FinalWin Prob.pScore
1170%109
102
3030%101
97
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
103.09996.4
ORL logo ORL
100.09799.7

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

MagicHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MagicHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAORL
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.102
100%
97
0%
Q4 - 0:03.0MagicNikola Vucevic turnover (traveling)102
99.9%
97
0.1%
Q4 - 0:04.3HeatJimmy Butler makes two point running layup102
99.9%
97
0.1%
Q4 - 0:07.0MagicMichael Carter-Williams turnover (bad pass) (Jimmy Butler steals)100
98.7%
97
1.3%
Q4 - 0:08.6MagicMichael Carter-Williams offensive rebound100
95.2%
97
4.8%
Q4 - 0:11.3MagicDwayne Bacon misses three point turnaround fadeaway jump shot100
97.7%
97
2.3%
Q4 - 0:14.0MagicAl-Farouq Aminu offensive rebound100
93.9%
97
6.1%
Q4 - 0:17.1MagicTerrence Ross misses three point jump shot100
96.7%
97
3.3%
Q4 - 0:25.1MagicMichael Carter-Williams defensive rebound100
91.4%
97
8.6%
Q4 - 0:27.5HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving layup100
93.2%
97
6.8%
Q4 - 0:46.7MagicNikola Vucevic makes two point turnaround hook shot (Michael Carter-Williams assists)100
93.9%
97
6.1%
Q4 - 0:53.3MagicAl-Farouq Aminu defensive rebound100
95.8%
95
4.2%
Q4 - 0:56.6HeatKelly Olynyk misses three point jump shot100
96.4%
95
3.6%
Q4 - 1:07HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound100
97.3%
95
2.7%
Q4 - 1:11MagicDwayne Bacon misses three point jump shot100
96.5%
95
3.5%
Q4 - 1:18MagicNikola Vucevic defensive rebound100
94.2%
95
5.8%
Q4 - 1:22HeatJimmy Butler misses three point pullup jump shot100
95.0%
95
5.0%
Q4 - 1:36MagicMichael Carter-Williams makes regular free throw 2 of 2100
96.1%
95
3.9%
Q4 - 1:36MagicMichael Carter-Williams misses regular free throw 1 of 2100
96.4%
94
3.6%
Q4 - 1:36HeatKelly Olynyk shooting foul (Michael Carter-Williams draws the foul)100
94.9%
94
5.1%
Q4 - 1:45HeatKelly Olynyk makes regular free throw 2 of 2100
95.4%
94
4.6%
Q4 - 1:45HeatKelly Olynyk makes regular free throw 1 of 299
95.0%
94
5.0%
Q4 - 1:45MagicAl-Farouq Aminu shooting foul (Kelly Olynyk draws the foul)98
94.6%
94
5.4%
Q4 - 1:49HeatAndre Iguodala offensive rebound98
92.9%
94
7.1%
Q4 - 1:52HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot98
90.2%
94
9.8%
Q4 - 2:02HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound98
93.8%
94
6.2%
Q4 - 2:04MagicTerrence Ross misses two point pullup jump shot98
92.8%
94
7.2%
Q4 - 2:21HeatTyler Herro makes three point jump shot (Kelly Olynyk assists)98
89.4%
94
10.6%
Q4 - 2:36HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound95
80.7%
94
19.3%
Q4 - 2:39MagicNikola Vucevic misses three point jump shot95
77.4%
94
22.6%
Q4 - 2:53HeatKelly Olynyk turnover (offensive foul)95
66.7%
94
33.3%
Q4 - 2:53HeatKelly Olynyk offensive foul (Off the ball) (Dwayne Bacon draws the foul)95
77.6%
94
22.4%
Q4 - 2:54HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound95
77.7%
94
22.3%
Q4 - 2:57MagicDwayne Bacon misses three point pullup jump shot95
74.9%
94
25.1%
Q4 - 3:22HeatJimmy Butler makes two point turnaround jump shot95
67.1%
94
32.9%
Q4 - 3:42MagicNikola Vucevic makes two point tip layup93
59.2%
94
40.8%
Q4 - 3:42MagicNikola Vucevic offensive rebound93
67.0%
92
33.0%
Q4 - 3:43MagicDwayne Bacon misses two point driving layup93
72.5%
92
27.5%
Q4 - 4:06HeatAndre Iguodala makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)93
66.8%
92
33.2%
Q4 - 4:28MagicTerrence Ross makes three point pullup jump shot (Nikola Vucevic assists)90
49.7%
92
50.3%
Q4 - 4:41HeatKelly Olynyk personal foul (Nikola Vucevic draws the foul)90
66.7%
89
33.3%
Q4 - 4:45HeatKelly Olynyk turnover (bad pass) (Nikola Vucevic steals)90
66.7%
89
33.3%
Q4 - 4:59MagicNikola Vucevic turnover (offensive foul)90
74.8%
89
25.2%
Q4 - 4:59MagicNikola Vucevic offensive foul (Off the ball) (Kelly Olynyk draws the foul)90
66.6%
89
33.4%
Q4 - 5:21HeatJimmy Butler makes two point running dunk (Tyler Herro assists)90
67.3%
89
32.7%
Q4 - 5:25MagicChasson Randle turnover (bad pass) (Jimmy Butler steals)88
60.3%
89
39.7%
Q4 - 5:38HeatTyler Herro makes three point jump shot (Kelly Olynyk assists)88
51.8%
89
48.2%
Q4 - 5:55MagicTerrence Ross makes three point jump shot (Nikola Vucevic assists)85
36.4%
89
63.6%
Q4 - 6:14HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 285
