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All Games Thursday, November 4, 2021
FinalWin Prob.pScore
8
Celtics
33%107
95
5
Heat
67%113
78
ORTG#PossPace
BOS logo BOS
105.69085.8
MIA logo MIA
86.79095.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatCelticsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatCelticsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventBOSMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.95
100%
78
0%
Q4 - 0:23.7HeatMarkieff Morris makes three point jump shot (Gabe Vincent assists)95
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 0:31.9CelticsPayton Pritchard turnover (traveling)95
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 0:40.5CelticsCeltics offensive rebound95
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 0:42.5CelticsPayton Pritchard misses three point jump shot95
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 0:47.2HeatDuncan Robinson personal foul (Grant Williams draws the foul)95
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 0:55.7CelticsCeltics offensive rebound95
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 0:57.5CelticsGrant Williams misses three point jump shot95
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 1:15HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Gabe Vincent assists)95
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 1:30CelticsBruno Fernando turnover (out of bounds step)95
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 1:35CelticsGrant Williams defensive rebound95
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 1:42HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point pullup jump shot95
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 1:44HeatGabe Vincent offensive rebound95
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 1:48HeatBruno Fernando blocks Caleb Martin's two point driving layup95
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 1:50HeatCaleb Martin offensive rebound95
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 1:53HeatCaleb Martin misses three point jump shot95
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 2:20CelticsPayton Pritchard makes three point pullup jump shot95
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 2:40HeatOmer Yurtseven makes two point layup (Gabe Vincent assists)92
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 2:49HeatGabe Vincent defensive rebound92
99.9%
70
0.1%
Q4 - 2:51CelticsRomeo Langford misses three point jump shot92
99.9%
70
0.1%
Q4 - 3:04CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound92
99.9%
70
0.1%
Q4 - 3:08HeatOmer Yurtseven misses two point floating jump shot92
99.9%
70
0.1%
Q4 - 3:24HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound92
99.9%
70
0.1%
Q4 - 3:27CelticsAl Horford misses three point jump shot92
99.9%
70
0.1%
Q4 - 3:44HeatJimmy Butler makes two point alley-oop layup (Bam Adebayo assists)92
99.9%
70
0.1%
Q4 - 3:54HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound92
99.9%
68
0.1%
Q4 - 4:00CelticsJayson Tatum misses three point stepback jump shot92
99.9%
68
0.1%
Q4 - 4:17HeatBam Adebayo makes two point hook shot92
99.9%
68
0.1%
Q4 - 4:21HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound92
99.9%
66
0.1%
Q4 - 4:23HeatJimmy Butler misses two point jump shot92
99.9%
66
0.1%
Q4 - 4:49CelticsRomeo Langford makes two point cutting layup (Dennis Schroder assists)92
99.9%
66
0.1%
Q4 - 4:55CelticsDennis Schroder offensive rebound90
99.9%
66
0.1%
Q4 - 4:59CelticsDennis Schroder misses three point jump shot90
99.9%
66
0.1%
Q4 - 5:10CelticsDennis Schroder defensive rebound90
99.9%
66
0.1%
Q4 - 5:13HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot90
99.9%
66
0.1%
Q4 - 5:35CelticsJayson Tatum makes three point pullup jump shot90
99.9%
66
0.1%
Q4 - 5:43CelticsMarcus Smart defensive rebound87
99.8%
66
0.2%
Q4 - 5:47HeatTyler Herro misses two point fadeaway jump shot87
99.8%
66
0.2%
Q4 - 6:10CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point driving layup87
99.5%
66
0.5%
Q4 - 6:33HeatMarkieff Morris makes two point dunk (Tyler Herro assists)85
99.4%
66
0.6%
Q4 - 6:43HeatHeat defensive rebound85
99.6%
64
0.4%
Q4 - 6:45CelticsRomeo Langford misses three point jump shot85
99.6%
64
0.4%
Q4 - 7:00CelticsJayson Tatum makes technical free throw 1 of 185
99.7%
64
0.3%
Q4 - 7:00HeatMarkieff Morris technical foul84
99.7%
64
0.3%
Q4 - 7:19HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving layup84
99.3%
64
0.7%
Q4 - 7:28HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound84
