FinalWin Prob.pScore
743%108
108
1057%110
116
ORTG#PossPace
TOR logo TOR
117.49294.5
MIA logo MIA
126.19289.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatRaptorsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatRaptorsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventTORMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.108
0%
116
100%
Q4 - 0:03.6HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound108
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 0:07.0RaptorsTerence Davis misses three point jump shot108
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 0:12.1HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 2108
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 0:12.1HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 2108
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 0:12.1RaptorsKyle Lowry personal foul (Take) (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)108
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 0:14.9RaptorsNorman Powell makes regular free throw 2 of 2108
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 0:14.9RaptorsNorman Powell makes regular free throw 1 of 2107
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 0:14.9HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (Norman Powell draws the foul)106
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 0:20.5HeatJimmy Butler turnover (out of bounds lost ball)106
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 0:27.5HeatHeat defensive rebound106
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 0:29.9RaptorsKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot106
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 0:32.0HeatBam Adebayo makes two point floating jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)106
0.2%
114
99.8%
Q4 - 0:41.8HeatKendrick Nunn offensive rebound106
1.0%
112
99.0%
Q4 - 0:46.3HeatJimmy Butler misses two point fadeaway jump shot106
1.9%
112
98.1%
Q4 - 0:56.3HeatAndre Iguodala offensive rebound106
1.5%
112
98.5%
Q4 - 0:59.1HeatJimmy Butler misses two point fadeaway jump shot106
2.6%
112
97.4%
Q4 - 1:27RaptorsOG Anunoby makes two point cutting dunk (Kyle Lowry assists)106
2.8%
112
97.2%
Q4 - 1:33RaptorsOG Anunoby defensive rebound104
2.1%
112
97.9%
Q4 - 1:36HeatKendrick Nunn misses three point jump shot104
1.9%
112
98.1%
Q4 - 1:50RaptorsFred VanVleet makes three point jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)104
1.6%
112
98.4%
Q4 - 2:06HeatJimmy Butler makes two point pullup jump shot101
0.7%
112
99.3%
Q4 - 2:13HeatKendrick Nunn defensive rebound101
0.9%
110
99.1%
Q4 - 2:18RaptorsNorman Powell misses three point jump shot101
1.1%
110
98.9%
Q4 - 2:30HeatAndre Iguodala personal foul (Norman Powell draws the foul)101
1.8%
110
98.2%
Q4 - 2:45HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 2101
1.8%
110
98.2%
Q4 - 2:45HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 2101
1.9%
109
98.1%
Q4 - 2:45RaptorsFred VanVleet shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)101
2.0%
108
98.0%
Q4 - 2:58HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound101
3.2%
108
96.8%
Q4 - 3:02RaptorsOG Anunoby misses two point turnaround jump shot101
3.7%
108
96.3%
Q4 - 3:23HeatJimmy Butler makes three point pullup jump shot101
5.3%
108
94.7%
Q4 - 3:25HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound101
9.9%
105
90.1%
Q4 - 3:29RaptorsFred VanVleet misses three point jump shot101
11.6%
105
88.4%
Q4 - 3:40HeatKelly Olynyk personal foul (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)101
19.1%
105
80.9%
Q4 - 3:41HeatJimmy Butler turnover (bad pass) (Chris Boucher steals)101
19.1%
105
80.9%
Q4 - 3:55RaptorsKyle Lowry turnover (lost ball) (Duncan Robinson steals)101
13.7%
105
86.3%
Q4 - 4:00HeatKendrick Nunn turnover (bad pass) (Kyle Lowry steals)101
18.8%
105
81.2%
Q4 - 4:19RaptorsFred VanVleet makes three point jump shot (Norman Powell assists)101
13.4%
105
86.6%
Q4 - 4:36HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving layup98
7.1%
105
92.9%
Q4 - 4:41RaptorsNorman Powell turnover (bad pass) (Jimmy Butler steals)98
9.6%
103
90.4%
Q4 - 5:01HeatJimmy Butler makes three point jump shot (Kelly Olynyk assists)98
16.0%
103
84.0%
Q4 - 5:24RaptorsNorman Powell makes three point jump shot (Fred VanVleet assists)98
26.1%
100
73.9%
