for complete access.
All Games Sunday, January 19, 2020
FinalWin Prob.pScore
7
Heat
55%115
102
17
Spurs
45%113
107
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
109.79394.7
SAS logo SAS
113.89493.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

SpursHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

SpursHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIASAS
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.102
0%
107
100%
Q4 - 0:01.8SpursDeMar DeRozan defensive rebound102
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 0:04.6HeatBam Adebayo misses three point jump shot102
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 0:06.6SpursMarco Belinelli makes regular free throw 2 of 2102
0.5%
107
99.5%
Q4 - 0:06.6SpursMarco Belinelli makes regular free throw 1 of 2102
0.6%
106
99.4%
Q4 - 0:06.6HeatDuncan Robinson personal foul (Take) (Marco Belinelli draws the foul)102
0.7%
105
99.3%
Q4 - 0:06.7SpursMarco Belinelli defensive rebound102
1.4%
105
98.6%
Q4 - 0:10.5HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot102
3.2%
105
96.8%
Q4 - 0:17.4HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound102
9.3%
105
90.7%
Q4 - 0:18.5SpursDerrick White misses two point floating jump shot102
6.7%
105
93.3%
Q4 - 0:39.6SpursDeMar DeRozan defensive rebound102
7.6%
105
92.4%
Q4 - 0:44.0HeatJimmy Butler misses three point pullup jump shot102
10.5%
105
89.5%
Q4 - 1:00HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound102
19.5%
105
80.5%
Q4 - 1:05SpursPatty Mills misses three point jump shot102
16.8%
105
83.2%
Q4 - 1:22HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 2102
13.6%
105
86.4%
Q4 - 1:22HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 2101
12.8%
105
87.2%
Q4 - 1:22SpursMarco Belinelli shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)100
11.8%
105
88.2%
Q4 - 1:28SpursDeMar DeRozan personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)100
8.6%
105
91.4%
Q4 - 1:30HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound100
10.2%
105
89.8%
Q4 - 1:32SpursDeMar DeRozan misses two point jump shot100
9.0%
105
91.0%
Q4 - 1:46HeatBam Adebayo makes two point alley-oop dunk (Goran Dragic assists)100
7.3%
105
92.7%
Q4 - 2:07SpursMarco Belinelli makes three point jump shot (DeMar DeRozan assists)98
5.5%
105
94.5%
Q4 - 2:10SpursPatty Mills offensive rebound98
11.2%
102
88.8%
Q4 - 2:13SpursMarco Belinelli misses three point jump shot98
16.5%
102
83.5%
Q4 - 2:19SpursSpurs offensive rebound98
11.1%
102
88.9%
Q4 - 2:19SpursDuncan Robinson blocks Marco Belinelli's two point driving layup98
16.6%
102
83.4%
Q4 - 2:31SpursMarco Belinelli defensive rebound98
11.0%
102
89.0%
Q4 - 2:36HeatMeyers Leonard misses three point jump shot98
13.2%
102
86.8%
Q4 - 2:54HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound98
21.1%
102
78.9%
Q4 - 2:54SpursPatty Mills misses three point jump shot98
18.3%
102
81.7%
Q4 - 3:01SpursPatty Mills defensive rebound98
13.0%
102
87.0%
Q4 - 3:04HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving finger roll layup98
15.1%
102
84.9%
Q4 - 3:20SpursLaMarcus Aldridge makes regular free throw 1 of 198
21.2%
102
78.8%
Q4 - 3:20HeatKendrick Nunn shooting foul (LaMarcus Aldridge draws the foul)98
22.2%
101
77.8%
Q4 - 3:22HeatBam Adebayo turnover (bad pass) (Derrick White steals)98
35.1%
99
64.9%
Q4 - 3:40SpursDeMar DeRozan makes regular free throw 2 of 298
49.2%
99
50.8%
Q4 - 3:40SpursDeMar DeRozan makes regular free throw 1 of 298
50.5%
98
49.5%
Q4 - 3:40HeatMeyers Leonard personal foul (Loose ball) (DeMar DeRozan draws the foul)98
52.0%
97
48.0%
Q4 - 3:40SpursSpurs defensive rebound98
57.5%
97
42.5%
Q4 - 3:40HeatJimmy Butler misses two point cutting finger roll layup98
60.4%
97
39.6%
Q4 - 4:02HeatGoran Dragic defensive rebound98
66.9%
97
33.1%
Q4 - 4:04SpursDerrick White misses three point jump shot98
64.2%
97
35.8%
Q4 - 4:20SpursPatty Mills defensive rebound98
57.5%
97
42.5%
Q4 - 4:22HeatGoran Dragic misses two point cutting finger roll layup98
60.5%
97
39.5%
Q4 - 4:39SpursLaMarcus Aldridge makes two point hook shot (Derrick White assists)98
67.1%
97
32.9%
Q4 - 4:46SpursPatty Mills offensive rebound98
74.2%
95
25.8%
Q4 - 4:46SpursLaMarcus Aldridge misses two point tip layup98
79.3%
95
20.7%
Q4 - 4:47SpursLaMarcus Aldridge offensive rebound98
74.2%
95
25.8%
Q4 - 4:47SpursLaMarcus Aldridge misses two point tip layup98
79.3%
95
20.7%
Q4 - 4:46SpursLaMarcus Aldridge offensive rebound98
74.2%
95