99.4%
62
0.6%
Q4 - 7:32CelticsJayson Tatum misses two point pullup jump shot84
99.5%
62
0.5%
Q4 - 7:51CelticsAl Horford defensive rebound84
99.6%
62
0.4%
Q4 - 7:54HeatMarkieff Morris misses two point turnaround jump shot84
99.5%
62
0.5%
Q4 - 8:08CelticsAl Horford personal foul (Loose ball) (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)84
99.2%
62
0.8%
Q4 - 8:08HeatHeat offensive rebound84
99.2%
62
0.8%
Q4 - 8:08HeatMarkieff Morris misses two point pullup jump shot84
99.3%
62
0.7%
Q4 - 8:35CelticsJayson Tatum makes three point jump shot (Dennis Schroder assists)84
99.2%
62
0.8%
Q4 - 8:57CelticsRomeo Langford defensive rebound81
98.7%
62
1.3%
Q4 - 9:01HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot81
98.1%
62
1.9%
Q4 - 9:06HeatMarkieff Morris offensive rebound81
97.7%
62
2.3%
Q4 - 9:09HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving floating jump shot81
98.1%
62
1.9%
Q4 - 9:17HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound81
97.7%
62
2.3%
Q4 - 9:17CelticsAl Horford misses three point jump shot81
97.9%
62
2.1%
Q4 - 9:23HeatJimmy Butler makes two point putback layup81
98.3%
62
1.7%
Q4 - 9:23HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound81
98.6%
60
1.4%
Q4 - 9:33HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving floating jump shot81
98.8%
60
1.2%
Q4 - 9:53CelticsAaron Nesmith makes two point layup81
98.6%
60
1.4%
Q4 - 9:58CelticsAaron Nesmith offensive rebound79
98.3%
60
1.7%
Q4 - 9:58CelticsRomeo Langford misses two point running layup79
97.9%
60
2.1%
Q4 - 9:59CelticsAaron Nesmith defensive rebound79
98.3%
60
1.7%
Q4 - 10:03HeatTyler Herro misses two point pullup jump shot79
97.5%
60
2.5%
Q4 - 10:21CelticsAaron Nesmith makes three point jump shot (Romeo Langford assists)79
97.1%
60
2.9%
Q4 - 10:32CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound76
95.7%
60
4.3%
Q4 - 10:37HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot76
95.4%
60
4.6%
Q4 - 10:43HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound76
94.5%
60
5.5%
Q4 - 10:46CelticsJayson Tatum misses two point pullup jump shot76
94.9%
60
5.1%
Q4 - 11:07HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point pullup jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)76
94.8%
60
5.2%
Q4 - 11:19CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 2 of 276
96.6%
57
3.4%
Q4 - 11:19CelticsJayson Tatum misses regular free throw 1 of 275
96.5%
57
3.5%
Q4 - 11:19HeatJimmy Butler shooting foul (Jayson Tatum draws the foul)75
97.0%
57
3.0%
Q4 - 11:32CelticsAaron Nesmith defensive rebound75
96.6%
57
3.4%
Q4 - 11:35HeatTyler Herro misses three point pullup jump shot75
96.4%
57
3.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.75
95.8%
57
4.2%
Q3 - 0:00.1CelticsCeltics offensive rebound75
95.7%
57
4.3%
Q3 - 0:03.1CelticsRomeo Langford misses three point jump shot75
95.2%
57
4.8%
Q3 - 0:09.0CelticsAl Horford offensive rebound75
95.8%
57
4.2%
Q3 - 0:13.5CelticsAaron Nesmith misses two point driving layup75
95.2%
57
4.8%
Q3 - 0:19.5HeatKyle Lowry turnover (bad pass) (Dennis Schroder steals)75
95.8%
57
4.2%
Q3 - 0:32.6CelticsDennis Schroder makes regular free throw 1 of 175
94.9%
57
5.1%
Q3 - 0:32.6HeatDuncan Robinson shooting foul (Dennis Schroder draws the foul)74
94.8%
57
5.2%
Q3 - 0:38.0HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 272
92.6%
57
7.4%
Q3 - 0:38.0HeatBam Adebayo misses regular free throw 1 of 272
92.9%
56
7.1%
Q3 - 0:38.0CelticsAaron Nesmith personal foul (Loose ball) (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)72
91.8%
56
8.2%
Q3 - 0:38.0HeatHeat defensive rebound72
92.6%
56
7.4%
Q3 - 0:38.5CelticsAl Horford misses regular free throw 1 of 172
92.8%
56
7.2%
Q3 - 0:38.5HeatMarkieff Morris shooting foul (Al Horford draws the foul)72
93.7%
56
6.3%
Q3 - 0:42.6CelticsJaylen Brown makes regular free throw 1 of 170
91.1%
56
8.9%
Q3 - 0:42.6HeatTyler Herro personal foul (Away from play) (Jaylen Brown draws the foul)69
90.7%
56
9.3%
Q3 - 0:45.3CelticsDennis Schroder defensive rebound69
89.3%
56
10.7%
Q3 - 0:48.4HeatTyler Herro misses three point pullup jump shot69
88.8%
56
11.2%
Q3 - 1:10CelticsRomeo Langford makes three point jump shot (Aaron Nesmith assists)69
85.3%
56
14.7%
Q3 - 1:25CelticsJaylen Brown defensive rebound66
80.2%
56
19.8%
Q3 - 1:27HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot66
79.2%
56
20.8%
Q3 - 1:43HeatP.J. Tucker defensive rebound66
76.7%
56
23.3%
Q3 - 1:45CelticsAl Horford misses three point jump shot66
77.9%
56
22.1%
