FinalWin Prob.pScore
1060%113
97
2040%110
105
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
102.195101.3
SAC logo SAC
110.59589.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

KingsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

KingsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIASAC
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.97
0%
105
100%
Q4 - 0:05.0HeatKZ Okpala defensive rebound97
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 0:08.7KingsBuddy Hield misses three point fadeaway jump shot97
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 0:32.1HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Gabe Vincent assists)97
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 0:43.9HeatKZ Okpala defensive rebound94
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 0:47.1KingsKent Bazemore misses three point jump shot94
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 1:08HeatBam Adebayo makes two point dunk (Duncan Robinson assists)94
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 1:10HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound92
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 1:12KingsBogdan Bogdanovic misses three point jump shot92
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 1:31HeatDuncan Robinson turnover (bad pass) (Bogdan Bogdanovic steals)92
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 1:35HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound92
0.3%
105
99.7%
Q4 - 1:38KingsDe'Aaron Fox misses two point driving layup92
0.2%
105
99.8%
Q4 - 1:59HeatDerrick Jones Jr. turnover (out of bounds step)92
0.2%
105
99.8%
Q4 - 2:14HeatDerrick Jones Jr. defensive rebound92
0.4%
105
99.6%
Q4 - 2:17KingsDe'Aaron Fox misses two point jump shot92
0.3%
105
99.7%
Q4 - 2:34KingsBogdan Bogdanovic defensive rebound92
0.2%
105
99.8%
Q4 - 2:38HeatKent Bazemore blocks Gabe Vincent's two point driving layup92
0.2%
105
99.8%
Q4 - 2:44HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound92
0.4%
105
99.6%
Q4 - 2:48KingsKent Bazemore misses two point jump shot92
0.3%
105
99.7%
Q4 - 3:07HeatDerrick Jones Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 292
0.4%
105
99.6%
Q4 - 3:07HeatDerrick Jones Jr. misses regular free throw 1 of 291
0.3%
105
99.7%
Q4 - 3:07KingsNemanja Bjelica shooting foul (Derrick Jones Jr. draws the foul)91
0.4%
105
99.6%
Q4 - 3:07HeatDerrick Jones Jr. offensive rebound91
0.4%
105
99.6%
Q4 - 3:10HeatGabe Vincent misses three point jump shot91
0.3%
105
99.7%
Q4 - 3:18HeatHeat offensive rebound91
0.4%
105
99.6%
Q4 - 3:18HeatBogdan Bogdanovic blocks Kendrick Nunn's two point floating jump shot91
0.3%
105
99.7%
Q4 - 3:24HeatKendrick Nunn defensive rebound91
0.4%
105
99.6%
Q4 - 3:27KingsBuddy Hield misses three point jump shot91
0.3%
105
99.7%
Q4 - 3:41HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 191
0.7%
105
99.3%
Q4 - 3:41KingsKent Bazemore shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)90
0.6%
105
99.4%
Q4 - 3:53KingsDe'Aaron Fox makes regular free throw 2 of 288
0.3%
105
99.7%
Q4 - 3:53KingsDe'Aaron Fox misses regular free throw 1 of 288
0.4%
104
99.6%
Q4 - 3:53HeatDuncan Robinson shooting foul (De'Aaron Fox draws the foul)88
0.3%
104
99.7%
Q4 - 4:11HeatBam Adebayo turnover (traveling)88
0.3%
104
99.7%
Q4 - 4:17KingsNemanja Bjelica personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)88
0.4%
104
99.6%
Q4 - 4:24HeatGabe Vincent defensive rebound88
0.4%
104
99.6%
Q4 - 4:28KingsDe'Aaron Fox misses regular free throw 2 of 288
0.4%
104
99.6%
Q4 - 4:28KingsDe'Aaron Fox makes regular free throw 1 of 288
0.3%
104
99.7%
Q4 - 4:28HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (De'Aaron Fox draws the foul)88
0.4%
103
99.6%
Q4 - 4:42KingsBogdan Bogdanovic defensive rebound88
0.4%
103
99.6%
Q4 - 4:46HeatGabe Vincent misses three point jump shot88
0.5%
103
99.5%
Q4 - 4:53HeatKendrick Nunn defensive rebound88
0.6%
103
99.4%
Q4 - 4:56KingsBuddy Hield misses three point jump shot88
0.5%
103
99.5%
Q4 - 5:09KingsDe'Aaron Fox defensive rebound88
0.8%
103
99.2%
Q4 - 5:16HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot88
0.9%
103
99.1%
Q4 - 5:20HeatKendrick Nunn defensive rebound88
1.2%
103
