FinalWin Prob.pScore
1242%108
130
1058%111
124
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
128.710195.3
BOS logo BOS
124.0100106.4

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

CelticsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

CelticsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIABOS
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.130
100%
124
0%
Q4 - 0:05.8CelticsEvan Fournier makes three point pullup jump shot (Jayson Tatum assists)130
99.9%
124
0.1%
Q4 - 0:14.6HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 2130
99.9%
121
0.1%
Q4 - 0:14.6HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 2129
99.9%
121
0.1%
Q4 - 0:14.6CelticsAaron Nesmith personal foul (Take) (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)128
99.9%
121
0.1%
Q4 - 0:15.1CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point cutting dunk (Aaron Nesmith assists)128
99.9%
121
0.1%
Q4 - 0:21.4HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 2128
99.9%
119
0.1%
Q4 - 0:21.4HeatBam Adebayo misses regular free throw 1 of 2127
99.9%
119
0.1%
Q4 - 0:21.4CelticsAaron Nesmith personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)127
99.9%
119
0.1%
Q4 - 0:24.0HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound127
99.9%
119
0.1%
Q4 - 0:24.0CelticsMarcus Smart misses regular free throw 2 of 2127
99.9%
119
0.1%
Q4 - 0:24.0CelticsMarcus Smart makes regular free throw 1 of 2127
99.8%
119
0.2%
Q4 - 0:24.0HeatJimmy Butler personal foul (Loose ball) (Marcus Smart draws the foul)127
99.9%
118
0.1%
Q4 - 0:26.2HeatJimmy Butler turnover (lost ball) (Marcus Smart steals)127
99.9%
118
0.1%
Q4 - 0:46.9HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound127
99.8%
118
0.2%
Q4 - 0:48.1CelticsJayson Tatum misses three point stepback jump shot127
99.7%
118
0.3%
Q4 - 0:52.9HeatJimmy Butler personal foul (Jayson Tatum draws the foul)127
99.4%
118
0.6%
Q4 - 0:56.0HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving floating bank jump shot127
99.3%
118
0.7%
Q4 - 1:08CelticsMarcus Smart personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)125
98.5%
118
1.5%
Q4 - 1:14CelticsKemba Walker makes three point jump shot (Jayson Tatum assists)125
98.1%
118
1.9%
Q4 - 1:23HeatBam Adebayo makes two point jump shot125
99.1%
115
0.9%
Q4 - 1:46CelticsJayson Tatum makes three point jump shot (Evan Fournier assists)123
97.7%
115
2.3%
Q4 - 2:01HeatBam Adebayo makes two point putback layup123
99.0%
112
1.0%
Q4 - 2:03HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound121
98.6%
112
1.4%
Q4 - 2:06HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot121
97.9%
112
2.1%
Q4 - 2:28CelticsKemba Walker turnover (out of bounds bad pass)121
98.7%
112
1.3%
Q4 - 2:42HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)121
97.4%
112
2.6%
Q4 - 3:02CelticsEvan Fournier makes three point jump shot (Marcus Smart assists)118
92.9%
112
7.1%
Q4 - 3:22HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 2118
96.4%
109
3.6%
Q4 - 3:22HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 2117
96.1%
109
3.9%
Q4 - 3:22CelticsTristan Thompson shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)116
95.7%
109
4.3%
Q4 - 3:41CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point running finger roll layup116
91.9%
109
8.1%
Q4 - 3:45CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound116
94.1%
107
5.9%
Q4 - 3:47HeatJimmy Butler misses three point jump shot116
94.7%
107
5.3%
Q4 - 4:11CelticsEvan Fournier personal foul (Take) (Trevor Ariza draws the foul)116
96.1%
107
3.9%
Q4 - 4:13CelticsJayson Tatum turnover (bad pass) (Trevor Ariza steals)116
96.1%
107
3.9%
Q4 - 4:31HeatJimmy Butler makes three point jump shot (Goran Dragic assists)116
94.5%
107
5.5%
Q4 - 4:51CelticsKemba Walker makes two point driving floating bank jump shot113
89.6%
107
10.4%
Q4 - 4:57CelticsTristan Thompson defensive rebound113
92.3%
105
7.7%
Q4 - 4:59HeatGoran Dragic misses two point fadeaway jump shot113
93.2%
105
6.8%
Q4 - 5:25CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point running finger roll layup (Evan Fournier assists)113
92.3%
105
7.7%
Q4 - 5:28HeatGoran Dragic turnover (bad pass) (Marcus Smart steals)113
94.2%
103
5.8%
Q4 - 5:38HeatTrevor Ariza defensive rebound113
95.8%
103
4.2%
Q4 - 5:41CelticsKemba Walker misses three point jump shot113
95.4%
103
4.6%
Q4 - 5:45CelticsTristan Thompson offensive rebound113
94.2%
103
5.8%
