for complete access.
All Games Monday, February 10, 2020
FinalWin Prob.pScore
16
Spurs
35%108
120
10
Nuggets
65%114
127
ORTG#PossPace
SAS logo SAS
127.794102.0
DEN logo DEN
136.69387.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

NuggetsSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

NuggetsSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventSASDEN
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.120
0%
127
100%
Q4 - 0:10.8NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound120
0.1%
127
99.9%
Q4 - 0:14.1SpursDerrick White misses three point jump shot120
0.1%
127
99.9%
Q4 - 0:19.0NuggetsMonte Morris makes regular free throw 2 of 2120
0.1%
127
99.9%
Q4 - 0:19.0NuggetsMonte Morris makes regular free throw 1 of 2120
0.2%
126
99.8%
Q4 - 0:19.0SpursLonnie Walker IV personal foul (Take) (Monte Morris draws the foul)120
0.2%
125
99.8%
Q4 - 0:26.1SpursBryn Forbes makes regular free throw 3 of 3120
0.6%
125
99.4%
Q4 - 0:26.1SpursBryn Forbes makes regular free throw 2 of 3119
0.5%
125
99.5%
Q4 - 0:26.1SpursBryn Forbes makes regular free throw 1 of 3118
0.5%
125
99.5%
Q4 - 0:26.1NuggetsGary Harris shooting foul (Bryn Forbes draws the foul)117
0.4%
125
99.6%
Q4 - 0:30.4NuggetsNikola Jokic makes regular free throw 2 of 2117
0.2%
125
99.8%
Q4 - 0:30.4NuggetsNikola Jokic makes regular free throw 1 of 2117
0.2%
124
99.8%
Q4 - 0:30.4SpursDejounte Murray personal foul (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)117
0.2%
123
99.8%
Q4 - 0:43.5SpursDerrick White makes regular free throw 2 of 2117
0.8%
123
99.2%
Q4 - 0:43.5SpursDerrick White makes regular free throw 1 of 2116
0.7%
123
99.3%
Q4 - 0:43.5NuggetsJamal Murray shooting foul (Derrick White draws the foul)115
0.6%
123
99.4%
Q4 - 0:47.9NuggetsNikola Jokic makes regular free throw 2 of 2115
0.5%
123
99.5%
Q4 - 0:47.9NuggetsNikola Jokic makes regular free throw 1 of 2115
0.6%
122
99.4%
Q4 - 0:47.9SpursLaMarcus Aldridge shooting foul (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)115
0.6%
121
99.4%
Q4 - 1:08SpursDerrick White makes regular free throw 2 of 2115
1.4%
121
98.6%
Q4 - 1:08SpursDerrick White makes regular free throw 1 of 2114
1.2%
121
98.8%
Q4 - 1:08NuggetsJamal Murray shooting foul (Derrick White draws the foul)113
1.1%
121
98.9%
Q4 - 1:12NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point floating jump shot (Jamal Murray assists)113
0.9%
121
99.1%
Q4 - 1:29SpursLaMarcus Aldridge makes two point layup (Derrick White assists)113
2.1%
119
97.9%
Q4 - 1:37SpursTrey Lyles defensive rebound111
1.6%
119
98.4%
Q4 - 1:41NuggetsJamal Murray misses two point fadeaway jump shot111
1.5%
119
98.5%
Q4 - 2:05SpursBryn Forbes makes two point finger roll layup (Derrick White assists)111
1.1%
119
98.9%
Q4 - 2:15SpursSpurs offensive rebound109
0.8%
119
99.2%
Q4 - 2:16SpursDerrick White misses two point floating jump shot109
0.5%
119
99.5%
Q4 - 2:37NuggetsJamal Murray makes three point jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)109
0.8%
119
99.2%
Q4 - 2:53NuggetsNuggets defensive rebound109
2.4%
116
97.6%
Q4 - 2:55SpursDejounte Murray misses three point jump shot109
2.8%
116
97.2%
Q4 - 3:11NuggetsTorrey Craig makes three point jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)109
4.0%
116
96.0%
Q4 - 3:13NuggetsNikola Jokic offensive rebound109
7.9%
113
92.1%
Q4 - 3:14NuggetsTorrey Craig misses two point jump shot109
11.3%
113
88.7%
Q4 - 3:16NuggetsTorrey Craig offensive rebound109
7.8%
113
92.2%
Q4 - 3:19NuggetsJamal Murray misses three point step back jump shot109
11.3%
113
88.7%
Q4 - 3:30NuggetsTorrey Craig defensive rebound109
7.7%
113
92.3%
Q4 - 3:34SpursMarco Belinelli misses three point jump shot109
12.3%
113
87.7%
Q4 - 3:42SpursTrey Lyles defensive rebound109
15.4%
113
84.6%
Q4 - 3:45NuggetsJerami Grant misses three point jump shot109
13.8%
113
86.2%
Q4 - 3:57NuggetsNuggets defensive rebound109
10.7%
113
89.3%
Q4 - 3:57SpursDejounte Murray misses two point driving layup109
11.9%
113
88.1%
Q4 - 4:02SpursBryn Forbes offensive rebound109
15.1%
113
84.9%
Q4 - 4:05SpursLaMarcus Aldridge misses three point jump shot109
11.8%
113
88.2%
Q4 - 4:23NuggetsGary Harris makes three point jump shot (Jerami Grant assists)109
15.0%
113
85.0%
Q4 - 4:40NuggetsTorrey Craig defensive rebound109
