for complete access.
All Games Tuesday, March 2, 2021
FinalWin Prob.pScore
16
Hawks
41%112
94
9
Heat
59%115
80
ORTG#PossPace
ATL logo ATL
109.38678.6
MIA logo MIA
93.08695.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventATLMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.94
100%
80
0%
Q4 - 0:17.6HawksKevin Huerter makes two point pullup bank jump shot (Trae Young assists)94
99.9%
80
0.1%
Q4 - 0:36.2HeatGoran Dragic makes two point driving finger roll layup92
99.9%
80
0.1%
Q4 - 0:41.1HeatPrecious Achiuwa defensive rebound92
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 0:45.4HawksTrae Young misses three point jump shot92
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 1:04HeatGoran Dragic makes regular free throw 2 of 292
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 1:04HeatGoran Dragic makes regular free throw 1 of 292
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 1:04HawksKevin Huerter shooting foul (Goran Dragic draws the foul)92
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 1:17HawksTony Snell makes two point driving floating bank jump shot (Trae Young assists)92
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 1:31HawksClint Capela defensive rebound90
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 1:34HeatKendrick Nunn misses two point pullup jump shot90
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 1:47HawksTrae Young turnover (out of bounds lost ball)90
99.8%
76
0.2%
Q4 - 2:03HawksClint Capela defensive rebound90
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 2:07HeatBam Adebayo misses two point driving layup90
99.8%
76
0.2%
Q4 - 2:15HawksKevin Huerter makes regular free throw 2 of 290
99.7%
76
0.3%
Q4 - 2:15HawksKevin Huerter makes regular free throw 1 of 289
99.7%
76
0.3%
Q4 - 2:15HeatTyler Herro shooting foul (Kevin Huerter draws the foul)88
99.7%
76
0.3%
Q4 - 2:15HawksClint Capela offensive rebound88
99.7%
76
0.3%
Q4 - 2:17HawksKevin Huerter misses three point jump shot88
99.5%
76
0.5%
Q4 - 2:37HeatGoran Dragic makes two point turnaround hook shot88
99.7%
76
0.3%
Q4 - 2:48HawksTrae Young turnover (bad pass) (Kendrick Nunn steals)88
99.7%
74
0.3%
Q4 - 3:00HawksTony Snell defensive rebound88
99.7%
74
0.3%
Q4 - 3:04HeatTyler Herro misses two point pullup jump shot88
99.7%
74
0.3%
Q4 - 3:21HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound88
99.5%
74
0.5%
Q4 - 3:24HawksTrae Young misses regular free throw 3 of 388
99.6%
74
0.4%
Q4 - 3:24HawksTrae Young makes regular free throw 2 of 388
99.7%
74
0.3%
Q4 - 3:24HawksTrae Young makes regular free throw 1 of 387
99.7%
74
0.3%
Q4 - 3:24HeatGoran Dragic shooting foul (Trae Young draws the foul)86
99.6%
74
0.4%
Q4 - 3:40HawksTony Snell defensive rebound86
98.5%
74
1.5%
Q4 - 3:44HeatTyler Herro misses three point pullup jump shot86
98.3%
74
1.7%
Q4 - 4:00HeatHeat defensive rebound86
97.9%
74
2.1%
Q4 - 4:03HawksTrae Young misses three point stepback jump shot86
98.2%
74
1.8%
Q4 - 4:15HawksKevin Huerter defensive rebound86
98.6%
74
1.4%
Q4 - 4:18HeatGoran Dragic misses two point driving finger roll layup86
98.5%
74
1.5%
Q4 - 4:23HawksDanilo Gallinari turnover (lost ball) (Tyler Herro steals)86
98.0%
74
2.0%
Q4 - 4:25HawksTrae Young defensive rebound86
98.6%
74
1.4%
Q4 - 4:30HeatBam Adebayo misses two point bank jump shot86
98.5%
74
1.5%
Q4 - 4:41HawksTrae Young makes regular free throw 2 of 286
98.1%
74
1.9%
Q4 - 4:41HawksTrae Young makes regular free throw 1 of 285
98.0%
74
2.0%
Q4 - 4:41HeatGoran Dragic shooting foul (Trae Young draws the foul)84
97.9%
74
2.1%
Q4 - 4:52HeatHeat turnover (shot clock violation)84
97.3%
74
2.7%
Q4 - 4:52HeatHeat offensive rebound84
96.1%
74
3.9%
Q4 - 4:53HeatKendrick Nunn misses three point jump shot84
97.0%
74
3.0%
Q4 - 5:18HawksTrae Young makes three point stepback jump shot84
94.1%
74
5.9%
Q4 - 5:31HawksClint Capela defensive rebound81
89.6%
74
10.4%
Q4 - 5:34HeatBam Adebayo misses two point pullup jump shot81
88.6%
74
