FinalWin Prob.pScore
671%115
88
2329%107
105
ORTG#PossPace
LAL logo LAL
93.69495.0
MEM logo MEM
111.79493.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

GrizzliesLakersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

GrizzliesLakersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventLALMEM
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.88
0%
105
100%
Q4 - 0:09.5LakersTroy Daniels makes three point jump shot88
0%
105
100%
Q4 - 0:15.7GrizzliesGrizzlies turnover (shot clock violation)85
0%
105
100%
Q4 - 0:39.7GrizzliesGrizzlies defensive rebound85
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 0:42.1LakersQuinn Cook misses three point pullup jump shot85
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 0:43.5LakersJaVale McGee offensive rebound85
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 0:47.0LakersQuinn Cook misses two point driving floating jump shot85
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 0:52.1LakersQuinn Cook defensive rebound85
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 0:56.4GrizzliesTyus Jones misses two point driving floating jump shot85
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 1:08GrizzliesTyus Jones defensive rebound85
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 1:13LakersJared Dudley misses three point jump shot85
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 1:25LakersLakers defensive rebound85
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 1:26GrizzliesGorgui Dieng misses two point turnaround jump shot85
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 1:45GrizzliesJonas Valanciunas defensive rebound85
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 1:46LakersRajon Rondo misses three point jump shot85
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 2:06GrizzliesJonas Valanciunas makes two point tip layup85
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 2:06GrizzliesJonas Valanciunas offensive rebound85
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 2:07GrizzliesJonas Valanciunas misses two point tip layup85
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 2:07GrizzliesJonas Valanciunas offensive rebound85
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 2:11GrizzliesDe'Anthony Melton misses two point driving floating jump shot85
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 2:24GrizzliesJonas Valanciunas defensive rebound85
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 2:28LakersKyle Kuzma misses three point jump shot85
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 2:38GrizzliesDillon Brooks makes two point driving layup85
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 2:57LakersKyle Kuzma makes two point jump shot (Rajon Rondo assists)85
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 3:04GrizzliesKyle Anderson makes two point cutting layup (Ja Morant assists)83
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 3:22GrizzliesJa Morant defensive rebound83
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 3:25LakersKyle Kuzma misses three point jump shot83
0.2%
99
99.8%
Q4 - 3:40GrizzliesJonas Valanciunas makes regular free throw 2 of 283
0.7%
99
99.3%
Q4 - 3:40GrizzliesJonas Valanciunas makes regular free throw 1 of 283
0.7%
98
99.3%
Q4 - 3:40LakersAnthony Davis shooting foul (Jonas Valanciunas draws the foul)83
0.8%
97
99.2%
Q4 - 3:44GrizzliesJonas Valanciunas defensive rebound83
0.9%
97
99.1%
Q4 - 3:48LakersDe'Anthony Melton blocks LeBron James's two point driving layup83
1.0%
97
99.0%
Q4 - 3:54LakersAnthony Davis defensive rebound83
1.3%
97
98.7%
Q4 - 3:57GrizzliesDe'Anthony Melton misses three point jump shot83
1.2%
97
98.8%
Q4 - 4:14LakersKentavious Caldwell-Pope makes two point cutting layup (LeBron James assists)83
0.8%
97
99.2%
Q4 - 4:38GrizzliesKyle Anderson makes two point floating jump shot (Ja Morant assists)81
0.6%
97
99.4%
Q4 - 4:58GrizzliesKyle Anderson defensive rebound81
0.8%
95
99.2%
Q4 - 5:03LakersAnthony Davis misses three point jump shot81
1.8%
95
98.2%
Q4 - 5:15LakersLeBron James defensive rebound81
2.2%
95
97.8%
Q4 - 5:18GrizzliesDillon Brooks misses three point running jump shot81
2.0%
95
98.0%
Q4 - 5:23GrizzliesJa Morant defensive rebound81
1.6%
95
98.4%
Q4 - 5:26LakersLeBron James misses three point stepback jump shot81
1.8%
95
98.2%
Q4 - 5:40GrizzliesDillon Brooks personal foul (LeBron James draws the foul)81
2.2%
95
97.8%