25.8%
Q4 - 4:50SpursDerrick White misses two point putback layup98
79.3%
95
20.7%
Q4 - 4:52SpursDerrick White offensive rebound98
74.2%
95
25.8%
Q4 - 4:56SpursPatty Mills misses three point jump shot98
79.3%
95
20.7%
Q4 - 5:18HeatGoran Dragic makes two point driving floating bank jump shot98
72.1%
95
27.9%
Q4 - 5:32HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound96
65.5%
95
34.5%
Q4 - 5:35SpursLonnie Walker IV misses two point pullup jump shot96
63.1%
95
36.9%
Q4 - 5:58HeatKendrick Nunn makes two point stepback jump shot96
57.3%
95
42.7%
Q4 - 6:05HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound94
50.5%
95
49.5%
Q4 - 6:08SpursLaMarcus Aldridge misses two point turnaround hook shot94
47.9%
95
52.1%
Q4 - 6:19SpursDeMar DeRozan defensive rebound94
42.0%
95
58.0%
Q4 - 6:21HeatJames Johnson misses three point stepback jump shot94
44.5%
95
55.5%
Q4 - 6:39HeatGoran Dragic defensive rebound94
50.4%
95
49.6%
Q4 - 6:42SpursDejounte Murray misses two point stepback bank jump shot94
47.8%
95
52.2%
Q4 - 6:52SpursDejounte Murray defensive rebound94
41.9%
95
58.1%
Q4 - 6:55HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot94
44.5%
95
55.5%
Q4 - 6:59SpursDeMar DeRozan personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)94
50.3%
95
49.7%
Q4 - 6:59HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound94
50.3%
95
49.7%
Q4 - 7:00HeatGoran Dragic misses two point floating jump shot94
44.5%
95
55.5%
Q4 - 7:08HeatJames Johnson defensive rebound94
51.3%
95
48.7%
Q4 - 7:11SpursLaMarcus Aldridge misses two point jump shot94
49.0%
95
51.0%
Q4 - 7:36HeatGoran Dragic makes two point pullup jump shot94
43.5%
95
56.5%
Q4 - 7:51HeatJames Johnson defensive rebound92
37.8%
95
62.2%
Q4 - 7:55SpursLonnie Walker IV misses two point pullup jump shot92
35.6%
95
64.4%
Q4 - 8:04HeatJames Johnson personal foul (Dejounte Murray draws the foul)92
32.7%
95
67.3%
Q4 - 8:15HeatBam Adebayo makes two point dunk (Kendrick Nunn assists)92
32.6%
95
67.4%
Q4 - 8:34HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound90
27.3%
95
72.7%
Q4 - 8:37SpursMarco Belinelli misses three point jump shot90
25.8%
95
74.2%
Q4 - 8:47SpursJakob Poeltl defensive rebound90
22.5%
95
77.5%
Q4 - 8:50HeatGoran Dragic misses three point jump shot90
23.9%
95
76.1%
Q4 - 9:06SpursDerrick White makes two point driving layup (Patty Mills assists)90
28.8%
95
71.2%
Q4 - 9:21HeatDerrick Jones Jr. turnover (out of bounds lost ball)90
33.6%
93
66.4%
Q4 - 9:35SpursMarco Belinelli makes regular free throw 3 of 390
39.4%
93
60.6%
Q4 - 9:35SpursMarco Belinelli makes regular free throw 2 of 390
40.1%
92
59.9%
Q4 - 9:35SpursMarco Belinelli makes regular free throw 1 of 390
40.9%
91
59.1%
Q4 - 9:35HeatTyler Herro shooting foul (Marco Belinelli draws the foul)90
41.7%
90
58.3%
Q4 - 9:49HeatGoran Dragic makes two point driving floating jump shot90
50.9%
90
49.1%
Q4 - 10:00SpursJakob Poeltl personal foul (Loose ball) (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)88
45.2%
90
54.8%
Q4 - 10:00HeatHeat defensive rebound88
45.2%
90
54.8%
Q4 - 10:00SpursLonnie Walker IV misses two point pullup jump shot88
43.3%
90
56.7%
Q4 - 10:10HeatJames Johnson personal foul (Derrick White draws the foul)88
40.1%
90
59.9%
Q4 - 10:11SpursSpurs offensive rebound88
40.1%
90
59.9%
Q4 - 10:11SpursDerrick White misses two point driving floating jump shot88
44.1%
90
55.9%
Q4 - 10:18SpursDerrick White defensive rebound88
40.1%
90
59.9%
Q4 - 10:21HeatTyler Herro misses two point floating jump shot88
41.8%
90
58.2%
Q4 - 10:38SpursDerrick White makes three point jump shot (Lonnie Walker IV assists)88
45.8%
90
54.2%
Q4 - 10:46HeatJames Johnson personal foul (Lonnie Walker IV draws the foul)88
56.9%
87
43.1%
Q4 - 10:53SpursPatty Mills makes technical free throw 1 of 188
56.9%
87
43.1%
Q4 - 10:53Heat technical foul (Defensive three second)88
58.3%
86
41.7%
Q4 - 11:02HeatGoran Dragic makes two point stepback jump shot88
61.7%
86
38.3%
Q4 - 11:12HeatGoran Dragic defensive rebound86
56.4%
86
43.6%
Q4 - 11:16SpursDerrick White misses three point jump shot86
54.8%
86
45.2%
Q4 - 11:28HeatDerrick Jones Jr. makes two point tip dunk86
51.1%
86
48.9%
Q4 - 11:28HeatDerrick Jones Jr. offensive rebound84
45.7%
86
54.3%
Q4 - 11:35HeatBam Adebayo misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot84
42.0%
86
58.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.84
45.7%
86
54.3%
Q3 - 0:00.3SpursSpurs offensive rebound84
41.7%
86
58.3%