11.4%
Q4 - 5:48HawksTrae Young makes three point jump shot81
86.0%
74
14.0%
Q4 - 6:04HawksClint Capela defensive rebound78
73.9%
74
26.1%
Q4 - 6:07HeatAndre Iguodala misses regular free throw 2 of 278
73.0%
74
27.0%
Q4 - 6:07HeatAndre Iguodala makes regular free throw 1 of 278
70.2%
74
29.8%
Q4 - 6:07HawksTrae Young shooting foul (Andre Iguodala draws the foul)78
72.7%
73
27.3%
Q4 - 6:28HawksTrae Young makes three point stepback jump shot78
73.0%
73
27.0%
Q4 - 6:36HawksSolomon Hill defensive rebound75
61.3%
73
38.7%
Q4 - 6:39HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving reverse layup75
58.9%
73
41.1%
Q4 - 7:08HawksClint Capela makes two point jump shot (Kevin Huerter assists)75
52.2%
73
47.8%
Q4 - 7:28HeatGabe Vincent makes two point running layup73
46.4%
73
53.6%
Q4 - 7:30HawksKevin Huerter turnover (bad pass) (Gabe Vincent steals)73
52.2%
71
47.8%
Q4 - 7:45HeatBam Adebayo turnover (bad pass) (Solomon Hill steals)73
59.8%
71
40.2%
Q4 - 7:54HawksOnyeka Okongwu personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)73
52.2%
71
47.8%
Q4 - 8:03HawksSolomon Hill turnover (traveling)73
51.5%
71
48.5%
Q4 - 8:22HawksRajon Rondo defensive rebound73
57.9%
71
42.1%
Q4 - 8:25HeatGabe Vincent misses three point jump shot73
56.0%
71
44.0%
Q4 - 8:35HawksBogdan Bogdanovic turnover (bad pass) (Tyler Herro steals)73
51.6%
71
48.4%
Q4 - 8:54HeatBam Adebayo makes two point cutting layup (Gabe Vincent assists)73
58.0%
71
42.0%
Q4 - 9:09HawksBogdan Bogdanovic makes two point jump shot (Rajon Rondo assists)73
62.2%
69
37.8%
Q4 - 9:12HawksOnyeka Okongwu defensive rebound71
57.0%
69
43.0%
Q4 - 9:15HeatAndre Iguodala misses two point driving layup71
55.1%
69
44.9%
Q4 - 9:36HawksBogdan Bogdanovic makes three point jump shot (Rajon Rondo assists)71
50.7%
69
49.3%
Q4 - 9:50HawksBogdan Bogdanovic defensive rebound68
39.5%
69
60.5%
Q4 - 9:53HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot68
37.6%
69
62.4%
Q4 - 10:13HawksOnyeka Okongwu makes two point turnaround hook shot (Bogdan Bogdanovic assists)68
34.0%
69
66.0%
Q4 - 10:37HeatGabe Vincent makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)66
29.5%
69
70.5%
Q4 - 10:48HeatPrecious Achiuwa defensive rebound66
39.1%
66
60.9%
Q4 - 10:53HawksBogdan Bogdanovic misses three point jump shot66
40.9%
66
59.1%
Q4 - 11:09HawksBogdan Bogdanovic defensive rebound66
44.4%
66
55.6%
Q4 - 11:11HeatGabe Vincent misses three point stepback jump shot66
42.9%
66
57.1%
Q4 - 11:30HawksDanilo Gallinari makes three point stepback jump shot (Rajon Rondo assists)66
39.3%
66
60.7%
Q4 - 11:43HawksOnyeka Okongwu defensive rebound63
29.7%
66
70.3%
Q4 - 11:46HeatPrecious Achiuwa misses regular free throw 2 of 263
29.1%
66
70.9%
Q4 - 11:46HeatPrecious Achiuwa misses regular free throw 1 of 263
26.7%
66
73.3%
Q4 - 11:46HawksOnyeka Okongwu shooting foul (Precious Achiuwa draws the foul)63
24.1%
66
75.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.63
25.5%
66
74.5%
Q3 - 0:18.1HawksDanilo Gallinari defensive rebound63
30.2%
66
69.8%
Q3 - 0:22.8HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot63
29.0%
66
71.0%
Q3 - 0:28.4HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound63
26.2%
66
73.8%
Q3 - 0:32.4HawksBogdan Bogdanovic misses three point jump shot63
27.4%
66
72.6%
Q3 - 0:49.5HeatTyler Herro makes three point pullup jump shot63
30.2%
66
69.8%
Q3 - 1:05HawksOnyeka Okongwu makes two point cutting dunk (Bogdan Bogdanovic assists)63
39.1%
63
60.9%
Q3 - 1:24HeatHeat turnover (shot clock violation)61
35.1%
63
64.9%
Q3 - 1:24HeatHeat offensive rebound61
30.5%
63
69.5%
Q3 - 1:25HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot61
33.6%
63
66.4%
Q3 - 1:26HeatTyler Herro offensive rebound61
30.5%
63
69.5%
Q3 - 1:28HeatRajon Rondo blocks Kendrick Nunn's three point jump shot61
33.6%
63
66.4%
Q3 - 1:48HawksJohn Collins makes regular free throw 1 of 161
30.5%
63
69.5%
Q3 - 1:48HeatPrecious Achiuwa shooting foul (John Collins draws the foul)60
29.8%
63
70.2%