Q4 - 6:00GrizzliesDillon Brooks makes three point jump shot (Ja Morant assists)81
2.2%
95
97.8%
Q4 - 6:14GrizzliesJonas Valanciunas defensive rebound81
6.0%
92
94.0%
Q4 - 6:16LakersDwight Howard misses regular free throw 2 of 281
6.2%
92
93.8%
Q4 - 6:16LakersDwight Howard misses regular free throw 1 of 281
7.1%
92
92.9%
Q4 - 6:16GrizzliesJonas Valanciunas shooting foul (Dwight Howard draws the foul)81
8.2%
92
91.8%
Q4 - 6:33GrizzliesKyle Anderson makes two point floating jump shot (Ja Morant assists)81
8.1%
92
91.9%
Q4 - 6:48LakersDwight Howard personal foul (Jonas Valanciunas draws the foul)81
10.1%
90
89.9%
Q4 - 6:56LakersKentavious Caldwell-Pope makes three point jump shot (LeBron James assists)81
10.1%
90
89.9%
Q4 - 7:01LakersRajon Rondo defensive rebound78
8.6%
90
91.4%
Q4 - 7:05GrizzliesLeBron James blocks Josh Jackson's two point running layup78
7.9%
90
92.1%
Q4 - 7:09GrizzliesKyle Anderson defensive rebound78
6.5%
90
93.5%
Q4 - 7:11LakersKyle Kuzma misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot78
7.0%
90
93.0%
Q4 - 7:21LakersDwight Howard defensive rebound78
8.5%
90
91.5%
Q4 - 7:24GrizzliesKyle Anderson misses two point driving floating jump shot78
7.8%
90
92.2%
Q4 - 7:42LakersLeBron James makes two point running layup (Rajon Rondo assists)78
6.3%
90
93.7%
Q4 - 7:46GrizzliesJa Morant turnover (bad pass) (Dwight Howard steals)76
5.1%
90
94.9%
Q4 - 7:59LakersRajon Rondo makes two point driving reverse layup76
3.7%
90
96.3%
Q4 - 8:09GrizzliesJa Morant makes two point driving floating jump shot74
4.0%
90
96.0%
Q4 - 8:18GrizzliesDillon Brooks defensive rebound74
5.0%
88
95.0%
Q4 - 8:20LakersKyle Kuzma misses two point driving floating jump shot74
5.4%
88
94.6%
Q4 - 8:30LakersKyle Kuzma defensive rebound74
6.4%
88
93.6%
Q4 - 8:34GrizzliesJosh Jackson misses three point jump shot74
5.9%
88
94.1%
Q4 - 8:52GrizzliesGrizzlies defensive rebound74
5.0%
88
95.0%
Q4 - 8:53LakersLeBron James misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot74
5.3%
88
94.7%
Q4 - 9:17GrizzliesGrizzlies turnover (shot clock violation)74
7.7%
88
92.3%
Q4 - 9:39GrizzliesJonas Valanciunas defensive rebound74
6.1%
88
93.9%
Q4 - 9:41LakersKyle Kuzma misses regular free throw 1 of 174
6.3%
88
93.7%
Q4 - 9:41GrizzliesJosh Jackson shooting foul (Kyle Kuzma draws the foul)74
7.2%
88
92.8%
Q4 - 9:45GrizzliesKyle Anderson turnover (bad pass) (LeBron James steals)72
4.9%
88
95.1%
Q4 - 9:58LakersDwight Howard makes regular free throw 2 of 272
3.8%
88
96.2%
Q4 - 9:58LakersDwight Howard makes regular free throw 1 of 271
3.5%
88
96.5%
Q4 - 9:58GrizzliesJosh Jackson shooting foul (Dwight Howard draws the foul)70
3.1%
88
96.9%
Q4 - 10:09LakersLeBron James defensive rebound70
3.9%
88
96.1%
Q4 - 10:12GrizzliesDillon Brooks misses two point driving floating bank jump shot70
3.7%
88
96.3%
Q4 - 10:20GrizzliesDillon Brooks defensive rebound70
3.1%
88
96.9%
Q4 - 10:22LakersRajon Rondo misses three point stepback jump shot70
3.3%
88
96.7%
Q4 - 10:39GrizzliesDillon Brooks makes two point pullup jump shot70
3.9%
88
96.1%
Q4 - 10:58LakersKentavious Caldwell-Pope makes two point jump shot (LeBron James assists)70
4.8%
86
95.2%
Q4 - 11:13GrizzliesGrizzlies turnover (shot clock violation)68
4.5%
86
95.5%
Q4 - 11:13GrizzliesGrizzlies offensive rebound68
3.7%
86
96.3%
Q4 - 11:14GrizzliesTyus Jones misses two point driving floating jump shot68
4.2%
86
95.8%
Q4 - 11:40LakersKyle Kuzma makes two point driving floating jump shot (LeBron James assists)68
3.6%
86
96.4%
Q4 - 11:45LakersLeBron James defensive rebound66
2.9%
86
97.1%
Q4 - 11:47GrizzliesGorgui Dieng misses three point jump shot66
2.8%
86
97.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.66
2.4%
86
97.6%
Q3 - 0:11.0LakersKentavious Caldwell-Pope defensive rebound66
3.8%
86
96.2%
Q3 - 0:15.1GrizzliesTyus Jones misses two point pullup jump shot66
3.6%
86
96.4%
Q3 - 0:37.5LakersKentavious Caldwell-Pope makes two point driving layup (Markieff Morris assists)66
3.1%
86
96.9%
Q3 - 0:40.8LakersMarkieff Morris offensive rebound64
2.5%
86
97.5%
Q3 - 0:45.1LakersKyle Kuzma misses two point jump shot64
2.2%
86
97.8%
Q3 - 0:53.3GrizzliesJohn Konchar makes two point putback layup64
2.5%
86
97.5%
Q3 - 0:53.3GrizzliesJohn Konchar offensive rebound64
3.1%
84
96.9%
Q3 - 0:53.7GrizzliesYuta Watanabe misses two point running dunk64
3.5%
84
96.5%
Q3 - 0:57.7LakersKyle Kuzma turnover (bad pass) (Tyus Jones steals)64
3.1%
84
96.9%
