FinalWin Prob.pScore
2426%108
96
574%117
102
ORTG#PossPace
SAS logo SAS
94.1102102.7
DEN logo DEN
99.0103102.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

NuggetsSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

NuggetsSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventSASDEN
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.96
0%
102
100%
Q4 - 0:14.4NuggetsMonte Morris defensive rebound96
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 0:14.4SpursDejounte Murray misses three point pullup jump shot96
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 0:16.6SpursDejounte Murray defensive rebound96
0.3%
102
99.7%
Q4 - 0:18.4NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. misses two point driving layup96
0.2%
102
99.8%
Q4 - 0:32.3NuggetsMonte Morris defensive rebound96
0.3%
102
99.7%
Q4 - 0:34.7SpursDerrick White misses three point fadeaway jump shot96
0.4%
102
99.6%
Q4 - 0:42.8NuggetsMonte Morris makes two point fadeaway jump shot96
1.6%
102
98.4%
Q4 - 1:06SpursDerrick White makes three point pullup jump shot (Dejounte Murray assists)96
4.1%
100
95.9%
Q4 - 1:11SpursDoug McDermott defensive rebound93
1.7%
100
98.3%
Q4 - 1:12NuggetsWill Barton misses two point driving layup93
1.4%
100
98.6%
Q4 - 1:21SpursKeldon Johnson personal foul (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)93
1.1%
100
98.9%
Q4 - 1:22NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound93
1.1%
100
98.9%
Q4 - 1:24SpursDejounte Murray misses two point driving layup93
1.4%
100
98.6%
Q4 - 1:32NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot93
2.3%
100
97.7%
Q4 - 1:56SpursKeldon Johnson makes regular free throw 2 of 293
4.2%
98
95.8%
Q4 - 1:56SpursKeldon Johnson misses regular free throw 1 of 292
3.8%
98
96.2%
Q4 - 1:56NuggetsAaron Gordon shooting foul (Keldon Johnson draws the foul)92
5.3%
98
94.7%
Q4 - 2:01SpursJakob Poeltl offensive rebound92
4.5%
98
95.5%
Q4 - 2:06SpursKeldon Johnson misses two point driving floating jump shot92
3.0%
98
97.0%
Q4 - 2:15NuggetsMonte Morris turnover (lost ball) (Derrick White steals)92
4.4%
98
95.6%
Q4 - 2:44SpursDejounte Murray makes two point driving finger roll layup92
2.4%
98
97.6%
Q4 - 2:55NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point floating jump shot (Will Barton assists)90
2.4%
98
97.6%
Q4 - 3:03SpursDerrick White personal foul (Will Barton draws the foul)90
3.3%
96
96.7%
Q4 - 3:17SpursDoug McDermott makes three point jump shot (Derrick White assists)90
3.2%
96
96.8%
Q4 - 3:28NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point turnaround hook shot87
1.6%
96
98.4%
Q4 - 3:50SpursDerrick White makes regular free throw 2 of 287
3.5%
94
96.5%
Q4 - 3:50SpursDerrick White makes regular free throw 1 of 286
3.3%
94
96.7%
Q4 - 3:50NuggetsAaron Gordon personal foul (Derrick White draws the foul)85
3.1%
94
96.9%
Q4 - 3:54NuggetsNikola Jokic personal foul (Doug McDermott draws the foul)85
2.5%
94
97.5%
Q4 - 4:05NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. makes three point jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)85
2.5%
94
97.5%
Q4 - 4:09NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound85
4.8%
91
95.2%
Q4 - 4:11SpursDevin Vassell misses two point pullup jump shot85
5.3%
91
94.7%
Q4 - 4:18SpursDevin Vassell defensive rebound85
6.9%
91
93.1%
Q4 - 4:22NuggetsWill Barton misses three point jump shot85
6.1%
91
93.9%
Q4 - 4:37NuggetsWill Barton defensive rebound85
4.7%
91
95.3%
Q4 - 4:41SpursDevin Vassell misses three point jump shot85
5.3%
91
94.7%
Q4 - 4:58NuggetsNikola Jokic turnover (out of bounds bad pass)85
6.8%
91
93.2%
Q4 - 5:07SpursDevin Vassell makes regular free throw 2 of 285
5.9%
91
94.1%
Q4 - 5:07SpursDevin Vassell misses regular free throw 1 of 284
5.6%
91
94.4%
Q4 - 5:07NuggetsWill Barton shooting foul (Devin Vassell draws the foul)84
7.2%
91
92.8%
Q4 - 5:18NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point driving layup (Will Barton assists)84
6.0%
91
94.0%
Q4 - 5:30NuggetsNuggets defensive rebound84
7.9%
89
92.1%
Q4 - 5:30SpursDejounte Murray misses two point driving finger roll layup84
8.7%
89
91.3%
Q4 - 5:41SpursDevin Vassell defensive rebound84
10.8%
89
89.2%
Q4 - 5:45NuggetsMonte Morris misses three point jump shot84
9.8%
89
90.2%
Q4 - 5:57NuggetsWill Barton defensive rebound84
7.9%
89
92.1%
