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All Games Friday, March 26, 2021
FinalWin Prob.pScore
12
Heat
49%108
105
22
Hornets
51%109
110
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
110.59594.0
CHA logo CHA
117.09495.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HornetsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HornetsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIACHA
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.105
0%
110
100%
Q4 - 0:02.9HornetsDevonte' Graham makes regular free throw 2 of 2105
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 0:02.9HornetsDevonte' Graham makes regular free throw 1 of 2105
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 0:02.9HeatJimmy Butler personal foul (Take) (Devonte' Graham draws the foul)105
0.2%
108
99.8%
Q4 - 0:06.6HeatTyler Herro makes two point cutting layup (Trevor Ariza assists)105
1.3%
108
98.7%
Q4 - 0:10.2HornetsGordon Hayward makes regular free throw 2 of 2103
0.8%
108
99.2%
Q4 - 0:10.2HornetsGordon Hayward misses regular free throw 1 of 2103
0.9%
107
99.1%
Q4 - 0:10.2HeatTrevor Ariza personal foul (Take) (Gordon Hayward draws the foul)103
0.4%
107
99.6%
Q4 - 0:10.9HeatTrevor Ariza personal foul (Malik Monk draws the foul)103
0.8%
107
99.2%
Q4 - 0:28.7HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)103
2.1%
107
97.9%
Q4 - 0:43.1HornetsTerry Rozier makes two point fadeaway jump shot (Devonte' Graham assists)100
1.2%
107
98.8%
Q4 - 0:45.6HornetsHornets offensive rebound100
2.4%
105
97.6%
Q4 - 0:47.1HornetsTerry Rozier misses two point pullup jump shot100
4.0%
105
96.0%
Q4 - 1:09HeatBam Adebayo makes two point cutting layup (Jimmy Butler assists)100
3.6%
105
96.4%
Q4 - 1:17HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound98
2.9%
105
97.1%
Q4 - 1:22HornetsTerry Rozier misses three point jump shot98
2.7%
105
97.3%
Q4 - 1:32HeatBam Adebayo makes two point driving layup (Duncan Robinson assists)98
2.2%
105
97.8%
Q4 - 1:40HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound96
1.7%
105
98.3%
Q4 - 1:42HornetsGordon Hayward misses two point driving layup96
1.5%
105
98.5%
Q4 - 2:03HeatBam Adebayo makes two point layup (Trevor Ariza assists)96
1.1%
105
98.9%
Q4 - 2:17Jump ball. Bam Adebayo vs. Gordon Hayward (Tyler Herro gains possession)94
0.8%
105
99.2%
Q4 - 2:23HornetsGordon Hayward offensive rebound94
0.4%
105
99.6%
Q4 - 2:26HornetsTerry Rozier misses three point pullup jump shot94
0.7%
105
99.3%
Q4 - 2:52HeatBam Adebayo makes two point layup (Jimmy Butler assists)94
0.7%
105
99.3%
Q4 - 3:04HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound92
0.5%
105
99.5%
Q4 - 3:09HornetsDevonte' Graham misses three point jump shot92
0.4%
105
99.6%
Q4 - 3:30HeatTrevor Ariza makes two point running dunk (Duncan Robinson assists)92
0.3%
105
99.7%
Q4 - 3:35HornetsDevonte' Graham turnover (bad pass) (Trevor Ariza steals)90
0.6%
105
99.4%
Q4 - 3:46HornetsDevonte' Graham defensive rebound90
0.4%
105
99.6%
Q4 - 3:50HeatJimmy Butler misses three point running pullup jump shot90
0.4%
105
99.6%
Q4 - 3:53HeatAndre Iguodala defensive rebound90
0.5%
105
99.5%
Q4 - 3:56HornetsGordon Hayward misses two point driving layup90
0.5%
105
99.5%
Q4 - 4:18HeatDuncan Robinson makes two point bank jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)90
0.3%
105
99.7%
Q4 - 4:35HornetsDevonte' Graham makes three point fadeaway jump shot (Terry Rozier assists)88
0.2%
105
99.8%
Q4 - 4:56HeatJimmy Butler makes two point pullup jump shot88
0.5%
102
99.5%
Q4 - 5:21HornetsTerry Rozier makes two point pullup jump shot86
0.7%
102
99.3%
Q4 - 5:27HornetsGordon Hayward defensive rebound86
0.9%
100
99.1%
Q4 - 5:30HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot86
1.0%
100
99.0%
Q4 - 5:35HornetsTerry Rozier turnover (bad pass) (Andre Iguodala steals)86
1.2%
100
98.8%
Q4 - 5:55HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)86
0.9%
100
99.1%
Q4 - 6:25HornetsGordon Hayward makes two point driving floating jump shot (Cody Martin assists)83
0.8%
100
99.2%
Q4 - 6:46HornetsCody Martin defensive rebound83
1.0%
98
99.0%
Q4 - 6:46HeatAndre Iguodala misses three point jump shot83
1.1%
98
98.9%
Q4 - 7:05HornetsMalik Monk makes two point driving dunk (Terry Rozier assists)83