26.5%
110
73.5%
Q4 - 4:42SpursTrey Lyles misses two point floating jump shot109
29.0%
110
71.0%
Q4 - 5:02NuggetsJamal Murray makes two point fadeaway jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)109
34.5%
110
65.5%
Q4 - 5:22NuggetsNuggets defensive rebound109
41.9%
108
58.1%
Q4 - 5:24SpursJerami Grant blocks LaMarcus Aldridge's two point layup109
44.5%
108
55.5%
Q4 - 5:44NuggetsJamal Murray makes two point floating jump shot109
50.7%
108
49.3%
Q4 - 5:59NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound109
58.4%
106
41.6%
Q4 - 6:01SpursLaMarcus Aldridge misses regular free throw 2 of 2109
56.2%
106
43.8%
Q4 - 6:01SpursLaMarcus Aldridge misses regular free throw 1 of 2109
61.2%
106
38.8%
Q4 - 6:01NuggetsNikola Jokic shooting foul (LaMarcus Aldridge draws the foul)109
66.9%
106
33.1%
Q4 - 6:21NuggetsJamal Murray makes two point step back jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)109
63.4%
106
36.6%
Q4 - 6:41SpursLaMarcus Aldridge makes two point fadeaway jump shot109
69.2%
104
30.8%
Q4 - 6:46SpursSpurs offensive rebound107
63.5%
104
36.5%
Q4 - 6:46SpursTorrey Craig blocks Dejounte Murray's two point driving layup107
57.9%
104
42.1%
Q4 - 6:57NuggetsJamal Murray makes two point floating jump shot107
63.6%
104
36.4%
Q4 - 7:21SpursBryn Forbes makes three point jump shot (Marco Belinelli assists)107
66.4%
102
33.6%
Q4 - 7:34SpursTrey Lyles defensive rebound104
54.3%
102
45.7%
Q4 - 7:37NuggetsJordan McRae misses three point jump shot104
52.0%
102
48.0%
Q4 - 7:55SpursLaMarcus Aldridge makes two point jump shot (Dejounte Murray assists)104
46.6%
102
53.4%
Q4 - 8:09SpursDejounte Murray defensive rebound102
39.7%
102
60.3%
Q4 - 8:13NuggetsMonte Morris misses two point floating jump shot102
37.9%
102
62.1%
Q4 - 8:20SpursPatty Mills personal foul (PJ Dozier draws the foul)102
33.8%
102
66.2%
Q4 - 8:32SpursLaMarcus Aldridge makes three point jump shot (Patty Mills assists)102
33.8%
102
66.2%
Q4 - 8:55NuggetsJamal Murray personal foul (Bryn Forbes draws the foul)99
23.6%
102
76.4%
Q4 - 8:56SpursBryn Forbes defensive rebound99
23.6%
102
76.4%
Q4 - 8:56NuggetsJordan McRae misses two point putback layup99
22.2%
102
77.8%
Q4 - 8:57NuggetsJordan McRae offensive rebound99
19.2%
102
80.8%
Q4 - 8:58NuggetsPJ Dozier misses two point driving layup99
22.2%
102
77.8%
Q4 - 8:59SpursTrey Lyles turnover (bad pass) (PJ Dozier steals)99
19.2%
102
80.8%
Q4 - 9:02NuggetsPaul Millsap makes three point jump shot (Monte Morris assists)99
23.9%
102
76.1%
Q4 - 9:13NuggetsPaul Millsap defensive rebound99
33.3%
99
66.7%
Q4 - 9:16SpursPatty Mills misses three point jump shot99
35.1%
99
64.9%
Q4 - 9:26NuggetsPaul Millsap makes two point driving layup (Monte Morris assists)99
39.2%
99
60.8%
Q4 - 9:38SpursMarco Belinelli personal foul (Take) (Jordan McRae draws the foul)99
44.8%
97
55.2%
Q4 - 9:39SpursPatty Mills turnover (bad pass) (Jordan McRae steals)99
44.8%
97
55.2%
Q4 - 9:44SpursRudy Gay makes technical free throw 1 of 199
51.1%
97
48.9%
Q4 - 9:44NuggetsNuggets technical foul (Defensive three second)98
49.6%
97
50.4%
Q4 - 9:55SpursRudy Gay defensive rebound98
45.1%
97
54.9%
Q4 - 9:58NuggetsJamal Murray misses two point finger roll layup98
43.2%
97
56.8%
Q4 - 10:03NuggetsJamal Murray defensive rebound98
38.9%
97
61.1%
Q4 - 10:04SpursDejounte Murray misses two point driving layup98
40.6%
97
59.4%
Q4 - 10:14SpursDejounte Murray defensive rebound98
44.5%
97
55.5%
Q4 - 10:17NuggetsJamal Murray misses three point jump shot98
42.8%
97
57.2%
Q4 - 10:25NuggetsPJ Dozier defensive rebound98
38.9%
97
61.1%
Q4 - 10:28SpursPatty Mills misses three point jump shot98
40.6%
97
59.4%
Q4 - 10:41NuggetsPJ Dozier makes two point jump shot98
44.6%
97
55.4%
Q4 - 11:02SpursRudy Gay makes three point jump shot (Jakob Poeltl assists)98
49.5%
95
50.5%
Q4 - 11:16NuggetsJamal Murray makes three point step back jump shot95
38.8%
95
61.2%
Q4 - 11:33SpursJakob Poeltl makes two point layup (Dejounte Murray assists)95
49.5%
92
50.5%
Q4 - 11:52NuggetsPaul Millsap makes three point jump shot (PJ Dozier assists)93
44.1%
92
55.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.93
54.9%
89
45.1%
Q3 - 0:01.1NuggetsMonte Morris makes three point jump shot93
58.5%
89
41.5%
Q3 - 0:04.2SpursLaMarcus Aldridge turnover (lost ball) (Monte Morris steals)93
