FinalWin Prob.pScore
956%109
121
2244%107
111
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
124.79789.2
CHA logo CHA
114.497106.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HornetsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HornetsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIACHA
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.121
100%
111
0%
Q4 - 0:07.2HornetsJalen McDaniels makes regular free throw 1 of 1121
99.9%
111
0.1%
Q4 - 0:07.2HeatKendrick Nunn shooting foul (Jalen McDaniels draws the foul)121
99.9%
110
0.1%
Q4 - 0:20.3HeatGabe Vincent makes three point jump shot (KZ Okpala assists)121
99.9%
108
0.1%
Q4 - 0:45.5HornetsJalen McDaniels makes three point jump shot (Caleb Martin assists)118
99.9%
108
0.1%
Q4 - 0:50.9HornetsVernon Carey Jr. defensive rebound118
99.9%
105
0.1%
Q4 - 0:52.4HeatGabe Vincent misses two point driving layup118
99.9%
105
0.1%
Q4 - 0:57.7HeatHeat offensive rebound118
99.9%
105
0.1%
Q4 - 0:58.3HeatPrecious Achiuwa misses two point layup118
99.9%
105
0.1%
Q4 - 1:09HornetsCaleb Martin personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)118
99.9%
105
0.1%
Q4 - 1:25HornetsVernon Carey Jr. makes two point jump shot (Malik Monk assists)118
99.9%
105
0.1%
Q4 - 1:41HeatGoran Dragic personal foul (Take) (Malik Monk draws the foul)118
99.9%
103
0.1%
Q4 - 1:41HeatBam Adebayo turnover (bad pass) (Malik Monk steals)118
99.9%
103
0.1%
Q4 - 2:02HornetsVernon Carey Jr. makes two point dunk (Caleb Martin assists)118
99.9%
103
0.1%
Q4 - 2:13HornetsJalen McDaniels defensive rebound118
99.9%
101
0.1%
Q4 - 2:16HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot118
99.9%
101
0.1%
Q4 - 2:34HeatGoran Dragic defensive rebound118
99.9%
101
0.1%
Q4 - 2:35HornetsJalen McDaniels misses two point tip dunk118
99.9%
101
0.1%
Q4 - 2:35HornetsJalen McDaniels offensive rebound118
99.9%
101
0.1%
Q4 - 2:41HornetsVernon Carey Jr. misses two point jump shot118
99.9%
101
0.1%
Q4 - 2:55HornetsJalen McDaniels defensive rebound118
99.9%
101
0.1%
Q4 - 2:57HeatGoran Dragic misses three point jump shot118
99.9%
101
0.1%
Q4 - 3:18HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound118
99.9%
101
0.1%
Q4 - 3:20HornetsJalen McDaniels misses three point jump shot118
99.9%
101
0.1%
Q4 - 3:22HornetsVernon Carey Jr. offensive rebound118
99.9%
101
0.1%
Q4 - 3:25HornetsGoran Dragic blocks Brad Wanamaker's two point driving floating jump shot118
99.9%
101
0.1%
Q4 - 3:34HornetsCaleb Martin defensive rebound118
99.7%
101
0.3%
Q4 - 3:37HeatGoran Dragic misses two point reverse layup118
99.8%
101
0.2%
Q4 - 3:46HeatTrevor Ariza offensive rebound118
99.8%
101
0.2%
Q4 - 3:48HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot118
99.8%
101
0.2%
Q4 - 4:13HornetsBrad Wanamaker makes two point layup118
99.8%
101
0.2%
Q4 - 4:15HornetsBrad Wanamaker offensive rebound118
99.9%
99
0.1%
Q4 - 4:18HornetsBrad Wanamaker misses two point stepback jump shot118
99.9%
99
0.1%
Q4 - 4:33HornetsJalen McDaniels defensive rebound118
99.9%
99
0.1%
Q4 - 4:37HeatBam Adebayo misses two point jump shot118
99.9%
99
0.1%
Q4 - 4:54HornetsMalik Monk makes three point jump shot (Jalen McDaniels assists)118
99.9%
99
0.1%
Q4 - 5:01HornetsJalen McDaniels defensive rebound118
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 5:04HeatGoran Dragic misses three point jump shot118
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 5:26HornetsP.J. Washington makes two point pullup jump shot118
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 5:41HeatGoran Dragic makes two point hook shot118
99.9%
94
0.1%
Q4 - 6:05HornetsMalik Monk makes three point jump shot (Miles Bridges assists)116
99.9%
94
0.1%
Q4 - 6:21HeatKendrick Nunn makes two point turnaround hook shot (Bam Adebayo assists)116
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 6:27HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound114
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 6:30HeatTrevor Ariza misses three point jump shot114
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 6:35HeatTrevor Ariza offensive rebound114
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 6:39HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot114
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 6:54HeatHeat defensive rebound114
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 6:54HornetsLaMelo Ball misses three point jump shot114
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 7:05HeatAndre Iguodala personal foul (LaMelo Ball draws the foul)114