Q4 - 5:48CelticsMarcus Smart misses three point jump shot113
95.4%
103
4.6%
Q4 - 6:00HeatDuncan Robinson turnover (traveling)113
94.3%
103
5.7%
Q4 - 6:12CelticsKemba Walker makes two point driving layup113
94.2%
103
5.8%
Q4 - 6:20CelticsTristan Thompson offensive rebound113
95.4%
101
4.6%
Q4 - 6:22CelticsKemba Walker misses two point driving layup113
96.4%
101
3.6%
Q4 - 6:31HeatBam Adebayo makes two point driving dunk113
95.5%
101
4.5%
Q4 - 6:56CelticsEvan Fournier makes three point jump shot (Marcus Smart assists)111
94.4%
101
5.6%
Q4 - 7:02HeatGoran Dragic personal foul (Take) (Kemba Walker draws the foul)111
95.4%
98
4.6%
Q4 - 7:03CelticsKemba Walker defensive rebound111
95.4%
98
4.6%
Q4 - 7:05HeatTyler Herro misses two point jump shot111
95.8%
98
4.2%
Q4 - 7:23CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point driving layup111
96.6%
98
3.4%
Q4 - 7:31CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound111
97.3%
96
2.7%
Q4 - 7:34HeatTyler Herro misses two point pullup jump shot111
97.5%
96
2.5%
Q4 - 7:36CelticsTristan Thompson turnover (out of bounds step)111
98.0%
96
2.0%
Q4 - 7:40CelticsCarsen Edwards defensive rebound111
97.3%
96
2.7%
Q4 - 7:41HeatJimmy Butler misses two point stepback jump shot111
97.5%
96
2.5%
Q4 - 8:01HeatTrevor Ariza defensive rebound111
97.2%
96
2.8%
Q4 - 8:03CelticsCarsen Edwards misses three point jump shot111
97.0%
96
3.0%
Q4 - 8:20HeatJimmy Butler makes two point turnaround jump shot111
96.5%
96
3.5%
Q4 - 8:42HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound109
95.6%
96
4.4%
Q4 - 8:44CelticsPayton Pritchard misses three point jump shot109
95.3%
96
4.7%
Q4 - 8:58HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving layup (Goran Dragic assists)109
94.5%
96
5.5%
Q4 - 9:12CelticsCarsen Edwards makes regular free throw 2 of 2107
91.8%
96
8.2%
Q4 - 9:12CelticsCarsen Edwards makes regular free throw 1 of 2107
92.2%
95
7.8%
Q4 - 9:12HeatTyler Herro shooting foul (Carsen Edwards draws the foul)107
92.5%
94
7.5%
Q4 - 9:17CelticsCarsen Edwards defensive rebound107
93.3%
94
6.7%
Q4 - 9:19HeatTyler Herro misses three point running pullup jump shot107
93.8%
94
6.2%
Q4 - 9:22HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound107
94.8%
94
5.2%
Q4 - 9:25CelticsAaron Nesmith misses two point running layup107
94.4%
94
5.6%
Q4 - 9:30CelticsPayton Pritchard defensive rebound107
93.3%
94
6.7%
Q4 - 9:32HeatAndre Iguodala misses three point jump shot107
93.8%
94
6.2%
Q4 - 9:49CelticsCarsen Edwards makes three point jump shot (Kemba Walker assists)107
94.8%
94
5.2%
Q4 - 10:08CelticsCeltics defensive rebound107
95.8%
91
4.2%
Q4 - 10:11HeatJimmy Butler misses two point stepback jump shot107
96.1%
91
3.9%
Q4 - 10:28CelticsKemba Walker makes two point driving reverse layup107
96.7%
91
3.3%
Q4 - 10:35CelticsTristan Thompson defensive rebound107
97.3%
89
2.7%
Q4 - 10:37HeatGoran Dragic misses two point turnaround jump shot107
97.5%
89
2.5%
Q4 - 10:52CelticsAaron Nesmith makes three point pullup jump shot (Kemba Walker assists)107
97.9%
89
2.1%
Q4 - 10:58HeatTyler Herro turnover (bad pass) (Kemba Walker steals)107
98.6%
86
1.4%
Q4 - 11:12CelticsAaron Nesmith makes two point layup107
98.6%
86
1.4%
Q4 - 11:16HeatAndre Iguodala turnover (lost ball) (Aaron Nesmith steals)107
98.9%
84
1.1%
Q4 - 11:18HeatAndre Iguodala defensive rebound107
99.1%
84
0.9%
Q4 - 11:20CelticsPayton Pritchard misses two point stepback bank jump shot107
99.0%
84
1.0%
Q4 - 11:46HeatDewayne Dedmon makes two point alley-oop dunk (Goran Dragic assists)107
98.9%
84
1.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.105
98.6%
84
1.4%
Q3 - 0:00.1HeatHeat offensive rebound105
98.2%
84
1.8%
Q3 - 0:00.3HeatJimmy Butler misses three point pullup jump shot105
97.9%
84
2.1%
Q3 - 0:01.6HeatGoran Dragic defensive rebound105
98.2%
84
1.8%
Q3 - 0:04.9CelticsLuke Kornet misses three point jump shot105
98.1%
84
1.9%
Q3 - 0:27.2CelticsAaron Nesmith defensive rebound105
97.8%
84
2.2%
Q3 - 0:29.4HeatGoran Dragic misses three point jump shot105
98.0%
84
2.0%
Q3 - 0:44.3HeatDewayne Dedmon defensive rebound105
98.2%
84
1.8%
Q3 - 0:46.4CelticsJayson Tatum misses three point jump shot105
98.1%
84
1.9%
Q3 - 1:00HeatDewayne Dedmon makes two point cutting layup (Jimmy Butler assists)105
97.9%
84
2.1%
Q3 - 1:16CelticsMarcus Smart turnover (out of bounds lost ball)103
96.8%
84
3.2%
Q3 - 1:29HeatDewayne Dedmon makes two point driving hook shot (Goran Dragic assists)103
