FinalWin Prob.pScore
2722%107
94
678%118
95
ORTG#PossPace
HOU logo HOU
95.99896.2
DEN logo DEN
97.99799.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

NuggetsRocketsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

NuggetsRocketsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventHOUDEN
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.94
0%
95
100%
Q4 - 0:00.1RocketsRockets offensive rebound94
2.5%
95
97.5%
Q4 - 0:00.9RocketsNikola Jokic blocks Jae'Sean Tate's two point cutting layup94
1.0%
95
99.0%
Q4 - 0:09.7RocketsChristian Wood defensive rebound94
30.1%
95
69.9%
Q4 - 0:12.8NuggetsP.J. Dozier misses three point fadeaway jump shot94
24.7%
95
75.3%
Q4 - 0:33.6NuggetsP.J. Dozier defensive rebound94
13.2%
95
86.8%
Q4 - 0:35.4RocketsKevin Porter Jr. misses two point pullup bank jump shot94
17.1%
95
82.9%
Q4 - 0:51.4NuggetsAaron Gordon makes three point jump shot (Will Barton assists)94
31.1%
95
68.9%
Q4 - 1:14RocketsChristian Wood turnover (lost ball) (P.J. Dozier steals)94
54.2%
92
45.8%
Q4 - 1:25RocketsJae'Sean Tate offensive rebound94
66.6%
92
33.4%
Q4 - 1:29RocketsKevin Porter Jr. misses two point stepback jump shot94
56.1%
92
43.9%
Q4 - 1:54NuggetsAaron Gordon makes three point jump shot (P.J. Dozier assists)94
63.3%
92
36.7%
Q4 - 2:03NuggetsP.J. Dozier defensive rebound94
78.0%
89
22.0%
Q4 - 2:06RocketsEric Gordon misses three point stepback jump shot94
80.9%
89
19.1%
Q4 - 2:22RocketsChristian Wood defensive rebound94
86.6%
89
13.4%
Q4 - 2:24NuggetsNikola Jokic misses two point turnaround hook shot94
84.2%
89
15.8%
Q4 - 2:46RocketsDaniel Theis makes three point jump shot (Eric Gordon assists)94
77.1%
89
22.9%
Q4 - 2:53RocketsEric Gordon defensive rebound91
59.1%
89
40.9%
Q4 - 2:56NuggetsNikola Jokic misses three point jump shot91
55.2%
89
44.8%
Q4 - 3:04RocketsChristian Wood personal foul (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)91
45.7%
89
54.3%
Q4 - 3:04RocketsDaniel Theis turnover (bad pass) (Nikola Jokic steals)91
45.7%
89
54.3%
Q4 - 3:21RocketsChristian Wood defensive rebound91
59.3%
89
40.7%
Q4 - 3:24NuggetsNikola Jokic misses regular free throw 2 of 291
57.5%
89
42.5%
Q4 - 3:24NuggetsNikola Jokic makes regular free throw 1 of 291
50.1%
89
49.9%
Q4 - 3:24RocketsChristian Wood shooting foul (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)91
51.7%
88
48.3%
Q4 - 3:37RocketsJalen Green makes regular free throw 2 of 291
53.5%
88
46.5%
Q4 - 3:37RocketsJalen Green makes regular free throw 1 of 290
51.5%
88
48.5%
Q4 - 3:37NuggetsP.J. Dozier shooting foul (Jalen Green draws the foul)89
49.2%
88
50.8%
Q4 - 3:40NuggetsP.J. Dozier turnover (bad pass) (Jalen Green steals)89
45.4%
88
54.6%
Q4 - 3:44RocketsKevin Porter Jr. turnover (lost ball) (P.J. Dozier steals)89
36.3%
88
63.7%
Q4 - 3:52NuggetsNikola Jokic turnover (offensive foul)89
45.7%
88
54.3%
Q4 - 3:52NuggetsNikola Jokic offensive foul (Daniel Theis draws the foul)89
36.4%
88
63.6%
Q4 - 4:08RocketsJae'Sean Tate makes regular free throw 2 of 289
36.5%
88
63.5%
Q4 - 4:08RocketsJae'Sean Tate makes regular free throw 1 of 288
34.5%
88
65.5%
Q4 - 4:08NuggetsNikola Jokic shooting foul (Jae'Sean Tate draws the foul)87
32.3%
88
67.7%
Q4 - 4:10RocketsKevin Porter Jr. offensive rebound87
29.2%
88
70.8%
Q4 - 4:12RocketsAaron Gordon blocks Kevin Porter Jr.'s two point driving reverse layup87
23.8%
88
76.2%
Q4 - 4:24RocketsJae'Sean Tate defensive rebound87
29.2%
88
70.8%
Q4 - 4:27NuggetsNikola Jokic misses two point jump shot87
26.8%
88
73.2%
Q4 - 4:49RocketsEric Gordon makes two point driving layup87
21.7%
88
78.3%
Q4 - 5:11NuggetsJeff Green makes three point jump shot (Will Barton assists)85
17.2%
88
82.8%
Q4 - 5:34RocketsChristian Wood makes two point cutting dunk (Jalen Green assists)85
27.9%
85
72.1%
Q4 - 5:54RocketsChristian Wood defensive rebound83
22.3%
85
77.7%
Q4 - 5:57NuggetsMonte Morris misses three point jump shot83
20.5%
85
79.5%
Q4 - 6:04NuggetsAustin Rivers defensive rebound83
16.9%
85
83.1%
Q4 - 6:05RocketsChristian Wood misses three point jump shot83
18.5%
85
81.5%
Q4 - 6:22NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point hook shot83
22.5%
85
77.5%
Q4 - 6:40NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound83
26.8%
83
73.2%
Q4 - 6:41RocketsChristian Wood misses two point turnaround jump shot83
28.9%
83
71.1%
Q4 - 6:54RocketsChristian Wood defensive rebound83