98.8%
Q4 - 5:26KingsDe'Aaron Fox misses two point jump shot88
1.0%
103
99.0%
Q4 - 5:37KingsBogdan Bogdanovic defensive rebound88
0.8%
103
99.2%
Q4 - 5:42HeatDerrick Jones Jr. misses three point jump shot88
0.9%
103
99.1%
Q4 - 5:48HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound88
1.1%
103
98.9%
Q4 - 5:51KingsBogdan Bogdanovic misses three point jump shot88
1.0%
103
99.0%
Q4 - 6:08KingsKent Bazemore defensive rebound88
1.3%
103
98.7%
Q4 - 6:11HeatDerrick Jones Jr. misses regular free throw 2 of 288
1.4%
103
98.6%
Q4 - 6:11HeatDerrick Jones Jr. misses regular free throw 1 of 288
1.7%
103
98.3%
Q4 - 6:11KingsDe'Aaron Fox shooting foul (Derrick Jones Jr. draws the foul)88
2.1%
103
97.9%
Q4 - 6:28KingsBuddy Hield makes three point jump shot (De'Aaron Fox assists)88
1.8%
103
98.2%
Q4 - 6:46HeatGoran Dragic makes two point turnaround jump shot88
3.1%
100
96.9%
Q4 - 6:57HeatHeat offensive rebound86
2.4%
100
97.6%
Q4 - 6:59HeatKendrick Nunn misses three point jump shot86
1.9%
100
98.1%
Q4 - 7:16KingsKent Bazemore makes two point driving dunk86
3.5%
100
96.5%
Q4 - 7:16HeatGoran Dragic turnover (lost ball) (Kent Bazemore steals)86
4.4%
98
95.6%
Q4 - 7:17HeatGoran Dragic defensive rebound86
5.9%
98
94.1%
Q4 - 7:23KingsBogdan Bogdanovic misses three point jump shot86
5.4%
98
94.6%
Q4 - 7:40HeatDerrick Jones Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 286
4.4%
98
95.6%
Q4 - 7:40HeatDerrick Jones Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 285
4.1%
98
95.9%
Q4 - 7:40KingsNemanja Bjelica shooting foul (Derrick Jones Jr. draws the foul)84
3.8%
98
96.2%
Q4 - 7:49HeatHeat offensive rebound84
3.5%
98
96.5%
Q4 - 7:52HeatGoran Dragic misses three point jump shot84
2.8%
98
97.2%
Q4 - 8:06KingsBogdan Bogdanovic makes two point reverse layup84
4.4%
98
95.6%
Q4 - 8:15KingsKent Bazemore defensive rebound84
5.6%
96
94.4%
Q4 - 8:19HeatKZ Okpala misses three point jump shot84
6.0%
96
94.0%
Q4 - 8:40KingsKent Bazemore makes two point layup (Nemanja Bjelica assists)84
7.1%
96
92.9%
Q4 - 9:01HeatGoran Dragic makes three point step back jump shot84
10.2%
94
89.8%
Q4 - 9:25KingsKent Bazemore makes two point layup (Nemanja Bjelica assists)81
6.6%
94
93.4%
Q4 - 9:42KingsNemanja Bjelica defensive rebound81
8.1%
92
91.9%
Q4 - 9:45HeatGoran Dragic misses two point jump shot81
8.7%
92
91.3%
Q4 - 10:06KingsNemanja Bjelica makes three point jump shot (Buddy Hield assists)81
11.7%
92
88.3%
Q4 - 10:29HeatBam Adebayo turnover (lost ball) (Bogdan Bogdanovic steals)81
17.0%
89
83.0%
Q4 - 10:45KingsCory Joseph makes three point jump shot (Nemanja Bjelica assists)81
20.6%
89
79.4%
Q4 - 11:02HeatGabe Vincent makes three point jump shot (KZ Okpala assists)81
29.7%
86
70.3%
Q4 - 11:26KingsBuddy Hield makes three point jump shot (Nemanja Bjelica assists)78
21.5%
86
78.5%
Q4 - 11:47HeatBam Adebayo makes two point dunk (Duncan Robinson assists)78
29.7%
83
70.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.76
25.3%
83
74.7%
Q3 - 0:00.4HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound76
27.3%
83
72.7%
Q3 - 0:02.2KingsDe'Aaron Fox misses three point jump shot76
26.2%
83
73.8%
Q3 - 0:25.2HeatBam Adebayo turnover (out of bounds lost ball)76
23.5%
83
76.5%
Q3 - 0:28.7HeatKZ Okpala defensive rebound76
27.1%
83
72.9%
Q3 - 0:33.3KingsKent Bazemore misses three point jump shot76
26.0%
83
74.0%
Q3 - 0:46.3HeatKendrick Nunn personal foul (Cory Joseph draws the foul)76
23.4%
83
76.6%
Q3 - 1:03KingsNemanja Bjelica defensive rebound76
25.2%
83
74.8%
Q3 - 1:07HeatBam Adebayo misses two point jump shot76
26.4%
83
73.6%
Q3 - 1:21KingsBuddy Hield turnover (offensive foul)76
29.1%
83
70.9%
Q3 - 1:21KingsBuddy Hield offensive foul (Charge) (Goran Dragic draws the foul)76
25.1%
83
74.9%
Q3 - 1:22KingsBuddy Hield defensive rebound76
25.1%
83
74.9%
Q3 - 1:25HeatGoran Dragic misses three point jump shot76
26.3%
83
73.7%
Q3 - 1:43KingsDe'Aaron Fox makes two point layup76
29.0%
83
71.0%
Q3 - 1:47HeatDuncan Robinson turnover (bad pass) (De'Aaron Fox steals)76
33.1%
81
66.9%
Q3 - 2:01KingsBuddy Hield makes three point jump shot (Kent Bazemore assists)76
39.0%
81
61.0%
Q3 - 2:07KingsKent Bazemore offensive rebound76
47.5%
78
52.5%
Q3 - 2:07KingsBuddy Hield misses three point jump shot76
