FinalWin Prob.pScore
2618%102
98
582%115
115
ORTG#PossPace
DET logo DET
105.49389.8
DEN logo DEN
123.79396.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

NuggetsPistonsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

NuggetsPistonsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDETDEN
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.98
0%
115
100%
Q4 - 0:06.0PistonsDonta Hall makes two point tip dunk98
0%
115
100%
Q4 - 0:06.0PistonsDonta Hall offensive rebound96
0%
115
100%
Q4 - 0:07.4PistonsChristian Wood misses two point layup96
0%
115
100%
Q4 - 0:08.5PistonsChristian Wood offensive rebound96
0%
115
100%
Q4 - 0:10.8PistonsChristian Wood misses regular free throw 2 of 296
0%
115
100%
Q4 - 0:10.8PistonsChristian Wood makes regular free throw 1 of 296
0%
115
100%
Q4 - 0:10.8NuggetsJerami Grant personal foul (Christian Wood draws the foul)95
0%
115
100%
Q4 - 0:22.5NuggetsJerami Grant makes three point jump shot (Noah Vonleh assists)95
0%
115
100%
Q4 - 0:28.1NuggetsNoah Vonleh offensive rebound95
0%
112
100%
Q4 - 0:30.5NuggetsPJ Dozier misses two point driving floating jump shot95
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 0:46.8PistonsKhyri Thomas makes three point jump shot (Donta Hall assists)95
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 0:54.7NuggetsJerami Grant makes three point jump shot (PJ Dozier assists)92
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 1:09NuggetsNuggets defensive rebound92
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 1:12PistonsSekou Doumbouya misses three point pullup jump shot92
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 1:33NuggetsNoah Vonleh makes two point hook shot (PJ Dozier assists)92
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 1:41PistonsJohn Henson personal foul (Jerami Grant draws the foul)92
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 1:49PistonsChristian Wood makes two point cutting dunk (John Henson assists)92
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 1:55PistonsChristian Wood defensive rebound90
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 1:56NuggetsJohn Henson blocks Jamal Murray's two point driving finger roll layup90
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 2:06NuggetsGary Harris defensive rebound90
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 2:11PistonsChristian Wood misses three point stepback jump shot90
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 2:37NuggetsJamal Murray makes three point stepback jump shot (Gary Harris assists)90
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 3:00PistonsTony Snell makes three point jump shot (Brandon Knight assists)90
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 3:17NuggetsJerami Grant makes two point stepback jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)87
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 3:27PistonsDerrick Rose turnover (bad pass) (Will Barton steals)87
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 3:39PistonsChristian Wood defensive rebound87
0.2%
102
99.8%
Q4 - 3:44NuggetsWill Barton misses two point pullup jump shot87
0.2%
102
99.8%
Q4 - 3:59PistonsChristian Wood makes regular free throw 2 of 287
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 3:59PistonsChristian Wood makes regular free throw 1 of 286
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 3:59NuggetsMonte Morris personal foul (Loose ball) (Christian Wood draws the foul)85
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 3:59PistonsPistons offensive rebound85
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 4:00PistonsLangston Galloway misses three point jump shot85
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 4:03PistonsTony Snell defensive rebound85
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 4:05NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. misses three point jump shot85
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 4:19PistonsLangston Galloway makes three point jump shot (Tony Snell assists)85
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 4:21PistonsJohn Henson offensive rebound82
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 4:24PistonsBrandon Knight misses three point jump shot82
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 4:48NuggetsNikola Jokic makes three point jump shot (Monte Morris assists)82
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 4:51NuggetsGary Harris offensive rebound82