53.7%
86
46.3%
Q4 - 6:14HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 284
52.7%
86
47.3%
Q4 - 6:14MagicNikola Vucevic personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)83
51.6%
86
48.4%
Q4 - 6:16HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound83
47.6%
86
52.4%
Q4 - 6:21MagicTerrence Ross misses two point driving floating bank jump shot83
45.0%
86
55.0%
Q4 - 6:40MagicGary Clark defensive rebound83
39.1%
86
60.9%
Q4 - 6:44HeatJimmy Butler misses three point pullup jump shot83
41.6%
86
58.4%
Q4 - 6:58MagicDwayne Bacon personal foul (Take) (Tyler Herro draws the foul)83
47.4%
86
52.6%
Q4 - 7:00MagicDwayne Bacon turnover (bad pass) (Tyler Herro steals)83
47.4%
86
52.6%
Q4 - 7:25HeatKelly Olynyk makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)83
42.6%
86
57.4%
Q4 - 7:35MagicNikola Vucevic turnover (bad pass) (Kelly Olynyk steals)80
31.0%
86
69.0%
Q4 - 7:40MagicChasson Randle defensive rebound80
24.8%
86
75.2%
Q4 - 7:44HeatTyler Herro misses three point stepback jump shot80
26.6%
86
73.4%
Q4 - 7:52MagicTerrence Ross personal foul (Andre Iguodala draws the foul)80
30.9%
86
69.1%
Q4 - 7:52HeatDuncan Robinson offensive rebound80
30.9%
86
69.1%
Q4 - 7:53HeatMo Bamba blocks Duncan Robinson's two point driving layup80
26.6%
86
73.4%
Q4 - 8:10HeatAndre Iguodala defensive rebound80
33.0%
86
67.0%
Q4 - 8:12MagicTyler Herro blocks Terrence Ross's two point driving layup80
31.3%
86
68.7%
Q4 - 8:23MagicTerrence Ross defensive rebound80
27.5%
86
72.5%
Q4 - 8:27HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot80
29.1%
86
70.9%
Q4 - 8:45MagicMichael Carter-Williams makes regular free throw 2 of 280
32.9%
86
67.1%
Q4 - 8:45MagicMichael Carter-Williams misses regular free throw 1 of 280
34.0%
85
66.0%
Q4 - 8:45HeatPrecious Achiuwa shooting foul (Michael Carter-Williams draws the foul)80
29.8%
85
70.2%
Q4 - 8:52MagicChasson Randle defensive rebound80
32.7%
85
67.3%
Q4 - 8:55HeatGoran Dragic misses two point floating jump shot80
34.5%
85
65.5%
Q4 - 9:07MagicMo Bamba turnover (out of bounds bad pass)80
41.3%
85
58.7%
Q4 - 9:08HeatGoran Dragic turnover (bad pass) (Al-Farouq Aminu steals)80
35.2%
85
64.8%
Q4 - 9:17MagicTerrence Ross personal foul (Precious Achiuwa draws the foul)80
41.2%
85
58.8%
Q4 - 9:28MagicMichael Carter-Williams makes two point layup80
41.1%
85
58.9%
Q4 - 9:49HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving floating jump shot80
46.4%
83
53.6%
Q4 - 9:56HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound78
41.0%
83
59.0%
Q4 - 9:59MagicMo Bamba misses three point jump shot78
39.1%
83
60.9%
Q4 - 10:05MagicMo Bamba defensive rebound78
37.1%
83
62.9%
Q4 - 10:07HeatGoran Dragic misses two point driving layup78
38.8%
83
61.2%
Q4 - 10:30MagicTerrence Ross makes three point jump shot (Al-Farouq Aminu assists)78
42.8%
83
57.2%
Q4 - 10:44HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 2 of 278
53.4%
80
46.6%
Q4 - 10:44HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 277
52.6%
80
47.4%
Q4 - 10:44MagicTerrence Ross shooting foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)76
51.7%
80
48.3%
Q4 - 10:46MagicAl-Farouq Aminu turnover (bad pass) (Goran Dragic steals)76
48.3%
80
51.7%
Q4 - 10:52MagicTerrence Ross defensive rebound76
42.3%
80
57.7%
Q4 - 10:55HeatTyler Herro misses two point running layup76
44.1%
80
55.9%
Q4 - 10:59MagicMichael Carter-Williams turnover (lost ball) (Duncan Robinson steals)76
48.3%
80
51.7%
Q4 - 11:11HeatPrecious Achiuwa personal foul (Mo Bamba draws the foul)76
43.2%
80
56.8%
Q4 - 11:12MagicMo Bamba defensive rebound76
43.2%
80
56.8%
Q4 - 11:13HeatPrecious Achiuwa misses two point tip layup76
44.8%
80
55.2%
Q4 - 11:13HeatPrecious Achiuwa offensive rebound76
48.4%
80
51.6%
Q4 - 11:15HeatGoran Dragic misses three point jump shot76
44.8%
80
55.2%
Q4 - 11:17HeatTyler Herro offensive rebound76
48.4%
80
51.6%
Q4 - 11:18HeatTyler Herro misses two point stepback jump shot76
44.7%
80
55.3%
Q4 - 11:33MagicTerrence Ross makes three point jump shot (Michael Carter-Williams assists)76
48.4%
80
51.6%
Q4 - 11:49HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Goran Dragic assists)76
59.0%
77
41.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.73
48.4%
77
51.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0HeatHeat offensive rebound73
48.4%
77