68.1%
86
31.9%
Q3 - 0:20.8NuggetsPaul Millsap makes three point jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)93
72.3%
86
27.7%
Q3 - 0:31.3NuggetsPaul Millsap defensive rebound93
79.9%
83
20.1%
Q3 - 0:33.7SpursMarco Belinelli misses three point jump shot93
80.9%
83
19.1%
Q3 - 0:52.6NuggetsJordan McRae makes three point step back jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)93
82.9%
83
17.1%
Q3 - 1:04NuggetsPaul Millsap defensive rebound93
86.2%
80
13.8%
Q3 - 1:07SpursRudy Gay misses two point jump shot93
86.9%
80
13.1%
Q3 - 1:24SpursLaMarcus Aldridge defensive rebound93
88.5%
80
11.5%
Q3 - 1:26NuggetsPaul Millsap misses two point step back jump shot93
87.9%
80
12.1%
Q3 - 1:36SpursDerrick White makes regular free throw 2 of 293
86.3%
80
13.7%
Q3 - 1:36SpursDerrick White makes regular free throw 1 of 292
85.9%
80
14.1%
Q3 - 1:36NuggetsNikola Jokic shooting foul (Derrick White draws the foul)91
85.5%
80
14.5%
Q3 - 1:53NuggetsMonte Morris makes two point jump shot91
84.0%
80
16.0%
Q3 - 2:14NuggetsPaul Millsap defensive rebound91
84.3%
78
15.7%
Q3 - 2:16SpursRudy Gay misses two point jump shot91
85.1%
78
14.9%
Q3 - 2:21SpursSpurs offensive rebound91
86.8%
78
13.2%
Q3 - 2:21SpursPaul Millsap blocks Derrick White's two point driving layup91
85.1%
78
14.9%
Q3 - 2:39NuggetsJordan McRae makes regular free throw 2 of 291
86.9%
78
13.1%
Q3 - 2:39NuggetsJordan McRae makes regular free throw 1 of 291
87.2%
77
12.8%
Q3 - 2:39SpursDerrick White shooting foul (Jordan McRae draws the foul)91
87.7%
76
12.3%
Q3 - 2:42NuggetsJordan McRae defensive rebound91
88.6%
76
11.4%
Q3 - 2:45SpursPatty Mills misses three point jump shot91
89.2%
76
10.8%
Q3 - 3:04NuggetsPaul Millsap makes regular free throw 1 of 191
89.3%
76
10.7%
Q3 - 3:04SpursDerrick White shooting foul (Paul Millsap draws the foul)91
89.6%
75
10.4%
Q3 - 3:25SpursPatty Mills makes three point jump shot (Rudy Gay assists)91
92.2%
73
7.8%
Q3 - 3:44NuggetsPaul Millsap makes two point jump shot88
89.4%
73
10.6%
Q3 - 3:56NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound88
90.8%
71
9.2%
Q3 - 3:58SpursNikola Jokic blocks Derrick White's two point finger roll layup88
91.3%
71
8.7%
Q3 - 4:17SpursRudy Gay defensive rebound88
91.1%
71
8.9%
Q3 - 4:20NuggetsPJ Dozier misses regular free throw 2 of 288
90.9%
71
9.1%
Q3 - 4:20NuggetsPJ Dozier makes regular free throw 1 of 288
90.0%
71
10.0%
Q3 - 4:20SpursRudy Gay shooting foul (PJ Dozier draws the foul)88
90.4%
70
9.6%
Q3 - 4:23SpursLaMarcus Aldridge turnover (traveling)88
90.9%
70
9.1%
Q3 - 4:34NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point finger roll layup (Paul Millsap assists)88
92.5%
70
7.5%
Q3 - 4:36NuggetsPaul Millsap offensive rebound88
93.4%
68
6.6%
Q3 - 4:40NuggetsMonte Morris misses three point jump shot88
94.2%
68
5.8%
Q3 - 4:59SpursDerrick White makes regular free throw 2 of 288
93.4%
68
6.6%
Q3 - 4:59SpursDerrick White makes regular free throw 1 of 287
93.2%
68
6.8%
Q3 - 4:59NuggetsJordan McRae shooting foul (Derrick White draws the foul)86
93.0%
68
7.0%
Q3 - 5:22SpursSpurs defensive rebound86
91.4%
68
8.6%
Q3 - 5:22NuggetsTrey Lyles blocks Paul Millsap's two point floating jump shot86
91.0%
68
9.0%
Q3 - 5:28NuggetsJordan McRae defensive rebound86
89.9%
68
10.1%
Q3 - 5:32SpursLaMarcus Aldridge misses three point jump shot86
90.4%
68
9.6%
Q3 - 5:53NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point jump shot86
91.4%
68
8.6%
Q3 - 6:03NuggetsJamal Murray makes technical free throw 1 of 186
91.3%
66
8.7%
Q3 - 6:03SpursSpurs technical foul (Defensive three second)86
91.6%
65
8.4%
Q3 - 6:17NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound86
92.5%
65
7.5%
Q3 - 6:19SpursLaMarcus Aldridge misses three point jump shot86
92.9%
65
7.1%
Q3 - 6:33NuggetsJamal Murray makes two point jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)86
93.6%
65
6.4%
Q3 - 6:49SpursTrey Lyles makes three point jump shot (LaMarcus Aldridge assists)86
94.5%
63
5.5%
Q3 - 7:14NuggetsJamal Murray makes two point layup (Nikola Jokic assists)83
91.9%
63
8.1%
Q3 - 7:30SpursLaMarcus Aldridge makes two point layup (Trey Lyles assists)83
92.8%
61
7.2%
Q3 - 7:35SpursTrey Lyles defensive rebound81
91.9%
61
8.1%
Q3 - 7:37NuggetsJerami Grant misses two point layup81
