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All Games Wednesday, March 24, 2021
FinalWin Prob.pScore
9
Celtics
30%107
119
2
Bucks
70%114
121
ORTG#PossPace
BOS logo BOS
119.0100101.5
MIL logo MIL
121.010098.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

BucksCelticsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

BucksCelticsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventBOSMIL
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.119
0%
121
100%
Q4 - 0:00.0CelticsCeltics offensive rebound119
2.6%
121
97.4%
Q4 - 0:00.0CelticsDaniel Theis misses three point jump shot119
0.9%
121
99.1%
Q4 - 0:02.0CelticsCeltics offensive rebound119
7.6%
121
92.4%
Q4 - 0:02.0CelticsBrook Lopez blocks Marcus Smart's two point driving finger roll layup119
3.3%
121
96.7%
Q4 - 0:15.0BucksKhris Middleton turnover (bad pass) (Kemba Walker steals)119
14.9%
121
85.1%
Q4 - 0:30.8BucksKhris Middleton defensive rebound119
7.1%
121
92.9%
Q4 - 0:34.8CelticsDonte DiVincenzo blocks Kemba Walker's two point running layup119
9.1%
121
90.9%
Q4 - 0:39.3CelticsJaylen Brown defensive rebound119
19.3%
121
80.7%
Q4 - 0:42.1BucksKhris Middleton misses three point jump shot119
16.2%
121
83.8%
Q4 - 1:03BucksKhris Middleton defensive rebound119
12.3%
121
87.7%
Q4 - 1:06CelticsMarcus Smart misses three point jump shot119
14.9%
121
85.1%
Q4 - 1:21BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo turnover (offensive foul)119
22.5%
121
77.5%
Q4 - 1:21BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo offensive foul (Charge) (Daniel Theis draws the foul)119
13.4%
121
86.6%
Q4 - 1:32CelticsJaylen Brown makes three point jump shot (Jayson Tatum assists)119
14.3%
121
85.7%
Q4 - 1:43BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo makes two point driving finger roll layup116
6.9%
121
93.1%
Q4 - 2:00CelticsKemba Walker makes three point pullup jump shot116
10.3%
119
89.7%
Q4 - 2:08BucksKhris Middleton turnover (offensive foul)113
4.7%
119
95.3%
Q4 - 2:08BucksKhris Middleton offensive foul (Jaylen Brown draws the foul)113
2.5%
119
97.5%
Q4 - 2:21CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 1 of 1113
2.5%
119
97.5%
Q4 - 2:21BucksKhris Middleton shooting foul (Jayson Tatum draws the foul)112
2.3%
119
97.7%
Q4 - 2:24CelticsDaniel Theis defensive rebound110
1.2%
119
98.8%
Q4 - 2:25BucksDaniel Theis blocks Donte DiVincenzo's two point driving layup110
1.0%
119
99.0%
Q4 - 2:45BucksKhris Middleton defensive rebound110
0.6%
119
99.4%
Q4 - 2:47CelticsJayson Tatum misses two point pullup jump shot110
0.7%
119
99.3%
Q4 - 3:02BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo makes regular free throw 2 of 2110
1.7%
119
98.3%
Q4 - 3:02BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo misses regular free throw 1 of 2110
1.9%
118
98.1%
Q4 - 3:02CelticsMarcus Smart shooting foul (Giannis Antetokounmpo draws the foul)110
1.4%
118
98.6%
Q4 - 3:25CelticsJayson Tatum makes three point running jump shot (Kemba Walker assists)110
1.4%
118
98.6%
Q4 - 3:31BucksJrue Holiday turnover (lost ball) (Kemba Walker steals)107
1.4%
118
98.6%
Q4 - 3:45BucksKhris Middleton defensive rebound107
0.9%
118
99.1%
Q4 - 3:48CelticsKemba Walker misses three point pullup jump shot107
1.0%
118
99.0%
Q4 - 4:03BucksDonte DiVincenzo makes three point jump shot (Khris Middleton assists)107
1.3%
118
98.7%
Q4 - 4:18BucksKhris Middleton defensive rebound107
2.5%
115
97.5%
Q4 - 4:20CelticsMarcus Smart misses three point jump shot107
2.8%
115
97.2%
Q4 - 4:28CelticsMarcus Smart defensive rebound107
3.6%
115
96.4%
Q4 - 4:30BucksJrue Holiday misses two point driving floating jump shot107
3.2%
115
96.8%
Q4 - 4:52CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point running dunk (Marcus Smart assists)107
2.4%
115
97.6%
Q4 - 4:54CelticsMarcus Smart defensive rebound105
1.7%
115
98.3%
Q4 - 4:57BucksKhris Middleton misses three point pullup jump shot105
1.5%
115
98.5%
Q4 - 5:10CelticsMarcus Smart makes three point stepback jump shot105
1.8%
115
98.2%
Q4 - 5:29BucksKhris Middleton makes two point stepback jump shot102
1.0%
115
99.0%
Q4 - 5:40BucksPat Connaughton defensive rebound102
1.3%
113
98.7%
Q4 - 5:43CelticsJaylen Brown misses three point jump shot102
1.4%
113
98.6%
Q4 - 6:04BucksKhris Middleton makes two point pullup jump shot102
2.5%
113
97.5%
Q4 - 6:22CelticsJaylen Brown makes three point jump shot (Jayson Tatum assists)102
3.1%
111
96.9%
Q4 - 6:37BucksBrook Lopez makes regular free throw 2 of 299
1.8%
111
98.2%
Q4 - 6:37BucksBrook Lopez makes regular free throw 1 of 299
