250 · 26
30.9
13
65%
8
0
0
6
3
4
4
4
3-4
75%
2-5
40%
2-3
67%
#3 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 24
21.2
6
33%
3
1
0
0
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-2
0%
2-7
29%
#9 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 30
28.6
16
73%
3
9
0
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
8-10
80%
0-1
0%
#13 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 31
21.7
5
50%
2
1
0
1
1
1
1
1
3-3
100%
1-3
33%
0-1
0%
#21 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 26
19.1
5
50%
4
0
1
0
2
2
0
4
0-0
-
1-3
33%
1-2
50%
#26 · SG · 6'5" 185 · 29
11.7
2
25%
3
3
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-2
0%
#12 · SF · 6'8" 210 · 23
4.0
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-2
0%
0-0
-
0-0
-
#10 · PG · 6'4" 210 · 32
DNP - Coach's Decision
#88 · C · 6'10" 250 · 22
DNP - Coach's Decision
#22 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 27
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Back; Sore Lower
#1 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 28
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Navicular; Fracture
#23 · PF · 6'9" 205 · 20
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Knee; Hyperextension
#17 · SG · 6'5" 185 · 24
INACTIVE
#4 · SG · 6'2" 197 · 22
INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
98
52%
48
22
5
11
12
19
10
38
7-11
64%
29-53
55%
11-31
35%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.