96.1%
84
3.9%
Q3 - 1:50CelticsAaron Nesmith makes two point running dunk101
95.4%
84
4.6%
Q3 - 1:53CelticsAaron Nesmith defensive rebound101
96.1%
82
3.9%
Q3 - 1:56HeatGoran Dragic misses two point running layup101
96.4%
82
3.6%
Q3 - 1:59CelticsMarcus Smart turnover (bad pass) (Trevor Ariza steals)101
96.8%
82
3.2%
Q3 - 2:10HeatJimmy Butler makes two point alley-oop layup (Goran Dragic assists)101
95.2%
82
4.8%
Q3 - 2:23CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 2 of 299
94.4%
82
5.6%
Q3 - 2:23CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 1 of 299
94.5%
81
5.5%
Q3 - 2:23HeatJimmy Butler personal foul (Jayson Tatum draws the foul)99
94.7%
80
5.3%
Q3 - 2:28HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving floating jump shot99
95.2%
80
4.8%
Q3 - 2:49HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound97
94.5%
80
5.5%
Q3 - 2:51CelticsCarsen Edwards misses three point jump shot97
94.1%
80
5.9%
Q3 - 2:58HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 297
93.3%
80
6.7%
Q3 - 2:58HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 296
93.2%
80
6.8%
Q3 - 2:58CelticsCarsen Edwards personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)95
93.0%
80
7.0%
Q3 - 3:08CelticsLuke Kornet makes two point cutting dunk (Jayson Tatum assists)95
91.4%
80
8.6%
Q3 - 3:26HeatGoran Dragic makes three point jump shot (Dewayne Dedmon assists)95
92.5%
78
7.5%
Q3 - 3:41HeatDewayne Dedmon defensive rebound92
90.0%
78
10.0%
Q3 - 3:41CelticsJayson Tatum misses regular free throw 2 of 292
89.7%
78
10.3%
Q3 - 3:41CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 1 of 292
88.5%
78
11.5%
Q3 - 3:41HeatDewayne Dedmon shooting foul (Jayson Tatum draws the foul)92
88.8%
77
11.2%
Q3 - 3:48CelticsCeltics defensive rebound92
89.7%
77
10.3%
Q3 - 3:50HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving floating jump shot92
90.3%
77
9.7%
Q3 - 4:09CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point pullup jump shot (Evan Fournier assists)92
90.4%
77
9.6%
Q3 - 4:14CelticsCeltics offensive rebound92
91.6%
75
8.4%
Q3 - 4:15CelticsDewayne Dedmon blocks Marcus Smart's two point driving layup92
92.6%
75
7.4%
Q3 - 4:26HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Trevor Ariza assists)92
91.6%
75
8.4%
Q3 - 4:46HeatDewayne Dedmon defensive rebound89
89.0%
75
11.0%
Q3 - 4:46CelticsTristan Thompson misses regular free throw 2 of 289
88.7%
75
11.3%
Q3 - 4:46CelticsTristan Thompson misses regular free throw 1 of 289
87.8%
75
12.2%
Q3 - 4:46HeatBam Adebayo personal foul (Tristan Thompson draws the foul)89
86.7%
75
13.3%
Q3 - 5:01HeatTrevor Ariza makes two point cutting layup (Jimmy Butler assists)89
85.9%
75
14.1%
Q3 - 5:18HeatTrevor Ariza defensive rebound87
84.1%
75
15.9%
Q3 - 5:21CelticsEvan Fournier misses three point jump shot87
83.4%
75
16.6%
Q3 - 5:31HeatBam Adebayo turnover (offensive foul)87
81.7%
75
18.3%
Q3 - 5:31HeatBam Adebayo offensive foul (Evan Fournier draws the foul)87
84.1%
75
15.9%
Q3 - 5:55CelticsEvan Fournier makes three point jump shot (Marcus Smart assists)87
84.1%
75
15.9%
Q3 - 6:06CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound87
86.7%
72
13.3%
Q3 - 6:08HeatTrevor Ariza misses three point jump shot87
87.3%
72
12.7%
Q3 - 6:19CelticsTristan Thompson personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)87
88.5%
72
11.5%
Q3 - 6:27CelticsMarcus Smart makes two point driving finger roll layup (Evan Fournier assists)87
88.6%
72
11.4%
Q3 - 6:49HeatJimmy Butler makes two point pullup jump shot87
89.9%
70
10.1%
Q3 - 7:02CelticsKemba Walker makes regular free throw 2 of 285
87.8%
70
12.2%
Q3 - 7:02CelticsKemba Walker makes regular free throw 1 of 285
87.9%
69
12.1%
Q3 - 7:02HeatKendrick Nunn shooting foul (Kemba Walker draws the foul)85
88.1%
68
11.9%
Q3 - 7:03CelticsTristan Thompson offensive rebound85
89.0%
68
11.0%
Q3 - 7:05CelticsEvan Fournier misses two point driving floating jump shot85
90.2%
68
9.8%
Q3 - 7:19HeatJimmy Butler makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot85
89.1%
68
10.9%
Q3 - 7:40CelticsEvan Fournier makes regular free throw 1 of 183
87.8%
68
12.2%
Q3 - 7:40HeatKendrick Nunn shooting foul (Evan Fournier draws the foul)83
88.1%
67
11.9%
Q3 - 7:49HeatBam Adebayo turnover (out of bounds bad pass)83
90.5%
65
9.5%
Q3 - 8:06CelticsEvan Fournier makes two point driving finger roll layup (Kemba Walker assists)83
91.3%
65
8.7%