Q3 - 1:11GrizzliesTyus Jones makes two point driving floating jump shot64
4.8%
84
95.2%
Q3 - 1:31GrizzliesGrizzlies defensive rebound64
5.7%
82
94.3%
Q3 - 1:31LakersKyle Kuzma misses two point driving bank hook shot64
6.1%
82
93.9%
Q3 - 1:45GrizzliesYuta Watanabe makes regular free throw 2 of 264
6.9%
82
93.1%
Q3 - 1:45GrizzliesYuta Watanabe misses regular free throw 1 of 264
7.2%
81
92.8%
Q3 - 1:45LakersDwight Howard shooting foul (Yuta Watanabe draws the foul)64
6.4%
81
93.6%
Q3 - 2:04LakersKyle Kuzma makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot64
8.2%
81
91.8%
Q3 - 2:17LakersDwight Howard defensive rebound62
7.0%
81
93.0%
Q3 - 2:21GrizzliesTyus Jones misses two point driving floating bank jump shot62
6.6%
81
93.4%
Q3 - 2:30GrizzliesTyus Jones defensive rebound62
5.8%
81
94.2%
Q3 - 2:35LakersKentavious Caldwell-Pope misses three point jump shot62
6.1%
81
93.9%
Q3 - 2:50GrizzliesJosh Jackson makes two point running dunk (Ja Morant assists)62
7.0%
81
93.0%
Q3 - 2:52GrizzliesYuta Watanabe defensive rebound62
8.1%
79
91.9%
Q3 - 2:55LakersGorgui Dieng blocks Kyle Kuzma's two point driving layup62
8.6%
79
91.4%
Q3 - 3:08LakersLakers defensive rebound62
11.1%
79
88.9%
Q3 - 3:09GrizzliesGorgui Dieng misses three point jump shot62
10.5%
79
89.5%
Q3 - 3:23GrizzliesTyus Jones defensive rebound62
9.3%
79
90.7%
Q3 - 3:27LakersLeBron James misses three point jump shot62
9.8%
79
90.2%
Q3 - 3:28LakersKentavious Caldwell-Pope offensive rebound62
11.0%
79
89.0%
Q3 - 3:29LakersMarkieff Morris misses two point tip layup62
9.8%
79
90.2%
Q3 - 3:29LakersMarkieff Morris offensive rebound62
11.0%
79
89.0%
Q3 - 3:32LakersLeBron James misses regular free throw 1 of 162
9.5%
79
90.5%
Q3 - 3:32GrizzliesDillon Brooks shooting foul (LeBron James draws the foul)62
10.4%
79
89.6%
Q3 - 3:32LakersAnthony Davis defensive rebound60
8.0%
79
92.0%
Q3 - 3:33GrizzliesJa Morant misses two point tip layup60
7.6%
79
92.4%
Q3 - 3:33GrizzliesJa Morant offensive rebound60
6.7%
79
93.3%
Q3 - 3:39GrizzliesDillon Brooks misses three point jump shot60
7.6%
79
92.4%
Q3 - 3:41GrizzliesDillon Brooks offensive rebound60
6.7%
79
93.3%
Q3 - 3:44GrizzliesTyus Jones misses three point jump shot60
7.6%
79
92.4%
Q3 - 3:46GrizzliesGorgui Dieng offensive rebound60
6.7%
79
93.3%
Q3 - 3:49GrizzliesDillon Brooks misses three point pullup jump shot60
7.6%
79
92.4%
Q3 - 3:55GrizzliesDillon Brooks defensive rebound60
6.7%
79
93.3%
Q3 - 3:59LakersRajon Rondo misses two point stepback jump shot60
7.1%
79
92.9%
Q3 - 4:04GrizzliesJa Morant turnover (offensive foul)60
9.5%
79
90.5%
Q3 - 4:04GrizzliesJa Morant offensive foul (Charge) (Anthony Davis draws the foul)60
7.9%
79
92.1%
Q3 - 4:18GrizzliesGorgui Dieng defensive rebound60
7.9%
79
92.1%
Q3 - 4:21LakersLeBron James misses three point jump shot60
8.3%
79
91.7%
Q3 - 4:42GrizzliesJonas Valanciunas makes two point driving hook shot (Ja Morant assists)60
9.3%
79
90.7%
Q3 - 5:00GrizzliesJonas Valanciunas defensive rebound60
10.6%
77
89.4%
Q3 - 5:02LakersAnthony Davis misses two point jump shot60
12.8%
77
87.2%
Q3 - 5:11GrizzliesJa Morant makes regular free throw 2 of 260
14.2%
77
85.8%
Q3 - 5:11GrizzliesJa Morant misses regular free throw 1 of 260
14.5%
76
85.5%
Q3 - 5:11LakersAnthony Davis personal foul (Ja Morant draws the foul)60
13.0%
76
87.0%
Q3 - 5:24LakersLeBron James makes two point driving finger roll layup60
14.0%
76
86.0%
Q3 - 5:39LakersMarkieff Morris defensive rebound58
12.3%
76
87.7%
Q3 - 5:43GrizzliesAnthony Davis blocks Jonas Valanciunas's two point cutting dunk58
11.7%
76
88.3%
Q3 - 5:59LakersRajon Rondo turnover (out of bounds bad pass)58
10.5%
76
89.5%
Q3 - 6:12GrizzliesJonas Valanciunas personal foul (JaVale McGee draws the foul)58
13.8%
76
86.2%
Q3 - 6:31GrizzliesJonas Valanciunas makes two point cutting dunk (Ja Morant assists)58
13.8%
76
86.2%
Q3 - 6:39GrizzliesJonas Valanciunas defensive rebound58
15.5%
74
84.5%
Q3 - 6:42LakersKentavious Caldwell-Pope misses three point jump shot58
16.2%
74
83.8%
Q3 - 6:51GrizzliesJonas Valanciunas makes two point cutting dunk (Ja Morant assists)58
17.8%
74
82.2%
Q3 - 7:04LakersAvery Bradley turnover (bad pass) (De'Anthony Melton steals)58
21.2%
72
78.8%
Q3 - 7:20GrizzliesJa Morant makes two point driving floating jump shot58
24.0%
72
76.0%
Q3 - 7:43LakersJaVale McGee makes two point alley-oop dunk (LeBron James assists)58
26.6%
70
73.4%
Q3 - 8:02LakersAlex Caruso defensive rebound56
25.4%
70
74.6%
