FinalWin Prob.pScore
1046%107
92
1254%108
87
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
97.99492.0
IND logo IND
92.69497.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

PacersHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

PacersHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAIND
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.92
100%
87
0%
Q4 - 0:02.8PacersMyles Turner makes three point jump shot (Domantas Sabonis assists)90
99.2%
87
0.8%
Q4 - 0:06.9HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 290
99.8%
84
0.2%
Q4 - 0:06.9HeatBam Adebayo misses regular free throw 1 of 289
99.8%
84
0.2%
Q4 - 0:06.9PacersDomantas Sabonis personal foul (Take) (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)89
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 0:08.1HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound89
99.8%
84
0.2%
Q4 - 0:11.7PacersMalcolm Brogdon misses three point jump shot89
99.6%
84
0.4%
Q4 - 0:17.1PacersDomantas Sabonis defensive rebound89
98.4%
84
1.6%
Q4 - 0:19.5HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot89
98.9%
84
1.1%
Q4 - 0:41.7PacersCaris LeVert makes two point driving layup89
97.7%
84
2.3%
Q4 - 0:51.0HeatDuncan Robinson personal foul (Myles Turner draws the foul)89
98.1%
82
1.9%
Q4 - 1:06HeatBam Adebayo makes two point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)89
97.3%
82
2.7%
Q4 - 1:24HeatHeat defensive rebound87
94.2%
82
5.8%
Q4 - 1:30PacersMalcolm Brogdon misses three point jump shot87
92.5%
82
7.5%
Q4 - 1:48PacersMyles Turner defensive rebound87
87.4%
82
12.6%
Q4 - 1:51HeatJimmy Butler misses three point jump shot87
89.0%
82
11.0%
Q4 - 2:13HeatHeat defensive rebound87
92.8%
82
7.2%
Q4 - 2:16PacersMalcolm Brogdon misses two point stepback jump shot87
91.3%
82
8.7%
Q4 - 2:27PacersMyles Turner defensive rebound87
86.7%
82
13.3%
Q4 - 2:30HeatJimmy Butler misses two point stepback jump shot87
89.0%
82
11.0%
Q4 - 2:42HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound87
92.9%
82
7.1%
Q4 - 2:45PacersBam Adebayo blocks Caris LeVert's two point driving layup87
91.4%
82
8.6%
Q4 - 2:52PacersT.J. McConnell defensive rebound87
84.5%
82
15.5%
Q4 - 2:55HeatBam Adebayo misses two point driving floating jump shot87
86.6%
82
13.4%
Q4 - 3:12HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound87
90.8%
82
9.2%
Q4 - 3:15PacersMyles Turner misses three point jump shot87
89.3%
82
10.7%
Q4 - 3:36HeatBam Adebayo personal foul (Loose ball) (Caris LeVert draws the foul)87
80.9%
82
19.1%
Q4 - 3:36HeatJimmy Butler turnover (bad pass)87
80.9%
82
19.1%
Q4 - 3:59HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound87
86.6%
82
13.4%
Q4 - 4:01PacersCaris LeVert misses three point jump shot87
85.2%
82
14.8%
Q4 - 4:21HeatDuncan Robinson makes two point driving dunk87
81.7%
82
18.3%
Q4 - 4:29HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound85
76.2%
82
23.8%
Q4 - 4:34PacersMyles Turner misses three point pullup jump shot85
73.9%
82
26.1%
Q4 - 4:52PacersT.J. McConnell defensive rebound85
68.4%
82
31.6%
Q4 - 4:56HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot85
71.0%
82
29.0%
Q4 - 5:15HeatAndre Iguodala defensive rebound85
72.9%
82
27.1%
Q4 - 5:17PacersT.J. McConnell misses two point pullup jump shot85
70.9%
82
29.1%
Q4 - 5:30HeatJimmy Butler makes two point running layup (Andre Iguodala assists)85
65.8%
82
34.2%
Q4 - 5:34PacersDoug McDermott turnover (bad pass) (Andre Iguodala steals)83
58.7%
82
41.3%
Q4 - 5:50HeatJimmy Butler makes two point pullup bank jump shot83
50.2%
82
49.8%
Q4 - 5:58HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound81
42.6%
82
57.4%
Q4 - 6:02PacersCaris LeVert misses three point pullup jump shot81
40.8%
82
59.2%
Q4 - 6:26HeatAndre Iguodala turnover (bad pass) (Domantas Sabonis steals)81
35.1%
82
64.9%
Q4 - 6:49PacersCaris LeVert makes two point running dunk (T.J. McConnell assists)81
43.2%
82
56.8%
Q4 - 6:53HeatBam Adebayo makes two point tip dunk81
49.3%
80
50.7%
Q4 - 6:53HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound79
43.2%
80
56.8%
Q4 - 6:57HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving floating bank jump shot79
37.5%
80
62.5%
Q4 - 7:23PacersT.J. McConnell makes two point floating jump shot (Justin Holiday assists)79
43.6%
80
56.4%
Q4 - 7:44HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Andre Iguodala assists)79
49.3%
78
50.7%
