FinalWin Prob.pScore
951%112
115
1249%111
108
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
119.89696.4
OKC logo OKC
114.99495.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

ThunderHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

ThunderHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAOKC
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.115
100%
108
0%
Q4 - 0:06.4ThunderDanilo Gallinari makes regular free throw 2 of 2115
99.9%
108
0.1%
Q4 - 0:06.4ThunderDanilo Gallinari misses regular free throw 1 of 2115
99.9%
107
0.1%
Q4 - 0:06.4HeatJames Johnson personal foul (Danilo Gallinari draws the foul)115
99.9%
107
0.1%
Q4 - 0:09.8HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 2115
99.9%
107
0.1%
Q4 - 0:09.8HeatBam Adebayo misses regular free throw 1 of 2114
99.9%
107
0.1%
Q4 - 0:09.8ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander personal foul (Take) (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)114
99.9%
107
0.1%
Q4 - 0:14.7ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander makes two point driving finger roll layup (Danilo Gallinari assists)114
99.9%
107
0.1%
Q4 - 0:22.5ThunderDanilo Gallinari defensive rebound114
99.9%
105
0.1%
Q4 - 0:24.6HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving layup114
99.9%
105
0.1%
Q4 - 0:41.2HeatDerrick Jones Jr. defensive rebound114
99.9%
105
0.1%
Q4 - 0:44.4ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander misses three point jump shot114
99.8%
105
0.2%
Q4 - 1:05HeatJimmy Butler makes two point layup114
99.4%
105
0.6%
Q4 - 1:16ThunderChris Paul personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)112
98.6%
105
1.4%
Q4 - 1:26HeatKendrick Nunn defensive rebound112
98.3%
105
1.7%
Q4 - 1:31ThunderDennis Schroder misses three point jump shot112
97.6%
105
2.4%
Q4 - 1:38ThunderChris Paul defensive rebound112
96.2%
105
3.8%
Q4 - 1:41HeatGoran Dragic misses two point pullup jump shot112
96.6%
105
3.4%
Q4 - 2:02ThunderChris Paul makes three point jump shot (Dennis Schroder assists)112
97.5%
105
2.5%
Q4 - 2:13HeatDerrick Jones Jr. makes two point layup (Goran Dragic assists)112
98.9%
102
1.1%
Q4 - 2:34HeatHeat offensive rebound110
98.5%
102
1.5%
Q4 - 2:36HeatDerrick Jones Jr. misses three point jump shot110
97.6%
102
2.4%
Q4 - 3:03ThunderChris Paul makes two point pullup jump shot110
97.7%
102
2.3%
Q4 - 3:10ThunderMike Muscala defensive rebound110
98.3%
100
1.7%
Q4 - 3:13HeatBam Adebayo misses two point jump shot110
98.6%
100
1.4%
Q4 - 3:31HeatDerrick Jones Jr. defensive rebound110
97.8%
100
2.2%
Q4 - 3:34ThunderDanilo Gallinari misses three point jump shot110
97.6%
100
2.4%
Q4 - 3:48HeatKendrick Nunn makes two point floating jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)110
97.0%
100
3.0%
Q4 - 4:07ThunderDanilo Gallinari makes regular free throw 2 of 2108
96.0%
100
4.0%
Q4 - 4:07ThunderDanilo Gallinari makes regular free throw 1 of 2108
96.2%
99
3.8%
Q4 - 4:07HeatDuncan Robinson shooting foul (Danilo Gallinari draws the foul)108
96.3%
98
3.7%
Q4 - 4:14ThunderMike Muscala defensive rebound108
97.2%
98
2.8%
Q4 - 4:18HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot108
97.5%
98
2.5%
Q4 - 4:23HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound108
98.1%
98
1.9%
Q4 - 4:27ThunderDennis Schroder misses three point jump shot108
97.9%
98
2.1%
Q4 - 4:38ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound108
97.2%
98
2.8%
Q4 - 4:40HeatDerrick Jones Jr. misses three point jump shot108
97.5%
98
2.5%
Q4 - 4:53ThunderDennis Schroder makes regular free throw 1 of 1108
98.1%
98
1.9%
Q4 - 4:53HeatKelly Olynyk shooting foul (Dennis Schroder draws the foul)108
98.2%
97
1.8%
Q4 - 5:05HeatKendrick Nunn turnover (traveling)108
98.3%
95
1.7%
Q4 - 5:05HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound108
98.8%
95
1.2%
Q4 - 5:07ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander misses two point running layup108
98.7%
95
1.3%
Q4 - 5:12ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound108
98.4%
95
1.6%
Q4 - 5:16HeatJimmy Butler misses three point pullup jump shot108
98.5%
95
1.5%
Q4 - 5:30ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2108
98.9%
95
1.1%
Q4 - 5:30ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 2108
98.9%
94
1.1%
Q4 - 5:30HeatDuncan Robinson shooting foul (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander draws the foul)108
99.0%
93
1.0%
Q4 - 5:41HeatKendrick Nunn makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)108