Q3 - 8:04GrizzliesDillon Brooks misses two point jump shot56
24.4%
70
75.6%
Q3 - 8:21LakersAlex Caruso makes two point driving floating jump shot (Anthony Davis assists)56
22.2%
70
77.8%
Q3 - 8:25LakersAnthony Davis defensive rebound54
20.2%
70
79.8%
Q3 - 8:29GrizzliesDillon Brooks misses two point stepback jump shot54
19.3%
70
80.7%
Q3 - 8:36LakersAvery Bradley personal foul (Ja Morant draws the foul)54
17.5%
70
82.5%
Q3 - 8:43LakersAvery Bradley personal foul (Take) (De'Anthony Melton draws the foul)54
17.5%
70
82.5%
Q3 - 8:45LakersAvery Bradley turnover (bad pass) (De'Anthony Melton steals)54
17.5%
70
82.5%
Q3 - 8:53GrizzliesDillon Brooks makes regular free throw 2 of 254
20.1%
70
79.9%
Q3 - 8:53GrizzliesDillon Brooks makes regular free throw 1 of 254
20.5%
69
79.5%
Q3 - 8:53LakersJaVale McGee shooting foul (Dillon Brooks draws the foul)54
21.0%
68
79.0%
Q3 - 9:02GrizzliesJonas Valanciunas defensive rebound54
23.7%
68
76.3%
Q3 - 9:04LakersAvery Bradley misses three point jump shot54
24.5%
68
75.5%
Q3 - 9:15GrizzliesJa Morant makes three point pullup jump shot (De'Anthony Melton assists)54
26.6%
68
73.4%
Q3 - 9:30GrizzliesDe'Anthony Melton defensive rebound54
32.1%
65
67.9%
Q3 - 9:32LakersLeBron James misses three point stepback jump shot54
33.2%
65
66.8%
Q3 - 9:50GrizzliesJonas Valanciunas makes two point dunk (Ja Morant assists)54
35.7%
65
64.3%
Q3 - 10:05LakersLeBron James makes three point pullup jump shot54
40.3%
63
59.7%
Q3 - 10:16LakersJaVale McGee defensive rebound51
34.2%
63
65.8%
Q3 - 10:19GrizzliesDillon Brooks misses three point jump shot51
33.1%
63
66.9%
Q3 - 10:25LakersJaVale McGee personal foul (Jonas Valanciunas draws the foul)51
30.7%
63
69.3%
Q3 - 10:43LakersAnthony Davis makes two point floating jump shot (LeBron James assists)51
30.6%
63
69.4%
Q3 - 10:55GrizzliesDillon Brooks makes two point pullup jump shot (Ja Morant assists)49
28.2%
63
71.8%
Q3 - 11:07LakersLeBron James makes three point jump shot (Anthony Davis assists)49
32.7%
61
67.3%
Q3 - 11:24GrizzliesJa Morant makes three point pullup jump shot (Jonas Valanciunas assists)46
27.2%
61
72.8%
Q3 - 11:36LakersLakers turnover (shot clock violation)46
32.6%
58
67.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.46
35.8%
58
64.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0GrizzliesGrizzlies offensive rebound46
32.5%
58
67.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0GrizzliesJa Morant misses three point running jump shot46
34.8%
58
65.2%
Q2 - 0:02.3LakersLeBron James turnover (out of bounds bad pass)46
35.1%
58
64.9%
Q2 - 0:18.2GrizzliesJa Morant makes two point pullup jump shot46
37.1%
58
62.9%
Q2 - 0:35.8LakersLeBron James makes two point turnaround jump shot46
41.0%
56
59.0%
Q2 - 0:53.1GrizzliesDillon Brooks turnover (offensive foul)44
37.1%
56
62.9%
Q2 - 0:53.1GrizzliesDillon Brooks offensive foul (Charge) (Alex Caruso draws the foul)44
34.9%
56
65.1%
Q2 - 1:08LakersLeBron James makes two point cutting finger roll layup (Anthony Davis assists)44
36.5%
56
63.5%
Q2 - 1:32GrizzliesDillon Brooks makes two point pullup jump shot (De'Anthony Melton assists)42
32.4%
56
67.6%
Q2 - 1:45GrizzliesGorgui Dieng defensive rebound42
36.4%
54
63.6%
Q2 - 1:49LakersAvery Bradley misses three point running jump shot42
37.0%
54
63.0%
Q2 - 1:51LakersKyle Kuzma defensive rebound42
38.2%
54
61.8%
Q2 - 1:54GrizzliesGorgui Dieng misses three point running jump shot42
37.6%
54
62.4%
Q2 - 1:57GrizzliesDe'Anthony Melton defensive rebound42
36.4%
54
63.6%
Q2 - 2:00LakersAvery Bradley misses two point driving layup42
36.9%
54
63.1%
Q2 - 2:06LakersLeBron James defensive rebound42
40.6%
54
59.4%
Q2 - 2:10GrizzliesDe'Anthony Melton misses three point jump shot42
39.6%
54
60.4%
Q2 - 2:29LakersLeBron James turnover (bad pass) (Gorgui Dieng steals)42
37.6%
54
62.4%
Q2 - 2:34LakersAnthony Davis defensive rebound42
40.4%
54
59.6%
Q2 - 2:38GrizzliesDillon Brooks misses three point jump shot42
39.5%
54
60.5%
Q2 - 2:50LakersAnthony Davis makes two point running finger roll layup (Rajon Rondo assists)42
37.5%
54
62.5%
Q2 - 2:54GrizzliesJa Morant turnover (lost ball) (Rajon Rondo steals)40
34.6%
54
65.4%
Q2 - 3:17LakersAlex Caruso makes three point jump shot (Avery Bradley assists)40
34.0%
54
66.0%
Q2 - 3:40GrizzliesJa Morant makes three point pullup jump shot (Kyle Anderson assists)37
29.2%
54
70.8%
Q2 - 3:46LakersDwight Howard personal foul (Ja Morant draws the foul)37
33.9%
51
66.1%
Q2 - 4:04GrizzliesDe'Anthony Melton defensive rebound37
