FinalWin Prob.pScore
248%115
92
1152%116
113
ORTG#PossPace
HOU logo HOU
92.0100107.4
OKC logo OKC
111.910194.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

ThunderRocketsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

ThunderRocketsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventHOUOKC
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.92
0%
113
100%
Q4 - 0:15.6ThunderDarius Bazley defensive rebound92
0%
113
100%
Q4 - 0:18.4RocketsChris Clemons misses three point jump shot92
0%
113
100%
Q4 - 0:23.7ThunderHamidou Diallo turnover (bad pass) (Isaiah Hartenstein steals)92
0%
113
100%
Q4 - 0:41.9RocketsChris Clemons makes three point pullup jump shot92
0%
113
100%
Q4 - 0:48.0RocketsChris Clemons defensive rebound89
0%
113
100%
Q4 - 0:50.7ThunderAbdel Nader misses two point running pullup jump shot89
0%
113
100%
Q4 - 0:55.0ThunderJustin Patton defensive rebound89
0%
113
100%
Q4 - 0:58.1RocketsAustin Rivers misses three point pullup jump shot89
0%
113
100%
Q4 - 1:01RocketsThabo Sefolosha defensive rebound89
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 1:03ThunderJustin Patton misses two point layup89
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 1:13RocketsChris Clemons turnover (bad pass) (Darius Bazley steals)89
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 1:19RocketsThabo Sefolosha offensive rebound89
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 1:22RocketsChris Clemons misses three point jump shot89
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 1:32RocketsIsaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound89
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 1:35ThunderAbdel Nader misses three point jump shot89
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 1:46RocketsChris Clemons makes two point cutting layup (Isaiah Hartenstein assists)89
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 1:57ThunderDeonte Burton makes two point driving layup87
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 2:05ThunderJustin Patton offensive rebound87
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 2:08ThunderHamidou Diallo misses two point pullup jump shot87
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 2:14ThunderHamidou Diallo defensive rebound87
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 2:17RocketsMichael Frazier misses three point pullup jump shot87
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 2:34ThunderDarius Bazley turnover (out of bounds lost ball)87
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 2:48RocketsMichael Frazier makes three point jump shot (Isaiah Hartenstein assists)87
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 2:57RocketsIsaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound84
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 2:57ThunderAbdel Nader misses two point driving layup84
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 3:03ThunderMike Muscala defensive rebound84
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 3:05RocketsChris Clemons misses two point fadeaway jump shot84
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 3:22ThunderDeonte Burton makes two point cutting layup (Abdel Nader assists)84
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 3:34RocketsChris Clemons makes three point jump shot84
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 3:40RocketsThabo Sefolosha defensive rebound81
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 3:43ThunderDeonte Burton misses three point jump shot81
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 3:54RocketsChris Clemons makes two point driving floating jump shot81
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 4:07ThunderMike Muscala makes regular free throw 1 of 179
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 4:07RocketsIsaiah Hartenstein shooting foul (Mike Muscala draws the foul)79
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 4:13ThunderMike Muscala defensive rebound79
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 4:17RocketsAustin Rivers misses two point driving floating jump shot79
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 4:26ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 179
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 4:26RocketsChris Clemons shooting foul (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander draws the foul)79
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 4:36RocketsChris Clemons makes three point jump shot (Austin Rivers assists)79
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 4:49ThunderHamidou Diallo makes two point pullup jump shot (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander assists)76
