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All Games Friday, November 8, 2019
FinalWin Prob.pScore
4
76ers
47%112
97
9
Nuggets
53%113
100
ORTG#PossPace
PHI logo PHI
100.09788.5
DEN logo DEN
104.296106.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Nuggets76ersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

Nuggets76ersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventPHIDEN
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.97
0%
100
100%
Q4 - 0:00.976ersJoel Embiid turnover (offensive foul)97
0.9%
98
99.1%
Q4 - 0:00.976ersJoel Embiid offensive foul (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)97
2.6%
98
97.4%
Q4 - 0:02.2NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point jump shot (Paul Millsap assists)97
9.2%
98
90.8%
Q4 - 0:13.0NuggetsNuggets defensive rebound97
59.6%
96
40.4%
Q4 - 0:15.776ersAl Horford misses three point jump shot97
66.4%
96
33.6%
Q4 - 0:37.1NuggetsJamal Murray makes two point driving finger roll layup97
77.8%
96
22.2%
Q4 - 0:53.176ersJoel Embiid makes two point cutting layup (Raul Neto assists)97
81.7%
94
18.3%
Q4 - 1:05NuggetsWill Barton makes three point stepback jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)95
70.3%
94
29.7%
Q4 - 1:1676ersJoel Embiid personal foul (Paul Millsap draws the foul)95
86.1%
91
13.9%
Q4 - 1:2776ersTobias Harris makes two point alley-oop dunk (Raul Neto assists)95
84.9%
91
15.1%
Q4 - 1:32NuggetsWill Barton turnover (bad pass) (Josh Richardson steals)93
77.5%
91
22.5%
Q4 - 1:4076ersJoel Embiid turnover (offensive foul)93
65.5%
91
34.5%
Q4 - 1:4076ersJoel Embiid offensive foul (Jamal Murray draws the foul)93
76.7%
91
23.3%
Q4 - 2:03NuggetsPaul Millsap makes three point jump shot (Jamal Murray assists)93
76.8%
91
23.2%
Q4 - 2:07NuggetsJamal Murray defensive rebound93
87.9%
88
12.1%
Q4 - 2:1076ersWill Barton blocks Al Horford's two point running layup93
89.9%
88
10.1%
Q4 - 2:14NuggetsJamal Murray turnover (bad pass) (Josh Richardson steals)93
93.3%
88
6.7%
Q4 - 2:15NuggetsPaul Millsap offensive rebound93
87.8%
88
12.2%
Q4 - 2:17NuggetsTobias Harris blocks Gary Harris's two point driving finger roll layup93
92.0%
88
8.0%
Q4 - 2:2476ersTobias Harris turnover (bad pass) (Will Barton steals)93
87.8%
88
12.2%
Q4 - 2:45NuggetsJamal Murray makes two point driving floating bank jump shot93
93.4%
88
6.6%
Q4 - 3:0476ersJoel Embiid makes regular free throw 2 of 293
93.5%
86
6.5%
Q4 - 3:0476ersJoel Embiid misses regular free throw 1 of 292
93.0%
86
7.0%
Q4 - 3:04NuggetsWill Barton shooting foul (Joel Embiid draws the foul)92
95.0%
86
5.0%
Q4 - 3:1476ersAl Horford defensive rebound92
94.3%
86
5.7%
Q4 - 3:16NuggetsJosh Richardson blocks Jamal Murray's two point driving dunk92
93.4%
86
6.6%
Q4 - 3:24NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound92
90.4%
86
9.6%
Q4 - 3:2776ersJoel Embiid misses two point turnaround fadeaway bank jump shot92
91.9%
86
8.1%
Q4 - 3:50NuggetsNikola Jokic makes three point jump shot (Jamal Murray assists)92
91.0%
86
9.0%
Q4 - 4:0976ersJoel Embiid makes regular free throw 2 of 292
95.5%
83
