FinalWin Prob.pScore
759%113
106
2141%109
108
ORTG#PossPace
DEN logo DEN
111.69591.9
MEM logo MEM
113.79598.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

GrizzliesNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

GrizzliesNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDENMEM
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.106
0%
108
100%
Q4 - 0:00.1NuggetsNuggets offensive rebound106
2.3%
108
97.7%
Q4 - 0:00.1NuggetsNikola Jokic misses two point turnaround jump shot106
1.0%
108
99.0%
Q4 - 0:08.9GrizzliesKyle Anderson personal foul (Take) (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)106
17.2%
108
82.8%
Q4 - 0:10.6GrizzliesJa Morant makes regular free throw 2 of 2106
18.7%
108
81.3%
Q4 - 0:10.6GrizzliesJa Morant misses regular free throw 1 of 2106
22.4%
107
77.6%
Q4 - 0:10.6NuggetsAaron Gordon personal foul (Take) (Ja Morant draws the foul)106
11.4%
107
88.6%
Q4 - 0:12.5NuggetsAaron Gordon personal foul (Take) (Ja Morant draws the foul)106
17.7%
107
82.3%
Q4 - 0:22.4NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point driving finger roll layup106
20.9%
107
79.1%
Q4 - 0:35.5GrizzliesGrizzlies turnover (shot clock violation)104
12.8%
107
87.2%
Q4 - 0:35.5GrizzliesGrizzlies offensive rebound104
5.1%
107
94.9%
Q4 - 0:35.5GrizzliesJa Morant misses two point turnaround jump shot104
9.8%
107
90.2%
Q4 - 0:58.1GrizzliesJa Morant defensive rebound104
12.0%
107
88.0%
Q4 - 1:00NuggetsWill Barton misses three point pullup jump shot104
14.5%
107
85.5%
Q4 - 1:20GrizzliesDesmond Bane makes three point pullup jump shot104
24.9%
107
75.1%
Q4 - 1:40GrizzliesJaren Jackson Jr. defensive rebound104
48.0%
104
52.0%
Q4 - 1:42NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. misses two point stepback jump shot104
52.0%
104
48.0%
Q4 - 2:04NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. defensive rebound104
62.9%
104
37.1%
Q4 - 2:06GrizzliesJa Morant misses two point pullup jump shot104
58.6%
104
41.4%
Q4 - 2:16GrizzliesJaren Jackson Jr. defensive rebound104
48.2%
104
51.8%
Q4 - 2:18NuggetsWill Barton misses three point pullup jump shot104
53.0%
104
47.0%
Q4 - 2:45GrizzliesJa Morant makes two point driving floating jump shot104
63.9%
104
36.1%
Q4 - 3:02NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point jump shot (Will Barton assists)104
68.9%
102
31.1%
Q4 - 3:18GrizzliesJaren Jackson Jr. turnover (bad pass) (Nikola Jokic steals)102
62.6%
102
37.4%
Q4 - 3:30NuggetsMonte Morris makes two point pullup jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)102
49.0%
102
51.0%
Q4 - 3:51NuggetsNuggets defensive rebound100
41.9%
102
58.1%
Q4 - 3:52GrizzliesDe'Anthony Melton misses three point stepback jump shot100
39.1%
102
60.9%
Q4 - 4:17NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point jump shot (Monte Morris assists)100
32.5%
102
67.5%
Q4 - 4:27NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. defensive rebound98
25.6%
102
74.4%
Q4 - 4:30GrizzliesKyle Anderson misses two point pullup jump shot98
23.3%
102
76.7%
Q4 - 4:52NuggetsWill Barton makes two point driving finger roll layup98
18.7%
102
81.3%
Q4 - 5:00NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. defensive rebound96
14.1%
102
85.9%
Q4 - 5:02GrizzliesDe'Anthony Melton misses two point driving floating jump shot96
16.4%
102
83.6%
Q4 - 5:10GrizzliesSteven Adams defensive rebound96
13.3%
102
86.7%
Q4 - 5:10NuggetsNikola Jokic misses two point tip layup96
14.5%
102
85.5%
Q4 - 5:10NuggetsNikola Jokic offensive rebound96
17.8%
102
82.2%
Q4 - 5:14NuggetsAaron Gordon misses two point driving floating jump shot96
14.5%
102
85.5%
Q4 - 5:29GrizzliesSteven Adams personal foul (Will Barton draws the foul)96
17.6%
102
82.4%
Q4 - 5:40GrizzliesSteven Adams makes two point tip layup96
17.6%
102
82.4%
Q4 - 5:40GrizzliesSteven Adams offensive rebound96
22.3%
100
77.7%
Q4 - 5:45GrizzliesDesmond Bane misses two point jump shot96
26.7%
100
73.3%
Q4 - 5:55NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point cutting layup (Will Barton assists)96
22.2%
100
77.8%
Q4 - 6:04GrizzliesDe'Anthony Melton personal foul (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)94
21.1%
100
78.9%
Q4 - 6:24GrizzliesDesmond Bane makes three point stepback jump shot (Ja Morant assists)94
20.9%
100
79.1%
Q4 - 6:42NuggetsNikola Jokic makes three point jump shot (Bones Hyland assists)94
30.8%
97
69.2%
Q4 - 7:05GrizzliesDesmond Bane turnover (out of bounds bad pass)91
