FinalWin Prob.pScore
559%113
113
1441%110
103
ORTG#PossPace
DEN logo DEN
116.59793.1
IND logo IND
107.396100.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

PacersNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

PacersNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDENIND
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.113
100%
103
0%
Q4 - 0:13.6PacersAaron Holiday makes three point stepback jump shot (Justin Holiday assists)113
99.9%
103
0.1%
Q4 - 0:22.5PacersJustin Holiday defensive rebound113
99.9%
100
0.1%
Q4 - 0:23.6NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. misses regular free throw 2 of 2113
99.9%
100
0.1%
Q4 - 0:23.6NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2113
99.9%
100
0.1%
Q4 - 0:23.6PacersAaron Holiday personal foul (Take) (Michael Porter Jr. draws the foul)112
99.9%
100
0.1%
Q4 - 0:23.6NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. defensive rebound112
99.9%
100
0.1%
Q4 - 0:26.5PacersDoug McDermott misses three point pullup jump shot112
99.9%
100
0.1%
Q4 - 0:30.3NuggetsNikola Jokic makes regular free throw 2 of 2112
99.9%
100
0.1%
Q4 - 0:30.3NuggetsNikola Jokic misses regular free throw 1 of 2111
99.9%
100
0.1%
Q4 - 0:30.3PacersMalcolm Brogdon personal foul (Take) (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)111
99.9%
100
0.1%
Q4 - 0:30.3NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound111
99.9%
100
0.1%
Q4 - 0:32.4PacersMalcolm Brogdon misses two point driving reverse layup111
99.9%
100
0.1%
Q4 - 0:44.0NuggetsJamal Murray makes regular free throw 2 of 2111
99.9%
100
0.1%
Q4 - 0:44.0NuggetsJamal Murray makes regular free throw 1 of 2110
99.9%
100
0.1%
Q4 - 0:44.0PacersDoug McDermott personal foul (Take) (Jamal Murray draws the foul)109
99.9%
100
0.1%
Q4 - 0:46.7PacersDoug McDermott makes three point pullup jump shot (Malcolm Brogdon assists)109
99.8%
100
0.2%
Q4 - 0:52.4NuggetsMonte Morris makes regular free throw 2 of 2109
99.9%
97
0.1%
Q4 - 0:52.4NuggetsMonte Morris makes regular free throw 1 of 2108
99.9%
97
0.1%
Q4 - 0:52.4PacersT.J. McConnell personal foul (Take) (Monte Morris draws the foul)107
99.9%
97
0.1%
Q4 - 1:00PacersMyles Turner personal foul (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)107
99.8%
97
0.2%
Q4 - 1:01NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound107
99.8%
97
0.2%
Q4 - 1:03PacersMalcolm Brogdon misses regular free throw 2 of 2107
99.8%
97
0.2%
Q4 - 1:03PacersMalcolm Brogdon makes regular free throw 1 of 2107
99.7%
97
0.3%
Q4 - 1:03NuggetsJamal Murray shooting foul (Malcolm Brogdon draws the foul)107
99.7%
96
0.3%
Q4 - 1:07PacersDomantas Sabonis defensive rebound107
99.8%
96
0.2%
Q4 - 1:10NuggetsNikola Jokic misses two point floating jump shot107
99.8%
96
0.2%
Q4 - 1:29PacersDomantas Sabonis makes two point turnaround hook shot (Doug McDermott assists)107
99.8%
96
0.2%
Q4 - 1:43NuggetsMonte Morris makes two point cutting finger roll layup (Nikola Jokic assists)107
99.8%
94
0.2%
Q4 - 2:01PacersDomantas Sabonis makes two point cutting dunk (Malcolm Brogdon assists)105
99.6%
94
0.4%
Q4 - 2:08NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point driving reverse layup105
99.7%
92
0.3%
Q4 - 2:45PacersJustin Holiday makes three point stepback jump shot (Malcolm Brogdon assists)103
99.7%
92
0.3%
Q4 - 2:51NuggetsNikola Jokic turnover (lost ball) (Myles Turner steals)103
99.7%
89
0.3%
Q4 - 3:11PacersMyles Turner makes three point jump shot (Domantas Sabonis assists)103
99.8%
89
0.2%
Q4 - 3:24NuggetsJamal Murray makes two point stepback jump shot103
99.9%
86
0.1%
Q4 - 3:52PacersDoug McDermott makes two point cutting finger roll layup (Domantas Sabonis assists)101
99.7%
86
0.3%
Q4 - 4:06NuggetsWill Barton makes two point floating jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)101
99.8%
84
0.2%
Q4 - 4:33PacersDoug McDermott makes three point jump shot (Domantas Sabonis assists)99
99.7%
84
0.3%
Q4 - 4:43PacersDomantas Sabonis defensive rebound99
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 4:47NuggetsJamal Murray misses three point jump shot99
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 5:00PacersMyles Turner turnover (out of bounds bad pass)99
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 5:23NuggetsJamal Murray makes two point running dunk99
99.7%
81
0.3%
Q4 - 5:26PacersMyles Turner turnover (bad pass) (Jamal Murray steals)97
99.6%
81
0.4%
