FinalWin Prob.pScore
154%110
115
846%109
118
ORTG#PossPace
UTA logo UTA
125.09295.0
MIA logo MIA
129.79189.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatJazzQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatJazzQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventUTAMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.115
0%
118
100%
Q4 - 0:04.8HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound115
0.4%
118
99.6%
Q4 - 0:08.8JazzDonovan Mitchell misses three point jump shot115
2.6%
118
97.4%
Q4 - 0:10.4HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 2115
6.8%
118
93.2%
Q4 - 0:10.4HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 2115
7.7%
117
92.3%
Q4 - 0:10.4JazzMike Conley personal foul (Take) (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)115
9.0%
116
91.0%
Q4 - 0:11.5JazzRudy Gobert makes two point dunk (Donovan Mitchell assists)115
16.1%
116
83.9%
Q4 - 0:17.6HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 2 of 2113
8.7%
116
91.3%
Q4 - 0:17.6HeatTyler Herro misses regular free throw 1 of 2113
9.9%
115
90.1%
Q4 - 0:17.6JazzDonovan Mitchell personal foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)113
4.6%
115
95.4%
Q4 - 0:19.8JazzMike Conley makes three point jump shot (Royce O'Neale assists)113
7.6%
115
92.4%
Q4 - 0:26.4JazzMike Conley offensive rebound110
2.4%
115
97.6%
Q4 - 0:30.4JazzCaleb Martin blocks Hassan Whiteside's two point layup110
1.4%
115
98.6%
Q4 - 0:31.0JazzHassan Whiteside offensive rebound110
2.7%
115
97.3%
Q4 - 0:35.1JazzDonovan Mitchell misses three point stepback jump shot110
1.3%
115
98.7%
Q4 - 0:42.9HeatJimmy Butler turnover (lost ball) (Mike Conley steals)110
4.9%
115
95.1%
Q4 - 1:01JazzDonovan Mitchell makes two point driving layup110
3.7%
115
96.3%
Q4 - 1:11HeatJimmy Butler makes two point pullup jump shot108
2.9%
115
97.1%
Q4 - 1:32JazzHassan Whiteside makes two point dunk (Mike Conley assists)108
6.6%
113
93.4%
Q4 - 1:44JazzBojan Bogdanovic defensive rebound106
5.0%
113
95.0%
Q4 - 1:47HeatJimmy Butler misses regular free throw 2 of 2106
4.8%
113
95.2%
Q4 - 1:47HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 2106
3.5%
113
96.5%
Q4 - 1:47JazzHassan Whiteside shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)106
3.8%
112
96.2%
Q4 - 1:58JazzDonovan Mitchell makes three point jump shot (Mike Conley assists)106
4.8%
112
95.2%
Q4 - 2:10JazzHassan Whiteside defensive rebound103
2.4%
112
97.6%
Q4 - 2:13HeatCaleb Martin misses two point cutting layup103
2.0%
112
98.0%
Q4 - 2:31JazzRoyce O'Neale personal foul (Loose ball) (Caleb Martin draws the foul)103
1.3%
112
98.7%
Q4 - 2:31HeatHeat defensive rebound103
1.3%
112
98.7%
Q4 - 2:31JazzMike Conley misses three point stepback jump shot103
1.6%
112
98.4%
Q4 - 2:44HeatJimmy Butler turnover (lost ball) (Royce O'Neale steals)103
2.4%
112
97.6%
Q4 - 2:59JazzDonovan Mitchell turnover (offensive foul)103
1.9%
112
98.1%
Q4 - 2:59JazzDonovan Mitchell offensive foul (Caleb Martin draws the foul)103
3.2%
112
96.8%
Q4 - 3:08JazzBojan Bogdanovic defensive rebound103
3.2%
112
96.8%
Q4 - 3:13HeatBam Adebayo misses two point jump shot103
2.7%
112
97.3%
Q4 - 3:29JazzMike Conley makes two point driving bank jump shot103
1.9%
112
98.1%
Q4 - 3:36JazzHassan Whiteside defensive rebound101
2.6%
112
97.4%
Q4 - 3:38HeatCaleb Martin misses three point jump shot101
2.3%
112
97.7%
Q4 - 4:00JazzBojan Bogdanovic makes regular free throw 2 of 2101
1.7%
112
98.3%
Q4 - 4:00JazzBojan Bogdanovic makes regular free throw 1 of 2100
1.6%
112
98.4%
Q4 - 4:00HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (Bojan Bogdanovic draws the foul)99
1.5%
112
98.5%
Q4 - 4:18HeatTyler Herro turnover (traveling)99
1.2%
112
98.8%
Q4 - 4:34JazzDonovan Mitchell makes three point jump shot (Bojan Bogdanovic assists)99
0.8%
112
99.2%
Q4 - 4:41JazzRoyce O'Neale offensive rebound96
0.4%
112
99.6%
Q4 - 4:45JazzBojan Bogdanovic misses three point jump shot96
0.3%
112
99.7%
Q4 - 4:53HeatKyle Lowry turnover (bad pass) (Royce O'Neale steals)96
0.4%
112
99.6%
