FinalWin Prob.pScore
2237%104
101
1263%109
106
ORTG#PossPace
CHI logo CHI
105.296100.5
MIA logo MIA
110.49692.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatBullsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatBullsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventCHIMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.101
0%
106
100%
Q4 - 0:01.2BullsNikola Vucevic defensive rebound101
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 0:01.2HeatBam Adebayo misses regular free throw 2 of 2101
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 0:01.2HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 2101
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 0:01.2BullsLauri Markkanen personal foul (Take) (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)101
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 0:01.2HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound101
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 0:03.9BullsGarrett Temple misses three point pullup jump shot101
0.2%
105
99.8%
Q4 - 0:12.7HeatKendrick Nunn makes regular free throw 2 of 2101
2.6%
105
97.4%
Q4 - 0:12.7HeatKendrick Nunn makes regular free throw 1 of 2101
2.8%
104
97.2%
Q4 - 0:12.7BullsLauri Markkanen personal foul (Kendrick Nunn draws the foul)101
3.1%
103
96.9%
Q4 - 0:15.8BullsCoby White makes two point driving dunk101
6.0%
103
94.0%
Q4 - 0:22.3HeatHeat turnover (8-second violation)99
3.6%
103
96.4%
Q4 - 0:30.3BullsCoby White makes regular free throw 3 of 399
1.7%
103
98.3%
Q4 - 0:30.3BullsCoby White makes regular free throw 2 of 398
1.6%
103
98.4%
Q4 - 0:30.3BullsCoby White makes regular free throw 1 of 397
1.5%
103
98.5%
Q4 - 0:30.3HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (Coby White draws the foul)96
1.3%
103
98.7%
Q4 - 0:34.1BullsNikola Vucevic defensive rebound96
0.4%
103
99.6%
Q4 - 0:34.4HeatDuncan Robinson misses regular free throw 1 of 196
0.3%
103
99.7%
Q4 - 0:34.4BullsDenzel Valentine shooting foul (Duncan Robinson draws the foul)96
0.2%
103
99.8%
Q4 - 0:51.0HeatHeat defensive rebound96
2.3%
101
97.7%
Q4 - 0:52.4BullsDenzel Valentine misses three point pullup jump shot96
2.9%
101
97.1%
Q4 - 0:56.4BullsDenzel Valentine defensive rebound96
4.9%
101
95.1%
Q4 - 0:58.7HeatJimmy Butler misses two point pullup jump shot96
4.1%
101
95.9%
Q4 - 1:15HeatKendrick Nunn defensive rebound96
3.3%
101
96.7%
Q4 - 1:17BullsLauri Markkanen misses three point jump shot96
4.1%
101
95.9%
Q4 - 1:31BullsLauri Markkanen defensive rebound96
7.4%
101
92.6%
Q4 - 1:37HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot96
6.7%
101
93.3%
Q4 - 2:03BullsCoby White makes two point driving bank jump shot96
4.9%
101
95.1%
Q4 - 2:09BullsCoby White defensive rebound94
3.7%
101
96.3%
Q4 - 2:14HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot94
3.0%
101
97.0%
Q4 - 2:20HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound94
1.9%
101
98.1%
Q4 - 2:26BullsKendrick Nunn blocks Garrett Temple's three point running jump shot94
2.3%
101
97.7%
Q4 - 2:30HeatJimmy Butler turnover (lost ball) (Denzel Valentine steals)94
3.7%
101
96.3%
Q4 - 2:38BullsCoby White turnover (bad pass) (Bam Adebayo steals)94
1.9%
101
98.1%
Q4 - 2:45BullsLauri Markkanen defensive rebound94
3.7%
101
96.3%
Q4 - 2:47HeatBam Adebayo misses two point stepback jump shot94
3.0%
101
97.0%
Q4 - 2:59BullsDenzel Valentine turnover (out of bounds step)94
2.7%
101
97.3%
Q4 - 3:02HeatJimmy Butler turnover (bad pass) (Coby White steals)94
4.6%
101
95.4%
Q4 - 3:18BullsNikola Vucevic makes two point jump shot (Denzel Valentine assists)94
2.6%
101
97.4%
Q4 - 3:33HeatJimmy Butler makes two point pullup jump shot92
3.4%
101
96.6%
Q4 - 3:47BullsNikola Vucevic turnover (bad pass) (Jimmy Butler steals)92
4.5%
99
95.5%
Q4 - 4:04HeatJimmy Butler makes two point turnaround bank hook shot (Bam Adebayo assists)92
6.2%
99
93.8%
Q4 - 4:24BullsDenzel Valentine makes three point running pullup jump shot (Thaddeus Young assists)92
8.4%
97
91.6%
Q4 - 4:25BullsThaddeus Young defensive rebound89
4.3%
97
95.7%
Q4 - 4:27HeatDenzel Valentine blocks Jimmy Butler's two point driving layup89
3.9%