Q4 - 5:26PacersMyles Turner offensive rebound97
99.5%
81
0.5%
Q4 - 5:30PacersMichael Porter Jr. blocks Malcolm Brogdon's two point running layup97
99.6%
81
0.4%
Q4 - 5:34PacersMyles Turner defensive rebound97
99.5%
81
0.5%
Q4 - 5:37NuggetsJamal Murray misses three point running jump shot97
99.5%
81
0.5%
Q4 - 5:42NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound97
99.6%
81
0.4%
Q4 - 5:47PacersMalcolm Brogdon misses three point jump shot97
99.6%
81
0.4%
Q4 - 6:00NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point turnaround jump shot97
99.5%
81
0.5%
Q4 - 6:20PacersAaron Holiday turnover (out of bounds step)95
98.9%
81
1.1%
Q4 - 6:28PacersT.J. McConnell defensive rebound95
98.5%
81
1.5%
Q4 - 6:31NuggetsJamal Murray misses three point stepback jump shot95
98.6%
81
1.4%
Q4 - 6:46NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. defensive rebound95
98.9%
81
1.1%
Q4 - 6:50PacersAaron Holiday misses three point stepback jump shot95
98.8%
81
1.2%
Q4 - 7:13NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. makes three point jump shot (PJ Dozier assists)95
98.0%
81
2.0%
Q4 - 7:29NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. defensive rebound92
96.7%
81
3.3%
Q4 - 7:31PacersJeremy Lamb misses three point jump shot92
96.4%
81
3.6%
Q4 - 7:43NuggetsJamal Murray makes two point running dunk (PJ Dozier assists)92
95.6%
81
4.4%
Q4 - 7:47PacersEdmond Sumner turnover (bad pass) (PJ Dozier steals)90
94.5%
81
5.5%
Q4 - 7:58NuggetsIsaiah Hartenstein personal foul (Domantas Sabonis draws the foul)90
92.7%
81
7.3%
Q4 - 8:01NuggetsIsaiah Hartenstein personal foul (Take) (T.J. McConnell draws the foul)90
91.6%
81
8.4%
Q4 - 8:02PacersT.J. McConnell defensive rebound90
91.6%
81
8.4%
Q4 - 8:04NuggetsJamal Murray misses three point running pullup jump shot90
92.2%
81
7.8%
Q4 - 8:10NuggetsJamal Murray defensive rebound90
93.4%
81
6.6%
Q4 - 8:13PacersAaron Holiday misses three point pullup jump shot90
92.9%
81
7.1%
Q4 - 8:32NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. makes three point jump shot (PJ Dozier assists)90
91.7%
81
8.3%
Q4 - 8:35NuggetsIsaiah Hartenstein offensive rebound87
87.1%
81
12.9%
Q4 - 8:38NuggetsZeke Nnaji misses three point jump shot87
84.9%
81
15.1%
Q4 - 8:55PacersJeremy Lamb makes two point reverse layup (Domantas Sabonis assists)87
87.1%
81
12.9%
Q4 - 9:15PacersPacers defensive rebound87
88.6%
79
11.4%
Q4 - 9:16NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. misses three point stepback jump shot87
89.4%
79
10.6%
Q4 - 9:40PacersEdmond Sumner makes three point jump shot (Aaron Holiday assists)87
91.0%
79
9.0%
Q4 - 10:01NuggetsJamal Murray makes two point pullup jump shot87
93.2%
76
6.8%
Q4 - 10:16PacersDomantas Sabonis turnover (lost ball) (Jamal Murray steals)85
91.8%
76
8.2%
Q4 - 10:19NuggetsJamal Murray turnover (lost ball) (Domantas Sabonis steals)85
89.9%
76
10.1%
Q4 - 10:30NuggetsPJ Dozier defensive rebound85
91.9%
76
8.1%
Q4 - 10:34PacersT.J. McConnell misses three point pullup jump shot85
91.3%
76
8.7%
Q4 - 10:48PacersDomantas Sabonis defensive rebound85
89.9%
76
10.1%
Q4 - 10:49NuggetsIsaiah Hartenstein misses regular free throw 2 of 285
90.2%
76
9.8%
Q4 - 10:49NuggetsIsaiah Hartenstein makes regular free throw 1 of 285
91.3%
76
8.7%
Q4 - 10:49PacersDomantas Sabonis shooting foul (Isaiah Hartenstein draws the foul)84
90.7%
76
9.3%
Q4 - 11:16PacersT.J. McConnell makes two point pullup jump shot (Jeremy Lamb assists)84
88.9%
76
11.1%
Q4 - 11:29NuggetsIsaiah Hartenstein makes two point tip layup84
90.9%
74
9.1%
Q4 - 11:29NuggetsIsaiah Hartenstein offensive rebound82
89.0%
74
11.0%
Q4 - 11:34NuggetsPJ Dozier misses two point pullup bank jump shot82
87.5%
74
12.5%
Q4 - 11:43NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. defensive rebound82
89.0%
74
11.0%
Q4 - 11:46PacersZeke Nnaji blocks Jeremy Lamb's two point pullup jump shot82
88.3%
74
11.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.82
86.8%
74
13.2%
Q3 - 0:01.0NuggetsNuggets offensive rebound82
88.1%
74
11.9%
Q3 - 0:01.0NuggetsJamal Murray misses two point fadeaway jump shot82
86.6%
74
13.4%
Q3 - 0:11.4PacersJeremy Lamb makes regular free throw 2 of 282
88.1%
74
11.9%
Q3 - 0:11.4PacersJeremy Lamb makes regular free throw 1 of 282
88.3%
73
11.7%
Q3 - 0:11.4NuggetsZeke Nnaji shooting foul (Jeremy Lamb draws the foul)82
88.6%
72
11.4%
Q3 - 0:33.7NuggetsJamal Murray makes two point floating jump shot82