Q4 - 5:47RaptorsChris Boucher defensive rebound95
15.8%
100
84.2%
Q4 - 5:50HeatKendrick Nunn misses three point jump shot95
14.4%
100
85.5%
Q4 - 6:14RaptorsFred VanVleet makes regular free throw 2 of 295
13.5%
100
86.5%
Q4 - 6:14RaptorsFred VanVleet makes regular free throw 1 of 294
13.1%
100
86.9%
Q4 - 6:14HeatKendrick Nunn shooting foul (Fred VanVleet draws the foul)93
12.6%
100
87.4%
Q4 - 6:14RaptorsFred VanVleet defensive rebound93
10.9%
100
89.1%
Q4 - 6:17HeatOG Anunoby blocks Jimmy Butler's two point driving layup93
9.9%
100
90.1%
Q4 - 6:32RaptorsFred VanVleet personal foul (Loose ball) (Kendrick Nunn draws the foul)93
8.0%
100
92.0%
Q4 - 6:32RaptorsFred VanVleet turnover (lost ball)93
8.0%
100
92.0%
Q4 - 6:39RaptorsFred VanVleet defensive rebound93
10.8%
100
89.2%
Q4 - 6:39HeatKelly Olynyk misses three point jump shot93
9.9%
100
90.1%
Q4 - 6:48HeatAndre Iguodala defensive rebound93
7.9%
100
92.1%
Q4 - 6:52RaptorsFred VanVleet misses three point jump shot93
8.7%
100
91.3%
Q4 - 6:54RaptorsOG Anunoby defensive rebound93
10.8%
100
89.2%
Q4 - 6:57HeatKendrick Nunn misses two point driving layup93
9.8%
100
90.2%
Q4 - 7:07HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound93
9.5%
100
90.5%
Q4 - 7:10RaptorsOG Anunoby misses three point jump shot93
10.3%
100
89.7%
Q4 - 7:24HeatKelly Olynyk makes two point cutting layup (Jimmy Butler assists)93
12.4%
100
87.6%
Q4 - 7:34HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound93
15.1%
98
84.9%
Q4 - 7:40RaptorsTerence Davis misses three point jump shot93
16.3%
98
83.7%
Q4 - 7:57HeatKelly Olynyk makes regular free throw 2 of 293
19.4%
98
80.6%
Q4 - 7:57HeatKelly Olynyk misses regular free throw 1 of 293
20.1%
97
79.9%
Q4 - 7:57RaptorsAron Baynes shooting foul (Kelly Olynyk draws the foul)93
16.8%
97
83.2%
Q4 - 8:18HeatHeat defensive rebound93
20.2%
97
79.8%
Q4 - 8:18RaptorsAndre Iguodala blocks OG Anunoby's two point running layup93
21.5%
97
78.5%
Q4 - 8:22HeatAndre Iguodala turnover (bad pass) (Kyle Lowry steals)93
24.7%
97
75.3%
Q4 - 8:33RaptorsTerence Davis makes three point jump shot (Matt Thomas assists)93
20.2%
97
79.8%
Q4 - 8:43RaptorsAron Baynes defensive rebound90
13.4%
97
86.6%
Q4 - 8:47HeatBam Adebayo misses two point floating jump shot90
12.5%
97
87.5%
Q4 - 8:57HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound90
10.6%
97
89.4%
Q4 - 9:02RaptorsAron Baynes misses three point jump shot90
12.5%
97
87.5%
Q4 - 9:09RaptorsTerence Davis defensive rebound90
14.5%
97
85.5%
Q4 - 9:12HeatGabe Vincent misses three point jump shot90
13.6%
97
86.4%
Q4 - 9:25RaptorsAron Baynes makes three point jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)90
11.6%
97
88.4%
Q4 - 9:34HeatBam Adebayo makes two point driving layup (Duncan Robinson assists)87
7.7%
97
92.3%
Q4 - 9:45RaptorsTerence Davis personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)87
9.4%
95
90.6%
Q4 - 9:58HeatAndre Iguodala defensive rebound87
9.3%
95
90.7%
Q4 - 10:01RaptorsKyle Lowry misses two point pullup jump shot87
11.2%
95
88.8%
Q4 - 10:09RaptorsKyle Lowry defensive rebound87
12.9%
95
87.1%
Q4 - 10:13HeatGoran Dragic misses three point stepback jump shot87
12.1%
95
87.9%
Q4 - 10:44RaptorsAron Baynes makes two point cutting dunk (OG Anunoby assists)87
10.4%
95
89.6%
Q4 - 11:02HeatGabe Vincent makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)85
9.3%
95
90.7%
Q4 - 11:24RaptorsTerence Davis turnover (out of bounds step)85
13.6%
92
86.4%
Q4 - 11:46HeatGoran Dragic turnover (offensive foul)85
16.2%
92
83.8%
Q4 - 11:46HeatGoran Dragic offensive foul (Off the ball) (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)85
13.5%
92
86.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.85
13.5%
92
86.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0RaptorsFred VanVleet makes two point fadeaway jump shot85
13.5%
92
86.5%
Q3 - 0:10.6HeatGabe Vincent makes three point stepback jump shot (Duncan Robinson assists)83
12.2%
92
87.8%
Q3 - 0:30.8RaptorsTerence Davis makes three point jump shot (Fred VanVleet assists)83
17.3%
89
82.7%
Q3 - 0:45.7HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 280
12.1%
89
87.9%
Q3 - 0:45.7HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 280
12.6%
88
87.4%
Q3 - 0:45.7RaptorsChris Boucher shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)80
13.1%
87
86.9%
Q3 - 1:00RaptorsFred VanVleet makes regular free throw 2 of 280