99.2%
93
0.8%
Q4 - 5:44HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound105
98.4%
93
1.6%
Q4 - 5:47HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot105
98.0%
93
2.0%
Q4 - 6:05ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2105
97.7%
93
2.3%
Q4 - 6:05ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 2105
97.8%
92
2.2%
Q4 - 6:05HeatDuncan Robinson shooting foul (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander draws the foul)105
97.9%
91
2.1%
Q4 - 6:17HeatBam Adebayo turnover (offensive goaltending)105
98.2%
91
1.8%
Q4 - 6:17HeatHeat offensive rebound105
98.7%
91
1.3%
Q4 - 6:17HeatKendrick Nunn misses two point pullup jump shot105
98.4%
91
1.6%
Q4 - 6:33ThunderDennis Schroder makes two point pullup jump shot (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander assists)105
98.7%
91
1.3%
Q4 - 6:45HeatKendrick Nunn personal foul (Dennis Schroder draws the foul)105
99.0%
89
1.0%
Q4 - 6:49ThunderDennis Schroder defensive rebound105
99.0%
89
1.0%
Q4 - 6:51HeatJames Johnson misses three point jump shot105
99.1%
89
0.9%
Q4 - 7:09ThunderChris Paul personal foul (James Johnson draws the foul)105
98.9%
89
1.1%
Q4 - 7:14ThunderNerlens Noel makes regular free throw 1 of 1105
98.9%
89
1.1%
Q4 - 7:14HeatGoran Dragic shooting foul (Nerlens Noel draws the foul)105
99.0%
88
1.0%
Q4 - 7:14ThunderNerlens Noel offensive rebound105
99.4%
86
0.6%
Q4 - 7:15ThunderHamidou Diallo misses two point driving layup105
99.5%
86
0.5%
Q4 - 7:25ThunderHamidou Diallo defensive rebound105
99.4%
86
0.6%
Q4 - 7:29HeatGoran Dragic misses three point jump shot105
99.4%
86
0.6%
Q4 - 7:46ThunderDanilo Gallinari makes three point jump shot (Darius Bazley assists)105
99.5%
86
0.5%
Q4 - 8:01HeatDerrick Jones Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 1105
99.6%
83
0.4%
Q4 - 8:01ThunderDeonte Burton shooting foul (Derrick Jones Jr. draws the foul)104
99.5%
83
0.5%
Q4 - 8:15ThunderDennis Schroder personal foul (Goran Dragic draws the foul)101
99.1%
83
0.9%
Q4 - 8:20HeatJames Johnson defensive rebound101
99.1%
83
0.9%
Q4 - 8:24ThunderDennis Schroder misses three point jump shot101
99.0%
83
1.0%
Q4 - 8:30ThunderNerlens Noel offensive rebound101
98.8%
83
1.2%
Q4 - 8:32ThunderChris Paul misses three point jump shot101
99.0%
83
1.0%
Q4 - 8:44HeatKelly Olynyk makes two point driving layup (Goran Dragic assists)101
98.9%
83
1.1%
Q4 - 8:57HeatDerrick Jones Jr. defensive rebound99
98.5%
83
1.5%
Q4 - 9:00ThunderHamidou Diallo misses three point jump shot99
98.4%
83
1.6%
Q4 - 9:18HeatJames Johnson personal foul (Chris Paul draws the foul)99
97.7%
83
2.3%
Q4 - 9:20ThunderNerlens Noel defensive rebound99
97.7%
83
2.3%
Q4 - 9:25HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot99
97.8%
83
2.2%
Q4 - 9:38HeatGoran Dragic defensive rebound99
98.2%
83
1.8%
Q4 - 9:41ThunderJames Johnson blocks Dennis Schroder's two point running layup99
98.0%
83
2.0%
Q4 - 9:47HeatDerrick Jones Jr. turnover (lost ball) (Nerlens Noel steals)99
97.7%
83
2.3%
Q4 - 9:56HeatJames Johnson defensive rebound99
98.2%
83
1.8%
Q4 - 9:58ThunderDeonte Burton misses two point pullup bank jump shot99
98.0%
83
2.0%
Q4 - 10:07HeatGoran Dragic makes two point driving finger roll layup99
97.1%
83
2.9%
Q4 - 10:21HeatDerrick Jones Jr. defensive rebound97
96.5%
83
3.5%
Q4 - 10:23ThunderHamidou Diallo misses two point hook shot97
96.3%
83
3.7%
Q4 - 10:47HeatGoran Dragic makes three point jump shot (Duncan Robinson assists)97
95.6%
83
4.4%
Q4 - 11:02ThunderDennis Schroder makes three point jump shot (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander assists)94
92.3%
83
7.7%
Q4 - 11:09HeatGoran Dragic turnover (offensive foul)94
94.9%
80
5.1%
Q4 - 11:09HeatGoran Dragic offensive foul (Hamidou Diallo draws the foul)94
95.8%
80
4.2%
Q4 - 11:25ThunderDennis Schroder makes two point driving floating jump shot (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander assists)94
95.9%
80
4.1%
Q4 - 11:44HeatKelly Olynyk makes two point cutting dunk (Duncan Robinson assists)94
96.7%
78
3.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.92
95.9%
78
4.1%
Q3 - 0:01.3HeatHeat offensive rebound92
95.2%
78
4.8%
Q3 - 0:01.3HeatJames Johnson misses three point pullup jump shot92
94.5%
78
5.5%
Q3 - 0:04.3ThunderDarius Bazley makes two point driving layup (Dennis Schroder assists)92
95.2%
78
4.8%
Q3 - 0:25.2HeatDerrick Jones Jr. makes two point running layup92
96.1%
76
3.9%
Q3 - 0:30.6HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound90