34.2%
83
65.8%
Q4 - 6:58NuggetsNikola Jokic misses three point jump shot83
31.8%
83
68.2%
Q4 - 7:20RocketsChristian Wood makes two point cutting dunk (Alperen Sengun assists)83
25.9%
83
74.1%
Q4 - 7:30RocketsJae'Sean Tate defensive rebound81
22.0%
83
78.0%
Q4 - 7:33NuggetsFacundo Campazzo misses three point pullup jump shot81
20.4%
83
79.6%
Q4 - 7:44RocketsAlperen Sengun makes regular free throw 2 of 281
17.0%
83
83.0%
Q4 - 7:44RocketsAlperen Sengun makes regular free throw 1 of 280
16.1%
83
83.9%
Q4 - 7:44NuggetsJaMychal Green shooting foul (Alperen Sengun draws the foul)79
15.1%
83
84.9%
Q4 - 7:52RocketsAlperen Sengun defensive rebound79
14.2%
83
85.8%
Q4 - 7:54NuggetsJeff Green misses two point driving floating jump shot79
13.0%
83
87.0%
Q4 - 8:15RocketsEric Gordon makes three point jump shot (Alperen Sengun assists)79
11.4%
83
88.6%
Q4 - 8:33NuggetsJaMychal Green makes two point putback layup76
7.3%
83
92.7%
Q4 - 8:33NuggetsJaMychal Green offensive rebound76
9.1%
81
90.9%
Q4 - 8:36NuggetsAustin Rivers misses two point driving finger roll layup76
10.7%
81
89.3%
Q4 - 8:45NuggetsAustin Rivers defensive rebound76
9.1%
81
90.9%
Q4 - 8:47RocketsKenyon Martin Jr. misses three point jump shot76
9.8%
81
90.2%
Q4 - 9:03NuggetsJaMychal Green makes two point dunk (Jeff Green assists)76
11.8%
81
88.2%
Q4 - 9:24RocketsJalen Green turnover (out of bounds lost ball)76
14.2%
79
85.8%
Q4 - 9:35NuggetsFacundo Campazzo makes three point jump shot (JaMychal Green assists)76
17.7%
79
82.3%
Q4 - 9:49NuggetsBones Hyland defensive rebound76
25.2%
76
74.8%
Q4 - 9:51RocketsEric Gordon misses regular free throw 2 of 276
25.9%
76
74.1%
Q4 - 9:51RocketsEric Gordon makes regular free throw 1 of 276
29.1%
76
70.9%
Q4 - 9:51NuggetsFacundo Campazzo shooting foul (Eric Gordon draws the foul)75
28.2%
76
71.8%
Q4 - 10:05NuggetsJeff Green makes two point driving floating bank jump shot (Facundo Campazzo assists)75
25.7%
76
74.3%
Q4 - 10:18RocketsKenyon Martin Jr. makes two point turnaround hook shot (D.J. Augustin assists)75
29.5%
74
70.5%
Q4 - 10:42NuggetsBones Hyland turnover (out of bounds lost ball)73
25.7%
74
74.3%
Q4 - 10:58RocketsDavid Nwaba makes two point layup (D.J. Augustin assists)73
21.1%
74
78.9%
Q4 - 11:14NuggetsAustin Rivers personal foul (Eric Gordon draws the foul)71
18.4%
74
81.6%
Q4 - 11:27NuggetsBones Hyland makes two point stepback jump shot71
18.4%
74
81.6%
Q4 - 11:42RocketsJae'Sean Tate personal foul (Facundo Campazzo draws the foul)71
21.7%
72
78.3%
Q4 - 11:43RocketsEric Gordon turnover (bad pass) (Facundo Campazzo steals)71
21.7%
72
78.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.71
25.6%
72
74.4%
Q3 - 0:00.6RocketsKenyon Martin Jr. makes two point running finger roll layup71
21.6%
72
78.4%
Q3 - 0:04.8NuggetsFacundo Campazzo makes three point pullup jump shot69
18.3%
72
81.7%
Q3 - 0:27.2RocketsDaniel Theis makes two point layup (D.J. Augustin assists)69
25.3%
69
74.7%
Q3 - 0:41.6NuggetsNikola Jokic turnover (lost ball) (Jae'Sean Tate steals)67
21.6%
69
78.4%
Q3 - 1:07RocketsJae'Sean Tate makes two point running layup67
18.2%
69
81.8%
Q3 - 1:09RocketsJae'Sean Tate defensive rebound65
15.8%
69
84.2%
Q3 - 1:12NuggetsKenyon Martin Jr. blocks Bones Hyland's two point running dunk65
15.0%
69
85.0%
Q3 - 1:17RocketsEric Gordon turnover (lost ball) (Austin Rivers steals)65
13.2%
69
86.8%
Q3 - 1:38NuggetsFacundo Campazzo makes two point cutting finger roll layup (Nikola Jokic assists)65
15.8%
69
84.2%
Q3 - 1:50RocketsKevin Porter Jr. turnover (offensive foul)65
18.2%
67
81.8%
Q3 - 1:50RocketsKevin Porter Jr. offensive foul (Facundo Campazzo draws the foul)65
21.6%
67
78.4%
Q3 - 1:56RocketsAlperen Sengun defensive rebound65
21.6%
67
78.4%
Q3 - 1:59NuggetsWill Barton misses three point jump shot65
20.5%
67
79.5%
Q3 - 2:19RocketsKenyon Martin Jr. makes three point jump shot (Alperen Sengun assists)65
18.3%
67
81.7%
Q3 - 2:28RocketsKenyon Martin Jr. defensive rebound62
13.7%
67
86.3%
Q3 - 2:31NuggetsFacundo Campazzo misses three point jump shot62
13.0%
67
87.0%
Q3 - 2:36NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound62
11.5%
67
88.5%
Q3 - 2:37RocketsKevin Porter Jr. misses two point driving finger roll layup62
12.1%
67
87.9%
Q3 - 2:53NuggetsNikola Jokic makes three point jump shot (Will Barton assists)62
13.7%
67
86.3%
