for complete access.
All Games Wednesday, March 4, 2020
FinalWin Prob.pScore
15
Magic
29%107
113
5
Heat
71%115
116
ORTG#PossPace
ORL logo ORL
121.59392.3
MIA logo MIA
124.79393.7

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventORLMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.113
0%
116
100%
Q4 - 0:01.2HeatAndre Iguodala defensive rebound113
0.3%
116
99.7%
Q4 - 0:02.1MagicAaron Gordon misses three point jump shot113
0.7%
116
99.3%
Q4 - 0:06.2HeatDerrick Jones Jr. personal foul (Evan Fournier draws the foul)113
3.2%
116
96.8%
Q4 - 0:09.8MagicMagic defensive rebound113
4.7%
116
95.3%
Q4 - 0:10.9HeatJimmy Butler misses two point pullup jump shot113
3.5%
116
96.5%
Q4 - 0:32.3MagicNikola Vucevic makes two point turnaround hook shot (Evan Fournier assists)113
3.0%
116
97.0%
Q4 - 0:42.2MagicAaron Gordon defensive rebound111
2.8%
116
97.2%
Q4 - 0:44.6HeatJimmy Butler misses three point jump shot111
2.4%
116
97.6%
Q4 - 0:53.4HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound111
1.8%
116
98.2%
Q4 - 0:53.4HeatJae Crowder misses three point jump shot111
3.0%
116
97.0%
Q4 - 1:02HeatHeat offensive rebound111
2.0%
116
98.0%
Q4 - 1:02HeatEvan Fournier blocks Jimmy Butler's two point driving layup111
3.2%
116
96.8%
Q4 - 1:17HeatJae Crowder defensive rebound111
2.5%
116
97.5%
Q4 - 1:20MagicAaron Gordon misses three point pullup jump shot111
3.2%
116
96.8%
Q4 - 1:26MagicNikola Vucevic defensive rebound111
5.2%
116
94.8%
Q4 - 1:29HeatJae Crowder misses three point jump shot111
4.4%
116
95.6%
Q4 - 1:52MagicTerrence Ross makes three point jump shot (Nikola Vucevic assists)111
4.1%
116
95.9%
Q4 - 1:53MagicMarkelle Fultz offensive rebound108
1.7%
116
98.3%
Q4 - 1:55MagicNikola Vucevic misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot108
1.2%
116
98.8%
Q4 - 2:22HeatJae Crowder makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)108
1.7%
116
98.3%
Q4 - 2:48HeatJae Crowder defensive rebound108
3.6%
113
96.4%
Q4 - 2:49MagicMarkelle Fultz misses two point pullup jump shot108
4.4%
113
95.6%
Q4 - 3:03HeatDuncan Robinson turnover (traveling)108
7.8%
113
92.2%
Q4 - 3:16MagicTerrence Ross makes two point driving layup108
4.5%
113
95.5%
Q4 - 3:41HeatGoran Dragic makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)106
4.9%
113
95.1%
Q4 - 3:53HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound106
9.3%
110
90.7%
Q4 - 3:57MagicEvan Fournier misses two point bank jump shot106
10.3%
110
89.7%
Q4 - 4:09HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Goran Dragic assists)106
13.1%
110
86.9%
Q4 - 4:14MagicTerrence Ross turnover (bad pass) (Goran Dragic steals)106
23.5%
107
76.5%
Q4 - 4:29HeatGoran Dragic makes regular free throw 2 of 2106
31.6%
107
68.4%
Q4 - 4:29HeatGoran Dragic makes regular free throw 1 of 2106
33.2%
106
66.8%
Q4 - 4:29MagicMarkelle Fultz personal foul (Goran Dragic draws the foul)106
35.2%
105
64.8%
Q4 - 4:32MagicTerrence Ross personal foul (Goran Dragic draws the foul)106
39.5%
105
60.5%
Q4 - 4:50MagicMarkelle Fultz makes two point pullup jump shot106
39.5%
105
60.5%
Q4 - 5:06HeatGoran Dragic makes two point reverse layup (Jimmy Butler assists)104
30.7%
105
69.3%
Q4 - 5:24MagicTerrence Ross makes three point pullup jump shot (Aaron Gordon assists)104
37.7%
103
62.3%
Q4 - 5:42HeatJimmy Butler makes two point pullup jump shot101
24.2%
103
75.8%
Q4 - 5:51HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound101
30.3%
101
69.7%
Q4 - 5:56MagicTerrence Ross misses two point jump shot101
32.7%
101
67.3%
Q4 - 6:11HeatHeat turnover (shot clock violation)101
37.1%
101
62.9%
Q4 - 6:13HeatJae Crowder offensive rebound101
29.5%
101
70.5%
Q4 - 6:17HeatGoran Dragic misses three point jump shot101
34.7%
101
65.3%
Q4 - 6:40MagicEvan Fournier makes two point cutting layup (Aaron Gordon assists)101
29.6%
101
70.4%
Q4 - 6:54MagicNikola Vucevic defensive rebound99
24.5%
101
75.5%
Q4 - 6:57HeatJimmy Butler misses regular free throw 2 of 299
23.7%
101
76.3%
Q4 - 6:57HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 299
20.0%
101