95.2%
76
4.8%
Q3 - 0:32.6ThunderHamidou Diallo misses two point cutting layup90
94.9%
76
5.1%
Q3 - 0:48.2HeatKelly Olynyk turnover (offensive foul)90
94.2%
76
5.8%
Q3 - 0:48.2HeatKelly Olynyk offensive foul (Darius Bazley draws the foul)90
95.2%
76
4.8%
Q3 - 0:56.3HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound90
95.2%
76
4.8%
Q3 - 0:58.7ThunderHamidou Diallo misses three point jump shot90
95.0%
76
5.0%
Q3 - 1:14HeatKelly Olynyk makes regular free throw 2 of 290
93.4%
76
6.6%
Q3 - 1:14HeatKelly Olynyk misses regular free throw 1 of 289
93.2%
76
6.8%
Q3 - 1:14ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander personal foul (Kelly Olynyk draws the foul)89
94.1%
76
5.9%
Q3 - 1:21HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound89
93.4%
76
6.6%
Q3 - 1:23ThunderDennis Schroder misses three point jump shot89
93.0%
76
7.0%
Q3 - 1:39HeatKelly Olynyk makes three point jump shot (Goran Dragic assists)89
92.1%
76
7.9%
Q3 - 1:49ThunderHamidou Diallo makes two point cutting dunk (Dennis Schroder assists)86
88.8%
76
11.2%
Q3 - 2:05HeatDerrick Jones Jr. makes two point cutting layup (Goran Dragic assists)86
89.2%
74
10.8%
Q3 - 2:14ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 184
87.6%
74
12.4%
Q3 - 2:14HeatGoran Dragic shooting foul (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander draws the foul)84
87.9%
73
12.1%
Q3 - 2:18HeatJimmy Butler turnover (lost ball) (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander steals)84
90.9%
71
9.1%
Q3 - 2:33HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound84
92.5%
71
7.5%
Q3 - 2:36ThunderHamidou Diallo misses three point jump shot84
92.1%
71
7.9%
Q3 - 2:58HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 284
91.0%
71
9.0%
Q3 - 2:58HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 283
90.6%
71
9.4%
Q3 - 2:58ThunderHamidou Diallo personal foul (Loose ball) (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)82
90.2%
71
9.8%
Q3 - 2:58HeatHeat offensive rebound82
89.6%
71
10.4%
Q3 - 2:59HeatDerrick Jones Jr. misses three point jump shot82
88.2%
71
11.8%
Q3 - 3:23ThunderHamidou Diallo makes two point running layup (Chris Paul assists)82
88.7%
71
11.3%
Q3 - 3:27HeatDerrick Jones Jr. turnover (lost ball) (Hamidou Diallo steals)82
90.2%
69
9.8%
Q3 - 3:38HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound82
91.8%
69
8.2%
Q3 - 3:40ThunderChris Paul misses three point pullup jump shot82
91.3%
69
8.7%
Q3 - 3:56ThunderDennis Schroder defensive rebound82
90.2%
69
9.8%
Q3 - 3:59HeatGoran Dragic misses three point jump shot82
90.7%
69
9.3%
Q3 - 4:21ThunderDanilo Gallinari makes three point jump shot (Chris Paul assists)82
91.0%
69
9.0%
Q3 - 4:29HeatGoran Dragic personal foul (Chris Paul draws the foul)82
93.2%
66
6.8%
Q3 - 4:44HeatMeyers Leonard makes three point jump shot (Kendrick Nunn assists)82
93.3%
66
6.7%
Q3 - 5:03HeatMeyers Leonard defensive rebound79
90.1%
66
9.9%
Q3 - 5:05ThunderDennis Schroder misses three point jump shot79
89.6%
66
10.4%
Q3 - 5:15HeatGoran Dragic personal foul (Chris Paul draws the foul)79
88.5%
66
11.5%
Q3 - 5:19ThunderHamidou Diallo defensive rebound79
88.5%
66
11.5%
Q3 - 5:21HeatKendrick Nunn misses three point jump shot79
89.0%
66
11.0%
Q3 - 5:46ThunderMike Muscala makes three point jump shot (Danilo Gallinari assists)79
90.2%
66
9.8%
Q3 - 5:54HeatKendrick Nunn makes regular free throw 1 of 179
92.6%
63
7.4%
Q3 - 5:54ThunderChris Paul shooting foul (Kendrick Nunn draws the foul)78
92.4%
63
7.6%
Q3 - 6:10ThunderChris Paul makes two point pullup jump shot (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander assists)76
89.3%
63
10.7%
Q3 - 6:17ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound76
90.6%
61
9.4%
Q3 - 6:19HeatKendrick Nunn misses two point pullup jump shot76
91.0%
61
9.0%
Q3 - 6:29HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound76
91.9%
61
8.1%
Q3 - 6:32ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander misses two point floating jump shot76
91.5%
61
8.5%
Q3 - 6:51HeatKendrick Nunn makes two point driving floating jump shot76
90.6%
61
9.4%
Q3 - 7:07ThunderDanilo Gallinari makes three point jump shot (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander assists)74
88.6%
61
11.4%
Q3 - 7:33HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)74
91.2%
58
8.8%
Q3 - 7:43ThunderChris Paul makes two point driving floating jump shot (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander assists)71
88.7%
58
11.3%