Q3 - 8:14CelticsKemba Walker defensive rebound83
92.2%
63
7.8%
Q3 - 8:16HeatKendrick Nunn misses three point jump shot83
92.6%
63
7.4%
Q3 - 8:28HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound83
93.4%
63
6.6%
Q3 - 8:30CelticsKemba Walker misses two point pullup jump shot83
93.0%
63
7.0%
Q3 - 8:39CelticsTristan Thompson defensive rebound83
92.2%
63
7.8%
Q3 - 8:41HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot83
92.6%
63
7.4%
Q3 - 8:54CelticsEvan Fournier makes three point jump shot (Jayson Tatum assists)83
93.4%
63
6.6%
Q3 - 9:12HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)83
94.3%
60
5.7%
Q3 - 9:18CelticsEvan Fournier personal foul (Duncan Robinson draws the foul)80
92.8%
60
7.2%
Q3 - 9:32CelticsJayson Tatum personal foul (Take) (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)80
92.8%
60
7.2%
Q3 - 9:33HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound80
92.8%
60
7.2%
Q3 - 9:35CelticsMarcus Smart misses two point driving layup80
92.4%
60
7.6%
Q3 - 9:46CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound80
91.6%
60
8.4%
Q3 - 9:49HeatKendrick Nunn misses three point jump shot80
92.0%
60
8.0%
Q3 - 10:01CelticsMarcus Smart turnover (offensive foul)80
92.1%
60
7.9%
Q3 - 10:01CelticsMarcus Smart offensive foul (Charge) (Trevor Ariza draws the foul)80
90.8%
60
9.2%
Q3 - 10:09HeatKendrick Nunn personal foul (Loose ball) (Tristan Thompson draws the foul)80
90.8%
60
9.2%
Q3 - 10:09CelticsCeltics offensive rebound80
90.8%
60
9.2%
Q3 - 10:10CelticsEvan Fournier misses three point pullup jump shot80
91.7%
60
8.3%
Q3 - 10:33CelticsTristan Thompson defensive rebound80
90.9%
60
9.1%
Q3 - 10:34HeatJimmy Butler misses regular free throw 2 of 280
91.1%
60
8.9%
Q3 - 10:34HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 280
91.8%
60
8.2%
Q3 - 10:34CelticsKemba Walker shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)79
91.7%
60
8.3%
Q3 - 10:51CelticsKemba Walker makes regular free throw 2 of 279
91.1%
60
8.9%
Q3 - 10:51CelticsKemba Walker makes regular free throw 1 of 279
91.2%
59
8.8%
Q3 - 10:51HeatDuncan Robinson shooting foul (Kemba Walker draws the foul)79
91.4%
58
8.6%
Q3 - 10:54CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound79
92.0%
58
8.0%
Q3 - 10:56HeatKendrick Nunn misses two point turnaround hook shot79
92.3%
58
7.7%
Q3 - 11:19CelticsEvan Fournier makes three point jump shot (Marcus Smart assists)79
92.5%
58
7.5%
Q3 - 11:25CelticsMarcus Smart defensive rebound79
94.1%
55
5.9%
Q3 - 11:27HeatDuncan Robinson misses two point driving finger roll layup79
94.4%
55
5.6%
Q3 - 11:43CelticsKemba Walker makes regular free throw 2 of 279
94.9%
55
5.1%
Q3 - 11:43CelticsKemba Walker makes regular free throw 1 of 279
94.9%
54
5.1%
Q3 - 11:43HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (Kemba Walker draws the foul)79
95.0%
53
5.0%
Q3 - 11:54HeatTrevor Ariza personal foul (Jayson Tatum draws the foul)79
95.4%
53
4.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.79
95.4%
53
4.6%
Q2 - 0:01.0HeatTrevor Ariza makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)79
95.0%
53
5.0%
Q2 - 0:25.0CelticsEvan Fournier makes two point stepback jump shot76
93.4%
53
6.6%
Q2 - 0:27.3CelticsEvan Fournier offensive rebound76
94.4%
51
5.6%
Q2 - 0:29.4CelticsJayson Tatum misses three point jump shot76
94.7%
51
5.3%
Q2 - 0:36.9HeatTrevor Ariza makes two point driving layup76
94.4%
51
5.6%
Q2 - 0:54.7CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point driving finger roll layup (Evan Fournier assists)74
93.4%
51
6.6%
Q2 - 1:14HeatDuncan Robinson makes regular free throw 2 of 274
93.9%
49
6.1%
Q2 - 1:14HeatDuncan Robinson makes regular free throw 1 of 273
93.8%
49
6.2%
Q2 - 1:14CelticsJayson Tatum shooting foul (Duncan Robinson draws the foul)72
93.7%
49
6.3%
Q2 - 1:32CelticsEvan Fournier makes three point jump shot (Jayson Tatum assists)72
92.8%
49
7.2%
Q2 - 1:50HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point pullup jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)72
94.6%
46
5.4%
Q2 - 2:00CelticsJayson Tatum turnover (offensive foul)69
92.8%
46
7.2%
Q2 - 2:00CelticsJayson Tatum offensive foul (Charge) (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)69
92.3%
46
7.7%
Q2 - 2:21HeatTrevor Ariza makes two point running dunk (Jimmy Butler assists)69
91.1%
46
8.9%
Q2 - 2:24HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound67
90.2%
46
9.8%
Q2 - 2:27CelticsAaron Nesmith misses three point jump shot67