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 4:54NuggetsGary Harris misses two point driving layup82
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 5:00NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. offensive rebound82
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 5:02NuggetsJerami Grant misses three point jump shot82
0.2%
99
99.8%
Q4 - 5:15PistonsTony Snell makes two point driving finger roll layup (Brandon Knight assists)82
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 5:36NuggetsGary Harris turnover (offensive foul)80
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 5:36NuggetsGary Harris offensive foul (Charge) (Brandon Knight draws the foul)80
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 5:56NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. defensive rebound80
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 6:00PistonsBrandon Knight misses three point jump shot80
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 6:07NuggetsNikola Jokic personal foul (Tony Snell draws the foul)80
0.2%
99
99.8%
Q4 - 6:12NuggetsGary Harris personal foul (Christian Wood draws the foul)80
0.2%
99
99.8%
Q4 - 6:32NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. makes two point cutting layup (Mason Plumlee assists)80
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 6:46NuggetsMonte Morris defensive rebound80
0.2%
97
99.8%
Q4 - 6:48PistonsLangston Galloway misses three point jump shot80
0.2%
97
99.8%
Q4 - 7:03NuggetsJerami Grant makes two point pullup jump shot80
0.4%
97
99.6%
Q4 - 7:24PistonsLangston Galloway makes three point jump shot (Tony Snell assists)80
0.5%
95
99.5%
Q4 - 7:31NuggetsMason Plumlee personal foul (Take) (Tony Snell draws the foul)77
0.3%
95
99.7%
Q4 - 7:31PistonsJohn Henson defensive rebound77
0.3%
95
99.7%
Q4 - 7:32NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. misses two point tip layup77
0.3%
95
99.7%
Q4 - 7:32NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. offensive rebound77
0.2%
95
99.8%
Q4 - 7:35NuggetsJerami Grant misses two point cutting layup77
0.3%
95
99.7%
Q4 - 7:51NuggetsJerami Grant defensive rebound77
0.2%
95
99.8%
Q4 - 7:53PistonsLangston Galloway misses two point fadeaway jump shot77
0.2%
95
99.8%
Q4 - 8:05NuggetsJamal Murray personal foul (Langston Galloway draws the foul)77
0.4%
95
99.6%
Q4 - 8:14NuggetsJamal Murray makes regular free throw 2 of 277
0.4%
95
99.6%
Q4 - 8:14NuggetsJamal Murray makes regular free throw 1 of 277
0.4%
94
99.6%
Q4 - 8:14PistonsChristian Wood shooting foul (Jamal Murray draws the foul)77
0.4%
93
99.6%
Q4 - 8:36PistonsChristian Wood makes two point floating jump shot (Derrick Rose assists)77
0.5%
93
99.5%
Q4 - 8:56NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. makes two point pullup jump shot75
0.4%
93
99.6%
Q4 - 9:01NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. defensive rebound75
0.6%
91
99.4%
Q4 - 9:04PistonsDerrick Rose misses two point stepback jump shot75
0.6%
91
99.4%
Q4 - 9:21NuggetsJerami Grant makes two point cutting dunk (Mason Plumlee assists)75
0.8%
91
99.2%
Q4 - 9:31NuggetsJamal Murray defensive rebound75
1.0%
89
99.0%
Q4 - 9:35PistonsLangston Galloway misses three point jump shot75
1.0%
89
99.0%
Q4 - 9:47NuggetsJerami Grant makes two point dunk (Jamal Murray assists)75
1.2%
89
98.8%
Q4 - 9:56NuggetsJamal Murray defensive rebound75
1.5%
87
98.5%
Q4 - 9:58PistonsSekou Doumbouya misses three point jump shot75
1.6%
87
98.4%
Q4 - 10:13NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. makes three point jump shot (Monte Morris assists)75
2.3%
87
97.7%
Q4 - 10:20PistonsLangston Galloway personal foul (Mason Plumlee draws the foul)75
3.5%
84
96.5%
Q4 - 10:27NuggetsMason Plumlee defensive rebound75
3.5%
84
96.5%
Q4 - 10:32PistonsDerrick Rose misses three point jump shot75
3.7%
84
96.3%
Q4 - 10:44NuggetsJamal Murray turnover (out of bounds bad pass)75
4.4%
84
95.6%
Q4 - 10:49NuggetsJamal Murray defensive rebound75
3.5%
84
96.5%
Q4 - 10:51PistonsDonta Hall misses two point tip dunk75
3.7%
84
96.3%
Q4 - 10:51PistonsDonta Hall offensive rebound75
4.4%
84
95.6%
Q4 - 10:56PistonsKhyri Thomas misses three point jump shot75
3.7%
84
96.3%
Q4 - 11:00PistonsLangston Galloway defensive rebound75
4.4%
84
95.6%
Q4 - 11:04NuggetsMonte Morris misses two point driving floating jump shot75
4.6%
84
95.4%
Q4 - 11:29PistonsSekou Doumbouya makes three point jump shot (Derrick Rose assists)75
3.9%
84
96.1%
Q4 - 11:45NuggetsMason Plumlee makes regular free throw 2 of 272
2.6%
84
97.4%
Q4 - 11:45NuggetsMason Plumlee makes regular free throw 1 of 272
