FinalWin Prob.pScore
1732%103
92
1068%110
113
ORTG#PossPace
ORL logo ORL
100.09293.1
MIA logo MIA
124.29189.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventORLMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.92
0%
113
100%
Q4 - 0:04.4HeatHeat turnover (shot clock violation)92
0%
113
100%
Q4 - 0:17.1HeatDerrick Jones Jr. offensive rebound92
0%
113
100%
Q4 - 0:20.2HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot92
0%
113
100%
Q4 - 0:39.8MagicMichael Carter-Williams makes regular free throw 2 of 292
0%
113
100%
Q4 - 0:39.8MagicMichael Carter-Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 291
0%
113
100%
Q4 - 0:39.8HeatChris Silva shooting foul (Michael Carter-Williams draws the foul)90
0%
113
100%
Q4 - 0:43.7HeatTyler Herro turnover (bad pass) (Amile Jefferson steals)90
0%
113
100%
Q4 - 0:59.5HeatDerrick Jones Jr. defensive rebound90
0%
113
100%
Q4 - 0:59.5MagicVic Law misses regular free throw 2 of 290
0%
113
100%
Q4 - 0:59.5MagicVic Law misses regular free throw 1 of 290
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 0:59.5HeatKelly Olynyk shooting foul (Vic Law draws the foul)90
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 0:59.8MagicBJ Johnson defensive rebound90
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 1:02HeatMichael Carter-Williams blocks Gabe Vincent's three point jump shot90
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 1:12MagicBJ Johnson makes regular free throw 2 of 290
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 1:12MagicBJ Johnson makes regular free throw 1 of 289
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 1:12HeatDuncan Robinson personal foul (Take) (BJ Johnson draws the foul)88
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 1:12MagicBJ Johnson defensive rebound88
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 1:14HeatBam Adebayo misses two point jump shot88
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 1:36HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound88
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 1:39MagicBJ Johnson misses three point pullup jump shot88
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 1:54HeatDerrick Jones Jr. makes two point driving finger roll layup88
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 2:15HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound88
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 2:18MagicVic Law misses three point jump shot88
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 2:31HeatGoran Dragic makes three point stepback jump shot88
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 2:46HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound88
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 2:48MagicNikola Vucevic misses two point jump shot88
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 3:07HeatBam Adebayo makes two point driving floating jump shot (Goran Dragic assists)88
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 3:25HeatHeat defensive rebound88
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 3:25MagicEvan Fournier misses three point jump shot88
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 3:34MagicMagic offensive rebound88
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 3:34MagicKelly Olynyk blocks Markelle Fultz's two point driving layup88
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 3:38MagicMagic defensive rebound88
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 3:38HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving layup88
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 3:56MagicNikola Vucevic makes two point tip layup88
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 3:57MagicNikola Vucevic offensive rebound86
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 3:58MagicNikola Vucevic misses two point tip layup86
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 3:58MagicNikola Vucevic offensive rebound86
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 4:03MagicAaron Gordon misses two point jump shot86
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 4:20HeatGoran Dragic makes three point pullup jump shot86