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 5:02ThunderHamidou Diallo defensive rebound76
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 5:05RocketsIsaiah Hartenstein misses three point stepback jump shot76
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 5:25RocketsIsaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound76
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 5:28ThunderAbdel Nader misses three point jump shot76
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 5:42RocketsMichael Frazier personal foul (Mike Muscala draws the foul)76
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 5:56RocketsChris Clemons makes technical free throw 1 of 176
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 5:56ThunderHamidou Diallo technical foul75
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 6:02ThunderDanilo Gallinari defensive rebound75
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 6:03RocketsIsaiah Hartenstein misses two point layup75
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 6:13ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander personal foul (Take) (Chris Clemons draws the foul)75
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 6:13RocketsChris Clemons defensive rebound75
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 6:14ThunderChris Clemons blocks Hamidou Diallo's two point turnaround jump shot75
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 6:20ThunderHamidou Diallo offensive rebound75
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 6:22ThunderDanilo Gallinari misses three point pullup jump shot75
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 6:43ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound75
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 6:47RocketsIsaiah Hartenstein misses two point floating jump shot75
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 6:54RocketsRockets defensive rebound75
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 6:56ThunderDennis Schroder misses three point pullup jump shot75
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 7:01ThunderDanilo Gallinari defensive rebound75
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 7:04RocketsChris Clemons misses three point jump shot75
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 7:18ThunderChris Paul personal foul (Take) (Russell Westbrook draws the foul)75
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 7:28ThunderChris Paul makes two point running pullup jump shot75
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 7:34ThunderChris Paul defensive rebound75
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 7:37RocketsIsaiah Hartenstein misses three point jump shot75
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 7:49ThunderHamidou Diallo makes two point cutting dunk (Chris Paul assists)75
0.2%
99
99.8%
Q4 - 7:54RocketsRussell Westbrook turnover (lost ball) (Chris Paul steals)75
0.2%
97
99.8%
Q4 - 8:07RocketsP.J. Tucker defensive rebound75
0.4%
97
99.6%
Q4 - 8:10ThunderDarius Bazley misses three point jump shot75
0.4%
97
99.6%
Q4 - 8:32RocketsRussell Westbrook makes regular free throw 2 of 275
0.3%
97
99.7%
Q4 - 8:32RocketsRussell Westbrook makes regular free throw 1 of 274
0.3%
97
99.7%
Q4 - 8:32ThunderHamidou Diallo shooting foul (Russell Westbrook draws the foul)73
0.3%
97
99.7%
Q4 - 8:37ThunderDennis Schroder makes two point driving layup73
0.2%
97
99.8%
Q4 - 8:59RocketsRussell Westbrook makes two point pullup jump shot73
0.3%
95
99.7%
Q4 - 9:04RocketsIsaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound71
0.3%
95
99.7%
Q4 - 9:07ThunderHamidou Diallo misses two point driving floating jump shot71
0.3%
95
99.7%
Q4 - 9:16RocketsP.J. Tucker personal foul (Darius Bazley draws the foul)71
0.3%
95
99.7%
Q4 - 9:35RocketsIsaiah Hartenstein makes two point floating jump shot (Russell Westbrook assists)71
0.3%
95
99.7%
Q4 - 9:52ThunderSteven Adams makes two point floating jump shot (Chris Paul assists)69
0.2%
95
99.8%
Q4 - 10:00ThunderThunder defensive rebound69
0.3%
93
99.7%
Q4 - 10:01RocketsDanuel House Jr. misses three point pullup jump shot69
0.4%
93
99.6%
Q4 - 10:15ThunderChris Paul makes two point stepback jump shot69
0.5%
93
99.5%
Q4 - 10:28RocketsRussell Westbrook turnover (offensive foul)69
0.6%
91
99.4%
Q4 - 10:28RocketsRussell Westbrook offensive foul (Charge) (Hamidou Diallo draws the foul)69
0.7%
91
99.3%
Q4 - 10:41ThunderChris Paul makes two point pullup jump shot69
0.7%
91
99.3%
Q4 - 10:49ThunderSteven Adams defensive rebound69
0.9%
89
99.1%
Q4 - 10:53RocketsRussell Westbrook misses two point fadeaway jump shot69