2.0%
98
98.0%
Q4 - 7:19HeatJimmy Butler personal foul (Loose ball) (Bismack Biyombo draws the foul)83
2.5%
96
97.5%
Q4 - 7:19HornetsHornets offensive rebound83
2.5%
96
97.5%
Q4 - 7:20HornetsGordon Hayward misses three point jump shot83
3.1%
96
96.9%
Q4 - 7:25HornetsGordon Hayward defensive rebound83
2.5%
96
97.5%
Q4 - 7:28HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot83
2.7%
96
97.3%
Q4 - 7:30HeatAndre Iguodala offensive rebound83
3.3%
96
96.7%
Q4 - 7:33HeatJimmy Butler misses three point jump shot83
2.7%
96
97.3%
Q4 - 7:58HornetsMiles Bridges makes two point alley-oop dunk (Terry Rozier assists)83
3.3%
96
96.7%
Q4 - 8:01HeatTyler Herro turnover (bad pass) (Bismack Biyombo steals)83
5.1%
94
94.9%
Q4 - 8:23HornetsCody Martin turnover (offensive foul)83
6.5%
94
93.5%
Q4 - 8:23HornetsCody Martin offensive foul (Charge) (Duncan Robinson draws the foul)83
5.1%
94
94.9%
Q4 - 8:33HornetsCody Martin defensive rebound83
5.1%
94
94.9%
Q4 - 8:35HeatTyler Herro misses two point jump shot83
5.5%
94
94.5%
Q4 - 8:37HeatTyler Herro offensive rebound83
6.4%
94
93.6%
Q4 - 8:41HeatTyler Herro misses two point stepback jump shot83
5.4%
94
94.6%
Q4 - 8:44HeatAndre Iguodala defensive rebound83
6.4%
94
93.6%
Q4 - 8:47HornetsTerry Rozier misses three point jump shot83
6.0%
94
94.0%
Q4 - 9:16HeatTyler Herro makes two point stepback jump shot83
5.9%
94
94.1%
Q4 - 9:22HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound81
4.8%
94
95.2%
Q4 - 9:26HornetsCody Martin misses three point jump shot81
4.4%
94
95.6%
Q4 - 9:57HeatGabe Vincent turnover (out of bounds lost ball)81
3.7%
94
96.3%
Q4 - 10:00HornetsDevonte' Graham turnover (lost ball) (Gabe Vincent steals)81
4.8%
94
95.2%
Q4 - 10:18HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving layup (Bam Adebayo assists)81
4.5%
94
95.5%
Q4 - 10:34HornetsDevonte' Graham turnover (out of bounds bad pass)79
3.7%
94
96.3%
Q4 - 10:39HeatMax Strus personal foul (Cody Zeller draws the foul)79
2.9%
94
97.1%
Q4 - 10:41HornetsCody Zeller defensive rebound79
2.9%
94
97.1%
Q4 - 10:44HeatAndre Iguodala misses three point stepback jump shot79
3.1%
94
96.9%
Q4 - 11:11HornetsCody Zeller makes two point layup (Devonte' Graham assists)79
4.2%
94
95.8%
Q4 - 11:17HeatBam Adebayo turnover (bad pass) (Cody Zeller steals)79
5.1%
92
94.9%
Q4 - 11:32HeatAndre Iguodala defensive rebound79
6.2%
92
93.8%
Q4 - 11:35HornetsDevonte' Graham misses three point jump shot79
5.8%
92
94.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.79
5.1%
92
94.9%
Q3 - 0:00.5HeatTrevor Ariza makes regular free throw 3 of 379
6.0%
92
94.0%
Q3 - 0:00.5HeatTrevor Ariza makes regular free throw 2 of 378
5.8%
92
94.2%
Q3 - 0:00.5HeatTrevor Ariza misses regular free throw 1 of 377
5.6%
92
94.4%
Q3 - 0:00.5HornetsMalik Monk shooting foul (Trevor Ariza draws the foul)77
6.5%
92
93.5%
Q3 - 0:02.1HeatTrevor Ariza defensive rebound77
4.9%
92
95.1%
Q3 - 0:02.1HornetsMiles Bridges misses three point jump shot77
4.6%
92
95.4%
Q3 - 0:23.1HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 277
4.0%
92
96.0%
Q3 - 0:23.1HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 276
3.9%
92
96.1%
Q3 - 0:23.1HornetsCody Zeller shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)75
3.8%
92
96.2%
Q3 - 0:34.3HornetsMalik Monk turnover (palming)75
3.3%
92
96.7%
Q3 - 0:46.6HornetsGordon Hayward defensive rebound75
2.7%
92
97.3%
Q3 - 0:49.9HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot75
2.9%
92
97.1%
Q3 - 0:56.3HornetsDevonte' Graham turnover (bad pass) (Max Strus steals)75
3.3%
92
96.7%
Q3 - 1:06HornetsMiles Bridges defensive rebound75
3.2%
92
96.8%
Q3 - 1:08HeatJimmy Butler misses three point jump shot75
3.4%
92
96.6%
Q3 - 1:17HeatHeat offensive rebound75
4.0%
92
96.0%
Q3 - 1:17HeatMalik Monk blocks Precious Achiuwa's two point putback layup75
3.4%
92
96.6%
Q3 - 1:17HeatPrecious Achiuwa offensive rebound75
4.0%
92
96.0%
Q3 - 1:17HeatAndre Iguodala misses two point jump shot75
3.4%
92
96.6%
Q3 - 1:32HeatAndre Iguodala defensive rebound75
3.9%
92
96.1%
Q3 - 1:36HornetsMalik Monk misses three point jump shot75
3.7%
92
96.3%
Q3 - 1:56HeatMax Strus makes regular free throw 2 of 275
3.2%
92
96.8%
Q3 - 1:56HeatMax Strus misses regular free throw 1 of 274
3.1%
92
96.9%
