for complete access.
All Games Saturday, November 16, 2019
FinalWin Prob.pScore
19
Pelicans
28%114
94
7
Heat
72%122
109
ORTG#PossPace
NOP logo NOP
98.995102.5
MIA logo MIA
114.79588.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatPelicansQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatPelicansQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventNOPMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.94
0%
109
100%
Q4 - 0:08.2HeatHeat turnover (shot clock violation)94
0%
109
100%
Q4 - 0:32.4PelicansJaxson Hayes turnover (bad pass) (Kendrick Nunn steals)94
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 0:41.0HeatBam Adebayo makes two point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)94
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 1:00PelicansJaxson Hayes makes two point cutting dunk (Zylan Cheatham assists)94
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 1:09HeatTyler Herro makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot92
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 1:29PelicansNickeil Alexander-Walker turnover (bad pass) (Kelly Olynyk steals)92
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 1:40HeatTyler Herro makes two point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)92
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 1:42HeatHeat offensive rebound92
0.2%
103
99.8%
Q4 - 1:42HeatJaxson Hayes blocks Jimmy Butler's two point driving layup92
0.3%
103
99.7%
Q4 - 1:45HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound92
0.2%
103
99.8%
Q4 - 1:49PelicansNickeil Alexander-Walker misses two point driving floating jump shot92
0.3%
103
99.7%
Q4 - 1:54PelicansNickeil Alexander-Walker defensive rebound92
0.4%
103
99.6%
Q4 - 1:56HeatKelly Olynyk misses three point jump shot92
0.3%
103
99.7%
Q4 - 2:13PelicansNickeil Alexander-Walker makes three point pullup jump shot92
0.2%
103
99.8%
Q4 - 2:22PelicansPelicans offensive rebound89
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 2:23PelicansE'Twaun Moore misses two point pullup jump shot89
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 2:39HeatKendrick Nunn makes two point driving dunk (Bam Adebayo assists)89
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 2:44HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound89
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 2:46HeatKendrick Nunn misses three point jump shot89
0.2%
101
99.8%
Q4 - 3:00PelicansE'Twaun Moore personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)89
0.2%
101
99.8%
Q4 - 3:08HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound89
0.2%
101
99.8%
Q4 - 3:09PelicansE'Twaun Moore misses two point driving floating bank jump shot89
0.3%
101
99.7%
Q4 - 3:16HeatKendrick Nunn personal foul (Jaxson Hayes draws the foul)89
0.4%
101
99.6%
Q4 - 3:26PelicansJosh Gray defensive rebound89
0.4%
101
99.6%
Q4 - 3:29HeatKendrick Nunn misses three point jump shot89
0.3%
101
99.7%
Q4 - 3:43PelicansE'Twaun Moore makes three point jump shot (Nickeil Alexander-Walker assists)89
0.6%
101
99.4%
Q4 - 4:02HeatKendrick Nunn makes three point pullup jump shot86
0.3%
101
99.7%
Q4 - 4:22PelicansNickeil Alexander-Walker makes three point jump shot (E'Twaun Moore assists)86
0.5%
98
99.5%
Q4 - 4:37HeatKelly Olynyk makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)83
0.2%
98
99.8%
Q4 - 4:48PelicansNicolo Melli personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)83
0.5%
95
99.5%
Q4 - 4:57HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound83
0.5%
95
99.5%
Q4 - 5:01PelicansE'Twaun Moore misses three point jump shot83
0.9%
95
99.1%
Q4 - 5:16HeatKendrick Nunn turnover (discontinue dribble)83
1.2%
95
98.8%
Q4 - 5:19HeatKendrick Nunn defensive rebound83
0.8%
95
99.2%
Q4 - 5:20PelicansBam Adebayo blocks Nickeil Alexander-Walker's two point layup83
0.9%
95
99.1%
Q4 - 5:30PelicansNicolo Melli defensive rebound83
1.1%
95
98.9%
Q4 - 5:32HeatJimmy Butler misses two point fadeaway jump shot83
1.0%
95
99.0%
Q4 - 5:48HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound83
0.8%
95
99.2%
Q4 - 5:50PelicansJrue Holiday misses three point jump shot83
0.9%
95
99.1%
