for complete access.
All Games Friday, February 7, 2020
FinalWin Prob.pScore
25
Pistons
25%105
101
12
Thunder
75%115
108
ORTG#PossPace
DET logo DET
112.29089.8
OKC logo OKC
121.38989.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

ThunderPistonsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

ThunderPistonsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDETOKC
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.101
0%
108
100%
Q4 - 0:06.1ThunderChris Paul makes regular free throw 2 of 2101
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 0:06.1ThunderChris Paul makes regular free throw 1 of 2101
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 0:06.1PistonsBruce Brown personal foul (Take) (Chris Paul draws the foul)101
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 0:10.0PistonsReggie Jackson makes two point driving dunk101
0.2%
106
99.8%
Q4 - 0:14.7ThunderChris Paul makes regular free throw 2 of 299
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 0:14.7ThunderChris Paul makes regular free throw 1 of 299
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 0:14.7PistonsThon Maker personal foul (Take) (Chris Paul draws the foul)99
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 0:14.7ThunderChris Paul defensive rebound99
0.3%
104
99.7%
Q4 - 0:18.0PistonsTony Snell misses three point jump shot99
0.4%
104
99.6%
Q4 - 0:31.5PistonsThon Maker defensive rebound99
1.5%
104
98.5%
Q4 - 0:35.2ThunderChris Paul misses three point pullup jump shot99
1.1%
104
98.9%
Q4 - 0:57.0PistonsReggie Jackson makes two point driving layup99
1.8%
104
98.2%
Q4 - 1:12ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 297
1.3%
104
98.7%
Q4 - 1:12ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander misses regular free throw 1 of 297
1.5%
103
98.5%
Q4 - 1:12PistonsReggie Jackson personal foul (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander draws the foul)97
0.9%
103
99.1%
Q4 - 1:20PistonsThon Maker makes two point tip dunk97
1.4%
103
98.6%
Q4 - 1:20PistonsThon Maker offensive rebound95
0.9%
103
99.1%
Q4 - 1:20PistonsTony Snell misses two point driving layup95
0.6%
103
99.4%
Q4 - 1:31ThunderChris Paul makes two point stepback jump shot95
1.1%
103
98.9%
Q4 - 1:41ThunderSteven Adams defensive rebound95
2.1%
101
97.9%
Q4 - 1:46PistonsReggie Jackson misses three point jump shot95
2.6%
101
97.4%
Q4 - 1:50PistonsChristian Wood defensive rebound95
3.9%
101
96.1%
Q4 - 1:52ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander misses two point running finger roll layup95
3.3%
101
96.7%
Q4 - 1:55ThunderSteven Adams defensive rebound95
2.3%
101
97.7%
Q4 - 1:58PistonsShai Gilgeous-Alexander blocks Langston Galloway's three point jump shot95
2.6%
101
97.4%
Q4 - 2:15ThunderChris Paul makes regular free throw 2 of 295
3.9%
101
96.1%
Q4 - 2:15ThunderChris Paul makes regular free throw 1 of 295
4.1%
100
95.9%
Q4 - 2:15PistonsThon Maker shooting foul (Chris Paul draws the foul)95
4.3%
99
95.7%
Q4 - 2:28PistonsThon Maker makes regular free throw 2 of 295
5.1%
99
94.9%
Q4 - 2:28PistonsThon Maker misses regular free throw 1 of 294
4.6%
99
95.4%
Q4 - 2:28ThunderChris Paul personal foul (Loose ball) (Thon Maker draws the foul)94
6.3%
99
93.7%
Q4 - 2:28PistonsPistons offensive rebound94
6.1%
99
93.9%
Q4 - 2:28PistonsLangston Galloway misses three point jump shot94
3.9%
99
96.1%
Q4 - 2:36PistonsLangston Galloway defensive rebound94
6.1%
99
93.9%
Q4 - 2:36ThunderDanilo Gallinari misses three point jump shot94
5.0%
99
95.0%
Q4 - 2:51PistonsChristian Wood makes two point driving layup94
4.3%
99
95.7%
Q4 - 2:59PistonsReggie Jackson defensive rebound92
3.1%
99
96.9%
Q4 - 3:01ThunderDennis Schroder misses two point driving reverse layup92
2.6%
99
97.4%
Q4 - 3:13PistonsTony Snell makes two point pullup jump shot92
1.8%
99
98.2%
Q4 - 3:28ThunderDanilo Gallinari makes two point driving reverse layup (Dennis Schroder assists)90
1.3%
99
98.7%
Q4 - 3:43PistonsChristian Wood makes two point putback layup90
3.0%
97
97.0%
Q4 - 3:44PistonsChristian Wood offensive rebound88
2.2%
97
97.8%
Q4 - 3:50PistonsThon Maker misses two point cutting layup88
1.6%
97
98.4%
Q4 - 3:56ThunderSteven Adams turnover (lost ball) (Thon Maker steals)88
2.1%
97
97.9%
Q4 - 4:14PistonsReggie Jackson makes regular free throw 2 of 288
1.4%
97
98.6%
Q4 - 4:14PistonsReggie Jackson misses regular free throw 1 of 287
1.3%
97
98.7%
Q4 - 4:14ThunderLuguentz Dort personal foul (Reggie Jackson draws the foul)87
1.8%