Q3 - 2:02HeatTyler Herro makes three point jump shot58
24.1%
63
75.9%
Q3 - 2:15HawksJohn Collins makes regular free throw 2 of 258
30.7%
60
69.3%
Q3 - 2:15HawksJohn Collins makes regular free throw 1 of 257
30.1%
60
69.9%
Q3 - 2:15HeatKelly Olynyk shooting foul (John Collins draws the foul)56
29.4%
60
70.6%
Q3 - 2:21HawksSolomon Hill offensive rebound56
27.5%
60
72.5%
Q3 - 2:23HawksDanilo Gallinari misses three point jump shot56
24.7%
60
75.3%
Q3 - 2:31HawksTrae Young defensive rebound56
27.5%
60
72.5%
Q3 - 2:34HeatKendrick Nunn misses three point stepback jump shot56
26.2%
60
73.8%
Q3 - 2:41HawksSolomon Hill turnover (bad pass) (Tyler Herro steals)56
23.6%
60
76.4%
Q3 - 3:05HeatKendrick Nunn makes two point stepback jump shot56
28.1%
60
71.9%
Q3 - 3:13HawksTrae Young personal foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)56
31.1%
58
68.9%
Q3 - 3:20HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound56
31.1%
58
68.9%
Q3 - 3:24HawksTrae Young misses three point jump shot56
32.4%
58
67.6%
Q3 - 3:49HeatTyler Herro makes three point jump shot56
35.5%
58
64.5%
Q3 - 4:01HawksTrae Young turnover (bad pass) (Kelly Olynyk steals)56
42.8%
55
57.2%
Q3 - 4:20HawksJohn Collins defensive rebound56
47.7%
55
52.3%
Q3 - 4:25HeatBam Adebayo misses two point pullup jump shot56
46.2%
55
53.8%
Q3 - 4:38HeatHeat offensive rebound56
42.9%
55
57.1%
Q3 - 4:38HeatKendrick Nunn misses two point driving layup56
46.3%
55
53.7%
Q3 - 4:50HawksJohn Collins turnover (lost ball) (Kelly Olynyk steals)56
42.9%
55
57.1%
Q3 - 5:17HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)56
47.4%
55
52.6%
Q3 - 5:36HawksJohn Collins makes two point turnaround jump shot (Kevin Huerter assists)56
55.0%
52
45.0%
Q3 - 5:47HawksJohn Collins defensive rebound54
51.4%
52
48.6%
Q3 - 5:50HeatKendrick Nunn misses two point driving layup54
50.0%
52
50.0%
Q3 - 6:06HawksKevin Huerter makes regular free throw 1 of 154
46.6%
52
53.4%
Q3 - 6:06HeatDuncan Robinson shooting foul (Kevin Huerter draws the foul)53
45.9%
52
54.1%
Q3 - 6:14HawksClint Capela defensive rebound51
39.4%
52
60.6%
Q3 - 6:17HeatClint Capela blocks Duncan Robinson's two point driving finger roll layup51
38.2%
52
61.8%
Q3 - 6:35HawksClint Capela turnover (offensive foul)51
35.5%
52
64.5%
Q3 - 6:35HawksClint Capela offensive foul (Charge) (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)51
39.4%
52
60.6%
Q3 - 6:51HawksTrae Young defensive rebound51
39.4%
52
60.6%
Q3 - 6:55HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot51
38.2%
52
61.8%
Q3 - 7:03HeatHeat offensive rebound51
35.2%
52
64.8%
Q3 - 7:04HeatGoran Dragic misses two point running layup51
38.0%
52
62.0%
Q3 - 7:08HawksTrae Young turnover (lost ball) (Kendrick Nunn steals)51
35.2%
52
64.8%
Q3 - 7:18HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 251
39.3%
52
60.7%
Q3 - 7:18HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 251
40.0%
51
60.0%
Q3 - 7:18HawksJohn Collins shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)51
40.8%
50
59.2%
Q3 - 7:34HawksKevin Huerter makes two point driving bank hook shot (Trae Young assists)51
42.3%
50
57.7%
Q3 - 7:49HeatGoran Dragic makes two point layup49
39.3%
50
60.7%
Q3 - 7:55HeatGoran Dragic defensive rebound49
42.3%
48
57.7%
Q3 - 7:58HawksJohn Collins misses three point jump shot49
43.6%
48
56.4%
Q3 - 8:17HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point pullup jump shot49
46.4%
48
53.6%
Q3 - 8:35HawksTrae Young turnover (discontinue dribble)49
53.0%
45
47.0%
Q3 - 8:47HeatKelly Olynyk personal foul (John Collins draws the foul)49
57.3%
45
42.7%
Q3 - 9:03HeatBam Adebayo makes two point alley-oop dunk (Kendrick Nunn assists)49
56.4%
45
43.6%
Q3 - 9:06HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound49
59.5%
43
40.5%
Q3 - 9:10HawksKevin Huerter misses three point stepback jump shot49
60.6%
43
39.4%
Q3 - 9:36HeatKendrick Nunn makes two point driving floating jump shot49
63.3%
43
36.7%
Q3 - 9:57HawksClint Capela makes two point hook shot (Tony Snell assists)49