Q4 - 5:57SpursDejounte Murray misses two point pullup jump shot84
8.7%
89
91.3%
Q4 - 6:10NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point turnaround jump shot84
12.0%
89
88.0%
Q4 - 6:31SpursKeldon Johnson makes two point driving layup (Devin Vassell assists)84
14.6%
87
85.4%
Q4 - 6:48NuggetsJeff Green makes two point cutting dunk (Nikola Jokic assists)82
11.9%
87
88.1%
Q4 - 6:55SpursJakob Poeltl turnover (offensive foul)82
14.6%
85
85.4%
Q4 - 6:55SpursJakob Poeltl offensive foul (Charge) (P.J. Dozier draws the foul)82
19.5%
85
80.5%
Q4 - 7:15NuggetsFacundo Campazzo makes two point driving finger roll layup82
19.7%
85
80.3%
Q4 - 7:24NuggetsJaMychal Green defensive rebound82
23.3%
83
76.7%
Q4 - 7:26SpursKeldon Johnson misses three point jump shot82
25.1%
83
74.9%
Q4 - 7:40SpursDejounte Murray defensive rebound82
29.5%
83
70.5%
Q4 - 7:45NuggetsP.J. Dozier misses three point jump shot82
27.5%
83
72.5%
Q4 - 8:05SpursJakob Poeltl makes two point driving layup82
23.7%
83
76.3%
Q4 - 8:15SpursKeldon Johnson defensive rebound80
19.6%
83
80.4%
Q4 - 8:20NuggetsAustin Rivers misses three point jump shot80
18.4%
83
81.6%
Q4 - 8:41SpursDerrick White makes regular free throw 2 of 280
15.8%
83
84.2%
Q4 - 8:41SpursDerrick White makes regular free throw 1 of 279
15.3%
83
84.7%
Q4 - 8:41NuggetsFacundo Campazzo shooting foul (Derrick White draws the foul)78
14.8%
83
85.2%
Q4 - 8:43SpursJakob Poeltl offensive rebound78
12.9%
83
87.1%
Q4 - 8:46SpursDejounte Murray misses three point jump shot78
11.0%
83
89.0%
Q4 - 8:53SpursKeldon Johnson defensive rebound78
12.9%
83
87.1%
Q4 - 8:57NuggetsFacundo Campazzo misses two point pullup jump shot78
12.0%
83
88.0%
Q4 - 9:10SpursJakob Poeltl makes two point reverse layup (Derrick White assists)78
10.5%
83
89.5%
Q4 - 9:21SpursDerrick White defensive rebound76
8.7%
83
91.3%
Q4 - 9:23NuggetsP.J. Dozier misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot76
8.1%
83
91.9%
Q4 - 9:45SpursKeldon Johnson makes two point driving floating jump shot (Dejounte Murray assists)76
6.8%
83
93.2%
Q4 - 9:54SpursDejounte Murray defensive rebound74
5.6%
83
94.4%
Q4 - 9:56NuggetsAustin Rivers misses three point stepback jump shot74
5.2%
83
94.8%
Q4 - 10:10SpursJakob Poeltl makes two point putback dunk74
5.0%
83
95.0%
Q4 - 10:10SpursJakob Poeltl offensive rebound72
4.1%
83
95.9%
Q4 - 10:15SpursDerrick White misses two point running layup72
3.5%
83
96.5%
Q4 - 10:21NuggetsJaMychal Green turnover (bad pass) (Derrick White steals)72
4.1%
83
95.9%
Q4 - 10:22NuggetsJaMychal Green defensive rebound72
3.2%
83
96.8%
Q4 - 10:25SpursDerrick White misses three point jump shot72
3.5%
83
96.5%
Q4 - 10:37NuggetsAustin Rivers makes two point driving finger roll layup72
4.1%
83
95.9%
Q4 - 10:44NuggetsAustin Rivers defensive rebound72
4.9%
81
95.1%
Q4 - 10:48SpursKeldon Johnson misses two point pullup jump shot72
5.3%
81
94.7%
Q4 - 10:56NuggetsJaMychal Green personal foul (Derrick White draws the foul)72
6.2%
81
93.8%
Q4 - 11:10NuggetsJaMychal Green turnover (out of bounds bad pass)72
6.7%
81
93.3%
Q4 - 11:20SpursKeldon Johnson makes two point pullup jump shot72
5.5%
81
94.5%
Q4 - 11:26NuggetsFacundo Campazzo turnover (bad pass) (Keldon Johnson steals)70
4.5%
81
95.5%
Q4 - 11:28SpursDoug McDermott turnover (lost ball) (Facundo Campazzo steals)70
3.7%
81
96.3%
Q4 - 11:43NuggetsJaMychal Green makes two point alley-oop dunk (P.J. Dozier assists)70
4.5%
81
95.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.70
5.5%
79
94.5%
Q3 - 0:01.1SpursTre Jones turnover (out of bounds lost ball)70
6.0%
79
94.0%
Q3 - 0:04.9NuggetsAustin Rivers turnover (lost ball) (Devin Vassell steals)70
7.2%
79
92.8%
Q3 - 0:29.3SpursDoug McDermott makes two point driving layup (Lonnie Walker IV assists)70
5.9%
79
94.1%
Q3 - 0:38.4SpursLonnie Walker IV defensive rebound68
4.9%
79
95.1%
Q3 - 0:42.4NuggetsP.J. Dozier misses three point jump shot68
4.6%
79
95.4%
Q3 - 0:52.9SpursThaddeus Young turnover (lost ball) (JaMychal Green steals)68
4.0%
79
96.0%
Q3 - 1:06NuggetsAustin Rivers personal foul (Tre Jones draws the foul)68
5.4%
79
94.6%
Q3 - 1:13NuggetsAustin Rivers makes regular free throw 2 of 268
5.4%
79
94.6%
Q3 - 1:13NuggetsAustin Rivers misses regular free throw 1 of 268
5.6%
78
94.4%
Q3 - 1:13SpursDejounte Murray shooting foul (Austin Rivers draws the foul)68
5.0%
78
95.0%