2.8%
83
97.2%
Q4 - 11:45PistonsKhyri Thomas shooting foul (Mason Plumlee draws the foul)72
3.0%
82
97.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.72
3.2%
82
96.8%
Q3 - 0:02.6PistonsBrandon Knight makes regular free throw 2 of 272
3.5%
82
96.5%
Q3 - 0:02.6PistonsBrandon Knight makes regular free throw 1 of 271
3.4%
82
96.6%
Q3 - 0:02.6NuggetsMason Plumlee personal foul (Brandon Knight draws the foul)70
3.3%
82
96.7%
Q3 - 0:05.9NuggetsMonte Morris makes two point pullup jump shot70
2.9%
82
97.1%
Q3 - 0:26.7NuggetsMason Plumlee defensive rebound70
3.5%
80
96.5%
Q3 - 0:29.0PistonsKhyri Thomas misses two point pullup jump shot70
3.7%
80
96.3%
Q3 - 0:44.6PistonsLangston Galloway defensive rebound70
4.2%
80
95.8%
Q3 - 0:46.1NuggetsMason Plumlee misses regular free throw 2 of 270
4.1%
80
95.9%
Q3 - 0:46.1NuggetsMason Plumlee makes regular free throw 1 of 270
3.7%
80
96.3%
Q3 - 0:46.1PistonsBrandon Knight personal foul (Mason Plumlee draws the foul)70
4.1%
79
95.9%
Q3 - 1:01PistonsLangston Galloway makes three point jump shot (Brandon Knight assists)70
4.5%
79
95.5%
Q3 - 1:16NuggetsMason Plumlee turnover (traveling)67
3.1%
79
96.9%
Q3 - 1:23NuggetsJerami Grant defensive rebound67
2.6%
79
97.4%
Q3 - 1:26PistonsBrandon Knight misses three point stepback jump shot67
2.7%
79
97.3%
Q3 - 1:47NuggetsJerami Grant makes regular free throw 2 of 267
3.1%
79
96.9%
Q3 - 1:47NuggetsJerami Grant makes regular free throw 1 of 267
3.3%
78
96.7%
Q3 - 1:47PistonsLangston Galloway personal foul (Jerami Grant draws the foul)67
3.4%
77
96.6%
Q3 - 2:06PistonsBrandon Knight makes three point jump shot (Khyri Thomas assists)67
4.0%
77
96.0%
Q3 - 2:17PistonsBrandon Knight defensive rebound64
2.9%
77
97.1%
Q3 - 2:19NuggetsMason Plumlee misses regular free throw 1 of 164
2.8%
77
97.2%
Q3 - 2:19PistonsKhyri Thomas shooting foul (Mason Plumlee draws the foul)64
2.6%
77
97.4%
Q3 - 2:27PistonsBrandon Knight personal foul (Jerami Grant draws the foul)64
3.4%
75
96.6%
Q3 - 2:33NuggetsWill Barton defensive rebound64
3.4%
75
96.6%
Q3 - 2:36PistonsChristian Wood misses two point floating jump shot64
3.6%
75
96.4%
Q3 - 2:50NuggetsNikola Jokic turnover (bad pass) (Christian Wood steals)64
4.1%
75
95.9%
Q3 - 2:59PistonsBrandon Knight turnover (out of bounds bad pass)64
3.4%
75
96.6%
Q3 - 3:18NuggetsJerami Grant makes three point jump shot (Gary Harris assists)64
4.4%
75
95.6%
Q3 - 3:36PistonsBrandon Knight makes three point jump shot (Tony Snell assists)64
6.0%
72
94.0%
Q3 - 4:00NuggetsJerami Grant makes two point cutting dunk (Nikola Jokic assists)61
4.4%
72
95.6%
Q3 - 4:14PistonsChristian Wood makes two point jump shot (Tony Snell assists)61
5.2%
70
94.8%
Q3 - 4:24PistonsChristian Wood defensive rebound59
4.6%
70
95.4%
Q3 - 4:26NuggetsNikola Jokic misses two point turnaround hook shot59
4.3%
70
95.7%
Q3 - 4:37PistonsTony Snell personal foul (Jerami Grant draws the foul)59
3.8%
70
96.2%
Q3 - 4:40PistonsChristian Wood turnover (bad pass) (Monte Morris steals)59
3.8%
70
96.2%
Q3 - 4:51NuggetsNikola Jokic personal foul (Langston Galloway draws the foul)59
4.5%
70
95.5%
Q3 - 5:08NuggetsGary Harris makes three point jump shot (Monte Morris assists)59
4.9%
70
95.1%
Q3 - 5:16PistonsChristian Wood turnover (lost ball) (Monte Morris steals)59
6.5%
67
93.5%
Q3 - 5:29NuggetsPaul Millsap makes two point tip layup59
7.6%
67
92.4%
Q3 - 5:29NuggetsPaul Millsap offensive rebound59
8.8%
65
91.2%
Q3 - 5:34NuggetsGary Harris misses two point driving floating jump shot59
9.8%
65
90.2%
Q3 - 5:44NuggetsWill Barton defensive rebound59
8.8%
65
91.2%
Q3 - 5:47PistonsChristian Wood misses regular free throw 2 of 259
8.9%
65
91.1%
Q3 - 5:47PistonsChristian Wood makes regular free throw 1 of 259
9.8%
65
90.2%
Q3 - 5:47NuggetsPaul Millsap shooting foul (Christian Wood draws the foul)58
9.5%
65
90.5%
Q3 - 5:55PistonsJohn Henson defensive rebound58
8.8%
65
91.2%
Q3 - 5:57NuggetsPaul Millsap misses two point floating jump shot58
8.4%
65
91.6%
Q3 - 6:07NuggetsNuggets defensive rebound58
7.7%
65
92.3%
Q3 - 6:10PistonsSvi Mykhailiuk misses three point jump shot58
8.0%
65
92.0%
Q3 - 6:24PistonsPistons defensive rebound58
8.9%
65
91.1%
Q3 - 6:25NuggetsPaul Millsap misses three point jump shot58
8.5%
65
91.5%
Q3 - 6:30PistonsDerrick Rose turnover (lost ball) (Jamal Murray steals)58
7.7%
65
92.3%
Q3 - 6:33NuggetsNikola Jokic turnover (bad pass) (Derrick Rose steals)58
8.9%
65
91.1%
Q3 - 6:53PistonsDerrick Rose makes regular free throw 3 of 358
7.7%
65
92.3%
Q3 - 6:53PistonsDerrick Rose makes regular free throw 2 of 357