80.0%
Q4 - 6:57MagicAaron Gordon shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)99
20.8%
100
79.2%
Q4 - 7:08MagicMarkelle Fultz makes regular free throw 2 of 299
24.0%
100
76.0%
Q4 - 7:08MagicMarkelle Fultz makes regular free throw 1 of 298
22.7%
100
77.3%
Q4 - 7:08HeatKelly Olynyk shooting foul (Markelle Fultz draws the foul)97
21.3%
100
78.7%
Q4 - 7:20HeatKelly Olynyk makes two point pullup jump shot (Goran Dragic assists)97
19.9%
100
80.1%
Q4 - 7:29HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound97
24.0%
98
76.0%
Q4 - 7:31MagicTerrence Ross misses three point pullup jump shot97
25.7%
98
74.3%
Q4 - 7:38MagicJames Ennis III defensive rebound97
30.0%
98
70.0%
Q4 - 7:40HeatGoran Dragic misses two point pullup jump shot97
28.1%
98
71.9%
Q4 - 7:52MagicD.J. Augustin turnover (offensive foul)97
23.9%
98
76.1%
Q4 - 7:52MagicD.J. Augustin offensive foul (Andre Iguodala draws the foul)97
30.1%
98
69.9%
Q4 - 8:06HeatGoran Dragic makes two point running reverse layup97
29.5%
98
70.5%
Q4 - 8:12HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound97
35.0%
96
65.0%
Q4 - 8:14MagicMichael Carter-Williams misses two point pullup jump shot97
36.8%
96
63.2%
Q4 - 8:40HeatKelly Olynyk makes two point cutting finger roll layup (Goran Dragic assists)97
41.0%
96
59.0%
Q4 - 8:54MagicTerrence Ross makes regular free throw 1 of 197
47.2%
94
52.8%
Q4 - 8:54HeatJae Crowder shooting foul (Terrence Ross draws the foul)96
46.4%
94
53.6%
Q4 - 9:12HeatKelly Olynyk makes three point jump shot (Goran Dragic assists)93
29.2%
94
70.8%
Q4 - 9:25MagicTerrence Ross makes three point jump shot (Nikola Vucevic assists)93
39.7%
91
60.3%
Q4 - 9:39MagicMichael Carter-Williams defensive rebound90
29.2%
91
70.8%
Q4 - 9:42HeatAndre Iguodala misses three point jump shot90
27.6%
91
72.4%
Q4 - 9:57MagicMichael Carter-Williams makes two point driving bank jump shot90
24.3%
91
75.7%
Q4 - 10:05MagicJames Ennis III defensive rebound88
20.9%
91
79.1%
Q4 - 10:07HeatGoran Dragic misses three point jump shot88
19.7%
91
80.3%
Q4 - 10:14MagicMichael Carter-Williams personal foul (Duncan Robinson draws the foul)88
17.3%
91
82.7%
Q4 - 10:22MagicNikola Vucevic makes two point jump shot (D.J. Augustin assists)88
17.2%
91
82.8%
Q4 - 10:35MagicD.J. Augustin defensive rebound86
14.3%
91
85.7%
Q4 - 10:39HeatJae Crowder misses three point jump shot86
13.4%
91
86.6%
Q4 - 10:51MagicMichael Carter-Williams personal foul (Kelly Olynyk draws the foul)86
11.6%
91
88.4%
Q4 - 11:00MagicNikola Vucevic makes two point pullup jump shot (D.J. Augustin assists)86
11.6%
91
88.4%
Q4 - 11:15HeatJae Crowder personal foul (Nikola Vucevic draws the foul)84
10.2%
91
89.8%
Q4 - 11:36HeatAndre Iguodala makes three point jump shot (Kelly Olynyk assists)84
10.2%
91
89.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.84
14.9%
88
85.1%
Q3 - 0:00.9MagicMagic offensive rebound84
18.2%
88
81.8%
Q3 - 0:01.9MagicAndre Iguodala blocks D.J. Augustin's two point driving layup84
16.3%
88
83.7%
Q3 - 0:05.6MagicD.J. Augustin defensive rebound84
18.2%
88
81.8%
Q3 - 0:06.8HeatGoran Dragic misses two point stepback jump shot84
17.3%
88
82.7%
Q3 - 0:29.8MagicJames Ennis III turnover (out of bounds bad pass)84
15.4%
88
84.6%
Q3 - 0:40.6HeatGoran Dragic makes regular free throw 2 of 284
18.2%
88
81.8%
Q3 - 0:40.6HeatGoran Dragic makes regular free throw 1 of 284
18.8%
87
81.2%
Q3 - 0:40.6MagicMo Bamba shooting foul (Goran Dragic draws the foul)84
19.5%
86
80.5%
Q3 - 0:56.1HeatAndre Iguodala defensive rebound84
21.6%
86
78.4%
Q3 - 0:58.4MagicMichael Carter-Williams misses three point jump shot84
22.6%
86
77.4%
Q3 - 1:13MagicMagic defensive rebound84
25.2%
86
74.8%
Q3 - 1:16HeatGoran Dragic misses three point jump shot84
24.1%
86
75.9%
Q3 - 1:22MagicMichael Carter-Williams turnover (lost ball) (Andre Iguodala steals)84
21.6%
86
78.4%
Q3 - 1:43HeatKelly Olynyk makes regular free throw 3 of 384
25.2%
86
74.8%
Q3 - 1:43HeatKelly Olynyk makes regular free throw 2 of 384
25.8%
85
74.2%
Q3 - 1:43HeatKelly Olynyk makes regular free throw 1 of 384