89.8%
46
10.2%
Q2 - 2:40HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 167
89.0%
46
11.0%
Q2 - 2:40CelticsMarcus Smart shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)66
88.8%
46
11.2%
Q2 - 2:51CelticsJayson Tatum makes three point jump shot (Evan Fournier assists)64
86.5%
46
13.5%
Q2 - 3:03HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 264
87.6%
43
12.4%
Q2 - 3:03HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 263
87.4%
43
12.6%
Q2 - 3:03CelticsKemba Walker personal foul (Take) (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)62
87.1%
43
12.9%
Q2 - 3:08CelticsMarcus Smart turnover (bad pass) (Bam Adebayo steals)62
86.5%
43
13.5%
Q2 - 3:20HeatBam Adebayo turnover (lost ball) (Jayson Tatum steals)62
85.0%
43
15.0%
Q2 - 3:23HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound62
86.6%
43
13.4%
Q2 - 3:23CelticsKemba Walker misses regular free throw 2 of 262
86.4%
43
13.6%
Q2 - 3:23CelticsKemba Walker makes regular free throw 1 of 262
85.3%
43
14.7%
Q2 - 3:23HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (Kemba Walker draws the foul)62
85.5%
42
14.5%
Q2 - 3:27CelticsCeltics offensive rebound62
86.4%
42
13.6%
Q2 - 3:29CelticsJayson Tatum misses two point fadeaway jump shot62
87.4%
42
12.6%
Q2 - 3:49HeatTrevor Ariza makes regular free throw 1 of 162
86.5%
42
13.5%
Q2 - 3:49CelticsEvan Fournier shooting foul (Trevor Ariza draws the foul)61
86.2%
42
13.8%
Q2 - 3:56HeatTrevor Ariza defensive rebound59
83.7%
42
16.3%
Q2 - 3:58CelticsKemba Walker misses three point pullup jump shot59
83.2%
42
16.8%
Q2 - 4:04HeatJimmy Butler turnover (bad pass) (Kemba Walker steals)59
80.7%
42
19.3%
Q2 - 4:15HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound59
82.4%
42
17.6%
Q2 - 4:17CelticsMarcus Smart misses three point running pullup jump shot59
81.9%
42
18.1%
Q2 - 4:22CelticsTristan Thompson defensive rebound59
80.8%
42
19.2%
Q2 - 4:24HeatTrevor Ariza misses three point jump shot59
81.3%
42
18.7%
Q2 - 4:33CelticsGrant Williams personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)59
82.5%
42
17.5%
Q2 - 4:46CelticsMarcus Smart makes three point stepback jump shot (Kemba Walker assists)59
82.5%
42
17.5%
Q2 - 5:01HeatTrevor Ariza makes three point stepback jump shot (Duncan Robinson assists)59
84.7%
39
15.3%
Q2 - 5:26CelticsTristan Thompson makes two point putback layup56
82.0%
39
18.0%
Q2 - 5:27CelticsTristan Thompson offensive rebound56
83.3%
37
16.7%
Q2 - 5:29CelticsGrant Williams misses three point jump shot56
84.5%
37
15.5%
Q2 - 5:49HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 256
83.3%
37
16.7%
Q2 - 5:49HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 255
83.1%
37
16.9%
Q2 - 5:49CelticsGrant Williams shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)54
82.9%
37
17.1%
Q2 - 5:53CelticsKemba Walker turnover (lost ball) (Duncan Robinson steals)54
82.0%
37
18.0%
Q2 - 6:08HeatTrevor Ariza makes two point driving floating jump shot (Kendrick Nunn assists)54
79.5%
37
20.5%
Q2 - 6:32CelticsMarcus Smart makes two point driving layup52
78.1%
37
21.9%
Q2 - 6:44HeatAndre Iguodala makes two point turnaround bank hook shot (Jimmy Butler assists)52
79.5%
35
20.5%
Q2 - 7:09CelticsMarcus Smart makes two point running layup50
77.0%
35
23.0%
Q2 - 7:17HeatKendrick Nunn makes two point cutting layup (Andre Iguodala assists)50
78.7%
33
21.3%
Q2 - 7:21HeatHeat offensive rebound48
77.0%
33
23.0%
Q2 - 7:23HeatJayson Tatum blocks Goran Dragic's two point driving layup48
75.6%
33
24.4%
Q2 - 7:28CelticsMarcus Smart makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot (Robert Williams III assists)48
77.0%
33
23.0%
Q2 - 7:42HeatTyler Herro makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)48
78.7%
31
21.3%
Q2 - 7:53CelticsMarcus Smart personal foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)45
75.2%
31
24.8%
Q2 - 8:05CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point driving finger roll layup (Grant Williams assists)45
74.5%
31
25.5%
Q2 - 8:18HeatTyler Herro makes three point jump shot45
76.4%
29
23.6%
Q2 - 8:28HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound42
72.6%
29
27.4%
Q2 - 8:31CelticsGrant Williams misses two point pullup jump shot42
71.9%
29
28.1%
Q2 - 8:43CelticsGrant Williams defensive rebound42
70.4%
29
29.6%
Q2 - 8:45HeatKendrick Nunn misses three point pullup jump shot42
71.1%
29
28.9%
