FinalWin Prob.pScore
956%109
102
2044%107
89
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
112.19189.6
ORL logo ORL
97.89192.4

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

MagicHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MagicHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAORL
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.102
100%
89
0%
Q4 - 0:21.1MagicMarkelle Fultz turnover (bad pass) (Bam Adebayo steals)102
99.9%
89
0.1%
Q4 - 0:30.5HeatGoran Dragic makes regular free throw 2 of 2102
99.9%
89
0.1%
Q4 - 0:30.5HeatGoran Dragic makes regular free throw 1 of 2101
99.9%
89
0.1%
Q4 - 0:30.5MagicTerrence Ross personal foul (Goran Dragic draws the foul)100
99.9%
89
0.1%
Q4 - 0:36.0HeatDerrick Jones Jr. defensive rebound100
99.9%
89
0.1%
Q4 - 0:39.6MagicNikola Vucevic misses three point jump shot100
99.9%
89
0.1%
Q4 - 0:47.1HeatGoran Dragic makes regular free throw 2 of 2100
99.9%
89
0.1%
Q4 - 0:47.1HeatGoran Dragic misses regular free throw 1 of 299
99.9%
89
0.1%
Q4 - 0:47.1MagicEvan Fournier personal foul (Take) (Goran Dragic draws the foul)99
99.9%
89
0.1%
Q4 - 0:49.5MagicNikola Vucevic personal foul (Take) (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)99
99.9%
89
0.1%
Q4 - 0:51.6HeatDerrick Jones Jr. defensive rebound99
99.9%
89
0.1%
Q4 - 0:54.9MagicEvan Fournier misses three point jump shot99
99.9%
89
0.1%
Q4 - 1:00HeatTyler Herro makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)99
99.7%
89
0.3%
Q4 - 1:14HeatHeat defensive rebound96
98.8%
89
1.2%
Q4 - 1:15MagicTerrence Ross misses three point jump shot96
98.5%
89
1.5%
Q4 - 1:20MagicTerrence Ross defensive rebound96
97.4%
89
2.6%
Q4 - 1:24HeatJimmy Butler misses three point jump shot96
97.7%
89
2.3%
Q4 - 1:47MagicEvan Fournier makes regular free throw 2 of 296
97.7%
89
2.3%
Q4 - 1:47MagicEvan Fournier makes regular free throw 1 of 296
97.8%
88
2.2%
Q4 - 1:47HeatGoran Dragic personal foul (Evan Fournier draws the foul)96
98.0%
87
2.0%
Q4 - 2:02MagicNikola Vucevic defensive rebound96
98.4%
87
1.6%
Q4 - 2:05HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot96
98.7%
87
1.3%
Q4 - 2:23HeatHeat defensive rebound96
99.2%
87
0.8%
Q4 - 2:23MagicBam Adebayo blocks Aaron Gordon's two point driving layup96
99.0%
87
1.0%
Q4 - 2:24MagicAaron Gordon defensive rebound96
98.4%
87
1.6%
Q4 - 2:27HeatNikola Vucevic blocks Jimmy Butler's two point layup96
98.7%
87
1.3%
Q4 - 2:47MagicTerrence Ross makes three point jump shot (Markelle Fultz assists)96
99.2%
87
0.8%
Q4 - 2:56HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 196
99.3%
84
0.7%
Q4 - 2:56MagicEvan Fournier shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)95
99.3%
84
0.7%
Q4 - 3:20MagicNikola Vucevic makes two point turnaround hook shot (Evan Fournier assists)93
98.7%
84
1.3%
Q4 - 3:32HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 293
98.0%
82
2.0%
Q4 - 3:32HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 292
97.9%
82
2.1%
Q4 - 3:32MagicNikola Vucevic shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)91
97.8%
82
2.2%
Q4 - 3:55MagicNikola Vucevic makes two point jump shot (Evan Fournier assists)91
97.5%
82
2.5%
Q4 - 4:08HeatJimmy Butler turnover (offensive foul)91
98.2%
80
1.8%
Q4 - 4:08HeatJimmy Butler offensive foul (Charge) (Michael Carter-Williams draws the foul)91
98.8%
80
1.2%
Q4 - 4:20HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound91
98.8%
80
1.2%
Q4 - 4:23MagicTerrence Ross misses three point jump shot91
98.7%
80
1.3%
Q4 - 4:28MagicMarkelle Fultz defensive rebound91
98.3%
80
1.7%
Q4 - 4:31HeatDerrick Jones Jr. misses three point stepback jump shot91
98.5%
80
1.5%
Q4 - 4:45HeatHeat offensive rebound91
98.9%
80
1.1%
Q4 - 4:46HeatBam Adebayo misses two point jump shot91
98.5%
80
1.5%
Q4 - 5:07MagicAaron Gordon makes regular free throw 2 of 291
98.1%
80
1.9%
Q4 - 5:07MagicAaron Gordon makes regular free throw 1 of 291
98.2%
79
1.8%
Q4 - 5:07HeatJimmy Butler personal foul (Aaron Gordon draws the foul)91
98.4%
78
1.6%
Q4 - 5:21HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 2 of 291
98.6%
78
1.4%
Q4 - 5:21HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 290
98.5%
78
1.5%