14.5%
87
85.5%
Q3 - 1:00RaptorsFred VanVleet makes regular free throw 1 of 279
14.2%
87
85.8%
Q3 - 1:00HeatGoran Dragic shooting foul (Fred VanVleet draws the foul)78
13.9%
87
86.1%
Q3 - 1:06RaptorsChris Boucher defensive rebound78
13.3%
87
86.7%
Q3 - 1:07HeatGoran Dragic misses two point driving floating jump shot78
12.6%
87
87.4%
Q3 - 1:25HeatGoran Dragic defensive rebound78
11.0%
87
89.0%
Q3 - 1:29RaptorsFred VanVleet misses regular free throw 2 of 278
11.3%
87
88.7%
Q3 - 1:29RaptorsFred VanVleet makes regular free throw 1 of 278
12.8%
87
87.2%
Q3 - 1:29HeatGabe Vincent personal foul (Fred VanVleet draws the foul)77
12.5%
87
87.5%
Q3 - 1:42HeatGoran Dragic makes regular free throw 2 of 277
11.2%
87
88.8%
Q3 - 1:42HeatGoran Dragic makes regular free throw 1 of 277
11.5%
86
88.5%
Q3 - 1:42RaptorsTerence Davis personal foul (Goran Dragic draws the foul)77
11.9%
85
88.1%
Q3 - 1:57RaptorsChris Boucher makes regular free throw 1 of 177
13.0%
85
87.0%
Q3 - 1:57HeatPrecious Achiuwa shooting foul (Chris Boucher draws the foul)76
12.6%
85
87.4%
Q3 - 2:11RaptorsAron Baynes defensive rebound74
10.4%
85
89.6%
Q3 - 2:16HeatGoran Dragic misses two point driving layup74
9.8%
85
90.2%
Q3 - 2:28RaptorsRaptors turnover (shot clock violation)74
8.6%
85
91.4%
Q3 - 2:28RaptorsRaptors offensive rebound74
10.4%
85
89.6%
Q3 - 2:30RaptorsFred VanVleet misses three point jump shot74
9.1%
85
90.9%
Q3 - 2:42HeatKendrick Nunn personal foul (Fred VanVleet draws the foul)74
10.3%
85
89.7%
Q3 - 2:45RaptorsAron Baynes offensive rebound74
10.3%
85
89.7%
Q3 - 2:48RaptorsFred VanVleet misses three point pullup jump shot74
9.1%
85
90.9%
Q3 - 3:04HeatAndre Iguodala makes three point jump shot (Goran Dragic assists)74
11.2%
85
88.8%
Q3 - 3:17RaptorsTerence Davis personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)74
14.7%
82
85.3%
Q3 - 3:25HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound74
14.7%
82
85.3%
Q3 - 3:30RaptorsTerence Davis misses three point jump shot74
15.5%
82
84.5%
Q3 - 3:40RaptorsTerence Davis defensive rebound74
17.4%
82
82.6%
Q3 - 3:42HeatKelly Olynyk misses three point jump shot74
16.5%
82
83.5%
Q3 - 3:52HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound74
14.7%
82
85.3%
Q3 - 3:56RaptorsTerence Davis misses three point jump shot74
15.5%
82
84.5%
Q3 - 4:00HeatGoran Dragic turnover (bad pass) (Norman Powell steals)74
17.4%
82
82.6%
Q3 - 4:21HeatPrecious Achiuwa defensive rebound74
15.4%
82
84.6%
Q3 - 4:24RaptorsChris Boucher misses three point jump shot74
16.2%
82
83.8%
Q3 - 4:39HeatKendrick Nunn makes regular free throw 2 of 274
18.1%
82
81.9%
Q3 - 4:39HeatKendrick Nunn makes regular free throw 1 of 274
18.4%
81
81.6%
Q3 - 4:39RaptorsOG Anunoby shooting foul (Kendrick Nunn draws the foul)74
18.6%
80
81.4%
Q3 - 4:59RaptorsNorman Powell makes two point pullup jump shot (Fred VanVleet assists)74
20.2%
80
79.8%
Q3 - 5:12RaptorsFred VanVleet defensive rebound72
18.9%
80
81.1%
Q3 - 5:16HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot72
18.1%
80
81.9%
Q3 - 5:31RaptorsNorman Powell turnover (out of bounds step)72
16.4%
80
83.6%
Q3 - 5:51HeatBam Adebayo makes two point driving dunk (Jimmy Butler assists)72
18.8%
80
81.2%
Q3 - 5:55HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound72
21.2%
78
78.8%
Q3 - 5:58HeatKelly Olynyk misses three point jump shot72
23.2%
78
76.8%
Q3 - 6:25RaptorsOG Anunoby makes two point driving dunk (Kyle Lowry assists)72
21.7%
78
78.3%
Q3 - 6:38HeatKelly Olynyk makes two point hook shot (Jimmy Butler assists)70
19.4%
78
80.6%
Q3 - 6:46HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound70
21.7%
76
78.3%
Q3 - 6:49RaptorsPascal Siakam misses three point jump shot70
22.6%
76
77.4%
Q3 - 7:08HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 270
25.0%
76
75.0%
Q3 - 7:08HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 270
25.6%
75
74.4%
Q3 - 7:08RaptorsOG Anunoby shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)70
26.2%
74
73.8%
Q3 - 7:08HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound70
27.4%
74
72.6%
Q3 - 7:09HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving floating jump shot70
29.9%
74
70.1%
Q3 - 7:27RaptorsNorman Powell makes two point floating jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)70
27.4%
74
72.6%
Q3 - 7:52HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)68
