FinalWin Prob.pScore
1030%109
80
370%117
95
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
85.19498.7
LAL logo LAL
99.09691.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

LakersHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

LakersHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIALAL
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.80
0%
95
100%
Q4 - 0:19.3HeatJames Johnson defensive rebound80
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 0:22.6LakersAvery Bradley misses two point pullup jump shot80
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 0:41.5HeatKelly Olynyk makes two point layup (Duncan Robinson assists)80
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 0:45.7HeatHeat offensive rebound78
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 0:47.5HeatGoran Dragic misses two point stepback jump shot78
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 1:01LakersAvery Bradley makes three point jump shot (Anthony Davis assists)78
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 1:18HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 278
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 1:18HeatBam Adebayo misses regular free throw 1 of 277
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 1:18LakersLeBron James personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)77
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 1:18HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound77
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 1:18LakersLeBron James misses two point tip layup77
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 1:18LakersLeBron James offensive rebound77
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 1:20LakersAnthony Davis misses two point floating jump shot77
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 1:42LakersLeBron James defensive rebound77
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 1:47HeatKendrick Nunn misses three point jump shot77
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 2:06LakersLeBron James makes three point pullup jump shot77
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 2:26LakersDanny Green defensive rebound77
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 2:27HeatJimmy Butler misses two point putback layup77
0.2%
89
99.8%
Q4 - 2:27HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound77
0.3%
89
99.7%
Q4 - 2:27HeatAlex Caruso blocks Kendrick Nunn's two point driving layup77
0.2%
89
99.8%
Q4 - 2:33HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound77
0.3%
89
99.7%
Q4 - 2:38LakersAnthony Davis misses two point stepback jump shot77
0.2%
89
99.8%
Q4 - 3:03HeatBam Adebayo turnover (bad pass) (Danny Green steals)77
0.2%
89
99.8%
Q4 - 3:05HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound77
0.4%
89
99.6%
Q4 - 3:06HeatKelly Olynyk misses two point driving layup77
0.3%
89
99.7%
Q4 - 3:28LakersLeBron James makes three point jump shot (Anthony Davis assists)77
0.4%
89
99.6%
Q4 - 3:47HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 277
1.7%
86
98.3%
Q4 - 3:47HeatBam Adebayo misses regular free throw 1 of 276
1.5%
86
98.5%
Q4 - 3:47LakersAnthony Davis shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)76
1.9%
86
98.1%
Q4 - 3:59LakersLeBron James turnover (discontinue dribble)76
1.7%
86
98.3%
Q4 - 4:05LakersAvery Bradley defensive rebound76
1.1%
86
98.9%
Q4 - 4:06HeatAnthony Davis blocks Jimmy Butler's two point driving layup76
1.3%
86
98.7%
Q4 - 4:21LakersDanny Green turnover (out of bounds bad pass)76
1.6%
86
98.4%
Q4 - 4:25LakersAlex Caruso defensive rebound76
1.1%
86
98.9%
Q4 - 4:29HeatKelly Olynyk misses three point jump shot76
1.2%
86
98.8%
Q4 - 4:45LakersAlex Caruso personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)76
1.6%
86
98.4%
Q4 - 4:53HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound76
1.6%
86
98.4%
Q4 - 4:54LakersAnthony Davis misses two point fadeaway jump shot76
1.4%
86
98.6%
Q4 - 4:58HeatHeat turnover (5-second violation)76
1.1%
86
98.9%
Q4 - 5:03LakersAlex Caruso makes two point driving layup (Anthony Davis assists)76
2.3%
86
97.7%
Q4 - 5:15HeatKelly Olynyk personal foul (Loose ball) (Dwight Howard draws the foul)76
3.1%
84
96.9%
Q4 - 5:15LakersLakers offensive rebound76
3.1%
84
96.9%
Q4 - 5:15LakersLeBron James misses two point stepback jump shot76
3.9%
84
96.1%