Q4 - 5:21MagicMarkelle Fultz shooting foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)89
98.4%
78
1.6%
Q4 - 5:36MagicAaron Gordon makes two point driving dunk (Michael Carter-Williams assists)89
98.1%
78
1.9%
Q4 - 5:49HeatMeyers Leonard turnover (offensive foul)89
98.6%
76
1.4%
Q4 - 5:49HeatMeyers Leonard offensive foul (Off the ball) (Michael Carter-Williams draws the foul)89
99.0%
76
1.0%
Q4 - 5:58HeatMeyers Leonard defensive rebound89
99.0%
76
1.0%
Q4 - 6:01MagicEvan Fournier misses three point jump shot89
98.3%
76
1.7%
Q4 - 6:25HeatMeyers Leonard makes three point jump shot (Goran Dragic assists)89
97.9%
76
2.1%
Q4 - 6:36HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound86
96.5%
76
3.5%
Q4 - 6:41MagicEvan Fournier misses two point jump shot86
96.1%
76
3.9%
Q4 - 6:51MagicNikola Vucevic defensive rebound86
95.1%
76
4.9%
Q4 - 6:54HeatNikola Vucevic blocks Bam Adebayo's two point layup86
95.6%
76
4.4%
Q4 - 6:56HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound86
96.5%
76
3.5%
Q4 - 6:59HeatMeyers Leonard misses three point jump shot86
95.6%
76
4.4%
Q4 - 7:07HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound86
95.5%
76
4.5%
Q4 - 7:10MagicEvan Fournier misses two point driving floating jump shot86
95.1%
76
4.9%
Q4 - 7:20MagicTerrence Ross defensive rebound86
94.0%
76
6.0%
Q4 - 7:23HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot86
94.5%
76
5.5%
Q4 - 7:38HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound86
95.6%
76
4.4%
Q4 - 7:41MagicAaron Gordon misses three point pullup jump shot86
95.2%
76
4.8%
Q4 - 7:45MagicAaron Gordon defensive rebound86
94.1%
76
5.9%
Q4 - 7:50HeatGoran Dragic misses three point jump shot86
94.6%
76
5.4%
Q4 - 8:11HeatMeyers Leonard defensive rebound86
94.4%
76
5.6%
Q4 - 8:14MagicAaron Gordon misses regular free throw 1 of 186
94.3%
76
5.7%
Q4 - 8:14HeatMeyers Leonard shooting foul (Aaron Gordon draws the foul)86
93.4%
76
6.6%
Q4 - 8:34HeatTyler Herro makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)86
95.7%
74
4.3%
Q4 - 8:50HeatMeyers Leonard defensive rebound83
93.1%
74
6.9%
Q4 - 8:52MagicGary Clark misses three point jump shot83
92.5%
74
7.5%
Q4 - 8:57MagicGary Clark offensive rebound83
91.2%
74
8.8%
Q4 - 8:59MagicMo Bamba misses three point jump shot83
92.6%
74
7.4%
Q4 - 9:20HeatTyler Herro makes three point jump shot (Derrick Jones Jr. assists)83
90.2%
74
9.8%
Q4 - 9:23HeatDerrick Jones Jr. offensive rebound80
85.2%
74
14.8%
Q4 - 9:26HeatMeyers Leonard misses three point jump shot80
82.9%
74
17.1%
Q4 - 9:28HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound80
85.2%
74
14.8%
Q4 - 9:30HeatMeyers Leonard misses two point turnaround hook shot80
82.9%
74
17.1%
Q4 - 9:52MagicEvan Fournier makes three point jump shot80
85.2%
74
14.8%
Q4 - 9:57HeatJames Johnson personal foul (Evan Fournier draws the foul)80
90.2%
71
9.8%
Q4 - 10:10HeatMeyers Leonard makes two point driving floating jump shot (Goran Dragic assists)80
89.2%
71
10.8%
Q4 - 10:24HeatHeat defensive rebound78
86.9%
71
13.1%
Q4 - 10:26MagicEvan Fournier misses two point stepback jump shot78
86.1%
71
13.9%
Q4 - 10:40MagicMichael Carter-Williams defensive rebound78
84.1%
71
15.9%
Q4 - 10:42HeatGoran Dragic misses two point driving layup78
85.0%
71
15.0%
Q4 - 10:55MagicMichael Carter-Williams makes regular free throw 2 of 278
87.0%
71
13.0%
Q4 - 10:55MagicMichael Carter-Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 278
87.6%
70
12.4%
Q4 - 10:55HeatGoran Dragic shooting foul (Michael Carter-Williams draws the foul)78
88.2%
69
11.8%
Q4 - 11:04HeatJames Johnson turnover (back court violation)78
88.1%
69
11.9%
Q4 - 11:26MagicEvan Fournier makes regular free throw 2 of 278
90.2%
69
9.8%
Q4 - 11:26MagicEvan Fournier makes regular free throw 1 of 278
90.5%
68
9.5%
Q4 - 11:26HeatTyler Herro shooting foul (Evan Fournier draws the foul)78
90.9%
67
9.1%
Q4 - 11:47HeatMeyers Leonard makes two point layup (James Johnson assists)78
92.0%
67
8.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.76
90.3%
67
9.7%
Q3 - 0:01.4MagicMo Bamba defensive rebound76
87.3%
67
12.7%
Q3 - 0:01.4HeatGoran Dragic misses three point jump shot76
88.0%
67
12.0%
Q3 - 0:04.1HeatJames Johnson defensive rebound76
89.3%
67
10.7%