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 4:35MagicMarkelle Fultz makes regular free throw 2 of 286
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 4:35MagicMarkelle Fultz misses regular free throw 1 of 285
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 4:35HeatGoran Dragic personal foul (Markelle Fultz draws the foul)85
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 4:39MagicNikola Vucevic defensive rebound85
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 4:41HeatKelly Olynyk misses three point jump shot85
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 4:56HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound85
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 5:00MagicKelly Olynyk blocks Khem Birch's two point cutting layup85
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 5:11HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 185
0.2%
103
99.8%
Q4 - 5:11MagicEvan Fournier shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)85
0.2%
102
99.8%
Q4 - 5:24MagicEvan Fournier makes regular free throw 2 of 285
0.3%
100
99.7%
Q4 - 5:24MagicEvan Fournier makes regular free throw 1 of 284
0.3%
100
99.7%
Q4 - 5:24HeatDuncan Robinson shooting foul (Evan Fournier draws the foul)83
0.3%
100
99.7%
Q4 - 5:29HeatDuncan Robinson turnover (bad pass) (Markelle Fultz steals)83
0.2%
100
99.8%
Q4 - 5:39MagicTerrence Ross makes two point driving finger roll layup83
0.2%
100
99.8%
Q4 - 5:42MagicNikola Vucevic defensive rebound81
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 5:45HeatBam Adebayo misses two point pullup jump shot81
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 6:07MagicMarkelle Fultz makes two point driving layup (Nikola Vucevic assists)81
0.2%
100
99.8%
Q4 - 6:14HeatGoran Dragic personal foul (Evan Fournier draws the foul)79
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 6:29HeatBam Adebayo makes two point driving dunk79
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 6:39HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound79
0.2%
98
99.8%
Q4 - 6:41MagicEvan Fournier misses three point jump shot79
0.2%
98
99.8%
Q4 - 6:55HeatDuncan Robinson turnover (bad pass) (Khem Birch steals)79
0.2%
98
99.8%
Q4 - 7:10MagicKhem Birch makes regular free throw 1 of 179
0.3%
98
99.7%
Q4 - 7:10HeatKelly Olynyk shooting foul (Khem Birch draws the foul)78
0.2%
98
99.8%
Q4 - 7:17HeatDuncan Robinson turnover (offensive foul)76
0.2%
98
99.8%
Q4 - 7:17HeatDuncan Robinson offensive foul (Off the ball) (Evan Fournier draws the foul)76
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 7:22HeatHeat defensive rebound76
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 7:22MagicEvan Fournier misses two point stepback jump shot76
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 7:38MagicKhem Birch defensive rebound76
0.2%
98
99.8%
Q4 - 7:45HeatGoran Dragic misses two point driving hook shot76
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 7:56HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound76
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 8:00MagicEvan Fournier misses three point jump shot76
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 8:15HeatDuncan Robinson makes regular free throw 1 of 176
0.2%
98
99.8%
Q4 - 8:15MagicEvan Fournier shooting foul (Duncan Robinson draws the foul)76
0.2%
97
99.8%
Q4 - 8:29MagicMichael Carter-Williams makes two point cutting layup (Evan Fournier assists)76
0.5%
94
99.5%
Q4 - 8:34MagicEvan Fournier defensive rebound74
0.4%
94
99.6%
Q4 - 8:37HeatKelly Olynyk misses two point jump shot74
0.3%
94
99.7%
Q4 - 8:57MagicTerrence Ross makes three point jump shot (Evan Fournier assists)74
0.3%
94
99.7%
Q4 - 9:18HeatJames Johnson turnover (traveling)71
0.2%
94
99.8%
Q4 - 9:26HeatJames Johnson defensive rebound71
0.2%
94
99.8%
Q4 - 9:30MagicTerrence Ross misses two point pullup jump shot71
0.2%
94
99.8%
Q4 - 9:47HeatJames Johnson makes two point driving dunk (Kelly Olynyk assists)71
0.2%
94
99.8%
Q4 - 9:59HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound71
0.3%
92
99.7%
Q4 - 10:02MagicTerrence Ross misses three point jump shot71
0.4%
92
99.6%
Q4 - 10:13HeatJames Johnson personal foul (Michael Carter-Williams draws the foul)71
0.5%
92
99.5%
Q4 - 10:25HeatKelly Olynyk makes two point jump shot (Derrick Jones Jr. assists)71