Q4 - 5:39HeatBam Adebayo personal foul (Loose ball) (Dwight Howard draws the foul)76
3.1%
84
96.9%
Q4 - 5:39LakersLakers defensive rebound76
3.1%
84
96.9%
Q4 - 5:40HeatJimmy Butler misses three point jump shot76
3.4%
84
96.6%
Q4 - 5:49LakersKyle Kuzma personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)76
4.3%
84
95.7%
Q4 - 6:00LakersLeBron James makes two point driving layup76
4.3%
84
95.7%
Q4 - 6:17LakersKyle Kuzma defensive rebound76
6.7%
82
93.3%
Q4 - 6:22HeatJames Johnson misses three point jump shot76
7.3%
82
92.7%
Q4 - 6:29HeatJames Johnson offensive rebound76
9.1%
82
90.9%
Q4 - 6:33HeatGoran Dragic misses three point pullup jump shot76
7.3%
82
92.7%
Q4 - 6:44HeatGoran Dragic defensive rebound76
9.1%
82
90.9%
Q4 - 6:48LakersLeBron James misses three point jump shot76
8.3%
82
91.7%
Q4 - 7:03HeatKelly Olynyk turnover (3-second violation)76
7.6%
82
92.4%
Q4 - 7:20LakersQuinn Cook personal foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)76
10.1%
82
89.9%
Q4 - 7:28HeatJames Johnson offensive rebound76
10.0%
82
90.0%
Q4 - 7:30HeatKelly Olynyk misses three point running jump shot76
8.3%
82
91.7%
Q4 - 7:34LakersLeBron James turnover (bad pass) (Jimmy Butler steals)76
10.0%
82
90.0%
Q4 - 7:48HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 276
7.6%
82
92.5%
Q4 - 7:48HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 275
7.3%
82
92.7%
Q4 - 7:48LakersDwight Howard shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)74
7.0%
82
93.0%
Q4 - 7:55LakersKyle Kuzma turnover (bad pass) (Tyler Herro steals)74
6.1%
82
93.9%
Q4 - 8:04LakersDwight Howard defensive rebound74
5.3%
82
94.7%
Q4 - 8:06HeatKelly Olynyk misses two point jump shot74
5.7%
82
94.3%
Q4 - 8:20LakersLeBron James makes two point driving layup (Quinn Cook assists)74
6.7%
82
93.3%
Q4 - 8:36LakersDwight Howard defensive rebound74
8.5%
80
91.5%
Q4 - 8:36HeatGoran Dragic misses three point pullup jump shot74
9.1%
80
90.9%
Q4 - 8:43LakersDwight Howard turnover (offensive foul)74
10.7%
80
89.3%
Q4 - 8:43LakersDwight Howard offensive foul (James Johnson draws the foul)74
8.5%
80
91.5%
Q4 - 8:54HeatKelly Olynyk makes three point jump shot (Goran Dragic assists)74
8.5%
80
91.5%
Q4 - 9:04LakersAlex Caruso turnover (back court violation)71
5.8%
80
94.2%
Q4 - 9:27HeatKelly Olynyk turnover (offensive foul)71
4.6%
80
95.4%
Q4 - 9:27HeatKelly Olynyk offensive foul (Quinn Cook draws the foul)71
5.8%
80
94.2%
Q4 - 9:45LakersLeBron James makes two point pullup jump shot (Dwight Howard assists)71
5.8%
80
94.2%
Q4 - 10:11HeatGoran Dragic makes three point pullup jump shot71
7.9%
78
92.1%
Q4 - 10:18HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound68
5.2%
78
94.8%
Q4 - 10:20LakersKyle Kuzma misses three point jump shot68
4.9%
78
95.1%
Q4 - 10:37HeatGoran Dragic makes two point cutting layup (Bam Adebayo assists)68
4.1%
78
95.9%
Q4 - 10:48HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound66
3.3%
78
96.7%
Q4 - 10:51LakersQuinn Cook misses two point driving floating jump shot66
3.1%
78
96.9%
Q4 - 11:02LakersDwight Howard defensive rebound66
3.1%
78
96.9%
Q4 - 11:06HeatTyler Herro misses three point running pullup jump shot66
3.3%
78
96.7%
Q4 - 11:10HeatGoran Dragic defensive rebound66
3.8%
78
96.2%
Q4 - 11:15LakersAlex Caruso misses two point pullup jump shot66
3.6%
78
96.4%
Q4 - 11:31LakersAlex Caruso defensive rebound66
3.1%
78
96.9%
Q4 - 11:34HeatDuncan Robinson misses two point jump shot66
3.3%
78
96.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.66
3.8%
78
96.2%
Q3 - 0:01.0LakersLakers offensive rebound66
3.5%
78
96.5%
Q3 - 0:01.3LakersQuinn Cook misses three point running pullup jump shot66
4.0%
78
96.0%
Q3 - 0:03.0HeatGoran Dragic turnover (bad pass) (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope steals)66
3.5%
78
96.5%
Q3 - 0:22.0HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound66
4.2%
78
95.8%
Q3 - 0:25.7LakersAnthony Davis misses two point fadeaway jump shot66
4.0%
78
96.0%
Q3 - 0:34.6LakersTroy Daniels defensive rebound66
3.5%
78
96.5%
Q3 - 0:37.8HeatGoran Dragic misses two point stepback jump shot66
3.7%
78
96.3%
Q3 - 0:48.6LakersAnthony Davis makes regular free throw 2 of 266
4.2%
78
95.8%
Q3 - 0:48.6LakersAnthony Davis makes regular free throw 1 of 266
4.3%
77
95.7%
Q3 - 0:48.6HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (Anthony Davis draws the foul)66
4.5%
76
95.5%
Q3 - 1:02HeatKelly Olynyk makes two point layup (Goran Dragic assists)66
