FinalWin Prob.pScore
1936%105
111
664%110
116
ORTG#PossPace
SAS logo SAS
112.199100.1
MIA logo MIA
118.49896.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventSASMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.111
0%
116
100%
Q4 - 0:11.3HeatAndre Iguodala defensive rebound111
0.2%
116
99.8%
Q4 - 0:14.4SpursRudy Gay misses three point jump shot111
0.4%
116
99.6%
Q4 - 0:21.7HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 2111
1.5%
116
98.5%
Q4 - 0:21.7HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 2111
1.6%
115
98.4%
Q4 - 0:21.7SpursJakob Poeltl shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)111
1.8%
114
98.2%
Q4 - 0:44.3SpursRudy Gay makes three point jump shot (DeMar DeRozan assists)111
6.3%
114
93.7%
Q4 - 0:51.8HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 1108
2.5%
114
97.5%
Q4 - 0:51.8SpursDejounte Murray shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)108
2.8%
113
97.2%
Q4 - 0:51.9HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound108
7.6%
111
92.4%
Q4 - 0:54.2HeatKendrick Nunn misses three point jump shot108
11.9%
111
88.1%
Q4 - 1:16SpursJakob Poeltl makes two point reverse layup (DeMar DeRozan assists)108
9.0%
111
91.0%
Q4 - 1:29HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 2106
6.9%
111
93.1%
Q4 - 1:29HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 2106
7.3%
110
92.7%
Q4 - 1:29SpursDejounte Murray personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)106
7.8%
109
92.2%
Q4 - 1:46SpursDejounte Murray makes two point driving layup (DeMar DeRozan assists)106
11.7%
109
88.3%
Q4 - 1:53SpursDeMar DeRozan defensive rebound104
8.2%
109
91.8%
Q4 - 1:55HeatBam Adebayo misses two point pullup bank jump shot104
7.1%
109
92.9%
Q4 - 2:12SpursLonnie Walker IV makes regular free throw 1 of 1104
4.6%
109
95.4%
Q4 - 2:12HeatAndre Iguodala shooting foul (Lonnie Walker IV draws the foul)103
4.2%
109
95.8%
Q4 - 2:14SpursDejounte Murray defensive rebound101
2.3%
109
97.7%
Q4 - 2:17HeatJimmy Butler misses two point floating jump shot101
1.8%
109
98.2%
Q4 - 2:28HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound101
1.2%
109
98.8%
Q4 - 2:30SpursDeMar DeRozan misses two point pullup jump shot101
1.4%
109
98.6%
Q4 - 2:49SpursDejounte Murray defensive rebound101
2.2%
109
97.8%
Q4 - 2:54HeatGoran Dragic misses two point pullup jump shot101
2.6%
109
97.4%
Q4 - 3:10HeatAndre Iguodala defensive rebound101
1.7%
109
98.3%
Q4 - 3:14SpursDejounte Murray misses two point pullup jump shot101
2.0%
109
98.0%
Q4 - 3:23SpursJakob Poeltl defensive rebound101
2.9%
109
97.1%
Q4 - 3:26HeatJimmy Butler misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot101
2.4%
109
97.6%
Q4 - 3:51SpursKeldon Johnson makes two point pullup jump shot (Lonnie Walker IV assists)101
3.0%
109
97.0%
Q4 - 4:16HeatKendrick Nunn makes three point jump shot (Goran Dragic assists)99
2.1%
109
97.9%
Q4 - 4:30SpursDeMar DeRozan makes regular free throw 2 of 299
4.1%
106
95.9%
Q4 - 4:30SpursDeMar DeRozan makes regular free throw 1 of 298
3.9%
106
96.1%
Q4 - 4:30HeatKendrick Nunn shooting foul (DeMar DeRozan draws the foul)97
3.7%
106
96.3%
Q4 - 4:40HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 197
2.9%
106
97.1%
Q4 - 4:40SpursLonnie Walker IV shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)97
3.1%
105
96.9%
Q4 - 4:54SpursKeldon Johnson makes two point layup (Dejounte Murray assists)97
5.7%
103
94.3%
Q4 - 4:56SpursDejounte Murray offensive rebound95
4.1%
103
95.9%
Q4 - 4:58SpursDejounte Murray misses three point jump shot95
3.2%
103
96.8%
Q4 - 5:15HeatJimmy Butler makes two point layup95
5.5%
103
94.5%
Q4 - 5:20HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound95
7.3%
101
92.7%
Q4 - 5:21HeatGoran Dragic misses three point jump shot95
9.1%
101
90.9%
Q4 - 5:37SpursDeMar DeRozan makes two point bank jump shot95
7.3%
101
92.7%
Q4 - 5:53HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 193
5.4%
101
94.6%
Q4 - 5:53SpursLonnie Walker IV shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)93
5.6%
100
94.4%
Q4 - 6:00SpursDejounte Murray makes regular free throw 1 of 193
9.7%
98
90.3%
Q4 - 6:00HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (Dejounte Murray draws the foul)92
9.2%
98
90.8%
Q4 - 6:15HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 290
