FinalWin Prob.pScore
3012%101
90
1488%118
107
ORTG#PossPace
ORL logo ORL
90.99997.5
MIA logo MIA
110.39798.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventORLMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.90
0%
107
100%
Q4 - 0:21.4HeatKZ Okpala defensive rebound90
0%
107
100%
Q4 - 0:27.1MagicIgnas Brazdeikis misses three point jump shot90
0%
107
100%
Q4 - 0:50.2HeatMax Strus makes two point cutting layup (Gabe Vincent assists)90
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 1:04MagicJalen Suggs makes three point jump shot (Ignas Brazdeikis assists)90
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 1:16MagicR.J. Hampton defensive rebound87
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 1:18HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot87
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 1:36HeatMax Strus defensive rebound87
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 1:38MagicRobin Lopez misses regular free throw 2 of 287
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 1:38MagicRobin Lopez makes regular free throw 1 of 287
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 1:38HeatMax Strus shooting foul (Robin Lopez draws the foul)86
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 1:40MagicRobin Lopez offensive rebound86
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 1:42MagicJalen Suggs misses two point driving floating jump shot86
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 1:55MagicR.J. Hampton defensive rebound86
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 1:58HeatRobin Lopez blocks Duncan Robinson's two point cutting layup86
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 2:21MagicR.J. Hampton makes regular free throw 2 of 286
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 2:21MagicR.J. Hampton misses regular free throw 1 of 285
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 2:21HeatMax Strus shooting foul (R.J. Hampton draws the foul)85
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 2:24MagicJalen Suggs defensive rebound85
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 2:26HeatMarkieff Morris misses two point fadeaway jump shot85
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 2:45HeatDewayne Dedmon defensive rebound85
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 2:49MagicRobin Lopez misses regular free throw 1 of 185
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 2:49HeatMarkieff Morris shooting foul (Robin Lopez draws the foul)85
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 3:12HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)83
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 3:22MagicJalen Suggs personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)83
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 3:26HeatDewayne Dedmon offensive rebound83
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 3:27HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving layup83
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 3:36HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound83
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 3:39MagicR.J. Hampton misses two point driving layup83
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 3:52HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 2 of 283
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 3:52HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 283
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 3:52MagicMo Bamba shooting foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)83
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 4:12HeatDewayne Dedmon defensive rebound83
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 4:15MagicR.J. Hampton misses regular free throw 2 of 283
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 4:15MagicR.J. Hampton makes regular free throw 1 of 283
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 4:15HeatJimmy Butler shooting foul (R.J. Hampton draws the foul)82
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 4:36HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving layup82
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 4:50HeatDewayne Dedmon offensive rebound82
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 4:52HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving layup82
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 5:05MagicMo Bamba makes three point jump shot (Cole Anthony assists)82
0.2%
98
99.8%