Q3 - 0:00.3SpursMarco Belinelli misses three point jump shot84
45.0%
86
55.0%
Q3 - 0:19.5HeatBam Adebayo makes two point tip layup84
41.6%
86
58.4%
Q3 - 0:23.4HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound82
36.5%
86
63.5%
Q3 - 0:23.4HeatDerrick Jones Jr. misses two point driving layup82
33.4%
86
66.6%
Q3 - 0:31.2SpursPatty Mills makes three point pullup jump shot82
36.5%
86
63.5%
Q3 - 0:36.9HeatGoran Dragic makes regular free throw 3 of 382
46.6%
83
53.4%
Q3 - 0:36.9HeatGoran Dragic makes regular free throw 2 of 381
45.5%
83
54.5%
Q3 - 0:36.9HeatGoran Dragic misses regular free throw 1 of 380
44.3%
83
55.7%
Q3 - 0:36.9SpursDerrick White shooting foul (Goran Dragic draws the foul)80
48.2%
83
51.8%
Q3 - 0:41.5HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound80
41.3%
83
58.7%
Q3 - 0:41.5HeatJakob Poeltl blocks Derrick Jones Jr.'s two point dunk80
38.0%
83
62.0%
Q3 - 0:56.2SpursDeMar DeRozan makes two point floating jump shot80
41.3%
83
58.7%
Q3 - 1:16HeatGoran Dragic makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)80
47.1%
81
52.9%
Q3 - 1:29HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound77
37.8%
81
62.2%
Q3 - 1:32SpursPatty Mills misses three point jump shot77
36.4%
81
63.6%
Q3 - 1:42SpursMarco Belinelli defensive rebound77
33.2%
81
66.8%
Q3 - 1:47HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot77
34.6%
81
65.4%
Q3 - 1:52HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound77
37.8%
81
62.2%
Q3 - 1:58SpursDerrick Jones Jr. blocks DeMar DeRozan's two point pullup jump shot77
36.4%
81
63.6%
Q3 - 2:02SpursDeMar DeRozan defensive rebound77
34.1%
81
65.9%
Q3 - 2:05HeatMeyers Leonard misses three point jump shot77
35.5%
81
64.5%
Q3 - 2:23HeatMeyers Leonard defensive rebound77
38.8%
81
61.2%
Q3 - 2:27SpursDeMar DeRozan misses two point pullup jump shot77
37.3%
81
62.7%
Q3 - 2:36SpursMarco Belinelli defensive rebound77
34.0%
81
66.0%
Q3 - 2:39HeatJimmy Butler misses two point floating jump shot77
35.4%
81
64.6%
Q3 - 2:53SpursDerrick White makes two point cutting finger roll layup (DeMar DeRozan assists)77
38.7%
81
61.3%
Q3 - 3:06HeatDerrick Jones Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 277
43.3%
79
56.7%
Q3 - 3:06HeatDerrick Jones Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 276
42.2%
79
57.8%
Q3 - 3:06SpursDerrick White shooting foul (Derrick Jones Jr. draws the foul)75
40.9%
79
59.1%
Q3 - 3:19SpursLaMarcus Aldridge makes two point dunk (DeMar DeRozan assists)75
39.4%
79
60.6%
Q3 - 3:25HeatKendrick Nunn turnover (bad pass) (DeMar DeRozan steals)75
43.3%
77
56.7%
Q3 - 3:30SpursDerrick White makes two point driving layup (LaMarcus Aldridge assists)75
48.1%
77
51.9%
Q3 - 3:54HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving finger roll layup (Derrick Jones Jr. assists)75
52.0%
75
48.0%
Q3 - 3:57HeatDerrick Jones Jr. offensive rebound73
48.0%
75
52.0%
Q3 - 4:00HeatJimmy Butler misses three point jump shot73
44.7%
75
55.3%
Q3 - 4:21SpursLaMarcus Aldridge makes regular free throw 2 of 273
48.6%
75
51.4%
Q3 - 4:21SpursLaMarcus Aldridge makes regular free throw 1 of 273
49.2%
74
50.8%
Q3 - 4:21HeatMeyers Leonard shooting foul (LaMarcus Aldridge draws the foul)73
49.9%
73
50.1%
Q3 - 4:34HeatKendrick Nunn makes two point pullup jump shot73
52.2%
73
47.8%
Q3 - 4:46SpursDeMar DeRozan makes two point driving floating bank jump shot71
48.6%
73
51.4%
Q3 - 5:15HeatHeat turnover (shot clock violation)71
52.6%
71
47.4%
Q3 - 5:44SpursDeMar DeRozan makes two point jump shot (Patty Mills assists)71
56.9%
71
43.1%
Q3 - 5:55HeatMeyers Leonard personal foul (Derrick White draws the foul)71
60.5%
69
39.5%
Q3 - 6:09SpursTrey Lyles defensive rebound71
60.4%
69
39.6%
Q3 - 6:12HeatKendrick Nunn misses two point pullup jump shot71
61.6%
69
38.4%
Q3 - 6:21HeatMeyers Leonard defensive rebound71
64.2%
69
35.8%
Q3 - 6:23SpursBryn Forbes misses three point jump shot71
63.1%
69
36.9%
Q3 - 6:35HeatJimmy Butler makes two point running layup71
60.4%
69
39.6%
Q3 - 6:38SpursBryn Forbes turnover (bad pass) (Jimmy Butler steals)69
56.9%
69
43.1%
Q3 - 6:50HeatKendrick Nunn makes two point bank jump shot69
52.8%
69
47.2%
Q3 - 7:06SpursLaMarcus Aldridge makes two point driving layup (Derrick White assists)67
49.3%
69
50.7%
Q3 - 7:15SpursTrey Lyles offensive rebound67
52.6%
67
47.4%
Q3 - 7:19SpursBryn Forbes misses three point jump shot67
55.5%
67
44.5%
Q3 - 7:27HeatKendrick Nunn turnover (offensive foul)67
52.6%
67
47.4%