Q3 - 0:07.7MagicDerrick Jones Jr. blocks Terrence Ross's two point driving layup76
88.8%
67
11.2%
Q3 - 0:26.0MagicMo Bamba defensive rebound76
87.4%
67
12.6%
Q3 - 0:28.6HeatGoran Dragic misses two point stepback jump shot76
88.0%
67
12.0%
Q3 - 0:38.5HeatMeyers Leonard defensive rebound76
89.4%
67
10.6%
Q3 - 0:40.8MagicMichael Carter-Williams misses regular free throw 2 of 276
89.2%
67
10.8%
Q3 - 0:40.8MagicMichael Carter-Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 276
87.8%
67
12.2%
Q3 - 0:40.8HeatMeyers Leonard shooting foul (Michael Carter-Williams draws the foul)76
88.4%
66
11.6%
Q3 - 0:43.3MagicGary Clark defensive rebound76
89.5%
66
10.5%
Q3 - 0:46.9HeatMo Bamba blocks James Johnson's two point hook shot76
90.0%
66
10.0%
Q3 - 0:57.1HeatHeat offensive rebound76
91.2%
66
8.8%
Q3 - 0:57.1HeatMeyers Leonard misses two point tip layup76
90.1%
66
9.9%
Q3 - 0:57.7HeatMeyers Leonard offensive rebound76
91.2%
66
8.8%
Q3 - 1:00HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving layup76
90.1%
66
9.9%
Q3 - 1:10HeatJames Johnson defensive rebound76
90.4%
66
9.6%
Q3 - 1:13MagicGary Clark misses three point jump shot76
89.8%
66
10.2%
Q3 - 1:26HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 276
88.5%
66
11.5%
Q3 - 1:26HeatJimmy Butler misses regular free throw 1 of 275
88.2%
66
11.8%
Q3 - 1:26MagicMichael Carter-Williams shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)75
89.8%
66
10.2%
Q3 - 1:44HeatMeyers Leonard defensive rebound75
88.6%
66
11.4%
Q3 - 1:47MagicTerrence Ross misses three point pullup jump shot75
88.0%
66
12.0%
Q3 - 2:02HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 275
85.1%
66
14.9%
Q3 - 2:02HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 274
84.8%
66
15.2%
Q3 - 2:02MagicMarkelle Fultz shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)73
84.4%
66
15.6%
Q3 - 2:12MagicMarkelle Fultz makes regular free throw 2 of 273
82.9%
66
17.1%
Q3 - 2:12MagicMarkelle Fultz makes regular free throw 1 of 273
83.6%
65
16.4%
Q3 - 2:12HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (Markelle Fultz draws the foul)73
84.4%
64
15.6%
Q3 - 2:14MagicTerrence Ross defensive rebound73
85.1%
64
14.9%
Q3 - 2:18HeatJames Johnson misses two point driving dunk73
85.9%
64
14.1%
Q3 - 2:35MagicNikola Vucevic makes two point turnaround hook shot73
87.6%
64
12.4%
Q3 - 2:50MagicNikola Vucevic defensive rebound73
89.3%
62
10.7%
Q3 - 2:52HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving hook shot73
89.9%
62
10.1%
Q3 - 3:13MagicMarkelle Fultz makes two point jump shot73
90.3%
62
9.7%
Q3 - 3:28HeatJimmy Butler makes two point running dunk (James Johnson assists)73
91.6%
60
8.4%
Q3 - 3:33MagicMarkelle Fultz turnover (lost ball) (James Johnson steals)71
90.3%
60
9.7%
Q3 - 3:56HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Goran Dragic assists)71
88.5%
60
11.5%
Q3 - 4:08MagicNikola Vucevic makes two point jump shot (Markelle Fultz assists)68
83.9%
60
16.1%
Q3 - 4:23HeatBam Adebayo turnover (out of bounds step)68
85.7%
58
14.3%
Q3 - 4:30HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound68
88.0%
58
12.0%
Q3 - 4:34MagicMarkelle Fultz misses two point pullup jump shot68
87.3%
58
12.7%
Q3 - 4:41MagicNikola Vucevic defensive rebound68
85.8%
58
14.2%
Q3 - 4:43HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot68
86.5%
58
13.5%
Q3 - 4:52HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound68
88.0%
58
12.0%
Q3 - 4:55MagicAaron Gordon misses two point turnaround jump shot68
87.4%
58
12.6%
Q3 - 5:05MagicMarkelle Fultz defensive rebound68
85.0%
58
15.0%
Q3 - 5:07HeatBam Adebayo misses two point cutting layup68
85.7%
58
14.3%
Q3 - 5:20HeatMeyers Leonard defensive rebound68
87.1%
58
12.9%
Q3 - 5:24MagicNikola Vucevic misses two point turnaround jump shot68
86.5%
58
13.5%
Q3 - 5:44HeatJimmy Butler makes two point cutting layup (Duncan Robinson assists)68
85.1%
58
14.9%
Q3 - 5:52HeatMeyers Leonard defensive rebound66
83.1%
58
16.9%
Q3 - 5:55MagicAaron Gordon misses two point running jump shot66
82.4%
58
17.6%
Q3 - 6:15MagicKhem Birch defensive rebound66
79.8%
58
20.2%
Q3 - 6:18HeatKendrick Nunn misses two point driving layup66
80.6%
58
19.4%
Q3 - 6:29HeatMeyers Leonard defensive rebound66