97
96.1%
Q4 - 4:34HeatTrevor Ariza defensive rebound89
3.0%
97
97.0%
Q4 - 4:38BullsCoby White misses three point jump shot89
3.3%
97
96.7%
Q4 - 4:54BullsNikola Vucevic defensive rebound89
4.3%
97
95.7%
Q4 - 4:56HeatJimmy Butler misses regular free throw 2 of 289
4.1%
97
95.9%
Q4 - 4:56HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 289
3.1%
97
96.9%
Q4 - 4:56BullsCoby White shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)89
3.3%
96
96.7%
Q4 - 4:58BullsNikola Vucevic turnover (lost ball) (Jimmy Butler steals)89
4.2%
96
95.8%
Q4 - 5:16HeatBam Adebayo makes two point jump shot89
7.7%
96
92.3%
Q4 - 5:35BullsNikola Vucevic makes two point turnaround hook shot89
10.1%
94
89.9%
Q4 - 5:57HeatKendrick Nunn makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)87
7.6%
94
92.4%
Q4 - 6:14BullsNikola Vucevic makes three point jump shot (Thaddeus Young assists)87
14.8%
91
85.2%
Q4 - 6:23HeatBam Adebayo makes two point running layup84
9.2%
91
90.8%
Q4 - 6:29BullsThaddeus Young turnover (bad pass) (Bam Adebayo steals)84
11.4%
89
88.6%
Q4 - 6:52HeatJimmy Butler makes two point pullup jump shot84
15.3%
89
84.7%
Q4 - 7:09BullsDenzel Valentine makes three point jump shot (Coby White assists)84
20.1%
87
79.9%
Q4 - 7:28HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 281
13.2%
87
86.8%
Q4 - 7:28HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 281
13.6%
86
86.4%
Q4 - 7:28BullsGarrett Temple shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)81
14.1%
85
85.9%
Q4 - 7:50BullsCoby White makes three point jump shot (Nikola Vucevic assists)81
16.1%
85
83.9%
Q4 - 8:06BullsDenzel Valentine defensive rebound78
11.3%
85
88.7%
Q4 - 8:10HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point pullup jump shot78
10.6%
85
89.4%
Q4 - 8:15BullsGarrett Temple personal foul (Duncan Robinson draws the foul)78
9.0%
85
91.0%
Q4 - 8:27BullsCoby White makes two point running finger roll layup (Denzel Valentine assists)78
9.0%
85
91.0%
Q4 - 8:31HeatDuncan Robinson turnover (bad pass) (Denzel Valentine steals)76
7.2%
85
92.8%
Q4 - 8:57BullsNikola Vucevic makes two point hook shot (Daniel Theis assists)76
5.6%
85
94.4%
Q4 - 9:12HeatKendrick Nunn makes two point cutting layup (Bam Adebayo assists)74
5.1%
85
94.9%
Q4 - 9:28BullsDaniel Theis makes two point putback dunk74
6.2%
83
93.8%
Q4 - 9:28BullsDaniel Theis offensive rebound72
5.1%
83
94.9%
Q4 - 9:32BullsLauri Markkanen misses two point fadeaway jump shot72
4.3%
83
95.7%
Q4 - 9:47BullsBulls defensive rebound72
5.1%
83
94.9%
Q4 - 9:49HeatDenzel Valentine blocks Gabe Vincent's two point driving layup72
4.7%
83
95.3%
Q4 - 10:07BullsLauri Markkanen makes three point jump shot (Coby White assists)72
4.7%
83
95.3%
Q4 - 10:20HeatAndre Iguodala makes three point jump shot (Kendrick Nunn assists)69
3.1%
83
96.9%
Q4 - 10:40BullsCoby White makes regular free throw 1 of 169
4.6%
80
95.4%
Q4 - 10:40HeatKendrick Nunn shooting foul (Coby White draws the foul)68
4.5%
80
95.5%
Q4 - 10:57BullsCoby White defensive rebound66
3.0%
80
97.0%
Q4 - 11:00HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot66
2.8%
80
97.2%
Q4 - 11:06HeatMax Strus defensive rebound66
2.8%
80
97.2%
Q4 - 11:09BullsNikola Vucevic misses three point jump shot66
3.0%
80
97.0%
Q4 - 11:14BullsDenzel Valentine defensive rebound66
3.5%
80
96.5%
Q4 - 11:17HeatKendrick Nunn misses three point pullup jump shot66
3.2%
80
96.8%
Q4 - 11:33BullsDenzel Valentine makes three point running jump shot (Coby White assists)66
2.8%
80
97.2%
Q4 - 11:38BullsCoby White defensive rebound63
1.8%
80
98.2%
Q4 - 11:42HeatKendrick Nunn misses three point jump shot63
1.7%
80
98.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.63
1.5%
80
98.5%
Q3 - 0:00.7BullsBulls offensive rebound63
2.2%
80
97.8%
Q3 - 0:00.7BullsDaniel Theis misses three point pullup bank jump shot63
2.0%
80
98.0%
Q3 - 0:03.4HeatBam Adebayo turnover (bad pass) (Daniel Theis steals)63
2.2%
80
97.8%
Q3 - 0:24.3BullsThaddeus Young makes two point turnaround hook shot (Ryan Arcidiacono assists)63
1.8%
80
98.2%
Q3 - 0:32.2HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 261
1.5%
80
98.5%