Q4 - 7:51HeatAndre Iguodala defensive rebound76
37.1%
78
62.9%
Q4 - 7:54PacersAaron Holiday misses three point jump shot76
34.9%
78
65.1%
Q4 - 8:14HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)76
31.4%
78
68.6%
Q4 - 8:26HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound73
21.8%
78
78.2%
Q4 - 8:28PacersT.J. McConnell misses two point driving layup73
20.5%
78
79.5%
Q4 - 8:45PacersEdmond Sumner defensive rebound73
17.7%
78
82.3%
Q4 - 8:48HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot73
18.9%
78
81.1%
Q4 - 8:56PacersAaron Holiday turnover (bad pass) (Bam Adebayo steals)73
21.8%
78
78.2%
Q4 - 9:05PacersT.J. McConnell defensive rebound73
18.8%
78
81.2%
Q4 - 9:07HeatBam Adebayo misses regular free throw 2 of 273
19.3%
78
80.7%
Q4 - 9:07HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 273
21.9%
78
78.1%
Q4 - 9:07PacersDomantas Sabonis shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)72
21.0%
78
79.0%
Q4 - 9:15PacersT.J. McConnell makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot72
19.1%
78
80.9%
Q4 - 9:16PacersT.J. McConnell offensive rebound72
22.6%
76
77.4%
Q4 - 9:18PacersTyler Herro blocks T.J. McConnell's two point driving layup72
25.9%
76
74.1%
Q4 - 9:29HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 272
22.6%
76
77.4%
Q4 - 9:29HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 271
21.8%
76
78.2%
Q4 - 9:29PacersGoga Bitadze shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)70
20.9%
76
79.1%
Q4 - 9:44PacersDoug McDermott makes three point pullup jump shot (Aaron Holiday assists)70
19.0%
76
81.0%
Q4 - 9:59HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving finger roll layup70
27.0%
73
73.0%
Q4 - 10:24PacersGoga Bitadze makes three point jump shot (T.J. McConnell assists)68
24.0%
73
76.0%
Q4 - 10:34HeatGabe Vincent makes regular free throw 2 of 268
32.7%
70
67.3%
Q4 - 10:34HeatGabe Vincent misses regular free throw 1 of 267
32.1%
70
67.9%
Q4 - 10:34PacersGoga Bitadze shooting foul (Gabe Vincent draws the foul)67
36.4%
70
63.6%
Q4 - 10:35HeatAndre Iguodala offensive rebound67
33.0%
70
67.0%
Q4 - 10:39HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point pullup jump shot67
29.4%
70
70.6%
Q4 - 10:47PacersAaron Holiday personal foul (Gabe Vincent draws the foul)67
33.0%
70
67.0%
Q4 - 10:56PacersT.J. McConnell makes regular free throw 2 of 267
33.0%
70
67.0%
Q4 - 10:56PacersT.J. McConnell misses regular free throw 1 of 267
34.2%
69
65.8%
Q4 - 10:56HeatAndre Iguodala shooting foul (T.J. McConnell draws the foul)67
30.7%
69
69.3%
Q4 - 11:18HeatTyler Herro makes two point cutting layup (Bam Adebayo assists)67
33.3%
69
66.7%
Q4 - 11:38PacersT.J. McConnell makes two point pullup jump shot65
28.6%
69
71.4%
Q4 - 11:45PacersT.J. McConnell defensive rebound65
33.2%
67
66.8%
Q4 - 11:47HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot65
34.7%
67
65.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.65
38.1%
67
61.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0PacersPacers offensive rebound65
33.2%
67
66.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0PacersGoga Bitadze misses two point putback layup65
36.6%
67
63.4%
Q3 - 0:02.3PacersGoga Bitadze offensive rebound65
34.0%
67
66.0%
Q3 - 0:02.3PacersT.J. McConnell misses two point fadeaway jump shot65
37.1%
67
62.9%
Q3 - 0:21.5HeatTyler Herro makes two point running finger roll layup (Jimmy Butler assists)65
33.9%
67
66.1%
Q3 - 0:26.1PacersEdmond Sumner turnover (bad pass) (Jimmy Butler steals)63
29.5%
67
70.5%
Q3 - 0:39.3PacersEdmond Sumner defensive rebound63
25.5%
67
74.5%
Q3 - 0:42.6HeatGabe Vincent misses three point jump shot63
26.7%
67
73.3%
Q3 - 0:57.1PacersT.J. McConnell makes two point pullup jump shot63
29.4%
67
70.6%
Q3 - 1:09HeatTyler Herro makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)63
34.2%
65
65.8%
Q3 - 1:27PacersDoug McDermott makes two point cutting layup (T.J. McConnell assists)60
26.5%
65
73.5%
Q3 - 1:38PacersDoug McDermott defensive rebound60
30.0%
63
70.0%
Q3 - 1:39HeatJimmy Butler misses regular free throw 1 of 160
30.6%
63
69.4%
Q3 - 1:39PacersDoug McDermott shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)60
33.7%
63
66.3%
Q3 - 1:49HeatNemanja Bjelica defensive rebound58
26.5%
63
73.5%
Q3 - 1:51PacersEdmond Sumner misses two point driving floating bank jump shot58
25.3%
63
74.7%
Q3 - 2:06PacersDoug McDermott defensive rebound58
23.6%
63
76.4%