99.8%
91
0.2%
Q4 - 7:11HornetsMiles Bridges defensive rebound114
99.8%
91
0.2%
Q4 - 7:14HeatBam Adebayo misses two point pullup jump shot114
99.8%
91
0.2%
Q4 - 7:36HornetsP.J. Washington makes two point hook shot (Miles Bridges assists)114
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 7:52HeatKendrick Nunn makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)114
99.9%
89
0.1%
Q4 - 8:00HeatMax Strus defensive rebound111
99.8%
89
0.2%
Q4 - 8:01HornetsLaMelo Ball misses two point layup111
99.7%
89
0.3%
Q4 - 8:17HeatGoran Dragic turnover (out of bounds bad pass)111
99.6%
89
0.4%
Q4 - 8:32HornetsMalik Monk makes two point driving dunk (LaMelo Ball assists)111
99.7%
89
0.3%
Q4 - 8:43HeatBam Adebayo makes two point driving layup111
99.8%
87
0.2%
Q4 - 9:03HornetsJalen McDaniels makes three point jump shot (Malik Monk assists)109
99.6%
87
0.4%
Q4 - 9:17HeatKendrick Nunn makes three point jump shot (Max Strus assists)109
99.7%
84
0.3%
Q4 - 9:31HornetsLaMelo Ball makes regular free throw 2 of 2106
99.6%
84
0.4%
Q4 - 9:31HornetsLaMelo Ball misses regular free throw 1 of 2106
99.6%
83
0.4%
Q4 - 9:31HeatMax Strus shooting foul (LaMelo Ball draws the foul)106
99.5%
83
0.5%
Q4 - 9:48HeatBam Adebayo makes two point running dunk (Goran Dragic assists)106
99.6%
83
0.4%
Q4 - 9:52HornetsLaMelo Ball turnover (bad pass) (Bam Adebayo steals)104
99.5%
83
0.5%
Q4 - 10:06HeatMax Strus makes two point cutting layup (Bam Adebayo assists)104
99.1%
83
0.9%
Q4 - 10:13HornetsJalen McDaniels personal foul (Goran Dragic draws the foul)102
99.0%
83
1.0%
Q4 - 10:21HeatAndre Iguodala defensive rebound102
99.0%
83
1.0%
Q4 - 10:25HornetsLaMelo Ball misses three point jump shot102
98.9%
83
1.1%
Q4 - 10:41HeatBam Adebayo makes two point floating jump shot (Kendrick Nunn assists)102
98.7%
83
1.3%
Q4 - 10:45HornetsJalen McDaniels turnover (bad pass) (Goran Dragic steals)100
98.4%
83
1.6%
Q4 - 10:46HornetsJalen McDaniels offensive rebound100
98.0%
83
2.0%
Q4 - 10:52HornetsMiles Bridges misses three point stepback jump shot100
98.3%
83
1.7%
Q4 - 11:08HornetsJalen McDaniels defensive rebound100
97.6%
83
2.4%
Q4 - 11:10HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot100
97.7%
83
2.3%
Q4 - 11:12HeatMax Strus offensive rebound100
98.0%
83
2.0%
Q4 - 11:14HeatKendrick Nunn misses three point jump shot100
97.7%
83
2.3%
Q4 - 11:36HornetsMiles Bridges makes three point stepback jump shot (Jalen McDaniels assists)100
98.0%
83
2.0%
Q4 - 11:44HeatGoran Dragic turnover (bad pass) (P.J. Washington steals)100
98.7%
80
1.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.100
99.0%
80
1.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0HeatHeat offensive rebound100
99.0%
80
1.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0HeatAndre Iguodala misses three point jump shot100
98.8%
80
1.2%
Q3 - 0:01.0HeatAndre Iguodala defensive rebound100
98.7%
80
1.3%
Q3 - 0:03.4HornetsJalen McDaniels misses three point jump shot100
98.6%
80
1.4%
Q3 - 0:28.8HeatGoran Dragic makes two point driving layup100
98.4%
80
1.6%
Q3 - 0:33.7HeatDewayne Dedmon defensive rebound98
98.1%
80
1.9%
Q3 - 0:35.7HornetsLaMelo Ball misses two point layup98
98.0%
80
2.0%
Q3 - 0:48.1HeatDewayne Dedmon makes regular free throw 2 of 298
97.7%
80
2.3%
Q3 - 0:48.1HeatDewayne Dedmon makes regular free throw 1 of 297
97.6%
80
2.4%
Q3 - 0:48.1HornetsCody Zeller shooting foul (Dewayne Dedmon draws the foul)96
97.5%
80
2.5%
Q3 - 0:57.2HeatGoran Dragic offensive rebound96
97.2%
80
2.8%
Q3 - 0:59.5HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot96
96.8%
80
3.2%
Q3 - 1:01HeatDewayne Dedmon offensive rebound96
96.7%
80
3.3%
Q3 - 1:04HeatGoran Dragic misses three point stepback jump shot96
96.2%
80
3.8%
Q3 - 1:24HeatDewayne Dedmon defensive rebound96
96.7%
80
3.3%
Q3 - 1:26HornetsCody Zeller misses two point floating jump shot96
96.5%
80
3.5%
Q3 - 1:44HeatDewayne Dedmon makes regular free throw 2 of 296
96.0%
80
4.0%
Q3 - 1:44HeatDewayne Dedmon misses regular free throw 1 of 295
95.8%
80
4.2%
Q3 - 1:44HornetsMalik Monk personal foul (Dewayne Dedmon draws the foul)95
96.4%
80
3.6%
Q3 - 1:53HeatDewayne Dedmon defensive rebound95
96.0%
80
4.0%
Q3 - 1:55HornetsCody Zeller misses regular free throw 2 of 295
95.9%
80
4.1%
Q3 - 1:55HornetsCody Zeller makes regular free throw 1 of 295
95.4%
80
4.6%
Q3 - 1:55HeatDewayne Dedmon shooting foul (Cody Zeller draws the foul)95
95.7%
79
4.3%
Q3 - 2:01HeatDewayne Dedmon makes two point tip dunk95