1.9%
110
98.1%
Q4 - 6:37CelticsMarcus Smart shooting foul (Brook Lopez draws the foul)99
2.0%
109
98.0%
Q4 - 6:37BucksBrook Lopez offensive rebound99
2.3%
109
97.7%
Q4 - 6:40BucksJayson Tatum blocks Khris Middleton's two point turnaround jump shot99
2.9%
109
97.1%
Q4 - 6:56CelticsJeff Teague makes regular free throw 2 of 299
2.3%
109
97.7%
Q4 - 6:56CelticsJeff Teague makes regular free throw 1 of 298
2.2%
109
97.8%
Q4 - 6:56BucksPat Connaughton shooting foul (Jeff Teague draws the foul)97
2.1%
109
97.9%
Q4 - 7:10BucksKhris Middleton makes two point pullup jump shot97
2.4%
109
97.6%
Q4 - 7:29CelticsJeff Teague makes three point pullup jump shot97
2.9%
107
97.1%
Q4 - 7:51BucksKhris Middleton makes two point bank jump shot (Giannis Antetokounmpo assists)94
1.8%
107
98.2%
Q4 - 7:55BucksKhris Middleton defensive rebound94
2.2%
105
97.8%
Q4 - 7:59CelticsGiannis Antetokounmpo blocks Robert Williams III's two point layup94
2.5%
105
97.5%
Q4 - 8:05CelticsGrant Williams defensive rebound94
3.6%
105
96.4%
Q4 - 8:08BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo misses three point pullup jump shot94
3.3%
105
96.7%
Q4 - 8:16BucksKhris Middleton defensive rebound94
2.8%
105
97.2%
Q4 - 8:20CelticsGrant Williams misses three point jump shot94
3.0%
105
97.0%
Q4 - 8:29CelticsJaylen Brown defensive rebound94
3.5%
105
96.5%
Q4 - 8:32BucksBrook Lopez misses three point jump shot94
3.3%
105
96.7%
Q4 - 8:53CelticsGrant Williams makes two point running layup94
2.7%
105
97.3%
Q4 - 8:57BucksKhris Middleton turnover (bad pass) (Grant Williams steals)92
2.2%
105
97.8%
Q4 - 9:12BucksBucks defensive rebound92
2.0%
105
98.0%
Q4 - 9:12CelticsJayson Tatum misses two point driving layup92
2.1%
105
97.9%
Q4 - 9:27BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo turnover (traveling)92
2.5%
105
97.5%
Q4 - 9:32BucksBucks offensive rebound92
2.0%
105
98.0%
Q4 - 9:32BucksJrue Holiday misses two point stepback jump shot92
2.3%
105
97.7%
Q4 - 9:47CelticsMarcus Smart makes regular free throw 2 of 292
2.0%
105
98.0%
Q4 - 9:47CelticsMarcus Smart makes regular free throw 1 of 291
1.9%
105
98.1%
Q4 - 9:47BucksBobby Portis shooting foul (Marcus Smart draws the foul)90
1.8%
105
98.2%
Q4 - 10:03BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot90
1.9%
105
98.1%
Q4 - 10:23CelticsMarcus Smart makes regular free throw 2 of 290
2.4%
103
97.6%
Q4 - 10:23CelticsMarcus Smart makes regular free throw 1 of 289
2.3%
103
97.7%
Q4 - 10:23BucksSam Merrill shooting foul (Marcus Smart draws the foul)88
2.2%
103
97.8%
Q4 - 10:42BucksBobby Portis makes three point jump shot (Giannis Antetokounmpo assists)88
1.9%
103
98.1%
Q4 - 10:49BucksBobby Portis offensive rebound88
2.9%
100
97.1%
Q4 - 10:52BucksSam Merrill misses three point jump shot88
3.4%
100
96.6%
Q4 - 11:05CelticsJeff Teague makes two point driving floating jump shot88
3.3%
100
96.7%
Q4 - 11:15CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound86
2.7%
100
97.3%
Q4 - 11:18BucksJrue Holiday misses three point running pullup jump shot86
2.5%
100
97.5%
Q4 - 11:22BucksBobby Portis defensive rebound86
2.2%
100
97.8%
Q4 - 11:25CelticsJayson Tatum misses two point stepback jump shot86
2.3%
100
97.7%
Q4 - 11:42CelticsCeltics defensive rebound86
2.7%
100
97.3%
Q4 - 11:42BucksBobby Portis misses three point jump shot86
2.5%
100
97.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.86
2.2%
100
97.8%
Q3 - 0:10.8CelticsGrant Williams turnover (out of bounds lost ball)86
2.6%
100
97.4%
Q3 - 0:14.9CelticsGrant Williams defensive rebound86
3.1%
100
96.9%
Q3 - 0:17.4BucksJrue Holiday misses two point fadeaway jump shot86
2.9%
100
97.1%
Q3 - 0:34.9CelticsGrant Williams makes three point jump shot (Kemba Walker assists)86
2.5%
100
97.5%
Q3 - 0:47.8BucksBobby Portis makes three point jump shot (Jrue Holiday assists)83
1.7%
100
98.3%
Q3 - 1:01BucksBucks defensive rebound83
2.9%
97
97.1%
Q3 - 1:02CelticsJayson Tatum misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot83
3.1%
97
96.9%
Q3 - 1:28BucksJrue Holiday makes two point cutting layup (Bobby Portis assists)83
3.5%
97
96.5%
Q3 - 1:43CelticsKemba Walker makes two point driving layup (Jeff Teague assists)83
4.1%
95
95.9%
Q3 - 2:00BucksJrue Holiday makes two point stepback jump shot81
3.5%
95
96.5%
Q3 - 2:11CelticsKemba Walker makes three point jump shot (Robert Williams III assists)81
4.6%
93
95.4%
Q3 - 2:13CelticsRobert Williams III offensive rebound78
3.3%
93
96.7%
Q3 - 2:14CelticsKemba Walker misses three point jump shot78
2.9%
93