Q3 - 1:56HornetsMiles Bridges shooting foul (Max Strus draws the foul)74
3.5%
92
96.5%
Q3 - 2:15HornetsMalik Monk makes two point driving floating jump shot74
3.9%
92
96.1%
Q3 - 2:32HeatTyler Herro turnover (out of bounds bad pass)74
4.6%
90
95.4%
Q3 - 2:51HornetsMalik Monk makes two point stepback jump shot74
5.5%
90
94.5%
Q3 - 3:12HeatTyler Herro makes three point pullup jump shot (Duncan Robinson assists)74
7.1%
88
92.9%
Q3 - 3:23HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound71
5.3%
88
94.7%
Q3 - 3:26HornetsP.J. Washington misses three point jump shot71
5.0%
88
95.0%
Q3 - 3:40HeatTrevor Ariza makes two point driving layup (Tyler Herro assists)71
4.3%
88
95.7%
Q3 - 3:50HornetsMalik Monk makes two point pullup jump shot69
3.8%
88
96.2%
Q3 - 4:17HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)69
4.9%
86
95.1%
Q3 - 4:21HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound66
3.7%
86
96.3%
Q3 - 4:24HornetsMalik Monk misses three point jump shot66
3.5%
86
96.5%
Q3 - 4:44HeatBam Adebayo makes two point dunk (Jimmy Butler assists)66
3.0%
86
97.0%
Q3 - 4:51HeatTrevor Ariza defensive rebound64
2.6%
86
97.4%
Q3 - 4:54HornetsGordon Hayward misses two point pullup jump shot64
2.5%
86
97.5%
Q3 - 5:01HeatBam Adebayo personal foul (P.J. Washington draws the foul)64
2.6%
86
97.4%
Q3 - 5:11HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 264
2.6%
86
97.4%
Q3 - 5:11HeatBam Adebayo misses regular free throw 1 of 263
2.5%
86
97.5%
Q3 - 5:11HornetsGordon Hayward shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)63
2.9%
86
97.1%
Q3 - 5:17HornetsTerry Rozier personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)63
2.6%
86
97.4%
Q3 - 5:26HornetsGordon Hayward turnover (out of bounds bad pass)63
2.6%
86
97.4%
Q3 - 5:39HeatJimmy Butler makes two point running layup63
2.2%
86
97.8%
Q3 - 5:44HornetsP.J. Washington turnover (bad pass) (Jimmy Butler steals)61
1.9%
86
98.1%
Q3 - 5:51HornetsP.J. Washington defensive rebound61
1.6%
86
98.4%
Q3 - 5:54HeatJimmy Butler misses two point pullup jump shot61
1.7%
86
98.3%
Q3 - 6:18HeatHeat defensive rebound61
2.2%
86
97.8%
Q3 - 6:18HornetsTerry Rozier misses two point driving layup61
2.1%
86
97.9%
Q3 - 6:36HeatJimmy Butler makes three point jump shot (Trevor Ariza assists)61
1.9%
86
98.1%
Q3 - 6:47HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound58
1.4%
86
98.6%
Q3 - 6:51HornetsDevonte' Graham misses three point pullup jump shot58
1.3%
86
98.7%
Q3 - 7:13HeatGabe Vincent turnover (offensive foul)58
1.3%
86
98.7%
Q3 - 7:13HeatGabe Vincent offensive foul (Charge) (Devonte' Graham draws the foul)58
1.6%
86
98.4%
Q3 - 7:20HornetsDevonte' Graham makes three point jump shot (Terry Rozier assists)58
1.6%
86
98.4%
Q3 - 7:36HeatTrevor Ariza makes two point layup (Jimmy Butler assists)58
2.0%
83
98.0%
Q3 - 7:46HeatTrevor Ariza defensive rebound56
1.8%
83
98.2%
Q3 - 7:49HornetsTerry Rozier misses three point jump shot56
1.7%
83
98.3%
Q3 - 7:55HornetsTerry Rozier defensive rebound56
1.5%
83
98.5%
Q3 - 7:57HeatTrevor Ariza misses three point jump shot56
1.6%
83
98.4%
Q3 - 8:16HornetsGordon Hayward makes three point jump shot (Terry Rozier assists)56
2.0%
83
98.0%
Q3 - 8:23HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Gabe Vincent assists)56
2.6%
80
97.4%
Q3 - 8:43HornetsTerry Rozier makes three point jump shot (P.J. Washington assists)53
2.0%
80
98.0%
Q3 - 8:52HornetsTerry Rozier defensive rebound53
2.6%
77
97.4%
Q3 - 8:56HeatGabe Vincent misses three point jump shot53
2.7%
77
97.3%
Q3 - 9:09HornetsBismack Biyombo turnover (traveling)53
3.3%
77
96.7%
Q3 - 9:22Jump ball. P.J. Washington vs. Trevor Ariza (Devonte' Graham gains possession)53
2.8%
77
97.2%
Q3 - 9:26HornetsTerry Rozier turnover (lost ball) (Trevor Ariza steals)53
3.3%
77
96.7%
Q3 - 9:47HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 253
2.8%
77
97.2%
Q3 - 9:47HeatJimmy Butler misses regular free throw 1 of 252
2.8%
77
97.2%
Q3 - 9:47HornetsBismack Biyombo shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)52
3.1%
77
96.9%
Q3 - 9:56HornetsDevonte' Graham turnover (lost ball) (Gabe Vincent steals)52
2.9%
77
97.1%
Q3 - 10:06HornetsTerry Rozier defensive rebound52
2.7%
77
97.3%
Q3 - 10:09HeatGabe Vincent misses three point stepback jump shot52
