for complete access.
All Games Tuesday, May 11, 2021
FinalWin Prob.pScore
10
Heat
43%108
129
11
Celtics
57%111
121
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
127.710197.9
BOS logo BOS
121.0100103.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

CelticsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

CelticsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIABOS
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.129
100%
121
0%
Q4 - 0:03.7CelticsMarcus Smart misses three point pullup jump shot129
99.9%
121
0.1%
Q4 - 0:08.2HeatKendrick Nunn makes regular free throw 2 of 2129
99.9%
121
0.1%
Q4 - 0:08.2HeatKendrick Nunn makes regular free throw 1 of 2128
99.9%
121
0.1%
Q4 - 0:08.2CelticsKemba Walker personal foul (Take) (Kendrick Nunn draws the foul)127
99.9%
121
0.1%
Q4 - 0:10.2CelticsAaron Nesmith makes three point jump shot (Jayson Tatum assists)127
99.9%
121
0.1%
Q4 - 0:15.3HeatTrevor Ariza makes regular free throw 2 of 2127
99.9%
118
0.1%
Q4 - 0:15.3HeatTrevor Ariza makes regular free throw 1 of 2126
99.9%
118
0.1%
Q4 - 0:15.3CelticsGrant Williams personal foul (Take) (Trevor Ariza draws the foul)125
99.9%
118
0.1%
Q4 - 0:22.4CelticsKemba Walker makes three point pullup jump shot (Grant Williams assists)125
99.8%
118
0.2%
Q4 - 0:32.2HeatKendrick Nunn makes two point cutting finger roll layup (Duncan Robinson assists)125
99.9%
115
0.1%
Q4 - 0:41.7CelticsJayson Tatum personal foul (Goran Dragic draws the foul)123
99.7%
115
0.3%
Q4 - 0:53.3HeatKendrick Nunn defensive rebound123
99.4%
115
0.6%
Q4 - 0:55.9CelticsKemba Walker misses regular free throw 1 of 1123
99.3%
115
0.7%
Q4 - 0:55.9HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (Kemba Walker draws the foul)123
98.9%
115
1.1%
Q4 - 1:00CelticsAaron Nesmith defensive rebound123
99.6%
113
0.4%
Q4 - 1:02HeatGoran Dragic misses two point driving reverse layup123
99.6%
113
0.4%
Q4 - 1:25CelticsJayson Tatum makes three point jump shot (Marcus Smart assists)123
99.5%
113
0.5%
Q4 - 1:37HeatGoran Dragic makes two point fadeaway jump shot123
99.7%
110
0.3%
Q4 - 1:38HeatGoran Dragic offensive rebound121
99.5%
110
0.5%
Q4 - 1:39HeatEvan Fournier blocks Goran Dragic's two point jump shot121
99.3%
110
0.7%
Q4 - 1:56CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point layup (Marcus Smart assists)121
99.4%
110
0.6%
Q4 - 2:07CelticsKemba Walker defensive rebound121
99.6%
108
0.4%
Q4 - 2:09HeatGoran Dragic misses three point jump shot121
99.7%
108
0.3%
Q4 - 2:26CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point driving layup121
99.8%
108
0.2%
Q4 - 2:55HeatGoran Dragic makes three point jump shot121
99.7%
106
0.3%
Q4 - 3:11CelticsMarcus Smart turnover (bad pass) (Bam Adebayo steals)118
99.4%
106
0.6%
Q4 - 3:22HeatKendrick Nunn makes two point pullup jump shot118
99.0%
106
1.0%
Q4 - 3:44CelticsEvan Fournier makes three point stepback jump shot (Marcus Smart assists)116
97.1%
106
2.9%
Q4 - 3:53CelticsKemba Walker offensive rebound116
98.6%
103
1.4%
Q4 - 3:55CelticsBam Adebayo blocks Kemba Walker's two point driving layup116
98.9%
103
1.1%
Q4 - 4:04HeatKendrick Nunn makes two point driving layup116
98.6%
103
1.4%
Q4 - 4:19CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point running finger roll layup114
98.1%
103
1.9%
Q4 - 4:22CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound114
98.7%
101
1.3%
Q4 - 4:25HeatGrant Williams blocks Bam Adebayo's two point driving layup114
98.8%
101
1.2%
Q4 - 4:44CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 2 of 2114
99.1%
101
0.9%
Q4 - 4:44CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 1 of 2114
99.1%
100
0.9%
Q4 - 4:44HeatTyler Herro shooting foul (Jayson Tatum draws the foul)114
99.2%
99
0.8%
Q4 - 4:46HeatTyler Herro turnover (bad pass) (Jayson Tatum steals)114
99.4%
99
0.6%
Q4 - 4:49HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound114
99.6%
99
0.4%
Q4 - 4:50CelticsEvan Fournier misses two point driving floating jump shot114
99.5%
99
0.5%
Q4 - 5:05HeatTyler Herro makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)114
98.8%
99
1.2%
Q4 - 5:16CelticsKemba Walker makes regular free throw 2 of 2111
97.8%
99
2.2%
Q4 - 5:16CelticsKemba Walker makes regular free throw 1 of 2111
97.8%
98
2.2%
Q4 - 5:16HeatKendrick Nunn shooting foul (Kemba Walker draws the foul)111
97.9%
97
2.1%
Q4 - 5:22HeatDuncan Robinson turnover (double dribble)111