25.0%
74
75.0%
Q3 - 7:58HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound68
30.5%
71
69.5%
Q3 - 8:01RaptorsFred VanVleet misses two point driving layup68
31.8%
71
68.2%
Q3 - 8:21HeatJimmy Butler makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)68
34.4%
71
65.6%
Q3 - 8:47RaptorsKyle Lowry makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot68
40.6%
68
59.4%
Q3 - 9:13HeatJimmy Butler makes two point alley-oop layup (Kendrick Nunn assists)66
37.6%
68
62.4%
Q3 - 9:29RaptorsOG Anunoby makes three point jump shot (Norman Powell assists)66
40.6%
66
59.4%
Q3 - 9:36RaptorsNorman Powell defensive rebound63
34.4%
66
65.6%
Q3 - 9:38HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving layup63
33.3%
66
66.7%
Q3 - 9:55RaptorsOG Anunoby makes two point hook shot (Norman Powell assists)63
30.8%
66
69.2%
Q3 - 10:03RaptorsKyle Lowry defensive rebound61
28.6%
66
71.4%
Q3 - 10:05HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving layup61
27.6%
66
72.4%
Q3 - 10:24RaptorsKyle Lowry makes two point pullup jump shot (Fred VanVleet assists)61
25.4%
66
74.6%
Q3 - 10:36HeatDuncan Robinson turnover (offensive foul)59
23.3%
66
76.7%
Q3 - 10:36HeatDuncan Robinson offensive foul (Off the ball) (Norman Powell draws the foul)59
20.6%
66
79.4%
Q3 - 10:38RaptorsFred VanVleet personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)59
20.6%
66
79.4%
Q3 - 10:53RaptorsKyle Lowry makes three point pullup jump shot59
20.6%
66
79.4%
Q3 - 11:01RaptorsKyle Lowry defensive rebound56
17.1%
66
82.9%
Q3 - 11:01HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot56
16.4%
66
83.6%
Q3 - 11:05HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound56
15.1%
66
84.9%
Q3 - 11:09RaptorsOG Anunoby misses three point jump shot56
15.7%
66
84.3%
Q3 - 11:15RaptorsKyle Lowry defensive rebound56
17.0%
66
83.0%
Q3 - 11:18HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot56
16.4%
66
83.6%
Q3 - 11:35RaptorsRaptors turnover (shot clock violation)56
15.1%
66
84.9%
Q3 - 11:35RaptorsOG Anunoby offensive rebound56
17.0%
66
83.0%
Q3 - 11:39RaptorsBam Adebayo blocks OG Anunoby's two point hook shot56
15.7%
66
84.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.56
17.0%
66
83.0%
Q2 - 0:00.8RaptorsRaptors offensive rebound56
17.4%
66
82.6%
Q2 - 0:01.8RaptorsNorman Powell misses two point pullup jump shot56
16.5%
66
83.5%
Q2 - 0:19.4HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 256
17.3%
66
82.7%
Q2 - 0:19.4HeatBam Adebayo misses regular free throw 1 of 256
17.7%
65
82.3%
Q2 - 0:19.4RaptorsKyle Lowry shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)56
16.3%
65
83.7%
Q2 - 0:19.4HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound56
17.9%
65
82.1%
Q2 - 0:22.8HeatGoran Dragic misses two point stepback jump shot56
18.8%
65
81.2%
Q2 - 0:45.2RaptorsNorman Powell makes three point jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)56
17.8%
65
82.2%
Q2 - 0:58.0RaptorsOG Anunoby defensive rebound53
13.9%
65
86.1%
Q2 - 0:58.4HeatKendrick Nunn misses two point floating jump shot53
13.6%
65
86.4%
Q2 - 1:04HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound53
13.6%
65
86.4%
Q2 - 1:07HeatBam Adebayo misses two point floating jump shot53
14.2%
65
85.8%
Q2 - 1:18RaptorsPascal Siakam turnover (offensive foul)53
13.6%
65
86.4%
Q2 - 1:18RaptorsPascal Siakam offensive foul (Charge) (Kelly Olynyk draws the foul)53
14.4%
65
85.6%
Q2 - 1:20RaptorsPascal Siakam defensive rebound53
14.4%
65
85.6%
Q2 - 1:23HeatKendrick Nunn misses two point driving layup53
14.2%
65
85.8%
Q2 - 1:25HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound53
13.5%
65
86.5%
Q2 - 1:28HeatGoran Dragic misses three point jump shot53
14.2%
65
85.8%
Q2 - 1:51RaptorsChris Boucher makes three point jump shot (Pascal Siakam assists)53
13.5%
65
86.5%
Q2 - 2:09HeatGoran Dragic makes three point jump shot (Kelly Olynyk assists)50
11.4%
65
88.6%
Q2 - 2:18RaptorsPascal Siakam personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)50
14.0%
62
86.0%
Q2 - 2:25RaptorsPascal Siakam personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)50
13.9%
62
86.1%
Q2 - 2:32HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound50
13.9%
62
86.1%
Q2 - 2:38RaptorsNorman Powell misses two point pullup jump shot50
14.4%
62
85.6%
Q2 - 2:56HeatJimmy Butler makes two point running dunk50
15.4%
62
84.6%