Q4 - 4:59JazzMike Conley makes three point jump shot (Royce O'Neale assists)96
0.3%
112
99.7%
Q4 - 5:20HeatTyler Herro makes two point stepback jump shot93
0.3%
112
99.7%
Q4 - 5:37JazzBojan Bogdanovic makes two point turnaround jump shot93
0.4%
110
99.6%
Q4 - 5:52JazzRoyce O'Neale defensive rebound91
0.3%
110
99.7%
Q4 - 5:55HeatKyle Lowry misses regular free throw 2 of 291
0.3%
110
99.7%
Q4 - 5:55HeatKyle Lowry makes regular free throw 1 of 291
0.2%
110
99.8%
Q4 - 5:55JazzJordan Clarkson shooting foul (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)91
0.2%
109
99.8%
Q4 - 6:08HeatMarkieff Morris defensive rebound91
0.5%
109
99.5%
Q4 - 6:12JazzDonovan Mitchell misses three point pullup jump shot91
0.6%
109
99.4%
Q4 - 6:24HeatTyler Herro makes two point floating jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)91
0.7%
109
99.3%
Q4 - 6:29JazzHassan Whiteside personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)91
0.9%
107
99.1%
Q4 - 6:29HeatMarkieff Morris offensive rebound91
0.9%
107
99.1%
Q4 - 6:32HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot91
1.1%
107
98.9%
Q4 - 6:47HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound91
0.9%
107
99.1%
Q4 - 6:47JazzRoyce O'Neale misses regular free throw 2 of 291
0.9%
107
99.1%
Q4 - 6:47JazzRoyce O'Neale misses regular free throw 1 of 291
1.1%
107
98.9%
Q4 - 6:47HeatCaleb Martin shooting foul (Royce O'Neale draws the foul)91
1.4%
107
98.6%
Q4 - 6:47JazzRoyce O'Neale offensive rebound91
1.2%
107
98.8%
Q4 - 6:48JazzBojan Bogdanovic misses three point jump shot91
1.0%
107
99.0%
Q4 - 7:08HeatTyler Herro makes three point jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)91
1.8%
107
98.2%
Q4 - 7:10HeatHeat offensive rebound91
3.0%
104
97.0%
Q4 - 7:12HeatBam Adebayo misses two point turnaround bank jump shot91
3.6%
104
96.4%
Q4 - 7:26JazzDonovan Mitchell makes regular free throw 2 of 291
2.9%
104
97.1%
Q4 - 7:26JazzDonovan Mitchell makes regular free throw 1 of 290
2.8%
104
97.2%
Q4 - 7:26HeatCaleb Martin shooting foul (Donovan Mitchell draws the foul)89
2.7%
104
97.3%
Q4 - 7:39HeatTyler Herro makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)89
2.3%
104
97.7%
Q4 - 8:00JazzJordan Clarkson makes three point jump shot (Donovan Mitchell assists)89
3.7%
101
96.3%
Q4 - 8:20HeatCaleb Martin makes three point jump shot (Markieff Morris assists)86
2.9%
101
97.1%
Q4 - 8:44JazzRudy Gobert personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)86
4.6%
98
95.4%
Q4 - 8:44HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound86
4.6%
98
95.4%
Q4 - 8:46JazzJordan Clarkson misses three point jump shot86
4.9%
98
95.1%
Q4 - 9:03HeatKyle Lowry makes two point pullup jump shot (Markieff Morris assists)86
7.1%
98
92.9%
Q4 - 9:19JazzJoe Ingles makes three point jump shot (Mike Conley assists)86
8.5%
96
91.5%
Q4 - 9:26HeatMarkieff Morris makes two point running alley-oop layup (Kyle Lowry assists)83
5.6%
96
94.4%
Q4 - 9:32JazzRudy Gobert turnover (lost ball) (Kyle Lowry steals)83
6.8%
94
93.2%
Q4 - 9:48HeatKyle Lowry personal foul (Rudy Gobert draws the foul)83
8.6%
94
91.4%
Q4 - 9:58HeatTyler Herro makes three point pullup jump shot83
8.6%
94
91.4%
Q4 - 10:02HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound83
14.4%
91
85.6%
Q4 - 10:07JazzEric Paschall misses three point jump shot83
15.4%
91
84.6%
Q4 - 10:27HeatCaleb Martin makes two point alley-oop layup (Kyle Lowry assists)83
17.7%
91
82.3%
Q4 - 10:35JazzJordan Clarkson makes two point driving floating jump shot (Mike Conley assists)83
20.7%
89
79.3%
Q4 - 10:54HeatBam Adebayo turnover (out of bounds lost ball)81
17.7%
89
82.3%
Q4 - 10:57HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound81
14.3%
89
85.7%
Q4 - 11:01JazzJordan Clarkson misses three point jump shot81
16.4%
89
83.6%
Q4 - 11:19HeatBam Adebayo makes two point pullup jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)81
18.5%
89
81.5%
Q4 - 11:33JazzEric Paschall makes three point jump shot (Joe Ingles assists)81
21.9%
87
78.1%
Q4 - 11:37JazzMike Conley defensive rebound78
15.5%
87
84.5%