97
98.2%
Q4 - 4:23ThunderSteven Adams makes two point jump shot87
1.4%
97
98.6%
Q4 - 4:43PistonsReggie Jackson makes three point pullup jump shot87
1.9%
95
98.1%
Q4 - 4:54ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander makes two point stepback jump shot84
1.0%
95
99.0%
Q4 - 5:11PistonsChristian Wood makes regular free throw 2 of 284
2.0%
93
98.0%
Q4 - 5:11PistonsChristian Wood misses regular free throw 1 of 283
1.8%
93
98.2%
Q4 - 5:11ThunderNerlens Noel shooting foul (Christian Wood draws the foul)83
2.3%
93
97.7%
Q4 - 5:22ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 283
2.0%
93
98.0%
Q4 - 5:22ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander misses regular free throw 1 of 283
2.1%
92
97.9%
Q4 - 5:22PistonsBruce Brown shooting foul (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander draws the foul)83
1.6%
92
98.4%
Q4 - 5:31ThunderLuguentz Dort offensive rebound83
1.9%
92
98.1%
Q4 - 5:33ThunderDanilo Gallinari misses three point jump shot83
2.5%
92
97.5%
Q4 - 5:37ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander offensive rebound83
1.9%
92
98.1%
Q4 - 5:42ThunderDennis Schroder misses three point jump shot83
2.5%
92
97.5%
Q4 - 5:51ThunderDanilo Gallinari defensive rebound83
1.9%
92
98.1%
Q4 - 5:54PistonsThon Maker misses three point jump shot83
2.1%
92
97.9%
Q4 - 6:16ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 283
3.4%
92
96.6%
Q4 - 6:16ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 283
3.6%
91
96.4%
Q4 - 6:16PistonsThon Maker shooting foul (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander draws the foul)83
3.8%
90
96.2%
Q4 - 6:28PistonsChristian Wood makes three point jump shot (Thon Maker assists)83
4.4%
90
95.6%
Q4 - 6:46PistonsPistons defensive rebound80
2.6%
90
97.4%
Q4 - 6:49ThunderDanilo Gallinari misses three point jump shot80
2.3%
90
97.7%
Q4 - 7:10ThunderDanilo Gallinari defensive rebound80
2.3%
90
97.7%
Q4 - 7:12PistonsThon Maker misses three point jump shot80
2.5%
90
97.5%
Q4 - 7:18PistonsReggie Jackson defensive rebound80
3.1%
90
96.9%
Q4 - 7:20ThunderDennis Schroder misses two point driving layup80
2.9%
90
97.1%
Q4 - 7:36PistonsChristian Wood turnover (out of bounds lost ball)80
2.3%
90
97.7%
Q4 - 7:45ThunderDennis Schroder turnover (bad pass) (Bruce Brown steals)80
3.1%
90
96.9%
Q4 - 7:53ThunderDennis Schroder defensive rebound80
2.3%
90
97.7%
Q4 - 7:57PistonsNerlens Noel blocks Sekou Doumbouya's two point cutting layup80
2.5%
90
97.5%
Q4 - 8:01PistonsBruce Brown defensive rebound80
3.6%
90
96.4%
Q4 - 8:03ThunderLuguentz Dort misses two point driving layup80
3.4%
90
96.6%
Q4 - 8:21PistonsBruce Brown turnover (back court violation)80
2.8%
90
97.2%
Q4 - 8:28ThunderNerlens Noel makes regular free throw 1 of 180
3.6%
90
96.4%
Q4 - 8:28PistonsSekou Doumbouya shooting foul (Nerlens Noel draws the foul)80
3.8%
89
96.2%
Q4 - 8:43PistonsTony Snell makes two point driving finger roll layup (Christian Wood assists)80
5.8%
87
94.2%
Q4 - 9:01ThunderLuguentz Dort makes two point tip layup78
5.0%
87
95.0%
Q4 - 9:02ThunderLuguentz Dort offensive rebound78
6.2%
85
93.8%
Q4 - 9:04ThunderNerlens Noel misses two point layup78
7.3%
85
92.7%
Q4 - 9:10PistonsReggie Jackson turnover (lost ball) (Nerlens Noel steals)78
6.2%
85
93.8%
Q4 - 9:28ThunderNerlens Noel personal foul (Loose ball) (Tony Snell draws the foul)78
7.8%
85
92.2%
Q4 - 9:28PistonsPistons defensive rebound78
7.8%
85
92.2%
Q4 - 9:29ThunderLuguentz Dort misses three point jump shot78
7.3%
85
92.7%
Q4 - 9:42PistonsReggie Jackson personal foul (Luguentz Dort draws the foul)78
6.1%
85
93.9%
Q4 - 9:42ThunderLuguentz Dort offensive rebound78
6.1%
85
93.9%
Q4 - 9:44ThunderLuguentz Dort misses two point driving floating jump shot78
7.2%
85
92.8%
Q4 - 10:08PistonsReggie Jackson makes regular free throw 1 of 178
6.8%
85
93.2%
Q4 - 10:08ThunderTerrance Ferguson shooting foul (Reggie Jackson draws the foul)77
6.6%
85
93.4%
Q4 - 10:26ThunderChris Paul makes two point stepback jump shot (Dennis Schroder assists)74
3.6%
85
96.4%
Q4 - 10:38PistonsReggie Jackson makes regular free throw 1 of 174
4.4%
83
95.6%
Q4 - 10:38ThunderTerrance Ferguson shooting foul (Reggie Jackson draws the foul)73
4.3%
83
95.7%
Q4 - 10:51ThunderDennis Schroder makes two point driving layup (Chris Paul assists)71
2.9%
83
97.1%
Q4 - 11:02PistonsPistons turnover (shot clock violation)71
4.0%
81
96.0%
Q4 - 11:02PistonsPistons offensive rebound71
4.9%
81
95.1%
Q4 - 11:02PistonsChris Paul blocks Christian Wood's three point jump shot71