Q2 - 2:58RaptorsStanley Johnson turnover (bad pass) (Jimmy Butler steals)50
17.1%
60
82.9%
Q2 - 3:16HeatKendrick Nunn makes three point jump shot (Kelly Olynyk assists)50
19.7%
60
80.3%
Q2 - 3:26HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound50
23.3%
57
76.7%
Q2 - 3:29RaptorsStanley Johnson misses three point jump shot50
24.0%
57
76.0%
Q2 - 3:42HeatBam Adebayo makes two point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)50
25.7%
57
74.3%
Q2 - 3:57RaptorsFred VanVleet makes regular free throw 2 of 250
27.7%
55
72.3%
Q2 - 3:57RaptorsFred VanVleet makes regular free throw 1 of 249
27.4%
55
72.6%
Q2 - 3:57HeatKelly Olynyk shooting foul (Fred VanVleet draws the foul)48
27.1%
55
72.9%
Q2 - 4:09HeatDuncan Robinson makes two point running reverse layup (Kendrick Nunn assists)48
26.0%
55
74.0%
Q2 - 4:09HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound48
28.2%
53
71.8%
Q2 - 4:14RaptorsKendrick Nunn blocks Fred VanVleet's three point jump shot48
28.9%
53
71.1%
Q2 - 4:41HeatBam Adebayo makes two point dunk (Jimmy Butler assists)48
30.5%
53
69.5%
Q2 - 4:52RaptorsKyle Lowry turnover (out of bounds bad pass)48
32.9%
51
67.1%
Q2 - 5:00HeatAndre Iguodala makes three point jump shot (Kendrick Nunn assists)48
35.4%
51
64.6%
Q2 - 5:22RaptorsKyle Lowry makes three point jump shot (Stanley Johnson assists)48
40.4%
48
59.6%
Q2 - 5:45HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 245
35.7%
48
64.3%
Q2 - 5:45HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 245
36.0%
47
64.0%
Q2 - 5:45RaptorsKyle Lowry shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)45
36.4%
46
63.6%
Q2 - 6:01RaptorsKyle Lowry turnover (out of bounds step)45
37.7%
46
62.3%
Q2 - 6:23HeatKelly Olynyk turnover (out of bounds bad pass)45
40.9%
46
59.1%
Q2 - 6:34RaptorsAron Baynes makes two point tip dunk45
37.7%
46
62.3%
Q2 - 6:34RaptorsAron Baynes offensive rebound43
35.8%
46
64.2%
Q2 - 6:35RaptorsPascal Siakam misses two point driving bank jump shot43
33.7%
46
66.3%
Q2 - 6:43HeatJimmy Butler makes two point pullup jump shot (Kendrick Nunn assists)43
35.8%
46
64.2%
Q2 - 7:04HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound43
38.1%
44
61.9%
Q2 - 7:07RaptorsNorman Powell misses three point jump shot43
38.9%
44
61.1%
Q2 - 7:24HeatAndre Iguodala makes three point pullup jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)43
40.7%
44
59.3%
Q2 - 7:40RaptorsPascal Siakam makes regular free throw 2 of 243
45.7%
41
54.3%
Q2 - 7:40RaptorsPascal Siakam makes regular free throw 1 of 242
45.2%
41
54.8%
Q2 - 7:40HeatGabe Vincent shooting foul (Pascal Siakam draws the foul)41
44.7%
41
55.3%
Q2 - 8:04HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Goran Dragic assists)41
43.1%
41
56.9%
Q2 - 8:10HeatGoran Dragic defensive rebound41
48.1%
38
51.9%
Q2 - 8:15RaptorsAron Baynes misses two point turnaround hook shot41
48.9%
38
51.1%
Q2 - 8:27HeatGabe Vincent personal foul (Pascal Siakam draws the foul)41
50.7%
38
49.3%
Q2 - 8:27RaptorsKyle Lowry defensive rebound41
50.7%
38
49.3%
Q2 - 8:29HeatGoran Dragic misses two point driving floating jump shot41
49.9%
38
50.1%
Q2 - 8:40RaptorsNorman Powell makes two point driving reverse layup41
48.1%
38
51.9%
Q2 - 8:58HeatGoran Dragic personal foul (Pascal Siakam draws the foul)39
45.6%
38
54.4%
Q2 - 9:00RaptorsChris Boucher defensive rebound39
45.6%
38
54.4%
Q2 - 9:03HeatGabe Vincent misses three point jump shot39
44.5%
38
55.5%
Q2 - 9:16RaptorsPascal Siakam turnover (offensive foul)39
42.7%
38
57.3%
Q2 - 9:16RaptorsPascal Siakam offensive foul (Charge) (Gabe Vincent draws the foul)39
45.3%
38
54.7%
Q2 - 9:19HeatGoran Dragic turnover (bad pass) (Chris Boucher steals)39
45.3%
38
54.7%
Q2 - 9:26HeatHeat offensive rebound39
42.7%
38
57.3%
Q2 - 9:27HeatChris Boucher blocks Goran Dragic's three point jump shot39
44.5%
38
55.5%
Q2 - 9:33HeatAndre Iguodala defensive rebound39
42.7%
38
57.3%
Q2 - 9:33RaptorsPascal Siakam misses two point driving finger roll layup39
43.5%
38
56.5%
Q2 - 9:48HeatGoran Dragic makes three point jump shot39
45.3%
38
54.7%
Q2 - 9:57RaptorsChris Boucher makes two point floating jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)39
50.2%
35
49.8%
Q2 - 10:20RaptorsChris Boucher defensive rebound37
47.8%
35
52.2%
Q2 - 10:25HeatAndre Iguodala misses three point jump shot37
47.0%
35
53.0%
Q2 - 10:30HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound37
