FinalWin Prob.pScore
1437%111
100
863%116
106
ORTG#PossPace
SAS logo SAS
106.494100.6
MIA logo MIA
110.49692.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventSASMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.100
0%
106
100%
Q4 - 0:08.4SpursBryn Forbes turnover (lost ball) (Kendrick Nunn steals)100
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 0:09.0SpursBryn Forbes defensive rebound100
0.2%
106
99.8%
Q4 - 0:14.8HeatBam Adebayo misses regular free throw 2 of 2100
0.3%
106
99.7%
Q4 - 0:14.8HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 2100
0.2%
106
99.8%
Q4 - 0:14.8SpursDeMar DeRozan personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)100
0.2%
105
99.8%
Q4 - 0:15.3SpursLaMarcus Aldridge makes three point jump shot (Derrick White assists)100
0.3%
105
99.7%
Q4 - 0:25.0HeatMeyers Leonard makes two point dunk (Derrick Jones Jr. assists)97
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 0:28.8SpursBryn Forbes makes two point driving floating jump shot (Patty Mills assists)97
0.3%
103
99.7%
Q4 - 0:34.2HeatDerrick Jones Jr. makes two point layup (Kendrick Nunn assists)95
0.2%
103
99.8%
Q4 - 0:52.8SpursDeMar DeRozan makes two point driving floating jump shot (Bryn Forbes assists)95
1.1%
101
98.9%
Q4 - 0:58.5HeatKendrick Nunn makes two point pullup jump shot93
0.7%
101
99.3%
Q4 - 1:12HeatMeyers Leonard defensive rebound93
1.6%
99
98.4%
Q4 - 1:16SpursJimmy Butler blocks Patty Mills's three point jump shot93
2.1%
99
97.9%
Q4 - 1:22SpursTrey Lyles offensive rebound93
3.6%
99
96.4%
Q4 - 1:24SpursPatty Mills misses three point pullup jump shot93
2.4%
99
97.6%
Q4 - 1:32HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 293
4.2%
99
95.8%
Q4 - 1:32HeatJimmy Butler misses regular free throw 1 of 293
4.5%
98
95.5%
Q4 - 1:32SpursDerrick White shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)93
3.0%
98
97.0%
Q4 - 1:37SpursDerrick White turnover (lost ball) (Meyers Leonard steals)93
4.2%
98
95.8%
Q4 - 1:44SpursDeMar DeRozan defensive rebound93
7.7%
98
92.3%
Q4 - 1:46HeatBam Adebayo misses two point pullup jump shot93
6.7%
98
93.3%
Q4 - 2:06SpursDerrick White makes regular free throw 1 of 193
4.6%
98
95.4%
Q4 - 2:06HeatDuncan Robinson shooting foul (Derrick White draws the foul)92
4.3%
98
95.7%
Q4 - 2:12HeatKendrick Nunn makes regular free throw 2 of 290
2.2%
98
97.8%
Q4 - 2:12HeatKendrick Nunn makes regular free throw 1 of 290
2.3%
97
97.7%
Q4 - 2:12SpursLaMarcus Aldridge shooting foul (Kendrick Nunn draws the foul)90
2.6%
96
97.4%
Q4 - 2:26SpursDerrick White makes regular free throw 2 of 290
2.8%
96
97.2%
Q4 - 2:26SpursDerrick White misses regular free throw 1 of 289
2.6%
96
97.4%
Q4 - 2:26HeatDuncan Robinson personal foul (Derrick White draws the foul)89
3.8%
96
96.2%
Q4 - 2:47HeatJimmy Butler makes two point cutting dunk (Bam Adebayo assists)89
3.4%
96
96.6%
Q4 - 3:04SpursDeMar DeRozan makes regular free throw 1 of 189
5.7%
94
94.3%
Q4 - 3:04HeatKendrick Nunn shooting foul (DeMar DeRozan draws the foul)88
5.3%
94
94.7%
Q4 - 3:12HeatJimmy Butler turnover (bad pass) (Derrick White steals)86
2.8%
94
97.2%
Q4 - 3:32SpursPatty Mills makes three point jump shot (DeMar DeRozan assists)86
3.1%
94
96.9%
Q4 - 3:42HeatKendrick Nunn makes two point running reverse layup83
1.5%
94
98.5%
Q4 - 3:46SpursDeMar DeRozan turnover (lost ball) (Kendrick Nunn steals)83
2.1%
92
97.9%
Q4 - 3:56HeatKendrick Nunn makes two point pullup jump shot83
3.0%
92
97.0%
Q4 - 4:18SpursDerrick White personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)83
4.0%
90
96.0%
Q4 - 4:19HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound83
4.0%
90
96.0%
Q4 - 4:20SpursDerrick White misses three point jump shot83
4.5%
90
95.5%
Q4 - 4:33HeatBam Adebayo makes two point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)83
5.8%
90
94.2%
Q4 - 4:49SpursDeMar DeRozan makes regular free throw 2 of 283
7.8%
88
92.2%
Q4 - 4:49SpursDeMar DeRozan makes regular free throw 1 of 282
7.5%
88
92.5%
Q4 - 4:49HeatKendrick Nunn shooting foul (DeMar DeRozan draws the foul)81
7.0%
88
93.0%
Q4 - 4:53SpursPatty Mills defensive rebound81
5.7%
88
94.3%
Q4 - 4:56HeatJimmy Butler misses three point jump shot81