26.5%
84
73.5%
Q3 - 1:43MagicTerrence Ross shooting foul (Kelly Olynyk draws the foul)84
27.2%
83
72.8%
Q3 - 1:55HeatJae Crowder defensive rebound84
33.1%
83
66.9%
Q3 - 1:58MagicTerrence Ross misses three point jump shot84
34.5%
83
65.5%
Q3 - 2:04MagicNikola Vucevic defensive rebound84
36.8%
83
63.2%
Q3 - 2:05HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving layup84
35.4%
83
64.6%
Q3 - 2:18MagicMichael Carter-Williams makes two point driving layup84
32.2%
83
67.8%
Q3 - 2:42HeatGoran Dragic makes three point stepback jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)82
28.8%
83
71.2%
Q3 - 3:00MagicMichael Carter-Williams makes three point jump shot (D.J. Augustin assists)82
36.4%
80
63.6%
Q3 - 3:15HeatKelly Olynyk makes three point jump shot (Goran Dragic assists)79
28.7%
80
71.3%
Q3 - 3:26MagicMichael Carter-Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 179
36.0%
77
64.0%
Q3 - 3:26HeatJae Crowder shooting foul (Michael Carter-Williams draws the foul)78
35.2%
77
64.8%
Q3 - 3:26MagicMichael Carter-Williams offensive rebound76
28.7%
77
71.3%
Q3 - 3:27MagicTerrence Ross misses two point floating jump shot76
26.1%
77
73.9%
Q3 - 3:49HeatDerrick Jones Jr. makes two point reverse layup (Jimmy Butler assists)76
28.7%
77
71.3%
Q3 - 4:07HeatDerrick Jones Jr. defensive rebound76
31.2%
75
68.8%
Q3 - 4:10MagicNikola Vucevic misses three point jump shot76
32.6%
75
67.4%
Q3 - 4:14HeatDerrick Jones Jr. personal foul (Nikola Vucevic draws the foul)76
35.6%
75
64.4%
Q3 - 4:24HeatGoran Dragic turnover (offensive foul)76
35.6%
75
64.4%
Q3 - 4:24HeatGoran Dragic offensive foul (Aaron Gordon draws the foul)76
31.3%
75
68.7%
Q3 - 4:28HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound76
31.3%
75
68.7%
Q3 - 4:30MagicMarkelle Fultz misses two point tip layup76
32.6%
75
67.4%
Q3 - 4:30MagicMarkelle Fultz offensive rebound76
35.6%
75
64.4%
Q3 - 4:32MagicNikola Vucevic misses two point driving layup76
32.6%
75
67.4%
Q3 - 4:38MagicNikola Vucevic defensive rebound76
35.7%
75
64.3%
Q3 - 4:40HeatBam Adebayo misses two point floating jump shot76
34.3%
75
65.7%
Q3 - 5:00MagicAaron Gordon turnover (lost ball) (Jimmy Butler steals)76
31.4%
75
68.6%
Q3 - 5:04HeatBam Adebayo turnover (bad pass) (Aaron Gordon steals)76
35.2%
75
64.8%
Q3 - 5:22MagicEvan Fournier makes three point jump shot (Markelle Fultz assists)76
31.4%
75
68.6%
Q3 - 5:38MagicNikola Vucevic defensive rebound73
25.1%
75
74.9%
Q3 - 5:40HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving layup73
24.1%
75
75.9%
Q3 - 5:57MagicJames Ennis III makes two point driving dunk (Markelle Fultz assists)73
22.0%
75
78.0%
Q3 - 6:06HeatDerrick Jones Jr. makes two point running finger roll layup (Kendrick Nunn assists)71
19.5%
75
80.5%
Q3 - 6:12HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound71
21.9%
73
78.1%
Q3 - 6:15MagicAaron Gordon misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot71
22.7%
73
77.3%
Q3 - 6:26MagicNikola Vucevic defensive rebound71
24.8%
73
75.2%
Q3 - 6:28HeatKendrick Nunn misses three point jump shot71
23.9%
73
76.1%
Q3 - 6:42MagicMarkelle Fultz makes two point driving layup71
21.9%
73
78.1%
Q3 - 6:58HeatJimmy Butler makes two point cutting dunk (Bam Adebayo assists)69
19.5%
73
80.5%
Q3 - 7:18MagicNikola Vucevic makes three point jump shot (Markelle Fultz assists)69
21.7%
71
78.3%
Q3 - 7:25MagicNikola Vucevic defensive rebound66
17.2%
71
82.8%
Q3 - 7:27HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot66
16.5%
71
83.5%
Q3 - 7:39HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound66
15.0%
71
85.0%
Q3 - 7:41MagicNikola Vucevic misses two point hook shot66
15.6%
71
84.4%
Q3 - 7:48MagicJames Ennis III defensive rebound66
17.2%
71
82.8%
Q3 - 7:49HeatJames Ennis III blocks Kendrick Nunn's three point pullup jump shot66
16.5%
71
83.5%
Q3 - 7:54HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound66
15.0%
71
85.0%
Q3 - 7:56MagicEvan Fournier misses two point driving finger roll layup66
15.6%
71
84.4%
Q3 - 8:12HeatBam Adebayo makes two point driving dunk66
17.4%