23.9%
97
76.1%
Q4 - 7:24GrizzliesJaren Jackson Jr. defensive rebound91
18.6%
97
81.4%
Q4 - 7:26NuggetsWill Barton misses two point driving floating jump shot91
20.0%
97
80.0%
Q4 - 7:48GrizzliesJaren Jackson Jr. makes three point jump shot (Tyus Jones assists)91
23.7%
97
76.3%
Q4 - 7:58NuggetsNikola Jokic makes regular free throw 2 of 291
33.5%
94
66.5%
Q4 - 7:58NuggetsNikola Jokic makes regular free throw 1 of 290
32.7%
94
67.3%
Q4 - 7:58GrizzliesJaren Jackson Jr. shooting foul (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)89
31.7%
94
68.3%
Q4 - 8:21GrizzliesTyus Jones makes three point running jump shot (Desmond Bane assists)89
29.9%
94
70.1%
Q4 - 8:26GrizzliesJaren Jackson Jr. defensive rebound89
41.1%
91
58.9%
Q4 - 8:30NuggetsWill Barton misses three point running jump shot89
43.0%
91
57.0%
Q4 - 8:34NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound89
47.5%
91
52.5%
Q4 - 8:37GrizzliesDesmond Bane misses three point stepback jump shot89
45.5%
91
54.5%
Q4 - 8:53NuggetsBones Hyland makes three point jump shot89
41.0%
91
59.0%
Q4 - 9:05GrizzliesDesmond Bane makes regular free throw 1 of 186
32.0%
91
68.0%
Q4 - 9:05NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. shooting foul (Desmond Bane draws the foul)86
32.8%
90
67.2%
Q4 - 9:14GrizzliesJaren Jackson Jr. defensive rebound86
42.2%
88
57.8%
Q4 - 9:17NuggetsJeff Green misses three point jump shot86
44.2%
88
55.8%
Q4 - 9:32GrizzliesJaren Jackson Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 286
48.7%
88
51.3%
Q4 - 9:32GrizzliesJaren Jackson Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 286
49.8%
87
50.2%
Q4 - 9:32NuggetsJeff Green shooting foul (Jaren Jackson Jr. draws the foul)86
51.0%
86
49.0%
Q4 - 9:51NuggetsWill Barton makes three point stepback jump shot86
53.9%
86
46.1%
Q4 - 10:14GrizzliesTyus Jones makes two point pullup jump shot (Jaren Jackson Jr. assists)83
44.0%
86
56.0%
Q4 - 10:24GrizzliesZiaire Williams offensive rebound83
48.7%
84
51.3%
Q4 - 10:29GrizzliesDesmond Bane misses two point driving finger roll layup83
53.1%
84
46.9%
Q4 - 10:47GrizzliesZiaire Williams defensive rebound83
48.7%
84
51.3%
Q4 - 10:50NuggetsJaren Jackson Jr. blocks Bones Hyland's three point jump shot83
50.7%
84
49.3%
Q4 - 11:15GrizzliesJaren Jackson Jr. makes three point jump shot (Desmond Bane assists)83
54.5%
84
45.5%
Q4 - 11:21GrizzliesTyus Jones defensive rebound83
64.6%
81
35.4%
Q4 - 11:24NuggetsBones Hyland misses two point driving layup83
66.1%
81
33.9%
Q4 - 11:46GrizzliesJaren Jackson Jr. makes three point stepback jump shot (Desmond Bane assists)83
69.4%
81
30.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.83
77.6%
78
22.4%
Q3 - 0:01.5GrizzliesJaren Jackson Jr. makes three point running jump shot (Tyus Jones assists)83
80.4%
78
19.6%
Q3 - 0:06.0GrizzliesJohn Konchar defensive rebound83
86.1%
75
13.9%
Q3 - 0:09.5NuggetsWill Barton misses two point driving floating jump shot83
86.8%
75
13.2%
Q3 - 0:31.0GrizzliesZiaire Williams makes two point driving floating jump shot (Tyus Jones assists)83
88.3%
75
11.7%
Q3 - 0:40.2NuggetsBones Hyland makes two point running dunk (Facundo Campazzo assists)83
90.3%
73
9.7%
Q3 - 0:41.0NuggetsFacundo Campazzo defensive rebound81
88.3%
73
11.7%
Q3 - 0:45.2GrizzliesZiaire Williams misses three point jump shot81
87.7%
73
12.3%
Q3 - 0:49.8GrizzliesTyus Jones defensive rebound81
86.1%
73
13.9%
Q3 - 0:52.3NuggetsBones Hyland misses three point jump shot81
86.8%
73
13.2%
Q3 - 1:04NuggetsNuggets defensive rebound81
87.5%
73
12.5%
Q3 - 1:05GrizzliesJohn Konchar misses three point jump shot81
86.8%
73
13.2%
Q3 - 1:20NuggetsWill Barton makes three point jump shot (Facundo Campazzo assists)81
85.1%
73
14.9%
Q3 - 1:26NuggetsJeff Green defensive rebound78
79.9%
73
20.1%
Q3 - 1:29GrizzliesZiaire Williams misses three point jump shot78
78.9%
73
21.1%
Q3 - 1:42NuggetsP.J. Dozier personal foul (Take) (Jaren Jackson Jr. draws the foul)78
76.3%
73
23.7%
Q3 - 1:48NuggetsWill Barton makes three point stepback jump shot (Aaron Gordon assists)78
76.3%
73
23.7%
Q3 - 2:06GrizzliesKyle Anderson makes two point driving floating jump shot (Tyus Jones assists)75
68.5%
73
31.5%
Q3 - 2:20NuggetsWill Barton makes two point driving reverse layup (P.J. Dozier assists)75
72.0%
71
28.0%
Q3 - 2:24NuggetsJaMychal Green defensive rebound73
68.5%
71
31.5%
Q3 - 2:27GrizzliesAaron Gordon blocks Ja Morant's two point driving finger roll layup73