4.3%
81
95.7%
Q4 - 11:26ThunderDennis Schroder makes regular free throw 1 of 171
4.9%
81
95.1%
Q4 - 11:26PistonsTony Snell shooting foul (Dennis Schroder draws the foul)71
5.1%
80
94.9%
Q4 - 11:44PistonsChristian Wood makes three point jump shot (Langston Galloway assists)71
7.4%
78
92.6%
Q4 - 11:49ThunderTerrance Ferguson personal foul (Reggie Jackson draws the foul)68
4.9%
78
95.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.68
4.9%
78
95.1%
Q3 - 0:01.0ThunderThunder offensive rebound68
4.4%
78
95.6%
Q3 - 0:01.0ThunderTerrance Ferguson misses three point jump shot68
5.1%
78
94.9%
Q3 - 0:03.4PistonsBruce Brown personal foul (Chris Paul draws the foul)68
4.4%
78
95.6%
Q3 - 0:08.6PistonsLangston Galloway makes regular free throw 2 of 268
4.4%
78
95.6%
Q3 - 0:08.6PistonsLangston Galloway makes regular free throw 1 of 267
4.3%
78
95.7%
Q3 - 0:08.6ThunderTerrance Ferguson shooting foul (Langston Galloway draws the foul)66
4.2%
78
95.8%
Q3 - 0:14.9PistonsPistons offensive rebound66
3.6%
78
96.4%
Q3 - 0:15.4PistonsBruce Brown misses two point pullup jump shot66
3.2%
78
96.8%
Q3 - 0:31.5ThunderSteven Adams makes two point hook shot (Chris Paul assists)66
3.6%
78
96.4%
Q3 - 0:39.8ThunderChris Paul offensive rebound66
4.4%
76
95.6%
Q3 - 0:43.0ThunderDennis Schroder misses two point pullup jump shot66
5.0%
76
95.0%
Q3 - 1:02PistonsChristian Wood makes regular free throw 1 of 166
4.8%
76
95.2%
Q3 - 1:02ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander shooting foul (Christian Wood draws the foul)65
4.6%
76
95.4%
Q3 - 1:02PistonsChristian Wood offensive rebound63
3.3%
76
96.7%
Q3 - 1:05PistonsLangston Galloway misses three point jump shot63
2.9%
76
97.1%
Q3 - 1:10PistonsBruce Brown defensive rebound63
3.3%
76
96.7%
Q3 - 1:13ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander misses two point pullup jump shot63
3.1%
76
96.9%
Q3 - 1:26PistonsSekou Doumbouya turnover (out of bounds lost ball)63
2.7%
76
97.3%
Q3 - 1:34PistonsSekou Doumbouya defensive rebound63
3.3%
76
96.7%
Q3 - 1:37ThunderDennis Schroder misses two point pullup jump shot63
3.1%
76
96.9%
Q3 - 1:43ThunderTerrance Ferguson defensive rebound63
2.7%
76
97.3%
Q3 - 1:46PistonsSekou Doumbouya misses three point jump shot63
2.9%
76
97.1%
Q3 - 2:07ThunderDennis Schroder makes two point driving floating jump shot63
3.7%
76
96.3%
Q3 - 2:17PistonsBruce Brown turnover (bad pass) (Darius Bazley steals)63
4.3%
74
95.7%
Q3 - 2:36ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander makes two point driving layup63
5.2%
74
94.8%
Q3 - 2:40ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander offensive rebound63
6.1%
72
93.9%
Q3 - 2:43ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander misses regular free throw 1 of 163
7.2%
72
92.8%
Q3 - 2:43PistonsBruce Brown shooting foul (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander draws the foul)63
6.4%
72
93.6%
Q3 - 2:59PistonsSekou Doumbouya makes three point pullup jump shot63
8.6%
70
91.4%
Q3 - 3:29ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander makes two point pullup jump shot60
6.6%
70
93.4%
Q3 - 3:45ThunderDanilo Gallinari defensive rebound60
7.6%
68
92.4%
Q3 - 3:48PistonsJordan Bone misses three point jump shot60
8.1%
68
91.9%
Q3 - 3:50PistonsThon Maker offensive rebound60
9.1%
68
90.9%
Q3 - 3:54PistonsJordan Bone misses three point pullup jump shot60
8.1%
68
91.9%
Q3 - 4:08ThunderNerlens Noel personal foul (Thon Maker draws the foul)60
9.4%
68
90.6%
Q3 - 4:28ThunderNerlens Noel turnover (traveling)60
9.4%
68
90.6%
Q3 - 4:35ThunderNerlens Noel defensive rebound60
7.8%
68
92.2%
Q3 - 4:37PistonsSekou Doumbouya misses three point jump shot60
8.3%
68
91.7%
Q3 - 4:55ThunderChris Paul makes two point putback layup60
9.4%
68
90.6%
Q3 - 4:56ThunderChris Paul offensive rebound60
10.7%
66
89.3%
Q3 - 4:58ThunderChris Paul misses two point stepback jump shot60
12.0%
66
88.0%
Q3 - 5:14PistonsSekou Doumbouya makes three point jump shot (Jordan Bone assists)60
11.2%
66
88.8%
Q3 - 5:31ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander turnover (bad pass) (Bruce Brown steals)57
8.4%
66
91.6%
Q3 - 5:40ThunderNerlens Noel defensive rebound57
7.2%
66
92.8%
Q3 - 5:42PistonsTony Snell misses three point jump shot57
7.5%
66
92.5%
Q3 - 5:42PistonsBruce Brown offensive rebound57
8.4%
66
91.6%
Q3 - 5:46PistonsNerlens Noel blocks Bruce Brown's two point layup57
7.5%
66
92.5%
Q3 - 5:59ThunderChris Paul personal foul (Bruce Brown draws the foul)57