Q4 - 5:13MagicMo Bamba defensive rebound79
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 5:17HeatKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot79
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 5:25MagicCole Anthony turnover (bad pass) (Kyle Lowry steals)79
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 5:31HeatTyler Herro turnover (bad pass) (Mo Bamba steals)79
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 5:46HeatHeat defensive rebound79
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 5:48MagicCole Anthony misses three point pullup jump shot79
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 5:52MagicCole Anthony defensive rebound79
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 5:56HeatKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot79
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 6:13MagicMagic turnover (shot clock violation)79
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 6:27MagicMagic offensive rebound79
0.2%
98
99.8%
Q4 - 6:27MagicFranz Wagner misses two point floating jump shot79
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 6:31MagicWendell Carter Jr. offensive rebound79
0.2%
98
99.8%
Q4 - 6:35MagicMo Bamba misses three point jump shot79
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 6:47HeatTyler Herro makes three point bank jump shot (Markieff Morris assists)79
0.2%
98
99.8%
Q4 - 6:48HeatMarkieff Morris offensive rebound79
0.3%
95
99.7%
Q4 - 6:51HeatKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot79
0.3%
95
99.7%
Q4 - 7:14HeatHeat defensive rebound79
0.4%
95
99.6%
Q4 - 7:14MagicR.J. Hampton misses two point running finger roll layup79
0.4%
95
99.6%
Q4 - 7:16MagicWendell Carter Jr. defensive rebound79
0.5%
95
99.5%
Q4 - 7:19HeatMax Strus misses two point running layup79
0.4%
95
99.6%
Q4 - 7:28MagicMo Bamba makes two point cutting dunk (R.J. Hampton assists)79
0.4%
95
99.6%
Q4 - 7:33MagicCole Anthony defensive rebound77
0.3%
95
99.7%
Q4 - 7:39HeatBam Adebayo misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot77
0.3%
95
99.7%
Q4 - 8:02MagicGary Harris turnover (offensive foul)77
0.3%
95
99.7%
Q4 - 8:02MagicGary Harris offensive foul (Charge) (Max Strus draws the foul)77
0.4%
95
99.6%
Q4 - 8:08MagicCole Anthony defensive rebound77
0.4%
95
99.6%
Q4 - 8:14HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot77
0.3%
95
99.7%
Q4 - 8:18HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound77
0.3%
95
99.7%
Q4 - 8:21MagicMo Bamba misses three point jump shot77
0.3%
95
99.7%
Q4 - 8:31HeatMarkieff Morris makes two point dunk (Tyler Herro assists)77
0.4%
95
99.6%
Q4 - 8:38MagicWendell Carter Jr. turnover (out of bounds bad pass)77
0.5%
93
99.5%
Q4 - 8:47HeatMax Strus makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)77
0.6%
93
99.4%
Q4 - 8:50HeatKyle Lowry offensive rebound77
1.0%
90
99.0%
Q4 - 8:53HeatMarkieff Morris misses three point jump shot77
1.1%
90
98.9%
Q4 - 9:08HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound77
1.1%
90
98.9%
Q4 - 9:13MagicWendell Carter Jr. misses three point jump shot77
1.2%
90
98.8%
Q4 - 9:21HeatKyle Lowry personal foul (Mo Bamba draws the foul)77
1.4%
90
98.6%
Q4 - 9:21MagicMo Bamba offensive rebound77
1.4%
90
98.6%
Q4 - 9:24MagicCole Anthony misses three point stepback jump shot77
1.2%
90
98.8%
Q4 - 9:45HeatBam Adebayo makes two point running dunk (Kyle Lowry assists)77
1.4%
90
98.6%
Q4 - 9:48HeatMarkieff Morris defensive rebound77
1.7%
88
98.3%
Q4 - 9:51MagicTerrence Ross misses three point jump shot77
1.9%
88
98.1%
Q4 - 9:55MagicMoritz Wagner defensive rebound77
2.2%
88
97.8%
Q4 - 9:59HeatMarkieff Morris misses three point jump shot77
2.1%
88
97.9%
Q4 - 10:13MagicTerrence Ross personal foul (Take) (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)77
2.0%
88
98.0%
Q4 - 10:14MagicTerrence Ross turnover (bad pass) (Markieff Morris steals)77
2.0%
88
98.0%
Q4 - 10:27HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving finger roll layup (Kyle Lowry assists)77
2.5%
88
97.5%
Q4 - 10:42MagicCole Anthony makes two point driving floating jump shot77
3.1%
86
96.9%
Q4 - 10:48MagicCole Anthony defensive rebound75
2.5%
86
97.5%
Q4 - 10:52HeatBam Adebayo misses two point pullup jump shot75
2.3%
86
97.7%
Q4 - 11:05MagicMoritz Wagner makes three point jump shot (R.J. Hampton assists)75
2.3%
86
97.7%
Q4 - 11:20HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 272
1.5%
86
98.5%
Q4 - 11:20HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 272
1.6%
85
98.4%
Q4 - 11:20MagicJalen Suggs shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)72