Q3 - 2:08HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving finger roll layup58
24.7%
63
75.3%
Q3 - 2:26PacersCaris LeVert makes regular free throw 2 of 258
27.4%
63
72.6%
Q3 - 2:26PacersCaris LeVert misses regular free throw 1 of 258
28.2%
62
71.8%
Q3 - 2:26HeatGabe Vincent personal foul (Caris LeVert draws the foul)58
25.6%
62
74.4%
Q3 - 2:34PacersGoga Bitadze defensive rebound58
26.9%
62
73.1%
Q3 - 2:36HeatTyler Herro misses two point pullup jump shot58
28.1%
62
71.9%
Q3 - 2:49PacersMalcolm Brogdon personal foul (Take) (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)58
31.1%
62
68.9%
Q3 - 2:59PacersCaris LeVert makes two point running layup58
31.1%
62
68.9%
Q3 - 3:02HeatGoran Dragic turnover (bad pass) (Caris LeVert steals)58
35.1%
60
64.9%
Q3 - 3:10HeatGoran Dragic defensive rebound58
39.7%
60
60.3%
Q3 - 3:14PacersDoug McDermott misses three point pullup jump shot58
38.3%
60
61.7%
Q3 - 3:29HeatNemanja Bjelica personal foul (Malcolm Brogdon draws the foul)58
35.1%
60
64.9%
Q3 - 3:39HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving layup58
35.1%
60
64.9%
Q3 - 4:02PacersMalcolm Brogdon personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)56
32.4%
60
67.6%
Q3 - 4:02PacersMalcolm Brogdon turnover (lost ball) (Jimmy Butler steals)56
32.4%
60
67.6%
Q3 - 4:08PacersMalcolm Brogdon offensive rebound56
28.2%
60
71.8%
Q3 - 4:11PacersJustin Holiday misses three point jump shot56
31.1%
60
68.9%
Q3 - 4:24HeatJimmy Butler makes two point turnaround bank jump shot56
28.2%
60
71.8%
Q3 - 4:35PacersCaris LeVert turnover (out of bounds bad pass)54
25.5%
60
74.5%
Q3 - 4:53HeatHeat turnover (shot clock violation)54
21.9%
60
78.1%
Q3 - 4:55HeatHeat offensive rebound54
25.5%
60
74.5%
Q3 - 4:55HeatDomantas Sabonis blocks Trevor Ariza's two point layup54
23.0%
60
77.0%
Q3 - 5:18PacersMalcolm Brogdon makes two point driving finger roll layup54
26.2%
60
73.8%
Q3 - 5:32HeatJimmy Butler personal foul (Loose ball) (Domantas Sabonis draws the foul)54
29.1%
58
70.9%
Q3 - 5:32PacersPacers offensive rebound54
29.1%
58
70.9%
Q3 - 5:34PacersMalcolm Brogdon misses three point pullup jump shot54
31.6%
58
68.4%
Q3 - 5:48HeatBam Adebayo makes two point layup (Goran Dragic assists)54
29.1%
58
70.9%
Q3 - 6:05PacersMyles Turner turnover (offensive foul)52
26.8%
58
73.2%
Q3 - 6:05PacersMyles Turner offensive foul (Trevor Ariza draws the foul)52
23.6%
58
76.4%
Q3 - 6:16HeatTrevor Ariza turnover (out of bounds bad pass)52
23.6%
58
76.4%
Q3 - 6:36HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound52
26.7%
58
73.3%
Q3 - 6:40PacersJustin Holiday misses three point jump shot52
25.7%
58
74.3%
Q3 - 6:51HeatTrevor Ariza makes two point cutting dunk (Duncan Robinson assists)52
23.6%
58
76.4%
Q3 - 7:05PacersDomantas Sabonis turnover (offensive foul)50
21.6%
58
78.4%
Q3 - 7:05PacersDomantas Sabonis offensive foul (Charge) (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)50
18.8%
58
81.2%
Q3 - 7:15HeatBam Adebayo makes two point floating jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)50
18.8%
58
81.2%
Q3 - 7:33PacersDomantas Sabonis turnover (offensive foul)48
17.0%
58
83.0%
Q3 - 7:33PacersDomantas Sabonis offensive foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)48
14.7%
58
85.3%
Q3 - 7:43PacersDomantas Sabonis offensive rebound48
14.7%
58
85.3%
Q3 - 7:46PacersJustin Holiday misses three point jump shot48
16.2%
58
83.8%
Q3 - 8:09HeatGoran Dragic makes three point jump shot (Duncan Robinson assists)48
15.1%
58
84.9%
Q3 - 8:15HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound45
12.0%
58
88.0%
Q3 - 8:17PacersJustin Holiday misses two point reverse layup45
11.5%
58
88.5%
Q3 - 8:38HeatJimmy Butler makes two point turnaround jump shot (Goran Dragic assists)45
10.3%
58
89.7%
Q3 - 8:50PacersDomantas Sabonis makes two point running dunk (Caris LeVert assists)43
9.2%
58
90.8%
Q3 - 8:54HeatDuncan Robinson turnover (bad pass) (Caris LeVert steals)43
10.3%
56
89.7%
Q3 - 8:56HeatHeat offensive rebound43
12.0%
56
88.0%
Q3 - 8:59HeatBam Adebayo misses two point cutting dunk43
10.8%
56
89.2%
Q3 - 9:05PacersCaris LeVert makes regular free throw 2 of 243
12.4%
56
87.6%
Q3 - 9:05PacersCaris LeVert makes regular free throw 1 of 243
12.8%
55
87.2%
Q3 - 9:05HeatGoran Dragic shooting foul (Caris LeVert draws the foul)43
13.2%
54
86.8%
Q3 - 9:12HeatGoran Dragic turnover (bad pass) (Caris LeVert steals)43
13.8%
54
86.2%