5.6%
76
94.4%
Q3 - 1:08HeatGoran Dragic defensive rebound64
4.7%
76
95.3%
Q3 - 1:11LakersKyle Kuzma misses three point jump shot64
4.4%
76
95.6%
Q3 - 1:30HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving reverse layup64
3.9%
76
96.1%
Q3 - 1:42LakersAnthony Davis makes two point jump shot (Quinn Cook assists)62
3.2%
76
96.8%
Q3 - 2:02HeatJimmy Butler makes two point cutting dunk (Bam Adebayo assists)62
4.3%
74
95.7%
Q3 - 2:20LakersKyle Kuzma makes two point putback layup60
3.7%
74
96.3%
Q3 - 2:21LakersKyle Kuzma offensive rebound60
4.3%
72
95.7%
Q3 - 2:22LakersTroy Daniels misses three point jump shot60
4.9%
72
95.1%
Q3 - 2:32LakersJaVale McGee defensive rebound60
4.3%
72
95.7%
Q3 - 2:33HeatKelly Olynyk misses two point layup60
4.5%
72
95.5%
Q3 - 2:58LakersKentavious Caldwell-Pope makes two point cutting layup (JaVale McGee assists)60
5.2%
72
94.8%
Q3 - 3:22HeatGoran Dragic makes three point pullup jump shot60
6.5%
70
93.5%
Q3 - 3:33LakersJaVale McGee makes two point alley-oop dunk (Anthony Davis assists)57
4.7%
70
95.3%
Q3 - 3:46HeatJimmy Butler makes two point cutting dunk (Goran Dragic assists)57
5.5%
68
94.5%
Q3 - 3:59LakersLeBron James makes two point cutting finger roll layup (Anthony Davis assists)55
4.7%
68
95.3%
Q3 - 4:10LakersAnthony Davis offensive rebound55
5.8%
66
94.2%
Q3 - 4:14LakersLeBron James misses three point fadeaway jump shot55
6.6%
66
93.4%
Q3 - 4:42LakersLakers defensive rebound55
5.8%
66
94.2%
Q3 - 4:44HeatTyler Herro misses two point cutting layup55
6.1%
66
93.9%
Q3 - 4:49HeatGoran Dragic offensive rebound55
6.9%
66
93.1%
Q3 - 4:54HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot55
6.1%
66
93.9%
Q3 - 5:05LakersLeBron James makes three point jump shot (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope assists)55
7.5%
66
92.5%
Q3 - 5:14LakersLakers defensive rebound55
9.9%
63
90.1%
Q3 - 5:14HeatGoran Dragic misses three point jump shot55
10.4%
63
89.6%
Q3 - 5:29LakersJaVale McGee makes two point putback dunk55
11.5%
63
88.5%
Q3 - 5:29LakersJaVale McGee offensive rebound55
13.1%
61
86.9%
Q3 - 5:33LakersTroy Daniels misses three point jump shot55
14.5%
61
85.5%
Q3 - 5:43LakersJaVale McGee defensive rebound55
13.1%
61
86.9%
Q3 - 5:45HeatGoran Dragic misses two point driving finger roll layup55
13.7%
61
86.3%
Q3 - 6:00LakersAvery Bradley personal foul (Goran Dragic draws the foul)55
15.2%
61
84.8%
Q3 - 6:14LakersJaVale McGee turnover (3-second violation)55
15.4%
61
84.6%
Q3 - 6:22LakersLakers offensive rebound55
13.3%
61
86.7%
Q3 - 6:22LakersLeBron James misses flagrant free throw 2 of 255
13.3%
61
86.7%
Q3 - 6:22LakersLeBron James makes flagrant free throw 1 of 255
12.2%
61
87.8%
Q3 - 6:22HeatMeyers Leonard flagrant 1 (LeBron James draws the foul)55
12.7%
60
87.3%
Q3 - 6:32HeatBam Adebayo makes two point layup55
15.2%
60
84.8%
Q3 - 6:55LakersAnthony Davis makes two point cutting layup (Avery Bradley assists)53
13.5%
60
86.5%
Q3 - 7:10HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 153
15.3%
58
84.7%
Q3 - 7:10LakersAvery Bradley shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)52
15.0%
58
85.0%
Q3 - 7:24LakersAnthony Davis makes two point driving finger roll layup (LeBron James assists)50
11.9%
58
88.1%
Q3 - 7:44HeatBam Adebayo makes two point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)50
13.4%
56
86.6%
Q3 - 7:50LakersDanny Green personal foul (Duncan Robinson draws the foul)48
11.9%
56
88.1%
Q3 - 7:50HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound48
11.9%
56
88.1%
Q3 - 7:52LakersAvery Bradley misses three point jump shot48
11.4%
56
88.6%
Q3 - 7:59LakersLeBron James defensive rebound48
10.3%
56
89.7%
Q3 - 8:01HeatBam Adebayo misses two point turnaround hook shot48
10.9%
56
89.1%
Q3 - 8:21LakersAnthony Davis makes two point layup (Danny Green assists)48
12.1%
56
87.9%
Q3 - 8:26LakersJaVale McGee defensive rebound48
13.5%
54
86.5%
Q3 - 8:31HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot48
14.1%
54
85.9%
Q3 - 8:48HeatHeat defensive rebound48
15.6%
54
84.4%
Q3 - 8:48LakersDanny Green misses three point running jump shot48
15.0%
54
85.0%
Q3 - 8:50LakersJaVale McGee defensive rebound48
13.5%
54
86.5%
Q3 - 8:52HeatJimmy Butler misses three point pullup jump shot48
14.1%
54
85.9%
Q3 - 8:56LakersAnthony Davis turnover (lost ball) (Bam Adebayo steals)48
15.6%
54
84.4%
Q3 - 8:57LakersAnthony Davis defensive rebound48
13.5%
54
86.5%