1.7%
84
98.3%
Q4 - 11:33MagicJalen Suggs makes two point driving layup72
1.9%
84
98.1%
Q4 - 11:47HeatMarkieff Morris makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)70
1.5%
84
98.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.70
2.3%
81
97.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0MagicMagic offensive rebound70
2.8%
81
97.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0MagicTerrence Ross misses three point jump shot70
2.4%
81
97.6%
Q3 - 0:02.1HeatJimmy Butler makes two point dunk (Tyler Herro assists)70
3.0%
81
97.0%
Q3 - 0:06.5MagicJalen Suggs makes regular free throw 2 of 270
3.7%
79
96.3%
Q3 - 0:06.5MagicJalen Suggs misses regular free throw 1 of 269
3.5%
79
96.5%
Q3 - 0:06.5HeatDewayne Dedmon personal foul (Jalen Suggs draws the foul)69
4.1%
79
95.9%
Q3 - 0:21.3HeatJimmy Butler turnover (bad pass) (R.J. Hampton steals)69
3.7%
79
96.3%
Q3 - 0:31.8MagicJalen Suggs makes three point pullup jump shot69
3.0%
79
97.0%
Q3 - 0:37.9HeatTyler Herro makes two point running finger roll layup (Jimmy Butler assists)66
2.0%
79
98.0%
Q3 - 0:41.6MagicR.J. Hampton turnover (lost ball) (Jimmy Butler steals)66
2.5%
77
97.5%
Q3 - 0:43.0MagicR.J. Hampton defensive rebound66
3.0%
77
97.0%
Q3 - 0:49.3HeatR.J. Hampton blocks Jimmy Butler's two point jump shot66
2.8%
77
97.2%
Q3 - 1:19MagicRobin Lopez makes two point cutting dunk (Terrence Ross assists)66
2.7%
77
97.3%
Q3 - 1:35HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 264
2.3%
77
97.7%
Q3 - 1:35HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 264
2.3%
76
97.7%
Q3 - 1:35MagicR.J. Hampton personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)64
2.4%
75
97.6%
Q3 - 1:38MagicJalen Suggs turnover (lost ball) (Dewayne Dedmon steals)64
2.7%
75
97.3%
Q3 - 1:45MagicR.J. Hampton defensive rebound64
3.3%
75
96.7%
Q3 - 1:49HeatTyler Herro misses two point fadeaway bank jump shot64
3.1%
75
96.9%
Q3 - 2:07HeatDewayne Dedmon defensive rebound64
2.9%
75
97.1%
Q3 - 2:10MagicRobin Lopez misses two point turnaround hook shot64
3.1%
75
96.9%
Q3 - 2:23HeatDewayne Dedmon turnover (offensive foul)64
3.5%
75
96.5%
Q3 - 2:23HeatDewayne Dedmon offensive foul (Off the ball) (Jalen Suggs draws the foul)64
2.9%
75
97.1%
Q3 - 2:25HeatDewayne Dedmon offensive rebound64
2.9%
75
97.1%
Q3 - 2:29HeatMarkieff Morris misses three point jump shot64
3.3%
75
96.7%
Q3 - 2:41HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound64
2.9%
75
97.1%
Q3 - 2:44MagicTerrence Ross misses three point jump shot64
3.1%
75
96.9%
Q3 - 2:54HeatMarkieff Morris makes regular free throw 1 of 164
3.5%
75
96.5%
Q3 - 2:54MagicIgnas Brazdeikis shooting foul (Markieff Morris draws the foul)64
3.7%
74
96.3%
Q3 - 3:13MagicWendell Carter Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 264
5.2%
72
94.8%
Q3 - 3:13MagicWendell Carter Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 263
5.0%
72
95.0%
Q3 - 3:13HeatP.J. Tucker personal foul (Loose ball) (Wendell Carter Jr. draws the foul)62
4.8%
72
95.2%
Q3 - 3:13MagicMagic offensive rebound62
4.5%
72
95.5%
Q3 - 3:14MagicIgnas Brazdeikis misses three point jump shot62
3.9%
72
96.1%
Q3 - 3:27HeatTyler Herro makes two point fadeaway jump shot62
4.5%
72
95.5%
Q3 - 3:41HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound62
5.2%
70
94.8%
Q3 - 3:48MagicWendell Carter Jr. misses three point jump shot62
5.5%
70
94.5%
Q3 - 3:56MagicIgnas Brazdeikis defensive rebound62
6.2%
70
93.8%
Q3 - 3:59HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot62
5.9%
70
94.1%
Q3 - 4:19HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound62
5.2%
70
94.8%
Q3 - 4:22MagicTerrence Ross misses three point jump shot62
5.6%
70
94.4%
Q3 - 4:36HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 262
6.3%
70
93.7%
Q3 - 4:36HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 262
6.4%
69
93.6%
Q3 - 4:36MagicIgnas Brazdeikis shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)62
6.6%
68
93.4%
Q3 - 4:38HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound62
7.2%
68
92.8%
Q3 - 4:41MagicCole Anthony misses two point driving layup62
7.6%
68
92.4%
Q3 - 4:50MagicWendell Carter Jr. defensive rebound62
8.6%
68
91.4%
Q3 - 4:54HeatJimmy Butler misses two point fadeaway jump shot62
8.2%
68
91.8%
Q3 - 5:10MagicCole Anthony makes two point alley-oop layup (Gary Harris assists)62
7.5%
68
92.5%
Q3 - 5:26HeatJimmy Butler makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot60
6.5%
68
93.5%
Q3 - 5:42MagicCole Anthony makes three point running pullup jump shot (Gary Harris assists)60
7.5%
66
92.5%