Q3 - 9:24PacersJustin Holiday makes three point pullup jump shot (Malcolm Brogdon assists)43
15.9%
54
84.1%
Q3 - 9:33PacersDomantas Sabonis defensive rebound43
19.7%
51
80.3%
Q3 - 9:34HeatBam Adebayo misses regular free throw 2 of 243
20.1%
51
79.9%
Q3 - 9:34HeatBam Adebayo misses regular free throw 1 of 243
21.6%
51
78.4%
Q3 - 9:34PacersMyles Turner shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)43
23.5%
51
76.5%
Q3 - 9:53PacersMalcolm Brogdon makes regular free throw 2 of 243
22.4%
51
77.6%
Q3 - 9:53PacersMalcolm Brogdon makes regular free throw 1 of 243
22.6%
50
77.4%
Q3 - 9:53HeatDuncan Robinson shooting foul (Malcolm Brogdon draws the foul)43
22.9%
49
77.1%
Q3 - 10:01PacersMalcolm Brogdon defensive rebound43
25.1%
49
74.9%
Q3 - 10:04HeatGoran Dragic misses three point jump shot43
26.0%
49
74.0%
Q3 - 10:26PacersCaris LeVert turnover (out of bounds bad pass)43
28.2%
49
71.8%
Q3 - 10:28PacersDomantas Sabonis defensive rebound43
25.0%
49
75.0%
Q3 - 10:30HeatMyles Turner blocks Trevor Ariza's two point driving reverse layup43
26.0%
49
74.0%
Q3 - 10:48PacersCaris LeVert makes two point driving layup (Domantas Sabonis assists)43
28.2%
49
71.8%
Q3 - 10:55PacersDomantas Sabonis defensive rebound43
30.5%
47
69.5%
Q3 - 10:58HeatTrevor Ariza misses three point stepback jump shot43
31.6%
47
68.4%
Q3 - 11:12PacersCaris LeVert makes two point running layup (Domantas Sabonis assists)43
34.2%
47
65.8%
Q3 - 11:16HeatBam Adebayo turnover (bad pass) (Justin Holiday steals)43
37.0%
45
63.0%
Q3 - 11:40HeatTrevor Ariza defensive rebound43
40.5%
45
59.5%
Q3 - 11:43PacersMalcolm Brogdon misses three point jump shot43
39.4%
45
60.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.43
37.0%
45
63.0%
Q2 - 0:00.4HeatHeat offensive rebound43
40.1%
45
59.9%
Q2 - 0:00.4HeatBam Adebayo misses two point jump shot43
38.6%
45
61.4%
Q2 - 0:01.4HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound43
40.1%
45
59.9%
Q2 - 0:04.1HeatTyler Herro misses three point running jump shot43
38.6%
45
61.4%
Q2 - 0:06.7HeatAndre Iguodala defensive rebound43
40.1%
45
59.9%
Q2 - 0:09.0PacersDomantas Sabonis misses two point cutting layup43
39.5%
45
60.5%
Q2 - 0:29.9HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 3 of 343
37.9%
45
62.1%
Q2 - 0:29.9HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 2 of 342
37.5%
45
62.5%
Q2 - 0:29.9HeatTyler Herro misses regular free throw 1 of 341
37.1%
45
62.9%
Q2 - 0:29.9PacersMyles Turner shooting foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)41
39.7%
45
60.3%
Q2 - 0:34.2HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound41
34.1%
45
65.9%
Q2 - 0:37.9PacersJustin Holiday misses three point stepback jump shot41
33.4%
45
66.6%
Q2 - 0:56.4HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 241
31.9%
45
68.1%
Q2 - 0:56.4HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 240
31.6%
45
68.4%
Q2 - 0:56.4PacersMyles Turner shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)39
31.1%
45
68.9%
Q2 - 0:59.9HeatTrevor Ariza defensive rebound39
28.5%
45
71.5%
Q2 - 1:03PacersCaris LeVert misses two point pullup jump shot39
28.5%
45
71.5%
Q2 - 1:16HeatTyler Herro makes three point running jump shot (Trevor Ariza assists)39
27.4%
45
72.6%
Q2 - 1:19HeatTrevor Ariza defensive rebound36
21.8%
45
78.2%
Q2 - 1:21PacersJimmy Butler blocks Malcolm Brogdon's two point driving reverse layup36
21.4%
45
78.6%
Q2 - 1:27PacersPacers defensive rebound36
20.5%
45
79.5%
Q2 - 1:28HeatMyles Turner blocks Jimmy Butler's two point driving finger roll layup36
20.9%
45
79.1%
Q2 - 1:40PacersPacers turnover (shot clock violation)36
21.8%
45
78.2%
Q2 - 2:04PacersDomantas Sabonis defensive rebound36
20.9%
45
79.1%
Q2 - 2:05HeatTyler Herro misses regular free throw 2 of 236
21.2%
45
78.8%
Q2 - 2:05HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 236
22.7%
45
77.3%
Q2 - 2:05PacersCaris LeVert shooting foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)35
22.4%
45
77.6%
Q2 - 2:08HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound35
21.0%
45
79.0%
Q2 - 2:11PacersJustin Holiday misses three point jump shot35
20.3%
45
79.7%
Q2 - 2:22HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)35
19.0%
45
81.0%
Q2 - 2:30PacersCaris LeVert makes regular free throw 2 of 232
15.5%
45
84.5%
Q2 - 2:30PacersCaris LeVert misses regular free throw 1 of 232
15.9%
44
84.1%
Q2 - 2:30HeatDuncan Robinson shooting foul (Caris LeVert draws the foul)32