97.1%
Q3 - 2:16CelticsJeff Teague offensive rebound78
3.3%
93
96.7%
Q3 - 2:20CelticsGrant Williams misses three point jump shot78
2.9%
93
97.1%
Q3 - 2:37CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound78
3.3%
93
96.7%
Q3 - 2:40BucksP.J. Tucker misses three point jump shot78
3.1%
93
96.9%
Q3 - 3:03CelticsRobert Williams III makes two point tip layup78
3.0%
93
97.0%
Q3 - 3:03CelticsRobert Williams III offensive rebound76
2.6%
93
97.4%
Q3 - 3:08CelticsJayson Tatum misses two point driving hook shot76
2.3%
93
97.7%
Q3 - 3:20CelticsGrant Williams defensive rebound76
2.6%
93
97.4%
Q3 - 3:21BucksJrue Holiday misses two point driving layup76
2.5%
93
97.5%
Q3 - 3:36CelticsKemba Walker makes two point running layup (Jeff Teague assists)76
2.1%
93
97.9%
Q3 - 3:39BucksKhris Middleton turnover (bad pass) (Jeff Teague steals)74
1.9%
93
98.1%
Q3 - 3:46CelticsKemba Walker makes two point driving layup74
1.5%
93
98.5%
Q3 - 4:01CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound72
1.5%
93
98.5%
Q3 - 4:01BucksKhris Middleton misses regular free throw 3 of 372
1.5%
93
98.5%
Q3 - 4:01BucksKhris Middleton makes regular free throw 2 of 372
1.3%
93
98.7%
Q3 - 4:01BucksKhris Middleton misses regular free throw 1 of 372
1.3%
92
98.7%
Q3 - 4:01CelticsGrant Williams shooting foul (Khris Middleton draws the foul)72
1.2%
92
98.8%
Q3 - 4:13BucksBobby Portis defensive rebound72
1.5%
92
98.5%
Q3 - 4:16CelticsJaylen Brown misses three point jump shot72
1.6%
92
98.4%
Q3 - 4:27BucksKhris Middleton makes two point driving floating jump shot72
1.8%
92
98.2%
Q3 - 4:44BucksBucks defensive rebound72
2.0%
90
98.0%
Q3 - 4:44CelticsP.J. Tucker blocks Jaylen Brown's two point driving layup72
2.1%
90
97.9%
Q3 - 4:46BucksKhris Middleton turnover (bad pass) (Grant Williams steals)72
2.4%
90
97.6%
Q3 - 5:00CelticsMarcus Smart turnover (bad pass) (Brook Lopez steals)72
2.0%
90
98.0%
Q3 - 5:19BucksBrook Lopez turnover (traveling)72
2.7%
90
97.3%
Q3 - 5:27CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point running alley-oop layup (Kemba Walker assists)72
2.3%
90
97.7%
Q3 - 5:32BucksDonte DiVincenzo turnover (bad pass) (Grant Williams steals)70
2.0%
90
98.0%
Q3 - 5:48CelticsKemba Walker makes three point running pullup jump shot70
1.7%
90
98.3%
Q3 - 5:51CelticsKemba Walker defensive rebound67
1.2%
90
98.8%
Q3 - 5:54BucksPat Connaughton misses three point jump shot67
1.2%
90
98.8%
Q3 - 5:58CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point tip dunk67
1.0%
90
99.0%
Q3 - 5:58CelticsJayson Tatum offensive rebound65
0.9%
90
99.1%
Q3 - 6:03CelticsKemba Walker misses three point stepback jump shot65
0.9%
90
99.1%
Q3 - 6:28BucksDonte DiVincenzo makes three point running jump shot (Pat Connaughton assists)65
1.0%
90
99.0%
Q3 - 6:33BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo defensive rebound65
1.4%
87
98.6%
Q3 - 6:37CelticsJayson Tatum misses three point stepback jump shot65
1.4%
87
98.6%
Q3 - 6:53BucksDonte DiVincenzo makes three point jump shot (Pat Connaughton assists)65
1.6%
87
98.4%
Q3 - 7:03CelticsKemba Walker turnover (out of bounds step)65
2.3%
84
97.7%
Q3 - 7:03CelticsJaylen Brown defensive rebound65
2.7%
84
97.3%
Q3 - 7:05BucksBrook Lopez misses three point turnaround jump shot65
2.6%
84
97.4%
Q3 - 7:31CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 2 of 265
2.3%
84
97.7%
Q3 - 7:31CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 1 of 264
2.2%
84
97.8%
Q3 - 7:31BucksKhris Middleton shooting foul (Jayson Tatum draws the foul)63
2.2%
84
97.8%
Q3 - 7:32BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo turnover (lost ball) (Kemba Walker steals)63
2.0%
84
98.0%
Q3 - 7:35CelticsDaniel Theis personal foul (Giannis Antetokounmpo draws the foul)63
1.7%
84
98.3%
Q3 - 7:39CelticsJaylen Brown turnover (lost ball) (Jrue Holiday steals)63
1.7%
84
98.3%
Q3 - 7:56BucksJrue Holiday personal foul (Jaylen Brown draws the foul)63
2.0%
84
98.0%
Q3 - 8:03BucksKhris Middleton makes technical free throw 1 of 163
2.2%
84
97.8%
Q3 - 8:03CelticsDaniel Theis technical foul63
2.2%
83
97.8%
Q3 - 8:03BucksBrook Lopez makes two point tip dunk63
2.5%
83
97.5%
Q3 - 8:03BucksBrook Lopez offensive rebound63
2.8%
81
97.2%
Q3 - 8:03BucksJrue Holiday misses two point driving layup63
3.1%
81
96.9%
Q3 - 8:11CelticsKemba Walker turnover (lost ball) (Giannis Antetokounmpo steals)63
2.8%
81
97.2%
Q3 - 8:18BucksBrook Lopez turnover (out of bounds lost ball)63
3.3%
81
96.7%
Q3 - 8:27BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo defensive rebound63