Q3 - 0:32.2HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 261
1.5%
79
98.5%
Q3 - 0:32.2BullsDaniel Theis shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)61
1.6%
78
98.4%
Q3 - 0:44.3BullsTomas Satoransky makes regular free throw 2 of 261
1.8%
78
98.2%
Q3 - 0:44.3BullsTomas Satoransky makes regular free throw 1 of 260
1.8%
78
98.2%
Q3 - 0:44.3HeatGabe Vincent personal foul (Tomas Satoransky draws the foul)59
1.7%
78
98.3%
Q3 - 0:51.0BullsBulls defensive rebound59
1.5%
78
98.5%
Q3 - 0:52.7HeatJimmy Butler misses two point pullup jump shot59
1.4%
78
98.6%
Q3 - 0:57.6HeatDewayne Dedmon defensive rebound59
1.2%
78
98.8%
Q3 - 1:00BullsThaddeus Young misses two point jump shot59
1.3%
78
98.7%
Q3 - 1:20BullsLauri Markkanen defensive rebound59
1.8%
78
98.2%
Q3 - 1:26HeatGabe Vincent misses two point fadeaway jump shot59
1.7%
78
98.3%
Q3 - 1:27HeatGabe Vincent offensive rebound59
1.5%
78
98.5%
Q3 - 1:30HeatAndre Iguodala misses two point jump shot59
1.7%
78
98.3%
Q3 - 1:59BullsLauri Markkanen makes three point jump shot (Thaddeus Young assists)59
1.4%
78
98.6%
Q3 - 2:13HeatAndre Iguodala makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)56
1.3%
78
98.7%
Q3 - 2:29HeatGabe Vincent defensive rebound56
1.8%
75
98.2%
Q3 - 2:32BullsThaddeus Young misses three point jump shot56
1.9%
75
98.1%
Q3 - 2:50HeatGabe Vincent makes two point driving reverse layup56
2.1%
75
97.9%
Q3 - 2:56BullsTomas Satoransky turnover (lost ball) (Dewayne Dedmon steals)56
2.5%
73
97.5%
Q3 - 3:11HeatTrevor Ariza makes two point driving layup (Jimmy Butler assists)56
3.4%
73
96.6%
Q3 - 3:33BullsCoby White makes two point running finger roll layup (Garrett Temple assists)56
3.9%
71
96.1%
Q3 - 3:37HeatJimmy Butler turnover (bad pass) (Coby White steals)54
3.4%
71
96.6%
Q3 - 3:50BullsBulls turnover (shot clock violation)54
2.8%
71
97.2%
Q3 - 3:50BullsBulls offensive rebound54
3.4%
71
96.6%
Q3 - 3:54BullsCoby White misses three point jump shot54
3.0%
71
97.0%
Q3 - 4:11BullsNikola Vucevic defensive rebound54
3.8%
71
96.2%
Q3 - 4:14HeatJimmy Butler misses regular free throw 2 of 254
3.7%
71
96.3%
Q3 - 4:14HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 254
3.3%
71
96.7%
Q3 - 4:14BullsTomas Satoransky shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)54
3.4%
70
96.6%
Q3 - 4:16BullsCoby White personal foul (Gabe Vincent draws the foul)54
3.7%
70
96.3%
Q3 - 4:24BullsThaddeus Young turnover (lost ball) (Trevor Ariza steals)54
3.7%
70
96.3%
Q3 - 4:48HeatJimmy Butler makes two point pullup jump shot54
4.4%
70
95.6%
Q3 - 5:09BullsCoby White makes two point driving layup54
5.6%
68
94.4%
Q3 - 5:26BullsTomas Satoransky defensive rebound52
4.9%
68
95.1%
Q3 - 5:30HeatTrevor Ariza misses two point driving floating jump shot52
4.6%
68
95.4%
Q3 - 5:44BullsGarrett Temple personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)52
4.1%
68
95.9%
Q3 - 5:48HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound52
4.1%
68
95.9%
Q3 - 5:51BullsCoby White misses three point jump shot52
4.3%
68
95.7%
Q3 - 5:59BullsNikola Vucevic defensive rebound52
4.9%
68
95.1%
Q3 - 6:01HeatKendrick Nunn misses two point finger roll layup52
5.0%
68
95.0%
Q3 - 6:18BullsPatrick Williams turnover (bad pass) (Duncan Robinson steals)52
4.5%
68
95.5%
Q3 - 6:26BullsPatrick Williams defensive rebound52
5.2%
68
94.8%
Q3 - 6:28HeatBam Adebayo misses two point hook shot52
5.0%
68
95.0%
Q3 - 6:44BullsCoby White makes regular free throw 2 of 252
4.5%
68
95.5%
Q3 - 6:44BullsCoby White makes regular free throw 1 of 251
4.4%
68
95.6%
Q3 - 6:44HeatTrevor Ariza personal foul (Take) (Coby White draws the foul)50
4.3%
68
95.7%
Q3 - 6:46HeatJimmy Butler turnover (bad pass) (Thaddeus Young steals)50
3.9%
68
96.1%
Q3 - 6:59BullsNikola Vucevic makes two point tip layup50
3.3%
68
96.7%
Q3 - 6:59BullsNikola Vucevic offensive rebound48
2.9%
68
97.1%
Q3 - 7:02BullsGarrett Temple misses two point cutting layup48
2.8%
68
97.2%
Q3 - 7:11HeatJimmy Butler personal foul (Patrick Williams draws the foul)48
3.1%
68
96.9%
Q3 - 7:11BullsPatrick Williams offensive rebound48
3.1%
68
96.9%
Q3 - 7:11BullsThaddeus Young misses two point driving hook shot48