Q3 - 1:22NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound68
5.3%
78
94.7%
Q3 - 1:24SpursDejounte Murray misses two point driving layup68
5.6%
78
94.4%
Q3 - 1:33NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point jump shot68
6.4%
78
93.6%
Q3 - 1:52SpursThaddeus Young makes two point floating jump shot (Dejounte Murray assists)68
7.5%
76
92.5%
Q3 - 2:08NuggetsFacundo Campazzo makes two point running layup (Nikola Jokic assists)66
6.9%
76
93.1%
Q3 - 2:13NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound66
8.1%
74
91.9%
Q3 - 2:14SpursDejounte Murray misses two point pullup jump shot66
8.5%
74
91.5%
Q3 - 2:22SpursDejounte Murray defensive rebound66
9.6%
74
90.4%
Q3 - 2:25NuggetsJeff Green misses three point jump shot66
9.1%
74
90.9%
Q3 - 2:32NuggetsP.J. Dozier defensive rebound66
8.1%
74
91.9%
Q3 - 2:34SpursLonnie Walker IV misses three point jump shot66
8.5%
74
91.5%
Q3 - 2:47NuggetsNikola Jokic makes three point jump shot (Facundo Campazzo assists)66
9.6%
74
90.4%
Q3 - 2:51NuggetsFacundo Campazzo defensive rebound66
13.1%
71
86.9%
Q3 - 2:55SpursThaddeus Young misses two point fadeaway jump shot66
13.8%
71
86.2%
Q3 - 3:00SpursSpurs offensive rebound66
15.5%
71
84.5%
Q3 - 3:00SpursNikola Jokic blocks Keldon Johnson's two point driving finger roll layup66
13.8%
71
86.2%
Q3 - 3:20NuggetsWill Barton makes two point driving layup (Facundo Campazzo assists)66
16.0%
71
84.0%
Q3 - 3:26NuggetsWill Barton defensive rebound66
18.1%
69
81.9%
Q3 - 3:29SpursDerrick White misses three point jump shot66
19.0%
69
81.0%
Q3 - 3:33NuggetsNikola Jokic turnover (bad pass) (Lonnie Walker IV steals)66
21.3%
69
78.7%
Q3 - 3:36SpursDrew Eubanks turnover (lost ball) (Nikola Jokic steals)66
18.1%
69
81.9%
Q3 - 3:46NuggetsAaron Gordon makes regular free throw 2 of 266
21.2%
69
78.8%
Q3 - 3:46NuggetsAaron Gordon makes regular free throw 1 of 266
22.1%
68
77.9%
Q3 - 3:46SpursDrew Eubanks shooting foul (Aaron Gordon draws the foul)66
23.0%
67
77.0%
Q3 - 4:05SpursDerrick White makes two point driving layup66
23.5%
67
76.5%
Q3 - 4:16SpursLonnie Walker IV defensive rebound64
21.2%
67
78.8%
Q3 - 4:20NuggetsMonte Morris misses three point jump shot64
20.2%
67
79.8%
Q3 - 4:25SpursKeldon Johnson turnover (lost ball) (Nikola Jokic steals)64
18.1%
67
81.9%
Q3 - 4:33SpursDrew Eubanks offensive rebound64
21.2%
67
78.8%
Q3 - 4:35SpursDevin Vassell misses two point pullup jump shot64
19.0%
67
81.0%
Q3 - 4:49SpursDrew Eubanks defensive rebound64
21.2%
67
78.8%
Q3 - 4:49NuggetsNikola Jokic misses two point tip layup64
20.2%
67
79.8%
Q3 - 4:49NuggetsNikola Jokic offensive rebound64
18.1%
67
81.9%
Q3 - 4:54NuggetsNikola Jokic misses two point turnaround hook shot64
20.2%
67
79.8%
Q3 - 5:06NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound64
18.5%
67
81.5%
Q3 - 5:09SpursDerrick White misses three point pullup jump shot64
19.3%
67
80.7%
Q3 - 5:19NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. personal foul (Drew Eubanks draws the foul)64
21.2%
67
78.8%
Q3 - 5:33NuggetsMonte Morris makes two point pullup jump shot64
21.2%
67
78.8%
Q3 - 5:39SpursKeldon Johnson personal foul (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)64
23.8%
65
76.2%
Q3 - 5:43NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound64
23.8%
65
76.2%
Q3 - 5:45SpursLonnie Walker IV misses two point driving layup64
24.8%
65
75.2%
Q3 - 5:49SpursJakob Poeltl defensive rebound64
27.1%
65
72.9%
Q3 - 5:52NuggetsWill Barton misses two point running layup64
26.0%
65
74.0%
Q3 - 5:56NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound64
23.8%
65
76.2%
Q3 - 5:58SpursLonnie Walker IV misses two point driving floating jump shot64
24.8%
65
75.2%
Q3 - 6:13NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. makes two point driving layup (Will Barton assists)64
26.6%
65
73.4%
Q3 - 6:18NuggetsWill Barton defensive rebound64
29.4%
63
70.6%
Q3 - 6:23SpursJakob Poeltl misses two point floating jump shot64
30.5%
63
69.5%
Q3 - 6:41NuggetsAaron Gordon turnover (offensive foul)64
33.1%
63
66.9%
Q3 - 6:41NuggetsAaron Gordon offensive foul (Charge) (Keldon Johnson draws the foul)64
29.4%
63
70.6%
Q3 - 6:48SpursJakob Poeltl turnover (offensive foul)64
29.4%
63
70.6%
Q3 - 6:48SpursJakob Poeltl offensive foul (Will Barton draws the foul)64
33.1%
63
66.9%
Q3 - 6:54SpursDejounte Murray defensive rebound64
33.1%
63
66.9%