36.1%
51
63.9%
Q2 - 4:07LakersAnthony Davis misses regular free throw 1 of 137
36.4%
51
63.6%
Q2 - 4:07GrizzliesJohn Konchar shooting foul (Anthony Davis draws the foul)37
38.3%
51
61.7%
Q2 - 4:17GrizzliesJa Morant makes two point stepback jump shot35
33.5%
51
66.5%
Q2 - 4:30LakersAlex Caruso makes regular free throw 2 of 235
36.0%
49
64.0%
Q2 - 4:30LakersAlex Caruso makes regular free throw 1 of 234
35.4%
49
64.6%
Q2 - 4:30GrizzliesJonas Valanciunas shooting foul (Alex Caruso draws the foul)33
34.8%
49
65.2%
Q2 - 4:33LakersDwight Howard offensive rebound33
33.4%
49
66.6%
Q2 - 4:37LakersMarkieff Morris misses three point jump shot33
31.7%
49
68.3%
Q2 - 5:00GrizzliesKyle Anderson makes two point driving floating jump shot (Tyus Jones assists)33
33.4%
49
66.6%
Q2 - 5:05LakersRajon Rondo turnover (lost ball) (John Konchar steals)33
37.1%
47
62.9%
Q2 - 5:25GrizzliesTyus Jones makes two point driving layup33
40.1%
47
59.9%
Q2 - 5:35GrizzliesJonas Valanciunas defensive rebound33
42.3%
45
57.7%
Q2 - 5:38LakersKentavious Caldwell-Pope misses two point driving reverse layup33
43.2%
45
56.8%
Q2 - 5:56GrizzliesDillon Brooks makes three point running jump shot (John Konchar assists)33
45.4%
45
54.6%
Q2 - 5:58GrizzliesTyus Jones defensive rebound33
50.4%
42
49.6%
Q2 - 6:05LakersMarkieff Morris misses three point jump shot33
52.5%
42
47.5%
Q2 - 6:28GrizzliesJohn Konchar makes three point jump shot (Jonas Valanciunas assists)33
54.6%
42
45.4%
Q2 - 6:29GrizzliesJonas Valanciunas offensive rebound33
59.3%
39
40.7%
Q2 - 6:34GrizzliesJonas Valanciunas misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot33
61.5%
39
38.5%
Q2 - 6:56LakersDwight Howard personal foul (Take) (John Konchar draws the foul)33
59.3%
39
40.7%
Q2 - 6:56LakersLeBron James turnover (lost ball) (John Konchar steals)33
59.3%
39
40.7%
Q2 - 7:13GrizzliesJonas Valanciunas makes two point dunk (John Konchar assists)33
62.9%
39
37.1%
Q2 - 7:13GrizzliesJohn Konchar offensive rebound33
65.2%
37
34.8%
Q2 - 7:18GrizzliesDillon Brooks misses three point stepback jump shot33
66.8%
37
33.2%
Q2 - 7:46LakersAlex Caruso makes two point pullup jump shot (Markieff Morris assists)33
65.1%
37
34.9%
Q2 - 7:58LakersLeBron James defensive rebound31
62.9%
37
37.1%
Q2 - 7:58GrizzliesKyle Anderson misses two point driving floating jump shot31
62.1%
37
37.9%
Q2 - 8:03GrizzliesKyle Anderson defensive rebound31
60.3%
37
39.7%
Q2 - 8:07LakersKentavious Caldwell-Pope misses two point pullup jump shot31
61.1%
37
38.9%
Q2 - 8:17GrizzliesDillon Brooks makes three point running jump shot (Tyus Jones assists)31
62.9%
37
37.1%
Q2 - 8:19GrizzliesJonas Valanciunas defensive rebound31
67.4%
34
32.6%
Q2 - 8:21LakersMarkieff Morris misses two point tip layup31
68.1%
34
31.9%
Q2 - 8:23LakersMarkieff Morris offensive rebound31
69.7%
34
30.3%
Q2 - 8:23LakersDwight Howard misses two point putback layup31
68.1%
34
31.9%
Q2 - 8:23LakersDwight Howard offensive rebound31
69.7%
34
30.3%
Q2 - 8:29LakersKentavious Caldwell-Pope misses two point jump shot31
68.1%
34
31.9%
Q2 - 8:45GrizzliesDillon Brooks makes two point pullup jump shot31
69.7%
34
30.3%
Q2 - 8:56LakersLakers turnover (shot clock violation)31
71.7%
32
28.3%
Q2 - 9:02LakersLakers offensive rebound31
73.7%
32
26.3%
Q2 - 9:02LakersJohn Konchar blocks Dwight Howard's two point cutting dunk31
72.3%
32
27.7%
Q2 - 9:07LakersLeBron James offensive rebound31
73.7%
32
26.3%
Q2 - 9:14LakersMarkieff Morris misses three point running jump shot31
72.3%
32
27.7%
Q2 - 9:19GrizzliesDillon Brooks turnover (lost ball) (Dwight Howard steals)31
73.7%
32
26.3%
Q2 - 9:28LakersLeBron James personal foul (Dillon Brooks draws the foul)31
71.6%
32
28.4%
Q2 - 9:28GrizzliesJohn Konchar offensive rebound31
71.6%
32
28.4%
Q2 - 9:32GrizzliesTyus Jones misses three point pullup jump shot31
73.1%
32
26.9%
Q2 - 9:48LakersKentavious Caldwell-Pope makes two point alley-oop layup (LeBron James assists)31
71.6%
32
28.4%
Q2 - 9:53GrizzliesYuta Watanabe makes two point tip layup29
69.7%
32
30.3%
Q2 - 9:53GrizzliesYuta Watanabe offensive rebound29
71.6%
30
28.4%
Q2 - 9:58GrizzliesJosh Jackson misses two point running layup29
73.1%
30
26.9%
Q2 - 10:03GrizzliesGorgui Dieng defensive rebound29
71.7%
30
28.3%
Q2 - 10:07LakersKentavious Caldwell-Pope misses two point pullup jump shot29
72.3%
30
27.7%
Q2 - 10:22LakersKyle Kuzma defensive rebound29
73.8%
30
26.2%
Q2 - 10:25GrizzliesDillon Brooks misses two point driving floating jump shot29