51.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0HeatGoran Dragic misses three point pullup jump shot73
44.7%
77
55.3%
Q3 - 0:04.8MagicTerrence Ross makes three point pullup jump shot73
50.1%
77
49.9%
Q3 - 0:26.5MagicMo Bamba defensive rebound73
60.0%
74
40.0%
Q3 - 0:30.0HeatGoran Dragic misses three point jump shot73
61.4%
74
38.6%
Q3 - 0:36.2HeatGoran Dragic defensive rebound73
64.6%
74
35.4%
Q3 - 0:39.1MagicTerrence Ross misses two point pullup jump shot73
63.2%
74
36.8%
Q3 - 0:57.7HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 273
60.0%
74
40.0%
Q3 - 0:57.7HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 272
59.3%
74
40.7%
Q3 - 0:57.7MagicTerrence Ross shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)71
58.5%
74
41.5%
Q3 - 1:06HeatAndre Iguodala defensive rebound71
56.6%
74
43.4%
Q3 - 1:08MagicTerrence Ross misses three point jump shot71
55.0%
74
45.0%
Q3 - 1:22HeatTyler Herro turnover (bad pass) (Chuma Okeke steals)71
51.4%
74
48.6%
Q3 - 1:24HeatGoran Dragic defensive rebound71
56.6%
74
43.4%
Q3 - 1:27MagicJimmy Butler blocks Terrence Ross's three point jump shot71
55.0%
74
45.0%
Q3 - 1:41HeatTyler Herro makes two point pullup jump shot71
51.4%
74
48.6%
Q3 - 2:00HeatGoran Dragic defensive rebound69
47.0%
74
53.0%
Q3 - 2:03MagicNikola Vucevic misses three point jump shot69
47.3%
74
52.7%
Q3 - 2:18MagicMagic defensive rebound69
43.7%
74
56.3%
Q3 - 2:20HeatAndre Iguodala misses three point jump shot69
45.2%
74
54.8%
Q3 - 2:37MagicNikola Vucevic makes three point jump shot (Chuma Okeke assists)69
48.7%
74
51.3%
Q3 - 2:38MagicChuma Okeke offensive rebound69
57.1%
71
42.9%
Q3 - 2:42MagicKelly Olynyk blocks Khem Birch's two point cutting dunk69
60.5%
71
39.5%
Q3 - 2:48MagicChuma Okeke defensive rebound69
57.1%
71
42.9%
Q3 - 2:52HeatKelly Olynyk misses three point jump shot69
58.6%
71
41.4%
Q3 - 3:01HeatHeat defensive rebound69
62.7%
71
37.3%
Q3 - 3:01MagicKZ Okpala blocks Michael Carter-Williams's two point driving layup69
61.3%
71
38.7%
Q3 - 3:19HeatGoran Dragic makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)69
57.9%
71
42.1%
Q3 - 3:22HeatTyler Herro offensive rebound66
50.0%
71
50.0%
Q3 - 3:26HeatJimmy Butler misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot66
46.5%
71
53.5%
Q3 - 3:51MagicNikola Vucevic makes three point jump shot (Khem Birch assists)66
49.9%
71
50.1%
Q3 - 4:08HeatDuncan Robinson makes two point cutting layup (Jimmy Butler assists)66
59.0%
68
41.0%
Q3 - 4:18MagicNikola Vucevic turnover (offensive foul)64
55.6%
68
44.4%
Q3 - 4:18MagicNikola Vucevic offensive foul (Off the ball) (KZ Okpala draws the foul)64
50.7%
68
49.3%
Q3 - 4:34HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving layup (Duncan Robinson assists)64
50.7%
68
49.3%
Q3 - 4:46HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound62
47.2%
68
52.8%
Q3 - 4:50MagicTerrence Ross misses three point jump shot62
45.7%
68
54.3%
Q3 - 4:55HeatDuncan Robinson personal foul (Michael Carter-Williams draws the foul)62
42.4%
68
57.6%
Q3 - 4:58MagicDwayne Bacon defensive rebound62
42.4%
68
57.6%
Q3 - 5:02HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot62
45.5%
68
54.5%
Q3 - 5:24MagicTerrence Ross makes three point jump shot (Nikola Vucevic assists)62
48.4%
68
51.6%
Q3 - 5:39HeatJimmy Butler makes two point pullup bank jump shot62
56.0%
65
44.0%
Q3 - 5:55HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound60
52.3%
65
47.7%
Q3 - 5:58MagicNikola Vucevic misses regular free throw 1 of 160
51.8%
65
48.2%
Q3 - 5:58HeatKelly Olynyk shooting foul (Nikola Vucevic draws the foul)60
49.0%
65
51.0%
Q3 - 6:10HeatJimmy Butler makes two point pullup bank jump shot60
57.1%
63
42.9%
Q3 - 6:26MagicTerrence Ross makes two point pullup jump shot58
53.6%
63
46.4%
Q3 - 6:44HeatKendrick Nunn turnover (traveling)58
57.1%
61
42.9%
Q3 - 6:59MagicNikola Vucevic makes three point jump shot (Terrence Ross assists)58
61.1%
61
38.9%
Q3 - 7:06MagicDwayne Bacon defensive rebound58
67.7%
58
32.3%
Q3 - 7:09HeatKendrick Nunn misses three point running pullup jump shot58
68.9%
58
31.1%
Q3 - 7:12HeatKendrick Nunn defensive rebound58
71.4%
58
28.6%
Q3 - 7:14MagicMichael Carter-Williams misses three point jump shot58
70.3%
58
29.7%
Q3 - 7:44HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Kelly Olynyk assists)58
67.8%
58
32.2%
Q3 - 7:52MagicChuma Okeke personal foul (Kelly Olynyk draws the foul)55