66.1%
41
33.9%
Q3 - 10:05HeatGoran Dragic personal foul (Trae Young draws the foul)47
62.5%
41
37.5%
Q3 - 10:18HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Kelly Olynyk assists)47
62.5%
41
37.5%
Q3 - 10:32HawksClint Capela personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)47
68.2%
38
31.8%
Q3 - 10:53HawksTrae Young makes three point jump shot (Kevin Huerter assists)47
68.3%
38
31.7%
Q3 - 11:08HeatKelly Olynyk makes regular free throw 2 of 244
61.7%
38
38.3%
Q3 - 11:08HeatKelly Olynyk misses regular free throw 1 of 244
62.2%
37
37.8%
Q3 - 11:08HawksJohn Collins shooting foul (Kelly Olynyk draws the foul)44
59.6%
37
40.4%
Q3 - 11:08HeatKelly Olynyk offensive rebound44
61.4%
37
38.6%
Q3 - 11:10HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot44
63.8%
37
36.2%
Q3 - 11:19HeatKendrick Nunn defensive rebound44
61.4%
37
38.6%
Q3 - 11:23HawksClint Capela misses two point bank hook shot44
62.5%
37
37.5%
Q3 - 11:36HeatKelly Olynyk personal foul (Loose ball) (John Collins draws the foul)44
64.8%
37
35.2%
Q3 - 11:36HawksHawks offensive rebound44
64.8%
37
35.2%
Q3 - 11:36HawksClint Capela misses two point turnaround jump shot44
62.5%
37
37.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.44
64.9%
37
35.1%
Q2 - 0:00.1HawksHawks offensive rebound44
63.4%
37
36.6%
Q2 - 0:00.5HawksSolomon Hill misses three point jump shot44
61.9%
37
38.1%
Q2 - 0:05.6HawksHawks defensive rebound44
63.4%
37
36.6%
Q2 - 0:07.4HeatGoran Dragic misses two point driving floating jump shot44
62.8%
37
37.2%
Q2 - 0:25.9HeatHeat defensive rebound44
61.3%
37
38.7%
Q2 - 0:28.6HawksBogdan Bogdanovic misses three point jump shot44
61.9%
37
38.1%
Q2 - 0:42.5HeatMax Strus makes two point running finger roll layup (Bam Adebayo assists)44
63.5%
37
36.5%
Q2 - 0:45.4HawksClint Capela turnover (lost ball) (Kelly Olynyk steals)44
67.2%
35
32.8%
Q2 - 0:50.3HawksClint Capela offensive rebound44
69.3%
35
30.7%
Q2 - 0:53.7HawksTrae Young misses three point jump shot44
67.9%
35
32.1%
Q2 - 1:15HawksClint Capela defensive rebound44
68.3%
35
31.7%
Q2 - 1:17HeatMax Strus misses three point turnaround jump shot44
67.8%
35
32.2%
Q2 - 1:27HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound44
66.7%
35
33.3%
Q2 - 1:29HawksTrae Young misses two point driving floating jump shot44
67.2%
35
32.8%
Q2 - 1:33Jump ball. Trae Young vs. Kelly Olynyk (Trae Young gains possession)44
68.4%
35
31.6%
Q2 - 1:54HawksClint Capela makes two point layup44
66.7%
35
33.3%
Q2 - 2:07HeatMax Strus makes regular free throw 2 of 242
62.3%
35
37.7%
Q2 - 2:07HeatMax Strus misses regular free throw 1 of 242
62.9%
34
37.1%
Q2 - 2:07HawksBogdan Bogdanovic personal foul (Max Strus draws the foul)42
60.7%
34
39.3%
Q2 - 2:18HawksJohn Collins makes three point jump shot (Tony Snell assists)42
62.3%
34
37.7%
Q2 - 2:28HawksJohn Collins defensive rebound39
56.5%
34
43.5%
Q2 - 2:31HeatBam Adebayo misses regular free throw 2 of 239
56.1%
34
43.9%
Q2 - 2:31HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 239
54.1%
34
45.9%
Q2 - 2:31HawksTrae Young shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)39
54.8%
33
45.2%
Q2 - 2:37HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound39
56.5%
33
43.5%
Q2 - 2:41HawksKevin Huerter misses three point jump shot39
57.4%
33
42.6%
Q2 - 3:07HeatKelly Olynyk makes two point cutting layup (Bam Adebayo assists)39
58.4%
33
41.6%
Q2 - 3:21HawksKevin Huerter makes three point running pullup jump shot (Trae Young assists)39
60.9%
31
39.1%
Q2 - 3:26HawksJohn Collins defensive rebound36
55.7%
31
44.3%
Q2 - 3:29HeatGoran Dragic misses two point stepback jump shot36
54.7%
31
45.3%
Q2 - 3:43HawksTrae Young makes two point driving floating jump shot36
52.5%
31
47.5%
Q2 - 3:54HeatKelly Olynyk makes two point driving layup (Goran Dragic assists)34
50.0%
31
50.0%
Q2 - 4:03HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound34
52.0%
29
48.0%
Q2 - 4:06HawksJohn Collins misses regular free throw 2 of 234