7.5%
65
92.5%
Q3 - 6:53PistonsDerrick Rose makes regular free throw 1 of 356
7.4%
65
92.6%
Q3 - 6:53NuggetsWill Barton shooting foul (Derrick Rose draws the foul)55
7.2%
65
92.8%
Q3 - 7:05NuggetsPaul Millsap turnover (traveling)55
5.9%
65
94.1%
Q3 - 7:20PistonsSvi Mykhailiuk makes three point jump shot (Christian Wood assists)55
5.1%
65
94.9%
Q3 - 7:35PistonsTony Snell defensive rebound52
3.8%
65
96.2%
Q3 - 7:39NuggetsNikola Jokic misses two point fadeaway jump shot52
3.7%
65
96.3%
Q3 - 8:03PistonsDerrick Rose makes two point driving layup52
3.4%
65
96.6%
Q3 - 8:19NuggetsPaul Millsap makes two point dunk (Jamal Murray assists)50
3.0%
65
97.0%
Q3 - 8:25PistonsJohn Henson personal foul (Loose ball) (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)50
3.4%
63
96.6%
Q3 - 8:25NuggetsNuggets offensive rebound50
3.4%
63
96.6%
Q3 - 8:27NuggetsPaul Millsap misses three point jump shot50
3.8%
63
96.2%
Q3 - 8:40PistonsChristian Wood makes two point driving finger roll layup (Derrick Rose assists)50
3.3%
63
96.7%
Q3 - 8:51PistonsJohn Henson defensive rebound48
3.0%
63
97.0%
Q3 - 8:52NuggetsGary Harris misses two point tip layup48
2.8%
63
97.2%
Q3 - 8:52NuggetsGary Harris offensive rebound48
2.5%
63
97.5%
Q3 - 8:58NuggetsJamal Murray misses two point stepback jump shot48
2.8%
63
97.2%
Q3 - 9:15PistonsJohn Henson turnover (out of bounds bad pass)48
2.6%
63
97.4%
Q3 - 9:25NuggetsJamal Murray misses technical free throw 1 of 148
3.0%
63
97.0%
Q3 - 9:25PistonsSean Sweeney technical foul48
2.7%
63
97.3%
Q3 - 9:25NuggetsNikola Jokic turnover (bad pass) (Svi Mykhailiuk steals)48
3.3%
63
96.7%
Q3 - 9:28NuggetsPaul Millsap offensive rebound48
2.6%
63
97.4%
Q3 - 9:31NuggetsChristian Wood blocks Paul Millsap's two point layup48
2.9%
63
97.1%
Q3 - 9:38NuggetsNikola Jokic offensive rebound48
2.6%
63
97.4%
Q3 - 9:41NuggetsJamal Murray misses three point pullup jump shot48
2.9%
63
97.1%
Q3 - 9:53PistonsJohn Henson personal foul (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)48
2.6%
63
97.4%
Q3 - 10:03NuggetsWill Barton defensive rebound48
2.7%
63
97.3%
Q3 - 10:05PistonsJohn Henson misses two point turnaround hook shot48
2.8%
63
97.2%
Q3 - 10:30NuggetsPaul Millsap makes two point driving layup (Will Barton assists)48
3.1%
63
96.9%
Q3 - 10:38PistonsChristian Wood turnover (bad pass) (Nikola Jokic steals)48
3.5%
61
96.5%
Q3 - 10:39PistonsChristian Wood defensive rebound48
4.1%
61
95.9%
Q3 - 10:40NuggetsNikola Jokic misses two point tip layup48
3.9%
61
96.1%
Q3 - 10:40NuggetsNikola Jokic offensive rebound48
3.5%
61
96.5%
Q3 - 10:43NuggetsJamal Murray misses two point driving layup48
3.9%
61
96.1%
Q3 - 10:54NuggetsJamal Murray defensive rebound48
3.5%
61
96.5%
Q3 - 10:58PistonsDerrick Rose misses two point stepback jump shot48
3.6%
61
96.4%
Q3 - 11:14NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot48
4.1%
61
95.9%
Q3 - 11:37PistonsDerrick Rose makes regular free throw 2 of 248
4.6%
59
95.4%
Q3 - 11:37PistonsDerrick Rose makes regular free throw 1 of 247
4.6%
59
95.4%
Q3 - 11:37NuggetsNikola Jokic shooting foul (Derrick Rose draws the foul)46
4.5%
59
95.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.46
4.1%
59
95.9%
Q2 - 0:00.9PistonsPistons offensive rebound46
4.2%
59
95.8%
Q2 - 0:00.9PistonsTony Snell misses three point jump shot46
3.9%
59
96.1%
Q2 - 0:23.5NuggetsJamal Murray makes regular free throw 2 of 246
4.2%
59
95.8%
Q2 - 0:23.5NuggetsJamal Murray makes regular free throw 1 of 246
4.2%
58
95.8%
Q2 - 0:23.5PistonsDonta Hall personal foul (Jamal Murray draws the foul)46
4.3%
57
95.7%
Q2 - 0:36.6PistonsDonta Hall makes regular free throw 2 of 246
4.9%
57
95.1%
Q2 - 0:36.6PistonsDonta Hall makes regular free throw 1 of 245
4.7%
57
95.3%
Q2 - 0:36.6NuggetsNikola Jokic shooting foul (Donta Hall draws the foul)44
4.5%
57
95.5%
Q2 - 0:52.6NuggetsJerami Grant makes two point alley-oop layup (Nikola Jokic assists)44
4.2%
57
95.8%
Q2 - 0:58.7NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound44
4.9%
55
95.1%
Q2 - 1:02PistonsBrandon Knight misses three point jump shot44
5.2%
55
94.8%
Q2 - 1:12NuggetsNikola Jokic makes regular free throw 2 of 244
5.5%
55
94.5%
Q2 - 1:12NuggetsNikola Jokic makes regular free throw 1 of 244
5.6%
54
94.4%
Q2 - 1:12PistonsSvi Mykhailiuk shooting foul (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)44
5.7%
53
94.3%
Q2 - 1:18PistonsSvi Mykhailiuk turnover (bad pass) (Nikola Jokic steals)44
6.5%
53
93.5%
Q2 - 1:31NuggetsWill Barton makes regular free throw 2 of 244
7.0%
53
93.0%