82.3%
58
17.7%
Q3 - 6:32MagicEvan Fournier misses three point stepback jump shot66
81.6%
58
18.4%
Q3 - 6:50HeatKendrick Nunn makes regular free throw 2 of 266
79.8%
58
20.2%
Q3 - 6:50HeatKendrick Nunn misses regular free throw 1 of 265
79.4%
58
20.6%
Q3 - 6:50MagicMarkelle Fultz shooting foul (Kendrick Nunn draws the foul)65
81.5%
58
18.5%
Q3 - 6:56MagicAaron Gordon makes two point stepback jump shot65
80.0%
58
20.0%
Q3 - 7:14HeatMeyers Leonard makes two point cutting dunk (Bam Adebayo assists)65
81.4%
56
18.6%
Q3 - 7:30HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound63
79.4%
56
20.6%
Q3 - 7:34MagicNikola Vucevic misses three point jump shot63
78.5%
56
21.5%
Q3 - 7:43MagicNikola Vucevic defensive rebound63
76.5%
56
23.5%
Q3 - 7:46HeatMeyers Leonard misses three point jump shot63
77.4%
56
22.6%
Q3 - 8:03HeatHeat defensive rebound63
79.2%
56
20.8%
Q3 - 8:04MagicNikola Vucevic misses two point turnaround jump shot63
78.3%
56
21.7%
Q3 - 8:18HeatMeyers Leonard turnover (traveling)63
76.3%
56
23.7%
Q3 - 8:43MagicNikola Vucevic makes three point jump shot (Markelle Fultz assists)63
79.2%
56
20.8%
Q3 - 8:59HeatMeyers Leonard makes three point jump shot63
83.3%
53
16.7%
Q3 - 9:09HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound60
78.6%
53
21.4%
Q3 - 9:12MagicAaron Gordon misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot60
77.8%
53
22.2%
Q3 - 9:24MagicMagic offensive rebound60
75.8%
53
24.2%
Q3 - 9:24MagicBam Adebayo blocks Aaron Gordon's two point driving dunk60
77.8%
53
22.2%
Q3 - 9:27MagicAaron Gordon defensive rebound60
75.8%
53
24.2%
Q3 - 9:33HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving layup60
76.7%
53
23.3%
Q3 - 9:44HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound60
78.7%
53
21.3%
Q3 - 9:48MagicEvan Fournier misses two point driving floating jump shot60
77.8%
53
22.2%
Q3 - 10:06MagicKhem Birch defensive rebound60
75.4%
53
24.6%
Q3 - 10:10HeatJimmy Butler misses two point turnaround jump shot60
76.3%
53
23.7%
Q3 - 10:28HeatMeyers Leonard defensive rebound60
78.2%
53
21.8%
Q3 - 10:30MagicMarkelle Fultz misses two point stepback jump shot60
77.4%
53
22.6%
Q3 - 10:59HeatMeyers Leonard makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)60
75.4%
53
24.6%
Q3 - 11:13MagicNikola Vucevic makes two point layup (Aaron Gordon assists)57
70.1%
53
29.9%
Q3 - 11:27MagicMarkelle Fultz defensive rebound57
72.7%
51
27.3%
Q3 - 11:30HeatKendrick Nunn misses three point jump shot57
73.6%
51
26.4%
Q3 - 11:46MagicNikola Vucevic makes two point driving floating jump shot (Markelle Fultz assists)57
75.5%
51
24.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.57
77.7%
49
22.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0MagicMagic offensive rebound57
77.7%
49
22.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0MagicBam Adebayo blocks Aaron Gordon's three point jump shot57
79.4%
49
20.6%
Q2 - 0:01.1HeatJimmy Butler turnover (bad pass) (Aaron Gordon steals)57
77.6%
49
22.4%
Q2 - 0:01.8MagicMagic turnover (shot clock violation)57
79.1%
49
20.9%
Q2 - 0:01.8MagicMagic offensive rebound57
77.6%
49
22.4%
Q2 - 0:03.7MagicAaron Gordon misses three point jump shot57
78.7%
49
21.3%
Q2 - 0:26.3HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 257
77.6%
49
22.4%
Q2 - 0:26.3HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 256
77.3%
49
22.7%
Q2 - 0:26.3MagicMichael Carter-Williams shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)55
77.0%
49
23.0%
Q2 - 0:33.6HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound55
74.6%
49
25.4%
Q2 - 0:36.6MagicNikola Vucevic misses two point turnaround hook shot55
74.1%
49
25.9%
Q2 - 0:50.1HeatBam Adebayo makes two point floating jump shot (Kendrick Nunn assists)55
72.8%
49
27.2%
Q2 - 1:11MagicAaron Gordon makes two point cutting dunk (Evan Fournier assists)53
69.0%
49
31.0%
Q2 - 1:31HeatDerrick Jones Jr. makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)53
72.7%
47
27.3%
Q2 - 1:33HeatGoran Dragic defensive rebound50
66.2%
47
33.8%
Q2 - 1:37MagicWes Iwundu misses three point jump shot50
65.7%
47
34.3%
Q2 - 1:38MagicWes Iwundu offensive rebound50
64.6%
47
35.4%
Q2 - 1:42MagicBam Adebayo blocks Aaron Gordon's two point layup50
