FinalWin Prob.pScore
1046%108
122
1254%109
108
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
124.598100.7
IND logo IND
112.59694.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

PacersHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

PacersHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAIND
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.122
100%
108
0%
Q4 - 0:18.5PacersAaron Holiday turnover (bad pass) (Derrick Jones Jr. steals)122
99.9%
108
0.1%
Q4 - 0:26.8PacersJaKarr Sampson defensive rebound122
99.9%
108
0.1%
Q4 - 0:30.1HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot122
99.9%
108
0.1%
Q4 - 0:44.0PacersAlize Johnson makes regular free throw 2 of 2122
99.9%
108
0.1%
Q4 - 0:44.0PacersAlize Johnson misses regular free throw 1 of 2122
99.9%
107
0.1%
Q4 - 0:44.0HeatDuncan Robinson personal foul (Loose ball) (Alize Johnson draws the foul)122
99.9%
107
0.1%
Q4 - 0:44.0PacersPacers offensive rebound122
99.9%
107
0.1%
Q4 - 0:47.9PacersEdmond Sumner misses three point pullup jump shot122
99.9%
107
0.1%
Q4 - 1:00PacersGoga Bitadze defensive rebound122
99.9%
107
0.1%
Q4 - 1:03HeatKendrick Nunn misses three point jump shot122
99.9%
107
0.1%
Q4 - 1:23PacersJaKarr Sampson makes two point driving finger roll layup (Edmond Sumner assists)122
99.9%
107
0.1%
Q4 - 1:28PacersEdmond Sumner defensive rebound122
99.9%
105
0.1%
Q4 - 1:31HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving floating jump shot122
99.9%
105
0.1%
Q4 - 1:44PacersEdmond Sumner makes three point jump shot (Aaron Holiday assists)122
99.9%
105
0.1%
Q4 - 1:51HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving floating jump shot (Kendrick Nunn assists)122
99.9%
102
0.1%
Q4 - 2:02PacersGoga Bitadze makes regular free throw 2 of 2120
99.9%
102
0.1%
Q4 - 2:02PacersGoga Bitadze makes regular free throw 1 of 2120
99.9%
101
0.1%
Q4 - 2:02HeatChris Silva shooting foul (Goga Bitadze draws the foul)120
99.9%
100
0.1%
Q4 - 2:11HeatKendrick Nunn makes two point pullup jump shot120
99.9%
100
0.1%
Q4 - 2:21PacersAaron Holiday makes regular free throw 1 of 1118
99.9%
100
0.1%
Q4 - 2:21HeatKendrick Nunn shooting foul (Aaron Holiday draws the foul)118
99.9%
99
0.1%
Q4 - 2:28PacersPacers offensive rebound118
99.9%
97
0.1%
Q4 - 2:29PacersDerrick Jones Jr. blocks Alize Johnson's two point driving layup118
99.9%
97
0.1%
Q4 - 2:42HeatDerrick Jones Jr. makes two point alley-oop dunk (Duncan Robinson assists)118
99.9%
97
0.1%
Q4 - 2:49HeatTyler Herro offensive rebound116
99.9%
97
0.1%
Q4 - 2:54HeatDerrick Jones Jr. misses three point jump shot116
99.9%
97
0.1%
Q4 - 3:17PacersDoug McDermott makes two point tip dunk116
99.9%
97
0.1%
Q4 - 3:17PacersDoug McDermott offensive rebound116
99.9%
95
0.1%
Q4 - 3:19PacersJeremy Lamb misses two point driving floating jump shot116
99.9%
95
0.1%
Q4 - 3:30HeatTyler Herro makes three point jump shot (Duncan Robinson assists)116
99.9%
95
0.1%
Q4 - 3:35HeatDerrick Jones Jr. defensive rebound113
99.9%
95
0.1%
Q4 - 3:40PacersDoug McDermott misses two point running finger roll layup113
99.8%
95
0.2%
Q4 - 3:43PacersJeremy Lamb defensive rebound113
99.8%
95
0.2%
Q4 - 3:47HeatGoran Dragic misses two point driving floating bank jump shot113
99.8%
95
0.2%
Q4 - 4:05PacersDomantas Sabonis makes regular free throw 2 of 2113
99.9%
95
0.1%
Q4 - 4:05PacersDomantas Sabonis misses regular free throw 1 of 2113
99.9%
94
0.1%
Q4 - 4:05HeatMeyers Leonard shooting foul (Domantas Sabonis draws the foul)113
99.9%
94
0.1%
Q4 - 4:21PacersDomantas Sabonis defensive rebound113
99.9%
94
0.1%
Q4 - 4:24HeatTyler Herro misses two point stepback jump shot113
99.9%
94
0.1%
Q4 - 4:35HeatMeyers Leonard defensive rebound113
99.9%
94
0.1%
Q4 - 4:38PacersAaron Holiday misses two point pullup jump shot113
99.9%
94
0.1%
Q4 - 4:46HeatGoran Dragic turnover (offensive foul)113
99.9%
94
0.1%
Q4 - 4:46HeatGoran Dragic offensive foul (Aaron Holiday draws the foul)113
99.9%
94
0.1%
Q4 - 4:56PacersDomantas Sabonis makes two point stepback jump shot (Doug McDermott assists)113
99.9%
94
0.1%
Q4 - 5:01PacersMyles Turner offensive rebound113
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 5:04PacersJeremy Lamb misses three point jump shot113
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 5:14HeatJustise Winslow turnover (kicked ball violation)113
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 5:14HeatHeat offensive rebound113