Q3 - 3:11RocketsAlperen Sengun makes three point jump shot (Christian Wood assists)62
18.5%
64
81.5%
Q3 - 3:20RocketsChristian Wood defensive rebound59
14.1%
64
85.9%
Q3 - 3:21NuggetsJeff Green misses two point tip layup59
13.4%
64
86.6%
Q3 - 3:21NuggetsJeff Green offensive rebound59
11.8%
64
88.2%
Q3 - 3:26NuggetsNikola Jokic misses two point putback layup59
13.4%
64
86.6%
Q3 - 3:26NuggetsNikola Jokic offensive rebound59
11.8%
64
88.2%
Q3 - 3:32NuggetsWill Barton misses two point driving floating jump shot59
13.4%
64
86.6%
Q3 - 3:50RocketsChristian Wood makes regular free throw 2 of 259
11.8%
64
88.2%
Q3 - 3:50RocketsChristian Wood makes regular free throw 1 of 258
11.3%
64
88.7%
Q3 - 3:50NuggetsFacundo Campazzo personal foul (Christian Wood draws the foul)57
10.7%
64
89.3%
Q3 - 4:05NuggetsNikola Jokic makes regular free throw 2 of 257
10.6%
64
89.4%
Q3 - 4:05NuggetsNikola Jokic makes regular free throw 1 of 257
10.8%
63
89.2%
Q3 - 4:05RocketsAlperen Sengun personal foul (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)57
11.0%
62
89.0%
Q3 - 4:07NuggetsNikola Jokic offensive rebound57
12.0%
62
88.0%
Q3 - 4:08NuggetsBones Hyland misses three point jump shot57
13.5%
62
86.5%
Q3 - 4:20NuggetsWill Barton defensive rebound57
11.9%
62
88.1%
Q3 - 4:23RocketsAlperen Sengun misses two point driving hook shot57
12.6%
62
87.4%
Q3 - 4:47NuggetsNikola Jokic makes regular free throw 1 of 157
14.2%
62
85.8%
Q3 - 4:47RocketsAlperen Sengun shooting foul (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)57
14.5%
61
85.5%
Q3 - 5:02NuggetsWill Barton defensive rebound57
18.6%
59
81.4%
Q3 - 5:07RocketsKevin Porter Jr. misses three point jump shot57
19.4%
59
80.6%
Q3 - 5:25RocketsRockets defensive rebound57
21.3%
59
78.7%
Q3 - 5:25NuggetsKenyon Martin Jr. blocks P.J. Dozier's two point layup57
20.5%
59
79.5%
Q3 - 5:41RocketsChristian Wood turnover (traveling)57
18.6%
59
81.4%
Q3 - 6:00RocketsKevin Porter Jr. defensive rebound57
21.3%
59
78.7%
Q3 - 6:03NuggetsWill Barton misses three point jump shot57
20.1%
59
79.9%
Q3 - 6:20RocketsDaniel Theis makes two point tip layup57
18.3%
59
81.7%
Q3 - 6:20RocketsDaniel Theis offensive rebound55
16.3%
59
83.7%
Q3 - 6:24RocketsChristian Wood misses two point pullup jump shot55
14.8%
59
85.2%
Q3 - 6:45RocketsJalen Green defensive rebound55
16.3%
59
83.7%
Q3 - 6:47NuggetsAaron Gordon misses three point jump shot55
15.6%
59
84.4%
Q3 - 7:03RocketsDaniel Theis makes two point turnaround jump shot55
14.0%
59
86.0%
Q3 - 7:20NuggetsNikola Jokic makes regular free throw 2 of 253
12.6%
59
87.4%
Q3 - 7:20NuggetsNikola Jokic misses regular free throw 1 of 253
12.8%
58
87.2%
Q3 - 7:20RocketsJae'Sean Tate shooting foul (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)53
11.4%
58
88.6%
Q3 - 7:35RocketsJalen Green makes regular free throw 2 of 253
12.3%
58
87.7%
Q3 - 7:35RocketsJalen Green misses regular free throw 1 of 252
12.0%
58
88.0%
Q3 - 7:35NuggetsP.J. Dozier personal foul (Jalen Green draws the foul)52
13.2%
58
86.8%
Q3 - 7:42RocketsDaniel Theis defensive rebound52
12.6%
58
87.4%
Q3 - 7:44NuggetsAaron Gordon misses three point pullup jump shot52
12.0%
58
88.0%
Q3 - 7:50NuggetsP.J. Dozier defensive rebound52
10.8%
58
89.2%
Q3 - 7:52RocketsDaniel Theis misses two point jump shot52
11.3%
58
88.7%
Q3 - 8:03NuggetsNikola Jokic makes regular free throw 1 of 152
12.6%
58
87.4%
Q3 - 8:03RocketsJae'Sean Tate shooting foul (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)52
12.8%
57
87.2%
Q3 - 8:16NuggetsP.J. Dozier defensive rebound52
15.9%
55
84.1%
Q3 - 8:18RocketsJalen Green misses regular free throw 1 of 152
16.2%
55
83.8%
Q3 - 8:18NuggetsMonte Morris shooting foul (Jalen Green draws the foul)52
17.4%
55
82.6%
Q3 - 8:27NuggetsMonte Morris makes two point pullup jump shot (Will Barton assists)50
14.3%
55
85.7%
Q3 - 8:52RocketsDaniel Theis makes regular free throw 2 of 250
15.9%
53
84.1%
Q3 - 8:52RocketsDaniel Theis misses regular free throw 1 of 249
15.4%
53
84.6%
Q3 - 8:52NuggetsMonte Morris shooting foul (Daniel Theis draws the foul)49
16.8%
53
83.2%
Q3 - 9:00NuggetsMonte Morris personal foul (Take) (Kevin Porter Jr. draws the foul)49
16.2%
53
83.8%
Q3 - 9:01NuggetsWill Barton turnover (bad pass) (Daniel Theis steals)49
16.1%
53
83.9%
Q3 - 9:08NuggetsAaron Gordon defensive rebound49
14.1%
53
85.9%
Q3 - 9:11RocketsJalen Green misses three point stepback jump shot49
