ORTG | #Poss | Pace | |
---|---|---|---|
125.0 | 92 | 95.0 | |
129.7 | 91 | 89.0 |
Scoring Opportunities
Scoring Efficiency
WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS
Win Probability
Scoring Margin
Play-by-Play
Score / WinProb | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Clock | Team | Event | UTA | MIA |
Q4 - 0:00.0 | End of 4th Quarter. | 115 0% | 118 100% | |
Q4 - 0:04.8 | Heat | Kyle Lowry defensive rebound | 115 0.4% | 118 99.6% |
Q4 - 0:08.8 | Jazz | Donovan Mitchell misses three point jump shot | 115 2.6% | 118 97.4% |
Q4 - 0:10.4 | Heat | Jimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 2 | 115 6.8% | 118 93.2% |
Q4 - 0:10.4 | Heat | Jimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 2 | 115 7.7% | 117 92.3% |
Q4 - 0:10.4 | Jazz | Mike Conley personal foul (Take) (Jimmy Butler draws the foul) | 115 9.0% | 116 91.0% |
Q4 - 0:11.5 | Jazz | Rudy Gobert makes two point dunk (Donovan Mitchell assists) | 115 16.1% | 116 83.9% |
Q4 - 0:17.6 | Heat | Tyler Herro makes regular free throw 2 of 2 | 113 8.7% | 116 91.3% |
Q4 - 0:17.6 | Heat | Tyler Herro misses regular free throw 1 of 2 | 113 9.9% | 115 90.1% |
Q4 - 0:17.6 | Jazz | Donovan Mitchell personal foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul) | 113 4.6% | 115 95.4% |
Q4 - 0:19.8 | Jazz | Mike Conley makes three point jump shot (Royce O'Neale assists) | 113 7.6% | 115 92.4% |
Q4 - 0:26.4 | Jazz | Mike Conley offensive rebound | 110 2.4% | 115 97.6% |
Q4 - 0:30.4 | Jazz | Caleb Martin blocks Hassan Whiteside's two point layup | 110 1.4% | 115 98.6% |
Q4 - 0:31.0 | Jazz | Hassan Whiteside offensive rebound | 110 2.7% | 115 97.3% |
Q4 - 0:35.1 | Jazz | Donovan Mitchell misses three point stepback jump shot | 110 1.3% | 115 98.7% |
Q4 - 0:42.9 | Heat | Jimmy Butler turnover (lost ball) (Mike Conley steals) | 110 4.9% | 115 95.1% |
Q4 - 1:01 | Jazz | Donovan Mitchell makes two point driving layup | 110 3.7% | 115 96.3% |
Q4 - 1:11 | Heat | Jimmy Butler makes two point pullup jump shot | 108 2.9% | 115 97.1% |
Q4 - 1:32 | Jazz | Hassan Whiteside makes two point dunk (Mike Conley assists) | 108 6.6% | 113 93.4% |
Q4 - 1:44 | Jazz | Bojan Bogdanovic defensive rebound | 106 5.0% | 113 95.0% |
Q4 - 1:47 | Heat | Jimmy Butler misses regular free throw 2 of 2 | 106 4.8% | 113 95.2% |
Q4 - 1:47 | Heat | Jimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 2 | 106 3.5% | 113 96.5% |
Q4 - 1:47 | Jazz | Hassan Whiteside shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul) | 106 3.8% | 112 96.2% |
Q4 - 1:58 | Jazz | Donovan Mitchell makes three point jump shot (Mike Conley assists) | 106 4.8% | 112 95.2% |
Q4 - 2:10 | Jazz | Hassan Whiteside defensive rebound | 103 2.4% | 112 97.6% |
Q4 - 2:13 | Heat | Caleb Martin misses two point cutting layup | 103 2.0% | 112 98.0% |
Q4 - 2:31 | Jazz | Royce O'Neale personal foul (Loose ball) (Caleb Martin draws the foul) | 103 1.3% | 112 98.7% |
Q4 - 2:31 | Heat | Heat defensive rebound | 103 1.3% | 112 98.7% |
Q4 - 2:31 | Jazz | Mike Conley misses three point stepback jump shot | 103 1.6% | 112 98.4% |
Q4 - 2:44 | Heat | Jimmy Butler turnover (lost ball) (Royce O'Neale steals) | 103 2.4% | 112 97.6% |
Q4 - 2:59 | Jazz | Donovan Mitchell turnover (offensive foul) | 103 1.9% | 112 98.1% |
Q4 - 2:59 | Jazz | Donovan Mitchell offensive foul (Caleb Martin draws the foul) | 103 3.2% | 112 96.8% |
Q4 - 3:08 | Jazz | Bojan Bogdanovic defensive rebound | 103 3.2% | 112 96.8% |
Q4 - 3:13 | Heat | Bam Adebayo misses two point jump shot | 103 2.7% | 112 97.3% |
Q4 - 3:29 | Jazz | Mike Conley makes two point driving bank jump shot | 103 1.9% | 112 98.1% |
Q4 - 3:36 | Jazz | Hassan Whiteside defensive rebound | 101 2.6% | 112 97.4% |
Q4 - 3:38 | Heat | Caleb Martin misses three point jump shot | 101 2.3% | 112 97.7% |
Q4 - 4:00 | Jazz | Bojan Bogdanovic makes regular free throw 2 of 2 | 101 1.7% | 112 98.3% |
Q4 - 4:00 | Jazz | Bojan Bogdanovic makes regular free throw 1 of 2 | 100 1.6% | 112 98.4% |
Q4 - 4:00 | Heat | Bam Adebayo shooting foul (Bojan Bogdanovic draws the foul) | 99 1.5% | 112 98.5% |
Q4 - 4:18 | Heat | Tyler Herro turnover (traveling) | 99 1.2% | 112 98.8% |
Q4 - 4:34 | Jazz | Donovan Mitchell makes three point jump shot (Bojan Bogdanovic assists) | 99 0.8% | 112 99.2% |