Q3 - 1:56CelticsJaylen Brown defensive rebound66
80.3%
56
19.7%
Q3 - 2:00HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot66
79.3%
56
20.7%
Q3 - 2:07CelticsDennis Schroder makes two point running layup66
74.5%
56
25.5%
Q3 - 2:12HeatP.J. Tucker turnover (lost ball) (Dennis Schroder steals)64
71.2%
56
28.8%
Q3 - 2:13HeatP.J. Tucker offensive rebound64
67.1%
56
32.9%
Q3 - 2:19HeatJimmy Butler misses three point pullup jump shot64
70.0%
56
30.0%
Q3 - 2:30HeatJimmy Butler makes technical free throw 1 of 164
67.2%
56
32.8%
Q3 - 2:30CelticsMarcus Smart technical foul64
68.1%
55
31.9%
Q3 - 2:30HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound64
71.0%
55
29.0%
Q3 - 2:32CelticsJaylen Brown misses two point driving floating jump shot64
72.2%
55
27.8%
Q3 - 2:44CelticsDennis Schroder defensive rebound64
74.9%
55
25.1%
Q3 - 2:49HeatJimmy Butler misses regular free throw 2 of 264
74.5%
55
25.5%
Q3 - 2:49HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 264
71.9%
55
28.1%
Q3 - 2:49CelticsRomeo Langford shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)64
72.4%
54
27.6%
Q3 - 3:01CelticsDennis Schroder turnover (traveling)64
73.2%
54
26.8%
Q3 - 3:07HeatJimmy Butler personal foul (Jaylen Brown draws the foul)64
77.0%
54
23.0%
Q3 - 3:22HeatJimmy Butler makes two point cutting layup (Kyle Lowry assists)64
77.0%
54
23.0%
Q3 - 3:26HeatHeat offensive rebound64
79.5%
52
20.5%
Q3 - 3:26HeatTyler Herro misses three point pullup jump shot64
81.7%
52
18.3%
Q3 - 3:43CelticsRomeo Langford makes regular free throw 2 of 264
79.5%
52
20.5%
Q3 - 3:43CelticsRomeo Langford makes regular free throw 1 of 263
78.9%
52
21.1%
Q3 - 3:43HeatTyler Herro shooting foul (Romeo Langford draws the foul)62
78.1%
52
21.9%
Q3 - 4:01HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving layup (Kyle Lowry assists)62
75.3%
52
24.7%
Q3 - 4:08HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound62
77.8%
50
22.2%
Q3 - 4:12CelticsJaylen Brown misses two point pullup jump shot62
78.8%
50
21.2%
Q3 - 4:15CelticsDennis Schroder offensive rebound62
81.0%
50
19.0%
Q3 - 4:19CelticsRobert Williams III misses two point jump shot62
78.9%
50
21.1%
Q3 - 4:35HeatBam Adebayo turnover (out of bounds step)62
81.1%
50
18.9%
Q3 - 4:35HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound62
77.9%
50
22.1%
Q3 - 4:36CelticsDennis Schroder misses two point driving layup62
78.9%
50
21.1%
Q3 - 4:46CelticsJaylen Brown defensive rebound62
81.2%
50
18.8%
Q3 - 4:50HeatBam Adebayo misses two point turnaround hook shot62
80.2%
50
19.8%
Q3 - 5:02CelticsJaylen Brown personal foul (Loose ball) (P.J. Tucker draws the foul)62
76.5%
50
23.5%
Q3 - 5:02HeatHeat offensive rebound62
76.5%
50
23.5%
Q3 - 5:03HeatKyle Lowry misses three point running jump shot62
78.6%
50
21.4%
Q3 - 5:05HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound62
76.5%
50
23.5%
Q3 - 5:11CelticsJaylen Brown misses three point jump shot62
77.4%
50
22.6%
Q3 - 5:15CelticsRobert Williams III offensive rebound62
79.5%
50
20.5%
Q3 - 5:18CelticsJaylen Brown misses two point stepback jump shot62
77.5%
50
22.5%
Q3 - 5:34HeatKyle Lowry makes three point pullup jump shot62
79.5%
50
20.5%
Q3 - 5:40CelticsGrant Williams turnover (bad pass) (Kyle Lowry steals)62
84.1%
47
15.9%
Q3 - 5:48CelticsGrant Williams defensive rebound62
86.3%
47
13.7%
Q3 - 5:52HeatJimmy Butler misses three point jump shot62
85.6%
47
14.4%
Q3 - 5:55HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound62
84.1%
47
15.9%
Q3 - 5:58HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot62
85.6%
47
14.4%
Q3 - 6:17HeatDuncan Robinson makes technical free throw 1 of 162
82.5%
47
17.5%
Q3 - 6:17CelticsJayson Tatum technical foul62
83.1%
46
16.9%
Q3 - 6:17CelticsJayson Tatum turnover (offensive foul)62
83.1%
46
16.9%
Q3 - 6:17CelticsJayson Tatum offensive foul (Charge) (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)62
86.7%
46
13.3%
Q3 - 6:28HeatKyle Lowry turnover (bad pass) (Robert Williams III steals)62
86.8%
46
13.2%
Q3 - 6:33CelticsGrant Williams turnover (bad pass) (Bam Adebayo steals)62
84.7%
46
15.3%
Q3 - 6:56HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 262
86.8%
46
13.2%
Q3 - 6:56HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 262
87.1%
45
12.9%
Q3 - 6:56CelticsJayson Tatum shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)62
87.5%
44
12.5%
Q3 - 7:00CelticsMarcus Smart turnover (bad pass) (Jimmy Butler steals)62
88.3%
44
11.7%
Q3 - 7:15HeatBam Adebayo makes two point turnaround jump shot62
88.9%
44
11.1%
Q3 - 7:28HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound62