6.8%
98
93.2%
Q4 - 6:15HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 290
7.2%
97
92.8%
Q4 - 6:15SpursLonnie Walker IV shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)90
7.6%
96
92.4%
Q4 - 6:36SpursDejounte Murray makes two point floating jump shot90
8.5%
96
91.5%
Q4 - 6:50HeatGoran Dragic personal foul (Take) (Rudy Gay draws the foul)88
6.7%
96
93.3%
Q4 - 6:51HeatBam Adebayo turnover (lost ball) (Jakob Poeltl steals)88
6.7%
96
93.3%
Q4 - 7:09SpursDejounte Murray makes two point fadeaway jump shot88
6.0%
96
94.0%
Q4 - 7:24HeatGoran Dragic makes two point pullup jump shot (Andre Iguodala assists)86
4.8%
96
95.2%
Q4 - 7:32HeatAndre Iguodala defensive rebound86
5.9%
94
94.1%
Q4 - 7:34SpursRudy Gay misses three point jump shot86
6.4%
94
93.6%
Q4 - 7:41SpursDejounte Murray defensive rebound86
7.8%
94
92.2%
Q4 - 7:43HeatBam Adebayo misses two point jump shot86
7.2%
94
92.8%
Q4 - 8:00SpursDevin Vassell makes regular free throw 2 of 286
5.9%
94
94.1%
Q4 - 8:00SpursDevin Vassell misses regular free throw 1 of 285
5.7%
94
94.3%
Q4 - 8:00HeatGoran Dragic shooting foul (Devin Vassell draws the foul)85
7.0%
94
93.0%
Q4 - 8:15HeatBam Adebayo makes two point cutting dunk (Goran Dragic assists)85
6.9%
94
93.1%
Q4 - 8:24HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound85
8.6%
92
91.4%
Q4 - 8:28SpursDevin Vassell misses regular free throw 1 of 185
8.9%
92
91.1%
Q4 - 8:28HeatDuncan Robinson shooting foul (Devin Vassell draws the foul)85
10.4%
92
89.6%
Q4 - 8:42HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)82
5.4%
92
94.6%
Q4 - 8:55SpursDejounte Murray makes two point driving layup82
8.6%
89
91.4%
Q4 - 9:06SpursJakob Poeltl defensive rebound80
7.6%
89
92.4%
Q4 - 9:09HeatGoran Dragic misses two point driving floating jump shot80
7.1%
89
92.9%
Q4 - 9:17HeatAndre Iguodala defensive rebound80
6.0%
89
94.0%
Q4 - 9:19SpursLonnie Walker IV misses two point pullup jump shot80
6.4%
89
93.6%
Q4 - 9:27HeatDuncan Robinson personal foul (Loose ball) (Jakob Poeltl draws the foul)80
7.6%
89
92.4%
Q4 - 9:27SpursSpurs offensive rebound80
7.6%
89
92.4%
Q4 - 9:27SpursDevin Vassell misses three point jump shot80
6.4%
89
93.6%
Q4 - 9:52HeatGoran Dragic makes two point driving layup80
7.6%
89
92.4%
Q4 - 9:57HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound80
9.2%
87
90.8%
Q4 - 9:57SpursDejounte Murray misses two point tip layup80
9.9%
87
90.1%
Q4 - 9:57SpursDejounte Murray offensive rebound80
11.6%
87
88.4%
Q4 - 10:02SpursJakob Poeltl misses two point driving floating jump shot80
10.9%
87
89.1%
Q4 - 10:15HeatGoran Dragic makes three point jump shot (Andre Iguodala assists)80
12.5%
87
87.5%
Q4 - 10:36SpursLonnie Walker IV makes three point jump shot (Devin Vassell assists)80
18.0%
84
82.0%
Q4 - 10:44SpursLonnie Walker IV defensive rebound77
12.5%
84
87.5%
Q4 - 10:47HeatAndre Iguodala misses three point jump shot77
11.7%
84
88.3%
Q4 - 11:08SpursRudy Gay makes three point jump shot (Jakob Poeltl assists)77
10.9%
84
89.1%
Q4 - 11:27HeatDewayne Dedmon makes two point driving hook shot (Goran Dragic assists)74
7.4%
84
92.6%
Q4 - 11:40SpursDejounte Murray personal foul (Andre Iguodala draws the foul)74
9.0%
82
91.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.74
9.0%
82
91.0%
Q3 - 0:00.1SpursSpurs offensive rebound74
11.7%
82
88.3%
Q3 - 0:00.5SpursDejounte Murray misses three point jump shot74
10.3%
82
89.7%
Q3 - 0:03.3HeatGoran Dragic makes regular free throw 2 of 274
11.6%
82
88.4%
Q3 - 0:03.3HeatGoran Dragic makes regular free throw 1 of 274
12.0%
81
88.0%
Q3 - 0:03.3SpursGorgui Dieng shooting foul (Goran Dragic draws the foul)74
12.5%
80
87.5%
Q3 - 0:08.3SpursRudy Gay turnover (out of bounds lost ball)74
13.9%
80
86.1%
Q3 - 0:11.6SpursDejounte Murray offensive rebound74
16.4%
80
83.6%
Q3 - 0:14.5SpursDejounte Murray misses two point stepback jump shot74
14.6%
80
85.4%
Q3 - 0:31.6HeatGoran Dragic makes three point jump shot (Andre Iguodala assists)74
16.4%
80
83.6%
Q3 - 0:46.1HeatDewayne Dedmon defensive rebound74
22.8%
77
77.2%
Q3 - 0:46.1SpursPatty Mills misses three point jump shot74
23.9%
77
76.1%
Q3 - 0:56.8HeatDewayne Dedmon makes regular free throw 2 of 274
26.4%
77
73.6%
Q3 - 0:56.8HeatDewayne Dedmon misses regular free throw 1 of 274
27.1%
76
72.9%
Q3 - 0:56.8SpursGorgui Dieng personal foul (Loose ball) (Dewayne Dedmon draws the foul)74