0.9%
89
99.1%
Q4 - 11:03RocketsRockets defensive rebound69
1.3%
89
98.7%
Q4 - 11:05ThunderDennis Schroder misses two point pullup jump shot69
1.3%
89
98.7%
Q4 - 11:24RocketsBen McLemore makes two point cutting dunk (Russell Westbrook assists)69
1.1%
89
98.9%
Q4 - 11:35ThunderSteven Adams turnover (traveling)67
0.9%
89
99.1%
Q4 - 11:46RocketsRussell Westbrook turnover (offensive foul)67
0.7%
89
99.3%
Q4 - 11:46RocketsRussell Westbrook offensive foul (Chris Paul draws the foul)67
0.9%
89
99.1%
Q4 - 11:46RocketsP.J. Tucker defensive rebound67
0.9%
89
99.1%
Q4 - 11:50ThunderHamidou Diallo misses three point jump shot67
0.8%
89
99.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.67
0.7%
89
99.3%
Q3 - 0:00.4ThunderThunder offensive rebound67
0.9%
89
99.1%
Q3 - 0:00.4ThunderChris Paul misses three point pullup jump shot67
1.1%
89
98.9%
Q3 - 0:02.4ThunderChris Paul defensive rebound67
0.9%
89
99.1%
Q3 - 0:05.0RocketsRussell Westbrook misses three point pullup jump shot67
1.0%
89
99.0%
Q3 - 0:17.8RocketsBen McLemore defensive rebound67
1.1%
89
98.9%
Q3 - 0:20.9ThunderDennis Schroder misses three point jump shot67
1.1%
89
98.9%
Q3 - 0:26.5RocketsRussell Westbrook turnover (bad pass) (Chris Paul steals)67
0.9%
89
99.1%
Q3 - 0:30.9ThunderDennis Schroder turnover (palming)67
1.1%
89
98.9%
Q3 - 0:48.7RocketsRussell Westbrook makes two point cutting dunk (Clint Capela assists)67
0.9%
89
99.1%
Q3 - 0:50.3RocketsClint Capela defensive rebound65
0.7%
89
99.3%
Q3 - 0:52.2ThunderChris Paul misses two point running layup65
0.7%
89
99.3%
Q3 - 0:56.5ThunderChris Paul defensive rebound65
0.6%
89
99.4%
Q3 - 0:58.3RocketsClint Capela misses two point cutting layup65
0.6%
89
99.4%
Q3 - 1:09ThunderDennis Schroder makes two point pullup jump shot65
1.0%
89
99.0%
Q3 - 1:14ThunderHamidou Diallo defensive rebound65
1.2%
87
98.8%
Q3 - 1:16RocketsRussell Westbrook misses two point pullup jump shot65
1.2%
87
98.8%
Q3 - 1:24RocketsDanuel House Jr. defensive rebound65
1.4%
87
98.6%
Q3 - 1:27ThunderChris Paul misses three point jump shot65
1.3%
87
98.7%
Q3 - 1:46ThunderDennis Schroder defensive rebound65
1.2%
87
98.8%
Q3 - 1:48RocketsAustin Rivers misses two point running layup65
1.2%
87
98.8%
Q3 - 1:51ThunderDarius Bazley turnover (bad pass) (Austin Rivers steals)65
1.4%
87
98.6%
Q3 - 2:06RocketsRussell Westbrook makes two point driving layup65
1.5%
87
98.5%
Q3 - 2:16ThunderDennis Schroder turnover (palming)63
1.2%
87
98.8%
Q3 - 2:19ThunderMike Muscala defensive rebound63
1.0%
87
99.0%
Q3 - 2:20RocketsAustin Rivers misses two point driving layup63
1.1%
87
98.9%
Q3 - 2:30ThunderMike Muscala turnover (bad pass) (Austin Rivers steals)63
1.2%
87
98.8%
Q3 - 2:41ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound63
1.0%
87
99.0%
Q3 - 2:45RocketsBen McLemore misses three point jump shot63
1.1%
87
98.9%
Q3 - 3:02ThunderDanilo Gallinari makes regular free throw 2 of 263
1.5%
87
98.5%
Q3 - 3:02ThunderDanilo Gallinari makes regular free throw 1 of 263
1.5%
86
98.5%
Q3 - 3:02RocketsJames Harden personal foul (Danilo Gallinari draws the foul)63
1.5%
85
98.5%
Q3 - 3:08ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound63
1.7%
85
98.3%
Q3 - 3:10RocketsBen McLemore misses three point jump shot63
1.8%
85
98.2%
Q3 - 3:20ThunderDennis Schroder turnover (out of bounds lost ball)63
2.1%
85
97.9%
Q3 - 3:24ThunderDennis Schroder defensive rebound63
1.7%
85
98.3%
Q3 - 3:28RocketsP.J. Tucker misses two point driving floating jump shot63
1.8%
85
98.2%
Q3 - 3:42ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 263
2.1%
85
97.9%
Q3 - 3:42ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 263
2.1%
84
97.9%
Q3 - 3:42RocketsAustin Rivers shooting foul (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander draws the foul)63
2.2%
83
97.8%
Q3 - 3:46ThunderMike Muscala defensive rebound63
2.4%
83
97.6%
Q3 - 3:49RocketsJames Harden misses three point stepback jump shot63
2.5%
83
97.5%
Q3 - 4:15ThunderDanilo Gallinari makes two point stepback jump shot63
3.4%
83
96.6%
Q3 - 4:34RocketsRussell Westbrook personal foul (Danilo Gallinari draws the foul)63
3.8%
81
96.2%
Q3 - 4:34ThunderDanilo Gallinari defensive rebound63
3.8%
81
96.2%
Q3 - 4:34RocketsAustin Rivers misses two point driving layup63
4.1%
81
95.9%
Q3 - 4:43RocketsAustin Rivers defensive rebound63
4.6%
81
95.4%
Q3 - 4:45ThunderMike Muscala misses three point jump shot63
4.4%
81
95.6%
Q3 - 5:02ThunderMike Muscala defensive rebound63
4.5%
81
95.5%
Q3 - 5:06RocketsRussell Westbrook misses three point jump shot63
4.7%
81
95.3%
Q3 - 5:19RocketsJames Harden defensive rebound63
5.2%
81
94.8%
Q3 - 5:22ThunderDanilo Gallinari misses three point jump shot63
5.0%
81
95.0%
Q3 - 5:38RocketsJames Harden makes three point stepback jump shot63