51.0%
78
49.0%
Q3 - 2:24HeatKendrick Nunn makes three point jump shot76
47.5%
78
52.5%
Q3 - 2:36KingsDe'Aaron Fox makes two point layup (Cory Joseph assists)73
38.9%
78
61.1%
Q3 - 3:02HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Chris Silva assists)73
43.8%
76
56.2%
Q3 - 3:13KingsDe'Aaron Fox makes regular free throw 2 of 270
35.7%
76
64.3%
Q3 - 3:13KingsDe'Aaron Fox misses regular free throw 1 of 270
36.7%
75
63.3%
Q3 - 3:13HeatChris Silva shooting foul (De'Aaron Fox draws the foul)70
33.8%
75
66.2%
Q3 - 3:27HeatDerrick Jones Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 270
35.3%
75
64.7%
Q3 - 3:27HeatDerrick Jones Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 269
34.4%
75
65.6%
Q3 - 3:27KingsBuddy Hield shooting foul (Derrick Jones Jr. draws the foul)68
33.2%
75
66.8%
Q3 - 3:31HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound68
31.8%
75
68.2%
Q3 - 3:34KingsHarrison Barnes misses two point layup68
30.5%
75
69.5%
Q3 - 3:47KingsBuddy Hield defensive rebound68
27.7%
75
72.3%
Q3 - 3:49HeatKendrick Nunn misses three point jump shot68
28.9%
75
71.1%
Q3 - 4:13KingsBogdan Bogdanovic makes three point jump shot (Buddy Hield assists)68
33.3%
75
66.7%
Q3 - 4:17KingsNemanja Bjelica defensive rebound68
40.4%
72
59.6%
Q3 - 4:21HeatDerrick Jones Jr. misses three point jump shot68
41.9%
72
58.1%
Q3 - 4:36HeatGoran Dragic defensive rebound68
45.2%
72
54.8%
Q3 - 4:39KingsBuddy Hield misses two point jump shot68
43.7%
72
56.3%
Q3 - 4:59HeatGoran Dragic turnover (traveling)68
40.4%
72
59.6%
Q3 - 5:17KingsNemanja Bjelica makes three point jump shot (Harrison Barnes assists)68
45.9%
72
54.1%
Q3 - 5:37KingsKings defensive rebound68
53.6%
69
46.4%
Q3 - 5:38HeatKendrick Nunn misses three point jump shot68
54.9%
69
45.1%
Q3 - 5:42KingsDe'Aaron Fox personal foul (Loose ball) (Kelly Olynyk draws the foul)68
57.9%
69
42.1%
Q3 - 5:42HeatHeat offensive rebound68
57.9%
69
42.1%
Q3 - 5:43HeatKendrick Nunn misses two point jump shot68
54.9%
69
45.1%
Q3 - 5:59HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound68
57.9%
69
42.1%
Q3 - 6:03KingsBuddy Hield misses three point jump shot68
56.9%
69
43.1%
Q3 - 6:06KingsHarrison Barnes defensive rebound68
54.1%
69
45.9%
Q3 - 6:09HeatKendrick Nunn misses three point jump shot68
55.3%
69
44.7%
Q3 - 6:23KingsHarry Giles III makes two point putback layup68
58.1%
69
41.9%
Q3 - 6:24KingsHarry Giles III offensive rebound68
61.6%
67
38.4%
Q3 - 6:27KingsDe'Aaron Fox misses two point driving layup68
64.3%
67
35.7%
Q3 - 6:40HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot68
61.6%
67
38.4%
Q3 - 6:57KingsBuddy Hield makes three point jump shot (Bogdan Bogdanovic assists)65
54.3%
67
45.7%
Q3 - 6:59KingsHarry Giles III defensive rebound65
61.6%
64
38.4%
Q3 - 7:05HeatKelly Olynyk misses three point jump shot65
62.6%
64
37.4%
Q3 - 7:16HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound65
65.2%
64
34.8%
Q3 - 7:18KingsBogdan Bogdanovic misses three point jump shot65
64.1%
64
35.9%
Q3 - 7:38HeatKendrick Nunn makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)65
61.4%
64
38.6%
Q3 - 7:53KingsDe'Aaron Fox makes three point jump shot (Harrison Barnes assists)62
54.5%
64
45.5%
Q3 - 8:09HeatBam Adebayo makes two point layup (Duncan Robinson assists)62
61.7%
61
38.3%
Q3 - 8:26KingsBogdan Bogdanovic makes regular free throw 2 of 260
58.6%
61
41.4%
Q3 - 8:26KingsBogdan Bogdanovic misses regular free throw 1 of 260
59.3%
60
40.7%
Q3 - 8:26HeatKendrick Nunn shooting foul (Bogdan Bogdanovic draws the foul)60
56.5%
60
43.5%
Q3 - 8:39HeatKendrick Nunn makes two point layup60
58.1%
60
41.9%
Q3 - 8:44KingsHarrison Barnes turnover (bad pass) (Kelly Olynyk steals)58
55.0%
60
45.0%
Q3 - 9:06HeatKendrick Nunn makes two point driving layup58
51.2%
60
48.8%
Q3 - 9:19KingsHarrison Barnes makes three point jump shot (De'Aaron Fox assists)56
48.1%
60
51.9%
Q3 - 9:29HeatDuncan Robinson turnover (offensive foul)56
54.8%
57
45.2%
Q3 - 9:29HeatDuncan Robinson offensive foul (Bogdan Bogdanovic draws the foul)56
58.7%
57
41.3%
Q3 - 9:44KingsNemanja Bjelica makes three point jump shot (De'Aaron Fox assists)56
58.7%
57
41.3%
Q3 - 10:01HeatBam Adebayo makes two point layup (Duncan Robinson assists)56