71
82.6%
Q3 - 8:27MagicNikola Vucevic makes regular free throw 1 of 166
19.2%
69
80.8%
Q3 - 8:27HeatKendrick Nunn shooting foul (Nikola Vucevic draws the foul)65
18.8%
69
81.2%
Q3 - 8:49HeatBam Adebayo makes two point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)63
15.3%
69
84.7%
Q3 - 8:59MagicJames Ennis III personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)63
17.0%
67
83.0%
Q3 - 9:05MagicJames Ennis III personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)63
16.9%
67
83.1%
Q3 - 9:24MagicEvan Fournier makes two point driving floating jump shot63
16.9%
67
83.1%
Q3 - 9:26HeatBam Adebayo turnover (bad pass) (Evan Fournier steals)61
15.2%
67
84.8%
Q3 - 9:30MagicAaron Gordon makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot (Nikola Vucevic assists)61
13.3%
67
86.7%
Q3 - 9:50HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Derrick Jones Jr. assists)59
11.9%
67
88.1%
Q3 - 9:57MagicAaron Gordon personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)59
15.0%
64
85.0%
Q3 - 9:57HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound59
15.0%
64
85.0%
Q3 - 10:00MagicBam Adebayo blocks James Ennis III's two point driving layup59
15.6%
64
84.4%
Q3 - 10:25HeatKendrick Nunn makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)59
17.2%
64
82.8%
Q3 - 10:36HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound59
21.1%
61
78.9%
Q3 - 10:39HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot59
23.0%
61
77.0%
Q3 - 11:00MagicNikola Vucevic makes two point turnaround jump shot59
21.1%
61
78.9%
Q3 - 11:10MagicNikola Vucevic defensive rebound57
19.0%
61
81.0%
Q3 - 11:13HeatJimmy Butler misses regular free throw 2 of 257
18.8%
61
81.2%
Q3 - 11:13HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 257
17.3%
61
82.7%
Q3 - 11:13MagicAaron Gordon shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)57
17.6%
60
82.4%
Q3 - 11:40MagicEvan Fournier makes two point driving layup57
18.9%
60
81.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.55
17.1%
60
82.9%
Q2 - 0:00.1MagicMagic offensive rebound55
16.8%
60
83.2%
Q2 - 0:00.5MagicEvan Fournier misses three point jump shot55
16.0%
60
84.0%
Q2 - 0:04.3MagicMagic offensive rebound55
16.8%
60
83.2%
Q2 - 0:04.3MagicDerrick Jones Jr. blocks Terrence Ross's two point driving layup55
16.0%
60
84.0%
Q2 - 0:21.0HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 255
16.8%
60
83.2%
Q2 - 0:21.0HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 255
17.1%
59
82.9%
Q2 - 0:21.0MagicEvan Fournier shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)55
17.4%
58
82.6%
Q2 - 0:33.4MagicTerrence Ross makes regular free throw 3 of 355
19.3%
58
80.7%
Q2 - 0:33.4MagicTerrence Ross makes regular free throw 2 of 354
19.0%
58
81.0%
Q2 - 0:33.4MagicTerrence Ross misses regular free throw 1 of 353
18.7%
58
81.3%
Q2 - 0:33.4HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (Terrence Ross draws the foul)53
20.5%
58
79.5%
Q2 - 0:40.9MagicNikola Vucevic defensive rebound53
16.9%
58
83.1%
Q2 - 0:42.7HeatKendrick Nunn misses two point pullup jump shot53
16.4%
58
83.6%
Q2 - 0:52.5MagicMarkelle Fultz personal foul (Kendrick Nunn draws the foul)53
15.6%
58
84.4%
Q2 - 1:14MagicTerrence Ross makes three point pullup jump shot (Markelle Fultz assists)53
16.0%
58
84.0%
Q2 - 1:32HeatBam Adebayo makes two point bank hook shot (Jae Crowder assists)50
12.3%
58
87.7%
Q2 - 1:53MagicTerrence Ross makes three point jump shot (Nikola Vucevic assists)50
14.3%
56
85.7%
Q2 - 2:01HeatKendrick Nunn turnover (bad pass) (Aaron Gordon steals)47
11.6%
56
88.4%
Q2 - 2:23MagicTerrence Ross makes two point jump shot (Aaron Gordon assists)47
10.4%
56
89.6%
Q2 - 2:34HeatDuncan Robinson turnover (3-second violation)45
9.3%
56
90.7%
Q2 - 2:51HeatHeat offensive rebound45
8.3%
56
91.7%
Q2 - 2:51HeatJae Crowder misses three point jump shot45
9.0%
56
91.0%
Q2 - 2:56HeatKendrick Nunn defensive rebound45
8.3%
56
91.7%
Q2 - 2:59MagicNikola Vucevic misses three point jump shot45
8.6%
56
91.4%
Q2 - 3:06MagicNikola Vucevic defensive rebound45
