FinalWin Prob.pScore
1744%106
107
1556%109
87
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
118.99099.9
SAS logo SAS
97.88981.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

SpursHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

SpursHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIASAS
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.107
100%
87
0%
Q4 - 0:25.2SpursKeita Bates-Diop makes regular free throw 2 of 2107
99.9%
87
0.1%
Q4 - 0:25.2SpursKeita Bates-Diop makes regular free throw 1 of 2107
99.9%
86
0.1%
Q4 - 0:25.2HeatKZ Okpala shooting foul (Keita Bates-Diop draws the foul)107
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 0:36.1HeatPrecious Achiuwa makes regular free throw 2 of 2107
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 0:36.1HeatPrecious Achiuwa misses regular free throw 1 of 2106
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 0:36.1SpursGorgui Dieng shooting foul (Precious Achiuwa draws the foul)106
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 0:43.3HeatPrecious Achiuwa defensive rebound106
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 0:45.9SpursLuka Samanic misses regular free throw 2 of 2106
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 0:45.9SpursLuka Samanic misses regular free throw 1 of 2106
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 0:45.9HeatMax Strus shooting foul (Luka Samanic draws the foul)106
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 0:54.8SpursKeita Bates-Diop defensive rebound106
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 0:57.6HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot106
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 1:09HeatGabe Vincent defensive rebound106
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 1:11SpursDevin Vassell misses three point jump shot106
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 1:24HeatGabe Vincent makes three point jump shot (Kendrick Nunn assists)106
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 1:44HeatKZ Okpala defensive rebound103
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 1:46SpursTre Jones misses two point driving layup103
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 1:58HeatTrevor Ariza personal foul (Take) (Keita Bates-Diop draws the foul)103
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 2:04HeatTyler Herro makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)103
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 2:23SpursTre Jones makes regular free throw 2 of 2100
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 2:23SpursTre Jones makes regular free throw 1 of 2100
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 2:23HeatKendrick Nunn shooting foul (Tre Jones draws the foul)100
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 2:44SpursLuka Samanic defensive rebound100
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 2:47HeatJimmy Butler misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot100
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 3:02HeatKendrick Nunn defensive rebound100
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 3:05SpursDevin Vassell misses two point turnaround jump shot100
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 3:26HeatTyler Herro makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)100
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 3:49SpursKeita Bates-Diop makes two point layup (Devin Vassell assists)97
99.3%
83
0.7%
Q4 - 4:06SpursDejounte Murray defensive rebound97
99.5%
81
0.5%
Q4 - 4:09HeatKendrick Nunn misses three point pullup jump shot97
99.6%
81
0.4%
Q4 - 4:22HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound97
99.7%
81
0.3%
Q4 - 4:24SpursRudy Gay misses three point jump shot97
99.7%
81
0.3%
Q4 - 4:49HeatTyler Herro makes three point pullup jump shot97
99.6%
81
0.4%
Q4 - 4:51HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound94
99.1%
81
0.9%
Q4 - 4:54SpursKeldon Johnson misses two point driving layup94
99.0%
81
1.0%
Q4 - 4:59SpursDejounte Murray defensive rebound94
98.7%
81
1.3%
Q4 - 5:02HeatKendrick Nunn misses two point fadeaway jump shot94
98.0%
81
2.0%
Q4 - 5:23HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound94