5.1%
88
94.9%
Q4 - 4:59HeatKendrick Nunn offensive rebound81
3.9%
88
96.1%
Q4 - 5:01HeatKendrick Nunn misses two point driving floating jump shot81
6.7%
88
93.3%
Q4 - 5:12SpursDeMar DeRozan makes two point fadeaway jump shot81
5.3%
88
94.7%
Q4 - 5:24HeatJimmy Butler makes three point pullup jump shot79
3.9%
88
96.1%
Q4 - 5:42SpursDejounte Murray turnover (offensive foul)79
7.1%
85
92.9%
Q4 - 5:42SpursDejounte Murray offensive foul (Charge) (Kendrick Nunn draws the foul)79
9.8%
85
90.2%
Q4 - 5:46SpursDejounte Murray defensive rebound79
9.8%
85
90.2%
Q4 - 5:50HeatKendrick Nunn misses two point driving floating jump shot79
8.9%
85
91.1%
Q4 - 6:06HeatMeyers Leonard defensive rebound79
8.4%
85
91.6%
Q4 - 6:09SpursLaMarcus Aldridge misses three point jump shot79
9.2%
85
90.8%
Q4 - 6:21SpursSpurs offensive rebound79
11.4%
85
88.6%
Q4 - 6:21SpursBam Adebayo blocks Dejounte Murray's two point driving layup79
9.2%
85
90.8%
Q4 - 6:25SpursDejounte Murray defensive rebound79
11.4%
85
88.6%
Q4 - 6:28HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot79
10.3%
85
89.7%
Q4 - 6:41HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound79
8.3%
85
91.7%
Q4 - 6:43SpursBryn Forbes misses three point jump shot79
9.1%
85
90.9%
Q4 - 6:56SpursLaMarcus Aldridge defensive rebound79
11.3%
85
88.7%
Q4 - 6:59HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point pullup jump shot79
10.3%
85
89.7%
Q4 - 7:09SpursLaMarcus Aldridge personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)79
9.7%
85
90.3%
Q4 - 7:19SpursBryn Forbes personal foul (Goran Dragic draws the foul)79
9.6%
85
90.4%
Q4 - 7:30SpursBryn Forbes turnover (offensive foul)79
9.6%
85
90.4%
Q4 - 7:30SpursBryn Forbes offensive foul (Off the ball) (Derrick Jones Jr. draws the foul)79
12.7%
85
87.3%
Q4 - 7:37HeatDerrick Jones Jr. personal foul (DeMar DeRozan draws the foul)79
12.6%
85
87.4%
Q4 - 7:39SpursDeMar DeRozan defensive rebound79
12.6%
85
87.4%
Q4 - 7:40HeatJames Johnson misses three point jump shot79
11.6%
85
88.4%
Q4 - 7:54HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound79
9.6%
85
90.4%
Q4 - 7:57SpursDeMar DeRozan misses two point pullup jump shot79
10.4%
85
89.6%
Q4 - 8:10HeatGoran Dragic turnover (out of bounds lost ball)79
13.5%
85
86.5%
Q4 - 8:27HeatDerrick Jones Jr. defensive rebound79
10.8%
85
89.2%
Q4 - 8:30SpursBryn Forbes misses three point jump shot79
11.6%
85
88.4%
Q4 - 8:44HeatMeyers Leonard makes two point floating jump shot (Goran Dragic assists)79
13.5%
85
86.5%
Q4 - 9:07SpursJakob Poeltl makes two point bank jump shot (Marco Belinelli assists)79
17.2%
83
82.8%
Q4 - 9:08SpursMarco Belinelli offensive rebound77
14.3%
83
85.7%
Q4 - 9:09SpursMarco Belinelli misses two point driving floating jump shot77
12.2%
83
87.8%
Q4 - 9:24HeatJames Johnson turnover (bad pass) (Jakob Poeltl steals)77
14.2%
83
85.8%
Q4 - 9:37HeatMeyers Leonard defensive rebound77
11.4%
83
88.6%
Q4 - 9:40SpursBryn Forbes misses three point jump shot77
12.2%
83
87.8%
Q4 - 9:58HeatGoran Dragic makes two point floating jump shot77
14.2%
83
85.8%
Q4 - 10:08HeatDerrick Jones Jr. defensive rebound77
18.2%
81
81.8%
Q4 - 10:12SpursMarco Belinelli misses three point stepback jump shot77
19.3%
81
80.7%
Q4 - 10:17HeatJames Johnson personal foul (Derrick White draws the foul)77
21.9%
81
78.1%
Q4 - 10:27HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Meyers Leonard assists)77
21.9%
81
78.1%
Q4 - 10:46HeatHeat defensive rebound77
30.4%
78
69.6%
Q4 - 10:46SpursPatty Mills misses three point jump shot77
32.0%
78
68.0%
Q4 - 10:53HeatDuncan Robinson personal foul (Derrick White draws the foul)77
35.7%
78
64.3%
Q4 - 10:56SpursRudy Gay defensive rebound77
35.7%
78
64.3%
Q4 - 10:59HeatGoran Dragic misses three point stepback jump shot77
34.0%
78
66.0%
Q4 - 11:17HeatDerrick Jones Jr. defensive rebound77
30.9%
78
69.1%
Q4 - 11:20SpursRudy Gay misses two point pullup jump shot77
32.3%
78
67.7%
Q4 - 11:40HeatGoran Dragic makes three point jump shot (Meyers Leonard assists)77
35.6%
78
64.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.77
46.1%
75
53.9%
Q3 - 0:00.1HeatHeat offensive rebound77
45.6%
75
54.4%
Q3 - 0:00.3HeatDerrick Jones Jr. misses three point running jump shot77