61.5%
58
38.5%
Q3 - 8:06MagicNikola Vucevic makes three point jump shot (Michael Carter-Williams assists)55
62.2%
58
37.8%
Q3 - 8:18HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 255
68.1%
55
31.9%
Q3 - 8:18HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 254
67.7%
55
32.3%
Q3 - 8:18MagicDwayne Bacon shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)53
67.2%
55
32.8%
Q3 - 8:37MagicAl-Farouq Aminu turnover (offensive foul)53
65.5%
55
34.5%
Q3 - 8:37MagicAl-Farouq Aminu offensive foul (Charge) (Duncan Robinson draws the foul)53
61.4%
55
38.6%
Q3 - 8:46MagicDwayne Bacon defensive rebound53
61.4%
55
38.6%
Q3 - 8:49HeatKendrick Nunn misses three point jump shot53
62.7%
55
37.3%
Q3 - 9:03MagicNikola Vucevic makes three point jump shot (Dwayne Bacon assists)53
66.0%
55
34.0%
Q3 - 9:23HeatKelly Olynyk makes regular free throw 1 of 153
71.7%
52
28.3%
Q3 - 9:23MagicChuma Okeke shooting foul (Kelly Olynyk draws the foul)52
71.2%
52
28.8%
Q3 - 9:38MagicAl-Farouq Aminu makes two point putback layup50
66.0%
52
34.0%
Q3 - 9:38MagicAl-Farouq Aminu offensive rebound50
68.7%
50
31.3%
Q3 - 9:41MagicDwayne Bacon misses two point fadeaway jump shot50
71.1%
50
28.9%
Q3 - 9:58HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving layup50
68.7%
50
31.3%
Q3 - 10:04HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound48
66.8%
50
33.2%
Q3 - 10:08HeatKendrick Nunn misses three point jump shot48
64.2%
50
35.8%
Q3 - 10:28MagicMichael Carter-Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 148
66.7%
50
33.3%
Q3 - 10:28HeatKZ Okpala shooting foul (Michael Carter-Williams draws the foul)48
67.3%
49
32.7%
Q3 - 10:39HeatKZ Okpala turnover (out of bounds lost ball)48
72.1%
47
27.9%
Q3 - 10:44HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound48
75.2%
47
24.8%
Q3 - 10:47MagicNikola Vucevic misses three point jump shot48
74.3%
47
25.7%
Q3 - 10:51MagicNikola Vucevic defensive rebound48
72.1%
47
27.9%
Q3 - 10:54HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot48
73.0%
47
27.0%
Q3 - 11:07MagicAl-Farouq Aminu turnover (offensive foul)48
75.6%
47
24.4%
Q3 - 11:07MagicAl-Farouq Aminu offensive foul (KZ Okpala draws the foul)48
72.9%
47
27.1%
Q3 - 11:21HeatKZ Okpala personal foul (Loose ball) (Chuma Okeke draws the foul)48
72.8%
47
27.2%
Q3 - 11:24HeatJimmy Butler turnover (bad pass)48
72.8%
47
27.2%
Q3 - 11:37MagicMichael Carter-Williams makes two point driving floating jump shot (Nikola Vucevic assists)48
75.6%
47
24.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.48
77.8%
45
22.2%
Q2 - 0:03.3MagicTerrence Ross turnover (out of bounds bad pass)48
80.0%
45
20.0%
Q2 - 0:16.2HeatKZ Okpala makes two point running dunk48
78.5%
45
21.5%
Q2 - 0:18.8MagicMichael Carter-Williams turnover (bad pass) (KZ Okpala steals)46
75.6%
45
24.4%
Q2 - 0:29.2MagicNikola Vucevic defensive rebound46
73.8%
45
26.2%
Q2 - 0:32.3HeatJimmy Butler misses three point jump shot46
74.3%
45
25.7%
Q2 - 0:40.7MagicNikola Vucevic makes two point jump shot (Michael Carter-Williams assists)46
75.6%
45
24.4%
Q2 - 0:49.3HeatKZ Okpala makes two point driving reverse layup (Duncan Robinson assists)46
78.5%
43
21.5%
Q2 - 1:12MagicNikola Vucevic makes two point driving layup (Gary Clark assists)44
75.6%
43
24.4%
Q2 - 1:23MagicTerrence Ross misses technical free throw 1 of 144
78.7%
41
21.3%
Q2 - 1:23Heat technical foul (Defensive three second)44
77.0%
41
23.0%
Q2 - 1:40HeatKZ Okpala makes two point driving layup (Jimmy Butler assists)44
78.7%
41
21.3%
Q2 - 1:47HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound42
75.5%
41
24.5%
Q2 - 1:51MagicNikola Vucevic misses three point jump shot42
75.1%
41
24.9%
Q2 - 1:59MagicNikola Vucevic defensive rebound42
74.2%
41
25.8%
Q2 - 2:01HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving layup42
74.6%
41
25.4%
Q2 - 2:11MagicNikola Vucevic makes two point driving floating jump shot (Michael Carter-Williams assists)42
76.2%
41
23.8%
Q2 - 2:19MagicGary Clark defensive rebound42
78.3%
39
21.7%
Q2 - 2:23HeatKZ Okpala misses three point jump shot42
78.9%
39
21.1%
Q2 - 2:40MagicDwayne Bacon makes regular free throw 2 of 242
80.3%
39
19.7%
Q2 - 2:40MagicDwayne Bacon makes regular free throw 1 of 242
80.6%
38
19.4%
Q2 - 2:40HeatJimmy Butler shooting foul (Dwayne Bacon draws the foul)42
81.0%
37
19.0%