95.2%
79
4.8%
Q3 - 2:01HeatDewayne Dedmon offensive rebound93
94.4%
79
5.6%
Q3 - 2:08HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot93
93.7%
79
6.3%
Q3 - 2:27HeatHeat defensive rebound93
94.5%
79
5.5%
Q3 - 2:27HornetsMalik Monk misses two point layup93
94.1%
79
5.9%
Q3 - 2:45HornetsLaMelo Ball defensive rebound93
93.3%
79
6.7%
Q3 - 2:46HeatGoran Dragic misses two point jump shot93
93.7%
79
6.3%
Q3 - 3:03HornetsCody Zeller makes regular free throw 2 of 293
94.0%
79
6.0%
Q3 - 3:03HornetsCody Zeller misses regular free throw 1 of 293
94.2%
78
5.8%
Q3 - 3:03HeatTrevor Ariza shooting foul (Cody Zeller draws the foul)93
93.4%
78
6.6%
Q3 - 3:16HeatDewayne Dedmon turnover (offensive foul)93
93.8%
78
6.2%
Q3 - 3:16HeatDewayne Dedmon offensive foul (Malik Monk draws the foul)93
94.9%
78
5.1%
Q3 - 3:19HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound93
94.9%
78
5.1%
Q3 - 3:21HornetsDuncan Robinson blocks Miles Bridges's two point layup93
94.6%
78
5.4%
Q3 - 3:31HornetsDevonte' Graham defensive rebound93
93.8%
78
6.2%
Q3 - 3:35HeatJimmy Butler misses regular free throw 1 of 193
94.0%
78
6.0%
Q3 - 3:35HornetsMiles Bridges shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)93
94.7%
78
5.3%
Q3 - 3:41HeatTrevor Ariza defensive rebound91
92.9%
78
7.1%
Q3 - 3:43HornetsMiles Bridges misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot91
92.5%
78
7.5%
Q3 - 4:03HeatDewayne Dedmon makes regular free throw 1 of 191
90.8%
78
9.2%
Q3 - 4:03HornetsCody Zeller shooting foul (Dewayne Dedmon draws the foul)90
90.6%
78
9.4%
Q3 - 4:03HornetsCody Zeller turnover (lost ball) (Dewayne Dedmon steals)88
89.2%
78
10.8%
Q3 - 4:04HornetsCody Zeller defensive rebound88
85.7%
78
14.3%
Q3 - 4:06HeatDuncan Robinson misses regular free throw 3 of 388
86.0%
78
14.0%
Q3 - 4:06HeatDuncan Robinson makes regular free throw 2 of 388
87.4%
78
12.6%
Q3 - 4:06HeatDuncan Robinson misses regular free throw 1 of 387
87.2%
78
12.8%
Q3 - 4:06HornetsMalik Monk shooting foul (Duncan Robinson draws the foul)87
88.7%
78
11.3%
Q3 - 4:36HornetsMalik Monk makes three point jump shot (Devonte' Graham assists)87
86.1%
78
13.9%
Q3 - 4:46HeatDewayne Dedmon makes two point cutting dunk (Trevor Ariza assists)87
89.4%
75
10.6%
Q3 - 5:03HornetsTerry Rozier makes two point floating jump shot85
87.2%
75
12.8%
Q3 - 5:13HeatJimmy Butler makes two point layup (Bam Adebayo assists)85
88.8%
73
11.2%
Q3 - 5:21HornetsMiles Bridges turnover (out of bounds bad pass)83
87.2%
73
12.8%
Q3 - 5:30HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)83
85.2%
73
14.8%
Q3 - 5:44HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound80
80.9%
73
19.1%
Q3 - 5:46HornetsLaMelo Ball misses two point driving floating jump shot80
80.1%
73
19.9%
Q3 - 6:01HeatTrevor Ariza turnover (bad pass) (LaMelo Ball steals)80
77.6%
73
22.4%
Q3 - 6:21HornetsMiles Bridges makes three point jump shot (Terry Rozier assists)80
80.4%
73
19.6%
Q3 - 6:27HeatBam Adebayo personal foul (Bismack Biyombo draws the foul)80
84.6%
70
15.4%
Q3 - 6:33HeatTrevor Ariza makes regular free throw 2 of 280
84.6%
70
15.4%
Q3 - 6:33HeatTrevor Ariza misses regular free throw 1 of 279
84.3%
70
15.7%
Q3 - 6:33HornetsLaMelo Ball shooting foul (Trevor Ariza draws the foul)79
85.8%
70
14.2%
Q3 - 6:57HornetsBismack Biyombo makes two point dunk (Devonte' Graham assists)79
84.8%
70
15.2%
Q3 - 7:09HornetsTerry Rozier defensive rebound79
85.8%
68
14.2%
Q3 - 7:11HeatKendrick Nunn misses three point jump shot79
86.4%
68
13.6%
Q3 - 7:24HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound79
87.8%
68
12.2%
Q3 - 7:26HornetsDevonte' Graham misses two point driving layup79
87.2%
68
12.8%
Q3 - 7:37HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point running jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)79
85.8%
68
14.2%
Q3 - 7:41HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound76
82.2%
68
17.8%
Q3 - 7:42HornetsLaMelo Ball misses two point jump shot76
81.4%
68
18.6%
Q3 - 8:00HeatKendrick Nunn personal foul (LaMelo Ball draws the foul)76
79.5%
68
20.5%
Q3 - 8:00HeatKendrick Nunn turnover (bad pass) (LaMelo Ball steals)76
79.5%
68
20.5%
Q3 - 8:06HeatKendrick Nunn defensive rebound76
81.8%
68
18.2%
Q3 - 8:09HornetsDevonte' Graham misses three point pullup jump shot76
81.0%
68
19.0%
Q3 - 8:28HeatTrevor Ariza makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)76
79.1%
68
20.9%
Q3 - 8:38HornetsMiles Bridges makes regular free throw 2 of 273
74.4%
68
25.6%