2.8%
81
97.2%
Q3 - 8:29CelticsMarcus Smart misses two point driving layup63
2.9%
81
97.1%
Q3 - 8:34BucksBrook Lopez personal foul (Loose ball) (Daniel Theis draws the foul)63
3.3%
81
96.7%
Q3 - 8:34CelticsCeltics offensive rebound63
3.3%
81
96.7%
Q3 - 8:37CelticsDaniel Theis misses two point layup63
2.9%
81
97.1%
Q3 - 8:40CelticsDaniel Theis defensive rebound63
3.3%
81
96.7%
Q3 - 8:43BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo misses two point driving floating jump shot63
3.1%
81
96.9%
Q3 - 9:01CelticsKemba Walker makes two point driving layup63
2.9%
81
97.1%
Q3 - 9:14BucksBrook Lopez makes two point alley-oop dunk (Khris Middleton assists)61
2.6%
81
97.4%
Q3 - 9:21CelticsDaniel Theis personal foul (Giannis Antetokounmpo draws the foul)61
2.9%
79
97.1%
Q3 - 9:31CelticsDaniel Theis makes two point cutting layup (Jaylen Brown assists)61
2.9%
79
97.1%
Q3 - 9:51BucksDonte DiVincenzo makes three point jump shot (Khris Middleton assists)59
2.6%
79
97.4%
Q3 - 10:13CelticsJayson Tatum personal foul (Take) (Brook Lopez draws the foul)59
3.5%
76
96.5%
Q3 - 10:13CelticsJayson Tatum turnover (lost ball) (Brook Lopez steals)59
3.5%
76
96.5%
Q3 - 10:22BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo makes regular free throw 2 of 259
4.1%
76
95.9%
Q3 - 10:22BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo misses regular free throw 1 of 259
4.3%
75
95.7%
Q3 - 10:22CelticsDaniel Theis shooting foul (Giannis Antetokounmpo draws the foul)59
3.9%
75
96.1%
Q3 - 10:25BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo defensive rebound59
4.0%
75
96.0%
Q3 - 10:28CelticsMarcus Smart misses three point jump shot59
4.2%
75
95.8%
Q3 - 10:34CelticsJaylen Brown defensive rebound59
4.7%
75
95.3%
Q3 - 10:37BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo misses three point pullup jump shot59
4.5%
75
95.5%
Q3 - 10:44BucksKhris Middleton defensive rebound59
4.0%
75
96.0%
Q3 - 10:47CelticsJayson Tatum misses two point layup59
4.2%
75
95.8%
Q3 - 10:59BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo makes three point jump shot (Jrue Holiday assists)59
4.7%
75
95.3%
Q3 - 11:13BucksDonte DiVincenzo defensive rebound59
6.1%
72
93.9%
Q3 - 11:16CelticsMarcus Smart misses three point jump shot59
6.4%
72
93.6%
Q3 - 11:35BucksBrook Lopez makes two point turnaround hook shot (Giannis Antetokounmpo assists)59
7.0%
72
93.0%
Q3 - 11:38BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo defensive rebound59
7.9%
70
92.1%
Q3 - 11:42CelticsKemba Walker misses three point pullup jump shot59
8.2%
70
91.8%
Q3 - 11:49BucksJrue Holiday personal foul (Jaylen Brown draws the foul)59
9.0%
70
91.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.59
9.0%
70
91.0%
Q2 - 0:01.7BucksPat Connaughton defensive rebound59
8.4%
70
91.6%
Q2 - 0:04.1CelticsJayson Tatum misses two point driving floating jump shot59
8.6%
70
91.4%
Q2 - 0:28.3BucksPat Connaughton makes two point tip layup59
9.1%
70
90.9%
Q2 - 0:29.1BucksPat Connaughton offensive rebound59
10.5%
68
89.5%
Q2 - 0:29.7BucksKhris Middleton misses two point fadeaway jump shot59
11.2%
68
88.8%
Q2 - 0:43.2CelticsKemba Walker makes three point running pullup jump shot (Jaylen Brown assists)59
10.5%
68
89.5%
Q2 - 0:49.7CelticsJaylen Brown defensive rebound56
8.1%
68
91.9%
Q2 - 0:49.7BucksJrue Holiday misses two point stepback jump shot56
7.8%
68
92.2%
Q2 - 1:06CelticsMarcus Smart makes three point jump shot (Jayson Tatum assists)56
7.8%
68
92.2%
Q2 - 1:25BucksP.J. Tucker makes three point jump shot (Jrue Holiday assists)53
5.9%
68
94.1%
Q2 - 1:32BucksJrue Holiday defensive rebound53
7.8%
65
92.2%
Q2 - 1:34CelticsKemba Walker misses two point driving layup53
8.0%
65
92.0%
Q2 - 1:50BucksJrue Holiday makes two point floating jump shot53
8.3%
65
91.7%
Q2 - 2:09CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point running reverse layup (Marcus Smart assists)53
10.0%
63
90.0%
Q2 - 2:16CelticsJaylen Brown defensive rebound51
9.0%
63
91.0%
Q2 - 2:17BucksBrook Lopez misses three point jump shot51
8.7%
63
91.3%
Q2 - 2:20BucksPat Connaughton offensive rebound51
8.0%
63
92.0%
Q2 - 2:22BucksKemba Walker blocks Brook Lopez's two point cutting layup51
8.6%
63
91.4%
Q2 - 2:36BucksPat Connaughton defensive rebound51
8.0%
63
92.0%
Q2 - 2:39CelticsMarcus Smart misses three point stepback jump shot51
8.3%
63
91.7%
Q2 - 2:41CelticsJaylen Brown defensive rebound51
8.9%
63
91.1%
Q2 - 2:44BucksBrook Lopez misses two point turnaround hook shot51
8.6%
63
91.4%
Q2 - 2:53BucksPat Connaughton defensive rebound51