Q2 - 2:41MagicNikola Vucevic defensive rebound42
82.1%
37
17.9%
Q2 - 2:44HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving layup42
82.7%
37
17.3%
Q2 - 3:09MagicDwayne Bacon makes two point driving floating jump shot42
83.6%
37
16.4%
Q2 - 3:21MagicChuma Okeke offensive rebound42
84.9%
35
15.1%
Q2 - 3:24MagicDwayne Bacon misses three point jump shot42
86.1%
35
13.9%
Q2 - 3:38HeatTyler Herro makes two point reverse layup (Jimmy Butler assists)42
85.0%
35
15.0%
Q2 - 3:46HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound40
83.6%
35
16.4%
Q2 - 3:49MagicChuma Okeke misses two point pullup jump shot40
83.1%
35
16.9%
Q2 - 4:01MagicGary Clark defensive rebound40
81.9%
35
18.1%
Q2 - 4:04HeatKendrick Nunn misses two point cutting layup40
82.4%
35
17.6%
Q2 - 4:16HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound40
83.5%
35
16.5%
Q2 - 4:19MagicGary Clark misses three point jump shot40
83.0%
35
17.0%
Q2 - 4:38HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 240
81.9%
35
18.1%
Q2 - 4:38HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 239
81.7%
35
18.3%
Q2 - 4:38MagicChuma Okeke shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)38
81.4%
35
18.6%
Q2 - 4:50MagicChuma Okeke makes three point jump shot (Gary Clark assists)38
80.2%
35
19.8%
Q2 - 5:05MagicMagic defensive rebound38
83.4%
32
16.6%
Q2 - 5:05HeatKelly Olynyk misses three point jump shot38
84.0%
32
16.0%
Q2 - 5:27MagicNikola Vucevic makes regular free throw 2 of 238
85.2%
32
14.8%
Q2 - 5:27MagicNikola Vucevic makes regular free throw 1 of 238
85.4%
31
14.6%
Q2 - 5:27HeatTyler Herro shooting foul (Nikola Vucevic draws the foul)38
85.6%
30
14.4%
Q2 - 5:42HeatTyler Herro makes two point running alley-oop dunk (Goran Dragic assists)38
86.2%
30
13.8%
Q2 - 5:47MagicNikola Vucevic turnover (bad pass) (Kelly Olynyk steals)36
85.2%
30
14.8%
Q2 - 6:10MagicNikola Vucevic defensive rebound36
83.5%
30
16.5%
Q2 - 6:13HeatGoran Dragic misses three point jump shot36
84.0%
30
16.0%
Q2 - 6:16HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound36
85.2%
30
14.8%
Q2 - 6:19HeatGoran Dragic misses three point jump shot36
84.0%
30
16.0%
Q2 - 6:26HeatTyler Herro offensive rebound36
85.2%
30
14.8%
Q2 - 6:31HeatGoran Dragic misses three point jump shot36
84.0%
30
16.0%
Q2 - 6:52MagicDwayne Bacon makes regular free throw 2 of 236
85.2%
30
14.8%
Q2 - 6:52MagicDwayne Bacon makes regular free throw 1 of 236
85.5%
29
14.5%
Q2 - 6:52HeatAndre Iguodala shooting foul (Dwayne Bacon draws the foul)36
85.8%
28
14.2%
Q2 - 6:56MagicGary Clark defensive rebound36
86.2%
28
13.8%
Q2 - 7:01HeatTyler Herro misses three point pullup jump shot36
86.6%
28
13.4%
Q2 - 7:13MagicNikola Vucevic makes two point driving finger roll layup (Terrence Ross assists)36
87.4%
28
12.6%
Q2 - 7:21HeatGoran Dragic turnover (bad pass) (Nikola Vucevic steals)36
88.5%
26
11.5%
Q2 - 7:27HeatAndre Iguodala defensive rebound36
89.5%
26
10.5%
Q2 - 7:30MagicNikola Vucevic misses two point turnaround hook shot36
89.2%
26
10.8%
Q2 - 7:42HeatPrecious Achiuwa turnover (offensive foul)36
88.5%
26
11.5%
Q2 - 7:42HeatPrecious Achiuwa offensive foul (Off the ball) (Michael Carter-Williams draws the foul)36
89.6%
26
10.4%
Q2 - 7:58MagicTerrence Ross makes three point jump shot (Michael Carter-Williams assists)36
89.6%
26
10.4%
Q2 - 8:19HeatPrecious Achiuwa makes two point cutting dunk (Goran Dragic assists)36
91.0%
23
9.0%
Q2 - 8:27MagicAl-Farouq Aminu personal foul (Precious Achiuwa draws the foul)34
90.2%
23
9.8%
Q2 - 8:37HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound34
90.2%
23
9.8%
Q2 - 8:40MagicChasson Randle misses regular free throw 2 of 234
90.1%
23
9.9%
Q2 - 8:40MagicChasson Randle makes regular free throw 1 of 234
89.4%
23
10.6%
Q2 - 8:40HeatDuncan Robinson shooting foul (Chasson Randle draws the foul)34
89.7%
22
10.3%
Q2 - 8:49MagicTerrence Ross defensive rebound34
90.2%
22
9.8%
Q2 - 8:53HeatTyler Herro misses three point pullup jump shot34
90.4%
22
9.6%
Q2 - 8:57HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound34
91.1%
22
8.9%
Q2 - 9:00MagicChasson Randle misses three point jump shot34
90.8%
22
9.2%
Q2 - 9:07MagicTerrence Ross defensive rebound34
89.8%
22
10.2%
Q2 - 9:11HeatAndre Iguodala misses three point jump shot34
90.1%
22
9.9%
Q2 - 9:25HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound34
90.7%
22
9.3%
Q2 - 9:27MagicNikola Vucevic misses three point jump shot34