98.4%
81
1.6%
Q4 - 5:25SpursDerrick White misses three point jump shot94
98.3%
81
1.7%
Q4 - 5:48HeatTyler Herro makes three point pullup jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)94
97.8%
81
2.2%
Q4 - 5:52HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound91
96.1%
81
3.9%
Q4 - 5:55SpursDejounte Murray misses three point jump shot91
95.7%
81
4.3%
Q4 - 6:15HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 291
92.5%
81
7.5%
Q4 - 6:15HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 290
92.3%
81
7.7%
Q4 - 6:15SpursKeldon Johnson shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)89
92.0%
81
8.0%
Q4 - 6:28SpursDejounte Murray turnover (bad pass) (Dewayne Dedmon steals)89
90.8%
81
9.2%
Q4 - 6:39HeatTyler Herro makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)89
87.5%
81
12.5%
Q4 - 6:56SpursJakob Poeltl makes regular free throw 2 of 287
84.7%
81
15.3%
Q4 - 6:56SpursJakob Poeltl makes regular free throw 1 of 287
86.3%
80
13.7%
Q4 - 6:56HeatTrevor Ariza shooting foul (Jakob Poeltl draws the foul)87
87.9%
79
12.1%
Q4 - 6:56SpursJakob Poeltl offensive rebound87
87.6%
79
12.4%
Q4 - 6:58SpursPatty Mills misses three point jump shot87
90.0%
79
10.0%
Q4 - 7:12HeatJimmy Butler makes two point pullup jump shot87
85.5%
79
14.5%
Q4 - 7:30HeatTrevor Ariza defensive rebound85
82.5%
79
17.5%
Q4 - 7:32SpursDejounte Murray misses two point pullup jump shot85
81.1%
79
18.9%
Q4 - 7:51HeatGoran Dragic personal foul (Take) (Derrick White draws the foul)85
77.6%
79
22.4%
Q4 - 7:51SpursDerrick White defensive rebound85
77.6%
79
22.4%
Q4 - 7:55HeatGoran Dragic misses two point pullup jump shot85
79.2%
79
20.8%
Q4 - 8:08HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound85
80.2%
79
19.8%
Q4 - 8:09SpursDejounte Murray misses three point jump shot85
78.9%
79
21.1%
Q4 - 8:24SpursDejounte Murray defensive rebound85
75.9%
79
24.1%
Q4 - 8:26HeatTyler Herro misses two point pullup jump shot85
77.3%
79
22.7%
Q4 - 8:37HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound85
80.3%
79
19.7%
Q4 - 8:40SpursDeMar DeRozan misses two point driving floating jump shot85
79.0%
79
21.0%
Q4 - 8:49SpursSpurs defensive rebound85
75.9%
79
24.1%
Q4 - 8:49HeatJakob Poeltl blocks Kendrick Nunn's two point driving finger roll layup85
77.3%
79
22.7%
Q4 - 8:59SpursRudy Gay turnover (bad pass) (Goran Dragic steals)85
80.4%
79
19.6%
Q4 - 9:14SpursJakob Poeltl offensive rebound85
74.2%
79
25.8%
Q4 - 9:14SpursRudy Gay misses two point stepback jump shot85
77.5%
79
22.5%
Q4 - 9:24HeatKZ Okpala makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)85
74.2%
79
25.8%
Q4 - 9:40HeatTyler Herro offensive rebound82
64.7%
79
35.3%
Q4 - 9:40HeatTyler Herro misses two point floating jump shot82
60.5%
79
39.5%
Q4 - 10:05SpursRudy Gay makes two point floating jump shot (Derrick White assists)82
63.4%
79
36.6%
Q4 - 10:14HeatKendrick Nunn makes two point running finger roll layup82
68.1%
77
31.9%
Q4 - 10:16HeatKendrick Nunn defensive rebound80
63.5%
77
36.5%
Q4 - 10:19SpursDerrick White misses two point driving floating jump shot80
61.8%
77
38.2%
Q4 - 10:33SpursDerrick White defensive rebound80
57.8%
77
42.2%
Q4 - 10:36HeatGoran Dragic misses three point pullup jump shot80
59.6%
77
40.4%
Q4 - 10:47SpursRudy Gay makes two point driving floating jump shot (Dejounte Murray assists)80
63.6%
77
36.4%
Q4 - 10:56SpursRudy Gay defensive rebound80
68.2%
75
31.8%
Q4 - 10:59HeatKZ Okpala misses three point jump shot80
69.8%
75
30.2%
Q4 - 11:19SpursDerrick White makes three point jump shot (Dejounte Murray assists)80
71.6%
75
28.4%
Q4 - 11:42HeatKendrick Nunn makes three point stepback jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)80
79.5%
72
20.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.77
71.7%
72
28.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0HeatKendrick Nunn defensive rebound77
71.7%
72
28.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0SpursRudy Gay misses two point floating jump shot77
70.3%
72
29.7%
Q3 - 0:18.8HeatTyler Herro makes two point pullup jump shot (Goran Dragic assists)77
66.1%
72
33.9%
Q3 - 0:23.3HeatHeat offensive rebound75
61.3%
72
38.7%
Q3 - 0:23.3HeatDrew Eubanks blocks Goran Dragic's two point driving finger roll layup75