Q4 - 6:02HeatBam Adebayo makes two point cutting layup (Jimmy Butler assists)83
1.6%
95
98.4%
Q4 - 6:09PelicansJrue Holiday personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)83
2.1%
93
97.9%
Q4 - 6:14HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound83
2.1%
93
97.9%
Q4 - 6:17PelicansJrue Holiday misses two point pullup jump shot83
2.3%
93
97.7%
Q4 - 6:38HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving layup83
2.8%
93
97.2%
Q4 - 6:49HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound83
3.6%
91
96.4%
Q4 - 6:52PelicansNicolo Melli misses three point jump shot83
4.0%
91
96.0%
Q4 - 7:08HeatKendrick Nunn turnover (discontinue dribble)83
5.9%
91
94.1%
Q4 - 7:16HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound83
4.4%
91
95.6%
Q4 - 7:19PelicansE'Twaun Moore misses two point driving bank jump shot83
4.8%
91
95.2%
Q4 - 7:35HeatKelly Olynyk makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)83
5.8%
91
94.2%
Q4 - 7:54PelicansNicolo Melli makes three point jump shot (E'Twaun Moore assists)83
9.3%
88
90.7%
Q4 - 8:07HeatJimmy Butler makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot80
6.5%
88
93.5%
Q4 - 8:26PelicansE'Twaun Moore makes two point driving layup80
8.2%
86
91.8%
Q4 - 8:31HeatTyler Herro turnover (bad pass) (E'Twaun Moore steals)78
6.5%
86
93.5%
Q4 - 8:47PelicansE'Twaun Moore makes three point jump shot (Kenrich Williams assists)78
5.1%
86
94.9%
Q4 - 9:06HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving layup (Kendrick Nunn assists)75
3.5%
86
96.5%
Q4 - 9:26PelicansNickeil Alexander-Walker makes three point jump shot (Kenrich Williams assists)75
4.4%
84
95.6%
Q4 - 9:46HeatKendrick Nunn makes two point stepback jump shot72
2.8%
84
97.2%
Q4 - 10:03PelicansNickeil Alexander-Walker makes three point jump shot (Nicolo Melli assists)72
4.0%
82
96.0%
Q4 - 10:13HeatKendrick Nunn makes two point driving layup69
2.6%
82
97.4%
Q4 - 10:30PelicansNicolo Melli makes three point jump shot (E'Twaun Moore assists)69
3.2%
80
96.8%
Q4 - 10:43HeatDuncan Robinson makes two point jump shot66
2.1%
80
97.9%
Q4 - 11:03PelicansNickeil Alexander-Walker makes regular free throw 2 of 266
3.0%
78
97.0%
Q4 - 11:03PelicansNickeil Alexander-Walker misses regular free throw 1 of 265
2.8%
78
97.2%
Q4 - 11:03HeatChris Silva shooting foul (Nickeil Alexander-Walker draws the foul)65
3.3%
78
96.7%
Q4 - 11:06PelicansKenrich Williams defensive rebound65
3.0%
78
97.0%
Q4 - 11:10HeatChris Silva misses two point turnaround hook shot65
2.8%
78
97.2%
Q4 - 11:17HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound65
2.4%
78
97.6%
Q4 - 11:19PelicansNickeil Alexander-Walker misses three point jump shot65
2.6%
78
97.4%
Q4 - 11:36HeatChris Silva turnover (lost ball) (Nicolo Melli steals)65
2.9%
78
97.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.65
2.4%
78
97.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Kendrick Nunn assists)65
2.9%
78
97.1%
Q3 - 0:06.2PelicansJaxson Hayes turnover (lost ball) (Kelly Olynyk steals)65
5.0%
75
95.0%
Q3 - 0:18.9HeatTyler Herro makes two point running dunk65
6.0%
75
94.0%
Q3 - 0:21.3PelicansJrue Holiday turnover (lost ball) (Tyler Herro steals)65
7.3%
73
92.7%
Q3 - 0:31.2HeatKelly Olynyk turnover (traveling)65
8.7%
73
91.3%
Q3 - 0:46.8PelicansJaxson Hayes makes two point alley-oop dunk (Josh Gray assists)65
7.3%
73
92.7%
Q3 - 1:00HeatTyler Herro turnover (discontinue dribble)63
5.9%
73
94.1%
Q3 - 1:03HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound63
5.4%
73
94.6%
Q3 - 1:05PelicansKenrich Williams misses three point jump shot63
5.7%
73
94.3%
Q3 - 1:17HeatChris Silva makes regular free throw 2 of 263
6.5%
73
93.5%
Q3 - 1:17HeatChris Silva misses regular free throw 1 of 263
6.8%
72
93.2%
Q3 - 1:17PelicansNickeil Alexander-Walker shooting foul (Chris Silva draws the foul)63
5.9%
72
94.1%
Q3 - 1:28PelicansJosh Gray turnover (bad pass) (Duncan Robinson steals)63
6.5%
72
93.5%
Q3 - 1:51HeatKelly Olynyk makes two point driving layup (Tyler Herro assists)63
7.7%
72
92.3%
Q3 - 2:09PelicansNickeil Alexander-Walker makes two point driving finger roll layup (Jrue Holiday assists)63
9.6%
70
90.4%
Q3 - 2:25HeatJimmy Butler turnover (traveling)61