14.7%
44
85.3%
Q2 - 2:44HeatTrevor Ariza personal foul (Domantas Sabonis draws the foul)32
15.5%
44
84.5%
Q2 - 2:51PacersMalcolm Brogdon defensive rebound32
15.5%
44
84.5%
Q2 - 2:54HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot32
16.0%
44
84.0%
Q2 - 3:00HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound32
17.1%
44
82.9%
Q2 - 3:02PacersDomantas Sabonis misses two point jump shot32
17.5%
44
82.5%
Q2 - 3:20PacersDomantas Sabonis defensive rebound32
16.2%
44
83.8%
Q2 - 3:23HeatBam Adebayo misses two point stepback jump shot32
16.8%
44
83.2%
Q2 - 3:33PacersDomantas Sabonis turnover (out of bounds lost ball)32
18.1%
44
81.9%
Q2 - 3:45HeatPrecious Achiuwa personal foul (Loose ball) (Myles Turner draws the foul)32
16.2%
44
83.8%
Q2 - 3:45PacersPacers defensive rebound32
16.2%
44
83.8%
Q2 - 3:47HeatJimmy Butler misses two point turnaround jump shot32
16.7%
44
83.3%
Q2 - 4:09PacersCaris LeVert turnover (out of bounds bad pass)32
18.7%
44
81.3%
Q2 - 4:19HeatPrecious Achiuwa makes two point tip layup32
17.1%
44
82.9%
Q2 - 4:19HeatPrecious Achiuwa offensive rebound30
15.5%
44
84.5%
Q2 - 4:22HeatGoran Dragic misses two point driving layup30
14.5%
44
85.5%
Q2 - 4:48PacersDomantas Sabonis makes two point driving finger roll layup (Caris LeVert assists)30
15.5%
44
84.5%
Q2 - 5:06PacersDomantas Sabonis defensive rebound30
17.2%
42
82.8%
Q2 - 5:09HeatPrecious Achiuwa misses two point layup30
17.8%
42
82.2%
Q2 - 5:29HeatPrecious Achiuwa defensive rebound30
19.2%
42
80.8%
Q2 - 5:29PacersMalcolm Brogdon misses three point jump shot30
18.6%
42
81.4%
Q2 - 5:32PacersDomantas Sabonis offensive rebound30
17.2%
42
82.8%
Q2 - 5:34PacersCaris LeVert misses two point running layup30
18.6%
42
81.4%
Q2 - 5:39PacersMalcolm Brogdon defensive rebound30
17.2%
42
82.8%
Q2 - 5:41HeatTrevor Ariza misses three point pullup jump shot30
17.8%
42
82.2%
Q2 - 5:57PacersMyles Turner makes three point jump shot (Caris LeVert assists)30
19.2%
42
80.8%
Q2 - 6:05HeatGoran Dragic personal foul (Caris LeVert draws the foul)30
22.7%
39
77.3%
Q2 - 6:09PacersCaris LeVert defensive rebound30
22.7%
39
77.3%
Q2 - 6:12HeatJimmy Butler misses three point jump shot30
23.4%
39
76.6%
Q2 - 6:26HeatGoran Dragic defensive rebound30
25.1%
39
74.9%
Q2 - 6:28PacersEdmond Sumner misses two point driving floating jump shot30
24.3%
39
75.7%
Q2 - 6:42HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 230
22.6%
39
77.4%
Q2 - 6:42HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 229
22.3%
39
77.7%
Q2 - 6:42PacersDoug McDermott shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)28
21.9%
39
78.1%
Q2 - 6:51HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound28
21.2%
39
78.8%
Q2 - 6:54PacersAaron Holiday misses three point pullup jump shot28
20.6%
39
79.4%
Q2 - 6:58PacersAaron Holiday defensive rebound28
19.1%
39
80.9%
Q2 - 7:01HeatGoran Dragic misses three point pullup jump shot28
20.5%
39
79.5%
Q2 - 7:17PacersAaron Holiday makes two point running finger roll layup28
21.7%
39
78.3%
Q2 - 7:20PacersAaron Holiday defensive rebound28
23.4%
37
76.6%
Q2 - 7:24HeatAndre Iguodala misses three point pullup jump shot28
24.0%
37
76.0%
Q2 - 7:40PacersT.J. McConnell personal foul (Goran Dragic draws the foul)28
25.4%
37
74.6%
Q2 - 7:49PacersT.J. McConnell makes two point jump shot (Edmond Sumner assists)28
25.4%
37
74.6%
Q2 - 7:59PacersMyles Turner defensive rebound28
27.3%
35
72.7%
Q2 - 8:03HeatGabe Vincent misses three point jump shot28
28.2%
35
71.8%
Q2 - 8:14HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound28
29.7%
35
70.3%
Q2 - 8:16HeatGoran Dragic misses two point pullup jump shot28
28.2%
35
71.8%
Q2 - 8:36HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound28
29.7%
35
70.3%
Q2 - 8:38PacersT.J. McConnell misses two point driving layup28
29.0%
35
71.0%
Q2 - 8:54HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point pullup jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)28
27.5%
35
72.5%
Q2 - 9:09HeatAndre Iguodala defensive rebound25
24.0%
35
76.0%
Q2 - 9:12PacersT.J. McConnell misses two point pullup jump shot25
23.4%
35
76.6%
Q2 - 9:20PacersDoug McDermott defensive rebound25
22.2%
35
77.8%
Q2 - 9:23HeatGabe Vincent misses three point jump shot25
22.7%
35
77.3%
Q2 - 9:37PacersT.J. McConnell turnover (traveling)25
24.0%
35
76.0%
Q2 - 9:53HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 225
22.1%