Q4 - 4:41 | Jazz | Royce O'Neale offensive rebound | 96 0.4% | 112 99.6% |
Q4 - 4:45 | Jazz | Bojan Bogdanovic misses three point jump shot | 96 0.3% | 112 99.7% |
Q4 - 4:53 | Heat | Kyle Lowry turnover (bad pass) (Royce O'Neale steals) | 96 0.4% | 112 99.6% |
Q4 - 4:59 | Jazz | Mike Conley makes three point jump shot (Royce O'Neale assists) | 96 0.3% | 112 99.7% |
Q4 - 5:20 | Heat | Tyler Herro makes two point stepback jump shot | 93 0.3% | 112 99.7% |
Q4 - 5:37 | Jazz | Bojan Bogdanovic makes two point turnaround jump shot | 93 0.4% | 110 99.6% |
Q4 - 5:52 | Jazz | Royce O'Neale defensive rebound | 91 0.3% | 110 99.7% |
Q4 - 5:55 | Heat | Kyle Lowry misses regular free throw 2 of 2 | 91 0.3% | 110 99.7% |
Q4 - 5:55 | Heat | Kyle Lowry makes regular free throw 1 of 2 | 91 0.2% | 110 99.8% |
Q4 - 5:55 | Jazz | Jordan Clarkson shooting foul (Kyle Lowry draws the foul) | 91 0.2% | 109 99.8% |
Q4 - 6:08 | Heat | Markieff Morris defensive rebound | 91 0.5% | 109 99.5% |
Q4 - 6:12 | Jazz | Donovan Mitchell misses three point pullup jump shot | 91 0.6% | 109 99.4% |
Q4 - 6:24 | Heat | Tyler Herro makes two point floating jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists) | 91 0.7% | 109 99.3% |
Q4 - 6:29 | Jazz | Hassan Whiteside personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul) | 91 0.9% | 107 99.1% |
Q4 - 6:29 | Heat | Markieff Morris offensive rebound | 91 0.9% | 107 99.1% |
Q4 - 6:32 | Heat | Tyler Herro misses three point jump shot | 91 1.1% | 107 98.9% |
Q4 - 6:47 | Heat | Bam Adebayo defensive rebound | 91 0.9% | 107 99.1% |
Q4 - 6:47 | Jazz | Royce O'Neale misses regular free throw 2 of 2 | 91 0.9% | 107 99.1% |
Q4 - 6:47 | Jazz | Royce O'Neale misses regular free throw 1 of 2 | 91 1.1% | 107 98.9% |
Q4 - 6:47 | Heat | Caleb Martin shooting foul (Royce O'Neale draws the foul) | 91 1.4% | 107 98.6% |
Q4 - 6:47 | Jazz | Royce O'Neale offensive rebound | 91 1.2% | 107 98.8% |
Q4 - 6:48 | Jazz | Bojan Bogdanovic misses three point jump shot | 91 1.0% | 107 99.0% |
Q4 - 7:08 | Heat | Tyler Herro makes three point jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists) | 91 1.8% | 107 98.2% |
Q4 - 7:10 | Heat | Heat offensive rebound | 91 3.0% | 104 97.0% |
Q4 - 7:12 | Heat | Bam Adebayo misses two point turnaround bank jump shot | 91 3.6% | 104 96.4% |
Q4 - 7:26 | Jazz | Donovan Mitchell makes regular free throw 2 of 2 | 91 2.9% | 104 97.1% |
Q4 - 7:26 | Jazz | Donovan Mitchell makes regular free throw 1 of 2 | 90 2.8% | 104 97.2% |
Q4 - 7:26 | Heat | Caleb Martin shooting foul (Donovan Mitchell draws the foul) | 89 2.7% | 104 97.3% |
Q4 - 7:39 | Heat | Tyler Herro makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists) | 89 2.3% | 104 97.7% |
Q4 - 8:00 | Jazz | Jordan Clarkson makes three point jump shot (Donovan Mitchell assists) | 89 3.7% | 101 96.3% |
Q4 - 8:20 | Heat | Caleb Martin makes three point jump shot (Markieff Morris assists) | 86 2.9% | 101 97.1% |
Q4 - 8:44 | Jazz | Rudy Gobert personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul) | 86 4.6% | 98 95.4% |
Q4 - 8:44 | Heat | Kyle Lowry defensive rebound | 86 4.6% | 98 95.4% |
Q4 - 8:46 | Jazz | Jordan Clarkson misses three point jump shot | 86 4.9% | 98 95.1% |
Q4 - 9:03 | Heat | Kyle Lowry makes two point pullup jump shot (Markieff Morris assists) | 86 7.1% | 98 92.9% |
Q4 - 9:19 | Jazz | Joe Ingles makes three point jump shot (Mike Conley assists) | 86 8.5% | 96 91.5% |
Q4 - 9:26 | Heat | Markieff Morris makes two point running alley-oop layup (Kyle Lowry assists) | 83 5.6% | 96 94.4% |
Q4 - 9:32 | Jazz | Rudy Gobert turnover (lost ball) (Kyle Lowry steals) | 83 6.8% | 94 93.2% |
Q4 - 9:48 | Heat | Kyle Lowry personal foul (Rudy Gobert draws the foul) | 83 8.6% | 94 91.4% |
Q4 - 9:58 | Heat | Tyler Herro makes three point pullup jump shot | 83 8.6% | 94 91.4% |
Q4 - 10:02 | Heat | Caleb Martin defensive rebound | 83 14.4% | 91 85.6% |
Q4 - 10:07 | Jazz | Eric Paschall misses three point jump shot | 83 15.4% | 91 84.6% |
Q4 - 10:27 | Heat | Caleb Martin makes two point alley-oop layup (Kyle Lowry assists) | 83 17.7% | 91 82.3% |
Q4 - 10:35 | Jazz | Jordan Clarkson makes two point driving floating jump shot (Mike Conley assists) | 83 20.7% | 89 79.3% |
Q4 - 10:54 | Heat | Bam Adebayo turnover (out of bounds lost ball) | 81 17.7% | 89 82.3% |