Q3 - 9:01HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot48
14.1%
54
85.9%
Q3 - 9:19HeatMeyers Leonard defensive rebound48
15.5%
54
84.5%
Q3 - 9:24LakersJaVale McGee misses two point floating jump shot48
14.9%
54
85.1%
Q3 - 9:41LakersJaVale McGee defensive rebound48
13.5%
54
86.5%
Q3 - 9:45HeatBam Adebayo misses regular free throw 2 of 248
13.8%
54
86.2%
Q3 - 9:45HeatBam Adebayo misses regular free throw 1 of 248
14.8%
54
85.2%
Q3 - 9:45LakersAnthony Davis shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)48
16.1%
54
83.9%
Q3 - 9:47LakersLeBron James turnover (lost ball) (Kendrick Nunn steals)48
15.5%
54
84.5%
Q3 - 10:07HeatKendrick Nunn turnover (lost ball) (Danny Green steals)48
13.6%
54
86.4%
Q3 - 10:10HeatKendrick Nunn defensive rebound48
15.6%
54
84.4%
Q3 - 10:14LakersAnthony Davis misses two point jump shot48
14.9%
54
85.1%
Q3 - 10:18LakersLakers offensive rebound48
13.6%
54
86.4%
Q3 - 10:18LakersKendrick Nunn blocks Avery Bradley's two point driving floating jump shot48
14.9%
54
85.1%
Q3 - 10:35HeatKendrick Nunn makes two point driving finger roll layup (Bam Adebayo assists)48
13.6%
54
86.4%
Q3 - 10:38HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound46
12.2%
54
87.8%
Q3 - 10:38HeatKendrick Nunn misses three point jump shot46
11.1%
54
88.9%
Q3 - 10:53LakersJaVale McGee makes regular free throw 1 of 146
12.2%
54
87.8%
Q3 - 10:53HeatMeyers Leonard shooting foul (JaVale McGee draws the foul)46
12.7%
53
87.3%
Q3 - 10:59LakersJaVale McGee defensive rebound46
15.3%
51
84.7%
Q3 - 11:03HeatMeyers Leonard misses three point jump shot46
16.0%
51
84.0%
Q3 - 11:16LakersLeBron James makes two point driving dunk46
17.4%
51
82.6%
Q3 - 11:28HeatKendrick Nunn turnover (bad pass) (JaVale McGee steals)46
19.3%
49
80.7%
Q3 - 11:48LakersDanny Green misses two point jump shot46
20.9%
49
79.1%
Q3 - 11:49LakersDanny Green makes regular free throw 1 of 146
21.6%
49
78.4%
Q3 - 11:49HeatDuncan Robinson personal foul (Away from play) (Danny Green draws the foul)46
19.7%
48
80.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.46
21.5%
48
78.5%
Q2 - 0:01.0LakersAnthony Davis defensive rebound46
21.8%
48
78.2%
Q2 - 0:02.0HeatJimmy Butler misses three point stepback jump shot46
22.3%
48
77.7%
Q2 - 0:18.7HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound46
23.4%
48
76.6%
Q2 - 0:22.1LakersKyle Kuzma misses three point pullup jump shot46
22.9%
48
77.1%
Q2 - 0:32.6HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 246
21.8%
48
78.2%
Q2 - 0:32.6HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 245
21.5%
48
78.5%
Q2 - 0:32.6LakersKyle Kuzma shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)44
21.2%
48
78.8%
Q2 - 0:36.1LakersAnthony Davis turnover (bad pass) (Jimmy Butler steals)44
19.1%
48
80.9%
Q2 - 0:39.8LakersAnthony Davis defensive rebound44
17.7%
48
82.3%
Q2 - 0:44.6HeatKelly Olynyk misses three point jump shot44
18.1%
48
81.9%
Q2 - 1:00LakersTroy Daniels makes three point jump shot (LeBron James assists)44
19.1%
48
80.9%
Q2 - 1:10HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 244
24.4%
45
75.6%
Q2 - 1:10HeatBam Adebayo misses regular free throw 1 of 243
23.7%
45
76.3%
Q2 - 1:10LakersAnthony Davis shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)43
25.4%
45
74.6%
Q2 - 1:10HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound43
23.4%
45
76.6%
Q2 - 1:11HeatBam Adebayo misses two point jump shot43
22.5%
45
77.5%
Q2 - 1:21LakersAvery Bradley turnover (out of bounds bad pass)43
23.4%
45
76.6%
Q2 - 1:29LakersTroy Daniels defensive rebound43
22.1%
45
77.9%
Q2 - 1:34HeatKelly Olynyk misses three point jump shot43
22.5%
45
77.5%
Q2 - 1:36HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound43
23.4%
45
76.6%
Q2 - 1:40HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot43
22.5%
45
77.5%
Q2 - 1:49HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound43
23.4%
45
76.6%
Q2 - 1:51LakersAvery Bradley misses three point jump shot43
23.0%
45
77.0%
Q2 - 1:57HeatBam Adebayo turnover (out of bounds bad pass)43
22.1%
45
77.9%
Q2 - 2:10LakersAnthony Davis makes two point turnaround jump shot (LeBron James assists)43
23.9%
45
76.1%
Q2 - 2:24HeatKendrick Nunn makes two point driving floating jump shot43
26.1%
43
73.9%
Q2 - 2:33LakersAnthony Davis makes two point alley-oop dunk (Avery Bradley assists)41
23.8%
43
76.2%
Q2 - 2:41HeatKelly Olynyk makes regular free throw 2 of 241
26.2%
41
73.8%