48.9%
75
51.1%
Q3 - 0:01.5HeatDerrick Jones Jr. defensive rebound77
45.6%
75
54.4%
Q3 - 0:01.5SpursRudy Gay misses two point pullup jump shot77
47.0%
75
53.0%
Q3 - 0:11.4SpursJakob Poeltl defensive rebound77
50.5%
75
49.5%
Q3 - 0:14.8HeatGoran Dragic misses three point jump shot77
49.0%
75
51.0%
Q3 - 0:32.7SpursDerrick White makes regular free throw 1 of 177
45.6%
75
54.4%
Q3 - 0:32.7HeatGoran Dragic shooting foul (Derrick White draws the foul)76
44.7%
75
55.3%
Q3 - 0:43.5HeatDerrick Jones Jr. makes two point cutting dunk (Goran Dragic assists)74
35.6%
75
64.4%
Q3 - 0:48.7HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound74
40.6%
73
59.4%
Q3 - 0:50.9SpursRudy Gay misses three point jump shot74
42.0%
73
58.0%
Q3 - 0:59.3HeatHeat turnover (shot clock violation)74
45.4%
73
54.6%
Q3 - 0:59.3HeatHeat offensive rebound74
40.6%
73
59.4%
Q3 - 1:00HeatDerrick Jones Jr. misses two point jump shot74
43.9%
73
56.1%
Q3 - 1:03HeatDerrick Jones Jr. offensive rebound74
40.0%
73
60.0%
Q3 - 1:04HeatDerrick White blocks Goran Dragic's three point jump shot74
43.4%
73
56.6%
Q3 - 1:14SpursPatty Mills personal foul (Goran Dragic draws the foul)74
40.1%
73
59.9%
Q3 - 1:20HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound74
40.1%
73
59.9%
Q3 - 1:23SpursPatty Mills misses three point pullup jump shot74
41.5%
73
58.5%
Q3 - 1:38HeatBam Adebayo makes two point putback dunk74
45.0%
73
55.0%
Q3 - 1:39HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound74
49.7%
71
50.3%
Q3 - 1:42HeatBam Adebayo misses two point alley-oop layup74
53.1%
71
46.9%
Q3 - 2:01SpursLaMarcus Aldridge turnover (offensive foul)74
48.3%
71
51.7%
Q3 - 2:01SpursLaMarcus Aldridge offensive foul (Off the ball) (Goran Dragic draws the foul)74
53.3%
71
46.7%
Q3 - 2:17HeatDerrick Jones Jr. makes three point jump shot (Goran Dragic assists)74
53.4%
71
46.6%
Q3 - 2:33HeatDerrick Jones Jr. defensive rebound74
61.9%
68
38.1%
Q3 - 2:36SpursLaMarcus Aldridge misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot74
63.4%
68
36.6%
Q3 - 2:56SpursRudy Gay defensive rebound74
66.6%
68
33.4%
Q3 - 2:59HeatJimmy Butler misses regular free throw 2 of 274
66.0%
68
34.0%
Q3 - 2:59HeatJimmy Butler misses regular free throw 1 of 274
63.0%
68
37.0%
Q3 - 2:59SpursDeMar DeRozan makes technical free throw 1 of 174
62.0%
68
38.0%
Q3 - 2:59HeatJimmy Butler technical foul73
60.9%
68
39.1%
Q3 - 2:59SpursPatty Mills shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)73
54.8%
68
45.2%
Q3 - 3:12SpursDerrick White makes regular free throw 2 of 273
56.6%
68
43.4%
Q3 - 3:12SpursDerrick White makes regular free throw 1 of 272
55.8%
68
44.2%
Q3 - 3:12HeatGoran Dragic shooting foul (Derrick White draws the foul)71
54.9%
68
45.1%
Q3 - 3:13SpursDeMar DeRozan defensive rebound71
52.6%
68
47.4%
Q3 - 3:15HeatKendrick Nunn misses three point pullup jump shot71
51.2%
68
48.8%
Q3 - 3:35SpursPatty Mills makes three point jump shot (DeMar DeRozan assists)71
47.9%
68
52.1%
Q3 - 3:59HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 3 of 368
39.6%
68
60.4%
Q3 - 3:59HeatJimmy Butler misses regular free throw 2 of 368
40.2%
67
59.8%
Q3 - 3:59HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 368
36.6%
67
63.4%
Q3 - 3:59SpursDeMar DeRozan shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)68
37.3%
66
62.7%
Q3 - 4:11SpursPatty Mills makes two point pullup jump shot (DeMar DeRozan assists)68
42.6%
66
57.4%
Q3 - 4:41HeatKendrick Nunn makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)66
39.2%
66
60.8%
Q3 - 4:58SpursRudy Gay makes two point driving layup (DeMar DeRozan assists)66
46.9%
63
53.1%
Q3 - 5:10SpursLaMarcus Aldridge defensive rebound64
42.9%
63
57.1%
Q3 - 5:13HeatKendrick Nunn misses two point pullup jump shot64
41.6%
63
58.4%
Q3 - 5:29SpursLaMarcus Aldridge makes two point driving finger roll layup64
38.7%
63
61.3%
Q3 - 5:41SpursDejounte Murray defensive rebound62
35.3%
63
64.7%
Q3 - 5:43HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot62
34.1%
63
65.9%
Q3 - 5:57HeatHeat defensive rebound62
31.4%
63
68.6%
Q3 - 5:58SpursPatty Mills misses three point jump shot62
32.5%
63
67.5%
Q3 - 6:04SpursDejounte Murray defensive rebound62