14.6%
53
85.4%
Q3 - 9:32NuggetsP.J. Dozier makes two point driving layup (Will Barton assists)49
16.1%
53
83.9%
Q3 - 9:37NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound49
17.8%
51
82.2%
Q3 - 9:39RocketsJae'Sean Tate misses two point running layup49
18.6%
51
81.4%
Q3 - 9:48NuggetsWill Barton makes two point running dunk (Nikola Jokic assists)49
20.3%
51
79.7%
Q3 - 9:51NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound49
22.4%
49
77.6%
Q3 - 9:53RocketsJae'Sean Tate misses regular free throw 1 of 149
22.8%
49
77.2%
Q3 - 9:53NuggetsNikola Jokic shooting foul (Jae'Sean Tate draws the foul)49
24.3%
49
75.7%
Q3 - 9:58RocketsChristian Wood defensive rebound47
20.3%
49
79.7%
Q3 - 9:59NuggetsP.J. Dozier misses three point jump shot47
19.5%
49
80.5%
Q3 - 10:05NuggetsAaron Gordon defensive rebound47
17.7%
49
82.3%
Q3 - 10:07RocketsKevin Porter Jr. misses two point cutting dunk47
18.4%
49
81.6%
Q3 - 10:27NuggetsMonte Morris makes three point jump shot (Aaron Gordon assists)47
20.1%
49
79.9%
Q3 - 10:47RocketsJae'Sean Tate personal foul (Take) (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)47
24.5%
46
75.5%
Q3 - 10:50NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound47
24.5%
46
75.5%
Q3 - 10:50RocketsChristian Wood misses two point running layup47
25.4%
46
74.6%
Q3 - 10:55RocketsChristian Wood defensive rebound47
27.5%
46
72.5%
Q3 - 10:57NuggetsWill Barton misses two point running reverse layup47
26.6%
46
73.4%
Q3 - 11:03NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound47
23.9%
46
76.1%
Q3 - 11:06RocketsChristian Wood misses three point jump shot47
24.7%
46
75.3%
Q3 - 11:18NuggetsNikola Jokic turnover (bad pass) (Kevin Porter Jr. steals)47
26.6%
46
73.4%
Q3 - 11:33NuggetsWill Barton defensive rebound47
23.9%
46
76.1%
Q3 - 11:35RocketsDaniel Theis misses two point jump shot47
24.7%
46
75.3%
Q3 - 11:43RocketsChristian Wood defensive rebound47
26.6%
46
73.4%
Q3 - 11:47NuggetsWill Barton misses three point jump shot47
25.8%
46
74.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.47
24.0%
46
76.0%
Q2 - 0:00.3RocketsChristian Wood defensive rebound47
25.5%
46
74.5%
Q2 - 0:03.1NuggetsWill Barton misses three point fadeaway jump shot47
24.9%
46
75.1%
Q2 - 0:17.6NuggetsNuggets offensive rebound47
23.7%
46
76.3%
Q2 - 0:19.8NuggetsMonte Morris misses three point jump shot47
25.0%
46
75.0%
Q2 - 0:21.8NuggetsAaron Gordon offensive rebound47
23.7%
46
76.3%
Q2 - 0:24.5NuggetsP.J. Dozier misses three point jump shot47
25.0%
46
75.0%
Q2 - 0:28.5NuggetsWill Barton defensive rebound47
23.7%
46
76.3%
Q2 - 0:32.0RocketsJalen Green misses three point bank jump shot47
24.3%
46
75.7%
Q2 - 0:48.8NuggetsNikola Jokic makes regular free throw 2 of 247
25.6%
46
74.4%
Q2 - 0:48.8NuggetsNikola Jokic makes regular free throw 1 of 247
25.9%
45
74.1%
Q2 - 0:48.8RocketsChristian Wood shooting foul (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)47
26.3%
44
73.7%
Q2 - 1:04RocketsAlperen Sengun makes two point dunk (Kevin Porter Jr. assists)47
28.6%
44
71.4%
Q2 - 1:15NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point layup45
25.2%
44
74.8%
Q2 - 1:25RocketsEric Gordon turnover (offensive foul)45
28.6%
42
71.4%
Q2 - 1:25RocketsEric Gordon offensive foul (Charge) (P.J. Dozier draws the foul)45
30.3%
42
69.7%
Q2 - 1:42RocketsChristian Wood defensive rebound45
30.3%
42
69.7%
Q2 - 1:45NuggetsWill Barton misses two point fadeaway jump shot45
29.8%
42
70.2%
Q2 - 1:59NuggetsNuggets defensive rebound45
28.6%
42
71.4%
Q2 - 2:01RocketsKevin Porter Jr. misses three point jump shot45
28.3%
42
71.7%
Q2 - 2:23NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point driving layup (P.J. Dozier assists)45
30.2%
42
69.8%
Q2 - 2:34NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound45
32.8%
40
67.2%
Q2 - 2:34RocketsDaniel Theis misses two point putback layup45
33.6%
40
66.4%
Q2 - 2:35RocketsDaniel Theis offensive rebound45
35.6%
40
64.4%
Q2 - 2:37RocketsChristian Wood misses two point bank jump shot45
33.6%
40
66.4%
Q2 - 2:57NuggetsWill Barton makes two point tip layup45
35.6%
40
64.4%
Q2 - 2:57NuggetsWill Barton offensive rebound45
38.4%
38
61.6%
Q2 - 2:58NuggetsWill Barton misses two point running layup45
40.5%
38
59.5%
Q2 - 3:01NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound45
36.8%
38
63.2%
Q2 - 3:03RocketsChristian Wood misses two point reverse layup45