73.1%
30
26.9%
Q2 - 10:26GrizzliesGorgui Dieng offensive rebound29
71.7%
30
28.3%
Q2 - 10:30GrizzliesJosh Jackson misses two point stepback jump shot29
73.1%
30
26.9%
Q2 - 10:40GrizzliesGorgui Dieng offensive rebound29
71.7%
30
28.3%
Q2 - 10:44GrizzliesDillon Brooks misses two point stepback jump shot29
73.1%
30
26.9%
Q2 - 10:57LakersDwight Howard makes two point alley-oop dunk (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope assists)29
71.7%
30
28.3%
Q2 - 11:05LakersDwight Howard defensive rebound27
70.2%
30
29.8%
Q2 - 11:08GrizzliesGorgui Dieng misses three point jump shot27
69.6%
30
30.4%
Q2 - 11:25GrizzliesDillon Brooks makes technical free throw 1 of 127
68.3%
30
31.7%
Q2 - 11:25LakersMarkieff Morris technical foul27
68.8%
29
31.2%
Q2 - 11:25LakersDwight Howard makes regular free throw 2 of 227
70.3%
29
29.7%
Q2 - 11:25LakersDwight Howard makes regular free throw 1 of 226
69.5%
29
30.5%
Q2 - 11:25GrizzliesJosh Jackson shooting foul (Dwight Howard draws the foul)25
68.6%
29
31.4%
Q2 - 11:25LakersDwight Howard offensive rebound25
68.1%
29
31.9%
Q2 - 11:26LakersLeBron James misses two point driving floating jump shot25
66.8%
29
33.2%
Q2 - 11:34LakersDwight Howard defensive rebound25
68.1%
29
31.9%
Q2 - 11:37GrizzliesDillon Brooks misses three point floating jump shot25
67.5%
29
32.5%
Q2 - 11:44LakersLeBron James turnover (bad pass) (Yuta Watanabe steals)25
66.2%
29
33.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.25
68.1%
29
31.9%
Q1 - 0:00.1LakersLakers offensive rebound25
68.1%
29
31.9%
Q1 - 0:00.1LakersKentavious Caldwell-Pope misses three point jump shot25
67.0%
29
33.0%
Q1 - 0:02.8GrizzliesJa Morant makes regular free throw 2 of 225
68.1%
29
31.9%
Q1 - 0:02.8GrizzliesJa Morant makes regular free throw 1 of 225
68.5%
28
31.5%
Q1 - 0:02.8LakersKentavious Caldwell-Pope shooting foul (Ja Morant draws the foul)25
68.9%
27
31.1%
Q1 - 0:13.6LakersKyle Kuzma turnover (offensive foul)25
70.5%
27
29.5%
Q1 - 0:13.6LakersKyle Kuzma offensive foul (Charge) (Josh Jackson draws the foul)25
72.0%
27
28.0%
Q1 - 0:38.0GrizzliesTyus Jones makes three point stepback jump shot25
72.0%
27
28.0%
Q1 - 0:45.1LakersAvery Bradley makes three point jump shot (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope assists)25
76.0%
24
24.0%
Q1 - 1:08GrizzliesJa Morant makes two point running dunk (Josh Jackson assists)22
72.3%
24
27.7%
Q1 - 1:13LakersKyle Kuzma turnover (bad pass) (Yuta Watanabe steals)22
74.4%
22
25.6%
Q1 - 1:23LakersKyle Kuzma defensive rebound22
75.8%
22
24.2%
Q1 - 1:28GrizzliesTyus Jones misses three point running jump shot22
75.3%
22
24.7%
Q1 - 1:30GrizzliesJa Morant defensive rebound22
74.4%
22
25.6%
Q1 - 1:33LakersMarkieff Morris misses three point stepback jump shot22
74.8%
22
25.2%
Q1 - 1:48GrizzliesJosh Jackson makes two point turnaround bank jump shot (Ja Morant assists)22
75.7%
22
24.3%
Q1 - 2:08LakersMarkieff Morris makes two point stepback jump shot (Kyle Kuzma assists)22
77.7%
20
22.3%
Q1 - 2:17GrizzliesYuta Watanabe personal foul (Kyle Kuzma draws the foul)20
76.0%
20
24.0%
Q1 - 2:20LakersKyle Kuzma defensive rebound20
76.0%
20
24.0%
Q1 - 2:23GrizzliesJosh Jackson misses two point stepback jump shot20
75.6%
20
24.4%
Q1 - 2:45LakersMarkieff Morris makes three point jump shot (Kyle Kuzma assists)20
74.4%
20
25.6%
Q1 - 2:56GrizzliesJonas Valanciunas makes two point layup (Ja Morant assists)17
70.8%
20
29.2%
Q1 - 3:08GrizzliesJonas Valanciunas defensive rebound17
72.5%
18
27.5%
Q1 - 3:10LakersAvery Bradley misses three point jump shot17
73.1%
18
26.9%
Q1 - 3:25GrizzliesJonas Valanciunas makes two point putback layup17
74.5%
18
25.5%
Q1 - 3:25GrizzliesJonas Valanciunas offensive rebound17
75.8%
16
24.2%
Q1 - 3:26GrizzliesJa Morant misses two point tip dunk17
77.1%
16
22.9%
Q1 - 3:26GrizzliesJa Morant offensive rebound17
75.8%
16
24.2%
Q1 - 3:28GrizzliesTyus Jones misses two point driving floating jump shot17
77.1%
16
22.9%
Q1 - 3:34LakersAnthony Davis makes two point putback dunk17
75.8%
16
24.2%
Q1 - 3:34LakersAnthony Davis offensive rebound15
74.5%
16
25.5%
Q1 - 3:41LakersGorgui Dieng blocks Anthony Davis's two point cutting dunk15
73.1%
16
26.9%
Q1 - 3:54GrizzliesJa Morant makes three point jump shot (Gorgui Dieng assists)15
74.5%
16
25.5%
Q1 - 4:04GrizzliesGrizzlies offensive rebound15
77.7%
13
22.3%
Q1 - 4:04GrizzliesAnthony Davis blocks Ja Morant's two point cutting dunk15
78.9%
13
21.1%