24.1%
76
75.9%
Q3 - 0:56.8HeatHeat defensive rebound74
26.5%
76
73.5%
Q3 - 0:57.0SpursPatty Mills misses two point pullup jump shot74
27.7%
76
72.3%
Q3 - 1:08SpursSpurs defensive rebound74
30.8%
76
69.2%
Q3 - 1:09HeatGoran Dragic misses three point jump shot74
29.5%
76
70.5%
Q3 - 1:26SpursPatty Mills turnover (bad pass) (Goran Dragic steals)74
26.6%
76
73.4%
Q3 - 1:35SpursGorgui Dieng offensive rebound74
30.8%
76
69.2%
Q3 - 1:36SpursRudy Gay misses two point jump shot74
27.8%
76
72.2%
Q3 - 1:58HeatJimmy Butler makes two point turnaround jump shot (Duncan Robinson assists)74
30.8%
76
69.2%
Q3 - 2:14HeatDewayne Dedmon defensive rebound74
34.3%
74
65.7%
Q3 - 2:16SpursLonnie Walker IV misses two point driving layup74
35.7%
74
64.3%
Q3 - 2:39HeatDewayne Dedmon makes regular free throw 2 of 274
39.0%
74
61.0%
Q3 - 2:39HeatDewayne Dedmon makes regular free throw 1 of 274
39.8%
73
60.2%
Q3 - 2:39SpursDeMar DeRozan shooting foul (Dewayne Dedmon draws the foul)74
40.7%
72
59.3%
Q3 - 2:58HeatDewayne Dedmon defensive rebound74
42.9%
72
57.1%
Q3 - 3:01SpursLonnie Walker IV misses two point driving bank jump shot74
44.0%
72
56.0%
Q3 - 3:21HeatDewayne Dedmon makes regular free throw 1 of 174
47.4%
72
52.6%
Q3 - 3:21SpursPatty Mills shooting foul (Dewayne Dedmon draws the foul)74
48.2%
71
51.8%
Q3 - 3:21HeatDewayne Dedmon offensive rebound74
55.4%
69
44.6%
Q3 - 3:22HeatJimmy Butler misses three point jump shot74
58.8%
69
41.2%
Q3 - 3:29HeatDewayne Dedmon defensive rebound74
55.4%
69
44.6%
Q3 - 3:33SpursLonnie Walker IV misses three point jump shot74
56.9%
69
43.1%
Q3 - 3:49HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving floating bank jump shot74
60.3%
69
39.7%
Q3 - 4:00SpursPatty Mills personal foul (Goran Dragic draws the foul)74
63.8%
67
36.2%
Q3 - 4:13SpursDevin Vassell makes three point jump shot (DeMar DeRozan assists)74
62.3%
67
37.7%
Q3 - 4:27HeatDewayne Dedmon makes two point putback layup71
55.0%
67
45.0%
Q3 - 4:31HeatDewayne Dedmon offensive rebound71
58.4%
65
41.6%
Q3 - 4:33HeatJakob Poeltl blocks Jimmy Butler's two point running layup71
61.7%
65
38.3%
Q3 - 4:37HeatTrevor Ariza defensive rebound71
58.4%
65
41.6%
Q3 - 4:40SpursDeMar DeRozan misses two point floating jump shot71
59.9%
65
40.1%
Q3 - 4:49SpursPatty Mills defensive rebound71
63.1%
65
36.9%
Q3 - 4:51HeatKendrick Nunn misses three point jump shot71
61.7%
65
38.3%
Q3 - 5:08SpursDeMar DeRozan makes regular free throw 2 of 271
57.7%
65
42.3%
Q3 - 5:08SpursDeMar DeRozan makes regular free throw 1 of 270
57.3%
65
42.7%
Q3 - 5:08HeatTrevor Ariza shooting foul (DeMar DeRozan draws the foul)69
56.7%
65
43.3%
Q3 - 5:16HeatDewayne Dedmon turnover (offensive foul)69
54.1%
65
45.9%
Q3 - 5:16HeatDewayne Dedmon offensive foul (Off the ball) (Patty Mills draws the foul)69
49.8%
65
50.2%
Q3 - 5:26HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound69
49.8%
65
50.2%
Q3 - 5:28SpursPatty Mills misses three point jump shot69
51.1%
65
48.9%
Q3 - 5:41SpursKeldon Johnson defensive rebound69
54.1%
65
45.9%
Q3 - 5:44HeatTrevor Ariza misses three point jump shot69
52.8%
65
47.2%
Q3 - 5:48HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound69
49.8%
65
50.2%
Q3 - 5:52SpursDevin Vassell misses two point driving layup69
51.1%
65
48.9%
Q3 - 5:56SpursDeMar DeRozan defensive rebound69
54.1%
65
45.9%
Q3 - 5:59HeatJakob Poeltl blocks Jimmy Butler's two point driving layup69
52.8%
65
47.2%
Q3 - 6:02HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound69
48.9%
65
51.1%
Q3 - 6:05SpursDejounte Murray misses three point jump shot69
50.2%
65
49.8%
Q3 - 6:17SpursKeldon Johnson defensive rebound69
53.1%
65
46.9%
Q3 - 6:19HeatDuncan Robinson misses two point driving floating jump shot69
51.8%
65
48.2%
Q3 - 6:39SpursDevin Vassell makes two point running dunk (Dejounte Murray assists)69
49.0%
65
51.0%
Q3 - 6:43HeatKendrick Nunn turnover (lost ball) (Dejounte Murray steals)67
45.5%
65
54.5%
Q3 - 7:03SpursDejounte Murray makes three point jump shot (DeMar DeRozan assists)67
40.7%
65
59.3%
Q3 - 7:13HeatTrevor Ariza turnover (out of bounds step)64
34.3%
65
65.7%
Q3 - 7:13HeatTrevor Ariza offensive rebound64
30.5%
65
69.5%
Q3 - 7:14HeatBam Adebayo misses two point layup64
33.1%
65
66.9%
Q3 - 7:40SpursDevin Vassell makes two point pullup jump shot (DeMar DeRozan assists)64