90.1%
42
9.9%
Q3 - 7:31CelticsJaylen Brown misses three point jump shot62
90.6%
42
9.4%
Q3 - 7:44HeatKyle Lowry turnover (out of bounds bad pass)62
91.6%
42
8.4%
Q3 - 7:48CelticsJaylen Brown makes three point pullup jump shot62
90.2%
42
9.8%
Q3 - 8:07HeatP.J. Tucker personal foul (Jaylen Brown draws the foul)59
86.6%
42
13.4%
Q3 - 8:08CelticsMarcus Smart defensive rebound59
86.6%
42
13.4%
Q3 - 8:10HeatP.J. Tucker misses three point jump shot59
86.0%
42
14.0%
Q3 - 8:28CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point driving layup (Al Horford assists)59
84.6%
42
15.4%
Q3 - 8:49HeatKyle Lowry makes three point jump shot (P.J. Tucker assists)57
83.0%
42
17.0%
Q3 - 8:55HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound57
86.4%
39
13.6%
Q3 - 9:00CelticsJayson Tatum misses three point pullup jump shot57
87.0%
39
13.0%
Q3 - 9:08HeatJimmy Butler personal foul (Jaylen Brown draws the foul)57
87.2%
39
12.8%
Q3 - 9:19CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound57
87.3%
39
12.7%
Q3 - 9:26HeatJimmy Butler misses regular free throw 1 of 157
87.0%
39
13.0%
Q3 - 9:26CelticsJayson Tatum shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)57
85.8%
39
14.2%
Q3 - 9:44CelticsMarcus Smart makes three point jump shot (Jaylen Brown assists)57
88.6%
37
11.4%
Q3 - 9:52HeatKyle Lowry turnover (bad pass) (Jayson Tatum steals)54
85.7%
37
14.3%
Q3 - 10:10HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound54
82.4%
37
17.6%
Q3 - 10:12CelticsJayson Tatum misses two point driving finger roll layup54
83.1%
37
16.9%
Q3 - 10:34HeatBam Adebayo makes two point jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)54
84.6%
37
15.4%
Q3 - 10:51CelticsAl Horford makes three point jump shot54
86.1%
35
13.9%
Q3 - 11:13HeatBam Adebayo makes two point floating jump shot (P.J. Tucker assists)51
81.5%
35
18.5%
Q3 - 11:28CelticsJaylen Brown turnover (bad pass) (P.J. Tucker steals)51
83.4%
33
16.6%
Q3 - 11:32CelticsRobert Williams III defensive rebound51
85.2%
33
14.8%
Q3 - 11:35HeatKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot51
84.7%
33
15.3%
Q3 - 11:45CelticsRobert Williams III turnover (back court violation)51
83.4%
33
16.6%
Q3 - 11:45CelticsRobert Williams III offensive rebound51
85.2%
33
14.8%
Q3 - 11:48CelticsMarcus Smart misses three point jump shot51
84.0%
33
16.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.51
85.3%
33
14.7%
Q2 - 0:04.1CelticsJaylen Brown makes three point jump shot (Marcus Smart assists)51
82.3%
33
17.7%
Q2 - 0:07.9CelticsRobert Williams III offensive rebound48
77.7%
33
22.3%
Q2 - 0:12.1CelticsDennis Schroder misses three point jump shot48
76.5%
33
23.5%
Q2 - 0:31.3CelticsCeltics defensive rebound48
77.8%
33
22.2%
Q2 - 0:33.0HeatP.J. Tucker misses three point jump shot48
77.3%
33
22.7%
Q2 - 0:38.7CelticsDennis Schroder turnover (back court violation)48
76.0%
33
24.0%
Q2 - 0:57.6HeatBam Adebayo turnover (offensive foul)48
77.9%
33
22.1%
Q2 - 0:57.6HeatBam Adebayo offensive foul (Charge) (Marcus Smart draws the foul)48
76.0%
33
24.0%
Q2 - 1:02HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound48
75.1%
33
24.9%
Q2 - 1:05CelticsJaylen Brown misses two point driving layup48
75.5%
33
24.5%
Q2 - 1:10HeatJimmy Butler turnover (lost ball) (Jaylen Brown steals)48
76.6%
33
23.4%
Q2 - 1:23CelticsMarcus Smart makes two point driving floating jump shot (Jaylen Brown assists)48
75.1%
33
24.9%
Q2 - 1:42HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 246
71.8%
33
28.2%
Q2 - 1:42HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 246
72.2%
32
27.8%
Q2 - 1:42CelticsRomeo Langford shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)46
72.6%
31
27.4%
Q2 - 1:52HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound46
75.2%
31
24.8%
Q2 - 1:56CelticsDennis Schroder misses three point jump shot46
75.6%
31
24.4%
Q2 - 2:13CelticsMarcus Smart defensive rebound46
75.6%
31
24.4%
Q2 - 2:20HeatP.J. Tucker misses three point jump shot46
74.9%
31
25.1%
Q2 - 2:35CelticsDennis Schroder makes regular free throw 2 of 246
73.3%
31
26.7%
Q2 - 2:35CelticsDennis Schroder makes regular free throw 1 of 245
73.0%
31
27.0%
Q2 - 2:35HeatTyler Herro shooting foul (Dennis Schroder draws the foul)44
72.6%
31
27.4%
Q2 - 2:43HeatKyle Lowry turnover (bad pass) (Marcus Smart steals)44
70.9%
31
29.1%
Q2 - 2:46HeatP.J. Tucker offensive rebound44
68.3%
31
31.7%
Q2 - 2:49HeatKyle Lowry misses two point driving floating jump shot44
70.1%
31
29.9%
Q2 - 3:08CelticsDennis Schroder makes two point pullup jump shot44