Q2 - 1:31NuggetsWill Barton makes regular free throw 1 of 244
7.1%
52
92.9%
Q2 - 1:31PistonsDonta Hall shooting foul (Will Barton draws the foul)44
7.3%
51
92.7%
Q2 - 1:37NuggetsPaul Millsap defensive rebound44
8.2%
51
91.8%
Q2 - 1:40PistonsSvi Mykhailiuk misses three point jump shot44
8.4%
51
91.6%
Q2 - 1:54NuggetsPaul Millsap turnover (offensive foul)44
8.8%
51
91.2%
Q2 - 1:54NuggetsPaul Millsap offensive foul (Off the ball) (Brandon Knight draws the foul)44
8.2%
51
91.8%
Q2 - 2:09PistonsBrandon Knight makes three point jump shot (Tony Snell assists)44
8.2%
51
91.8%
Q2 - 2:11PistonsTony Snell offensive rebound41
6.5%
51
93.5%
Q2 - 2:13PistonsTony Snell misses three point jump shot41
6.0%
51
94.0%
Q2 - 2:36NuggetsNikola Jokic makes regular free throw 2 of 241
6.5%
51
93.5%
Q2 - 2:36NuggetsNikola Jokic makes regular free throw 1 of 241
6.6%
50
93.4%
Q2 - 2:36PistonsTony Snell personal foul (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)41
6.7%
49
93.3%
Q2 - 2:42NuggetsJamal Murray defensive rebound41
7.3%
49
92.7%
Q2 - 2:46PistonsSvi Mykhailiuk misses three point pullup jump shot41
7.5%
49
92.5%
Q2 - 2:52NuggetsGary Harris makes two point running dunk41
8.1%
49
91.9%
Q2 - 2:57PistonsDonta Hall turnover (bad pass) (Gary Harris steals)41
9.1%
47
90.9%
Q2 - 3:11NuggetsWill Barton turnover (out of bounds bad pass)41
10.2%
47
89.8%
Q2 - 3:13PistonsBrandon Knight turnover (lost ball) (Will Barton steals)41
9.1%
47
90.9%
Q2 - 3:18NuggetsNikola Jokic turnover (lost ball) (Tony Snell steals)41
10.2%
47
89.8%
Q2 - 3:39PistonsSvi Mykhailiuk makes three point jump shot (Brandon Knight assists)41
9.1%
47
90.9%
Q2 - 3:46PistonsBrandon Knight defensive rebound38
7.5%
47
92.5%
Q2 - 3:48NuggetsJamal Murray misses two point driving layup38
7.2%
47
92.8%
Q2 - 3:57PistonsChristian Wood turnover (offensive foul)38
6.6%
47
93.4%
Q2 - 3:57PistonsChristian Wood offensive foul (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)38
7.5%
47
92.5%
Q2 - 4:06PistonsDerrick Rose offensive rebound38
7.4%
47
92.6%
Q2 - 4:10PistonsKhyri Thomas misses three point jump shot38
6.9%
47
93.1%
Q2 - 4:12PistonsDonta Hall offensive rebound38
7.4%
47
92.6%
Q2 - 4:16PistonsDerrick Rose misses three point jump shot38
6.9%
47
93.1%
Q2 - 4:32NuggetsNikola Jokic makes regular free throw 1 of 138
7.4%
47
92.6%
Q2 - 4:32PistonsDerrick Rose shooting foul (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)38
7.5%
46
92.5%
Q2 - 4:50PistonsDerrick Rose makes two point running layup38
9.1%
44
90.9%
Q2 - 4:56PistonsDonta Hall defensive rebound36
8.2%
44
91.8%
Q2 - 4:57NuggetsGary Harris misses two point cutting layup36
8.0%
44
92.0%
Q2 - 5:08PistonsKhyri Thomas turnover (out of bounds bad pass)36
7.3%
44
92.7%
Q2 - 5:30NuggetsWill Barton turnover (traveling)36
8.3%
44
91.7%
Q2 - 5:36NuggetsMason Plumlee defensive rebound36
7.3%
44
92.7%
Q2 - 5:39PistonsDerrick Rose misses two point stepback jump shot36
7.6%
44
92.4%
Q2 - 5:53NuggetsMason Plumlee makes regular free throw 2 of 236
8.3%
44
91.7%
Q2 - 5:53NuggetsMason Plumlee misses regular free throw 1 of 236
8.6%
43
91.4%
Q2 - 5:53PistonsChristian Wood personal foul (Mason Plumlee draws the foul)36
8.1%
43
91.9%
Q2 - 6:06PistonsDerrick Rose makes two point driving layup36
8.1%
43
91.9%
Q2 - 6:19NuggetsJerami Grant makes two point driving layup (Monte Morris assists)34
7.5%
43
92.5%
Q2 - 6:36PistonsTony Snell makes two point pullup jump shot (Derrick Rose assists)34
8.1%
41
91.9%
Q2 - 6:55NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. turnover (out of bounds step)32
7.5%
41
92.5%
Q2 - 7:10PistonsChristian Wood makes two point alley-oop dunk (Derrick Rose assists)32
6.9%
41
93.1%
Q2 - 7:14NuggetsMonte Morris turnover (bad pass) (Derrick Rose steals)30
6.3%
41
93.7%
Q2 - 7:22PistonsTony Snell personal foul (Gary Harris draws the foul)30
5.7%
41
94.3%
Q2 - 7:44PistonsChristian Wood makes regular free throw 2 of 230
5.7%
41
94.3%
Q2 - 7:44PistonsChristian Wood makes regular free throw 1 of 229
5.6%
41
94.4%
Q2 - 7:44NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. shooting foul (Christian Wood draws the foul)28
5.4%
41
94.6%
Q2 - 7:44PistonsChristian Wood offensive rebound28
5.2%
41
94.8%
Q2 - 7:47PistonsDerrick Rose misses two point driving floating jump shot28
4.8%
41
95.2%
Q2 - 8:03NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. makes two point cutting dunk (Gary Harris assists)28
5.3%
41
94.7%
Q2 - 8:17NuggetsMason Plumlee defensive rebound28
5.8%
39
94.2%
Q2 - 8:20PistonsSekou Doumbouya misses two point stepback jump shot28
6.0%
39
94.0%