98.4%
97
1.6%
Q4 - 5:44CelticsPayton Pritchard makes two point pullup jump shot (Kemba Walker assists)111
98.8%
97
1.2%
Q4 - 5:51CelticsGrant Williams defensive rebound111
99.1%
95
0.9%
Q4 - 5:54HeatBam Adebayo misses two point turnaround hook shot111
99.2%
95
0.8%
Q4 - 6:11CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 2 of 2111
99.0%
95
1.0%
Q4 - 6:11CelticsJayson Tatum misses regular free throw 1 of 2111
99.0%
94
1.0%
Q4 - 6:11HeatGoran Dragic personal foul (Jayson Tatum draws the foul)111
98.7%
94
1.3%
Q4 - 6:22HeatAndre Iguodala makes two point driving finger roll layup111
98.9%
94
1.1%
Q4 - 6:40CelticsCarsen Edwards makes two point running layup109
98.7%
94
1.3%
Q4 - 6:42HeatGoran Dragic turnover (bad pass) (Carsen Edwards steals)109
98.9%
92
1.1%
Q4 - 6:54HeatAndre Iguodala defensive rebound109
99.3%
92
0.7%
Q4 - 6:57CelticsPayton Pritchard misses three point jump shot109
99.2%
92
0.8%
Q4 - 7:05CelticsPayton Pritchard defensive rebound109
98.4%
92
1.6%
Q4 - 7:07HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot109
98.6%
92
1.4%
Q4 - 7:21CelticsPayton Pritchard makes three point jump shot (Carsen Edwards assists)109
98.8%
92
1.2%
Q4 - 7:28HeatDewayne Dedmon personal foul (Grant Williams draws the foul)109
99.3%
89
0.7%
Q4 - 7:37HeatTyler Herro makes three point pullup jump shot (Dewayne Dedmon assists)109
99.3%
89
0.7%
Q4 - 8:00CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point cutting dunk (Grant Williams assists)106
98.9%
89
1.1%
Q4 - 8:06HeatAndre Iguodala turnover (offensive foul)106
98.7%
87
1.3%
Q4 - 8:06HeatAndre Iguodala offensive foul (Carsen Edwards draws the foul)106
99.0%
87
1.0%
Q4 - 8:16HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound106
99.0%
87
1.0%
Q4 - 8:18CelticsGrant Williams misses regular free throw 2 of 2106
99.0%
87
1.0%
Q4 - 8:18CelticsGrant Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 2106
98.8%
87
1.2%
Q4 - 8:18HeatKendrick Nunn shooting foul (Grant Williams draws the foul)106
98.9%
86
1.1%
Q4 - 8:24HeatAndre Iguodala makes regular free throw 2 of 2106
99.0%
86
1.0%
Q4 - 8:24HeatAndre Iguodala misses regular free throw 1 of 2105
98.9%
86
1.1%
Q4 - 8:24CelticsJayson Tatum shooting foul (Andre Iguodala draws the foul)105
99.1%
86
0.9%
Q4 - 8:44CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point driving finger roll layup (Carsen Edwards assists)105
99.0%
86
1.0%
Q4 - 9:04HeatGoran Dragic makes three point jump shot (Andre Iguodala assists)105
99.0%
84
1.0%
Q4 - 9:18HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound102
98.4%
84
1.6%
Q4 - 9:22CelticsAaron Nesmith misses three point jump shot102
98.3%
84
1.7%
Q4 - 9:31CelticsGrant Williams offensive rebound102
97.9%
84
2.1%
Q4 - 9:34CelticsKemba Walker misses three point pullup jump shot102
98.3%
84
1.7%
Q4 - 9:44HeatTyler Herro makes three point pullup jump shot102
97.9%
84
2.1%
Q4 - 9:58CelticsGrant Williams makes two point turnaround jump shot (Kemba Walker assists)99
96.8%
84
3.2%
Q4 - 10:10HeatTyler Herro turnover (offensive foul)99
96.7%
82
3.3%
Q4 - 10:10HeatTyler Herro offensive foul (Carsen Edwards draws the foul)99
97.4%
82
2.6%
Q4 - 10:18CelticsMarcus Smart turnover (offensive foul)99
97.4%
82
2.6%
Q4 - 10:18CelticsMarcus Smart offensive foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)99
96.7%
82
3.3%
Q4 - 10:20HeatTyler Herro personal foul (Marcus Smart draws the foul)99
96.8%
82
3.2%
Q4 - 10:30HeatGoran Dragic makes three point jump shot99
96.8%
82
3.2%
Q4 - 10:39CelticsGrant Williams personal foul (Dewayne Dedmon draws the foul)96
95.1%
82
4.9%
Q4 - 10:59CelticsAaron Nesmith makes three point jump shot (Carsen Edwards assists)96
95.2%
82
4.8%
Q4 - 11:07HeatDewayne Dedmon personal foul (Kemba Walker draws the foul)96
96.2%
79
3.8%
Q4 - 11:25HeatGoran Dragic makes three point jump shot (Dewayne Dedmon assists)96
96.2%
79
3.8%
Q4 - 11:39HeatDewayne Dedmon offensive rebound93
94.3%
79
5.7%
Q4 - 11:41HeatGoran Dragic misses three point jump shot93
93.5%
79
6.5%
Q4 - 11:45CelticsCarsen Edwards turnover (lost ball) (Goran Dragic steals)93
94.3%
79
5.7%
Q4 - 11:49HeatGoran Dragic turnover (bad pass) (Grant Williams steals)93
93.1%
79
6.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.93
94.3%
79
5.7%
Q3 - 0:01.4CelticsKemba Walker makes two point driving finger roll layup93
93.3%
79
6.7%
Q3 - 0:11.5HeatDewayne Dedmon makes two point cutting layup (Andre Iguodala assists)93