37.8%
38
62.2%
Q2 - 3:17NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point dunk (P.J. Dozier assists)45
40.2%
38
59.8%
Q2 - 3:39RocketsDaniel Theis makes two point layup45
42.5%
36
57.5%
Q2 - 3:54NuggetsP.J. Dozier personal foul (Christian Wood draws the foul)43
40.3%
36
59.7%
Q2 - 3:54RocketsChristian Wood defensive rebound43
40.3%
36
59.7%
Q2 - 3:58NuggetsAaron Gordon misses three point jump shot43
39.2%
36
60.8%
Q2 - 4:17RocketsDaniel Theis makes two point cutting dunk (Kevin Porter Jr. assists)43
35.9%
36
64.1%
Q2 - 4:19RocketsKevin Porter Jr. offensive rebound41
33.4%
36
66.6%
Q2 - 4:22RocketsDaniel Theis misses three point jump shot41
31.6%
36
68.4%
Q2 - 4:41NuggetsNikola Jokic makes regular free throw 1 of 141
33.5%
36
66.5%
Q2 - 4:41RocketsDaniel Theis shooting foul (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)41
33.8%
35
66.2%
Q2 - 4:57RocketsDaniel Theis makes two point jump shot (Christian Wood assists)41
38.6%
33
61.4%
Q2 - 5:05NuggetsAaron Gordon turnover (bad pass) (Daniel Theis steals)39
35.4%
33
64.6%
Q2 - 5:27RocketsJae'Sean Tate makes two point turnaround bank hook shot39
32.4%
33
67.6%
Q2 - 5:39NuggetsNikola Jokic turnover (offensive foul)37
30.5%
33
69.5%
Q2 - 5:39NuggetsNikola Jokic offensive foul (Jalen Green draws the foul)37
27.7%
33
72.3%
Q2 - 5:50RocketsKevin Porter Jr. makes three point stepback jump shot37
27.8%
33
72.2%
Q2 - 6:13RocketsChristian Wood defensive rebound34
23.8%
33
76.2%
Q2 - 6:14NuggetsNikola Jokic misses two point fadeaway jump shot34
23.0%
33
77.0%
Q2 - 6:30RocketsDaniel Theis personal foul (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)34
21.4%
33
78.6%
Q2 - 6:44NuggetsWill Barton defensive rebound34
21.4%
33
78.6%
Q2 - 6:48RocketsJalen Green misses three point jump shot34
22.1%
33
77.9%
Q2 - 6:58RocketsJae'Sean Tate defensive rebound34
23.8%
33
76.2%
Q2 - 7:02NuggetsMonte Morris misses three point pullup jump shot34
22.6%
33
77.4%
Q2 - 7:05RocketsKevin Porter Jr. turnover (lost ball) (Monte Morris steals)34
21.4%
33
78.6%
Q2 - 7:26NuggetsWill Barton makes two point running layup (Facundo Campazzo assists)34
23.3%
33
76.7%
Q2 - 7:30NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound34
25.1%
31
74.9%
Q2 - 7:30RocketsJeff Green blocks David Nwaba's two point driving layup34
25.8%
31
74.2%
Q2 - 7:38RocketsDaniel Theis defensive rebound34
27.3%
31
72.7%
Q2 - 7:41NuggetsKenyon Martin Jr. blocks Monte Morris's two point running layup34
26.6%
31
73.4%
Q2 - 7:44RocketsJalen Green turnover (lost ball) (Monte Morris steals)34
25.1%
31
74.9%
Q2 - 7:52RocketsDavid Nwaba defensive rebound34
27.3%
31
72.7%
Q2 - 7:55NuggetsWill Barton misses three point jump shot34
26.6%
31
73.4%
Q2 - 8:02NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound34
25.0%
31
75.0%
Q2 - 8:04RocketsKevin Porter Jr. misses three point jump shot34
25.7%
31
74.3%
Q2 - 8:20NuggetsJeff Green makes regular free throw 2 of 234
27.1%
31
72.9%
Q2 - 8:20NuggetsJeff Green misses regular free throw 1 of 234
27.5%
30
72.5%
Q2 - 8:20RocketsEric Gordon shooting foul (Jeff Green draws the foul)34
25.8%
30
74.2%
Q2 - 8:34NuggetsWill Barton defensive rebound34
27.0%
30
73.0%
Q2 - 8:36RocketsKenyon Martin Jr. misses three point jump shot34
27.7%
30
72.3%
Q2 - 8:51NuggetsJaMychal Green makes regular free throw 2 of 234
29.2%
30
70.8%
Q2 - 8:51NuggetsJaMychal Green makes regular free throw 1 of 234
29.6%
29
70.4%
Q2 - 8:51RocketsAlperen Sengun shooting foul (JaMychal Green draws the foul)34
30.1%
28
69.9%
Q2 - 8:51NuggetsJaMychal Green offensive rebound34
31.4%
28
68.6%
Q2 - 8:51NuggetsJeff Green misses two point tip layup34
33.0%
28
67.0%
Q2 - 8:51NuggetsJeff Green offensive rebound34
31.4%
28
68.6%
Q2 - 8:52NuggetsJeff Green misses two point layup34
33.0%
28
67.0%
Q2 - 9:10RocketsJalen Green makes two point running dunk (Kenyon Martin Jr. assists)34
30.9%
28
69.1%
Q2 - 9:14NuggetsJaMychal Green turnover (bad pass) (Kenyon Martin Jr. steals)32
28.8%
28
71.2%
Q2 - 9:30RocketsDavid Nwaba turnover (out of bounds bad pass)32
26.7%
28
73.3%
Q2 - 9:32RocketsDavid Nwaba defensive rebound32
28.8%
28
71.2%
Q2 - 9:34NuggetsFacundo Campazzo misses three point jump shot32
28.2%
28
71.8%
Q2 - 9:53RocketsD.J. Augustin makes three point fadeaway jump shot32
26.7%
28
73.3%
Q2 - 10:16RocketsRockets defensive rebound29