66.2%
31
33.8%
Q2 - 3:18CelticsRobert Williams III defensive rebound42
64.2%
31
35.8%
Q2 - 3:23HeatJimmy Butler misses regular free throw 2 of 242
63.7%
31
36.3%
Q2 - 3:23HeatJimmy Butler misses regular free throw 1 of 242
61.8%
31
38.2%
Q2 - 3:23CelticsAl Horford shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)42
59.4%
31
40.6%
Q2 - 3:37CelticsMarcus Smart makes regular free throw 2 of 242
60.9%
31
39.1%
Q2 - 3:37CelticsMarcus Smart makes regular free throw 1 of 241
60.4%
31
39.6%
Q2 - 3:37HeatDewayne Dedmon personal foul (Marcus Smart draws the foul)40
59.9%
31
40.1%
Q2 - 3:46CelticsMarcus Smart defensive rebound40
58.7%
31
41.3%
Q2 - 3:53HeatKyle Lowry misses two point stepback jump shot40
57.7%
31
42.3%
Q2 - 4:10CelticsMarcus Smart makes regular free throw 2 of 240
54.3%
31
45.7%
Q2 - 4:10CelticsMarcus Smart makes regular free throw 1 of 239
53.8%
31
46.2%
Q2 - 4:10HeatDewayne Dedmon personal foul (Loose ball) (Marcus Smart draws the foul)38
53.2%
31
46.8%
Q2 - 4:10CelticsCeltics defensive rebound38
51.6%
31
48.4%
Q2 - 4:10HeatJimmy Butler misses two point stepback jump shot38
50.7%
31
49.3%
Q2 - 4:33CelticsJaylen Brown turnover (offensive foul)38
48.7%
31
51.3%
Q2 - 4:33CelticsJaylen Brown offensive foul (Off the ball) (Duncan Robinson draws the foul)38
51.6%
31
48.4%
Q2 - 4:34CelticsAl Horford defensive rebound38
51.6%
31
48.4%
Q2 - 4:38HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot38
50.7%
31
49.3%
Q2 - 4:47CelticsDennis Schroder makes three point pullup jump shot38
48.7%
31
51.3%
Q2 - 5:03HeatJimmy Butler turnover (out of bounds lost ball)35
42.9%
31
57.1%
Q2 - 5:24CelticsJaylen Brown makes regular free throw 2 of 235
39.6%
31
60.4%
Q2 - 5:24CelticsJaylen Brown makes regular free throw 1 of 234
39.0%
31
61.0%
Q2 - 5:24HeatDuncan Robinson shooting foul (Jaylen Brown draws the foul)33
38.3%
31
61.7%
Q2 - 5:31CelticsAl Horford offensive rebound33
37.5%
31
62.5%
Q2 - 5:33CelticsJaylen Brown misses two point driving dunk33
35.4%
31
64.6%
Q2 - 5:39CelticsJaylen Brown defensive rebound33
37.5%
31
62.5%
Q2 - 5:43HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point bank jump shot33
36.6%
31
63.4%
Q2 - 5:48HeatHeat offensive rebound33
34.4%
31
65.6%
Q2 - 5:48HeatAl Horford blocks Tyler Herro's two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot33
36.6%
31
63.4%
Q2 - 6:01CelticsAl Horford makes regular free throw 2 of 233
34.3%
31
65.7%
Q2 - 6:01CelticsAl Horford makes regular free throw 1 of 232
33.9%
31
66.1%
Q2 - 6:01HeatMarkieff Morris shooting foul (Al Horford draws the foul)31
33.4%
31
66.6%
Q2 - 6:18CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound31
32.4%
31
67.6%
Q2 - 6:21HeatMarkieff Morris misses three point jump shot31
31.5%
31
68.5%
Q2 - 6:43CelticsMarcus Smart turnover (bad pass) (Bam Adebayo steals)31
29.5%
31
70.5%
Q2 - 6:57HeatTyler Herro turnover (out of bounds bad pass)31
32.4%
31
67.6%
Q2 - 6:58HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound31
29.5%
31
70.5%
Q2 - 7:01CelticsAaron Nesmith misses three point jump shot31
30.4%
31
69.6%
Q2 - 7:20HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving floating jump shot31
32.0%
31
68.0%
Q2 - 7:41CelticsAaron Nesmith makes three point jump shot (Dennis Schroder assists)31
34.3%
29
65.7%
Q2 - 7:55HeatBam Adebayo turnover (out of bounds bad pass)28
29.8%
29
70.2%
Q2 - 7:58CelticsJayson Tatum personal foul (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)28
27.5%
29
72.5%
Q2 - 8:02CelticsRomeo Langford makes two point putback dunk28
27.5%
29
72.5%
Q2 - 8:04CelticsRomeo Langford offensive rebound26
25.5%
29
74.5%
Q2 - 8:06CelticsJayson Tatum misses two point driving floating jump shot26
24.1%
29
75.9%
Q2 - 8:19HeatCaleb Martin personal foul (Jayson Tatum draws the foul)26
25.5%
29
74.5%
Q2 - 8:29HeatCaleb Martin makes regular free throw 2 of 226
25.5%
29
74.5%
Q2 - 8:29HeatCaleb Martin misses regular free throw 1 of 226
26.1%
28
73.9%
Q2 - 8:29CelticsRomeo Langford shooting foul (Caleb Martin draws the foul)26
24.7%
28
75.3%
Q2 - 8:29HeatMarkieff Morris defensive rebound26
25.4%
28
74.6%
Q2 - 8:32CelticsJayson Tatum misses two point driving floating jump shot26
26.1%
28
73.9%
Q2 - 8:44HeatMarkieff Morris turnover (out of bounds bad pass)26
27.5%
28
72.5%
Q2 - 9:06CelticsRomeo Langford makes three point jump shot (Dennis Schroder assists)26
25.4%
28
74.6%
Q2 - 9:16HeatBam Adebayo turnover (out of bounds bad pass)23
21.8%
28
78.2%
Q2 - 9:17HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound23
20.0%
28
80.0%