Q2 - 9:05CelticsGrant Williams makes two point cutting layup (Robert Williams III assists)42
71.6%
29
28.4%
Q2 - 9:32HeatAndre Iguodala makes two point pullup jump shot42
73.6%
27
26.4%
Q2 - 9:50CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point driving finger roll layup40
71.7%
27
28.3%
Q2 - 9:57CelticsAaron Nesmith defensive rebound40
73.6%
25
26.4%
Q2 - 9:59HeatAndre Iguodala misses two point stepback jump shot40
74.2%
25
25.8%
Q2 - 10:12HeatDewayne Dedmon defensive rebound40
75.0%
25
25.0%
Q2 - 10:14CelticsPayton Pritchard misses three point jump shot40
74.4%
25
25.6%
Q2 - 10:28CelticsCeltics offensive rebound40
73.0%
25
27.0%
Q2 - 10:30CelticsGrant Williams misses three point jump shot40
74.4%
25
25.6%
Q2 - 10:45HeatTyler Herro makes two point fadeaway jump shot (Andre Iguodala assists)40
73.0%
25
27.0%
Q2 - 10:51HeatGoran Dragic offensive rebound38
71.2%
25
28.8%
Q2 - 10:53HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving layup38
69.7%
25
30.3%
Q2 - 11:01CelticsPayton Pritchard personal foul (Andre Iguodala draws the foul)38
70.1%
25
29.9%
Q2 - 11:15HeatKendrick Nunn defensive rebound38
70.2%
25
29.8%
Q2 - 11:17CelticsPayton Pritchard misses two point stepback jump shot38
69.6%
25
30.4%
Q2 - 11:29HeatTyler Herro makes two point pullup jump shot (Goran Dragic assists)38
68.3%
25
31.7%
Q2 - 11:45CelticsRobert Williams III makes two point cutting layup (Payton Pritchard assists)36
66.1%
25
33.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.36
68.4%
23
31.6%
Q1 - 0:00.2HeatDewayne Dedmon defensive rebound36
69.1%
23
30.9%
Q1 - 0:02.6CelticsAaron Nesmith misses three point jump shot36
68.6%
23
31.4%
Q1 - 0:21.7HeatKendrick Nunn makes three point jump shot (Dewayne Dedmon assists)36
67.6%
23
32.4%
Q1 - 0:35.1CelticsAaron Nesmith makes regular free throw 2 of 233
62.9%
23
37.1%
Q1 - 0:35.1CelticsAaron Nesmith makes regular free throw 1 of 233
63.4%
22
36.6%
Q1 - 0:35.1HeatDewayne Dedmon personal foul (Aaron Nesmith draws the foul)33
64.0%
21
36.0%
Q1 - 0:44.7HeatGoran Dragic makes three point pullup jump shot33
65.5%
21
34.5%
Q1 - 0:54.8CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 2 of 230
60.8%
21
39.2%
Q1 - 0:54.8CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 1 of 230
61.1%
20
38.9%
Q1 - 0:54.8HeatGoran Dragic shooting foul (Jayson Tatum draws the foul)30
61.4%
19
38.6%
Q1 - 1:09HeatTyler Herro makes two point running dunk30
63.3%
19
36.7%
Q1 - 1:16CelticsKemba Walker turnover (lost ball) (Jimmy Butler steals)28
60.6%
19
39.4%
Q1 - 1:21HeatAndre Iguodala turnover (bad pass) (Tristan Thompson steals)28
58.9%
19
41.1%
Q1 - 1:34CelticsAaron Nesmith makes three point jump shot (Jayson Tatum assists)28
60.6%
19
39.4%
Q1 - 1:56HeatGoran Dragic makes three point jump shot (Andre Iguodala assists)28
65.4%
16
34.6%
Q1 - 2:09HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound25
60.3%
16
39.7%
Q1 - 2:13CelticsEvan Fournier misses three point jump shot25
59.6%
16
40.4%
Q1 - 2:22HeatDewayne Dedmon personal foul (Kemba Walker draws the foul)25
58.2%
16
41.8%
Q1 - 2:37HeatJimmy Butler makes two point fadeaway jump shot (Goran Dragic assists)25
58.2%
16
41.8%
Q1 - 2:56CelticsKemba Walker makes two point pullup jump shot23
55.9%
16
44.1%
Q1 - 3:14HeatTrevor Ariza makes two point driving finger roll layup (Jimmy Butler assists)23
57.4%
14
42.6%
Q1 - 3:28HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound21
55.5%
14
44.5%
Q1 - 3:30CelticsAaron Nesmith misses three point jump shot21
54.8%
14
45.2%
Q1 - 3:33CelticsEvan Fournier defensive rebound21
53.0%
14
47.0%
Q1 - 3:35HeatEvan Fournier blocks Goran Dragic's two point driving layup21
53.8%
14
46.2%
Q1 - 3:42HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound21
55.5%
14
44.5%
Q1 - 3:45CelticsMarcus Smart misses three point jump shot21
54.8%
14
45.2%
Q1 - 3:59CelticsTristan Thompson defensive rebound21
53.0%
14
47.0%
Q1 - 4:01HeatTrevor Ariza misses three point jump shot21
53.3%
14
46.7%
Q1 - 4:16CelticsAaron Nesmith makes regular free throw 2 of 221
55.0%
14
45.0%
Q1 - 4:16CelticsAaron Nesmith makes regular free throw 1 of 221
55.5%
13
44.5%
Q1 - 4:16HeatGoran Dragic shooting foul (Aaron Nesmith draws the foul)21
56.0%
12
44.0%
Q1 - 4:24HeatTrevor Ariza personal foul (Tristan Thompson draws the foul)21
56.8%
12
43.2%
Q1 - 4:37HeatBam Adebayo makes two point pullup jump shot21
56.8%
12
43.2%
Q1 - 4:51CelticsAaron Nesmith makes two point putback layup19
55.0%
12
45.0%