22.9%
28
77.1%
Q2 - 10:16NuggetsAlperen Sengun blocks Jeff Green's two point driving layup29
22.3%
28
77.7%
Q2 - 10:21NuggetsJeff Green defensive rebound29
21.1%
28
78.9%
Q2 - 10:24RocketsD.J. Augustin misses three point stepback jump shot29
21.6%
28
78.4%
Q2 - 10:30RocketsAlperen Sengun defensive rebound29
22.9%
28
77.1%
Q2 - 10:32NuggetsBones Hyland misses three point pullup jump shot29
22.3%
28
77.7%
Q2 - 10:46RocketsEric Gordon makes two point driving layup29
21.1%
28
78.9%
Q2 - 10:57NuggetsFacundo Campazzo personal foul (Kenyon Martin Jr. draws the foul)27
19.5%
28
80.5%
Q2 - 11:05RocketsD.J. Augustin defensive rebound27
19.1%
28
80.9%
Q2 - 11:08NuggetsP.J. Dozier misses three point jump shot27
18.7%
28
81.3%
Q2 - 11:09NuggetsFacundo Campazzo offensive rebound27
17.8%
28
82.2%
Q2 - 11:14NuggetsBones Hyland misses three point running pullup jump shot27
18.7%
28
81.3%
Q2 - 11:19NuggetsJaMychal Green defensive rebound27
17.8%
28
82.2%
Q2 - 11:19RocketsEric Gordon misses three point jump shot27
18.2%
28
81.8%
Q2 - 11:38NuggetsJaMychal Green makes two point tip layup27
19.2%
28
80.8%
Q2 - 11:38NuggetsJaMychal Green offensive rebound27
20.8%
26
79.2%
Q2 - 11:39NuggetsBones Hyland misses three point jump shot27
21.9%
26
78.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.27
20.8%
26
79.2%
Q1 - 0:02.6RocketsEric Gordon defensive rebound27
21.8%
26
78.2%
Q1 - 0:05.1NuggetsJeff Green misses three point jump shot27
21.4%
26
78.6%
Q1 - 0:24.3RocketsAlperen Sengun makes two point dunk (Eric Gordon assists)27
20.5%
26
79.5%
Q1 - 0:25.4RocketsEric Gordon offensive rebound25
18.7%
26
81.3%
Q1 - 0:28.5RocketsArmoni Brooks misses three point running pullup jump shot25
17.9%
26
82.1%
Q1 - 0:32.2NuggetsBones Hyland turnover (lost ball) (Armoni Brooks steals)25
18.7%
26
81.3%
Q1 - 0:46.8RocketsKenyon Martin Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 225
17.6%
26
82.4%
Q1 - 0:46.8RocketsKenyon Martin Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 224
17.2%
26
82.8%
Q1 - 0:46.8NuggetsJaMychal Green personal foul (Loose ball) (Kenyon Martin Jr. draws the foul)23
16.8%
26
83.2%
Q1 - 0:46.8RocketsRockets defensive rebound23
16.0%
26
84.0%
Q1 - 0:49.9NuggetsJeff Green misses three point jump shot23
15.7%
26
84.3%
Q1 - 0:57.6NuggetsFacundo Campazzo defensive rebound23
15.0%
26
85.0%
Q1 - 0:59.3RocketsEric Gordon misses regular free throw 2 of 223
15.1%
26
84.9%
Q1 - 0:59.3RocketsEric Gordon misses regular free throw 1 of 223
16.0%
26
84.0%
Q1 - 0:59.3NuggetsBones Hyland shooting foul (Eric Gordon draws the foul)23
17.1%
26
82.9%
Q1 - 1:04NuggetsJeff Green makes two point driving dunk23
16.1%
26
83.9%
Q1 - 1:20RocketsKenyon Martin Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 223
17.6%
24
82.4%
Q1 - 1:20RocketsKenyon Martin Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 222
17.2%
24
82.8%
Q1 - 1:20NuggetsP.J. Dozier shooting foul (Kenyon Martin Jr. draws the foul)21
16.8%
24
83.2%
Q1 - 1:26RocketsAlperen Sengun defensive rebound21
16.1%
24
83.9%
Q1 - 1:27NuggetsBones Hyland misses two point driving floating jump shot21
15.8%
24
84.2%
Q1 - 1:39RocketsD.J. Augustin makes two point driving layup21
15.0%
24
85.0%
Q1 - 1:55NuggetsP.J. Dozier makes two point pullup jump shot19
13.7%
24
86.3%
Q1 - 2:15RocketsEric Gordon makes two point driving layup19
15.0%
22
85.0%
Q1 - 2:29NuggetsP.J. Dozier makes regular free throw 2 of 217
13.9%
22
86.1%
Q1 - 2:29NuggetsP.J. Dozier makes regular free throw 1 of 217
14.2%
21
85.8%
Q1 - 2:29RocketsAlperen Sengun shooting foul (P.J. Dozier draws the foul)17
14.6%
20
85.4%
Q1 - 2:50RocketsChristian Wood makes regular free throw 2 of 217
15.0%
20
85.0%
Q1 - 2:50RocketsChristian Wood misses regular free throw 1 of 216
14.6%
20
85.4%
Q1 - 2:50NuggetsAaron Gordon shooting foul (Christian Wood draws the foul)16
15.4%
20
84.6%
Q1 - 2:54RocketsChristian Wood defensive rebound16
15.0%
20
85.0%
Q1 - 2:56NuggetsWill Barton misses two point driving layup16
14.6%
20
85.4%
Q1 - 3:11RocketsKevin Porter Jr. makes three point jump shot (Eric Gordon assists)16
13.8%
20
86.2%
Q1 - 3:27NuggetsMonte Morris makes two point running layup13
12.0%
20
88.0%
Q1 - 3:30NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound13
12.8%
18
87.2%
Q1 - 3:32RocketsKevin Porter Jr. misses two point driving reverse layup13
13.2%
18
86.8%