Q3 - 7:27HeatKendrick Nunn offensive foul (Derrick White draws the foul)67
56.7%
67
43.3%
Q3 - 7:37SpursDeMar DeRozan makes regular free throw 1 of 167
56.7%
67
43.3%
Q3 - 7:37HeatJimmy Butler shooting foul (DeMar DeRozan draws the foul)67
57.3%
66
42.7%
Q3 - 7:51HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 267
63.6%
64
36.4%
Q3 - 7:51HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 266
62.7%
64
37.3%
Q3 - 7:51SpursDeMar DeRozan shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)65
61.7%
64
38.3%
Q3 - 7:51HeatMeyers Leonard offensive rebound65
60.4%
64
39.6%
Q3 - 7:55HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot65
57.6%
64
42.4%
Q3 - 8:00SpursTrey Lyles turnover (bad pass) (Kendrick Nunn steals)65
60.4%
64
39.6%
Q3 - 8:13SpursDeMar DeRozan offensive rebound65
56.5%
64
43.5%
Q3 - 8:16SpursBryn Forbes misses three point jump shot65
59.4%
64
40.6%
Q3 - 8:27HeatBam Adebayo makes two point pullup jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)65
56.5%
64
43.5%
Q3 - 8:43SpursDejounte Murray turnover (offensive foul)63
53.4%
64
46.6%
Q3 - 8:43SpursDejounte Murray offensive foul (Meyers Leonard draws the foul)63
49.2%
64
50.8%
Q3 - 8:53HeatMeyers Leonard makes regular free throw 2 of 263
49.2%
64
50.8%
Q3 - 8:53HeatMeyers Leonard makes regular free throw 1 of 262
48.4%
64
51.6%
Q3 - 8:53SpursTrey Lyles shooting foul (Meyers Leonard draws the foul)61
47.6%
64
52.4%
Q3 - 9:06SpursDejounte Murray turnover (double dribble)61
46.2%
64
53.8%
Q3 - 9:08HeatDuncan Robinson turnover (lost ball) (Dejounte Murray steals)61
42.3%
64
57.7%
Q3 - 9:19HeatKendrick Nunn defensive rebound61
46.2%
64
53.8%
Q3 - 9:23SpursDeMar DeRozan misses three point jump shot61
45.0%
64
55.0%
Q3 - 9:39HeatMeyers Leonard makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)61
42.2%
64
57.8%
Q3 - 9:58SpursDejounte Murray makes two point turnaround jump shot58
35.8%
64
64.2%
Q3 - 10:04SpursTrey Lyles defensive rebound58
39.4%
62
60.6%
Q3 - 10:06HeatMeyers Leonard misses two point turnaround hook shot58
40.6%
62
59.4%
Q3 - 10:21SpursDeMar DeRozan turnover (lost ball) (Duncan Robinson steals)58
43.3%
62
56.7%
Q3 - 10:34HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 258
39.4%
62
60.6%
Q3 - 10:34HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 257
38.5%
62
61.5%
Q3 - 10:34SpursTrey Lyles shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)56
37.6%
62
62.4%
Q3 - 10:56SpursLaMarcus Aldridge makes two point cutting dunk (Trey Lyles assists)56
36.6%
62
63.4%
Q3 - 11:14HeatKendrick Nunn makes two point pullup jump shot56
40.3%
60
59.7%
Q3 - 11:19HeatHeat offensive rebound54
37.3%
60
62.7%
Q3 - 11:19HeatLaMarcus Aldridge blocks Kendrick Nunn's two point cutting layup54
35.0%
60
65.0%
Q3 - 11:20HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound54
37.3%
60
62.7%
Q3 - 11:24HeatKendrick Nunn misses three point jump shot54
35.0%
60
65.0%
Q3 - 11:35HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound54
37.3%
60
62.7%
Q3 - 11:40SpursLaMarcus Aldridge misses three point jump shot54
36.2%
60
63.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.54
33.9%
60
66.1%
Q2 - 0:00.6HeatHeat offensive rebound54
37.6%
60
62.4%
Q2 - 0:00.6HeatJimmy Butler misses two point fadeaway jump shot54
36.1%
60
63.9%
Q2 - 0:10.9SpursDeMar DeRozan makes regular free throw 2 of 254
37.6%
60
62.4%
Q2 - 0:10.9SpursDeMar DeRozan makes regular free throw 1 of 254
38.0%
59
62.0%
Q2 - 0:10.9HeatDerrick Jones Jr. shooting foul (DeMar DeRozan draws the foul)54
38.5%
58
61.5%
Q2 - 0:26.7HeatJimmy Butler personal foul (Patty Mills draws the foul)54
41.5%
58
58.5%
Q2 - 0:31.2SpursLonnie Walker IV defensive rebound54
41.5%
58
58.5%
Q2 - 0:34.0HeatKendrick Nunn misses two point layup54
42.2%
58
57.8%
Q2 - 0:37.5SpursDeMar DeRozan turnover (lost ball) (Kendrick Nunn steals)54
43.8%
58
56.2%
Q2 - 0:55.3HeatJimmy Butler makes two point layup (Kendrick Nunn assists)54
41.5%
58
58.5%
Q2 - 0:58.3HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound52
37.5%
58
62.5%
Q2 - 1:01SpursDejounte Murray misses two point driving finger roll layup52
37.5%
58
62.5%
Q2 - 1:26HeatJimmy Butler makes two point cutting finger roll layup (Bam Adebayo assists)52
36.3%
58
63.7%
Q2 - 1:36HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound50
32.3%
58
67.7%
Q2 - 1:40SpursLonnie Walker IV misses three point jump shot50
31.8%
58
68.2%
Q2 - 1:58HeatBam Adebayo makes two point cutting dunk (Jimmy Butler assists)50
30.6%
58
69.4%