Q2 - 8:39NuggetsJerami Grant makes two point cutting dunk (Michael Porter Jr. assists)28
6.5%
39
93.5%
Q2 - 8:48PistonsDerrick Rose turnover (bad pass) (Monte Morris steals)28
7.1%
37
92.9%
Q2 - 9:03NuggetsMason Plumlee turnover (3-second violation)28
7.9%
37
92.1%
Q2 - 9:19PistonsDerrick Rose makes two point driving layup28
7.2%
37
92.8%
Q2 - 9:34NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. makes two point stepback jump shot26
6.6%
37
93.4%
Q2 - 9:42PistonsSekou Doumbouya personal foul (Jerami Grant draws the foul)26
7.2%
35
92.8%
Q2 - 9:45PistonsDerrick Rose personal foul (Michael Porter Jr. draws the foul)26
7.2%
35
92.8%
Q2 - 9:57NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. defensive rebound26
7.2%
35
92.8%
Q2 - 10:00PistonsChristian Wood misses two point cutting layup26
7.4%
35
92.6%
Q2 - 10:13NuggetsMonte Morris makes two point running layup (Mason Plumlee assists)26
8.0%
35
92.0%
Q2 - 10:20NuggetsMason Plumlee defensive rebound26
8.7%
33
91.3%
Q2 - 10:20PistonsMason Plumlee blocks Christian Wood's two point putback layup26
8.9%
33
91.1%
Q2 - 10:21PistonsChristian Wood offensive rebound26
9.5%
33
90.5%
Q2 - 10:25PistonsSvi Mykhailiuk misses three point jump shot26
8.9%
33
91.1%
Q2 - 10:46NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. makes two point driving layup26
9.5%
33
90.5%
Q2 - 10:55PistonsSvi Mykhailiuk personal foul (Jerami Grant draws the foul)26
10.3%
31
89.7%
Q2 - 11:15PistonsDerrick Rose makes three point jump shot (Svi Mykhailiuk assists)26
10.3%
31
89.7%
Q2 - 11:31NuggetsMason Plumlee makes two point alley-oop dunk (Jamal Murray assists)23
8.6%
31
91.4%
Q2 - 11:39NuggetsJerami Grant defensive rebound23
9.4%
29
90.6%
Q2 - 11:42PistonsThon Maker misses two point cutting layup23
9.7%
29
90.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.23
10.2%
29
89.8%
Q1 - 0:00.7NuggetsJamal Murray makes two point stepback jump shot23
10.1%
29
89.9%
Q1 - 0:22.3NuggetsNuggets defensive rebound23
11.1%
27
88.9%
Q1 - 0:24.2PistonsDerrick Walton Jr. misses three point pullup jump shot23
11.4%
27
88.6%
Q1 - 0:28.5NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. turnover (bad pass) (Thon Maker steals)23
11.9%
27
88.1%
Q1 - 0:35.1NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. defensive rebound23
11.1%
27
88.9%
Q1 - 0:37.2PistonsThon Maker misses two point jump shot23
11.4%
27
88.6%
Q1 - 1:01NuggetsMonte Morris makes two point driving floating bank jump shot23
11.9%
27
88.1%
Q1 - 1:22NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. defensive rebound23
13.1%
25
86.9%
Q1 - 1:25PistonsLangston Galloway misses three point pullup jump shot23
13.4%
25
86.6%
Q1 - 1:28PistonsThon Maker defensive rebound23
14.0%
25
86.0%
Q1 - 1:33NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. misses three point pullup jump shot23
13.7%
25
86.3%
Q1 - 1:39NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. defensive rebound23
13.1%
25
86.9%
Q1 - 1:41PistonsBrandon Knight misses regular free throw 2 of 223
13.2%
25
86.8%
Q1 - 1:41PistonsBrandon Knight misses regular free throw 1 of 223
14.0%
25
86.0%
Q1 - 1:41NuggetsMonte Morris personal foul (Brandon Knight draws the foul)23
15.0%
25
85.0%
Q1 - 1:50NuggetsMonte Morris makes two point running layup (Jerami Grant assists)23
14.0%
25
86.0%
Q1 - 1:54NuggetsJerami Grant defensive rebound23
15.4%
23
84.6%
Q1 - 1:56PistonsBrandon Knight misses three point jump shot23
15.7%
23
84.3%
Q1 - 2:15NuggetsJerami Grant makes two point jump shot (Jamal Murray assists)23
16.2%
23
83.8%
Q1 - 2:29NuggetsMason Plumlee defensive rebound23
17.5%
21
82.5%
Q1 - 2:32PistonsSekou Doumbouya misses three point jump shot23
17.9%
21
82.1%
Q1 - 2:47NuggetsMason Plumlee personal foul (Thon Maker draws the foul)23
18.8%
21
81.2%
Q1 - 2:47PistonsThon Maker defensive rebound23
18.8%
21
81.2%
Q1 - 2:48NuggetsMason Plumlee misses two point turnaround hook shot23
18.4%
21
81.6%
Q1 - 3:12PistonsThon Maker makes two point cutting dunk (Brandon Knight assists)23
17.2%
21
82.8%
Q1 - 3:23NuggetsWill Barton turnover (bad pass) (Derrick Walton Jr. steals)21
16.2%
21
83.8%
Q1 - 3:37PistonsLangston Galloway makes three point jump shot (Derrick Walton Jr. assists)21
14.8%
21
85.2%
Q1 - 3:42NuggetsJerami Grant personal foul (Loose ball) (Christian Wood draws the foul)18
12.9%
21
87.1%
Q1 - 3:42PistonsPistons offensive rebound18
12.9%
21
87.1%
Q1 - 3:42PistonsThon Maker misses two point driving hook shot18
12.1%
21
87.9%
Q1 - 3:56PistonsThon Maker defensive rebound18
12.9%
21
87.1%
Q1 - 3:59NuggetsJerami Grant misses three point jump shot18