90.1%
72
9.9%
Q3 - 0:47.6NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound80
88.2%
72
11.8%
Q3 - 0:49.5PacersT.J. McConnell misses two point driving reverse layup80
87.5%
72
12.5%
Q3 - 0:56.3PacersMyles Turner offensive rebound80
86.0%
72
14.0%
Q3 - 0:58.8PacersJeremy Lamb misses two point pullup jump shot80
87.5%
72
12.5%
Q3 - 1:16NuggetsJamal Murray makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot80
84.9%
72
15.1%
Q3 - 1:30PacersEdmond Sumner turnover (out of bounds bad pass)78
82.6%
72
17.4%
Q3 - 1:46PacersT.J. McConnell defensive rebound78
79.5%
72
20.5%
Q3 - 1:49NuggetsPJ Dozier misses three point jump shot78
80.5%
72
19.5%
Q3 - 1:54PacersAaron Holiday personal foul (PJ Dozier draws the foul)78
82.7%
72
17.3%
Q3 - 2:12PacersT.J. McConnell makes two point driving reverse layup (Jeremy Lamb assists)78
81.7%
72
18.3%
Q3 - 2:15NuggetsVlatko Cancar personal foul (Aaron Holiday draws the foul)78
83.9%
70
16.1%
Q3 - 2:18PacersPacers offensive rebound78
83.9%
70
16.1%
Q3 - 2:18PacersMonte Morris blocks Jeremy Lamb's two point driving finger roll layup78
85.7%
70
14.3%
Q3 - 2:26NuggetsNikola Jokic turnover (lost ball) (Aaron Holiday steals)78
83.9%
70
16.1%
Q3 - 2:39NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. defensive rebound78
86.5%
70
13.5%
Q3 - 2:42PacersMyles Turner misses two point driving layup78
85.8%
70
14.2%
Q3 - 2:48PacersJeremy Lamb defensive rebound78
84.0%
70
16.0%
Q3 - 2:53NuggetsMonte Morris misses three point stepback jump shot78
84.8%
70
15.2%
Q3 - 2:59PacersMyles Turner personal foul (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)78
86.6%
70
13.4%
Q3 - 3:12PacersJustin Holiday turnover (out of bounds step)78
85.9%
70
14.1%
Q3 - 3:18NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. makes two point cutting finger roll layup (Monte Morris assists)78
83.3%
70
16.7%
Q3 - 3:22NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound76
81.2%
70
18.8%
Q3 - 3:24PacersMalcolm Brogdon misses two point reverse layup76
80.2%
70
19.8%
Q3 - 3:43NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point turnaround hook shot76
78.0%
70
22.0%
Q3 - 4:07PacersT.J. McConnell makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot74
75.0%
70
25.0%
Q3 - 4:19NuggetsVlatko Cancar makes two point cutting finger roll layup (Nikola Jokic assists)74
77.5%
68
22.5%
Q3 - 4:28NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound72
75.0%
68
25.0%
Q3 - 4:28PacersJustin Holiday misses three point jump shot72
73.9%
68
26.1%
Q3 - 4:48NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot72
71.2%
68
28.8%
Q3 - 5:04PacersPacers turnover (shot clock violation)70
67.9%
68
32.1%
Q3 - 5:04PacersPacers offensive rebound70
64.1%
68
35.9%
Q3 - 5:04PacersPJ Dozier blocks Myles Turner's two point driving layup70
66.8%
68
33.2%
Q3 - 5:31NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. makes two point running dunk (Nikola Jokic assists)70
64.1%
68
35.9%
Q3 - 5:35PacersMalcolm Brogdon turnover (lost ball) (PJ Dozier steals)68
60.6%
68
39.4%
Q3 - 5:47NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. turnover (traveling)68
56.5%
68
43.5%
Q3 - 6:03PacersJustin Holiday makes three point jump shot (Malcolm Brogdon assists)68
60.9%
68
39.1%
Q3 - 6:14PacersDoug McDermott defensive rebound68
67.6%
65
32.4%
Q3 - 6:16NuggetsMyles Turner blocks Jamal Murray's two point driving layup68
68.7%
65
31.3%
Q3 - 6:34PacersMalcolm Brogdon makes two point running finger roll layup (Domantas Sabonis assists)68
71.1%
65
28.9%
Q3 - 6:39NuggetsWill Barton turnover (bad pass) (Domantas Sabonis steals)68
73.9%
63
26.1%
Q3 - 6:53PacersMalcolm Brogdon makes two point fadeaway jump shot68
77.0%
63
23.0%
Q3 - 7:06PacersMyles Turner defensive rebound68
78.7%
61
21.3%
Q3 - 7:07NuggetsNikola Jokic misses two point jump shot68
79.6%
61
20.4%
Q3 - 7:27PacersMyles Turner makes two point layup (Domantas Sabonis assists)68
81.5%
61
18.5%
Q3 - 7:47NuggetsNikola Jokic turnover (traveling)68
83.4%
59
16.6%
Q3 - 8:02NuggetsNuggets defensive rebound68
85.3%
59
14.7%
Q3 - 8:05PacersMyles Turner misses three point jump shot68
84.6%
59
15.4%
Q3 - 8:26NuggetsWill Barton makes two point turnaround jump shot (Monte Morris assists)68
83.0%
59
17.0%
Q3 - 8:33PacersDoug McDermott makes two point running dunk66
81.3%
59
18.7%
Q3 - 8:37NuggetsWill Barton turnover (lost ball) (Doug McDermott steals)66
83.0%