Q2 - 2:10HeatKendrick Nunn defensive rebound48
28.6%
58
71.4%
Q2 - 2:12SpursDeMar DeRozan misses two point floating jump shot48
27.8%
58
72.2%
Q2 - 2:31SpursDejounte Murray defensive rebound48
26.1%
58
73.9%
Q2 - 2:33HeatMeyers Leonard misses three point jump shot48
26.8%
58
73.2%
Q2 - 2:40HeatKendrick Nunn defensive rebound48
28.5%
58
71.5%
Q2 - 2:43SpursLonnie Walker IV misses two point driving floating jump shot48
27.8%
58
72.2%
Q2 - 2:55HeatBam Adebayo makes two point cutting dunk (Jimmy Butler assists)48
26.1%
58
73.9%
Q2 - 3:22SpursDejounte Murray makes three point jump shot (DeMar DeRozan assists)46
25.2%
58
74.8%
Q2 - 3:33SpursDeMar DeRozan defensive rebound46
29.5%
55
70.5%
Q2 - 3:36HeatMeyers Leonard misses three point jump shot46
30.3%
55
69.7%
Q2 - 3:47SpursBryn Forbes personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)46
32.2%
55
67.8%
Q2 - 4:05SpursLaMarcus Aldridge makes three point jump shot (DeMar DeRozan assists)46
33.0%
55
67.0%
Q2 - 4:12SpursLonnie Walker IV defensive rebound46
38.1%
52
61.9%
Q2 - 4:15HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving floating bank jump shot46
38.9%
52
61.1%
Q2 - 4:22HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound46
40.8%
52
59.2%
Q2 - 4:27SpursBryn Forbes misses three point jump shot46
40.0%
52
60.0%
Q2 - 4:41HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 246
38.1%
52
61.9%
Q2 - 4:41HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 245
37.7%
52
62.3%
Q2 - 4:41SpursLonnie Walker IV shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)44
37.3%
52
62.7%
Q2 - 4:54SpursDeMar DeRozan makes two point jump shot (Lonnie Walker IV assists)44
35.5%
52
64.5%
Q2 - 5:06HeatKendrick Nunn makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)44
38.4%
50
61.6%
Q2 - 5:16HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound41
33.9%
50
66.1%
Q2 - 5:19SpursDeMar DeRozan misses two point driving layup41
33.0%
50
67.0%
Q2 - 5:25SpursDeMar DeRozan defensive rebound41
31.0%
50
69.0%
Q2 - 5:28HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot41
31.9%
50
68.1%
Q2 - 5:40SpursLaMarcus Aldridge makes three point jump shot (DeMar DeRozan assists)41
33.8%
50
66.2%
Q2 - 5:57SpursDejounte Murray defensive rebound41
38.4%
47
61.6%
Q2 - 6:02HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot41
39.9%
47
60.1%
Q2 - 6:06HeatMeyers Leonard defensive rebound41
42.1%
47
57.9%
Q2 - 6:09SpursDeMar DeRozan misses two point pullup jump shot41
41.1%
47
58.9%
Q2 - 6:18HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 241
38.9%
47
61.1%
Q2 - 6:18HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 240
38.6%
47
61.4%
Q2 - 6:18SpursBryn Forbes shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)39
38.2%
47
61.8%
Q2 - 6:22HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound39
37.0%
47
63.0%
Q2 - 6:24SpursTrey Lyles misses three point stepback jump shot39
36.0%
47
64.0%
Q2 - 6:40HeatGoran Dragic turnover (out of bounds bad pass)39
34.0%
47
66.0%
Q2 - 6:53SpursDejounte Murray makes two point pullup jump shot39
36.9%
47
63.1%
Q2 - 7:04SpursSpurs defensive rebound39
39.9%
45
60.1%
Q2 - 7:07HeatGoran Dragic misses three point jump shot39
40.7%
45
59.3%
Q2 - 7:23HeatGoran Dragic offensive rebound39
42.5%
45
57.5%
Q2 - 7:23HeatGoran Dragic misses three point jump shot39
40.6%
45
59.4%
Q2 - 7:32SpursTrey Lyles makes two point driving dunk (Dejounte Murray assists)39
42.5%
45
57.5%
Q2 - 7:45SpursMarco Belinelli defensive rebound39
44.8%
43
55.2%
Q2 - 7:48HeatJames Johnson misses three point jump shot39
45.7%
43
54.3%
Q2 - 7:56HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound39
47.5%
43
52.5%
Q2 - 7:59SpursTrey Lyles misses two point driving layup39
46.7%
43
53.3%
Q2 - 8:12HeatGoran Dragic turnover (out of bounds bad pass)39
44.9%
43
55.1%
Q2 - 8:18HeatGoran Dragic defensive rebound39
47.6%
43
52.4%
Q2 - 8:21SpursPatty Mills misses three point jump shot39
46.8%
43
53.2%
Q2 - 8:27SpursMarco Belinelli defensive rebound39
44.9%
43
55.1%
Q2 - 8:27HeatLaMarcus Aldridge blocks Bam Adebayo's two point layup39
45.7%
43
54.3%
Q2 - 8:41SpursMarco Belinelli makes regular free throw 1 of 139
47.6%
43
52.4%
Q2 - 8:41HeatTyler Herro shooting foul (Marco Belinelli draws the foul)39
47.9%
42
52.1%
Q2 - 8:56HeatGoran Dragic makes two point stepback jump shot39
55.0%
39
45.0%
Q2 - 9:22SpursPatty Mills makes two point jump shot (LaMarcus Aldridge assists)37
52.6%
39
47.4%