91.5%
61
8.5%
Q3 - 7:40NuggetsJerami Grant defensive rebound81
90.6%
61
9.4%
Q3 - 7:41SpursDejounte Murray misses two point driving hook shot81
91.0%
61
9.0%
Q3 - 7:49SpursTrey Lyles defensive rebound81
91.9%
61
8.1%
Q3 - 7:52NuggetsJerami Grant misses three point jump shot81
91.5%
61
8.5%
Q3 - 8:06SpursDejounte Murray makes two point driving layup (Lonnie Walker IV assists)81
89.9%
61
10.1%
Q3 - 8:13SpursLonnie Walker IV defensive rebound79
88.8%
61
11.2%
Q3 - 8:17NuggetsNikola Jokic misses three point jump shot79
88.2%
61
11.8%
Q3 - 8:22NuggetsJamal Murray defensive rebound79
87.0%
61
13.0%
Q3 - 8:25SpursLonnie Walker IV misses two point putback layup79
87.5%
61
12.5%
Q3 - 8:26SpursLonnie Walker IV offensive rebound79
88.8%
61
11.2%
Q3 - 8:29SpursLaMarcus Aldridge misses two point jump shot79
87.6%
61
12.4%
Q3 - 8:44NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point putback layup79
88.8%
61
11.2%
Q3 - 8:46NuggetsNikola Jokic offensive rebound79
90.0%
59
10.0%
Q3 - 8:47NuggetsJamal Murray misses three point step back jump shot79
91.0%
59
9.0%
Q3 - 9:17SpursLaMarcus Aldridge makes three point jump shot (Dejounte Murray assists)79
89.0%
59
11.0%
Q3 - 9:31NuggetsJamal Murray makes two point floating jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)76
86.1%
59
13.9%
Q3 - 9:53SpursDejounte Murray makes two point finger roll layup76
87.6%
57
12.4%
Q3 - 10:03NuggetsGary Harris makes two point floating jump shot (Jamal Murray assists)74
85.0%
57
15.0%
Q3 - 10:13SpursLonnie Walker IV personal foul (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)74
86.4%
55
13.6%
Q3 - 10:27SpursBryn Forbes makes three point jump shot (Dejounte Murray assists)74
86.4%
55
13.6%
Q3 - 10:33SpursLaMarcus Aldridge defensive rebound71
83.2%
55
16.8%
Q3 - 10:35NuggetsJamal Murray misses two point driving dunk71
82.5%
55
17.5%
Q3 - 10:44NuggetsTorrey Craig defensive rebound71
80.8%
55
19.2%
Q3 - 10:47SpursLonnie Walker IV misses regular free throw 1 of 171
81.2%
55
18.8%
Q3 - 10:47NuggetsJerami Grant shooting foul (Lonnie Walker IV draws the foul)71
82.5%
55
17.5%
Q3 - 10:53NuggetsNikola Jokic turnover (bad pass) (Trey Lyles steals)69
78.9%
55
21.1%
Q3 - 10:59SpursTrey Lyles turnover (bad pass) (Jamal Murray steals)69
76.2%
55
23.8%
Q3 - 10:59SpursTrey Lyles offensive rebound69
79.0%
55
21.0%
Q3 - 11:04SpursLonnie Walker IV misses two point jump shot69
75.8%
55
24.2%
Q3 - 11:17NuggetsJamal Murray makes two point fadeaway jump shot69
77.6%
55
22.4%
Q3 - 11:42SpursLaMarcus Aldridge makes two point jump shot (Lonnie Walker IV assists)69
79.8%
53
20.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.67
77.7%
53
22.3%
Q2 - 0:00.2SpursSpurs offensive rebound67
75.7%
53
24.3%
Q2 - 0:00.2SpursDerrick White misses two point fadeaway jump shot67
74.5%
53
25.5%
Q2 - 0:17.0NuggetsNikola Jokic turnover (offensive foul)67
75.8%
53
24.2%
Q2 - 0:17.0NuggetsNikola Jokic offensive foul (Jakob Poeltl draws the foul)67
74.1%
53
25.9%
Q2 - 0:30.5SpursDejounte Murray makes regular free throw 3 of 367
74.1%
53
25.9%
Q2 - 0:30.5SpursDejounte Murray makes regular free throw 2 of 366
73.5%
53
26.5%
Q2 - 0:30.5SpursDejounte Murray makes regular free throw 1 of 365
72.8%
53
27.2%
Q2 - 0:30.5NuggetsJamal Murray makes technical free throw 1 of 164
68.0%
53
32.0%
Q2 - 0:30.5SpursDejounte Murray technical foul64
68.7%
52
31.3%
Q2 - 0:30.5NuggetsTorrey Craig shooting foul (Dejounte Murray draws the foul)64
74.7%
52
25.3%
Q2 - 0:52.1NuggetsJamal Murray turnover (traveling)64
70.8%
52
29.2%
Q2 - 1:10NuggetsNuggets defensive rebound64
68.0%
52
32.0%
Q2 - 1:10SpursLonnie Walker IV misses two point floating jump shot64
68.5%
52
31.5%
Q2 - 1:28NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point jump shot (Gary Harris assists)64
69.6%
52
30.4%
Q2 - 1:43SpursTrey Lyles makes two point driving layup (Lonnie Walker IV assists)64
73.3%
50
26.7%
Q2 - 2:00NuggetsJamal Murray makes two point jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)62
69.7%
50
30.3%
Q2 - 2:27SpursJakob Poeltl makes two point floating jump shot (Bryn Forbes assists)62
71.3%
48
28.7%
Q2 - 2:43SpursTrey Lyles defensive rebound60
68.8%
48
31.2%
Q2 - 2:47NuggetsGary Harris misses two point jump shot60
68.0%
48
32.0%
Q2 - 2:57NuggetsTorrey Craig offensive rebound60