4.4%
81
95.6%
Q3 - 5:54ThunderDanilo Gallinari makes three point jump shot (Terrance Ferguson assists)60
3.3%
81
96.7%
Q3 - 5:58ThunderMike Muscala defensive rebound60
4.4%
78
95.6%
Q3 - 5:59RocketsRussell Westbrook misses two point driving reverse layup60
4.6%
78
95.4%
Q3 - 6:05ThunderTerrance Ferguson turnover (lost ball) (Austin Rivers steals)60
5.8%
78
94.2%
Q3 - 6:20ThunderChris Paul defensive rebound60
5.0%
78
95.0%
Q3 - 6:22RocketsRussell Westbrook misses two point driving reverse layup60
5.2%
78
94.8%
Q3 - 6:35ThunderChris Paul makes regular free throw 2 of 260
5.8%
78
94.2%
Q3 - 6:35ThunderChris Paul misses regular free throw 1 of 260
5.9%
77
94.1%
Q3 - 6:35RocketsJames Harden shooting foul (Chris Paul draws the foul)60
5.2%
77
94.8%
Q3 - 6:38RocketsJames Harden turnover (bad pass) (Chris Paul steals)60
5.7%
77
94.3%
Q3 - 6:53ThunderTerrance Ferguson makes three point jump shot (Danilo Gallinari assists)60
6.7%
77
93.3%
Q3 - 7:15RocketsRussell Westbrook makes two point pullup jump shot (James Harden assists)60
9.3%
74
90.7%
Q3 - 7:29ThunderChris Paul turnover (out of bounds lost ball)58
8.2%
74
91.8%
Q3 - 7:38RocketsRussell Westbrook makes two point driving dunk (James Harden assists)58
7.0%
74
93.0%
Q3 - 7:46RocketsRockets offensive rebound56
6.2%
74
93.8%
Q3 - 7:48RocketsP.J. Tucker misses three point jump shot56
5.6%
74
94.4%
Q3 - 8:05ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander makes two point pullup jump shot56
6.6%
74
93.4%
Q3 - 8:24RocketsRussell Westbrook personal foul (Take) (Chris Paul draws the foul)56
7.4%
72
92.6%
Q3 - 8:25RocketsRussell Westbrook turnover (bad pass) (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander steals)56
7.4%
72
92.6%
Q3 - 8:32RocketsClint Capela defensive rebound56
8.6%
72
91.4%
Q3 - 8:34ThunderClint Capela blocks Shai Gilgeous-Alexander's two point driving floating jump shot56
8.2%
72
91.8%
Q3 - 8:42RocketsDanuel House Jr. turnover (out of bounds lost ball)56
7.4%
72
92.6%
Q3 - 8:58ThunderChris Paul makes three point running pullup jump shot56
8.6%
72
91.4%
Q3 - 8:59ThunderChris Paul defensive rebound56
11.0%
69
89.0%
Q3 - 9:03RocketsRussell Westbrook misses three point jump shot56
12.0%
69
88.0%
Q3 - 9:11RocketsP.J. Tucker defensive rebound56
13.2%
69
86.8%
Q3 - 9:14ThunderTerrance Ferguson misses three point jump shot56
12.7%
69
87.3%
Q3 - 9:33RocketsRussell Westbrook makes two point pullup jump shot (P.J. Tucker assists)56
11.5%
69
88.5%
Q3 - 9:51ThunderChris Paul makes two point pullup jump shot54
10.3%
69
89.7%
Q3 - 10:00ThunderChris Paul defensive rebound54
11.5%
67
88.5%
Q3 - 10:04RocketsP.J. Tucker misses three point jump shot54
12.7%
67
87.3%
Q3 - 10:07RocketsClint Capela offensive rebound54
13.9%
67
86.1%
Q3 - 10:09RocketsRussell Westbrook misses three point jump shot54
12.6%
67
87.4%
Q3 - 10:11RocketsDanuel House Jr. offensive rebound54
13.9%
67
86.1%
Q3 - 10:15RocketsJames Harden misses three point pullup jump shot54
12.6%
67
87.4%
Q3 - 10:26ThunderTerrance Ferguson makes three point jump shot (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander assists)54
13.9%
67
86.1%
Q3 - 10:43RocketsJames Harden makes two point cutting layup (P.J. Tucker assists)54
17.2%
64
82.8%
Q3 - 10:56ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander makes two point layup52
15.6%
64
84.4%
Q3 - 11:10RocketsRussell Westbrook makes two point layup52
18.0%
62
82.0%
Q3 - 11:23ThunderSteven Adams makes two point floating jump shot (Danilo Gallinari assists)50
16.2%
62
83.8%
Q3 - 11:48RocketsJames Harden makes two point driving finger roll layup50
18.0%
60
82.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.48
16.2%
60
83.8%
Q2 - 0:00.2RocketsP.J. Tucker defensive rebound48
16.7%
60
83.3%
Q2 - 0:02.5ThunderChris Paul misses two point driving layup48
16.4%
60
83.6%
Q2 - 0:26.2RocketsJames Harden makes three point stepback jump shot48
15.4%
60
84.6%
Q2 - 0:37.7ThunderTerrance Ferguson turnover (offensive foul)45
11.9%
60
88.1%
Q2 - 0:37.7ThunderTerrance Ferguson offensive foul (Charge) (Clint Capela draws the foul)45
11.0%
60
89.0%
Q2 - 0:46.4ThunderSteven Adams offensive rebound45
11.0%
60
89.0%
Q2 - 0:48.0ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander misses two point driving finger roll layup45
11.6%
60
88.4%
Q2 - 0:56.9RocketsJames Harden makes regular free throw 3 of 345
11.0%
60
89.0%
Q2 - 0:56.9RocketsJames Harden makes regular free throw 2 of 344
10.8%
60
89.2%
Q2 - 0:56.9RocketsJames Harden makes regular free throw 1 of 343
10.6%
60
89.4%
Q2 - 0:56.9ThunderDennis Schroder shooting foul (James Harden draws the foul)42
10.5%
60
89.5%
Q2 - 1:04ThunderDanilo Gallinari makes regular free throw 2 of 242
9.0%
60
91.0%
