for complete access.
All Games Thursday, March 4, 2021
FinalWin Prob.pScore
10
Heat
48%113
103
11
Pelicans
52%114
93
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
113.29195.1
NOP logo NOP
103.39088.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

PelicansHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

PelicansHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIANOP
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.103
100%
93
0%
Q4 - 0:15.5HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound103
99.9%
93
0.1%
Q4 - 0:19.9PelicansBrandon Ingram misses three point jump shot103
99.9%
93
0.1%
Q4 - 0:25.5HeatAndre Iguodala makes regular free throw 2 of 2103
99.9%
93
0.1%
Q4 - 0:25.5HeatAndre Iguodala makes regular free throw 1 of 2102
99.9%
93
0.1%
Q4 - 0:25.5PelicansBrandon Ingram personal foul (Take) (Andre Iguodala draws the foul)101
99.9%
93
0.1%
Q4 - 0:29.4HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound101
99.9%
93
0.1%
Q4 - 0:33.9PelicansNickeil Alexander-Walker misses three point running jump shot101
99.9%
93
0.1%
Q4 - 0:39.0HeatAndre Iguodala makes two point driving dunk (Kelly Olynyk assists)101
99.4%
93
0.6%
Q4 - 1:00PelicansBrandon Ingram makes regular free throw 2 of 299
97.9%
93
2.1%
Q4 - 1:00PelicansBrandon Ingram makes regular free throw 1 of 299
98.1%
92
1.9%
Q4 - 1:00HeatGoran Dragic personal foul (Brandon Ingram draws the foul)99
98.3%
91
1.7%
Q4 - 1:07HeatAndre Iguodala personal foul (Nicolo Melli draws the foul)99
98.5%
91
1.5%
Q4 - 1:12PelicansNicolo Melli defensive rebound99
98.2%
91
1.8%
Q4 - 1:16HeatGoran Dragic misses three point jump shot99
98.4%
91
1.6%
Q4 - 1:37PelicansBrandon Ingram makes three point jump shot (Josh Hart assists)99
98.3%
91
1.7%
Q4 - 1:38PelicansJosh Hart offensive rebound99
99.3%
88
0.7%
Q4 - 1:43PelicansLonzo Ball misses three point jump shot99
99.5%
88
0.5%
Q4 - 1:51PelicansJosh Hart defensive rebound99
99.1%
88
0.9%
Q4 - 1:54HeatJimmy Butler misses three point jump shot99
99.3%
88
0.7%
Q4 - 2:10PelicansLonzo Ball turnover (bad pass) (Andre Iguodala steals)99
99.5%
88
0.5%
Q4 - 2:24HeatAndre Iguodala makes regular free throw 2 of 299
99.1%
88
0.9%
Q4 - 2:24HeatAndre Iguodala misses regular free throw 1 of 298
99.0%
88
1.0%
Q4 - 2:24PelicansSteven Adams personal foul (Take) (Andre Iguodala draws the foul)98
99.2%
88
0.8%
Q4 - 2:26HeatHeat defensive rebound98
99.3%
88
0.7%
Q4 - 2:26PelicansSteven Adams misses regular free throw 2 of 298
99.2%
88
0.8%
Q4 - 2:26PelicansSteven Adams makes regular free throw 1 of 298
99.0%
88
1.0%
Q4 - 2:26HeatAndre Iguodala shooting foul (Steven Adams draws the foul)98
99.2%
87
0.8%
Q4 - 2:26PelicansSteven Adams offensive rebound98
99.1%
87
0.9%
Q4 - 2:26PelicansBrandon Ingram misses two point floating jump shot98
99.4%
87
0.6%
Q4 - 2:50HeatJimmy Butler makes three point stepback jump shot98
99.1%
87
0.9%
Q4 - 3:11PelicansEric Bledsoe turnover (bad pass) (Jimmy Butler steals)95
97.3%
87
2.7%
Q4 - 3:25HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 195
95.4%
87
4.6%
Q4 - 3:25PelicansJosh Hart shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)94
95.2%
87
4.8%
Q4 - 3:43PelicansJosh Hart turnover (offensive foul)92
86.8%
87
13.2%
Q4 - 3:43PelicansJosh Hart offensive foul (Charge) (Kelly Olynyk draws the foul)92
81.8%
87
18.2%
Q4 - 3:54HeatJimmy Butler personal foul (Brandon Ingram draws the foul)92
82.1%
87
17.9%
Q4 - 4:12HeatAndre Iguodala makes regular free throw 2 of 292
82.3%
87
17.7%
Q4 - 4:12HeatAndre Iguodala misses regular free throw 1 of 291
80.2%
87
19.8%
Q4 - 4:12PelicansJosh Hart shooting foul (Andre Iguodala draws the foul)91
83.3%
87
16.7%
Q4 - 4:20HeatHeat offensive rebound91
82.7%
87
17.3%
Q4 - 4:22HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving layup91
78.5%
87
21.5%
Q4 - 4:48PelicansJosh Hart makes two point driving floating bank jump shot (Brandon Ingram assists)91
82.9%
87
17.1%
Q4 - 5:04HeatKelly Olynyk personal foul (Brandon Ingram draws the foul)91
84.0%
85
16.0%
Q4 - 5:18HeatJimmy Butler makes two point turnaround jump shot91
84.1%
85
15.9%
Q4 - 5:32HeatGoran Dragic defensive rebound89
79.7%
85
20.3%
Q4 - 5:37PelicansNickeil Alexander-Walker misses three point jump shot89
78.0%
85
22.0%
Q4 - 5:58HeatJimmy Butler makes two point layup (Goran Dragic assists)89
73.7%
85
26.3%