Q2 - 9:21CelticsDennis Schroder misses two point driving layup23
20.6%
28
79.4%
Q2 - 9:29HeatMarkieff Morris turnover (bad pass) (Robert Williams III steals)23
21.8%
28
78.2%
Q2 - 9:41CelticsRomeo Langford personal foul (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)23
20.0%
28
80.0%
Q2 - 9:48CelticsRobert Williams III makes two point alley-oop dunk (Jayson Tatum assists)23
20.0%
28
80.0%
Q2 - 9:56HeatKyle Lowry personal foul (Dennis Schroder draws the foul)21
18.5%
28
81.5%
Q2 - 9:57CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound21
18.5%
28
81.5%
Q2 - 10:01HeatTyler Herro misses three point stepback jump shot21
18.2%
28
81.8%
Q2 - 10:06CelticsDennis Schroder turnover (bad pass) (Kyle Lowry steals)21
17.2%
28
82.8%
Q2 - 10:31HeatKyle Lowry turnover (out of bounds bad pass)21
18.7%
28
81.3%
Q2 - 10:38CelticsJabari Parker turnover (lost ball) (Tyler Herro steals)21
17.2%
28
82.8%
Q2 - 10:50HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving finger roll layup21
18.7%
28
81.3%
Q2 - 11:05HeatMarkieff Morris defensive rebound21
20.4%
26
79.6%
Q2 - 11:09CelticsDennis Schroder misses two point driving layup21
20.8%
26
79.2%
Q2 - 11:27HeatMarkieff Morris makes two point pullup jump shot21
21.9%
26
78.1%
Q2 - 11:46CelticsAaron Nesmith makes three point jump shot (Dennis Schroder assists)21
23.7%
24
76.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.18
20.3%
24
79.7%
Q1 - 0:00.1HeatHeat offensive rebound18
18.8%
24
81.2%
Q1 - 0:00.1HeatMarkieff Morris misses three point pullup jump shot18
19.7%
24
80.3%
Q1 - 0:03.5HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound18
18.8%
24
81.2%
Q1 - 0:03.5CelticsAaron Nesmith misses three point fadeaway jump shot18
19.2%
24
80.8%
Q1 - 0:25.9HeatDewayne Dedmon makes two point hook shot18
20.1%
24
79.9%
Q1 - 0:28.0HeatMarkieff Morris offensive rebound18
21.9%
22
78.1%
Q1 - 0:33.2HeatTyler Herro misses two point pullup jump shot18
22.9%
22
77.1%
Q1 - 0:49.6CelticsDennis Schroder makes two point driving finger roll layup18
21.9%
22
78.1%
Q1 - 0:59.2HeatMarkieff Morris makes regular free throw 2 of 216
20.1%
22
79.9%
Q1 - 0:59.2HeatMarkieff Morris makes regular free throw 1 of 216
20.4%
21
79.6%
Q1 - 0:59.2CelticsAl Horford shooting foul (Markieff Morris draws the foul)16
20.8%
20
79.2%
Q1 - 1:18CelticsAaron Nesmith makes two point driving layup (Dennis Schroder assists)16
22.0%
20
78.0%
Q1 - 1:26CelticsAl Horford defensive rebound14
20.2%
20
79.8%
Q1 - 1:32HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point bank jump shot14
19.8%
20
80.2%
Q1 - 1:39HeatDewayne Dedmon defensive rebound14
18.9%
20
81.1%
Q1 - 1:44CelticsDennis Schroder misses two point pullup jump shot14
19.3%
20
80.7%
Q1 - 1:57HeatJimmy Butler makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot14
20.2%
20
79.8%
Q1 - 2:09HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound14
22.0%
18
78.0%
Q1 - 2:12CelticsGrant Williams misses three point jump shot14
22.5%
18
77.5%
Q1 - 2:23CelticsRobert Williams III defensive rebound14
23.7%
18
76.3%
Q1 - 2:27HeatJimmy Butler misses three point jump shot14
23.2%
18
76.8%
Q1 - 2:35HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound14
22.0%
18
78.0%
Q1 - 2:40HeatJaylen Brown blocks Jimmy Butler's two point driving floating jump shot14
23.2%
18
76.8%
Q1 - 2:54CelticsRobert Williams III turnover (out of bounds step)14
22.0%
18
78.0%
Q1 - 3:08HeatP.J. Tucker turnover (out of bounds bad pass)14
23.8%
18
76.2%
Q1 - 3:19HeatHeat offensive rebound14
22.0%
18
78.0%
Q1 - 3:20HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot14
23.2%
18
76.8%
Q1 - 3:42CelticsRobert Williams III makes two point tip layup14
22.0%
18
78.0%
Q1 - 3:42CelticsRobert Williams III offensive rebound12
20.7%
18
79.3%
Q1 - 3:43CelticsJayson Tatum misses two point driving floating jump shot12
19.6%
18
80.4%
Q1 - 3:58CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound12
20.7%
18
79.3%
Q1 - 4:01HeatKyle Lowry misses three point pullup jump shot12
20.5%
18
79.5%
Q1 - 4:12CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point driving layup12
19.4%
18
80.6%
Q1 - 4:31HeatP.J. Tucker makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)10
18.3%
18
81.7%
Q1 - 4:45HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound10
20.7%
15
79.3%
Q1 - 4:50CelticsMarcus Smart misses three point jump shot10
21.2%
15
78.8%
Q1 - 4:55CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound10
22.4%
15
77.6%
Q1 - 4:58HeatBam Adebayo misses two point pullup jump shot10
21.9%
15
78.1%