Q4 - 11:39HeatMarkieff Morris misses two point jump shot78
14.7%
87
85.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.78
12.9%
87
87.1%
Q3 - 0:05.5HeatTyler Herro makes three point pullup jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)78
17.0%
87
83.0%
Q3 - 0:28.6JazzMike Conley makes two point driving floating jump shot78
23.4%
84
76.6%
Q3 - 0:42.5HeatJimmy Butler makes two point stepback jump shot76
19.9%
84
80.1%
Q3 - 1:06JazzEric Paschall makes regular free throw 2 of 276
24.6%
82
75.4%
Q3 - 1:06JazzEric Paschall makes regular free throw 1 of 275
23.8%
82
76.2%
Q3 - 1:06HeatDewayne Dedmon shooting foul (Eric Paschall draws the foul)74
22.9%
82
77.1%
Q3 - 1:23HeatKyle Lowry makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)74
21.5%
82
78.5%
Q3 - 1:34HeatHeat offensive rebound74
28.2%
79
71.8%
Q3 - 1:34HeatRudy Gobert blocks Jimmy Butler's two point driving layup74
31.3%
79
68.7%
Q3 - 1:39HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound74
28.2%
79
71.8%
Q3 - 1:42JazzDonovan Mitchell misses three point stepback jump shot74
29.6%
79
70.4%
Q3 - 2:06HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving layup74
33.7%
79
66.3%
Q3 - 2:18HeatDewayne Dedmon defensive rebound74
37.5%
77
62.5%
Q3 - 2:21JazzRudy Gobert misses regular free throw 2 of 274
38.1%
77
61.9%
Q3 - 2:21JazzRudy Gobert misses regular free throw 1 of 274
40.4%
77
59.6%
Q3 - 2:21HeatCaleb Martin personal foul (Rudy Gobert draws the foul)74
43.2%
77
56.8%
Q3 - 2:35HeatDewayne Dedmon makes regular free throw 1 of 174
42.2%
77
57.8%
Q3 - 2:35JazzRoyce O'Neale shooting foul (Dewayne Dedmon draws the foul)74
43.0%
76
57.0%
Q3 - 2:50JazzDonovan Mitchell makes two point driving floating jump shot (Joe Ingles assists)74
50.7%
74
49.3%
Q3 - 2:58JazzHassan Whiteside defensive rebound72
46.6%
74
53.4%
Q3 - 3:03HeatTyler Herro misses two point pullup jump shot72
45.8%
74
54.2%
Q3 - 3:27JazzRoyce O'Neale makes three point jump shot (Bojan Bogdanovic assists)72
42.3%
74
57.7%
Q3 - 3:51HeatTyler Herro makes two point pullup jump shot69
34.7%
74
65.3%
Q3 - 3:58HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound69
38.1%
72
61.9%
Q3 - 4:04JazzDonovan Mitchell misses three point pullup jump shot69
40.4%
72
59.6%
Q3 - 4:07JazzHassan Whiteside defensive rebound69
43.7%
72
56.3%
Q3 - 4:11HeatDewayne Dedmon misses two point hook shot69
42.2%
72
57.8%
Q3 - 4:32JazzDonovan Mitchell makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot69
38.9%
72
61.1%
Q3 - 4:53HeatTyler Herro turnover (bad pass) (Donovan Mitchell steals)67
35.7%
72
64.3%
Q3 - 5:17JazzDonovan Mitchell makes two point driving layup67
32.5%
72
67.5%
Q3 - 5:29HeatJimmy Butler makes two point cutting dunk (Bam Adebayo assists)65
29.3%
72
70.7%
Q3 - 5:47JazzDonovan Mitchell makes two point driving layup (Hassan Whiteside assists)65
32.4%
70
67.6%
Q3 - 6:03HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving layup (Kyle Lowry assists)63
30.3%
70
69.7%
Q3 - 6:24JazzDonovan Mitchell makes two point driving layup63
33.3%
68
66.7%
Q3 - 6:39HeatBam Adebayo makes two point tip dunk61
30.3%
68
69.7%
Q3 - 6:39HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound61
33.2%
66
66.8%
Q3 - 6:45HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot61
35.9%
66
64.1%
Q3 - 7:01JazzRoyce O'Neale makes two point running layup61
33.7%
66
66.3%
Q3 - 7:05HeatBam Adebayo turnover (bad pass) (Royce O'Neale steals)59
31.0%
66
69.0%
Q3 - 7:18JazzDonovan Mitchell makes regular free throw 2 of 259
27.4%
66
72.6%
Q3 - 7:18JazzDonovan Mitchell makes regular free throw 1 of 258
27.0%
66
73.0%
Q3 - 7:18HeatBam Adebayo personal foul (Donovan Mitchell draws the foul)57
26.5%
66
73.5%
Q3 - 7:22HeatJimmy Butler turnover (bad pass) (Royce O'Neale steals)57
24.9%
66
75.1%
Q3 - 7:35HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound57
21.8%
66
78.2%
Q3 - 7:39JazzRoyce O'Neale misses three point jump shot57
22.8%
66
77.2%
Q3 - 7:40JazzBojan Bogdanovic defensive rebound57
24.9%
66
75.1%
Q3 - 7:45HeatJimmy Butler misses two point alley-oop dunk57
24.0%
66