Q2 - 9:36HeatJames Johnson makes three point pullup jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)37
54.9%
37
45.1%
Q2 - 9:53SpursLonnie Walker IV makes three point jump shot (Marco Belinelli assists)34
50.2%
37
49.8%
Q2 - 10:01SpursPatty Mills defensive rebound34
54.9%
34
45.1%
Q2 - 10:01HeatTyler Herro misses two point stepback jump shot34
55.7%
34
44.3%
Q2 - 10:15SpursPatty Mills makes three point pullup jump shot (Derrick White assists)34
57.4%
34
42.6%
Q2 - 10:19HeatGoran Dragic turnover (lost ball) (Derrick White steals)34
61.9%
31
38.1%
Q2 - 10:26SpursDerrick White turnover (bad pass) (Kelly Olynyk steals)34
64.3%
31
35.7%
Q2 - 10:30SpursMarco Belinelli defensive rebound34
61.9%
31
38.1%
Q2 - 10:35HeatKelly Olynyk misses three point jump shot34
62.6%
31
37.4%
Q2 - 10:46HeatDerrick Jones Jr. defensive rebound34
64.3%
31
35.7%
Q2 - 10:46SpursPatty Mills misses three point jump shot34
63.6%
31
36.4%
Q2 - 10:58HeatGoran Dragic makes three point stepback jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)34
61.9%
31
38.1%
Q2 - 11:12HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound31
57.3%
31
42.7%
Q2 - 11:14SpursJames Johnson blocks Lonnie Walker IV's two point pullup jump shot31
56.6%
31
43.4%
Q2 - 11:19SpursDerrick White defensive rebound31
55.1%
31
44.9%
Q2 - 11:22HeatJakob Poeltl blocks Derrick Jones Jr.'s two point driving layup31
55.8%
31
44.2%
Q2 - 11:46SpursPatty Mills makes three point pullup jump shot31
57.3%
31
42.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.31
61.9%
28
38.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0HeatHeat offensive rebound31
64.0%
28
36.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0HeatJames Johnson misses three point running jump shot31
62.6%
28
37.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0HeatJames Johnson defensive rebound31
64.0%
28
36.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0SpursJakob Poeltl misses two point tip layup31
63.4%
28
36.6%
Q1 - 0:02.0SpursJakob Poeltl offensive rebound31
61.9%
28
38.1%
Q1 - 0:02.0SpursDerrick White misses two point driving finger roll layup31
63.1%
28
36.9%
Q1 - 0:25.1SpursLonnie Walker IV defensive rebound31
61.9%
28
38.1%
Q1 - 0:27.9HeatKelly Olynyk misses three point stepback jump shot31
62.5%
28
37.5%
Q1 - 0:39.2SpursLonnie Walker IV makes two point cutting finger roll layup (Marco Belinelli assists)31
63.6%
28
36.4%
Q1 - 0:53.3HeatGoran Dragic makes regular free throw 2 of 231
66.2%
26
33.8%
Q1 - 0:53.3HeatGoran Dragic misses regular free throw 1 of 230
65.7%
26
34.3%
Q1 - 0:53.3SpursJakob Poeltl shooting foul (Goran Dragic draws the foul)30
67.3%
26
32.7%
Q1 - 1:05SpursPatty Mills makes regular free throw 3 of 330
65.8%
26
34.2%
Q1 - 1:05SpursPatty Mills makes regular free throw 2 of 330
66.2%
25
33.8%
Q1 - 1:05SpursPatty Mills makes regular free throw 1 of 330
66.5%
24
33.5%
Q1 - 1:05HeatJames Johnson shooting foul (Patty Mills draws the foul)30
66.9%
23
33.1%
Q1 - 1:19SpursDerrick White defensive rebound30
70.2%
23
29.8%
Q1 - 1:21HeatGoran Dragic misses two point pullup bank jump shot30
70.7%
23
29.3%
Q1 - 1:42SpursLonnie Walker IV makes regular free throw 2 of 230
71.7%
23
28.3%
Q1 - 1:42SpursLonnie Walker IV makes regular free throw 1 of 230
72.1%
22
27.9%
Q1 - 1:42HeatDerrick Jones Jr. shooting foul (Lonnie Walker IV draws the foul)30
72.6%
21
27.4%
Q1 - 2:00HeatJames Johnson makes two point cutting layup (Derrick Jones Jr. assists)30
73.9%
21
26.1%
Q1 - 2:14SpursDeMar DeRozan makes two point jump shot (Patty Mills assists)28
71.6%
21
28.4%
Q1 - 2:28HeatDerrick Jones Jr. makes two point driving layup (Goran Dragic assists)28
73.4%
19
26.6%
Q1 - 2:45SpursPatty Mills makes three point pullup jump shot26
71.6%
19
28.4%
Q1 - 3:08HeatKendrick Nunn makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)26
74.4%
16
25.6%
Q1 - 3:12SpursLaMarcus Aldridge personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)23
71.3%
16
28.7%
Q1 - 3:36SpursDerrick White makes two point pullup jump shot23
71.3%
16
28.7%
Q1 - 3:47HeatDuncan Robinson personal foul (DeMar DeRozan draws the foul)23
72.8%
14
27.2%
Q1 - 3:50SpursDeMar DeRozan defensive rebound23
72.8%
14
27.2%
Q1 - 3:52HeatKendrick Nunn misses three point jump shot23
73.4%
14
26.6%
Q1 - 4:12SpursTrey Lyles makes two point pullup jump shot (Derrick White assists)23
74.5%
14
25.5%
Q1 - 4:36HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving layup (Bam Adebayo assists)23
75.8%
12
24.2%