4.5%
Q4 - 4:0976ersJoel Embiid misses regular free throw 1 of 291
95.2%
83
4.8%
Q4 - 4:09NuggetsPaul Millsap shooting foul (Joel Embiid draws the foul)91
96.4%
83
3.6%
Q4 - 4:21NuggetsNikola Jokic personal foul (Joel Embiid draws the foul)91
95.7%
83
4.3%
Q4 - 4:2676ersJoel Embiid offensive rebound91
95.7%
83
4.3%
Q4 - 4:3176ersTobias Harris misses two point driving floating jump shot91
94.4%
83
5.6%
Q4 - 4:43NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point floating jump shot (Jamal Murray assists)91
95.8%
83
4.2%
Q4 - 4:55NuggetsPaul Millsap defensive rebound91
97.0%
81
3.0%
Q4 - 4:5876ersAl Horford misses three point jump shot91
97.3%
81
2.7%
Q4 - 5:21NuggetsPaul Millsap makes two point alley-oop dunk (Jamal Murray assists)91
96.6%
81
3.4%
Q4 - 5:27NuggetsJamal Murray defensive rebound91
97.5%
79
2.5%
Q4 - 5:3076ersAl Horford misses three point jump shot91
97.8%
79
2.2%
Q4 - 5:48NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point hook shot91
98.3%
79
1.7%
Q4 - 6:0076ersRaul Neto makes two point reverse layup (Tobias Harris assists)91
98.7%
77
1.3%
Q4 - 6:1976ersAl Horford defensive rebound89
97.4%
77
2.6%
Q4 - 6:22NuggetsRaul Neto blocks Gary Harris's two point cutting layup89
97.1%
77
2.9%
Q4 - 6:3176ersMike Scott personal foul (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)89
96.4%
77
3.6%
Q4 - 6:34NuggetsWill Barton defensive rebound89
96.4%
77
3.6%
Q4 - 6:3876ersTobias Harris misses three point jump shot89
96.8%
77
3.2%
Q4 - 6:4576ers76ers offensive rebound89
97.4%
77
2.6%
Q4 - 6:4576ersNikola Jokic blocks Raul Neto's two point driving layup89
96.8%
77
3.2%
Q4 - 7:01NuggetsGary Harris makes two point cutting layup (Jamal Murray assists)89
96.5%
77
3.5%
Q4 - 7:1976ersRaul Neto makes three point jump shot (Al Horford assists)89
97.2%
75
2.8%
Q4 - 7:2876ersTobias Harris defensive rebound86
95.5%
75
4.5%
Q4 - 7:31NuggetsNikola Jokic misses two point jump shot86
95.1%
75
4.9%
Q4 - 7:40NuggetsNuggets defensive rebound86
94.0%
75
6.0%
Q4 - 7:4376ersJoel Embiid misses three point jump shot86
94.5%
75
5.5%
Q4 - 7:4876ersJoel Embiid defensive rebound86
95.5%
75
4.5%
Q4 - 7:51NuggetsPaul Millsap misses two point driving layup86
95.1%
75
4.9%
Q4 - 7:57NuggetsNikola Jokic offensive rebound86
94.0%
75
6.0%
Q4 - 8:09NuggetsNikola Jokic misses two point floating jump shot86
93.8%
75
6.2%
Q4 - 8:10NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound86
92.7%
75
7.3%
Q4 - 8:1276ersTobias Harris misses two point turnaround jump shot86
93.2%
75
6.8%
Q4 - 8:3276ersJoel Embiid defensive rebound86
94.3%
75
5.7%
Q4 - 8:36NuggetsNikola Jokic misses three point jump shot86
93.9%
75
6.1%
Q4 - 8:46NuggetsWill Barton defensive rebound86
92.8%
75
7.2%
Q4 - 8:4976ersTrey Burke misses three point jump shot86
93.3%
75
6.7%
Q4 - 9:07NuggetsNikola Jokic makes three point jump shot (Paul Millsap assists)86
93.4%
75
6.6%
Q4 - 9:13NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound86
95.7%
72
4.3%
Q4 - 9:1476ersJosh Richardson misses two point driving finger roll layup86
96.1%
72
3.9%
Q4 - 9:3376ersFurkan Korkmaz defensive rebound86