Q2 - 2:41HeatKelly Olynyk misses regular free throw 1 of 240
25.8%
41
74.2%
Q2 - 2:41LakersDanny Green shooting foul (Kelly Olynyk draws the foul)40
27.6%
41
72.4%
Q2 - 2:48HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound40
26.1%
41
73.9%
Q2 - 2:51LakersAnthony Davis misses two point floating jump shot40
25.4%
41
74.6%
Q2 - 3:06LakersKyle Kuzma defensive rebound40
23.5%
41
76.5%
Q2 - 3:09HeatJimmy Butler misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot40
24.2%
41
75.8%
Q2 - 3:24LakersQuinn Cook personal foul (Kelly Olynyk draws the foul)40
25.9%
41
74.1%
Q2 - 3:45LakersDwight Howard makes two point alley-oop layup (Anthony Davis assists)40
25.9%
41
74.1%
Q2 - 4:02HeatKendrick Nunn makes two point running layup (Duncan Robinson assists)40
27.6%
39
72.4%
Q2 - 4:06LakersQuinn Cook turnover (lost ball) (Duncan Robinson steals)38
25.4%
39
74.6%
Q2 - 4:15HeatKelly Olynyk personal foul (Dwight Howard draws the foul)38
23.4%
39
76.6%
Q2 - 4:21LakersDwight Howard defensive rebound38
23.4%
39
76.6%
Q2 - 4:23HeatJimmy Butler misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot38
24.0%
39
76.0%
Q2 - 4:35HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound38
25.5%
39
74.5%
Q2 - 4:38LakersDanny Green misses three point jump shot38
24.8%
39
75.2%
Q2 - 4:49HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 238
23.4%
39
76.6%
Q2 - 4:49HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 237
23.1%
39
76.9%
Q2 - 4:49LakersDwight Howard shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)36
22.8%
39
77.2%
Q2 - 5:05LakersQuinn Cook makes two point driving floating jump shot (Danny Green assists)36
21.5%
39
78.5%
Q2 - 5:21HeatDuncan Robinson personal foul (Danny Green draws the foul)36
23.0%
37
77.0%
Q2 - 5:43HeatGoran Dragic makes three point stepback jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)36
23.0%
37
77.0%
Q2 - 6:03HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound33
19.7%
37
80.3%
Q2 - 6:08LakersKentavious Caldwell-Pope misses three point jump shot33
19.1%
37
80.9%
Q2 - 6:17LakersDwight Howard defensive rebound33
17.7%
37
82.3%
Q2 - 6:22HeatKelly Olynyk misses three point fadeaway jump shot33
18.3%
37
81.7%
Q2 - 6:44LakersKyle Kuzma makes three point jump shot (Alex Caruso assists)33
19.7%
37
80.3%
Q2 - 6:54HeatGoran Dragic makes two point driving floating jump shot33
22.9%
34
77.1%
Q2 - 7:00HeatGoran Dragic defensive rebound31
21.4%
34
78.6%
Q2 - 7:01LakersKentavious Caldwell-Pope misses three point jump shot31
20.8%
34
79.2%
Q2 - 7:11LakersLakers defensive rebound31
19.6%
34
80.4%
Q2 - 7:12HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot31
20.2%
34
79.8%
Q2 - 7:33HeatHeat defensive rebound31
21.4%
34
78.6%
Q2 - 7:36LakersAlex Caruso misses three point jump shot31
20.8%
34
79.2%
Q2 - 8:00HeatBam Adebayo makes two point cutting dunk (Goran Dragic assists)31
19.6%
34
80.4%
Q2 - 8:12LakersDwight Howard personal foul (Loose ball) (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)29
18.3%
34
81.7%
Q2 - 8:12HeatHeat defensive rebound29
18.3%
34
81.7%
Q2 - 8:12LakersAlex Caruso misses two point floating jump shot29
17.8%
34
82.2%
Q2 - 8:31HeatBam Adebayo makes two point running dunk29
16.7%
34
83.3%
Q2 - 8:36LakersKyle Kuzma turnover (bad pass) (Bam Adebayo steals)27
15.5%
34
84.5%
Q2 - 8:38HeatDuncan Robinson personal foul (Loose ball) (Dwight Howard draws the foul)27
14.1%
34
85.9%
Q2 - 8:38LakersLakers offensive rebound27
14.1%
34
85.9%
Q2 - 8:39LakersDwight Howard misses two point alley-oop dunk27
15.0%
34
85.0%
Q2 - 8:46LakersDwight Howard defensive rebound27
14.1%
34
85.9%
Q2 - 8:51HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot27
14.5%
34
85.5%
Q2 - 9:05LakersKyle Kuzma makes two point layup (Alex Caruso assists)27
15.6%
34
84.4%
Q2 - 9:13LakersLeBron James defensive rebound27
16.9%
32
83.1%
Q2 - 9:15HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot27
17.3%
32
82.7%
Q2 - 9:23HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound27
18.4%
32
81.6%
Q2 - 9:27LakersKentavious Caldwell-Pope misses three point jump shot27
17.9%
32
82.1%
Q2 - 9:44HeatTyler Herro makes three point jump shot (Goran Dragic assists)27
16.9%
32
83.1%
Q2 - 9:54LakersAlex Caruso makes two point cutting layup (Kyle Kuzma assists)24
14.3%
32
85.7%
Q2 - 10:01LakersKyle Kuzma defensive rebound24
15.6%
30
84.4%
Q2 - 10:04HeatGoran Dragic misses two point turnaround jump shot24
16.1%