66.2%
48
33.8%
Q2 - 3:00NuggetsJamal Murray misses three point jump shot60
68.0%
48
32.0%
Q2 - 3:21NuggetsGary Harris defensive rebound60
64.1%
48
35.9%
Q2 - 3:26SpursBryn Forbes misses three point jump shot60
65.0%
48
35.0%
Q2 - 3:35SpursJakob Poeltl defensive rebound60
67.0%
48
33.0%
Q2 - 3:37NuggetsGary Harris misses two point floating jump shot60
66.2%
48
33.8%
Q2 - 3:46NuggetsTorrey Craig defensive rebound60
64.2%
48
35.8%
Q2 - 3:49SpursDejounte Murray misses two point jump shot60
65.1%
48
34.9%
Q2 - 4:00NuggetsNikola Jokic makes regular free throw 2 of 260
67.1%
48
32.9%
Q2 - 4:00NuggetsNikola Jokic makes regular free throw 1 of 260
67.5%
47
32.5%
Q2 - 4:00SpursDejounte Murray personal foul (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)60
67.9%
46
32.1%
Q2 - 4:07SpursLonnie Walker IV turnover (out of bounds step)60
67.9%
46
32.1%
Q2 - 4:15NuggetsTorrey Craig makes regular free throw 2 of 260
70.3%
46
29.7%
Q2 - 4:15NuggetsTorrey Craig makes regular free throw 1 of 260
70.9%
45
29.1%
Q2 - 4:15SpursJakob Poeltl personal foul (Torrey Craig draws the foul)60
71.7%
44
28.3%
Q2 - 4:27SpursLaMarcus Aldridge turnover (offensive foul)60
72.6%
44
27.4%
Q2 - 4:27SpursLaMarcus Aldridge offensive foul (Off the ball) (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)60
74.8%
44
25.3%
Q2 - 4:45NuggetsNikola Jokic makes regular free throw 2 of 260
74.8%
44
25.2%
Q2 - 4:45NuggetsNikola Jokic misses regular free throw 1 of 260
75.1%
43
24.9%
Q2 - 4:45SpursLonnie Walker IV shooting foul (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)60
73.3%
43
26.7%
Q2 - 4:52NuggetsJerami Grant defensive rebound60
74.8%
43
25.2%
Q2 - 4:57SpursLaMarcus Aldridge misses two point jump shot60
75.4%
43
24.6%
Q2 - 5:03SpursLaMarcus Aldridge defensive rebound60
76.1%
43
23.9%
Q2 - 5:05NuggetsJamal Murray misses two point driving layup60
75.3%
43
24.7%
Q2 - 5:13SpursDejounte Murray makes two point dunk60
73.6%
43
26.4%
Q2 - 5:17NuggetsJamal Murray turnover (bad pass) (Dejounte Murray steals)58
71.9%
43
28.1%
Q2 - 5:29NuggetsJerami Grant defensive rebound58
69.2%
43
30.8%
Q2 - 5:32SpursRudy Gay misses three point jump shot58
70.0%
43
30.0%
Q2 - 5:51SpursDejounte Murray defensive rebound58
71.9%
43
28.1%
Q2 - 5:56NuggetsTorrey Craig misses three point jump shot58
71.1%
43
28.9%
Q2 - 6:09SpursLaMarcus Aldridge personal foul (Jamal Murray draws the foul)58
68.1%
43
31.9%
Q2 - 6:16SpursDejounte Murray makes two point layup (Lonnie Walker IV assists)58
68.1%
43
31.9%
Q2 - 6:22NuggetsNikola Jokic turnover (bad pass) (Lonnie Walker IV steals)56
66.3%
43
33.7%
Q2 - 6:43SpursRudy Gay makes two point jump shot56
63.3%
43
36.7%
Q2 - 7:00SpursLonnie Walker IV defensive rebound54
61.4%
43
38.6%
Q2 - 7:01NuggetsNikola Jokic misses two point driving hook shot54
59.2%
43
40.8%
Q2 - 7:22SpursRudy Gay makes three point jump shot (LaMarcus Aldridge assists)54
57.5%
43
42.5%
Q2 - 7:38NuggetsJerami Grant makes three point jump shot (Jordan McRae assists)51
52.5%
43
47.5%
Q2 - 7:41NuggetsJerami Grant defensive rebound51
57.5%
40
42.5%
Q2 - 7:41SpursLonnie Walker IV misses two point putback layup51
58.3%
40
41.7%
Q2 - 7:41SpursLonnie Walker IV offensive rebound51
60.1%
40
39.9%
Q2 - 7:48SpursMarco Belinelli misses three point jump shot51
58.3%
40
41.7%
Q2 - 8:00NuggetsPaul Millsap makes regular free throw 2 of 251
60.1%
40
39.9%
Q2 - 8:00NuggetsPaul Millsap misses regular free throw 1 of 251
60.6%
39
39.4%
Q2 - 8:00SpursJakob Poeltl shooting foul (Paul Millsap draws the foul)51
58.7%
39
41.3%
Q2 - 8:12NuggetsJordan McRae defensive rebound51
59.5%
39
40.5%
Q2 - 8:15SpursDerrick White misses three point jump shot51
60.3%
39
39.7%
Q2 - 8:19NuggetsJordan McRae personal foul (Patty Mills draws the foul)51
62.1%
39
37.9%
Q2 - 8:29NuggetsJordan McRae makes three point jump shot (Jamal Murray assists)51
62.1%
39
37.9%
Q2 - 8:52SpursPatty Mills makes two point reverse layup51
66.6%
36
33.4%
Q2 - 8:56NuggetsMonte Morris turnover (lost ball) (Marco Belinelli steals)49
64.4%
36
35.6%
Q2 - 9:06SpursJakob Poeltl turnover (lost ball) (Paul Millsap steals)49
60.9%
36
39.1%
Q2 - 9:14SpursJakob Poeltl defensive rebound49
63.4%
36
36.6%
Q2 - 9:15NuggetsPaul Millsap misses two point jump shot49
62.6%
36
37.4%