9.7%
56
90.3%
Q2 - 3:09HeatKendrick Nunn misses two point turnaround jump shot45
9.4%
56
90.6%
Q2 - 3:29MagicEvan Fournier makes three point jump shot (Markelle Fultz assists)45
8.6%
56
91.4%
Q2 - 3:44HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)42
7.0%
56
93.0%
Q2 - 3:58MagicAaron Gordon makes regular free throw 1 of 142
8.6%
53
91.4%
Q2 - 3:58HeatJae Crowder shooting foul (Aaron Gordon draws the foul)41
8.4%
53
91.6%
Q2 - 4:12HeatJae Crowder turnover (out of bounds bad pass)39
7.2%
53
92.8%
Q2 - 4:13MagicMarkelle Fultz turnover (bad pass) (Jae Crowder steals)39
6.5%
53
93.5%
Q2 - 4:26HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Jae Crowder assists)39
7.2%
53
92.8%
Q2 - 4:43MagicMarkelle Fultz makes two point pullup jump shot39
8.9%
50
91.1%
Q2 - 5:00MagicNikola Vucevic defensive rebound37
8.0%
50
92.0%
Q2 - 5:03HeatBam Adebayo misses two point jump shot37
7.9%
50
92.1%
Q2 - 5:19MagicTerrence Ross makes two point jump shot (Markelle Fultz assists)37
7.3%
50
92.7%
Q2 - 5:37HeatGoran Dragic makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)35
6.7%
50
93.3%
Q2 - 5:47HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound35
8.0%
47
92.0%
Q2 - 5:49MagicJames Ennis III misses three point jump shot35
8.3%
47
91.7%
Q2 - 6:10HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point pullup jump shot (Goran Dragic assists)35
9.2%
47
90.8%
Q2 - 6:23MagicJames Ennis III turnover (out of bounds lost ball)35
11.0%
44
89.0%
Q2 - 6:45HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Jae Crowder assists)35
12.3%
44
87.7%
Q2 - 6:52HeatJae Crowder defensive rebound35
14.5%
41
85.5%
Q2 - 6:54MagicTerrence Ross misses two point pullup jump shot35
15.0%
41
85.0%
Q2 - 7:10HeatGoran Dragic makes three point bank jump shot35
16.3%
41
83.7%
Q2 - 7:33MagicTerrence Ross makes two point stepback jump shot (Nikola Vucevic assists)35
19.2%
38
80.8%
Q2 - 7:48HeatGoran Dragic turnover (out of bounds lost ball)33
17.7%
38
82.3%
Q2 - 8:04MagicAaron Gordon makes two point tip layup33
16.4%
38
83.6%
Q2 - 8:04MagicAaron Gordon offensive rebound31
15.1%
38
84.9%
Q2 - 8:06MagicNikola Vucevic misses two point cutting layup31
14.2%
38
85.8%
Q2 - 8:15MagicAaron Gordon defensive rebound31
15.1%
38
84.9%
Q2 - 8:18HeatJae Crowder misses three point jump shot31
14.7%
38
85.3%
Q2 - 8:31MagicMichael Carter-Williams personal foul (Duncan Robinson draws the foul)31
13.8%
38
86.2%
Q2 - 8:46HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound31
13.8%
38
86.2%
Q2 - 8:49MagicD.J. Augustin misses three point jump shot31
14.2%
38
85.8%
Q2 - 9:10HeatAndre Iguodala makes two point alley-oop layup (Goran Dragic assists)31
15.3%
38
84.7%
Q2 - 9:13HeatJae Crowder defensive rebound31
16.5%
36
83.5%
Q2 - 9:16MagicJae Crowder blocks Mo Bamba's two point jump shot31
17.0%
36
83.0%
Q2 - 9:18MagicMo Bamba offensive rebound31
18.0%
36
82.0%
Q2 - 9:20MagicMichael Carter-Williams misses two point driving layup31
17.0%
36
83.0%
Q2 - 9:26HeatGoran Dragic turnover (bad pass) (Michael Carter-Williams steals)31
18.0%
36
82.0%
Q2 - 9:34HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound31
16.5%
36
83.5%
Q2 - 9:36MagicMo Bamba misses two point jump shot31
16.9%
36
83.1%
Q2 - 9:56HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Jae Crowder assists)31
18.0%
36
82.0%
Q2 - 10:02MagicMichael Carter-Williams turnover (bad pass) (Duncan Robinson steals)31
21.0%
33
79.0%
Q2 - 10:18HeatKelly Olynyk makes three point jump shot (Goran Dragic assists)31
22.8%
33
77.2%
Q2 - 10:26HeatHeat defensive rebound31
26.2%
30
73.8%
Q2 - 10:28MagicAndre Iguodala blocks D.J. Augustin's two point driving layup31
26.8%
30
73.2%
Q2 - 10:38MagicMichael Carter-Williams defensive rebound31
28.2%
30
71.8%
Q2 - 10:40HeatJae Crowder misses three point jump shot31
27.6%
30
72.4%
Q2 - 10:43HeatGoran Dragic offensive rebound31
26.2%
30
73.8%
Q2 - 10:45HeatGoran Dragic misses two point driving floating jump shot31
27.6%
30
72.4%
Q2 - 10:58HeatJae Crowder defensive rebound31
26.2%
30
73.8%