57
17.0%
Q3 - 9:00PacersJustin Holiday makes three point pullup jump shot (Domantas Sabonis assists)66
85.3%
57
14.7%
Q3 - 9:07PacersDomantas Sabonis defensive rebound66
88.0%
54
12.0%
Q3 - 9:10NuggetsMonte Morris misses three point jump shot66
88.5%
54
11.5%
Q3 - 9:14NuggetsWill Barton defensive rebound66
89.6%
54
10.4%
Q3 - 9:15PacersDoug McDermott misses two point reverse layup66
89.1%
54
10.9%
Q3 - 9:32NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. makes three point running pullup jump shot66
88.0%
54
12.0%
Q3 - 9:36NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. defensive rebound63
84.9%
54
15.1%
Q3 - 9:38PacersDomantas Sabonis misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot63
84.3%
54
15.7%
Q3 - 9:54PacersMyles Turner defensive rebound63
82.8%
54
17.2%
Q3 - 9:56NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. misses two point fadeaway jump shot63
83.4%
54
16.6%
Q3 - 9:58NuggetsNuggets offensive rebound63
84.9%
54
15.1%
Q3 - 9:59NuggetsMyles Turner blocks Nikola Jokic's two point pullup jump shot63
83.4%
54
16.6%
Q3 - 10:11PacersJustin Holiday personal foul (Monte Morris draws the foul)63
84.6%
54
15.4%
Q3 - 10:30NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. defensive rebound63
84.6%
54
15.4%
Q3 - 10:35PacersMalcolm Brogdon misses three point pullup jump shot63
83.9%
54
16.1%
Q3 - 10:51NuggetsMonte Morris makes two point jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)63
82.4%
54
17.6%
Q3 - 11:02NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound61
80.4%
54
19.6%
Q3 - 11:04PacersDoug McDermott misses three point jump shot61
79.7%
54
20.3%
Q3 - 11:23NuggetsJamal Murray turnover (out of bounds bad pass)61
78.0%
54
22.0%
Q3 - 11:40PacersDoug McDermott makes two point running layup61
80.4%
54
19.6%
Q3 - 11:44NuggetsWill Barton turnover (lost ball) (Doug McDermott steals)61
82.3%
52
17.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.61
84.3%
52
15.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0PacersPacers offensive rebound61
82.3%
52
17.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0PacersDomantas Sabonis misses two point reverse layup61
83.7%
52
16.3%
Q2 - 0:12.4NuggetsNikola Jokic turnover (traveling)61
82.3%
52
17.7%
Q2 - 0:32.3NuggetsWill Barton defensive rebound61
83.6%
52
16.4%
Q2 - 0:34.3PacersMyles Turner misses regular free throw 1 of 161
83.5%
52
16.5%
Q2 - 0:34.3NuggetsNikola Jokic shooting foul (Myles Turner draws the foul)61
82.2%
52
17.8%
Q2 - 0:45.1NuggetsWill Barton personal foul (Loose ball) (Domantas Sabonis draws the foul)61
85.8%
50
14.2%
Q2 - 0:45.1PacersDomantas Sabonis offensive rebound61
85.8%
50
14.2%
Q2 - 0:46.2PacersDoug McDermott misses two point driving finger roll layup61
86.6%
50
13.4%
Q2 - 0:55.3NuggetsJamal Murray makes regular free throw 2 of 261
85.8%
50
14.2%
Q2 - 0:55.3NuggetsJamal Murray makes regular free throw 1 of 260
85.6%
50
14.4%
Q2 - 0:55.3PacersDoug McDermott personal foul (Jamal Murray draws the foul)59
85.4%
50
14.6%
Q2 - 1:16PacersDomantas Sabonis makes two point cutting dunk (T.J. McConnell assists)59
83.1%
50
16.9%
Q2 - 1:20NuggetsNikola Jokic turnover (bad pass) (Doug McDermott steals)59
85.4%
48
14.6%
Q2 - 1:25NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound59
86.4%
48
13.6%
Q2 - 1:28PacersDomantas Sabonis misses two point driving floating jump shot59
86.1%
48
13.9%
Q2 - 1:49NuggetsJamal Murray makes two point fadeaway jump shot59
85.5%
48
14.5%
Q2 - 1:58PacersDoug McDermott makes three point jump shot (Domantas Sabonis assists)57
83.1%
48
16.9%
Q2 - 2:11NuggetsNikola Jokic makes three point jump shot (Will Barton assists)57
86.0%
45
14.0%
Q2 - 2:17PacersDoug McDermott personal foul (Will Barton draws the foul)54
82.9%
45
17.1%
Q2 - 2:20NuggetsWill Barton defensive rebound54
82.9%
45
17.1%
Q2 - 2:24PacersDomantas Sabonis misses three point jump shot54
82.4%
45
17.6%
Q2 - 2:46NuggetsJamal Murray turnover (discontinue dribble)54
81.1%
45
18.9%
Q2 - 2:55NuggetsWill Barton defensive rebound54
82.9%
45
17.1%
Q2 - 2:58PacersDomantas Sabonis misses two point turnaround hook shot54
82.4%
45
17.6%
Q2 - 3:13NuggetsJamal Murray makes three point jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)54
80.3%
45
19.7%
Q2 - 3:33PacersT.J. McConnell makes two point pullup jump shot51
76.7%
45
23.3%
Q2 - 3:52NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. makes three point jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)51