8.3%
70
91.7%
Q3 - 2:39PelicansJrue Holiday turnover (offensive foul)61
6.9%
70
93.1%
Q3 - 2:39PelicansJrue Holiday offensive foul (Charge) (Chris Silva draws the foul)61
8.3%
70
91.7%
Q3 - 3:00HeatChris Silva makes two point driving layup (Jimmy Butler assists)61
8.3%
70
91.7%
Q3 - 3:12PelicansZylan Cheatham personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)61
10.1%
68
89.9%
Q3 - 3:21HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound61
10.1%
68
89.9%
Q3 - 3:25PelicansKenrich Williams misses three point jump shot61
10.7%
68
89.3%
Q3 - 3:42HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 261
12.0%
68
88.0%
Q3 - 3:42HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 261
12.2%
67
87.8%
Q3 - 3:42PelicansZylan Cheatham shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)61
12.5%
66
87.5%
Q3 - 3:46HeatChris Silva defensive rebound61
13.8%
66
86.2%
Q3 - 3:49PelicansZylan Cheatham misses two point hook shot61
14.5%
66
85.5%
Q3 - 4:01HeatJimmy Butler makes three point jump shot (Chris Silva assists)61
16.4%
66
83.6%
Q3 - 4:06HeatChris Silva offensive rebound61
21.1%
63
78.9%
Q3 - 4:06HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot61
23.4%
63
76.6%
Q3 - 4:08HeatChris Silva offensive rebound61
21.1%
63
78.9%
Q3 - 4:11HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving floating bank jump shot61
23.4%
63
76.6%
Q3 - 4:28HeatChris Silva defensive rebound61
21.1%
63
78.9%
Q3 - 4:31PelicansNickeil Alexander-Walker misses two point floating jump shot61
22.1%
63
77.9%
Q3 - 4:39HeatDuncan Robinson personal foul (Nicolo Melli draws the foul)61
24.5%
63
75.5%
Q3 - 4:50PelicansNicolo Melli defensive rebound61
24.5%
63
75.5%
Q3 - 4:53HeatMeyers Leonard misses two point driving hook shot61
23.4%
63
76.6%
Q3 - 5:05HeatMeyers Leonard defensive rebound61
21.6%
63
78.4%
Q3 - 5:07PelicansE'Twaun Moore misses two point fadeaway jump shot61
22.4%
63
77.6%
Q3 - 5:37PelicansKenrich Williams defensive rebound61
24.6%
63
75.4%
Q3 - 5:42HeatMeyers Leonard misses three point jump shot61
23.6%
63
76.4%
Q3 - 5:49PelicansNicolo Melli turnover (lost ball) (Jimmy Butler steals)61
21.5%
63
78.5%
Q3 - 6:06HeatMeyers Leonard makes two point driving layup61
24.2%
63
75.8%
Q3 - 6:30PelicansE'Twaun Moore makes regular free throw 2 of 261
27.1%
61
72.9%
Q3 - 6:30PelicansE'Twaun Moore makes regular free throw 1 of 260
26.4%
61
73.6%
Q3 - 6:30HeatKendrick Nunn shooting foul (E'Twaun Moore draws the foul)59
25.5%
61
74.5%
Q3 - 6:30HeatJimmy Butler turnover (bad pass) (E'Twaun Moore steals)59
28.8%
61
71.2%
Q3 - 6:33PelicansKenrich Williams personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)59
21.4%
61
78.6%
Q3 - 6:50PelicansJaxson Hayes makes two point tip layup59
21.4%
61
78.6%
Q3 - 6:50PelicansJaxson Hayes offensive rebound57
19.1%
61
80.9%
Q3 - 6:57PelicansE'Twaun Moore misses two point running pullup jump shot57
17.4%
61
82.6%
Q3 - 7:02HeatJimmy Butler turnover (bad pass) (E'Twaun Moore steals)57
19.0%
61
81.0%
Q3 - 7:07HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound57
16.6%
61
83.4%
Q3 - 7:10PelicansKenrich Williams misses three point jump shot57
17.3%
61
82.7%
Q3 - 7:25HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)57
19.0%
61
81.0%
Q3 - 7:51PelicansNicolo Melli makes three point running pullup jump shot (E'Twaun Moore assists)57
23.8%
58
76.2%
Q3 - 7:57HeatJimmy Butler turnover (bad pass) (Jaxson Hayes steals)54
19.0%
58
81.0%
Q3 - 8:05HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound54
16.6%
58
83.4%
Q3 - 8:07PelicansNicolo Melli misses two point jump shot54
17.3%
58
82.7%
Q3 - 8:23HeatJimmy Butler turnover (out of bounds step)54
19.1%
58
80.9%
Q3 - 8:23HeatHeat offensive rebound54
16.6%
58
83.4%
Q3 - 8:25HeatJaxson Hayes blocks Bam Adebayo's two point driving layup54
18.3%
58
81.7%
Q3 - 8:40PelicansJaxson Hayes turnover (bad pass) (Duncan Robinson steals)54
16.6%
58
83.4%
Q3 - 9:03HeatKendrick Nunn makes two point driving dunk54
18.8%
58
81.2%
Q3 - 9:15PelicansKenrich Williams makes two point bank jump shot54
20.8%
56
79.2%
Q3 - 9:18PelicansKenrich Williams offensive rebound52
18.8%
56
81.2%
Q3 - 9:21PelicansKenrich Williams misses two point pullup jump shot52