67.2%
71
32.8%
Q3 - 2:35NuggetsAaron Gordon personal foul (Ja Morant draws the foul)73
64.1%
71
35.9%
Q3 - 2:46NuggetsNikola Jokic makes regular free throw 2 of 273
64.1%
71
35.9%
Q3 - 2:46NuggetsNikola Jokic makes regular free throw 1 of 272
63.6%
71
36.4%
Q3 - 2:46GrizzliesJaren Jackson Jr. shooting foul (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)71
62.9%
71
37.1%
Q3 - 2:46NuggetsNikola Jokic offensive rebound71
60.3%
71
39.7%
Q3 - 2:47NuggetsP.J. Dozier misses two point pullup jump shot71
56.9%
71
43.1%
Q3 - 2:54GrizzliesKyle Anderson personal foul (Bones Hyland draws the foul)71
60.3%
71
39.7%
Q3 - 3:00NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. defensive rebound71
60.3%
71
39.7%
Q3 - 3:03GrizzliesJa Morant misses three point pullup jump shot71
59.2%
71
40.8%
Q3 - 3:10NuggetsBones Hyland turnover (bad pass) (Ja Morant steals)71
55.7%
71
44.3%
Q3 - 3:18NuggetsBones Hyland defensive rebound71
60.6%
71
39.4%
Q3 - 3:20GrizzliesKyle Anderson misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot71
59.1%
71
40.9%
Q3 - 3:29GrizzliesSteven Adams defensive rebound71
55.7%
71
44.3%
Q3 - 3:32NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. misses three point jump shot71
57.2%
71
42.8%
Q3 - 3:44NuggetsNikola Jokic makes technical free throw 1 of 171
60.6%
71
39.4%
Q3 - 3:44Grizzlies technical foul (Defensive three second)70
59.6%
71
40.4%
Q3 - 3:54NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound70
56.4%
71
43.6%
Q3 - 3:59GrizzliesJa Morant misses two point driving reverse layup70
54.8%
71
45.2%
Q3 - 4:19NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. makes two point cutting finger roll layup (Bones Hyland assists)70
52.0%
71
48.0%
Q3 - 4:25GrizzliesJa Morant turnover (bad pass) (Bones Hyland steals)68
48.6%
71
51.4%
Q3 - 4:34GrizzliesSteven Adams defensive rebound68
43.7%
71
56.3%
Q3 - 4:36NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. misses three point jump shot68
45.2%
71
54.8%
Q3 - 4:54GrizzliesJa Morant makes two point driving floating bank jump shot68
48.6%
71
51.4%
Q3 - 5:05NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. makes two point putback layup68
52.6%
69
47.4%
Q3 - 5:05NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. offensive rebound66
49.0%
69
51.0%
Q3 - 5:10NuggetsDe'Anthony Melton blocks Monte Morris's two point driving layup66
46.0%
69
54.0%
Q3 - 5:23GrizzliesSteven Adams makes two point cutting dunk (Kyle Anderson assists)66
49.0%
69
51.0%
Q3 - 5:37NuggetsMonte Morris turnover (offensive foul)66
52.6%
67
47.4%
Q3 - 5:37NuggetsMonte Morris offensive foul (Steven Adams draws the foul)66
56.9%
67
43.1%
Q3 - 5:45NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. defensive rebound66
56.9%
67
43.1%
Q3 - 5:49GrizzliesJa Morant misses regular free throw 1 of 166
56.3%
67
43.7%
Q3 - 5:49NuggetsAaron Gordon shooting foul (Ja Morant draws the foul)66
53.8%
67
46.2%
Q3 - 5:58GrizzliesGrizzlies defensive rebound66
60.4%
65
39.6%
Q3 - 6:00NuggetsMonte Morris misses three point jump shot66
61.7%
65
38.3%
Q3 - 6:19NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound66
64.6%
65
35.4%
Q3 - 6:23GrizzliesJaren Jackson Jr. misses three point jump shot66
63.4%
65
36.6%
Q3 - 6:28GrizzliesDesmond Bane defensive rebound66
60.7%
65
39.3%
Q3 - 6:31NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. misses two point cutting layup66
61.9%
65
38.1%
Q3 - 6:44NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. defensive rebound66
64.6%
65
35.4%
Q3 - 6:47GrizzliesJa Morant misses regular free throw 2 of 266
64.1%
65
35.9%
Q3 - 6:47GrizzliesJa Morant misses regular free throw 1 of 266
61.8%
65
38.2%
Q3 - 6:47NuggetsMonte Morris shooting foul (Ja Morant draws the foul)66
59.0%
65
41.0%
Q3 - 6:49NuggetsNikola Jokic turnover (bad pass) (Steven Adams steals)66
60.6%
65
39.4%
Q3 - 6:57NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound66
64.6%
65
35.4%
Q3 - 6:59GrizzliesSteven Adams misses two point floating jump shot66
63.4%
65
36.6%
Q3 - 7:08NuggetsAaron Gordon makes two point putback layup66
60.5%
65
39.5%
Q3 - 7:09NuggetsAaron Gordon offensive rebound64
57.5%
65
42.5%
Q3 - 7:12NuggetsNikola Jokic misses three point jump shot64
54.5%
65
45.5%
Q3 - 7:40GrizzliesJa Morant makes two point running dunk (De'Anthony Melton assists)64
57.5%
65
42.5%
Q3 - 7:44NuggetsWill Barton turnover (bad pass) (De'Anthony Melton steals)64