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 5:16HeatMyles Turner blocks Tyler Herro's two point driving finger roll layup113
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 5:35PacersJeremy Lamb makes two point putback layup113
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 5:36PacersJeremy Lamb offensive rebound113
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 5:38PacersJeremy Lamb misses two point floating jump shot113
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 5:42PacersPacers offensive rebound113
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 5:47PacersMyles Turner misses three point jump shot113
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 5:52PacersDomantas Sabonis defensive rebound113
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 5:56HeatGoran Dragic misses two point pullup jump shot113
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 6:11PacersDomantas Sabonis makes regular free throw 1 of 1113
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 6:11HeatMeyers Leonard shooting foul (Domantas Sabonis draws the foul)113
99.9%
89
0.1%
Q4 - 6:19PacersDomantas Sabonis defensive rebound113
99.9%
87
0.1%
Q4 - 6:21HeatDerrick Jones Jr. misses regular free throw 2 of 2113
99.9%
87
0.1%
Q4 - 6:21HeatDerrick Jones Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2113
99.9%
87
0.1%
Q4 - 6:21PacersMyles Turner shooting foul (Derrick Jones Jr. draws the foul)112
99.9%
87
0.1%
Q4 - 6:38HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound112
99.9%
87
0.1%
Q4 - 6:40PacersMyles Turner misses regular free throw 1 of 1112
99.9%
87
0.1%
Q4 - 6:40HeatJustise Winslow shooting foul (Myles Turner draws the foul)112
99.9%
87
0.1%
Q4 - 6:55PacersMyles Turner defensive rebound112
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 6:58HeatJustise Winslow misses two point driving layup112
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 7:08HeatDerrick Jones Jr. defensive rebound112
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 7:12PacersJustise Winslow blocks Doug McDermott's three point jump shot112
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 7:32HeatTyler Herro makes three point pullup jump shot112
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 7:39HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound109
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 7:42PacersDoug McDermott misses three point jump shot109
99.8%
85
0.2%
Q4 - 7:56HeatTyler Herro makes two point stepback jump shot109
99.8%
85
0.2%
Q4 - 8:10PacersJustin Holiday makes two point running layup107
99.6%
85
0.4%
Q4 - 8:13PacersJustin Holiday defensive rebound107
99.7%
83
0.3%
Q4 - 8:16HeatGoran Dragic misses three point pullup jump shot107
99.7%
83
0.3%
Q4 - 8:36PacersEdmond Sumner makes two point driving dunk (Justin Holiday assists)107
99.8%
83
0.2%
Q4 - 8:39PacersJustin Holiday defensive rebound107
99.8%
81
0.2%
Q4 - 8:44HeatDerrick Jones Jr. misses two point alley-oop dunk107
99.8%
81
0.2%
Q4 - 8:50PacersT.J. McConnell turnover (lost ball) (Goran Dragic steals)107
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 9:01HeatDerrick Jones Jr. makes two point alley-oop dunk (Goran Dragic assists)107
99.7%
81
0.3%
Q4 - 9:12PacersDomantas Sabonis makes regular free throw 2 of 2105
99.7%
81
0.3%
Q4 - 9:12PacersDomantas Sabonis makes regular free throw 1 of 2105
99.7%
80
0.3%
Q4 - 9:12HeatMeyers Leonard shooting foul (Domantas Sabonis draws the foul)105
99.7%
79
0.3%
Q4 - 9:21HeatJustise Winslow personal foul (Justin Holiday draws the foul)105
99.7%
79
0.3%
Q4 - 9:43HeatGoran Dragic makes two point cutting layup (Justise Winslow assists)105
99.7%
79
0.3%
Q4 - 10:01PacersDomantas Sabonis makes two point cutting dunk (Edmond Sumner assists)103
99.5%
79
0.5%
Q4 - 10:06HeatTyler Herro turnover (lost ball) (Edmond Sumner steals)103
99.6%
77
0.4%
Q4 - 10:16PacersT.J. McConnell makes two point running finger roll layup103
99.7%
77
0.3%
Q4 - 10:19PacersT.J. McConnell defensive rebound103
99.8%
75
0.2%
Q4 - 10:23HeatTyler Herro misses three point stepback jump shot103
99.8%
75
0.2%
Q4 - 10:45PacersJustin Holiday makes three point jump shot (T.J. McConnell assists)103
99.8%
75
0.2%
Q4 - 10:53HeatDerrick Jones Jr. turnover (lost ball) (Edmond Sumner steals)103
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 10:57PacersDoug McDermott turnover (lost ball) (Justise Winslow steals)103