Q4 - 10:57 | Heat | Caleb Martin defensive rebound | 81 14.3% | 89 85.7% |
Q4 - 11:01 | Jazz | Jordan Clarkson misses three point jump shot | 81 16.4% | 89 83.6% |
Q4 - 11:19 | Heat | Bam Adebayo makes two point pullup jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists) | 81 18.5% | 89 81.5% |
Q4 - 11:33 | Jazz | Eric Paschall makes three point jump shot (Joe Ingles assists) | 81 21.9% | 87 78.1% |
Q4 - 11:37 | Jazz | Mike Conley defensive rebound | 78 15.5% | 87 84.5% |
Q4 - 11:39 | Heat | Markieff Morris misses two point jump shot | 78 14.7% | 87 85.3% |
Q3 - 0:00.0 | End of 3rd Quarter. | 78 12.9% | 87 87.1% | |
Q3 - 0:05.5 | Heat | Tyler Herro makes three point pullup jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists) | 78 17.0% | 87 83.0% |
Q3 - 0:28.6 | Jazz | Mike Conley makes two point driving floating jump shot | 78 23.4% | 84 76.6% |
Q3 - 0:42.5 | Heat | Jimmy Butler makes two point stepback jump shot | 76 19.9% | 84 80.1% |
Q3 - 1:06 | Jazz | Eric Paschall makes regular free throw 2 of 2 | 76 24.6% | 82 75.4% |
Q3 - 1:06 | Jazz | Eric Paschall makes regular free throw 1 of 2 | 75 23.8% | 82 76.2% |
Q3 - 1:06 | Heat | Dewayne Dedmon shooting foul (Eric Paschall draws the foul) | 74 22.9% | 82 77.1% |
Q3 - 1:23 | Heat | Kyle Lowry makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists) | 74 21.5% | 82 78.5% |
Q3 - 1:34 | Heat | Heat offensive rebound | 74 28.2% | 79 71.8% |
Q3 - 1:34 | Heat | Rudy Gobert blocks Jimmy Butler's two point driving layup | 74 31.3% | 79 68.7% |
Q3 - 1:39 | Heat | Jimmy Butler defensive rebound | 74 28.2% | 79 71.8% |
Q3 - 1:42 | Jazz | Donovan Mitchell misses three point stepback jump shot | 74 29.6% | 79 70.4% |
Q3 - 2:06 | Heat | Jimmy Butler makes two point driving layup | 74 33.7% | 79 66.3% |
Q3 - 2:18 | Heat | Dewayne Dedmon defensive rebound | 74 37.5% | 77 62.5% |
Q3 - 2:21 | Jazz | Rudy Gobert misses regular free throw 2 of 2 | 74 38.1% | 77 61.9% |
Q3 - 2:21 | Jazz | Rudy Gobert misses regular free throw 1 of 2 | 74 40.4% | 77 59.6% |
Q3 - 2:21 | Heat | Caleb Martin personal foul (Rudy Gobert draws the foul) | 74 43.2% | 77 56.8% |
Q3 - 2:35 | Heat | Dewayne Dedmon makes regular free throw 1 of 1 | 74 42.2% | 77 57.8% |
Q3 - 2:35 | Jazz | Royce O'Neale shooting foul (Dewayne Dedmon draws the foul) | 74 43.0% | 76 57.0% |
Q3 - 2:50 | Jazz | Donovan Mitchell makes two point driving floating jump shot (Joe Ingles assists) | 74 50.7% | 74 49.3% |
Q3 - 2:58 | Jazz | Hassan Whiteside defensive rebound | 72 46.6% | 74 53.4% |
Q3 - 3:03 | Heat | Tyler Herro misses two point pullup jump shot | 72 45.8% | 74 54.2% |
Q3 - 3:27 | Jazz | Royce O'Neale makes three point jump shot (Bojan Bogdanovic assists) | 72 42.3% | 74 57.7% |
Q3 - 3:51 | Heat | Tyler Herro makes two point pullup jump shot | 69 34.7% | 74 65.3% |
Q3 - 3:58 | Heat | Tyler Herro defensive rebound | 69 38.1% | 72 61.9% |
Q3 - 4:04 | Jazz | Donovan Mitchell misses three point pullup jump shot | 69 40.4% | 72 59.6% |
Q3 - 4:07 | Jazz | Hassan Whiteside defensive rebound | 69 43.7% | 72 56.3% |
Q3 - 4:11 | Heat | Dewayne Dedmon misses two point hook shot | 69 42.2% | 72 57.8% |
Q3 - 4:32 | Jazz | Donovan Mitchell makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot | 69 38.9% | 72 61.1% |
Q3 - 4:53 | Heat | Tyler Herro turnover (bad pass) (Donovan Mitchell steals) | 67 35.7% | 72 64.3% |
Q3 - 5:17 | Jazz | Donovan Mitchell makes two point driving layup | 67 32.5% | 72 67.5% |
Q3 - 5:29 | Heat | Jimmy Butler makes two point cutting dunk (Bam Adebayo assists) | 65 29.3% | 72 70.7% |
Q3 - 5:47 | Jazz | Donovan Mitchell makes two point driving layup (Hassan Whiteside assists) | 65 32.4% | 70 67.6% |
Q3 - 6:03 | Heat | Jimmy Butler makes two point driving layup (Kyle Lowry assists) | 63 30.3% | 70 69.7% |
Q3 - 6:24 | Jazz | Donovan Mitchell makes two point driving layup | 63 33.3% | 68 66.7% |
Q3 - 6:39 | Heat | Bam Adebayo makes two point tip dunk | 61 30.3% | 68 69.7% |
Q3 - 6:39 | Heat | Bam Adebayo offensive rebound | 61 33.2% | 66 66.8% |
Q3 - 6:45 | Heat | Duncan Robinson misses three point jump shot | 61 35.9% | 66 64.1% |
Q3 - 7:01 | Jazz | Royce O'Neale makes two point running layup | 61 33.7% | 66 66.3% |
Q3 - 7:05 | Heat | Bam Adebayo turnover (bad pass) (Royce O'Neale steals) | 59 31.0% | 66 69.0% |