17.2%
56
82.8%
Q3 - 9:40HeatDuncan Robinson makes two point running layup52
18.8%
56
81.2%
Q3 - 9:43PelicansJrue Holiday turnover (bad pass) (Jimmy Butler steals)52
20.8%
54
79.2%
Q3 - 9:56HeatBam Adebayo turnover (out of bounds bad pass)52
23.6%
54
76.4%
Q3 - 9:58PelicansJrue Holiday turnover (lost ball) (Bam Adebayo steals)52
20.8%
54
79.2%
Q3 - 10:08HeatMeyers Leonard personal foul (Jrue Holiday draws the foul)52
23.3%
54
76.7%
Q3 - 10:17HeatBam Adebayo turnover (out of bounds bad pass)52
23.3%
54
76.7%
Q3 - 10:17HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound52
20.6%
54
79.4%
Q3 - 10:23PelicansE'Twaun Moore misses two point fadeaway jump shot52
21.4%
54
78.6%
Q3 - 10:32PelicansNicolo Melli defensive rebound52
23.3%
54
76.7%
Q3 - 10:35HeatKendrick Nunn misses two point driving floating bank jump shot52
22.5%
54
77.5%
Q3 - 11:01PelicansJrue Holiday makes three point stepback jump shot52
20.5%
54
79.5%
Q3 - 11:22PelicansJaxson Hayes defensive rebound49
16.6%
54
83.4%
Q3 - 11:24HeatBam Adebayo misses two point jump shot49
16.0%
54
84.0%
Q3 - 11:39HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound49
14.7%
54
85.3%
Q3 - 11:42PelicansJrue Holiday misses two point fadeaway jump shot49
15.3%
54
84.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.49
16.6%
54
83.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0HeatBam Adebayo makes two point floating jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)49
16.6%
54
83.4%
Q2 - 0:08.4PelicansE'Twaun Moore makes two point putback layup49
18.8%
52
81.2%
Q2 - 0:08.6PelicansE'Twaun Moore offensive rebound47
16.4%
52
83.6%
Q2 - 0:12.1PelicansNickeil Alexander-Walker misses three point stepback jump shot47
15.5%
52
84.5%
Q2 - 0:34.3HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 247
16.4%
52
83.6%
Q2 - 0:34.3HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 247
16.9%
51
83.1%
Q2 - 0:34.3PelicansJrue Holiday personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)47
17.4%
50
82.6%
Q2 - 0:48.6PelicansNickeil Alexander-Walker makes two point driving finger roll layup47
18.8%
50
81.2%
Q2 - 0:55.8HeatKendrick Nunn makes two point driving finger roll layup45
16.4%
50
83.6%
Q2 - 1:08PelicansE'Twaun Moore makes two point driving layup (Nickeil Alexander-Walker assists)45
19.1%
48
80.9%
Q2 - 1:18HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 243
16.5%
48
83.5%
Q2 - 1:18HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 243
16.8%
47
83.2%
Q2 - 1:18PelicansJrue Holiday shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)43
17.0%
46
83.0%
Q2 - 1:34PelicansJrue Holiday makes three point stepback jump shot43
19.1%
46
80.9%
Q2 - 1:42PelicansJrue Holiday defensive rebound40
14.8%
46
85.2%
Q2 - 1:42HeatTyler Herro misses two point jump shot40
14.6%
46
85.4%
Q2 - 1:53PelicansNickeil Alexander-Walker makes two point running layup (Jrue Holiday assists)40
13.9%
46
86.1%
Q2 - 2:01HeatJimmy Butler turnover (bad pass) (Jrue Holiday steals)38
12.5%
46
87.5%
Q2 - 2:25PelicansJaxson Hayes makes two point running dunk (Kenrich Williams assists)38
11.2%
46
88.8%
Q2 - 2:29PelicansKenrich Williams defensive rebound36
10.1%
46
89.9%
Q2 - 2:32HeatKendrick Nunn misses two point driving reverse layup36
9.7%
46
90.3%
Q2 - 2:47PelicansNickeil Alexander-Walker makes two point pullup jump shot36
9.0%
46
91.0%
Q2 - 2:57HeatBam Adebayo makes two point dunk (Jimmy Butler assists)34
8.1%
46
91.9%
Q2 - 3:12PelicansZylan Cheatham turnover (offensive foul)34
9.3%
44
90.7%
Q2 - 3:12PelicansZylan Cheatham offensive foul (Off the ball) (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)34
10.4%
44
89.6%
Q2 - 3:20HeatJimmy Butler makes two point running dunk34
10.4%
44
89.6%
Q2 - 3:24PelicansJosh Gray turnover (bad pass) (Jimmy Butler steals)34
11.4%
42
88.6%
Q2 - 3:28PelicansJrue Holiday defensive rebound34
12.8%
42
87.2%
Q2 - 3:31HeatKendrick Nunn misses two point turnaround jump shot34
12.4%
42
87.6%
Q2 - 3:43HeatChris Silva defensive rebound34
11.4%
42
88.6%
Q2 - 3:45PelicansJosh Gray misses two point driving layup34
11.8%
42
88.2%
Q2 - 4:03PelicansZylan Cheatham defensive rebound34
12.8%
42
87.2%