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 11:22HeatGoran Dragic makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)103
99.8%
72
0.2%
Q4 - 11:36PacersEdmond Sumner turnover (traveling)100
99.8%
72
0.2%
Q4 - 11:46PacersDomantas Sabonis defensive rebound100
99.7%
72
0.3%
Q4 - 11:49HeatDerrick Jones Jr. misses three point jump shot100
99.7%
72
0.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.100
99.8%
72
0.2%
Q3 - 0:00.5HeatHeat offensive rebound100
99.7%
72
0.3%
Q3 - 0:00.5HeatDerrick Jones Jr. misses three point running pullup jump shot100
99.6%
72
0.4%
Q3 - 0:04.8HeatDerrick Jones Jr. defensive rebound100
99.7%
72
0.3%
Q3 - 0:07.5PacersT.J. McConnell misses two point pullup jump shot100
99.6%
72
0.4%
Q3 - 0:13.7HeatGoran Dragic makes regular free throw 2 of 2100
99.6%
72
0.4%
Q3 - 0:13.7HeatGoran Dragic makes regular free throw 1 of 299
99.6%
72
0.4%
Q3 - 0:13.7PacersT.J. McConnell personal foul (Goran Dragic draws the foul)98
99.5%
72
0.5%
Q3 - 0:31.5HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound98
99.5%
72
0.5%
Q3 - 0:33.4PacersEdmond Sumner misses two point driving layup98
99.5%
72
0.5%
Q3 - 0:46.8HeatMeyers Leonard makes three point jump shot (Goran Dragic assists)98
99.4%
72
0.6%
Q3 - 1:03PacersEdmond Sumner makes two point driving layup (T.J. McConnell assists)95
98.8%
72
1.2%
Q3 - 1:16HeatGoran Dragic makes two point pullup jump shot95
99.0%
70
1.0%
Q3 - 1:30PacersJustin Holiday makes regular free throw 1 of 193
98.8%
70
1.2%
Q3 - 1:30HeatDerrick Jones Jr. shooting foul (Justin Holiday draws the foul)93
98.8%
69
1.2%
Q3 - 1:37PacersJustin Holiday defensive rebound93
99.3%
66
0.7%
Q3 - 1:40HeatMeyers Leonard misses three point jump shot93
99.4%
66
0.6%
Q3 - 1:56HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound93
99.5%
66
0.5%
Q3 - 1:58PacersT.J. McConnell misses two point driving finger roll layup93
99.4%
66
0.6%
Q3 - 2:09HeatDuncan Robinson makes regular free throw 3 of 393
99.1%
66
0.9%
Q3 - 2:09HeatDuncan Robinson makes regular free throw 2 of 392
99.1%
66
0.9%
Q3 - 2:09HeatDuncan Robinson misses regular free throw 1 of 391
99.0%
66
1.0%
Q3 - 2:09PacersJustin Holiday shooting foul (Duncan Robinson draws the foul)91
99.2%
66
0.8%
Q3 - 2:18PacersDomantas Sabonis turnover (bad pass) (Derrick Jones Jr. steals)91
98.9%
66
1.1%
Q3 - 2:38HeatDerrick Jones Jr. makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)91
98.7%
66
1.3%
Q3 - 2:54PacersDomantas Sabonis makes two point driving finger roll layup88
98.2%
66
1.8%
Q3 - 3:14PacersDomantas Sabonis defensive rebound88
98.1%
64
1.9%
Q3 - 3:16HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving floating jump shot88
98.2%
64
1.8%
Q3 - 3:30HeatHeat defensive rebound88
98.5%
64
1.5%
Q3 - 3:32PacersJaKarr Sampson misses regular free throw 1 of 188
98.4%
64
1.6%
Q3 - 3:32HeatDerrick Jones Jr. shooting foul (JaKarr Sampson draws the foul)88
98.3%
64
1.7%
Q3 - 3:50HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 188
98.7%
62
1.3%
Q3 - 3:50PacersJeremy Lamb shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)87
98.6%
62
1.4%
Q3 - 3:52HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound85
98.2%
62
1.8%
Q3 - 3:54HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot85
97.9%
62
2.1%
Q3 - 4:08HeatGoran Dragic defensive rebound85
97.8%
62
2.2%
Q3 - 4:12PacersJeremy Lamb misses two point pullup jump shot85
97.7%
62
2.3%
Q3 - 4:19HeatDerrick Jones Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 285
97.4%
62
2.6%
Q3 - 4:19HeatDerrick Jones Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 284
97.2%
62
2.8%
Q3 - 4:19PacersJaKarr Sampson personal foul (Derrick Jones Jr. draws the foul)83
97.1%
62
2.9%
Q3 - 4:19HeatDerrick Jones Jr. defensive rebound83
97.0%
62
3.0%
Q3 - 4:21PacersJustin Holiday misses three point jump shot83
96.8%
62
3.2%
Q3 - 4:45HeatDerrick Jones Jr. makes regular free throw 3 of 383
96.4%
62
3.6%
Q3 - 4:45HeatDerrick Jones Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 382
96.2%
62
3.8%
Q3 - 4:45HeatDerrick Jones Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 381
96.0%
62
4.0%
Q3 - 4:45PacersJeremy Lamb shooting foul (Derrick Jones Jr. draws the foul)80
95.8%
62
4.2%
Q3 - 4:50HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound80
95.1%
62
4.9%
Q3 - 4:53PacersAaron Holiday misses two point driving floating jump shot80
94.9%
62
5.1%
Q3 - 5:05HeatJimmy Butler personal foul (Domantas Sabonis draws the foul)80