94.5%
77
5.5%
Q3 - 0:30.0HeatKendrick Nunn defensive rebound91
93.3%
77
6.7%
Q3 - 0:32.8CelticsKemba Walker misses two point driving floating jump shot91
93.0%
77
7.0%
Q3 - 0:41.4HeatGoran Dragic makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)91
92.0%
77
8.0%
Q3 - 0:57.9HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound88
88.5%
77
11.5%
Q3 - 0:59.2CelticsJayson Tatum misses two point driving reverse layup88
87.9%
77
12.1%
Q3 - 1:11HeatBam Adebayo makes two point driving reverse layup88
84.7%
77
15.3%
Q3 - 1:29CelticsKemba Walker makes two point pullup jump shot86
82.3%
77
17.7%
Q3 - 1:46HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)86
84.8%
75
15.2%
Q3 - 2:02CelticsTristan Thompson makes two point layup (Kemba Walker assists)83
77.6%
75
22.4%
Q3 - 2:12CelticsAaron Nesmith defensive rebound83
80.2%
73
19.8%
Q3 - 2:15HeatTyler Herro misses two point pullup jump shot83
81.2%
73
18.8%
Q3 - 2:26HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound83
83.3%
73
16.7%
Q3 - 2:30CelticsEvan Fournier misses two point pullup jump shot83
82.5%
73
17.5%
Q3 - 2:53HeatDuncan Robinson makes two point fadeaway jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)83
80.4%
73
19.6%
Q3 - 3:05HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound81
76.7%
73
23.3%
Q3 - 3:08CelticsKemba Walker misses three point jump shot81
75.6%
73
24.4%
Q3 - 3:21HeatTrevor Ariza makes two point cutting layup (Tyler Herro assists)81
72.9%
73
27.1%
Q3 - 3:28HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound79
69.9%
73
30.1%
Q3 - 3:31CelticsJayson Tatum misses three point jump shot79
68.7%
73
31.3%
Q3 - 3:56HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)79
65.6%
73
34.4%
Q3 - 4:08CelticsKemba Walker makes three point jump shot (Evan Fournier assists)76
57.3%
73
42.7%
Q3 - 4:22HeatBam Adebayo makes two point hook shot (Duncan Robinson assists)76
64.6%
70
35.4%
Q3 - 4:42CelticsKemba Walker makes two point driving floating jump shot (Jayson Tatum assists)74
61.4%
70
38.6%
Q3 - 4:54HeatDuncan Robinson turnover (offensive foul)74
64.6%
68
35.4%
Q3 - 4:54HeatDuncan Robinson offensive foul (Charge) (Kemba Walker draws the foul)74
69.0%
68
31.0%
Q3 - 4:57HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound74
69.0%
68
31.0%
Q3 - 5:02CelticsJayson Tatum misses three point pullup jump shot74
66.7%
68
33.3%
Q3 - 5:07HeatBam Adebayo personal foul (Loose ball) (Tristan Thompson draws the foul)74
64.0%
68
36.0%
Q3 - 5:07CelticsCeltics offensive rebound74
64.0%
68
36.0%
Q3 - 5:08CelticsKemba Walker misses three point jump shot74
66.7%
68
33.3%
Q3 - 5:11CelticsCeltics offensive rebound74
64.0%
68
36.0%
Q3 - 5:13CelticsBam Adebayo blocks Jayson Tatum's two point floating jump shot74
66.7%
68
33.3%
Q3 - 5:25CelticsEvan Fournier defensive rebound74
64.0%
68
36.0%
Q3 - 5:29HeatEvan Fournier blocks Tyler Herro's two point driving layup74
65.2%
68
34.8%
Q3 - 5:34HeatTrevor Ariza defensive rebound74
67.9%
68
32.1%
Q3 - 5:36CelticsKemba Walker misses two point driving layup74
66.7%
68
33.3%
Q3 - 5:46HeatDuncan Robinson makes regular free throw 2 of 274
64.0%
68
36.0%
Q3 - 5:46HeatDuncan Robinson makes regular free throw 1 of 273
63.6%
68
36.4%
Q3 - 5:46CelticsTristan Thompson personal foul (Duncan Robinson draws the foul)72
63.1%
68
36.9%
Q3 - 5:54CelticsKemba Walker makes regular free throw 2 of 272
60.6%
68
39.4%
Q3 - 5:54CelticsKemba Walker misses regular free throw 1 of 272
61.0%
67
39.0%
Q3 - 5:54HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (Kemba Walker draws the foul)72
57.7%
67
42.3%
Q3 - 6:04HeatBam Adebayo turnover (traveling)72
59.4%
67
40.6%
Q3 - 6:16HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound72
63.4%
67
36.6%
Q3 - 6:18CelticsEvan Fournier misses three point jump shot72
62.2%
67
37.8%
Q3 - 6:27CelticsKemba Walker defensive rebound72
59.5%
67
40.5%
Q3 - 6:30HeatDuncan Robinson misses regular free throw 2 of 272
60.0%
67
40.0%
Q3 - 6:30HeatDuncan Robinson makes regular free throw 1 of 272
62.7%
67
37.3%
Q3 - 6:30CelticsMarcus Smart personal foul (Duncan Robinson draws the foul)71
62.2%
67
37.8%
Q3 - 6:31HeatTrevor Ariza defensive rebound71
59.8%
67
40.2%
Q3 - 6:34CelticsJayson Tatum misses two point driving floating jump shot71
58.6%
67
41.4%
Q3 - 6:55HeatDuncan Robinson makes regular free throw 2 of 271
55.8%
67
44.2%