Q3 - 6:58NuggetsMonte Morris misses three point jump shot64
32.0%
63
68.0%
Q3 - 7:09SpursJakob Poeltl makes regular free throw 2 of 264
28.8%
63
71.2%
Q3 - 7:09SpursJakob Poeltl misses regular free throw 1 of 263
27.6%
63
72.4%
Q3 - 7:09NuggetsNikola Jokic shooting foul (Jakob Poeltl draws the foul)63
29.2%
63
70.8%
Q3 - 7:20NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point running layup63
29.3%
63
70.7%
Q3 - 7:24NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound63
32.0%
61
68.0%
Q3 - 7:26SpursJakob Poeltl misses two point layup63
33.1%
61
66.9%
Q3 - 7:41SpursDejounte Murray defensive rebound63
35.8%
61
64.2%
Q3 - 7:44NuggetsWill Barton misses two point fadeaway jump shot63
34.6%
61
65.4%
Q3 - 8:03SpursDejounte Murray makes two point jump shot63
31.5%
61
68.5%
Q3 - 8:18NuggetsWill Barton makes two point tip layup61
29.0%
61
71.0%
Q3 - 8:18NuggetsWill Barton offensive rebound61
31.5%
59
68.5%
Q3 - 8:23NuggetsWill Barton misses two point driving finger roll layup61
34.2%
59
65.8%
Q3 - 8:29NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound61
31.5%
59
68.5%
Q3 - 8:32SpursDoug McDermott misses three point jump shot61
32.7%
59
67.3%
Q3 - 8:54NuggetsMonte Morris makes two point driving layup61
35.4%
59
64.6%
Q3 - 9:10SpursJakob Poeltl makes two point floating jump shot (Derrick White assists)61
37.5%
57
62.5%
Q3 - 9:25NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point turnaround hook shot59
34.6%
57
65.4%
Q3 - 9:45SpursDejounte Murray makes three point jump shot (Keldon Johnson assists)59
37.6%
55
62.4%
Q3 - 9:50NuggetsMonte Morris turnover (bad pass) (Dejounte Murray steals)56
31.5%
55
68.5%
Q3 - 9:56NuggetsNikola Jokic offensive rebound56
28.2%
55
71.8%
Q3 - 9:58NuggetsWill Barton misses three point jump shot56
30.5%
55
69.5%
Q3 - 10:17SpursDejounte Murray makes two point running layup56
27.8%
55
72.2%
Q3 - 10:20NuggetsNikola Jokic turnover (bad pass) (Dejounte Murray steals)54
25.5%
55
74.5%
Q3 - 10:38SpursKeldon Johnson makes two point pullup jump shot54
22.6%
55
77.4%
Q3 - 10:45SpursDejounte Murray defensive rebound52
20.6%
55
79.4%
Q3 - 10:50NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. misses three point jump shot52
19.8%
55
80.2%
Q3 - 11:07SpursJakob Poeltl makes two point putback dunk52
18.0%
55
82.0%
Q3 - 11:07SpursJakob Poeltl offensive rebound50
16.1%
55
83.9%
Q3 - 11:12SpursDerrick White misses two point driving layup50
14.9%
55
85.1%
Q3 - 11:18NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. personal foul (Jakob Poeltl draws the foul)50
16.2%
55
83.8%
Q3 - 11:28NuggetsAaron Gordon makes two point alley-oop layup (Nikola Jokic assists)50
16.2%
55
83.8%
Q3 - 11:48SpursJakob Poeltl turnover (out of bounds bad pass)50
18.0%
53
82.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.50
20.2%
53
79.8%
Q2 - 0:00.1NuggetsNuggets offensive rebound50
18.1%
53
81.9%
Q2 - 0:00.1NuggetsFacundo Campazzo misses three point running jump shot50
19.1%
53
80.9%
Q2 - 0:02.1SpursKeldon Johnson makes two point turnaround bank jump shot50
18.1%
53
81.9%
Q2 - 0:18.7NuggetsMonte Morris turnover (out of bounds bad pass)48
15.8%
53
84.2%
Q2 - 0:30.7SpursDejounte Murray personal foul (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)48
14.5%
53
85.5%
Q2 - 0:30.7NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound48
14.5%
53
85.5%
Q2 - 0:31.7SpursDejounte Murray misses two point turnaround jump shot48
14.9%
53
85.1%
Q2 - 0:42.0NuggetsMonte Morris turnover (traveling)48
15.8%
53
84.2%
Q2 - 0:53.9SpursJakob Poeltl makes two point cutting layup (Dejounte Murray assists)48
14.5%
53
85.5%
Q2 - 1:06NuggetsWill Barton makes three point jump shot (Monte Morris assists)46
12.9%
53
87.1%
Q2 - 1:14SpursDerrick White makes two point cutting layup (Jakob Poeltl assists)46
16.6%
50
83.4%
Q2 - 1:28NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. turnover (lost ball) (Keldon Johnson steals)44
14.3%
50
85.7%
Q2 - 1:31NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound44
13.3%
50
86.7%
Q2 - 1:32SpursDoug McDermott misses two point fadeaway jump shot44
13.6%
50
86.4%
Q2 - 1:47NuggetsMonte Morris makes two point pullup jump shot44
14.3%
50
85.7%
Q2 - 2:04SpursDejounte Murray turnover (offensive foul)44
16.4%
48
83.6%
Q2 - 2:04SpursDejounte Murray offensive foul (Monte Morris draws the foul)44
18.2%
48
81.8%