30
83.9%
Q2 - 10:21LakersLeBron James makes two point cutting dunk (Alex Caruso assists)24
17.0%
30
83.0%
Q2 - 10:40HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Goran Dragic assists)24
18.3%
28
81.7%
Q2 - 10:43HeatHeat offensive rebound21
15.7%
28
84.3%
Q2 - 10:43HeatGoran Dragic misses three point jump shot21
14.8%
28
85.2%
Q2 - 10:53HeatHeat defensive rebound21
15.7%
28
84.3%
Q2 - 10:53LakersLeBron James misses two point driving layup21
15.3%
28
84.7%
Q2 - 11:00HeatKelly Olynyk personal foul (Loose ball) (Dwight Howard draws the foul)21
14.4%
28
85.6%
Q2 - 11:00LakersLakers offensive rebound21
14.4%
28
85.6%
Q2 - 11:00LakersLeBron James misses two point floating jump shot21
15.3%
28
84.7%
Q2 - 11:15LakersKentavious Caldwell-Pope defensive rebound21
14.5%
28
85.5%
Q2 - 11:19HeatJames Johnson misses three point stepback jump shot21
14.8%
28
85.2%
Q2 - 11:42HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound21
15.6%
28
84.4%
Q2 - 11:43LakersLeBron James misses two point fadeaway jump shot21
15.2%
28
84.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.21
14.5%
28
85.5%
Q1 - 0:01.9LakersAlex Caruso defensive rebound21
14.6%
28
85.4%
Q1 - 0:01.9HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving floating jump shot21
14.8%
28
85.2%
Q1 - 0:09.6LakersQuinn Cook turnover (out of bounds bad pass)21
15.5%
28
84.5%
Q1 - 0:22.5LakersKyle Kuzma defensive rebound21
14.6%
28
85.4%
Q1 - 0:24.8HeatJames Johnson misses two point driving finger roll layup21
14.8%
28
85.2%
Q1 - 0:36.6LakersAnthony Davis makes regular free throw 1 of 121
15.5%
28
84.5%
Q1 - 0:36.6HeatChris Silva shooting foul (Anthony Davis draws the foul)21
15.7%
27
84.3%
Q1 - 0:44.4LakersAnthony Davis makes technical free throw 1 of 121
18.4%
25
81.6%
Q1 - 0:44.4Heat technical foul (Defensive three second)21
18.7%
24
81.3%
Q1 - 1:00HeatTyler Herro makes two point floating jump shot (James Johnson assists)21
19.8%
24
80.2%
Q1 - 1:20LakersAlex Caruso makes two point cutting dunk (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope assists)19
18.2%
24
81.8%
Q1 - 1:24LakersKentavious Caldwell-Pope offensive rebound19
19.9%
22
80.1%
Q1 - 1:26LakersKyle Kuzma misses three point pullup jump shot19
20.7%
22
79.3%
Q1 - 1:48LakersAnthony Davis defensive rebound19
19.9%
22
80.1%
Q1 - 1:50HeatGoran Dragic misses two point driving layup19
20.2%
22
79.8%
Q1 - 2:05LakersAnthony Davis makes two point dunk (Alex Caruso assists)19
21.1%
22
78.9%
Q1 - 2:27HeatBam Adebayo turnover (traveling)19
22.7%
20
77.3%
Q1 - 2:41LakersKyle Kuzma turnover (offensive goaltending)19
24.3%
20
75.7%
Q1 - 2:57HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 119
22.7%
20
77.3%
Q1 - 2:57LakersDanny Green shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)18
22.5%
20
77.5%
Q1 - 3:12LakersAnthony Davis makes two point tip dunk16
19.7%
20
80.3%
Q1 - 3:12LakersAnthony Davis offensive rebound16
20.9%
18
79.1%
Q1 - 3:13LakersQuinn Cook misses three point jump shot16
22.1%
18
77.9%
Q1 - 3:28HeatGoran Dragic makes two point driving reverse layup16
20.9%
18
79.1%
Q1 - 3:36HeatGoran Dragic defensive rebound14
19.7%
18
80.3%
Q1 - 3:38LakersKentavious Caldwell-Pope misses two point pullup jump shot14
19.2%
18
80.8%
Q1 - 4:00HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 2 of 214
18.2%
18
81.8%
Q1 - 4:00HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 213
17.9%
18
82.1%
Q1 - 4:00LakersLeBron James personal foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)12
17.6%
18
82.4%
Q1 - 4:07LakersKyle Kuzma turnover (traveling)12
17.1%
18
82.9%
Q1 - 4:22HeatGoran Dragic makes two point cutting layup (Jimmy Butler assists)12
15.8%
18
84.2%
Q1 - 4:27HeatJames Johnson defensive rebound10
14.9%
18
85.1%
Q1 - 4:30LakersKyle Kuzma misses three point stepback jump shot10
14.5%
18
85.5%
Q1 - 4:31LakersDanny Green offensive rebound10
13.6%
18
86.4%
Q1 - 4:37LakersDanny Green misses three point jump shot10
14.5%
18
85.5%
Q1 - 4:46HeatGoran Dragic makes regular free throw 2 of 210
13.6%
18
86.4%
Q1 - 4:46HeatGoran Dragic makes regular free throw 1 of 29
13.4%
18
86.6%
Q1 - 4:46LakersAnthony Davis personal foul (Take) (Goran Dragic draws the foul)8
13.2%
18
86.8%
Q1 - 4:46HeatKendrick Nunn defensive rebound8
12.8%
18
87.2%
Q1 - 4:48LakersKentavious Caldwell-Pope misses two point driving finger roll layup8
12.5%
18
87.5%
Q1 - 4:56LakersAnthony Davis defensive rebound8
11.7%
18
88.3%