96.7%
72
3.3%
Q4 - 9:36NuggetsJamal Murray misses three point pullup jump shot86
96.4%
72
3.6%
Q4 - 9:4376ersJoel Embiid turnover (out of bounds bad pass)86
95.8%
72
4.2%
Q4 - 9:55NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point reverse layup (Jamal Murray assists)86
96.7%
72
3.3%
Q4 - 10:00NuggetsPaul Millsap defensive rebound86
97.4%
70
2.6%
Q4 - 10:0576ersPaul Millsap blocks Joel Embiid's two point driving layup86
97.0%
70
3.0%
Q4 - 10:15NuggetsNikola Jokic personal foul (Josh Richardson draws the foul)86
97.4%
70
2.6%
Q4 - 10:29NuggetsPaul Millsap makes three point jump shot (Jamal Murray assists)86
97.4%
70
2.6%
Q4 - 10:3676ersFurkan Korkmaz turnover (lost ball) (Paul Millsap steals)86
98.3%
67
1.7%
Q4 - 10:49NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point floating jump shot (Jamal Murray assists)86
98.7%
67
1.3%
Q4 - 11:0176ersMike Scott makes two point putback layup86
98.7%
65
1.3%
Q4 - 11:0276ersMike Scott offensive rebound84
98.3%
65
1.7%
Q4 - 11:0576ersTrey Burke misses two point driving finger roll layup84
98.1%
65
1.9%
Q4 - 11:1576ers76ers offensive rebound84
98.4%
65
1.6%
Q4 - 11:2176ersJosh Richardson misses two point driving floating jump shot84
98.1%
65
1.9%
Q4 - 11:2876ersJoel Embiid offensive rebound84
98.4%
65
1.6%
Q4 - 11:3176ersMike Scott misses three point jump shot84
98.1%
65
1.9%
Q4 - 11:4476ersJoel Embiid defensive rebound84
98.4%
65
1.6%
Q4 - 11:47NuggetsJamal Murray misses two point stepback jump shot84
98.3%
65
1.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.84
98.0%
65
2.0%
Q3 - 0:01.976ersJoel Embiid defensive rebound84
97.9%
65
2.1%
Q3 - 0:01.9NuggetsNikola Jokic misses three point jump shot84
97.8%
65
2.2%
Q3 - 0:04.276ersJosh Richardson personal foul (Take) (Jamal Murray draws the foul)84
97.5%
65
2.5%
Q3 - 0:11.176ersJoel Embiid makes regular free throw 1 of 184
97.5%
65
2.5%
Q3 - 0:11.1NuggetsMason Plumlee shooting foul (Joel Embiid draws the foul)83
97.4%
65
2.6%
Q3 - 0:31.876ersJames Ennis III defensive rebound81
96.3%
65
3.7%
Q3 - 0:36.7NuggetsJerami Grant misses two point jump shot81
96.1%
65
3.9%
Q3 - 0:38.1NuggetsNuggets offensive rebound81
95.6%
65
4.4%
Q3 - 0:39.1NuggetsTrey Burke blocks Monte Morris's two point driving floating jump shot81
96.1%
65
3.9%
Q3 - 0:53.976ersJoel Embiid makes three point jump shot (Josh Richardson assists)81
95.6%
65
4.4%
Q3 - 0:59.876ersMike Scott defensive rebound78
93.4%
65
6.6%
Q3 - 1:02NuggetsJerami Grant misses two point driving floating jump shot78
92.0%
65
8.0%
Q3 - 1:1676ersJames Ennis III makes two point cutting layup (Josh Richardson assists)78
91.0%
65
9.0%
Q3 - 1:29NuggetsMalik Beasley makes two point running dunk (Jerami Grant assists)76
89.3%
65
10.7%
Q3 - 1:32NuggetsMason Plumlee defensive rebound76
91.0%
63
9.0%
Q3 - 1:3676ersJosh Richardson misses two point jump shot76
91.5%
63
8.5%
Q3 - 1:4676ers76ers defensive rebound76
92.5%
63
7.5%
Q3 - 1:48NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. misses three point jump shot76
92.1%
63
7.9%
Q3 - 2:0076ersJoel Embiid makes two point jump shot76