0.5%
92
99.5%
Q4 - 10:40MagicMagic turnover (shot clock violation)71
0.6%
90
99.4%
Q4 - 10:40MagicMagic offensive rebound71
0.8%
90
99.2%
Q4 - 10:40MagicAaron Gordon misses three point jump shot71
0.6%
90
99.4%
Q4 - 11:04HeatKelly Olynyk makes regular free throw 2 of 271
0.9%
90
99.1%
Q4 - 11:04HeatKelly Olynyk makes regular free throw 1 of 271
1.0%
89
99.0%
Q4 - 11:04MagicMo Bamba shooting foul (Kelly Olynyk draws the foul)71
1.0%
88
99.0%
Q4 - 11:16HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound71
1.1%
88
98.9%
Q4 - 11:20MagicMichael Carter-Williams misses three point jump shot71
1.2%
88
98.8%
Q4 - 11:43HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point pullup jump shot (Kelly Olynyk assists)71
1.4%
88
98.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.71
2.1%
85
97.9%
Q3 - 0:00.7HeatJames Johnson turnover (out of bounds bad pass)71
3.1%
85
96.9%
Q3 - 0:05.7HeatJames Johnson defensive rebound71
2.5%
85
97.5%
Q3 - 0:07.7MagicJames Johnson blocks Aaron Gordon's two point driving layup71
2.7%
85
97.3%
Q3 - 0:11.9MagicAaron Gordon defensive rebound71
3.1%
85
96.9%
Q3 - 0:14.3HeatGoran Dragic misses three point jump shot71
2.9%
85
97.1%
Q3 - 0:36.7MagicTerrence Ross makes three point jump shot (Mo Bamba assists)71
2.5%
85
97.5%
Q3 - 0:40.1MagicWes Iwundu offensive rebound68
1.7%
85
98.3%
Q3 - 0:40.1MagicAaron Gordon misses two point putback dunk68
1.5%
85
98.5%
Q3 - 0:40.1MagicAaron Gordon offensive rebound68
1.7%
85
98.3%
Q3 - 0:44.7MagicTerrence Ross misses two point pullup jump shot68
1.5%
85
98.5%
Q3 - 0:57.0MagicAaron Gordon defensive rebound68
1.7%
85
98.3%
Q3 - 1:01HeatKelly Olynyk misses regular free throw 3 of 368
1.9%
85
98.1%
Q3 - 1:01HeatKelly Olynyk makes regular free throw 2 of 368
1.7%
85
98.3%
Q3 - 1:01HeatKelly Olynyk makes regular free throw 1 of 368
1.8%
84
98.2%
Q3 - 1:01MagicTerrence Ross shooting foul (Kelly Olynyk draws the foul)68
1.8%
83
98.2%
Q3 - 1:11HeatHeat offensive rebound68
2.4%
83
97.6%
Q3 - 1:11HeatMo Bamba blocks James Johnson's two point turnaround hook shot68
2.7%
83
97.3%
Q3 - 1:24MagicMo Bamba makes two point tip layup68
2.4%
83
97.6%
Q3 - 1:24MagicMo Bamba offensive rebound66
2.0%
83
98.0%
Q3 - 1:29MagicWes Iwundu misses three point jump shot66
1.7%
83
98.3%
Q3 - 1:49HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving layup (James Johnson assists)66
2.0%
83
98.0%
Q3 - 2:14MagicMo Bamba makes three point jump shot (Wes Iwundu assists)66
2.7%
81
97.3%
Q3 - 2:18MagicMo Bamba defensive rebound63
1.9%
81
98.1%
Q3 - 2:24HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot63
1.8%
81
98.2%
Q3 - 2:52MagicMarkelle Fultz makes two point driving layup63
1.6%
81
98.4%
Q3 - 2:56MagicMarkelle Fultz defensive rebound61
1.3%
81
98.7%
Q3 - 3:00HeatTyler Herro misses two point stepback jump shot61
1.2%
81
98.8%
Q3 - 3:12HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound61
1.3%
81
98.7%
Q3 - 3:12MagicWes Iwundu misses three point jump shot61
1.4%
81
98.6%
Q3 - 3:15MagicKhem Birch offensive rebound61
1.5%
81
98.5%
Q3 - 3:17MagicTerrence Ross misses three point jump shot61
1.4%
81
98.6%
Q3 - 3:27HeatGoran Dragic turnover (bad pass) (Wes Iwundu steals)61
1.5%
81
98.5%
Q3 - 3:35MagicTerrence Ross personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)61
1.3%
81
98.7%
Q3 - 3:45HeatHeat offensive rebound61
1.3%
81
98.7%
Q3 - 3:45HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving finger roll layup61
1.4%
81
98.6%
Q3 - 3:53HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound61
1.3%
81
98.7%
Q3 - 3:55HeatBam Adebayo misses two point jump shot61
1.4%
81
98.6%
Q3 - 4:21MagicTerrence Ross makes three point jump shot (Markelle Fultz assists)61
1.4%
81
98.6%
Q3 - 4:40HeatBam Adebayo makes two point driving floating jump shot58
1.1%
81
98.9%
Q3 - 4:55MagicWes Iwundu makes three point jump shot58
1.2%
79
98.8%
Q3 - 5:05HeatMeyers Leonard personal foul (Nikola Vucevic draws the foul)55
1.1%
79
98.9%
Q3 - 5:18HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)55
1.1%
79
98.9%
Q3 - 5:30MagicNikola Vucevic makes regular free throw 1 of 155
1.4%
76
98.6%
Q3 - 5:30HeatJimmy Butler shooting foul (Nikola Vucevic draws the foul)54
1.4%
76
98.6%
Q3 - 5:48HeatJimmy Butler makes two point cutting dunk (Bam Adebayo assists)52