2.8%
68
97.2%
Q3 - 7:25HeatBam Adebayo personal foul (Coby White draws the foul)48
3.1%
68
96.9%
Q3 - 7:26BullsDaniel Theis offensive rebound48
3.1%
68
96.9%
Q3 - 7:29BullsGarrett Temple misses three point jump shot48
2.8%
68
97.2%
Q3 - 7:36BullsCoby White defensive rebound48
3.1%
68
96.9%
Q3 - 7:38HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot48
3.0%
68
97.0%
Q3 - 7:55BullsDaniel Theis makes regular free throw 2 of 248
2.6%
68
97.4%
Q3 - 7:55BullsDaniel Theis makes regular free throw 1 of 247
2.5%
68
97.5%
Q3 - 7:55HeatKendrick Nunn shooting foul (Daniel Theis draws the foul)46
2.4%
68
97.6%
Q3 - 8:13HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)46
2.5%
68
97.5%
Q3 - 8:29HeatHeat defensive rebound46
3.2%
65
96.8%
Q3 - 8:30BullsNikola Vucevic misses three point jump shot46
3.4%
65
96.6%
Q3 - 8:36BullsPatrick Williams defensive rebound46
3.8%
65
96.2%
Q3 - 8:38HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot46
3.6%
65
96.4%
Q3 - 8:52HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound46
3.2%
65
96.8%
Q3 - 8:53BullsPatrick Williams misses two point driving layup46
3.4%
65
96.6%
Q3 - 8:59BullsNikola Vucevic defensive rebound46
3.8%
65
96.2%
Q3 - 9:02HeatBam Adebayo misses two point running alley-oop dunk46
3.8%
65
96.2%
Q3 - 9:05BullsCoby White turnover (lost ball) (Jimmy Butler steals)46
3.5%
65
96.5%
Q3 - 9:17HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving layup46
4.0%
65
96.0%
Q3 - 9:32BullsNikola Vucevic makes two point cutting layup (Daniel Theis assists)46
4.5%
63
95.5%
Q3 - 9:42BullsDaniel Theis defensive rebound44
4.0%
63
96.0%
Q3 - 9:45HeatKendrick Nunn misses two point pullup jump shot44
3.8%
63
96.2%
Q3 - 9:57BullsNikola Vucevic makes regular free throw 2 of 244
3.4%
63
96.6%
Q3 - 9:57BullsNikola Vucevic misses regular free throw 1 of 243
3.4%
63
96.6%
Q3 - 9:57HeatKendrick Nunn shooting foul (Nikola Vucevic draws the foul)43
3.8%
63
96.2%
Q3 - 10:07BullsPatrick Williams defensive rebound43
3.8%
63
96.2%
Q3 - 10:10HeatTrevor Ariza misses three point running pullup jump shot43
3.6%
63
96.4%
Q3 - 10:12HeatTrevor Ariza defensive rebound43
3.2%
63
96.8%
Q3 - 10:16BullsTrevor Ariza blocks Patrick Williams's two point jump shot43
3.4%
63
96.6%
Q3 - 10:32HeatKendrick Nunn makes two point pullup jump shot43
3.8%
63
96.2%
Q3 - 10:42HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound43
4.2%
61
95.8%
Q3 - 10:45BullsNikola Vucevic misses two point turnaround jump shot43
4.4%
61
95.6%
Q3 - 10:56HeatHeat turnover (shot clock violation)43
4.9%
61
95.1%
Q3 - 11:23BullsNikola Vucevic makes two point hook shot (Garrett Temple assists)43
4.4%
61
95.6%
Q3 - 11:31BullsDaniel Theis defensive rebound41
3.9%
61
96.1%
Q3 - 11:35HeatKendrick Nunn misses three point jump shot41
3.8%
61
96.2%
Q3 - 11:43HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound41
3.4%
61
96.6%
Q3 - 11:47BullsCoby White misses three point jump shot41
3.6%
61
96.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.41
3.9%
61
96.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0HeatHeat offensive rebound41
3.4%
61
96.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0HeatBam Adebayo misses two point fadeaway jump shot41
3.8%
61
96.2%
Q2 - 0:11.0BullsCoby White makes two point driving bank jump shot (Garrett Temple assists)41
3.8%
61
96.2%
Q2 - 0:30.9HeatMax Strus makes two point cutting layup (Jimmy Butler assists)39
3.2%
61
96.8%
Q2 - 0:51.6BullsThaddeus Young makes two point driving finger roll layup39
3.8%
59
96.2%
Q2 - 1:07BullsNikola Vucevic defensive rebound37
3.5%
59
96.5%
Q2 - 1:09HeatTrevor Ariza misses three point jump shot37
3.4%
59
96.6%
Q2 - 1:19BullsPatrick Williams turnover (out of bounds step)37
3.3%
59
96.7%
Q2 - 1:32BullsDaniel Theis defensive rebound37
3.5%
59
96.5%
Q2 - 1:34HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point pullup jump shot37
3.4%
59
96.6%
Q2 - 1:44BullsPatrick Williams makes two point pullup jump shot (Garrett Temple assists)37
3.3%
59
96.7%
Q2 - 2:07HeatKendrick Nunn makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)35
3.2%
59
96.8%
Q2 - 2:19HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound35