Q2 - 4:06HeatKelly Olynyk misses three point jump shot34
12.4%
42
87.6%
Q2 - 4:10HeatChris Silva defensive rebound34
11.6%
42
88.4%
Q2 - 4:12PelicansZylan Cheatham misses two point floating jump shot34
12.0%
42
88.0%
Q2 - 4:27PelicansJosh Gray offensive rebound34
12.8%
42
87.2%
Q2 - 4:30PelicansKenrich Williams misses three point pullup jump shot34
12.0%
42
88.0%
Q2 - 4:34PelicansZylan Cheatham defensive rebound34
12.8%
42
87.2%
Q2 - 4:37HeatJimmy Butler misses three point jump shot34
12.4%
42
87.6%
Q2 - 4:59PelicansJrue Holiday makes two point driving layup34
11.6%
42
88.4%
Q2 - 5:13HeatTyler Herro makes two point pullup jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)32
10.7%
42
89.3%
Q2 - 5:31PelicansZylan Cheatham makes two point bank jump shot (Jrue Holiday assists)32
11.6%
40
88.4%
Q2 - 5:56HeatBam Adebayo makes two point dunk (Jimmy Butler assists)30
10.7%
40
89.3%
Q2 - 6:00HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound30
11.6%
38
88.4%
Q2 - 6:03PelicansE'Twaun Moore misses two point hook shot30
12.1%
38
87.9%
Q2 - 6:21HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving layup30
13.1%
38
86.9%
Q2 - 6:27HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound30
14.1%
36
85.9%
Q2 - 6:29HeatKendrick Nunn misses three point jump shot30
15.2%
36
84.8%
Q2 - 6:46PelicansJrue Holiday turnover (out of bounds bad pass)30
14.1%
36
85.9%
Q2 - 6:56HeatKelly Olynyk makes two point driving layup30
15.7%
36
84.3%
Q2 - 7:06PelicansE'Twaun Moore personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)30
17.2%
34
82.8%
Q2 - 7:13HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound30
17.2%
34
82.8%
Q2 - 7:16PelicansBam Adebayo blocks Nickeil Alexander-Walker's two point turnaround jump shot30
17.6%
34
82.4%
Q2 - 7:40HeatKelly Olynyk makes three point jump shot (Duncan Robinson assists)30
18.7%
34
81.3%
Q2 - 7:56PelicansJosh Gray makes two point driving finger roll layup30
22.0%
31
78.0%
Q2 - 8:03PelicansZylan Cheatham defensive rebound28
20.5%
31
79.5%
Q2 - 8:05HeatTyler Herro misses two point pullup jump shot28
20.0%
31
80.0%
Q2 - 8:13HeatKelly Olynyk offensive rebound28
18.8%
31
81.2%
Q2 - 8:15HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving layup28
20.0%
31
80.0%
Q2 - 8:25PelicansE'Twaun Moore personal foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)28
18.8%
31
81.2%
Q2 - 8:39PelicansNickeil Alexander-Walker makes three point jump shot (Nicolo Melli assists)28
18.8%
31
81.2%
Q2 - 8:49PelicansNickeil Alexander-Walker defensive rebound25
16.0%
31
84.0%
Q2 - 8:53HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot25
15.5%
31
84.5%
Q2 - 9:01PelicansE'Twaun Moore turnover (bad pass) (Kelly Olynyk steals)25
14.7%
31
85.3%
Q2 - 9:12HeatDaryl Macon turnover (out of bounds lost ball)25
16.1%
31
83.9%
Q2 - 9:30PelicansNickeil Alexander-Walker makes three point stepback jump shot (Nicolo Melli assists)25
14.7%
31
85.3%
Q2 - 9:45HeatBam Adebayo makes two point dunk (Daryl Macon assists)22
12.5%
31
87.5%
Q2 - 9:55HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound22
13.5%
29
86.5%
Q2 - 9:57PelicansNickeil Alexander-Walker misses two point driving floating jump shot22
13.9%
29
86.1%
Q2 - 10:05PelicansPelicans offensive rebound22
14.9%
29
85.1%
Q2 - 10:05PelicansBam Adebayo blocks E'Twaun Moore's two point driving layup22
14.0%
29
86.0%
Q2 - 10:10PelicansNicolo Melli defensive rebound22
14.9%
29
85.1%
Q2 - 10:13HeatTyler Herro misses two point layup22
14.5%
29
85.5%
Q2 - 10:14HeatTyler Herro offensive rebound22
13.7%
29
86.3%
Q2 - 10:17HeatDaryl Macon misses three point jump shot22
14.5%
29
85.5%
Q2 - 10:25PelicansJosh Gray turnover (bad pass) (Bam Adebayo steals)22
13.7%
29
86.3%
Q2 - 10:37PelicansNickeil Alexander-Walker defensive rebound22
14.9%
29
85.1%
Q2 - 10:39HeatDaryl Macon misses two point jump shot22
14.5%
29
85.5%
Q2 - 10:55PelicansNickeil Alexander-Walker turnover (traveling)22
13.7%
29
86.3%
Q2 - 11:00HeatTyler Herro turnover (bad pass) (Nicolo Melli steals)22
14.9%
29
85.1%
Q2 - 11:10HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound22
13.7%
29
86.3%
Q2 - 11:13PelicansNickeil Alexander-Walker misses three point jump shot22
14.0%