Q2 - 1:04ThunderDanilo Gallinari makes regular free throw 1 of 242
9.1%
59
90.9%
Q2 - 1:04RocketsAustin Rivers personal foul (Danilo Gallinari draws the foul)42
9.2%
58
90.8%
Q2 - 1:18RocketsP.J. Tucker turnover (offensive foul)42
10.5%
58
89.5%
Q2 - 1:18RocketsP.J. Tucker offensive foul (Dennis Schroder draws the foul)42
11.2%
58
88.8%
Q2 - 1:34ThunderSteven Adams makes regular free throw 2 of 242
11.2%
58
88.8%
Q2 - 1:34ThunderSteven Adams makes regular free throw 1 of 242
11.7%
57
88.3%
Q2 - 1:34RocketsP.J. Tucker shooting foul (Steven Adams draws the foul)42
12.3%
56
87.7%
Q2 - 1:56RocketsRussell Westbrook makes two point turnaround bank jump shot42
13.1%
56
86.9%
Q2 - 2:06ThunderTerrance Ferguson turnover (out of bounds bad pass)40
12.3%
56
87.7%
Q2 - 2:19ThunderSteven Adams defensive rebound40
11.0%
56
89.0%
Q2 - 2:19RocketsJames Harden misses three point stepback jump shot40
11.4%
56
88.6%
Q2 - 2:29ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander makes two point driving layup40
12.2%
56
87.8%
Q2 - 2:49RocketsClint Capela makes two point tip layup40
13.6%
54
86.4%
Q2 - 2:49RocketsClint Capela offensive rebound38
12.2%
54
87.8%
Q2 - 2:50RocketsClint Capela misses two point cutting layup38
11.3%
54
88.7%
Q2 - 3:01ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander makes two point driving layup (Danilo Gallinari assists)38
13.3%
54
86.7%
Q2 - 3:04ThunderDanilo Gallinari defensive rebound38
14.5%
52
85.5%
Q2 - 3:06RocketsJames Harden misses two point driving layup38
15.0%
52
85.0%
Q2 - 3:22ThunderDanilo Gallinari makes two point layup (Dennis Schroder assists)38
16.1%
52
83.9%
Q2 - 3:39RocketsP.J. Tucker turnover (out of bounds bad pass)38
17.5%
50
82.5%
Q2 - 3:55RocketsJames Harden defensive rebound38
19.4%
50
80.6%
Q2 - 3:57ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander misses two point reverse layup38
18.8%
50
81.2%
Q2 - 4:06RocketsDanuel House Jr. personal foul (Dennis Schroder draws the foul)38
18.4%
50
81.6%
Q2 - 4:17RocketsClint Capela makes two point cutting dunk (Ben McLemore assists)38
18.4%
50
81.6%
Q2 - 4:35RocketsP.J. Tucker defensive rebound36
16.7%
50
83.3%
Q2 - 4:37ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander misses two point driving finger roll layup36
16.3%
50
83.7%
Q2 - 4:49ThunderDennis Schroder defensive rebound36
15.2%
50
84.8%
Q2 - 4:54RocketsBen McLemore misses three point jump shot36
15.7%
50
84.3%
Q2 - 5:07ThunderDennis Schroder personal foul (Clint Capela draws the foul)36
17.4%
50
82.6%
Q2 - 5:07RocketsClint Capela offensive rebound36
17.4%
50
82.6%
Q2 - 5:10RocketsTerrance Ferguson blocks James Harden's two point driving layup36
16.1%
50
83.9%
Q2 - 5:19RocketsRockets offensive rebound36
17.4%
50
82.6%
Q2 - 5:19RocketsClint Capela misses two point tip layup36
16.1%
50
83.9%
Q2 - 5:19RocketsClint Capela offensive rebound36
17.4%
50
82.6%
Q2 - 5:20RocketsJames Harden misses two point driving layup36
16.1%
50
83.9%
Q2 - 5:44RocketsRockets defensive rebound36
17.4%
50
82.6%
Q2 - 5:45ThunderDanilo Gallinari misses three point pullup jump shot36
16.8%
50
83.2%
Q2 - 6:00RocketsP.J. Tucker turnover (bad pass) (Chris Paul steals)36
15.6%
50
84.4%
Q2 - 6:07RocketsRussell Westbrook defensive rebound36
18.0%
50
82.0%
Q2 - 6:09ThunderChris Paul misses three point stepback jump shot36
17.4%
50
82.6%
Q2 - 6:21ThunderDanilo Gallinari offensive rebound36
16.1%
50
83.9%
Q2 - 6:24ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander misses three point stepback jump shot36
17.4%
50
82.6%
Q2 - 6:45RocketsRussell Westbrook makes two point layup36
16.1%
50
83.9%
Q2 - 7:01ThunderDanilo Gallinari makes two point driving dunk34
15.7%
50
84.3%
Q2 - 7:15ThunderDanilo Gallinari defensive rebound34
17.1%
48
82.9%
Q2 - 7:18RocketsTerrance Ferguson blocks James Harden's two point driving floating jump shot34
17.5%
48
82.5%
Q2 - 7:29ThunderMike Muscala turnover (offensive foul)34
18.6%
48
81.4%
Q2 - 7:29ThunderMike Muscala offensive foul (Charge) (Clint Capela draws the foul)34
17.0%
48
83.0%
Q2 - 7:40RocketsClint Capela personal foul (Away from play) (Mike Muscala draws the foul)34
17.0%
48
83.0%
Q2 - 7:42ThunderHamidou Diallo offensive rebound34
17.0%
48
83.0%
Q2 - 7:44ThunderChris Paul misses two point floating jump shot34
18.1%
48
81.9%
Q2 - 7:55ThunderDennis Schroder defensive rebound34
17.0%
48
83.0%
Q2 - 7:57RocketsAustin Rivers misses two point driving finger roll layup34
17.5%
48
82.5%
Q2 - 8:00RocketsBen McLemore offensive rebound34
18.6%
48
81.4%
Q2 - 8:03RocketsClint Capela misses two point driving hook shot34
17.8%
48
82.2%
Q2 - 8:20ThunderSteven Adams makes two point floating jump shot (Abdel Nader assists)34
18.9%
48
81.1%