Q1 - 3:48NuggetsWill Barton makes two point pullup jump shot (Aaron Gordon assists)13
14.0%
18
86.0%
Q1 - 3:51RocketsChristian Wood turnover (bad pass) (P.J. Dozier steals)13
14.9%
16
85.1%
Q1 - 3:52RocketsChristian Wood defensive rebound13
16.3%
16
83.7%
Q1 - 3:56NuggetsMonte Morris misses three point jump shot13
15.9%
16
84.1%
Q1 - 4:06RocketsEric Gordon makes two point driving layup13
14.9%
16
85.1%
Q1 - 4:13RocketsEric Gordon defensive rebound11
14.1%
16
85.9%
Q1 - 4:15NuggetsChristian Wood blocks Aaron Gordon's two point turnaround hook shot11
13.7%
16
86.3%
Q1 - 4:33RocketsChristian Wood makes three point stepback jump shot11
12.9%
16
87.1%
Q1 - 4:58NuggetsMonte Morris makes two point pullup jump shot8
11.2%
16
88.8%
Q1 - 5:13RocketsDaniel Theis makes two point jump shot (Jalen Green assists)8
12.0%
14
88.0%
Q1 - 5:41NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. makes two point turnaround jump shot6
11.3%
14
88.7%
Q1 - 5:58NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. defensive rebound6
12.0%
12
88.0%
Q1 - 6:01RocketsJalen Green misses two point pullup jump shot6
12.4%
12
87.6%
Q1 - 6:08RocketsJalen Green defensive rebound6
13.0%
12
87.0%
Q1 - 6:11NuggetsWill Barton misses three point pullup jump shot6
12.7%
12
87.3%
Q1 - 6:17NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. defensive rebound6
12.1%
12
87.9%
Q1 - 6:20RocketsJae'Sean Tate misses three point jump shot6
12.4%
12
87.6%
Q1 - 6:28RocketsChristian Wood defensive rebound6
13.0%
12
87.0%
Q1 - 6:31NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. misses three point jump shot6
12.7%
12
87.3%
Q1 - 6:35NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound6
12.1%
12
87.9%
Q1 - 6:38RocketsKevin Porter Jr. misses three point pullup jump shot6
12.4%
12
87.6%
Q1 - 6:48NuggetsWill Barton makes two point stepback jump shot6
13.0%
12
87.0%
Q1 - 7:02RocketsJae'Sean Tate makes two point layup (Kevin Porter Jr. assists)6
13.7%
10
86.3%
Q1 - 7:16NuggetsWill Barton makes two point turnaround jump shot4
12.9%
10
87.1%
Q1 - 7:33RocketsJalen Green makes two point driving dunk (Kevin Porter Jr. assists)4
13.7%
8
86.3%
Q1 - 7:48RocketsChristian Wood defensive rebound2
12.9%
8
87.1%
Q1 - 7:51NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. misses three point jump shot2
12.6%
8
87.4%
Q1 - 8:04RocketsRockets turnover (shot clock violation)2
11.9%
8
88.1%
Q1 - 8:30NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point turnaround jump shot2
12.8%
8
87.2%
Q1 - 8:53RocketsChristian Wood makes two point alley-oop dunk (Jae'Sean Tate assists)2
13.6%
6
86.4%
Q1 - 9:00RocketsDaniel Theis defensive rebound0
12.8%
6
87.2%
Q1 - 9:01NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. misses two point running layup0
12.6%
6
87.4%
Q1 - 9:06NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. defensive rebound0
12.0%
6
88.0%
Q1 - 9:10RocketsKevin Porter Jr. misses two point turnaround jump shot0
12.2%
6
87.8%
Q1 - 9:32NuggetsNikola Jokic personal foul (Take) (Christian Wood draws the foul)0
12.9%
6
87.1%
Q1 - 9:33NuggetsNikola Jokic turnover (bad pass) (Christian Wood steals)0
12.9%
6
87.1%
Q1 - 9:44RocketsJalen Green turnover (lost ball) (Nikola Jokic steals)0
11.9%
6
88.1%
Q1 - 10:04NuggetsAaron Gordon makes three point jump shot (Will Barton assists)0
12.7%
6
87.3%
Q1 - 10:08RocketsJae'Sean Tate turnover (traveling)0
14.4%
3
85.6%
Q1 - 10:08RocketsJae'Sean Tate defensive rebound0
15.4%
3
84.6%
Q1 - 10:13NuggetsJae'Sean Tate blocks Monte Morris's two point running layup0
15.1%
3
84.9%
Q1 - 10:16NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. defensive rebound0
14.4%
3
85.6%
Q1 - 10:20RocketsWill Barton blocks Jalen Green's three point jump shot0
14.7%
3
85.3%
Q1 - 10:42RocketsJae'Sean Tate defensive rebound0
15.4%
3
84.6%
Q1 - 10:45NuggetsWill Barton misses three point jump shot0
15.1%
3
84.9%
Q1 - 10:53NuggetsMonte Morris defensive rebound0
14.4%
3
85.6%
Q1 - 10:56RocketsAaron Gordon blocks Kevin Porter Jr.'s three point stepback jump shot0
14.7%
3
85.3%
Q1 - 11:22NuggetsWill Barton makes three point pullup jump shot (Monte Morris assists)0
15.2%
3
84.8%
Q1 - 11:26RocketsChristian Wood turnover (lost ball) (Will Barton steals)0
17.0%
0
83.0%
Q1 - 11:35RocketsJae'Sean Tate offensive rebound0
18.2%
0
81.8%
Q1 - 11:39RocketsJalen Green misses three point jump shot0
17.4%
0
82.6%