2.9%
77
97.1%
Q3 - 10:28HornetsTerry Rozier makes two point running layup52
3.2%
77
96.8%
Q3 - 10:34HornetsTerry Rozier defensive rebound52
3.6%
75
96.4%
Q3 - 10:38HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot52
3.7%
75
96.3%
Q3 - 10:48HornetsP.J. Washington turnover (out of bounds bad pass)52
4.1%
75
95.9%
Q3 - 11:06HeatGabe Vincent makes three point pullup jump shot52
3.9%
75
96.1%
Q3 - 11:13HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound49
3.0%
75
97.0%
Q3 - 11:16HornetsP.J. Washington misses two point hook shot49
2.9%
75
97.1%
Q3 - 11:26HeatDuncan Robinson turnover (offensive foul)49
2.6%
75
97.4%
Q3 - 11:26HeatDuncan Robinson offensive foul (Bismack Biyombo draws the foul)49
3.0%
75
97.0%
Q3 - 11:30HornetsP.J. Washington personal foul (Loose ball) (Duncan Robinson draws the foul)49
3.0%
75
97.0%
Q3 - 11:32HornetsDevonte' Graham makes three point jump shot (Terry Rozier assists)49
3.0%
75
97.0%
Q3 - 11:47HornetsBismack Biyombo defensive rebound49
3.9%
72
96.1%
Q3 - 11:50HeatGabe Vincent misses three point jump shot49
4.0%
72
96.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.49
4.4%
72
95.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0HeatHeat offensive rebound49
4.4%
72
95.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0HeatTrevor Ariza misses two point tip layup49
4.0%
72
96.0%
Q2 - 0:00.2HeatTrevor Ariza offensive rebound49
4.9%
72
95.1%
Q2 - 0:00.2HeatJimmy Butler misses regular free throw 2 of 249
4.5%
72
95.5%
Q2 - 0:00.2HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 249
5.0%
72
95.0%
Q2 - 0:00.2HornetsMiles Bridges shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)48
4.9%
72
95.1%
Q2 - 0:12.6HeatHeat defensive rebound48
4.3%
72
95.7%
Q2 - 0:15.3HornetsGordon Hayward misses three point jump shot48
4.2%
72
95.8%
Q2 - 0:30.2HornetsMalik Monk defensive rebound48
3.9%
72
96.1%
Q2 - 0:32.7HeatJimmy Butler misses three point jump shot48
4.0%
72
96.0%
Q2 - 0:48.7HornetsMiles Bridges makes regular free throw 2 of 248
4.3%
72
95.7%
Q2 - 0:48.7HornetsMiles Bridges makes regular free throw 1 of 248
4.3%
71
95.7%
Q2 - 0:48.7HeatJimmy Butler personal foul (Loose ball) (Miles Bridges draws the foul)48
4.4%
70
95.6%
Q2 - 0:48.7HornetsHornets defensive rebound48
5.0%
70
95.0%
Q2 - 0:49.7HeatTyler Herro misses two point pullup jump shot48
5.1%
70
94.9%
Q2 - 1:02HornetsTerry Rozier makes two point jump shot48
6.0%
70
94.0%
Q2 - 1:14HornetsBismack Biyombo defensive rebound48
7.0%
68
93.0%
Q2 - 1:16HeatBam Adebayo misses regular free throw 2 of 248
7.1%
68
92.9%
Q2 - 1:16HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 248
7.7%
68
92.3%
Q2 - 1:16HornetsBismack Biyombo shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)47
7.5%
68
92.5%
Q2 - 1:23HornetsGordon Hayward turnover (out of bounds bad pass)47
6.7%
68
93.3%
Q2 - 1:33HeatBam Adebayo makes two point layup47
6.2%
68
93.8%
Q2 - 1:41HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound45
5.2%
68
94.8%
Q2 - 1:44HornetsGordon Hayward misses regular free throw 2 of 245
5.2%
68
94.8%
Q2 - 1:44HornetsGordon Hayward misses regular free throw 1 of 245
4.7%
68
95.3%
Q2 - 1:44HeatJimmy Butler personal foul (Gordon Hayward draws the foul)45
4.3%
68
95.7%
Q2 - 1:54HornetsMalik Monk defensive rebound45
4.9%
68
95.1%
Q2 - 1:57HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving layup45
5.0%
68
95.0%
Q2 - 2:08HeatHeat offensive rebound45
6.1%
68
93.9%
Q2 - 2:08HeatP.J. Washington blocks Bam Adebayo's two point layup45
5.6%
68
94.4%
Q2 - 2:12HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound45
6.0%
68
94.0%
Q2 - 2:12HornetsBismack Biyombo misses two point tip layup45
5.8%
68
94.2%
Q2 - 2:12HornetsBismack Biyombo offensive rebound45
5.4%
68
94.6%
Q2 - 2:12HornetsMalik Monk misses two point driving floating jump shot45
5.8%
68
94.2%
Q2 - 2:34HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving layup45
5.3%
68
94.7%
Q2 - 2:51HeatTrevor Ariza defensive rebound43
4.8%
68
95.2%
Q2 - 2:53HornetsTerry Rozier misses three point jump shot43
4.6%
68
95.4%
Q2 - 3:13HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 243
4.8%
68
95.2%
Q2 - 3:13HeatBam Adebayo misses regular free throw 1 of 242
4.7%
68
95.3%