Q1 - 5:19CelticsJaylen Brown makes three point jump shot (Marcus Smart assists)10
20.9%
15
79.1%
Q1 - 5:42HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)7
18.5%
15
81.5%
Q1 - 6:01CelticsGrant Williams makes three point jump shot (Robert Williams III assists)7
21.1%
12
78.9%
Q1 - 6:19HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point stepback jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)4
18.6%
12
81.4%
Q1 - 6:26HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound4
21.1%
9
78.9%
Q1 - 6:30CelticsJaylen Brown misses two point driving layup4
21.5%
9
78.5%
Q1 - 6:42HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving layup (P.J. Tucker assists)4
22.5%
9
77.5%
Q1 - 6:46HeatP.J. Tucker offensive rebound4
23.9%
7
76.1%
Q1 - 6:49HeatKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot4
24.9%
7
75.1%
Q1 - 6:54HeatP.J. Tucker offensive rebound4
23.9%
7
76.1%
Q1 - 6:57HeatJimmy Butler misses three point jump shot4
24.9%
7
75.1%
Q1 - 7:02HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound4
23.7%
7
76.3%
Q1 - 7:05CelticsAl Horford misses three point jump shot4
24.2%
7
75.8%
Q1 - 7:19HeatJimmy Butler makes two point cutting layup (Kyle Lowry assists)4
25.3%
7
74.7%
Q1 - 7:24HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound4
26.7%
5
73.3%
Q1 - 7:27CelticsJayson Tatum misses two point jump shot4
27.2%
5
72.8%
Q1 - 7:44HeatBam Adebayo turnover (offensive foul)4
28.4%
5
71.6%
Q1 - 7:44HeatBam Adebayo offensive foul (Off the ball) (Marcus Smart draws the foul)4
26.7%
5
73.3%
Q1 - 7:54CelticsJaylen Brown makes regular free throw 2 of 24
26.7%
5
73.3%
Q1 - 7:54CelticsJaylen Brown misses regular free throw 1 of 23
26.4%
5
73.6%
Q1 - 7:54HeatKyle Lowry shooting foul (Jaylen Brown draws the foul)3
27.5%
5
72.5%
Q1 - 7:55CelticsRobert Williams III offensive rebound3
26.8%
5
73.2%
Q1 - 7:58CelticsAl Horford misses two point turnaround hook shot3
25.7%
5
74.3%
Q1 - 8:04CelticsRobert Williams III defensive rebound3
26.8%
5
73.2%
Q1 - 8:07HeatAl Horford blocks Bam Adebayo's two point pullup jump shot3
26.2%
5
73.8%
Q1 - 8:27CelticsAl Horford makes three point jump shot (Jayson Tatum assists)3
25.1%
5
74.9%
Q1 - 8:41HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)0
22.5%
5
77.5%
Q1 - 8:48HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound0
25.1%
2
74.9%
Q1 - 8:51CelticsAl Horford misses three point jump shot0
25.6%
2
74.4%
Q1 - 9:04HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 20
26.8%
2
73.2%
Q1 - 9:04HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 20
27.0%
1
73.0%
Q1 - 9:04CelticsMarcus Smart shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)0
27.4%
0
72.6%
Q1 - 9:07HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound0
28.0%
0
72.0%
Q1 - 9:10CelticsJayson Tatum misses three point fadeaway jump shot0
28.5%
0
71.5%
Q1 - 9:28CelticsAl Horford defensive rebound0
29.8%
0
70.2%
Q1 - 9:33HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot0
29.3%
0
70.7%
Q1 - 9:34HeatP.J. Tucker offensive rebound0
28.0%
0
72.0%
Q1 - 9:37HeatBam Adebayo misses two point jump shot0
29.3%
0
70.7%
Q1 - 9:48HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound0
28.0%
0
72.0%
Q1 - 9:51CelticsMarcus Smart misses three point jump shot0
28.6%
0
71.4%
Q1 - 10:03CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound0
29.4%
0
70.6%
Q1 - 10:06HeatJimmy Butler misses two point stepback jump shot0
28.9%
0
71.1%
Q1 - 10:26CelticsMarcus Smart turnover (bad pass) (Kyle Lowry steals)0
27.7%
0
72.3%
Q1 - 10:42CelticsAl Horford defensive rebound0
29.4%
0
70.6%
Q1 - 10:45HeatP.J. Tucker misses three point jump shot0
28.9%
0
71.1%
Q1 - 10:53CelticsAl Horford personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)0
27.8%
0
72.2%
Q1 - 10:53HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound0
27.8%
0
72.2%
Q1 - 10:57CelticsMarcus Smart misses three point jump shot0
28.3%
0
71.7%
Q1 - 11:06CelticsJaylen Brown defensive rebound0
29.2%
0
70.8%
Q1 - 11:08HeatP.J. Tucker misses two point driving hook shot0
28.7%
0
71.3%
Q1 - 11:13HeatP.J. Tucker defensive rebound0
27.5%
0
72.5%
Q1 - 11:19CelticsJaylen Brown misses two point pullup jump shot0
28.0%
0
72.0%
Q1 - 11:35CelticsRobert Williams III defensive rebound0
29.2%
0
70.8%
Q1 - 11:40HeatKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot0
28.7%
0
71.3%
Q1 - 12:00Robert Williams III vs. Bam Adebayo (Kyle Lowry gains possession)0
27.5%
0
72.5%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

BOS
1.08 54.0%
MIA
0.86 42.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
BOS