65.1%
54
34.9%
Q3 - 10:22KingsHarry Giles III makes two point putback dunk54
62.4%
54
37.6%
Q3 - 10:22KingsHarry Giles III offensive rebound54
65.1%
52
34.9%
Q3 - 10:23KingsBam Adebayo blocks Harrison Barnes's two point driving layup54
67.6%
52
32.4%
Q3 - 10:28KingsHarry Giles III defensive rebound54
65.1%
52
34.9%
Q3 - 10:32HeatKelly Olynyk misses three point jump shot54
66.2%
52
33.8%
Q3 - 10:40HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound54
68.6%
52
31.4%
Q3 - 10:43KingsDe'Aaron Fox misses three point jump shot54
67.6%
52
32.4%
Q3 - 11:00HeatDerrick Jones Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 254
65.1%
52
34.9%
Q3 - 11:00HeatDerrick Jones Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 253
64.3%
52
35.7%
Q3 - 11:00KingsHarry Giles III shooting foul (Derrick Jones Jr. draws the foul)52
63.4%
52
36.6%
Q3 - 11:02HeatKendrick Nunn defensive rebound52
62.7%
52
37.3%
Q3 - 11:04KingsBam Adebayo blocks De'Aaron Fox's two point driving layup52
61.7%
52
38.3%
Q3 - 11:23HeatBam Adebayo makes two point alley-oop dunk (Kendrick Nunn assists)52
59.3%
52
40.7%
Q3 - 11:28HeatHeat offensive rebound50
56.2%
52
43.8%
Q3 - 11:30HeatBam Adebayo misses two point jump shot50
53.7%
52
46.3%
Q3 - 11:41HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound50
56.2%
52
43.8%
Q3 - 11:44KingsHarrison Barnes misses two point floating jump shot50
55.1%
52
44.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.50
52.6%
52
47.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0KingsKings offensive rebound50
52.6%
52
47.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0KingsNemanja Bjelica misses three point jump shot50
55.1%
52
44.9%
Q2 - 0:20.1HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Goran Dragic assists)50
53.8%
52
46.2%
Q2 - 0:38.0KingsBuddy Hield makes two point layup (De'Aaron Fox assists)47
46.4%
52
53.6%
Q2 - 0:49.2KingsHarrison Barnes defensive rebound47
50.5%
50
49.5%
Q2 - 0:51.9HeatDe'Aaron Fox blocks Chris Silva's two point layup47
51.2%
50
48.8%
Q2 - 0:55.7HeatChris Silva offensive rebound47
52.9%
50
47.1%
Q2 - 0:55.7HeatDerrick Jones Jr. misses regular free throw 2 of 247
50.8%
50
49.2%
Q2 - 0:55.7HeatDerrick Jones Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 247
52.9%
50
47.1%
Q2 - 0:55.7KingsHarrison Barnes shooting foul (Derrick Jones Jr. draws the foul)46
52.0%
50
48.0%
Q2 - 1:02HeatDerrick Jones Jr. defensive rebound46
50.0%
50
50.0%
Q2 - 1:04KingsDe'Aaron Fox misses two point floating jump shot46
49.4%
50
50.6%
Q2 - 1:09KingsHarrison Barnes defensive rebound46
48.1%
50
51.9%
Q2 - 1:13HeatKendrick Nunn misses three point jump shot46
48.7%
50
51.3%
Q2 - 1:21HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound46
50.0%
50
50.0%
Q2 - 1:23KingsBuddy Hield misses three point jump shot46
49.4%
50
50.6%
Q2 - 1:42HeatGoran Dragic makes regular free throw 2 of 246
48.1%
50
51.9%
Q2 - 1:42HeatGoran Dragic misses regular free throw 1 of 245
47.4%
50
52.6%
Q2 - 1:42KingsBuddy Hield shooting foul (Goran Dragic draws the foul)45
49.9%
50
50.1%
Q2 - 1:44KingsNemanja Bjelica turnover (bad pass) (Goran Dragic steals)45
46.8%
50
53.2%
Q2 - 2:00HeatKendrick Nunn makes two point driving layup45
44.9%
50
55.1%
Q2 - 2:05HeatKendrick Nunn defensive rebound43
42.3%
50
57.7%
Q2 - 2:10KingsHarrison Barnes misses three point jump shot43
41.3%
50
58.7%
Q2 - 2:20HeatKendrick Nunn makes regular free throw 2 of 243
39.2%
50
60.8%
Q2 - 2:20HeatKendrick Nunn makes regular free throw 1 of 242
38.8%
50
61.2%
Q2 - 2:20KingsBogdan Bogdanovic personal foul (Kendrick Nunn draws the foul)41
38.3%
50
61.7%
Q2 - 2:30HeatGabe Vincent defensive rebound41
36.4%
50
63.6%
Q2 - 2:31KingsBogdan Bogdanovic misses three point jump shot41
35.5%
50
64.5%
Q2 - 2:54HeatDerrick Jones Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 241
33.6%
50
66.4%
Q2 - 2:54HeatDerrick Jones Jr. misses regular free throw 1 of 240
32.9%
50
67.1%
Q2 - 2:54KingsKent Bazemore shooting foul (Derrick Jones Jr. draws the foul)40
34.9%
50
65.1%
Q2 - 2:57KingsKent Bazemore turnover (bad pass) (Derrick Jones Jr. steals)40
33.5%
50
66.5%
Q2 - 3:11HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 240
32.2%
50
67.8%