Q3 - 5:44MagicWendell Carter Jr. defensive rebound57
5.6%
66
94.4%
Q3 - 5:47HeatP.J. Tucker misses two point driving floating jump shot57
5.3%
66
94.7%
Q3 - 6:06MagicCole Anthony makes regular free throw 2 of 257
4.8%
66
95.2%
Q3 - 6:06MagicCole Anthony misses regular free throw 1 of 256
4.7%
66
95.3%
Q3 - 6:06HeatKyle Lowry personal foul (Cole Anthony draws the foul)56
5.3%
66
94.7%
Q3 - 6:19HeatBam Adebayo makes two point jump shot56
4.9%
66
95.1%
Q3 - 6:41MagicMo Bamba makes regular free throw 2 of 256
5.6%
64
94.4%
Q3 - 6:41MagicMo Bamba makes regular free throw 1 of 255
5.3%
64
94.7%
Q3 - 6:41HeatKyle Lowry shooting foul (Mo Bamba draws the foul)54
5.1%
64
94.9%
Q3 - 6:56HeatKyle Lowry makes two point driving floating jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)54
4.9%
64
95.1%
Q3 - 7:03HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound54
5.6%
62
94.4%
Q3 - 7:06MagicMo Bamba misses two point hook shot54
5.9%
62
94.1%
Q3 - 7:06MagicMo Bamba offensive rebound54
6.6%
62
93.4%
Q3 - 7:10MagicCole Anthony misses two point jump shot54
5.9%
62
94.1%
Q3 - 7:17HeatJimmy Butler personal foul (Mo Bamba draws the foul)54
6.6%
62
93.4%
Q3 - 7:39HeatJimmy Butler makes two point jump shot (Duncan Robinson assists)54
6.6%
62
93.4%
Q3 - 7:51HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound54
7.4%
60
92.6%
Q3 - 7:55MagicJalen Suggs misses three point jump shot54
7.7%
60
92.3%
Q3 - 8:04HeatDuncan Robinson personal foul (Jalen Suggs draws the foul)54
8.6%
60
91.4%
Q3 - 8:14MagicJalen Suggs defensive rebound54
8.6%
60
91.4%
Q3 - 8:18HeatJimmy Butler misses two point jump shot54
8.2%
60
91.8%
Q3 - 8:24HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound54
7.4%
60
92.6%
Q3 - 8:26MagicJalen Suggs misses three point jump shot54
7.7%
60
92.3%
Q3 - 8:39MagicMo Bamba defensive rebound54
8.6%
60
91.4%
Q3 - 8:42HeatKyle Lowry misses two point jump shot54
8.2%
60
91.8%
Q3 - 8:58HeatP.J. Tucker defensive rebound54
7.4%
60
92.6%
Q3 - 9:05MagicFranz Wagner misses three point jump shot54
7.7%
60
92.3%
Q3 - 9:08MagicFranz Wagner defensive rebound54
8.6%
60
91.4%
Q3 - 9:13HeatKyle Lowry misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot54
8.2%
60
91.8%
Q3 - 9:29MagicJalen Suggs makes three point jump shot (Franz Wagner assists)54
7.4%
60
92.6%
Q3 - 9:45HeatBam Adebayo personal foul (Loose ball) (Cole Anthony draws the foul)51
5.8%
60
94.2%
Q3 - 9:45MagicMagic defensive rebound51
5.8%
60
94.2%
Q3 - 9:47HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot51
5.5%
60
94.5%
Q3 - 9:57MagicJalen Suggs personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)51
5.0%
60
95.0%
Q3 - 10:00MagicFranz Wagner personal foul (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)51
5.0%
60
95.0%
Q3 - 10:07MagicWendell Carter Jr. makes three point jump shot (Franz Wagner assists)51
5.0%
60
95.0%
Q3 - 10:34HeatKyle Lowry makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)48
3.9%
60
96.1%
Q3 - 10:49MagicMo Bamba personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)48
5.0%
57
95.0%
Q3 - 10:54HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound48
5.0%
57
95.0%
Q3 - 10:57HeatP.J. Tucker misses three point jump shot48
5.5%
57
94.5%
Q3 - 11:09MagicWendell Carter Jr. makes two point dunk (Jalen Suggs assists)48
4.9%
57
95.1%
Q3 - 11:25MagicWendell Carter Jr. defensive rebound46
4.4%
57
95.6%
Q3 - 11:29HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot46
4.2%
57
95.8%
Q3 - 11:46MagicFranz Wagner makes two point driving floating jump shot46
3.8%
57
96.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.44
3.4%
57
96.6%
Q2 - 0:03.0HeatJimmy Butler makes two point running dunk44
3.4%
57
96.6%
Q2 - 0:04.7MagicCole Anthony turnover (bad pass) (Jimmy Butler steals)44
3.9%
55
96.1%
Q2 - 0:15.9MagicMagic defensive rebound44
4.3%
55
95.7%
Q2 - 0:17.9HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot44
4.2%
55
95.8%
Q2 - 0:23.3HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound44
3.9%
55
96.1%
Q2 - 0:26.2HeatFranz Wagner blocks Bam Adebayo's two point layup44
4.2%
55
95.8%
Q2 - 0:35.5HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound44
3.9%
55
96.1%
Q2 - 0:39.7MagicJalen Suggs misses three point jump shot44
4.0%
55
96.0%
Q2 - 0:58.5HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 244
4.3%
55
95.7%
Q2 - 0:58.5HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 244
4.4%
54
95.6%
Q2 - 0:58.5MagicJalen Suggs personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)44
4.5%
53
95.5%
Q2 - 1:06MagicCole Anthony makes two point driving layup44
5.2%