93.4%
62
6.6%
Q3 - 5:15HeatJimmy Butler turnover (bad pass) (Jeremy Lamb steals)80
93.4%
62
6.6%
Q3 - 5:36PacersJeremy Lamb makes three point jump shot (Aaron Holiday assists)80
94.4%
62
5.6%
Q3 - 5:44PacersDomantas Sabonis defensive rebound80
95.9%
59
4.1%
Q3 - 5:47HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot80
96.1%
59
3.9%
Q3 - 6:08PacersAaron Holiday makes three point pullup jump shot (Myles Turner assists)80
95.9%
59
4.1%
Q3 - 6:22HeatDuncan Robinson makes technical free throw 1 of 180
97.0%
56
3.0%
Q3 - 6:22PacersT.J. Warren technical foul79
96.8%
56
3.2%
Q3 - 6:22HeatJimmy Butler turnover (offensive foul)79
96.1%
56
3.9%
Q3 - 6:22HeatJimmy Butler offensive foul (T.J. Warren draws the foul)79
97.0%
56
3.0%
Q3 - 6:29HeatJimmy Butler technical foul (Double)79
97.0%
56
3.0%
Q3 - 6:29PacersT.J. Warren technical foul (Double)79
97.0%
56
3.0%
Q3 - 6:29PacersT.J. Warren personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)79
97.0%
56
3.0%
Q3 - 6:39HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound79
97.0%
56
3.0%
Q3 - 6:42PacersMyles Turner misses three point jump shot79
96.9%
56
3.1%
Q3 - 7:03HeatDuncan Robinson makes two point running finger roll layup79
96.0%
56
4.0%
Q3 - 7:07PacersAaron Holiday turnover (lost ball) (Duncan Robinson steals)77
95.5%
56
4.5%
Q3 - 7:20HeatKendrick Nunn makes two point driving finger roll layup (Jimmy Butler assists)77
94.8%
56
5.2%
Q3 - 7:37PacersMyles Turner makes regular free throw 2 of 275
94.1%
56
5.9%
Q3 - 7:37PacersMyles Turner makes regular free throw 1 of 275
94.2%
55
5.8%
Q3 - 7:37HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (Myles Turner draws the foul)75
94.4%
54
5.6%
Q3 - 7:56HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Kendrick Nunn assists)75
94.8%
54
5.2%
Q3 - 8:05HeatMeyers Leonard defensive rebound72
92.8%
54
7.2%
Q3 - 8:07PacersT.J. Warren misses two point driving floating bank jump shot72
92.5%
54
7.5%
Q3 - 8:21HeatKendrick Nunn makes regular free throw 3 of 372
91.6%
54
8.4%
Q3 - 8:21HeatKendrick Nunn misses regular free throw 2 of 371
91.4%
54
8.6%
Q3 - 8:21HeatKendrick Nunn makes regular free throw 1 of 371
92.3%
54
7.7%
Q3 - 8:21PacersAaron Holiday shooting foul (Kendrick Nunn draws the foul)70
92.1%
54
7.9%
Q3 - 8:36PacersT.J. Warren personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)70
90.6%
54
9.4%
Q3 - 8:48PacersJeremy Lamb makes three point jump shot (Aaron Holiday assists)70
90.6%
54
9.4%
Q3 - 9:01PacersJeremy Lamb defensive rebound70
92.1%
51
7.9%
Q3 - 9:03HeatMeyers Leonard misses three point jump shot70
92.4%
51
7.6%
Q3 - 9:13HeatMeyers Leonard defensive rebound70
93.2%
51
6.8%
Q3 - 9:16PacersT.J. Warren misses three point jump shot70
92.9%
51
7.1%
Q3 - 9:22HeatKendrick Nunn turnover (bad pass) (Myles Turner steals)70
92.1%
51
7.9%
Q3 - 9:36HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound70
93.2%
51
6.8%
Q3 - 9:39PacersAaron Holiday misses three point jump shot70
92.9%
51
7.1%
Q3 - 9:59HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)70
92.1%
51
7.9%
Q3 - 10:19PacersDomantas Sabonis makes two point jump shot (Aaron Holiday assists)67
89.2%
51
10.8%
Q3 - 10:36HeatBam Adebayo makes two point driving dunk67
90.3%
49
9.7%
Q3 - 10:42PacersDomantas Sabonis turnover (offensive foul)65
89.3%
49
10.7%
Q3 - 10:42PacersDomantas Sabonis offensive foul (Meyers Leonard draws the foul)65
87.6%
49
12.4%
Q3 - 10:51PacersMyles Turner defensive rebound65
87.6%
49
12.4%
Q3 - 10:53HeatKendrick Nunn misses three point jump shot65
88.2%
49
11.8%
Q3 - 11:10HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound65
88.5%
49
11.5%
Q3 - 11:13PacersAaron Holiday misses three point pullup jump shot65
88.1%
49
11.9%
Q3 - 11:27HeatKendrick Nunn makes three point jump shot (Meyers Leonard assists)65
87.1%
49
12.9%
Q3 - 11:46HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound62
83.8%
49
16.2%
Q3 - 11:49PacersJeremy Lamb misses three point jump shot62
83.2%
49
16.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.62
81.8%
49
18.2%
Q2 - 0:01.3HeatJustise Winslow defensive rebound62
82.5%
49
17.5%
Q2 - 0:03.7PacersAaron Holiday misses two point pullup jump shot62
82.1%
49
17.9%
Q2 - 0:24.7HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving finger roll layup62
81.2%
49
18.8%
Q2 - 0:31.1HeatJustise Winslow defensive rebound60
78.5%
49
21.5%
Q2 - 0:33.8PacersJeremy Lamb misses three point jump shot60
78.0%
49
22.0%