58.0%
72
42.0%
Q3 - 0:34.3SpursDrew Eubanks makes two point tip dunk75
61.3%
72
38.7%
Q3 - 0:34.3SpursDrew Eubanks offensive rebound75
66.1%
70
33.9%
Q3 - 0:37.2SpursRudy Gay misses two point turnaround jump shot75
69.1%
70
30.9%
Q3 - 0:50.8HeatDewayne Dedmon turnover (offensive foul)75
66.1%
70
33.9%
Q3 - 0:50.8HeatDewayne Dedmon offensive foul (Patty Mills draws the foul)75
70.4%
70
29.6%
Q3 - 1:06SpursDerrick White makes two point driving floating jump shot (Lonnie Walker IV assists)75
69.2%
70
30.8%
Q3 - 1:26HeatGoran Dragic makes two point turnaround jump shot75
72.8%
68
27.2%
Q3 - 1:43SpursDrew Eubanks makes two point turnaround hook shot73
69.3%
68
30.7%
Q3 - 1:56HeatKZ Okpala personal foul (Patty Mills draws the foul)73
72.9%
66
27.1%
Q3 - 1:56SpursDrew Eubanks offensive rebound73
72.9%
66
27.1%
Q3 - 1:57SpursPatty Mills misses three point jump shot73
75.7%
66
24.3%
Q3 - 2:20HeatJimmy Butler makes two point jump shot73
71.1%
66
28.9%
Q3 - 2:38HeatGoran Dragic defensive rebound71
67.9%
66
32.1%
Q3 - 2:40SpursDerrick White misses three point jump shot71
66.5%
66
33.5%
Q3 - 2:58HeatJimmy Butler turnover (offensive foul)71
63.3%
66
36.7%
Q3 - 2:58HeatJimmy Butler offensive foul (DeMar DeRozan draws the foul)71
67.9%
66
32.1%
Q3 - 3:01HeatDewayne Dedmon defensive rebound71
67.0%
66
33.0%
Q3 - 3:05SpursRudy Gay misses three point jump shot71
65.7%
66
34.3%
Q3 - 3:17HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 3 of 371
62.5%
66
37.5%
Q3 - 3:17HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 370
62.0%
66
38.0%
Q3 - 3:17HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 369
61.4%
66
38.6%
Q3 - 3:17SpursRudy Gay shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)68
60.7%
66
39.3%
Q3 - 3:35HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound68
54.7%
66
45.3%
Q3 - 3:40SpursLonnie Walker IV misses two point pullup jump shot68
53.2%
66
46.8%
Q3 - 4:00HeatGoran Dragic makes three point pullup jump shot68
49.8%
66
50.2%
Q3 - 4:12SpursDeMar DeRozan makes regular free throw 2 of 265
41.9%
66
58.1%
Q3 - 4:12SpursDeMar DeRozan makes regular free throw 1 of 265
42.4%
65
57.6%
Q3 - 4:12HeatKZ Okpala shooting foul (DeMar DeRozan draws the foul)65
43.0%
64
57.0%
Q3 - 4:23HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 265
45.2%
64
54.8%
Q3 - 4:23HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 264
44.4%
64
55.6%
Q3 - 4:23SpursDrew Eubanks shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)63
43.5%
64
56.5%
Q3 - 4:29HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound63
41.9%
64
58.1%
Q3 - 4:32SpursDeMar DeRozan misses two point pullup jump shot63
40.4%
64
59.6%
Q3 - 4:48HeatBam Adebayo makes two point cutting dunk (Duncan Robinson assists)63
37.2%
64
62.8%
Q3 - 4:54SpursDeMar DeRozan personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)61
34.1%
64
65.9%
Q3 - 5:12HeatHeat defensive rebound61
34.4%
64
65.6%
Q3 - 5:12SpursKeldon Johnson misses three point pullup jump shot61
33.2%
64
66.8%
Q3 - 5:26SpursKeldon Johnson defensive rebound61
30.6%
64
69.4%
Q3 - 5:28HeatTrevor Ariza misses three point jump shot61
31.7%
64
68.3%
Q3 - 5:30HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound61
34.4%
64
65.6%
Q3 - 5:33HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot61
31.7%
64
68.3%
Q3 - 5:42SpursJakob Poeltl turnover (bad pass) (Kendrick Nunn steals)61
34.4%
64
65.6%
Q3 - 5:56HeatBam Adebayo makes two point dunk (Jimmy Butler assists)61
30.6%
64
69.4%
Q3 - 6:09HeatTrevor Ariza defensive rebound59
28.0%
64
72.0%
Q3 - 6:11SpursDejounte Murray misses two point driving finger roll layup59
27.0%
64
73.0%
Q3 - 6:21SpursJakob Poeltl defensive rebound59
24.7%
64
75.3%
Q3 - 6:23HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving floating bank jump shot59
25.7%
64
74.3%
Q3 - 6:28HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound59
28.0%
64
72.0%
Q3 - 6:31SpursDeMar DeRozan misses three point jump shot59
27.0%
64
73.0%
Q3 - 6:45SpursKeldon Johnson defensive rebound59
24.7%
64
75.3%
Q3 - 6:49HeatKendrick Nunn misses three point stepback jump shot59
25.7%
64
74.3%
Q3 - 7:05SpursDerrick White makes two point driving floating jump shot (Dejounte Murray assists)59
28.3%
64
71.7%
Q3 - 7:13SpursDejounte Murray defensive rebound59