4.0%
56
96.0%
Q2 - 2:23BullsCoby White misses two point pullup jump shot35
4.1%
56
95.9%
Q2 - 2:43HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 235
4.4%
56
95.6%
Q2 - 2:43HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 235
4.5%
55
95.5%
Q2 - 2:43BullsNikola Vucevic shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)35
4.6%
54
95.4%
Q2 - 2:51HeatTrevor Ariza defensive rebound35
5.0%
54
95.0%
Q2 - 2:55BullsPatrick Williams misses three point jump shot35
5.2%
54
94.8%
Q2 - 3:12BullsNikola Vucevic defensive rebound35
6.1%
54
93.9%
Q2 - 3:14HeatTrevor Ariza misses three point jump shot35
5.9%
54
94.1%
Q2 - 3:33BullsNikola Vucevic makes three point jump shot (Coby White assists)35
5.4%
54
94.6%
Q2 - 3:43HeatJimmy Butler turnover (out of bounds bad pass)32
4.4%
54
95.6%
Q2 - 3:52HeatDewayne Dedmon defensive rebound32
3.9%
54
96.1%
Q2 - 3:54BullsGarrett Temple misses three point jump shot32
4.0%
54
96.0%
Q2 - 4:10HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Trevor Ariza assists)32
4.7%
54
95.3%
Q2 - 4:32HeatDewayne Dedmon defensive rebound32
5.8%
51
94.2%
Q2 - 4:34BullsCoby White misses three point jump shot32
6.0%
51
94.0%
Q2 - 4:54HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)32
6.5%
51
93.5%
Q2 - 5:08BullsCoby White makes three point jump shot (Nikola Vucevic assists)32
8.1%
48
91.9%
Q2 - 5:21BullsNikola Vucevic defensive rebound29
6.7%
48
93.3%
Q2 - 5:23HeatGabe Vincent misses two point driving floating jump shot29
6.5%
48
93.5%
Q2 - 5:43BullsNikola Vucevic makes two point putback layup29
6.0%
48
94.0%
Q2 - 5:44BullsNikola Vucevic offensive rebound27
5.5%
48
94.5%
Q2 - 5:48BullsDaniel Theis misses two point jump shot27
5.0%
48
95.0%
Q2 - 5:56BullsNikola Vucevic defensive rebound27
5.5%
48
94.5%
Q2 - 5:58HeatDewayne Dedmon misses two point fadeaway jump shot27
5.3%
48
94.7%
Q2 - 6:02HeatDewayne Dedmon offensive rebound27
5.0%
48
95.0%
Q2 - 6:04HeatJimmy Butler misses two point fadeaway jump shot27
5.4%
48
94.6%
Q2 - 6:20BullsLauri Markkanen turnover (out of bounds bad pass)27
5.0%
48
95.0%
Q2 - 6:29HeatDuncan Robinson turnover (offensive foul)27
5.6%
48
94.4%
Q2 - 6:29HeatDuncan Robinson offensive foul (Daniel Theis draws the foul)27
5.0%
48
95.0%
Q2 - 6:44HeatAndre Iguodala defensive rebound27
5.0%
48
95.0%
Q2 - 6:48BullsLauri Markkanen misses three point jump shot27
5.2%
48
94.8%
Q2 - 6:59HeatJimmy Butler turnover (out of bounds bad pass)27
5.6%
48
94.4%
Q2 - 7:09BullsCoby White makes two point stepback jump shot (Lauri Markkanen assists)27
5.4%
48
94.6%
Q2 - 7:26HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 125
4.9%
48
95.1%
Q2 - 7:26BullsDaniel Theis shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)25
5.0%
47
95.0%
Q2 - 7:39BullsNikola Vucevic makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot (Coby White assists)25
5.9%
45
94.1%
Q2 - 7:52HeatDuncan Robinson personal foul (Lauri Markkanen draws the foul)23
5.4%
45
94.6%
Q2 - 8:09HeatKendrick Nunn makes three point stepback jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)23
5.6%
45
94.4%
Q2 - 8:14BullsLauri Markkanen personal foul (Kendrick Nunn draws the foul)23
6.7%
42
93.3%
Q2 - 8:15HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound23
6.7%
42
93.3%
Q2 - 8:19BullsNikola Vucevic misses three point jump shot23
6.9%
42
93.1%
Q2 - 8:28HeatKendrick Nunn makes regular free throw 2 of 223
7.4%
42
92.6%
Q2 - 8:28HeatKendrick Nunn makes regular free throw 1 of 223
7.5%
41
92.5%
Q2 - 8:28BullsDaniel Theis shooting foul (Kendrick Nunn draws the foul)23
7.6%
40
92.4%
Q2 - 8:34BullsCoby White turnover (bad pass) (Andre Iguodala steals)23
8.1%
40
91.9%
Q2 - 8:40HeatMax Strus personal foul (Ryan Arcidiacono draws the foul)23
9.0%
40
91.0%
Q2 - 8:58HeatBam Adebayo makes two point tip layup23
9.0%
40
91.0%
Q2 - 8:58HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound23
9.8%
38
90.2%
Q2 - 9:02HeatGabe Vincent misses three point jump shot23
10.8%
38
89.2%
Q2 - 9:23HeatKendrick Nunn defensive rebound23
10.1%
38
89.9%
Q2 - 9:26BullsTomas Satoransky misses three point jump shot23
10.4%
38
89.6%