Q2 - 0:54.9PacersDomantas Sabonis defensive rebound60
76.9%
49
23.1%
Q2 - 0:56.1HeatBam Adebayo misses regular free throw 1 of 160
77.2%
49
22.8%
Q2 - 0:56.1PacersMyles Turner shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)60
78.6%
49
21.4%
Q2 - 1:01HeatHeat offensive rebound58
73.0%
49
27.0%
Q2 - 1:02HeatMyles Turner blocks Tyler Herro's two point driving finger roll layup58
72.0%
49
28.0%
Q2 - 1:19PacersAaron Holiday makes regular free throw 2 of 258
73.0%
49
27.0%
Q2 - 1:19PacersAaron Holiday makes regular free throw 1 of 258
73.3%
48
26.7%
Q2 - 1:19HeatKendrick Nunn shooting foul (Aaron Holiday draws the foul)58
73.7%
47
26.3%
Q2 - 1:24PacersJustin Holiday offensive rebound58
76.4%
47
23.6%
Q2 - 1:27PacersJustin Holiday misses three point jump shot58
77.3%
47
22.7%
Q2 - 1:49HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 158
76.4%
47
23.6%
Q2 - 1:49PacersMyles Turner shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)57
75.8%
47
24.2%
Q2 - 1:56HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound55
70.5%
47
29.5%
Q2 - 1:59PacersAaron Holiday misses three point pullup jump shot55
70.0%
47
30.0%
Q2 - 2:09HeatDuncan Robinson turnover (offensive foul)55
67.5%
47
32.5%
Q2 - 2:09HeatDuncan Robinson offensive foul (Justin Holiday draws the foul)55
70.2%
47
29.8%
Q2 - 2:21PacersJeremy Lamb makes two point pullup jump shot55
70.2%
47
29.8%
Q2 - 2:40HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 255
72.7%
45
27.3%
Q2 - 2:40HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 254
72.4%
45
27.6%
Q2 - 2:40PacersT.J. Warren personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)53
72.0%
45
28.0%
Q2 - 2:42PacersT.J. Warren turnover (bad pass) (Jimmy Butler steals)53
70.2%
45
29.8%
Q2 - 2:59HeatGoran Dragic makes three point pullup jump shot53
67.7%
45
32.3%
Q2 - 3:12PacersAaron Holiday makes two point driving finger roll layup (T.J. Warren assists)50
61.2%
45
38.8%
Q2 - 3:30PacersPacers defensive rebound50
63.7%
43
36.3%
Q2 - 3:31HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot50
64.6%
43
35.4%
Q2 - 3:51PacersAaron Holiday makes two point pullup jump shot50
66.6%
43
33.4%
Q2 - 3:58PacersT.J. Warren defensive rebound50
68.9%
41
31.1%
Q2 - 4:01HeatBam Adebayo misses two point pullup jump shot50
68.9%
41
31.1%
Q2 - 4:12PacersJeremy Lamb turnover (out of bounds lost ball)50
70.6%
41
29.4%
Q2 - 4:30HeatBam Adebayo makes two point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)50
68.2%
41
31.8%
Q2 - 4:39HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound48
65.8%
41
34.2%
Q2 - 4:41PacersDoug McDermott misses two point pullup jump shot48
65.0%
41
35.0%
Q2 - 4:54HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 248
63.2%
41
36.8%
Q2 - 4:54HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 247
62.8%
41
37.2%
Q2 - 4:54PacersT.J. McConnell shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)46
62.4%
41
37.6%
Q2 - 5:14PacersT.J. McConnell makes two point cutting layup (Domantas Sabonis assists)46
60.5%
41
39.5%
Q2 - 5:26PacersT.J. Warren defensive rebound46
62.6%
39
37.4%
Q2 - 5:28HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot46
63.6%
39
36.4%
Q2 - 5:41PacersEdmond Sumner personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)46
65.6%
39
34.4%
Q2 - 5:41HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound46
65.6%
39
34.4%
Q2 - 5:43PacersEdmond Sumner misses two point turnaround hook shot46
64.7%
39
35.3%
Q2 - 6:04HeatTyler Herro makes three point stepback jump shot (Duncan Robinson assists)46
62.1%
39
37.9%
Q2 - 6:21PacersEdmond Sumner makes regular free throw 2 of 243
57.6%
39
42.4%
Q2 - 6:21PacersEdmond Sumner makes regular free throw 1 of 243
58.2%
38
41.8%
Q2 - 6:21HeatTyler Herro shooting foul (Edmond Sumner draws the foul)43
58.9%
37
41.1%
Q2 - 6:39HeatGoran Dragic makes two point layup (Bam Adebayo assists)43
59.6%
37
40.4%
Q2 - 6:48PacersJustin Holiday personal foul (Duncan Robinson draws the foul)41
57.6%
37
42.4%
Q2 - 6:58PacersDomantas Sabonis makes regular free throw 1 of 141
57.6%
37
42.4%
Q2 - 6:58HeatMeyers Leonard shooting foul (Domantas Sabonis draws the foul)41
58.2%
36
41.8%
Q2 - 7:12HeatDerrick Jones Jr. makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)41
61.8%
34
38.2%
Q2 - 7:31PacersEdmond Sumner makes two point driving finger roll layup (T.J. McConnell assists)38
57.0%
34
43.0%
Q2 - 7:35PacersDomantas Sabonis defensive rebound38