Q1 - 4:52CelticsAaron Nesmith offensive rebound19
56.8%
10
43.2%
Q1 - 4:54CelticsMarcus Smart misses two point running layup19
58.5%
10
41.5%
Q1 - 5:04CelticsTristan Thompson defensive rebound19
55.9%
10
44.1%
Q1 - 5:06HeatGoran Dragic misses three point jump shot19
56.5%
10
43.5%
Q1 - 5:11HeatGoran Dragic defensive rebound19
58.0%
10
42.0%
Q1 - 5:13CelticsKemba Walker misses two point cutting finger roll layup19
57.4%
10
42.6%
Q1 - 5:17CelticsTristan Thompson defensive rebound19
55.9%
10
44.1%
Q1 - 5:19HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot19
56.6%
10
43.4%
Q1 - 5:42CelticsMarcus Smart makes two point jump shot19
58.1%
10
41.9%
Q1 - 6:01HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 219
59.1%
8
40.9%
Q1 - 6:01HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 218
58.7%
8
41.3%
Q1 - 6:01CelticsEvan Fournier shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)17
58.3%
8
41.7%
Q1 - 6:02HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound17
57.1%
8
42.9%
Q1 - 6:05CelticsMarcus Smart misses two point running layup17
56.5%
8
43.5%
Q1 - 6:13HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point running pullup jump shot17
55.3%
8
44.7%
Q1 - 6:17CelticsMarcus Smart turnover (bad pass) (Bam Adebayo steals)14
51.3%
8
48.7%
Q1 - 6:37HeatKendrick Nunn makes two point cutting layup (Jimmy Butler assists)14
49.4%
8
50.6%
Q1 - 6:38HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound12
47.4%
8
52.6%
Q1 - 6:40HeatJayson Tatum blocks Duncan Robinson's two point running layup12
46.1%
8
53.9%
Q1 - 6:45CelticsKemba Walker turnover (lost ball) (Trevor Ariza steals)12
47.4%
8
52.6%
Q1 - 7:05HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point running pullup jump shot (Kendrick Nunn assists)12
45.0%
8
55.0%
Q1 - 7:08HeatKendrick Nunn defensive rebound9
41.4%
8
58.6%
Q1 - 7:11CelticsJayson Tatum misses three point stepback jump shot9
40.8%
8
59.2%
Q1 - 7:23CelticsRobert Williams III defensive rebound9
39.4%
8
60.6%
Q1 - 7:26HeatTrevor Ariza misses three point jump shot9
40.0%
8
60.0%
Q1 - 7:40CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point pullup jump shot (Evan Fournier assists)9
41.4%
8
58.6%
Q1 - 7:53HeatJimmy Butler turnover (out of bounds step)9
43.1%
6
56.9%
Q1 - 8:16CelticsMarcus Smart makes two point running layup9
45.2%
6
54.8%
Q1 - 8:23CelticsMarcus Smart defensive rebound9
46.8%
4
53.2%
Q1 - 8:25HeatKendrick Nunn misses two point pullup jump shot9
47.5%
4
52.5%
Q1 - 8:38CelticsJayson Tatum turnover (out of bounds bad pass)9
49.0%
4
51.0%
Q1 - 8:50CelticsCeltics defensive rebound9
46.8%
4
53.2%
Q1 - 8:51HeatTrevor Ariza misses three point jump shot9
47.5%
4
52.5%
Q1 - 8:59HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound9
49.0%
4
51.0%
Q1 - 9:01CelticsKemba Walker misses three point jump shot9
48.2%
4
51.8%
Q1 - 9:15HeatKendrick Nunn makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)9
46.7%
4
53.3%
Q1 - 9:19HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound6
43.3%
4
56.7%
Q1 - 9:22CelticsTrevor Ariza blocks Kemba Walker's two point driving finger roll layup6
42.6%
4
57.4%
Q1 - 9:43HeatKendrick Nunn makes two point pullup jump shot6
41.1%
4
58.9%
Q1 - 9:52CelticsRobert Williams III makes two point driving layup (Evan Fournier assists)4
39.7%
4
60.3%
Q1 - 10:14HeatDuncan Robinson makes two point cutting finger roll layup (Jimmy Butler assists)4
41.0%
2
59.0%
Q1 - 10:29CelticsEvan Fournier makes two point cutting finger roll layup (Kemba Walker assists)2
39.4%
2
60.6%
Q1 - 10:44HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 22
41.0%
0
59.0%
Q1 - 10:44HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 21
40.6%
0
59.4%
Q1 - 10:44CelticsMarcus Smart shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)0
40.2%
0
59.8%
Q1 - 10:51HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound0
39.4%
0
60.6%
Q1 - 10:53CelticsEvan Fournier misses three point jump shot0
38.8%
0
61.2%
Q1 - 11:08CelticsRobert Williams III defensive rebound0
37.3%
0
62.7%
Q1 - 11:10HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot0
37.9%
0
62.1%
Q1 - 11:23CelticsMarcus Smart turnover (bad pass) (Jimmy Butler steals)0
39.2%
0
60.8%
Q1 - 11:39CelticsEvan Fournier defensive rebound0
37.3%
0
62.7%
Q1 - 11:41HeatKendrick Nunn misses three point jump shot0
37.9%
0
62.1%
Q1 - 12:00Bam Adebayo vs. Robert Williams III (Duncan Robinson gains possession)0
39.2%
0