Q2 - 2:25NuggetsMonte Morris makes three point jump shot (Will Barton assists)44
18.2%
48
81.8%
Q2 - 2:38SpursKeldon Johnson makes two point driving floating jump shot (Derrick White assists)44
22.0%
45
78.0%
Q2 - 2:53NuggetsNikola Jokic turnover (offensive foul)42
20.0%
45
80.0%
Q2 - 2:53NuggetsNikola Jokic offensive foul (Charge) (Derrick White draws the foul)42
18.1%
45
81.9%
Q2 - 2:59SpursKeldon Johnson makes regular free throw 1 of 142
18.1%
45
81.9%
Q2 - 2:59NuggetsAaron Gordon shooting foul (Keldon Johnson draws the foul)41
17.7%
45
82.3%
Q2 - 3:09SpursJakob Poeltl defensive rebound39
15.1%
45
84.9%
Q2 - 3:12NuggetsNikola Jokic misses regular free throw 1 of 139
14.9%
45
85.1%
Q2 - 3:12SpursKeldon Johnson shooting foul (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)39
13.8%
45
86.2%
Q2 - 3:13NuggetsNikola Jokic offensive rebound39
16.3%
43
83.7%
Q2 - 3:14NuggetsAaron Gordon misses two point tip layup39
17.7%
43
82.3%
Q2 - 3:14NuggetsAaron Gordon offensive rebound39
16.3%
43
83.7%
Q2 - 3:15NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. misses three point jump shot39
17.7%
43
82.3%
Q2 - 3:32SpursDerrick White turnover (out of bounds bad pass)39
16.3%
43
83.7%
Q2 - 3:37SpursDerrick White defensive rebound39
18.3%
43
81.7%
Q2 - 3:39NuggetsDerrick White blocks Nikola Jokic's two point hook shot39
17.7%
43
82.3%
Q2 - 3:57SpursLonnie Walker IV makes regular free throw 2 of 239
16.3%
43
83.7%
Q2 - 3:57SpursLonnie Walker IV misses regular free throw 1 of 238
16.1%
43
83.9%
Q2 - 3:57NuggetsMonte Morris shooting foul (Lonnie Walker IV draws the foul)38
17.4%
43
82.6%
Q2 - 4:05SpursLonnie Walker IV defensive rebound38
16.4%
43
83.6%
Q2 - 4:08NuggetsAaron Gordon misses three point jump shot38
15.9%
43
84.1%
Q2 - 4:22SpursKeldon Johnson makes two point driving finger roll layup (Bryn Forbes assists)38
14.9%
43
85.1%
Q2 - 4:37NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point driving reverse layup (Will Barton assists)36
13.6%
43
86.4%
Q2 - 4:57SpursJakob Poeltl makes two point cutting dunk (Lonnie Walker IV assists)36
14.9%
41
85.1%
Q2 - 5:03SpursBryn Forbes defensive rebound34
13.6%
41
86.4%
Q2 - 5:06NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. misses three point pullup jump shot34
13.1%
41
86.9%
Q2 - 5:11SpursBryn Forbes turnover (bad pass) (Nikola Jokic steals)34
12.0%
41
88.0%
Q2 - 5:18NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. personal foul (Jakob Poeltl draws the foul)34
13.6%
41
86.4%
Q2 - 5:26NuggetsAaron Gordon turnover (offensive foul)34
13.6%
41
86.4%
Q2 - 5:26NuggetsAaron Gordon offensive foul (Charge) (Derrick White draws the foul)34
12.1%
41
87.9%
Q2 - 5:29NuggetsAaron Gordon offensive rebound34
12.1%
41
87.9%
Q2 - 5:32NuggetsMonte Morris misses three point jump shot34
13.1%
41
86.9%
Q2 - 5:34NuggetsNikola Jokic offensive rebound34
12.1%
41
87.9%
Q2 - 5:37NuggetsDerrick White blocks Monte Morris's two point driving layup34
13.1%
41
86.9%
Q2 - 5:55SpursDrew Eubanks turnover (offensive foul)34
12.1%
41
87.9%
Q2 - 5:55SpursDrew Eubanks offensive foul (Facundo Campazzo draws the foul)34
13.6%
41
86.4%
Q2 - 6:18NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point turnaround hook shot34
13.6%
41
86.4%
Q2 - 6:37SpursLonnie Walker IV makes three point jump shot (Derrick White assists)34
14.6%
39
85.4%
Q2 - 6:49SpursSpurs defensive rebound31
12.4%
39
87.6%
Q2 - 6:49NuggetsAustin Rivers misses two point running reverse layup31
11.9%
39
88.1%
Q2 - 6:54SpursDerrick White turnover (lost ball) (JaMychal Green steals)31
11.0%
39
89.0%
Q2 - 7:12NuggetsP.J. Dozier makes three point jump shot (Facundo Campazzo assists)31
12.5%
39
87.5%
Q2 - 7:28SpursLonnie Walker IV makes two point driving reverse layup (Derrick White assists)31
14.9%
36
85.1%
Q2 - 7:43SpursDrew Eubanks defensive rebound29
13.7%
36
86.3%
Q2 - 7:45NuggetsP.J. Dozier misses regular free throw 1 of 129
13.5%
36
86.5%
Q2 - 7:45SpursDrew Eubanks shooting foul (P.J. Dozier draws the foul)29
12.8%
36
87.2%
Q2 - 7:56NuggetsJeff Green defensive rebound29
14.9%
34
85.1%
Q2 - 7:59SpursBryn Forbes misses three point jump shot29
15.3%
34
84.7%
Q2 - 8:12NuggetsJaMychal Green makes three point jump shot (P.J. Dozier assists)29
16.4%
34
83.6%
Q2 - 8:35SpursKeldon Johnson makes two point driving floating jump shot (Drew Eubanks assists)29
19.4%
31
80.6%