35
77.9%
Q2 - 9:53HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 224
21.8%
35
78.2%
Q2 - 9:53PacersGoga Bitadze shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)23
21.4%
35
78.6%
Q2 - 10:09PacersDoug McDermott makes three point pullup jump shot (T.J. McConnell assists)23
21.0%
35
79.0%
Q2 - 10:14PacersT.J. McConnell defensive rebound23
24.3%
32
75.7%
Q2 - 10:17HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving floating jump shot23
24.9%
32
75.1%
Q2 - 10:39PacersGoga Bitadze makes two point turnaround jump shot (Aaron Holiday assists)23
26.3%
32
73.7%
Q2 - 11:01HeatDuncan Robinson turnover (out of bounds lost ball)23
28.5%
30
71.5%
Q2 - 11:16PacersGoga Bitadze personal foul (Loose ball) (Gabe Vincent draws the foul)23
30.3%
30
69.7%
Q2 - 11:16HeatHeat defensive rebound23
30.3%
30
69.7%
Q2 - 11:16PacersT.J. McConnell misses two point putback layup23
29.8%
30
70.2%
Q2 - 11:17PacersT.J. McConnell offensive rebound23
28.5%
30
71.5%
Q2 - 11:19PacersEdmond Sumner misses three point jump shot23
29.8%
30
70.2%
Q2 - 11:24PacersPacers defensive rebound23
28.5%
30
71.5%
Q2 - 11:25HeatAndre Iguodala misses two point driving layup23
29.0%
30
71.0%
Q2 - 11:34PacersGoga Bitadze makes two point putback dunk23
30.3%
30
69.7%
Q2 - 11:34PacersGoga Bitadze offensive rebound23
32.5%
28
67.5%
Q2 - 11:40PacersBam Adebayo blocks Goga Bitadze's two point layup23
33.9%
28
66.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.23
32.5%
28
67.5%
Q1 - 0:01.8HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound23
34.3%
28
65.7%
Q1 - 0:01.8PacersEdmond Sumner misses two point pullup jump shot23
33.9%
28
66.1%
Q1 - 0:04.9HeatDuncan Robinson turnover (traveling)23
32.7%
28
67.3%
Q1 - 0:17.3HeatAndre Iguodala defensive rebound23
34.4%
28
65.6%
Q1 - 0:19.6PacersGoga Bitadze misses two point turnaround hook shot23
33.9%
28
66.1%
Q1 - 0:30.9HeatTyler Herro makes two point cutting layup (Duncan Robinson assists)23
32.7%
28
67.3%
Q1 - 0:32.4PacersGoga Bitadze personal foul (Andre Iguodala draws the foul)21
30.3%
28
69.7%
Q1 - 0:33.0HeatAndre Iguodala offensive rebound21
30.3%
28
69.7%
Q1 - 0:34.8HeatAndre Iguodala misses two point cutting layup21
29.2%
28
70.8%
Q1 - 0:45.2PacersDoug McDermott makes three point jump shot (Goga Bitadze assists)21
30.3%
28
69.7%
Q1 - 1:02HeatAndre Iguodala makes two point cutting dunk (Jimmy Butler assists)21
35.0%
25
65.0%
Q1 - 1:19PacersEdmond Sumner makes three point jump shot (Doug McDermott assists)19
32.5%
25
67.5%
Q1 - 1:23PacersAaron Holiday defensive rebound19
37.1%
22
62.9%
Q1 - 1:25HeatJimmy Butler misses two point jump shot19
37.6%
22
62.4%
Q1 - 1:43HeatPrecious Achiuwa defensive rebound19
38.8%
22
61.2%
Q1 - 1:45PacersAaron Holiday misses two point layup19
38.3%
22
61.7%
Q1 - 1:54PacersEdmond Sumner defensive rebound19
37.1%
22
62.9%
Q1 - 1:57HeatGabe Vincent misses three point stepback jump shot19
37.6%
22
62.4%
Q1 - 2:02HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound19
39.2%
22
60.8%
Q1 - 2:05HeatJimmy Butler misses two point turnaround bank jump shot19
37.8%
22
62.2%
Q1 - 2:21HeatHeat defensive rebound19
39.2%
22
60.8%
Q1 - 2:24PacersJustin Holiday misses three point pullup jump shot19
38.5%
22
61.5%
Q1 - 2:28PacersMalcolm Brogdon offensive rebound19
37.1%
22
62.9%
Q1 - 2:32PacersMalcolm Brogdon misses two point driving layup19
38.5%
22
61.5%
Q1 - 2:45PacersDomantas Sabonis defensive rebound19
37.1%
22
62.9%
Q1 - 2:47HeatGabe Vincent misses two point pullup jump shot19
37.8%
22
62.2%
Q1 - 3:07PacersDoug McDermott makes three point jump shot (T.J. McConnell assists)19
39.2%
22
60.8%
Q1 - 3:25HeatGabe Vincent makes two point driving layup19
43.2%
19
56.8%
Q1 - 3:39PacersPacers turnover (shot clock violation)17
41.3%
19
58.7%
Q1 - 3:39PacersPacers offensive rebound17
38.9%
19
61.1%
Q1 - 3:39PacersDomantas Sabonis misses three point pullup jump shot17
40.6%
19
59.4%
Q1 - 3:56HeatPrecious Achiuwa personal foul (Domantas Sabonis draws the foul)17
38.9%
19
61.1%
Q1 - 4:02PacersDomantas Sabonis defensive rebound17
39.1%
19
60.9%
Q1 - 4:05HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot17
39.9%
19
60.1%
Q1 - 4:17HeatPrecious Achiuwa offensive rebound17
41.5%
19
58.5%
Q1 - 4:20HeatTrevor Ariza misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot17
39.8%
19
60.2%
Q1 - 4:48PacersJustin Holiday makes two point running layup (Caris LeVert assists)17
41.5%