Q1 - 4:59HeatBam Adebayo misses two point floating jump shot8
12.0%
18
88.0%
Q1 - 5:07HeatKendrick Nunn defensive rebound8
13.0%
18
87.0%
Q1 - 5:12LakersKyle Kuzma misses three point jump shot8
12.7%
18
87.3%
Q1 - 5:20LakersAnthony Davis defensive rebound8
12.1%
18
87.9%
Q1 - 5:23HeatKendrick Nunn misses three point jump shot8
12.3%
18
87.7%
Q1 - 5:33LakersDanny Green personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)8
13.0%
18
87.0%
Q1 - 5:35LakersAvery Bradley personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)8
13.0%
18
87.0%
Q1 - 5:36LakersDanny Green turnover (bad pass) (Bam Adebayo steals)8
13.0%
18
87.0%
Q1 - 5:49HeatGoran Dragic turnover (bad pass) (Anthony Davis steals)8
12.0%
18
88.0%
Q1 - 6:02LakersLeBron James makes three point jump shot (Anthony Davis assists)8
13.2%
18
86.8%
Q1 - 6:24HeatMeyers Leonard turnover (traveling)8
15.1%
15
84.9%
Q1 - 6:30HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound8
16.1%
15
83.9%
Q1 - 6:34LakersLeBron James misses three point jump shot8
15.8%
15
84.2%
Q1 - 6:44HeatKendrick Nunn makes regular free throw 2 of 28
15.1%
15
84.9%
Q1 - 6:44HeatKendrick Nunn makes regular free throw 1 of 27
14.9%
15
85.1%
Q1 - 6:44LakersJaVale McGee shooting foul (Kendrick Nunn draws the foul)6
14.7%
15
85.3%
Q1 - 6:55LakersAnthony Davis makes two point stepback jump shot6
14.1%
15
85.9%
Q1 - 7:01LakersAvery Bradley defensive rebound6
15.2%
13
84.8%
Q1 - 7:04HeatJimmy Butler misses two point pullup jump shot6
15.5%
13
84.5%
Q1 - 7:15HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound6
16.3%
13
83.7%
Q1 - 7:18LakersDanny Green misses two point driving bank jump shot6
15.9%
13
84.1%
Q1 - 7:22LakersLakers offensive rebound6
15.2%
13
84.8%
Q1 - 7:22LakersBam Adebayo blocks JaVale McGee's two point putback layup6
15.9%
13
84.1%
Q1 - 7:22LakersJaVale McGee offensive rebound6
15.2%
13
84.8%
Q1 - 7:22LakersJaVale McGee misses two point finger roll layup6
15.9%
13
84.1%
Q1 - 7:34HeatJimmy Butler makes two point running reverse layup (Kendrick Nunn assists)6
15.2%
13
84.8%
Q1 - 7:38LakersAvery Bradley turnover (bad pass) (Kendrick Nunn steals)4
14.3%
13
85.7%
Q1 - 8:02HeatJimmy Butler makes two point fadeaway jump shot4
13.4%
13
86.6%
Q1 - 8:13LakersAvery Bradley personal foul (Kendrick Nunn draws the foul)2
12.6%
13
87.4%
Q1 - 8:22LakersAvery Bradley makes two point driving layup2
12.6%
13
87.4%
Q1 - 8:32LakersJaVale McGee defensive rebound2
13.4%
11
86.6%
Q1 - 8:36HeatJimmy Butler misses three point pullup jump shot2
13.7%
11
86.3%
Q1 - 8:45HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound2
14.4%
11
85.6%
Q1 - 8:50LakersDanny Green misses three point jump shot2
14.0%
11
86.0%
Q1 - 8:56LakersAvery Bradley defensive rebound2
13.4%
11
86.6%
Q1 - 9:00HeatKendrick Nunn misses three point jump shot2
13.7%
11
86.3%
Q1 - 9:16LakersDanny Green makes three point jump shot (Avery Bradley assists)2
14.4%
11
85.6%
Q1 - 9:18LakersAvery Bradley offensive rebound2
16.1%
8
83.9%
Q1 - 9:21LakersLeBron James misses two point running layup2
16.9%
8
83.1%
Q1 - 9:23LakersAvery Bradley defensive rebound2
16.1%
8
83.9%
Q1 - 9:29HeatAnthony Davis blocks Duncan Robinson's three point jump shot2
16.4%
8
83.6%
Q1 - 9:35HeatHeat offensive rebound2
17.3%
8
82.7%
Q1 - 9:35HeatJaVale McGee blocks Kendrick Nunn's two point driving layup2
16.4%
8
83.6%
Q1 - 9:50LakersAvery Bradley makes two point pullup jump shot2
17.3%
8
82.7%
Q1 - 10:04HeatMeyers Leonard turnover (out of bounds step)2
18.1%
6
81.9%
Q1 - 10:22LakersJaVale McGee makes two point tip layup2
19.3%
6
80.7%
Q1 - 10:22LakersJaVale McGee offensive rebound2
20.4%
4
79.6%
Q1 - 10:28LakersAvery Bradley misses three point jump shot2
21.3%
4
78.7%
Q1 - 10:33HeatKendrick Nunn turnover (bad pass) (Anthony Davis steals)2
20.4%
4
79.6%
Q1 - 10:55LakersAnthony Davis makes two point stepback jump shot (LeBron James assists)2
21.7%
4
78.3%
Q1 - 11:07HeatKendrick Nunn makes two point cutting layup (Bam Adebayo assists)2
22.7%
2
77.3%
Q1 - 11:25LakersAvery Bradley makes two point driving bank jump shot (LeBron James assists)0
21.5%
2
78.5%
Q1 - 11:31LakersDanny Green defensive rebound0
22.7%
0
77.3%
Q1 - 11:34HeatAnthony Davis blocks Kendrick Nunn's two point driving layup0
23.1%
0
76.9%
Q1 - 12:00Bam Adebayo vs. JaVale McGee (Jimmy Butler gains possession)0
24.1%
0
75.9%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.86 43.0%
LAL