Q1 - 12:00Christian Wood vs. Nikola Jokic (Rockets gains possession)0
18.2%
0
81.8%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

HOU
1.04 52.2%
DEN
0.98 49.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
HOU
21
29
72%
DEN
16
28
57%
Midrange
HOU
6
18
33%
DEN
11
21
52%
3PT | Effective 3PT
HOU
8
12.0
28
29%
43%
DEN
9
13.5
40
23%
34%
Free Throws
HOU
16
24
67%
DEN
14
17
82%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
HOU logo Rockets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Theis1869%9.0 / 13
C. Wood1246%6.0 / 13
E. Gordon1267%6.0 / 9
K. Martin1179%5.5 / 7
J. Tate1063%5.0 / 8
J. Green941%4.5 / 11
A. Sengun990%4.5 / 5
K. Porter621%3.0 / 14
D. Augustin583%2.5 / 3
D. Nwaba250%1.0 / 2
A. Brooks0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
N. Jokić2874%14.0 / 19
W. Barton1539%7.5 / 19
M. Morris945%4.5 / 10
A. Gordon964%4.5 / 7
J. Green836%4.0 / 11
F. Campazzo867%4.0 / 6
J. Green8100%4.0 / 4
P. Dozier638%3.0 / 8
M. Porter225%1.0 / 4
B. Hyland214%1.0 / 7
A. Rivers0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

HOU
82
+8
-16
90
DEN
86
+11
-11
97
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

HOU
1.04 52.2%
DEN
0.98 49.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
108.5
114.2
HOU 95.9
DEN 97.9 +2.0
Pace
100.8
98.0
HOU 96.2
DEN 99.8 +3.6
Avg. Poss. Time
14.4
14.7
HOU 15.0
DEN 14.4 +0.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
53.4%
55.6%
HOU 52.0% +6.5%
DEN 45.5%
TO %
15.5%
14.0%
HOU 16.6%
DEN 10.2% +6.4%
ORB %
21.8%
21.9%
HOU 16.7%
DEN 20.0% +3.3%
FTrt
28.4
24.4
HOU 32.0 +12.9
DEN 19.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
59.8%
66.7%
HOU 54.3% +1.5%
DEN 52.8%
STL %
7.2%
7.3%
HOU 8.2%
DEN 10.3% +2.1%
BLK %
8.7%
7.0%
HOU 12.2% +1.6%
DEN 10.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.65 and 2.65.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
55.2%
57.6%
HOU 52.2% +3.2%
DEN 49.0%
Rim FG%
60.8%
66.2%
HOU 72.4% +15.3%
DEN 57.1%
Mid FG%
34.6%
44.3%
HOU 33.3%
DEN 52.4% +19.1%
3P %
34.9%
35.3%
HOU 28.6% +6.1%
DEN 22.5%
FT %
71.3%
79.5%
HOU 66.7%
DEN 82.4% +15.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
41.4%
35.2%
HOU 38.7% +7.2%
DEN 31.5%
Mid Att. %
13.9%
23.2%
HOU 24.0%
DEN 23.6% +0.4%
3P Att. %
44.7%
41.6%
HOU 37.3%
DEN 44.9% +7.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.64 and 2.64.
Game TotalsHOUDEN
Possessions9897
Possession Minutes24.523.3
Points9495
Rebounds4745
Assists1919
Steals810
Blocks65
Turnovers (Team)16 (1)11 (0)
Fouls1620
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (1)10 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)40 (3)35 (1)
Field Goals35-7536-89
At-the-Rim FG21-2916-28
Midrange FG6-1811-21
2-Point FG27-4727-49
3-Point FG8-289-40
Free Throws16-2414-17
Fast Break Pts1414
2nd Chance Pts810
Points in Paint5438
Pts off Turnovers1519
Bench Points3932
Biggest Lead98

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#35 · PF · 6'9" 214 · 26
36.8
12
46%
17
2
1
1
4
3
0
17
3-4
75%
3-8
38%
1-3
33%
#3 · PG · 6'4" 203 · 22
32.2
6
21%
3
4
1
0
3
1
2
1
0-0
-
0-7
0%
2-7
29%
#27 · C · 6'9" 243 · 30
31.5
18
69%
5
0
2
0
1
2
2
3
1-2
50%
7-10
70%
1-2
50%
#8 · SF · 6'4" 230 · 26
31.1
10
63%
8
1
1
1
1
4
2
6
2-3
67%
4-6
67%
0-1
0%
#0 · SG · 6'4" 186 · 20
30.6
9
41%
2
2
1
0
3
0
0
2
3-5
60%
3-4
75%
0-5
0%
#10 · SG · 6'3" 215 · 33
28.7
12
67%
4
3
0
0
3
2
1
3
1-4
25%
4-4
100%
1-3
33%
#6 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 21
18.6
11
79%
1
1
1
3
0
0
0
1
4-4
100%
2-2
100%
1-3
33%
#28 · C · 6'11" 243 · 19
13.9
9
90%
4
3
0
1
0
4
0
4
2-2
100%
2-3
67%
1-1
100%
#14 · PG · 6'0" 183 · 34
9.0
5
83%
1
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
1-2
50%
#2 · SF · 6'4" 209 · 29
4.2
2
50%
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
#7 · PG · 6'3" 195 · 23
3.5
0
0%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
#9 · SG · 6'4" 215 · 20
DNP - Coach's Decision
#16 · PF · 6'8" 229 · 20
DNP - Coach's Decision
#25 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 25
INACTIVE
#15 · PG · 6'3" 226 · 20
INACTIVE
#4 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 28
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Foot; Sprain
#1 · PG · 6'4" 210 · 31
INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
94
52%
47
19
8
6
16
16
7
40
16-24
67%
27-47
57%
8-28
29%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.