Q3 - 7:47ThunderNerlens Noel defensive rebound71
90.0%
56
10.0%
Q3 - 8:03HeatBam Adebayo misses regular free throw 2 of 271
89.8%
56
10.2%
Q3 - 8:03HeatBam Adebayo misses regular free throw 1 of 271
90.5%
56
9.5%
Q3 - 8:03HeatJimmy Butler makes technical free throw 1 of 171
91.0%
56
9.0%
Q3 - 8:03ThunderBilly Donovan technical foul70
90.7%
56
9.3%
Q3 - 8:03ThunderNerlens Noel shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)70
90.2%
56
9.8%
Q3 - 8:09ThunderDanilo Gallinari turnover (bad pass) (Jimmy Butler steals)70
89.8%
56
10.2%
Q3 - 8:22HeatMeyers Leonard makes regular free throw 1 of 170
88.1%
56
11.9%
Q3 - 8:22ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander shooting foul (Meyers Leonard draws the foul)69
87.8%
56
12.2%
Q3 - 8:26ThunderChris Paul turnover (lost ball) (Jimmy Butler steals)67
85.0%
56
15.0%
Q3 - 8:38ThunderDanilo Gallinari defensive rebound67
82.7%
56
17.3%
Q3 - 8:39HeatBam Adebayo misses two point tip layup67
83.4%
56
16.6%
Q3 - 8:39HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound67
85.0%
56
15.0%
Q3 - 8:42HeatBam Adebayo misses two point driving layup67
83.4%
56
16.6%
Q3 - 8:56HeatHeat defensive rebound67
85.0%
56
15.0%
Q3 - 8:57ThunderDanilo Gallinari misses three point jump shot67
84.3%
56
15.7%
Q3 - 9:08HeatKendrick Nunn makes two point running finger roll layup67
82.0%
56
18.0%
Q3 - 9:12ThunderDanilo Gallinari turnover (lost ball) (Kendrick Nunn steals)65
80.0%
56
20.0%
Q3 - 9:34ThunderDanilo Gallinari defensive rebound65
77.4%
56
22.6%
Q3 - 9:37HeatKendrick Nunn misses three point jump shot65
78.3%
56
21.7%
Q3 - 9:53ThunderDanilo Gallinari makes three point jump shot (Chris Paul assists)65
80.1%
56
19.9%
Q3 - 10:09HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 265
83.3%
53
16.7%
Q3 - 10:09HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 264
82.8%
53
17.2%
Q3 - 10:09ThunderDennis Schroder shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)63
82.2%
53
17.8%
Q3 - 10:12HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound63
81.6%
53
18.4%
Q3 - 10:14ThunderNerlens Noel misses two point cutting layup63
80.9%
53
19.1%
Q3 - 10:27HeatKendrick Nunn makes two point pullup jump shot63
79.1%
53
20.9%
Q3 - 10:41ThunderDanilo Gallinari makes three point jump shot61
77.1%
53
22.9%
Q3 - 10:58ThunderDennis Schroder defensive rebound61
81.4%
50
18.6%
Q3 - 11:00HeatJimmy Butler misses three point pullup jump shot61
82.1%
50
17.9%
Q3 - 11:29ThunderDennis Schroder makes three point jump shot (Danilo Gallinari assists)61
83.1%
50
16.9%
Q3 - 11:33HeatBam Adebayo turnover (lost ball) (Danilo Gallinari steals)61
86.4%
47
13.6%
Q3 - 11:42HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound61
88.0%
47
12.0%
Q3 - 11:46ThunderChris Paul misses three point jump shot61
87.6%
47
12.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.61
86.4%
47
13.6%
Q2 - 0:02.3HeatJames Johnson defensive rebound61
87.0%
47
13.0%
Q2 - 0:02.3ThunderChris Paul misses three point pullup jump shot61
86.7%
47
13.3%
Q2 - 0:08.0ThunderChris Paul defensive rebound61
85.9%
47
14.1%
Q2 - 0:10.6HeatBam Adebayo misses two point cutting layup61
86.3%
47
13.7%
Q2 - 0:28.4HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound61
87.0%
47
13.0%
Q2 - 0:31.3ThunderDanilo Gallinari misses three point jump shot61
86.7%
47
13.3%
Q2 - 0:45.7HeatBam Adebayo makes two point turnaround jump shot61
86.0%
47
14.0%
Q2 - 1:07ThunderDennis Schroder makes three point jump shot (Danilo Gallinari assists)59
83.1%
47
16.9%
Q2 - 1:23HeatBam Adebayo makes two point cutting layup (Goran Dragic assists)59
87.0%
44
13.0%
Q2 - 1:30HeatJames Johnson defensive rebound57
84.8%
44
15.2%
Q2 - 1:32ThunderBam Adebayo blocks Danilo Gallinari's two point driving layup57
84.5%
44
15.5%
Q2 - 1:47HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)57
83.9%
44
16.1%
Q2 - 2:09ThunderDanilo Gallinari makes regular free throw 2 of 254
78.9%
44
21.1%
Q2 - 2:09ThunderDanilo Gallinari makes regular free throw 1 of 254
79.1%
43
20.9%
Q2 - 2:09HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (Danilo Gallinari draws the foul)54
79.3%
42
20.7%
Q2 - 2:09ThunderDanilo Gallinari offensive rebound54
80.8%
42
19.2%
Q2 - 2:09ThunderDanilo Gallinari misses two point tip layup54
82.1%
42
17.9%
Q2 - 2:09ThunderDanilo Gallinari offensive rebound54
80.8%
42
19.2%
Q2 - 2:11ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander misses three point jump shot54
82.1%
42
17.9%
Q2 - 2:17HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 254