Q2 - 8:56NuggetsFacundo Campazzo makes two point reverse layup (JaMychal Green assists)27
17.9%
31
82.1%
Q2 - 9:13SpursDevin Vassell makes three point jump shot (Dejounte Murray assists)27
19.4%
29
80.6%
Q2 - 9:31SpursSpurs defensive rebound24
16.5%
29
83.5%
Q2 - 9:33NuggetsFacundo Campazzo misses three point jump shot24
16.0%
29
84.0%
Q2 - 9:43SpursDejounte Murray turnover (lost ball) (JaMychal Green steals)24
15.0%
29
85.0%
Q2 - 9:51SpursDoug McDermott defensive rebound24
16.5%
29
83.5%
Q2 - 9:53NuggetsJaMychal Green misses three point jump shot24
16.0%
29
84.0%
Q2 - 10:06NuggetsFacundo Campazzo defensive rebound24
15.2%
29
84.8%
Q2 - 10:09SpursDoug McDermott misses three point jump shot24
15.6%
29
84.4%
Q2 - 10:11SpursDejounte Murray offensive rebound24
16.6%
29
83.4%
Q2 - 10:14SpursFacundo Campazzo blocks Bryn Forbes's three point jump shot24
15.6%
29
84.4%
Q2 - 10:19NuggetsJeff Green turnover (lost ball) (Devin Vassell steals)24
16.6%
29
83.4%
Q2 - 10:33NuggetsP.J. Dozier defensive rebound24
15.2%
29
84.8%
Q2 - 10:36SpursDejounte Murray misses two point jump shot24
15.6%
29
84.4%
Q2 - 11:01NuggetsJaMychal Green makes three point jump shot (Austin Rivers assists)24
16.4%
29
83.6%
Q2 - 11:11NuggetsFacundo Campazzo defensive rebound24
19.4%
26
80.6%
Q2 - 11:16SpursDevin Vassell misses two point cutting layup24
19.8%
26
80.2%
Q2 - 11:29NuggetsJaMychal Green turnover (offensive foul)24
20.8%
26
79.2%
Q2 - 11:29NuggetsJaMychal Green offensive foul (Dejounte Murray draws the foul)24
19.4%
26
80.6%
Q2 - 11:39SpursDevin Vassell makes two point floating jump shot24
19.4%
26
80.6%
Q2 - 11:41SpursDevin Vassell offensive rebound22
17.8%
26
82.2%
Q2 - 11:43SpursDevin Vassell misses three point jump shot22
16.9%
26
83.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.22
17.8%
26
82.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0SpursSpurs offensive rebound22
17.8%
26
82.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0SpursThaddeus Young misses two point floating jump shot22
16.9%
26
83.1%
Q1 - 0:13.6SpursLonnie Walker IV defensive rebound22
17.5%
26
82.5%
Q1 - 0:15.7NuggetsFacundo Campazzo misses three point stepback jump shot22
17.2%
26
82.8%
Q1 - 0:33.4SpursLonnie Walker IV turnover (traveling)22
16.4%
26
83.6%
Q1 - 0:40.6SpursDevin Vassell defensive rebound22
17.6%
26
82.4%
Q1 - 0:43.8NuggetsJeff Green misses three point jump shot22
17.2%
26
82.8%
Q1 - 0:57.2SpursDejounte Murray makes two point pullup jump shot22
16.4%
26
83.6%
Q1 - 1:12NuggetsJaMychal Green makes two point running dunk (Facundo Campazzo assists)20
15.1%
26
84.9%
Q1 - 1:16SpursThaddeus Young turnover (bad pass) (Austin Rivers steals)20
16.5%
24
83.5%
Q1 - 1:27NuggetsP.J. Dozier makes two point driving finger roll layup (Jeff Green assists)20
17.6%
24
82.4%
Q1 - 1:33SpursDejounte Murray personal foul (Facundo Campazzo draws the foul)20
19.2%
22
80.8%
Q1 - 1:41SpursDejounte Murray makes two point fadeaway jump shot20
19.2%
22
80.8%
Q1 - 1:51NuggetsJaMychal Green turnover (offensive foul)18
17.6%
22
82.4%
Q1 - 1:51NuggetsJaMychal Green offensive foul (Charge) (Thaddeus Young draws the foul)18
16.5%
22
83.5%
Q1 - 2:13SpursDejounte Murray makes two point pullup jump shot18
16.5%
22
83.5%
Q1 - 2:36NuggetsFacundo Campazzo makes two point running finger roll layup16
15.3%
22
84.7%
Q1 - 2:42NuggetsFacundo Campazzo defensive rebound16
16.5%
20
83.5%
Q1 - 2:45SpursDerrick White misses three point jump shot16
16.9%
20
83.1%
Q1 - 2:59NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point cutting layup (Aaron Gordon assists)16
17.8%
20
82.2%
Q1 - 3:06NuggetsWill Barton defensive rebound16
19.0%
18
81.0%
Q1 - 3:09SpursLonnie Walker IV misses two point pullup jump shot16
19.5%
18
80.5%
Q1 - 3:33NuggetsNikola Jokic makes three point jump shot (P.J. Dozier assists)16
20.7%
18
79.3%
Q1 - 3:39SpursDevin Vassell personal foul (Aaron Gordon draws the foul)16
23.5%
15
76.5%
Q1 - 3:53SpursDrew Eubanks makes two point turnaround hook shot (Derrick White assists)16
23.5%
15
76.5%
Q1 - 4:19NuggetsWill Barton makes two point pullup jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)14
22.1%
15
77.9%
Q1 - 4:34SpursDrew Eubanks makes two point turnaround hook shot14
23.3%
13
76.7%
Q1 - 4:53NuggetsAaron Gordon makes two point cutting dunk (Nikola Jokic assists)12
22.1%
13
77.9%
Q1 - 4:56NuggetsNikola Jokic offensive rebound12