19
58.5%
Q1 - 4:53HeatJimmy Butler turnover (lost ball) (Caris LeVert steals)17
43.2%
17
56.8%
Q1 - 5:06PacersMyles Turner turnover (bad pass) (Trevor Ariza steals)17
45.5%
17
54.5%
Q1 - 5:20PacersMalcolm Brogdon defensive rebound17
43.4%
17
56.6%
Q1 - 5:23HeatGoran Dragic misses three point pullup jump shot17
44.0%
17
56.0%
Q1 - 5:35PacersMyles Turner makes three point jump shot (Caris LeVert assists)17
45.5%
17
54.5%
Q1 - 5:47HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 217
49.4%
14
50.6%
Q1 - 5:47HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 216
49.2%
14
50.8%
Q1 - 5:47PacersJustin Holiday shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)15
48.9%
14
51.1%
Q1 - 5:50HeatGoran Dragic defensive rebound15
47.6%
14
52.4%
Q1 - 5:54PacersCaris LeVert misses three point jump shot15
46.9%
14
53.1%
Q1 - 6:16PacersMyles Turner defensive rebound15
45.3%
14
54.7%
Q1 - 6:19HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot15
45.9%
14
54.1%
Q1 - 6:41PacersMyles Turner makes two point dunk (Malcolm Brogdon assists)15
47.2%
14
52.8%
Q1 - 6:52HeatGoran Dragic makes two point pullup jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)15
49.2%
12
50.8%
Q1 - 7:12PacersDomantas Sabonis makes two point putback layup13
47.2%
12
52.8%
Q1 - 7:12PacersDomantas Sabonis offensive rebound13
48.9%
10
51.1%
Q1 - 7:14PacersJustin Holiday misses two point driving layup13
50.3%
10
49.7%
Q1 - 7:31HeatGoran Dragic makes three point jump shot (Duncan Robinson assists)13
48.9%
10
51.1%
Q1 - 7:36HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound10
45.3%
10
54.7%
Q1 - 7:37PacersDomantas Sabonis misses two point layup10
44.6%
10
55.4%
Q1 - 7:45PacersMalcolm Brogdon defensive rebound10
43.2%
10
56.8%
Q1 - 7:47HeatBam Adebayo misses two point pullup jump shot10
43.8%
10
56.2%
Q1 - 8:00HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound10
45.3%
10
54.7%
Q1 - 8:00PacersMalcolm Brogdon misses three point jump shot10
44.6%
10
55.4%
Q1 - 8:02PacersDomantas Sabonis offensive rebound10
43.3%
10
56.7%
Q1 - 8:05PacersJustin Holiday misses three point jump shot10
44.8%
10
55.2%
Q1 - 8:10PacersJustin Holiday defensive rebound10
43.3%
10
56.7%
Q1 - 8:13HeatMyles Turner blocks Bam Adebayo's two point running layup10
44.0%
10
56.0%
Q1 - 8:17HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound10
45.5%
10
54.5%
Q1 - 8:20PacersMyles Turner misses three point jump shot10
44.8%
10
55.2%
Q1 - 8:40HeatGoran Dragic makes two point running layup (Bam Adebayo assists)10
43.3%
10
56.7%
Q1 - 8:45HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound8
41.7%
10
58.3%
Q1 - 8:48PacersCaris LeVert misses three point stepback jump shot8
41.1%
10
58.9%
Q1 - 9:05PacersMyles Turner defensive rebound8
39.5%
10
60.5%
Q1 - 9:07HeatTrevor Ariza misses regular free throw 2 of 28
39.8%
10
60.2%
Q1 - 9:07HeatTrevor Ariza misses regular free throw 1 of 28
41.0%
10
59.0%
Q1 - 9:07PacersMyles Turner shooting foul (Trevor Ariza draws the foul)8
42.5%
10
57.5%
Q1 - 9:30PacersMyles Turner makes two point driving dunk (Justin Holiday assists)8
41.7%
10
58.3%
Q1 - 9:49HeatGoran Dragic makes two point driving layup8
43.2%
8
56.8%
Q1 - 9:57PacersMyles Turner makes two point driving layup6
41.7%
8
58.3%
Q1 - 10:13HeatBam Adebayo turnover (bad pass) (Justin Holiday steals)6
43.1%
6
56.9%
Q1 - 10:27PacersDomantas Sabonis makes two point layup (Caris LeVert assists)6
45.2%
6
54.8%
Q1 - 10:41HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point pullup jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)6
46.9%
4
53.1%
Q1 - 10:50HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound3
43.3%
4
56.7%
Q1 - 10:52PacersDomantas Sabonis misses regular free throw 2 of 23
43.1%
4
56.9%
Q1 - 10:52PacersDomantas Sabonis makes regular free throw 1 of 23
41.9%
4
58.1%
Q1 - 10:52HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (Domantas Sabonis draws the foul)3
42.4%
3
57.6%
Q1 - 10:54PacersDomantas Sabonis offensive rebound3
43.1%
3
56.9%
Q1 - 10:58PacersMalcolm Brogdon misses three point jump shot3
44.6%
3
55.4%
Q1 - 11:13HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point pullup jump shot3
43.0%
3
57.0%
Q1 - 11:25PacersMalcolm Brogdon makes three point stepback jump shot0
39.6%
3
60.4%
Q1 - 11:45PacersMyles Turner defensive rebound0
43.1%
0
56.9%
Q1 - 11:48HeatTrevor Ariza misses three point jump shot0
43.7%
0
56.3%