Q3 - 8:38HornetsMiles Bridges makes regular free throw 1 of 273
74.7%
67
25.3%
Q3 - 8:38HeatKendrick Nunn shooting foul (Miles Bridges draws the foul)73
75.2%
66
24.8%
Q3 - 8:56HeatBam Adebayo misses two point pullup jump shot73
77.5%
66
22.5%
Q3 - 9:06HeatTrevor Ariza makes flagrant free throw 2 of 273
76.3%
66
23.7%
Q3 - 9:06HeatTrevor Ariza misses flagrant free throw 1 of 272
78.6%
66
21.4%
Q3 - 9:06HornetsCody Martin flagrant 1 (Trevor Ariza draws the foul)72
80.4%
66
19.6%
Q3 - 9:20HornetsP.J. Washington makes three point jump shot (Terry Rozier assists)72
76.6%
66
23.4%
Q3 - 9:36HeatKendrick Nunn makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)72
81.1%
63
18.9%
Q3 - 9:42HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound69
76.7%
63
23.3%
Q3 - 9:45HornetsTerry Rozier misses three point jump shot69
75.8%
63
24.2%
Q3 - 9:57HornetsP.J. Washington defensive rebound69
73.7%
63
26.3%
Q3 - 9:58HeatJimmy Butler misses two point layup69
74.6%
63
25.4%
Q3 - 10:10HornetsLaMelo Ball turnover (bad pass) (Duncan Robinson steals)69
76.3%
63
23.7%
Q3 - 10:17HeatBam Adebayo makes two point running layup (Trevor Ariza assists)69
73.3%
63
26.7%
Q3 - 10:21HornetsLaMelo Ball turnover (lost ball) (Trevor Ariza steals)67
71.0%
63
29.0%
Q3 - 10:43HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 267
67.6%
63
32.4%
Q3 - 10:43HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 266
67.2%
63
32.8%
Q3 - 10:43HornetsP.J. Washington shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)65
66.8%
63
33.2%
Q3 - 11:02HornetsLaMelo Ball makes two point bank jump shot65
65.0%
63
35.0%
Q3 - 11:06HornetsLaMelo Ball defensive rebound65
67.8%
61
32.2%
Q3 - 11:08HeatJimmy Butler misses three point jump shot65
68.7%
61
31.3%
Q3 - 11:40HornetsTerry Rozier makes three point jump shot (Miles Bridges assists)65
70.9%
61
29.1%
Q3 - 11:49HeatDuncan Robinson personal foul (Miles Bridges draws the foul)65
75.9%
58
24.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.65
75.9%
58
24.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0HornetsTerry Rozier makes two point running layup (LaMelo Ball assists)65
78.5%
58
21.5%
Q2 - 0:02.5HornetsLaMelo Ball defensive rebound65
80.4%
56
19.6%
Q2 - 0:05.0HeatGoran Dragic misses three point stepback jump shot65
80.9%
56
19.1%
Q2 - 0:10.5HornetsDevonte' Graham makes three point jump shot (LaMelo Ball assists)65
81.8%
56
18.2%
Q2 - 0:28.6HeatGoran Dragic makes two point driving layup65
85.9%
53
14.1%
Q2 - 0:44.7HornetsP.J. Washington turnover (offensive foul)63
83.8%
53
16.2%
Q2 - 0:44.7HornetsP.J. Washington offensive foul (Charge) (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)63
82.4%
53
17.6%
Q2 - 0:59.4HeatAndre Iguodala turnover (bad pass) (LaMelo Ball steals)63
82.4%
53
17.6%
Q2 - 1:00HeatAndre Iguodala defensive rebound63
83.8%
53
16.2%
Q2 - 1:03HornetsLaMelo Ball misses three point jump shot63
82.8%
53
17.2%
Q2 - 1:16HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 263
82.1%
53
17.9%
Q2 - 1:16HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 262
81.7%
53
18.3%
Q2 - 1:16HornetsMiles Bridges personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)61
81.2%
53
18.8%
Q2 - 1:36HornetsMiles Bridges makes regular free throw 2 of 261
79.3%
53
20.7%
Q2 - 1:36HornetsMiles Bridges makes regular free throw 1 of 261
79.6%
52
20.4%
Q2 - 1:36HeatMax Strus shooting foul (Miles Bridges draws the foul)61
79.9%
51
20.1%
Q2 - 1:40HeatGoran Dragic makes two point driving layup61
82.1%
51
17.9%
Q2 - 1:47HeatTrevor Ariza defensive rebound59
79.3%
51
20.7%
Q2 - 1:49HornetsTerry Rozier misses three point jump shot59
79.0%
51
21.0%
Q2 - 2:02HornetsHornets defensive rebound59
77.0%
51
23.0%
Q2 - 2:03HeatTrevor Ariza misses three point jump shot59
77.7%
51
22.3%
Q2 - 2:10HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound59
79.1%
51
20.9%
Q2 - 2:13HornetsMiles Bridges misses three point stepback jump shot59
78.5%
51
21.5%
Q2 - 2:30HeatMax Strus makes two point running dunk (Trevor Ariza assists)59
77.1%
51
22.9%
Q2 - 2:33HornetsMiles Bridges turnover (lost ball) (Max Strus steals)57
74.9%
51
25.1%
Q2 - 2:55HeatJimmy Butler makes two point dunk (Bam Adebayo assists)57
72.6%
51
27.4%
Q2 - 3:04HornetsMiles Bridges makes regular free throw 2 of 255
69.6%
51
30.4%
Q2 - 3:04HornetsMiles Bridges misses regular free throw 1 of 255
69.9%
50
30.1%
Q2 - 3:04HeatDewayne Dedmon personal foul (Miles Bridges draws the foul)55
67.8%
50
32.2%
Q2 - 3:19HornetsP.J. Washington defensive rebound55
69.3%