Q3 - 7:18 | Jazz | Donovan Mitchell makes regular free throw 2 of 2 | 59 27.4% | 66 72.6% |
Q3 - 7:18 | Jazz | Donovan Mitchell makes regular free throw 1 of 2 | 58 27.0% | 66 73.0% |
Q3 - 7:18 | Heat | Bam Adebayo personal foul (Donovan Mitchell draws the foul) | 57 26.5% | 66 73.5% |
Q3 - 7:22 | Heat | Jimmy Butler turnover (bad pass) (Royce O'Neale steals) | 57 24.9% | 66 75.1% |
Q3 - 7:35 | Heat | Kyle Lowry defensive rebound | 57 21.8% | 66 78.2% |
Q3 - 7:39 | Jazz | Royce O'Neale misses three point jump shot | 57 22.8% | 66 77.2% |
Q3 - 7:40 | Jazz | Bojan Bogdanovic defensive rebound | 57 24.9% | 66 75.1% |
Q3 - 7:45 | Heat | Jimmy Butler misses two point alley-oop dunk | 57 24.0% | 66 76.0% |
Q3 - 7:54 | Heat | Kyle Lowry defensive rebound | 57 21.8% | 66 78.2% |
Q3 - 7:57 | Jazz | Rudy Gobert misses two point dunk | 57 22.7% | 66 77.3% |
Q3 - 8:16 | Heat | Bam Adebayo makes two point jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists) | 57 25.6% | 66 74.4% |
Q3 - 8:35 | Jazz | Royce O'Neale makes three point jump shot (Bojan Bogdanovic assists) | 57 27.9% | 64 72.1% |
Q3 - 8:38 | Jazz | Rudy Gobert defensive rebound | 54 22.9% | 64 77.1% |
Q3 - 8:44 | Heat | Duncan Robinson misses three point jump shot | 54 22.0% | 64 78.0% |
Q3 - 8:48 | Heat | Duncan Robinson defensive rebound | 54 20.0% | 64 80.0% |
Q3 - 8:52 | Jazz | Donovan Mitchell misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot | 54 20.8% | 64 79.2% |
Q3 - 9:06 | Heat | Kyle Lowry personal foul (Take) (Bojan Bogdanovic draws the foul) | 54 23.6% | 64 76.4% |
Q3 - 9:15 | Heat | Jimmy Butler makes two point cutting layup (Bam Adebayo assists) | 54 23.6% | 64 76.4% |
Q3 - 9:24 | Heat | Heat defensive rebound | 54 25.9% | 62 74.1% |
Q3 - 9:27 | Jazz | Mike Conley misses three point pullup jump shot | 54 26.8% | 62 73.2% |
Q3 - 9:38 | Heat | Kyle Lowry personal foul (Loose ball) (Royce O'Neale draws the foul) | 54 29.0% | 62 71.0% |
Q3 - 9:38 | Jazz | Jazz offensive rebound | 54 29.0% | 62 71.0% |
Q3 - 9:40 | Jazz | Royce O'Neale misses two point driving layup | 54 26.8% | 62 73.2% |
Q3 - 9:46 | Jazz | Rudy Gobert defensive rebound | 54 29.0% | 62 71.0% |
Q3 - 9:54 | Heat | Bam Adebayo misses regular free throw 2 of 2 | 54 28.6% | 62 71.4% |
Q3 - 9:54 | Heat | Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 2 | 54 26.7% | 62 73.3% |
Q3 - 9:54 | Jazz | Mike Conley shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul) | 54 27.3% | 61 72.7% |
Q3 - 10:00 | Heat | Kyle Lowry defensive rebound | 54 28.7% | 61 71.3% |
Q3 - 10:03 | Jazz | Donovan Mitchell misses three point jump shot | 54 30.5% | 61 69.5% |
Q3 - 10:21 | Heat | P.J. Tucker makes two point cutting layup (Kyle Lowry assists) | 54 32.8% | 61 67.2% |
Q3 - 10:43 | Jazz | Rudy Gobert makes two point alley-oop dunk (Donovan Mitchell assists) | 54 35.5% | 59 64.5% |
Q3 - 10:55 | Heat | Jimmy Butler makes two point running layup (Kyle Lowry assists) | 52 32.8% | 59 67.2% |
Q3 - 10:57 | Heat | P.J. Tucker defensive rebound | 52 35.4% | 57 64.6% |
Q3 - 11:00 | Jazz | Bojan Bogdanovic misses two point driving layup | 52 36.5% | 57 63.5% |
Q3 - 11:14 | Heat | Bam Adebayo personal foul (Rudy Gobert draws the foul) | 52 39.5% | 57 60.5% |
Q3 - 11:27 | Heat | Kyle Lowry makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot | 52 39.5% | 57 60.5% |
Q3 - 11:35 | Heat | Kyle Lowry defensive rebound | 52 42.5% | 55 57.5% |
Q3 - 11:40 | Jazz | Donovan Mitchell misses two point turnaround jump shot | 52 43.6% | 55 56.4% |
Q3 - 11:42 | Heat | Duncan Robinson personal foul (Donovan Mitchell draws the foul) | 52 46.0% | 55 54.0% |
Q2 - 0:00.0 | End of 1st Half. | 52 46.0% | 55 54.0% | |
Q2 - 0:03.8 | Heat | Bam Adebayo turnover (out of bounds bad pass) | 52 46.1% | 55 53.9% |
Q2 - 0:26.1 | Jazz | Bojan Bogdanovic makes three point jump shot (Donovan Mitchell assists) | 52 43.6% | 55 56.4% |
Q2 - 0:33.0 | Jazz | Rudy Gobert defensive rebound | 49 36.6% | 55 63.4% |
Q2 - 0:37.3 | Heat | Kyle Lowry misses two point pullup jump shot | 49 35.9% | 55 64.1% |
Q2 - 0:46.2 | Heat | Jimmy Butler defensive rebound | 49 34.3% | 55 65.7% |
Q2 - 0:51.6 | Jazz | Donovan Mitchell misses three point jump shot | 49 35.0% | 55 65.0% |
Q2 - 1:00 | Heat | Duncan Robinson personal foul (Rudy Gobert draws the foul) | 49 36.6% | 55 63.4% |