Q2 - 3:11HeatBam Adebayo misses regular free throw 1 of 239
31.6%
50
68.4%
Q2 - 3:11KingsNemanja Bjelica shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)39
33.4%
50
66.6%
Q2 - 3:23KingsDe'Aaron Fox makes two point driving layup39
32.5%
50
67.5%
Q2 - 3:27KingsAnthony Tolliver defensive rebound39
34.8%
48
65.2%
Q2 - 3:34HeatGabe Vincent misses three point jump shot39
35.6%
48
64.4%
Q2 - 3:44KingsBogdan Bogdanovic turnover (out of bounds bad pass)39
37.7%
48
62.3%
Q2 - 3:57HeatBam Adebayo makes two point jump shot39
34.7%
48
65.3%
Q2 - 4:02KingsBogdan Bogdanovic personal foul (Gabe Vincent draws the foul)37
33.6%
48
66.4%
Q2 - 4:14KingsBogdan Bogdanovic makes three point jump shot (De'Aaron Fox assists)37
33.5%
48
66.5%
Q2 - 4:27KingsKent Bazemore defensive rebound37
38.7%
45
61.3%
Q2 - 4:29HeatDerrick Jones Jr. misses three point jump shot37
39.5%
45
60.5%
Q2 - 4:50HeatDerrick Jones Jr. defensive rebound37
41.3%
45
58.7%
Q2 - 4:54KingsKent Bazemore misses two point fadeaway jump shot37
40.5%
45
59.5%
Q2 - 5:02KingsHarrison Barnes offensive rebound37
39.2%
45
60.8%
Q2 - 5:05KingsAnthony Tolliver misses three point jump shot37
41.4%
45
58.6%
Q2 - 5:19HeatBam Adebayo turnover (offensive foul)37
39.2%
45
60.8%
Q2 - 5:19HeatBam Adebayo offensive foul (Charge) (Kent Bazemore draws the foul)37
42.3%
45
57.7%
Q2 - 5:40KingsBogdan Bogdanovic makes three point jump shot (Harrison Barnes assists)37
42.3%
45
57.7%
Q2 - 5:56HeatGabe Vincent personal foul (Harrison Barnes draws the foul)37
47.2%
42
52.8%
Q2 - 6:09HeatKendrick Nunn turnover (offensive foul)37
47.8%
42
52.2%
Q2 - 6:09HeatKendrick Nunn offensive foul (Charge) (Kent Bazemore draws the foul)37
51.0%
42
49.0%
Q2 - 6:22KingsHarrison Barnes makes two point putback layup37
51.0%
42
49.0%
Q2 - 6:22KingsHarrison Barnes offensive rebound37
53.1%
40
46.9%
Q2 - 6:28KingsBogdan Bogdanovic misses two point floating jump shot37
55.3%
40
44.7%
Q2 - 6:52HeatKZ Okpala makes two point dunk37
53.1%
40
46.9%
Q2 - 6:54KingsAnthony Tolliver turnover (bad pass) (KZ Okpala steals)35
51.0%
40
49.0%
Q2 - 7:10HeatKZ Okpala makes regular free throw 1 of 135
48.7%
40
51.3%
Q2 - 7:10KingsBuddy Hield shooting foul (KZ Okpala draws the foul)34
48.1%
40
51.9%
Q2 - 7:13KingsNemanja Bjelica turnover (lost ball) (KZ Okpala steals)32
43.7%
40
56.3%
Q2 - 7:39HeatBam Adebayo makes two point alley-oop dunk (Goran Dragic assists)32
41.0%
40
59.0%
Q2 - 7:50HeatHeat defensive rebound30
38.7%
40
61.3%
Q2 - 7:50KingsYogi Ferrell misses two point reverse layup30
37.9%
40
62.1%
Q2 - 8:11KingsNemanja Bjelica defensive rebound30
36.4%
40
63.6%
Q2 - 8:15HeatGabe Vincent misses three point jump shot30
37.2%
40
62.8%
Q2 - 8:23KingsBogdan Bogdanovic makes three point jump shot (Nemanja Bjelica assists)30
38.9%
40
61.1%
Q2 - 8:32KingsBuddy Hield defensive rebound30
43.7%
37
56.3%
Q2 - 8:37HeatGoran Dragic misses three point jump shot30
44.5%
37
55.5%
Q2 - 8:47HeatGoran Dragic defensive rebound30
46.3%
37
53.7%
Q2 - 8:49KingsBogdan Bogdanovic misses three point jump shot30
45.5%
37
54.5%
Q2 - 8:57KingsBuddy Hield defensive rebound30
43.7%
37
56.3%
Q2 - 8:59HeatKZ Okpala misses regular free throw 1 of 130
44.1%
37
55.9%
Q2 - 8:59KingsNemanja Bjelica shooting foul (KZ Okpala draws the foul)30
45.6%
37
54.4%
Q2 - 9:20KingsBuddy Hield makes regular free throw 1 of 128
41.8%
37
58.2%
Q2 - 9:20HeatChris Silva shooting foul (Buddy Hield draws the foul)28
42.1%
36
57.9%
Q2 - 9:27KingsBuddy Hield makes technical free throw 1 of 128
46.5%
34
53.5%
Q2 - 9:27HeatHeat technical foul (Defensive three second)28
47.1%
33
52.9%
Q2 - 9:38HeatGoran Dragic turnover (out of bounds bad pass)28
49.0%
33
51.0%
Q2 - 9:49KingsKent Bazemore turnover (offensive foul)28
51.6%
33
48.4%
Q2 - 9:49KingsKent Bazemore offensive foul (Duncan Robinson draws the foul)28
49.0%
33
51.0%
Q2 - 9:55KingsBuddy Hield defensive rebound28
49.0%
33
51.0%
Q2 - 9:59HeatGabe Vincent misses three point jump shot28
49.8%
33
50.2%
Q2 - 10:18KingsNemanja Bjelica makes three point jump shot (Kent Bazemore assists)28
51.8%
33
48.2%
Q2 - 10:30HeatGoran Dragic turnover (lost ball) (Yogi Ferrell steals)28
56.4%
30
43.6%
Q2 - 10:34HeatChris Silva defensive rebound28
58.9%
30
41.1%