Q2 - 11:02MagicTerrence Ross misses regular free throw 1 of 131
26.1%
30
73.9%
Q2 - 11:02HeatDuncan Robinson shooting foul (Terrence Ross draws the foul)31
27.5%
30
72.5%
Q2 - 11:07MagicAaron Gordon defensive rebound28
22.3%
30
77.7%
Q2 - 11:10HeatAndre Iguodala misses two point turnaround hook shot28
21.9%
30
78.1%
Q2 - 11:30MagicAaron Gordon makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot28
20.9%
30
79.1%
Q2 - 11:43HeatGoran Dragic personal foul (Aaron Gordon draws the foul)26
19.3%
30
80.7%
Q2 - 11:46HeatKelly Olynyk personal foul (D.J. Augustin draws the foul)26
19.3%
30
80.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.26
19.3%
30
80.7%
Q1 - 0:03.0HeatAndre Iguodala defensive rebound26
18.0%
30
82.0%
Q1 - 0:03.0MagicMichael Carter-Williams misses three point jump shot26
18.3%
30
81.7%
Q1 - 0:21.3HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Goran Dragic assists)26
19.1%
30
80.9%
Q1 - 0:37.3MagicMichael Carter-Williams turnover (out of bounds lost ball)26
22.4%
27
77.6%
Q1 - 0:46.7MagicJames Ennis III defensive rebound26
23.7%
27
76.3%
Q1 - 0:48.5HeatGoran Dragic misses three point jump shot26
23.3%
27
76.7%
Q1 - 1:01HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound26
22.5%
27
77.5%
Q1 - 1:03MagicMo Bamba misses three point jump shot26
22.9%
27
77.1%
Q1 - 1:19HeatGoran Dragic makes three point jump shot (Kelly Olynyk assists)26
23.8%
27
76.2%
Q1 - 1:26HeatGoran Dragic defensive rebound26
27.6%
24
72.4%
Q1 - 1:30MagicMichael Carter-Williams misses three point jump shot26
28.1%
24
71.9%
Q1 - 1:40MagicMo Bamba defensive rebound26
29.1%
24
70.9%
Q1 - 1:43HeatKendrick Nunn misses three point jump shot26
28.7%
24
71.3%
Q1 - 1:51MagicTerrence Ross makes three point jump shot (James Ennis III assists)26
27.6%
24
72.4%
Q1 - 2:06HeatAndre Iguodala turnover (offensive foul)23
23.8%
24
76.2%
Q1 - 2:06HeatAndre Iguodala offensive foul (Off the ball) (Michael Carter-Williams draws the foul)23
22.2%
24
77.8%
Q1 - 2:13MagicAaron Gordon personal foul (Loose ball) (Kendrick Nunn draws the foul)23
22.2%
24
77.8%
Q1 - 2:13HeatHeat defensive rebound23
22.2%
24
77.8%
Q1 - 2:13MagicD.J. Augustin misses three point jump shot23
22.7%
24
77.3%
Q1 - 2:37HeatGoran Dragic makes two point turnaround bank jump shot23
23.8%
24
76.2%
Q1 - 2:40MagicMichael Carter-Williams turnover (bad pass) (Jimmy Butler steals)23
25.5%
22
74.5%
Q1 - 2:42HeatJimmy Butler turnover (bad pass) (Michael Carter-Williams steals)23
27.2%
22
72.8%
Q1 - 2:55HeatHeat offensive rebound23
25.5%
22
74.5%
Q1 - 3:00HeatKendrick Nunn misses two point driving floating jump shot23
26.7%
22
73.3%
Q1 - 3:10MagicNikola Vucevic makes two point turnaround bank hook shot23
25.1%
22
74.9%
Q1 - 3:26MagicNikola Vucevic defensive rebound21
23.7%
22
76.3%
Q1 - 3:28HeatJae Crowder misses three point jump shot21
23.2%
22
76.8%
Q1 - 3:43MagicEvan Fournier makes three point jump shot (Aaron Gordon assists)21
21.9%
22
78.1%
Q1 - 3:51MagicNikola Vucevic defensive rebound18
19.3%
22
80.7%
Q1 - 3:54HeatDerrick Jones Jr. misses three point jump shot18
18.8%
22
81.2%
Q1 - 4:14HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound18
17.8%
22
82.2%
Q1 - 4:16MagicAaron Gordon misses three point jump shot18
18.2%
22
81.8%
Q1 - 4:28HeatJimmy Butler makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot18
19.3%
22
80.7%
Q1 - 4:47MagicMarkelle Fultz makes two point fadeaway jump shot18
20.4%
20
79.6%
Q1 - 5:03HeatKendrick Nunn makes three point pullup jump shot16
19.2%
20
80.8%
Q1 - 5:10MagicNikola Vucevic makes two point bank jump shot (Aaron Gordon assists)16
21.7%
17
78.3%
Q1 - 5:24HeatGoran Dragic personal foul (Markelle Fultz draws the foul)14
20.5%
17
79.5%
Q1 - 5:38MagicAaron Gordon defensive rebound14
20.5%
17
79.5%
Q1 - 5:41HeatDerrick Jones Jr. misses regular free throw 2 of 214
20.3%
17
79.7%
Q1 - 5:41HeatDerrick Jones Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 214
19.5%
17
80.5%
Q1 - 5:41MagicEvan Fournier shooting foul (Derrick Jones Jr. draws the foul)14
19.8%
16
80.2%