50
30.7%
Q2 - 3:23HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot55
70.2%
50
29.8%
Q2 - 3:40HeatTrevor Ariza defensive rebound55
72.1%
50
27.9%
Q2 - 3:43HornetsP.J. Washington misses three point jump shot55
71.3%
50
28.7%
Q2 - 3:55HornetsJalen McDaniels defensive rebound55
69.4%
50
30.6%
Q2 - 3:57HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot55
70.2%
50
29.8%
Q2 - 4:15HornetsP.J. Washington makes three point jump shot (Devonte' Graham assists)55
71.6%
50
28.4%
Q2 - 4:26HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 255
75.9%
47
24.1%
Q2 - 4:26HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 254
75.6%
47
24.4%
Q2 - 4:26HornetsMiles Bridges shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)53
75.3%
47
24.7%
Q2 - 4:29HornetsDevonte' Graham turnover (bad pass) (Trevor Ariza steals)53
73.8%
47
26.2%
Q2 - 4:47HeatJimmy Butler makes two point layup53
71.6%
47
28.4%
Q2 - 4:47HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound51
69.3%
47
30.7%
Q2 - 4:51HeatKendrick Nunn misses three point pullup jump shot51
67.6%
47
32.4%
Q2 - 5:08HornetsTerry Rozier makes regular free throw 2 of 251
69.5%
47
30.5%
Q2 - 5:08HornetsTerry Rozier makes regular free throw 1 of 251
69.8%
46
30.2%
Q2 - 5:08HeatJimmy Butler shooting foul (Terry Rozier draws the foul)51
70.1%
45
29.9%
Q2 - 5:08HornetsTerry Rozier offensive rebound51
71.3%
45
28.7%
Q2 - 5:08HornetsJimmy Butler blocks Terry Rozier's two point jump shot51
73.1%
45
26.9%
Q2 - 5:20HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 251
71.3%
45
28.7%
Q2 - 5:20HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 250
71.0%
45
29.0%
Q2 - 5:20HornetsJalen McDaniels shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)49
70.7%
45
29.3%
Q2 - 5:44HornetsJalen McDaniels makes three point jump shot (Terry Rozier assists)49
69.4%
45
30.6%
Q2 - 5:54HeatDewayne Dedmon turnover (lost ball) (P.J. Washington steals)49
73.5%
42
26.5%
Q2 - 5:55HeatDewayne Dedmon offensive rebound49
75.9%
42
24.1%
Q2 - 5:59HeatJimmy Butler misses two point layup49
74.2%
42
25.8%
Q2 - 6:12HeatDewayne Dedmon defensive rebound49
75.8%
42
24.2%
Q2 - 6:14HornetsDevonte' Graham misses three point jump shot49
75.1%
42
24.9%
Q2 - 6:23HeatDewayne Dedmon personal foul (Miles Bridges draws the foul)49
73.3%
42
26.7%
Q2 - 6:46HeatAndre Iguodala makes three point stepback jump shot (Kendrick Nunn assists)49
73.3%
42
26.7%
Q2 - 7:11HornetsMiles Bridges makes two point dunk (Malik Monk assists)46
69.0%
42
31.0%
Q2 - 7:22HeatGoran Dragic personal foul (Jalen McDaniels draws the foul)46
71.1%
40
28.9%
Q2 - 7:22HornetsJalen McDaniels offensive rebound46
71.1%
40
28.9%
Q2 - 7:24HornetsP.J. Washington misses three point jump shot46
72.6%
40
27.4%
Q2 - 7:45HeatGoran Dragic makes regular free throw 2 of 246
71.1%
40
28.9%
Q2 - 7:45HeatGoran Dragic makes regular free throw 1 of 245
70.7%
40
29.3%
Q2 - 7:45HornetsP.J. Washington shooting foul (Goran Dragic draws the foul)44
70.3%
40
29.7%
Q2 - 7:56HornetsLaMelo Ball makes two point layup44
69.1%
40
30.9%
Q2 - 8:09HeatBam Adebayo makes two point alley-oop dunk (Goran Dragic assists)44
70.7%
38
29.3%
Q2 - 8:13HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound42
68.6%
38
31.4%
Q2 - 8:14HornetsMiles Bridges misses two point tip dunk42
67.9%
38
32.1%
Q2 - 8:14HornetsMiles Bridges offensive rebound42
66.3%
38
33.7%
Q2 - 8:20HornetsP.J. Washington misses two point layup42
67.9%
38
32.1%
Q2 - 8:41HeatKendrick Nunn makes two point running dunk42
66.3%
38
33.7%
Q2 - 8:43HornetsP.J. Washington turnover (bad pass) (Kendrick Nunn steals)40
64.1%
38
35.9%
Q2 - 8:56HornetsLaMelo Ball defensive rebound40
61.6%
38
38.4%
Q2 - 8:58HeatGoran Dragic misses two point pullup jump shot40
62.4%
38
37.6%
Q2 - 9:06HornetsLaMelo Ball makes two point pullup jump shot40
63.7%
38
36.3%
Q2 - 9:28HeatGoran Dragic makes three point jump shot (Andre Iguodala assists)40
65.9%
36
34.1%
Q2 - 9:40HornetsP.J. Washington personal foul (Duncan Robinson draws the foul)37
61.4%
36
38.6%
Q2 - 9:40HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound37
61.4%
36
38.6%
Q2 - 9:41HornetsAndre Iguodala blocks Malik Monk's two point layup37
60.7%
36
39.3%
Q2 - 9:45HornetsP.J. Washington defensive rebound37
58.9%
36
41.1%
Q2 - 9:46HeatGoran Dragic misses two point driving reverse layup37
59.7%
36
40.3%
Q2 - 9:58HornetsLaMelo Ball makes two point running layup37
61.4%
36
38.6%
Q2 - 10:06HeatKendrick Nunn makes two point pullup jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)37