Q4 - 6:26PelicansNickeil Alexander-Walker makes two point jump shot87
65.9%
85
34.1%
Q4 - 6:42HeatKelly Olynyk turnover (bad pass) (Nickeil Alexander-Walker steals)87
71.2%
83
28.8%
Q4 - 6:47HeatGoran Dragic defensive rebound87
77.6%
83
22.4%
Q4 - 6:49PelicansNickeil Alexander-Walker misses two point running layup87
75.8%
83
24.2%
Q4 - 6:53HeatAndre Iguodala turnover (bad pass) (Kira Lewis Jr. steals)87
71.2%
83
28.8%
Q4 - 7:16PelicansNickeil Alexander-Walker makes three point jump shot (Nicolo Melli assists)87
75.7%
83
24.3%
Q4 - 7:20PelicansNicolo Melli offensive rebound87
83.7%
80
16.3%
Q4 - 7:23PelicansKira Lewis Jr. misses three point jump shot87
86.4%
80
13.6%
Q4 - 7:24PelicansSteven Adams offensive rebound87
83.7%
80
16.3%
Q4 - 7:26PelicansNickeil Alexander-Walker misses two point layup87
86.4%
80
13.6%
Q4 - 7:44PelicansNicolo Melli defensive rebound87
83.7%
80
16.3%
Q4 - 7:47HeatGoran Dragic misses two point floating jump shot87
85.0%
80
15.0%
Q4 - 8:02HeatPrecious Achiuwa defensive rebound87
85.5%
80
14.5%
Q4 - 8:05PelicansJosh Hart misses three point jump shot87
84.5%
80
15.5%
Q4 - 8:20HeatGoran Dragic makes regular free throw 2 of 287
82.1%
80
17.9%
Q4 - 8:20HeatGoran Dragic makes regular free throw 1 of 286
81.4%
80
18.6%
Q4 - 8:20PelicansKira Lewis Jr. shooting foul (Goran Dragic draws the foul)85
80.7%
80
19.3%
Q4 - 8:25PelicansJaxson Hayes personal foul (Goran Dragic draws the foul)85
78.3%
80
21.7%
Q4 - 8:39PelicansKira Lewis Jr. makes two point driving floating jump shot (Nicolo Melli assists)85
78.3%
80
21.7%
Q4 - 9:02HeatGoran Dragic makes two point pullup jump shot85
80.6%
78
19.4%
Q4 - 9:23PelicansJaxson Hayes makes two point alley-oop layup (Nickeil Alexander-Walker assists)83
77.1%
78
22.9%
Q4 - 9:39HeatAndre Iguodala makes three point jump shot (Duncan Robinson assists)83
80.7%
76
19.3%
Q4 - 9:59HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound80
72.7%
76
27.3%
Q4 - 10:03PelicansKira Lewis Jr. misses three point jump shot80
69.8%
76
30.2%
Q4 - 10:15PelicansNicolo Melli defensive rebound80
66.2%
76
33.8%
Q4 - 10:18HeatTyler Herro misses two point jump shot80
67.8%
76
32.2%
Q4 - 10:34PelicansKira Lewis Jr. makes three point pullup jump shot (Nicolo Melli assists)80
71.4%
76
28.6%
Q4 - 10:52HeatGoran Dragic makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)80
79.3%
73
20.7%
Q4 - 11:04HeatPrecious Achiuwa defensive rebound77
69.9%
73
30.1%
Q4 - 11:06PelicansNickeil Alexander-Walker misses two point driving layup77
68.6%
73
31.4%
Q4 - 11:21PelicansPelicans defensive rebound77
65.4%
73
34.6%
Q4 - 11:22HeatNickeil Alexander-Walker blocks Precious Achiuwa's two point layup77
66.8%
73
33.2%
Q4 - 11:43PelicansNickeil Alexander-Walker makes three point jump shot (Nicolo Melli assists)77
70.0%
73
30.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.77
78.2%
70
21.8%
Q3 - 0:00.3PelicansJosh Hart makes three point pullup jump shot (Nickeil Alexander-Walker assists)77
80.2%
70
19.8%
Q3 - 0:03.1HeatGoran Dragic makes two point pullup jump shot77
85.9%
67
14.1%
Q3 - 0:20.9PelicansJosh Hart makes regular free throw 2 of 275
83.3%
67
16.7%
Q3 - 0:20.9PelicansJosh Hart makes regular free throw 1 of 275
83.9%
66
16.1%
Q3 - 0:20.9HeatTyler Herro personal foul (Loose ball) (Josh Hart draws the foul)75
84.6%
65
15.4%
Q3 - 0:37.1PelicansJaxson Hayes defensive rebound75
86.0%
65
14.0%
Q3 - 0:40.0HeatAndre Iguodala misses regular free throw 2 of 275
86.3%
65
13.7%
Q3 - 0:40.0HeatAndre Iguodala makes regular free throw 1 of 275
87.4%
65
12.6%
Q3 - 0:40.0PelicansKira Lewis Jr. personal foul (Andre Iguodala draws the foul)74
86.4%
65
13.6%
Q3 - 1:01HeatPrecious Achiuwa defensive rebound74
84.7%
65
15.3%
Q3 - 1:05PelicansNicolo Melli misses three point jump shot74
83.9%
65
16.1%
Q3 - 1:14PelicansNickeil Alexander-Walker defensive rebound74
81.9%
65
18.1%
Q3 - 1:14HeatJaxson Hayes blocks Precious Achiuwa's two point turnaround jump shot74
82.8%
65
17.2%
Q3 - 1:16HeatPrecious Achiuwa offensive rebound74
84.8%
65
15.2%
Q3 - 1:21HeatTyler Herro misses two point pullup jump shot74
82.8%
65
17.2%
Q3 - 1:27HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound74
84.8%
65
15.2%
Q3 - 1:32PelicansJosh Hart misses three point jump shot74
84.0%
65
16.0%
Q3 - 1:51HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 274
82.0%
65
18.0%
Q3 - 1:51HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 273