76.0%
Q3 - 7:54HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound57
21.8%
66
78.2%
Q3 - 7:57JazzRudy Gobert misses two point dunk57
22.7%
66
77.3%
Q3 - 8:16HeatBam Adebayo makes two point jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)57
25.6%
66
74.4%
Q3 - 8:35JazzRoyce O'Neale makes three point jump shot (Bojan Bogdanovic assists)57
27.9%
64
72.1%
Q3 - 8:38JazzRudy Gobert defensive rebound54
22.9%
64
77.1%
Q3 - 8:44HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot54
22.0%
64
78.0%
Q3 - 8:48HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound54
20.0%
64
80.0%
Q3 - 8:52JazzDonovan Mitchell misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot54
20.8%
64
79.2%
Q3 - 9:06HeatKyle Lowry personal foul (Take) (Bojan Bogdanovic draws the foul)54
23.6%
64
76.4%
Q3 - 9:15HeatJimmy Butler makes two point cutting layup (Bam Adebayo assists)54
23.6%
64
76.4%
Q3 - 9:24HeatHeat defensive rebound54
25.9%
62
74.1%
Q3 - 9:27JazzMike Conley misses three point pullup jump shot54
26.8%
62
73.2%
Q3 - 9:38HeatKyle Lowry personal foul (Loose ball) (Royce O'Neale draws the foul)54
29.0%
62
71.0%
Q3 - 9:38JazzJazz offensive rebound54
29.0%
62
71.0%
Q3 - 9:40JazzRoyce O'Neale misses two point driving layup54
26.8%
62
73.2%
Q3 - 9:46JazzRudy Gobert defensive rebound54
29.0%
62
71.0%
Q3 - 9:54HeatBam Adebayo misses regular free throw 2 of 254
28.6%
62
71.4%
Q3 - 9:54HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 254
26.7%
62
73.3%
Q3 - 9:54JazzMike Conley shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)54
27.3%
61
72.7%
Q3 - 10:00HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound54
28.7%
61
71.3%
Q3 - 10:03JazzDonovan Mitchell misses three point jump shot54
30.5%
61
69.5%
Q3 - 10:21HeatP.J. Tucker makes two point cutting layup (Kyle Lowry assists)54
32.8%
61
67.2%
Q3 - 10:43JazzRudy Gobert makes two point alley-oop dunk (Donovan Mitchell assists)54
35.5%
59
64.5%
Q3 - 10:55HeatJimmy Butler makes two point running layup (Kyle Lowry assists)52
32.8%
59
67.2%
Q3 - 10:57HeatP.J. Tucker defensive rebound52
35.4%
57
64.6%
Q3 - 11:00JazzBojan Bogdanovic misses two point driving layup52
36.5%
57
63.5%
Q3 - 11:14HeatBam Adebayo personal foul (Rudy Gobert draws the foul)52
39.5%
57
60.5%
Q3 - 11:27HeatKyle Lowry makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot52
39.5%
57
60.5%
Q3 - 11:35HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound52
42.5%
55
57.5%
Q3 - 11:40JazzDonovan Mitchell misses two point turnaround jump shot52
43.6%
55
56.4%
Q3 - 11:42HeatDuncan Robinson personal foul (Donovan Mitchell draws the foul)52
46.0%
55
54.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.52
46.0%
55
54.0%
Q2 - 0:03.8HeatBam Adebayo turnover (out of bounds bad pass)52
46.1%
55
53.9%
Q2 - 0:26.1JazzBojan Bogdanovic makes three point jump shot (Donovan Mitchell assists)52
43.6%
55
56.4%
Q2 - 0:33.0JazzRudy Gobert defensive rebound49
36.6%
55
63.4%
Q2 - 0:37.3HeatKyle Lowry misses two point pullup jump shot49
35.9%
55
64.1%
Q2 - 0:46.2HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound49
34.3%
55
65.7%
Q2 - 0:51.6JazzDonovan Mitchell misses three point jump shot49
35.0%
55
65.0%
Q2 - 1:00HeatDuncan Robinson personal foul (Rudy Gobert draws the foul)49
36.6%
55
63.4%
Q2 - 1:11HeatP.J. Tucker makes two point floating jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)49
37.3%
55
62.7%
Q2 - 1:36JazzRudy Gobert makes two point layup (Mike Conley assists)49
41.3%
53
58.7%
Q2 - 1:51HeatP.J. Tucker makes regular free throw 2 of 247
37.2%
53
62.8%
Q2 - 1:51HeatP.J. Tucker makes regular free throw 1 of 247
37.9%
52
62.1%
Q2 - 1:51JazzDonovan Mitchell personal foul (P.J. Tucker draws the foul)47
38.7%
51
61.3%
Q2 - 1:52JazzDonovan Mitchell turnover (bad pass) (Duncan Robinson steals)47
41.3%
51
58.7%
Q2 - 1:57HeatBam Adebayo turnover (bad pass) (Royce O'Neale steals)47
43.3%
51
56.7%
Q2 - 2:23JazzRoyce O'Neale makes three point jump shot (Mike Conley assists)47
41.3%
51
58.7%
Q2 - 2:37JazzRudy Gobert defensive rebound44
35.6%
51
64.4%