53
94.8%
Q2 - 1:20MagicCole Anthony defensive rebound42
4.4%
53
95.6%
Q2 - 1:24HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot42
4.3%
53
95.7%
Q2 - 1:35MagicFranz Wagner makes regular free throw 2 of 242
4.1%
53
95.9%
Q2 - 1:35MagicFranz Wagner misses regular free throw 1 of 241
3.9%
53
96.1%
Q2 - 1:35HeatDewayne Dedmon shooting foul (Franz Wagner draws the foul)41
4.3%
53
95.7%
Q2 - 1:49HeatKyle Lowry makes two point driving layup41
3.9%
53
96.1%
Q2 - 2:17MagicR.J. Hampton makes three point jump shot (Cole Anthony assists)41
4.6%
51
95.4%
Q2 - 2:33HeatJimmy Butler makes two point turnaround jump shot38
3.7%
51
96.3%
Q2 - 2:45HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound38
4.1%
49
95.9%
Q2 - 2:54MagicGary Harris misses three point jump shot38
4.3%
49
95.7%
Q2 - 2:55MagicWendell Carter Jr. offensive rebound38
4.6%
49
95.4%
Q2 - 2:59MagicFranz Wagner misses three point jump shot38
4.3%
49
95.7%
Q2 - 3:08HeatDuncan Robinson makes regular free throw 2 of 238
4.8%
49
95.2%
Q2 - 3:08HeatDuncan Robinson makes regular free throw 1 of 238
4.9%
48
95.1%
Q2 - 3:08MagicR.J. Hampton personal foul (Duncan Robinson draws the foul)38
5.0%
47
95.0%
Q2 - 3:11MagicGary Harris personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)38
5.3%
47
94.7%
Q2 - 3:23MagicGary Harris makes two point floating jump shot38
5.3%
47
94.7%
Q2 - 3:31MagicCole Anthony defensive rebound36
4.8%
47
95.2%
Q2 - 3:35HeatWendell Carter Jr. blocks Dewayne Dedmon's two point layup36
4.6%
47
95.4%
Q2 - 3:56MagicR.J. Hampton makes two point running layup (Franz Wagner assists)36
4.2%
47
95.8%
Q2 - 4:00HeatTyler Herro turnover (lost ball) (Franz Wagner steals)34
3.9%
47
96.1%
Q2 - 4:13MagicFranz Wagner makes three point jump shot (R.J. Hampton assists)34
3.4%
47
96.6%
Q2 - 4:18MagicWendell Carter Jr. defensive rebound31
2.8%
47
97.2%
Q2 - 4:21HeatBam Adebayo misses two point driving layup31
2.7%
47
97.3%
Q2 - 4:48MagicR.J. Hampton makes three point jump shot (Franz Wagner assists)31
2.5%
47
97.5%
Q2 - 5:04HeatJimmy Butler makes two point running alley-oop layup (Tyler Herro assists)28
2.0%
47
98.0%
Q2 - 5:06HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound28
2.2%
45
97.8%
Q2 - 5:07MagicFranz Wagner misses two point driving layup28
2.3%
45
97.7%
Q2 - 5:23HeatDuncan Robinson makes two point cutting dunk (Bam Adebayo assists)28
2.5%
45
97.5%
Q2 - 5:31MagicJalen Suggs makes three point pullup jump shot28
2.7%
43
97.3%
Q2 - 5:40HeatJimmy Butler makes two point cutting layup (Tyler Herro assists)25
2.2%
43
97.8%
Q2 - 5:59MagicMo Bamba turnover (out of bounds bad pass)25
2.4%
41
97.6%
Q2 - 6:16HeatMarkieff Morris makes two point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)25
2.8%
41
97.2%
Q2 - 6:19HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound25
3.1%
39
96.9%
Q2 - 6:21MagicFranz Wagner misses three point jump shot25
3.2%
39
96.8%
Q2 - 6:36MagicMo Bamba defensive rebound25
3.5%
39
96.5%
Q2 - 6:36HeatTyler Herro misses two point jump shot25
3.4%
39
96.6%
Q2 - 6:48MagicFranz Wagner makes two point driving hook shot25
3.1%
39
96.9%
Q2 - 7:16HeatJimmy Butler makes two point layup (Tyler Herro assists)23
2.9%
39
97.1%
Q2 - 7:17HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound23
3.2%
37
96.8%
Q2 - 7:20MagicMarkieff Morris blocks Jalen Suggs's two point cutting layup23
3.3%
37
96.7%
Q2 - 7:23MagicFranz Wagner defensive rebound23
3.6%
37
96.4%
Q2 - 7:28HeatJimmy Butler misses two point running layup23
3.5%
37
96.5%
Q2 - 7:31MagicJalen Suggs turnover (lost ball) (Jimmy Butler steals)23
3.2%
37
96.8%
Q2 - 7:49HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 223
3.6%
37
96.4%
Q2 - 7:49HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 223
3.6%
36
96.4%
Q2 - 7:49MagicMo Bamba shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)23
3.7%
35
96.3%
Q2 - 8:05MagicJalen Suggs turnover (bad pass) (Bam Adebayo steals)23
4.0%
35
96.0%
Q2 - 8:12HeatKyle Lowry turnover (bad pass) (Mo Bamba steals)23
4.5%
35
95.5%
Q2 - 8:22HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound23
4.0%
35
96.0%
Q2 - 8:28MagicFranz Wagner misses three point jump shot23
4.1%
35
95.9%
Q2 - 8:44HeatTyler Herro turnover (offensive foul)23
4.5%
35
95.5%
Q2 - 8:44HeatTyler Herro offensive foul (Off the ball) (R.J. Hampton draws the foul)23
4.0%
35
96.0%
Q2 - 8:55MagicR.J. Hampton makes two point running layup23
4.0%
35
96.0%
Q2 - 8:57MagicR.J. Hampton defensive rebound21
3.6%
35
96.4%
Q2 - 9:01HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving layup21
3.6%
35
96.4%