60.5%
63
39.5%
Q3 - 8:02GrizzliesDe'Anthony Melton makes three point jump shot (Steven Adams assists)64
64.7%
63
35.3%
Q3 - 8:14GrizzliesJaren Jackson Jr. defensive rebound64
70.4%
60
29.6%
Q3 - 8:16NuggetsMonte Morris misses two point pullup jump shot64
71.5%
60
28.5%
Q3 - 8:38GrizzliesDesmond Bane makes two point running finger roll layup (Jaren Jackson Jr. assists)64
73.9%
60
26.1%
Q3 - 8:46NuggetsWill Barton turnover (bad pass) (Desmond Bane steals)64
76.1%
58
23.9%
Q3 - 8:51NuggetsWill Barton defensive rebound64
79.1%
58
20.9%
Q3 - 8:56GrizzliesDesmond Bane misses two point jump shot64
78.2%
58
21.8%
Q3 - 9:15NuggetsAaron Gordon makes two point dunk (Nikola Jokic assists)64
76.0%
58
24.0%
Q3 - 9:35GrizzliesJaren Jackson Jr. turnover (out of bounds lost ball)62
73.6%
58
26.4%
Q3 - 9:41GrizzliesSteven Adams defensive rebound62
70.4%
58
29.6%
Q3 - 9:45NuggetsWill Barton misses three point jump shot62
71.4%
58
28.6%
Q3 - 9:57NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound62
73.6%
58
26.4%
Q3 - 10:00GrizzliesJa Morant misses two point pullup jump shot62
72.7%
58
27.3%
Q3 - 10:15NuggetsNikola Jokic makes three point jump shot (Will Barton assists)62
70.3%
58
29.7%
Q3 - 10:18GrizzliesDesmond Bane personal foul (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)59
64.7%
58
35.3%
Q3 - 10:28NuggetsMonte Morris defensive rebound59
64.7%
58
35.3%
Q3 - 10:30GrizzliesJaren Jackson Jr. misses three point jump shot59
63.6%
58
36.4%
Q3 - 10:33GrizzliesGrizzlies offensive rebound59
61.0%
58
39.0%
Q3 - 10:35GrizzliesDesmond Bane misses three point pullup jump shot59
63.6%
58
36.4%
Q3 - 10:49NuggetsMonte Morris makes two point driving floating jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)59
61.0%
58
39.0%
Q3 - 11:06GrizzliesDesmond Bane makes two point driving floating jump shot57
58.4%
58
41.6%
Q3 - 11:28NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point turnaround hook shot (Monte Morris assists)57
61.4%
56
38.6%
Q3 - 11:34GrizzliesJaren Jackson Jr. turnover (bad pass) (Will Barton steals)55
58.4%
56
41.6%
Q3 - 11:35GrizzliesJaren Jackson Jr. defensive rebound55
54.9%
56
45.1%
Q3 - 11:37NuggetsMonte Morris misses two point pullup jump shot55
55.9%
56
44.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.55
58.4%
56
41.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0GrizzliesGrizzlies offensive rebound55
54.9%
56
45.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0GrizzliesJa Morant misses three point pullup jump shot55
57.3%
56
42.7%
Q2 - 0:00.7NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. turnover (bad pass) (Ja Morant steals)55
56.0%
56
44.0%
Q2 - 0:02.4GrizzliesJa Morant makes two point driving layup55
58.4%
56
41.6%
Q2 - 0:09.5NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point driving layup (Will Barton assists)55
62.2%
54
37.8%
Q2 - 0:28.8GrizzliesJa Morant makes two point finger roll layup53
58.4%
54
41.6%
Q2 - 0:51.7NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. makes two point driving layup53
62.2%
52
37.8%
Q2 - 0:51.9GrizzliesZiaire Williams turnover (lost ball) (Michael Porter Jr. steals)51
58.4%
52
41.6%
Q2 - 0:54.3NuggetsAaron Gordon turnover (bad pass) (Ziaire Williams steals)51
55.8%
52
44.2%
Q2 - 1:03NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. defensive rebound51
58.6%
52
41.4%
Q2 - 1:07GrizzliesZiaire Williams misses three point running jump shot51
58.0%
52
42.0%
Q2 - 1:12GrizzliesJa Morant defensive rebound51
56.6%
52
43.4%
Q2 - 1:16NuggetsMonte Morris misses two point pullup jump shot51
57.2%
52
42.8%
Q2 - 1:35GrizzliesSteven Adams makes regular free throw 2 of 251
58.6%
52
41.4%
Q2 - 1:35GrizzliesSteven Adams makes regular free throw 1 of 251
59.9%
51
40.1%
Q2 - 1:35NuggetsNikola Jokic shooting foul (Steven Adams draws the foul)51
61.3%
50
38.7%
Q2 - 1:50NuggetsWill Barton makes two point driving layup51
62.7%
50
37.3%
Q2 - 2:08GrizzliesJa Morant makes regular free throw 2 of 249
59.4%
50
40.6%
Q2 - 2:08GrizzliesJa Morant misses regular free throw 1 of 249
60.0%
49
40.0%
Q2 - 2:08NuggetsNikola Jokic shooting foul (Ja Morant draws the foul)49
57.8%
49
42.2%
Q2 - 2:22NuggetsMonte Morris makes two point driving layup49
59.3%
49
40.7%
Q2 - 2:38GrizzliesKyle Anderson makes three point jump shot (Ziaire Williams assists)47
56.4%
49
43.6%
Q2 - 3:04NuggetsAaron Gordon makes three point jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)47