59.4%
32
40.6%
Q2 - 7:37HeatDerrick Jones Jr. misses two point driving layup38
60.2%
32
39.8%
Q2 - 7:51HeatDerrick Jones Jr. defensive rebound38
62.0%
32
38.0%
Q2 - 7:54PacersDomantas Sabonis misses two point hook shot38
61.2%
32
38.8%
Q2 - 8:08HeatDerrick Jones Jr. personal foul (Doug McDermott draws the foul)38
59.1%
32
40.9%
Q2 - 8:16HeatGoran Dragic turnover (bad pass) (Justin Holiday steals)38
59.1%
32
40.9%
Q2 - 8:25PacersEdmond Sumner personal foul (Goran Dragic draws the foul)38
61.6%
32
38.4%
Q2 - 8:36PacersDomantas Sabonis makes two point layup (T.J. McConnell assists)38
61.7%
32
38.3%
Q2 - 8:49PacersDomantas Sabonis defensive rebound38
63.9%
30
36.1%
Q2 - 8:50HeatGoran Dragic misses regular free throw 2 of 238
64.2%
30
35.8%
Q2 - 8:50HeatGoran Dragic makes regular free throw 1 of 238
65.7%
30
34.3%
Q2 - 8:50PacersDoug McDermott shooting foul (Goran Dragic draws the foul)37
65.2%
30
34.8%
Q2 - 8:53HeatDerrick Jones Jr. defensive rebound37
64.0%
30
36.0%
Q2 - 8:55PacersDomantas Sabonis misses two point cutting layup37
63.3%
30
36.7%
Q2 - 9:15HeatTyler Herro makes three point jump shot (Goran Dragic assists)37
60.9%
30
39.1%
Q2 - 9:17HeatDerrick Jones Jr. offensive rebound34
56.3%
30
43.7%
Q2 - 9:20HeatJustise Winslow misses three point jump shot34
54.5%
30
45.5%
Q2 - 9:39PacersDomantas Sabonis makes regular free throw 2 of 234
56.3%
30
43.7%
Q2 - 9:39PacersDomantas Sabonis makes regular free throw 1 of 234
56.9%
29
43.1%
Q2 - 9:39HeatMeyers Leonard shooting foul (Domantas Sabonis draws the foul)34
57.6%
28
42.4%
Q2 - 9:49HeatGoran Dragic turnover (out of bounds step)34
58.6%
28
41.4%
Q2 - 9:57PacersT.J. McConnell makes two point driving reverse layup34
61.1%
28
38.9%
Q2 - 10:07PacersPacers defensive rebound34
62.8%
26
37.2%
Q2 - 10:09HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot34
63.5%
26
36.5%
Q2 - 10:23PacersJustin Holiday makes three point jump shot (Domantas Sabonis assists)34
65.2%
26
34.8%
Q2 - 10:37HeatTyler Herro turnover (traveling)34
69.3%
23
30.7%
Q2 - 10:47HeatMeyers Leonard defensive rebound34
71.5%
23
28.5%
Q2 - 10:50PacersDoug McDermott misses three point jump shot34
70.8%
23
29.2%
Q2 - 10:58PacersDomantas Sabonis defensive rebound34
69.3%
23
30.7%
Q2 - 11:01HeatGoran Dragic misses three point jump shot34
69.3%
23
30.7%
Q2 - 11:13HeatMeyers Leonard defensive rebound34
70.6%
23
29.4%
Q2 - 11:16PacersDoug McDermott misses three point jump shot34
70.1%
23
29.9%
Q2 - 11:30HeatTyler Herro makes three point pullup jump shot (Meyers Leonard assists)34
68.8%
23
31.2%
Q2 - 11:49HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound31
64.5%
23
35.5%
Q2 - 11:51PacersEdmond Sumner misses two point driving finger roll layup31
63.9%
23
36.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.31
62.5%
23
37.5%
Q1 - 0:02.2PacersEdmond Sumner turnover (out of bounds lost ball)31
63.8%
23
36.2%
Q1 - 0:09.9HeatJimmy Butler makes two point turnaround jump shot31
62.2%
23
37.8%
Q1 - 0:31.3HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound29
59.5%
23
40.5%
Q1 - 0:31.3PacersDerrick Jones Jr. blocks Myles Turner's two point pullup jump shot29
59.0%
23
41.0%
Q1 - 0:47.2PacersT.J. Warren defensive rebound29
57.7%
23
42.3%
Q1 - 0:50.2HeatGoran Dragic misses three point pullup jump shot29
58.3%
23
41.7%
Q1 - 1:00PacersEdmond Sumner makes two point driving floating bank jump shot (T.J. McConnell assists)29
59.5%
23
40.5%
Q1 - 1:03PacersMyles Turner defensive rebound29
62.2%
21
37.8%
Q1 - 1:07HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving floating bank jump shot29
62.7%
21
37.3%
Q1 - 1:24HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound29
63.9%
21
36.1%
Q1 - 1:26PacersT.J. McConnell misses two point pullup jump shot29
63.3%
21
36.6%
Q1 - 1:40PacersT.J. McConnell defensive rebound29
62.2%
21
37.8%
Q1 - 1:43HeatTyler Herro misses two point stepback jump shot29
62.7%
21
37.3%
Q1 - 2:03HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound29
63.5%
21
36.5%
Q1 - 2:06PacersMyles Turner misses two point turnaround hook shot29
62.9%
21
37.1%
Q1 - 2:29HeatJimmy Butler makes two point running dunk29
61.5%
21
38.5%
Q1 - 2:32PacersT.J. McConnell turnover (bad pass) (Jimmy Butler steals)27
59.3%
21
40.7%
Q1 - 2:50HeatJimmy Butler makes two point cutting dunk (Goran Dragic assists)27
57.2%
21
42.8%
Q1 - 2:58HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound25
55.0%
21
45.0%