52.3%
29
47.7%
Q2 - 4:06HawksJohn Collins makes regular free throw 1 of 234
54.3%
29
45.7%
Q2 - 4:06HeatPrecious Achiuwa shooting foul (John Collins draws the foul)33
53.8%
29
46.2%
Q2 - 4:25HeatPrecious Achiuwa makes two point putback layup33
52.0%
29
48.0%
Q2 - 4:28HeatPrecious Achiuwa offensive rebound33
54.8%
27
45.2%
Q2 - 4:30HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot33
56.7%
27
43.3%
Q2 - 4:41HawksKevin Huerter makes two point pullup jump shot (Trae Young assists)33
54.8%
27
45.2%
Q2 - 5:06HeatGoran Dragic makes two point driving layup31
51.9%
27
48.1%
Q2 - 5:15HawksKevin Huerter personal foul (Take) (Kendrick Nunn draws the foul)31
54.1%
25
45.9%
Q2 - 5:15HeatKendrick Nunn defensive rebound31
54.1%
25
45.9%
Q2 - 5:18HawksPrecious Achiuwa blocks John Collins's two point layup31
55.1%
25
44.9%
Q2 - 5:37HeatMax Strus makes three point jump shot (Goran Dragic assists)31
57.3%
25
42.7%
Q2 - 5:56HawksKevin Huerter turnover (bad pass) (Precious Achiuwa steals)31
62.1%
22
37.9%
Q2 - 6:02HawksHawks offensive rebound31
64.7%
22
35.3%
Q2 - 6:02HawksGoran Dragic blocks Clint Capela's two point layup31
62.5%
22
37.5%
Q2 - 6:07HawksClint Capela offensive rebound31
64.7%
22
35.3%
Q2 - 6:08HawksTony Snell misses three point jump shot31
62.5%
22
37.5%
Q2 - 6:13HawksHawks offensive rebound31
64.7%
22
35.3%
Q2 - 6:17HawksAndre Iguodala blocks Clint Capela's two point driving layup31
62.6%
22
37.4%
Q2 - 6:25HawksRajon Rondo defensive rebound31
64.7%
22
35.3%
Q2 - 6:30HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot31
63.8%
22
36.2%
Q2 - 6:37HawksJohn Collins turnover (bad pass) (Andre Iguodala steals)31
61.6%
22
38.4%
Q2 - 6:46HawksTony Snell defensive rebound31
64.7%
22
35.3%
Q2 - 6:49HeatAndre Iguodala misses three point jump shot31
63.8%
22
36.2%
Q2 - 7:10HawksRajon Rondo makes three point jump shot (Kevin Huerter assists)31
61.1%
22
38.9%
Q2 - 7:21HawksClint Capela defensive rebound28
56.2%
22
43.8%
Q2 - 7:26HeatAndre Iguodala misses regular free throw 2 of 228
55.9%
22
44.1%
Q2 - 7:26HeatAndre Iguodala makes regular free throw 1 of 228
54.6%
22
45.4%
Q2 - 7:26HawksDanilo Gallinari shooting foul (Andre Iguodala draws the foul)28
55.7%
21
44.3%
Q2 - 7:26HeatAndre Iguodala defensive rebound28
56.1%
21
43.9%
Q2 - 7:31HawksKevin Huerter misses two point cutting layup28
56.9%
21
43.1%
Q2 - 7:53HawksRajon Rondo defensive rebound28
58.8%
21
41.2%
Q2 - 7:56HeatBam Adebayo misses two point pullup jump shot28
58.0%
21
42.0%
Q2 - 8:01HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound28
55.7%
21
44.3%
Q2 - 8:07HawksKevin Huerter misses two point pullup jump shot28
56.5%
21
43.5%
Q2 - 8:22HeatTyler Herro turnover (bad pass) (Danilo Gallinari steals)28
58.3%
21
41.7%
Q2 - 8:39HawksDanilo Gallinari makes three point jump shot (Solomon Hill assists)28
55.7%
21
44.3%
Q2 - 9:08HeatDuncan Robinson makes two point cutting layup (Andre Iguodala assists)25
50.2%
21
49.8%
Q2 - 9:27HawksClint Capela turnover (3-second violation)25
52.6%
19
47.4%
Q2 - 9:32HawksClint Capela offensive rebound25
55.2%
19
44.8%
Q2 - 9:37HawksDanilo Gallinari misses three point jump shot25
53.4%
19
46.6%
Q2 - 9:43HeatGabe Vincent makes regular free throw 2 of 225
55.2%
19
44.8%
Q2 - 9:43HeatGabe Vincent makes regular free throw 1 of 225
55.6%
18
44.4%
Q2 - 9:43HawksKevin Huerter shooting foul (Gabe Vincent draws the foul)25
55.9%
17
44.1%
Q2 - 9:47HeatAndre Iguodala defensive rebound25
57.6%
17
42.4%
Q2 - 9:52HawksClint Capela misses two point hook shot25
58.3%
17
41.7%
Q2 - 10:08HawksHawks defensive rebound25
59.7%
17
40.3%
Q2 - 10:08HeatTyler Herro misses two point layup25
59.0%
17
41.0%
Q2 - 10:11HawksSolomon Hill turnover (bad pass) (Andre Iguodala steals)25
57.2%
17
42.8%
Q2 - 10:28HeatGabe Vincent turnover (traveling)25
59.7%
17
40.3%
Q2 - 10:36HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound25
57.2%
17
42.8%
Q2 - 10:40HawksDanilo Gallinari misses three point jump shot25
58.0%
17
42.0%