65.7%
47
34.3%
Q2 - 1:51MagicMarkelle Fultz defensive rebound50
64.6%
47
35.4%
Q2 - 1:56HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot50
65.1%
47
34.9%
Q2 - 1:58HeatDerrick Jones Jr. offensive rebound50
66.2%
47
33.8%
Q2 - 2:00HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot50
65.1%
47
34.9%
Q2 - 2:07HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound50
66.6%
47
33.4%
Q2 - 2:07MagicJimmy Butler blocks Evan Fournier's two point layup50
65.7%
47
34.3%
Q2 - 2:30HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Derrick Jones Jr. assists)50
63.8%
47
36.2%
Q2 - 2:31HeatDerrick Jones Jr. offensive rebound47
58.0%
47
42.0%
Q2 - 2:34HeatGoran Dragic misses two point jump shot47
56.0%
47
44.0%
Q2 - 2:47MagicEvan Fournier turnover (bad pass) (Bam Adebayo steals)47
58.0%
47
42.0%
Q2 - 2:59MagicAaron Gordon defensive rebound47
55.1%
47
44.9%
Q2 - 3:01HeatBam Adebayo misses two point floating jump shot47
55.9%
47
44.1%
Q2 - 3:20MagicAaron Gordon makes three point jump shot (Nikola Vucevic assists)47
58.1%
47
41.9%
Q2 - 3:44HeatGoran Dragic makes regular free throw 2 of 247
63.3%
44
36.7%
Q2 - 3:44HeatGoran Dragic makes regular free throw 1 of 246
62.8%
44
37.2%
Q2 - 3:44MagicMarkelle Fultz personal foul (Goran Dragic draws the foul)45
62.1%
44
37.9%
Q2 - 3:57MagicAaron Gordon makes two point driving layup45
60.9%
44
39.1%
Q2 - 4:07MagicAaron Gordon defensive rebound45
63.4%
42
36.6%
Q2 - 4:10HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot45
64.2%
42
35.8%
Q2 - 4:34MagicNikola Vucevic makes two point driving hook shot (Markelle Fultz assists)45
66.0%
42
34.0%
Q2 - 4:48HeatGoran Dragic makes regular free throw 2 of 245
68.4%
40
31.6%
Q2 - 4:48HeatGoran Dragic makes regular free throw 1 of 244
67.9%
40
32.1%
Q2 - 4:48MagicMarkelle Fultz shooting foul (Goran Dragic draws the foul)43
67.3%
40
32.7%
Q2 - 5:07MagicMichael Carter-Williams makes two point cutting dunk (Terrence Ross assists)43
66.2%
40
33.8%
Q2 - 5:35HeatTyler Herro makes three point jump shot (Goran Dragic assists)43
68.2%
38
31.8%
Q2 - 5:40HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound40
63.7%
38
36.3%
Q2 - 5:42MagicDerrick Jones Jr. blocks Michael Carter-Williams's two point layup40
62.8%
38
37.2%
Q2 - 5:43MagicMichael Carter-Williams offensive rebound40
60.7%
38
39.3%
Q2 - 5:45MagicMichael Carter-Williams misses two point layup40
62.8%
38
37.2%
Q2 - 5:49MagicNikola Vucevic defensive rebound40
60.7%
38
39.3%
Q2 - 5:49HeatDerrick Jones Jr. misses two point tip layup40
61.6%
38
38.4%
Q2 - 5:49HeatDerrick Jones Jr. offensive rebound40
63.7%
38
36.3%
Q2 - 5:52HeatDerrick Jones Jr. misses two point tip layup40
61.6%
38
38.4%
Q2 - 5:52HeatDerrick Jones Jr. offensive rebound40
63.7%
38
36.3%
Q2 - 5:57HeatBam Adebayo misses two point jump shot40
61.6%
38
38.4%
Q2 - 6:13MagicNikola Vucevic makes two point tip layup40
63.7%
38
36.3%
Q2 - 6:13MagicNikola Vucevic offensive rebound40
65.6%
36
34.4%
Q2 - 6:17MagicMarkelle Fultz misses two point driving layup40
67.6%
36
32.4%
Q2 - 6:38HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving layup40
65.6%
36
34.4%
Q2 - 6:53MagicMarkelle Fultz turnover (bad pass) (Bam Adebayo steals)38
63.7%
36
36.3%
Q2 - 7:09HeatTyler Herro makes three point pullup jump shot (Derrick Jones Jr. assists)38
60.9%
36
39.1%
Q2 - 7:18HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound35
56.0%
36
44.0%
Q2 - 7:21MagicMichael Carter-Williams misses three point jump shot35
55.2%
36
44.8%
Q2 - 7:43MagicMo Bamba defensive rebound35
53.3%
36
46.7%
Q2 - 7:45HeatBam Adebayo misses regular free throw 2 of 235
53.6%
36
46.4%
Q2 - 7:45HeatBam Adebayo misses regular free throw 1 of 235
55.2%
36
44.8%
Q2 - 7:45MagicMo Bamba shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)35
57.0%
36
43.0%
Q2 - 7:56MagicKhem Birch personal foul (Meyers Leonard draws the foul)35
56.0%
36
44.0%
Q2 - 8:14MagicTerrence Ross makes regular free throw 1 of 135
55.9%
36
44.1%
Q2 - 8:14HeatTyler Herro shooting foul (Terrence Ross draws the foul)35
56.2%
35
43.8%
Q2 - 8:18MagicMo Bamba defensive rebound35
60.7%
33
39.3%
Q2 - 8:21HeatMo Bamba blocks Tyler Herro's two point driving reverse layup35