81.6%
65
18.4%
Q3 - 1:51PelicansBrandon Ingram personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)72
81.2%
65
18.8%
Q3 - 1:56HeatKZ Okpala defensive rebound72
79.3%
65
20.7%
Q3 - 1:57PelicansBrandon Ingram misses two point pullup jump shot72
78.2%
65
21.8%
Q3 - 2:07PelicansBrandon Ingram defensive rebound72
74.0%
65
26.0%
Q3 - 2:08HeatKZ Okpala misses three point jump shot72
75.2%
65
24.8%
Q3 - 2:18HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound72
77.7%
65
22.3%
Q3 - 2:22PelicansLonzo Ball misses two point layup72
76.7%
65
23.3%
Q3 - 2:39PelicansJaxson Hayes defensive rebound72
74.1%
65
25.9%
Q3 - 2:42HeatGoran Dragic misses three point jump shot72
75.3%
65
24.7%
Q3 - 2:45HeatKZ Okpala offensive rebound72
77.8%
65
22.2%
Q3 - 2:48HeatKZ Okpala misses three point jump shot72
75.3%
65
24.7%
Q3 - 3:02HeatKZ Okpala defensive rebound72
76.9%
65
23.1%
Q3 - 3:06PelicansNickeil Alexander-Walker misses three point jump shot72
75.8%
65
24.2%
Q3 - 3:17PelicansNicolo Melli defensive rebound72
73.2%
65
26.8%
Q3 - 3:18HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving bank jump shot72
74.4%
65
25.6%
Q3 - 3:39PelicansSteven Adams makes two point dunk (Brandon Ingram assists)72
77.0%
65
23.0%
Q3 - 3:59PelicansSteven Adams defensive rebound72
79.5%
63
20.5%
Q3 - 4:00HeatKendrick Nunn misses three point jump shot72
80.5%
63
19.5%
Q3 - 4:13PelicansSteven Adams makes regular free throw 1 of 172
81.5%
63
18.5%
Q3 - 4:13HeatGoran Dragic shooting foul (Steven Adams draws the foul)72
82.5%
62
17.5%
Q3 - 4:20HeatJimmy Butler makes two point layup72
85.7%
60
14.3%
Q3 - 4:39PelicansNickeil Alexander-Walker makes regular free throw 2 of 270
84.0%
60
16.0%
Q3 - 4:39PelicansNickeil Alexander-Walker makes regular free throw 1 of 270
84.4%
59
15.6%
Q3 - 4:39HeatJimmy Butler personal foul (Nickeil Alexander-Walker draws the foul)70
84.9%
58
15.1%
Q3 - 4:56HeatGoran Dragic turnover (offensive foul)70
85.7%
58
14.3%
Q3 - 4:56HeatGoran Dragic offensive foul (Off the ball) (Nickeil Alexander-Walker draws the foul)70
88.0%
58
12.0%
Q3 - 4:59PelicansNicolo Melli personal foul (Take) (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)70
88.0%
58
12.0%
Q3 - 4:59HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound70
88.0%
58
12.0%
Q3 - 5:01PelicansLonzo Ball misses two point driving layup70
86.3%
58
13.7%
Q3 - 5:10PelicansBrandon Ingram offensive rebound70
84.9%
58
15.1%
Q3 - 5:12PelicansLonzo Ball misses three point jump shot70
86.3%
58
13.7%
Q3 - 5:27HeatKendrick Nunn makes regular free throw 2 of 270
84.9%
58
15.1%
Q3 - 5:27HeatKendrick Nunn makes regular free throw 1 of 269
84.7%
58
15.3%
Q3 - 5:27PelicansEric Bledsoe shooting foul (Kendrick Nunn draws the foul)68
84.5%
58
15.5%
Q3 - 5:42HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound68
82.9%
58
17.1%
Q3 - 5:46PelicansBrandon Ingram misses three point pullup bank jump shot68
82.2%
58
17.8%
Q3 - 5:52PelicansJosh Hart defensive rebound68
80.4%
58
19.6%
Q3 - 5:54HeatKelly Olynyk misses three point jump shot68
81.2%
58
18.8%
Q3 - 5:58HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound68
83.0%
58
17.0%
Q3 - 6:00PelicansLonzo Ball misses three point jump shot68
82.2%
58
17.8%
Q3 - 6:15HeatKelly Olynyk makes two point layup (Duncan Robinson assists)68
79.4%
58
20.6%
Q3 - 6:27PelicansBrandon Ingram personal foul (Kelly Olynyk draws the foul)66
77.1%
58
22.9%
Q3 - 6:39PelicansBrandon Ingram makes regular free throw 1 of 166
77.1%
58
22.9%
Q3 - 6:39HeatKelly Olynyk shooting foul (Brandon Ingram draws the foul)66
77.5%
57
22.5%
Q3 - 6:56HeatKelly Olynyk turnover (offensive foul)66
81.9%
55
18.1%
Q3 - 6:56HeatKelly Olynyk offensive foul (Josh Hart draws the foul)66
84.2%
55
15.8%
Q3 - 7:00HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound66
84.2%
55
15.8%
Q3 - 7:05PelicansJosh Hart misses three point jump shot66
82.7%
55
17.3%
Q3 - 7:22HeatKZ Okpala makes two point driving layup (Jimmy Butler assists)66
80.9%
55
19.1%
Q3 - 7:35PelicansPelicans turnover (shot clock violation)64
79.0%
55
21.0%
Q3 - 7:59HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 264
75.9%
55
24.1%
Q3 - 7:59HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 263
75.6%
55
24.4%
Q3 - 7:59PelicansEric Bledsoe shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)62
75.2%
55
24.8%