30.9%
62
69.1%
Q3 - 7:16HeatTrevor Ariza misses three point jump shot59
32.0%
62
68.0%
Q3 - 7:25HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound59
34.7%
62
65.3%
Q3 - 7:28SpursDejounte Murray misses two point pullup jump shot59
33.5%
62
66.5%
Q3 - 7:56HeatBam Adebayo makes two point hook shot (Kendrick Nunn assists)59
30.9%
62
69.1%
Q3 - 8:06SpursDerrick White turnover (lost ball) (Bam Adebayo steals)57
28.6%
62
71.4%
Q3 - 8:11SpursSpurs offensive rebound57
25.1%
62
74.9%
Q3 - 8:11SpursDejounte Murray misses three point jump shot57
27.5%
62
72.5%
Q3 - 8:15SpursDeMar DeRozan offensive rebound57
25.1%
62
74.9%
Q3 - 8:17SpursDeMar DeRozan misses two point turnaround jump shot57
27.5%
62
72.5%
Q3 - 8:43HeatKendrick Nunn makes two point cutting finger roll layup (Jimmy Butler assists)57
25.1%
62
74.9%
Q3 - 8:58SpursKeldon Johnson makes three point jump shot (Derrick White assists)55
23.0%
62
77.0%
Q3 - 9:17HeatTrevor Ariza makes three point bank jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)55
28.3%
59
71.7%
Q3 - 9:36SpursDejounte Murray makes three point jump shot (Derrick White assists)52
23.2%
59
76.8%
Q3 - 9:45SpursJakob Poeltl defensive rebound52
28.3%
56
71.7%
Q3 - 9:47HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot52
29.3%
56
70.7%
Q3 - 10:00HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound52
31.6%
56
68.4%
Q3 - 10:05SpursDerrick White misses three point jump shot52
30.9%
56
69.1%
Q3 - 10:25HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 252
28.5%
56
71.5%
Q3 - 10:25HeatBam Adebayo misses regular free throw 1 of 251
28.0%
56
72.0%
Q3 - 10:25SpursDejounte Murray shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)51
30.1%
56
69.9%
Q3 - 10:45SpursDejounte Murray makes three point jump shot (DeMar DeRozan assists)51
29.0%
56
71.0%
Q3 - 10:58SpursJakob Poeltl defensive rebound51
34.4%
53
65.6%
Q3 - 11:01HeatKendrick Nunn misses three point jump shot51
35.7%
53
64.3%
Q3 - 11:19SpursJakob Poeltl turnover (bad pass) (Trevor Ariza steals)51
38.0%
53
62.0%
Q3 - 11:32SpursKeldon Johnson defensive rebound51
34.7%
53
65.3%
Q3 - 11:36HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot51
35.7%
53
64.3%
Q3 - 11:43SpursDeMar DeRozan turnover (bad pass) (Jimmy Butler steals)51
38.1%
53
61.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.51
34.7%
53
65.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0HeatHeat offensive rebound51
38.1%
53
61.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0HeatJimmy Butler misses three point pullup jump shot51
35.7%
53
64.3%
Q2 - 0:05.0SpursDeMar DeRozan makes two point driving floating jump shot51
37.7%
53
62.3%
Q2 - 0:25.6HeatJimmy Butler turnover (offensive foul)51
41.6%
51
58.4%
Q2 - 0:25.6HeatJimmy Butler offensive foul (Patty Mills draws the foul)51
44.0%
51
56.0%
Q2 - 0:33.4HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound51
44.0%
51
56.0%
Q2 - 0:35.8SpursDeMar DeRozan misses two point pullup jump shot51
43.3%
51
56.7%
Q2 - 0:47.7HeatBam Adebayo turnover (offensive foul)51
41.6%
51
58.4%
Q2 - 0:47.7HeatBam Adebayo offensive foul (Charge) (Derrick White draws the foul)51
44.0%
51
56.0%
Q2 - 0:55.8HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound51
44.0%
51
56.0%
Q2 - 0:57.8SpursDeMar DeRozan misses two point turnaround jump shot51
43.3%
51
56.7%
Q2 - 1:20HeatJimmy Butler makes two point turnaround jump shot51
42.0%
51
58.0%
Q2 - 1:35HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound49
37.7%
51
62.3%
Q2 - 1:39SpursDerrick White misses three point jump shot49
37.2%
51
62.8%
Q2 - 1:51SpursJakob Poeltl defensive rebound49
36.0%
51
64.0%
Q2 - 1:54HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot49
36.5%
51
63.5%
Q2 - 2:15SpursPatty Mills makes three point jump shot (Derrick White assists)49
38.5%
51
61.5%
Q2 - 2:27SpursDerrick White defensive rebound49
44.3%
48
55.7%
Q2 - 2:31HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving floating jump shot49
45.3%
48
54.7%
Q2 - 2:47SpursDeMar DeRozan makes two point driving finger roll layup49
47.3%
48
52.7%
Q2 - 3:07HeatDuncan Robinson makes two point driving finger roll layup (Bam Adebayo assists)49
49.6%
46
50.4%
Q2 - 3:20SpursJakob Poeltl makes two point cutting layup (Derrick White assists)47
47.1%