Q2 - 8:36RocketsBen McLemore makes three point jump shot (Russell Westbrook assists)34
20.4%
46
79.6%
Q2 - 9:02ThunderSteven Adams makes two point alley-oop dunk (Chris Paul assists)31
18.0%
46
82.0%
Q2 - 9:21RocketsRussell Westbrook makes two point bank jump shot31
19.3%
44
80.7%
Q2 - 9:37ThunderSteven Adams makes regular free throw 2 of 229
17.9%
44
82.1%
Q2 - 9:37ThunderSteven Adams misses regular free throw 1 of 229
18.5%
43
81.5%
Q2 - 9:37RocketsRussell Westbrook shooting foul (Steven Adams draws the foul)29
17.7%
43
82.3%
Q2 - 9:50RocketsClint Capela makes regular free throw 2 of 229
17.8%
43
82.2%
Q2 - 9:50RocketsClint Capela makes regular free throw 1 of 228
17.3%
43
82.7%
Q2 - 9:50ThunderSteven Adams shooting foul (Clint Capela draws the foul)27
16.7%
43
83.3%
Q2 - 10:02ThunderDennis Schroder makes three point jump shot (Chris Paul assists)27
17.0%
43
83.0%
Q2 - 10:13RocketsRussell Westbrook makes regular free throw 2 of 227
19.7%
40
80.3%
Q2 - 10:13RocketsRussell Westbrook misses regular free throw 1 of 226
19.4%
40
80.6%
Q2 - 10:13ThunderHamidou Diallo shooting foul (Russell Westbrook draws the foul)26
20.6%
40
79.4%
Q2 - 10:24RocketsClint Capela defensive rebound26
19.8%
40
80.2%
Q2 - 10:28ThunderAbdel Nader misses three point jump shot26
19.3%
40
80.7%
Q2 - 10:31ThunderSteven Adams defensive rebound26
18.2%
40
81.8%
Q2 - 10:34RocketsDanuel House Jr. misses three point pullup jump shot26
18.7%
40
81.3%
Q2 - 10:45ThunderSteven Adams makes two point driving hook shot26
19.8%
40
80.2%
Q2 - 11:02RocketsRussell Westbrook makes regular free throw 2 of 226
21.9%
38
78.1%
Q2 - 11:02RocketsRussell Westbrook makes regular free throw 1 of 225
21.5%
38
78.5%
Q2 - 11:02ThunderHamidou Diallo shooting foul (Russell Westbrook draws the foul)24
21.1%
38
78.9%
Q2 - 11:10RocketsClint Capela defensive rebound24
20.2%
38
79.8%
Q2 - 11:12ThunderHamidou Diallo misses regular free throw 2 of 224
20.0%
38
80.0%
Q2 - 11:12ThunderHamidou Diallo makes regular free throw 1 of 224
19.1%
38
80.9%
Q2 - 11:12RocketsDanuel House Jr. shooting foul (Hamidou Diallo draws the foul)24
19.6%
37
80.4%
Q2 - 11:13ThunderAbdel Nader offensive rebound24
20.3%
37
79.7%
Q2 - 11:13ThunderDarius Bazley misses two point tip layup24
21.3%
37
78.7%
Q2 - 11:13ThunderDarius Bazley offensive rebound24
20.3%
37
79.7%
Q2 - 11:17ThunderDarius Bazley misses two point driving layup24
21.3%
37
78.7%
Q2 - 11:37RocketsDanuel House Jr. makes three point jump shot24
20.2%
37
79.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.21
17.3%
37
82.7%
Q1 - 0:00.8RocketsBen McLemore makes three point jump shot (Russell Westbrook assists)21
16.5%
37
83.5%
Q1 - 0:23.4ThunderDennis Schroder makes two point pullup jump shot18
13.8%
37
86.2%
Q1 - 0:40.9RocketsRussell Westbrook makes two point driving layup18
15.2%
35
84.8%
Q1 - 0:49.8ThunderAbdel Nader makes two point pullup jump shot (Steven Adams assists)16
13.8%
35
86.2%
Q1 - 1:01ThunderSteven Adams defensive rebound16
15.5%
33
84.5%
Q1 - 1:05RocketsRussell Westbrook misses three point pullup jump shot16
15.8%
33
84.2%
Q1 - 1:13RocketsClint Capela defensive rebound16
16.4%
33
83.6%
Q1 - 1:14ThunderDarius Bazley misses three point jump shot16
16.1%
33
83.9%
Q1 - 1:21ThunderSteven Adams defensive rebound16
15.4%
33
84.6%
Q1 - 1:26RocketsAustin Rivers misses three point jump shot16
15.7%
33
84.3%
Q1 - 1:29ThunderDennis Schroder personal foul (Russell Westbrook draws the foul)16
16.4%
33
83.6%
Q1 - 1:39ThunderDennis Schroder makes three point jump shot (Abdel Nader assists)16
16.4%
33
83.6%
Q1 - 1:52ThunderDennis Schroder defensive rebound16
19.4%
30
80.6%
Q1 - 1:55RocketsClint Capela misses two point alley-oop layup16
19.7%
30
80.3%
Q1 - 2:00RocketsChris Clemons defensive rebound16
20.5%
30
79.5%
Q1 - 2:04ThunderHamidou Diallo misses two point driving layup16
20.8%
30
79.2%
Q1 - 2:20RocketsClint Capela makes two point layup (Austin Rivers assists)16
19.7%
30
80.3%
Q1 - 2:31RocketsClint Capela defensive rebound14
18.3%
30
81.7%
Q1 - 2:33ThunderMike Muscala misses regular free throw 2 of 214
18.2%
30
81.8%
Q1 - 2:33ThunderMike Muscala makes regular free throw 1 of 214
17.2%
30
82.8%
Q1 - 2:33RocketsAustin Rivers shooting foul (Mike Muscala draws the foul)14
17.4%
29
82.6%
Q1 - 2:53RocketsBen McLemore turnover (out of bounds lost ball)14
18.3%
29
81.7%
Q1 - 2:57ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander makes two point driving layup (Mike Muscala assists)14
19.7%
29
80.3%
Q1 - 3:10ThunderDanilo Gallinari defensive rebound14
21.4%
27
78.6%
Q1 - 3:14RocketsP.J. Tucker misses three point jump shot14
21.9%
27
78.1%
Q1 - 3:31ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander makes three point stepback jump shot14
23.2%
27
76.8%
Q1 - 3:48ThunderThunder defensive rebound14