61.4%
33
38.6%
Q2 - 8:25HeatMeyers Leonard defensive rebound35
63.2%
33
36.8%
Q2 - 8:29MagicDerrick Jones Jr. blocks Terrence Ross's two point pullup jump shot35
62.4%
33
37.6%
Q2 - 8:40MagicMichael Carter-Williams defensive rebound35
60.7%
33
39.3%
Q2 - 8:43HeatMeyers Leonard misses three point jump shot35
61.4%
33
38.6%
Q2 - 8:46HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound35
63.2%
33
36.8%
Q2 - 8:48HeatGoran Dragic misses two point pullup jump shot35
61.4%
33
38.6%
Q2 - 8:58MagicMo Bamba turnover (traveling)35
63.2%
33
36.8%
Q2 - 8:58MagicMichael Carter-Williams offensive rebound35
60.7%
33
39.3%
Q2 - 9:01MagicEvan Fournier misses three point pullup jump shot35
62.1%
33
37.9%
Q2 - 9:12HeatJames Johnson turnover (traveling)35
60.4%
33
39.6%
Q2 - 9:22MagicEvan Fournier makes two point driving floating jump shot35
62.9%
33
37.1%
Q2 - 9:25MagicEvan Fournier offensive rebound35
65.0%
31
35.0%
Q2 - 9:28MagicMichael Carter-Williams misses three point jump shot35
66.7%
31
33.3%
Q2 - 9:46HeatGoran Dragic makes two point bank jump shot35
65.0%
31
35.0%
Q2 - 10:05MagicMo Bamba makes two point dunk (Michael Carter-Williams assists)33
62.7%
31
37.3%
Q2 - 10:16HeatJames Johnson personal foul (Evan Fournier draws the foul)33
64.8%
29
35.2%
Q2 - 10:31HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 133
64.8%
29
35.2%
Q2 - 10:31MagicMichael Carter-Williams shooting foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)32
64.5%
29
35.5%
Q2 - 10:53MagicMo Bamba makes two point dunk (Michael Carter-Williams assists)30
60.5%
29
39.5%
Q2 - 11:08HeatJames Johnson makes two point cutting layup (Goran Dragic assists)30
62.7%
27
37.3%
Q2 - 11:23MagicMichael Carter-Williams makes two point driving layup (Evan Fournier assists)28
60.3%
27
39.7%
Q2 - 11:33HeatJames Johnson turnover (bad pass) (Evan Fournier steals)28
62.6%
25
37.4%
Q2 - 11:39MagicEvan Fournier turnover (bad pass) (James Johnson steals)28
64.7%
25
35.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.28
62.6%
25
37.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0HeatHeat offensive rebound28
64.7%
25
35.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot28
63.3%
25
36.7%
Q1 - 0:01.2HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound28
64.3%
25
35.7%
Q1 - 0:04.1MagicTerrence Ross misses three point jump shot28
63.8%
25
36.2%
Q1 - 0:24.9HeatGoran Dragic makes two point jump shot28
62.6%
25
37.4%
Q1 - 0:42.6HeatJames Johnson defensive rebound26
60.0%
25
40.0%
Q1 - 0:45.1MagicWes Iwundu misses regular free throw 2 of 226
59.8%
25
40.2%
Q1 - 0:45.1MagicWes Iwundu makes regular free throw 1 of 226
58.1%
25
41.9%
Q1 - 0:45.1HeatMeyers Leonard shooting foul (Wes Iwundu draws the foul)26
58.5%
24
41.5%
Q1 - 1:00HeatGoran Dragic turnover (offensive foul)26
60.5%
24
39.5%
Q1 - 1:00HeatGoran Dragic offensive foul (Charge) (Michael Carter-Williams draws the foul)26
62.2%
24
37.8%
Q1 - 1:06MagicMichael Carter-Williams personal foul (Derrick Jones Jr. draws the foul)26
62.3%
24
37.7%
Q1 - 1:17HeatMeyers Leonard defensive rebound26
62.3%
24
37.7%
Q1 - 1:20MagicWes Iwundu misses two point pullup jump shot26
61.8%
24
38.2%
Q1 - 1:28MagicGary Clark offensive rebound26
60.6%
24
39.4%
Q1 - 1:31MagicTerrence Ross misses three point pullup jump shot26
61.8%
24
38.2%
Q1 - 1:45MagicGary Clark defensive rebound26
60.6%
24
39.4%
Q1 - 1:50HeatMo Bamba blocks Meyers Leonard's three point jump shot26
61.1%
24
38.9%
Q1 - 1:55HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound26
62.3%
24
37.7%
Q1 - 1:58MagicTerrence Ross misses three point pullup jump shot26
61.8%
24
38.2%
Q1 - 2:15HeatTyler Herro makes three point pullup jump shot (Meyers Leonard assists)26
60.3%
24
39.7%
Q1 - 2:33MagicMichael Carter-Williams makes three point jump shot (Terrence Ross assists)23
55.9%
24
44.1%
Q1 - 2:56MagicNikola Vucevic defensive rebound23
60.3%
21
39.7%
Q1 - 3:00HeatBam Adebayo misses two point jump shot23
61.0%
21
39.0%
Q1 - 3:11HeatGoran Dragic defensive rebound23
62.3%
21
37.7%
Q1 - 3:14MagicAaron Gordon misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot23
61.6%
21
38.4%
Q1 - 3:32HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 223
59.9%
21