34.9%
63
65.1%
Q3 - 6:07HeatJimmy Butler misses two point stepback jump shot62
33.8%
63
66.2%
Q3 - 6:27SpursPatty Mills makes three point jump shot (Dejounte Murray assists)62
31.3%
63
68.7%
Q3 - 6:46HeatBam Adebayo makes two point alley-oop dunk (Kendrick Nunn assists)59
25.3%
63
74.7%
Q3 - 7:04SpursDeMar DeRozan makes two point jump shot (Trey Lyles assists)59
27.9%
61
72.1%
Q3 - 7:16SpursLaMarcus Aldridge defensive rebound57
25.3%
61
74.7%
Q3 - 7:19HeatBam Adebayo misses two point cutting layup57
24.4%
61
75.6%
Q3 - 7:34SpursDeMar DeRozan makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot57
22.3%
61
77.7%
Q3 - 7:56HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 255
20.1%
61
79.9%
Q3 - 7:56HeatBam Adebayo misses regular free throw 1 of 255
20.6%
60
79.4%
Q3 - 7:56SpursLaMarcus Aldridge shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)55
18.9%
60
81.1%
Q3 - 8:03HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound55
20.0%
60
80.0%
Q3 - 8:05SpursDejounte Murray misses two point pullup jump shot55
20.8%
60
79.2%
Q3 - 8:32HeatDuncan Robinson makes two point cutting layup (Bam Adebayo assists)55
22.8%
60
77.2%
Q3 - 8:48SpursDeMar DeRozan makes two point stepback jump shot (Dejounte Murray assists)55
25.1%
58
74.9%
Q3 - 8:57SpursTrey Lyles defensive rebound53
22.8%
58
77.2%
Q3 - 9:00HeatKendrick Nunn misses three point running pullup jump shot53
21.9%
58
78.1%
Q3 - 9:05HeatMeyers Leonard defensive rebound53
20.0%
58
80.0%
Q3 - 9:07SpursTrey Lyles misses two point pullup jump shot53
20.8%
58
79.2%
Q3 - 9:23HeatKendrick Nunn makes two point driving floating bank jump shot53
22.7%
58
77.3%
Q3 - 9:35HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound53
25.0%
56
75.0%
Q3 - 9:37SpursBryn Forbes misses two point pullup jump shot53
26.0%
56
74.0%
Q3 - 9:43SpursSpurs offensive rebound53
28.2%
56
71.8%
Q3 - 9:43SpursDuncan Robinson blocks Bryn Forbes's three point jump shot53
26.0%
56
74.0%
Q3 - 9:46SpursTrey Lyles offensive rebound53
28.2%
56
71.8%
Q3 - 9:46SpursTrey Lyles misses two point tip layup53
26.0%
56
74.0%
Q3 - 9:46SpursTrey Lyles offensive rebound53
28.2%
56
71.8%
Q3 - 9:50SpursLaMarcus Aldridge misses three point jump shot53
26.0%
56
74.0%
Q3 - 10:02SpursDejounte Murray defensive rebound53
28.2%
56
71.8%
Q3 - 10:05HeatMeyers Leonard misses three point jump shot53
27.2%
56
72.8%
Q3 - 10:15HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound53
25.0%
56
75.0%
Q3 - 10:18SpursDejounte Murray misses two point pullup jump shot53
26.0%
56
74.0%
Q3 - 10:38HeatJimmy Butler makes two point pullup jump shot53
28.1%
56
71.9%
Q3 - 11:03SpursLaMarcus Aldridge makes two point jump shot (Dejounte Murray assists)53
30.7%
54
69.3%
Q3 - 11:20HeatMeyers Leonard makes three point jump shot (Kendrick Nunn assists)51
28.1%
54
71.9%
Q3 - 11:32HeatKendrick Nunn defensive rebound51
33.6%
51
66.4%
Q3 - 11:34SpursDeMar DeRozan misses two point driving floating bank jump shot51
34.6%
51
65.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.51
36.9%
51
63.1%
Q2 - 0:00.1HeatHeat offensive rebound51
34.0%
51
66.0%
Q2 - 0:00.4HeatBam Adebayo misses two point driving floating jump shot51
35.4%
51
64.6%
Q2 - 0:03.7SpursDeMar DeRozan personal foul (Take) (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)51
34.0%
51
66.0%
Q2 - 0:05.8SpursDeMar DeRozan makes two point running layup (Trey Lyles assists)51
34.0%
51
66.0%
Q2 - 0:09.1HeatKendrick Nunn turnover (bad pass) (DeMar DeRozan steals)49
30.3%
51
69.7%
Q2 - 0:30.0SpursBryn Forbes makes three point floating jump shot (DeMar DeRozan assists)49
28.4%
51
71.6%
Q2 - 0:39.7HeatKendrick Nunn makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)46
22.8%
51
77.2%
Q2 - 0:48.3SpursLaMarcus Aldridge makes two point putback layup46
28.4%
48
71.6%
Q2 - 0:50.8SpursLaMarcus Aldridge offensive rebound44
25.2%
48
74.8%
Q2 - 0:51.8SpursBam Adebayo blocks Trey Lyles's two point floating jump shot44
23.9%
48
76.1%
Q2 - 1:05HeatJimmy Butler personal foul (Loose ball) (DeMar DeRozan draws the foul)44
25.3%
48
74.7%
Q2 - 1:05SpursSpurs defensive rebound44
25.3%
48
74.7%
Q2 - 1:05HeatBam Adebayo misses two point pullup bank jump shot44