Q3 - 8:03PelicansJosh Hart turnover (lost ball) (Jimmy Butler steals)62
73.0%
55
27.0%
Q3 - 8:16PelicansBrandon Ingram defensive rebound62
69.5%
55
30.5%
Q3 - 8:19HeatKendrick Nunn misses two point driving layup62
70.6%
55
29.4%
Q3 - 8:25HeatKendrick Nunn defensive rebound62
73.0%
55
27.0%
Q3 - 8:29PelicansLonzo Ball misses three point stepback jump shot62
72.0%
55
28.0%
Q3 - 8:40HeatJimmy Butler personal foul (Brandon Ingram draws the foul)62
69.5%
55
30.5%
Q3 - 8:56HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving layup (Kelly Olynyk assists)62
69.5%
55
30.5%
Q3 - 9:06HeatKendrick Nunn defensive rebound60
66.2%
55
33.8%
Q3 - 9:10PelicansEric Bledsoe misses three point jump shot60
65.1%
55
34.9%
Q3 - 9:16PelicansPelicans offensive rebound60
62.6%
55
37.4%
Q3 - 9:16PelicansKZ Okpala blocks Steven Adams's two point layup60
65.2%
55
34.8%
Q3 - 9:20HeatJimmy Butler turnover (lost ball) (Brandon Ingram steals)60
62.6%
55
37.4%
Q3 - 9:36PelicansLonzo Ball makes three point jump shot (Brandon Ingram assists)60
66.3%
55
33.7%
Q3 - 9:46HeatHeat turnover (shot clock violation)60
71.9%
52
28.1%
Q3 - 9:46HeatHeat offensive rebound60
75.1%
52
24.9%
Q3 - 9:47HeatKZ Okpala misses two point jump shot60
72.9%
52
27.1%
Q3 - 10:10PelicansEric Bledsoe makes regular free throw 3 of 360
74.4%
52
25.6%
Q3 - 10:10PelicansEric Bledsoe makes regular free throw 2 of 360
74.9%
51
25.1%
Q3 - 10:10PelicansEric Bledsoe makes regular free throw 1 of 360
75.5%
50
24.5%
Q3 - 10:10HeatKendrick Nunn shooting foul (Eric Bledsoe draws the foul)60
76.1%
49
23.9%
Q3 - 10:26HeatKZ Okpala makes three point jump shot (Duncan Robinson assists)60
78.9%
49
21.1%
Q3 - 10:30HeatKendrick Nunn offensive rebound57
74.4%
49
25.6%
Q3 - 10:34HeatKendrick Nunn misses three point jump shot57
72.2%
49
27.8%
Q3 - 10:45HeatKZ Okpala defensive rebound57
74.4%
49
25.6%
Q3 - 10:48PelicansSteven Adams misses regular free throw 2 of 257
74.0%
49
26.0%
Q3 - 10:48PelicansSteven Adams makes regular free throw 1 of 257
72.8%
49
27.2%
Q3 - 10:48HeatKZ Okpala shooting foul (Steven Adams draws the foul)57
74.1%
48
25.9%
Q3 - 10:56PelicansJosh Hart defensive rebound57
74.0%
48
26.0%
Q3 - 11:01HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot57
74.4%
48
25.6%
Q3 - 11:06HeatKelly Olynyk offensive rebound57
76.3%
48
23.7%
Q3 - 11:09HeatKZ Okpala misses three point jump shot57
74.4%
48
25.6%
Q3 - 11:18PelicansEric Bledsoe makes three point jump shot (Brandon Ingram assists)57
76.3%
48
23.7%
Q3 - 11:36HeatKendrick Nunn makes two point driving layup (Jimmy Butler assists)57
80.6%
45
19.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.55
78.7%
45
21.3%
Q2 - 0:00.1PelicansPelicans offensive rebound55
75.8%
45
24.2%
Q2 - 0:00.6PelicansLonzo Ball misses three point running jump shot55
76.9%
45
23.1%
Q2 - 0:03.1HeatGoran Dragic makes regular free throw 2 of 255
75.8%
45
24.2%
Q2 - 0:03.1HeatGoran Dragic makes regular free throw 1 of 254
75.4%
45
24.6%
Q2 - 0:03.1PelicansEric Bledsoe shooting foul (Goran Dragic draws the foul)53
74.9%
45
25.1%
Q2 - 0:14.9PelicansJosh Hart personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)53
72.6%
45
27.4%
Q2 - 0:33.9PelicansLonzo Ball makes three point stepback jump shot (Eric Bledsoe assists)53
72.7%
45
27.3%
Q2 - 0:48.9HeatKelly Olynyk makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)53
78.1%
42
21.9%
Q2 - 0:55.8PelicansLonzo Ball makes two point putback layup50
72.7%
42
27.3%
Q2 - 0:56.3PelicansLonzo Ball offensive rebound50
75.8%
40
24.2%
Q2 - 0:58.3PelicansLonzo Ball misses two point running pullup jump shot50
77.0%
40
23.0%
Q2 - 1:05HeatKendrick Nunn makes two point cutting finger roll layup (Jimmy Butler assists)50
75.3%
40
24.7%
Q2 - 1:14HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound48
71.9%
40
28.1%
Q2 - 1:18PelicansEric Bledsoe misses three point jump shot48
71.5%
40
28.5%
Q2 - 1:43HeatKendrick Nunn turnover (offensive foul)48
70.4%
40
29.6%
Q2 - 1:43HeatKendrick Nunn offensive foul (Charge) (Eric Bledsoe draws the foul)48
71.9%
40
28.1%
Q2 - 1:51HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound48
71.9%
40
28.1%
Q2 - 1:54PelicansEric Bledsoe misses two point floating jump shot48
71.5%
40
28.5%
Q2 - 2:10PelicansEric Bledsoe defensive rebound48
69.0%
40
31.0%
Q2 - 2:13HeatKendrick Nunn misses three point jump shot48
69.8%
40
30.2%