30.5%
65
69.5%
Q3 - 7:54HeatDuncan Robinson personal foul (Jakob Poeltl draws the foul)62
27.9%
65
72.1%
Q3 - 7:57SpursDejounte Murray defensive rebound62
27.9%
65
72.1%
Q3 - 8:00HeatKendrick Nunn misses three point jump shot62
26.9%
65
73.1%
Q3 - 8:04HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound62
24.6%
65
75.4%
Q3 - 8:06SpursDevin Vassell misses two point running pullup jump shot62
25.6%
65
74.4%
Q3 - 8:10SpursDevin Vassell defensive rebound62
27.9%
65
72.1%
Q3 - 8:13HeatJimmy Butler misses two point layup62
26.9%
65
73.1%
Q3 - 8:16HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound62
24.6%
65
75.4%
Q3 - 8:18HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving layup62
26.9%
65
73.1%
Q3 - 8:26SpursDejounte Murray turnover (out of bounds bad pass)62
24.6%
65
75.4%
Q3 - 8:34SpursJakob Poeltl defensive rebound62
27.9%
65
72.1%
Q3 - 8:37HeatTrevor Ariza misses regular free throw 2 of 262
27.5%
65
72.5%
Q3 - 8:37HeatTrevor Ariza makes regular free throw 1 of 262
25.6%
65
74.4%
Q3 - 8:37SpursDeMar DeRozan shooting foul (Trevor Ariza draws the foul)62
26.1%
64
73.9%
Q3 - 8:58SpursDejounte Murray makes regular free throw 2 of 262
27.4%
64
72.6%
Q3 - 8:58SpursDejounte Murray makes regular free throw 1 of 261
26.9%
64
73.1%
Q3 - 8:58HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (Dejounte Murray draws the foul)60
26.2%
64
73.8%
Q3 - 9:00SpursJakob Poeltl offensive rebound60
25.1%
64
74.9%
Q3 - 9:04SpursDevin Vassell misses three point jump shot60
22.9%
64
77.1%
Q3 - 9:19HeatKendrick Nunn makes three point pullup jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)60
25.0%
64
75.0%
Q3 - 9:25HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound60
30.2%
61
69.8%
Q3 - 9:28SpursKeldon Johnson misses three point jump shot60
31.3%
61
68.7%
Q3 - 9:32SpursDeMar DeRozan defensive rebound60
33.8%
61
66.2%
Q3 - 9:35HeatDevin Vassell blocks Duncan Robinson's two point layup60
32.7%
61
67.3%
Q3 - 9:50SpursKeldon Johnson makes two point running reverse layup (Dejounte Murray assists)60
30.2%
61
69.8%
Q3 - 9:55HeatKendrick Nunn turnover (bad pass) (Jakob Poeltl steals)58
27.7%
61
72.3%
Q3 - 10:13SpursDeMar DeRozan makes two point layup58
24.6%
61
75.4%
Q3 - 10:23HeatJimmy Butler makes two point pullup jump shot56
22.5%
61
77.5%
Q3 - 10:35HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound56
24.6%
59
75.4%
Q3 - 10:38SpursKeldon Johnson misses two point jump shot56
25.5%
59
74.5%
Q3 - 10:59HeatKendrick Nunn makes two point driving floating bank jump shot56
27.7%
59
72.3%
Q3 - 11:07SpursDejounte Murray makes two point floating jump shot (Jakob Poeltl assists)56
30.0%
57
70.0%
Q3 - 11:24HeatKendrick Nunn makes two point driving layup (Trevor Ariza assists)54
27.5%
57
72.5%
Q3 - 11:48SpursDejounte Murray turnover (out of bounds bad pass)54
30.0%
55
70.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.54
33.2%
55
66.8%
Q2 - 0:00.1HeatGoran Dragic makes three point bank jump shot54
32.5%
55
67.5%
Q2 - 0:22.1SpursGorgui Dieng makes regular free throw 2 of 254
39.3%
52
60.7%
Q2 - 0:22.1SpursGorgui Dieng makes regular free throw 1 of 253
38.8%
52
61.2%
Q2 - 0:22.1HeatJimmy Butler personal foul (Gorgui Dieng draws the foul)52
38.2%
52
61.8%
Q2 - 0:22.1SpursGorgui Dieng defensive rebound52
35.4%
52
64.6%
Q2 - 0:22.6HeatTrevor Ariza misses two point driving layup52
34.8%
52
65.2%
Q2 - 0:34.7SpursGorgui Dieng turnover (lost ball) (Trevor Ariza steals)52
33.3%
52
66.7%
Q2 - 0:51.8SpursLonnie Walker IV defensive rebound52
35.5%
52
64.5%
Q2 - 0:55.1HeatGoran Dragic misses three point jump shot52
34.8%
52
65.2%
Q2 - 0:58.9HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound52
33.3%
52
66.7%
Q2 - 1:00HeatJimmy Butler misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot52
34.8%
52
65.2%
Q2 - 1:18SpursKeldon Johnson makes regular free throw 2 of 252
33.6%
52
66.4%
Q2 - 1:18SpursKeldon Johnson makes regular free throw 1 of 251
32.9%
52
67.1%
Q2 - 1:18HeatDuncan Robinson personal foul (Keldon Johnson draws the foul)50
32.2%
52
67.8%
Q2 - 1:27HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving layup50
29.7%
52
70.3%
Q2 - 1:35HeatTrevor Ariza defensive rebound50
33.6%
50
66.4%
Q2 - 1:39SpursDeMar DeRozan misses two point stepback jump shot50
34.1%
50
65.9%