Q2 - 10:37KingsChris Silva blocks Kent Bazemore's two point driving layup28
58.2%
30
41.8%
Q2 - 10:48HeatKZ Okpala personal foul (Kent Bazemore draws the foul)28
56.4%
30
43.6%
Q2 - 10:53KingsCory Joseph defensive rebound28
56.4%
30
43.6%
Q2 - 10:57HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot28
57.2%
30
42.8%
Q2 - 11:12KingsKent Bazemore turnover (offensive foul)28
59.0%
30
41.0%
Q2 - 11:12KingsKent Bazemore offensive foul (Charge) (Gabe Vincent draws the foul)28
56.9%
30
43.1%
Q2 - 11:14KingsKent Bazemore defensive rebound28
56.9%
30
43.1%
Q2 - 11:16HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot28
57.5%
30
42.5%
Q2 - 11:33HeatGoran Dragic defensive rebound28
59.0%
30
41.0%
Q2 - 11:37KingsBuddy Hield misses three point jump shot28
58.3%
30
41.7%
Q2 - 11:38KingsNemanja Bjelica offensive rebound28
56.8%
30
43.2%
Q2 - 11:42KingsKZ Okpala blocks Cory Joseph's three point jump shot28
58.3%
30
41.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.28
56.8%
30
43.2%
Q1 - 0:00.1KingsKings offensive rebound28
57.1%
30
42.9%
Q1 - 0:00.3KingsDuncan Robinson blocks Yogi Ferrell's three point jump shot28
58.3%
30
41.7%
Q1 - 0:00.8HeatDuncan Robinson turnover (bad pass) (Kent Bazemore steals)28
57.1%
30
42.9%
Q1 - 0:03.1KingsYogi Ferrell turnover (offensive foul)28
58.8%
30
41.2%
Q1 - 0:03.1KingsYogi Ferrell offensive foul (Charge) (Chris Silva draws the foul)28
57.1%
30
42.9%
Q1 - 0:06.7HeatKZ Okpala personal foul (Nemanja Bjelica draws the foul)28
57.1%
30
42.9%
Q1 - 0:26.7HeatChris Silva makes regular free throw 2 of 228
57.1%
30
42.9%
Q1 - 0:26.7HeatChris Silva makes regular free throw 1 of 227
56.5%
30
43.5%
Q1 - 0:26.7KingsYogi Ferrell personal foul (Loose ball) (Chris Silva draws the foul)26
55.8%
30
44.2%
Q1 - 0:26.7HeatHeat offensive rebound26
54.3%
30
45.7%
Q1 - 0:28.6HeatGoran Dragic misses two point jump shot26
53.1%
30
46.9%
Q1 - 0:37.5HeatKendrick Nunn offensive rebound26
54.3%
30
45.7%
Q1 - 0:40.4HeatKendrick Nunn misses three point jump shot26
53.1%
30
46.9%
Q1 - 0:54.3KingsKent Bazemore makes two point reverse layup (Buddy Hield assists)26
54.3%
30
45.7%
Q1 - 1:05HeatGoran Dragic makes two point jump shot26
57.3%
28
42.7%
Q1 - 1:18KingsNemanja Bjelica turnover (out of bounds bad pass)24
54.6%
28
45.4%
Q1 - 1:40HeatKendrick Nunn makes two point layup (Goran Dragic assists)24
52.7%
28
47.3%
Q1 - 1:55KingsDe'Aaron Fox personal foul (Kelly Olynyk draws the foul)22
50.0%
28
50.0%
Q1 - 2:05KingsBuddy Hield makes three point jump shot (De'Aaron Fox assists)22
50.6%
28
49.4%
Q1 - 2:22HeatBam Adebayo makes two point layup (Kelly Olynyk assists)22
55.1%
25
44.9%
Q1 - 2:34HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound20
52.8%
25
47.2%
Q1 - 2:37KingsBuddy Hield misses three point jump shot20
52.2%
25
47.8%
Q1 - 2:46KingsDe'Aaron Fox defensive rebound20
50.6%
25
49.4%
Q1 - 2:50HeatKendrick Nunn misses two point floating jump shot20
51.3%
25
48.7%
Q1 - 2:56KingsDe'Aaron Fox turnover (lost ball) (Goran Dragic steals)20
52.8%
25
47.2%
Q1 - 3:01KingsNemanja Bjelica defensive rebound20
50.6%
25
49.4%
Q1 - 3:04HeatBam Adebayo misses two point turnaround hook shot20
51.3%
25
48.7%
Q1 - 3:12KingsHarrison Barnes personal foul (Loose ball) (KZ Okpala draws the foul)20
53.1%
25
46.9%
Q1 - 3:12HeatHeat offensive rebound20
53.1%
25
46.9%
Q1 - 3:12HeatKZ Okpala misses two point putback layup20
51.3%
25
48.7%
Q1 - 3:12HeatKZ Okpala offensive rebound20
53.1%
25
46.9%
Q1 - 3:14HeatGoran Dragic misses two point turnaround jump shot20
51.3%
25
48.7%
Q1 - 3:26HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound20
53.1%
25
46.9%
Q1 - 3:28KingsNemanja Bjelica misses two point hook shot20
52.3%
25
47.7%
Q1 - 3:41HeatGoran Dragic turnover (out of bounds lost ball)20
50.6%
25
49.4%
Q1 - 3:44KingsBuddy Hield turnover (bad pass) (Goran Dragic steals)20
53.1%
25
46.9%
Q1 - 3:58KingsBuddy Hield defensive rebound20
50.6%
25
49.4%
Q1 - 4:00HeatBam Adebayo misses two point jump shot20
51.4%
25
48.6%
Q1 - 4:28KingsBogdan Bogdanovic makes three point jump shot (Buddy Hield assists)20
53.7%
25
46.3%
Q1 - 4:44HeatGoran Dragic makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)20
57.5%
22
42.5%
Q1 - 4:51HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound17