8.4%
66
91.6%
Q3 - 6:12ThunderDanilo Gallinari makes three point jump shot (Chris Paul assists)57
8.6%
66
91.4%
Q3 - 6:18ThunderNerlens Noel defensive rebound57
11.3%
63
88.7%
Q3 - 6:21PistonsTony Snell misses three point jump shot57
11.8%
63
88.2%
Q3 - 6:41ThunderNerlens Noel makes two point floating jump shot (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander assists)57
13.1%
63
86.9%
Q3 - 6:58PistonsThon Maker turnover (offensive goaltending)57
14.9%
61
85.1%
Q3 - 6:58PistonsPistons offensive rebound57
17.0%
61
83.0%
Q3 - 6:58PistonsBruce Brown misses two point running layup57
15.5%
61
84.5%
Q3 - 7:01ThunderChris Paul turnover (bad pass) (Bruce Brown steals)57
17.0%
61
83.0%
Q3 - 7:13PistonsChristian Wood personal foul (Danilo Gallinari draws the foul)57
14.8%
61
85.2%
Q3 - 7:20ThunderDanilo Gallinari defensive rebound57
14.8%
61
85.2%
Q3 - 7:22PistonsChristian Wood misses two point cutting layup57
15.4%
61
84.6%
Q3 - 7:44ThunderChris Paul makes two point pullup jump shot57
17.0%
61
83.0%
Q3 - 7:56PistonsReggie Jackson turnover (traveling)57
19.0%
59
81.0%
Q3 - 7:59PistonsBruce Brown defensive rebound57
21.6%
59
78.4%
Q3 - 8:02ThunderChris Paul misses three point pullup jump shot57
20.7%
59
79.3%
Q3 - 8:11ThunderDanilo Gallinari defensive rebound57
18.8%
59
81.2%
Q3 - 8:15PistonsTony Snell misses three point jump shot57
19.7%
59
80.3%
Q3 - 8:20ThunderLuguentz Dort personal foul (Reggie Jackson draws the foul)57
21.6%
59
78.4%
Q3 - 8:32ThunderChris Paul makes two point fadeaway jump shot (Danilo Gallinari assists)57
21.6%
59
78.4%
Q3 - 8:47PistonsReggie Jackson makes two point tip layup57
23.8%
57
76.2%
Q3 - 8:47PistonsReggie Jackson offensive rebound55
21.6%
57
78.4%
Q3 - 8:48PistonsBruce Brown misses two point driving layup55
19.7%
57
80.3%
Q3 - 9:07ThunderSteven Adams turnover (offensive foul)55
21.0%
57
79.0%
Q3 - 9:07ThunderSteven Adams offensive foul (Christian Wood draws the foul)55
18.5%
57
81.5%
Q3 - 9:20PistonsChristian Wood makes two point driving floating jump shot (Reggie Jackson assists)55
18.5%
57
81.5%
Q3 - 9:39ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 253
16.7%
57
83.3%
Q3 - 9:39ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 253
17.0%
56
83.0%
Q3 - 9:39PistonsBruce Brown shooting foul (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander draws the foul)53
17.4%
55
82.6%
Q3 - 9:52ThunderDanilo Gallinari defensive rebound53
18.5%
55
81.5%
Q3 - 9:54PistonsReggie Jackson misses two point running layup53
19.3%
55
80.7%
Q3 - 9:59PistonsChristian Wood defensive rebound53
21.1%
55
78.9%
Q3 - 10:01ThunderSteven Adams misses two point finger roll layup53
20.0%
55
80.0%
Q3 - 10:14PistonsReggie Jackson makes three point jump shot (Tony Snell assists)53
18.3%
55
81.7%
Q3 - 10:44ThunderDanilo Gallinari makes three point jump shot (Chris Paul assists)50
14.7%
55
85.3%
Q3 - 10:50ThunderDanilo Gallinari defensive rebound50
18.3%
52
81.7%
Q3 - 10:53PistonsChristian Wood misses three point jump shot50
19.0%
52
81.0%
Q3 - 11:01PistonsThon Maker defensive rebound50
20.4%
52
79.6%
Q3 - 11:04ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander misses three point stepback jump shot50
19.7%
52
80.3%
Q3 - 11:26PistonsTony Snell makes three point jump shot (Reggie Jackson assists)50
18.2%
52
81.8%
Q3 - 11:42PistonsBruce Brown defensive rebound47
14.6%
52
85.4%
Q3 - 11:45ThunderSteven Adams misses two point floating jump shot47
14.1%
52
85.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.47
12.9%
52
87.1%
Q2 - 0:02.0PistonsChristian Wood defensive rebound47
14.4%
52
85.6%
Q2 - 0:02.0ThunderTerrance Ferguson misses three point jump shot47
14.0%
52
86.0%
Q2 - 0:09.4PistonsReggie Jackson makes two point driving floating jump shot47
13.3%
52
86.7%
Q2 - 0:27.7ThunderSteven Adams makes regular free throw 2 of 245
11.5%
52
88.5%
Q2 - 0:27.7ThunderSteven Adams makes regular free throw 1 of 245
12.0%
51
88.0%
Q2 - 0:27.7PistonsThon Maker personal foul (Steven Adams draws the foul)45
12.6%
50
87.4%
Q2 - 0:31.1ThunderDanilo Gallinari defensive rebound45
13.3%
50
86.7%
Q2 - 0:34.3PistonsThon Maker misses three point jump shot45
13.6%
50
86.4%
Q2 - 0:55.8ThunderDanilo Gallinari makes two point fadeaway jump shot (Chris Paul assists)45
14.4%
50
85.6%
Q2 - 1:05PistonsChristian Wood makes regular free throw 1 of 145
16.8%
48
83.2%
Q2 - 1:05ThunderSteven Adams shooting foul (Christian Wood draws the foul)44
16.4%
48
83.6%