23.3%
11
76.7%
Q1 - 5:00NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. misses three point jump shot12
24.6%
11
75.4%
Q1 - 5:12NuggetsNuggets defensive rebound12
23.0%
11
77.0%
Q1 - 5:12SpursKeldon Johnson misses two point driving layup12
23.5%
11
76.5%
Q1 - 5:19SpursKeldon Johnson defensive rebound12
24.7%
11
75.3%
Q1 - 5:22NuggetsNikola Jokic misses two point turnaround hook shot12
24.2%
11
75.8%
Q1 - 5:39SpursDrew Eubanks turnover (offensive foul)12
23.1%
11
76.9%
Q1 - 5:39SpursDrew Eubanks offensive foul (Monte Morris draws the foul)12
24.7%
11
75.3%
Q1 - 5:45SpursDejounte Murray defensive rebound12
24.7%
11
75.3%
Q1 - 5:47NuggetsWill Barton misses two point pullup jump shot12
24.2%
11
75.8%
Q1 - 6:05SpursDerrick White makes three point jump shot (Keldon Johnson assists)12
23.0%
11
77.0%
Q1 - 6:18NuggetsMonte Morris makes two point driving finger roll layup9
20.3%
11
79.7%
Q1 - 6:43SpursDerrick White makes two point running layup (Drew Eubanks assists)9
21.6%
9
78.4%
Q1 - 6:47SpursDrew Eubanks defensive rebound7
20.3%
9
79.7%
Q1 - 6:48NuggetsMonte Morris misses two point running reverse layup7
19.9%
9
80.1%
Q1 - 6:53NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. defensive rebound7
19.0%
9
81.0%
Q1 - 6:54SpursDerrick White misses two point fadeaway jump shot7
19.4%
9
80.6%
Q1 - 7:11NuggetsNikola Jokic turnover (traveling)7
20.1%
9
79.9%
Q1 - 7:20SpursDoug McDermott turnover (bad pass) (Michael Porter Jr. steals)7
18.7%
9
81.3%
Q1 - 7:38NuggetsAaron Gordon makes two point turnaround bank jump shot7
20.1%
9
79.9%
Q1 - 7:47NuggetsAaron Gordon defensive rebound7
21.3%
7
78.7%
Q1 - 7:49SpursDejounte Murray misses three point jump shot7
21.7%
7
78.3%
Q1 - 8:04NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. makes two point running reverse layup (Will Barton assists)7
22.5%
7
77.5%
Q1 - 8:10NuggetsWill Barton defensive rebound7
23.7%
5
76.3%
Q1 - 8:12SpursKeldon Johnson misses three point jump shot7
24.2%
5
75.8%
Q1 - 8:27NuggetsNikola Jokic personal foul (Take) (Dejounte Murray draws the foul)7
25.3%
5
74.7%
Q1 - 8:28NuggetsNikola Jokic turnover (bad pass) (Keldon Johnson steals)7
25.3%
5
74.7%
Q1 - 8:37SpursJakob Poeltl personal foul (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)7
23.7%
5
76.3%
Q1 - 8:48NuggetsAaron Gordon defensive rebound7
23.7%
5
76.3%
Q1 - 8:51SpursDoug McDermott misses three point jump shot7
24.2%
5
75.8%
Q1 - 9:01SpursKeldon Johnson defensive rebound7
25.2%
5
74.8%
Q1 - 9:04NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. misses two point jump shot7
24.7%
5
75.3%
Q1 - 9:08NuggetsNuggets offensive rebound7
23.6%
5
76.4%
Q1 - 9:08NuggetsWill Barton misses two point running layup7
24.7%
5
75.3%
Q1 - 9:13SpursDejounte Murray turnover (bad pass) (Monte Morris steals)7
23.6%
5
76.4%
Q1 - 9:22NuggetsMonte Morris personal foul (Derrick White draws the foul)7
25.2%
5
74.8%
Q1 - 9:34SpursJakob Poeltl defensive rebound7
25.2%
5
74.8%
Q1 - 9:36NuggetsNikola Jokic misses two point turnaround hook shot7
24.7%
5
75.3%
Q1 - 9:54SpursKeldon Johnson makes regular free throw 1 of 17
23.6%
5
76.4%
Q1 - 9:54NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. shooting foul (Keldon Johnson draws the foul)6
23.3%
5
76.7%
Q1 - 10:01NuggetsNikola Jokic makes regular free throw 2 of 24
20.8%
5
79.2%
Q1 - 10:01NuggetsNikola Jokic makes regular free throw 1 of 24
20.9%
4
79.1%
Q1 - 10:01SpursJakob Poeltl shooting foul (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)4
21.1%
3
78.9%
Q1 - 10:08SpursKeldon Johnson makes two point driving floating jump shot (Derrick White assists)4
21.9%
3
78.1%
Q1 - 10:17SpursJakob Poeltl defensive rebound2
20.8%
3
79.2%
Q1 - 10:19NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. misses two point fadeaway jump shot2
20.4%
3
79.6%
Q1 - 10:42SpursKeldon Johnson makes two point pullup jump shot2
19.5%
3
80.5%
Q1 - 10:49NuggetsAaron Gordon turnover (bad pass) (Jakob Poeltl steals)0
18.5%
3
81.5%
Q1 - 11:11SpursDejounte Murray turnover (out of bounds bad pass)0
17.2%
3
82.8%
Q1 - 11:15SpursDoug McDermott defensive rebound0
18.4%
3
81.6%
Q1 - 11:17NuggetsAaron Gordon misses two point driving layup0
18.0%
3
82.0%
Q1 - 11:24NuggetsAaron Gordon defensive rebound0
17.2%
3
82.8%
Q1 - 11:27SpursDejounte Murray misses two point pullup jump shot0
17.5%
3
82.5%