45.2%
35
54.8%
Q2 - 10:34RaptorsKyle Lowry misses regular free throw 1 of 137
45.5%
35
54.5%
Q2 - 10:34HeatGabe Vincent shooting foul (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)37
47.3%
35
52.7%
Q2 - 10:38RaptorsKyle Lowry defensive rebound35
42.9%
35
57.1%
Q2 - 10:43HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot35
42.1%
35
57.9%
Q2 - 10:53HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound35
40.4%
35
59.6%
Q2 - 10:57RaptorsKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot35
41.1%
35
58.9%
Q2 - 11:03HeatAndre Iguodala personal foul (Norman Powell draws the foul)35
42.5%
35
57.5%
Q2 - 11:19HeatGabe Vincent makes three point jump shot (Andre Iguodala assists)35
42.5%
35
57.5%
Q2 - 11:22HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound35
47.4%
32
52.6%
Q2 - 11:24HeatGoran Dragic misses two point driving floating jump shot35
49.0%
32
51.0%
Q2 - 11:38RaptorsOG Anunoby turnover (traveling)35
47.4%
32
52.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.35
49.7%
32
50.3%
Q1 - 0:00.3HeatHeat offensive rebound35
47.2%
32
52.8%
Q1 - 0:00.3HeatGoran Dragic misses three point jump shot35
48.4%
32
51.6%
Q1 - 0:02.8RaptorsNorman Powell makes three point jump shot (Pascal Siakam assists)35
47.2%
32
52.8%
Q1 - 0:05.3RaptorsRaptors offensive rebound32
42.1%
32
57.9%
Q1 - 0:07.5RaptorsPascal Siakam misses three point stepback jump shot32
40.9%
32
59.1%
Q1 - 0:36.6HeatGabe Vincent makes clear path free throw 2 of 232
49.0%
29
51.0%
Q1 - 0:36.6HeatGabe Vincent makes clear path free throw 1 of 232
47.6%
28
52.4%
Q1 - 0:36.6RaptorsDeAndre' Bembry clear path foul (Gabe Vincent draws the foul)32
48.0%
27
52.0%
Q1 - 0:37.0RaptorsDeAndre' Bembry turnover (lost ball) (Gabe Vincent steals)32
51.8%
27
48.2%
Q1 - 0:46.7HeatGoran Dragic makes regular free throw 2 of 232
53.7%
27
46.3%
Q1 - 0:46.7HeatGoran Dragic makes regular free throw 1 of 232
54.1%
26
45.9%
Q1 - 0:46.7RaptorsDeAndre' Bembry personal foul (Goran Dragic draws the foul)32
54.6%
25
45.4%
Q1 - 0:52.1RaptorsFred VanVleet makes three point jump shot (Patrick McCaw assists)32
56.5%
25
43.5%
Q1 - 1:15HeatGoran Dragic makes two point driving layup29
51.3%
25
48.7%
Q1 - 1:23HeatAndre Iguodala defensive rebound29
54.2%
23
45.8%
Q1 - 1:27RaptorsChris Boucher misses two point bank jump shot29
54.7%
23
45.3%
Q1 - 1:44HeatGoran Dragic makes regular free throw 2 of 229
55.9%
23
44.1%
Q1 - 1:44HeatGoran Dragic misses regular free throw 1 of 229
56.3%
22
43.7%
Q1 - 1:44RaptorsDeAndre' Bembry personal foul (Goran Dragic draws the foul)29
54.5%
22
45.5%
Q1 - 2:00RaptorsFred VanVleet makes three point pullup jump shot (Patrick McCaw assists)29
56.4%
22
43.6%
Q1 - 2:08HeatKendrick Nunn personal foul (Fred VanVleet draws the foul)26
51.3%
22
48.7%
Q1 - 2:26HeatKendrick Nunn turnover (out of bounds lost ball)26
51.3%
22
48.7%
Q1 - 2:26HeatKendrick Nunn offensive rebound26
49.1%
22
50.9%
Q1 - 2:30HeatKendrick Nunn misses three point jump shot26
50.6%
22
49.4%
Q1 - 2:35HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound26
49.1%
22
50.9%
Q1 - 2:37HeatKelly Olynyk misses three point jump shot26
50.6%
22
49.4%
Q1 - 2:59RaptorsChris Boucher makes three point jump shot (Fred VanVleet assists)26
49.2%
22
50.8%
Q1 - 3:18RaptorsChris Boucher defensive rebound23
44.4%
22
55.6%
Q1 - 3:21HeatPrecious Achiuwa misses regular free throw 2 of 223
44.1%
22
55.9%
Q1 - 3:21HeatPrecious Achiuwa makes regular free throw 1 of 223
43.0%
22
57.0%
Q1 - 3:21RaptorsPatrick McCaw shooting foul (Precious Achiuwa draws the foul)23
43.8%
21
56.2%
Q1 - 3:27RaptorsFred VanVleet makes three point jump shot (DeAndre' Bembry assists)23
44.1%
21
55.9%
Q1 - 3:47RaptorsChris Boucher defensive rebound20
40.1%
21
59.9%
Q1 - 3:51HeatJimmy Butler misses three point jump shot20
39.4%
21
60.6%
Q1 - 4:06HeatPrecious Achiuwa defensive rebound20
37.8%
21
62.2%
Q1 - 4:10RaptorsFred VanVleet misses three point jump shot20
38.6%
21
61.4%
Q1 - 4:24HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 220
40.2%
21
59.8%
Q1 - 4:24HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 220
40.4%
20
59.6%
Q1 - 4:24RaptorsFred VanVleet shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)20
40.8%
19
59.2%
Q1 - 4:34HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound20
41.9%
19
58.1%