Q2 - 9:35HeatMax Strus makes three point jump shot (Gabe Vincent assists)23
11.1%
38
88.9%
Q2 - 9:53BullsRyan Arcidiacono makes three point jump shot (Denzel Valentine assists)23
13.1%
35
86.9%
Q2 - 10:18HeatBam Adebayo makes two point driving bank hook shot20
11.4%
35
88.6%
Q2 - 10:26HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound20
12.3%
33
87.7%
Q2 - 10:28BullsRyan Arcidiacono misses three point jump shot20
12.7%
33
87.3%
Q2 - 10:37HeatMax Strus turnover (lost ball) (Denzel Valentine steals)20
13.5%
33
86.5%
Q2 - 10:50HeatKendrick Nunn defensive rebound20
12.3%
33
87.7%
Q2 - 10:54BullsDenzel Valentine misses three point jump shot20
12.7%
33
87.3%
Q2 - 11:03BullsDenzel Valentine defensive rebound20
13.6%
33
86.4%
Q2 - 11:06HeatBam Adebayo misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot20
13.3%
33
86.7%
Q2 - 11:34BullsThaddeus Young makes two point tip layup20
12.6%
33
87.4%
Q2 - 11:35BullsThaddeus Young offensive rebound18
11.5%
33
88.5%
Q2 - 11:36BullsDenzel Valentine misses two point driving floating jump shot18
10.9%
33
89.1%
Q2 - 11:44HeatAndre Iguodala personal foul (Thaddeus Young draws the foul)18
11.5%
33
88.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.18
11.5%
33
88.5%
Q1 - 0:00.5HeatHeat offensive rebound18
11.0%
33
89.0%
Q1 - 0:00.5HeatMax Strus misses three point running jump shot18
11.5%
33
88.5%
Q1 - 0:03.3BullsTomas Satoransky turnover (lost ball) (Andre Iguodala steals)18
11.0%
33
89.0%
Q1 - 0:14.0HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 218
11.7%
33
88.3%
Q1 - 0:14.0HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 218
11.9%
32
88.1%
Q1 - 0:14.0BullsLauri Markkanen personal foul (Loose ball) (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)18
12.1%
31
87.9%
Q1 - 0:14.0HeatHeat offensive rebound18
12.9%
31
87.1%
Q1 - 0:16.4HeatAndre Iguodala misses three point jump shot18
13.5%
31
86.5%
Q1 - 0:33.3HeatGabe Vincent defensive rebound18
12.9%
31
87.1%
Q1 - 0:36.3BullsDenzel Valentine misses two point pullup jump shot18
13.2%
31
86.8%
Q1 - 0:55.0HeatBam Adebayo makes two point driving layup18
13.8%
31
86.2%
Q1 - 1:13BullsLauri Markkanen makes three point jump shot (Ryan Arcidiacono assists)18
15.3%
29
84.7%
Q1 - 1:19BullsRyan Arcidiacono defensive rebound15
12.9%
29
87.1%
Q1 - 1:23HeatGabe Vincent misses three point jump shot15
12.6%
29
87.4%
Q1 - 1:34HeatHeat offensive rebound15
12.1%
29
87.9%
Q1 - 1:36HeatGabe Vincent misses three point jump shot15
12.6%
29
87.4%
Q1 - 1:47BullsDenzel Valentine personal foul (Dewayne Dedmon draws the foul)15
12.1%
29
87.9%
Q1 - 2:00HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound15
12.1%
29
87.9%
Q1 - 2:03BullsTomas Satoransky misses three point jump shot15
12.6%
29
87.4%
Q1 - 2:21HeatDewayne Dedmon makes two point putback layup15
13.3%
29
86.7%
Q1 - 2:25HeatDewayne Dedmon offensive rebound15
14.4%
27
85.6%
Q1 - 2:25HeatKendrick Nunn misses two point driving floating jump shot15
15.1%
27
84.9%
Q1 - 2:29HeatDewayne Dedmon offensive rebound15
14.4%
27
85.6%
Q1 - 2:32HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot15
15.1%
27
84.9%
Q1 - 2:48BullsGarrett Temple makes two point running layup (Thaddeus Young assists)15
14.4%
27
85.6%
Q1 - 2:51BullsNikola Vucevic defensive rebound13
13.3%
27
86.7%
Q1 - 2:52HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving layup13
13.0%
27
87.0%
Q1 - 3:00HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound13
12.3%
27
87.7%
Q1 - 3:02BullsTomas Satoransky misses three point jump shot13
12.7%
27
87.3%
Q1 - 3:31HeatDewayne Dedmon makes two point cutting layup (Jimmy Butler assists)13
13.5%
27
86.5%
Q1 - 3:49BullsNikola Vucevic makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot13
14.4%
25
85.6%
Q1 - 4:12HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 211
14.0%
25
86.0%
Q1 - 4:12HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 211
14.1%
24
85.9%
Q1 - 4:12BullsCoby White shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)11
14.2%
23
85.8%
Q1 - 4:27BullsCoby White turnover (out of bounds bad pass)11
14.8%
23
85.2%
Q1 - 4:33BullsLauri Markkanen defensive rebound11
16.1%
23
83.9%