Q1 - 6:00MagicNikola Vucevic makes regular free throw 2 of 214
20.4%
16
79.6%
Q1 - 6:00MagicNikola Vucevic makes regular free throw 1 of 213
20.1%
16
79.9%
Q1 - 6:00HeatDerrick Jones Jr. shooting foul (Nikola Vucevic draws the foul)12
19.8%
16
80.2%
Q1 - 6:16HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Derrick Jones Jr. assists)12
19.1%
16
80.9%
Q1 - 6:24HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound12
21.7%
13
78.3%
Q1 - 6:26MagicAaron Gordon misses two point driving layup12
22.1%
13
77.9%
Q1 - 6:31MagicNikola Vucevic defensive rebound12
23.0%
13
77.0%
Q1 - 6:34HeatKendrick Nunn misses three point jump shot12
22.6%
13
77.4%
Q1 - 6:50MagicMarkelle Fultz makes two point pullup jump shot12
21.7%
13
78.3%
Q1 - 7:04HeatDerrick Jones Jr. makes two point cutting layup (Kendrick Nunn assists)10
20.4%
13
79.6%
Q1 - 7:13HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound10
21.4%
11
78.6%
Q1 - 7:15MagicJames Ennis III misses three point jump shot10
21.9%
11
78.1%
Q1 - 7:20MagicNikola Vucevic defensive rebound10
22.9%
11
77.1%
Q1 - 7:21HeatNikola Vucevic blocks Bam Adebayo's two point jump shot10
22.4%
11
77.6%
Q1 - 7:36MagicAaron Gordon makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot (Nikola Vucevic assists)10
21.5%
11
78.5%
Q1 - 7:53HeatKendrick Nunn makes three point stepback jump shot8
20.3%
11
79.7%
Q1 - 7:57HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound8
22.8%
8
77.2%
Q1 - 7:58MagicMarkelle Fultz misses two point driving floating bank jump shot8
23.2%
8
76.8%
Q1 - 8:03MagicMagic offensive rebound8
24.1%
8
75.9%
Q1 - 8:05MagicNikola Vucevic misses two point jump shot8
23.0%
8
77.0%
Q1 - 8:26HeatBam Adebayo makes two point putback layup8
24.1%
8
75.9%
Q1 - 8:28HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound8
25.3%
6
74.7%
Q1 - 8:29HeatEvan Fournier blocks Bam Adebayo's two point driving layup8
26.4%
6
73.6%
Q1 - 8:33HeatDerrick Jones Jr. defensive rebound8
25.3%
6
74.7%
Q1 - 8:36MagicMarkelle Fultz misses three point jump shot8
25.8%
6
74.2%
Q1 - 8:56HeatBam Adebayo makes two point pullup jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)8
26.9%
6
73.1%
Q1 - 9:16MagicNikola Vucevic makes two point hook shot (Aaron Gordon assists)8
27.9%
4
72.1%
Q1 - 9:40HeatDerrick Jones Jr. makes two point running dunk6
26.7%
4
73.3%
Q1 - 9:42MagicNikola Vucevic turnover (bad pass) (Derrick Jones Jr. steals)6
27.9%
2
72.1%
Q1 - 9:58HeatJimmy Butler makes two point cutting dunk (Bam Adebayo assists)6
29.7%
2
70.3%
Q1 - 10:12MagicEvan Fournier makes regular free throw 2 of 26
30.8%
0
69.2%
Q1 - 10:12MagicEvan Fournier makes regular free throw 1 of 25
30.5%
0
69.5%
Q1 - 10:12HeatDuncan Robinson shooting foul (Evan Fournier draws the foul)4
30.3%
0
69.7%
Q1 - 10:16HeatDuncan Robinson turnover (lost ball) (Evan Fournier steals)4
29.4%
0
70.6%
Q1 - 10:29MagicMarkelle Fultz makes two point driving layup4
27.8%
0
72.2%
Q1 - 10:34MagicNikola Vucevic defensive rebound2
26.5%
0
73.5%
Q1 - 10:37HeatDerrick Jones Jr. misses three point jump shot2
26.0%
0
74.0%
Q1 - 10:56MagicJames Ennis III makes two point driving layup (Aaron Gordon assists)2
24.9%
0
75.1%
Q1 - 11:01MagicAaron Gordon defensive rebound0
23.6%
0
76.4%
Q1 - 11:03HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot0
23.1%
0
76.9%
Q1 - 11:21MagicMarkelle Fultz turnover (bad pass) (Kendrick Nunn steals)0
22.2%
0
77.8%
Q1 - 11:34HeatHeat turnover (shot clock violation)0
23.6%
0
76.4%
Q1 - 11:34HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound0
22.2%
0
77.8%
Q1 - 11:36HeatJames Ennis III blocks Kendrick Nunn's two point turnaround jump shot0
23.2%
0
76.8%
Q1 - 12:00Nikola Vucevic vs. Bam Adebayo (Jimmy Butler gains possession)0
22.2%
0
77.8%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
1.26 62.8%
MIA
1.29 64.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ORL
15
27
56%
MIA
14
20
70%
Midrange
ORL
16
27
59%
MIA
5
15
33%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ORL
13
19.5
30
43%
65%
MIA
22
33.0
44
50%
75%
Free Throws
ORL
12
14
86%
MIA
12
15