90.5%
22
9.5%
Q2 - 9:44HeatTyler Herro makes three point jump shot (Goran Dragic assists)34
89.8%
22
10.2%
Q2 - 9:48HeatAndre Iguodala defensive rebound31
87.9%
22
12.1%
Q2 - 9:52MagicMo Bamba misses three point jump shot31
87.5%
22
12.5%
Q2 - 10:08HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Goran Dragic assists)31
86.6%
22
13.4%
Q2 - 10:20MagicTerrence Ross makes two point pullup jump shot28
84.3%
22
15.7%
Q2 - 10:43HeatTyler Herro makes three point jump shot (Goran Dragic assists)28
85.4%
20
14.6%
Q2 - 10:48MagicTerrence Ross turnover (lost ball) (Andre Iguodala steals)25
82.9%
20
17.1%
Q2 - 11:06HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Goran Dragic assists)25
81.6%
20
18.4%
Q2 - 11:08HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound22
78.4%
20
21.6%
Q2 - 11:12MagicMichael Carter-Williams misses two point driving layup22
78.0%
20
22.0%
Q2 - 11:30MagicTerrence Ross defensive rebound22
76.9%
20
23.1%
Q2 - 11:33HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot22
77.4%
20
22.6%
Q2 - 11:49MagicMo Bamba makes regular free throw 2 of 222
78.4%
20
21.6%
Q2 - 11:49MagicMo Bamba misses regular free throw 1 of 222
78.9%
19
21.1%
Q2 - 11:49HeatPrecious Achiuwa shooting foul (Mo Bamba draws the foul)22
77.9%
19
22.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.22
78.5%
19
21.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0HeatHeat offensive rebound22
80.0%
19
20.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0HeatGoran Dragic misses three point running pullup jump shot22
79.0%
19
21.0%
Q1 - 0:02.1MagicTerrence Ross makes three point jump shot (Chasson Randle assists)22
79.7%
19
20.3%
Q1 - 0:19.0MagicTerrence Ross makes technical free throw 1 of 122
82.9%
16
17.1%
Q1 - 0:19.0Heat technical foul (Defensive three second)22
83.2%
15
16.8%
Q1 - 0:28.9MagicChasson Randle defensive rebound22
84.1%
15
15.9%
Q1 - 0:32.3HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot22
84.4%
15
15.6%
Q1 - 0:46.9MagicTerrence Ross makes regular free throw 2 of 222
85.1%
15
14.9%
Q1 - 0:46.9MagicTerrence Ross makes regular free throw 1 of 222
85.2%
14
14.8%
Q1 - 0:46.9HeatChris Silva shooting foul (Terrence Ross draws the foul)22
85.4%
13
14.6%
Q1 - 0:57.1MagicMo Bamba defensive rebound22
86.5%
13
13.5%
Q1 - 1:00HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving floating jump shot22
86.7%
13
13.3%
Q1 - 1:15MagicChasson Randle turnover (traveling)22
87.2%
13
12.8%
Q1 - 1:34HeatAndre Iguodala turnover (traveling)22
86.4%
13
13.6%
Q1 - 1:46MagicChasson Randle makes regular free throw 1 of 122
87.2%
13
12.8%
Q1 - 1:46HeatChris Silva shooting foul (Chasson Randle draws the foul)22
87.5%
12
12.5%
Q1 - 1:48MagicChasson Randle defensive rebound22
89.4%
10
10.6%
Q1 - 1:53HeatGoran Dragic misses two point pullup jump shot22
89.6%
10
10.4%
Q1 - 1:59HeatAndre Iguodala defensive rebound22
90.0%
10
10.0%
Q1 - 2:01MagicTerrence Ross misses three point pullup jump shot22
89.7%
10
10.3%
Q1 - 2:23HeatJimmy Butler makes two point running alley-oop dunk (Goran Dragic assists)22
89.1%
10
10.9%
Q1 - 2:28MagicTerrence Ross turnover (lost ball) (Goran Dragic steals)20
88.2%
10
11.8%
Q1 - 2:50HeatKelly Olynyk makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)20
87.3%
10
12.7%
Q1 - 2:59HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound17
85.1%
10
14.9%
Q1 - 3:01MagicChuma Okeke misses three point jump shot17
84.5%
10
15.5%
Q1 - 3:22HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 217
83.6%
10
16.4%
Q1 - 3:22HeatJimmy Butler misses regular free throw 1 of 216
83.4%
10
16.6%
Q1 - 3:22MagicChuma Okeke shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)16
84.4%
10
15.6%
Q1 - 3:27HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound16
83.7%
10
16.3%
Q1 - 3:31MagicNikola Vucevic misses two point jump shot16
83.3%
10
16.7%
Q1 - 3:44HeatTyler Herro turnover (out of bounds bad pass)16
82.3%
10
17.7%
Q1 - 3:50MagicNikola Vucevic turnover (lost ball) (Jimmy Butler steals)16
83.8%
10
16.2%
Q1 - 3:52MagicNikola Vucevic defensive rebound16
82.3%
10
17.7%
Q1 - 3:53HeatKZ Okpala misses three point jump shot16
82.8%
10
17.2%
Q1 - 3:57HeatKelly Olynyk offensive rebound16
83.8%
10
16.2%
Q1 - 3:58HeatJimmy Butler misses three point jump shot16
82.8%
10
17.2%
Q1 - 4:18MagicDwayne Bacon makes three point jump shot (Nikola Vucevic assists)16