8.0%
63
92.0%
Q2 - 2:57CelticsJaylen Brown misses two point pullup jump shot51
8.3%
63
91.7%
Q2 - 3:00CelticsJaylen Brown defensive rebound51
8.9%
63
91.1%
Q2 - 3:03BucksBrook Lopez misses three point jump shot51
9.0%
63
91.0%
Q2 - 3:13CelticsKemba Walker turnover (bad pass) (Brook Lopez steals)51
8.3%
63
91.7%
Q2 - 3:35BucksKhris Middleton makes three point pullup jump shot51
9.4%
63
90.6%
Q2 - 3:45BucksBrook Lopez defensive rebound51
11.3%
60
88.7%
Q2 - 3:48CelticsMarcus Smart misses three point jump shot51
11.8%
60
88.2%
Q2 - 4:03BucksKhris Middleton makes regular free throw 2 of 251
12.9%
60
87.1%
Q2 - 4:03BucksKhris Middleton misses regular free throw 1 of 251
13.0%
59
87.0%
Q2 - 4:03CelticsMarcus Smart shooting foul (Khris Middleton draws the foul)51
12.0%
59
88.0%
Q2 - 4:03BucksKhris Middleton offensive rebound51
12.9%
59
87.1%
Q2 - 4:03BucksKhris Middleton misses two point turnaround jump shot51
13.8%
59
86.2%
Q2 - 4:14BucksDonte DiVincenzo defensive rebound51
12.9%
59
87.1%
Q2 - 4:17CelticsMarcus Smart misses three point stepback jump shot51
13.3%
59
86.7%
Q2 - 4:37BucksKhris Middleton makes two point pullup jump shot51
14.2%
59
85.8%
Q2 - 4:53CelticsMarcus Smart makes two point running layup51
15.6%
57
84.4%
Q2 - 4:58BucksDonte DiVincenzo turnover (bad pass) (Marcus Smart steals)49
14.2%
57
85.8%
Q2 - 5:02BucksP.J. Tucker offensive rebound49
12.8%
57
87.2%
Q2 - 5:03BucksKhris Middleton misses two point jump shot49
13.8%
57
86.2%
Q2 - 5:19CelticsKemba Walker makes three point stepback jump shot (Daniel Theis assists)49
12.8%
57
87.2%
Q2 - 5:36BucksKhris Middleton makes two point stepback jump shot (Pat Connaughton assists)46
10.8%
57
89.2%
Q2 - 5:43CelticsJaylen Brown turnover (lost ball) (Pat Connaughton steals)46
11.6%
55
88.4%
Q2 - 5:56BucksKhris Middleton makes two point fadeaway jump shot46
13.0%
55
87.0%
Q2 - 6:07CelticsKemba Walker turnover (out of bounds lost ball)46
14.1%
53
85.9%
Q2 - 6:15BucksDonte DiVincenzo makes regular free throw 2 of 246
15.8%
53
84.2%
Q2 - 6:15BucksDonte DiVincenzo makes regular free throw 1 of 246
16.1%
52
83.9%
Q2 - 6:15CelticsRobert Williams III shooting foul (Donte DiVincenzo draws the foul)46
16.5%
51
83.5%
Q2 - 6:15BucksP.J. Tucker offensive rebound46
16.9%
51
83.1%
Q2 - 6:17BucksDonte DiVincenzo misses three point pullup jump shot46
18.2%
51
81.8%
Q2 - 6:33CelticsRobert Williams III makes two point tip dunk46
16.9%
51
83.1%
Q2 - 6:33CelticsRobert Williams III offensive rebound44
15.8%
51
84.2%
Q2 - 6:39CelticsKemba Walker misses two point driving layup44
14.6%
51
85.4%
Q2 - 6:49BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo makes regular free throw 1 of 144
15.8%
51
84.2%
Q2 - 6:49CelticsGrant Williams shooting foul (Giannis Antetokounmpo draws the foul)44
16.1%
50
83.9%
Q2 - 6:53BucksDonte DiVincenzo defensive rebound44
18.4%
48
81.6%
Q2 - 6:56CelticsDaniel Theis misses three point jump shot44
19.1%
48
80.9%
Q2 - 7:04BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo turnover (3-second violation)44
20.5%
48
79.5%
Q2 - 7:07BucksBrook Lopez offensive rebound44
18.8%
48
81.2%
Q2 - 7:11BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot44
20.0%
48
80.0%
Q2 - 7:32CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point driving bank hook shot44
18.8%
48
81.2%
Q2 - 7:46BucksBobby Portis personal foul (Loose ball) (Daniel Theis draws the foul)42
17.3%
48
82.7%
Q2 - 7:46CelticsCeltics defensive rebound42
17.3%
48
82.7%
Q2 - 7:48BucksSam Merrill misses three point jump shot42
16.8%
48
83.2%
Q2 - 7:58CelticsPayton Pritchard personal foul (Jrue Holiday draws the foul)42
15.8%
48
84.2%
Q2 - 8:16CelticsJeff Teague makes three point pullup jump shot42
16.0%
48
84.0%
Q2 - 8:25BucksSam Merrill turnover (bad pass) (Jayson Tatum steals)39
13.4%
48
86.6%
Q2 - 8:31BucksBobby Portis defensive rebound39
12.2%
48
87.8%
Q2 - 8:33CelticsJeff Teague misses two point driving finger roll layup39
12.6%
48
87.4%
Q2 - 8:40BucksBobby Portis makes two point running dunk39
13.4%
48
86.6%
Q2 - 8:44CelticsJeff Teague turnover (bad pass) (Bobby Portis steals)39
14.6%
46
85.4%
Q2 - 8:57BucksBobby Portis makes three point jump shot (Giannis Antetokounmpo assists)39
16.0%
46
84.0%
Q2 - 9:12CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point stepback jump shot (Grant Williams assists)39
18.9%
43
81.1%
Q2 - 9:37BucksBobby Portis makes three point jump shot (Giannis Antetokounmpo assists)37
17.5%
43
82.5%
Q2 - 9:54CelticsPayton Pritchard makes three point pullup jump shot (Jayson Tatum assists)37