Q2 - 1:11 | Heat | P.J. Tucker makes two point floating jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists) | 49 37.3% | 55 62.7% |
Q2 - 1:36 | Jazz | Rudy Gobert makes two point layup (Mike Conley assists) | 49 41.3% | 53 58.7% |
Q2 - 1:51 | Heat | P.J. Tucker makes regular free throw 2 of 2 | 47 37.2% | 53 62.8% |
Q2 - 1:51 | Heat | P.J. Tucker makes regular free throw 1 of 2 | 47 37.9% | 52 62.1% |
Q2 - 1:51 | Jazz | Donovan Mitchell personal foul (P.J. Tucker draws the foul) | 47 38.7% | 51 61.3% |
Q2 - 1:52 | Jazz | Donovan Mitchell turnover (bad pass) (Duncan Robinson steals) | 47 41.3% | 51 58.7% |
Q2 - 1:57 | Heat | Bam Adebayo turnover (bad pass) (Royce O'Neale steals) | 47 43.3% | 51 56.7% |
Q2 - 2:23 | Jazz | Royce O'Neale makes three point jump shot (Mike Conley assists) | 47 41.3% | 51 58.7% |
Q2 - 2:37 | Jazz | Rudy Gobert defensive rebound | 44 35.6% | 51 64.4% |
Q2 - 2:40 | Heat | Kyle Lowry misses three point pullup jump shot | 44 34.7% | 51 65.3% |
Q2 - 2:51 | Jazz | Donovan Mitchell makes two point jump shot | 44 32.8% | 51 67.2% |
Q2 - 3:12 | Heat | Jimmy Butler makes two point turnaround jump shot (Tyler Herro assists) | 42 31.4% | 51 68.6% |
Q2 - 3:35 | Jazz | Bojan Bogdanovic makes two point turnaround jump shot | 42 33.4% | 49 66.6% |
Q2 - 3:49 | Heat | Jimmy Butler makes two point driving floating jump shot | 40 31.4% | 49 68.6% |
Q2 - 4:02 | Heat | Heat defensive rebound | 40 34.5% | 47 65.5% |
Q2 - 4:03 | Jazz | Donovan Mitchell misses regular free throw 2 of 2 | 40 34.9% | 47 65.1% |
Q2 - 4:03 | Jazz | Donovan Mitchell makes regular free throw 1 of 2 | 40 36.8% | 47 63.2% |
Q2 - 4:03 | Heat | P.J. Tucker shooting foul (Donovan Mitchell draws the foul) | 39 36.4% | 47 63.6% |
Q2 - 4:08 | Jazz | Bojan Bogdanovic defensive rebound | 39 34.6% | 47 65.4% |
Q2 - 4:12 | Heat | Jimmy Butler misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot | 39 33.8% | 47 66.2% |
Q2 - 4:37 | Jazz | Bojan Bogdanovic makes three point jump shot (Donovan Mitchell assists) | 39 31.9% | 47 68.1% |
Q2 - 4:45 | Heat | Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 2 | 36 27.3% | 47 72.7% |
Q2 - 4:45 | Heat | Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 2 | 36 27.8% | 46 72.2% |
Q2 - 4:45 | Jazz | Hassan Whiteside shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul) | 36 28.3% | 45 71.7% |
Q2 - 5:14 | Jazz | Donovan Mitchell makes two point driving layup (Bojan Bogdanovic assists) | 36 29.7% | 45 70.3% |
Q2 - 5:33 | Heat | Bam Adebayo makes two point dunk (Tyler Herro assists) | 34 28.0% | 45 72.0% |
Q2 - 5:57 | Jazz | Royce O'Neale turnover (traveling) | 34 29.8% | 43 70.2% |
Q2 - 6:01 | Heat | Markieff Morris turnover (bad pass) (Donovan Mitchell steals) | 34 33.1% | 43 66.9% |
Q2 - 6:14 | Jazz | Jordan Clarkson technical foul (Double) | 34 30.2% | 43 69.8% |
Q2 - 6:14 | Heat | Kyle Lowry technical foul (Double) | 34 30.2% | 43 69.8% |
Q2 - 6:14 | Jazz | Jordan Clarkson personal foul (Loose ball) (Kyle Lowry draws the foul) | 34 30.2% | 43 69.8% |
Q2 - 6:14 | Heat | Heat defensive rebound | 34 30.2% | 43 69.8% |
Q2 - 6:15 | Jazz | Donovan Mitchell misses three point stepback jump shot | 34 31.1% | 43 68.9% |
Q2 - 6:27 | Jazz | Hassan Whiteside offensive rebound | 34 33.1% | 43 66.9% |
Q2 - 6:32 | Jazz | Donovan Mitchell misses three point jump shot | 34 31.0% | 43 69.0% |
Q2 - 6:38 | Jazz | Hassan Whiteside defensive rebound | 34 33.1% | 43 66.9% |
Q2 - 6:41 | Heat | Tyler Herro misses two point cutting layup | 34 32.2% | 43 67.8% |
Q2 - 6:51 | Jazz | Jordan Clarkson personal foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul) | 34 30.1% | 43 69.9% |
Q2 - 7:01 | Jazz | Jordan Clarkson makes two point driving floating jump shot | 34 31.3% | 43 68.7% |
Q2 - 7:26 | Heat | Kyle Lowry makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot | 32 29.1% | 43 70.9% |
Q2 - 7:32 | Heat | Bam Adebayo defensive rebound | 32 31.2% | 41 68.8% |
Q2 - 7:36 | Jazz | Jordan Clarkson misses three point jump shot | 32 31.9% | 41 68.1% |
Q2 - 7:48 | Heat | Caleb Martin makes two point tip dunk | 32 33.6% | 41 66.4% |
Q2 - 7:48 | Heat | Caleb Martin offensive rebound | 32 35.9% | 39 64.1% |
Q2 - 7:54 | Heat | Tyler Herro misses two point pullup jump shot | 32 37.7% | 39 62.3% |
Q2 - 8:04 | Heat | Kyle Lowry defensive rebound | 32 36.0% | 39 64.0% |