53.6%
22
46.4%
Q1 - 4:57KingsDe'Aaron Fox misses three point jump shot17
52.9%
22
47.1%
Q1 - 5:11HeatKelly Olynyk makes two point putback dunk17
52.1%
22
47.9%
Q1 - 5:11HeatKelly Olynyk offensive rebound15
50.2%
22
49.8%
Q1 - 5:13HeatGoran Dragic misses three point step back jump shot15
48.7%
22
51.3%
Q1 - 5:27KingsHarrison Barnes makes two point driving dunk (Buddy Hield assists)15
50.2%
22
49.8%
Q1 - 5:38KingsBuddy Hield defensive rebound15
52.0%
20
48.0%
Q1 - 5:42HeatKelly Olynyk misses three point jump shot15
52.7%
20
47.3%
Q1 - 5:56KingsBogdan Bogdanovic makes two point floating jump shot15
54.2%
20
45.8%
Q1 - 6:08HeatBam Adebayo makes two point alley-oop dunk (Duncan Robinson assists)15
56.4%
18
43.6%
Q1 - 6:19KingsDe'Aaron Fox makes two point fadeaway jump shot13
54.4%
18
45.6%
Q1 - 6:35HeatBam Adebayo makes two point layup (Duncan Robinson assists)13
56.4%
16
43.6%
Q1 - 6:51KingsHarry Giles III makes two point dunk (De'Aaron Fox assists)11
54.4%
16
45.6%
Q1 - 7:03HeatGoran Dragic turnover (offensive foul)11
56.7%
14
43.3%
Q1 - 7:03HeatGoran Dragic offensive foul (De'Aaron Fox draws the foul)11
58.8%
14
41.2%
Q1 - 7:13KingsHarrison Barnes turnover (out of bounds bad pass)11
58.8%
14
41.2%
Q1 - 7:26HeatGoran Dragic makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)11
56.7%
14
43.3%
Q1 - 7:32KingsBogdan Bogdanovic personal foul (Goran Dragic draws the foul)8
53.2%
14
46.8%
Q1 - 7:35HeatDerrick Jones Jr. defensive rebound8
53.2%
14
46.8%
Q1 - 7:36KingsHarrison Barnes misses two point layup8
52.6%
14
47.4%
Q1 - 7:41KingsHarry Giles III defensive rebound8
51.1%
14
48.9%
Q1 - 7:43HeatKelly Olynyk misses three point jump shot8
51.8%
14
48.2%
Q1 - 7:54HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound8
53.2%
14
46.8%
Q1 - 7:56KingsDe'Aaron Fox misses regular free throw 2 of 28
52.9%
14
47.1%
Q1 - 7:56KingsDe'Aaron Fox misses regular free throw 1 of 28
51.7%
14
48.3%
Q1 - 7:56HeatDuncan Robinson shooting foul (De'Aaron Fox draws the foul)8
50.4%
14
49.6%
Q1 - 8:06HeatBam Adebayo makes two point driving dunk8
51.8%
14
48.2%
Q1 - 8:17KingsBogdan Bogdanovic makes three point jump shot (Nemanja Bjelica assists)6
50.2%
14
49.8%
Q1 - 8:25HeatBam Adebayo personal foul (Nemanja Bjelica draws the foul)6
53.6%
11
46.4%
Q1 - 8:40HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Kelly Olynyk assists)6
53.6%
11
46.4%
Q1 - 8:44HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound3
50.2%
11
49.8%
Q1 - 8:46HeatKendrick Nunn misses three point jump shot3
48.7%
11
51.3%
Q1 - 9:03KingsDe'Aaron Fox makes two point jump shot3
50.3%
11
49.7%
Q1 - 9:15HeatKelly Olynyk turnover (out of bounds step)3
51.7%
9
48.3%
Q1 - 9:31KingsHarrison Barnes makes two point jump shot (Nemanja Bjelica assists)3
54.0%
9
46.0%
Q1 - 9:38HeatDerrick Jones Jr. personal foul (Harry Giles III draws the foul)3
55.4%
7
44.6%
Q1 - 9:46HeatKendrick Nunn turnover (bad pass) (Harry Giles III steals)3
55.4%
7
44.6%
Q1 - 9:57KingsHarry Giles III makes two point jump shot3
57.6%
7
42.4%
Q1 - 10:13HeatBam Adebayo turnover (lost ball) (Bogdan Bogdanovic steals)3
59.1%
5
40.9%
Q1 - 10:28KingsHarry Giles III makes two point dunk (Bogdan Bogdanovic assists)3
61.0%
5
39.0%
Q1 - 10:39KingsBogdan Bogdanovic defensive rebound3
62.5%
3
37.5%
Q1 - 10:42HeatKendrick Nunn misses two point jump shot3
63.1%
3
36.9%
Q1 - 11:02KingsNemanja Bjelica makes three point jump shot (De'Aaron Fox assists)3
64.4%
3
35.6%
Q1 - 11:12HeatDuncan Robinson turnover (out of bounds step)3
67.6%
0
32.4%
Q1 - 11:14HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound3
69.2%
0
30.8%
Q1 - 11:19KingsBogdan Bogdanovic misses three point fadeaway jump shot3
68.7%
0
31.3%
Q1 - 11:35HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Kendrick Nunn assists)3
67.6%
0
32.4%
Q1 - 11:43HeatDerrick Jones Jr. offensive rebound0
64.4%
0
35.6%
Q1 - 11:48HeatKendrick Nunn misses two point jump shot0
63.1%
0
36.9%
Q1 - 12:00Bam Adebayo vs. Harry Giles III (Kelly Olynyk gains possession)0
64.4%
0
35.6%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.08 53.9%
SAC
1.18 59.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
18
21
86%
SAC
17
26
65%
Midrange
MIA
4
16
25%
SAC
4
12