61.9%
46
38.1%
Q2 - 3:21GrizzliesKyle Anderson makes two point jump shot (De'Anthony Melton assists)44
56.9%
46
43.1%
Q2 - 3:38GrizzliesKyle Anderson defensive rebound44
59.2%
44
40.8%
Q2 - 3:40NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. misses regular free throw 1 of 144
59.6%
44
40.4%
Q2 - 3:40GrizzliesDe'Anthony Melton shooting foul (Michael Porter Jr. draws the foul)44
61.5%
44
38.6%
Q2 - 3:40NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. offensive rebound42
56.9%
44
43.1%
Q2 - 3:41NuggetsDe'Anthony Melton blocks Will Barton's two point running layup42
54.5%
44
45.5%
Q2 - 3:46GrizzliesJa Morant turnover (bad pass) (Will Barton steals)42
56.9%
44
43.1%
Q2 - 3:58GrizzliesSteven Adams defensive rebound42
53.4%
44
46.6%
Q2 - 4:02NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. misses three point jump shot42
55.2%
44
44.8%
Q2 - 4:09GrizzliesKyle Anderson personal foul (Take) (Monte Morris draws the foul)42
57.2%
44
42.8%
Q2 - 4:09NuggetsMonte Morris defensive rebound42
57.2%
44
42.8%
Q2 - 4:09GrizzliesAaron Gordon blocks Ja Morant's two point pullup jump shot42
56.3%
44
43.7%
Q2 - 4:37NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. makes two point running finger roll layup (Monte Morris assists)42
54.2%
44
45.8%
Q2 - 4:43NuggetsMonte Morris defensive rebound40
51.5%
44
48.5%
Q2 - 4:43GrizzliesDe'Anthony Melton misses two point driving floating jump shot40
50.6%
44
49.4%
Q2 - 4:49GrizzliesKyle Anderson defensive rebound40
48.6%
44
51.4%
Q2 - 4:53NuggetsWill Barton misses three point stepback jump shot40
49.5%
44
50.5%
Q2 - 5:05NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound40
52.2%
44
47.8%
Q2 - 5:07GrizzliesDesmond Bane misses three point jump shot40
51.1%
44
48.9%
Q2 - 5:32NuggetsMonte Morris makes regular free throw 2 of 240
48.8%
44
51.2%
Q2 - 5:32NuggetsMonte Morris makes regular free throw 1 of 239
48.2%
44
51.8%
Q2 - 5:32GrizzliesDesmond Bane shooting foul (Monte Morris draws the foul)38
47.6%
44
52.4%
Q2 - 5:32NuggetsMonte Morris offensive rebound38
46.6%
44
53.4%
Q2 - 5:32NuggetsMonte Morris misses two point driving floating jump shot38
44.2%
44
55.8%
Q2 - 5:48GrizzliesKyle Anderson makes two point jump shot (De'Anthony Melton assists)38
46.6%
44
53.4%
Q2 - 6:07NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. makes two point cutting dunk (Will Barton assists)38
49.1%
42
50.9%
Q2 - 6:19GrizzliesJaren Jackson Jr. makes two point driving layup36
47.0%
42
53.0%
Q2 - 6:35NuggetsNikola Jokic makes regular free throw 1 of 136
49.1%
40
50.9%
Q2 - 6:35GrizzliesDe'Anthony Melton shooting foul (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)35
48.7%
40
51.3%
Q2 - 6:36NuggetsWill Barton defensive rebound33
44.3%
40
55.7%
Q2 - 6:39GrizzliesJaren Jackson Jr. misses three point running jump shot33
43.3%
40
56.7%
Q2 - 6:44GrizzliesDesmond Bane defensive rebound33
40.9%
40
59.1%
Q2 - 6:47NuggetsNikola Jokic misses two point driving floating jump shot33
42.0%
40
58.0%
Q2 - 6:57NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. defensive rebound33
44.3%
40
55.7%
Q2 - 6:59GrizzliesDesmond Bane misses two point pullup jump shot33
43.2%
40
56.8%
Q2 - 7:10NuggetsAaron Gordon personal foul (Desmond Bane draws the foul)33
42.1%
40
57.9%
Q2 - 7:16NuggetsJaMychal Green makes two point jump shot33
42.1%
40
57.9%
Q2 - 7:19NuggetsJaMychal Green offensive rebound31
39.6%
40
60.4%
Q2 - 7:23NuggetsJaren Jackson Jr. blocks JaMychal Green's two point layup31
37.8%
40
62.2%
Q2 - 7:38NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. defensive rebound31
39.6%
40
60.4%
Q2 - 7:41GrizzliesJaren Jackson Jr. misses two point turnaround hook shot31
38.8%
40
61.2%
Q2 - 7:56NuggetsWill Barton makes two point driving layup (Monte Morris assists)31
36.9%
40
63.1%
Q2 - 8:00NuggetsMonte Morris defensive rebound29
34.6%
40
65.4%
Q2 - 8:04GrizzliesWill Barton blocks Tyus Jones's two point running layup29
34.1%
40
65.9%
Q2 - 8:08NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. turnover (bad pass) (Xavier Tillman steals)29
32.4%
40
67.6%
Q2 - 8:26GrizzliesXavier Tillman turnover (offensive foul)29
34.8%
40
65.2%
Q2 - 8:26GrizzliesXavier Tillman offensive foul (Monte Morris draws the foul)29
32.4%
40
67.6%
Q2 - 8:33NuggetsWill Barton makes two point reverse layup29
32.4%
40
67.6%
Q2 - 8:34NuggetsWill Barton offensive rebound27
30.2%
40
69.8%
Q2 - 8:38NuggetsJaren Jackson Jr. blocks Will Barton's two point driving layup27