Q2 - 9:39SpursDerrick White makes regular free throw 2 of 249
61.0%
36
39.0%
Q2 - 9:39SpursDerrick White makes regular free throw 1 of 248
60.6%
36
39.4%
Q2 - 9:39NuggetsPJ Dozier shooting foul (Derrick White draws the foul)47
60.1%
36
39.9%
Q2 - 9:52SpursDerrick White defensive rebound47
58.8%
36
41.2%
Q2 - 9:56NuggetsPaul Millsap misses three point jump shot47
58.0%
36
42.0%
Q2 - 10:01NuggetsJordan McRae defensive rebound47
55.5%
36
44.5%
Q2 - 10:03SpursRudy Gay misses two point jump shot47
56.3%
36
43.7%
Q2 - 10:23NuggetsMonte Morris makes three point jump shot (Jordan McRae assists)47
58.1%
36
41.9%
Q2 - 10:35NuggetsPaul Millsap offensive rebound47
62.5%
33
37.5%
Q2 - 10:37NuggetsKeita Bates-Diop misses regular free throw 2 of 247
64.6%
33
35.4%
Q2 - 10:37NuggetsKeita Bates-Diop makes regular free throw 1 of 247
63.2%
33
36.8%
Q2 - 10:37SpursDerrick White shooting foul (Keita Bates-Diop draws the foul)47
63.8%
32
36.2%
Q2 - 10:51SpursRudy Gay makes two point driving layup47
64.7%
32
35.3%
Q2 - 10:59SpursRudy Gay defensive rebound45
62.7%
32
37.3%
Q2 - 11:03NuggetsJordan McRae misses three point jump shot45
60.7%
32
39.3%
Q2 - 11:12SpursRudy Gay makes regular free throw 2 of 245
59.3%
32
40.7%
Q2 - 11:12SpursRudy Gay makes regular free throw 1 of 244
58.9%
32
41.1%
Q2 - 11:12NuggetsPJ Dozier shooting foul (Rudy Gay draws the foul)43
58.5%
32
41.5%
Q2 - 11:12SpursRudy Gay offensive rebound43
56.8%
32
43.2%
Q2 - 11:12SpursKeita Bates-Diop blocks Rudy Gay's two point jump shot43
55.3%
32
44.7%
Q2 - 11:26NuggetsPaul Millsap makes two point floating jump shot (Monte Morris assists)43
56.9%
32
43.1%
Q2 - 11:47SpursPatty Mills makes three point jump shot (Jakob Poeltl assists)43
59.4%
30
40.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.40
54.6%
30
45.4%
Q1 - 0:00.8SpursSpurs offensive rebound40
53.7%
30
46.3%
Q1 - 0:00.8SpursDerrick White misses three point jump shot40
52.4%
30
47.6%
Q1 - 0:06.8NuggetsMonte Morris makes two point jump shot (Jordan McRae assists)40
53.7%
30
46.3%
Q1 - 0:28.5SpursJakob Poeltl makes two point hook shot (Derrick White assists)40
56.5%
28
43.5%
Q1 - 0:41.2NuggetsKeita Bates-Diop makes two point finger roll layup (Paul Millsap assists)38
53.7%
28
46.3%
Q1 - 0:42.8SpursDerrick White turnover (lost ball) (Paul Millsap steals)38
56.5%
26
43.5%
Q1 - 0:43.2SpursDerrick White defensive rebound38
58.3%
26
41.7%
Q1 - 0:46.3NuggetsPaul Millsap misses two point floating jump shot38
57.8%
26
42.2%
Q1 - 1:01SpursDerrick White makes three point step back jump shot (LaMarcus Aldridge assists)38
56.4%
26
43.6%
Q1 - 1:13SpursPatty Mills defensive rebound35
51.4%
26
48.6%
Q1 - 1:15NuggetsMonte Morris misses two point jump shot35
50.8%
26
49.2%
Q1 - 1:29SpursLaMarcus Aldridge makes two point putback dunk35
49.5%
26
50.5%
Q1 - 1:29SpursLaMarcus Aldridge offensive rebound33
46.8%
26
53.2%
Q1 - 1:36SpursDerrick White misses two point jump shot33
45.5%
26
54.5%
Q1 - 1:47SpursLaMarcus Aldridge offensive rebound33
46.8%
26
53.2%
Q1 - 1:49SpursLaMarcus Aldridge misses two point turnaround jump shot33
45.5%
26
54.5%
Q1 - 2:07NuggetsPaul Millsap makes three point jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)33
46.4%
26
53.6%
Q1 - 2:22SpursDerrick White makes two point driving layup (Marco Belinelli assists)33
50.9%
23
49.1%
Q1 - 2:38NuggetsMonte Morris makes two point layup (Paul Millsap assists)31
48.6%
23
51.4%
Q1 - 2:48NuggetsPaul Millsap defensive rebound31
50.9%
21
49.1%
Q1 - 2:52SpursLaMarcus Aldridge misses two point jump shot31
51.6%
21
48.4%
Q1 - 3:04NuggetsPJ Dozier turnover (offensive foul)31
52.5%
21
47.5%
Q1 - 3:04NuggetsPJ Dozier offensive foul (Off the ball) (Patty Mills draws the foul)31
49.9%
21
50.1%
Q1 - 3:17SpursPatty Mills makes three point jump shot (LaMarcus Aldridge assists)31
49.9%
21
50.1%
Q1 - 3:32NuggetsMonte Morris makes two point driving layup (Nikola Jokic assists)28
46.0%
21
54.0%
Q1 - 3:45SpursLaMarcus Aldridge makes two point alley-oop dunk (Derrick White assists)28
47.8%
19
52.2%
Q1 - 3:55NuggetsPJ Dozier makes three point jump shot (Monte Morris assists)26
46.0%
19
54.0%
Q1 - 4:00NuggetsJerami Grant defensive rebound26
50.0%
16
50.0%
Q1 - 4:02SpursLaMarcus Aldridge misses three point jump shot26
50.0%
16
50.0%