Q1 - 11:44NuggetsWill Barton makes three point jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)0
18.4%
3
81.6%
Q1 - 12:00Jakob Poeltl vs. Nikola Jokic (Aaron Gordon gains possession)0
20.4%
0
79.6%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.05 52.7%
DEN
1.11 55.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
SAS
15
24
63%
DEN
22
33
67%
Midrange
SAS
19
36
53%
DEN
13
23
57%
3PT | Effective 3PT
SAS
6
9.0
24
25%
38%
DEN
9
13.5
30
30%
45%
Free Throws
SAS
10
14
71%
DEN
5
8
63%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Johnson2771%13.5 / 19
D. White1653%8.0 / 15
D. Murray1542%7.5 / 18
J. Poeltl1575%7.5 / 10
L. Walker IV643%3.0 / 7
D. Vassell638%3.0 / 8
D. McDermott542%2.5 / 6
D. Eubanks4100%2.0 / 2
T. Young233%1.0 / 3
B. Forbes0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
N. Jokić3280%16.0 / 20
M. Morris1354%6.5 / 12
W. Barton1246%6.0 / 13
J. Green10100%5.0 / 5
A. Gordon857%4.0 / 7
F. Campazzo850%4.0 / 8
M. Porter735%3.5 / 10
P. Dozier758%3.5 / 6
A. Rivers330%1.5 / 5
J. Green233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

SAS
82
+9
-20
91
DEN
82
+10
-21
92
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.05 52.7%
DEN
1.11 55.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
112.4
114.2
SAS 94.1
DEN 99.0 +4.9
Pace
100.1
98.0
SAS 102.7 +0.4
DEN 102.3
Avg. Poss. Time
14.1
14.7
SAS 14.0 +0.1
DEN 14.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.7%
55.6%
SAS 51.2%
DEN 56.4% +5.2%
TO %
12.2%
14.0%
SAS 18.2% +0.8%
DEN 19.0%
ORB %
23.7%
21.9%
SAS 17.5%
DEN 20.0% +2.5%
FTrt
22.0
24.4
SAS 16.7 +7.4
DEN 9.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
64.6%
66.7%
SAS 60.0% +0.9%
DEN 59.1%
STL %
7.6%
7.3%
SAS 10.8% +1.1%
DEN 9.7%
BLK %
8.5%
7.0%
SAS 3.6% +0.3%
DEN 3.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.6%
57.6%
SAS 52.7%
DEN 55.4% +2.7%
Rim FG%
60.8%
66.2%
SAS 62.5%
DEN 66.7% +4.2%
Mid FG%
43.8%
44.3%
SAS 52.8%
DEN 56.5% +3.7%
3P %
35.2%
35.3%
SAS 25.0%
DEN 30.0% +5.0%
FT %
75.4%
79.5%
SAS 71.4% +8.9%
DEN 62.5%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.1%
35.2%
SAS 28.6%
DEN 38.4% +9.8%
Mid Att. %
31.4%
23.2%
SAS 42.9%
DEN 26.7% +16.1%
3P Att. %
34.5%
41.6%
SAS 28.6%
DEN 34.9% +6.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsSASDEN
Possessions102103
Possession Minutes23.824.2
Points96102
Rebounds3941
Assists2426
Steals1110
Blocks22
Turnovers (Team)20 (0)21 (0)
Fouls1721
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (2)8 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)32 (2)33 (2)
Field Goals40-8444-86
At-the-Rim FG15-2422-33
Midrange FG19-3613-23
2-Point FG34-6035-56
3-Point FG6-249-30
Free Throws10-145-8
Fast Break Pts717
2nd Chance Pts96
Points in Paint5458
Pts off Turnovers2010
Bench Points1830
Biggest Lead411

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#3 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 22
37.4
27
71%
4
2
3
0
1
3
0
4
3-4
75%
12-16
75%
0-2
0%
#4 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 27
36.7
16
53%
2
8
2
2
2
1
0
2
4-4
100%
3-6
50%
2-7
29%
#5 · PG · 6'4" 180 · 25
34.9
15
42%
9
6
2
0
4
4
1
8
0-0
-
6-14
43%
1-4
25%
#17 · PF · 6'6" 225 · 30
31.0
5
42%
3
1
0
0
2
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
50%
1-4
25%
#25 · C · 7'0" 260 · 26
26.2
15
75%
8
1
1
0
3
4
4
4
1-2
50%
7-9
78%
0-0
-
#1 · SG · 6'5" 196 · 23
20.3
6
43%
4
2
1
0
1
0
0
4
1-2
50%
1-4
25%
1-2
50%
#24 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 21
20.2
6
38%
4
1
2
0
0
1
1
3
1-2
50%
1-4
25%
1-3
33%
#14 · C · 6'10" 245 · 25
12.7
4
100%
4
2
0
0
3
4
1
3
0-0
-
2-2
100%
0-0
-
#7 · SG · 6'3" 190 · 28
10.3
0
0%
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-2
0%
#30 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 33
9.1
2
33%
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-0
-
#33 · PG · 6'1" 185 · 22
1.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
#31 · SF · 6'9" 223 · 26
DNP - Coach's Decision
#11 · SG · 6'4" 189 · 19
DNP - Coach's Decision
#34 · C · 6'11" 255 · 26
DNP - Coach's Decision
#18 · PF · 6'7" 240 · 25
INACTIVE
#23 · PF · 6'11" 250 · 24
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Ankle; Stress Fracture
#15 · SF · 6'6" 205 · 22
INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
96
53%
39
24
11
2
20
17
7
32
10-14
71%
34-60
57%
6-24
25%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.