Q2 - 9:20MagicMo Bamba makes two point cutting layup (R.J. Hampton assists)21
3.4%
35
96.6%
Q2 - 9:38HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 219
3.1%
35
96.9%
Q2 - 9:38HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 219
3.1%
34
96.9%
Q2 - 9:38MagicFranz Wagner shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)19
3.2%
33
96.8%
Q2 - 9:40HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound19
3.4%
33
96.6%
Q2 - 9:44MagicR.J. Hampton misses three point jump shot19
3.5%
33
96.5%
Q2 - 10:07HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 219
3.8%
33
96.2%
Q2 - 10:07HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 219
3.9%
32
96.1%
Q2 - 10:07MagicMo Bamba shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)19
4.0%
31
96.0%
Q2 - 10:16HeatHeat defensive rebound19
4.2%
31
95.8%
Q2 - 10:19MagicFranz Wagner misses three point jump shot19
4.3%
31
95.7%
Q2 - 10:23HeatKyle Lowry turnover (lost ball) (Cole Anthony steals)19
4.6%
31
95.4%
Q2 - 10:45MagicFranz Wagner makes two point driving dunk (Cole Anthony assists)19
4.2%
31
95.8%
Q2 - 10:58HeatMarkieff Morris makes two point pullup jump shot17
3.8%
31
96.2%
Q2 - 11:11MagicTerrence Ross turnover (offensive foul)17
4.2%
29
95.8%
Q2 - 11:11MagicTerrence Ross offensive foul (Off the ball) (Tyler Herro draws the foul)17
4.6%
29
95.4%
Q2 - 11:19HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving hook shot17
4.6%
29
95.4%
Q2 - 11:26HeatDewayne Dedmon offensive rebound17
5.1%
27
94.9%
Q2 - 11:31HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot17
5.4%
27
94.6%
Q2 - 11:46MagicMo Bamba makes two point cutting layup (Terrence Ross assists)17
5.1%
27
94.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.15
4.6%
27
95.4%
Q1 - 0:00.1MagicMagic offensive rebound15
4.6%
27
95.4%
Q1 - 0:00.2MagicR.J. Hampton misses two point running jump shot15
4.3%
27
95.7%
Q1 - 0:04.2MagicR.J. Hampton defensive rebound15
4.6%
27
95.4%
Q1 - 0:04.2HeatKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot15
4.5%
27
95.5%
Q1 - 0:17.0Jump ball. Dewayne Dedmon vs. Moritz Wagner (Max Strus gains possession)15
4.2%
27
95.8%
Q1 - 0:19.3HeatDewayne Dedmon technical foul (Double)15
4.6%
27
95.4%
Q1 - 0:19.3MagicMoritz Wagner technical foul (Double)15
4.6%
27
95.4%
Q1 - 0:31.7HeatMarkieff Morris personal foul (Cole Anthony draws the foul)15
4.6%
27
95.4%
Q1 - 0:36.8HeatMarkieff Morris makes two point stepback jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)15
4.6%
27
95.4%
Q1 - 0:40.7MagicMoritz Wagner personal foul (Markieff Morris draws the foul)15
5.1%
25
94.9%
Q1 - 0:46.4HeatDewayne Dedmon defensive rebound15
5.1%
25
94.9%
Q1 - 0:50.5MagicCole Anthony misses two point pullup jump shot15
5.2%
25
94.8%
Q1 - 0:57.8HeatKyle Lowry makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot (Dewayne Dedmon assists)15
5.5%
25
94.5%
Q1 - 1:07HeatMarkieff Morris defensive rebound15
6.1%
23
93.9%
Q1 - 1:08MagicCole Anthony misses three point jump shot15
6.3%
23
93.7%
Q1 - 1:27HeatMarkieff Morris makes two point jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)15
6.6%
23
93.4%
Q1 - 1:46MagicRobin Lopez makes two point driving hook shot15
7.3%
21
92.7%
Q1 - 1:54MagicCole Anthony defensive rebound13
6.6%
21
93.4%
Q1 - 1:56HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving floating bank jump shot13
6.4%
21
93.6%
Q1 - 2:14MagicRobin Lopez makes regular free throw 2 of 213
6.2%
21
93.8%
Q1 - 2:14MagicRobin Lopez makes regular free throw 1 of 212
6.0%
21
94.0%
Q1 - 2:14HeatMarkieff Morris shooting foul (Robin Lopez draws the foul)11
5.9%
21
94.1%
Q1 - 2:15MagicMoritz Wagner defensive rebound11
5.7%
21
94.3%
Q1 - 2:19HeatMoritz Wagner blocks Dewayne Dedmon's two point layup11
5.5%
21
94.5%
Q1 - 2:37MagicRobin Lopez makes two point driving dunk (Cole Anthony assists)11
5.2%
21
94.8%
Q1 - 2:52HeatDewayne Dedmon makes two point hook shot (Max Strus assists)9
4.8%
21
95.2%
Q1 - 3:14HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound9
5.2%
19
94.8%
Q1 - 3:17MagicTerrence Ross misses three point jump shot9
5.4%
19
94.6%
Q1 - 3:31HeatJimmy Butler makes two point running dunk9
5.8%
19
94.2%
Q1 - 3:33MagicCole Anthony turnover (bad pass) (Jimmy Butler steals)9
6.2%
17
93.8%
Q1 - 3:35MagicMagic offensive rebound9
6.8%
17
93.2%
Q1 - 3:35MagicDewayne Dedmon blocks Gary Harris's two point hook shot9
6.4%
17
93.6%
Q1 - 3:50HeatJimmy Butler makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot (Duncan Robinson assists)9
6.8%
17
93.2%
Q1 - 4:06HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound9
7.4%
15
92.6%