Q1 - 4:15NuggetsJerami Grant turnover (bad pass) (Lonnie Walker IV steals)26
51.8%
16
48.2%
Q1 - 4:35SpursLaMarcus Aldridge makes two point turnaround hook shot26
49.3%
16
50.7%
Q1 - 4:54NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point putback layup24
47.6%
16
52.4%
Q1 - 4:54NuggetsNikola Jokic offensive rebound24
49.3%
14
50.7%
Q1 - 4:59NuggetsJerami Grant misses two point jump shot24
51.1%
14
48.9%
Q1 - 5:07SpursLaMarcus Aldridge personal foul (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)24
48.1%
14
51.9%
Q1 - 5:18SpursBryn Forbes makes three point jump shot (Dejounte Murray assists)24
48.2%
14
51.8%
Q1 - 5:24SpursDejounte Murray offensive rebound21
44.3%
14
55.7%
Q1 - 5:26SpursLaMarcus Aldridge misses two point reverse layup21
42.8%
14
57.2%
Q1 - 5:44NuggetsTorrey Craig makes three point jump shot (Jamal Murray assists)21
44.3%
14
55.7%
Q1 - 6:07SpursLonnie Walker IV makes two point finger roll layup (Dejounte Murray assists)21
47.3%
11
52.7%
Q1 - 6:16SpursDejounte Murray defensive rebound19
45.3%
11
54.7%
Q1 - 6:19NuggetsJamal Murray misses three point jump shot19
44.7%
11
55.3%
Q1 - 6:25NuggetsGary Harris defensive rebound19
43.4%
11
56.6%
Q1 - 6:27SpursLaMarcus Aldridge misses two point jump shot19
44.0%
11
56.0%
Q1 - 6:45NuggetsJerami Grant makes three point jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)19
45.3%
11
54.7%
Q1 - 6:56NuggetsTorrey Craig offensive rebound19
49.3%
8
50.7%
Q1 - 6:59NuggetsJamal Murray misses three point jump shot19
50.6%
8
49.4%
Q1 - 7:19SpursDejounte Murray makes three point jump shot (Bryn Forbes assists)19
48.0%
8
52.0%
Q1 - 7:31SpursBryn Forbes defensive rebound16
44.5%
8
55.5%
Q1 - 7:35NuggetsTorrey Craig misses three point jump shot16
43.9%
8
56.1%
Q1 - 7:50SpursLaMarcus Aldridge makes three point jump shot (Bryn Forbes assists)16
42.5%
8
57.5%
Q1 - 8:06NuggetsJerami Grant makes two point driving layup (Gary Harris assists)13
38.8%
8
61.2%
Q1 - 8:18SpursTrey Lyles makes two point driving layup (LaMarcus Aldridge assists)13
40.4%
6
59.6%
Q1 - 8:30NuggetsNikola Jokic personal foul (Take) (Bryn Forbes draws the foul)11
38.8%
6
61.2%
Q1 - 8:30NuggetsNikola Jokic turnover (bad pass) (LaMarcus Aldridge steals)11
38.8%
6
61.2%
Q1 - 8:35NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound11
36.9%
6
63.1%
Q1 - 8:38SpursLaMarcus Aldridge misses two point jump shot11
37.5%
6
62.5%
Q1 - 9:02NuggetsTorrey Craig makes three point step back jump shot (Jamal Murray assists)11
38.6%
6
61.4%
Q1 - 9:16SpursLaMarcus Aldridge makes three point jump shot (Dejounte Murray assists)11
41.8%
3
58.2%
Q1 - 9:28NuggetsGary Harris makes three point jump shot (Jamal Murray assists)8
38.6%
3
61.4%
Q1 - 9:49SpursLaMarcus Aldridge makes two point jump shot (Dejounte Murray assists)8
41.8%
0
58.2%
Q1 - 10:01NuggetsNuggets turnover (shot clock violation)6
40.0%
0
60.0%
Q1 - 10:26SpursTrey Lyles makes three point jump shot (Dejounte Murray assists)6
38.1%
0
61.9%
Q1 - 10:33SpursDejounte Murray defensive rebound3
35.0%
0
65.0%
Q1 - 10:36NuggetsGary Harris misses three point jump shot3
34.4%
0
65.6%
Q1 - 10:55SpursLaMarcus Aldridge makes regular free throw 3 of 33
33.1%
0
66.9%
Q1 - 10:55SpursLaMarcus Aldridge makes regular free throw 2 of 32
32.9%
0
67.1%
Q1 - 10:55SpursLaMarcus Aldridge makes regular free throw 1 of 31
32.7%
0
67.3%
Q1 - 10:55NuggetsJamal Murray shooting foul (LaMarcus Aldridge draws the foul)0
32.4%
0
67.6%
Q1 - 11:01NuggetsNikola Jokic turnover (bad pass) (Bryn Forbes steals)0
30.0%
0
70.0%
Q1 - 11:12SpursLonnie Walker IV turnover (bad pass) (Torrey Craig steals)0
28.4%
0
71.6%
Q1 - 11:12SpursLonnie Walker IV offensive rebound0
30.0%
0
70.0%
Q1 - 11:18SpursBryn Forbes misses two point jump shot0
28.9%
0
71.1%
Q1 - 11:39SpursLaMarcus Aldridge defensive rebound0
30.0%
0
70.0%
Q1 - 11:42NuggetsTorrey Craig misses three point jump shot0
29.5%
0
70.5%
Q1 - 12:00LaMarcus Aldridge vs. Nikola Jokic (Jerami Grant gains possession)0
28.4%
0
71.6%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.22 61.2%
DEN
1.38 69.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
SAS
18
28
64%
DEN
10
17
59%
Midrange
SAS
7
25
28%
DEN
17
28
61%
3PT | Effective 3PT
SAS
16
24.0
32
50%
75%
DEN
18
27.0
35
51%
77%
Free Throws
SAS
22
25
88%
DEN
19
23