Q3 - 6:55HeatDuncan Robinson makes regular free throw 1 of 270
55.3%
67
44.7%
Q3 - 6:55CelticsEvan Fournier personal foul (Duncan Robinson draws the foul)69
54.8%
67
45.2%
Q3 - 7:03HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound69
51.8%
67
48.2%
Q3 - 7:07CelticsMarcus Smart misses three point jump shot69
50.5%
67
49.5%
Q3 - 7:22HeatTrevor Ariza personal foul (Marcus Smart draws the foul)69
47.5%
67
52.5%
Q3 - 7:26CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound69
47.5%
67
52.5%
Q3 - 7:28HeatBam Adebayo misses regular free throw 2 of 269
48.0%
67
52.0%
Q3 - 7:28HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 269
50.5%
67
49.5%
Q3 - 7:28CelticsTristan Thompson shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)68
49.6%
67
50.4%
Q3 - 7:48CelticsJayson Tatum makes three point running pullup jump shot68
48.1%
67
51.9%
Q3 - 7:52CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound68
54.9%
64
45.1%
Q3 - 7:54HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point pullup jump shot68
56.3%
64
43.7%
Q3 - 8:14CelticsKemba Walker makes two point driving finger roll layup (Jayson Tatum assists)68
58.7%
64
41.3%
Q3 - 8:23CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound68
61.5%
62
38.5%
Q3 - 8:26HeatKendrick Nunn misses three point jump shot68
62.8%
62
37.2%
Q3 - 8:35CelticsEvan Fournier personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)68
65.6%
62
34.4%
Q3 - 8:49CelticsTristan Thompson turnover (lost ball) (Tyler Herro steals)68
65.6%
62
34.4%
Q3 - 8:59HeatBam Adebayo makes two point driving layup68
61.6%
62
38.4%
Q3 - 9:07CelticsTristan Thompson personal foul (Kendrick Nunn draws the foul)66
58.0%
62
42.0%
Q3 - 9:08CelticsMarcus Smart personal foul (Duncan Robinson draws the foul)66
58.0%
62
42.0%
Q3 - 9:22CelticsMarcus Smart makes three point jump shot (Jayson Tatum assists)66
58.0%
62
42.0%
Q3 - 9:36HeatKendrick Nunn makes two point cutting finger roll layup (Duncan Robinson assists)66
64.3%
59
35.7%
Q3 - 9:46HeatKendrick Nunn defensive rebound64
61.4%
59
38.6%
Q3 - 9:49CelticsEvan Fournier misses three point jump shot64
60.3%
59
39.7%
Q3 - 10:09CelticsEvan Fournier defensive rebound64
56.8%
59
43.2%
Q3 - 10:13HeatBam Adebayo misses two point jump shot64
58.0%
59
42.0%
Q3 - 10:36CelticsJayson Tatum makes three point jump shot (Evan Fournier assists)64
60.8%
59
39.2%
Q3 - 10:52HeatKendrick Nunn makes two point running dunk64
66.6%
56
33.4%
Q3 - 10:54CelticsJayson Tatum turnover (bad pass) (Kendrick Nunn steals)62
64.0%
56
36.0%
Q3 - 11:03CelticsKemba Walker defensive rebound62
59.8%
56
40.2%
Q3 - 11:08HeatTrevor Ariza misses three point jump shot62
60.8%
56
39.2%
Q3 - 11:11HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound62
63.2%
56
36.8%
Q3 - 11:15HeatBam Adebayo misses two point driving layup62
60.8%
56
39.2%
Q3 - 11:31CelticsKemba Walker turnover (bad pass) (Trevor Ariza steals)62
63.2%
56
36.8%
Q3 - 11:41HeatKendrick Nunn turnover (lost ball) (Kemba Walker steals)62
59.8%
56
40.2%
Q3 - 11:46HeatKendrick Nunn defensive rebound62
63.3%
56
36.7%
Q3 - 11:50CelticsKemba Walker misses three point pullup jump shot62
62.2%
56
37.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.62
59.8%
56
40.2%
Q2 - 0:01.1CelticsSemi Ojeleye defensive rebound62
59.7%
56
40.3%
Q2 - 0:01.1HeatMarcus Smart blocks Trevor Ariza's two point running layup62
60.4%
56
39.6%
Q2 - 0:05.2HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound62
61.9%
56
38.1%
Q2 - 0:08.4CelticsEvan Fournier misses three point stepback jump shot62
61.3%
56
38.7%
Q2 - 0:30.5HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)62
59.7%
56
40.3%
Q2 - 0:34.0CelticsTristan Thompson personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)59
52.5%
56
47.5%
Q2 - 0:46.6HeatTrevor Ariza defensive rebound59
52.5%
56
47.5%
Q2 - 0:52.7CelticsKemba Walker misses three point jump shot59
51.8%
56
48.2%
Q2 - 0:58.4CelticsTristan Thompson defensive rebound59
50.1%
56
49.9%
Q2 - 1:01HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot59
50.7%
56
49.3%
Q2 - 1:13CelticsEvan Fournier turnover (bad pass) (Trevor Ariza steals)59
52.0%
56
48.0%
Q2 - 1:15CelticsMarcus Smart offensive rebound59
50.2%
56
49.8%
Q2 - 1:18CelticsTristan Thompson misses two point layup59
51.5%
56
48.5%
Q2 - 1:42HeatBam Adebayo makes two point cutting dunk (Trevor Ariza assists)59
50.2%
56
49.8%