1.1%
76
98.9%
Q3 - 6:08MagicEvan Fournier turnover (traveling)52
1.4%
74
98.6%
Q3 - 6:08MagicMarkelle Fultz defensive rebound52
1.6%
74
98.4%
Q3 - 6:12HeatTyler Herro misses two point pullup jump shot52
1.6%
74
98.4%
Q3 - 6:30MagicMarkelle Fultz turnover (bad pass) (Bam Adebayo steals)52
1.4%
74
98.6%
Q3 - 6:46HeatTyler Herro makes two point running finger roll layup52
1.6%
74
98.4%
Q3 - 6:49HeatMeyers Leonard defensive rebound52
1.9%
72
98.1%
Q3 - 6:53MagicEvan Fournier misses two point pullup jump shot52
2.0%
72
98.0%
Q3 - 7:07HeatBam Adebayo makes two point turnaround hook shot (Jimmy Butler assists)52
2.4%
72
97.6%
Q3 - 7:26HeatMeyers Leonard defensive rebound52
2.7%
70
97.3%
Q3 - 7:29MagicMarkelle Fultz misses two point stepback jump shot52
2.8%
70
97.2%
Q3 - 7:50HeatMeyers Leonard makes two point floating jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)52
3.2%
70
96.8%
Q3 - 8:01HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound52
3.8%
68
96.2%
Q3 - 8:05MagicNikola Vucevic misses two point driving floating jump shot52
4.0%
68
96.0%
Q3 - 8:11MagicMarkelle Fultz defensive rebound52
4.4%
68
95.6%
Q3 - 8:13HeatBam Adebayo misses three point jump shot52
4.2%
68
95.8%
Q3 - 8:22HeatMeyers Leonard defensive rebound52
3.8%
68
96.2%
Q3 - 8:24MagicEvan Fournier misses three point pullup jump shot52
3.9%
68
96.1%
Q3 - 8:36HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 3 of 352
4.4%
68
95.6%
Q3 - 8:36HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 2 of 352
4.5%
67
95.5%
Q3 - 8:36HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 352
4.6%
66
95.4%
Q3 - 8:36MagicMarkelle Fultz shooting foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)52
4.8%
65
95.2%
Q3 - 8:46HeatMeyers Leonard defensive rebound52
5.7%
65
94.3%
Q3 - 8:48MagicAaron Gordon misses two point driving finger roll layup52
6.0%
65
94.0%
Q3 - 9:08HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 152
6.8%
65
93.2%
Q3 - 9:08MagicNikola Vucevic shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)52
6.9%
64
93.1%
Q3 - 9:17MagicAaron Gordon makes two point stepback jump shot52
8.7%
62
91.3%
Q3 - 9:43HeatTyler Herro makes three point pullup jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)50
7.8%
62
92.2%
Q3 - 9:50HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound50
10.0%
59
90.0%
Q3 - 9:54MagicNikola Vucevic misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot50
10.4%
59
89.6%
Q3 - 10:24HeatBam Adebayo makes two point driving dunk50
11.7%
59
88.3%
Q3 - 10:32HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound50
13.0%
57
87.0%
Q3 - 10:34MagicNikola Vucevic misses three point jump shot50
13.5%
57
86.5%
Q3 - 10:44HeatDuncan Robinson personal foul (Aaron Gordon draws the foul)50
14.9%
57
85.1%
Q3 - 10:51MagicKhem Birch defensive rebound50
14.9%
57
85.1%
Q3 - 10:53HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point pullup jump shot50
14.3%
57
85.7%
Q3 - 11:17MagicMarkelle Fultz makes two point driving layup50
13.2%
57
86.8%
Q3 - 11:34HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)48
11.8%
57
88.2%
Q3 - 11:38HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound48
14.8%
54
85.2%
Q3 - 11:41MagicTyler Herro blocks Markelle Fultz's two point pullup jump shot48
15.4%
54
84.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.48
16.7%
54
83.3%
Q2 - 0:00.1MagicMagic offensive rebound48
16.6%
54
83.4%
Q2 - 0:00.2MagicMarkelle Fultz misses three point jump shot48
15.8%
54
84.2%
Q2 - 0:01.0HeatBam Adebayo turnover (bad pass) (Markelle Fultz steals)48
16.6%
54
83.4%
Q2 - 0:01.0HeatHeat defensive rebound48
15.4%
54
84.6%
Q2 - 0:03.0MagicNikola Vucevic misses three point jump shot48
15.8%
54
84.2%
Q2 - 0:19.7MagicNikola Vucevic defensive rebound48
16.6%
54
83.4%
Q2 - 0:21.9HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot48
16.2%
54
83.8%
Q2 - 0:24.8HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound48
15.4%
54
84.6%
Q2 - 0:27.2HeatDerrick Jones Jr. misses three point jump shot48
16.2%
54
83.8%
Q2 - 0:46.6MagicAaron Gordon makes two point running dunk (Markelle Fultz assists)48
15.3%
54
84.7%
Q2 - 0:47.3MagicEvan Fournier defensive rebound46
13.3%
54
86.7%
Q2 - 0:50.3HeatDerrick Jones Jr. misses three point jump shot46
13.0%