Q2 - 1:52HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 150
35.2%
50
64.8%
Q2 - 1:52SpursDeMar DeRozan shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)50
35.8%
49
64.2%
Q2 - 1:58HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound50
42.4%
47
57.6%
Q2 - 2:00SpursLonnie Walker IV misses two point fadeaway jump shot50
43.0%
47
57.0%
Q2 - 2:18HeatTrevor Ariza makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)50
44.3%
47
55.7%
Q2 - 2:33SpursDeMar DeRozan makes two point driving layup50
50.3%
44
49.7%
Q2 - 2:44SpursKeldon Johnson defensive rebound48
47.3%
44
52.7%
Q2 - 2:44HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving layup48
46.4%
44
53.6%
Q2 - 2:56SpursKeldon Johnson makes two point driving floating jump shot (DeMar DeRozan assists)48
44.4%
44
55.6%
Q2 - 3:09HeatHeat turnover (shot clock violation)46
40.8%
44
59.2%
Q2 - 3:26HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound46
37.7%
44
62.3%
Q2 - 3:33SpursRudy Gay misses regular free throw 1 of 146
38.2%
44
61.8%
Q2 - 3:33HeatDewayne Dedmon shooting foul (Rudy Gay draws the foul)46
40.1%
44
59.9%
Q2 - 3:33SpursRudy Gay offensive rebound44
35.4%
44
64.6%
Q2 - 3:34SpursDewayne Dedmon blocks Rudy Gay's two point driving dunk44
33.4%
44
66.6%
Q2 - 3:45SpursKeldon Johnson defensive rebound44
35.4%
44
64.6%
Q2 - 3:47HeatTrevor Ariza misses three point jump shot44
34.5%
44
65.5%
Q2 - 3:58HeatKendrick Nunn defensive rebound44
32.5%
44
67.5%
Q2 - 4:01SpursRudy Gay misses three point jump shot44
33.2%
44
66.8%
Q2 - 4:22HeatDewayne Dedmon makes two point dunk (Jimmy Butler assists)44
35.0%
44
65.0%
Q2 - 4:36SpursDrew Eubanks personal foul (Loose ball) (Duncan Robinson draws the foul)44
37.5%
42
62.5%
Q2 - 4:37HeatHeat defensive rebound44
37.5%
42
62.5%
Q2 - 4:37SpursKeldon Johnson misses three point jump shot44
38.3%
42
61.7%
Q2 - 4:45SpursDrew Eubanks defensive rebound44
40.2%
42
59.8%
Q2 - 4:51HeatKendrick Nunn misses two point stepback jump shot44
39.4%
42
60.6%
Q2 - 5:05SpursDeMar DeRozan makes regular free throw 1 of 144
36.9%
42
63.1%
Q2 - 5:05HeatKendrick Nunn shooting foul (DeMar DeRozan draws the foul)43
36.6%
42
63.4%
Q2 - 5:09SpursDevin Vassell defensive rebound41
32.5%
42
67.5%
Q2 - 5:11HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot41
31.6%
42
68.4%
Q2 - 5:18HeatDewayne Dedmon defensive rebound41
29.7%
42
70.3%
Q2 - 5:20SpursDejounte Murray misses two point jump shot41
30.5%
42
69.5%
Q2 - 5:28HeatAndre Iguodala turnover (bad pass) (Drew Eubanks steals)41
32.5%
42
67.5%
Q2 - 5:32HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound41
29.7%
42
70.3%
Q2 - 5:35SpursRudy Gay misses three point jump shot41
30.6%
42
69.4%
Q2 - 5:49HeatDewayne Dedmon makes two point cutting dunk (Kendrick Nunn assists)41
32.5%
42
67.5%
Q2 - 5:58SpursDejounte Murray makes regular free throw 2 of 241
34.5%
40
65.5%
Q2 - 5:58SpursDejounte Murray makes regular free throw 1 of 240
34.1%
40
65.9%
Q2 - 5:58HeatKendrick Nunn shooting foul (Dejounte Murray draws the foul)39
33.5%
40
66.5%
Q2 - 6:13HeatBam Adebayo makes two point tip dunk39
32.4%
40
67.6%
Q2 - 6:13HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound39
34.3%
38
65.7%
Q2 - 6:14HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving layup39
36.4%
38
63.6%
Q2 - 6:28SpursLonnie Walker IV makes three point jump shot39
34.3%
38
65.7%
Q2 - 6:37SpursDejounte Murray defensive rebound36
30.1%
38
69.9%
Q2 - 6:39HeatDuncan Robinson misses two point turnaround hook shot36
29.3%
38
70.7%
Q2 - 6:59SpursLonnie Walker IV makes two point stepback jump shot (Dejounte Murray assists)36
27.4%
38
72.6%
Q2 - 7:14HeatBam Adebayo makes two point alley-oop dunk (Andre Iguodala assists)34
25.8%
38
74.2%
Q2 - 7:31SpursDeMar DeRozan makes two point pullup jump shot34
27.7%
36
72.3%
Q2 - 7:53SpursDrew Eubanks defensive rebound32
25.8%
36
74.2%
Q2 - 7:53HeatBam Adebayo misses regular free throw 2 of 232
25.5%
36
74.5%
Q2 - 7:53HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 232
24.2%
36
75.8%
Q2 - 7:53SpursJakob Poeltl shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)32
24.7%
35
75.3%
Q2 - 7:57HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound32
25.7%
35
74.3%
Q2 - 8:01SpursPatty Mills misses three point stepback jump shot32
26.4%
35
73.6%