63.6%
34
36.4%
Q2 - 10:17HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound35
61.5%
34
38.5%
Q2 - 10:19HornetsMalik Monk misses three point pullup jump shot35
60.8%
34
39.2%
Q2 - 10:26HornetsDevonte' Graham defensive rebound35
59.0%
34
41.0%
Q2 - 10:27HeatBam Adebayo misses two point tip layup35
59.8%
34
40.2%
Q2 - 10:27HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound35
61.5%
34
38.5%
Q2 - 10:31HeatGoran Dragic misses two point layup35
59.8%
34
40.2%
Q2 - 10:44HornetsDevonte' Graham turnover (out of bounds bad pass)35
61.5%
34
38.5%
Q2 - 10:48HornetsBismack Biyombo defensive rebound35
59.0%
34
41.0%
Q2 - 10:51HeatGoran Dragic misses three point jump shot35
59.8%
34
40.2%
Q2 - 11:12HornetsDevonte' Graham makes regular free throw 2 of 235
61.3%
34
38.7%
Q2 - 11:12HornetsDevonte' Graham makes regular free throw 1 of 235
61.7%
33
38.3%
Q2 - 11:12HeatDuncan Robinson shooting foul (Devonte' Graham draws the foul)35
62.1%
32
37.9%
Q2 - 11:19HeatBam Adebayo turnover (lost ball) (P.J. Washington steals)35
63.7%
32
36.3%
Q2 - 11:35HornetsLaMelo Ball personal foul (Loose ball) (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)35
65.8%
32
34.2%
Q2 - 11:35HeatHeat offensive rebound35
65.8%
32
34.2%
Q2 - 11:35HeatAndre Iguodala misses two point jump shot35
64.4%
32
35.6%
Q2 - 11:50HornetsLaMelo Ball turnover (out of bounds bad pass)35
65.8%
32
34.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.35
63.7%
32
36.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0HornetsHornets offensive rebound35
63.7%
32
36.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0HornetsTrevor Ariza blocks Malik Monk's three point jump shot35
65.2%
32
34.8%
Q1 - 0:02.4HeatGoran Dragic makes regular free throw 1 of 135
63.6%
32
36.4%
Q1 - 0:02.4HornetsMalik Monk shooting foul (Goran Dragic draws the foul)34
63.2%
32
36.8%
Q1 - 0:05.3HornetsDevonte' Graham makes regular free throw 2 of 232
58.7%
32
41.3%
Q1 - 0:05.3HornetsDevonte' Graham makes regular free throw 1 of 232
59.0%
31
41.0%
Q1 - 0:05.3HeatMax Strus personal foul (Devonte' Graham draws the foul)32
59.4%
30
40.6%
Q1 - 0:23.6HornetsP.J. Washington defensive rebound32
61.4%
30
38.6%
Q1 - 0:25.6HeatKendrick Nunn misses three point jump shot32
62.0%
30
38.0%
Q1 - 0:42.3HornetsLaMelo Ball makes regular free throw 1 of 132
63.1%
30
36.9%
Q1 - 0:42.3HeatGoran Dragic shooting foul (LaMelo Ball draws the foul)32
63.6%
29
36.4%
Q1 - 0:45.6HeatGoran Dragic turnover (bad pass) (LaMelo Ball steals)32
67.8%
27
32.2%
Q1 - 0:56.9HornetsP.J. Washington makes two point bank jump shot (Devonte' Graham assists)32
69.4%
27
30.6%
Q1 - 1:12HeatDewayne Dedmon makes two point reverse layup (Andre Iguodala assists)32
71.7%
25
28.3%
Q1 - 1:27HornetsLaMelo Ball makes two point driving dunk (Malik Monk assists)30
69.3%
25
30.7%
Q1 - 1:47HeatGoran Dragic makes two point jump shot (Max Strus assists)30
71.7%
23
28.3%
Q1 - 1:58HornetsHornets turnover (shot clock violation)28
69.3%
23
30.7%
Q1 - 1:59HornetsHornets offensive rebound28
67.8%
23
32.2%
Q1 - 1:59HornetsTrevor Ariza blocks Devonte' Graham's three point jump shot28
68.9%
23
31.1%
Q1 - 2:24HeatDewayne Dedmon makes two point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)28
67.5%
23
32.5%
Q1 - 2:33HeatMax Strus defensive rebound26
65.4%
23
34.6%
Q1 - 2:38HornetsMalik Monk misses three point stepback jump shot26
64.8%
23
35.2%
Q1 - 2:45HornetsBismack Biyombo defensive rebound26
63.5%
23
36.5%
Q1 - 2:47HeatGoran Dragic misses two point layup26
64.1%
23
35.9%
Q1 - 3:01HornetsBismack Biyombo makes two point hook shot26
65.2%
23
34.8%
Q1 - 3:16HeatJimmy Butler makes two point tip layup26
66.9%
21
33.1%
Q1 - 3:16HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound24
65.2%
21
34.8%
Q1 - 3:20HeatDewayne Dedmon misses two point bank jump shot24
63.6%
21
36.4%
Q1 - 3:43HornetsDevonte' Graham makes two point fadeaway jump shot (Bismack Biyombo assists)24
65.3%
21
34.7%
Q1 - 3:52HeatTrevor Ariza personal foul (Malik Monk draws the foul)24
66.9%
19
33.1%
Q1 - 4:03HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 224
66.8%
19
33.2%
Q1 - 4:03HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 223
66.6%
19
33.4%
Q1 - 4:03HornetsMiles Bridges shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)22
66.3%
19
33.7%
Q1 - 4:19HornetsBismack Biyombo makes two point running dunk (Devonte' Graham assists)22
65.2%
19
34.8%
Q1 - 4:26HeatMax Strus makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)22