78.4%
43
21.6%
Q2 - 3:56PacersT.J. McConnell turnover (out of bounds step)48
74.5%
43
25.5%
Q2 - 3:56NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. turnover (bad pass) (T.J. McConnell steals)48
72.0%
43
28.0%
Q2 - 4:16PacersMyles Turner makes two point putback layup48
74.1%
43
25.9%
Q2 - 4:16PacersMyles Turner offensive rebound48
76.2%
41
23.8%
Q2 - 4:20PacersMalcolm Brogdon misses three point pullup jump shot48
77.6%
41
22.4%
Q2 - 4:28PacersDomantas Sabonis defensive rebound48
76.2%
41
23.8%
Q2 - 4:31NuggetsNikola Jokic misses two point driving layup48
76.8%
41
23.2%
Q2 - 4:47PacersJeremy Lamb personal foul (Loose ball) (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)48
78.2%
41
21.8%
Q2 - 4:47NuggetsNuggets defensive rebound48
78.2%
41
21.8%
Q2 - 4:49PacersJeremy Lamb misses two point driving floating jump shot48
77.6%
41
22.4%
Q2 - 5:03NuggetsWill Barton turnover (bad pass) (Domantas Sabonis steals)48
75.9%
41
24.1%
Q2 - 5:08NuggetsWill Barton defensive rebound48
78.3%
41
21.7%
Q2 - 5:10PacersMyles Turner misses three point jump shot48
77.6%
41
22.4%
Q2 - 5:29NuggetsWill Barton makes two point driving finger roll layup (PJ Dozier assists)48
75.9%
41
24.1%
Q2 - 5:34NuggetsPJ Dozier offensive rebound46
74.3%
41
25.7%
Q2 - 5:37NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. misses three point jump shot46
72.5%
41
27.5%
Q2 - 6:00PacersMyles Turner makes two point tip layup46
74.3%
41
25.7%
Q2 - 6:00PacersMyles Turner offensive rebound46
76.0%
39
24.0%
Q2 - 6:03PacersJeremy Lamb misses two point driving reverse layup46
77.5%
39
22.5%
Q2 - 6:19NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point bank jump shot (PJ Dozier assists)46
75.8%
39
24.2%
Q2 - 6:43NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. defensive rebound44
74.3%
39
25.7%
Q2 - 6:44PacersMyles Turner misses regular free throw 2 of 244
74.0%
39
26.0%
Q2 - 6:44PacersMyles Turner makes regular free throw 1 of 244
72.6%
39
27.4%
Q2 - 6:44NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. shooting foul (Myles Turner draws the foul)44
73.1%
38
26.9%
Q2 - 6:59NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point dunk (PJ Dozier assists)44
73.8%
38
26.2%
Q2 - 7:04NuggetsZeke Nnaji defensive rebound42
71.8%
38
28.2%
Q2 - 7:07PacersJustin Holiday misses three point pullup jump shot42
71.1%
38
28.9%
Q2 - 7:15NuggetsNikola Jokic turnover (bad pass) (Justin Holiday steals)42
69.5%
38
30.5%
Q2 - 7:21NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound42
71.8%
38
28.2%
Q2 - 7:23PacersT.J. McConnell misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot42
71.1%
38
28.9%
Q2 - 7:34PacersT.J. McConnell defensive rebound42
69.5%
38
30.5%
Q2 - 7:38NuggetsPJ Dozier misses regular free throw 2 of 242
69.8%
38
30.2%
Q2 - 7:38NuggetsPJ Dozier misses regular free throw 1 of 242
71.1%
38
28.9%
Q2 - 7:38PacersEdmond Sumner shooting foul (PJ Dozier draws the foul)42
72.6%
38
27.4%
Q2 - 7:45NuggetsPJ Dozier defensive rebound42
71.8%
38
28.2%
Q2 - 7:48PacersEdmond Sumner misses three point jump shot42
71.1%
38
28.9%
Q2 - 7:57NuggetsPJ Dozier turnover (out of bounds bad pass)42
69.5%
38
30.5%
Q2 - 8:09PacersEdmond Sumner makes regular free throw 2 of 242
71.4%
38
28.6%
Q2 - 8:09PacersEdmond Sumner makes regular free throw 1 of 242
71.9%
37
28.1%
Q2 - 8:09NuggetsVlatko Cancar shooting foul (Edmond Sumner draws the foul)42
72.6%
36
27.4%
Q2 - 8:13PacersMyles Turner offensive rebound42
73.4%
36
26.6%
Q2 - 8:17PacersJeremy Lamb misses three point jump shot42
74.8%
36
25.2%
Q2 - 8:28NuggetsVlatko Cancar makes two point layup (Isaiah Hartenstein assists)42
73.4%
36
26.6%
Q2 - 8:37NuggetsVlatko Cancar defensive rebound40
71.4%
36
28.6%
Q2 - 8:43PacersMyles Turner misses three point jump shot40
70.8%
36
29.2%
Q2 - 8:54NuggetsIsaiah Hartenstein makes two point cutting dunk (Jamal Murray assists)40
69.2%
36
30.8%
Q2 - 9:04PacersJustin Holiday personal foul (Loose ball) (Jamal Murray draws the foul)38
66.7%
36
33.3%
Q2 - 9:04PacersT.J. McConnell turnover (bad pass)38
66.7%
36
33.3%
Q2 - 9:16NuggetsIsaiah Hartenstein turnover (offensive foul)38
64.4%
36
35.6%
Q2 - 9:16NuggetsIsaiah Hartenstein offensive foul (T.J. McConnell draws the foul)38
66.8%
36
33.2%
Q2 - 9:18NuggetsVlatko Cancar defensive rebound38
66.8%
36
33.2%
Q2 - 9:22PacersJeremy Lamb misses three point jump shot38