Q1 - 4:44SpursLaMarcus Aldridge turnover (lost ball) (Bam Adebayo steals)21
74.5%
12
25.5%
Q1 - 5:00HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Meyers Leonard assists)21
72.6%
12
27.4%
Q1 - 5:09HeatMeyers Leonard offensive rebound18
68.8%
12
31.2%
Q1 - 5:11HeatKendrick Nunn misses two point driving finger roll layup18
67.5%
12
32.5%
Q1 - 5:31SpursPatty Mills turnover (bad pass) (Jimmy Butler steals)18
68.8%
12
31.2%
Q1 - 5:50HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Kendrick Nunn assists)18
67.0%
12
33.0%
Q1 - 6:03SpursTrey Lyles turnover (out of bounds bad pass)15
62.9%
12
37.1%
Q1 - 6:23HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point pullup jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)15
61.2%
12
38.8%
Q1 - 6:38SpursTrey Lyles makes two point driving finger roll layup (DeMar DeRozan assists)12
57.3%
12
42.7%
Q1 - 6:59HeatBam Adebayo makes two point hook shot (Meyers Leonard assists)12
59.3%
10
40.7%
Q1 - 7:12HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound10
57.5%
10
42.5%
Q1 - 7:15HeatBam Adebayo misses two point jump shot10
56.1%
10
43.9%
Q1 - 7:24SpursDeMar DeRozan personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)10
57.5%
10
42.5%
Q1 - 7:36SpursLaMarcus Aldridge makes two point dunk (DeMar DeRozan assists)10
57.5%
10
42.5%
Q1 - 7:44SpursTrey Lyles defensive rebound10
59.1%
8
40.9%
Q1 - 7:44HeatBam Adebayo misses two point pullup jump shot10
59.7%
8
40.3%
Q1 - 7:53HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound10
61.1%
8
38.9%
Q1 - 7:56SpursDeMar DeRozan misses two point stepback jump shot10
60.5%
8
39.5%
Q1 - 8:08HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 110
59.5%
8
40.5%
Q1 - 8:08SpursDejounte Murray shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)9
59.0%
8
41.0%
Q1 - 8:18SpursLaMarcus Aldridge turnover (lost ball) (Bam Adebayo steals)7
56.1%
8
43.9%
Q1 - 8:31HeatBam Adebayo turnover (bad pass) (LaMarcus Aldridge steals)7
54.0%
8
46.0%
Q1 - 8:43HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound7
56.0%
8
44.0%
Q1 - 8:43SpursBryn Forbes misses three point jump shot7
55.4%
8
44.6%
Q1 - 8:56HeatKendrick Nunn makes two point driving floating jump shot7
54.0%
8
46.0%
Q1 - 9:02HeatMeyers Leonard defensive rebound5
52.4%
8
47.6%
Q1 - 9:06SpursDeMar DeRozan misses two point pullup jump shot5
51.7%
8
48.3%
Q1 - 9:18SpursTrey Lyles defensive rebound5
50.2%
8
49.8%
Q1 - 9:22HeatJimmy Butler misses two point floating jump shot5
50.9%
8
49.1%
Q1 - 9:36SpursTrey Lyles makes three point jump shot (DeMar DeRozan assists)5
52.4%
8
47.6%
Q1 - 9:43SpursTrey Lyles defensive rebound5
55.7%
5
44.3%
Q1 - 9:46HeatMeyers Leonard misses three point jump shot5
56.3%
5
43.7%
Q1 - 9:55SpursBryn Forbes personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)5
57.8%
5
42.2%
Q1 - 10:04HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound5
57.7%
5
42.3%
Q1 - 10:07SpursLaMarcus Aldridge misses three point jump shot5
57.1%
5
42.9%
Q1 - 10:16SpursLaMarcus Aldridge defensive rebound5
55.7%
5
44.3%
Q1 - 10:19HeatJimmy Butler misses two point jump shot5
56.3%
5
43.7%
Q1 - 10:35SpursDeMar DeRozan makes regular free throw 1 of 15
57.7%
5
42.3%
Q1 - 10:35HeatJimmy Butler shooting foul (DeMar DeRozan draws the foul)5
57.9%
4
42.1%
Q1 - 10:43SpursDeMar DeRozan defensive rebound5
61.0%
2
39.0%
Q1 - 10:43HeatDuncan Robinson misses two point jump shot5
61.6%
2
38.4%
Q1 - 10:53HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound5
62.9%
2
37.1%
Q1 - 10:53SpursBryn Forbes misses regular free throw 3 of 35
62.6%
2
37.4%
Q1 - 10:53SpursBryn Forbes makes regular free throw 2 of 35
61.4%
2
38.6%
Q1 - 10:53SpursBryn Forbes makes regular free throw 1 of 35
61.7%
1
38.3%
Q1 - 10:53HeatDuncan Robinson personal foul (Bryn Forbes draws the foul)5
61.9%
0
38.1%
Q1 - 10:56HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point pullup jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)5
64.4%
0
35.6%
Q1 - 10:59HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound2
61.2%
0
38.8%
Q1 - 11:00SpursLaMarcus Aldridge misses two point tip layup2
60.6%
0
39.4%
Q1 - 11:05SpursLaMarcus Aldridge offensive rebound2
59.3%
0
40.7%
Q1 - 11:12SpursDejounte Murray misses two point jump shot2
60.6%
0
39.4%
Q1 - 11:36HeatKendrick Nunn makes two point floating jump shot2
59.3%
0
40.7%
Q1 - 12:00Meyers Leonard vs. LaMarcus Aldridge (Meyers Leonard gains possession)0
57.6%
0
42.4%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.04 52.0%