29
86.0%
Q2 - 11:26PelicansE'Twaun Moore defensive rebound22
14.8%
29
85.2%
Q2 - 11:29HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot22
14.4%
29
85.6%
Q2 - 11:38PelicansJaxson Hayes personal foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)22
13.7%
29
86.3%
Q2 - 11:44HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound22
13.7%
29
86.3%
Q2 - 11:46PelicansNicolo Melli misses three point jump shot22
14.0%
29
86.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.22
14.8%
29
85.2%
Q1 - 0:00.1PelicansPelicans offensive rebound22
14.7%
29
85.3%
Q1 - 0:00.2PelicansJrue Holiday misses two point bank jump shot22
14.1%
29
85.9%
Q1 - 0:19.9HeatDuncan Robinson turnover (bad pass) (Kenrich Williams steals)22
14.7%
29
85.3%
Q1 - 0:22.6PelicansJrue Holiday turnover (bad pass) (Duncan Robinson steals)22
13.8%
29
86.2%
Q1 - 0:33.3HeatChris Silva makes regular free throw 2 of 222
14.7%
29
85.3%
Q1 - 0:33.3HeatChris Silva makes regular free throw 1 of 222
14.9%
28
85.1%
Q1 - 0:33.3PelicansNicolo Melli shooting foul (Chris Silva draws the foul)22
15.2%
27
84.8%
Q1 - 0:33.3HeatChris Silva offensive rebound22
16.1%
27
83.9%
Q1 - 0:34.6HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving reverse layup22
16.8%
27
83.2%
Q1 - 0:53.5PelicansJaxson Hayes makes two point cutting dunk (Nickeil Alexander-Walker assists)22
16.1%
27
83.9%
Q1 - 0:58.9HeatKelly Olynyk turnover (bad pass) (Jrue Holiday steals)20
14.7%
27
85.3%
Q1 - 1:17HeatChris Silva defensive rebound20
13.9%
27
86.1%
Q1 - 1:19PelicansKenrich Williams misses three point jump shot20
14.1%
27
85.9%
Q1 - 1:37HeatDaryl Macon turnover (traveling)20
14.8%
27
85.2%
Q1 - 1:53PelicansNickeil Alexander-Walker turnover (out of bounds bad pass)20
13.9%
27
86.1%
Q1 - 2:12HeatChris Silva makes two point layup (Tyler Herro assists)20
14.9%
27
85.1%
Q1 - 2:22HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound20
16.1%
25
83.9%
Q1 - 2:24PelicansNicolo Melli misses three point jump shot20
16.5%
25
83.5%
Q1 - 2:39HeatChris Silva makes two point turnaround hook shot (Jimmy Butler assists)20
17.4%
25
82.6%
Q1 - 2:58PelicansJaxson Hayes makes two point tip dunk20
18.7%
23
81.3%
Q1 - 2:58PelicansJaxson Hayes offensive rebound18
17.4%
23
82.6%
Q1 - 3:02PelicansNicolo Melli misses two point driving layup18
16.4%
23
83.6%
Q1 - 3:10PelicansNickeil Alexander-Walker defensive rebound18
17.4%
23
82.6%
Q1 - 3:14HeatKendrick Nunn misses three point jump shot18
17.0%
23
83.0%
Q1 - 3:29HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound18
16.0%
23
84.0%
Q1 - 3:33PelicansNicolo Melli misses regular free throw 2 of 218
16.2%
23
83.8%
Q1 - 3:33PelicansNicolo Melli makes regular free throw 1 of 218
16.9%
23
83.1%
Q1 - 3:33HeatChris Silva shooting foul (Nicolo Melli draws the foul)17
16.6%
23
83.4%
Q1 - 3:36HeatChris Silva turnover (lost ball) (Nicolo Melli steals)17
16.2%
23
83.8%
Q1 - 3:49HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound17
14.9%
23
85.1%
Q1 - 3:52PelicansJrue Holiday misses two point jump shot17
15.3%
23
84.7%
Q1 - 3:58PelicansNicolo Melli offensive rebound17
16.2%
23
83.8%
Q1 - 4:02PelicansE'Twaun Moore misses three point jump shot17
15.3%
23
84.7%
Q1 - 4:20HeatKendrick Nunn makes three point running pullup jump shot17
16.2%
23
83.8%
Q1 - 4:23HeatKendrick Nunn defensive rebound17
18.5%
20
81.5%
Q1 - 4:26PelicansNicolo Melli misses three point jump shot17
18.9%
20
81.1%
Q1 - 4:30PelicansDerrick Favors defensive rebound17
20.0%
20
80.0%
Q1 - 4:33HeatJimmy Butler misses two point turnaround jump shot17
19.5%
20
80.5%
Q1 - 5:00PelicansJrue Holiday makes three point stepback jump shot17
18.5%
20
81.5%
Q1 - 5:25HeatMeyers Leonard makes two point turnaround jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)14
16.2%
20
83.8%
Q1 - 5:31HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound14
17.3%
18
82.7%
Q1 - 5:33HeatBam Adebayo misses two point alley-oop dunk14
18.2%
18
81.8%
Q1 - 5:45HeatJimmy Butler makes technical free throw 1 of 114
17.3%
18
82.7%
Q1 - 5:45Pelicans technical foul (Defensive three second)14
17.6%
17
82.4%
Q1 - 5:52HeatHeat offensive rebound14
18.5%
17
81.5%