Q1 - 4:34RaptorsJimmy Butler blocks Kyle Lowry's three point jump shot20
42.7%
19
57.3%
Q1 - 4:47HeatGoran Dragic makes two point running layup (Bam Adebayo assists)20
44.4%
19
55.6%
Q1 - 4:52RaptorsPascal Siakam turnover (bad pass) (Jimmy Butler steals)20
46.1%
17
53.9%
Q1 - 5:05HeatKendrick Nunn makes two point driving layup (Bam Adebayo assists)20
48.0%
17
52.0%
Q1 - 5:21RaptorsKyle Lowry makes regular free throw 1 of 120
50.0%
15
50.0%
Q1 - 5:21HeatKelly Olynyk shooting foul (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)19
49.7%
15
50.3%
Q1 - 5:35HeatBam Adebayo personal foul (Loose ball) (OG Anunoby draws the foul)17
46.0%
15
54.0%
Q1 - 5:35RaptorsRaptors defensive rebound17
46.0%
15
54.0%
Q1 - 5:35HeatKelly Olynyk misses two point driving layup17
45.4%
15
54.6%
Q1 - 5:50RaptorsPascal Siakam makes three point jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)17
43.9%
15
56.1%
Q1 - 6:06RaptorsKyle Lowry defensive rebound14
39.8%
15
60.2%
Q1 - 6:09HeatKendrick Nunn misses two point stepback jump shot14
39.3%
15
60.7%
Q1 - 6:17HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound14
38.0%
15
62.0%
Q1 - 6:20RaptorsOG Anunoby misses three point jump shot14
38.6%
15
61.4%
Q1 - 6:32HeatDuncan Robinson makes regular free throw 1 of 114
39.8%
15
60.2%
Q1 - 6:32RaptorsKyle Lowry shooting foul (Duncan Robinson draws the foul)14
40.0%
14
60.0%
Q1 - 6:39RaptorsOG Anunoby personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)14
43.7%
12
56.3%
Q1 - 6:39HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound14
43.7%
12
56.3%
Q1 - 6:40HeatJimmy Butler misses two point turnaround jump shot14
45.0%
12
55.0%
Q1 - 7:02RaptorsKyle Lowry makes three point jump shot (Pascal Siakam assists)14
43.4%
12
56.6%
Q1 - 7:08RaptorsPascal Siakam defensive rebound11
39.9%
12
60.1%
Q1 - 7:10HeatOG Anunoby blocks Jimmy Butler's two point layup11
39.3%
12
60.7%
Q1 - 7:22HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound11
37.9%
12
62.1%
Q1 - 7:26RaptorsNorman Powell misses three point jump shot11
38.5%
12
61.5%
Q1 - 7:38HeatBam Adebayo makes two point cutting dunk (Jimmy Butler assists)11
39.9%
12
60.1%
Q1 - 7:55RaptorsKyle Lowry makes three point jump shot (Pascal Siakam assists)11
41.6%
10
58.4%
Q1 - 8:10HeatKelly Olynyk makes two point cutting layup (Kendrick Nunn assists)8
38.2%
10
61.8%
Q1 - 8:14HeatKendrick Nunn defensive rebound8
39.7%
8
60.3%
Q1 - 8:17RaptorsOG Anunoby misses two point driving layup8
40.4%
8
59.6%
Q1 - 8:31HeatBam Adebayo makes two point layup (Kendrick Nunn assists)8
41.8%
8
58.2%
Q1 - 8:41RaptorsKyle Lowry makes two point driving layup (OG Anunoby assists)8
43.4%
6
56.6%
Q1 - 8:46RaptorsOG Anunoby defensive rebound6
41.8%
6
58.2%
Q1 - 8:51HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point pullup jump shot6
41.2%
6
58.8%
Q1 - 9:10RaptorsKyle Lowry makes regular free throw 2 of 26
39.6%
6
60.4%
Q1 - 9:10RaptorsKyle Lowry misses regular free throw 1 of 25
39.4%
6
60.6%
Q1 - 9:10HeatJimmy Butler shooting foul (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)5
40.9%
6
59.1%
Q1 - 9:14RaptorsOG Anunoby defensive rebound5
40.0%
6
60.0%
Q1 - 9:17HeatKelly Olynyk misses three point jump shot5
39.3%
6
60.7%
Q1 - 9:38RaptorsOG Anunoby makes three point jump shot (Fred VanVleet assists)5
37.8%
6
62.2%
Q1 - 9:46HeatBam Adebayo turnover (out of bounds bad pass)2
34.7%
6
65.3%
Q1 - 9:58Jump ball. Bam Adebayo vs. OG Anunoby (Kendrick Nunn gains possession)2
32.7%
6
67.3%
Q1 - 10:00HeatDuncan Robinson personal foul (Double) (Norman Powell draws the foul)2
34.7%
6
65.3%
Q1 - 10:00RaptorsNorman Powell personal foul (Double) (Duncan Robinson draws the foul)2
34.7%
6
65.3%
Q1 - 10:04RaptorsFred VanVleet defensive rebound2
34.5%
6
65.5%
Q1 - 10:10HeatBam Adebayo misses two point hook shot2
33.9%
6
66.1%
Q1 - 10:19HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound2
32.6%
6
67.4%
Q1 - 10:23RaptorsPascal Siakam misses two point stepback jump shot2
33.2%
6
66.8%
Q1 - 10:50HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Kendrick Nunn assists)2
34.5%
6
65.5%
Q1 - 11:01HeatHeat offensive rebound2
37.6%
3
62.4%
Q1 - 11:04HeatBam Adebayo misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot2
39.0%
3
61.0%
Q1 - 11:24RaptorsOG Anunoby makes two point cutting dunk (Fred VanVleet assists)2
37.7%
3
62.3%
Q1 - 11:43HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)0