Q2 - 2:40HeatKyle Lowry misses three point pullup jump shot44
34.7%
51
65.3%
Q2 - 2:51JazzDonovan Mitchell makes two point jump shot44
32.8%
51
67.2%
Q2 - 3:12HeatJimmy Butler makes two point turnaround jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)42
31.4%
51
68.6%
Q2 - 3:35JazzBojan Bogdanovic makes two point turnaround jump shot42
33.4%
49
66.6%
Q2 - 3:49HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving floating jump shot40
31.4%
49
68.6%
Q2 - 4:02HeatHeat defensive rebound40
34.5%
47
65.5%
Q2 - 4:03JazzDonovan Mitchell misses regular free throw 2 of 240
34.9%
47
65.1%
Q2 - 4:03JazzDonovan Mitchell makes regular free throw 1 of 240
36.8%
47
63.2%
Q2 - 4:03HeatP.J. Tucker shooting foul (Donovan Mitchell draws the foul)39
36.4%
47
63.6%
Q2 - 4:08JazzBojan Bogdanovic defensive rebound39
34.6%
47
65.4%
Q2 - 4:12HeatJimmy Butler misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot39
33.8%
47
66.2%
Q2 - 4:37JazzBojan Bogdanovic makes three point jump shot (Donovan Mitchell assists)39
31.9%
47
68.1%
Q2 - 4:45HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 236
27.3%
47
72.7%
Q2 - 4:45HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 236
27.8%
46
72.2%
Q2 - 4:45JazzHassan Whiteside shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)36
28.3%
45
71.7%
Q2 - 5:14JazzDonovan Mitchell makes two point driving layup (Bojan Bogdanovic assists)36
29.7%
45
70.3%
Q2 - 5:33HeatBam Adebayo makes two point dunk (Tyler Herro assists)34
28.0%
45
72.0%
Q2 - 5:57JazzRoyce O'Neale turnover (traveling)34
29.8%
43
70.2%
Q2 - 6:01HeatMarkieff Morris turnover (bad pass) (Donovan Mitchell steals)34
33.1%
43
66.9%
Q2 - 6:14JazzJordan Clarkson technical foul (Double)34
30.2%
43
69.8%
Q2 - 6:14HeatKyle Lowry technical foul (Double)34
30.2%
43
69.8%
Q2 - 6:14JazzJordan Clarkson personal foul (Loose ball) (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)34
30.2%
43
69.8%
Q2 - 6:14HeatHeat defensive rebound34
30.2%
43
69.8%
Q2 - 6:15JazzDonovan Mitchell misses three point stepback jump shot34
31.1%
43
68.9%
Q2 - 6:27JazzHassan Whiteside offensive rebound34
33.1%
43
66.9%
Q2 - 6:32JazzDonovan Mitchell misses three point jump shot34
31.0%
43
69.0%
Q2 - 6:38JazzHassan Whiteside defensive rebound34
33.1%
43
66.9%
Q2 - 6:41HeatTyler Herro misses two point cutting layup34
32.2%
43
67.8%
Q2 - 6:51JazzJordan Clarkson personal foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)34
30.1%
43
69.9%
Q2 - 7:01JazzJordan Clarkson makes two point driving floating jump shot34
31.3%
43
68.7%
Q2 - 7:26HeatKyle Lowry makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot32
29.1%
43
70.9%
Q2 - 7:32HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound32
31.2%
41
68.8%
Q2 - 7:36JazzJordan Clarkson misses three point jump shot32
31.9%
41
68.1%
Q2 - 7:48HeatCaleb Martin makes two point tip dunk32
33.6%
41
66.4%
Q2 - 7:48HeatCaleb Martin offensive rebound32
35.9%
39
64.1%
Q2 - 7:54HeatTyler Herro misses two point pullup jump shot32
37.7%
39
62.3%
Q2 - 8:04HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound32
36.0%
39
64.0%
Q2 - 8:08JazzJordan Clarkson misses three point jump shot32
36.8%
39
63.2%
Q2 - 8:19HeatTyler Herro makes three point jump shot32
38.6%
39
61.4%
Q2 - 8:24HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound32
43.5%
36
56.5%
Q2 - 8:28HeatMarkieff Morris misses three point jump shot32
45.4%
36
54.6%
Q2 - 8:38HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound32
43.5%
36
56.5%
Q2 - 8:41JazzJoe Ingles misses three point jump shot32
44.3%
36
55.7%
Q2 - 9:02HeatKyle Lowry makes three point pullup jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)32
46.2%
36
53.8%
Q2 - 9:06HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound32
51.2%
33
48.8%
Q2 - 9:10JazzEric Paschall misses three point jump shot32
52.0%
33
48.0%
Q2 - 9:18HeatBam Adebayo personal foul (Rudy Gobert draws the foul)32
53.9%
33
46.1%
Q2 - 9:34HeatBam Adebayo makes two point jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)32
53.9%
33
46.1%