Q2 - 11:01HeatDuncan Robinson turnover (bad pass) (Rajon Rondo steals)25
58.8%
17
41.2%
Q2 - 11:21HawksKevin Huerter makes two point pullup jump shot25
56.7%
17
43.3%
Q2 - 11:33HawksHawks offensive rebound23
54.2%
17
45.8%
Q2 - 11:34HawksSolomon Hill misses three point jump shot23
52.7%
17
47.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.23
54.2%
17
45.8%
Q1 - 0:04.9HawksDanilo Gallinari makes regular free throw 2 of 223
51.5%
17
48.5%
Q1 - 0:04.9HawksDanilo Gallinari makes regular free throw 1 of 222
51.3%
17
48.7%
Q1 - 0:04.9HeatDuncan Robinson shooting foul (Danilo Gallinari draws the foul)21
51.1%
17
48.9%
Q1 - 0:20.5HeatGabe Vincent makes two point driving layup (Andre Iguodala assists)21
48.7%
17
51.3%
Q1 - 0:23.7HeatAndre Iguodala offensive rebound21
51.5%
15
48.5%
Q1 - 0:27.9HeatTyler Herro misses two point jump shot21
52.8%
15
47.2%
Q1 - 0:37.4HawksSolomon Hill personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)21
51.6%
15
48.4%
Q1 - 0:43.8HeatHeat offensive rebound21
51.6%
15
48.4%
Q1 - 0:45.2HeatGabe Vincent misses three point jump shot21
52.8%
15
47.2%
Q1 - 1:07HawksOnyeka Okongwu makes two point layup (Trae Young assists)21
51.5%
15
48.5%
Q1 - 1:16HawksOnyeka Okongwu offensive rebound19
48.7%
15
51.3%
Q1 - 1:19HawksDanilo Gallinari misses three point jump shot19
47.5%
15
52.5%
Q1 - 1:34HeatKendrick Nunn turnover (bad pass) (Onyeka Okongwu steals)19
48.7%
15
51.3%
Q1 - 1:45HeatTyler Herro offensive rebound19
46.9%
15
53.1%
Q1 - 1:49HeatAndre Iguodala misses three point jump shot19
48.2%
15
51.8%
Q1 - 1:56HawksTrae Young turnover (bad pass) (Tyler Herro steals)19
46.9%
15
53.1%
Q1 - 2:08HawksDanilo Gallinari defensive rebound19
48.6%
15
51.4%
Q1 - 2:11HeatGabe Vincent misses three point jump shot19
48.0%
15
52.0%
Q1 - 2:15HeatPrecious Achiuwa defensive rebound19
46.5%
15
53.5%
Q1 - 2:21HawksDanilo Gallinari misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot19
47.1%
15
52.9%
Q1 - 2:40HeatKendrick Nunn turnover (offensive foul)19
48.6%
15
51.4%
Q1 - 2:40HeatKendrick Nunn offensive foul (Charge) (Trae Young draws the foul)19
46.5%
15
53.5%
Q1 - 2:44HeatGoran Dragic defensive rebound19
46.5%
15
53.5%
Q1 - 2:45HawksJohn Collins misses two point layup19
47.2%
15
52.8%
Q1 - 2:45HawksJohn Collins offensive rebound19
48.6%
15
51.4%
Q1 - 2:46HawksSolomon Hill misses two point driving layup19
47.2%
15
52.8%
Q1 - 2:46HawksSolomon Hill offensive rebound19
48.6%
15
51.4%
Q1 - 2:48HawksJohn Collins misses three point jump shot19
47.2%
15
52.8%
Q1 - 3:06HawksDanilo Gallinari defensive rebound19
48.4%
15
51.6%
Q1 - 3:12HeatGoran Dragic misses three point jump shot19
47.6%
15
52.4%
Q1 - 3:24HawksTrae Young turnover (bad pass) (Goran Dragic steals)19
45.8%
15
54.2%
Q1 - 3:29HawksJohn Collins defensive rebound19
48.4%
15
51.6%
Q1 - 3:32HeatKelly Olynyk misses three point jump shot19
47.6%
15
52.4%
Q1 - 3:39HawksJohn Collins makes two point layup19
45.9%
15
54.1%
Q1 - 3:53HawksHawks defensive rebound17
44.0%
15
56.0%
Q1 - 3:55HeatTyler Herro misses three point stepback jump shot17
43.3%
15
56.8%
Q1 - 4:13HawksTrae Young personal foul (Precious Achiuwa draws the foul)17
41.4%
15
58.6%
Q1 - 4:14HawksTrae Young turnover (bad pass) (Kelly Olynyk steals)17
41.4%
15
58.6%
Q1 - 4:19HawksDanilo Gallinari defensive rebound17
43.8%
15
56.2%
Q1 - 4:24HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving floating jump shot17
43.1%
15
56.9%
Q1 - 4:39HawksJohn Collins makes two point turnaround jump shot (Bogdan Bogdanovic assists)17
41.4%
15
58.6%
Q1 - 4:49HeatKelly Olynyk personal foul (Clint Capela draws the foul)15
39.7%
15
60.3%
Q1 - 5:08HeatKendrick Nunn makes two point running dunk15
39.4%
15
60.6%
Q1 - 5:11HawksTony Snell turnover (bad pass) (Kendrick Nunn steals)15
41.2%
13
58.8%
Q1 - 5:24HeatGoran Dragic makes regular free throw 2 of 215
43.4%
13
56.6%
Q1 - 5:24HeatGoran Dragic makes regular free throw 1 of 215
43.7%
12
56.3%
Q1 - 5:24HawksTony Snell shooting foul (Goran Dragic draws the foul)15