26.1%
24
73.9%
Q1 - 3:50RocketsJames Harden misses three point stepback jump shot14
26.7%
24
73.3%
Q1 - 3:59RocketsBen McLemore defensive rebound14
28.1%
24
71.9%
Q1 - 4:00ThunderMike Muscala misses two point tip layup14
27.5%
24
72.5%
Q1 - 4:00ThunderMike Muscala offensive rebound14
26.1%
24
73.9%
Q1 - 4:02ThunderDennis Schroder misses two point driving layup14
28.0%
24
72.0%
Q1 - 4:21ThunderDanilo Gallinari defensive rebound14
26.6%
24
73.4%
Q1 - 4:24RocketsBen McLemore misses three point jump shot14
27.2%
24
72.8%
Q1 - 4:37RocketsRockets defensive rebound14
28.6%
24
71.4%
Q1 - 4:38ThunderChris Paul misses three point pullup jump shot14
28.0%
24
72.0%
Q1 - 4:56ThunderDanilo Gallinari defensive rebound14
26.6%
24
73.4%
Q1 - 4:58RocketsRussell Westbrook misses two point floating jump shot14
27.2%
24
72.8%
Q1 - 5:08ThunderDennis Schroder makes two point driving layup14
29.3%
24
70.7%
Q1 - 5:14ThunderMike Muscala defensive rebound14
30.9%
22
69.1%
Q1 - 5:16RocketsJames Harden misses two point driving layup14
31.5%
22
68.5%
Q1 - 5:24RocketsBen McLemore defensive rebound14
32.8%
22
67.2%
Q1 - 5:27ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander misses three point jump shot14
32.2%
22
67.8%
Q1 - 5:53RocketsRussell Westbrook makes two point driving layup14
30.9%
22
69.1%
Q1 - 6:06ThunderSteven Adams makes two point hook shot (Danilo Gallinari assists)12
29.8%
22
70.2%
Q1 - 6:12ThunderDanilo Gallinari defensive rebound12
31.5%
20
68.5%
Q1 - 6:14RocketsJames Harden misses three point stepback jump shot12
32.0%
20
68.0%
Q1 - 6:36ThunderChris Paul makes three point jump shot12
33.1%
20
66.9%
Q1 - 6:45RocketsRussell Westbrook makes three point pullup jump shot12
36.7%
17
63.3%
Q1 - 6:54ThunderDanilo Gallinari makes two point turnaround jump shot9
33.1%
17
66.9%
Q1 - 7:13RocketsRussell Westbrook turnover (lost ball) (Danilo Gallinari steals)9
35.3%
15
64.7%
Q1 - 7:16RocketsP.J. Tucker defensive rebound9
37.2%
15
62.8%
Q1 - 7:18ThunderJames Harden blocks Steven Adams's two point layup9
36.6%
15
63.4%
Q1 - 7:25ThunderDanilo Gallinari defensive rebound9
35.2%
15
64.8%
Q1 - 7:29RocketsJames Harden misses three point stepback jump shot9
35.8%
15
64.2%
Q1 - 7:47ThunderDennis Schroder makes two point jump shot (Chris Paul assists)9
37.1%
15
62.9%
Q1 - 7:49ThunderThunder offensive rebound9
38.7%
13
61.3%
Q1 - 7:49ThunderDanilo Gallinari misses two point driving layup9
40.1%
13
59.9%
Q1 - 7:59RocketsDanuel House Jr. personal foul (Steven Adams draws the foul)9
38.7%
13
61.3%
Q1 - 8:10ThunderSteven Adams defensive rebound9
39.1%
13
60.9%
Q1 - 8:12RocketsRussell Westbrook misses two point pullup jump shot9
39.7%
13
60.3%
Q1 - 8:24ThunderTerrance Ferguson personal foul (James Harden draws the foul)9
41.0%
13
59.0%
Q1 - 8:38ThunderDanilo Gallinari makes three point jump shot (Steven Adams assists)9
41.0%
13
59.0%
Q1 - 8:54ThunderSteven Adams defensive rebound9
44.4%
10
55.6%
Q1 - 8:56RocketsJames Harden misses three point jump shot9
45.0%
10
55.0%
Q1 - 9:10ThunderDanilo Gallinari makes three point jump shot (Steven Adams assists)9
46.4%
10
53.6%
Q1 - 9:23RocketsRussell Westbrook makes two point running layup (James Harden assists)9
49.7%
7
50.3%
Q1 - 9:30ThunderChris Paul makes three point jump shot (Terrance Ferguson assists)7
48.3%
7
51.7%
Q1 - 9:32ThunderTerrance Ferguson offensive rebound7
51.5%
4
48.5%
Q1 - 9:37ThunderTerrance Ferguson misses three point jump shot7
53.1%
4
46.9%
Q1 - 9:58RocketsJames Harden makes regular free throw 2 of 27
51.6%
4
48.4%
Q1 - 9:58RocketsJames Harden makes regular free throw 1 of 26
51.4%
4
48.6%
Q1 - 9:58ThunderTerrance Ferguson shooting foul (James Harden draws the foul)5
51.1%
4
48.9%
Q1 - 10:06ThunderDanilo Gallinari makes regular free throw 2 of 25
49.9%
4
50.1%
Q1 - 10:06ThunderDanilo Gallinari makes regular free throw 1 of 25
50.1%
3
49.9%
Q1 - 10:06RocketsClint Capela shooting foul (Danilo Gallinari draws the foul)5
50.2%
2
49.8%
Q1 - 10:31RocketsP.J. Tucker makes three point jump shot (Russell Westbrook assists)5
51.5%
2
48.5%
Q1 - 10:45RocketsClint Capela defensive rebound2
48.1%
2
51.9%
Q1 - 10:47ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander misses two point driving finger roll layup2
47.5%
2
52.5%
Q1 - 10:59RocketsJames Harden makes two point driving layup2
46.1%
2
53.9%
Q1 - 11:00RocketsJames Harden offensive rebound0
44.5%
2
55.5%
Q1 - 11:03RocketsRussell Westbrook misses two point pullup jump shot0
43.0%
2
57.0%
Q1 - 11:18ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander makes two point driving finger roll layup0
44.3%
2
55.7%
Q1 - 11:26RocketsRussell Westbrook turnover (bad pass) (Steven Adams steals)0
46.1%
0
53.9%
Q1 - 11:33RocketsRussell Westbrook defensive rebound0