Q1 - 4:18LakersKyle Kuzma makes two point pullup jump shot (Avery Bradley assists)15
77.7%
13
22.3%
Q1 - 4:24GrizzliesJonas Valanciunas personal foul (Anthony Davis draws the foul)13
76.5%
13
23.5%
Q1 - 4:36GrizzliesGorgui Dieng makes two point driving floating jump shot (Ja Morant assists)13
76.4%
13
23.6%
Q1 - 4:52LakersLeBron James makes regular free throw 1 of 113
77.7%
11
22.3%
Q1 - 4:52GrizzliesDillon Brooks shooting foul (LeBron James draws the foul)12
77.3%
11
22.7%
Q1 - 4:56GrizzliesKyle Anderson turnover (bad pass) (Alex Caruso steals)10
74.9%
11
25.1%
Q1 - 4:59GrizzliesJa Morant defensive rebound10
72.9%
11
27.1%
Q1 - 5:03LakersAnthony Davis misses three point jump shot10
74.1%
11
25.9%
Q1 - 5:18LakersAnthony Davis defensive rebound10
75.2%
11
24.8%
Q1 - 5:21GrizzliesJonas Valanciunas misses two point jump shot10
74.7%
11
25.3%
Q1 - 5:30LakersAnthony Davis makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot (LeBron James assists)10
73.5%
11
26.5%
Q1 - 5:43GrizzliesJa Morant makes two point cutting layup (Kyle Anderson assists)8
72.0%
11
28.0%
Q1 - 5:51LakersLeBron James turnover (bad pass) (Ja Morant steals)8
73.5%
9
26.5%
Q1 - 5:52LakersLeBron James offensive rebound8
75.2%
9
24.8%
Q1 - 5:55LakersAlex Caruso misses three point jump shot8
74.0%
9
26.0%
Q1 - 6:03LakersAnthony Davis defensive rebound8
75.2%
9
24.8%
Q1 - 6:07GrizzliesJonas Valanciunas misses two point turnaround jump shot8
74.7%
9
25.3%
Q1 - 6:24LakersAvery Bradley makes three point jump shot (Anthony Davis assists)8
73.7%
9
26.3%
Q1 - 6:35LakersLeBron James defensive rebound5
70.5%
9
29.5%
Q1 - 6:38GrizzliesDillon Brooks misses two point stepback jump shot5
70.1%
9
29.9%
Q1 - 6:56LakersAnthony Davis makes three point jump shot (LeBron James assists)5
68.9%
9
31.1%
Q1 - 7:11GrizzliesDe'Anthony Melton makes three point jump shot (Kyle Anderson assists)2
66.4%
9
33.6%
Q1 - 7:24LakersAnthony Davis makes two point driving floating jump shot2
69.4%
6
30.6%
Q1 - 7:26LakersAnthony Davis offensive rebound0
68.0%
6
32.0%
Q1 - 7:30LakersLeBron James misses three point jump shot0
66.7%
6
33.3%
Q1 - 7:49GrizzliesJonas Valanciunas makes two point turnaround hook shot0
67.9%
6
32.1%
Q1 - 7:50GrizzliesJonas Valanciunas offensive rebound0
69.4%
4
30.6%
Q1 - 7:55GrizzliesKyle Anderson misses three point jump shot0
70.6%
4
29.4%
Q1 - 8:18LakersAnthony Davis turnover (out of bounds bad pass)0
70.2%
4
29.8%
Q1 - 8:21LakersAnthony Davis defensive rebound0
71.9%
4
28.1%
Q1 - 8:26GrizzliesJa Morant misses three point jump shot0
71.3%
4
28.7%
Q1 - 8:34GrizzliesJonas Valanciunas defensive rebound0
70.1%
4
29.9%
Q1 - 8:37LakersLeBron James misses two point finger roll layup0
70.7%
4
29.3%
Q1 - 8:56LakersAvery Bradley defensive rebound0
71.8%
4
28.2%
Q1 - 9:00GrizzliesDe'Anthony Melton misses two point jump shot0
71.3%
4
28.7%
Q1 - 9:05LakersJaVale McGee turnover (bad pass) (De'Anthony Melton steals)0
70.1%
4
29.9%
Q1 - 9:26GrizzliesJonas Valanciunas makes two point driving hook shot (Ja Morant assists)0
71.9%
4
28.1%
Q1 - 9:42GrizzliesGrizzlies defensive rebound0
73.1%
2
26.9%
Q1 - 9:43LakersAnthony Davis misses two point driving layup0
73.6%
2
26.4%
Q1 - 9:48LakersAlex Caruso defensive rebound0
74.8%
2
25.2%
Q1 - 9:51GrizzliesDillon Brooks misses two point dunk0
74.3%
2
25.7%
Q1 - 9:58GrizzliesJonas Valanciunas defensive rebound0
73.1%
2
26.9%
Q1 - 10:01LakersAvery Bradley misses three point jump shot0
73.7%
2
26.3%
Q1 - 10:27GrizzliesDillon Brooks makes two point pullup jump shot0
74.7%
2
25.3%
Q1 - 10:33GrizzliesDillon Brooks defensive rebound0
76.0%
0
24.0%
Q1 - 10:36LakersAlex Caruso misses two point pullup jump shot0
76.4%
0
23.6%
Q1 - 10:52LakersJaVale McGee defensive rebound0
77.4%
0
22.6%
Q1 - 10:54GrizzliesJa Morant misses two point driving floating jump shot0
77.0%
0
23.0%
Q1 - 11:01GrizzliesJonas Valanciunas defensive rebound0
76.1%
0
23.9%
Q1 - 11:05LakersLeBron James misses three point pullup jump shot0
76.5%
0
23.5%
Q1 - 11:14LakersJaVale McGee offensive rebound0
77.4%
0
22.6%
Q1 - 11:17LakersAvery Bradley misses two point pullup jump shot0
76.5%
0
23.5%
Q1 - 11:30LakersJaVale McGee defensive rebound0
77.4%
0
22.6%
Q1 - 11:34GrizzliesDillon Brooks misses three point jump shot0
77.0%
0
23.0%
Q1 - 12:00JaVale McGee vs. Jonas Valanciunas (Kyle Anderson gains possession)0
76.1%
0
23.9%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

LAL
0.93 46.3%
MEM
1.00 50.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