66.0%
36
34.0%
Q2 - 9:33NuggetsIsaiah Hartenstein makes two point layup (Zeke Nnaji assists)38
64.4%
36
35.6%
Q2 - 9:51PacersEdmond Sumner makes three point jump shot (Jeremy Lamb assists)36
62.2%
36
37.8%
Q2 - 10:05NuggetsVlatko Cancar makes three point jump shot (PJ Dozier assists)36
66.7%
33
33.3%
Q2 - 10:06NuggetsNuggets offensive rebound33
62.4%
33
37.6%
Q2 - 10:08NuggetsZeke Nnaji misses two point jump shot33
60.6%
33
39.4%
Q2 - 10:11NuggetsIsaiah Hartenstein offensive rebound33
62.4%
33
37.6%
Q2 - 10:15NuggetsVlatko Cancar misses three point jump shot33
60.6%
33
39.4%
Q2 - 10:34PacersT.J. McConnell makes two point pullup jump shot33
62.3%
33
37.7%
Q2 - 10:59NuggetsPJ Dozier makes two point pullup jump shot (Isaiah Hartenstein assists)33
64.5%
31
35.5%
Q2 - 11:15PacersMyles Turner makes two point turnaround bank jump shot (T.J. McConnell assists)31
62.3%
31
37.7%
Q2 - 11:42NuggetsPJ Dozier makes three point jump shot (Vlatko Cancar assists)31
64.7%
29
35.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.28
60.0%
29
40.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0NuggetsNuggets offensive rebound28
60.0%
29
40.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0NuggetsPJ Dozier misses three point stepback jump shot28
58.5%
29
41.5%
Q1 - 0:15.8NuggetsNuggets defensive rebound28
59.7%
29
40.3%
Q1 - 0:17.8PacersT.J. McConnell misses two point driving floating jump shot28
59.2%
29
40.8%
Q1 - 0:33.3NuggetsJamal Murray makes regular free throw 2 of 228
58.0%
29
42.0%
Q1 - 0:33.3NuggetsJamal Murray makes regular free throw 1 of 227
57.7%
29
42.3%
Q1 - 0:33.3PacersT.J. McConnell shooting foul (Jamal Murray draws the foul)26
57.4%
29
42.6%
Q1 - 0:46.9PacersEdmond Sumner turnover (out of bounds bad pass)26
55.2%
29
44.8%
Q1 - 1:01NuggetsWill Barton makes two point floating jump shot26
53.6%
29
46.4%
Q1 - 1:06NuggetsVlatko Cancar defensive rebound24
50.8%
29
49.2%
Q1 - 1:10PacersDomantas Sabonis misses two point jump shot24
50.2%
29
49.8%
Q1 - 1:29NuggetsZeke Nnaji makes three point jump shot (PJ Dozier assists)24
49.0%
29
51.0%
Q1 - 1:42PacersDoug McDermott makes three point jump shot (T.J. McConnell assists)21
43.8%
29
56.2%
Q1 - 1:47PacersT.J. McConnell defensive rebound21
48.9%
26
51.1%
Q1 - 1:51NuggetsNikola Jokic misses two point floating jump shot21
49.5%
26
50.5%
Q1 - 2:02PacersMalcolm Brogdon makes two point driving finger roll layup (T.J. McConnell assists)21
51.4%
26
48.6%
Q1 - 2:18NuggetsPJ Dozier personal foul (Loose ball) (Malcolm Brogdon draws the foul)21
53.7%
24
46.3%
Q1 - 2:18PacersPacers offensive rebound21
53.7%
24
46.3%
Q1 - 2:20PacersDomantas Sabonis misses two point jump shot21
55.2%
24
44.8%
Q1 - 2:39NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot21
53.7%
24
46.3%
Q1 - 2:53NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound19
51.4%
24
48.6%
Q1 - 2:57PacersMalcolm Brogdon misses three point pullup jump shot19
50.7%
24
49.3%
Q1 - 3:06PacersMalcolm Brogdon makes technical free throw 1 of 119
49.0%
24
51.0%
Q1 - 3:06Nuggets technical foul (Defensive three second)19
49.5%
23
50.5%
Q1 - 3:21NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. makes two point layup (Nikola Jokic assists)19
51.2%
23
48.8%
Q1 - 3:36PacersDoug McDermott personal foul (Will Barton draws the foul)17
49.3%
23
50.7%
Q1 - 3:43PacersDomantas Sabonis makes two point putback layup17
49.3%
23
50.7%
Q1 - 3:43PacersDomantas Sabonis offensive rebound17
51.2%
21
48.8%
Q1 - 3:45PacersDomantas Sabonis misses two point driving layup17
53.0%
21
47.0%
Q1 - 4:10NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point cutting layup (Jamal Murray assists)17
51.8%
21
48.2%
Q1 - 4:23PacersDoug McDermott makes two point driving finger roll layup15
49.9%
21
50.1%
Q1 - 4:36NuggetsMonte Morris makes two point cutting layup (Jamal Murray assists)15
51.7%
19
48.3%
Q1 - 4:53NuggetsWill Barton defensive rebound13
49.9%
19
50.1%
Q1 - 4:56PacersWill Barton blocks Malcolm Brogdon's two point running layup13
49.1%
19
50.9%
Q1 - 5:00PacersMyles Turner defensive rebound13
47.4%
19
52.6%
Q1 - 5:00NuggetsNikola Jokic misses two point tip layup13
48.2%
19
51.8%
Q1 - 5:00NuggetsNikola Jokic offensive rebound13
49.9%
19
50.1%
Q1 - 5:03NuggetsNikola Jokic misses two point driving finger roll layup13
49.1%
19
50.9%
Q1 - 5:19PacersDomantas Sabonis makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot13