83.7%
10
16.3%
Q1 - 4:30MagicDwayne Bacon defensive rebound16
85.7%
7
14.3%
Q1 - 4:34HeatKendrick Nunn misses two point pullup jump shot16
86.1%
7
13.9%
Q1 - 4:47MagicNikola Vucevic makes two point driving hook shot (Terrence Ross assists)16
86.9%
7
13.1%
Q1 - 5:04HeatKelly Olynyk makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)16
87.4%
5
12.6%
Q1 - 5:15HeatGoran Dragic defensive rebound13
85.6%
5
14.4%
Q1 - 5:19MagicNikola Vucevic misses three point jump shot13
85.3%
5
14.7%
Q1 - 5:35HeatKendrick Nunn makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)13
84.5%
5
15.5%
Q1 - 5:44HeatKZ Okpala defensive rebound10
82.4%
5
17.6%
Q1 - 5:47MagicDwayne Bacon misses three point jump shot10
82.0%
5
18.0%
Q1 - 5:50MagicKhem Birch offensive rebound10
81.0%
5
19.0%
Q1 - 5:51MagicMichael Carter-Williams misses two point putback layup10
82.0%
5
18.0%
Q1 - 5:51MagicMichael Carter-Williams offensive rebound10
81.0%
5
19.0%
Q1 - 5:58MagicNikola Vucevic misses three point jump shot10
82.0%
5
18.0%
Q1 - 6:05MagicMagic offensive rebound10
81.0%
5
19.0%
Q1 - 6:06MagicKelly Olynyk blocks Nikola Vucevic's two point turnaround hook shot10
81.8%
5
18.2%
Q1 - 6:18MagicNikola Vucevic defensive rebound10
81.0%
5
19.0%
Q1 - 6:22HeatKendrick Nunn misses three point stepback jump shot10
81.3%
5
18.7%
Q1 - 6:32HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound10
82.1%
5
17.9%
Q1 - 6:34MagicNikola Vucevic misses two point turnaround hook shot10
81.8%
5
18.2%
Q1 - 6:53HeatKelly Olynyk makes two point driving layup (Jimmy Butler assists)10
81.0%
5
19.0%
Q1 - 7:05MagicDwayne Bacon personal foul (Kelly Olynyk draws the foul)8
80.0%
5
20.0%
Q1 - 7:15MagicNikola Vucevic makes two point jump shot (Chuma Okeke assists)8
79.9%
5
20.1%
Q1 - 7:32HeatKZ Okpala makes two point driving layup8
81.0%
3
19.0%
Q1 - 7:34HeatKZ Okpala defensive rebound6
79.9%
3
20.1%
Q1 - 7:41MagicChuma Okeke misses three point jump shot6
79.5%
3
20.5%
Q1 - 7:46MagicNikola Vucevic defensive rebound6
78.6%
3
21.4%
Q1 - 7:51HeatKendrick Nunn misses three point stepback jump shot6
79.0%
3
21.0%
Q1 - 8:08HeatHeat defensive rebound6
80.4%
3
19.6%
Q1 - 8:09MagicKZ Okpala blocks Michael Carter-Williams's two point driving layup6
80.0%
3
20.0%
Q1 - 8:23HeatKelly Olynyk makes two point turnaround hook shot (Jimmy Butler assists)6
79.0%
3
21.0%
Q1 - 8:34MagicAl-Farouq Aminu turnover (bad pass) (Jimmy Butler steals)4
77.9%
3
22.1%
Q1 - 8:43MagicAl-Farouq Aminu defensive rebound4
76.3%
3
23.7%
Q1 - 8:47HeatKZ Okpala misses three point jump shot4
76.8%
3
23.2%
Q1 - 9:06MagicNikola Vucevic makes three point jump shot (Dwayne Bacon assists)4
77.8%
3
22.2%
Q1 - 9:09MagicAl-Farouq Aminu defensive rebound4
80.0%
0
20.0%
Q1 - 9:09HeatKZ Okpala misses two point putback layup4
80.5%
0
19.5%
Q1 - 9:09HeatKZ Okpala offensive rebound4
81.4%
0
18.6%
Q1 - 9:17HeatKendrick Nunn misses two point running layup4
80.5%
0
19.5%
Q1 - 9:22MagicNikola Vucevic turnover (lost ball) (KZ Okpala steals)4
81.4%
0
18.6%
Q1 - 9:40MagicDwayne Bacon defensive rebound4
80.1%
0
19.9%
Q1 - 9:46HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot4
80.5%
0
19.5%
Q1 - 9:59HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound4
81.5%
0
18.5%
Q1 - 10:07MagicNikola Vucevic misses two point turnaround jump shot4
81.1%
0
18.9%
Q1 - 10:15MagicDwayne Bacon defensive rebound4
80.2%
0
19.8%
Q1 - 10:18HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point running jump shot4
80.6%
0
19.4%
Q1 - 10:26MagicChuma Okeke turnover (lost ball) (Kelly Olynyk steals)4
81.5%
0
18.5%
Q1 - 10:43HeatJimmy Butler makes two point running layup (Kendrick Nunn assists)4
80.2%
0
19.8%
Q1 - 10:48MagicMichael Carter-Williams turnover (bad pass) (Jimmy Butler steals)2
79.1%
0
20.9%
Q1 - 11:06HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving layup (Kelly Olynyk assists)2
77.8%
0
22.2%
Q1 - 11:19HeatKZ Okpala defensive rebound0
76.7%
0
23.3%
Q1 - 11:22MagicAl-Farouq Aminu misses two point hook shot0
76.2%
0
23.8%
Q1 - 11:42MagicMagic defensive rebound0
75.2%
0
24.8%
Q1 - 11:42HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point pullup jump shot0
75.6%
0
24.4%
Q1 - 12:00Jimmy Butler vs. Nikola Vucevic (Kelly Olynyk gains possession)0
76.7%
0
23.3%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.02 51.0%
ORL