Q2 - 9:54JazzMike Conley makes three point running pullup jump shot (Joe Ingles assists)32
56.3%
31
43.7%
Q2 - 9:55JazzJoe Ingles defensive rebound29
51.3%
31
48.7%
Q2 - 9:58HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving floating jump shot29
50.5%
31
49.5%
Q2 - 10:07JazzJordan Clarkson turnover (out of bounds lost ball)29
48.9%
31
51.1%
Q2 - 10:22HeatTyler Herro makes two point stepback jump shot29
51.6%
31
48.4%
Q2 - 10:26HeatHeat offensive rebound29
53.9%
29
46.1%
Q2 - 10:27HeatMike Conley blocks Tyler Herro's two point driving layup29
55.7%
29
44.3%
Q2 - 10:33JazzJordan Clarkson personal foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)29
53.9%
29
46.1%
Q2 - 10:37JazzEric Paschall personal foul (Markieff Morris draws the foul)29
53.9%
29
46.1%
Q2 - 10:41HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound29
53.9%
29
46.1%
Q2 - 10:45JazzJordan Clarkson misses three point jump shot29
54.7%
29
45.3%
Q2 - 10:56JazzMike Conley defensive rebound29
56.5%
29
43.5%
Q2 - 11:00HeatDewayne Dedmon misses two point jump shot29
55.7%
29
44.3%
Q2 - 11:13JazzRudy Gobert makes two point cutting layup (Joe Ingles assists)29
54.2%
29
45.8%
Q2 - 11:36HeatMarkieff Morris makes two point pullup jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)27
51.6%
29
48.4%
Q2 - 11:47JazzMike Conley makes regular free throw 1 of 127
54.2%
27
45.8%
Q2 - 11:47HeatTyler Herro shooting foul (Mike Conley draws the foul)26
53.8%
27
46.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.24
49.1%
27
50.9%
Q1 - 0:00.5JazzRudy Gobert offensive rebound24
49.0%
27
51.0%
Q1 - 0:04.8JazzEric Paschall misses three point jump shot24
47.6%
27
52.4%
Q1 - 0:27.5HeatCaleb Martin makes two point jump shot (Markieff Morris assists)24
49.0%
27
51.0%
Q1 - 0:48.8JazzMike Conley makes two point driving layup24
51.7%
25
48.3%
Q1 - 0:57.9HeatKyle Lowry makes two point tip layup22
49.0%
25
51.0%
Q1 - 0:59.3HeatKyle Lowry offensive rebound22
51.7%
23
48.3%
Q1 - 1:03HeatDewayne Dedmon misses two point reverse layup22
53.3%
23
46.7%
Q1 - 1:11HeatKyle Lowry offensive rebound22
51.9%
23
48.1%
Q1 - 1:11HeatTyler Herro misses three point pullup jump shot22
53.3%
23
46.7%
Q1 - 1:13HeatMarkieff Morris defensive rebound22
51.9%
23
48.1%
Q1 - 1:16JazzJordan Clarkson misses two point driving layup22
52.5%
23
47.5%
Q1 - 1:25HeatMarkieff Morris turnover (lost ball) (Jordan Clarkson steals)22
53.9%
23
46.1%
Q1 - 1:40JazzEric Paschall personal foul (Loose ball) (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)22
51.8%
23
48.2%
Q1 - 1:40HeatHeat defensive rebound22
51.8%
23
48.2%
Q1 - 1:41JazzJoe Ingles misses three point stepback jump shot22
52.5%
23
47.5%
Q1 - 1:53JazzEric Paschall defensive rebound22
53.9%
23
46.1%
Q1 - 1:55HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving layup22
53.2%
23
46.8%
Q1 - 2:10HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound22
51.8%
23
48.2%
Q1 - 2:14JazzMike Conley misses three point stepback jump shot22
52.5%
23
47.5%
Q1 - 2:35HeatJimmy Butler makes two point pullup jump shot22
54.2%
23
45.8%
Q1 - 2:46HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound22
56.4%
21
43.6%
Q1 - 2:51JazzDonovan Mitchell misses three point pullup jump shot22
57.1%
21
42.9%
Q1 - 2:53JazzHassan Whiteside defensive rebound22
58.6%
21
41.4%
Q1 - 2:57HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot22
58.0%
21
42.0%
Q1 - 3:15JazzDonovan Mitchell makes two point driving finger roll layup22
55.9%
21
44.1%
Q1 - 3:26HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving layup20
54.1%
21
45.9%
Q1 - 3:43JazzBojan Bogdanovic makes two point driving layup20
56.0%
19
44.0%
Q1 - 3:48JazzBojan Bogdanovic defensive rebound18
54.1%
19
45.9%
Q1 - 3:51HeatDewayne Dedmon misses two point hook shot18
53.3%
19
46.7%
Q1 - 4:06JazzDonovan Mitchell makes three point stepback jump shot18
51.9%
19
48.1%
Q1 - 4:20JazzJazz offensive rebound15
47.9%
19
52.1%
Q1 - 4:23JazzJoe Ingles misses three point jump shot15
46.2%
19
53.8%
Q1 - 4:33HeatTyler Herro turnover (out of bounds bad pass)15
47.9%
19
52.1%