Q1 - 5:52HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving floating jump shot14
19.4%
17
80.6%
Q1 - 5:53HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound14
18.5%
17
81.5%
Q1 - 5:55HeatDuncan Robinson misses two point jump shot14
19.4%
17
80.6%
Q1 - 5:59HeatHeat offensive rebound14
18.5%
17
81.5%
Q1 - 5:59HeatKendrick Nunn misses two point driving layup14
19.4%
17
80.6%
Q1 - 6:12HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound14
18.6%
17
81.4%
Q1 - 6:16PelicansJrue Holiday misses two point fadeaway jump shot14
18.9%
17
81.1%
Q1 - 6:26PelicansKenrich Williams offensive rebound14
19.7%
17
80.3%
Q1 - 6:29PelicansE'Twaun Moore misses three point jump shot14
18.9%
17
81.1%
Q1 - 6:39PelicansDerrick Favors defensive rebound14
19.7%
17
80.3%
Q1 - 6:42HeatKendrick Nunn misses three point pullup jump shot14
19.4%
17
80.6%
Q1 - 6:59PelicansKenrich Williams makes two point driving hook shot (Jrue Holiday assists)14
18.5%
17
81.5%
Q1 - 7:16PelicansDerrick Favors defensive rebound12
17.5%
17
82.5%
Q1 - 7:18HeatJimmy Butler misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot12
17.1%
17
82.9%
Q1 - 7:32HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound12
16.3%
17
83.7%
Q1 - 7:37PelicansFrank Jackson misses three point jump shot12
16.6%
17
83.4%
Q1 - 7:46HeatBam Adebayo makes two point driving hook shot12
17.4%
17
82.6%
Q1 - 7:54HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound12
18.4%
15
81.6%
Q1 - 7:54PelicansJrue Holiday misses two point driving layup12
18.8%
15
81.2%
Q1 - 8:03HeatBam Adebayo makes two point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)12
19.6%
15
80.4%
Q1 - 8:09HeatMeyers Leonard defensive rebound12
20.6%
13
79.4%
Q1 - 8:11PelicansFrank Jackson misses two point driving layup12
21.1%
13
78.9%
Q1 - 8:28HeatKendrick Nunn makes two point driving floating jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)12
22.0%
13
78.0%
Q1 - 8:46PelicansKenrich Williams makes three point pullup jump shot (Frank Jackson assists)12
23.2%
11
76.8%
Q1 - 8:53PelicansDerrick Favors defensive rebound9
20.8%
11
79.2%
Q1 - 8:55HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot9
20.4%
11
79.6%
Q1 - 9:18PelicansDerrick Favors makes two point reverse layup (E'Twaun Moore assists)9
19.3%
11
80.7%
Q1 - 9:39HeatKendrick Nunn makes two point driving reverse layup7
18.4%
11
81.6%
Q1 - 9:44HeatMeyers Leonard defensive rebound7
19.3%
9
80.7%
Q1 - 9:46PelicansFrank Jackson misses three point jump shot7
19.8%
9
80.2%
Q1 - 9:58HeatDuncan Robinson makes two point driving layup (Meyers Leonard assists)7
20.7%
9
79.3%
Q1 - 10:11HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound7
21.6%
7
78.4%
Q1 - 10:13PelicansE'Twaun Moore misses three point jump shot7
22.0%
7
78.0%
Q1 - 10:23HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 27
23.0%
7
77.0%
Q1 - 10:23HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 27
23.2%
6
76.8%
Q1 - 10:23PelicansDerrick Favors shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)7
23.4%
5
76.6%
Q1 - 10:36PelicansE'Twaun Moore makes two point driving floating jump shot7
24.2%
5
75.8%
Q1 - 10:52HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)5
23.0%
5
77.0%
Q1 - 11:09PelicansE'Twaun Moore makes two point cutting layup (Derrick Favors assists)5
25.5%
2
74.5%
Q1 - 11:19HeatKendrick Nunn makes two point driving floating jump shot3
24.2%
2
75.8%
Q1 - 11:30PelicansJrue Holiday makes three point pullup jump shot (Derrick Favors assists)3
25.5%
0
74.5%
Q1 - 11:39PelicansFrank Jackson defensive rebound0
22.8%
0
77.2%
Q1 - 11:43HeatMeyers Leonard misses three point jump shot0
22.4%
0
77.6%
Q1 - 12:00Derrick Favors vs. Bam Adebayo (Meyers Leonard gains possession)0
21.5%
0
78.5%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

NOP
1.06 52.8%
MIA
1.24 61.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
NOP
18
23
78%
MIA
21
29
72%
Midrange
NOP
3
24
13%
MIA
14
28
50%
3PT | Effective 3PT
NOP
16
24.0
35
46%
69%
MIA
9
13.5
24
38%
56%
Free Throws
NOP
4
6
67%
MIA
12
13
92%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
NOP logo Pelicans
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
N. Alexander-Walker2771%13.5 / 19
E. Moore1845%9.0 / 20