Q2 - 8:08 | Jazz | Jordan Clarkson misses three point jump shot | 32 36.8% | 39 63.2% |
Q2 - 8:19 | Heat | Tyler Herro makes three point jump shot | 32 38.6% | 39 61.4% |
Q2 - 8:24 | Heat | Bam Adebayo offensive rebound | 32 43.5% | 36 56.5% |
Q2 - 8:28 | Heat | Markieff Morris misses three point jump shot | 32 45.4% | 36 54.6% |
Q2 - 8:38 | Heat | Kyle Lowry defensive rebound | 32 43.5% | 36 56.5% |
Q2 - 8:41 | Jazz | Joe Ingles misses three point jump shot | 32 44.3% | 36 55.7% |
Q2 - 9:02 | Heat | Kyle Lowry makes three point pullup jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists) | 32 46.2% | 36 53.8% |
Q2 - 9:06 | Heat | Caleb Martin defensive rebound | 32 51.2% | 33 48.8% |
Q2 - 9:10 | Jazz | Eric Paschall misses three point jump shot | 32 52.0% | 33 48.0% |
Q2 - 9:18 | Heat | Bam Adebayo personal foul (Rudy Gobert draws the foul) | 32 53.9% | 33 46.1% |
Q2 - 9:34 | Heat | Bam Adebayo makes two point jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists) | 32 53.9% | 33 46.1% |
Q2 - 9:54 | Jazz | Mike Conley makes three point running pullup jump shot (Joe Ingles assists) | 32 56.3% | 31 43.7% |
Q2 - 9:55 | Jazz | Joe Ingles defensive rebound | 29 51.3% | 31 48.7% |
Q2 - 9:58 | Heat | Tyler Herro misses two point driving floating jump shot | 29 50.5% | 31 49.5% |
Q2 - 10:07 | Jazz | Jordan Clarkson turnover (out of bounds lost ball) | 29 48.9% | 31 51.1% |
Q2 - 10:22 | Heat | Tyler Herro makes two point stepback jump shot | 29 51.6% | 31 48.4% |
Q2 - 10:26 | Heat | Heat offensive rebound | 29 53.9% | 29 46.1% |
Q2 - 10:27 | Heat | Mike Conley blocks Tyler Herro's two point driving layup | 29 55.7% | 29 44.3% |
Q2 - 10:33 | Jazz | Jordan Clarkson personal foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul) | 29 53.9% | 29 46.1% |
Q2 - 10:37 | Jazz | Eric Paschall personal foul (Markieff Morris draws the foul) | 29 53.9% | 29 46.1% |
Q2 - 10:41 | Heat | Kyle Lowry defensive rebound | 29 53.9% | 29 46.1% |
Q2 - 10:45 | Jazz | Jordan Clarkson misses three point jump shot | 29 54.7% | 29 45.3% |
Q2 - 10:56 | Jazz | Mike Conley defensive rebound | 29 56.5% | 29 43.5% |
Q2 - 11:00 | Heat | Dewayne Dedmon misses two point jump shot | 29 55.7% | 29 44.3% |
Q2 - 11:13 | Jazz | Rudy Gobert makes two point cutting layup (Joe Ingles assists) | 29 54.2% | 29 45.8% |
Q2 - 11:36 | Heat | Markieff Morris makes two point pullup jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists) | 27 51.6% | 29 48.4% |
Q2 - 11:47 | Jazz | Mike Conley makes regular free throw 1 of 1 | 27 54.2% | 27 45.8% |
Q2 - 11:47 | Heat | Tyler Herro shooting foul (Mike Conley draws the foul) | 26 53.8% | 27 46.2% |
Q1 - 0:00.0 | End of 1st Quarter. | 24 49.1% | 27 50.9% | |
Q1 - 0:00.5 | Jazz | Rudy Gobert offensive rebound | 24 49.0% | 27 51.0% |
Q1 - 0:04.8 | Jazz | Eric Paschall misses three point jump shot | 24 47.6% | 27 52.4% |
Q1 - 0:27.5 | Heat | Caleb Martin makes two point jump shot (Markieff Morris assists) | 24 49.0% | 27 51.0% |
Q1 - 0:48.8 | Jazz | Mike Conley makes two point driving layup | 24 51.7% | 25 48.3% |
Q1 - 0:57.9 | Heat | Kyle Lowry makes two point tip layup | 22 49.0% | 25 51.0% |
Q1 - 0:59.3 | Heat | Kyle Lowry offensive rebound | 22 51.7% | 23 48.3% |
Q1 - 1:03 | Heat | Dewayne Dedmon misses two point reverse layup | 22 53.3% | 23 46.7% |
Q1 - 1:11 | Heat | Kyle Lowry offensive rebound | 22 51.9% | 23 48.1% |
Q1 - 1:11 | Heat | Tyler Herro misses three point pullup jump shot | 22 53.3% | 23 46.7% |
Q1 - 1:13 | Heat | Markieff Morris defensive rebound | 22 51.9% | 23 48.1% |
Q1 - 1:16 | Jazz | Jordan Clarkson misses two point driving layup | 22 52.5% | 23 47.5% |
Q1 - 1:25 | Heat | Markieff Morris turnover (lost ball) (Jordan Clarkson steals) | 22 53.9% | 23 46.1% |
Q1 - 1:40 | Jazz | Eric Paschall personal foul (Loose ball) (Jimmy Butler draws the foul) | 22 51.8% | 23 48.2% |
Q1 - 1:40 | Heat | Heat defensive rebound | 22 51.8% | 23 48.2% |
Q1 - 1:41 | Jazz | Joe Ingles misses three point stepback jump shot | 22 52.5% | 23 47.5% |
Q1 - 1:53 | Jazz | Eric Paschall defensive rebound | 22 53.9% | 23 46.1% |
Q1 - 1:55 | Heat | Jimmy Butler misses two point driving layup | 22 53.2% | 23 46.8% |
Q1 - 2:10 | Heat | Kyle Lowry defensive rebound | 22 51.8% | 23 48.2% |
Q1 - 2:14 | Jazz | Mike Conley misses three point stepback jump shot | 22 52.5% | 23 47.5% |