80.8%
42
19.2%
Q2 - 2:17HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 253
80.6%
42
19.4%
Q2 - 2:17ThunderDennis Schroder personal foul (Loose ball) (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)52
80.3%
42
19.7%
Q2 - 2:17HeatHeat offensive rebound52
78.9%
42
21.1%
Q2 - 2:17HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot52
77.5%
42
22.5%
Q2 - 2:24HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound52
78.9%
42
21.1%
Q2 - 2:29ThunderDanilo Gallinari misses three point jump shot52
78.3%
42
21.7%
Q2 - 2:45HeatJimmy Butler turnover (offensive foul)52
76.9%
42
23.1%
Q2 - 2:45HeatJimmy Butler offensive foul (Charge) (Dennis Schroder draws the foul)52
78.9%
42
21.1%
Q2 - 3:05ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander makes three point jump shot (Dennis Schroder assists)52
77.9%
42
22.1%
Q2 - 3:21HeatKendrick Nunn personal foul (Chris Paul draws the foul)52
81.5%
39
18.5%
Q2 - 3:27HeatBam Adebayo makes two point driving floating bank jump shot52
81.5%
39
18.5%
Q2 - 3:33HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound50
79.9%
39
20.1%
Q2 - 3:37ThunderNerlens Noel misses two point jump shot50
79.3%
39
20.7%
Q2 - 3:51ThunderNerlens Noel defensive rebound50
77.8%
39
22.2%
Q2 - 3:55HeatJimmy Butler misses two point stepback jump shot50
78.4%
39
21.6%
Q2 - 4:13ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander turnover (traveling)50
79.1%
39
20.9%
Q2 - 4:21HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 250
77.2%
39
22.8%
Q2 - 4:21HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 249
76.9%
39
23.1%
Q2 - 4:21ThunderDennis Schroder shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)48
76.6%
39
23.4%
Q2 - 4:37HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound48
75.2%
39
24.8%
Q2 - 4:41ThunderDeonte Burton misses two point jump shot48
74.5%
39
25.5%
Q2 - 4:57ThunderDanilo Gallinari defensive rebound48
73.0%
39
27.0%
Q2 - 5:02HeatDeonte Burton blocks James Johnson's two point alley-oop dunk48
73.3%
39
26.7%
Q2 - 5:07HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound48
75.0%
39
25.0%
Q2 - 5:10ThunderDeonte Burton misses three point jump shot48
74.3%
39
25.7%
Q2 - 5:22HeatKendrick Nunn makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)48
72.5%
39
27.5%
Q2 - 5:37ThunderDennis Schroder makes regular free throw 2 of 245
68.4%
39
31.6%
Q2 - 5:37ThunderDennis Schroder makes regular free throw 1 of 245
68.7%
38
31.3%
Q2 - 5:37HeatJames Johnson shooting foul (Dennis Schroder draws the foul)45
69.1%
37
30.9%
Q2 - 5:46ThunderDanilo Gallinari makes technical free throw 1 of 145
70.3%
37
29.7%
Q2 - 5:46Heat technical foul (Defensive three second)45
70.9%
36
29.1%
Q2 - 5:56ThunderThunder defensive rebound45
72.5%
36
27.5%
Q2 - 5:59HeatGoran Dragic misses three point jump shot45
73.3%
36
26.7%
Q2 - 6:12HeatHeat offensive rebound45
74.6%
36
25.4%
Q2 - 6:13HeatJames Johnson misses two point cutting layup45
72.8%
36
27.2%
Q2 - 6:25ThunderNerlens Noel personal foul (Loose ball) (Kendrick Nunn draws the foul)45
74.6%
36
25.4%
Q2 - 6:25ThunderDarius Bazley turnover (bad pass)45
74.6%
36
25.4%
Q2 - 6:32ThunderDennis Schroder defensive rebound45
72.1%
36
27.9%
Q2 - 6:36HeatGoran Dragic misses three point jump shot45
72.9%
36
27.1%
Q2 - 6:55HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound45
74.6%
36
25.4%
Q2 - 6:59ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander misses three point stepback jump shot45
73.9%
36
26.1%
Q2 - 7:04ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound45
71.6%
36
28.4%
Q2 - 7:07HeatKendrick Nunn misses two point pullup jump shot45
72.3%
36
27.7%
Q2 - 7:14HeatKendrick Nunn defensive rebound45
73.8%
36
26.2%
Q2 - 7:16ThunderDennis Schroder misses three point jump shot45
73.1%
36
26.9%
Q2 - 7:37HeatKelly Olynyk turnover (offensive foul)45
71.7%
36
28.3%
Q2 - 7:37HeatKelly Olynyk offensive foul (Darius Bazley draws the foul)45
73.8%
36
26.2%
Q2 - 7:53ThunderDennis Schroder turnover (out of bounds bad pass)45
73.8%
36
26.2%
Q2 - 8:08HeatDerrick Jones Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 245
71.3%
36
28.7%
Q2 - 8:08HeatDerrick Jones Jr. misses regular free throw 1 of 244
70.7%
36
29.3%
Q2 - 8:08ThunderDarius Bazley shooting foul (Derrick Jones Jr. draws the foul)44
72.2%
36
27.8%
Q2 - 8:30ThunderMike Muscala makes three point jump shot (Darius Bazley assists)44
71.4%
36
28.6%
Q2 - 8:42ThunderHamidou Diallo defensive rebound44
75.3%
33
24.7%