Q2 - 3:13HornetsBismack Biyombo shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)42
5.1%
68
94.9%
Q2 - 3:18HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound42
4.9%
68
95.1%
Q2 - 3:21HornetsMalik Monk misses three point jump shot42
4.7%
68
95.3%
Q2 - 3:37HeatBam Adebayo makes two point stepback jump shot42
4.3%
68
95.7%
Q2 - 4:02HornetsMalik Monk makes three point jump shot (Terry Rozier assists)40
4.4%
68
95.6%
Q2 - 4:18HeatKendrick Nunn makes three point jump shot (Precious Achiuwa assists)40
5.4%
65
94.6%
Q2 - 4:31HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound37
4.3%
65
95.7%
Q2 - 4:35HornetsP.J. Washington misses three point jump shot37
4.2%
65
95.8%
Q2 - 4:41HornetsP.J. Washington defensive rebound37
3.9%
65
96.1%
Q2 - 4:44HeatPrecious Achiuwa misses two point layup37
4.0%
65
96.0%
Q2 - 5:03HeatTrevor Ariza defensive rebound37
4.6%
65
95.4%
Q2 - 5:06HornetsGordon Hayward misses two point jump shot37
4.5%
65
95.5%
Q2 - 5:21HeatPrecious Achiuwa makes two point dunk (Jimmy Butler assists)37
4.1%
65
95.9%
Q2 - 5:36HornetsGordon Hayward makes two point fadeaway jump shot (Cody Martin assists)35
3.7%
65
96.3%
Q2 - 5:38HornetsHornets offensive rebound35
4.1%
63
95.9%
Q2 - 5:38HornetsTrevor Ariza blocks Terry Rozier's two point driving layup35
4.4%
63
95.6%
Q2 - 6:01HeatJimmy Butler makes two point jump shot35
4.3%
63
95.7%
Q2 - 6:19HornetsTerry Rozier makes regular free throw 3 of 333
3.9%
63
96.1%
Q2 - 6:19HornetsTerry Rozier misses regular free throw 2 of 333
4.0%
62
96.0%
Q2 - 6:19HornetsTerry Rozier makes regular free throw 1 of 333
3.7%
62
96.3%
Q2 - 6:19HeatKendrick Nunn shooting foul (Terry Rozier draws the foul)33
3.7%
61
96.3%
Q2 - 6:43HornetsCody Zeller defensive rebound33
4.3%
61
95.7%
Q2 - 6:44HeatPrecious Achiuwa misses regular free throw 1 of 133
4.3%
61
95.7%
Q2 - 6:44HornetsCody Martin shooting foul (Precious Achiuwa draws the foul)33
4.6%
61
95.4%
Q2 - 7:00HornetsTerry Rozier makes regular free throw 2 of 231
3.9%
61
96.1%
Q2 - 7:00HornetsTerry Rozier makes regular free throw 1 of 231
4.0%
60
96.0%
Q2 - 7:00HeatKendrick Nunn shooting foul (Terry Rozier draws the foul)31
4.0%
59
96.0%
Q2 - 7:14HornetsCody Zeller defensive rebound31
4.8%
59
95.2%
Q2 - 7:16HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot31
4.9%
59
95.1%
Q2 - 7:37HornetsMiles Bridges makes three point jump shot (Cody Martin assists)31
5.2%
59
94.8%
Q2 - 7:57HornetsTerry Rozier defensive rebound31
6.3%
56
93.7%
Q2 - 8:00HeatBam Adebayo misses two point jump shot31
6.5%
56
93.5%
Q2 - 8:17HornetsCody Zeller makes regular free throw 1 of 131
7.3%
56
92.7%
Q2 - 8:17HeatDuncan Robinson shooting foul (Cody Zeller draws the foul)31
7.4%
55
92.6%
Q2 - 8:17HornetsCody Zeller offensive rebound31
8.8%
53
91.2%
Q2 - 8:19HornetsMiles Bridges misses three point jump shot31
9.4%
53
90.6%
Q2 - 8:24HornetsCody Zeller offensive rebound31
8.8%
53
91.2%
Q2 - 8:26HornetsDevonte' Graham misses three point jump shot31
9.4%
53
90.6%
Q2 - 8:29HornetsMiles Bridges defensive rebound31
8.8%
53
91.2%
Q2 - 8:32HeatAndre Iguodala misses three point jump shot31
9.0%
53
91.0%
Q2 - 8:55HornetsDevonte' Graham makes two point reverse layup (Cody Martin assists)31
9.6%
53
90.4%
Q2 - 8:59HornetsCody Zeller offensive rebound31
10.5%
51
89.5%
Q2 - 9:01HornetsMiles Bridges misses two point alley-oop dunk31
11.7%
51
88.3%
Q2 - 9:16HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving layup31
11.0%
51
89.0%
Q2 - 9:23HeatAndre Iguodala defensive rebound29
10.1%
51
89.9%
Q2 - 9:26HornetsMalik Monk misses three point jump shot29
9.8%
51
90.2%
Q2 - 9:39HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Andre Iguodala assists)29
9.2%
51
90.8%
Q2 - 9:57HornetsMalik Monk makes three point jump shot (Devonte' Graham assists)26
7.6%
51
92.4%
Q2 - 10:17HornetsMiles Bridges defensive rebound26
9.6%
48
90.4%
Q2 - 10:21HeatKendrick Nunn misses three point jump shot26
9.9%
48
90.1%
Q2 - 10:41HornetsMalik Monk makes regular free throw 2 of 226
10.5%
48
89.5%
Q2 - 10:41HornetsMalik Monk makes regular free throw 1 of 226
10.6%
47
89.4%
Q2 - 10:41HeatDuncan Robinson shooting foul (Malik Monk draws the foul)26
10.8%
46
89.2%
Q2 - 10:45HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)26
11.4%
46
88.6%