Q1 - 4:08MagicMoritz Wagner misses three point jump shot9
7.6%
15
92.4%
Q1 - 4:21HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving floating jump shot9
8.1%
15
91.9%
Q1 - 4:33MagicWendell Carter Jr. turnover (offensive foul)9
8.6%
13
91.4%
Q1 - 4:33MagicWendell Carter Jr. offensive foul (Off the ball) (Tyler Herro draws the foul)9
9.5%
13
90.5%
Q1 - 4:40HeatDuncan Robinson turnover (out of bounds bad pass)9
9.5%
13
90.5%
Q1 - 4:44MagicJalen Suggs personal foul (Loose ball) (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)9
8.6%
13
91.4%
Q1 - 4:44HeatHeat offensive rebound9
8.6%
13
91.4%
Q1 - 4:45HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot9
9.2%
13
90.8%
Q1 - 5:00HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound9
8.6%
13
91.4%
Q1 - 5:04MagicMoritz Wagner misses three point jump shot9
8.8%
13
91.2%
Q1 - 5:14HeatDuncan Robinson personal foul (Take) (Jalen Suggs draws the foul)9
9.3%
13
90.7%
Q1 - 5:14HeatDuncan Robinson turnover (lost ball) (Jalen Suggs steals)9
9.3%
13
90.7%
Q1 - 5:30MagicJalen Suggs turnover (out of bounds lost ball)9
8.5%
13
91.5%
Q1 - 5:46HeatJimmy Butler makes two point pullup jump shot9
9.3%
13
90.7%
Q1 - 6:04MagicWendell Carter Jr. makes two point dunk9
9.9%
11
90.1%
Q1 - 6:04MagicWendell Carter Jr. offensive rebound7
9.2%
11
90.8%
Q1 - 6:09MagicTerrence Ross misses two point pullup jump shot7
8.8%
11
91.2%
Q1 - 6:22HeatBam Adebayo makes two point alley-oop layup (Kyle Lowry assists)7
9.2%
11
90.8%
Q1 - 6:36MagicMagic turnover (shot clock violation)7
9.9%
9
90.1%
Q1 - 6:36MagicMagic offensive rebound7
10.7%
9
89.3%
Q1 - 6:37MagicTerrence Ross misses three point jump shot7
10.1%
9
89.9%
Q1 - 6:50HeatKyle Lowry personal foul (Loose ball) (Wendell Carter Jr. draws the foul)7
10.7%
9
89.3%
Q1 - 6:50MagicMagic offensive rebound7
10.7%
9
89.3%
Q1 - 6:51MagicMo Bamba misses three point jump shot7
10.1%
9
89.9%
Q1 - 7:06HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)7
10.4%
9
89.6%
Q1 - 7:11HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound7
11.9%
6
88.1%
Q1 - 7:13MagicWendell Carter Jr. misses three point jump shot7
12.2%
6
87.8%
Q1 - 7:36HeatJimmy Butler makes two point layup (Kyle Lowry assists)7
12.8%
6
87.2%
Q1 - 7:38HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound7
13.7%
4
86.3%
Q1 - 7:42MagicCole Anthony misses two point driving floating jump shot7
14.0%
4
86.0%
Q1 - 7:45MagicCole Anthony defensive rebound7
14.7%
4
85.3%
Q1 - 7:49HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving layup7
14.4%
4
85.6%
Q1 - 8:04HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound7
13.3%
4
86.7%
Q1 - 8:07MagicCole Anthony misses three point stepback jump shot7
13.6%
4
86.4%
Q1 - 8:21MagicJalen Suggs defensive rebound7
14.3%
4
85.7%
Q1 - 8:26HeatKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot7
14.0%
4
86.0%
Q1 - 8:31MagicJalen Suggs turnover (bad pass) (Jimmy Butler steals)7
13.3%
4
86.7%
Q1 - 8:41MagicMagic defensive rebound7
14.4%
4
85.6%
Q1 - 8:41HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot7
14.0%
4
86.0%
Q1 - 8:41HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound7
13.3%
4
86.7%
Q1 - 8:45HeatMo Bamba blocks P.J. Tucker's two point cutting layup7
14.0%
4
86.0%
Q1 - 9:07MagicFranz Wagner makes three point jump shot (Cole Anthony assists)7
13.2%
4
86.8%
Q1 - 9:11HeatKyle Lowry turnover (bad pass) (Cole Anthony steals)4
11.7%
4
88.3%
Q1 - 9:26HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound4
10.8%
4
89.2%
Q1 - 9:30MagicJalen Suggs misses three point jump shot4
11.1%
4
88.9%
Q1 - 9:42HeatJimmy Butler makes two point alley-oop dunk (Kyle Lowry assists)4
11.7%
4
88.3%
Q1 - 9:45MagicWendell Carter Jr. personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)4
12.4%
2
87.6%
Q1 - 9:55MagicFranz Wagner makes two point driving floating jump shot4
12.4%
2
87.6%
Q1 - 10:13MagicCole Anthony defensive rebound2
11.3%
2
88.7%
Q1 - 10:16HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot2
11.1%
2
88.9%
Q1 - 10:25HeatHeat defensive rebound2
10.6%
2
89.4%
Q1 - 10:26MagicWendell Carter Jr. misses three point jump shot2
10.8%
2
89.2%
Q1 - 10:40MagicJalen Suggs defensive rebound2
11.4%
2
88.6%
Q1 - 10:40HeatP.J. Tucker misses three point jump shot2
11.1%
2
88.9%
Q1 - 10:56MagicCole Anthony makes two point pullup jump shot (Wendell Carter Jr. assists)2
10.6%
2
89.4%
Q1 - 11:03MagicWendell Carter Jr. defensive rebound0
9.8%
2
90.2%
Q1 - 11:08HeatBam Adebayo misses two point pullup jump shot0
9.6%
2
90.4%
Q1 - 11:17HeatHeat defensive rebound0
9.1%
2
90.9%
Q1 - 11:18MagicJalen Suggs misses two point turnaround hook shot0