Q1 - 4:36HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot11
15.7%
23
84.3%
Q1 - 4:48BullsCoby White turnover (traveling)11
14.8%
23
85.2%
Q1 - 4:49BullsLauri Markkanen defensive rebound11
16.1%
23
83.9%
Q1 - 4:51HeatDuncan Robinson misses two point driving reverse layup11
15.7%
23
84.3%
Q1 - 4:58HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound11
14.8%
23
85.2%
Q1 - 5:02BullsNikola Vucevic misses three point jump shot11
15.8%
23
84.2%
Q1 - 5:13HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 211
16.6%
23
83.4%
Q1 - 5:13HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 211
16.7%
22
83.3%
Q1 - 5:13BullsGarrett Temple shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)11
16.9%
21
83.1%
Q1 - 5:33BullsPatrick Williams makes two point pullup jump shot (Nikola Vucevic assists)11
17.7%
21
82.3%
Q1 - 5:49HeatBam Adebayo makes two point tip layup9
16.6%
21
83.4%
Q1 - 5:49HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound9
17.6%
19
82.4%
Q1 - 5:54HeatKendrick Nunn misses three point jump shot9
18.5%
19
81.5%
Q1 - 6:02BullsCoby White turnover (bad pass) (Jimmy Butler steals)9
18.1%
19
81.9%
Q1 - 6:13HeatKendrick Nunn makes two point pullup jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)9
19.2%
19
80.8%
Q1 - 6:30BullsCoby White makes three point jump shot (Patrick Williams assists)9
20.5%
17
79.5%
Q1 - 6:46HeatHeat turnover (shot clock violation)6
18.0%
17
82.0%
Q1 - 7:10BullsPatrick Williams turnover (offensive foul)6
17.1%
17
82.9%
Q1 - 7:10BullsPatrick Williams offensive foul (Charge) (Duncan Robinson draws the foul)6
18.3%
17
81.7%
Q1 - 7:24HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)6
18.3%
17
81.7%
Q1 - 7:33HeatKendrick Nunn defensive rebound6
20.6%
14
79.4%
Q1 - 7:35BullsNikola Vucevic misses two point turnaround hook shot6
21.0%
14
79.0%
Q1 - 7:57HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Kendrick Nunn assists)6
21.9%
14
78.1%
Q1 - 8:02HeatKendrick Nunn defensive rebound6
24.6%
11
75.4%
Q1 - 8:04BullsPatrick Williams misses two point driving layup6
25.0%
11
75.0%
Q1 - 8:22HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)6
26.2%
11
73.8%
Q1 - 8:32BullsCoby White personal foul (Kendrick Nunn draws the foul)6
29.0%
8
71.0%
Q1 - 8:47BullsDaniel Theis makes three point jump shot (Nikola Vucevic assists)6
29.0%
8
71.0%
Q1 - 8:59BullsDaniel Theis defensive rebound3
26.2%
8
73.8%
Q1 - 9:01HeatBam Adebayo misses two point pullup jump shot3
25.7%
8
74.3%
Q1 - 9:11BullsDaniel Theis makes two point cutting layup (Nikola Vucevic assists)3
24.5%
8
75.5%
Q1 - 9:32HeatKendrick Nunn makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)1
23.4%
8
76.6%
Q1 - 9:41HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound1
25.9%
5
74.1%
Q1 - 9:43BullsDaniel Theis misses two point driving layup1
26.4%
5
73.6%
Q1 - 9:53BullsNikola Vucevic defensive rebound1
27.7%
5
72.3%
Q1 - 9:55HeatJimmy Butler misses three point jump shot1
27.1%
5
72.9%
Q1 - 10:12HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound1
25.8%
5
74.2%
Q1 - 10:18BullsNikola Vucevic misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot1
26.3%
5
73.7%
Q1 - 10:30BullsNikola Vucevic makes technical free throw 1 of 11
27.4%
5
72.6%
Q1 - 10:30Heat technical foul (Defensive three second)0
27.1%
5
72.9%
Q1 - 10:46HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)0
26.0%
5
74.0%
Q1 - 11:01HeatTrevor Ariza defensive rebound0
28.6%
2
71.4%
Q1 - 11:04BullsGarrett Temple misses two point pullup jump shot0
29.2%
2
70.8%
Q1 - 11:19HeatTrevor Ariza makes two point cutting layup (Bam Adebayo assists)0
30.4%
2
69.6%
Q1 - 11:28HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound0
31.8%
0
68.2%
Q1 - 11:31BullsCoby White misses three point jump shot0
32.3%
0
67.7%
Q1 - 11:43BullsCoby White defensive rebound0
33.6%
0
66.4%
Q1 - 11:46HeatTrevor Ariza misses three point jump shot0
33.0%
0
67.0%
Q1 - 12:00Nikola Vucevic vs. Bam Adebayo (Kendrick Nunn gains possession)0
31.8%
0
68.2%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

CHI
1.16 58.0%
MIA
1.10 55.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
CHI
16
19
84%
MIA
15
21
71%
Midrange