Q2 - 1:55HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound57
45.7%
56
54.3%
Q2 - 1:57CelticsKemba Walker misses two point running layup57
45.2%
56
54.8%
Q2 - 2:02CelticsKemba Walker defensive rebound57
43.1%
56
56.9%
Q2 - 2:07HeatTyler Herro misses three point stepback jump shot57
44.0%
56
56.0%
Q2 - 2:29CelticsJayson Tatum personal foul (Andre Iguodala draws the foul)57
46.1%
56
53.9%
Q2 - 2:29HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound57
46.1%
56
53.9%
Q2 - 2:31CelticsAndre Iguodala blocks Kemba Walker's two point driving layup57
45.2%
56
54.8%
Q2 - 2:41HeatTyler Herro makes three point jump shot (Andre Iguodala assists)57
43.2%
56
56.8%
Q2 - 3:03CelticsKemba Walker makes three point jump shot (Evan Fournier assists)54
37.4%
56
62.6%
Q2 - 3:23HeatTyler Herro makes two point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)54
42.7%
53
57.3%
Q2 - 3:41CelticsEvan Fournier makes two point driving floating bank jump shot (Jayson Tatum assists)52
40.2%
53
59.8%
Q2 - 3:53HeatJimmy Butler makes two point stepback jump shot52
42.7%
51
57.3%
Q2 - 4:20CelticsJayson Tatum makes three point jump shot (Kemba Walker assists)50
40.0%
51
60.0%
Q2 - 4:37HeatBam Adebayo makes two point jump shot50
45.4%
48
54.6%
Q2 - 4:56CelticsEvan Fournier makes three point bank jump shot (Tristan Thompson assists)48
42.7%
48
57.3%
Q2 - 5:10HeatBam Adebayo makes two point tip layup48
47.7%
45
52.3%
Q2 - 5:10HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound46
45.5%
45
54.5%
Q2 - 5:16HeatBam Adebayo misses two point driving layup46
43.3%
45
56.7%
Q2 - 5:24CelticsKemba Walker makes two point stepback jump shot46
45.5%
45
54.5%
Q2 - 5:41HeatTyler Herro makes two point pullup jump shot46
47.7%
43
52.3%
Q2 - 5:46HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound44
45.5%
43
54.5%
Q2 - 5:49CelticsJayson Tatum misses two point fadeaway jump shot44
44.5%
43
55.5%
Q2 - 6:10HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)44
42.2%
43
57.8%
Q2 - 6:28CelticsKemba Walker makes three point jump shot (Evan Fournier assists)41
37.6%
43
62.4%
Q2 - 6:46HeatGoran Dragic turnover (lost ball) (Tristan Thompson steals)41
42.2%
40
57.8%
Q2 - 7:07CelticsKemba Walker makes two point driving layup (Evan Fournier assists)41
45.1%
40
54.9%
Q2 - 7:33HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving floating jump shot41
47.5%
38
52.5%
Q2 - 7:41HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound39
45.1%
38
54.9%
Q2 - 7:44CelticsEvan Fournier misses two point driving layup39
44.3%
38
55.7%
Q2 - 7:57HeatKendrick Nunn makes three point jump shot (Goran Dragic assists)39
42.4%
38
57.6%
Q2 - 8:06CelticsKemba Walker makes two point driving layup (Evan Fournier assists)36
37.4%
38
62.6%
Q2 - 8:28HeatGoran Dragic personal foul (Aaron Nesmith draws the foul)36
39.8%
36
60.2%
Q2 - 8:31HeatBam Adebayo turnover (bad pass) (Marcus Smart steals)36
39.8%
36
60.2%
Q2 - 8:49HeatAndre Iguodala defensive rebound36
42.4%
36
57.6%
Q2 - 8:53CelticsMarcus Smart misses two point driving floating jump shot36
41.6%
36
58.4%
Q2 - 9:05HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 136
39.6%
36
60.4%
Q2 - 9:05HeatKendrick Nunn makes technical free throw 1 of 135
39.7%
36
60.3%
Q2 - 9:05CelticsBrad Stevens technical foul34
39.1%
36
60.9%
Q2 - 9:05CelticsGrant Williams shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)34
36.8%
36
63.2%
Q2 - 9:19HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound32
32.8%
36
67.2%
Q2 - 9:21CelticsEvan Fournier misses regular free throw 2 of 232
32.5%
36
67.5%
Q2 - 9:21CelticsEvan Fournier makes regular free throw 1 of 232
31.0%
36
69.0%
Q2 - 9:21HeatAndre Iguodala shooting foul (Evan Fournier draws the foul)32
31.4%
35
68.6%
Q2 - 9:34CelticsGrant Williams defensive rebound32
32.7%
35
67.3%
Q2 - 9:36HeatTyler Herro misses three point pullup jump shot32
33.4%
35
66.6%
Q2 - 9:50HeatDewayne Dedmon defensive rebound32
35.0%
35
65.0%
Q2 - 9:54CelticsMarcus Smart misses two point pullup jump shot32
34.3%
35
65.7%
Q2 - 10:06HeatTyler Herro makes two point running pullup jump shot (Kendrick Nunn assists)32
32.9%
35
67.1%
Q2 - 10:10HeatKendrick Nunn defensive rebound30
30.9%
35
69.1%
Q2 - 10:12CelticsGrant Williams misses two point driving finger roll layup30
30.3%
35
69.7%
Q2 - 10:18CelticsEvan Fournier defensive rebound30
28.7%
35
71.3%
Q2 - 10:21HeatGoran Dragic misses two point driving layup30