Q2 - 10:53HornetsCody Zeller personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)23
9.6%
46
90.4%
Q2 - 11:13HornetsMalik Monk makes three point jump shot (Devonte' Graham assists)23
10.0%
46
90.0%
Q2 - 11:20HornetsCody Zeller defensive rebound23
12.0%
43
88.0%
Q2 - 11:23HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot23
12.3%
43
87.7%
Q2 - 11:36HornetsMalik Monk makes three point stepback jump shot23
12.9%
43
87.1%
Q2 - 11:47HeatGabe Vincent turnover (bad pass) (Cody Zeller steals)23
15.3%
40
84.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.23
16.5%
40
83.5%
Q1 - 0:01.2HornetsMalik Monk makes three point jump shot (Devonte' Graham assists)23
16.8%
40
83.2%
Q1 - 0:11.2HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving floating jump shot23
19.9%
37
80.1%
Q1 - 0:31.1HornetsMiles Bridges makes three point jump shot (Devonte' Graham assists)21
18.1%
37
81.9%
Q1 - 0:36.8HornetsGordon Hayward defensive rebound21
21.4%
34
78.6%
Q1 - 0:40.4HeatPrecious Achiuwa misses regular free throw 2 of 221
21.6%
34
78.4%
Q1 - 0:40.4HeatPrecious Achiuwa misses regular free throw 1 of 221
22.4%
34
77.6%
Q1 - 0:40.4HornetsP.J. Washington shooting foul (Precious Achiuwa draws the foul)21
23.4%
34
76.6%
Q1 - 0:59.4HornetsMalik Monk makes two point running layup21
22.7%
34
77.3%
Q1 - 1:02HeatAndre Iguodala turnover (lost ball) (Malik Monk steals)21
25.0%
32
75.0%
Q1 - 1:17HeatPrecious Achiuwa defensive rebound21
26.3%
32
73.7%
Q1 - 1:21HornetsDevonte' Graham misses three point jump shot21
25.9%
32
74.1%
Q1 - 1:35HeatMax Strus makes three point jump shot (Precious Achiuwa assists)21
25.0%
32
75.0%
Q1 - 1:36HeatPrecious Achiuwa offensive rebound18
21.3%
32
78.7%
Q1 - 1:38HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot18
20.5%
32
79.5%
Q1 - 1:40HeatAndre Iguodala offensive rebound18
21.3%
32
78.7%
Q1 - 1:44HeatTyler Herro misses two point pullup jump shot18
20.5%
32
79.5%
Q1 - 1:59HornetsTerry Rozier makes three point jump shot (Gordon Hayward assists)18
21.3%
32
78.7%
Q1 - 2:14HeatGabe Vincent personal foul (Miles Bridges draws the foul)18
25.4%
29
74.6%
Q1 - 2:17HornetsGordon Hayward defensive rebound18
25.4%
29
74.6%
Q1 - 2:21HeatGabe Vincent misses three point jump shot18
25.9%
29
74.1%
Q1 - 2:26HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound18
27.0%
29
73.0%
Q1 - 2:29HeatGordon Hayward blocks Tyler Herro's two point driving layup18
25.9%
29
74.1%
Q1 - 2:36HeatPrecious Achiuwa defensive rebound18
27.0%
29
73.0%
Q1 - 2:39HornetsPrecious Achiuwa blocks Miles Bridges's two point driving layup18
26.5%
29
73.5%
Q1 - 2:45HornetsP.J. Washington defensive rebound18
25.3%
29
74.7%
Q1 - 2:47HeatTrevor Ariza misses three point jump shot18
25.8%
29
74.2%
Q1 - 2:57HeatPrecious Achiuwa defensive rebound18
27.0%
29
73.0%
Q1 - 3:00HornetsTerry Rozier misses three point jump shot18
26.5%
29
73.5%
Q1 - 3:18HeatTrevor Ariza makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)18
25.3%
29
74.7%
Q1 - 3:29HornetsMalik Monk makes two point running layup (Gordon Hayward assists)15
22.4%
29
77.6%
Q1 - 3:32HornetsGordon Hayward defensive rebound15
23.7%
27
76.3%
Q1 - 3:35HeatP.J. Washington blocks Jimmy Butler's two point driving layup15
24.3%
27
75.7%
Q1 - 3:54HornetsP.J. Washington makes three point jump shot (Miles Bridges assists)15
25.6%
27
74.4%
Q1 - 4:02HornetsP.J. Washington defensive rebound15
29.5%
24
70.5%
Q1 - 4:04HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving layup15
30.2%
24
69.8%
Q1 - 4:14HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound15
31.6%
24
68.4%
Q1 - 4:17HornetsP.J. Washington misses three point jump shot15
30.9%
24
69.1%
Q1 - 4:38HeatTrevor Ariza makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)15
29.5%
24
70.5%
Q1 - 4:54HornetsTerry Rozier makes three point jump shot (Gordon Hayward assists)12
26.3%
24
73.7%
Q1 - 5:06HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving layup12
30.4%
21
69.6%
Q1 - 5:17HornetsMalik Monk makes regular free throw 1 of 110
28.8%
21
71.2%
Q1 - 5:17HeatPrecious Achiuwa shooting foul (Malik Monk draws the foul)10
29.0%
20
71.0%
Q1 - 5:24HornetsMiles Bridges defensive rebound10
32.1%
18
67.9%
Q1 - 5:28HeatTrevor Ariza misses three point jump shot10
32.7%
18
67.3%
Q1 - 5:39HeatHeat offensive rebound10