36.1%
3
63.9%
Q1 - 12:00Pascal Siakam vs. Bam Adebayo (Jimmy Butler gains possession)0
39.4%
0
60.6%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

TOR
1.29 64.3%
MIA
1.21 60.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
TOR
11
15
73%
MIA
16
21
76%
Midrange
TOR
6
15
40%
MIA
4
21
19%
3PT | Effective 3PT
TOR
20
30.0
44
45%
68%
MIA
17
25.5
38
45%
67%
Free Throws
TOR
14
17
82%
MIA
25
29
86%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
TOR logo Raptors
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
F. VanVleet2471%12.0 / 17
K. Lowry2486%12.0 / 14
N. Powell1771%8.5 / 12
O. Anunoby1454%7.0 / 13
C. Boucher1192%5.5 / 6
A. Baynes770%3.5 / 5
T. Davis650%3.0 / 6
P. Siakam536%2.5 / 7
S. Johnson0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Butler2764%13.5 / 21
B. Adebayo1968%9.5 / 14
D. Robinson1777%8.5 / 11
G. Dragic1547%7.5 / 16
A. Iguodala12120%6.0 / 5
G. Vincent11110%5.5 / 5
K. Nunn735%3.5 / 10
K. Olynyk735%3.5 / 10
P. Achiuwa150%0.5 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

TOR
78
+6
-14
84
MIA
81
+14
-11
95
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

TOR
1.29 64.3%
MIA
1.21 60.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
112.0
111.1
TOR 117.4
MIA 126.1 +8.7
Pace
99.2
96.7
TOR 94.5 +5.0
MIA 89.6
Avg. Poss. Time
14.3
14.7
TOR 15.2 +0.8
MIA 16.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
53.0%
54.6%
TOR 63.5% +6.6%
MIA 56.9%
TO %
12.5%
13.7%
TOR 16.4%
MIA 10.6% +5.8%
ORB %
20.8%
19.4%
TOR 8.8%
MIA 27.5% +18.7%
FTrt
24.1
25.2
TOR 23.0
MIA 36.3 +13.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.7%
67.1%
TOR 81.1%
MIA 83.8% +2.7%
STL %
8.7%
8.2%
TOR 5.4%
MIA 6.5% +1.1%
BLK %
11.3%
8.5%
TOR 7.1%
MIA 13.3% +6.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.14 and 2.14.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
55.5%
56.5%
TOR 64.3% +3.9%
MIA 60.4%
Rim FG%
59.0%
64.8%
TOR 73.3%
MIA 76.2% +2.9%
Mid FG%
38.2%
41.8%
TOR 40.0% +21.0%
MIA 19.0%
3P %
36.8%
35.8%
TOR 45.5% +0.8%
MIA 44.7%
FT %
81.5%
79.0%
TOR 82.4%
MIA 86.2% +3.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.8%
33.3%
TOR 20.3%
MIA 26.3% +6.0%
Mid Att. %
20.8%
23.5%
TOR 20.3% +6.0%
MIA 26.3%
3P Att. %
44.4%
43.2%
TOR 59.5% +12.0%
MIA 47.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsTORMIA
Possessions9292
Possession Minutes23.424.7
Points108116
Rebounds3242
Assists3031
Steals56
Blocks34
Turnovers (Team)14 (2)11 (0)
Fouls2521
Off. Rebounds (Team)3 (3)11 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)29 (1)31 (2)
Field Goals37-7437-80
At-the-Rim FG11-1516-21
Midrange FG6-154-21
2-Point FG17-3020-42
3-Point FG20-4417-38
Free Throws14-1725-29
Fast Break Pts1013
2nd Chance Pts515
Points in Paint2636
Pts off Turnovers1021
Bench Points2439
Biggest Lead715

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#23 · SG · 6'0" 197 · 27
38.9
24
71%
4
7
0
0
1
4
0
4
7-8
88%
1-2
50%
5-11
45%
#3 · PF · 6'7" 240 · 24
35.7
14
54%
6
2
0
2
1
3
1
5
0-0
-
4-8
50%
2-5
40%
#7 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 35
35.0
24
86%
7
8
2
0
3
4
0
7
2-4
50%
5-6
83%
4-7
57%
#24 · SF · 6'4" 215 · 28
33.0
17
71%
1
3
1
0
3
1
0
1
2-2
100%
3-5
60%
3-6
50%
#43 · C · 6'8" 245 · 27
24.1
5
36%
2
4
0
0
3
4
0
2
2-2
100%
0-3
0%
1-3
33%
#25 · PF · 6'9" 200 · 28
18.4
11
92%
6
0
2
1
0
1
0
6
1-1
100%
2-3
67%
2-3
67%
#46 · C · 6'10" 260 · 34
17.1
7
70%
4
1
0
0
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
2-3
67%
1-2
50%
#0 · SG · 6'4" 201 · 24
14.7
6
50%
2
0
0
0
1
3
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
-
2-6
33%
#22 · SG · 6'7" 185 · 25
8.4
0
0%
0
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
#21 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 27
6.2
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
#95 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 27
5.0
0
0%
0
1
0
0
1
3
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
#5 · PF · 6'7" 245 · 25
3.5
0
0%
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
#18 · SG · 6'9" 205 · 26
DNP - Coach's Decision
#8 · PG · 6'2" 175 · 23
DNP - Coach's Decision
#1 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 26
DNP - Coach's Decision
#2 · PG · 6'5" 195 · 22
INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
108
64%
32
30
5
3
14
25
3
29
14-17
82%
17-30
57%
20-44
45%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.