28.7%
40
71.3%
Q2 - 8:44NuggetsMonte Morris offensive rebound27
30.2%
40
69.8%
Q2 - 8:47NuggetsMonte Morris misses two point driving floating jump shot27
28.7%
40
71.3%
Q2 - 8:59GrizzliesJohn Konchar personal foul (Loose ball) (Michael Porter Jr. draws the foul)27
30.2%
40
69.8%
Q2 - 8:59NuggetsNuggets offensive rebound27
30.2%
40
69.8%
Q2 - 9:00NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. misses two point driving layup27
28.7%
40
71.3%
Q2 - 9:21GrizzliesTyus Jones makes two point driving floating jump shot (Xavier Tillman assists)27
30.7%
40
69.3%
Q2 - 9:40NuggetsBones Hyland makes two point driving finger roll layup27
32.8%
38
67.2%
Q2 - 10:03NuggetsJaMychal Green defensive rebound25
31.4%
38
68.6%
Q2 - 10:05GrizzliesJaren Jackson Jr. misses regular free throw 2 of 225
31.1%
38
68.9%
Q2 - 10:05GrizzliesJaren Jackson Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 225
29.7%
38
70.3%
Q2 - 10:05NuggetsFacundo Campazzo shooting foul (Jaren Jackson Jr. draws the foul)25
30.1%
37
69.9%
Q2 - 10:21NuggetsWill Barton makes two point driving floating bank jump shot25
31.3%
37
68.7%
Q2 - 10:36NuggetsJaMychal Green defensive rebound23
29.2%
37
70.8%
Q2 - 10:39GrizzliesJaren Jackson Jr. misses three point jump shot23
28.6%
37
71.4%
Q2 - 11:03NuggetsWill Barton makes two point driving reverse dunk23
28.4%
37
71.6%
Q2 - 11:25NuggetsNuggets defensive rebound21
26.2%
37
73.8%
Q2 - 11:26GrizzliesJaren Jackson Jr. misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot21
25.7%
37
74.3%
Q2 - 11:47NuggetsJaMychal Green makes two point cutting dunk (Will Barton assists)21
24.5%
37
75.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.19
22.6%
37
77.4%
Q1 - 0:03.1NuggetsNuggets turnover (shot clock violation)19
21.8%
37
78.2%
Q1 - 0:03.1NuggetsNuggets offensive rebound19
23.2%
37
76.8%
Q1 - 0:03.2NuggetsP.J. Dozier misses two point jump shot19
22.2%
37
77.8%
Q1 - 0:04.9NuggetsNuggets offensive rebound19
23.2%
37
76.8%
Q1 - 0:04.9NuggetsJohn Konchar blocks JaMychal Green's two point layup19
22.2%
37
77.8%
Q1 - 0:09.1NuggetsBones Hyland offensive rebound19
23.2%
37
76.8%
Q1 - 0:12.5NuggetsZiaire Williams blocks JaMychal Green's two point cutting dunk19
22.2%
37
77.8%
Q1 - 0:30.8NuggetsFacundo Campazzo defensive rebound19
23.2%
37
76.8%
Q1 - 0:33.3GrizzliesZiaire Williams misses three point jump shot19
22.7%
37
77.3%
Q1 - 0:52.0GrizzliesJohn Konchar defensive rebound19
21.8%
37
78.2%
Q1 - 0:54.3NuggetsP.J. Dozier misses three point jump shot19
22.2%
37
77.8%
Q1 - 1:00NuggetsBones Hyland defensive rebound19
23.2%
37
76.8%
Q1 - 1:03GrizzliesKyle Anderson misses three point jump shot19
23.1%
37
76.9%
Q1 - 1:25NuggetsBones Hyland makes two point running dunk19
22.1%
37
77.9%
Q1 - 1:26NuggetsBones Hyland defensive rebound17
20.3%
37
79.7%
Q1 - 1:29GrizzliesP.J. Dozier blocks Kyle Anderson's two point running layup17
19.9%
37
80.1%
Q1 - 1:34NuggetsJaMychal Green turnover (lost ball) (John Konchar steals)17
19.0%
37
81.0%
Q1 - 1:35NuggetsJaMychal Green offensive rebound17
20.3%
37
79.7%
Q1 - 1:38NuggetsBones Hyland misses three point jump shot17
19.4%
37
80.6%
Q1 - 1:53GrizzliesKyle Anderson makes three point jump shot (Tyus Jones assists)17
20.3%
37
79.7%
Q1 - 2:08GrizzliesXavier Tillman defensive rebound17
24.7%
34
75.3%
Q1 - 2:09NuggetsP.J. Dozier misses three point pullup jump shot17
25.2%
34
74.8%
Q1 - 2:22GrizzliesKyle Anderson makes two point turnaround hook shot17
26.4%
34
73.6%
Q1 - 2:39NuggetsBones Hyland personal foul (Steven Adams draws the foul)17
28.2%
32
71.8%
Q1 - 2:48GrizzliesKyle Anderson defensive rebound17
28.1%
32
71.9%
Q1 - 2:51NuggetsNikola Jokic misses three point jump shot17
28.7%
32
71.3%
Q1 - 3:14GrizzliesZiaire Williams makes three point jump shot (Tyus Jones assists)17
30.6%
32
69.4%
Q1 - 3:36NuggetsFacundo Campazzo makes two point running finger roll layup (P.J. Dozier assists)17
34.2%
29
65.8%
Q1 - 3:40GrizzliesSteven Adams turnover (lost ball) (P.J. Dozier steals)15
32.5%
29
67.5%
Q1 - 3:47GrizzliesJa Morant defensive rebound15
30.3%
29
69.7%
Q1 - 3:50NuggetsNikola Jokic misses two point layup15
31.0%
29
69.0%
Q1 - 4:05GrizzliesZiaire Williams makes three point jump shot (Ja Morant assists)15
33.9%
29
66.1%
Q1 - 4:29NuggetsNikola Jokic makes regular free throw 2 of 215
37.4%
26
62.6%
Q1 - 4:29NuggetsNikola Jokic makes regular free throw 1 of 214
37.1%
26
62.9%