54
87.0%
Q2 - 1:06HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound46
12.7%
54
87.3%
Q2 - 1:12MagicAaron Gordon misses two point turnaround jump shot46
13.0%
54
87.0%
Q2 - 1:23HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving floating bank jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)46
13.6%
54
86.4%
Q2 - 1:38MagicAaron Gordon makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot (Evan Fournier assists)46
15.8%
52
84.2%
Q2 - 2:10HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point fadeaway jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)44
14.3%
52
85.7%
Q2 - 2:24MagicWes Iwundu personal foul (Duncan Robinson draws the foul)44
17.5%
49
82.5%
Q2 - 2:30MagicMarkelle Fultz makes two point alley-oop layup (Evan Fournier assists)44
17.5%
49
82.5%
Q2 - 2:34MagicNikola Vucevic offensive rebound42
15.8%
49
84.2%
Q2 - 2:34MagicTyler Herro blocks Aaron Gordon's two point driving layup42
14.7%
49
85.3%
Q2 - 2:36MagicAaron Gordon defensive rebound42
15.8%
49
84.2%
Q2 - 2:39HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving bank jump shot42
15.3%
49
84.7%
Q2 - 2:56MagicWes Iwundu makes three point jump shot (Evan Fournier assists)42
14.2%
49
85.8%
Q2 - 3:01MagicNikola Vucevic defensive rebound39
12.0%
49
88.0%
Q2 - 3:04HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving finger roll layup39
11.5%
49
88.5%
Q2 - 3:15HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound39
10.7%
49
89.3%
Q2 - 3:21MagicNikola Vucevic misses three point jump shot39
11.0%
49
89.0%
Q2 - 3:31HeatGoran Dragic personal foul (Aaron Gordon draws the foul)39
11.9%
49
88.1%
Q2 - 3:32MagicAaron Gordon defensive rebound39
11.9%
49
88.1%
Q2 - 3:35HeatAaron Gordon blocks Duncan Robinson's two point cutting layup39
11.5%
49
88.5%
Q2 - 3:50MagicNikola Vucevic makes three point jump shot (Markelle Fultz assists)39
10.6%
49
89.4%
Q2 - 4:04HeatKelly Olynyk makes two point cutting dunk (Jimmy Butler assists)36
8.9%
49
91.1%
Q2 - 4:18MagicEvan Fournier makes two point cutting layup (Nikola Vucevic assists)36
9.9%
47
90.1%
Q2 - 4:27MagicNikola Vucevic defensive rebound34
8.9%
47
91.1%
Q2 - 4:29HeatBam Adebayo misses two point hook shot34
8.7%
47
91.3%
Q2 - 4:41MagicEvan Fournier personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)34
8.1%
47
91.9%
Q2 - 4:55HeatHeat defensive rebound34
8.1%
47
91.9%
Q2 - 4:55MagicNikola Vucevic misses two point turnaround jump shot34
8.3%
47
91.7%
Q2 - 5:09HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 234
9.2%
47
90.8%
Q2 - 5:09HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 234
9.3%
46
90.7%
Q2 - 5:09MagicMarkelle Fultz shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)34
9.4%
45
90.6%
Q2 - 5:18HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound34
9.9%
45
90.1%
Q2 - 5:19MagicMichael Carter-Williams misses two point jump shot34
10.3%
45
89.7%
Q2 - 5:39HeatJimmy Butler makes two point jump shot (Goran Dragic assists)34
11.2%
45
88.8%
Q2 - 5:55MagicMarkelle Fultz makes two point driving layup34
12.1%
43
87.9%
Q2 - 6:04MagicNikola Vucevic defensive rebound32
11.4%
43
88.6%
Q2 - 6:08HeatKelly Olynyk misses two point jump shot32
11.0%
43
89.0%
Q2 - 6:26MagicMichael Carter-Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 132
10.1%
43
89.9%
Q2 - 6:26HeatKelly Olynyk shooting foul (Michael Carter-Williams draws the foul)31
9.9%
43
90.1%
Q2 - 6:28MagicKhem Birch offensive rebound29
8.5%
43
91.5%
Q2 - 6:31MagicMarkelle Fultz misses three point stepback jump shot29
7.8%
43
92.2%
Q2 - 6:41MagicMarkelle Fultz defensive rebound29
8.5%
43
91.5%
Q2 - 6:44HeatDion Waiters misses three point jump shot29
8.2%
43
91.8%
Q2 - 7:03MagicKhem Birch makes regular free throw 2 of 229
8.0%
43
92.0%
Q2 - 7:03MagicKhem Birch makes regular free throw 1 of 228
7.8%
43
92.2%
Q2 - 7:03HeatJames Johnson shooting foul (Khem Birch draws the foul)27
7.6%
43
92.4%
Q2 - 7:04MagicEvan Fournier offensive rebound27
7.3%
43
92.7%
Q2 - 7:09MagicKelly Olynyk blocks Michael Carter-Williams's two point layup27
6.8%
43
93.2%
Q2 - 7:13HeatGoran Dragic turnover (lost ball) (Nikola Vucevic steals)27
7.3%
43
92.7%
Q2 - 7:25MagicEvan Fournier turnover (traveling)27
6.6%
43
93.4%
Q2 - 7:40HeatGoran Dragic makes two point fadeaway jump shot (James Johnson assists)27