1.17 58.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
18
27
67%
ORL
9
18
50%
Midrange
MIA
5
12
42%
ORL
8
17
47%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
14
21.0
50
28%
42%
ORL
16
24.0
40
40%
60%
Free Throws
MIA
14
15
93%
ORL
15
21
71%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Butler2966%14.5 / 22
T. Herro2265%11.0 / 17
K. Olynyk1890%9.0 / 10
D. Robinson1450%7.0 / 14
K. Okpala850%4.0 / 8
K. Nunn317%1.5 / 9
A. Iguodala350%1.5 / 3
G. Dragic314%1.5 / 11
P. Achiuwa250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
N. Vučević3868%19.0 / 28
T. Ross3178%15.5 / 20
M. Carter-Williams945%4.5 / 10
D. Bacon941%4.5 / 11
C. Randle467%2.0 / 3
C. Okeke338%1.5 / 4
A. Aminu250%1.0 / 2
M. Bamba117%0.5 / 3
K. Birch0-0.0 / 1
G. Clark0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
88
+12
-11
100
ORL
74
+9
-23
83
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.02 51.0%
ORL
1.17 58.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
111.1
105.1
MIA 103.0 +3.0
ORL 100.0
Pace
96.7
98.7
MIA 96.4
ORL 99.7 +3.3
Avg. Poss. Time
14.7
14.8
MIA 14.9
ORL 14.4 +0.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
54.6%
49.0%
MIA 49.4%
ORL 54.7% +5.3%
TO %
13.7%
12.4%
MIA 10.3% +11.1%
ORL 21.4%
ORB %
19.4%
21.7%
MIA 21.3% +1.8%
ORL 19.5%
FTrt
25.2
24.0
MIA 16.9
ORL 28.0 +11.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
67.1%
57.0%
MIA 75.7%
ORL 75.8% +0.1%
STL %
8.2%
6.9%
MIA 15.2% +11.1%
ORL 4.1%
BLK %
8.5%
8.4%
MIA 17.1% +14.5%
ORL 2.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.46 and 2.46.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
56.5%
51.6%
MIA 51.0%
ORL 58.4% +7.4%
Rim FG%
64.8%
56.3%
MIA 66.7% +16.7%
ORL 50.0%
Mid FG%
41.8%
40.0%
MIA 41.7%
ORL 47.1% +5.4%
3P %
35.8%
34.3%
MIA 28.0%
ORL 40.0% +12.0%
FT %
79.0%
77.5%
MIA 93.3% +21.9%
ORL 71.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
33.3%
30.2%
MIA 30.3% +6.3%
ORL 24.0%
Mid Att. %
23.5%
34.2%
MIA 13.5% +9.2%
ORL 22.7%
3P Att. %
43.2%
35.6%
MIA 56.2% +2.8%
ORL 53.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.36 and 2.36.
Game TotalsMIAORL
Possessions9997
Possession Minutes24.723.3
Points10297
Rebounds4345
Assists2825
Steals154
Blocks61
Turnovers (Team)11 (0)23 (0)
Fouls1718
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (2)8 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)33 (2)37 (3)
Field Goals37-8933-75
At-the-Rim FG18-279-18
Midrange FG5-128-17
2-Point FG23-3917-35
3-Point FG14-5016-40
Free Throws14-1515-21
Fast Break Pts205
2nd Chance Pts79
Points in Paint4424
Pts off Turnovers2610
Bench Points3036
Biggest Lead136

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#22 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 31
36.5
29
66%
7
9
5
1
1
1
2
5
9-10
90%
10-13
77%
0-4
0%
#55 · SG · 6'7" 215 · 27
35.3
14
50%
5
3
1
0
0
2
1
4
0-0
-
1-2
50%
4-12
33%
#9 · C · 6'11" 240 · 30
34.2
18
90%
7
4
3
2
2
4
1
6
3-3
100%
3-3
100%
3-6
50%
#4 · PF · 6'9" 210 · 22
22.4
8
50%
4
0
2
2
1
2
1
3
0-0
-
4-5
80%
0-3
0%
#25 · PG · 6'3" 193 · 26
18.5
3
17%
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-3
0%
1-6
17%
#14 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 21
29.4
22
65%
8
3
1
1
2
1
3
5
2-2
100%
4-8
50%
4-8
50%
#28 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 37
25.6
3
50%
6
0
1
0
1
1
1
5
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-3
33%
#7 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 35
24.4
3
14%
4
8
2
0
2
0
0
4
0-0
-
0-3
0%
1-8
13%
#5 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 21
11.9
2
50%
1
0
0
0
1
4
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
#30 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 24
1.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
#13 · C · 6'9" 255 · 24
DNP - Coach's Decision | Left Knee Tendonitis
#8 · SF · 6'9" 220 · 28
DNP - Coach's Decision
#2 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 25
DNP - Coach's Decision
#31 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 25
DNP - Coach's Decision
#40 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 41
DNP - Coach's Decision
#11 · SG · 6'2" 180 · 30
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Calf; Strain
#0 · C · 7'1" 255 · 29
INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
102
51%
43
28
15
6
11
17
10
33
14-15
93%
23-39
59%
14-50
28%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.