Q1 - 4:29GrizzliesSteven Adams shooting foul (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)13
36.8%
26
63.2%
Q1 - 4:44GrizzliesZiaire Williams makes three point running jump shot (Tyus Jones assists)13
35.7%
26
64.3%
Q1 - 4:51NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point driving floating jump shot13
39.4%
23
60.6%
Q1 - 5:19GrizzliesJa Morant makes two point driving finger roll layup11
38.9%
23
61.1%
Q1 - 5:28GrizzliesJa Morant defensive rebound11
40.6%
21
59.4%
Q1 - 5:31NuggetsNikola Jokic misses two point jump shot11
41.3%
21
58.7%
Q1 - 5:48GrizzliesKyle Anderson makes two point cutting layup (Steven Adams assists)11
42.9%
21
57.1%
Q1 - 6:00NuggetsJeff Green makes two point running finger roll layup (Bones Hyland assists)11
44.6%
19
55.4%
Q1 - 6:05GrizzliesDe'Anthony Melton turnover (lost ball) (Nikola Jokic steals)9
43.4%
19
56.6%
Q1 - 6:18NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point jump shot9
41.4%
19
58.6%
Q1 - 6:31GrizzliesKyle Anderson personal foul (P.J. Dozier draws the foul)7
39.5%
19
60.5%
Q1 - 6:31NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound7
39.5%
19
60.5%
Q1 - 6:33GrizzliesDe'Anthony Melton misses three point jump shot7
38.9%
19
61.1%
Q1 - 6:39NuggetsBones Hyland personal foul (Take) (Ja Morant draws the foul)7
37.5%
19
62.5%
Q1 - 6:40GrizzliesJa Morant defensive rebound7
37.5%
19
62.5%
Q1 - 6:42NuggetsJeff Green misses two point driving finger roll layup7
38.1%
19
61.9%
Q1 - 6:54GrizzliesSteven Adams makes two point layup (Ja Morant assists)7
39.4%
19
60.6%
Q1 - 7:07NuggetsNikola Jokic makes regular free throw 2 of 27
41.9%
17
58.1%
Q1 - 7:07NuggetsNikola Jokic makes regular free throw 1 of 26
41.7%
17
58.3%
Q1 - 7:07GrizzliesJaren Jackson Jr. shooting foul (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)5
41.4%
17
58.6%
Q1 - 7:23GrizzliesJaren Jackson Jr. makes three point jump shot (Steven Adams assists)5
40.2%
17
59.8%
Q1 - 7:40NuggetsWill Barton makes three point pullup jump shot5
43.8%
14
56.2%
Q1 - 7:51GrizzliesJa Morant makes two point driving floating jump shot2
40.2%
14
59.8%
Q1 - 7:58GrizzliesJa Morant defensive rebound2
41.9%
12
58.1%
Q1 - 8:01NuggetsNikola Jokic misses three point jump shot2
43.3%
12
56.7%
Q1 - 8:22GrizzliesDe'Anthony Melton makes two point driving floating bank jump shot2
44.8%
12
55.2%
Q1 - 8:26GrizzliesDe'Anthony Melton defensive rebound2
46.4%
10
53.6%
Q1 - 8:29NuggetsNikola Jokic misses two point driving layup2
47.1%
10
52.9%
Q1 - 8:46GrizzliesJa Morant turnover (out of bounds step)2
48.6%
10
51.4%
Q1 - 8:52GrizzliesSteven Adams defensive rebound2
46.4%
10
53.6%
Q1 - 8:56NuggetsMonte Morris misses two point pullup jump shot2
47.1%
10
52.9%
Q1 - 9:09GrizzliesJaren Jackson Jr. makes two point driving floating jump shot (Ja Morant assists)2
48.8%
10
51.2%
Q1 - 9:23GrizzliesJaren Jackson Jr. defensive rebound2
50.4%
8
49.6%
Q1 - 9:25NuggetsWill Barton misses two point pullup jump shot2
51.1%
8
48.9%
Q1 - 9:40GrizzliesDe'Anthony Melton makes two point tip dunk2
52.6%
8
47.4%
Q1 - 9:40GrizzliesDe'Anthony Melton offensive rebound2
54.2%
6
45.8%
Q1 - 9:44GrizzliesDesmond Bane misses three point stepback jump shot2
55.7%
6
44.3%
Q1 - 9:57NuggetsNikola Jokic personal foul (Take) (Ja Morant draws the foul)2
54.2%
6
45.8%
Q1 - 9:59NuggetsNikola Jokic turnover (bad pass) (Ja Morant steals)2
54.2%
6
45.8%
Q1 - 10:16GrizzliesDe'Anthony Melton makes three point jump shot (Ja Morant assists)2
56.5%
6
43.5%
Q1 - 10:26GrizzliesSteven Adams defensive rebound2
59.9%
3
40.1%
Q1 - 10:29NuggetsMonte Morris misses three point jump shot2
60.5%
3
39.5%
Q1 - 10:40NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound2
61.8%
3
38.2%
Q1 - 10:43GrizzliesSteven Adams misses two point layup2
61.2%
3
38.8%
Q1 - 11:00NuggetsMonte Morris turnover (out of bounds lost ball)2
59.8%
3
40.2%
Q1 - 11:23GrizzliesDesmond Bane makes three point jump shot (Ja Morant assists)2
61.9%
3
38.1%
Q1 - 11:34NuggetsAaron Gordon makes two point pullup jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)2
65.0%
0
35.0%
Q1 - 11:41NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound0
63.6%
0
36.4%
Q1 - 11:45GrizzliesJaren Jackson Jr. misses two point turnaround hook shot0
63.0%
0
37.0%
Q1 - 12:00Nikola Jokic vs. Steven Adams (Desmond Bane gains possession)0
61.7%
0
38.3%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.07 53.5%
MEM