50.6%
19
49.4%
Q1 - 5:35PacersMalcolm Brogdon defensive rebound13
52.5%
17
47.5%
Q1 - 5:39NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. misses three point pullup jump shot13
53.1%
17
46.9%
Q1 - 5:49PacersMyles Turner turnover (out of bounds bad pass)13
54.6%
17
45.4%
Q1 - 5:57PacersMyles Turner defensive rebound13
52.4%
17
47.6%
Q1 - 6:01NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. misses three point jump shot13
53.5%
17
46.5%
Q1 - 6:23PacersMyles Turner makes three point jump shot (Malcolm Brogdon assists)13
54.8%
17
45.2%
Q1 - 6:27PacersDoug McDermott defensive rebound13
58.7%
14
41.3%
Q1 - 6:30NuggetsMyles Turner blocks Will Barton's two point driving layup13
59.3%
14
40.7%
Q1 - 6:49PacersJustin Holiday makes two point pullup jump shot (Domantas Sabonis assists)13
60.5%
14
39.5%
Q1 - 6:56PacersDoug McDermott defensive rebound13
62.4%
12
37.6%
Q1 - 6:58NuggetsMonte Morris misses three point jump shot13
63.0%
12
37.0%
Q1 - 7:13PacersMalcolm Brogdon makes two point running finger roll layup13
64.5%
12
35.5%
Q1 - 7:20PacersPacers defensive rebound13
66.0%
10
34.0%
Q1 - 7:20NuggetsNikola Jokic misses two point putback layup13
66.6%
10
33.4%
Q1 - 7:20NuggetsNikola Jokic offensive rebound13
67.9%
10
32.1%
Q1 - 7:23NuggetsJamal Murray misses two point pullup jump shot13
66.6%
10
33.4%
Q1 - 7:46PacersMyles Turner makes three point bank jump shot (Justin Holiday assists)13
67.8%
10
32.2%
Q1 - 7:49PacersDomantas Sabonis offensive rebound13
71.0%
7
29.0%
Q1 - 7:52PacersMyles Turner misses regular free throw 2 of 213
72.4%
7
27.6%
Q1 - 7:52PacersMyles Turner misses regular free throw 1 of 213
71.4%
7
28.6%
Q1 - 7:52NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. shooting foul (Myles Turner draws the foul)13
70.2%
7
29.8%
Q1 - 7:52PacersMyles Turner offensive rebound13
71.0%
7
29.0%
Q1 - 7:56PacersDoug McDermott misses three point jump shot13
72.1%
7
27.9%
Q1 - 8:06NuggetsNikola Jokic personal foul (Take) (Domantas Sabonis draws the foul)13
71.2%
7
28.8%
Q1 - 8:07NuggetsNikola Jokic turnover (bad pass) (Domantas Sabonis steals)13
71.2%
7
28.8%
Q1 - 8:18PacersMyles Turner personal foul (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)13
72.9%
7
27.1%
Q1 - 8:29PacersJustin Holiday makes three point pullup jump shot (Domantas Sabonis assists)13
72.9%
7
27.1%
Q1 - 8:35PacersDomantas Sabonis defensive rebound13
75.6%
4
24.4%
Q1 - 8:38NuggetsWill Barton misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot13
76.1%
4
23.9%
Q1 - 8:45NuggetsJamal Murray defensive rebound13
77.2%
4
22.8%
Q1 - 8:47PacersMalcolm Brogdon misses two point driving finger roll layup13
76.7%
4
23.3%
Q1 - 8:59NuggetsMonte Morris turnover (lost ball) (Justin Holiday steals)13
75.6%
4
24.4%
Q1 - 9:06NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. defensive rebound13
77.1%
4
22.9%
Q1 - 9:10PacersMalcolm Brogdon misses three point running pullup jump shot13
76.6%
4
23.4%
Q1 - 9:14PacersDoug McDermott defensive rebound13
75.4%
4
24.6%
Q1 - 9:17NuggetsNikola Jokic misses three point jump shot13
75.9%
4
24.1%
Q1 - 9:32PacersMyles Turner makes two point putback layup13
77.1%
4
22.9%
Q1 - 9:34PacersMyles Turner offensive rebound13
78.1%
2
21.9%
Q1 - 9:37PacersDomantas Sabonis misses three point jump shot13
79.2%
2
20.8%
Q1 - 9:48NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. makes two point running dunk13
78.1%
2
21.9%
Q1 - 9:51PacersDomantas Sabonis turnover (bad pass) (Michael Porter Jr. steals)11
77.1%
2
22.9%
Q1 - 9:52PacersDomantas Sabonis offensive rebound11
75.4%
2
24.6%
Q1 - 9:55PacersJustin Holiday misses three point stepback jump shot11
76.6%
2
23.4%
Q1 - 10:14NuggetsWill Barton makes two point driving layup11
75.5%
2
24.5%
Q1 - 10:23NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. defensive rebound9
74.2%
2
25.8%
Q1 - 10:25PacersDomantas Sabonis misses three point jump shot9
73.7%
2
26.3%
Q1 - 10:39NuggetsWill Barton makes three point pullup jump shot9
72.6%
2
27.4%
Q1 - 10:55PacersJustin Holiday makes two point driving finger roll layup6
69.7%
2
30.3%
Q1 - 11:11NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. makes three point pullup jump shot (Jamal Murray assists)6
71.1%
0
28.9%
Q1 - 11:17NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. defensive rebound3
68.1%
0
31.9%
Q1 - 11:19PacersJustin Holiday misses three point pullup jump shot3
67.5%
0
32.5%