46
52.9%
Q2 - 3:38HeatJimmy Butler makes two point jump shot (KZ Okpala assists)47
49.6%
44
50.4%
Q2 - 4:00SpursDeMar DeRozan makes two point pullup jump shot45
47.1%
44
52.9%
Q2 - 4:10SpursSpurs offensive rebound45
49.4%
42
50.6%
Q2 - 4:10SpursBam Adebayo blocks Dejounte Murray's two point driving finger roll layup45
51.4%
42
48.6%
Q2 - 4:23HeatBam Adebayo makes two point alley-oop dunk (Tyler Herro assists)45
49.4%
42
50.6%
Q2 - 4:34HeatHeat defensive rebound43
46.7%
42
53.3%
Q2 - 4:35SpursPatty Mills misses three point pullup jump shot43
45.8%
42
54.2%
Q2 - 4:53HeatJimmy Butler turnover (out of bounds bad pass)43
43.9%
42
56.1%
Q2 - 5:04HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound43
46.8%
42
53.2%
Q2 - 5:07SpursKeldon Johnson misses regular free throw 2 of 243
46.3%
42
53.7%
Q2 - 5:07SpursKeldon Johnson makes regular free throw 1 of 243
44.7%
42
55.3%
Q2 - 5:07HeatDuncan Robinson shooting foul (Keldon Johnson draws the foul)43
45.3%
41
54.7%
Q2 - 5:26HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving dunk43
46.2%
41
53.8%
Q2 - 5:37SpursDeMar DeRozan turnover (traveling)41
44.1%
41
55.9%
Q2 - 5:39SpursDeMar DeRozan defensive rebound41
40.9%
41
59.1%
Q2 - 5:42HeatJakob Poeltl blocks Tyler Herro's two point driving dunk41
41.8%
41
58.2%
Q2 - 6:03SpursPatty Mills makes three point jump shot (Dejounte Murray assists)41
44.0%
41
56.0%
Q2 - 6:18HeatDewayne Dedmon makes two point layup (Tyler Herro assists)41
48.8%
38
51.2%
Q2 - 6:31SpursDrew Eubanks makes two point dunk (DeMar DeRozan assists)39
46.7%
38
53.3%
Q2 - 6:47HeatDuncan Robinson makes two point cutting finger roll layup (Jimmy Butler assists)39
48.8%
36
51.2%
Q2 - 6:57HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound37
46.7%
36
53.3%
Q2 - 6:59SpursDeMar DeRozan misses two point stepback jump shot37
45.7%
36
54.3%
Q2 - 7:17HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 2 of 237
43.6%
36
56.4%
Q2 - 7:17HeatTyler Herro misses regular free throw 1 of 236
43.3%
36
56.7%
Q2 - 7:17SpursDejounte Murray shooting foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)36
45.5%
36
54.5%
Q2 - 7:25SpursDeMar DeRozan makes regular free throw 2 of 236
43.8%
36
56.2%
Q2 - 7:25SpursDeMar DeRozan misses regular free throw 1 of 236
44.1%
35
55.9%
Q2 - 7:25HeatTyler Herro shooting foul (DeMar DeRozan draws the foul)36
41.9%
35
58.1%
Q2 - 7:28SpursDeMar DeRozan defensive rebound36
43.6%
35
56.4%
Q2 - 7:32HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving finger roll layup36
44.5%
35
55.5%
Q2 - 7:47HeatTrevor Ariza defensive rebound36
46.4%
35
53.6%
Q2 - 7:49SpursDejounte Murray misses three point jump shot36
45.5%
35
54.5%
Q2 - 8:11HeatGoran Dragic makes regular free throw 2 of 236
43.5%
35
56.5%
Q2 - 8:11HeatGoran Dragic misses regular free throw 1 of 235
43.1%
35
56.9%
Q2 - 8:11SpursRudy Gay shooting foul (Goran Dragic draws the foul)35
45.1%
35
54.9%
Q2 - 8:16SpursDeMar DeRozan personal foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)35
43.6%
35
56.4%
Q2 - 8:34SpursDeMar DeRozan makes two point pullup jump shot35
43.6%
35
56.4%
Q2 - 8:47HeatGoran Dragic personal foul (Drew Eubanks draws the foul)35
46.1%
33
53.9%
Q2 - 9:00HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 135
46.1%
33
53.9%
Q2 - 9:00SpursDrew Eubanks shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)34
45.6%
33
54.4%
Q2 - 9:23SpursDejounte Murray makes two point cutting layup (Derrick White assists)32
40.9%
33
59.1%
Q2 - 9:27SpursDrew Eubanks defensive rebound32
43.3%
31
56.7%
Q2 - 9:30HeatTyler Herro misses two point pullup jump shot32
44.0%
31
56.0%
Q2 - 9:40SpursDrew Eubanks personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)32
45.9%
31
54.1%
Q2 - 9:53HeatGoran Dragic defensive rebound32
45.9%
31
54.1%
Q2 - 9:56SpursLonnie Walker IV misses three point jump shot32
45.1%
31
54.9%
Q2 - 10:00SpursDrew Eubanks offensive rebound32
43.3%
31
56.7%
Q2 - 10:04SpursLonnie Walker IV misses three point pullup jump shot32
45.1%
31
54.9%
Q2 - 10:18HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 232
43.3%
31
56.7%
Q2 - 10:18HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 231
42.8%
31
57.2%
Q2 - 10:18SpursJakob Poeltl shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)30
42.3%
31
57.7%