34.0%
18
66.0%
Q1 - 5:39HeatBismack Biyombo blocks Trevor Ariza's two point layup10
32.7%
18
67.3%
Q1 - 5:56HornetsBismack Biyombo makes two point dunk (P.J. Washington assists)10
34.0%
18
66.0%
Q1 - 6:15HeatKendrick Nunn makes three point jump shot (Trevor Ariza assists)10
36.2%
16
63.8%
Q1 - 6:37HornetsP.J. Washington makes two point driving layup (Devonte' Graham assists)7
32.6%
16
67.4%
Q1 - 6:43HeatKendrick Nunn makes two point running layup (Trevor Ariza assists)7
34.4%
14
65.6%
Q1 - 6:50HeatTrevor Ariza defensive rebound5
32.6%
14
67.4%
Q1 - 6:50HornetsTrevor Ariza blocks P.J. Washington's two point jump shot5
32.1%
14
67.9%
Q1 - 6:56HornetsGordon Hayward defensive rebound5
30.9%
14
69.1%
Q1 - 6:58HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot5
31.4%
14
68.6%
Q1 - 7:22HornetsGordon Hayward makes three point jump shot (Terry Rozier assists)5
33.1%
14
66.9%
Q1 - 7:30HornetsBismack Biyombo defensive rebound5
36.4%
11
63.6%
Q1 - 7:33HeatJimmy Butler misses three point jump shot5
37.0%
11
63.0%
Q1 - 7:42HeatTrevor Ariza defensive rebound5
38.4%
11
61.6%
Q1 - 7:45HornetsDevonte' Graham misses two point fadeaway jump shot5
37.8%
11
62.2%
Q1 - 7:54HornetsBismack Biyombo defensive rebound5
36.4%
11
63.6%
Q1 - 7:59HeatKendrick Nunn misses two point pullup jump shot5
37.0%
11
63.0%
Q1 - 8:07HornetsP.J. Washington personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)5
38.8%
11
61.2%
Q1 - 8:16HornetsTerry Rozier makes three point jump shot (Bismack Biyombo assists)5
38.7%
11
61.3%
Q1 - 8:20HornetsBismack Biyombo offensive rebound5
42.1%
8
57.9%
Q1 - 8:24HornetsDevonte' Graham misses three point jump shot5
43.6%
8
56.4%
Q1 - 8:31HornetsBismack Biyombo defensive rebound5
42.1%
8
57.9%
Q1 - 8:34HeatTrevor Ariza misses three point jump shot5
42.7%
8
57.3%
Q1 - 8:42HornetsGordon Hayward personal foul (Duncan Robinson draws the foul)5
44.2%
8
55.8%
Q1 - 8:48HeatHeat offensive rebound5
44.2%
8
55.8%
Q1 - 8:48HeatTerry Rozier blocks Bam Adebayo's two point layup5
42.7%
8
57.3%
Q1 - 8:54HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound5
44.2%
8
55.8%
Q1 - 8:59HornetsP.J. Washington misses regular free throw 2 of 25
43.9%
8
56.1%
Q1 - 8:59HornetsP.J. Washington makes regular free throw 1 of 25
42.8%
8
57.2%
Q1 - 8:59HeatDuncan Robinson shooting foul (P.J. Washington draws the foul)5
43.2%
7
56.8%
Q1 - 9:15HeatKendrick Nunn makes two point driving layup5
43.8%
7
56.2%
Q1 - 9:22HornetsDevonte' Graham turnover (bad pass) (Bam Adebayo steals)3
42.4%
7
57.6%
Q1 - 9:35HeatJimmy Butler makes three point jump shot (Duncan Robinson assists)3
40.2%
7
59.8%
Q1 - 9:57HornetsP.J. Washington makes two point running alley-oop dunk (Terry Rozier assists)0
37.0%
7
63.0%
Q1 - 10:00HeatJimmy Butler turnover (bad pass) (Devonte' Graham steals)0
38.4%
5
61.6%
Q1 - 10:18HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound0
40.4%
5
59.6%
Q1 - 10:22HornetsGordon Hayward misses three point jump shot0
39.8%
5
60.2%
Q1 - 10:25HornetsP.J. Washington defensive rebound0
38.4%
5
61.6%
Q1 - 10:27HeatBam Adebayo misses two point fadeaway jump shot0
39.0%
5
61.0%
Q1 - 10:46HornetsTerry Rozier makes two point jump shot (Devonte' Graham assists)0
40.4%
5
59.6%
Q1 - 10:50HornetsHornets offensive rebound0
42.0%
3
58.0%
Q1 - 10:50HornetsGordon Hayward misses two point driving layup0
43.4%
3
56.6%
Q1 - 10:59HornetsGordon Hayward defensive rebound0
42.0%
3
58.0%
Q1 - 11:02HeatJimmy Butler misses three point jump shot0
42.6%
3
57.4%
Q1 - 11:07HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound0
44.0%
3
56.0%
Q1 - 11:09HeatTrevor Ariza misses three point jump shot0
42.6%
3
57.4%
Q1 - 11:34HornetsDevonte' Graham makes three point jump shot (Terry Rozier assists)0
44.0%
3
56.0%
Q1 - 12:00Bam Adebayo vs. Bismack Biyombo (P.J. Washington gains possession)0
47.5%
0
52.5%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.06 53.0%
CHA
1.25 62.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
18
28
64%
CHA
12
21
57%
Midrange
MIA
7
16
44%
CHA
9
15
60%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
15
22.5
43
35%
52%
CHA
18
27.0
43
42%
63%
Free Throws
MIA
10
20
50%
CHA
14
19
74%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Butler2053%10.0 / 19