33%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
12
18.0
40
30%
45%
SAC
19
28.5
44
43%
65%
Free Throws
MIA
17
25
68%
SAC
6
12
50%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
B. Adebayo2676%13.0 / 17
D. Robinson18100%9.0 / 9
K. Nunn1640%8.0 / 20
G. Dragic1454%7.0 / 13
D. Jones950%4.5 / 9
K. Okpala770%3.5 / 5
G. Vincent321%1.5 / 7
K. Olynyk220%1.0 / 5
C. Silva250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
SAC logo Kings
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
B. Bogdanović2368%11.5 / 17
B. Hield2166%10.5 / 16
D. Fox1642%8.0 / 19
N. Bjelica15107%7.5 / 7
H. Giles10100%5.0 / 5
H. Barnes950%4.5 / 9
K. Bazemore844%4.0 / 9
C. Joseph375%1.5 / 2
Y. Ferrell0-0.0 / 2
A. Tolliver0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
75
+15
-20
90
SAC
81
+8
-14
89
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.08 53.9%
SAC
1.18 59.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
112.4
109.9
MIA 102.1
SAC 110.5 +8.4
Pace
98.4
99.2
MIA 101.3 +12.0
SAC 89.3
Avg. Poss. Time
14.8
14.4
MIA 14.2 +1.9
SAC 16.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
54.7%
53.4%
MIA 51.9%
SAC 60.4% +8.5%
TO %
14.0%
13.7%
MIA 18.5%
SAC 13.8% +4.7%
ORB %
20.3%
21.9%
MIA 18.9% +4.3%
SAC 14.6%
FTrt
29.9
23.0
MIA 32.5 +17.9
SAC 14.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
65.7%
58.2%
MIA 61.8%
SAC 72.5% +10.7%
STL %
7.6%
7.7%
MIA 7.4%
SAC 8.4% +1.0%
BLK %
9.3%
8.0%
MIA 13.2% +5.1%
SAC 8.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
56.9%
55.2%
MIA 53.9%
SAC 59.0% +5.1%
Rim FG%
63.8%
61.4%
MIA 85.7% +20.3%
SAC 65.4%
Mid FG%
38.9%
41.7%
MIA 25.0%
SAC 33.3% +8.3%
3P %
37.9%
36.4%
MIA 30.0%
SAC 43.2% +13.2%
FT %
78.3%
77.0%
MIA 68.0% +18.0%
SAC 50.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
33.2%
33.6%
MIA 27.3%
SAC 31.7% +4.4%
Mid Att. %
24.9%
26.9%
MIA 20.8%
SAC 14.6% +6.1%
3P Att. %
41.9%
39.5%
MIA 51.9%
SAC 53.7% +1.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIASAC
Possessions9595
Possession Minutes22.525.5
Points97105
Rebounds4236
Assists2129
Steals78
Blocks53
Turnovers (Team)20 (0)14 (0)
Fouls1624
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (8)6 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)35 (1)30 (1)
Field Goals34-7740-82
At-the-Rim FG18-2117-26
Midrange FG4-164-12
2-Point FG22-3721-38
3-Point FG12-4019-44
Free Throws17-256-12
Fast Break Pts155
2nd Chance Pts179
Points in Paint4440
Pts off Turnovers1131
Bench Points2632
Biggest Lead317

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#55 · SG · 6'7" 215 · 26
41.5
18
100%
5
6
0
1
5
3
0
5
0-0
-
0-0
-
6-9
67%
#13 · PF · 6'9" 255 · 23
36.4
26
76%
7
3
0
2
5
3
1
6
2-3
67%
12-16
75%
0-0
-
#25 · PG · 6'3" 193 · 25
33.7
16
40%
6
3
0
0
2
3
1
5
2-2
100%
4-9
44%
2-10
20%
#5 · SF · 6'6" 210 · 23
29.8
9
50%
6
0
1
0
1
1
2
4
9-14
64%
0-0
-
0-3
0%
#9 · C · 6'11" 240 · 29
18.6
2
20%
6
2
1
0
1
0
1
5
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-4
0%
#7 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 34
28.3
14
54%
4
3
3
0
6
1
0
4
1-2
50%
2-5
40%
3-7
43%
#4 · SF · 6'9" 210 · 21
21.4
7
70%
4
1
2
1
0
2
1
3
1-2
50%
3-4
75%
0-1
0%
#2 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 24
20.5
3
21%
2
2
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0%
1-6
17%
#30 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 23
9.7
2
50%
2
1
0
1
0
2
1
1
2-2
100%
0-1
0%
0-0
-
#22 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 30
DND - Injury/Illness | Right shoulder; Strain
#14 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 20
DND - Injury/Illness | Right Ankle; Soreness
#17 · PF · 6'11" 220 · 23
DND - Injury/Illness | Right Knee; Hyperextended & PCL Sprain
#40 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 40
DNP - Coach's Decision
#28 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 36
Inactive - Trade Pending
#44 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 29
Inactive - Trade Pending
#0 · PF · 7'1" 255 · 28
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Ankle; Sprain
#99 · SF · 6'6" 235 · 30
Inactive - Trade Pending
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
97
54%
42
21
7
5
20
16
7
35
17-25
68%
22-37
59%
12-40
30%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.