Q2 - 1:19ThunderDanilo Gallinari makes regular free throw 2 of 242
13.0%
48
87.0%
Q2 - 1:19ThunderDanilo Gallinari makes regular free throw 1 of 242
13.1%
47
86.9%
Q2 - 1:19PistonsReggie Jackson shooting foul (Danilo Gallinari draws the foul)42
13.3%
46
86.7%
Q2 - 1:21ThunderSteven Adams offensive rebound42
15.1%
46
84.9%
Q2 - 1:23ThunderDanilo Gallinari misses three point jump shot42
15.8%
46
84.2%
Q2 - 1:42PistonsThon Maker makes two point tip layup42
15.1%
46
84.9%
Q2 - 1:42PistonsThon Maker offensive rebound40
13.0%
46
87.0%
Q2 - 1:45PistonsChristian Wood misses two point layup40
12.4%
46
87.6%
Q2 - 2:07ThunderChris Paul makes three point jump shot (Steven Adams assists)40
13.5%
46
86.5%
Q2 - 2:11ThunderSteven Adams offensive rebound40
16.5%
43
83.5%
Q2 - 2:15ThunderSteven Adams misses two point hook shot40
17.8%
43
82.2%
Q2 - 2:35PistonsThon Maker makes regular free throw 1 of 140
16.6%
43
83.4%
Q2 - 2:35ThunderDennis Schroder shooting foul (Thon Maker draws the foul)39
16.1%
43
83.9%
Q2 - 2:50PistonsPistons defensive rebound37
13.4%
43
86.6%
Q2 - 2:51ThunderDanilo Gallinari misses three point jump shot37
13.0%
43
87.0%
Q2 - 3:02PistonsThon Maker makes three point jump shot (Tony Snell assists)37
12.2%
43
87.8%
Q2 - 3:28ThunderSteven Adams makes two point hook shot34
10.0%
43
90.0%
Q2 - 3:39ThunderSteven Adams defensive rebound34
11.0%
41
89.0%
Q2 - 3:44PistonsLangston Galloway misses three point jump shot34
11.4%
41
88.6%
Q2 - 3:56ThunderDanilo Gallinari makes regular free throw 2 of 234
12.3%
41
87.7%
Q2 - 3:56ThunderDanilo Gallinari makes regular free throw 1 of 234
12.4%
40
87.6%
Q2 - 3:56PistonsThon Maker shooting foul (Danilo Gallinari draws the foul)34
12.6%
39
87.4%
Q2 - 4:19ThunderSteven Adams defensive rebound34
13.5%
39
86.5%
Q2 - 4:21PistonsThon Maker misses regular free throw 2 of 234
13.7%
39
86.3%
Q2 - 4:21PistonsThon Maker makes regular free throw 1 of 234
14.5%
39
85.5%
Q2 - 4:21ThunderDanilo Gallinari shooting foul (Thon Maker draws the foul)33
14.1%
39
85.9%
Q2 - 4:39ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander makes two point driving floating jump shot33
13.5%
39
86.5%
Q2 - 4:56PistonsThon Maker makes two point alley-oop dunk (Tony Snell assists)33
14.9%
37
85.1%
Q2 - 5:12PistonsThon Maker defensive rebound31
13.6%
37
86.4%
Q2 - 5:14ThunderDanilo Gallinari misses three point jump shot31
13.1%
37
86.9%
Q2 - 5:28ThunderSteven Adams defensive rebound31
12.1%
37
87.9%
Q2 - 5:28PistonsThon Maker misses two point putback layup31
12.5%
37
87.5%
Q2 - 5:30PistonsThon Maker offensive rebound31
13.6%
37
86.4%
Q2 - 5:32PistonsBruce Brown misses two point driving layup31
12.5%
37
87.5%
Q2 - 5:39ThunderLuguentz Dort personal foul (Bruce Brown draws the foul)31
13.6%
37
86.4%
Q2 - 5:49ThunderSteven Adams makes two point layup31
13.6%
37
86.4%
Q2 - 6:09PistonsBruce Brown makes two point floating jump shot (Thon Maker assists)31
14.6%
35
85.4%
Q2 - 6:30ThunderSteven Adams makes two point dunk (Danilo Gallinari assists)29
13.6%
35
86.4%
Q2 - 6:35ThunderThunder offensive rebound29
14.6%
33
85.4%
Q2 - 6:37ThunderDennis Schroder misses two point turnaround jump shot29
15.8%
33
84.2%
Q2 - 6:49ThunderAbdel Nader defensive rebound29
14.6%
33
85.4%
Q2 - 6:53PistonsLouis King misses three point jump shot29
15.1%
33
84.9%
Q2 - 7:07PistonsPistons offensive rebound29
16.3%
33
83.7%
Q2 - 7:08PistonsLouis King misses two point driving layup29
15.3%
33
84.7%
Q2 - 7:16PistonsLouis King defensive rebound29
16.3%
33
83.7%
Q2 - 7:19ThunderAbdel Nader misses three point jump shot29
15.9%
33
84.1%
Q2 - 7:26ThunderDarius Bazley defensive rebound29
14.9%
33
85.1%
Q2 - 7:29PistonsReggie Jackson misses three point jump shot29
15.3%
33
84.7%
Q2 - 7:37ThunderDennis Schroder personal foul (Christian Wood draws the foul)29
16.3%
33
83.7%
Q2 - 7:47PistonsChristian Wood defensive rebound29
16.3%
33
83.7%
Q2 - 7:51ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander misses three point jump shot29
15.8%
33
84.2%
Q2 - 8:06PistonsReggie Jackson personal foul (Nerlens Noel draws the foul)29
15.0%
33
85.0%
Q2 - 8:19PistonsReggie Jackson makes two point driving finger roll layup29
15.0%
33
85.0%
Q2 - 8:28PistonsSekou Doumbouya defensive rebound27
13.8%
33
86.2%
Q2 - 8:31ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander misses two point pullup jump shot27
13.5%
33
86.5%
Q2 - 8:45ThunderDarius Bazley defensive rebound27
12.6%
33
87.4%
Q2 - 8:48PistonsSekou Doumbouya misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot27