1.01 50.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
16
28
57%
LAL
25
33
76%
Midrange
MIA
6
17
35%
LAL
7
24
29%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
6
9.0
35
17%
26%
LAL
8
12.0
32
25%
38%
Free Throws
MIA
18
24
75%
LAL
7
8
88%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Butler2258%11.0 / 19
G. Dragic1956%9.5 / 17
B. Adebayo1150%5.5 / 11
K. Nunn1042%5.0 / 12
K. Olynyk833%4.0 / 12
T. Herro739%3.5 / 9
D. Robinson321%1.5 / 7
M. Leonard0-0.0 / 1
J. Johnson0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
LAL logo Lakers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Davis2672%13.0 / 18
L. James2566%12.5 / 19
A. Bradley950%4.5 / 9
J. McGee964%4.5 / 7
K. Kuzma739%3.5 / 9
A. Caruso650%3.0 / 6
D. Green429%2.0 / 7
T. Daniels350%1.5 / 3
K. Caldwell-Pope217%1.0 / 6
D. Howard250%1.0 / 2
Q. Cook225%1.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
82
+11
-12
93
LAL
78
+17
-18
95
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.86 43.0%
LAL
1.01 50.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
112.4
112.3
MIA 85.1
LAL 99.0 +13.9
Pace
98.4
100.8
MIA 98.7 +7.1
LAL 91.6
Avg. Poss. Time
14.8
14.4
MIA 14.6 +1.1
LAL 15.7
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
54.7%
54.2%
MIA 38.8%
LAL 49.4% +10.6%
TO %
14.0%
14.5%
MIA 12.6% +3.7%
LAL 16.3%
ORB %
20.3%
24.5%
MIA 17.4%
LAL 25.6% +8.2%
FTrt
29.9
27.6
MIA 30.0 +21.0
LAL 9.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
65.7%
60.0%
MIA 64.3%
LAL 75.0% +10.7%
STL %
7.6%
8.5%
MIA 9.6% +3.3%
LAL 6.3%
BLK %
9.3%
12.2%
MIA 3.5%
LAL 11.1% +7.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.45 and 2.45.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
56.9%
56.2%
MIA 43.0%
LAL 50.5% +7.5%
Rim FG%
63.8%
66.1%
MIA 57.1%
LAL 75.8% +18.7%
Mid FG%
38.9%
37.9%
MIA 35.3% +6.1%
LAL 29.2%
3P %
37.9%
34.9%
MIA 17.1%
LAL 25.0% +7.9%
FT %
78.3%
72.9%
MIA 75.0%
LAL 87.5% +12.5%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
33.2%
39.5%
MIA 35.0%
LAL 37.1% +2.1%
Mid Att. %
24.9%
24.7%
MIA 21.3% +5.7%
LAL 27.0%
3P Att. %
41.9%
35.8%
MIA 43.8% +7.8%
LAL 36.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.42 and 2.42.
Game TotalsMIALAL
Possessions9496
Possession Minutes22.925.1
Points8095
Rebounds3748
Assists1830
Steals96
Blocks25
Turnovers (Team)12 (1)18 (0)
Fouls1224
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (3)10 (7)
Def. Rebounds (Team)29 (4)38 (4)
Field Goals28-8040-89
At-the-Rim FG16-2825-33
Midrange FG6-177-24
2-Point FG22-4532-57
3-Point FG6-358-32
Free Throws18-247-8
Fast Break Pts124
2nd Chance Pts817
Points in Paint4454
Pts off Turnovers1711
Bench Points3422
Biggest Lead117

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#22 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 30
38.1
22
58%
6
3
2
0
0
0
2
4
8-8
100%
7-12
58%
0-4
0%
#13 · PF · 6'9" 255 · 22
38.0
11
50%
9
4
3
1
3
2
3
6
3-8
38%
4-7
57%
0-0
-
#55 · SG · 6'7" 215 · 26
24.5
3
21%
3
2
1
0
0
3
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
0%
1-6
17%
#25 · PG · 6'3" 193 · 24
23.1
10
42%
3
1
2
1
3
0
0
3
2-2
100%
4-7
57%
0-4
0%
#0 · C · 7'1" 255 · 28
12.1
0
0%
1
0
0
0
2
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
#7 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 34
34.1
19
56%
6
7
0
0
2
0
1
5
2-2
100%
4-9
44%
3-7
43%
#9 · PF · 6'11" 240 · 29
30.0
8
33%
3
0
0
0
2
4
0
3
1-2
50%
2-5
40%
1-6
17%
#14 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 20
23.5
7
39%
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
1-3
33%
1-5
20%
#16 · PF · 6'8" 240 · 33
14.6
0
0%
4
1
0
0
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-2
0%
#30 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 23
2.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
#5 · SF · 6'6" 210 · 23
DND - Injury/Illness | Left Hip Strain
#40 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 39
DNP - Coach's Decision
#15 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 24
INACTIVE
#4 · SF · 6'9" 210 · 21
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Achilles Strain
#20 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 24
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Concussion Protocol
#11 · SG · 6'4" 215 · 28
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Illness
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
80
43%
37
18
9
2
12
12
8
29
18-24
75%
22-45
49%
6-35
17%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.