91.0%
63
9.0%
Q3 - 2:16NuggetsJerami Grant makes regular free throw 2 of 274
88.0%
63
12.0%
Q3 - 2:16NuggetsJerami Grant makes regular free throw 1 of 274
88.6%
62
11.4%
Q3 - 2:1676ersMike Scott shooting foul (Jerami Grant draws the foul)74
89.1%
61
10.9%
Q3 - 2:22NuggetsMonte Morris offensive rebound74
89.7%
61
10.3%
Q3 - 2:25NuggetsMonte Morris misses two point driving floating jump shot74
90.9%
61
9.1%
Q3 - 2:3876ersJosh Richardson makes three point jump shot (Al Horford assists)74
89.7%
61
10.3%
Q3 - 2:50NuggetsMason Plumlee turnover (bad pass) (Mike Scott steals)71
86.1%
61
13.9%
Q3 - 3:0376ersAl Horford makes two point reverse layup (Raul Neto assists)71
82.4%
61
17.6%
Q3 - 3:11NuggetsWill Barton turnover (bad pass) (Tobias Harris steals)69
79.9%
61
20.1%
Q3 - 3:22NuggetsMason Plumlee defensive rebound69
76.7%
61
23.3%
Q3 - 3:2476ersJames Ennis III misses regular free throw 2 of 269
77.2%
61
22.8%
Q3 - 3:2476ersJames Ennis III misses regular free throw 1 of 269
79.1%
61
20.9%
Q3 - 3:24NuggetsPaul Millsap shooting foul (James Ennis III draws the foul)69
81.2%
61
18.8%
Q3 - 3:2776ersRaul Neto defensive rebound69
80.0%
61
20.0%
Q3 - 3:29NuggetsAl Horford blocks Nikola Jokic's two point reverse layup69
79.0%
61
21.0%
Q3 - 3:38NuggetsJamal Murray defensive rebound69
76.7%
61
23.3%
Q3 - 3:4276ersAl Horford misses two point stepback jump shot69
77.8%
61
22.2%
Q3 - 3:5876ersAl Horford defensive rebound69
80.0%
61
20.0%
Q3 - 4:01NuggetsGary Harris misses two point fadeaway jump shot69
77.9%
61
22.1%
Q3 - 4:07NuggetsGary Harris defensive rebound69
75.5%
61
24.5%
Q3 - 4:1076ersTobias Harris misses three point pullup jump shot69
76.6%
61
23.4%
Q3 - 4:1476ersFurkan Korkmaz defensive rebound69
78.9%
61
21.1%
Q3 - 4:18NuggetsPaul Millsap misses two point fadeaway jump shot69
77.9%
61
22.1%
Q3 - 4:3276ersRaul Neto makes two point driving floating jump shot (Tobias Harris assists)69
75.5%
61
24.5%
Q3 - 4:3576ersAl Horford offensive rebound67
72.8%
61
27.2%
Q3 - 4:3976ersTobias Harris misses two point fadeaway jump shot67
70.1%
61
29.9%
Q3 - 4:4676ersAl Horford defensive rebound67
72.8%
61
27.2%
Q3 - 4:49NuggetsJamal Murray misses three point pullup jump shot67
71.6%
61
28.4%
Q3 - 4:5676ersRaul Neto turnover (out of bounds bad pass)67
68.8%
61
31.2%
Q3 - 5:12NuggetsJamal Murray makes two point stepback jump shot67
71.8%
61
28.2%
Q3 - 5:3276ersTobias Harris makes two point pullup jump shot67
74.7%
59
25.3%
Q3 - 5:58NuggetsJamal Murray makes three point stepback jump shot (Gary Harris assists)65
71.8%
59
28.2%
Q3 - 6:1076ersFurkan Korkmaz makes regular free throw 2 of 265
76.6%
56
23.4%
Q3 - 6:1076ersFurkan Korkmaz misses regular free throw 1 of 264
76.0%
56
24.0%
Q3 - 6:10NuggetsGary Harris shooting foul (Furkan Korkmaz draws the foul)64
78.2%
56
21.8%
Q3 - 6:35NuggetsJamal Murray makes two point jump shot (Gary Harris assists)64
76.8%
56
23.2%
Q3 - 6:5176ersAl Horford makes three point jump shot (Furkan Korkmaz assists)64
79.3%
54
20.7%
Q3 - 6:5976ers76ers offensive rebound61
73.9%
54
26.1%