Q2 - 2:28PelicansJosh Hart makes regular free throw 3 of 348
71.6%
40
28.4%
Q2 - 2:28PelicansJosh Hart makes regular free throw 2 of 348
72.2%
39
27.8%
Q2 - 2:28PelicansJosh Hart makes regular free throw 1 of 348
72.8%
38
27.2%
Q2 - 2:28HeatDuncan Robinson shooting foul (Josh Hart draws the foul)48
73.4%
37
26.6%
Q2 - 2:52HeatJimmy Butler makes two point running alley-oop dunk (Kendrick Nunn assists)48
76.3%
37
23.7%
Q2 - 2:58HeatGoran Dragic defensive rebound46
74.0%
37
26.0%
Q2 - 2:59PelicansGoran Dragic blocks Josh Hart's two point driving layup46
73.3%
37
26.7%
Q2 - 3:02PelicansJosh Hart defensive rebound46
70.3%
37
29.7%
Q2 - 3:04HeatKendrick Nunn misses two point jump shot46
71.1%
37
28.9%
Q2 - 3:19PelicansEric Bledsoe makes three point jump shot (Josh Hart assists)46
73.0%
37
27.0%
Q2 - 3:38HeatGoran Dragic turnover (traveling)46
77.1%
34
22.9%
Q2 - 3:43HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound46
79.3%
34
20.7%
Q2 - 3:45PelicansBrandon Ingram misses three point jump shot46
78.6%
34
21.4%
Q2 - 3:48PelicansLonzo Ball offensive rebound46
77.1%
34
22.9%
Q2 - 3:52PelicansJosh Hart misses three point jump shot46
78.6%
34
21.4%
Q2 - 4:05HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 246
76.3%
34
23.7%
Q2 - 4:05HeatJimmy Butler misses regular free throw 1 of 245
76.0%
34
24.0%
Q2 - 4:05PelicansSteven Adams shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)45
77.7%
34
22.3%
Q2 - 4:20PelicansJosh Hart makes two point running dunk (Brandon Ingram assists)45
76.3%
34
23.7%
Q2 - 4:23PelicansBrandon Ingram defensive rebound45
78.2%
32
21.8%
Q2 - 4:27HeatKendrick Nunn misses two point driving layup45
78.8%
32
21.2%
Q2 - 4:45PelicansKira Lewis Jr. makes two point floating jump shot (Brandon Ingram assists)45
80.1%
32
19.9%
Q2 - 5:08HeatJimmy Butler makes two point alley-oop layup (Kelly Olynyk assists)45
81.2%
30
18.8%
Q2 - 5:24PelicansSteven Adams makes two point cutting dunk (Brandon Ingram assists)43
79.8%
30
20.2%
Q2 - 5:37HeatJimmy Butler makes two point cutting layup (Kelly Olynyk assists)43
81.2%
28
18.8%
Q2 - 5:44PelicansJosh Hart personal foul (Duncan Robinson draws the foul)41
79.8%
28
20.2%
Q2 - 6:03PelicansBrandon Ingram makes two point pullup jump shot (Kira Lewis Jr. assists)41
79.5%
28
20.5%
Q2 - 6:20HeatDuncan Robinson makes two point cutting layup (Kelly Olynyk assists)41
80.8%
26
19.2%
Q2 - 6:31PelicansSteven Adams turnover (offensive foul)39
79.5%
26
20.5%
Q2 - 6:31PelicansSteven Adams offensive foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)39
77.3%
26
22.7%
Q2 - 6:37PelicansEric Bledsoe defensive rebound39
77.3%
26
22.7%
Q2 - 6:41HeatKendrick Nunn misses three point jump shot39
78.0%
26
22.0%
Q2 - 6:59PelicansKira Lewis Jr. makes two point driving finger roll layup39
79.5%
26
20.5%
Q2 - 7:04PelicansKira Lewis Jr. defensive rebound39
80.2%
24
19.8%
Q2 - 7:07HeatKendrick Nunn misses three point jump shot39
80.7%
24
19.3%
Q2 - 7:18PelicansKira Lewis Jr. makes two point floating jump shot (Eric Bledsoe assists)39
81.9%
24
18.1%
Q2 - 7:29HeatPrecious Achiuwa makes two point reverse layup (Andre Iguodala assists)39
83.3%
22
16.7%
Q2 - 7:51PelicansBrandon Ingram makes two point cutting layup (Eric Bledsoe assists)37
81.9%
22
18.1%
Q2 - 8:12HeatKendrick Nunn makes two point pullup jump shot37
82.8%
20
17.2%
Q2 - 8:27PelicansJosh Hart turnover (out of bounds lost ball)35
81.4%
20
18.6%
Q2 - 8:28PelicansJosh Hart defensive rebound35
79.7%
20
20.3%
Q2 - 8:30HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving bank jump shot35
80.2%
20
19.8%
Q2 - 8:38HeatGoran Dragic defensive rebound35
81.4%
20
18.6%
Q2 - 8:42PelicansNicolo Melli misses three point jump shot35
80.9%
20
19.1%
Q2 - 8:56HeatGoran Dragic makes two point driving layup35
79.7%
20
20.3%
Q2 - 9:09HeatAndre Iguodala defensive rebound33
77.3%
20
22.7%
Q2 - 9:11PelicansKira Lewis Jr. misses two point layup33
76.7%
20
23.3%
Q2 - 9:15HeatDuncan Robinson personal foul (Jaxson Hayes draws the foul)33
75.4%
20
24.6%
Q2 - 9:25PelicansJaxson Hayes offensive rebound33
75.4%
20
24.6%
Q2 - 9:25PelicansKira Lewis Jr. misses three point jump shot33
76.8%
20
23.2%
Q2 - 9:42HeatPrecious Achiuwa makes two point layup (Goran Dragic assists)33
75.5%
20
24.5%
Q2 - 10:05PelicansNickeil Alexander-Walker makes three point jump shot (Josh Hart assists)31
73.3%
20
26.7%
Q2 - 10:19PelicansNicolo Melli defensive rebound31