Q2 - 10:25HeatKendrick Nunn defensive rebound30
41.1%
31
58.9%
Q2 - 10:29SpursDerrick White misses three point jump shot30
40.3%
31
59.7%
Q2 - 10:38SpursJakob Poeltl defensive rebound30
38.6%
31
61.4%
Q2 - 10:38HeatKendrick Nunn misses three point jump shot30
39.3%
31
60.7%
Q2 - 10:53SpursLonnie Walker IV makes two point driving finger roll layup30
41.1%
31
58.9%
Q2 - 11:09HeatTyler Herro makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)30
43.3%
29
56.7%
Q2 - 11:27SpursDerrick White makes two point driving floating jump shot27
38.5%
29
61.5%
Q2 - 11:35SpursDerrick White defensive rebound27
40.9%
27
59.1%
Q2 - 11:37HeatGoran Dragic misses two point driving floating jump shot27
41.6%
27
58.4%
Q2 - 11:44HeatGoran Dragic defensive rebound27
43.1%
27
56.9%
Q2 - 11:48SpursRudy Gay misses three point pullup jump shot27
42.4%
27
57.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.27
40.9%
27
59.1%
Q1 - 0:00.7SpursJakob Poeltl personal foul (Loose ball) (KZ Okpala draws the foul)27
42.6%
27
57.4%
Q1 - 0:00.7HeatHeat defensive rebound27
42.6%
27
57.4%
Q1 - 0:02.3SpursRudy Gay misses three point jump shot27
42.1%
27
57.9%
Q1 - 0:18.4SpursDerrick White defensive rebound27
40.9%
27
59.1%
Q1 - 0:20.0HeatJakob Poeltl blocks KZ Okpala's two point reverse layup27
41.4%
27
58.6%
Q1 - 0:21.6HeatGoran Dragic offensive rebound27
42.6%
27
57.4%
Q1 - 0:25.6HeatJakob Poeltl blocks KZ Okpala's two point layup27
41.4%
27
58.6%
Q1 - 0:35.2SpursDerrick White makes regular free throw 2 of 227
42.6%
27
57.4%
Q1 - 0:35.2SpursDerrick White misses regular free throw 1 of 227
43.0%
26
57.0%
Q1 - 0:35.2HeatDewayne Dedmon personal foul (Derrick White draws the foul)27
41.1%
26
58.9%
Q1 - 0:45.9HeatDewayne Dedmon makes two point tip layup27
43.1%
26
56.9%
Q1 - 0:45.9HeatDewayne Dedmon offensive rebound25
40.4%
26
59.6%
Q1 - 0:51.2HeatKZ Okpala misses two point floating jump shot25
39.2%
26
60.8%
Q1 - 0:58.4HeatDewayne Dedmon offensive rebound25
40.4%
26
59.6%
Q1 - 1:00HeatKZ Okpala misses two point fadeaway jump shot25
39.2%
26
60.8%
Q1 - 1:14SpursRudy Gay makes regular free throw 2 of 225
40.5%
26
59.5%
Q1 - 1:14SpursRudy Gay makes regular free throw 1 of 225
40.8%
25
59.2%
Q1 - 1:14HeatKZ Okpala shooting foul (Rudy Gay draws the foul)25
41.2%
24
58.8%
Q1 - 1:37HeatGoran Dragic makes three point jump shot (KZ Okpala assists)25
43.2%
24
56.8%
Q1 - 1:53SpursJakob Poeltl makes two point cutting dunk (Lonnie Walker IV assists)22
38.3%
24
61.7%
Q1 - 2:04HeatTyler Herro makes two point pullup jump shot (Goran Dragic assists)22
40.8%
22
59.2%
Q1 - 2:20SpursDerrick White makes three point jump shot (Jakob Poeltl assists)20
38.5%
22
61.5%
Q1 - 2:24SpursJakob Poeltl defensive rebound20
43.0%
19
57.0%
Q1 - 2:27HeatDewayne Dedmon misses two point alley-oop layup20
43.6%
19
56.4%
Q1 - 2:32HeatHeat offensive rebound20
45.1%
19
54.9%
Q1 - 2:32HeatDrew Eubanks blocks Dewayne Dedmon's two point driving finger roll layup20
43.6%
19
56.4%
Q1 - 2:56SpursLonnie Walker IV makes regular free throw 2 of 220
45.1%
19
54.9%
Q1 - 2:56SpursLonnie Walker IV makes regular free throw 1 of 220
45.5%
18
54.5%
Q1 - 2:56HeatDewayne Dedmon shooting foul (Lonnie Walker IV draws the foul)20
46.0%
17
54.0%
Q1 - 3:14HeatDewayne Dedmon makes two point alley-oop layup (Jimmy Butler assists)20
46.8%
17
53.2%
Q1 - 3:19HeatGoran Dragic offensive rebound18
45.0%
17
55.0%
Q1 - 3:24HeatGoran Dragic misses three point jump shot18
43.2%
17
56.8%
Q1 - 3:37SpursSpurs turnover (shot clock violation)18
45.0%
17
55.0%
Q1 - 3:37SpursSpurs offensive rebound18
42.5%
17
57.5%
Q1 - 3:37SpursPatty Mills misses three point pullup jump shot18
44.2%
17
55.8%
Q1 - 4:01HeatGoran Dragic turnover (out of bounds bad pass)18
42.5%
17
57.5%
Q1 - 4:04HeatKZ Okpala offensive rebound18
44.9%
17
55.1%
Q1 - 4:08HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point pullup jump shot18
43.2%
17
56.8%
Q1 - 4:24SpursLonnie Walker IV makes three point pullup jump shot (Drew Eubanks assists)18
44.9%
17
55.1%
Q1 - 4:40HeatKendrick Nunn personal foul (Drew Eubanks draws the foul)18
48.8%
14
51.2%
Q1 - 4:54HeatKendrick Nunn makes two point cutting finger roll layup (Jimmy Butler assists)18
48.8%
14
51.2%
Q1 - 4:58HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound16