20.5%
40
79.5%
Q2 - 10:03CelticsSemi Ojeleye offensive rebound34
17.7%
40
82.3%
Q2 - 10:05CelticsPayton Pritchard misses three point jump shot34
16.7%
40
83.3%
Q2 - 10:26CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound34
17.7%
40
82.3%
Q2 - 10:29BucksBobby Portis misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot34
17.2%
40
82.8%
Q2 - 10:45CelticsRobert Williams III makes two point putback layup34
16.2%
40
83.8%
Q2 - 10:45CelticsRobert Williams III offensive rebound32
15.0%
40
85.0%
Q2 - 10:46CelticsPayton Pritchard misses three point jump shot32
14.1%
40
85.9%
Q2 - 10:57BucksJrue Holiday makes two point putback layup32
15.0%
40
85.0%
Q2 - 10:59BucksJrue Holiday offensive rebound32
16.2%
38
83.8%
Q2 - 11:00BucksJrue Holiday misses two point floating jump shot32
17.2%
38
82.8%
Q2 - 11:17CelticsJeff Teague makes two point driving layup32
16.3%
38
83.7%
Q2 - 11:25BucksSam Merrill makes three point jump shot (Giannis Antetokounmpo assists)30
14.9%
38
85.1%
Q2 - 11:35CelticsCeltics turnover (shot clock violation)30
17.6%
35
82.4%
Q2 - 11:36CelticsJeff Teague offensive rebound30
18.9%
35
81.1%
Q2 - 11:37CelticsPat Connaughton blocks Jeff Teague's three point jump shot30
18.0%
35
82.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.30
18.9%
35
81.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0CelticsCeltics offensive rebound30
18.9%
35
81.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0CelticsKemba Walker misses two point pullup jump shot30
18.0%
35
82.0%
Q1 - 0:11.4BucksThanasis Antetokounmpo makes two point cutting dunk (Giannis Antetokounmpo assists)30
18.7%
35
81.3%
Q1 - 0:20.0BucksThanasis Antetokounmpo offensive rebound30
20.5%
33
79.5%
Q1 - 0:26.6BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo misses regular free throw 2 of 230
21.6%
33
78.4%
Q1 - 0:26.6BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo makes regular free throw 1 of 230
20.6%
33
79.4%
Q1 - 0:26.6CelticsPayton Pritchard shooting foul (Giannis Antetokounmpo draws the foul)30
21.1%
32
78.9%
Q1 - 0:31.3CelticsJeff Teague personal foul (Giannis Antetokounmpo draws the foul)30
22.1%
32
77.9%
Q1 - 0:34.4BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo defensive rebound30
22.1%
32
77.9%
Q1 - 0:38.1CelticsJayson Tatum misses three point pullup jump shot30
22.5%
32
77.5%
Q1 - 0:49.0CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound30
23.4%
32
76.6%
Q1 - 0:52.5BucksPat Connaughton misses three point jump shot30
23.0%
32
77.0%
Q1 - 1:05CelticsJayson Tatum turnover (out of bounds bad pass)30
22.2%
32
77.8%
Q1 - 1:14BucksBobby Portis makes two point pullup jump shot30
23.5%
32
76.5%
Q1 - 1:34CelticsSemi Ojeleye makes three point jump shot (Jayson Tatum assists)30
25.6%
30
74.4%
Q1 - 1:40CelticsJeff Teague defensive rebound27
21.9%
30
78.1%
Q1 - 1:42BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot27
21.5%
30
78.5%
Q1 - 1:52BucksP.J. Tucker defensive rebound27
20.7%
30
79.3%
Q1 - 1:55CelticsJayson Tatum misses three point stepback jump shot27
21.0%
30
79.0%
Q1 - 2:13BucksBobby Portis makes regular free throw 2 of 227
22.0%
30
78.0%
Q1 - 2:13BucksBobby Portis makes regular free throw 1 of 227
22.3%
29
77.7%
Q1 - 2:13CelticsRobert Williams III shooting foul (Bobby Portis draws the foul)27
22.7%
28
77.3%
Q1 - 2:26CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point fadeaway jump shot27
23.6%
28
76.4%
Q1 - 2:40CelticsRobert Williams III defensive rebound25
22.0%
28
78.0%
Q1 - 2:42BucksThanasis Antetokounmpo misses two point hook shot25
21.5%
28
78.5%
Q1 - 3:02CelticsRobert Williams III turnover (lost ball) (Jrue Holiday steals)25
20.3%
28
79.7%
Q1 - 3:08CelticsJaylen Brown defensive rebound25
22.0%
28
78.0%
Q1 - 3:12BucksBobby Portis misses three point jump shot25
21.5%
28
78.5%
Q1 - 3:26CelticsJeff Teague makes three point stepback jump shot25
20.3%
28
79.7%
Q1 - 3:42BucksBobby Portis makes regular free throw 1 of 122
17.8%
28
82.2%
Q1 - 3:42CelticsMarcus Smart shooting foul (Bobby Portis draws the foul)22
18.1%
27
81.9%
Q1 - 3:57CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point layup (Marcus Smart assists)22
20.3%
25
79.7%
Q1 - 4:03CelticsGrant Williams defensive rebound20
19.3%
25
80.7%
Q1 - 4:05BucksKhris Middleton misses two point driving reverse layup20
18.8%
25
81.2%
Q1 - 4:22CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point cutting layup (Marcus Smart assists)20
17.8%
25
82.2%
Q1 - 4:37BucksPat Connaughton makes three point jump shot (Donte DiVincenzo assists)18