76.8%
17
23.2%
Q2 - 10:23HeatAndre Iguodala misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot31
77.4%
17
22.6%
Q2 - 10:32PelicansKira Lewis Jr. personal foul (Duncan Robinson draws the foul)31
78.6%
17
21.4%
Q2 - 10:47PelicansJaxson Hayes makes two point cutting dunk (Nickeil Alexander-Walker assists)31
78.6%
17
21.4%
Q2 - 11:01PelicansNicolo Melli defensive rebound31
79.5%
15
20.5%
Q2 - 11:06HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot31
80.0%
15
20.0%
Q2 - 11:12HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound31
80.9%
15
19.1%
Q2 - 11:15PelicansNicolo Melli misses three point jump shot31
80.5%
15
19.5%
Q2 - 11:25PelicansJaxson Hayes defensive rebound31
79.6%
15
20.4%
Q2 - 11:29HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot31
80.0%
15
20.0%
Q2 - 11:31HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound31
81.0%
15
19.0%
Q2 - 11:34PelicansNicolo Melli misses three point jump shot31
80.6%
15
19.4%
Q2 - 11:41PelicansNickeil Alexander-Walker defensive rebound31
79.6%
15
20.4%
Q2 - 11:45HeatAndre Iguodala misses three point jump shot31
80.0%
15
20.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.31
81.0%
15
19.0%
Q1 - 0:00.6HeatHeat offensive rebound31
80.1%
15
19.9%
Q1 - 0:00.6HeatPrecious Achiuwa misses two point pullup jump shot31
79.3%
15
20.7%
Q1 - 0:04.0PelicansPelicans turnover (shot clock violation)31
80.1%
15
19.9%
Q1 - 0:04.4PelicansJaxson Hayes offensive rebound31
78.9%
15
21.1%
Q1 - 0:06.1PelicansNickeil Alexander-Walker misses two point floating jump shot31
79.7%
15
20.3%
Q1 - 0:26.8PelicansJaxson Hayes defensive rebound31
78.9%
15
21.1%
Q1 - 0:29.1HeatPrecious Achiuwa misses two point alley-oop dunk31
79.3%
15
20.7%
Q1 - 0:47.0HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound31
80.2%
15
19.8%
Q1 - 0:49.3PelicansNickeil Alexander-Walker misses two point floating jump shot31
79.8%
15
20.2%
Q1 - 1:06HeatTyler Herro makes two point running layup (Kelly Olynyk assists)31
78.8%
15
21.2%
Q1 - 1:11PelicansNicolo Melli turnover (lost ball) (Kelly Olynyk steals)29
76.9%
15
23.1%
Q1 - 1:18PelicansLonzo Ball defensive rebound29
75.6%
15
24.4%
Q1 - 1:22HeatAndre Iguodala misses three point jump shot29
76.0%
15
24.0%
Q1 - 1:39HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound29
76.8%
15
23.2%
Q1 - 1:41PelicansJaxson Hayes misses two point alley-oop layup29
76.5%
15
23.5%
Q1 - 1:54HeatKelly Olynyk makes three point jump shot (Goran Dragic assists)29
75.5%
15
24.5%
Q1 - 2:06HeatAndre Iguodala defensive rebound26
71.2%
15
28.8%
Q1 - 2:11PelicansLonzo Ball misses three point jump shot26
70.7%
15
29.3%
Q1 - 2:18PelicansJosh Hart offensive rebound26
69.4%
15
30.6%
Q1 - 2:18PelicansNickeil Alexander-Walker misses three point jump shot26
70.7%
15
29.3%
Q1 - 2:39HeatPrecious Achiuwa makes two point tip layup26
69.5%
15
30.5%
Q1 - 2:39HeatPrecious Achiuwa offensive rebound24
67.4%
15
32.6%
Q1 - 2:40HeatAndre Iguodala misses three point jump shot24
66.1%
15
33.9%
Q1 - 2:46HeatAndre Iguodala defensive rebound24
67.4%
15
32.6%
Q1 - 2:48PelicansJaxson Hayes misses two point layup24
66.8%
15
33.2%
Q1 - 2:54PelicansJaxson Hayes offensive rebound24
65.5%
15
34.5%
Q1 - 2:59PelicansJosh Hart misses three point jump shot24
66.9%
15
33.1%
Q1 - 3:13HeatKelly Olynyk turnover (out of bounds lost ball)24
64.7%
15
35.3%
Q1 - 3:33PelicansBrandon Ingram makes two point running finger roll layup (Nickeil Alexander-Walker assists)24
67.0%
15
33.0%
Q1 - 3:38HeatJimmy Butler turnover (bad pass) (Jaxson Hayes steals)24
68.7%
13
31.3%
Q1 - 3:50PelicansBrandon Ingram turnover (bad pass) (Precious Achiuwa steals)24
70.8%
13
29.2%
Q1 - 4:14HeatPrecious Achiuwa makes two point cutting layup (Jimmy Butler assists)24
68.0%
13
32.0%
Q1 - 4:22HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound22
66.5%
13
33.5%
Q1 - 4:22PelicansNickeil Alexander-Walker misses two point driving layup22
65.8%
13
34.2%
Q1 - 4:29PelicansNickeil Alexander-Walker defensive rebound22
64.2%
13
35.8%
Q1 - 4:32HeatKendrick Nunn misses three point jump shot22
64.9%
13
35.1%
Q1 - 4:36PelicansJaxson Hayes makes two point tip layup22
66.5%
13
33.5%
Q1 - 4:36PelicansJaxson Hayes offensive rebound22
68.1%
11
31.9%
Q1 - 4:38PelicansNicolo Melli misses two point driving layup22
69.5%
11
30.5%
Q1 - 4:46HeatKZ Okpala personal foul (Nicolo Melli draws the foul)22