48.0%
0
52.0%
Q1 - 11:35ThunderSteven Adams misses two point turnaround hook shot0
47.4%
0
52.6%
Q1 - 12:00Clint Capela vs. Steven Adams (Chris Paul gains possession)0
46.1%
0
53.9%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

HOU
0.96 47.9%
OKC
1.14 57.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
HOU
17
33
52%
OKC
17
32
53%
Midrange
HOU
6
16
38%
OKC
15
23
65%
3PT | Effective 3PT
HOU
11
16.5
40
28%
41%
OKC
11
16.5
32
34%
52%
Free Throws
HOU
13
14
93%
OKC
16
20
80%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
HOU logo Rockets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Westbrook3459%17.0 / 29
J. Harden1745%8.5 / 19
C. Clemons1478%7.0 / 9
C. Capela844%4.0 / 9
B. McLemore857%4.0 / 7
P. Tucker330%1.5 / 5
D. House350%1.5 / 3
M. Frazier375%1.5 / 2
I. Hartenstein220%1.0 / 5
A. Rivers0-0.0 / 7
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
OKC logo Thunder
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Gallinari2382%11.5 / 14
S. Gilgeous-Alexander2063%10.0 / 16
C. Paul1860%9.0 / 15
D. Schröder1673%8.0 / 11
S. Adams1575%7.5 / 10
T. Ferguson675%3.0 / 4
H. Diallo531%2.5 / 8
M. Muscala450%2.0 / 4
D. Burton467%2.0 / 3
A. Nader217%1.0 / 6
D. Bazley0-0.0 / 4
J. Patton0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

HOU
86
+10
-14
96
OKC
88
+11
-13
99
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

HOU
0.96 47.9%
OKC
1.14 57.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
112.8
110.5
HOU 92.0 +19.9
OKC 111.9
Pace
103.9
99.0
HOU 107.4 +12.9
OKC 94.5
Avg. Poss. Time
13.3
14.6
HOU 13.4 +1.8
OKC 15.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
53.7%
53.0%
HOU 44.4%
OKC 55.7% +11.3%
TO %
13.5%
13.0%
HOU 12.8%
OKC 11.9% +0.9%
ORB %
20.9%
19.4%
HOU 15.7%
OKC 22.5% +6.8%
FTrt
28.7
29.0
HOU 15.7
OKC 23.0 +7.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
53.0%
54.3%
HOU 47.1%
OKC 51.2% +4.1%
STL %
8.4%
7.7%
HOU 4.0%
OKC 7.9% +3.9%
BLK %
9.1%
8.7%
HOU 5.5% +1.4%
OKC 4.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.05 and 2.05.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
56.8%
55.9%
HOU 47.9%
OKC 57.1% +9.2%
Rim FG%
62.0%
60.4%
HOU 51.5%
OKC 53.1% +1.6%
Mid FG%
38.8%
44.6%
HOU 37.5%
OKC 65.2% +27.7%
3P %
34.5%
35.5%
HOU 27.5%
OKC 34.4% +6.9%
FT %
79.2%
79.6%
HOU 92.9% +12.9%
OKC 80.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
36.3%
34.2%
HOU 37.1% +0.3%
OKC 36.8%
Mid Att. %
13.6%
30.5%
HOU 18.0% +8.5%
OKC 26.4%
3P Att. %
50.1%
35.3%
HOU 44.9% +8.2%
OKC 36.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.79 and 2.79.
Game TotalsHOUOKC
Possessions100101
Possession Minutes22.325.7
Points92113
Rebounds3952
Assists1622
Steals48
Blocks32
Turnovers (Team)14 (0)13 (0)
Fouls2113
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (2)9 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)31 (4)43 (2)
Field Goals34-8943-87
At-the-Rim FG17-3317-32
Midrange FG6-1615-23
2-Point FG23-4932-55
3-Point FG11-4011-32
Free Throws13-1416-20
Fast Break Pts612
2nd Chance Pts68
Points in Paint3848
Pts off Turnovers1116
Bench Points2731
Biggest Lead330

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#0 · PG · 6'3" 200 · 31
34.0
34
59%
2
5
0
0
7
5
0
2
5-6
83%
13-20
65%
1-6
17%
#17 · PF · 6'6" 245 · 35
32.4
3
30%
6
2
0
0
3
3
0
6
0-0
-
0-1
0%
1-4
25%
#15 · C · 6'10" 256 · 26
28.9
8
44%
11
1
0
1
0
2
4
7
2-2
100%
3-8
38%
0-0
-
#4 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 27
28.7
3
50%
2
0
0
0
1
3
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-3
33%
#13 · SG · 6'5" 220 · 30
26.6
17
45%
3
3
0
1
1
2
1
2
5-5
100%
3-8
38%
2-9
22%
#25 · SG · 6'4" 200 · 27
26.8
0
0%
1
2
3
0
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
0-5
0%
0-2
0%
#16 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 27
25.6
8
57%
4
1
0
0
1
0
1
3
0-0
-
1-1
100%
2-6
33%
#55 · C · 7'0" 250 · 22
12.0
2
20%
4
2
1
0
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-2
0%
#3 · PG · 5'9" 180 · 22
11.9
14
78%
3
0
0
1
1
1
0
3
1-1
100%
2-3
67%
3-6
50%
#18 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 36
7.3
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
#21 · SG · 6'4" 200 · 26
5.9
3
75%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-2
50%
#10 · SG · 6'3" 215 · 31
DNP - Injury/Illness | Right Knee; Soreness
#19 · C · 7'1" 240 · 37
DNP - Coach's Decision
#42 · C · 6'11" 250 · 37
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Adductor; Strain
#52 · SF · 6'8" 207 · 26
INACTIVE
#14 · SG · 6'7" 205 · 34
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Cuneiform; Fracture
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
92
48%
39
16
4
3
14
21
8
31
13-14
93%
23-49
47%
11-40
28%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.