9.3%
2
90.7%
Q1 - 11:43HeatBam Adebayo makes two point jump shot (Duncan Robinson assists)0
9.8%
2
90.2%
Q1 - 12:00Mo Bamba vs. Bam Adebayo (Kyle Lowry gains possession)0
10.3%
0
89.7%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
0.94 46.9%
MIA
1.10 55.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ORL
14
20
70%
MIA
16
26
62%
Midrange
ORL
7
17
41%
MIA
19
34
56%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ORL
12
18.0
44
27%
41%
MIA
6
9.0
27
22%
33%
Free Throws
ORL
12
19
63%
MIA
19
19
100%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Suggs1558%7.5 / 13
F. Wagner1554%7.5 / 14
C. Anthony1243%6.0 / 14
R. Hampton1260%6.0 / 10
M. Bamba1161%5.5 / 9
R. Lopez1192%5.5 / 6
W. Carter956%4.5 / 8
M. Wagner350%1.5 / 3
G. Harris233%1.0 / 3
T. Ross0-0.0 / 7
I. Brazdeikis0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Butler3675%18.0 / 24
B. Adebayo1662%8.0 / 13
M. Morris1673%8.0 / 11
T. Herro1350%6.5 / 13
D. Robinson1045%5.0 / 11
K. Lowry941%4.5 / 11
M. Strus542%2.5 / 6
D. Dedmon233%1.0 / 3
P. Tucker0-0.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ORL
83
+13
-16
96
MIA
87
+10
-10
97
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
0.94 46.9%
MIA
1.10 55.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
104.3
113.3
ORL 90.9 +19.4
MIA 110.3
Pace
99.4
96.2
ORL 97.5
MIA 98.5 +1.0
Avg. Poss. Time
14.4
15.0
ORL 14.8
MIA 14.6 +0.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.2%
54.7%
ORL 48.1%
MIA 50.6% +2.5%
TO %
13.8%
14.2%
ORL 16.8%
MIA 10.3% +6.5%
ORB %
19.9%
23.5%
ORL 15.4%
MIA 21.4% +6.0%
FTrt
22.3
25.2
ORL 23.5 +1.7
MIA 21.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
62.0%
64.4%
ORL 63.6%
MIA 68.3% +4.7%
STL %
6.8%
7.6%
ORL 7.1%
MIA 10.3% +3.2%
BLK %
8.5%
7.1%
ORL 10.0% +4.6%
MIA 5.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.36 and 2.36.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.4%
56.8%
ORL 46.9%
MIA 55.2% +8.3%
Rim FG%
59.8%
63.4%
ORL 70.0% +8.5%
MIA 61.5%
Mid FG%
37.5%
41.4%
ORL 41.2%
MIA 55.9% +14.7%
3P %
33.1%
37.9%
ORL 27.3% +5.1%
MIA 22.2%
FT %
78.7%
80.8%
ORL 63.2%
MIA 100.0% +36.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.6%
30.6%
ORL 24.7%
MIA 29.9% +5.2%
Mid Att. %
23.7%
27.1%
ORL 21.0% +18.1%
MIA 39.1%
3P Att. %
41.7%
42.2%
ORL 54.3% +23.3%
MIA 31.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsORLMIA
Possessions9997
Possession Minutes24.423.6
Points90107
Rebounds3942
Assists2128
Steals710
Blocks62
Turnovers (Team)16 (2)10 (1)
Fouls2219
Off. Rebounds (Team)6 (7)9 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)33 (3)33 (5)
Field Goals33-8141-87
At-the-Rim FG14-2016-26
Midrange FG7-1719-34
2-Point FG21-3735-60
3-Point FG12-446-27
Free Throws12-1919-19
Fast Break Pts1021
2nd Chance Pts516
Points in Paint4050
Pts off Turnovers620
Bench Points2836
Biggest Lead322

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#50 · SG · 6'2" 185 · 21
32.0
12
43%
9
5
2
0
3
0
0
9
1-2
50%
4-8
50%
1-5
20%
#5 · C · 7'1" 225 · 23
28.2
11
61%
5
0
2
1
1
4
2
3
2-2
100%
3-4
75%
1-4
25%
#4 · PG · 6'5" 205 · 20
27.9
15
58%
4
2
1
0
5
5
0
4
1-2
50%
1-4
25%
4-8
50%
#34 · SF · 6'10" 270 · 23
27.8
9
56%
9
1
0
1
2
2
3
6
2-2
100%
2-2
100%
1-5
20%
#22 · PF · 6'10" 220 · 20
26.9
15
54%
2
4
1
1
0
2
0
2
1-2
50%
4-6
67%
2-7
29%
#13 · PG · 6'4" 175 · 21
25.7
12
60%
6
4
1
1
1
2
0
6
2-4
50%
2-5
40%
2-3
67%
#31 · SG · 6'7" 206 · 31
21.5
0
0%
0
2
0
0
3
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-6
0%
#14 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 27
18.9
2
33%
0
2
0
0
1
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-1
0%
#21 · C · 6'11" 245 · 24
11.4
3
50%
2
0
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-3
33%
#33 · C · 7'0" 277 · 34
10.5
11
92%
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
3-5
60%
4-5
80%
0-0
-
#17 · SF · 6'7" 221 · 23
9.2
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-2
0%
#55 · SG · 6'4" 191 · 33
DNP - Injury/Illness | Left Knee; Sprain
#1 · PF · 6'10" 230 · 24
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Knee; Injury Recovery
#20 · SG · 6'4" 209 · 23
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Knee; Injury Recovery
#3 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 23
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Hip; Bone Bruise
#7 · PG · 6'6" 190 · 30
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Ankle; Injury Recovery
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
90
47%
39
21
7
6
16
22
6
33
12-19
63%
21-37
57%
12-44
27%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.