Q2 - 8:12HeatBam Adebayo turnover (offensive foul)32
27.9%
35
72.1%
Q2 - 8:12HeatBam Adebayo offensive foul (Dejounte Murray draws the foul)32
25.8%
35
74.2%
Q2 - 8:29SpursJakob Poeltl makes two point putback layup32
25.8%
35
74.2%
Q2 - 8:31SpursJakob Poeltl offensive rebound30
23.9%
35
76.1%
Q2 - 8:33SpursPatty Mills misses three point jump shot30
22.6%
35
77.4%
Q2 - 8:48HeatAndre Iguodala turnover (out of bounds bad pass)30
23.9%
35
76.1%
Q2 - 8:54HeatGabe Vincent offensive rebound30
22.1%
35
77.9%
Q2 - 8:56HeatKendrick Nunn misses three point pullup jump shot30
23.3%
35
76.7%
Q2 - 9:10SpursLonnie Walker IV makes two point driving layup30
22.1%
35
77.9%
Q2 - 9:20HeatBam Adebayo makes two point cutting dunk (Duncan Robinson assists)28
20.5%
35
79.5%
Q2 - 9:34HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound28
22.1%
33
77.9%
Q2 - 9:36SpursJakob Poeltl misses two point floating jump shot28
22.7%
33
77.3%
Q2 - 9:48HeatBam Adebayo makes two point hook shot (Gabe Vincent assists)28
24.0%
33
76.0%
Q2 - 10:04HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound28
25.9%
31
74.1%
Q2 - 10:07SpursLonnie Walker IV misses three point jump shot28
26.5%
31
73.5%
Q2 - 10:16SpursJakob Poeltl defensive rebound28
28.0%
31
72.0%
Q2 - 10:20HeatGabe Vincent misses three point jump shot28
27.3%
31
72.7%
Q2 - 10:41SpursRudy Gay makes two point jump shot (Dejounte Murray assists)28
25.9%
31
74.1%
Q2 - 10:48HeatGoran Dragic personal foul (Patty Mills draws the foul)26
24.2%
31
75.8%
Q2 - 11:03HeatDewayne Dedmon turnover (offensive foul)26
24.0%
31
76.0%
Q2 - 11:03HeatDewayne Dedmon offensive foul (Jakob Poeltl draws the foul)26
22.5%
31
77.5%
Q2 - 11:17SpursLonnie Walker IV makes three point jump shot (Dejounte Murray assists)26
22.4%
31
77.6%
Q2 - 11:25SpursDejounte Murray defensive rebound23
19.2%
31
80.8%
Q2 - 11:27HeatGoran Dragic misses two point driving reverse layup23
18.8%
31
81.2%
Q2 - 11:44SpursPatty Mills makes three point jump shot (Dejounte Murray assists)23
17.9%
31
82.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.20
15.1%
31
84.9%
Q1 - 0:00.1SpursSpurs offensive rebound20
15.2%
31
84.8%
Q1 - 0:02.6SpursLonnie Walker IV misses three point jump shot20
14.6%
31
85.4%
Q1 - 0:15.2HeatJimmy Butler makes two point jump shot20
15.2%
31
84.8%
Q1 - 0:34.0SpursRudy Gay makes three point jump shot20
16.7%
29
83.3%
Q1 - 0:42.1SpursRudy Gay defensive rebound17
14.0%
29
86.0%
Q1 - 0:44.3HeatDewayne Dedmon misses two point jump shot17
13.8%
29
86.2%
Q1 - 0:55.8SpursLonnie Walker IV makes two point pullup jump shot (Patty Mills assists)17
13.2%
29
86.8%
Q1 - 1:15HeatDewayne Dedmon makes two point layup (Jimmy Butler assists)15
12.1%
29
87.9%
Q1 - 1:36SpursDejounte Murray makes two point pullup jump shot (Patty Mills assists)15
13.3%
27
86.7%
Q1 - 1:57HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 113
12.1%
27
87.9%
Q1 - 1:57SpursKeldon Johnson shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)13
12.2%
26
87.8%
Q1 - 2:01HeatDewayne Dedmon defensive rebound13
14.6%
24
85.4%
Q1 - 2:03SpursPatty Mills misses three point jump shot13
15.0%
24
85.0%
Q1 - 2:22HeatJimmy Butler makes two point pullup bank jump shot13
15.7%
24
84.3%
Q1 - 2:33HeatDewayne Dedmon defensive rebound13
17.0%
22
83.0%
Q1 - 2:34SpursDrew Eubanks misses two point cutting layup13
17.4%
22
82.6%
Q1 - 3:02HeatDewayne Dedmon makes two point running layup (Jimmy Butler assists)13
18.4%
22
81.6%
Q1 - 3:06HeatTrevor Ariza defensive rebound13
19.6%
20
80.4%
Q1 - 3:09SpursLonnie Walker IV misses two point pullup jump shot13
20.1%
20
79.9%
Q1 - 3:14SpursLonnie Walker IV defensive rebound13
21.3%
20
78.7%
Q1 - 3:17HeatTrevor Ariza misses three point jump shot13
20.7%
20
79.3%
Q1 - 3:27HeatKendrick Nunn defensive rebound13
19.6%
20
80.4%
Q1 - 3:30SpursDeMar DeRozan misses two point jump shot13
20.1%
20
79.9%
Q1 - 3:41SpursDrew Eubanks defensive rebound13
21.3%
20
78.7%
Q1 - 3:43HeatJimmy Butler misses two point jump shot13
20.7%
20
79.3%
Q1 - 4:01SpursKeldon Johnson makes regular free throw 2 of 213
19.9%
20
80.1%
Q1 - 4:01SpursKeldon Johnson makes regular free throw 1 of 212
19.6%
20
80.4%
Q1 - 4:01HeatDewayne Dedmon shooting foul (Keldon Johnson draws the foul)11
19.3%
20
80.7%
Q1 - 4:15HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving layup (Goran Dragic assists)11