16.7%
25
83.3%
Q1 - 4:45BucksKhris Middleton defensive rebound18
19.0%
22
81.0%
Q1 - 4:48CelticsJaylen Brown misses three point stepback jump shot18
19.5%
22
80.5%
Q1 - 5:00BucksDonte DiVincenzo personal foul (Daniel Theis draws the foul)18
20.6%
22
79.4%
Q1 - 5:12BucksDonte DiVincenzo makes three point pullup jump shot18
20.6%
22
79.4%
Q1 - 5:19BucksDonte DiVincenzo defensive rebound18
23.2%
19
76.8%
Q1 - 5:22CelticsMarcus Smart misses three point jump shot18
23.7%
19
76.3%
Q1 - 5:28CelticsGrant Williams defensive rebound18
24.8%
19
75.2%
Q1 - 5:31BucksP.J. Tucker misses three point jump shot18
24.3%
19
75.7%
Q1 - 5:54CelticsDaniel Theis makes regular free throw 1 of 118
23.3%
19
76.7%
Q1 - 5:54BucksPat Connaughton shooting foul (Daniel Theis draws the foul)17
22.9%
19
77.1%
Q1 - 6:06BucksKhris Middleton makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot15
20.5%
19
79.5%
Q1 - 6:21CelticsJaylen Brown makes three point jump shot (Marcus Smart assists)15
21.8%
17
78.2%
Q1 - 6:45BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo turnover (out of bounds bad pass)12
19.2%
17
80.8%
Q1 - 6:46BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo defensive rebound12
18.1%
17
81.9%
Q1 - 6:49CelticsJaylen Brown misses two point floating jump shot12
18.4%
17
81.6%
Q1 - 7:01BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo personal foul (Marcus Smart draws the foul)12
19.2%
17
80.8%
Q1 - 7:12BucksBrook Lopez makes two point driving hook shot12
19.2%
17
80.8%
Q1 - 7:26BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo defensive rebound12
20.3%
15
79.7%
Q1 - 7:27CelticsJayson Tatum misses three point pullup jump shot12
20.7%
15
79.3%
Q1 - 7:37CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound12
21.7%
15
78.3%
Q1 - 7:37BucksJrue Holiday misses three point jump shot12
21.3%
15
78.7%
Q1 - 7:42BucksKhris Middleton offensive rebound12
20.3%
15
79.7%
Q1 - 7:44BucksJrue Holiday misses three point jump shot12
21.3%
15
78.7%
Q1 - 7:48BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo defensive rebound12
20.3%
15
79.7%
Q1 - 7:51CelticsKemba Walker misses two point driving reverse layup12
20.7%
15
79.3%
Q1 - 8:04BucksBrook Lopez makes two point putback layup12
21.6%
15
78.4%
Q1 - 8:05BucksBrook Lopez offensive rebound12
22.7%
13
77.3%
Q1 - 8:10BucksMarcus Smart blocks Brook Lopez's two point layup12
23.8%
13
76.2%
Q1 - 8:14BucksKhris Middleton defensive rebound12
22.7%
13
77.3%
Q1 - 8:18CelticsDaniel Theis misses three point jump shot12
23.2%
13
76.8%
Q1 - 8:34BucksJrue Holiday makes two point driving layup12
24.3%
13
75.7%
Q1 - 8:41BucksBucks offensive rebound12
25.5%
11
74.5%
Q1 - 8:41BucksDaniel Theis blocks Giannis Antetokounmpo's two point driving layup12
26.7%
11
73.3%
Q1 - 8:45BucksKhris Middleton defensive rebound12
25.5%
11
74.5%
Q1 - 8:48CelticsJayson Tatum misses three point stepback jump shot12
26.0%
11
74.0%
Q1 - 8:58CelticsKemba Walker defensive rebound12
27.2%
11
72.8%
Q1 - 9:02BucksKhris Middleton misses two point jump shot12
26.6%
11
73.4%
Q1 - 9:19CelticsDaniel Theis makes three point jump shot (Kemba Walker assists)12
25.4%
11
74.6%
Q1 - 9:32BucksBrook Lopez makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot9
22.9%
11
77.1%
Q1 - 9:53CelticsDaniel Theis makes two point cutting dunk (Marcus Smart assists)9
24.0%
9
76.0%
Q1 - 9:59CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound7
22.9%
9
77.1%
Q1 - 10:01BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot7
22.1%
9
77.9%
Q1 - 10:20CelticsJaylen Brown makes three point pullup jump shot7
21.2%
9
78.8%
Q1 - 10:34BucksKhris Middleton makes three point stepback jump shot4
18.9%
9
81.1%
Q1 - 10:43BucksBucks offensive rebound4
21.2%
6
78.8%
Q1 - 10:43BucksJayson Tatum blocks Khris Middleton's two point driving layup4
22.2%
6
77.8%
Q1 - 10:46CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point tip layup4
21.2%
6
78.8%
Q1 - 10:46CelticsJaylen Brown offensive rebound2
20.1%
6
79.9%
Q1 - 10:50CelticsDaniel Theis misses two point jump shot2
19.2%
6
80.8%
Q1 - 11:14BucksBrook Lopez makes three point jump shot2
19.9%
6
80.1%
Q1 - 11:26CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point floating jump shot2
22.3%
3
77.7%
Q1 - 11:41BucksJrue Holiday makes three point jump shot (Khris Middleton assists)0
21.2%
3
78.8%
Q1 - 12:00Daniel Theis vs. Brook Lopez (Giannis Antetokounmpo gains possession)0
23.6%
0
76.4%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

BOS
1.18 58.9%
MIL