29.4%
35
70.6%
Q2 - 10:31CelticsMarcus Smart makes two point pullup jump shot (Evan Fournier assists)30
30.9%
35
69.1%
Q2 - 10:39CelticsCeltics offensive rebound30
32.9%
33
67.1%
Q2 - 10:40CelticsEvan Fournier misses two point running layup30
34.5%
33
65.5%
Q2 - 10:45HeatTyler Herro turnover (bad pass) (Evan Fournier steals)30
32.9%
33
67.1%
Q2 - 11:07CelticsPayton Pritchard makes two point turnaround jump shot30
35.0%
33
65.0%
Q2 - 11:27HeatTyler Herro makes two point pullup jump shot (Andre Iguodala assists)30
37.4%
31
62.6%
Q2 - 11:44CelticsEvan Fournier makes three point jump shot (Aaron Nesmith assists)28
35.0%
31
65.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.28
39.7%
28
60.3%
Q1 - 0:02.6HeatAndre Iguodala defensive rebound28
41.3%
28
58.7%
Q1 - 0:02.6CelticsMarcus Smart misses three point jump shot28
40.8%
28
59.2%
Q1 - 0:16.5CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound28
39.6%
28
60.4%
Q1 - 0:19.4HeatKendrick Nunn misses three point jump shot28
40.1%
28
59.9%
Q1 - 0:28.0CelticsJayson Tatum makes three point stepback jump shot28
41.3%
28
58.7%
Q1 - 0:32.5CelticsCeltics offensive rebound28
46.4%
25
53.6%
Q1 - 0:35.1CelticsKemba Walker misses three point stepback jump shot28
47.7%
25
52.3%
Q1 - 0:51.5HeatDewayne Dedmon makes two point turnaround hook shot (Goran Dragic assists)28
46.4%
25
53.6%
Q1 - 1:05HeatHeat defensive rebound26
43.7%
25
56.3%
Q1 - 1:07CelticsKemba Walker misses two point driving finger roll layup26
43.2%
25
56.8%
Q1 - 1:12CelticsMarcus Smart defensive rebound26
41.9%
25
58.1%
Q1 - 1:15HeatJimmy Butler misses two point pullup jump shot26
42.5%
25
57.5%
Q1 - 1:41CelticsKemba Walker makes two point pullup jump shot26
43.7%
25
56.3%
Q1 - 1:56HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving finger roll layup (Jimmy Butler assists)26
46.5%
23
53.5%
Q1 - 2:08CelticsJayson Tatum turnover (offensive foul)24
43.8%
23
56.2%
Q1 - 2:08CelticsJayson Tatum offensive foul (Charge) (Trevor Ariza draws the foul)24
41.7%
23
58.3%
Q1 - 2:09CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound24
41.7%
23
58.3%
Q1 - 2:11HeatJimmy Butler misses two point finger roll layup24
42.3%
23
57.7%
Q1 - 2:12HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound24
43.8%
23
56.2%
Q1 - 2:14HeatJayson Tatum blocks Jimmy Butler's two point pullup jump shot24
42.3%
23
57.7%
Q1 - 2:23HeatDewayne Dedmon defensive rebound24
43.8%
23
56.2%
Q1 - 2:26CelticsKemba Walker misses three point jump shot24
43.1%
23
56.9%
Q1 - 2:37CelticsCeltics defensive rebound24
41.7%
23
58.3%
Q1 - 2:39HeatDewayne Dedmon misses three point jump shot24
42.3%
23
57.7%
Q1 - 2:54CelticsGrant Williams makes two point hook shot (Aaron Nesmith assists)24
43.8%
23
56.2%
Q1 - 3:06CelticsAaron Nesmith defensive rebound24
45.5%
21
54.5%
Q1 - 3:08HeatDewayne Dedmon misses regular free throw 1 of 124
45.8%
21
54.2%
Q1 - 3:08CelticsGrant Williams shooting foul (Dewayne Dedmon draws the foul)24
47.3%
21
52.7%
Q1 - 3:17CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point driving finger roll layup22
43.7%
21
56.3%
Q1 - 3:29HeatJimmy Butler makes three point running pullup jump shot22
45.5%
19
54.5%
Q1 - 3:34HeatTrevor Ariza defensive rebound19
41.5%
19
58.5%
Q1 - 3:37CelticsMarcus Smart misses three point jump shot19
40.8%
19
59.2%
Q1 - 3:53HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 3 of 319
39.1%
19
60.9%
Q1 - 3:53HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 318
38.8%
19
61.2%
Q1 - 3:53HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 317
38.5%
19
61.5%
Q1 - 3:53CelticsAaron Nesmith shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)16
38.2%
19
61.8%
Q1 - 4:13CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot16
35.4%
19
64.6%
Q1 - 4:31HeatJimmy Butler makes two point turnaround fadeaway bank jump shot16
37.1%
17
62.9%
Q1 - 4:45HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound14
35.4%
17
64.6%
Q1 - 4:47CelticsJayson Tatum misses regular free throw 2 of 214
35.1%
17
64.9%
Q1 - 4:47CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 1 of 214
33.7%
17
66.3%
Q1 - 4:47HeatTrevor Ariza shooting foul (Jayson Tatum draws the foul)14
34.0%
16
66.0%
Q1 - 4:50CelticsTristan Thompson defensive rebound14
35.1%
16
64.9%
Q1 - 4:52HeatTrevor Ariza misses two point cutting layup14
35.8%
16
64.2%
Q1 - 5:08CelticsEvan Fournier makes two point fadeaway jump shot14