66.8%
17
33.2%
Q1 - 4:38HeatDewayne Dedmon defensive rebound19
63.2%
17
36.8%
Q1 - 4:41HornetsBismack Biyombo misses regular free throw 2 of 219
62.9%
17
37.1%
Q1 - 4:41HornetsBismack Biyombo makes regular free throw 1 of 219
62.0%
17
38.0%
Q1 - 4:41HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (Bismack Biyombo draws the foul)19
62.9%
16
37.1%
Q1 - 4:51HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)19
62.9%
16
37.1%
Q1 - 5:09HornetsTerry Rozier makes three point stepback jump shot (Bismack Biyombo assists)16
59.2%
16
40.8%
Q1 - 5:11HornetsBismack Biyombo offensive rebound16
62.9%
13
37.1%
Q1 - 5:14HornetsMiles Bridges misses three point jump shot16
64.3%
13
35.7%
Q1 - 5:25HeatBam Adebayo makes two point dunk (Jimmy Butler assists)16
62.9%
13
37.1%
Q1 - 5:33HeatTrevor Ariza defensive rebound14
61.1%
13
38.9%
Q1 - 5:35HornetsMiles Bridges misses two point driving layup14
60.5%
13
39.5%
Q1 - 5:48HeatKendrick Nunn makes two point running layup (Bam Adebayo assists)14
59.0%
13
41.0%
Q1 - 5:52HornetsJalen McDaniels turnover (bad pass) (Trevor Ariza steals)12
57.2%
13
42.8%
Q1 - 6:12HornetsP.J. Washington defensive rebound12
55.2%
13
44.8%
Q1 - 6:14HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot12
55.8%
13
44.2%
Q1 - 6:26HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound12
57.1%
13
42.9%
Q1 - 6:29HornetsTerry Rozier misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot12
56.5%
13
43.5%
Q1 - 6:50HeatKendrick Nunn makes two point driving reverse layup12
55.2%
13
44.8%
Q1 - 7:08HornetsP.J. Washington makes two point dunk (Miles Bridges assists)10
53.6%
13
46.4%
Q1 - 7:17HornetsP.J. Washington defensive rebound10
55.3%
11
44.7%
Q1 - 7:20HeatKendrick Nunn misses three point jump shot10
56.0%
11
44.0%
Q1 - 7:32HornetsP.J. Washington makes three point jump shot (Miles Bridges assists)10
57.4%
11
42.6%
Q1 - 7:39HornetsLaMelo Ball defensive rebound10
60.9%
8
39.1%
Q1 - 7:42HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot10
61.5%
8
38.5%
Q1 - 7:49HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound10
62.9%
8
37.1%
Q1 - 7:51HornetsLaMelo Ball misses two point layup10
62.3%
8
37.7%
Q1 - 8:05HeatDuncan Robinson personal foul (Miles Bridges draws the foul)10
61.2%
8
38.8%
Q1 - 8:12HeatTrevor Ariza makes two point cutting layup (Bam Adebayo assists)10
61.2%
8
38.8%
Q1 - 8:25HornetsTerry Rozier makes two point driving layup (LaMelo Ball assists)8
59.7%
8
40.3%
Q1 - 8:33HornetsMiles Bridges defensive rebound8
61.2%
6
38.8%
Q1 - 8:34HeatBam Adebayo misses regular free throw 1 of 18
61.5%
6
38.5%
Q1 - 8:34HornetsCody Martin shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)8
62.6%
6
37.4%
Q1 - 8:48HornetsP.J. Washington makes two point reverse layup (Cody Martin assists)6
59.6%
6
40.4%
Q1 - 8:55HeatBam Adebayo turnover (bad pass) (Terry Rozier steals)6
61.2%
4
38.8%
Q1 - 9:09HornetsP.J. Washington makes two point cutting layup (LaMelo Ball assists)6
63.1%
4
36.9%
Q1 - 9:17HornetsCody Martin defensive rebound6
64.5%
2
35.5%
Q1 - 9:20HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot6
65.2%
2
34.8%
Q1 - 9:24HornetsLaMelo Ball turnover (bad pass) (Jimmy Butler steals)6
66.6%
2
33.4%
Q1 - 9:25HornetsLaMelo Ball defensive rebound6
64.5%
2
35.5%
Q1 - 9:28HeatLaMelo Ball blocks Duncan Robinson's three point jump shot6
65.2%
2
34.8%
Q1 - 9:45HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound6
66.6%
2
33.4%
Q1 - 9:47HornetsTerry Rozier misses two point floating jump shot6
66.0%
2
34.0%
Q1 - 9:56HornetsTerry Rozier defensive rebound6
64.6%
2
35.4%
Q1 - 9:58HeatTrevor Ariza misses three point jump shot6
65.2%
2
34.8%
Q1 - 10:08HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound6
66.5%
2
33.5%
Q1 - 10:10HornetsMiles Bridges misses two point driving floating jump shot6
65.9%
2
34.1%
Q1 - 10:28HeatBam Adebayo makes two point hook shot (Jimmy Butler assists)6
64.6%
2
35.4%
Q1 - 10:52HornetsMiles Bridges makes two point driving layup4
63.1%
2
36.9%
Q1 - 11:05HeatTrevor Ariza makes two point cutting layup (Bam Adebayo assists)4
64.6%
0
35.4%
Q1 - 11:15HeatTrevor Ariza defensive rebound2
63.0%
0
37.0%
Q1 - 11:17HornetsP.J. Washington misses three point jump shot2
62.4%
0
37.6%
Q1 - 11:32HeatBam Adebayo makes two point turnaround jump shot2
61.1%
0
38.9%
Q1 - 12:00Bam Adebayo vs. P.J. Washington (Jimmy Butler gains possession)0
59.5%
0
40.5%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.20 59.9%
CHA
1.19 59.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