Q1 - 2:35 | Heat | Jimmy Butler makes two point pullup jump shot | 22 54.2% | 23 45.8% |
Q1 - 2:46 | Heat | Tyler Herro defensive rebound | 22 56.4% | 21 43.6% |
Q1 - 2:51 | Jazz | Donovan Mitchell misses three point pullup jump shot | 22 57.1% | 21 42.9% |
Q1 - 2:53 | Jazz | Hassan Whiteside defensive rebound | 22 58.6% | 21 41.4% |
Q1 - 2:57 | Heat | Duncan Robinson misses three point jump shot | 22 58.0% | 21 42.0% |
Q1 - 3:15 | Jazz | Donovan Mitchell makes two point driving finger roll layup | 22 55.9% | 21 44.1% |
Q1 - 3:26 | Heat | Tyler Herro makes two point driving layup | 20 54.1% | 21 45.9% |
Q1 - 3:43 | Jazz | Bojan Bogdanovic makes two point driving layup | 20 56.0% | 19 44.0% |
Q1 - 3:48 | Jazz | Bojan Bogdanovic defensive rebound | 18 54.1% | 19 45.9% |
Q1 - 3:51 | Heat | Dewayne Dedmon misses two point hook shot | 18 53.3% | 19 46.7% |
Q1 - 4:06 | Jazz | Donovan Mitchell makes three point stepback jump shot | 18 51.9% | 19 48.1% |
Q1 - 4:20 | Jazz | Jazz offensive rebound | 15 47.9% | 19 52.1% |
Q1 - 4:23 | Jazz | Joe Ingles misses three point jump shot | 15 46.2% | 19 53.8% |
Q1 - 4:33 | Heat | Tyler Herro turnover (out of bounds bad pass) | 15 47.9% | 19 52.1% |
Q1 - 4:46 | Jazz | Hassan Whiteside makes two point cutting dunk (Donovan Mitchell assists) | 15 45.4% | 19 54.6% |
Q1 - 4:57 | Heat | Tyler Herro makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists) | 13 43.6% | 19 56.4% |
Q1 - 5:10 | Jazz | Bojan Bogdanovic makes regular free throw 2 of 2 | 13 48.1% | 16 51.9% |
Q1 - 5:10 | Jazz | Bojan Bogdanovic makes regular free throw 1 of 2 | 12 47.9% | 16 52.1% |
Q1 - 5:10 | Heat | Tyler Herro shooting foul (Bojan Bogdanovic draws the foul) | 11 47.6% | 16 52.4% |
Q1 - 5:22 | Heat | Jimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 2 | 11 46.3% | 16 53.7% |
Q1 - 5:22 | Heat | Jimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 2 | 11 46.6% | 15 53.4% |
Q1 - 5:22 | Jazz | Hassan Whiteside shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul) | 11 46.9% | 14 53.1% |
Q1 - 5:34 | Jazz | Royce O'Neale turnover (bad pass) (Bam Adebayo steals) | 11 48.1% | 14 51.9% |
Q1 - 5:36 | Jazz | Royce O'Neale defensive rebound | 11 50.4% | 14 49.6% |
Q1 - 5:40 | Heat | Hassan Whiteside blocks Bam Adebayo's two point driving layup | 11 49.7% | 14 50.3% |
Q1 - 6:00 | Jazz | Hassan Whiteside makes two point cutting layup (Donovan Mitchell assists) | 11 48.1% | 14 51.9% |
Q1 - 6:14 | Heat | Bam Adebayo makes two point driving finger roll layup (Tyler Herro assists) | 9 46.5% | 14 53.5% |
Q1 - 6:28 | Jazz | Hassan Whiteside personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul) | 9 48.4% | 12 51.6% |
Q1 - 6:30 | Heat | P.J. Tucker offensive rebound | 9 48.4% | 12 51.6% |
Q1 - 6:34 | Heat | Duncan Robinson misses three point jump shot | 9 49.8% | 12 50.2% |
Q1 - 6:44 | Heat | Bam Adebayo defensive rebound | 9 48.4% | 12 51.6% |
Q1 - 6:49 | Jazz | Donovan Mitchell misses two point stepback jump shot | 9 49.0% | 12 51.0% |
Q1 - 6:57 | Jazz | Rudy Gobert offensive rebound | 9 50.4% | 12 49.6% |
Q1 - 6:57 | Jazz | Bojan Bogdanovic misses two point stepback jump shot | 9 49.0% | 12 51.0% |
Q1 - 7:07 | Jazz | Rudy Gobert defensive rebound | 9 50.8% | 12 49.2% |
Q1 - 7:13 | Heat | Kyle Lowry misses three point pullup jump shot | 9 50.2% | 12 49.8% |
Q1 - 7:18 | Heat | Bam Adebayo defensive rebound | 9 48.6% | 12 51.4% |
Q1 - 7:23 | Jazz | Mike Conley misses three point pullup jump shot | 9 49.3% | 12 50.7% |
Q1 - 7:51 | Heat | Duncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists) | 9 50.8% | 12 49.2% |
Q1 - 8:09 | Heat | Duncan Robinson defensive rebound | 9 54.8% | 9 45.2% |
Q1 - 8:09 | Jazz | Bojan Bogdanovic misses two point driving layup | 9 55.5% | 9 44.5% |
Q1 - 8:14 | Jazz | Rudy Gobert defensive rebound | 9 57.0% | 9 43.0% |
Q1 - 8:17 | Heat | Bam Adebayo misses two point pullup jump shot | 9 56.3% | 9 43.7% |
Q1 - 8:30 | Jazz | Royce O'Neale makes regular free throw 2 of 2 | 9 54.8% | 9 45.2% |
Q1 - 8:30 | Jazz | Royce O'Neale makes regular free throw 1 of 2 | 8 54.5% | 9 45.5% |
Q1 - 8:30 | Heat | Duncan Robinson shooting foul (Royce O'Neale draws the foul) | 7 54.1% | 9 45.9% |
Q1 - 8:40 | Heat | Jimmy Butler makes two point layup (P.J. Tucker assists) | 7 53.1% | 9 46.9% |