47.0%
14
53.0%
Q1 - 5:01SpursKeldon Johnson misses two point cutting layup16
45.9%
14
54.1%
Q1 - 5:12SpursDrew Eubanks defensive rebound16
44.4%
14
55.6%
Q1 - 5:16HeatBam Adebayo misses two point floating jump shot16
45.1%
14
54.9%
Q1 - 5:42SpursDeMar DeRozan makes two point driving finger roll layup16
46.6%
14
53.4%
Q1 - 5:47SpursDejounte Murray defensive rebound16
48.5%
12
51.5%
Q1 - 5:49HeatTrevor Ariza misses two point driving finger roll layup16
49.2%
12
50.8%
Q1 - 5:58SpursKeldon Johnson turnover (bad pass) (Bam Adebayo steals)16
50.7%
12
49.3%
Q1 - 6:18HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)16
48.2%
12
51.8%
Q1 - 6:32SpursDejounte Murray turnover (out of bounds bad pass)13
44.2%
12
55.8%
Q1 - 6:41HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)13
42.4%
12
57.6%
Q1 - 6:48HeatTrevor Ariza defensive rebound10
38.5%
12
61.5%
Q1 - 6:48SpursKeldon Johnson misses two point dunk10
38.0%
12
62.0%
Q1 - 6:53HeatKendrick Nunn turnover (bad pass) (Jakob Poeltl steals)10
36.7%
12
63.3%
Q1 - 7:10SpursDeMar DeRozan makes two point turnaround jump shot10
38.6%
12
61.4%
Q1 - 7:32HeatBam Adebayo makes two point jump shot (Kendrick Nunn assists)10
40.3%
10
59.7%
Q1 - 7:43SpursJakob Poeltl makes two point dunk (Keldon Johnson assists)8
38.6%
10
61.4%
Q1 - 7:44SpursKeldon Johnson offensive rebound8
40.3%
8
59.7%
Q1 - 7:48SpursDejounte Murray misses two point jump shot8
41.7%
8
58.3%
Q1 - 8:07HeatTrevor Ariza personal foul (Jakob Poeltl draws the foul)8
40.3%
8
59.7%
Q1 - 8:07SpursJakob Poeltl defensive rebound8
40.3%
8
59.7%
Q1 - 8:07HeatJimmy Butler misses two point jump shot8
41.0%
8
59.0%
Q1 - 8:08HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound8
42.4%
8
57.6%
Q1 - 8:12HeatBam Adebayo misses two point pullup jump shot8
41.0%
8
59.0%
Q1 - 8:24HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound8
42.4%
8
57.6%
Q1 - 8:28SpursDejounte Murray misses three point jump shot8
41.8%
8
58.2%
Q1 - 8:34SpursDeMar DeRozan defensive rebound8
40.3%
8
59.7%
Q1 - 8:34HeatTrevor Ariza misses three point jump shot8
40.9%
8
59.1%
Q1 - 9:01SpursKeldon Johnson makes two point jump shot (DeMar DeRozan assists)8
42.4%
8
57.6%
Q1 - 9:22HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 18
43.8%
6
56.2%
Q1 - 9:22SpursKeldon Johnson shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)7
43.5%
6
56.5%
Q1 - 9:40SpursDejounte Murray turnover (bad pass) (Bam Adebayo steals)5
40.6%
6
59.4%
Q1 - 9:43HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 15
38.4%
6
61.6%
Q1 - 9:43SpursDejounte Murray personal foul4
38.0%
6
62.0%
Q1 - 9:43HeatJimmy Butler makes two point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)4
36.6%
6
63.4%
Q1 - 9:46HeatKendrick Nunn defensive rebound2
35.2%
6
64.8%
Q1 - 9:47SpursDerrick White misses three point jump shot2
34.6%
6
65.4%
Q1 - 9:48SpursDeMar DeRozan defensive rebound2
33.2%
6
66.8%
Q1 - 9:59HeatJakob Poeltl blocks Jimmy Butler's two point driving finger roll layup2
33.8%
6
66.2%
Q1 - 10:17SpursDejounte Murray makes three point jump shot (Derrick White assists)2
35.0%
6
65.0%
Q1 - 10:31HeatBam Adebayo makes two point tip layup2
38.3%
3
61.7%
Q1 - 10:31HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound0
36.7%
3
63.3%
Q1 - 10:40HeatBam Adebayo misses two point layup0
35.4%
3
64.6%
Q1 - 10:46HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound0
36.7%
3
63.3%
Q1 - 10:49SpursKeldon Johnson misses three point stepback jump shot0
36.2%
3
63.8%
Q1 - 10:59SpursKeldon Johnson defensive rebound0
34.8%
3
65.2%
Q1 - 11:13HeatBam Adebayo misses two point alley-oop dunk0
35.3%
3
64.7%
Q1 - 11:28SpursKeldon Johnson makes three point jump shot (DeMar DeRozan assists)0
36.6%
3
63.4%
Q1 - 11:37SpursKeldon Johnson defensive rebound0
40.0%
0
60.0%
Q1 - 11:42HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot0
40.6%
0
59.4%
Q1 - 12:00Bam Adebayo vs. Jakob Poeltl (Trevor Ariza gains possession)0
42.0%
0
58.0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.11 55.7%
SAS
0.98 48.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
14
26
54%
SAS
12
18
67%
Midrange
MIA
12
26
46%
SAS
9
24
38%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
13
19.5
31
42%
63%
SAS
10
15.0
35
29%
43%
Free Throws
MIA
16
20
80%
SAS
15
20