Q1 - 12:00Bam Adebayo vs. Myles Turner (Goran Dragic gains possession)0
45.1%
0
54.9%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.98 48.9%
IND
0.92 45.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
17
27
63%
IND
17
33
52%
Midrange
MIA
5
19
26%
IND
6
15
40%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
10
15.0
32
31%
47%
IND
11
16.5
37
30%
45%
Free Throws
MIA
18
28
64%
IND
8
12
67%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Robinson2083%10.0 / 12
J. Butler1853%9.0 / 17
T. Herro1757%8.5 / 15
B. Adebayo1650%8.0 / 16
G. Dragic1260%6.0 / 10
G. Vincent321%1.5 / 7
T. Ariza213%1.0 / 8
A. Iguodala225%1.0 / 4
P. Achiuwa250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
IND logo Pacers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Turner1583%7.5 / 9
C. LeVert1447%7.0 / 15
D. McDermott14117%7.0 / 6
T. McConnell1142%5.5 / 13
D. Sabonis950%4.5 / 9
M. Brogdon727%3.5 / 13
G. Bitadze758%3.5 / 6
J. Holiday523%2.5 / 11
E. Sumner330%1.5 / 5
A. Holiday225%1.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
83
+11
-11
94
IND
81
+14
-13
95
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.98 48.9%
IND
0.92 45.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
111.1
112.3
MIA 97.9 +5.3
IND 92.6
Pace
96.7
101.6
MIA 92.0
IND 97.5 +5.5
Avg. Poss. Time
14.7
13.8
MIA 15.7
IND 14.8 +0.9
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
54.6%
54.2%
MIA 47.4% +0.9%
IND 46.5%
TO %
13.7%
12.7%
MIA 11.7% +2.5%
IND 14.2%
ORB %
19.4%
20.2%
MIA 17.8%
IND 24.4% +6.6%
FTrt
25.2
22.7
MIA 35.9 +21.8
IND 14.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
67.1%
63.3%
MIA 68.8% +1.2%
IND 67.6%
STL %
8.2%
8.3%
MIA 5.3%
IND 7.4% +2.1%
BLK %
8.5%
10.7%
MIA 8.3%
IND 8.7% +0.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
56.5%
56.3%
MIA 48.9% +3.1%
IND 45.8%
Rim FG%
64.8%
60.0%
MIA 63.0% +11.5%
IND 51.5%
Mid FG%
41.8%
43.2%
MIA 26.3%
IND 40.0% +13.7%
3P %
35.8%
36.4%
MIA 31.3% +1.6%
IND 29.7%
FT %
79.0%
79.2%
MIA 64.3%
IND 66.7% +2.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
33.3%
40.4%
MIA 34.6%
IND 38.8% +4.2%
Mid Att. %
23.5%
22.4%
MIA 24.4%
IND 17.6% +6.7%
3P Att. %
43.2%
37.2%
MIA 41.0%
IND 43.5% +2.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIAIND
Possessions9494
Possession Minutes24.523.1
Points9287
Rebounds4248
Assists2223
Steals57
Blocks44
Turnovers (Team)11 (1)13 (2)
Fouls1423
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (3)11 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)34 (4)37 (3)
Field Goals32-7834-85
At-the-Rim FG17-2717-33
Midrange FG5-196-15
2-Point FG22-4623-48
3-Point FG10-3211-37
Free Throws18-288-12
Fast Break Pts2116
2nd Chance Pts79
Points in Paint4240
Pts off Turnovers1614
Bench Points2437
Biggest Lead715

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#22 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 32
37.3
18
53%
4
4
2
1
2
1
1
3
6-7
86%
6-12
50%
0-2
0%
#13 · C · 6'9" 255 · 24
34.9
16
50%
8
7
1
2
2
2
3
5
8-12
67%
4-10
40%
0-0
-
#55 · SG · 6'7" 215 · 27
33.4
20
83%
8
4
0
0
3
3
0
8
0-0
-
1-1
100%
6-11
55%
#8 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 36
25.6
2
13%
3
1
1
0
1
1
0
3
0-2
0%
1-4
25%
0-3
0%
#7 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 35
23.6
12
60%
3
2
0
0
2
2
0
3
0-0
-
3-5
60%
2-5
40%
#14 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 21
32.2
17
57%
4
2
0
1
0
0
0
4
3-5
60%
4-7
57%
2-6
33%
#28 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 37
22.9
2
25%
7
2
1
0
1
1
2
5
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-1
0%
#2 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 25
16.9
3
21%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
1-2
50%
1-2
50%
0-4
0%
#5 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 22
7.6
2
50%
4
0
0
0
0
2
2
2
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
#70 · PF · 6'10" 230 · 33
5.5
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
#25 · PG · 6'3" 193 · 26
DND - Injury/Illness | Right Ankle; Sprain
#4 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 29
DNP - Coach's Decision
#31 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 25
DNP - Coach's Decision
#11 · PF · 6'9" 210 · 22
INACTIVE
#40 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 41
INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
92
49%
42
22
5
4
11
14
8
34
18-28
64%
22-46
48%
10-32
31%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.