44.1%
11
55.9%
Q1 - 5:26HeatGoran Dragic defensive rebound15
45.2%
11
54.8%
Q1 - 5:30HawksJohn Collins misses three point jump shot15
45.9%
11
54.1%
Q1 - 5:38HawksClint Capela offensive rebound15
47.4%
11
52.6%
Q1 - 5:41HawksKevin Huerter misses three point jump shot15
45.9%
11
54.1%
Q1 - 5:57HawksKevin Huerter defensive rebound15
47.4%
11
52.6%
Q1 - 6:00HeatKendrick Nunn misses three point jump shot15
46.8%
11
53.2%
Q1 - 6:22HawksClint Capela turnover (out of bounds bad pass)15
44.9%
11
55.1%
Q1 - 6:27HawksClint Capela defensive rebound15
46.8%
11
53.2%
Q1 - 6:33HeatKendrick Nunn misses two point driving floating jump shot15
46.2%
11
53.8%
Q1 - 6:48HawksTony Snell makes three point jump shot (John Collins assists)15
44.9%
11
55.1%
Q1 - 7:04HeatBam Adebayo makes two point jump shot (Duncan Robinson assists)12
40.9%
11
59.1%
Q1 - 7:10HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound12
42.5%
9
57.5%
Q1 - 7:12HawksTrae Young misses three point jump shot12
43.2%
9
56.8%
Q1 - 7:31HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Goran Dragic assists)12
44.6%
9
55.4%
Q1 - 8:00HawksJohn Collins makes two point turnaround jump shot (Trae Young assists)12
48.3%
6
51.7%
Q1 - 8:10HawksClint Capela defensive rebound10
46.5%
6
53.5%
Q1 - 8:13HeatGoran Dragic misses two point driving reverse layup10
45.9%
6
54.1%
Q1 - 8:26HawksClint Capela turnover (out of bounds bad pass)10
44.4%
6
55.6%
Q1 - 8:43HawksJohn Collins defensive rebound10
46.5%
6
53.5%
Q1 - 8:46HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot10
45.9%
6
54.1%
Q1 - 9:03HawksClint Capela makes two point alley-oop dunk (Trae Young assists)10
44.2%
6
55.8%
Q1 - 9:16HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 28
42.7%
6
57.3%
Q1 - 9:16HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 28
43.1%
5
56.9%
Q1 - 9:16HawksClint Capela shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)8
43.5%
4
56.5%
Q1 - 9:34HawksTony Snell makes three point jump shot (Trae Young assists)8
44.2%
4
55.8%
Q1 - 9:41HawksClint Capela offensive rebound5
40.9%
4
59.1%
Q1 - 9:41HawksJohn Collins misses three point jump shot5
39.4%
4
60.6%
Q1 - 9:54HeatKelly Olynyk makes two point jump shot (Goran Dragic assists)5
40.9%
4
59.1%
Q1 - 9:57HeatHeat offensive rebound5
42.4%
2
57.6%
Q1 - 9:59HeatKelly Olynyk misses two point layup5
43.9%
2
56.1%
Q1 - 10:13HawksClint Capela makes two point putback dunk5
42.2%
2
57.8%
Q1 - 10:14HawksClint Capela offensive rebound3
40.6%
2
59.4%
Q1 - 10:18HawksDuncan Robinson blocks Trae Young's two point layup3
39.2%
2
60.8%
Q1 - 10:24HawksClint Capela defensive rebound3
40.6%
2
59.4%
Q1 - 10:29HeatKendrick Nunn misses two point pullup jump shot3
40.0%
2
60.0%
Q1 - 10:34HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound3
38.6%
2
61.4%
Q1 - 10:37HawksKevin Huerter misses two point driving floating jump shot3
39.2%
2
60.8%
Q1 - 10:53HawksHawks defensive rebound3
40.6%
2
59.4%
Q1 - 10:54HeatKelly Olynyk misses three point jump shot3
40.0%
2
60.0%
Q1 - 11:10HawksTony Snell makes three point jump shot (Kevin Huerter assists)3
38.5%
2
61.5%
Q1 - 11:35HeatGoran Dragic makes two point pullup jump shot (Kelly Olynyk assists)0
35.2%
2
64.8%
Q1 - 12:00Clint Capela vs. Bam Adebayo (Goran Dragic gains possession)0
36.7%
0
63.3%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
1.19 59.5%
MIA
0.89 44.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ATL
10
15
67%
MIA
15
25
60%
Midrange
ATL
11
20
55%
MIA
4
17
24%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ATL
13
19.5
36
36%
54%
MIA
9
13.5
33
27%
41%
Free Throws
ATL
13
15
87%
MIA
15
22
68%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Young1864%9.0 / 14
J. Collins1761%8.5 / 14
K. Huerter1657%8.0 / 14
T. Snell11110%5.5 / 5
C. Capela1050%5.0 / 10
D. Gallinari850%4.0 / 8
O. Okongwu6100%3.0 / 3
B. Bogdanović550%2.5 / 5
R. Rondo3150%1.5 / 1
S. Hill0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Robinson1464%7.0 / 11
G. Dragic1454%7.0 / 13