83%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. Aldridge3361%16.5 / 27
D. White1550%7.5 / 15
D. Murray1458%7.0 / 12
B. Forbes14100%7.0 / 7
R. Gay1365%6.5 / 10
P. Mills1179%5.5 / 7
T. Lyles10100%5.0 / 5
J. Poeltl6100%3.0 / 3
L. Walker IV433%2.0 / 6
M. Belinelli0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Murray2662%13.0 / 21
P. Millsap2279%11.0 / 14
N. Jokić1979%9.5 / 12
M. Morris1680%8.0 / 10
T. Craig1169%5.5 / 8
J. Grant857%4.0 / 7
G. Harris867%4.0 / 6
J. McRae867%4.0 / 6
P. Dozier675%3.0 / 4
K. Bates-Diop375%1.5 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

SAS
84
+14
-10
98
DEN
83
+9
-10
92
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.22 61.2%
DEN
1.38 69.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
112.2
113.2
SAS 127.7
DEN 136.6 +8.9
Pace
100.6
97.1
SAS 102.0 +15.0
DEN 87.0
Avg. Poss. Time
14.5
15.1
SAS 14.1 +2.4
DEN 16.6
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
53.1%
53.5%
SAS 57.6%
DEN 67.5% +9.9%
TO %
12.0%
13.3%
SAS 9.4% +1.5%
DEN 10.9%
ORB %
20.1%
24.9%
SAS 24.3%
DEN 25.0% +0.7%
FTrt
26.2
23.5
SAS 29.4 +0.6
DEN 28.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.5%
63.6%
SAS 80.5% +4.9%
DEN 75.6%
STL %
7.2%
8.1%
SAS 7.4%
DEN 7.5% +0.1%
BLK %
10.0%
8.8%
SAS 2.2%
DEN 9.4% +7.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
56.1%
55.4%
SAS 61.2%
DEN 69.0% +7.8%
Rim FG%
61.6%
62.0%
SAS 64.3% +5.5%
DEN 58.8%
Mid FG%
44.2%
42.5%
SAS 28.0%
DEN 60.7% +32.7%
3P %
37.6%
35.9%
SAS 50.0%
DEN 51.4% +1.4%
FT %
81.0%
77.7%
SAS 88.0% +5.4%
DEN 82.6%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
29.1%
36.5%
SAS 32.9% +11.7%
DEN 21.3%
Mid Att. %
39.1%
29.1%
SAS 29.4% +5.6%
DEN 35.0%
3P Att. %
31.8%
34.4%
SAS 37.6%
DEN 43.8% +6.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.51 and 2.51.
Game TotalsSASDEN
Possessions9493
Possession Minutes22.125.7
Points120127
Rebounds3637
Assists3334
Steals77
Blocks15
Turnovers (Team)10 (0)10 (1)
Fouls1716
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (5)9 (0)
Def. Rebounds (Team)27 (1)28 (4)
Field Goals41-8545-80
At-the-Rim FG18-2810-17
Midrange FG7-2517-28
2-Point FG25-5327-45
3-Point FG16-3218-35
Free Throws22-2519-23
Fast Break Pts123
2nd Chance Pts1115
Points in Paint3840
Pts off Turnovers1812
Bench Points4555
Biggest Lead2310

BOXSCORE

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16 San Antonio Spurs
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
LaMarcus Aldridge
#12 · PF · 6'11" 260 · 35
35.0
33
61%
6
5
1
0
3
4
2
4
3-5
60%
9-17
53%
4-8
50%
Dejounte Murray
#5 · SG · 6'4" 180 · 23
33.6
14
58%
6
9
1
0
0
2
1
5
3-3
100%
4-9
44%
1-2
50%
Bryn Forbes
#11 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 27
28.6
14
100%
3
4
1
0
0
0
1
2
3-3
100%
1-2
50%
3-4
75%
Trey Lyles
#41 · C · 6'10" 234 · 24
28.6
10
100%
7
1
1
1
2
0
1
6
0-0
-
2-3
67%
2-2
100%
Lonnie Walker IV
#1 · SF · 6'5" 196 · 21
26.9
4
33%
5
4
2
0
2
3
3
2
0-1
0%
2-6
33%
0-0
-
Marco Belinelli
#18 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 34
18.8
0
0%
0
2
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-3
0%
Derrick White
#4 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 26
18.6
15
50%
2
4
0
0
1
3
0
2
10-10
100%
1-6
17%
1-4
25%
Patty Mills
#8 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 31
17.5
11
79%
1
1
0
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
3-6
50%
Rudy Gay
#22 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 33
16.5
13
65%
4
1
0
0
0
1
1
3
3-3
100%
2-6
33%
2-3
67%
Jakob Poeltl
#25 · C · 7'0" 260 · 24
15.7
6
100%
2
2
0
0
1
2
0
2
0-0
-
3-3
100%
0-0
-
DeMar DeRozan
#10 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 31
DNP - Injury/Illness | Bilateral Back; Back Spasms
Chimezie Metu
#7 · PF · 6'10" 219 · 23
DNP - Coach's Decision
Keldon Johnson
#3 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 20
DNP - Coach's Decision
DeMarre Carroll
#77 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 34
Inactive - Coach's Decision
Drew Eubanks
#14 · PF · 6'10" 245 · 23
INACTIVE
Luka Samanic
#19 · PF · 6'11" 227 · 20
Inactive - Coach's Decision
Quinndary Weatherspoon
#15 · SG · 6'3" 205 · 23
INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
120
61%
36
33
7
1
10
17
9
27
22-25
88%
25-53
47%
16-32
50%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.