24.9%
48
75.1%
Q2 - 1:19HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound44
23.9%
48
76.1%
Q2 - 1:21SpursDejounte Murray misses two point pullup jump shot44
24.4%
48
75.6%
Q2 - 1:39HeatBam Adebayo makes two point driving dunk (Kendrick Nunn assists)44
25.3%
48
74.7%
Q2 - 1:55HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound44
28.8%
46
71.2%
Q2 - 1:58SpursLaMarcus Aldridge misses three point jump shot44
29.3%
46
70.7%
Q2 - 2:24HeatKendrick Nunn makes two point driving floating jump shot44
31.0%
46
69.0%
Q2 - 2:37SpursDejounte Murray makes two point pullup jump shot (Bryn Forbes assists)44
33.7%
44
66.3%
Q2 - 2:50SpursDejounte Murray defensive rebound42
30.9%
44
69.1%
Q2 - 2:52HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot42
30.2%
44
69.8%
Q2 - 3:09SpursDeMar DeRozan makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot42
28.3%
44
71.7%
Q2 - 3:24HeatKendrick Nunn makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)40
26.2%
44
73.8%
Q2 - 3:43SpursDeMar DeRozan makes two point pullup jump shot40
30.7%
41
69.3%
Q2 - 3:51SpursLaMarcus Aldridge defensive rebound38
28.6%
41
71.4%
Q2 - 3:51HeatJimmy Butler misses two point pullup jump shot38
27.8%
41
72.2%
Q2 - 4:07HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound38
26.2%
41
73.8%
Q2 - 4:09SpursDeMar DeRozan misses regular free throw 1 of 138
26.5%
41
73.5%
Q2 - 4:09HeatKendrick Nunn shooting foul (DeMar DeRozan draws the foul)38
28.1%
41
71.9%
Q2 - 4:24HeatKendrick Nunn makes two point pullup jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)36
24.1%
41
75.9%
Q2 - 4:42SpursTrey Lyles makes two point driving reverse layup (DeMar DeRozan assists)36
26.2%
39
73.8%
Q2 - 4:56SpursSpurs defensive rebound34
24.1%
39
75.9%
Q2 - 4:58HeatGoran Dragic misses three point jump shot34
23.4%
39
76.6%
Q2 - 5:08HeatHeat defensive rebound34
22.0%
39
78.0%
Q2 - 5:08SpursLaMarcus Aldridge misses three point jump shot34
22.7%
39
77.3%
Q2 - 5:16SpursDeMar DeRozan defensive rebound34
24.3%
39
75.7%
Q2 - 5:19HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving hook shot34
23.6%
39
76.4%
Q2 - 5:43SpursDeMar DeRozan makes two point driving finger roll layup34
22.0%
39
78.0%
Q2 - 6:03HeatGoran Dragic makes three point jump shot (Kelly Olynyk assists)32
20.7%
39
79.3%
Q2 - 6:13HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound32
24.0%
36
76.0%
Q2 - 6:17SpursTrey Lyles misses two point pullup jump shot32
24.8%
36
75.2%
Q2 - 6:32HeatJames Johnson personal foul (Lonnie Walker IV draws the foul)32
26.5%
36
73.5%
Q2 - 6:47HeatJames Johnson makes three point jump shot (Kelly Olynyk assists)32
26.5%
36
73.5%
Q2 - 7:13SpursTrey Lyles makes two point tip layup32
30.6%
33
69.4%
Q2 - 7:14SpursTrey Lyles offensive rebound30
28.6%
33
71.4%
Q2 - 7:15SpursLonnie Walker IV misses three point jump shot30
27.1%
33
72.9%
Q2 - 7:24SpursTrey Lyles defensive rebound30
28.6%
33
71.4%
Q2 - 7:26HeatKelly Olynyk misses three point jump shot30
27.9%
33
72.1%
Q2 - 7:44HeatDerrick Jones Jr. defensive rebound30
26.4%
33
73.6%
Q2 - 7:48SpursBryn Forbes misses two point driving floating jump shot30
27.1%
33
72.9%
Q2 - 8:09SpursRudy Gay defensive rebound30
28.7%
33
71.3%
Q2 - 8:09HeatJames Johnson misses three point running pullup jump shot30
28.0%
33
72.0%
Q2 - 8:13HeatJames Johnson defensive rebound30
26.6%
33
73.4%
Q2 - 8:17SpursDerrick Jones Jr. blocks Lonnie Walker IV's two point running layup30
27.2%
33
72.8%
Q2 - 8:23SpursLonnie Walker IV defensive rebound30
28.7%
33
71.3%
Q2 - 8:27HeatKelly Olynyk misses two point stepback jump shot30
28.0%
33
72.0%
Q2 - 8:48SpursLonnie Walker IV makes two point running layup (Rudy Gay assists)30
26.6%
33
73.4%
Q2 - 8:51SpursRudy Gay defensive rebound28
24.7%
33
75.3%
Q2 - 8:54HeatGoran Dragic misses two point running layup28
24.1%
33
75.9%
Q2 - 8:59HeatGoran Dragic defensive rebound28
22.8%
33
77.2%
Q2 - 9:01SpursRudy Gay misses three point jump shot28
23.5%
33
76.5%
Q2 - 9:16HeatGoran Dragic turnover (bad pass) (Derrick White steals)28
24.9%
33
75.1%
Q2 - 9:22HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound28
23.0%
33
77.0%
Q2 - 9:24SpursPatty Mills misses three point pullup jump shot28