CHI
9
22
41%
MIA
7
22
32%
3PT | Effective 3PT
CHI
13
19.5
38
34%
51%
MIA
14
21.0
37
38%
57%
Free Throws
CHI
12
13
92%
MIA
20
24
83%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
CHI logo Bulls
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. White3178%15.5 / 20
N. Vučević2668%13.0 / 19
D. Theis964%4.5 / 7
L. Markkanen975%4.5 / 6
D. Valentine964%4.5 / 7
T. Young650%3.0 / 6
P. Williams433%2.0 / 6
R. Arcidiacono375%1.5 / 2
G. Temple214%1.0 / 7
T. Satoransky225%1.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Robinson2368%11.5 / 17
K. Nunn2269%11.0 / 16
J. Butler2063%10.0 / 16
B. Adebayo2063%10.0 / 16
A. Iguodala675%3.0 / 4
M. Strus563%2.5 / 4
T. Ariza429%2.0 / 7
D. Dedmon467%2.0 / 3
G. Vincent214%1.0 / 7
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

CHI
79
+8
-17
87
MIA
86
+10
-10
96
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

CHI
1.16 58.0%
MIA
1.10 55.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
110.9
111.1
CHI 105.2
MIA 110.4 +5.2
Pace
99.2
96.7
CHI 100.5 +7.7
MIA 92.8
Avg. Poss. Time
14.6
14.7
CHI 14.3 +1.2
MIA 15.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
54.7%
54.6%
CHI 56.3% +2.5%
MIA 53.8%
TO %
14.5%
13.7%
CHI 17.5%
MIA 12.6% +4.9%
ORB %
22.3%
19.4%
CHI 16.2% +1.9%
MIA 14.3%
FTrt
19.7
25.2
CHI 16.5
MIA 30.0 +13.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
63.5%
67.1%
CHI 73.7% +12.6%
MIA 61.1%
STL %
6.7%
8.2%
CHI 7.3%
MIA 11.5% +4.2%
BLK %
7.6%
8.5%
CHI 4.7%
MIA 4.9% +0.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.18 and 2.18.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
56.1%
56.5%
CHI 58.0% +2.8%
MIA 55.2%
Rim FG%
61.8%
64.8%
CHI 84.2% +12.8%
MIA 71.4%
Mid FG%
43.2%
41.8%
CHI 40.9% +9.1%
MIA 31.8%
3P %
37.0%
35.8%
CHI 34.2%
MIA 37.8% +3.6%
FT %
79.1%
79.0%
CHI 92.3% +9.0%
MIA 83.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
36.3%
33.3%
CHI 24.1%
MIA 26.3% +2.2%
Mid Att. %
25.3%
23.5%
CHI 27.8%
MIA 27.5% +0.3%
3P Att. %
38.4%
43.2%
CHI 48.1% +1.9%
MIA 46.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsCHIMIA
Possessions9696
Possession Minutes22.924.8
Points101106
Rebounds4237
Assists2822
Steals711
Blocks22
Turnovers (Team)17 (1)10 (3)
Fouls2012
Off. Rebounds (Team)6 (2)6 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)36 (2)31 (2)
Field Goals38-7936-80
At-the-Rim FG16-1915-21
Midrange FG9-227-22
2-Point FG25-4122-43
3-Point FG13-3814-37
Free Throws12-1320-24
Fast Break Pts123
2nd Chance Pts88
Points in Paint3432
Pts off Turnovers1414
Bench Points2917
Biggest Lead024

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#9 · C · 6'10" 260 · 30
38.9
26
68%
14
6
0
0
2
1
2
12
2-3
67%
9-12
75%
2-6
33%
#0 · PG · 6'5" 195 · 21
37.6
31
78%
5
5
2
0
6
4
0
5
6-6
100%
8-9
89%
3-9
33%
#17 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 35
33.0
2
14%
0
4
0
0
0
4
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-4
0%
#27 · PF · 6'9" 243 · 29
25.9
9
64%
6
2
1
0
0
3
2
4
2-2
100%
2-4
50%
1-2
50%
#44 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 20
21.5
4
33%
4
1
0
0
3
1
1
3
0-0
-
2-5
40%
0-1
0%
#21 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 33
21.8
6
50%
2
4
1
0
2
0
1
1
0-0
-
3-5
60%
0-1
0%
#24 · PF · 7'0" 240 · 24
20.9
9
75%
5
1
0
0
1
4
0
5
0-0
-
0-1
0%
3-5
60%
#45 · SG · 6'6" 214 · 27
18.1
9
64%
4
3
3
2
1
2
0
4
0-0
-
0-2
0%
3-5
60%
#31 · SG · 6'7" 210 · 29
13.3
2
25%
1
0
0
0
2
1
0
1
2-2
100%
0-0
-
0-3
0%
#51 · PG · 6'3" 195 · 27
9.1
3
75%
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-2
50%
#5 · SF · 6'9" 220 · 31
DNP - Coach's Decision
#6 · C · 6'9" 280 · 29
DNP - Coach's Decision
#11 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 28
DNP - Coach's Decision
#3 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 22
DNP - Coach's Decision
#20 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 23
DNP - Coach's Decision
#8 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 26
INACTIVE
#7 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 22
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
101
58%
42
28
7
2
17
20
6
36
12-13
92%
25-41
61%
13-38
34%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.