68.1%
11
31.9%
Q1 - 5:05HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 222
67.2%
11
32.8%
Q1 - 5:05HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 221
66.9%
11
33.1%
Q1 - 5:05PelicansNicolo Melli shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)20
66.7%
11
33.3%
Q1 - 5:19HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound20
65.5%
11
34.5%
Q1 - 5:21PelicansSteven Adams misses regular free throw 2 of 220
65.3%
11
34.7%
Q1 - 5:21PelicansSteven Adams misses regular free throw 1 of 220
64.4%
11
35.6%
Q1 - 5:21HeatKelly Olynyk shooting foul (Steven Adams draws the foul)20
63.4%
11
36.6%
Q1 - 5:25PelicansLonzo Ball defensive rebound20
63.5%
11
36.5%
Q1 - 5:28HeatBrandon Ingram blocks KZ Okpala's two point cutting layup20
64.2%
11
35.8%
Q1 - 5:52PelicansBrandon Ingram turnover (out of bounds bad pass)20
65.6%
11
34.4%
Q1 - 6:07HeatKendrick Nunn makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)20
63.0%
11
37.0%
Q1 - 6:18PelicansSteven Adams makes two point turnaround jump shot (Lonzo Ball assists)17
59.2%
11
40.8%
Q1 - 6:43HeatJimmy Butler makes two point running layup17
61.1%
9
38.9%
Q1 - 6:48PelicansLonzo Ball turnover (lost ball) (Jimmy Butler steals)15
59.2%
9
40.8%
Q1 - 6:50PelicansJosh Hart offensive rebound15
57.3%
9
42.7%
Q1 - 6:54PelicansLonzo Ball misses three point jump shot15
58.6%
9
41.4%
Q1 - 6:56PelicansSteven Adams offensive rebound15
57.3%
9
42.7%
Q1 - 7:01PelicansJosh Hart misses three point jump shot15
58.3%
9
41.7%
Q1 - 7:09HeatJimmy Butler turnover (bad pass) (Brandon Ingram steals)15
56.8%
9
43.2%
Q1 - 7:24PelicansSteven Adams makes two point cutting layup (Brandon Ingram assists)15
58.9%
9
41.1%
Q1 - 7:33HeatKendrick Nunn makes regular free throw 2 of 215
60.6%
7
39.4%
Q1 - 7:33HeatKendrick Nunn makes regular free throw 1 of 214
60.4%
7
39.6%
Q1 - 7:33PelicansSteven Adams shooting foul (Kendrick Nunn draws the foul)13
60.2%
7
39.8%
Q1 - 7:52HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound13
58.9%
7
41.1%
Q1 - 7:56PelicansEric Bledsoe misses three point jump shot13
58.3%
7
41.7%
Q1 - 8:07PelicansEric Bledsoe defensive rebound13
56.9%
7
43.1%
Q1 - 8:12HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot13
57.6%
7
42.4%
Q1 - 8:30HeatKZ Okpala defensive rebound13
59.0%
7
41.0%
Q1 - 8:34PelicansLonzo Ball misses three point jump shot13
58.4%
7
41.6%
Q1 - 8:41HeatKelly Olynyk makes two point cutting layup (Jimmy Butler assists)13
56.9%
7
43.1%
Q1 - 8:55PelicansBrandon Ingram makes three point jump shot (Eric Bledsoe assists)11
55.3%
7
44.7%
Q1 - 9:06HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Kelly Olynyk assists)11
58.5%
4
41.5%
Q1 - 9:17PelicansBrandon Ingram turnover (out of bounds bad pass)8
55.2%
4
44.8%
Q1 - 9:34HeatKelly Olynyk makes two point fadeaway jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)8
53.0%
4
47.0%
Q1 - 9:57PelicansLonzo Ball turnover (out of bounds bad pass)6
51.5%
4
48.5%
Q1 - 10:10HeatKelly Olynyk makes three point jump shot (Duncan Robinson assists)6
49.2%
4
50.8%
Q1 - 10:21PelicansSteven Adams makes two point hook shot (Eric Bledsoe assists)3
45.6%
4
54.4%
Q1 - 10:31HeatKZ Okpala personal foul (Brandon Ingram draws the foul)3
47.3%
2
52.7%
Q1 - 10:42HeatKelly Olynyk makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)3
47.3%
2
52.7%
Q1 - 10:57PelicansLonzo Ball makes two point driving layup (Steven Adams assists)0
43.8%
2
56.2%
Q1 - 11:13PelicansSteven Adams defensive rebound0
45.4%
0
54.6%
Q1 - 11:15HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving layup0
46.0%
0
54.0%
Q1 - 11:36HeatKendrick Nunn defensive rebound0
47.4%
0
52.6%
Q1 - 11:39PelicansLonzo Ball misses three point jump shot0
46.8%
0
53.2%
Q1 - 11:44PelicansBrandon Ingram offensive rebound0
45.4%
0
54.6%
Q1 - 11:47PelicansKZ Okpala blocks Brandon Ingram's two point turnaround jump shot0
46.8%
0
53.2%
Q1 - 12:00Kelly Olynyk vs. Steven Adams (Brandon Ingram gains possession)0
45.4%
0
54.6%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.16 57.9%
NOP
0.98 48.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
20
28
71%
NOP
18
31
58%
Midrange
MIA
6
15
40%
NOP
4
10
40%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
10
15.0
30
33%
50%
NOP
11
16.5
43
26%
38%
Free Throws
MIA
21
25
84%
NOP
16
20
80%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Butler2981%14.5 / 18