40.1%
Q1 - 3:32HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 222
59.4%
21
40.6%
Q1 - 3:32MagicNikola Vucevic shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)21
58.8%
21
41.2%
Q1 - 3:41HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound21
58.1%
21
41.9%
Q1 - 3:43MagicTerrence Ross misses two point driving floating jump shot21
57.4%
21
42.6%
Q1 - 3:54HeatJimmy Butler makes two point layup (Goran Dragic assists)21
55.6%
21
44.4%
Q1 - 4:06MagicNikola Vucevic turnover (out of bounds bad pass)19
54.2%
21
45.8%
Q1 - 4:15HeatDuncan Robinson turnover (bad pass) (Aaron Gordon steals)19
51.6%
21
48.4%
Q1 - 4:17MagicWes Iwundu personal foul (Duncan Robinson draws the foul)19
54.1%
21
45.9%
Q1 - 4:25HeatJames Johnson offensive rebound19
54.1%
21
45.9%
Q1 - 4:26HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point pullup jump shot19
52.4%
21
47.6%
Q1 - 4:37MagicMarkelle Fultz makes two point driving layup19
54.1%
21
45.9%
Q1 - 5:00HeatJimmy Butler turnover (out of bounds lost ball)19
55.8%
19
44.2%
Q1 - 5:17MagicAaron Gordon makes three point jump shot (Nikola Vucevic assists)19
58.3%
19
41.7%
Q1 - 5:35HeatJames Johnson makes two point driving dunk (Duncan Robinson assists)19
62.1%
16
37.9%
Q1 - 5:51MagicAaron Gordon makes three point jump shot (Nikola Vucevic assists)17
60.3%
16
39.7%
Q1 - 6:12HeatJimmy Butler makes two point cutting dunk (Bam Adebayo assists)17
63.7%
13
36.3%
Q1 - 6:29MagicAaron Gordon makes three point pullup jump shot (Markelle Fultz assists)15
61.9%
13
38.1%
Q1 - 6:40HeatKendrick Nunn makes three point jump shot (Duncan Robinson assists)15
65.5%
10
34.5%
Q1 - 6:51MagicNikola Vucevic makes two point driving finger roll layup12
61.9%
10
38.1%
Q1 - 7:18HeatKendrick Nunn makes two point pullup jump shot12
63.4%
8
36.6%
Q1 - 7:32MagicMarkelle Fultz turnover (out of bounds lost ball)10
61.9%
8
38.1%
Q1 - 7:35MagicKhem Birch defensive rebound10
59.9%
8
40.1%
Q1 - 7:39HeatJimmy Butler misses two point pullup jump shot10
60.5%
8
39.5%
Q1 - 7:55HeatMeyers Leonard defensive rebound10
61.9%
8
38.1%
Q1 - 7:58MagicKhem Birch misses two point turnaround hook shot10
61.3%
8
38.7%
Q1 - 8:06MagicKhem Birch defensive rebound10
60.2%
8
39.8%
Q1 - 8:09HeatBam Adebayo misses two point turnaround hook shot10
60.8%
8
39.2%
Q1 - 8:26HeatMeyers Leonard defensive rebound10
62.2%
8
37.8%
Q1 - 8:29MagicMarkelle Fultz misses three point jump shot10
61.6%
8
38.4%
Q1 - 8:47HeatKendrick Nunn turnover (bad pass) (Evan Fournier steals)10
60.2%
8
39.8%
Q1 - 8:55MagicKhem Birch personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)10
62.2%
8
37.8%
Q1 - 9:10MagicMarkelle Fultz makes regular free throw 1 of 110
62.1%
8
37.9%
Q1 - 9:10HeatMeyers Leonard shooting foul (Markelle Fultz draws the foul)10
62.5%
7
37.5%
Q1 - 9:11HeatBam Adebayo turnover (bad pass) (Markelle Fultz steals)10
65.1%
5
34.9%
Q1 - 9:12HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound10
67.1%
5
32.9%
Q1 - 9:15MagicAaron Gordon misses two point pullup jump shot10
66.5%
5
33.5%
Q1 - 9:31HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)10
65.1%
5
34.9%
Q1 - 9:47MagicEvan Fournier makes three point jump shot (Khem Birch assists)7
62.1%
5
37.9%
Q1 - 9:52HeatJimmy Butler personal foul (Loose ball) (Khem Birch draws the foul)7
65.2%
2
34.8%
Q1 - 9:52MagicMagic offensive rebound7
65.2%
2
34.8%
Q1 - 9:53MagicNikola Vucevic misses three point jump shot7
66.5%
2
33.5%
Q1 - 10:10HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving layup7
65.1%
2
34.9%
Q1 - 10:35MagicMarkelle Fultz makes two point driving layup5
63.6%
2
36.4%
Q1 - 10:40MagicNikola Vucevic defensive rebound5
65.1%
0
34.9%
Q1 - 10:44HeatKendrick Nunn misses two point driving floating jump shot5
65.7%
0
34.3%
Q1 - 10:51HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound5
66.9%
0
33.1%
Q1 - 10:53MagicEvan Fournier misses three point jump shot5
66.4%
0
33.6%
Q1 - 11:18HeatJimmy Butler makes two point running layup5
65.2%
0
34.8%
Q1 - 11:22MagicEvan Fournier turnover (bad pass) (Jimmy Butler steals)3
63.6%
0
36.4%
Q1 - 11:44HeatMeyers Leonard makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)3
61.8%
0
38.2%
Q1 - 12:00Bam Adebayo vs. Nikola Vucevic (Meyers Leonard gains possession)0