23.5%
33
76.5%
Q2 - 9:36HeatGoran Dragic makes three point stepback jump shot28
24.9%
33
75.1%
Q2 - 9:48SpursDerrick White makes two point running layup28
28.6%
30
71.4%
Q2 - 9:50SpursJakob Poeltl defensive rebound26
26.7%
30
73.3%
Q2 - 9:53HeatJakob Poeltl blocks James Johnson's two point driving layup26
26.1%
30
73.9%
Q2 - 10:07SpursPatty Mills makes three point pullup jump shot26
24.8%
30
75.2%
Q2 - 10:17HeatGoran Dragic makes three point stepback jump shot23
21.5%
30
78.5%
Q2 - 10:30SpursPatty Mills makes two point driving reverse layup (Rudy Gay assists)23
24.8%
27
75.2%
Q2 - 10:43HeatGoran Dragic makes three point jump shot (Kelly Olynyk assists)21
23.2%
27
76.8%
Q2 - 11:03SpursPatty Mills makes three point jump shot (Jakob Poeltl assists)21
26.7%
24
73.3%
Q2 - 11:11SpursJakob Poeltl defensive rebound18
23.1%
24
76.9%
Q2 - 11:14HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot18
22.6%
24
77.4%
Q2 - 11:24HeatDerrick Jones Jr. defensive rebound18
21.6%
24
78.4%
Q2 - 11:27SpursRudy Gay misses regular free throw 2 of 218
21.8%
24
78.2%
Q2 - 11:27SpursRudy Gay makes regular free throw 1 of 218
22.9%
24
77.1%
Q2 - 11:27HeatDuncan Robinson shooting foul (Rudy Gay draws the foul)17
22.6%
24
77.4%
Q2 - 11:33HeatKelly Olynyk turnover (bad pass) (Rudy Gay steals)17
21.5%
24
78.5%
Q2 - 11:44HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound17
20.0%
24
80.0%
Q2 - 11:47SpursPatty Mills misses three point jump shot17
20.4%
24
79.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.17
21.5%
24
78.5%
Q1 - 0:00.1HeatHeat offensive rebound17
20.2%
24
79.8%
Q1 - 0:00.8HeatDerrick Jones Jr. misses three point running pullup jump shot17
21.0%
24
79.0%
Q1 - 0:01.8HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound17
20.2%
24
79.8%
Q1 - 0:02.8SpursDerrick White misses two point driving layup17
20.5%
24
79.5%
Q1 - 0:20.8HeatJames Johnson makes two point pullup jump shot (Goran Dragic assists)17
21.4%
24
78.6%
Q1 - 0:26.9HeatDerrick Jones Jr. offensive rebound17
23.3%
22
76.7%
Q1 - 0:28.7HeatGoran Dragic misses three point stepback jump shot17
24.2%
22
75.8%
Q1 - 0:38.4HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound17
23.3%
22
76.7%
Q1 - 0:40.3SpursDerrick White misses two point driving layup17
23.7%
22
76.3%
Q1 - 0:47.2SpursRudy Gay defensive rebound17
24.6%
22
75.4%
Q1 - 0:47.2HeatJakob Poeltl blocks Derrick Jones Jr.'s two point layup17
24.2%
22
75.8%
Q1 - 0:51.4HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound17
23.3%
22
76.7%
Q1 - 0:53.9HeatDerrick Jones Jr. misses three point jump shot17
24.2%
22
75.8%
Q1 - 1:09HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound17
23.4%
22
76.6%
Q1 - 1:11SpursDerrick White misses two point pullup jump shot17
23.8%
22
76.2%
Q1 - 1:30HeatKendrick Nunn makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)17
24.8%
22
75.2%
Q1 - 1:48HeatDerrick Jones Jr. defensive rebound17
28.7%
19
71.3%
Q1 - 1:52SpursLonnie Walker IV misses two point pullup jump shot17
29.2%
19
70.8%
Q1 - 1:57SpursLonnie Walker IV defensive rebound17
30.2%
19
69.8%
Q1 - 2:00HeatBam Adebayo misses two point running layup17
29.8%
19
70.2%
Q1 - 2:02HeatJames Johnson defensive rebound17
28.5%
19
71.5%
Q1 - 2:06SpursRudy Gay misses two point driving floating bank jump shot17
29.1%
19
70.9%
Q1 - 2:22SpursLonnie Walker IV defensive rebound17
30.4%
19
69.6%
Q1 - 2:24HeatJames Johnson misses three point jump shot17
29.8%
19
70.2%
Q1 - 2:43SpursDerrick White personal foul (Goran Dragic draws the foul)17
28.6%
19
71.4%
Q1 - 2:46HeatDerrick Jones Jr. defensive rebound17
28.6%
19
71.4%
Q1 - 2:49SpursRudy Gay misses two point pullup jump shot17
29.1%
19
70.9%
Q1 - 2:56SpursJakob Poeltl defensive rebound17
30.4%
19
69.6%
Q1 - 2:58HeatGoran Dragic misses two point turnaround jump shot17
29.8%
19
70.2%
Q1 - 3:05HeatDerrick Jones Jr. defensive rebound17
28.3%
19
71.7%
Q1 - 3:09SpursRudy Gay misses two point pullup jump shot17
28.9%
19
71.1%
Q1 - 3:23SpursRudy Gay defensive rebound17
30.4%
19
69.6%
Q1 - 3:25HeatDerrick Jones Jr. misses three point jump shot17
29.7%
19
70.3%
Q1 - 3:45SpursPatty Mills makes two point stepback jump shot (LaMarcus Aldridge assists)17