7.3%
43
92.7%
Q2 - 7:53HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound27
8.0%
41
92.0%
Q2 - 7:55MagicAaron Gordon misses three point jump shot27
8.2%
41
91.8%
Q2 - 8:01MagicTerrence Ross defensive rebound27
9.0%
41
91.0%
Q2 - 8:03HeatDion Waiters misses two point stepback jump shot27
8.8%
41
91.2%
Q2 - 8:14HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound27
8.2%
41
91.8%
Q2 - 8:18MagicEvan Fournier misses three point jump shot27
8.4%
41
91.6%
Q2 - 8:19MagicMichael Carter-Williams offensive rebound27
9.0%
41
91.0%
Q2 - 8:23MagicTerrence Ross misses three point jump shot27
8.4%
41
91.6%
Q2 - 8:34MagicTerrence Ross defensive rebound27
9.0%
41
91.0%
Q2 - 8:38HeatNikola Vucevic blocks Derrick Jones Jr.'s two point reverse dunk27
8.8%
41
91.2%
Q2 - 8:54MagicAaron Gordon makes two point turnaround jump shot (Evan Fournier assists)27
8.2%
41
91.8%
Q2 - 9:13HeatDion Waiters makes three point pullup jump shot (Goran Dragic assists)25
7.8%
41
92.2%
Q2 - 9:27HeatDion Waiters defensive rebound25
9.2%
38
90.8%
Q2 - 9:29MagicTerrence Ross misses three point jump shot25
9.5%
38
90.5%
Q2 - 9:51HeatDerrick Jones Jr. makes two point alley-oop dunk (Dion Waiters assists)25
10.1%
38
89.9%
Q2 - 9:53HeatDion Waiters defensive rebound25
11.0%
36
89.0%
Q2 - 9:57MagicJames Johnson blocks Terrence Ross's three point jump shot25
11.3%
36
88.7%
Q2 - 10:21HeatGoran Dragic makes three point jump shot (Dion Waiters assists)25
12.3%
36
87.7%
Q2 - 10:28HeatJames Johnson defensive rebound25
14.4%
33
85.6%
Q2 - 10:32MagicTerrence Ross misses three point jump shot25
14.8%
33
85.2%
Q2 - 10:54HeatDerrick Jones Jr. makes two point cutting dunk (Goran Dragic assists)25
15.8%
33
84.2%
Q2 - 11:08MagicAaron Gordon makes two point turnaround hook shot25
17.0%
31
83.0%
Q2 - 11:24MagicAaron Gordon defensive rebound23
15.7%
31
84.3%
Q2 - 11:26HeatMo Bamba blocks Kelly Olynyk's two point layup23
15.3%
31
84.7%
Q2 - 11:45MagicMo Bamba makes regular free throw 2 of 223
14.5%
31
85.5%
Q2 - 11:45MagicMo Bamba makes regular free throw 1 of 222
14.2%
31
85.8%
Q2 - 11:45HeatKelly Olynyk shooting foul (Mo Bamba draws the foul)21
13.8%
31
86.2%
Q2 - 11:45MagicMo Bamba offensive rebound21
13.3%
31
86.7%
Q2 - 11:45MagicAaron Gordon misses two point reverse layup21
12.6%
31
87.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.21
13.3%
31
86.7%
Q1 - 0:01.0HeatJames Johnson defensive rebound21
12.5%
31
87.5%
Q1 - 0:01.8MagicTerrence Ross misses two point jump shot21
12.7%
31
87.3%
Q1 - 0:19.2MagicAaron Gordon defensive rebound21
13.3%
31
86.7%
Q1 - 0:22.7HeatTyler Herro misses two point fadeaway jump shot21
13.1%
31
86.9%
Q1 - 0:26.2HeatHeat offensive rebound21
12.5%
31
87.5%
Q1 - 0:26.8HeatJames Johnson misses two point driving layup21
13.1%
31
86.9%
Q1 - 0:45.8MagicMo Bamba turnover (offensive foul)21
12.5%
31
87.5%
Q1 - 0:45.8MagicMo Bamba offensive foul (Off the ball) (Derrick Jones Jr. draws the foul)21
13.3%
31
86.7%
Q1 - 0:48.4MagicTerrence Ross defensive rebound21
13.3%
31
86.7%
Q1 - 0:51.0HeatTerrence Ross blocks Goran Dragic's two point layup21
13.1%
31
86.9%
Q1 - 0:59.8MagicMichael Carter-Williams makes two point driving finger roll layup (Wes Iwundu assists)21
12.5%
31
87.5%
Q1 - 1:23HeatDerrick Jones Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 219
11.4%
31
88.6%
Q1 - 1:23HeatDerrick Jones Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 219
11.7%
30
88.3%
Q1 - 1:23MagicMo Bamba shooting foul (Derrick Jones Jr. draws the foul)19
12.0%
29
88.0%
Q1 - 1:32HeatMeyers Leonard defensive rebound19
12.6%
29
87.4%
Q1 - 1:34MagicWes Iwundu misses three point jump shot19
12.8%
29
87.2%
Q1 - 1:56HeatDerrick Jones Jr. personal foul (Michael Carter-Williams draws the foul)19
13.4%
29
86.6%
Q1 - 1:56MagicMagic defensive rebound19
13.4%
29
86.6%
Q1 - 1:56HeatGoran Dragic misses three point jump shot19
13.2%
29
86.8%
Q1 - 2:16MagicMo Bamba makes three point jump shot (Michael Carter-Williams assists)19
12.7%
29
87.3%
Q1 - 2:32HeatGoran Dragic makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)16
10.8%
29
89.2%
Q1 - 2:51HeatMeyers Leonard defensive rebound16
12.7%
26
87.3%
Q1 - 2:53MagicTerrence Ross misses three point pullup jump shot16
13.0%
26
87.0%