18.8%
20
81.2%
Q1 - 4:20SpursDeMar DeRozan turnover (lost ball) (Jimmy Butler steals)11
19.9%
18
80.1%
Q1 - 4:38HeatGoran Dragic makes three point jump shot (Trevor Ariza assists)11
21.5%
18
78.5%
Q1 - 4:57SpursDrew Eubanks makes two point reverse layup (DeMar DeRozan assists)11
24.3%
15
75.7%
Q1 - 5:06HeatTrevor Ariza turnover (bad pass) (DeMar DeRozan steals)9
23.2%
15
76.8%
Q1 - 5:17HeatTrevor Ariza defensive rebound9
21.7%
15
78.3%
Q1 - 5:19SpursDeMar DeRozan misses two point fadeaway jump shot9
22.1%
15
77.9%
Q1 - 5:27HeatTrevor Ariza personal foul (DeMar DeRozan draws the foul)9
23.2%
15
76.8%
Q1 - 5:36SpursKeldon Johnson defensive rebound9
23.2%
15
76.8%
Q1 - 5:38HeatBam Adebayo misses two point jump shot9
22.7%
15
77.3%
Q1 - 5:53SpursDeMar DeRozan makes regular free throw 2 of 29
21.6%
15
78.4%
Q1 - 5:53SpursDeMar DeRozan misses regular free throw 1 of 28
21.5%
15
78.5%
Q1 - 5:53HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (DeMar DeRozan draws the foul)8
22.7%
15
77.3%
Q1 - 6:02HeatKendrick Nunn turnover (bad pass) (Drew Eubanks steals)8
21.8%
15
78.2%
Q1 - 6:14HeatKendrick Nunn defensive rebound8
20.6%
15
79.4%
Q1 - 6:16SpursDejounte Murray misses two point driving floating jump shot8
21.0%
15
79.0%
Q1 - 6:30SpursKeldon Johnson defensive rebound8
21.8%
15
78.2%
Q1 - 6:30HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot8
21.4%
15
78.6%
Q1 - 6:43SpursDeMar DeRozan makes two point bank jump shot8
20.6%
15
79.4%
Q1 - 6:54HeatKendrick Nunn makes two point driving finger roll layup (Trevor Ariza assists)6
19.3%
15
80.7%
Q1 - 7:10SpursDrew Eubanks personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)6
20.6%
13
79.4%
Q1 - 7:26SpursJakob Poeltl turnover (offensive foul)6
20.6%
13
79.4%
Q1 - 7:26SpursJakob Poeltl offensive foul (Charge) (Trevor Ariza draws the foul)6
22.0%
13
78.0%
Q1 - 7:41HeatKendrick Nunn makes two point stepback jump shot6
22.0%
13
78.0%
Q1 - 7:50HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound6
23.2%
11
76.8%
Q1 - 7:54SpursDeMar DeRozan misses three point jump shot6
23.7%
11
76.3%
Q1 - 8:08HeatJimmy Butler turnover (out of bounds bad pass)6
24.8%
11
75.2%
Q1 - 8:14HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound6
23.2%
11
76.8%
Q1 - 8:18HeatKendrick Nunn misses two point driving floating jump shot6
24.3%
11
75.7%
Q1 - 8:27HeatKendrick Nunn defensive rebound6
23.2%
11
76.8%
Q1 - 8:30SpursDejounte Murray misses two point pullup jump shot6
23.6%
11
76.4%
Q1 - 8:43SpursJakob Poeltl defensive rebound6
24.8%
11
75.2%
Q1 - 8:45HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving layup6
24.3%
11
75.7%
Q1 - 8:54HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound6
23.2%
11
76.8%
Q1 - 8:57SpursDevin Vassell misses three point jump shot6
23.6%
11
76.4%
Q1 - 9:01SpursDeMar DeRozan defensive rebound6
24.8%
11
75.2%
Q1 - 9:03HeatTrevor Ariza misses two point driving layup6
24.3%
11
75.7%
Q1 - 9:18SpursJakob Poeltl makes two point driving layup (Dejounte Murray assists)6
23.1%
11
76.9%
Q1 - 9:34HeatKendrick Nunn makes two point driving reverse layup4
22.1%
11
77.9%
Q1 - 9:41SpursDejounte Murray turnover (bad pass) (Bam Adebayo steals)4
23.1%
9
76.9%
Q1 - 9:56HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)4
24.8%
9
75.2%
Q1 - 10:04SpursDeMar DeRozan makes two point driving bank hook shot4
27.2%
6
72.8%
Q1 - 10:17SpursDejounte Murray defensive rebound2
25.9%
6
74.1%
Q1 - 10:20HeatTrevor Ariza misses three point jump shot2
25.4%
6
74.6%
Q1 - 10:30SpursDeMar DeRozan turnover (out of bounds bad pass)2
24.4%
6
75.6%
Q1 - 10:44HeatDuncan Robinson makes two point cutting layup (Jimmy Butler assists)2
25.9%
6
74.1%
Q1 - 10:52HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound2
27.2%
4
72.8%
Q1 - 10:54SpursDevin Vassell misses three point jump shot2
27.8%
4
72.2%
Q1 - 11:14HeatKendrick Nunn makes two point pullup jump shot2
28.7%
4
71.3%
Q1 - 11:25HeatTrevor Ariza defensive rebound2
30.1%
2
69.9%
Q1 - 11:28SpursKeldon Johnson misses regular free throw 1 of 12
30.4%
2
69.6%
Q1 - 11:28HeatDuncan Robinson shooting foul (Keldon Johnson draws the foul)2
31.4%
2
68.6%
Q1 - 11:35HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 20
28.7%
2
71.3%
Q1 - 11:35HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 20
29.0%
1
71.0%