13.0%
33
87.0%
Q2 - 9:03ThunderNerlens Noel personal foul (Christian Wood draws the foul)27
13.9%
33
86.1%
Q2 - 9:29ThunderDarius Bazley makes two point driving dunk (Chris Paul assists)27
13.9%
33
86.1%
Q2 - 9:41ThunderNerlens Noel defensive rebound27
15.1%
31
84.9%
Q2 - 9:44PistonsChristian Wood misses two point pullup jump shot27
15.5%
31
84.5%
Q2 - 10:03ThunderChris Paul turnover (out of bounds lost ball)27
16.5%
31
83.5%
Q2 - 10:11ThunderDennis Schroder defensive rebound27
15.1%
31
84.9%
Q2 - 10:14PistonsChristian Wood misses regular free throw 2 of 227
15.3%
31
84.7%
Q2 - 10:14PistonsChristian Wood makes regular free throw 1 of 227
16.1%
31
83.9%
Q2 - 10:14ThunderSteven Adams shooting foul (Christian Wood draws the foul)26
15.8%
31
84.2%
Q2 - 10:19PistonsChristian Wood offensive rebound26
15.2%
31
84.8%
Q2 - 10:22PistonsChristian Wood misses two point jump shot26
14.3%
31
85.7%
Q2 - 10:43ThunderSteven Adams turnover (out of bounds bad pass)26
15.2%
31
84.8%
Q2 - 10:58PistonsReggie Jackson makes two point driving floating jump shot26
13.9%
31
86.1%
Q2 - 11:10PistonsLouis King defensive rebound24
12.7%
31
87.3%
Q2 - 11:12ThunderChris Paul misses three point jump shot24
12.4%
31
87.6%
Q2 - 11:26ThunderDarius Bazley defensive rebound24
11.8%
31
88.2%
Q2 - 11:28PistonsLangston Galloway misses three point jump shot24
12.1%
31
87.9%
Q2 - 11:46ThunderDennis Schroder makes two point pullup jump shot (Steven Adams assists)24
12.8%
31
87.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.24
13.9%
29
86.1%
Q1 - 0:02.1ThunderDennis Schroder makes two point pullup jump shot (Steven Adams assists)24
14.8%
29
85.2%
Q1 - 0:12.1PistonsBruce Brown makes regular free throw 2 of 224
16.3%
27
83.7%
Q1 - 0:12.1PistonsBruce Brown makes regular free throw 1 of 223
16.0%
27
84.0%
Q1 - 0:12.1ThunderTerrance Ferguson shooting foul (Bruce Brown draws the foul)22
15.7%
27
84.3%
Q1 - 0:33.2ThunderChris Paul makes regular free throw 2 of 222
14.8%
27
85.2%
Q1 - 0:33.2ThunderChris Paul misses regular free throw 1 of 222
15.0%
26
85.0%
Q1 - 0:33.2PistonsJordan Bone personal foul (Chris Paul draws the foul)22
13.9%
26
86.1%
Q1 - 0:48.2PistonsSekou Doumbouya makes two point layup (Christian Wood assists)22
15.1%
26
84.9%
Q1 - 1:02ThunderDennis Schroder personal foul (Bruce Brown draws the foul)20
13.8%
26
86.2%
Q1 - 1:07PistonsLangston Galloway defensive rebound20
13.8%
26
86.2%
Q1 - 1:10ThunderTerrance Ferguson misses regular free throw 2 of 220
13.7%
26
86.3%
Q1 - 1:10ThunderTerrance Ferguson makes regular free throw 1 of 220
12.9%
26
87.1%
Q1 - 1:10PistonsJordan Bone personal foul (Terrance Ferguson draws the foul)20
13.2%
25
86.8%
Q1 - 1:20PistonsLangston Galloway makes two point stepback jump shot (Christian Wood assists)20
14.0%
25
86.0%
Q1 - 1:37ThunderDennis Schroder makes two point pullup jump shot18
12.7%
25
87.3%
Q1 - 1:51PistonsChristian Wood makes two point putback dunk18
14.0%
23
86.0%
Q1 - 1:52PistonsChristian Wood offensive rebound16
12.7%
23
87.3%
Q1 - 1:54PistonsBruce Brown misses two point running layup16
12.2%
23
87.8%
Q1 - 2:00ThunderDennis Schroder turnover (bad pass) (Jordan Bone steals)16
12.7%
23
87.3%
Q1 - 2:15PistonsLangston Galloway makes two point driving layup16
11.9%
23
88.1%
Q1 - 2:32ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander makes two point pullup jump shot (Terrance Ferguson assists)14
11.0%
23
89.0%
Q1 - 2:41PistonsBruce Brown turnover (bad pass) (Nerlens Noel steals)14
11.9%
21
88.1%
Q1 - 3:04ThunderNerlens Noel makes two point running dunk (Danilo Gallinari assists)14
13.0%
21
87.0%
Q1 - 3:08PistonsBruce Brown turnover (bad pass) (Terrance Ferguson steals)14
13.8%
19
86.2%
Q1 - 3:11ThunderDennis Schroder turnover (bad pass) (Bruce Brown steals)14
15.1%
19
84.9%
Q1 - 3:26ThunderTerrance Ferguson defensive rebound14
13.8%
19
86.2%
Q1 - 3:29PistonsSekou Doumbouya misses three point stepback jump shot14
14.2%
19
85.8%
Q1 - 3:54ThunderDennis Schroder makes two point driving layup (Nerlens Noel assists)14
15.1%
19
84.9%
Q1 - 3:59PistonsSekou Doumbouya personal foul (Danilo Gallinari draws the foul)14
16.0%
17
84.0%
Q1 - 4:14PistonsPistons turnover (shot clock violation)14
15.9%
17
84.1%
Q1 - 4:14PistonsPistons offensive rebound14
17.3%
17
82.7%
Q1 - 4:14PistonsLangston Galloway misses two point jump shot14
16.4%
17
83.6%
Q1 - 4:14PistonsSekou Doumbouya offensive rebound14
17.3%
17
82.7%
Q1 - 4:16PistonsShai Gilgeous-Alexander blocks Sekou Doumbouya's two point cutting layup14