28.3%
19
71.7%
Q1 - 4:10HeatKendrick Nunn makes three point jump shot (Goran Dragic assists)15
26.9%
19
73.1%
Q1 - 4:29SpursDeMar DeRozan turnover (traveling)15
30.0%
16
70.0%
Q1 - 4:30HeatGoran Dragic turnover (bad pass) (DeMar DeRozan steals)15
32.2%
16
67.8%
Q1 - 4:35HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound15
30.0%
16
70.0%
Q1 - 4:38SpursLaMarcus Aldridge misses two point jump shot15
30.7%
16
69.3%
Q1 - 4:47SpursDerrick White defensive rebound15
32.2%
16
67.8%
Q1 - 4:51HeatJimmy Butler misses two point stepback jump shot15
31.6%
16
68.4%
Q1 - 5:05SpursDeMar DeRozan makes regular free throw 2 of 215
30.1%
16
69.9%
Q1 - 5:05SpursDeMar DeRozan makes regular free throw 1 of 214
29.8%
16
70.2%
Q1 - 5:05HeatMeyers Leonard shooting foul (DeMar DeRozan draws the foul)13
29.5%
16
70.5%
Q1 - 5:08HeatKendrick Nunn turnover (lost ball) (Dejounte Murray steals)13
28.5%
16
71.5%
Q1 - 5:14HeatMeyers Leonard defensive rebound13
26.8%
16
73.2%
Q1 - 5:17SpursBryn Forbes misses three point jump shot13
27.3%
16
72.7%
Q1 - 5:42HeatBam Adebayo makes two point driving layup13
28.5%
16
71.5%
Q1 - 6:01SpursDeMar DeRozan makes two point driving floating jump shot13
30.1%
14
69.9%
Q1 - 6:21HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)11
28.4%
14
71.6%
Q1 - 6:26SpursBryn Forbes personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)11
31.8%
11
68.2%
Q1 - 6:36SpursLaMarcus Aldridge makes three point jump shot (Trey Lyles assists)11
31.8%
11
68.2%
Q1 - 6:54SpursTrey Lyles defensive rebound8
28.4%
11
71.6%
Q1 - 6:56HeatBam Adebayo misses two point pullup jump shot8
28.0%
11
72.0%
Q1 - 7:07HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound8
26.9%
11
73.1%
Q1 - 7:09HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving floating jump shot8
28.0%
11
72.0%
Q1 - 7:26SpursDejounte Murray makes two point pullup jump shot8
26.9%
11
73.1%
Q1 - 7:52HeatBam Adebayo makes two point driving layup (Jimmy Butler assists)6
25.6%
11
74.4%
Q1 - 7:58HeatMeyers Leonard defensive rebound6
26.9%
9
73.1%
Q1 - 8:00SpursBryn Forbes misses two point driving floating jump shot6
27.4%
9
72.6%
Q1 - 8:28HeatKendrick Nunn makes two point driving floating jump shot6
28.6%
9
71.4%
Q1 - 8:35HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound6
29.9%
7
70.1%
Q1 - 8:37HeatTrey Lyles blocks Bam Adebayo's two point driving layup6
31.1%
7
68.9%
Q1 - 8:54HeatKendrick Nunn defensive rebound6
29.9%
7
70.1%
Q1 - 8:57SpursBryn Forbes misses three point running jump shot6
30.4%
7
69.6%
Q1 - 9:03HeatJimmy Butler turnover (lost ball) (Bryn Forbes steals)6
31.6%
7
68.4%
Q1 - 9:13HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound6
29.7%
7
70.3%
Q1 - 9:16SpursTrey Lyles misses three point jump shot6
30.3%
7
69.7%
Q1 - 9:24SpursDeMar DeRozan defensive rebound6
31.6%
7
68.4%
Q1 - 9:28HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot6
31.0%
7
69.0%
Q1 - 9:36SpursTrey Lyles personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)6
29.7%
7
70.3%
Q1 - 9:45HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound6
29.7%
7
70.3%
Q1 - 9:47SpursLaMarcus Aldridge misses two point pullup jump shot6
30.3%
7
69.7%
Q1 - 10:08HeatJimmy Butler makes two point running dunk6
31.4%
7
68.6%
Q1 - 10:13SpursDejounte Murray turnover (bad pass) (Jimmy Butler steals)6
32.8%
5
67.2%
Q1 - 10:28HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)6
34.6%
5
65.4%
Q1 - 10:47SpursBryn Forbes makes three point stepback jump shot (DeMar DeRozan assists)6
37.8%
2
62.2%
Q1 - 11:02HeatKendrick Nunn makes two point pullup jump shot3
34.4%
2
65.6%
Q1 - 11:09HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound3
36.0%
0
64.0%
Q1 - 11:10HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving floating jump shot3
37.3%
0
62.7%
Q1 - 11:24SpursBryn Forbes makes three point pullup jump shot3
36.0%
0
64.0%
Q1 - 11:36SpursDejounte Murray defensive rebound0
32.8%
0
67.2%
Q1 - 11:38HeatBam Adebayo misses two point jump shot0
32.3%
0
67.7%
Q1 - 12:00LaMarcus Aldridge vs. Bam Adebayo (Meyers Leonard gains possession)0
31.1%
0
68.9%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.06 53.2%
MIA