Q1 - 2:59PacersJustin Holiday misses regular free throw 1 of 125
54.7%
21
45.3%
Q1 - 2:59HeatKendrick Nunn shooting foul (Justin Holiday draws the foul)25
53.0%
21
47.0%
Q1 - 3:17HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving floating bank jump shot25
56.5%
19
43.5%
Q1 - 3:36PacersAaron Holiday makes two point driving finger roll layup23
54.7%
19
45.3%
Q1 - 3:55HeatDerrick Jones Jr. makes two point cutting layup (Jimmy Butler assists)23
56.5%
17
43.5%
Q1 - 4:11PacersMyles Turner makes two point turnaround jump shot (Domantas Sabonis assists)21
54.6%
17
45.4%
Q1 - 4:26HeatKendrick Nunn makes two point layup21
56.3%
15
43.7%
Q1 - 4:37PacersDomantas Sabonis makes two point turnaround jump shot19
54.6%
15
45.4%
Q1 - 4:49PacersMyles Turner defensive rebound19
56.3%
13
43.7%
Q1 - 4:52HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot19
57.0%
13
43.0%
Q1 - 5:07PacersDomantas Sabonis makes two point putback layup19
57.9%
13
42.1%
Q1 - 5:07PacersDomantas Sabonis offensive rebound19
59.7%
11
40.3%
Q1 - 5:12PacersBam Adebayo blocks Aaron Holiday's two point driving layup19
61.2%
11
38.8%
Q1 - 5:33HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point pullup jump shot19
59.8%
11
40.2%
Q1 - 5:47HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound16
56.0%
11
44.0%
Q1 - 5:50PacersT.J. Warren misses two point fadeaway jump shot16
55.3%
11
44.7%
Q1 - 6:17HeatBam Adebayo makes two point cutting dunk (Jimmy Butler assists)16
53.4%
11
46.6%
Q1 - 6:26HeatMeyers Leonard defensive rebound14
51.4%
11
48.6%
Q1 - 6:28PacersMyles Turner misses two point reverse layup14
50.8%
11
49.2%
Q1 - 6:45HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)14
49.5%
11
50.5%
Q1 - 6:51HeatMeyers Leonard defensive rebound11
45.6%
11
54.4%
Q1 - 6:54PacersAaron Holiday misses two point pullup jump shot11
45.0%
11
55.0%
Q1 - 7:06PacersDomantas Sabonis defensive rebound11
43.5%
11
56.5%
Q1 - 7:09HeatBam Adebayo misses two point jump shot11
44.1%
11
55.9%
Q1 - 7:29PacersJeremy Lamb makes three point jump shot (Domantas Sabonis assists)11
45.6%
11
54.4%
Q1 - 7:43HeatKendrick Nunn makes two point running finger roll layup (Duncan Robinson assists)11
49.1%
8
50.9%
Q1 - 7:46PacersDomantas Sabonis turnover (bad pass) (Meyers Leonard steals)9
47.4%
8
52.6%
Q1 - 7:56PacersDomantas Sabonis defensive rebound9
45.4%
8
54.6%
Q1 - 7:59HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot9
46.0%
8
54.0%
Q1 - 8:12HeatMeyers Leonard defensive rebound9
47.6%
8
52.4%
Q1 - 8:14PacersT.J. Warren misses regular free throw 2 of 29
47.3%
8
52.7%
Q1 - 8:14PacersT.J. Warren makes regular free throw 1 of 29
46.1%
8
53.9%
Q1 - 8:14HeatDuncan Robinson shooting foul (T.J. Warren draws the foul)9
46.5%
7
53.5%
Q1 - 8:23PacersDomantas Sabonis defensive rebound9
47.4%
7
52.6%
Q1 - 8:25HeatKendrick Nunn misses two point jump shot9
48.0%
7
52.0%
Q1 - 8:27HeatHeat offensive rebound9
49.4%
7
50.6%
Q1 - 8:27HeatAaron Holiday blocks Bam Adebayo's two point driving layup9
48.0%
7
52.0%
Q1 - 8:34HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound9
49.4%
7
50.6%
Q1 - 8:36PacersDomantas Sabonis misses two point driving finger roll layup9
48.8%
7
51.2%
Q1 - 8:55HeatBam Adebayo makes two point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)9
47.3%
7
52.7%
Q1 - 9:06HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound7
45.7%
7
54.3%
Q1 - 9:10PacersMyles Turner misses three point jump shot7
45.0%
7
55.0%
Q1 - 9:26HeatKendrick Nunn makes two point pullup jump shot7
43.5%
7
56.5%
Q1 - 9:37PacersT.J. Warren makes two point floating jump shot5
42.1%
7
57.9%
Q1 - 9:38PacersT.J. Warren offensive rebound5
43.5%
5
56.5%
Q1 - 9:42PacersT.J. Warren misses two point jump shot5
45.0%
5
55.0%
Q1 - 9:58HeatMeyers Leonard makes three point jump shot (Duncan Robinson assists)5
43.5%
5
56.5%
Q1 - 10:14PacersMyles Turner makes three point jump shot (Domantas Sabonis assists)2
40.1%
5
59.9%
Q1 - 10:23PacersJeremy Lamb defensive rebound2
43.5%
2
56.5%
Q1 - 10:26HeatMeyers Leonard misses three point jump shot2
44.1%
2
55.9%
Q1 - 10:35HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound2
45.5%
2
54.5%
Q1 - 10:38PacersAaron Holiday misses three point stepback jump shot2
44.9%
2
55.1%
Q1 - 11:02HeatBam Adebayo makes two point reverse layup (Jimmy Butler assists)2
43.4%
2
56.6%
Q1 - 11:20PacersDomantas Sabonis makes two point finger roll layup (Aaron Holiday assists)0
41.7%
2
58.3%
Q1 - 11:40PacersPacers defensive rebound0