Q2 - 8:45HeatDerrick Jones Jr. misses three point jump shot44
75.9%
33
24.1%
Q2 - 9:06ThunderHamidou Diallo makes three point jump shot (Dennis Schroder assists)44
76.5%
33
23.5%
Q2 - 9:30HeatDerrick Jones Jr. makes two point driving layup44
79.8%
30
20.2%
Q2 - 9:42HeatHeat defensive rebound42
78.3%
30
21.7%
Q2 - 9:44ThunderMike Muscala misses three point jump shot42
77.7%
30
22.3%
Q2 - 10:00HeatKelly Olynyk personal foul (Loose ball) (Mike Muscala draws the foul)42
76.5%
30
23.5%
Q2 - 10:00ThunderThunder defensive rebound42
76.5%
30
23.5%
Q2 - 10:01HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot42
76.5%
30
23.5%
Q2 - 10:07ThunderHamidou Diallo turnover (lost ball) (Derrick Jones Jr. steals)42
77.8%
30
22.2%
Q2 - 10:24ThunderHamidou Diallo defensive rebound42
75.9%
30
24.1%
Q2 - 10:28HeatGoran Dragic misses three point jump shot42
76.5%
30
23.5%
Q2 - 10:32HeatGoran Dragic offensive rebound42
77.8%
30
22.2%
Q2 - 10:34HeatGoran Dragic misses two point driving reverse layup42
76.5%
30
23.5%
Q2 - 10:43HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound42
77.8%
30
22.2%
Q2 - 10:45ThunderHamidou Diallo misses regular free throw 1 of 142
77.5%
30
22.5%
Q2 - 10:45HeatDuncan Robinson shooting foul (Hamidou Diallo draws the foul)42
76.6%
30
23.4%
Q2 - 10:57HeatKelly Olynyk makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot42
79.3%
28
20.7%
Q2 - 11:09ThunderMike Muscala personal foul (Kelly Olynyk draws the foul)40
77.1%
28
22.9%
Q2 - 11:23ThunderDarius Bazley makes two point running dunk (Dennis Schroder assists)40
77.1%
28
22.9%
Q2 - 11:25ThunderDennis Schroder defensive rebound40
78.8%
26
21.2%
Q2 - 11:27HeatGoran Dragic misses two point driving finger roll layup40
79.3%
26
20.7%
Q2 - 11:34HeatKelly Olynyk offensive rebound40
80.3%
26
19.7%
Q2 - 11:39HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot40
79.3%
26
20.7%
Q2 - 11:47HeatDerrick Jones Jr. defensive rebound40
80.3%
26
19.7%
Q2 - 11:50ThunderDennis Schroder misses three point jump shot40
79.9%
26
20.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.40
78.9%
26
21.1%
Q1 - 0:01.6HeatJames Johnson defensive rebound40
79.7%
26
20.3%
Q1 - 0:01.6ThunderMike Muscala misses three point jump shot40
79.3%
26
20.7%
Q1 - 0:09.4HeatKelly Olynyk makes two point pullup jump shot40
78.5%
26
21.5%
Q1 - 0:24.3ThunderHamidou Diallo personal foul (Duncan Robinson draws the foul)38
76.6%
26
23.4%
Q1 - 0:35.9HeatHeat defensive rebound38
76.6%
26
23.4%
Q1 - 0:37.3ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander misses three point jump shot38
76.2%
26
23.8%
Q1 - 0:47.6HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Kelly Olynyk assists)38
75.2%
26
24.8%
Q1 - 0:53.0ThunderHamidou Diallo makes two point tip layup35
71.2%
26
28.8%
Q1 - 0:54.2ThunderHamidou Diallo offensive rebound35
73.5%
24
26.5%
Q1 - 0:54.2ThunderHamidou Diallo misses two point tip layup35
74.5%
24
25.5%
Q1 - 0:54.2ThunderHamidou Diallo offensive rebound35
73.5%
24
26.5%
Q1 - 0:56.3ThunderDarius Bazley misses two point driving layup35
74.5%
24
25.5%
Q1 - 1:19HeatDuncan Robinson makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot35
73.4%
24
26.6%
Q1 - 1:35ThunderMike Muscala turnover (offensive foul)33
71.2%
24
28.8%
Q1 - 1:35ThunderMike Muscala offensive foul (Charge) (Derrick Jones Jr. draws the foul)33
69.7%
24
30.3%
Q1 - 1:54HeatGoran Dragic makes two point cutting layup (Duncan Robinson assists)33
69.7%
24
30.3%
Q1 - 2:07HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound31
67.1%
24
32.9%
Q1 - 2:10ThunderJimmy Butler blocks Darius Bazley's two point fadeaway jump shot31
66.5%
24
33.5%
Q1 - 2:22ThunderDennis Schroder defensive rebound31
65.2%
24
34.8%
Q1 - 2:25HeatDarius Bazley blocks Goran Dragic's two point running reverse layup31
65.8%
24
34.2%
Q1 - 2:29HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound31
67.1%
24
32.9%
Q1 - 2:31ThunderDennis Schroder misses two point floating jump shot31
66.5%
24
33.5%
Q1 - 2:49HeatBam Adebayo turnover (offensive foul)31
65.2%
24
34.8%
Q1 - 2:49HeatBam Adebayo offensive foul (Hamidou Diallo draws the foul)31
67.1%
24
32.9%
Q1 - 2:52HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound31
67.1%
24
32.9%
Q1 - 2:55ThunderMike Muscala misses three point jump shot31
66.6%
24
33.4%
Q1 - 2:59ThunderDennis Schroder defensive rebound31
65.2%
24
34.8%
Q1 - 3:03HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot31
65.2%
24
34.8%
Q1 - 3:14ThunderDennis Schroder turnover (out of bounds bad pass)31