37.4%
16
62.6%
Q1 - 5:29HeatJimmy Butler makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot14
39.2%
14
60.8%
Q1 - 5:47CelticsKemba Walker makes regular free throw 1 of 112
37.4%
14
62.6%
Q1 - 5:47HeatKendrick Nunn shooting foul (Kemba Walker draws the foul)12
37.6%
13
62.4%
Q1 - 5:52CelticsKemba Walker defensive rebound12
41.1%
11
58.9%
Q1 - 5:56HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot12
41.8%
11
58.2%
Q1 - 6:05CelticsKemba Walker personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)12
42.9%
11
57.1%
Q1 - 6:10HeatKendrick Nunn defensive rebound12
42.9%
11
57.1%
Q1 - 6:13CelticsJayson Tatum misses three point jump shot12
42.3%
11
57.7%
Q1 - 6:25HeatBam Adebayo turnover (offensive foul)12
41.0%
11
59.0%
Q1 - 6:25HeatBam Adebayo offensive foul (Charge) (Marcus Smart draws the foul)12
42.9%
11
57.1%
Q1 - 6:29HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound12
42.9%
11
57.1%
Q1 - 6:31CelticsTristan Thompson misses two point driving layup12
42.3%
11
57.7%
Q1 - 6:50HeatBam Adebayo makes two point bank jump shot12
41.0%
11
59.0%
Q1 - 6:58HeatHeat defensive rebound10
39.1%
11
60.9%
Q1 - 7:00CelticsJayson Tatum misses two point jump shot10
38.5%
11
61.5%
Q1 - 7:11HeatKendrick Nunn personal foul (Evan Fournier draws the foul)10
37.1%
11
62.9%
Q1 - 7:21CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound10
37.1%
11
62.9%
Q1 - 7:25HeatKendrick Nunn misses two point turnaround jump shot10
37.7%
11
62.3%
Q1 - 7:37HeatKendrick Nunn defensive rebound10
39.1%
11
60.9%
Q1 - 7:38CelticsJayson Tatum misses two point jump shot10
38.5%
11
61.5%
Q1 - 7:50HeatBam Adebayo makes two point jump shot10
37.1%
11
62.9%
Q1 - 8:02HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound8
35.7%
11
64.3%
Q1 - 8:04CelticsEvan Fournier misses two point driving floating jump shot8
35.1%
11
64.9%
Q1 - 8:12HeatBam Adebayo turnover (bad pass) (Tristan Thompson steals)8
33.7%
11
66.3%
Q1 - 8:27CelticsEvan Fournier makes regular free throw 1 of 18
35.7%
11
64.3%
Q1 - 8:27HeatDuncan Robinson shooting foul (Evan Fournier draws the foul)8
36.0%
10
64.0%
Q1 - 8:37HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Trevor Ariza assists)8
38.9%
8
61.1%
Q1 - 8:48CelticsJayson Tatum turnover (out of bounds step)5
35.7%
8
64.3%
Q1 - 9:01HeatKendrick Nunn makes two point running dunk5
33.6%
8
66.4%
Q1 - 9:05CelticsMarcus Smart turnover (bad pass) (Kendrick Nunn steals)3
32.3%
8
67.7%
Q1 - 9:12CelticsTristan Thompson defensive rebound3
30.3%
8
69.7%
Q1 - 9:14HeatJimmy Butler misses regular free throw 2 of 23
30.6%
8
69.4%
Q1 - 9:14HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 23
31.7%
8
68.3%
Q1 - 9:14CelticsJayson Tatum shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)2
31.5%
8
68.5%
Q1 - 9:36CelticsEvan Fournier makes three point jump shot (Marcus Smart assists)2
30.7%
8
69.3%
Q1 - 9:53CelticsCeltics defensive rebound2
33.6%
5
66.4%
Q1 - 9:57HeatTrevor Ariza misses two point driving layup2
34.2%
5
65.8%
Q1 - 9:58HeatTrevor Ariza offensive rebound2
35.7%
5
64.3%
Q1 - 10:03HeatKendrick Nunn misses two point driving floating jump shot2
34.1%
5
65.9%
Q1 - 10:13CelticsJayson Tatum turnover (out of bounds bad pass)2
35.4%
5
64.6%
Q1 - 10:20CelticsKemba Walker defensive rebound2
33.6%
5
66.4%
Q1 - 10:24HeatTrevor Ariza misses three point jump shot2
34.1%
5
65.9%
Q1 - 10:28HeatTrevor Ariza defensive rebound2
35.4%
5
64.6%
Q1 - 10:31CelticsDuncan Robinson blocks Tristan Thompson's two point driving reverse layup2
34.8%
5
65.2%
Q1 - 10:49HeatBam Adebayo makes two point pullup bank jump shot2
33.6%
5
66.4%
Q1 - 11:03CelticsMarcus Smart makes three point jump shot (Evan Fournier assists)0
32.0%
5
68.0%
Q1 - 11:13CelticsEvan Fournier defensive rebound0
35.1%
2
64.9%
Q1 - 11:17HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot0
35.7%
2
64.3%
Q1 - 11:35CelticsMarcus Smart makes two point cutting finger roll layup (Jayson Tatum assists)0
37.0%
2
63.0%
Q1 - 11:39CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound0
38.6%
0
61.4%
Q1 - 11:43HeatJimmy Butler misses two point turnaround jump shot0
39.2%
0
60.8%
Q1 - 12:00Bam Adebayo vs. Tristan Thompson (Duncan Robinson gains possession)0
40.6%
0
59.4%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.39 69.4%
BOS
1.26 63.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
16
24
67%
BOS
15
23
65%
Midrange
MIA
16
27