SAS
1.13 56.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
13
20
65%
SAS
11
22
50%
Midrange
MIA
14
32
44%
SAS
13
30
43%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
10
15.0
34
29%
44%
SAS
12
18.0
33
36%
55%
Free Throws
MIA
18
20
90%
SAS
23
24
96%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
B. Adebayo2170%10.5 / 15
G. Dragic1963%9.5 / 15
K. Nunn1864%9.0 / 14
J. Butler1647%8.0 / 17
D. Robinson1255%6.0 / 11
D. Jones650%3.0 / 6
M. Leonard531%2.5 / 8
J. Johnson550%2.5 / 5
T. Herro0-0.0 / 2
K. Olynyk0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. Aldridge2166%10.5 / 16
D. DeRozan2056%10.0 / 18
P. Mills1875%9.0 / 12
M. Belinelli1275%6.0 / 8
D. White1150%5.5 / 11
T. Lyles975%4.5 / 6
D. Murray758%3.5 / 6
L. Walker IV739%3.5 / 9
B. Forbes217%1.0 / 6
J. Poeltl0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
84
+13
-9
97
SAS
83
+12
-11
95
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.04 52.0%
SAS
1.13 56.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
112.4
112.2
MIA 109.7
SAS 113.8 +4.2
Pace
98.4
100.6
MIA 94.7 +1.4
SAS 93.2
Avg. Poss. Time
14.8
14.5
MIA 15.2 +0.2
SAS 15.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
54.7%
53.1%
MIA 48.8%
SAS 49.4% +0.6%
TO %
14.0%
12.0%
MIA 9.5% +0.8%
SAS 10.3%
ORB %
20.3%
20.1%
MIA 22.7% +3.1%
SAS 19.6%
FTrt
29.9
26.2
MIA 23.3
SAS 28.2 +4.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
65.7%
58.5%
MIA 62.2%
SAS 75.0% +12.8%
STL %
7.6%
7.2%
MIA 8.6% +3.3%
SAS 5.3%
BLK %
9.3%
10.0%
MIA 5.8%
SAS 7.7% +1.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
56.9%
56.1%
MIA 52.0%
SAS 56.3% +4.3%
Rim FG%
63.8%
61.6%
MIA 65.0% +15.0%
SAS 50.0%
Mid FG%
38.9%
44.2%
MIA 43.8% +0.5%
SAS 43.3%
3P %
37.9%
37.6%
MIA 29.4%
SAS 36.4% +7.0%
FT %
78.3%
81.0%
MIA 90.0%
SAS 95.8% +5.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
33.2%
29.1%
MIA 23.3%
SAS 25.9% +2.6%
Mid Att. %
24.9%
39.1%
MIA 37.2%
SAS 35.3% +1.9%
3P Att. %
41.9%
31.8%
MIA 39.5% +0.7%
SAS 38.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.51 and 2.51.
Game TotalsMIASAS
Possessions9394
Possession Minutes23.624.2
Points102107
Rebounds4743
Assists2327
Steals85
Blocks34
Turnovers (Team)9 (1)11 (0)
Fouls1918
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (3)9 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)37 (1)34 (2)
Field Goals37-8636-85
At-the-Rim FG13-2011-22
Midrange FG14-3213-30
2-Point FG27-5224-52
3-Point FG10-3412-33
Free Throws18-2023-24
Fast Break Pts914
2nd Chance Pts177
Points in Paint4234
Pts off Turnovers1914
Bench Points3048
Biggest Lead1112

BOXSCORE

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7 Miami Heat
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Kendrick Nunn
#25 · PG · 6'3" 193 · 24
36.3
18
64%
3
4
2
0
2
2
0
3
0-0
-
6-10
60%
2-4
50%
Bam Adebayo
#13 · PF · 6'9" 255 · 23
36.2
21
70%
16
6
2
0
2
0
4
12
5-5
100%
8-12
67%
0-1
0%
Duncan Robinson
#55 · SG · 6'7" 215 · 26
34.9
12
55%
5
0
1
1
1
3
0
5
0-0
-
0-1
0%
4-10
40%
Jimmy Butler
#22 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 30
33.2
16
47%
5
6
2
0
0
3
1
4
6-6
100%
5-12
42%
0-2
0%
Meyers Leonard
#0 · C · 7'1" 255 · 28
28.9
5
31%
6
2
0
0
0
3
2
4
2-2
100%
0-1
0%
1-6
17%
Goran Dragic
#7 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 34
23.6
19
63%
5
2
0
0
3
0
1
4
3-5
60%
5-8
63%
2-5
40%
Derrick Jones Jr.
#5 · SF · 6'6" 210 · 23
15.6
6
50%
3
2
0
1
1
2
2
1
2-2
100%
2-5
40%
0-0
-
James Johnson
#16 · PF · 6'8" 240 · 33
14.8
5
50%
3
0
0
1
0
4
0
3
0-0
-
1-1
100%
1-4
25%
Tyler Herro
#14 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 20
9.0
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
Kelly Olynyk
#9 · PF · 6'11" 240 · 29
7.5
0
0%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-2
0%
Dion Waiters
#11 · SG · 6'4" 215 · 28
DNP - Coach's Decision
Chris Silva
#30 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 23
DNP - Coach's Decision
Udonis Haslem
#40 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 40
DNP - Coach's Decision
KZ Okpala
#4 · SF · 6'9" 210 · 21
INACTIVE
Justise Winslow
#20 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 24
Inactive - Injury/Illness | lower back, bone bruise
Gabe Vincent
#2 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 24
INACTIVE
Kyle Alexander
#17 · PF · 6'11" 220 · 23
INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
102
52%
47
23
8
3
9
19
10
37
18-20
90%
27-52
52%
10-34
29%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.