Q1 - 3:09HeatTyler Herro makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)16
13.9%
26
86.1%
Q1 - 3:14HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound16
15.9%
23
84.1%
Q1 - 3:27MagicMarkelle Fultz misses regular free throw 2 of 216
16.1%
23
83.9%
Q1 - 3:27MagicMarkelle Fultz makes regular free throw 1 of 216
16.8%
23
83.2%
Q1 - 3:27HeatMeyers Leonard shooting foul (Markelle Fultz draws the foul)15
16.4%
23
83.6%
Q1 - 3:45HeatBam Adebayo makes two point pullup jump shot15
16.1%
23
83.9%
Q1 - 3:52HeatMeyers Leonard defensive rebound15
17.1%
21
82.9%
Q1 - 3:55MagicEvan Fournier misses two point fadeaway jump shot15
17.6%
21
82.4%
Q1 - 4:22HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)15
18.7%
21
81.3%
Q1 - 4:27HeatMeyers Leonard defensive rebound15
21.1%
18
78.9%
Q1 - 4:30MagicNikola Vucevic misses two point turnaround hook shot15
21.6%
18
78.4%
Q1 - 4:45MagicNikola Vucevic defensive rebound15
22.9%
18
77.1%
Q1 - 4:45HeatTyler Herro misses two point pullup jump shot15
22.3%
18
77.7%
Q1 - 5:05MagicNikola Vucevic makes two point jump shot (Evan Fournier assists)15
21.2%
18
78.8%
Q1 - 5:35HeatJimmy Butler makes two point running dunk13
20.0%
18
80.0%
Q1 - 5:38MagicMarkelle Fultz turnover (bad pass) (Jimmy Butler steals)13
21.2%
16
78.8%
Q1 - 5:51HeatDuncan Robinson makes two point cutting layup (Bam Adebayo assists)13
22.7%
16
77.3%
Q1 - 6:06HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound13
24.0%
14
76.0%
Q1 - 6:09MagicEvan Fournier misses three point jump shot13
24.5%
14
75.5%
Q1 - 6:13MagicMagic offensive rebound13
25.4%
14
74.6%
Q1 - 6:13MagicJimmy Butler blocks Khem Birch's two point layup13
24.5%
14
75.5%
Q1 - 6:19MagicNikola Vucevic defensive rebound13
25.4%
14
74.6%
Q1 - 6:21HeatBam Adebayo misses two point cutting layup13
25.0%
14
75.0%
Q1 - 6:37MagicEvan Fournier makes two point cutting layup (Nikola Vucevic assists)13
24.0%
14
76.0%
Q1 - 6:57HeatBam Adebayo makes two point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)11
22.6%
14
77.4%
Q1 - 7:23MagicEvan Fournier makes three point jump shot (Markelle Fultz assists)11
23.8%
12
76.2%
Q1 - 7:33MagicNikola Vucevic defensive rebound8
21.3%
12
78.7%
Q1 - 7:36HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot8
20.9%
12
79.1%
Q1 - 7:52MagicAaron Gordon makes three point jump shot (Markelle Fultz assists)8
20.0%
12
80.0%
Q1 - 8:03MagicEvan Fournier defensive rebound5
17.8%
12
82.2%
Q1 - 8:07HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot5
17.4%
12
82.6%
Q1 - 8:16HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound5
16.6%
12
83.4%
Q1 - 8:18MagicMarkelle Fultz misses two point pullup jump shot5
17.0%
12
83.0%
Q1 - 8:41HeatBam Adebayo makes two point pullup jump shot5
17.8%
12
82.2%
Q1 - 8:53HeatHeat defensive rebound5
18.8%
10
81.2%
Q1 - 8:53MagicEvan Fournier misses two point stepback jump shot5
19.2%
10
80.8%
Q1 - 9:14HeatMeyers Leonard makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)5
20.1%
10
79.9%
Q1 - 9:19HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound5
22.2%
7
77.8%
Q1 - 9:22MagicTyler Herro blocks Markelle Fultz's two point pullup jump shot5
22.7%
7
77.3%
Q1 - 9:41HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 15
23.8%
7
76.2%
Q1 - 9:41MagicNikola Vucevic shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)5
24.0%
6
76.0%
Q1 - 10:03MagicNikola Vucevic makes three point jump shot (Markelle Fultz assists)5
26.2%
4
73.8%
Q1 - 10:14HeatBam Adebayo makes two point jump shot (Duncan Robinson assists)2
23.6%
4
76.4%
Q1 - 10:28MagicKhem Birch makes two point turnaround jump shot (Markelle Fultz assists)2
24.8%
2
75.2%
Q1 - 10:48HeatBam Adebayo makes two point cutting layup (Jimmy Butler assists)0
23.6%
2
76.4%
Q1 - 11:04HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound0
24.7%
0
75.3%
Q1 - 11:07MagicNikola Vucevic misses two point turnaround hook shot0
25.1%
0
74.9%
Q1 - 11:14HeatTyler Herro turnover (bad pass) (Evan Fournier steals)0
26.1%
0
73.9%
Q1 - 11:26MagicMagic turnover (8-second violation)0
24.7%
0
75.3%
Q1 - 11:36HeatHeat turnover (shot clock violation)0
26.2%
0
73.8%
Q1 - 12:00Nikola Vucevic vs. Bam Adebayo (Meyers Leonard gains possession)0
24.7%
0
75.3%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
0.90 45.1%
MIA
1.30 64.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ORL