59%
BOS
13
28
46%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
16
24.0
30
53%
80%
BOS
18
27.0
37
49%
73%
Free Throws
MIA
17
22
77%
BOS
11
17
65%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Herro2480%12.0 / 15
B. Adebayo2269%11.0 / 16
D. Robinson2285%11.0 / 13
K. Nunn1875%9.0 / 12
G. Dragic1777%8.5 / 11
J. Butler1365%6.5 / 10
D. Dedmon675%3.0 / 4
T. Ariza429%2.0 / 7
A. Iguodala375%1.5 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
BOS logo Celtics
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Walker3662%18.0 / 29
J. Tatum3369%16.5 / 24
E. Fournier2063%10.0 / 16
M. Smart1050%5.0 / 10
P. Pritchard788%3.5 / 4
A. Nesmith6100%3.0 / 3
G. Williams563%2.5 / 4
T. Thompson225%1.0 / 4
C. Edwards2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
87
+6
-14
93
BOS
89
+7
-11
96
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.39 69.4%
BOS
1.26 63.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
111.1
113.5
MIA 127.7 +6.7
BOS 121.0
Pace
96.7
98.7
MIA 97.9
BOS 103.3 +5.4
Avg. Poss. Time
14.7
14.7
MIA 14.7
BOS 13.9 +0.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
54.6%
54.3%
MIA 69.1% +6.6%
BOS 62.5%
TO %
13.7%
13.5%
MIA 13.4%
BOS 10.3% +3.1%
ORB %
19.4%
24.4%
MIA 17.1% +9.6%
BOS 7.5%
FTrt
25.2
23.4
MIA 27.2 +7.9
BOS 19.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
67.1%
56.6%
MIA 52.1%
BOS 67.4% +15.3%
STL %
8.2%
7.8%
MIA 6.9%
BOS 8.0% +1.1%
BLK %
8.5%
10.3%
MIA 7.8%
BOS 9.8% +2.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
56.5%
56.0%
MIA 69.4% +6.4%
BOS 63.0%
Rim FG%
64.8%
63.1%
MIA 66.7% +1.5%
BOS 65.2%
Mid FG%
41.8%
40.4%
MIA 59.3% +12.9%
BOS 46.4%
3P %
35.8%
37.4%
MIA 53.3% +4.7%
BOS 48.6%
FT %
79.0%
77.5%
MIA 77.3% +12.6%
BOS 64.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
33.3%
32.8%
MIA 29.6% +3.5%
BOS 26.1%
Mid Att. %
23.5%
26.3%
MIA 33.3%
BOS 31.8% +1.5%
3P Att. %
43.2%
40.9%
MIA 37.0%
BOS 42.0% +5.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIABOS
Possessions101100
Possession Minutes24.823.2
Points129121
Rebounds4332
Assists2531
Steals78
Blocks45
Turnovers (Team)14 (0)11 (0)
Fouls2121
Off. Rebounds (Team)6 (0)3 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)37 (2)29 (2)
Field Goals48-8146-88
At-the-Rim FG16-2415-23
Midrange FG16-2713-28
2-Point FG32-5128-51
3-Point FG16-3018-37
Free Throws17-2211-17
Fast Break Pts1112
2nd Chance Pts78
Points in Paint4442
Pts off Turnovers1520
Bench Points5020
Biggest Lead216

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
10 Miami Heat
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Bam Adebayo
#13 · C · 6'9" 255 · 24
34.5
22
69%
7
5
1
2
4
4
2
5
2-3
67%
10-15
67%
0-0
-
Duncan Robinson
#55 · SG · 6'7" 215 · 27
33.5
22
85%
2
3
0
1
2
2
0
2
5-6
83%
1-1
100%
5-9
56%
Kendrick Nunn
#25 · PG · 6'3" 193 · 26
33.4
18
75%
7
1
2
0
1
4
0
7
3-3
100%
6-8
75%
1-3
33%
Trevor Ariza
#8 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 36
29.9
4
29%
7
2
2
0
0
2
1
6
2-2
100%
1-4
25%
0-2
0%
Jimmy Butler
#22 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 32
17.4
13
65%
2
3
0
0
0
0
1
1
4-5
80%
3-7
43%
1-1
100%
Tyler Herro
#14 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 21
34.6
24
80%
11
3
1
0
3
3
0
11
0-0
-
6-8
75%
4-7
57%
Goran Dragic
#7 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 35
24.9
17
77%
1
2
1
0
3
2
1
0
0-0
-
1-4
25%
5-7
71%
Andre Iguodala
#28 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 37
18.4
3
75%
3
4
0
1
1
2
0
3
1-2
50%
1-1
100%
0-0
-
Dewayne Dedmon
#21 · C · 7'0" 245 · 32
13.4
6
75%
3
2
0
0
0
2
1
2
0-1
0%
3-3
100%
0-1
0%
Max Strus
#31 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 25
DNP - Coach's Decision
KZ Okpala
#11 · PF · 6'9" 210 · 22
DNP - Coach's Decision
Gabe Vincent
#2 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 25
DNP - Coach's Decision
Udonis Haslem
#40 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 41
DNP - Coach's Decision
Precious Achiuwa
#5 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 22
DNP - Coach's Decision
Nemanja Bjelica
#70 · PF · 6'10" 230 · 33
DNP - Coach's Decision
Victor Oladipo
#4 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 29
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Knee; Soreness
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
129
69%
43
25
7
4
14
21
6
37
17-22
77%
32-51
63%
16-30
53%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.