Q1 - 11:35SpursJakob Poeltl shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)0
29.4%
0
70.6%
Q1 - 12:00Jakob Poeltl vs. Bam Adebayo (Jimmy Butler gains possession)0
30.2%
0
69.8%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.11 55.5%
MIA
1.21 60.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
SAS
17
25
68%
MIA
24
36
67%
Midrange
SAS
14
31
45%
MIA
10
24
42%
3PT | Effective 3PT
SAS
10
15.0
32
31%
47%
MIA
9
13.5
25
36%
54%
Free Throws
SAS
19
24
79%
MIA
21
24
88%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Murray2258%11.0 / 19
D. DeRozan2063%10.0 / 16
L. Walker IV1860%9.0 / 15
K. Johnson1470%7.0 / 10
R. Gay1359%6.5 / 11
D. Vassell1150%5.5 / 11
J. Poeltl660%3.0 / 5
P. Mills321%1.5 / 7
D. Eubanks250%1.0 / 2
G. Dieng2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Butler2958%14.5 / 25
B. Adebayo2175%10.5 / 14
K. Nunn1864%9.0 / 14
G. Dragic1869%9.0 / 13
D. Dedmon1890%9.0 / 10
D. Robinson850%4.0 / 8
T. Ariza425%2.0 / 8
A. Iguodala0-0.0 / 1
G. Vincent0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

SAS
90
+10
-9
100
MIA
86
+10
-12
96
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.11 55.5%
MIA
1.21 60.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
111.1
111.1
SAS 112.1
MIA 118.4 +6.2
Pace
98.9
96.7
SAS 100.1 +3.2
MIA 96.9
Avg. Poss. Time
14.7
14.7
SAS 14.4 +0.5
MIA 14.9
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.7%
54.6%
SAS 52.3%
MIA 55.9% +3.6%
TO %
11.0%
13.7%
SAS 8.4% +3.6%
MIA 12.0%
ORB %
20.1%
19.4%
SAS 15.6%
MIA 23.3% +7.7%
FTrt
24.3
25.2
SAS 27.3
MIA 28.2 +0.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.4%
67.1%
SAS 63.4% +2.9%
MIA 60.5%
STL %
7.0%
8.2%
SAS 6.1% +2.0%
MIA 4.1%
BLK %
8.9%
8.5%
SAS 5.0% +3.2%
MIA 1.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.13 and 2.13.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.4%
56.5%
SAS 55.5%
MIA 60.4% +4.9%
Rim FG%
60.1%
64.8%
SAS 68.0% +1.3%
MIA 66.7%
Mid FG%
43.2%
41.8%
SAS 45.2% +3.5%
MIA 41.7%
3P %
35.0%
35.8%
SAS 31.3%
MIA 36.0% +4.7%
FT %
79.2%
79.0%
SAS 79.2%
MIA 87.5% +8.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
33.1%
33.3%
SAS 28.4%
MIA 42.4% +13.9%
Mid Att. %
35.5%
23.5%
SAS 35.2%
MIA 28.2% +7.0%
3P Att. %
31.4%
43.2%
SAS 36.4% +7.0%
MIA 29.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsSASMIA
Possessions9998
Possession Minutes23.724.3
Points111116
Rebounds4048
Assists2626
Steals64
Blocks31
Turnovers (Team)9 (0)12 (1)
Fouls2023
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (3)10 (0)
Def. Rebounds (Team)33 (1)38 (2)
Field Goals41-8843-85
At-the-Rim FG17-2524-36
Midrange FG14-3110-24
2-Point FG31-5634-60
3-Point FG10-329-25
Free Throws19-2421-24
Fast Break Pts610
2nd Chance Pts812
Points in Paint4460
Pts off Turnovers2010
Bench Points3836
Biggest Lead714

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#5 · PG · 6'4" 180 · 25
36.4
22
58%
10
11
1
0
3
3
3
7
5-5
100%
7-13
54%
1-4
25%
#10 · PF · 6'6" 220 · 32
35.5
20
63%
4
8
1
0
2
3
0
4
6-7
86%
7-12
58%
0-1
0%
#25 · C · 7'0" 260 · 26
28.7
6
60%
7
2
2
2
1
4
2
5
0-0
-
3-5
60%
0-0
-
#3 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 22
27.5
14
70%
6
0
0
0
0
1
0
6
4-5
80%
5-6
83%
0-2
0%
#24 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 21
25.1
11
50%
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
1-3
33%
2-4
50%
2-6
33%
#1 · SG · 6'5" 196 · 22
29.4
18
60%
3
1
0
0
0
3
0
3
1-1
100%
4-9
44%
3-6
50%
#22 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 35
22.4
13
59%
2
1
0
0
1
0
1
1
0-1
0%
2-4
50%
3-7
43%
#8 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 33
15.8
3
21%
1
2
0
0
1
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
1-6
17%
#14 · C · 6'10" 245 · 24
13.1
2
50%
3
0
2
0
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
#7 · C · 6'11" 251 · 31
6.2
2
100%
2
0
0
0
1
2
1
1
2-2
100%
0-0
-
0-0
-
#19 · PF · 6'11" 227 · 21
DNP - Coach's Decision
#33 · PG · 6'1" 185 · 21
DNP - Coach's Decision
#31 · SF · 6'9" 223 · 25
DNP - Coach's Decision
#15 · SG · 6'3" 205 · 25
INACTIVE
#4 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 27
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Ankle; Sprain
#41 · PF · 6'10" 234 · 25
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
111
56%
40
26
6
3
9
20
7
33
19-24
79%
31-56
55%
10-32
31%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.