12.6%
21
87.4%
Q1 - 4:14PistonsBrandon Knight makes three point pullup jump shot18
11.7%
21
88.3%
Q1 - 4:30NuggetsNikola Jokic turnover (lost ball) (Brandon Knight steals)15
10.2%
21
89.8%
Q1 - 4:43PistonsChristian Wood personal foul (Paul Millsap draws the foul)15
9.3%
21
90.7%
Q1 - 4:58PistonsTony Snell makes three point jump shot (Brandon Knight assists)15
9.3%
21
90.7%
Q1 - 5:20NuggetsPaul Millsap makes three point jump shot (Monte Morris assists)12
8.1%
21
91.9%
Q1 - 5:23NuggetsMonte Morris defensive rebound12
9.3%
18
90.7%
Q1 - 5:25PistonsMonte Morris blocks Christian Wood's two point putback layup12
9.6%
18
90.4%
Q1 - 5:27PistonsChristian Wood offensive rebound12
10.1%
18
89.9%
Q1 - 5:27PistonsChristian Wood misses two point tip layup12
9.6%
18
90.4%
Q1 - 5:27PistonsChristian Wood offensive rebound12
10.1%
18
89.9%
Q1 - 5:30PistonsChristian Wood misses two point layup12
9.6%
18
90.4%
Q1 - 5:50NuggetsWill Barton makes regular free throw 1 of 112
10.1%
18
89.9%
Q1 - 5:50PistonsLangston Galloway shooting foul (Will Barton draws the foul)12
10.3%
17
89.7%
Q1 - 5:55PistonsBrandon Knight turnover (bad pass) (Nikola Jokic steals)12
11.6%
15
88.4%
Q1 - 6:13NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point layup12
12.4%
15
87.6%
Q1 - 6:22PistonsBrandon Knight personal foul (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)12
13.4%
13
86.6%
Q1 - 6:35PistonsJohn Henson makes two point alley-oop dunk (Tony Snell assists)12
13.4%
13
86.6%
Q1 - 6:48NuggetsGary Harris makes two point reverse layup (Jamal Murray assists)10
12.4%
13
87.6%
Q1 - 6:56NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound10
13.4%
11
86.6%
Q1 - 6:58PistonsJohn Henson misses two point driving layup10
13.6%
11
86.4%
Q1 - 7:11NuggetsPaul Millsap personal foul (Christian Wood draws the foul)10
14.1%
11
85.9%
Q1 - 7:34NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point hook shot (Jamal Murray assists)10
14.1%
11
85.9%
Q1 - 7:55PistonsChristian Wood makes two point floating jump shot (Tony Snell assists)10
14.9%
9
85.1%
Q1 - 8:07PistonsChristian Wood defensive rebound8
13.9%
9
86.1%
Q1 - 8:09NuggetsJamal Murray misses two point driving hook shot8
13.6%
9
86.4%
Q1 - 8:15NuggetsNuggets offensive rebound8
12.9%
9
87.1%
Q1 - 8:16NuggetsJamal Murray misses three point jump shot8
13.6%
9
86.4%
Q1 - 8:39PistonsDerrick Rose makes two point driving layup8
12.9%
9
87.1%
Q1 - 8:49PistonsJohn Henson defensive rebound6
12.2%
9
87.8%
Q1 - 8:51NuggetsGary Harris misses three point jump shot6
11.9%
9
88.1%
Q1 - 8:59PistonsDerrick Rose turnover (lost ball) (Nikola Jokic steals)6
11.3%
9
88.7%
Q1 - 9:10NuggetsPaul Millsap turnover (traveling)6
12.2%
9
87.8%
Q1 - 9:16NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound6
11.2%
9
88.8%
Q1 - 9:20PistonsChristian Wood misses three point jump shot6
11.5%
9
88.5%
Q1 - 9:34PistonsPistons offensive rebound6
12.2%
9
87.8%
Q1 - 9:34PistonsJamal Murray blocks Derrick Rose's two point running layup6
11.5%
9
88.5%
Q1 - 9:36PistonsDerrick Rose defensive rebound6
12.2%
9
87.8%
Q1 - 9:41NuggetsWill Barton misses two point floating jump shot6
11.9%
9
88.1%
Q1 - 9:47PistonsJohn Henson makes two point tip dunk6
11.2%
9
88.8%
Q1 - 9:47PistonsJohn Henson offensive rebound4
10.7%
9
89.3%
Q1 - 9:51PistonsDerrick Rose misses two point running reverse layup4
10.1%
9
89.9%
Q1 - 10:04NuggetsJamal Murray makes three point jump shot (Paul Millsap assists)4
10.5%
9
89.5%
Q1 - 10:09NuggetsPaul Millsap defensive rebound4
11.9%
6
88.1%
Q1 - 10:12PistonsTony Snell misses three point jump shot4
12.2%
6
87.8%
Q1 - 10:27NuggetsGary Harris makes two point floating jump shot (Will Barton assists)4
12.8%
6
87.2%
Q1 - 10:45PistonsDerrick Rose makes regular free throw 2 of 24
13.6%
4
86.4%
Q1 - 10:45PistonsDerrick Rose makes regular free throw 1 of 23
13.4%
4
86.6%
Q1 - 10:45NuggetsJamal Murray shooting foul (Derrick Rose draws the foul)2
13.3%
4
86.7%
Q1 - 10:53NuggetsJamal Murray makes two point cutting layup (Will Barton assists)2
12.8%
4
87.2%
Q1 - 11:00PistonsChristian Wood makes two point driving layup2
13.6%
2
86.4%
Q1 - 11:12PistonsTony Snell defensive rebound0
12.6%
2
87.4%
Q1 - 11:14NuggetsPaul Millsap misses two point running layup0
12.4%
2
87.6%
Q1 - 11:18PistonsJohn Henson turnover (lost ball) (Paul Millsap steals)0
11.8%
2
88.2%
Q1 - 11:38NuggetsJamal Murray makes two point alley-oop layup (Nikola Jokic assists)0
12.6%
2
87.4%
Q1 - 11:45PistonsJohn Henson personal foul (Loose ball) (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)0