Q1 - 8:56 | Heat | P.J. Tucker defensive rebound | 7 54.8% | 7 45.2% |
Q1 - 8:58 | Jazz | Donovan Mitchell misses three point stepback jump shot | 7 55.4% | 7 44.6% |
Q1 - 9:25 | Heat | Kyle Lowry makes two point stepback jump shot | 7 56.8% | 7 43.2% |
Q1 - 9:36 | Heat | Jimmy Butler defensive rebound | 7 58.4% | 5 41.6% |
Q1 - 9:40 | Jazz | Bojan Bogdanovic misses three point jump shot | 7 59.0% | 5 41.0% |
Q1 - 9:58 | Heat | Kyle Lowry makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists) | 7 60.5% | 5 39.5% |
Q1 - 10:07 | Jazz | Royce O'Neale makes two point pullup jump shot | 7 63.5% | 2 36.5% |
Q1 - 10:22 | Heat | Duncan Robinson personal foul (Rudy Gobert draws the foul) | 5 62.0% | 2 38.0% |
Q1 - 10:34 | Jazz | Royce O'Neale defensive rebound | 5 62.0% | 2 38.0% |
Q1 - 10:38 | Heat | Bam Adebayo misses two point stepback jump shot | 5 61.4% | 2 38.6% |
Q1 - 11:01 | Jazz | Donovan Mitchell makes three point pullup jump shot | 5 59.9% | 2 40.1% |
Q1 - 11:07 | Heat | Bam Adebayo turnover (bad pass) (Royce O'Neale steals) | 2 56.7% | 2 43.3% |
Q1 - 11:19 | Jazz | Donovan Mitchell makes two point driving layup (Mike Conley assists) | 2 54.7% | 2 45.3% |
Q1 - 11:41 | Heat | Bam Adebayo makes two point jump shot (Duncan Robinson assists) | 0 53.1% | 2 46.9% |
Q1 - 12:00 | Rudy Gobert vs. Bam Adebayo (P.J. Tucker gains possession) | 0 54.7% | 0 45.3% |
SHOOTING
Scoring Efficiency
Scoring by Shot Type
Total Points
|PLAYER | PTS | TS% | TSM / TSA | |
---|---|---|---|---|
D. Mitchell | 37 | 60% | 18.5 / 31 | |
M. Conley | 18 | 82% | 9.0 / 11 | |
B. Bogdanovic | 16 | 62% | 8.0 / 13 | |
R. O'Neale | 15 | 83% | 7.5 / 9 | |
R. Gobert | 8 | 67% | 4.0 / 6 | |
J. Clarkson | 7 | 39% | 3.5 / 9 | |
H. Whiteside | 6 | 75% | 3.0 / 4 | |
E. Paschall | 5 | 50% | 2.5 / 5 | |
J. Ingles | 3 | 38% | 1.5 / 4 |
Total Points
|PLAYER | PTS | TS% | TSM / TSA | |
---|---|---|---|---|
T. Herro | 29 | 76% | 14.5 / 19 | |
J. Butler | 27 | 75% | 13.5 / 18 | |
K. Lowry | 20 | 83% | 10.0 / 12 | |
B. Adebayo | 17 | 61% | 8.5 / 14 | |
C. Martin | 9 | 75% | 4.5 / 6 | |
P. Tucker | 6 | 100% | 3.0 / 3 | |
M. Morris | 4 | 50% | 2.0 / 4 | |
D. Robinson | 3 | 30% | 1.5 / 5 | |
D. Dedmon | 3 | 30% | 1.5 / 5 |
MATCHUP
Scoring Opportunities
Scoring Efficiency
Reg Season Avg | Game Stats | |
---|---|---|
Efficiency & Pace | This Game | |
Efficiency | 116.7 113.3 | UTA 125.0 MIA 129.7 +4.7 |
Pace | 97.0 96.2 | UTA 95.0 +6.0 MIA 89.0 |
Avg. Poss. Time | 15.1 15.0 | UTA 15.2 +1.0 MIA 16.2 |
Four Factors | This Game | |
EFG % | 55.5% 54.7% | UTA 60.8% MIA 67.3% +6.5% |
TO % | 13.5% 14.2% | UTA 6.2% +7.9% MIA 14.1% |
ORB % | 25.4% 23.5% | UTA 19.4% MIA 22.6% +3.2% |
FTrt | 27.1 25.2 | UTA 22.9 +1.1 MIA 21.8 |
Misc. Stats | This Game | |
AST % | 55.2% 64.4% | UTA 60.5% MIA 63.8% +3.3% |
STL % | 7.3% 7.6% | UTA 10.9% +7.6% MIA 3.3% |
BLK % | 9.0% 7.1% | UTA 5.3% +2.7% MIA 2.6% |
Reg Season Avg | Game Stats | |
---|---|---|
Shooting Efficiency | This Game | |
TS% | 57.3% 56.8% | UTA 60.5% MIA 67.8% +7.3% |
Rim FG% | 64.9% 63.4% | UTA 80.0% +9.2% MIA 70.8% |
Mid FG% | 44.5% 41.4% | UTA 66.7% +9.1% MIA 57.6% |
3P % | 36.0% 37.9% | UTA 33.3% MIA 52.4% +19.1% |
FT % | 76.7% 80.8% | UTA 73.7% MIA 76.5% +2.8% |
Shot Distribution | This Game | |
Rim Att. % | 32.0% 30.6% | UTA 24.1% MIA 30.8% +6.7% |
Mid Att. % | 21.2% 27.1% | UTA 21.7% +20.6% MIA 42.3% |
3P Att. % | 46.8% 42.2% | UTA 54.2% +27.3% MIA 26.9% |
Game Totals | UTA | MIA |
---|---|---|
Possessions | 92 | 91 |
Possession Minutes | 23.2 | 24.5 |
Points | 115 | 118 |
Rebounds | 31 | 36 |
Assists | 26 | 30 |
Steals | 10 | 3 |
Blocks | 3 | 1 |
Turnovers (Team) | 6 (0) | 14 (0) |
Fouls | 19 | 18 |
Off. Rebounds (Team) | 7 (2) | 7 (3) |
Def. Rebounds (Team) | 24 (0) | 29 (5) |
Field Goals | 43-83 | 47-78 |
At-the-Rim FG | 16-20 | 17-24 |
Midrange FG | 12-18 | 19-33 |
2-Point FG | 28-38 | 36-57 |
3-Point FG | 15-45 | 11-21 |
Free Throws | 14-19 | 13-17 |
Fast Break Pts | 16 | 7 |
2nd Chance Pts | 9 | 21 |
Points in Paint | 52 | 48 |
Pts off Turnovers | 22 | 8 |
Bench Points | 21 | 45 |
Biggest Lead | 5 | 19 |
BOXSCORE
Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.
Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.
Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.
Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.