J. Holiday1458%7.0 / 12
J. Hayes12100%6.0 / 6
N. Melli1050%5.0 / 10
K. Williams739%3.5 / 9
D. Favors2100%1.0 / 1
J. Gray250%1.0 / 2
Z. Cheatham233%1.0 / 3
F. Jackson0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Nunn2258%11.0 / 19
B. Adebayo1875%9.0 / 12
J. Butler1657%8.0 / 14
D. Robinson1575%7.5 / 10
K. Olynyk1393%6.5 / 7
T. Herro1250%6.0 / 12
C. Silva975%4.5 / 6
M. Leonard440%2.0 / 5
D. Macon0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

NOP
77
+10
-18
87
MIA
75
+13
-20
88
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

NOP
1.06 52.8%
MIA
1.24 61.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
110.9
112.4
NOP 98.9 +15.8
MIA 114.7
Pace
103.6
98.4
NOP 102.5 +14.0
MIA 88.5
Avg. Poss. Time
13.6
14.8
NOP 14.0 +2.2
MIA 16.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
53.9%
54.7%
NOP 54.9%
MIA 59.9% +5.0%
TO %
15.2%
14.0%
NOP 17.5% +2.0%
MIA 19.5%
ORB %
24.2%
20.3%
NOP 16.3%
MIA 27.3% +11.0%
FTrt
25.6
29.9
NOP 7.3
MIA 16.0 +8.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
63.0%
65.7%
NOP 62.2% +5.4%
MIA 56.8%
STL %
7.2%
7.6%
NOP 10.5%
MIA 13.7% +3.2%
BLK %
8.6%
9.3%
NOP 3.5%
MIA 6.4% +2.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
55.7%
56.9%
NOP 52.8%
MIA 61.9% +9.1%
Rim FG%
61.3%
63.8%
NOP 78.3% +5.9%
MIA 72.4%
Mid FG%
38.1%
38.9%
NOP 12.5%
MIA 50.0% +37.5%
3P %
37.0%
37.9%
NOP 45.7% +8.2%
MIA 37.5%
FT %
72.9%
78.3%
NOP 66.7%
MIA 92.3% +25.6%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
38.0%
33.2%
NOP 28.0%
MIA 35.8% +7.8%
Mid Att. %
21.8%
24.9%
NOP 29.3% +5.3%
MIA 34.6%
3P Att. %
40.3%
41.9%
NOP 42.7% +13.1%
MIA 29.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsNOPMIA
Possessions9595
Possession Minutes22.225.8
Points94109
Rebounds3145
Assists2325
Steals1013
Blocks23
Turnovers (Team)18 (0)20 (1)
Fouls166
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (3)9 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)24 (0)36 (0)
Field Goals37-8244-81
At-the-Rim FG18-2321-29
Midrange FG3-2414-28
2-Point FG21-4735-57
3-Point FG16-359-24
Free Throws4-612-13
Fast Break Pts1018
2nd Chance Pts1113
Points in Paint4260
Pts off Turnovers1816
Bench Points5334
Biggest Lead315

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
19 New Orleans Pelicans
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
E'Twaun Moore
#55 · SF · 6'4" 191 · 31
39.6
18
45%
2
5
3
0
1
3
1
1
2-2
100%
5-13
38%
2-6
33%
Kenrich Williams
#34 · PF · 6'6" 210 · 25
39.4
7
39%
5
3
1
0
0
1
2
3
0-0
-
2-3
67%
1-6
17%
Jrue Holiday
#11 · PG · 6'4" 205 · 29
36.4
14
58%
2
4
2
0
6
4
0
2
0-0
-
1-7
14%
4-5
80%
Derrick Favors
#22 · C · 6'10" 265 · 28
8.2
2
100%
4
2
0
0
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
Frank Jackson
#15 · SG · 6'3" 205 · 22
5.4
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-2
0%
Nickeil Alexander-Walker
#0 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 21
30.4
27
71%
4
3
0
0
3
1
0
4
1-2
50%
4-9
44%
6-9
67%
Nicolo Melli
#20 · PF · 6'9" 236 · 29
27.8
10
50%
5
3
3
0
1
2
1
4
1-2
50%
0-2
0%
3-7
43%
Jaxson Hayes
#10 · C · 7'0" 220 · 19
23.5
12
100%
3
0
1
2
3
1
2
1
0-0
-
6-6
100%
0-0
-
Josh Gray
#5 · PG · 6'1" 182 · 26
15.4
2
50%
2
1
0
0
3
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
Zylan Cheatham
#45 · SF · 6'8" 220 · 24
13.9
2
33%
3
1
0
0
1
3
0
3
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-0
-
JJ Redick
#4 · SG · 6'4" 200 · 35
DNP - Injury/Illness | Left Great Toe; Sprain
Josh Hart
#3 · SG · 6'4" 215 · 25
DNP - Injury/Illness | Left Knee/Ankle; Sprain
Brandon Ingram
#14 · SF · 6'8" 190 · 22
DNP - Injury/Illness | Right Knee; Soreness
Darius Miller
#21 · SF · 6'8" 225 · 30
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Achilles Surgery
Zion Williamson
#1 · SF · 6'6" 284 · 19
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Knee Scope
Lonzo Ball
#2 · PG · 6'6" 190 · 22
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Adductor Strain
Jahlil Okafor
#8 · C · 6'11" 260 · 24
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Ankle Sprain
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
94
53%
31
23
10
2
18
16
7
24
4-6
67%
21-47
45%
16-35
46%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.