13
22
59%
MIA
11
16
69%
Midrange
BOS
2
15
13%
MIA
8
24
33%
3PT | Effective 3PT
BOS
16
24.0
41
39%
59%
MIA
9
13.5
41
22%
33%
Free Throws
BOS
17
20
85%
MIA
13
19
68%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
BOS logo Celtics
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Brown1753%8.5 / 16
D. Schröder1454%7.0 / 13
A. Nesmith1381%6.5 / 8
R. Langford1267%6.0 / 9
A. Horford1050%5.0 / 10
J. Tatum1036%5.0 / 14
M. Smart956%4.5 / 8
R. Williams467%2.0 / 3
G. Williams350%1.5 / 3
P. Pritchard375%1.5 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Butler2048%10.0 / 21
D. Robinson1647%8.0 / 17
B. Adebayo1359%6.5 / 11
M. Morris956%4.5 / 8
K. Lowry633%3.0 / 9
T. Herro627%3.0 / 11
P. Tucker325%1.5 / 6
D. Dedmon2100%1.0 / 1
O. Yurtseven250%1.0 / 2
C. Martin117%0.5 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

BOS
74
+14
-16
88
MIA
72
+19
-18
91
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

BOS
1.08 54.0%
MIA
0.86 42.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
114.2
113.3
BOS 105.6
MIA 86.7 +18.9
Pace
96.8
96.2
BOS 85.8
MIA 95.6 +9.8
Avg. Poss. Time
15.1
15.0
BOS 16.8
MIA 15.1 +1.7
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
54.2%
54.7%
BOS 50.0% +9.9%
MIA 40.1%
TO %
13.3%
14.2%
BOS 15.6% +1.2%
MIA 16.8%
ORB %
24.1%
23.5%
BOS 25.6%
MIA 27.1% +1.5%
FTrt
23.9
25.2
BOS 25.6 +2.1
MIA 23.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.9%
64.4%
BOS 51.6%
MIA 64.3% +12.7%
STL %
7.4%
7.6%
BOS 7.8%
MIA 8.9% +1.1%
BLK %
10.9%
7.1%
BOS 10.0% +10.0%
MIA 0.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
56.6%
56.8%
BOS 54.0% +11.1%
MIA 42.9%
Rim FG%
65.0%
63.4%
BOS 59.1%
MIA 68.8% +9.7%
Mid FG%
41.0%
41.4%
BOS 13.3%
MIA 33.3% +20.0%
3P %
35.6%
37.9%
BOS 39.0% +17.0%
MIA 22.0%
FT %
81.6%
80.8%
BOS 85.0% +16.6%
MIA 68.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
32.9%
30.6%
BOS 28.2% +8.5%
MIA 19.8%
Mid Att. %
24.6%
27.1%
BOS 19.2% +10.4%
MIA 29.6%
3P Att. %
42.5%
42.2%
BOS 52.6% +1.9%
MIA 50.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsBOSMIA
Possessions9090
Possession Minutes25.222.6
Points9578
Rebounds4645
Assists1618
Steals78
Blocks40
Turnovers (Team)16 (0)18 (0)
Fouls1619
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (3)13 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)35 (2)32 (2)
Field Goals31-7828-81
At-the-Rim FG13-2211-16
Midrange FG2-158-24
2-Point FG15-3719-40
3-Point FG16-419-41
Free Throws17-2013-19
Fast Break Pts25
2nd Chance Pts1410
Points in Paint2836
Pts off Turnovers1614
Bench Points4520
Biggest Lead268

BOXSCORE

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8 Boston Celtics
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Marcus Smart
#36 · PG · 6'3" 220 · 28
30.0
9
56%
4
2
1
0
3
1
0
4
4-4
100%
1-1
100%
1-5
20%
Al Horford
#42 · PF · 6'10" 245 · 35
29.4
10
50%
7
1
0
2
0
4
2
5
2-3
67%
1-2
50%
2-7
29%
Jayson Tatum
#0 · SF · 6'8" 210 · 24
29.4
10
36%
8
2
1
0
1
4
0
8
2-3
67%
1-8
13%
2-5
40%
Jaylen Brown
#7 · SG · 6'6" 223 · 25
29.3
17
53%
5
2
1
1
2
2
0
5
4-5
80%
2-9
22%
3-5
60%
Robert Williams III
#44 · C · 6'9" 249 · 24
23.9
4
67%
10
1
2
0
2
0
5
5
0-0
-
2-3
67%
0-0
-
Dennis Schroder
#71 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 28
29.8
14
54%
5
6
2
0
3
0
2
3
3-3
100%
4-8
50%
1-4
25%
Romeo Langford
#9 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 22
27.4
12
67%
2
1
0
0
0
4
1
1
2-2
100%
2-3
67%
2-5
40%
Aaron Nesmith
#26 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 22
18.3
13
81%
3
1
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
2-3
67%
3-5
60%
Grant Williams
#12 · PF · 6'6" 236 · 23
12.4
3
50%
2
0
0
0
2
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-3
33%
Payton Pritchard
#11 · SG · 6'1" 195 · 24
2.5
3
75%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-2
50%
Bruno Fernando
#28 · C · 6'10" 233 · 23
2.5
0
0%
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
Juancho Hernangomez
#41 · PF · 6'9" 230 · 26
2.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
Jabari Parker
#20 · PF · 6'8" 250 · 27
2.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
Enes Freedom
#13 · C · 6'11" 245 · 29
DNP - Coach's Decision
Josh Richardson
#8 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 28
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Foot; Contusion
Brodric Thomas
#97 · SG · 6'5" 185 · 25
INACTIVE
Sam Hauser
#30 · PF · 6'7" 217 · 24
INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
95
54%
46
16
7
4
16
16
11
35
17-20
85%
15-37
41%
16-41
39%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.