1.20 60.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DEN
26
41
63%
MEM
15
21
71%
Midrange
DEN
9
23
39%
MEM
11
26
42%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DEN
8
12.0
27
30%
44%
MEM
16
24.0
34
47%
71%
Free Throws
DEN
12
13
92%
MEM
8
14
57%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
N. Jokić3471%17.0 / 24
W. Barton2662%13.0 / 21
M. Porter1250%6.0 / 12
A. Gordon990%4.5 / 5
B. Hyland956%4.5 / 8
M. Morris831%4.0 / 13
J. Green440%2.0 / 5
F. Campazzo2100%1.0 / 1
J. Green233%1.0 / 3
P. Dozier0-0.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MEM logo Grizzlies
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Jackson2269%11.0 / 16
J. Morant1847%9.0 / 19
D. Bane1657%8.0 / 14
K. Anderson1673%8.0 / 11
Z. Williams1169%5.5 / 8
D. Melton1063%5.0 / 8
S. Adams867%4.0 / 6
T. Jones788%3.5 / 4
J. Konchar0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DEN
84
+15
-11
99
MEM
84
+6
-11
90
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.07 53.5%
MEM
1.20 60.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
114.2
114.9
DEN 111.6
MEM 113.7 +2.1
Pace
98.0
100.0
DEN 91.9
MEM 98.3 +6.4
Avg. Poss. Time
14.7
14.4
DEN 15.7
MEM 14.7 +1.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
55.6%
52.3%
DEN 51.6%
MEM 61.7% +10.1%
TO %
14.0%
12.4%
DEN 11.0% +1.1%
MEM 12.1%
ORB %
21.9%
30.0%
DEN 25.0% +16.7%
MEM 8.3%
FTrt
24.4
24.5
DEN 14.3
MEM 17.3 +3.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
66.7%
59.7%
DEN 55.8%
MEM 66.7% +10.9%
STL %
7.3%
9.7%
DEN 7.4%
MEM 9.5% +2.1%
BLK %
7.0%
12.0%
DEN 8.5%
MEM 10.9% +2.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.84 and 2.84.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
57.6%
54.0%
DEN 53.5%
MEM 60.0% +6.5%
Rim FG%
66.2%
60.7%
DEN 63.4%
MEM 71.4% +8.0%
Mid FG%
44.3%
41.7%
DEN 39.1%
MEM 42.3% +3.2%
3P %
35.3%
35.3%
DEN 29.6%
MEM 47.1% +17.5%
FT %
79.5%
73.3%
DEN 92.3% +35.2%
MEM 57.1%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
35.2%
35.1%
DEN 45.1% +19.1%
MEM 25.9%
Mid Att. %
23.2%
30.3%
DEN 25.3% +6.8%
MEM 32.1%
3P Att. %
41.6%
34.6%
DEN 29.7%
MEM 42.0% +12.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsDENMEM
Possessions9595
Possession Minutes24.823.2
Points106108
Rebounds4436
Assists2428
Steals79
Blocks47
Turnovers (Team)11 (1)11 (1)
Fouls1616
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (4)3 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)33 (3)33 (1)
Field Goals43-9142-81
At-the-Rim FG26-4115-21
Midrange FG9-2311-26
2-Point FG35-6426-47
3-Point FG8-2716-34
Free Throws12-138-14
Fast Break Pts2115
2nd Chance Pts146
Points in Paint6046
Pts off Turnovers218
Bench Points1734
Biggest Lead1020

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#5 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 31
40.2
26
62%
3
7
2
1
2
0
1
2
0-0
-
7-12
58%
4-9
44%
#1 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 23
35.3
12
50%
11
0
1
0
2
1
2
9
0-1
0%
6-9
67%
0-3
0%
#15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 27
35.0
34
71%
11
5
2
0
2
3
2
9
10-10
100%
9-15
60%
2-5
40%
#50 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 26
30.0
9
90%
1
1
0
2
1
5
1
0
0-0
-
3-4
75%
1-1
100%
#11 · PG · 6'3" 175 · 26
27.8
8
31%
6
4
0
0
2
2
2
4
2-2
100%
3-10
30%
0-2
0%
#3 · PG · 6'2" 169 · 21
20.7
9
56%
4
3
1
0
1
2
1
3
0-0
-
3-4
75%
1-4
25%
#35 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 25
18.8
0
0%
0
2
1
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-2
0%
#7 · PG · 5'11" 195 · 31
14.4
2
100%
2
2
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
#32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 35
9.3
2
33%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-1
0%
#0 · PF · 6'9" 227 · 31
8.4
4
40%
5
0
0
0
1
0
2
3
0-0
-
2-5
40%
0-0
-
#25 · SG · 6'4" 200 · 29
DNP - Coach's Decision
#00 · SG · 5'11" 175 · 23
DNP - Coach's Decision
#22 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 21
DNP - Coach's Decision
#10 · PF · 7'2" 208 · 22
DNP - Coach's Decision
#21 · PF · 6'11" 220 · 26
INACTIVE
#27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 25
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Knee; Injury Recovery
#31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 25
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Hip; Strain
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
106
54%
44
24
7
4
11
16
11
33
12-13
92%
35-64
55%
8-27
30%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.