Q1 - 4:46JazzHassan Whiteside makes two point cutting dunk (Donovan Mitchell assists)15
45.4%
19
54.6%
Q1 - 4:57HeatTyler Herro makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)13
43.6%
19
56.4%
Q1 - 5:10JazzBojan Bogdanovic makes regular free throw 2 of 213
48.1%
16
51.9%
Q1 - 5:10JazzBojan Bogdanovic makes regular free throw 1 of 212
47.9%
16
52.1%
Q1 - 5:10HeatTyler Herro shooting foul (Bojan Bogdanovic draws the foul)11
47.6%
16
52.4%
Q1 - 5:22HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 211
46.3%
16
53.7%
Q1 - 5:22HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 211
46.6%
15
53.4%
Q1 - 5:22JazzHassan Whiteside shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)11
46.9%
14
53.1%
Q1 - 5:34JazzRoyce O'Neale turnover (bad pass) (Bam Adebayo steals)11
48.1%
14
51.9%
Q1 - 5:36JazzRoyce O'Neale defensive rebound11
50.4%
14
49.6%
Q1 - 5:40HeatHassan Whiteside blocks Bam Adebayo's two point driving layup11
49.7%
14
50.3%
Q1 - 6:00JazzHassan Whiteside makes two point cutting layup (Donovan Mitchell assists)11
48.1%
14
51.9%
Q1 - 6:14HeatBam Adebayo makes two point driving finger roll layup (Tyler Herro assists)9
46.5%
14
53.5%
Q1 - 6:28JazzHassan Whiteside personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)9
48.4%
12
51.6%
Q1 - 6:30HeatP.J. Tucker offensive rebound9
48.4%
12
51.6%
Q1 - 6:34HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot9
49.8%
12
50.2%
Q1 - 6:44HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound9
48.4%
12
51.6%
Q1 - 6:49JazzDonovan Mitchell misses two point stepback jump shot9
49.0%
12
51.0%
Q1 - 6:57JazzRudy Gobert offensive rebound9
50.4%
12
49.6%
Q1 - 6:57JazzBojan Bogdanovic misses two point stepback jump shot9
49.0%
12
51.0%
Q1 - 7:07JazzRudy Gobert defensive rebound9
50.8%
12
49.2%
Q1 - 7:13HeatKyle Lowry misses three point pullup jump shot9
50.2%
12
49.8%
Q1 - 7:18HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound9
48.6%
12
51.4%
Q1 - 7:23JazzMike Conley misses three point pullup jump shot9
49.3%
12
50.7%
Q1 - 7:51HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)9
50.8%
12
49.2%
Q1 - 8:09HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound9
54.8%
9
45.2%
Q1 - 8:09JazzBojan Bogdanovic misses two point driving layup9
55.5%
9
44.5%
Q1 - 8:14JazzRudy Gobert defensive rebound9
57.0%
9
43.0%
Q1 - 8:17HeatBam Adebayo misses two point pullup jump shot9
56.3%
9
43.7%
Q1 - 8:30JazzRoyce O'Neale makes regular free throw 2 of 29
54.8%
9
45.2%
Q1 - 8:30JazzRoyce O'Neale makes regular free throw 1 of 28
54.5%
9
45.5%
Q1 - 8:30HeatDuncan Robinson shooting foul (Royce O'Neale draws the foul)7
54.1%
9
45.9%
Q1 - 8:40HeatJimmy Butler makes two point layup (P.J. Tucker assists)7
53.1%
9
46.9%
Q1 - 8:56HeatP.J. Tucker defensive rebound7
54.8%
7
45.2%
Q1 - 8:58JazzDonovan Mitchell misses three point stepback jump shot7
55.4%
7
44.6%
Q1 - 9:25HeatKyle Lowry makes two point stepback jump shot7
56.8%
7
43.2%
Q1 - 9:36HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound7
58.4%
5
41.6%
Q1 - 9:40JazzBojan Bogdanovic misses three point jump shot7
59.0%
5
41.0%
Q1 - 9:58HeatKyle Lowry makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)7
60.5%
5
39.5%
Q1 - 10:07JazzRoyce O'Neale makes two point pullup jump shot7
63.5%
2
36.5%
Q1 - 10:22HeatDuncan Robinson personal foul (Rudy Gobert draws the foul)5
62.0%
2
38.0%
Q1 - 10:34JazzRoyce O'Neale defensive rebound5
62.0%
2
38.0%
Q1 - 10:38HeatBam Adebayo misses two point stepback jump shot5
61.4%
2
38.6%
Q1 - 11:01JazzDonovan Mitchell makes three point pullup jump shot5
59.9%
2
40.1%
Q1 - 11:07HeatBam Adebayo turnover (bad pass) (Royce O'Neale steals)2
56.7%
2
43.3%
Q1 - 11:19JazzDonovan Mitchell makes two point driving layup (Mike Conley assists)2
54.7%
2
45.3%
Q1 - 11:41HeatBam Adebayo makes two point jump shot (Duncan Robinson assists)0
53.1%
2
46.9%
Q1 - 12:00Rudy Gobert vs. Bam Adebayo (P.J. Tucker gains possession)0
54.7%
0
45.3%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

UTA
1.21 60.5%
MIA
1.36 67.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