66.8%
24
33.2%
Q1 - 3:15HeatDerrick Jones Jr. personal foul (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander draws the foul)31
64.5%
24
35.5%
Q1 - 3:18ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound31
64.5%
24
35.5%
Q1 - 3:20HeatDerrick Jones Jr. misses two point cutting layup31
65.2%
24
34.8%
Q1 - 3:28HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound31
66.8%
24
33.2%
Q1 - 3:30ThunderDennis Schroder misses three point jump shot31
66.1%
24
33.9%
Q1 - 3:52HeatJimmy Butler makes three point jump shot (Kendrick Nunn assists)31
64.5%
24
35.5%
Q1 - 4:19ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander makes three point jump shot (Dennis Schroder assists)28
60.7%
24
39.3%
Q1 - 4:42HeatBam Adebayo makes two point cutting dunk (Meyers Leonard assists)28
64.3%
21
35.7%
Q1 - 4:57ThunderChris Paul makes two point driving floating jump shot26
62.7%
21
37.3%
Q1 - 5:12HeatBam Adebayo makes two point pullup jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)26
63.9%
19
36.1%
Q1 - 5:28ThunderDanilo Gallinari makes three point jump shot (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander assists)24
62.1%
19
37.9%
Q1 - 5:42HeatGoran Dragic makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)24
65.8%
16
34.2%
Q1 - 5:46HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound21
62.1%
16
37.9%
Q1 - 5:50HeatJimmy Butler misses two point stepback jump shot21
60.7%
16
39.3%
Q1 - 6:03ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 121
61.5%
16
38.5%
Q1 - 6:03HeatKendrick Nunn shooting foul (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander draws the foul)21
61.7%
15
38.3%
Q1 - 6:21HeatKendrick Nunn makes three point stepback jump shot21
65.2%
13
34.8%
Q1 - 6:39ThunderChris Paul makes three point running pullup jump shot18
61.5%
13
38.5%
Q1 - 6:43ThunderNerlens Noel defensive rebound18
65.2%
10
34.8%
Q1 - 6:46HeatKendrick Nunn misses two point jump shot18
65.7%
10
34.3%
Q1 - 6:48HeatHeat offensive rebound18
66.9%
10
33.1%
Q1 - 6:48HeatNerlens Noel blocks Meyers Leonard's two point cutting layup18
65.7%
10
34.3%
Q1 - 6:53HeatMeyers Leonard defensive rebound18
66.9%
10
33.1%
Q1 - 6:55ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander misses two point finger roll layup18
66.4%
10
33.6%
Q1 - 7:15HeatBam Adebayo makes two point hook shot (Jimmy Butler assists)18
64.5%
10
35.5%
Q1 - 7:29ThunderChris Paul turnover (out of bounds bad pass)16
63.0%
10
37.0%
Q1 - 7:50HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving reverse layup (Meyers Leonard assists)16
61.1%
10
38.9%
Q1 - 7:57HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound14
59.4%
10
40.6%
Q1 - 7:58ThunderDanilo Gallinari misses two point driving layup14
58.8%
10
41.2%
Q1 - 8:20HeatMeyers Leonard makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)14
57.6%
10
42.4%
Q1 - 8:23HeatMeyers Leonard offensive rebound11
54.2%
10
45.8%
Q1 - 8:26HeatNerlens Noel blocks Kendrick Nunn's two point driving layup11
52.7%
10
47.3%
Q1 - 8:39HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound11
54.2%
10
45.8%
Q1 - 8:42ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander misses two point floating jump shot11
53.5%
10
46.5%
Q1 - 8:58HeatKendrick Nunn makes two point pullup jump shot11
52.1%
10
47.9%
Q1 - 9:14HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound9
50.4%
10
49.6%
Q1 - 9:17ThunderDanilo Gallinari misses three point jump shot9
49.8%
10
50.2%
Q1 - 9:28HeatBam Adebayo makes two point reverse layup9
48.2%
10
51.8%
Q1 - 9:50ThunderDanilo Gallinari makes three point jump shot (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander assists)7
46.8%
10
53.2%
Q1 - 10:06HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)7
50.1%
7
49.9%
Q1 - 10:21ThunderNerlens Noel makes two point hook shot (Chris Paul assists)4
46.6%
7
53.4%
Q1 - 10:33ThunderChris Paul defensive rebound4
48.3%
5
51.7%
Q1 - 10:35HeatNerlens Noel blocks Kendrick Nunn's two point driving layup4
48.9%
5
51.1%
Q1 - 10:47ThunderNerlens Noel makes two point alley-oop dunk (Chris Paul assists)4
50.3%
5
49.7%
Q1 - 11:00HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 24
51.9%
3
48.1%
Q1 - 11:00HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 23
51.4%
3
48.6%
Q1 - 11:00ThunderNerlens Noel shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)2
50.9%
3
49.1%
Q1 - 11:13ThunderNerlens Noel makes three point jump shot (Chris Paul assists)2
50.2%
3
49.8%
Q1 - 11:36HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 22