1.07 53.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
SAS
13
18
72%
MIA
12
20
60%
Midrange
SAS
16
38
42%
MIA
12
28
43%
3PT | Effective 3PT
SAS
10
15.0
33
30%
45%
MIA
17
25.5
40
43%
64%
Free Throws
SAS
12
15
80%
MIA
7
13
54%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. DeRozan3094%15.0 / 16
P. Mills2170%10.5 / 15
L. Aldridge1250%6.0 / 12
B. Forbes1142%5.5 / 13
D. White1161%5.5 / 9
T. Lyles429%2.0 / 7
D. Murray433%2.0 / 6
R. Gay317%1.5 / 9
J. Poeltl2100%1.0 / 1
L. Walker IV225%1.0 / 4
M. Belinelli0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Nunn3387%16.5 / 19
G. Dragic1765%8.5 / 13
B. Adebayo1441%7.0 / 17
J. Butler1243%6.0 / 14
D. Robinson1155%5.5 / 10
M. Leonard788%3.5 / 4
D. Jones739%3.5 / 9
J. Johnson542%2.5 / 6
K. Olynyk0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

SAS
86
+8
-8
94
MIA
87
+12
-9
99
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.06 53.2%
MIA
1.07 53.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
112.2
112.4
SAS 106.4
MIA 110.4 +4.0
Pace
100.6
98.4
SAS 100.6 +8.6
MIA 92.0
Avg. Poss. Time
14.5
14.8
SAS 14.3 +1.3
MIA 15.6
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
53.1%
54.7%
SAS 49.4%
MIA 56.3% +6.9%
TO %
12.0%
14.0%
SAS 7.7% +1.9%
MIA 9.6%
ORB %
20.1%
20.3%
SAS 12.8%
MIA 18.6% +5.8%
FTrt
26.2
29.9
SAS 16.9 +2.1
MIA 14.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.5%
65.7%
SAS 56.4%
MIA 63.4% +7.0%
STL %
7.2%
7.6%
SAS 8.5% +4.3%
MIA 4.2%
BLK %
10.0%
9.3%
SAS 8.3%
MIA 8.9% +0.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
56.1%
56.9%
SAS 53.2%
MIA 53.5% +0.3%
Rim FG%
61.6%
63.8%
SAS 72.2% +12.2%
MIA 60.0%
Mid FG%
44.2%
38.9%
SAS 42.1%
MIA 42.9% +0.8%
3P %
37.6%
37.9%
SAS 30.3%
MIA 42.5% +12.2%
FT %
81.0%
78.3%
SAS 80.0% +26.2%
MIA 53.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
29.1%
33.2%
SAS 20.2%
MIA 22.7% +2.5%
Mid Att. %
39.1%
24.9%
SAS 42.7%
MIA 31.8% +10.9%
3P Att. %
31.8%
41.9%
SAS 37.1%
MIA 45.5% +8.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.51 and 2.51.
Game TotalsSASMIA
Possessions9496
Possession Minutes22.425.0
Points100106
Rebounds4149
Assists2226
Steals84
Blocks45
Turnovers (Team)8 (0)9 (1)
Fouls1714
Off. Rebounds (Team)6 (2)8 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)35 (2)41 (3)
Field Goals39-8941-88
At-the-Rim FG13-1812-20
Midrange FG16-3812-28
2-Point FG29-5624-48
3-Point FG10-3317-40
Free Throws12-157-13
Fast Break Pts105
2nd Chance Pts68
Points in Paint4432
Pts off Turnovers1013
Bench Points3929
Biggest Lead611

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#10 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 30
35.3
30
94%
5
7
2
0
2
3
0
5
6-7
86%
12-14
86%
0-0
-
#12 · PF · 6'11" 260 · 34
33.7
12
50%
5
1
0
0
1
4
1
4
0-0
-
3-6
50%
2-6
33%
#41 · C · 6'10" 234 · 24
27.5
4
29%
7
3
0
1
0
1
4
3
0-0
-
2-6
33%
0-1
0%
#5 · SG · 6'4" 180 · 23
25.7
4
33%
7
3
1
0
2
1
0
7
0-0
-
2-6
33%
0-0
-
#11 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 26
25.7
11
42%
1
2
1
0
2
3
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
25%
3-9
33%
#8 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 31
23.2
21
70%
1
1
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
3-3
100%
5-12
42%
#4 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 26
22.4
11
61%
1
1
2
1
1
3
0
1
5-6
83%
3-6
50%
0-1
0%
#22 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 33
19.5
3
17%
6
2
1
0
0
0
0
6
1-2
50%
1-6
17%
0-2
0%
#25 · C · 7'0" 260 · 24
14.3
2
100%
4
1
1
2
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
#1 · SG · 6'5" 196 · 21
8.2
2
25%
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-1
0%
#18 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 34
4.5
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-1
0%
#14 · PF · 6'10" 245 · 23
DNP - Coach's Decision
#77 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 33
DNP - Coach's Decision
#7 · PF · 6'10" 219 · 23
INACTIVE
#3 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 20
INACTIVE
#19 · PF · 6'11" 227 · 20
INACTIVE
#15 · SG · 6'3" 205 · 23
INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
100
53%
41
22
8
4
8
17
6
35
12-15
80%
29-56
52%
10-33
30%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.