16
27
59%
MIA
16
28
57%
Midrange
ORL
6
25
24%
MIA
12
23
52%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ORL
11
16.5
37
30%
45%
MIA
14
21.0
28
50%
75%
Free Throws
ORL
15
19
79%
MIA
15
16
94%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Gordon1343%6.5 / 15
N. Vučević1343%6.5 / 15
M. Fultz1243%6.0 / 14
T. Ross1139%5.5 / 14
M. Bamba10125%5.0 / 4
E. Fournier932%4.5 / 14
M. Carter-Williams964%4.5 / 7
K. Birch770%3.5 / 5
W. Iwundu660%3.0 / 5
B. Johnson250%1.0 / 2
V. Law0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Robinson2195%10.5 / 11
B. Adebayo2063%10.0 / 16
J. Butler1979%9.5 / 12
G. Dragic1478%7.0 / 9
T. Herro1354%6.5 / 12
K. Olynyk857%4.0 / 7
D. Jones857%4.0 / 7
M. Leonard5125%2.5 / 2
D. Waiters350%1.5 / 3
J. Johnson233%1.0 / 3
G. Vincent0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ORL
87
+15
-5
102
MIA
81
+6
-10
87
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
0.90 45.1%
MIA
1.30 64.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
108.3
112.4
ORL 100.0
MIA 124.2 +24.2
Pace
98.8
98.4
ORL 93.1 +3.2
MIA 89.9
Avg. Poss. Time
14.8
14.8
ORL 15.5 +0.6
MIA 16.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.6%
54.7%
ORL 43.3%
MIA 62.0% +18.7%
TO %
12.3%
14.0%
ORL 6.7% +5.5%
MIA 12.2%
ORB %
22.3%
20.3%
ORL 22.4% +13.3%
MIA 9.1%
FTrt
25.6
29.9
ORL 21.3 +1.0
MIA 20.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.8%
65.7%
ORL 69.7%
MIA 73.8% +4.1%
STL %
8.3%
7.6%
ORL 7.6% +5.4%
MIA 2.2%
BLK %
10.2%
9.3%
ORL 11.8%
MIA 17.3% +5.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.0%
56.9%
ORL 45.1%
MIA 64.9% +19.8%
Rim FG%
60.3%
63.8%
ORL 59.3% +2.2%
MIA 57.1%
Mid FG%
39.1%
38.9%
ORL 24.0%
MIA 52.2% +28.2%
3P %
34.3%
37.9%
ORL 29.7%
MIA 50.0% +20.3%
FT %
77.4%
78.3%
ORL 78.9%
MIA 93.8% +14.9%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
33.1%
33.2%
ORL 30.3%
MIA 35.4% +5.1%
Mid Att. %
30.5%
24.9%
ORL 28.1% +1.0%
MIA 29.1%
3P Att. %
36.4%
41.9%
ORL 41.6% +6.1%
MIA 35.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsORLMIA
Possessions9291
Possession Minutes23.724.3
Points92113
Rebounds4141
Assists2331
Steals72
Blocks69
Turnovers (Team)5 (2)10 (2)
Fouls1318
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (4)3 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)30 (2)38 (5)
Field Goals33-8942-79
At-the-Rim FG16-2716-28
Midrange FG6-2512-23
2-Point FG22-5228-51
3-Point FG11-3714-28
Free Throws15-1915-16
Fast Break Pts1212
2nd Chance Pts162
Points in Paint4046
Pts off Turnovers126
Bench Points3835
Biggest Lead125

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#00 · SF · 6'8" 235 · 24
33.8
13
43%
7
0
0
1
0
0
1
6
0-0
-
5-12
42%
1-3
33%
#9 · C · 6'10" 260 · 29
32.8
13
43%
12
4
1
1
0
2
3
9
1-1
100%
3-10
30%
2-5
40%
#10 · SG · 6'7" 205 · 27
30.6
9
32%
4
8
1
0
2
3
1
3
2-2
100%
2-6
33%
1-7
14%
#20 · PG · 6'4" 209 · 22
29.1
12
43%
4
7
2
0
2
2
0
4
2-4
50%
5-10
50%
0-2
0%
#24 · PF · 6'9" 220 · 27
26.1
7
70%
4
0
1
0
0
0
2
2
3-3
100%
2-4
50%
0-0
-
#8 · SG · 6'7" 206 · 29
28.3
11
39%
3
0
0
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
1-4
25%
3-10
30%
#7 · PG · 6'6" 190 · 28
21.0
9
64%
1
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
3-3
100%
3-5
60%
0-1
0%
#25 · SF · 6'7" 195 · 25
15.5
6
60%
1
2
1
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
2-5
40%
#5 · C · 7'1" 225 · 22
12.7
10
125%
3
1
0
2
1
3
2
1
2-2
100%
1-1
100%
2-2
100%
#23 · SF · 6'7" 200 · 24
2.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-2
0%
0-0
-
0-1
0%
#35 · SG · 6'6" 198 · 23
2.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
#13 · SF · 6'6" 200 · 24
2.5
2
50%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
0-0
-
0-1
0%
#11 · PF · 6'9" 224 · 27
2.5
0
0%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
#2 · SF · 6'9" 220 · 29
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Knee; Torn Right Meniscus
#14 · PG · 6'0" 183 · 32
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Knee; Bone Irritation
#1 · SF · 6'10" 230 · 22
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Knee; Posterior Lateral Corner Injury and Medial Bone Contusion
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
92
45%
41
23
7
6
5
13
11
30
15-19
79%
22-52
42%
11-37
30%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.