53.7%
0
46.3%
Q1 - 11:36HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 21
53.5%
0
46.5%
Q1 - 11:36ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)0
53.2%
0
46.8%
Q1 - 12:00Bam Adebayo vs. Nerlens Noel (Jimmy Butler gains possession)0
52.0%
0
48.0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.17 58.7%
OKC
1.20 60.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
16
25
64%
OKC
14
24
58%
Midrange
MIA
11
23
48%
OKC
5
14
36%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
14
21.0
36
39%
58%
OKC
18
27.0
46
39%
59%
Free Throws
MIA
19
24
79%
OKC
16
18
89%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Nunn2265%11.0 / 17
B. Adebayo2166%10.5 / 16
D. Robinson1458%7.0 / 12
J. Butler1464%7.0 / 11
D. Jones1359%6.5 / 11
K. Olynyk12100%6.0 / 6
G. Dragic1038%5.0 / 13
M. Leonard9113%4.5 / 4
J. Johnson0-0.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
OKC logo Thunder
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Gallinari2775%13.5 / 18
S. Gilgeous-Alexander1860%9.0 / 15
D. Schröder1853%9.0 / 17
C. Paul1470%7.0 / 10
H. Diallo1146%5.5 / 12
N. Noel1083%5.0 / 6
M. Muscala660%3.0 / 5
D. Bazley450%2.0 / 4
T. Ferguson0-0.0 / 0
D. Burton0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
85
+13
-11
98
OKC
84
+6
-10
90
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.17 58.7%
OKC
1.20 60.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
112.4
110.5
MIA 119.8 +4.9
OKC 114.9
Pace
98.4
99.0
MIA 96.4 +1.2
OKC 95.3
Avg. Poss. Time
14.8
14.6
MIA 14.9 +0.2
OKC 15.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
54.7%
53.0%
MIA 57.1% +2.3%
OKC 54.8%
TO %
14.0%
13.0%
MIA 10.4%
OKC 9.8% +0.6%
ORB %
20.3%
19.4%
MIA 17.1% +3.8%
OKC 13.3%
FTrt
29.9
29.0
MIA 28.6 +7.2
OKC 21.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
65.7%
54.3%
MIA 63.4%
OKC 78.4% +15.0%
STL %
7.6%
7.7%
MIA 4.2%
OKC 4.3% +0.1%
BLK %
9.3%
8.7%
MIA 7.9%
OKC 10.4% +2.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
56.9%
55.9%
MIA 58.7%
OKC 60.0% +1.3%
Rim FG%
63.8%
60.4%
MIA 64.0% +5.7%
OKC 58.3%
Mid FG%
38.9%
44.6%
MIA 47.8% +12.1%
OKC 35.7%
3P %
37.9%
35.5%
MIA 38.9%
OKC 39.1% +0.2%
FT %
78.3%
79.6%
MIA 79.2%
OKC 88.9% +9.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
33.2%
34.2%
MIA 29.8% +1.2%
OKC 28.6%
Mid Att. %
24.9%
30.5%
MIA 27.4%
OKC 16.7% +10.7%
3P Att. %
41.9%
35.3%
MIA 42.9%
OKC 54.8% +11.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIAOKC
Possessions9694
Possession Minutes23.923.7
Points115108
Rebounds4535
Assists2629
Steals44
Blocks35
Turnovers (Team)11 (0)10 (0)
Fouls2320
Off. Rebounds (Team)6 (7)6 (0)
Def. Rebounds (Team)39 (3)29 (2)
Field Goals41-8437-84
At-the-Rim FG16-2514-24
Midrange FG11-235-14
2-Point FG27-4819-38
3-Point FG14-3618-46
Free Throws19-2416-18
Fast Break Pts412
2nd Chance Pts157
Points in Paint4434
Pts off Turnovers916
Bench Points3539
Biggest Lead223

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#55 · SG · 6'7" 215 · 26
35.8
14
58%
3
3
0
0
0
4
0
3
0-0
-
1-1
100%
4-11
36%
#22 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 30
34.3
14
64%
10
7
2
1
2
1
2
8
7-7
100%
2-5
40%
1-3
33%
#13 · PF · 6'9" 255 · 22
32.1
21
66%
8
5
0
1
3
2
1
7
7-10
70%
7-11
64%
0-0
-
#25 · PG · 6'3" 193 · 24
30.7
22
65%
2
2
1
0
1
3
0
2
1-1
100%
6-12
50%
3-5
60%
#0 · C · 7'1" 255 · 28
14.8
9
113%
3
2
0
0
0
0
1
2
1-1
100%
1-2
50%
2-2
100%
#7 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 34
29.4
10
38%
2
5
0
0
1
5
1
1
0-0
-
2-6
33%
2-7
29%
#5 · SF · 6'6" 210 · 23
24.5
13
59%
5
0
1
0
2
1
0
5
2-3
67%
4-5
80%
1-5
20%
#16 · PF · 6'8" 240 · 33
20.6
0
0%
5
0
0
1
0
3
0
5
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-2
0%
#9 · PF · 6'11" 240 · 29
17.8
12
100%
7
2
0
0
2
4
1
6
1-2
50%
4-4
100%
1-1
100%
#14 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 20
DNP - Injury/Illness | Left Knee; Bruise
#11 · SG · 6'4" 215 · 28
DNP - Coach's Decision
#30 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 23
DNP - Coach's Decision
#40 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 40
DNP - Coach's Decision
#20 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 24
Inactive - Injury/Illness | lower back; Bone bruise
#17 · PF · 6'11" 220 · 23
INACTIVE
#4 · SF · 6'9" 210 · 21
INACTIVE
#2 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 24
INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
115
59%
45
26
4
3
11
23
6
39
19-24
79%
27-48
56%
14-36
39%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.