D. Robinson20100%10.0 / 10
B. Adebayo1761%8.5 / 14
T. Ariza1454%7.0 / 13
T. Herro1341%6.5 / 16
K. Nunn1083%5.0 / 6
P. Achiuwa440%2.0 / 5
M. Strus450%2.0 / 4
G. Vincent330%1.5 / 5
A. Iguodala0-0.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
CHA logo Hornets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Monk3289%16.0 / 18
T. Rozier2665%13.0 / 20
D. Graham1667%8.0 / 12
G. Hayward1139%5.5 / 14
M. Bridges1063%5.0 / 8
P. Washington844%4.0 / 9
C. Zeller5125%2.5 / 2
B. Biyombo250%1.0 / 2
C. Martin0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
85
+14
-10
99
CHA
78
+10
-16
88
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.06 53.0%
CHA
1.25 62.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
111.1
110.6
MIA 110.5
CHA 117.0 +6.5
Pace
96.7
98.5
MIA 94.0
CHA 95.0 +1.1
Avg. Poss. Time
14.7
14.4
MIA 15.3
CHA 15.2 +0.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
54.6%
53.3%
MIA 54.6%
CHA 60.8% +6.2%
TO %
13.7%
14.3%
MIA 9.5% +6.0%
CHA 15.5%
ORB %
19.4%
23.5%
MIA 20.0% +3.3%
CHA 16.7%
FTrt
25.2
23.8
MIA 23.0
CHA 24.1 +1.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
67.1%
67.2%
MIA 70.0%
CHA 76.9% +6.9%
STL %
8.2%
7.9%
MIA 9.5% +3.1%
CHA 6.4%
BLK %
8.5%
9.9%
MIA 8.3%
CHA 15.9% +7.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
56.5%
55.1%
MIA 53.0%
CHA 62.5% +9.5%
Rim FG%
64.8%
58.0%
MIA 64.3% +7.2%
CHA 57.1%
Mid FG%
41.8%
40.6%
MIA 43.8%
CHA 60.0% +16.2%
3P %
35.8%
36.9%
MIA 34.9%
CHA 41.9% +7.0%
FT %
79.0%
76.1%
MIA 50.0%
CHA 73.7% +23.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
33.3%
36.8%
MIA 32.2% +5.6%
CHA 26.6%
Mid Att. %
23.5%
21.1%
MIA 18.4% +0.6%
CHA 19.0%
3P Att. %
43.2%
42.2%
MIA 49.4%
CHA 54.4% +5.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIACHA
Possessions9594
Possession Minutes24.323.7
Points105110
Rebounds3942
Assists2830
Steals96
Blocks37
Turnovers (Team)10 (0)16 (0)
Fouls1716
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (5)6 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)30 (2)36 (1)
Field Goals40-8739-79
At-the-Rim FG18-2812-21
Midrange FG7-169-15
2-Point FG25-4421-36
3-Point FG15-4318-43
Free Throws10-2014-19
Fast Break Pts1215
2nd Chance Pts316
Points in Paint4430
Pts off Turnovers1513
Bench Points2447
Biggest Lead030

BOXSCORE

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12 Miami Heat
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Jimmy Butler
#22 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 32
38.0
20
53%
5
9
1
0
1
4
1
4
4-6
67%
5-8
63%
2-8
25%
Bam Adebayo
#13 · C · 6'9" 255 · 24
35.0
17
61%
8
2
2
0
1
1
1
7
3-6
50%
7-11
64%
0-0
-
Trevor Ariza
#8 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 36
31.0
14
54%
9
5
2
2
1
2
2
7
2-3
67%
3-5
60%
2-7
29%
Duncan Robinson
#55 · SG · 6'7" 215 · 27
28.4
20
100%
1
4
0
0
1
4
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
6-9
67%
Kendrick Nunn
#25 · PG · 6'3" 193 · 26
16.0
10
83%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
67%
2-3
67%
Tyler Herro
#14 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 21
32.9
13
41%
4
3
0
0
2
0
1
3
0-0
-
5-11
45%
1-5
20%
Andre Iguodala
#28 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 37
19.8
0
0%
7
2
1
0
1
0
2
5
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-3
0%
Gabe Vincent
#2 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 25
17.8
3
30%
0
1
2
0
3
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-5
20%
Precious Achiuwa
#5 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 22
10.9
4
40%
5
2
0
1
0
1
2
3
0-3
0%
2-4
50%
0-0
-
Max Strus
#31 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 25
10.2
4
50%
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
1-2
50%
0-0
-
1-3
33%
Victor Oladipo
#4 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 29
NWT - Trade Pending
Goran Dragic
#7 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 35
NWT - Injury/Illness | Lower Back; Spasms
Nemanja Bjelica
#70 · PF · 6'10" 230 · 33
NWT - Trade Pending
Udonis Haslem
#40 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 41
INACTIVE
KZ Okpala
#11 · PF · 6'9" 210 · 22
INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
105
53%
39
28
9
3
10
17
9
30
10-20
50%
25-44
57%
15-43
35%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.