K. Olynyk18113%9.0 / 8
K. Nunn1343%6.5 / 15
G. Dragic1372%6.5 / 9
A. Iguodala1056%5.0 / 9
P. Achiuwa850%4.0 / 8
D. Robinson563%2.5 / 4
K. Okpala536%2.5 / 7
T. Herro217%1.0 / 6
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
NOP logo Pelicans
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
B. Ingram1765%8.5 / 13
S. Adams1575%7.5 / 10
N. Alexander-Walker1343%6.5 / 15
J. Hart1250%6.0 / 12
K. Lewis Jr.1161%5.5 / 9
L. Ball1031%5.0 / 16
E. Bledsoe964%4.5 / 7
J. Hayes660%3.0 / 5
N. Melli0-0.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
81
+8
-10
89
NOP
78
+17
-12
95
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.16 57.9%
NOP
0.98 48.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
111.1
113.5
MIA 113.2 +9.9
NOP 103.3
Pace
96.7
100.1
MIA 95.1 +6.9
NOP 88.2
Avg. Poss. Time
14.7
14.1
MIA 15.1 +1.2
NOP 16.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
54.6%
53.7%
MIA 56.2% +10.4%
NOP 45.8%
TO %
13.7%
13.8%
MIA 11.6% +1.5%
NOP 13.1%
ORB %
19.4%
26.3%
MIA 14.7%
NOP 29.4% +14.7%
FTrt
25.2
29.3
MIA 34.2 +10.4
NOP 23.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
67.1%
61.2%
MIA 75.0%
NOP 84.8% +9.8%
STL %
8.2%
7.5%
MIA 6.6% +1.0%
NOP 5.6%
BLK %
8.5%
8.5%
MIA 7.3% +0.3%
NOP 7.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.22 and 2.22.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
56.5%
55.8%
MIA 57.9% +9.0%
NOP 48.9%
Rim FG%
64.8%
60.9%
MIA 71.4% +13.3%
NOP 58.1%
Mid FG%
41.8%
42.9%
MIA 40.0%
NOP 40.0%
3P %
35.8%
34.8%
MIA 33.3% +7.7%
NOP 25.6%
FT %
79.0%
72.9%
MIA 84.0% +4.0%
NOP 80.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
33.3%
42.1%
MIA 38.4% +1.5%
NOP 36.9%
Mid Att. %
23.5%
23.7%
MIA 20.5%
NOP 11.9% +8.6%
3P Att. %
43.2%
34.2%
MIA 41.1%
NOP 51.2% +10.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.2 and 2.2.
Game TotalsMIANOP
Possessions9190
Possession Minutes23.024.5
Points10393
Rebounds4144
Assists2728
Steals65
Blocks33
Turnovers (Team)10 (1)12 (2)
Fouls2021
Off. Rebounds (Team)5 (3)15 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)36 (1)29 (1)
Field Goals36-7333-84
At-the-Rim FG20-2818-31
Midrange FG6-154-10
2-Point FG26-4322-41
3-Point FG10-3011-43
Free Throws21-2516-20
Fast Break Pts86
2nd Chance Pts611
Points in Paint4440
Pts off Turnovers2315
Bench Points3330
Biggest Lead172

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
10 Miami Heat
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Kelly Olynyk
#9 · PF · 6'11" 240 · 30
36.7
18
113%
10
7
1
0
3
4
1
9
0-0
-
3-3
100%
4-5
80%
Jimmy Butler
#22 · PG · 6'7" 230 · 31
34.0
29
81%
3
9
3
0
3
3
0
3
8-9
89%
9-12
75%
1-2
50%
Duncan Robinson
#55 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 27
28.4
5
63%
5
4
0
0
0
2
0
5
0-0
-
1-1
100%
1-3
33%
Kendrick Nunn
#25 · SG · 6'3" 193 · 26
25.3
13
43%
4
1
0
0
1
2
1
3
4-4
100%
3-6
50%
1-7
14%
KZ Okpala
#4 · C · 6'9" 210 · 22
17.4
5
36%
5
0
0
2
0
3
1
4
0-0
-
1-3
33%
1-4
25%
Goran Dragic
#7 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 35
31.1
13
72%
4
3
0
1
2
3
0
4
4-4
100%
3-4
75%
1-3
33%
Tyler Herro
#14 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 21
27.1
2
17%
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-4
25%
0-2
0%
Andre Iguodala
#28 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 37
23.4
10
56%
3
2
1
0
1
2
0
3
5-8
63%
1-2
50%
1-4
25%
Precious Achiuwa
#5 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 21
16.5
8
50%
5
0
1
0
0
0
2
3
0-0
-
4-8
50%
0-0
-
Bam Adebayo
#13 · PF · 6'9" 255 · 24
DND - Injury/Illness | Left Knee; Tendinitis
Gabe Vincent
#2 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 25
DNP - Coach's Decision
Max Strus
#31 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 25
DNP - Coach's Decision
Maurice Harkless
#8 · SF · 6'9" 220 · 28
DNP - Coach's Decision
Chris Silva
#30 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 24
DNP - Coach's Decision
Udonis Haslem
#40 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 41
DNP - Coach's Decision
Meyers Leonard
#0 · C · 7'1" 255 · 29
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Shoulder; Surgery
Avery Bradley
#11 · SG · 6'2" 180 · 30
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Calf; Strain
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
103
58%
41
27
6
3
10
20
5
36
21-25
84%
26-43
60%
10-30
33%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.