80%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Ross3592%17.5 / 19
N. Vučević2265%11.0 / 17
E. Fournier1785%8.5 / 10
M. Fultz1464%7.0 / 11
A. Gordon1155%5.5 / 10
M. Carter-Williams1063%5.0 / 8
J. Ennis III440%2.0 / 5
D. Augustin0-0.0 / 4
M. Bamba0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Robinson27113%13.5 / 12
G. Dragic2574%12.5 / 17
K. Olynyk16133%8.0 / 6
J. Butler1250%6.0 / 12
B. Adebayo1056%5.0 / 9
K. Nunn941%4.5 / 11
D. Jones964%4.5 / 7
A. Iguodala563%2.5 / 4
J. Crowder319%1.5 / 8
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ORL
81
+9
-12
90
MIA
81
+9
-12
90
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
1.26 62.8%
MIA
1.29 64.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
108.3
112.4
ORL 121.5
MIA 124.7 +3.2
Pace
98.8
98.4
ORL 92.3
MIA 93.7 +1.5
Avg. Poss. Time
14.8
14.8
ORL 15.6
MIA 15.4 +0.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.6%
54.7%
ORL 60.1%
MIA 65.8% +5.7%
TO %
12.3%
14.0%
ORL 11.7% +2.4%
MIA 14.1%
ORB %
22.3%
20.3%
ORL 14.3%
MIA 16.7% +2.4%
FTrt
25.6
29.9
ORL 16.7
MIA 19.0 +2.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.8%
65.7%
ORL 63.6%
MIA 75.6% +12.0%
STL %
8.3%
7.6%
ORL 6.5%
MIA 8.6% +2.1%
BLK %
10.2%
9.3%
ORL 14.3% +5.0%
MIA 9.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.0%
56.9%
ORL 62.8%
MIA 64.4% +1.6%
Rim FG%
60.3%
63.8%
ORL 55.6%
MIA 70.0% +14.4%
Mid FG%
39.1%
38.9%
ORL 59.3% +26.0%
MIA 33.3%
3P %
34.3%
37.9%
ORL 43.3%
MIA 50.0% +6.7%
FT %
77.4%
78.3%
ORL 85.7% +5.7%
MIA 80.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
33.1%
33.2%
ORL 32.1% +6.8%
MIA 25.3%
Mid Att. %
30.5%
24.9%
ORL 32.1%
MIA 19.0% +13.2%
3P Att. %
36.4%
41.9%
ORL 35.7%
MIA 55.7% +20.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsORLMIA
Possessions9393
Possession Minutes24.223.8
Points113116
Rebounds3536
Assists2831
Steals68
Blocks55
Turnovers (Team)12 (0)12 (2)
Fouls1717
Off. Rebounds (Team)5 (4)6 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)30 (2)30 (2)
Field Goals44-8441-79
At-the-Rim FG15-2714-20
Midrange FG16-275-15
2-Point FG31-5419-35
3-Point FG13-3022-44
Free Throws12-1412-15
Fast Break Pts1120
2nd Chance Pts85
Points in Paint5236
Pts off Turnovers1716
Bench Points4549
Biggest Lead615

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
15 Orlando Magic
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Nikola Vucevic
#9 · C · 6'10" 260 · 29
39.9
22
65%
16
7
0
1
1
0
0
16
3-3
100%
8-13
62%
1-3
33%
Aaron Gordon
#00 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 24
35.7
11
55%
6
9
2
0
1
4
1
5
1-1
100%
5-7
71%
0-3
0%
Evan Fournier
#10 · SG · 6'7" 205 · 27
31.1
17
85%
0
1
2
2
0
2
0
0
2-2
100%
3-5
60%
3-4
75%
Markelle Fultz
#20 · PG · 6'4" 209 · 22
31.1
14
64%
2
6
0
0
2
2
2
0
2-2
100%
6-9
67%
0-1
0%
James Ennis III
#11 · SF · 6'7" 210 · 30
26.6
4
40%
4
1
0
2
2
2
0
4
0-0
-
2-3
67%
0-2
0%
Terrence Ross
#31 · SG · 6'7" 206 · 29
34.2
35
92%
0
0
0
0
1
2
0
0
3-5
60%
4-8
50%
8-10
80%
Michael Carter-Williams
#7 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 28
17.2
10
63%
3
0
2
0
4
3
1
2
1-1
100%
3-5
60%
1-4
25%
D.J. Augustin
#14 · PG · 6'0" 183 · 32
16.9
0
0%
2
4
0
0
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-2
0%
Mo Bamba
#5 · C · 7'1" 225 · 22
7.3
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-1
0%
Gary Clark
#12 · PF · 6'8" 225 · 25
DNP - Coach's Decision
Wes Iwundu
#25 · SF · 6'7" 195 · 25
DNP - Coach's Decision
Khem Birch
#24 · C · 6'9" 220 · 27
DNP - Coach's Decision
Vic Law
#23 · SF · 6'7" 200 · 24
DNP - Coach's Decision
Melvin Frazier Jr.
#35 · SG · 6'6" 198 · 24
INACTIVE
Al-Farouq Aminu
#2 · PF · 6'9" 220 · 29
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Knee; Torn Meniscus
BJ Johnson
#13 · SF · 6'6" 200 · 24
INACTIVE
Jonathan Isaac
#1 · SF · 6'10" 230 · 22
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Knee; Posterior Lateral Corner/Medial Bone Contusion
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
113
63%
35
28
6
5
12
17
5
30
12-14
86%
31-54
57%
13-30
43%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.