B. Adebayo1150%5.5 / 11
T. Herro938%4.5 / 12
G. Vincent956%4.5 / 8
K. Olynyk750%3.5 / 7
K. Nunn625%3.0 / 12
M. Strus660%3.0 / 5
A. Iguodala220%1.0 / 5
P. Achiuwa250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ATL
63
+16
-23
79
MIA
79
+11
-7
90
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
1.19 59.5%
MIA
0.89 44.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
114.8
111.1
ATL 109.3
MIA 93.0 +16.3
Pace
98.3
96.7
ATL 78.6
MIA 95.0 +16.4
Avg. Poss. Time
14.7
14.7
ATL 18.3
MIA 15.2 +3.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
53.9%
54.6%
ATL 57.0% +13.7%
MIA 43.3%
TO %
12.8%
13.7%
ATL 22.9%
MIA 9.6% +13.3%
ORB %
24.5%
19.4%
ATL 34.4% +22.2%
MIA 12.2%
FTrt
27.8
25.2
ATL 21.1
MIA 29.3 +8.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
59.1%
67.1%
ATL 76.5% +22.9%
MIA 53.6%
STL %
7.1%
8.2%
ATL 5.8%
MIA 18.6% +12.8%
BLK %
8.6%
8.5%
ATL 4.8%
MIA 11.4% +6.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
56.5%
56.5%
ATL 59.5% +15.1%
MIA 44.4%
Rim FG%
59.7%
64.8%
ATL 66.7% +6.7%
MIA 60.0%
Mid FG%
44.1%
41.8%
ATL 55.0% +31.5%
MIA 23.5%
3P %
37.3%
35.8%
ATL 36.1% +8.8%
MIA 27.3%
FT %
81.2%
79.0%
ATL 86.7% +18.5%
MIA 68.2%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
33.7%
33.3%
ATL 21.1%
MIA 33.3% +12.2%
Mid Att. %
28.0%
23.5%
ATL 28.2%
MIA 22.7% +5.5%
3P Att. %
38.2%
43.2%
ATL 50.7% +6.7%
MIA 44.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsATLMIA
Possessions8686
Possession Minutes26.321.7
Points9480
Rebounds4726
Assists2615
Steals516
Blocks24
Turnovers (Team)23 (0)7 (2)
Fouls1813
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (5)5 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)36 (4)21 (2)
Field Goals34-7128-75
At-the-Rim FG10-1515-25
Midrange FG11-204-17
2-Point FG21-3519-42
3-Point FG13-369-33
Free Throws13-1515-22
Fast Break Pts513
2nd Chance Pts137
Points in Paint2830
Pts off Turnovers619
Bench Points2228
Biggest Lead165

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
16 Atlanta Hawks
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Trae Young
#11 · PG · 6'1" 164 · 22
33.4
18
64%
3
10
1
0
8
4
0
3
4-5
80%
1-3
33%
4-9
44%
Kevin Huerter
#3 · SG · 6'7" 198 · 23
32.1
16
57%
2
5
0
0
2
3
0
2
3-3
100%
5-8
63%
1-5
20%
Clint Capela
#15 · C · 6'10" 256 · 27
30.2
10
50%
17
0
0
1
5
3
7
10
0-0
-
5-10
50%
0-0
-
Tony Snell
#19 · SF · 6'7" 221 · 29
29.6
11
110%
3
2
0
0
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-1
100%
3-4
75%
John Collins
#20 · PF · 6'9" 226 · 23
26.9
17
61%
7
1
0
0
2
2
1
6
4-5
80%
5-7
71%
1-5
20%
Danilo Gallinari
#8 · PF · 6'10" 225 · 33
24.9
8
50%
4
0
1
0
1
1
0
4
2-2
100%
0-1
0%
2-6
33%
Solomon Hill
#18 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 30
22.2
0
0%
3
1
1
0
3
1
2
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-2
0%
Bogdan Bogdanovic
#13 · SG · 6'5" 225 · 29
15.9
5
50%
2
4
0
0
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
100%
1-4
25%
Rajon Rondo
#7 · PG · 6'1" 186 · 35
14.7
3
150%
3
3
1
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-1
100%
Onyeka Okongwu
#17 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 20
10.0
6
100%
3
0
1
0
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
3-3
100%
0-0
-
Skylar Mays
#4 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 23
DNP - Coach's Decision
Brandon Goodwin
#0 · PG · 6'2" 180 · 25
DNP - Coach's Decision
Bruno Fernando
#24 · C · 6'10" 233 · 23
DNP - Coach's Decision
Nathan Knight
#1 · PF · 6'10" 253 · 23
DNP - Coach's Decision
Kris Dunn
#32 · PG · 6'3" 205 · 27
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Ankle Surgery
Cam Reddish
#22 · SF · 6'8" 208 · 22
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Achilles Soreness
De'Andre Hunter
#12 · SF · 6'8" 221 · 23
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Knee Surgery
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
94
60%
47
26
5
2
23
18
11
36
13-15
87%
21-35
60%
13-36
36%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.