Q1 - 11:39NuggetsWill Barton makes three point stepback jump shot3
66.3%
0
33.7%
Q1 - 11:47PacersDomantas Sabonis turnover (bad pass) (Michael Porter Jr. steals)0
63.0%
0
37.0%
Q1 - 12:00Nikola Jokic vs. Myles Turner (Malcolm Brogdon gains possession)0
61.1%
0
38.9%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.28 64.2%
IND
1.06 53.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DEN
19
24
79%
IND
19
35
54%
Midrange
DEN
14
25
56%
IND
8
16
50%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DEN
12
18.0
28
43%
64%
IND
14
21.0
39
36%
54%
Free Throws
DEN
11
16
69%
IND
7
12
58%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Porter2480%12.0 / 15
J. Murray2364%11.5 / 18
N. Jokić2053%10.0 / 19
W. Barton1689%8.0 / 9
M. Morris857%4.0 / 7
V. Cancar788%3.5 / 4
I. Hartenstein788%3.5 / 4
P. Dozier542%2.5 / 6
Z. Nnaji350%1.5 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
IND logo Pacers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Turner2269%11.0 / 16
D. McDermott2077%10.0 / 13
J. Holiday1680%8.0 / 10
D. Sabonis1033%5.0 / 15
M. Brogdon1033%5.0 / 15
T. McConnell1056%5.0 / 9
E. Sumner8100%4.0 / 4
J. Lamb420%2.0 / 10
A. Holiday350%1.5 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DEN
78
+10
-19
88
IND
82
+15
-14
97
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.28 64.2%
IND
1.06 53.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
116.8
112.3
DEN 116.5 +9.2
IND 107.3
Pace
97.4
101.6
DEN 93.1
IND 100.2 +7.1
Avg. Poss. Time
15.1
13.8
DEN 15.5
IND 14.4 +1.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
55.7%
54.2%
DEN 66.2% +12.9%
IND 53.3%
TO %
13.0%
12.7%
DEN 18.4%
IND 13.6% +4.8%
ORB %
24.8%
20.2%
DEN 20.7%
IND 23.9% +3.2%
FTrt
21.9
22.7
DEN 20.8 +7.5
IND 13.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
62.1%
63.3%
DEN 60.0%
IND 65.9% +5.9%
STL %
8.2%
8.3%
DEN 6.2%
IND 12.5% +6.3%
BLK %
9.0%
10.7%
DEN 9.8% +3.7%
IND 6.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
57.5%
56.3%
DEN 64.2% +11.1%
IND 53.1%
Rim FG%
63.9%
60.0%
DEN 79.2% +24.9%
IND 54.3%
Mid FG%
44.9%
43.2%
DEN 56.0% +6.0%
IND 50.0%
3P %
37.7%
36.4%
DEN 42.9% +7.0%
IND 35.9%
FT %
80.3%
79.2%
DEN 68.8% +10.5%
IND 58.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
33.5%
40.4%
DEN 31.2%
IND 38.9% +7.7%
Mid Att. %
28.2%
22.4%
DEN 32.5%
IND 17.8% +14.7%
3P Att. %
38.3%
37.2%
DEN 36.4%
IND 43.3% +7.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsDENIND
Possessions9796
Possession Minutes25.023.0
Points113103
Rebounds4134
Assists2727
Steals612
Blocks53
Turnovers (Team)19 (0)14 (1)
Fouls1317
Off. Rebounds (Team)6 (4)11 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)35 (3)23 (2)
Field Goals45-7741-90
At-the-Rim FG19-2419-35
Midrange FG14-258-16
2-Point FG33-4927-51
3-Point FG12-2814-39
Free Throws11-167-12
Fast Break Pts2220
2nd Chance Pts1019
Points in Paint5046
Pts off Turnovers2618
Bench Points2225
Biggest Lead188

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 24
38.9
23
64%
2
4
2
0
3
1
0
2
6-6
100%
7-10
70%
1-5
20%
#1 · PF · 6'10" 218 · 23
37.7
24
80%
11
0
2
1
2
2
0
11
1-2
50%
4-5
80%
5-9
56%
#15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 26
37.0
20
53%
12
8
0
0
7
2
2
10
1-2
50%
8-16
50%
1-2
50%
#11 · SG · 6'3" 175 · 26
30.6
8
57%
0
2
0
1
1
0
0
0
2-2
100%
3-3
100%
0-3
0%
#5 · SF · 6'6" 190 · 30
30.1
16
89%
6
1
0
1
4
1
0
6
0-0
-
5-7
71%
2-2
100%
#35 · PG · 6'6" 205 · 24
22.8
5
42%
3
8
2
1
1
1
1
2
0-2
0%
1-2
50%
1-3
33%
#22 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 20
16.5
3
50%
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
1-2
50%
#31 · SF · 6'9" 215 · 24
15.4
7
88%
3
1
0
0
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
2-2
100%
1-2
50%
#25 · C · 7'0" 250 · 23
11.0
7
88%
3
2
0
0
1
3
3
0
1-2
50%
3-3
100%
0-0
-
#0 · PF · 6'9" 227 · 31
DNP - Injury/Illness | Left Shoulder; Sprain
#10 · C · 7'2" 208 · 21
DNP - Coach's Decision
#3 · SF · 6'9" 210 · 28
DNP - Coach's Decision
#7 · PG · 5'11" 195 · 30
INACTIVE
#4 · PF · 6'8" 246 · 36
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Knee; Sprain
#00 · PG · 5'11" 175 · 22
INACTIVE
#13 · PG · 6'4" 175 · 20
INACTIVE
#14 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 26
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Adductor; Strain
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
113
64%
41
27
6
5
19
13
6
35
11-16
69%
33-49
67%
12-28
43%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.