43.5%
0
56.5%
Q1 - 11:42HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot0
44.0%
0
56.0%
Q1 - 12:00Bam Adebayo vs. Myles Turner (Meyers Leonard gains possession)0
45.3%
0
54.7%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.30 64.9%
IND
1.16 58.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
18
25
72%
IND
22
32
69%
Midrange
MIA
9
18
50%
IND
9
25
36%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
16
24.0
38
42%
63%
IND
9
13.5
27
33%
50%
Free Throws
MIA
20
25
80%
IND
19
25
76%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Herro1959%9.5 / 16
B. Adebayo1882%9.0 / 11
D. Jones1869%9.0 / 13
D. Robinson1765%8.5 / 13
K. Nunn1575%7.5 / 10
G. Dragic1563%7.5 / 12
J. Butler1488%7.0 / 8
M. Leonard660%3.0 / 5
J. Winslow0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
IND logo Pacers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Sabonis2784%13.5 / 16
A. Holiday1447%7.0 / 15
J. Holiday14100%7.0 / 7
J. Lamb1359%6.5 / 11
E. Sumner1365%6.5 / 10
M. Turner945%4.5 / 10
T. McConnell650%3.0 / 6
J. Sampson4100%2.0 / 2
T. Warren325%1.5 / 6
D. McDermott214%1.0 / 7
G. Bitadze2100%1.0 / 1
A. Johnson125%0.5 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
87
+7
-11
94
IND
84
+9
-12
93
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.30 64.9%
IND
1.16 58.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
112.4
109.9
MIA 124.5 +12.0
IND 112.5
Pace
98.4
99.1
MIA 100.7 +6.6
IND 94.2
Avg. Poss. Time
14.8
14.6
MIA 14.3 +1.0
IND 15.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
54.7%
53.4%
MIA 63.0% +10.0%
IND 53.0%
TO %
14.0%
12.7%
MIA 10.7% +0.5%
IND 11.2%
ORB %
20.3%
20.0%
MIA 8.8%
IND 13.6% +4.8%
FTrt
29.9
21.6
MIA 30.9 +1.1
IND 29.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
65.7%
61.4%
MIA 65.1% +2.6%
IND 62.5%
STL %
7.6%
7.4%
MIA 8.2% +3.0%
IND 5.2%
BLK %
9.3%
9.4%
MIA 7.0%
IND 7.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.21 and 2.21.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
56.9%
55.2%
MIA 64.9% +6.8%
IND 58.1%
Rim FG%
63.8%
61.0%
MIA 72.0% +3.2%
IND 68.8%
Mid FG%
38.9%
43.3%
MIA 50.0% +14.0%
IND 36.0%
3P %
37.9%
36.3%
MIA 42.1% +8.8%
IND 33.3%
FT %
78.3%
78.7%
MIA 80.0% +4.0%
IND 76.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
33.2%
36.9%
MIA 30.9%
IND 38.1% +7.2%
Mid Att. %
24.9%
31.4%
MIA 22.2% +7.5%
IND 29.8%
3P Att. %
41.9%
31.7%
MIA 46.9% +14.8%
IND 32.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIAIND
Possessions9896
Possession Minutes23.324.5
Points122108
Rebounds4137
Assists2825
Steals85
Blocks43
Turnovers (Team)11 (0)12 (0)
Fouls2218
Off. Rebounds (Team)3 (4)6 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)38 (1)31 (3)
Field Goals43-8140-84
At-the-Rim FG18-2522-32
Midrange FG9-189-25
2-Point FG27-4331-57
3-Point FG16-389-27
Free Throws20-2519-25
Fast Break Pts1814
2nd Chance Pts1016
Points in Paint4250
Pts off Turnovers1515
Bench Points5242
Biggest Lead313

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#0 · C · 7'1" 255 · 28
29.9
6
60%
8
2
1
0
0
5
0
8
0-0
-
0-0
-
2-5
40%
#55 · SG · 6'7" 215 · 26
29.4
17
65%
1
5
1
0
1
3
0
1
3-4
75%
1-1
100%
4-11
36%
#13 · PF · 6'9" 255 · 22
28.8
18
82%
9
4
0
1
0
1
0
9
2-3
67%
8-11
73%
0-0
-
#22 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 30
28.1
14
88%
6
7
2
0
2
2
1
5
4-4
100%
5-6
83%
0-0
-
#25 · PG · 6'3" 193 · 24
23.3
15
75%
0
3
0
0
1
3
0
0
2-3
67%
5-6
83%
1-3
33%
#5 · SF · 6'6" 210 · 23
29.9
18
69%
7
0
2
2
1
3
1
6
6-7
86%
3-5
60%
2-5
40%
#7 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 34
27.0
15
63%
1
4
1
0
3
1
0
1
3-4
75%
3-5
60%
2-5
40%
#14 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 20
25.7
19
59%
7
2
0
0
2
1
1
6
0-0
-
2-8
25%
5-8
63%
#20 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 24
15.6
0
0%
2
1
1
1
1
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-1
0%
#30 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 23
2.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
#16 · PF · 6'8" 240 · 33
DNP - Coach's Decision
#9 · PF · 6'11" 240 · 29
DNP - Coach's Decision
#40 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 40
DNP - Coach's Decision
#4 · SF · 6'9" 210 · 21
INACTIVE
#2 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 24
INACTIVE
#11 · SG · 6'4" 215 · 28
INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
122
65%
41
28
8
4
11
22
3
38
20-25
80%
27-43
63%
16-38
42%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.