16.4%
17
83.6%
Q1 - 4:38ThunderDennis Schroder makes regular free throw 1 of 114
17.3%
17
82.7%
Q1 - 4:38PistonsJordan Bone shooting foul (Dennis Schroder draws the foul)14
17.5%
16
82.5%
Q1 - 4:40ThunderThunder offensive rebound14
19.7%
14
80.3%
Q1 - 4:40ThunderBruce Brown blocks Terrance Ferguson's two point driving layup14
20.8%
14
79.2%
Q1 - 4:46ThunderNerlens Noel defensive rebound14
19.7%
14
80.3%
Q1 - 4:50PistonsSekou Doumbouya misses two point pullup jump shot14
20.2%
14
79.8%
Q1 - 5:07ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander personal foul (Bruce Brown draws the foul)14
20.9%
14
79.1%
Q1 - 5:12PistonsSekou Doumbouya defensive rebound14
20.9%
14
79.1%
Q1 - 5:15ThunderDanilo Gallinari misses three point jump shot14
20.4%
14
79.6%
Q1 - 5:23ThunderNerlens Noel defensive rebound14
19.5%
14
80.5%
Q1 - 5:27PistonsReggie Jackson misses three point jump shot14
19.9%
14
80.1%
Q1 - 5:48ThunderChris Paul makes two point pullup jump shot14
20.9%
14
79.1%
Q1 - 6:04PistonsThon Maker makes three point jump shot (Reggie Jackson assists)14
21.9%
12
78.1%
Q1 - 6:18PistonsChristian Wood defensive rebound11
19.3%
12
80.7%
Q1 - 6:20ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander misses two point driving finger roll layup11
19.0%
12
81.0%
Q1 - 6:38PistonsChristian Wood makes three point jump shot (Bruce Brown assists)11
18.2%
12
81.8%
Q1 - 7:00ThunderSteven Adams makes two point alley-oop dunk (Chris Paul assists)8
15.9%
12
84.1%
Q1 - 7:10PistonsReggie Jackson makes two point driving floating jump shot8
16.8%
10
83.2%
Q1 - 7:31ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander makes three point pullup jump shot6
15.9%
10
84.1%
Q1 - 7:38PistonsChristian Wood makes two point tip layup6
17.9%
7
82.1%
Q1 - 7:38PistonsChristian Wood offensive rebound4
17.0%
7
83.0%
Q1 - 7:41PistonsReggie Jackson misses two point driving layup4
16.2%
7
83.8%
Q1 - 7:50PistonsChristian Wood defensive rebound4
17.0%
7
83.0%
Q1 - 7:52ThunderDanilo Gallinari misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot4
16.6%
7
83.4%
Q1 - 8:13ThunderSteven Adams defensive rebound4
15.7%
7
84.3%
Q1 - 8:18PistonsChristian Wood misses three point running jump shot4
16.0%
7
84.0%
Q1 - 8:24ThunderChris Paul turnover (bad pass) (Bruce Brown steals)4
16.8%
7
83.2%
Q1 - 8:29PistonsThon Maker personal foul (Danilo Gallinari draws the foul)4
15.7%
7
84.3%
Q1 - 8:29ThunderDanilo Gallinari defensive rebound4
15.7%
7
84.3%
Q1 - 8:29PistonsBruce Brown misses two point jump shot4
16.0%
7
84.0%
Q1 - 8:30PistonsBruce Brown offensive rebound4
16.8%
7
83.2%
Q1 - 8:33PistonsSteven Adams blocks Bruce Brown's two point driving layup4
16.0%
7
84.0%
Q1 - 8:56ThunderDanilo Gallinari makes regular free throw 2 of 24
16.8%
7
83.2%
Q1 - 8:56ThunderDanilo Gallinari makes regular free throw 1 of 24
16.9%
6
83.1%
Q1 - 8:56PistonsChristian Wood shooting foul (Danilo Gallinari draws the foul)4
17.0%
5
83.0%
Q1 - 9:08ThunderChris Paul defensive rebound4
17.6%
5
82.4%
Q1 - 9:11PistonsTony Snell misses three point jump shot4
18.0%
5
82.0%
Q1 - 9:27ThunderThunder turnover (shot clock violation)4
18.9%
5
81.1%
Q1 - 9:53PistonsThon Maker makes two point turnaround hook shot (Tony Snell assists)4
17.6%
5
82.4%
Q1 - 10:00PistonsTony Snell defensive rebound2
16.8%
5
83.2%
Q1 - 10:01ThunderDanilo Gallinari misses two point cutting dunk2
16.3%
5
83.7%
Q1 - 10:06ThunderChris Paul defensive rebound2
15.5%
5
84.5%
Q1 - 10:09PistonsReggie Jackson misses three point jump shot2
15.9%
5
84.1%
Q1 - 10:20ThunderSteven Adams makes two point layup (Danilo Gallinari assists)2
16.6%
5
83.4%
Q1 - 10:36PistonsTony Snell makes two point driving floating jump shot (Christian Wood assists)2
17.5%
3
82.5%
Q1 - 10:45PistonsChristian Wood offensive rebound0
16.6%
3
83.4%
Q1 - 10:48PistonsReggie Jackson misses three point jump shot0
15.9%
3
84.1%
Q1 - 11:10ThunderDanilo Gallinari makes three point jump shot0
16.4%
3
83.6%
Q1 - 11:23ThunderThunder offensive rebound0
18.5%
0
81.5%
Q1 - 11:26ThunderDanilo Gallinari misses three point jump shot0
19.3%
0
80.7%
Q1 - 11:32ThunderChris Paul defensive rebound0
18.5%
0
81.5%
Q1 - 11:35PistonsChristian Wood misses two point driving layup0
18.9%
0
81.1%
Q1 - 12:00Thon Maker vs. Steven Adams (Christian Wood gains possession)0
19.7%
0
80.3%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DET
1.00 50.0%
OKC
1.19 59.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DET
16
29
55%
OKC
14
21