1.21 60.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
BOS
21
33
64%
MIL
13
20
65%
Midrange
BOS
5
14
36%
MIL
15
33
45%
3PT | Effective 3PT
BOS
19
28.5
47
40%
61%
MIL
17
25.5
37
46%
69%
Free Throws
BOS
10
10
100%
MIL
14
20
70%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
BOS logo Celtics
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Brown2475%12.0 / 16
K. Walker2364%11.5 / 18
J. Tatum1845%9.0 / 20
J. Teague1594%7.5 / 8
M. Smart1240%6.0 / 15
D. Theis1056%5.0 / 9
R. Williams675%3.0 / 4
G. Williams563%2.5 / 4
S. Ojeleye3150%1.5 / 1
P. Pritchard350%1.5 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIL logo Bucks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Middleton2761%13.5 / 22
B. Portis2195%10.5 / 11
D. DiVincenzo17106%8.5 / 8
B. Lopez1757%8.5 / 15
J. Holiday1341%6.5 / 16
G. Antetokounmpo1346%6.5 / 14
P. Connaughton563%2.5 / 4
P. Tucker350%1.5 / 3
S. Merrill350%1.5 / 3
T. Antetokounmpo250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

BOS
88
+13
-12
101
MIL
84
+16
-16
100
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

BOS
1.18 58.9%
MIL
1.21 60.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
113.5
116.9
BOS 119.0
MIL 121.0 +2.0
Pace
98.7
102.5
BOS 101.5 +2.9
MIL 98.5
Avg. Poss. Time
14.7
13.6
BOS 14.2 +0.4
MIL 14.6
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
54.3%
56.6%
BOS 58.0%
MIL 59.4% +1.4%
TO %
13.5%
13.0%
BOS 11.7% +2.2%
MIL 13.9%
ORB %
24.4%
23.3%
BOS 21.4%
MIL 31.0% +9.6%
FTrt
23.4
23.3
BOS 10.6
MIL 22.2 +11.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
56.6%
56.9%
BOS 53.3% +11.1%
MIL 42.2%
STL %
7.8%
7.9%
BOS 9.0% +1.0%
MIL 8.0%
BLK %
10.3%
8.6%
BOS 11.3% +0.7%
MIL 10.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
56.0%
58.2%
BOS 58.9%
MIL 60.5% +1.6%
Rim FG%
63.1%
65.0%
BOS 63.6%
MIL 65.0% +1.4%
Mid FG%
40.4%
43.5%
BOS 35.7%
MIL 45.5% +9.8%
3P %
37.4%
38.9%
BOS 40.4%
MIL 45.9% +5.5%
FT %
77.5%
76.0%
BOS 100.0% +30.0%
MIL 70.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
32.8%
32.9%
BOS 35.1% +12.9%
MIL 22.2%
Mid Att. %
26.3%
26.7%
BOS 14.9% +21.8%
MIL 36.7%
3P Att. %
40.9%
40.4%
BOS 50.0% +8.9%
MIL 41.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsBOSMIL
Possessions100100
Possession Minutes23.624.4
Points119121
Rebounds3846
Assists2419
Steals98
Blocks65
Turnovers (Team)12 (1)16 (0)
Fouls1514
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (4)13 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)29 (2)33 (3)
Field Goals45-9445-90
At-the-Rim FG21-3313-20
Midrange FG5-1415-33
2-Point FG26-4728-53
3-Point FG19-4717-37
Free Throws10-1014-20
Fast Break Pts2612
2nd Chance Pts1623
Points in Paint4840
Pts off Turnovers2217
Bench Points3234
Biggest Lead125

BOXSCORE

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9 Boston Celtics
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Jayson Tatum
#0 · PF · 6'8" 210 · 23
37.9
18
45%
8
5
1
2
2
1
1
7
3-3
100%
6-13
46%
1-6
17%
Marcus Smart
#36 · SG · 6'3" 220 · 27
37.4
12
40%
2
6
1
1
1
4
0
2
4-4
100%
1-3
33%
2-10
20%
Kemba Walker
#8 · PG · 6'1" 184 · 31
35.3
23
64%
2
6
3
1
4
0
0
2
0-0
-
4-9
44%
5-9
56%
Jaylen Brown
#7 · SF · 6'6" 223 · 24
33.9
24
75%
10
2
0
0
2
0
1
9
0-0
-
6-9
67%
4-7
57%
Daniel Theis
#27 · C · 6'9" 243 · 29
31.4
10
56%
2
1
0
2
0
3
0
2
1-1
100%
3-5
60%
1-4
25%
Robert Williams III
#44 · C · 6'9" 249 · 23
19.8
6
75%
5
1
0
0
1
2
4
1
0-0
-
3-4
75%
0-0
-
Grant Williams
#12 · PF · 6'6" 236 · 22
18.8
5
63%
5
1
3
0
1
2
0
5
0-0
-
1-1
100%
1-3
33%
Jeff Teague
#55 · PG · 6'2" 189 · 33
16.7
15
94%
3
2
1
0
1
1
2
1
2-2
100%
2-3
67%
3-4
75%
Semi Ojeleye
#37 · PF · 6'7" 235 · 26
4.7
3
150%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-1
100%
Payton Pritchard
#11 · SG · 6'1" 195 · 23
4.1
3
50%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-3
33%
Aaron Nesmith
#26 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 21
DNP - Coach's Decision
Javonte Green
#43 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 28
DNP - Coach's Decision
Carsen Edwards
#4 · SG · 6'0" 199 · 23
DNP - Coach's Decision
Tacko Fall
#99 · C · 7'6" 289 · 25
DNP - Coach's Decision
Tremont Waters
#51 · PG · 5'11" 172 · 23
DNP - Coach's Decision
Romeo Langford
#45 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 21
 | Health and Safety Protocols
Tristan Thompson
#13 · PF · 6'9" 254 · 30
 | Health and Safety Protocols
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
119
59%
38
24
9
6
12
15
9
29
10-10
100%
26-47
55%
19-47
40%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.