75%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
B. Adebayo2377%11.5 / 15
T. Herro2279%11.0 / 14
J. Butler1856%9.0 / 16
D. Robinson1056%5.0 / 9
K. Nunn945%4.5 / 10
G. Dragic950%4.5 / 9
D. Dedmon660%3.0 / 5
T. Ariza330%1.5 / 5
K. Okpala325%1.5 / 6
G. Vincent3150%1.5 / 1
P. Achiuwa150%0.5 / 1
M. Strus0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. DeRozan1550%7.5 / 15
D. White1350%6.5 / 13
D. Murray1139%5.5 / 14
K. Johnson950%4.5 / 9
J. Poeltl8100%4.0 / 4
L. Walker IV758%3.5 / 6
P. Mills650%3.0 / 6
R. Gay630%3.0 / 10
D. Eubanks6100%3.0 / 3
K. Bates-Diop4100%2.0 / 2
T. Jones250%1.0 / 2
D. Vassell0-0.0 / 2
L. Samanic0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
83
+12
-7
95
SAS
79
+10
-10
89
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.11 55.7%
SAS
0.98 48.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
111.1
111.1
MIA 118.9
SAS 97.8 +21.1
Pace
96.7
98.9
MIA 99.9 +18.9
SAS 81.0
Avg. Poss. Time
14.7
14.7
MIA 14.4 +3.4
SAS 17.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
54.6%
51.7%
MIA 54.8% +8.0%
SAS 46.8%
TO %
13.7%
11.0%
MIA 8.0% +3.4%
SAS 11.4%
ORB %
19.4%
20.1%
MIA 22.5% +5.8%
SAS 16.7%
FTrt
25.2
24.3
MIA 24.1
SAS 26.0 +1.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
67.1%
58.4%
MIA 71.8% +4.1%
SAS 67.7%
STL %
8.2%
7.0%
MIA 8.9% +7.8%
SAS 1.1%
BLK %
8.5%
8.9%
MIA 2.4%
SAS 13.5% +11.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.13 and 2.13.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
56.5%
54.4%
MIA 55.7% +6.8%
SAS 48.9%
Rim FG%
64.8%
60.1%
MIA 53.8%
SAS 66.7% +12.9%
Mid FG%
41.8%
43.2%
MIA 46.2% +8.7%
SAS 37.5%
3P %
35.8%
35.0%
MIA 41.9% +13.3%
SAS 28.6%
FT %
79.0%
79.2%
MIA 80.0% +5.0%
SAS 75.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
33.3%
33.1%
MIA 31.3% +7.9%
SAS 23.4%
Mid Att. %
23.5%
35.5%
MIA 31.3%
SAS 31.2% +0.2%
3P Att. %
43.2%
31.4%
MIA 37.3%
SAS 45.5% +8.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIASAS
Possessions9089
Possession Minutes21.626.4
Points10787
Rebounds4438
Assists2821
Steals81
Blocks17
Turnovers (Team)7 (1)10 (1)
Fouls2015
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (3)7 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)35 (3)31 (1)
Field Goals39-8331-77
At-the-Rim FG14-2612-18
Midrange FG12-269-24
2-Point FG26-5221-42
3-Point FG13-3110-35
Free Throws16-2015-20
Fast Break Pts114
2nd Chance Pts1110
Points in Paint4036
Pts off Turnovers144
Bench Points4431
Biggest Lead227

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#22 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 32
34.2
18
56%
7
11
1
0
3
2
2
5
6-6
100%
6-12
50%
0-1
0%
#25 · PG · 6'3" 193 · 26
33.7
9
45%
5
3
1
0
1
2
0
5
0-0
-
3-5
60%
1-5
20%
#13 · C · 6'9" 255 · 24
31.4
23
77%
8
5
3
1
1
1
1
7
7-8
88%
8-12
67%
0-0
-
#8 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 36
29.7
3
30%
4
0
1
0
0
3
0
4
0-0
-
0-1
0%
1-4
25%
#55 · SG · 6'7" 215 · 27
27.6
10
56%
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-2
100%
2-7
29%
#14 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 21
25.5
22
79%
6
4
0
0
0
1
1
5
1-2
50%
3-7
43%
5-6
83%
#7 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 35
19.1
9
50%
5
2
1
0
1
2
2
3
1-2
50%
1-4
25%
2-4
50%
#11 · PF · 6'9" 210 · 22
18.7
3
25%
2
2
0
0
0
4
1
1
0-0
-
0-4
0%
1-2
50%
#21 · C · 7'0" 245 · 32
14.7
6
60%
3
0
1
0
1
3
2
1
0-0
-
3-5
60%
0-0
-
#5 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 22
2.0
1
50%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
0-0
-
0-0
-
#2 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 25
2.0
3
150%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-1
100%
#31 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 25
1.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
#28 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 37
DND - Injury/Illness | Left Hip; Soreness
#70 · PF · 6'10" 230 · 33
DNP - Coach's Decision
#40 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 41
DNP - Coach's Decision
#4 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 29
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Knee; Soreness
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
107
56%
44
28
8
1
7
20
9
35
16-20
80%
26-52
50%
13-31
42%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.