58.4%
0
41.6%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.12 56.0%
ORL
0.96 47.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
12
24
50%
ORL
15
22
68%
Midrange
MIA
6
20
30%
ORL
9
28
32%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
15
22.5
33
45%
68%
ORL
9
13.5
33
27%
41%
Free Throws
MIA
21
26
81%
ORL
14
17
82%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Butler2463%12.0 / 19
T. Herro2388%11.5 / 13
M. Leonard1864%9.0 / 14
G. Dragic1146%5.5 / 12
D. Robinson964%4.5 / 7
K. Nunn650%3.0 / 6
B. Adebayo420%2.0 / 10
J. Johnson450%2.0 / 4
D. Jones338%1.5 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Gordon2460%12.0 / 20
N. Vučević2166%10.5 / 16
E. Fournier1240%6.0 / 15
M. Fultz1161%5.5 / 9
M. Carter-Williams1056%5.0 / 9
T. Ross627%3.0 / 11
M. Bamba467%2.0 / 3
W. Iwundu117%0.5 / 3
K. Birch0-0.0 / 1
G. Clark0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
78
+13
-13
91
ORL
82
+11
-9
93
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.12 56.0%
ORL
0.96 47.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
112.4
108.3
MIA 112.1
ORL 97.8 +14.3
Pace
98.4
98.8
MIA 89.6
ORL 92.4 +2.8
Avg. Poss. Time
14.8
14.8
MIA 16.1
ORL 15.6 +0.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
54.7%
50.6%
MIA 52.6% +7.4%
ORL 45.2%
TO %
14.0%
12.3%
MIA 12.8%
ORL 10.0% +2.8%
ORB %
20.3%
22.3%
MIA 23.8% +8.2%
ORL 15.6%
FTrt
29.9
25.6
MIA 33.8 +13.3
ORL 20.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
65.7%
60.8%
MIA 72.7% +9.1%
ORL 63.6%
STL %
7.6%
8.3%
MIA 6.6% +1.1%
ORL 5.5%
BLK %
9.3%
10.2%
MIA 16.0% +4.6%
ORL 11.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
56.9%
53.0%
MIA 56.0% +8.2%
ORL 47.8%
Rim FG%
63.8%
60.3%
MIA 50.0%
ORL 68.2% +18.2%
Mid FG%
38.9%
39.1%
MIA 30.0%
ORL 32.1% +2.1%
3P %
37.9%
34.3%
MIA 45.5% +18.2%
ORL 27.3%
FT %
78.3%
77.4%
MIA 80.8%
ORL 82.4% +1.6%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
33.2%
33.1%
MIA 31.2% +4.7%
ORL 26.5%
Mid Att. %
24.9%
30.5%
MIA 26.0% +7.8%
ORL 33.7%
3P Att. %
41.9%
36.4%
MIA 42.9% +3.1%
ORL 39.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIAORL
Possessions9191
Possession Minutes24.423.6
Points10289
Rebounds4839
Assists2421
Steals65
Blocks85
Turnovers (Team)13 (0)9 (1)
Fouls1619
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (3)7 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)38 (4)32 (0)
Field Goals33-7733-83
At-the-Rim FG12-2415-22
Midrange FG6-209-28
2-Point FG18-4424-50
3-Point FG15-339-33
Free Throws21-2614-17
Fast Break Pts80
2nd Chance Pts67
Points in Paint3240
Pts off Turnovers1316
Bench Points4121
Biggest Lead132

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#13 · PF · 6'9" 255 · 23
38.2
4
20%
14
5
3
4
2
1
3
11
2-4
50%
1-8
13%
0-0
-
#22 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 30
34.1
24
63%
3
3
1
1
3
3
0
3
8-9
89%
8-14
57%
0-1
0%
#0 · C · 7'1" 255 · 28
28.8
18
64%
14
1
0
0
2
5
1
13
0-0
-
3-5
60%
4-9
44%
#55 · SG · 6'7" 215 · 26
22.0
9
64%
1
3
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
3-7
43%
#25 · PG · 6'3" 193 · 24
16.5
6
50%
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1-2
50%
1-3
33%
1-2
50%
#7 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 34
31.5
11
46%
2
6
0
0
1
3
0
2
7-8
88%
2-6
33%
0-2
0%
#5 · SF · 6'6" 210 · 23
27.6
3
38%
7
3
0
3
0
0
5
2
0-0
-
0-2
0%
1-2
50%
#14 · PG · 6'5" 195 · 20
26.0
23
88%
3
0
0
0
0
2
0
3
3-3
100%
1-2
50%
6-10
60%
#16 · PF · 6'8" 240 · 33
15.3
4
50%
4
2
2
0
3
2
1
3
0-0
-
2-4
50%
0-0
-
#9 · PF · 6'11" 240 · 29
DNP - Coach's Decision
#11 · SG · 6'4" 215 · 28
DNP - Coach's Decision
#30 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 23
DNP - Coach's Decision
#40 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 40
DNP - Coach's Decision
#2 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 24
INACTIVE
#20 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 24
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Lower Back; Bone Bruise
#4 · SF · 6'9" 210 · 21
INACTIVE
#17 · PF · 6'11" 220 · 23
INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
102
56%
48
24
6
8
13
16
10
38
21-26
81%
18-44
41%
15-33
45%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.