60.8%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.37 68.4%
BOS
1.29 64.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
19
25
76%
BOS
22
29
76%
Midrange
MIA
12
22
55%
BOS
9
16
56%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
16
24.0
35
46%
69%
BOS
14
21.0
38
37%
55%
Free Throws
MIA
20
22
91%
BOS
20
25
80%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Butler2672%13.0 / 18
D. Robinson2279%11.0 / 14
B. Adebayo20100%10.0 / 10
T. Ariza1973%9.5 / 13
K. Nunn1255%6.0 / 11
T. Herro1267%6.0 / 9
G. Dragic945%4.5 / 10
D. Dedmon6100%3.0 / 3
A. Iguodala450%2.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
BOS logo Celtics
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
E. Fournier3094%15.0 / 16
J. Tatum2976%14.5 / 19
K. Walker1856%9.0 / 16
M. Smart1653%8.0 / 15
A. Nesmith1673%8.0 / 11
C. Edwards563%2.5 / 4
R. Williams4100%2.0 / 2
T. Thompson250%1.0 / 2
G. Williams225%1.0 / 4
L. Kornet250%1.0 / 2
P. Pritchard0-0.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
90
+5
-11
95
BOS
86
+10
-14
96
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.37 68.4%
BOS
1.29 64.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
111.1
113.5
MIA 128.7 +4.7
BOS 124.0
Pace
96.7
98.7
MIA 95.3
BOS 106.4 +11.1
Avg. Poss. Time
14.7
14.7
MIA 15.1
BOS 13.5 +1.6
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
54.6%
54.3%
MIA 67.1% +4.4%
BOS 62.7%
TO %
13.7%
13.5%
MIA 10.7% +2.3%
BOS 13.0%
ORB %
19.4%
24.4%
MIA 9.7%
BOS 15.8% +6.1%
FTrt
25.2
23.4
MIA 26.8
BOS 30.1 +3.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
67.1%
56.6%
MIA 63.8%
BOS 64.4% +0.6%
STL %
8.2%
7.8%
MIA 7.9% +0.9%
BOS 7.0%
BLK %
8.5%
10.3%
MIA 4.4%
BOS 6.4% +2.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
56.5%
56.0%
MIA 68.4% +3.8%
BOS 64.6%
Rim FG%
64.8%
63.1%
MIA 76.0% +0.1%
BOS 75.9%
Mid FG%
41.8%
40.4%
MIA 54.5%
BOS 56.3% +1.8%
3P %
35.8%
37.4%
MIA 45.7% +8.9%
BOS 36.8%
FT %
79.0%
77.5%
MIA 90.9% +10.9%
BOS 80.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
33.3%
32.8%
MIA 30.5%
BOS 34.9% +4.5%
Mid Att. %
23.5%
26.3%
MIA 26.8%
BOS 19.3% +7.6%
3P Att. %
43.2%
40.9%
MIA 42.7%
BOS 45.8% +3.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIABOS
Possessions101100
Possession Minutes25.422.6
Points130124
Rebounds3534
Assists3029
Steals87
Blocks23
Turnovers (Team)11 (0)14 (0)
Fouls2022
Off. Rebounds (Team)3 (2)6 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)32 (0)28 (3)
Field Goals47-8245-83
At-the-Rim FG19-2522-29
Midrange FG12-229-16
2-Point FG31-4731-45
3-Point FG16-3514-38
Free Throws20-2220-25
Fast Break Pts1420
2nd Chance Pts813
Points in Paint4252
Pts off Turnovers1813
Bench Points3127
Biggest Lead260

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#22 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 32
40.0
26
72%
8
11
2
0
3
3
1
7
7-8
88%
8-11
73%
1-3
33%
#8 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 36
35.7
19
73%
4
1
3
1
0
2
0
4
1-1
100%
6-6
100%
2-7
29%
#55 · SG · 6'7" 215 · 27
33.5
22
79%
3
1
1
0
1
1
0
3
2-2
100%
1-3
33%
6-10
60%
#13 · C · 6'9" 255 · 24
33.3
20
100%
6
3
2
0
3
4
1
5
10-11
91%
5-5
100%
0-0
-
#25 · PG · 6'3" 193 · 26
24.4
12
55%
2
2
0
0
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
3-5
60%
2-6
33%
#7 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 35
29.0
9
45%
3
7
0
0
1
3
1
2
0-0
-
0-5
0%
3-5
60%
#14 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 21
17.1
12
67%
3
0
0
0
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
3-6
50%
2-3
67%
#21 · C · 7'0" 245 · 32
14.8
6
100%
5
2
0
1
0
3
0
5
0-0
-
3-3
100%
0-0
-
#28 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 37
12.3
4
50%
1
3
0
0
2
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
67%
0-1
0%
#31 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 25
DNP - Coach's Decision
#11 · PF · 6'9" 210 · 22
DNP - Coach's Decision
#2 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 25
DNP - Coach's Decision
#5 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 22
DNP - Coach's Decision
#40 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 41
DNP - Coach's Decision
#70 · PF · 6'10" 230 · 33
DNP - Coach's Decision
#4 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 29
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Knee; Soreness
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
130
68%
35
30
8
2
11
20
3
32
20-22
91%
31-47
66%
16-35
46%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.