13.4%
0
86.6%
Q1 - 11:45NuggetsNuggets offensive rebound0
13.4%
0
86.6%
Q1 - 11:46NuggetsPaul Millsap misses three point jump shot0
14.1%
0
85.9%
Q1 - 12:00John Henson vs. Nikola Jokic (Jamal Murray gains possession)0
13.4%
0
86.6%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DET
1.05 52.7%
DEN
1.32 66.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DET
14
26
54%
DEN
25
37
68%
Midrange
DET
4
14
29%
DEN
10
20
50%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DET
15
22.5
41
37%
55%
DEN
9
13.5
19
47%
71%
Free Throws
DET
17
21
81%
DEN
18
22
82%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Wood2050%10.0 / 20
D. Rose2059%10.0 / 17
B. Knight1464%7.0 / 11
L. Galloway1267%6.0 / 9
T. Snell1071%5.0 / 7
S. Mykhailiuk650%3.0 / 6
J. Henson450%2.0 / 4
D. Hall467%2.0 / 3
S. Doumbouya330%1.5 / 5
K. Thomas338%1.5 / 4
T. Maker225%1.0 / 4
D. Walton Jr.0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Grant2991%14.5 / 16
J. Murray1657%8.0 / 14
N. Jokić1680%8.0 / 10
M. Porter1372%6.5 / 9
G. Harris950%4.5 / 9
P. Millsap945%4.5 / 10
M. Morris880%4.0 / 5
M. Plumlee880%4.0 / 5
W. Barton563%2.5 / 4
N. Vonleh2100%1.0 / 1
P. Dozier0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DET
77
+16
-16
93
DEN
75
+12
-18
87
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DET
1.05 52.7%
DEN
1.32 66.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
109.1
113.2
DET 105.4
DEN 123.7 +18.3
Pace
97.5
97.1
DET 89.8
DEN 96.2 +6.4
Avg. Poss. Time
14.9
15.1
DET 16.0
DEN 15.0 +1.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.9%
53.5%
DET 50.0%
DEN 63.8% +13.8%
TO %
14.8%
13.3%
DET 15.1% +2.3%
DEN 17.4%
ORB %
22.6%
24.9%
DET 27.3%
DEN 30.0% +2.7%
FTrt
26.1
23.5
DET 25.9
DEN 28.9 +3.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
61.2%
63.6%
DET 72.7%
DEN 75.0% +2.3%
STL %
7.6%
8.1%
DET 8.6%
DEN 12.9% +4.3%
BLK %
7.8%
8.8%
DET 3.5%
DEN 7.5% +4.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.9%
55.4%
DET 52.7%
DEN 66.1% +13.4%
Rim FG%
59.1%
62.0%
DET 53.8%
DEN 67.6% +13.8%
Mid FG%
38.3%
42.5%
DET 28.6%
DEN 50.0% +21.4%
3P %
36.7%
35.9%
DET 36.6%
DEN 47.4% +10.8%
FT %
74.3%
77.7%
DET 81.0%
DEN 81.8% +0.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
39.4%
36.5%
DET 32.1%
DEN 48.7% +16.6%
Mid Att. %
22.5%
29.1%
DET 17.3% +9.0%
DEN 26.3%
3P Att. %
38.1%
34.4%
DET 50.6% +25.6%
DEN 25.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsDETDEN
Possessions9393
Possession Minutes24.923.2
Points98115
Rebounds3341
Assists2433
Steals812
Blocks23
Turnovers (Team)16 (0)18 (0)
Fouls2620
Off. Rebounds (Team)12 (4)9 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)21 (1)32 (3)
Field Goals33-8144-76
At-the-Rim FG14-2625-37
Midrange FG4-1410-20
2-Point FG18-4035-57
3-Point FG15-419-19
Free Throws17-2118-22
Fast Break Pts215
2nd Chance Pts1712
Points in Paint3260
Pts off Turnovers1716
Bench Points3860
Biggest Lead220

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#35 · PF · 6'9" 214 · 24
33.9
20
50%
10
1
1
1
4
4
5
5
6-8
75%
7-14
50%
0-2
0%
#17 · SF · 6'7" 221 · 28
32.3
10
71%
4
7
1
0
0
3
1
3
0-0
-
2-2
100%
2-5
40%
#25 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 31
27.0
20
59%
2
5
2
0
4
2
1
1
7-7
100%
5-11
45%
1-3
33%
#31 · C · 6'11" 229 · 29
20.7
4
50%
6
1
0
1
2
4
2
4
0-0
-
2-4
50%
0-0
-
#19 · SG · 6'7" 205 · 23
17.2
6
50%
0
1
1
0
1
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
2-6
33%
#20 · PG · 6'2" 182 · 28
24.9
14
64%
2
6
1
0
3
3
0
2
2-4
50%
0-0
-
4-9
44%
#9 · SG · 6'2" 200 · 28
24.9
12
67%
2
0
0
0
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0%
4-8
50%
#45 · SF · 6'9" 209 · 19
18.4
3
30%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
1-4
25%
#42 · PF · 6'9" 229 · 23
14.9
4
67%
4
1
0
0
1
2
3
1
2-2
100%
1-2
50%
0-0
-
#13 · SG · 6'3" 210 · 24
13.8
3
38%
0
1
0
0
1
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
1-3
33%
#12 · PG · 6'1" 185 · 25
6.0
0
0%
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
#7 · C · 7'1" 223 · 23
5.8
2
25%
3
0
1
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-4
25%
0-0
-
#6 · SG · 6'4" 202 · 24
DNP - Injury/Illness | Left Knee; Soreness
#5 · SG · 6'5" 206 · 24
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Bilateral Knee; Patellar tendinitis
#23 · PF · 6'10" 251 · 31
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Knee; Surgery
#18 · PG · 6'2" 179 · 22
INACTIVE
#14 · SF · 6'7" 205 · 21
INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
98
53%
33
24
8
2
16
26
12
21
17-21
81%
18-40
45%
15-41
37%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.