25
33
76%
CHA
19
29
66%
Midrange
MIA
9
17
53%
CHA
7
19
37%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
11
16.5
38
29%
43%
CHA
14
21.0
33
42%
64%
Free Throws
MIA
20
27
74%
CHA
17
22
77%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
B. Adebayo2071%10.0 / 14
K. Nunn1973%9.5 / 13
J. Butler1875%9.0 / 12
G. Dragic1847%9.0 / 19
D. Dedmon1488%7.0 / 8
D. Robinson1045%5.0 / 11
T. Ariza964%4.5 / 7
M. Strus744%3.5 / 8
A. Iguodala350%1.5 / 3
G. Vincent375%1.5 / 2
P. Achiuwa0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
CHA logo Hornets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
P. Washington2181%10.5 / 13
M. Bridges1550%7.5 / 15
L. Ball1447%7.0 / 15
T. Rozier1464%7.0 / 11
J. McDaniels1286%6.0 / 7
M. Monk1161%5.5 / 9
D. Graham956%4.5 / 8
B. Biyombo788%3.5 / 4
V. Carey Jr.467%2.0 / 3
B. Wanamaker233%1.0 / 3
C. Zeller233%1.0 / 3
C. Martin0-0.0 / 0
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
86
+14
-11
100
CHA
83
+10
-14
93
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.20 59.9%
CHA
1.19 59.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
111.1
110.6
MIA 124.7 +10.3
CHA 114.4
Pace
96.7
98.5
MIA 89.2
CHA 106.2 +17.0
Avg. Poss. Time
14.7
14.4
MIA 16.1
CHA 13.6 +2.6
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
54.6%
53.3%
MIA 57.4%
CHA 58.0% +0.6%
TO %
13.7%
14.3%
MIA 9.9% +4.3%
CHA 14.2%
ORB %
19.4%
23.5%
MIA 26.2% +5.7%
CHA 20.5%
FTrt
25.2
23.8
MIA 30.7 +3.5
CHA 27.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
67.1%
67.2%
MIA 66.7%
CHA 75.0% +8.3%
STL %
8.2%
7.9%
MIA 10.3% +1.0%
CHA 9.3%
BLK %
8.5%
9.9%
MIA 12.5% +10.5%
CHA 2.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
56.5%
55.1%
MIA 59.9% +0.2%
CHA 59.7%
Rim FG%
64.8%
58.0%
MIA 75.8% +10.3%
CHA 65.5%
Mid FG%
41.8%
40.6%
MIA 52.9% +16.1%
CHA 36.8%
3P %
35.8%
36.9%
MIA 28.9%
CHA 42.4% +13.5%
FT %
79.0%
76.1%
MIA 74.1%
CHA 77.3% +3.2%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
33.3%
36.8%
MIA 37.5% +1.7%
CHA 35.8%
Mid Att. %
23.5%
21.1%
MIA 19.3% +4.1%
CHA 23.5%
3P Att. %
43.2%
42.2%
MIA 43.2% +2.4%
CHA 40.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIACHA
Possessions9797
Possession Minutes26.121.9
Points121111
Rebounds4239
Assists3030
Steals109
Blocks61
Turnovers (Team)11 (0)14 (1)
Fouls2220
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (3)8 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)31 (2)31 (1)
Field Goals45-8840-81
At-the-Rim FG25-3319-29
Midrange FG9-177-19
2-Point FG34-5026-48
3-Point FG11-3814-33
Free Throws20-2717-22
Fast Break Pts229
2nd Chance Pts109
Points in Paint6450
Pts off Turnovers2316
Bench Points4547
Biggest Lead253

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#25 · PG · 6'3" 193 · 26
37.3
19
73%
1
2
1
0
1
3
0
1
0-0
-
5-5
100%
3-8
38%
#13 · C · 6'9" 255 · 24
33.5
20
71%
7
10
1
0
3
2
2
5
2-3
67%
9-13
69%
0-0
-
#8 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 36
31.4
9
64%
7
3
3
2
1
2
2
5
2-4
50%
2-2
100%
1-4
25%
#22 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 32
27.9
18
75%
8
8
1
1
0
1
2
6
8-9
89%
5-7
71%
0-1
0%
#55 · SG · 6'7" 215 · 27
26.5
10
45%
3
0
1
1
0
3
0
3
1-3
33%
0-0
-
3-10
30%
#7 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 35
29.6
18
47%
2
2
1
1
3
3
1
1
3-3
100%
6-12
50%
1-6
17%
#31 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 25
20.9
7
44%
3
2
1
0
0
3
1
2
0-0
-
2-2
100%
1-6
17%
#28 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 37
16.2
3
50%
3
2
0
1
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
0%
1-2
50%
#21 · C · 7'0" 245 · 32
13.3
14
88%
8
0
1
0
2
4
3
5
4-5
80%
5-6
83%
0-0
-
#2 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 25
1.1
3
75%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
1-1
100%
#11 · PF · 6'9" 210 · 22
1.1
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
#5 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 22
1.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
#14 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 21
DNP - Coach's Decision | Right Foot; Soreness
#70 · PF · 6'10" 230 · 33
DNP - Coach's Decision
#40 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 41
DNP - Coach's Decision
#4 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 29
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Knee; Soreness
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
121
60%
42
30
10
6
11
22
11
31
20-27
74%
34-50
68%
11-38
29%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.