67%
Midrange
DET
11
22
50%
OKC
20
32
63%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DET
11
16.5
38
29%
43%
OKC
5
7.5
23
22%
33%
Free Throws
DET
14
19
74%
OKC
25
30
83%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Jackson2874%14.0 / 19
C. Wood2768%13.5 / 20
T. Maker1968%9.5 / 14
T. Snell945%4.5 / 10
S. Doumbouya840%4.0 / 10
L. Galloway633%3.0 / 9
B. Brown420%2.0 / 10
J. Bone0-0.0 / 2
L. King0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
OKC logo Thunder
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Paul2273%11.0 / 15
S. Gilgeous-Alexander2162%10.5 / 17
D. Gallinari1953%9.5 / 18
D. Schröder1864%9.0 / 14
S. Adams1673%8.0 / 11
N. Noel788%3.5 / 4
L. Dort225%1.0 / 4
D. Bazley2100%1.0 / 1
T. Ferguson113%0.5 / 4
A. Nader0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DET
81
+20
-9
101
OKC
78
+13
-11
91
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DET
1.00 50.0%
OKC
1.19 59.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
109.1
110.5
DET 112.2
OKC 121.3 +9.1
Pace
97.5
99.0
DET 89.8 +0.6
OKC 89.2
Avg. Poss. Time
14.9
14.6
DET 16.0 +0.1
OKC 16.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.9%
53.0%
DET 48.9%
OKC 54.6% +5.7%
TO %
14.8%
13.0%
DET 10.2% +1.7%
OKC 11.9%
ORB %
22.6%
19.4%
DET 29.8% +1.7%
OKC 28.1%
FTrt
26.1
29.0
DET 21.3
OKC 39.5 +18.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
61.2%
54.3%
DET 50.0%
OKC 53.8% +3.8%
STL %
7.6%
7.7%
DET 7.8% +3.3%
OKC 4.5%
BLK %
7.8%
8.7%
DET 1.9%
OKC 11.8% +9.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.9%
55.9%
DET 50.0%
OKC 59.3% +9.3%
Rim FG%
59.1%
60.4%
DET 55.2%
OKC 66.7% +11.5%
Mid FG%
38.3%
44.6%
DET 50.0%
OKC 62.5% +12.5%
3P %
36.7%
35.5%
DET 28.9% +7.2%
OKC 21.7%
FT %
74.3%
79.6%
DET 73.7%
OKC 83.3% +9.6%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
39.4%
34.2%
DET 32.6% +5.0%
OKC 27.6%
Mid Att. %
22.5%
30.5%
DET 24.7% +17.4%
OKC 42.1%
3P Att. %
38.1%
35.3%
DET 42.7% +12.4%
OKC 30.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsDETOKC
Possessions9089
Possession Minutes24.124.0
Points101108
Rebounds3742
Assists1921
Steals74
Blocks16
Turnovers (Team)9 (2)11 (1)
Fouls2323
Off. Rebounds (Team)14 (6)9 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)23 (3)33 (0)
Field Goals38-8939-76
At-the-Rim FG16-2914-21
Midrange FG11-2220-32
2-Point FG27-5134-53
3-Point FG11-385-23
Free Throws14-1925-30
Fast Break Pts02
2nd Chance Pts2122
Points in Paint4850
Pts off Turnovers1016
Bench Points1428
Biggest Lead213

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
25 Detroit Pistons
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Christian Wood
#35 · PF · 6'9" 214 · 24
35.3
27
68%
12
5
0
0
1
2
6
6
4-6
67%
7-12
58%
3-6
50%
Thon Maker
#7 · C · 7'1" 223 · 23
33.5
19
68%
7
2
1
0
1
6
4
3
3-5
60%
5-7
71%
2-5
40%
Tony Snell
#17 · SF · 6'7" 221 · 28
33.1
9
45%
1
5
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
3-4
75%
1-6
17%
Bruce Brown
#6 · SG · 6'4" 202 · 23
33.0
4
20%
6
1
5
1
4
5
2
4
2-2
100%
1-9
11%
0-0
-
Reggie Jackson
#1 · PG · 6'3" 208 · 30
32.7
28
74%
3
3
0
0
2
4
1
2
3-4
75%
8-10
80%
3-8
38%
Langston Galloway
#9 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 28
29.8
6
33%
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
2-3
67%
0-5
0%
Sekou Doumbouya
#45 · SF · 6'9" 209 · 19
25.6
8
40%
4
0
0
0
1
2
1
3
0-0
-
1-5
20%
2-5
40%
Jordan Bone
#18 · PG · 6'2" 179 · 22
10.1
0
0%
0
1
1
0
0
3
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-2
0%
Louis King
#14 · SF · 6'7" 205 · 21
6.9
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-1
0%
Svi Mykhailiuk
#19 · SG · 6'7" 205 · 23
NWT - Injury/Illness | Right Hip; Strain
Markieff Morris
#88 · PF · 6'10" 245 · 30
NWT - Injury/Illness | Body; Influenza
Khyri Thomas
#13 · SG · 6'3" 210 · 24
NWT - Injury/Illness | Right Foot; Surgery
Luke Kennard
#5 · SG · 6'5" 206 · 24
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Bilateral Knee; Patella Tendinitis
John Henson
#31 · PF · 6'11" 229 · 29
Inactive - Coach's Decision
Brandon Knight
#20 · SG · 6'2" 182 · 28
Inactive - Coach's Decision
Blake Griffin
#23 · PF · 6'10" 251 · 31
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Knee; Surgery
Derrick Rose
#25 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 31
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Hip; Adductor Strain
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
101
50%
37
19
7
1
9
23
14
23
14-19
74%
27-51
53%
11-38
29%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.