LAL
16
26
62%
MEM
18
26
69%
Midrange
LAL
11
26
42%
MEM
15
38
39%
3PT | Effective 3PT
LAL
9
13.5
35
26%
39%
MEM
10
15.0
31
32%
48%
Free Throws
LAL
7
12
58%
MEM
9
11
82%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
LAL logo Lakers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. James1953%9.5 / 18
A. Davis1563%7.5 / 12
K. Caldwell-Pope1146%5.5 / 12
K. Kuzma1042%5.0 / 12
A. Caruso975%4.5 / 6
A. Bradley638%3.0 / 8
D. Howard650%3.0 / 6
M. Morris531%2.5 / 8
T. Daniels3150%1.5 / 1
J. McGee2100%1.0 / 1
R. Rondo225%1.0 / 4
J. Dudley0-0.0 / 1
Q. Cook0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MEM logo Grizzlies
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Morant2775%13.5 / 18
D. Brooks2448%12.0 / 25
J. Valančiūnas2269%11.0 / 16
K. Anderson857%4.0 / 7
T. Jones732%3.5 / 11
J. Konchar5125%2.5 / 2
J. Jackson429%2.0 / 7
D. Melton330%1.5 / 5
Y. Watanabe350%1.5 / 3
G. Dieng217%1.0 / 6
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

LAL
80
+15
-14
95
MEM
87
+18
-7
105
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

LAL
0.93 46.3%
MEM
1.00 50.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
112.3
109.1
LAL 93.6 +18.1
MEM 111.7
Pace
100.8
102.9
LAL 95.0 +1.9
MEM 93.1
Avg. Poss. Time
14.4
14.0
LAL 15.2 +0.3
MEM 15.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
54.2%
52.8%
LAL 46.6%
MEM 50.5% +3.9%
TO %
14.5%
14.1%
LAL 14.8%
MEM 9.1% +5.7%
ORB %
24.5%
23.1%
LAL 26.5%
MEM 31.9% +5.4%
FTrt
27.6
24.0
LAL 13.8 +2.2
MEM 11.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.0%
63.3%
LAL 72.2% +9.4%
MEM 62.8%
STL %
8.5%
7.6%
LAL 5.3%
MEM 10.6% +5.3%
BLK %
12.2%
9.9%
LAL 4.7%
MEM 7.7% +3.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.45 and 2.45.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
56.2%
54.7%
LAL 46.3%
MEM 50.0% +3.7%
Rim FG%
66.1%
61.2%
LAL 61.5%
MEM 69.2% +7.7%
Mid FG%
37.9%
43.1%
LAL 42.3% +2.8%
MEM 39.5%
3P %
34.9%
34.7%
LAL 25.7%
MEM 32.3% +6.6%
FT %
72.9%
76.3%
LAL 58.3%
MEM 81.8% +23.5%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
39.5%
36.5%
LAL 29.9% +2.5%
MEM 27.4%
Mid Att. %
24.7%
28.9%
LAL 29.9% +10.1%
MEM 40.0%
3P Att. %
35.8%
34.6%
LAL 40.2% +7.6%
MEM 32.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.42 and 2.42.
Game TotalsLALMEM
Possessions9494
Possession Minutes23.824.2
Points88105
Rebounds4551
Assists2627
Steals510
Blocks34
Turnovers (Team)14 (2)7 (3)
Fouls1314
Off. Rebounds (Team)13 (2)15 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)32 (2)36 (4)
Field Goals36-8743-95
At-the-Rim FG16-2618-26
Midrange FG11-2615-38
2-Point FG27-5233-64
3-Point FG9-3510-31
Free Throws7-129-11
Fast Break Pts1312
2nd Chance Pts1018
Points in Paint3852
Pts off Turnovers1622
Bench Points3721
Biggest Lead222

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#23 · SF · 6'9" 250 · 35
34.3
19
53%
8
10
1
1
5
1
2
6
1-2
50%
6-10
60%
2-8
25%
#3 · PF · 6'10" 253 · 27
24.7
15
63%
9
4
0
2
1
2
2
7
0-1
0%
6-9
67%
1-3
33%
#11 · SG · 6'2" 180 · 29
20.7
6
38%
1
2
0
0
2
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
0%
2-6
33%
#4 · PG · 6'5" 186 · 26
20.6
9
75%
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
2-3
67%
1-2
50%
#7 · C · 7'0" 270 · 32
16.6
2
100%
5
0
0
0
1
2
2
3
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
#1 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 27
28.9
11
46%
2
2
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
4-8
50%
1-4
25%
#0 · PF · 6'9" 221 · 25
26.3
10
42%
5
2
0
0
3
1
0
5
0-1
0%
5-10
50%
0-2
0%
#9 · PG · 6'1" 186 · 34
25.1
2
25%
1
4
1
0
2
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-2
0%
#39 · C · 6'11" 265 · 34
18.3
6
50%
7
0
2
0
0
4
3
4
4-6
67%
1-3
33%
0-0
-
#88 · PF · 6'10" 245 · 30
16.6
5
31%
4
2
0
0
0
0
3
1
0-0
-
1-3
33%
1-5
20%
#30 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 29
3.1
3
150%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-1
100%
#10 · SF · 6'7" 240 · 35
3.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
#28 · PG · 6'2" 179 · 27
1.8
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-1
0%
#14 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 33
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Hip; Soreness
#37 · PF · 6'11" 195 · 22
INACTIVE
#5 · SG · 6'4" 235 · 19
INACTIVE
#12 · PF · 6'7" 240 · 23
INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
88
46%
45
26
5
3
14
13
13
32
7-12
58%
27-52
52%
9-35
26%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.