UTA
16
20
80%
MIA
17
24
71%
Midrange
UTA
12
18
67%
MIA
19
33
58%
3PT | Effective 3PT
UTA
15
22.5
45
33%
50%
MIA
11
16.5
21
52%
79%
Free Throws
UTA
14
19
74%
MIA
13
17
76%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
UTA logo Jazz
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Mitchell3760%18.5 / 31
M. Conley1882%9.0 / 11
B. Bogdanovic1662%8.0 / 13
R. O'Neale1583%7.5 / 9
R. Gobert867%4.0 / 6
J. Clarkson739%3.5 / 9
H. Whiteside675%3.0 / 4
E. Paschall550%2.5 / 5
J. Ingles338%1.5 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Herro2976%14.5 / 19
J. Butler2775%13.5 / 18
K. Lowry2083%10.0 / 12
B. Adebayo1761%8.5 / 14
C. Martin975%4.5 / 6
P. Tucker6100%3.0 / 3
M. Morris450%2.0 / 4
D. Robinson330%1.5 / 5
D. Dedmon330%1.5 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

UTA
86
+9
-6
95
MIA
77
+10
-14
87
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

UTA
1.21 60.5%
MIA
1.36 67.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
116.7
113.3
UTA 125.0
MIA 129.7 +4.7
Pace
97.0
96.2
UTA 95.0 +6.0
MIA 89.0
Avg. Poss. Time
15.1
15.0
UTA 15.2 +1.0
MIA 16.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
55.5%
54.7%
UTA 60.8%
MIA 67.3% +6.5%
TO %
13.5%
14.2%
UTA 6.2% +7.9%
MIA 14.1%
ORB %
25.4%
23.5%
UTA 19.4%
MIA 22.6% +3.2%
FTrt
27.1
25.2
UTA 22.9 +1.1
MIA 21.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
55.2%
64.4%
UTA 60.5%
MIA 63.8% +3.3%
STL %
7.3%
7.6%
UTA 10.9% +7.6%
MIA 3.3%
BLK %
9.0%
7.1%
UTA 5.3% +2.7%
MIA 2.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
57.3%
56.8%
UTA 60.5%
MIA 67.8% +7.3%
Rim FG%
64.9%
63.4%
UTA 80.0% +9.2%
MIA 70.8%
Mid FG%
44.5%
41.4%
UTA 66.7% +9.1%
MIA 57.6%
3P %
36.0%
37.9%
UTA 33.3%
MIA 52.4% +19.1%
FT %
76.7%
80.8%
UTA 73.7%
MIA 76.5% +2.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
32.0%
30.6%
UTA 24.1%
MIA 30.8% +6.7%
Mid Att. %
21.2%
27.1%
UTA 21.7% +20.6%
MIA 42.3%
3P Att. %
46.8%
42.2%
UTA 54.2% +27.3%
MIA 26.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsUTAMIA
Possessions9291
Possession Minutes23.224.5
Points115118
Rebounds3136
Assists2630
Steals103
Blocks31
Turnovers (Team)6 (0)14 (0)
Fouls1918
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (2)7 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)24 (0)29 (5)
Field Goals43-8347-78
At-the-Rim FG16-2017-24
Midrange FG12-1819-33
2-Point FG28-3836-57
3-Point FG15-4511-21
Free Throws14-1913-17
Fast Break Pts167
2nd Chance Pts921
Points in Paint5248
Pts off Turnovers228
Bench Points2145
Biggest Lead519

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#45 · SG · 6'3" 215 · 25
36.7
37
60%
0
7
2
0
2
3
0
0
5-6
83%
10-13
77%
4-15
27%
#44 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 33
33.8
16
62%
5
4
0
0
0
0
0
5
4-4
100%
3-6
50%
2-5
40%
#23 · PF · 6'6" 226 · 28
32.4
15
83%
5
2
6
0
2
2
2
3
2-4
50%
2-3
67%
3-4
75%
#11 · PG · 6'0" 175 · 34
32.3
18
82%
3
7
1
1
0
2
1
2
1-1
100%
4-4
100%
3-7
43%
#27 · C · 7'1" 258 · 29
28.9
8
67%
8
0
0
1
1
1
2
6
0-2
0%
4-5
80%
0-0
-
#2 · SF · 6'8" 220 · 34
26.7
3
38%
1
5
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-4
25%
#21 · C · 7'0" 265 · 32
18.9
6
75%
8
1
0
1
0
5
2
6
0-0
-
3-4
75%
0-0
-
#00 · SG · 6'3" 194 · 29
17.9
7
39%
0
0
1
0
1
4
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
67%
1-6
17%
#0 · PF · 6'7" 254 · 25
12.3
5
50%
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
0-0
-
1-4
25%
#3 · PG · 6'4" 210 · 23
DNP - Coach's Decision
#13 · SG · 6'3" 193 · 21
DNP - Coach's Decision
#81 · SG · 6'6" 206 · 24
DNP - Coach's Decision
#24 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 24
DNP - Coach's Decision
#33 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 24
Inactive - Injury/Illness | N/A; Non-COVID related illness
#20 · C · 7'0" 280 · 22
INACTIVE
#8 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 35
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Heel; Injury recovery
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
115
61%
31
26
10
3
6
19
7
24
14-19
74%
28-38
74%
15-45
33%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.