Q3 - 7:0076ersJamal Murray blocks Raul Neto's two point driving reverse layup61
71.7%
54
28.3%
Q3 - 7:10NuggetsPaul Millsap makes three point jump shot (Gary Harris assists)61
73.1%
54
26.9%
Q3 - 7:1576ersJoel Embiid turnover (lost ball) (Gary Harris steals)61
78.3%
51
21.7%
Q3 - 7:41NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point jump shot61
81.0%
51
19.0%
Q3 - 7:49NuggetsPaul Millsap defensive rebound61
83.0%
49
17.0%
Q3 - 7:5176ersAl Horford misses regular free throw 2 of 261
83.3%
49
16.7%
Q3 - 7:5176ersAl Horford misses regular free throw 1 of 261
84.7%
49
15.3%
Q3 - 7:51NuggetsPaul Millsap shooting foul (Al Horford draws the foul)61
86.2%
49
13.8%
Q3 - 8:14NuggetsWill Barton makes two point running finger roll layup (Jamal Murray assists)61
84.8%
49
15.2%
Q3 - 8:1976ersRaul Neto turnover (bad pass) (Jamal Murray steals)61
86.4%
47
13.6%
Q3 - 8:4076ersJoel Embiid defensive rebound61
88.2%
47
11.8%
Q3 - 8:46NuggetsWill Barton misses three point stepback jump shot61
87.7%
47
12.3%
Q3 - 9:0776ersJoel Embiid makes two point driving layup (Raul Neto assists)61
85.6%
47
14.4%
Q3 - 9:24NuggetsWill Barton makes two point fadeaway jump shot59
84.0%
47
16.0%
Q3 - 9:4076ersTobias Harris makes two point turnaround bank jump shot59
85.6%
45
14.4%
Q3 - 9:5176ersTobias Harris defensive rebound57
84.0%
45
16.0%
Q3 - 9:53NuggetsJamal Murray misses two point tip layup57
83.4%
45
16.6%
Q3 - 9:53NuggetsJamal Murray offensive rebound57
81.8%
45
18.2%
Q3 - 9:56NuggetsJamal Murray misses two point driving floating jump shot57
83.4%
45
16.6%
Q3 - 10:05NuggetsWill Barton defensive rebound57
80.9%
45
19.1%
Q3 - 10:0876ersJoel Embiid misses three point jump shot57
81.6%
45
18.4%
Q3 - 10:1776ersTobias Harris defensive rebound57
83.2%
45
16.8%
Q3 - 10:22NuggetsGary Harris misses two point driving floating jump shot57
82.6%
45
17.4%
Q3 - 10:3876ersJoel Embiid personal foul (Paul Millsap draws the foul)57
80.9%
45
19.1%
Q3 - 10:3876ersJoel Embiid turnover (lost ball) (Paul Millsap steals)57
80.9%
45
19.1%
Q3 - 10:5176ersTobias Harris defensive rebound57
83.3%
45
16.7%
Q3 - 10:54NuggetsNikola Jokic misses three point jump shot57
82.6%
45
17.4%
Q3 - 11:10NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound57
80.4%
45
19.6%
Q3 - 11:1276ersAl Horford misses three point jump shot57
81.0%
45
19.0%
Q3 - 11:32NuggetsGary Harris makes three point pullup jump shot (Will Barton assists)57
82.5%
45
17.5%
Q3 - 11:3676ersJoel Embiid turnover (lost ball) (Will Barton steals)57
86.0%
42
14.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.57
87.7%
42
12.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0NuggetsMason Plumlee defensive rebound57
86.0%
42
14.0%
Q2 - 0:00.076ersJoel Embiid misses two point driving finger roll layup57
86.5%
42
13.5%
Q2 - 0:05.1NuggetsMason Plumlee personal foul (Take) (Raul Neto draws the foul)57
86.5%
42
13.5%
Q2 - 0:17.5NuggetsWill Barton makes two point driving floating bank jump shot57
86.5%
42
13.5%
Q2 - 0:33.376ersFurkan Korkmaz makes three point jump shot (Josh Richardson assists)57
88.4%
40
11.6%
Q2 - 0:45.276ersJoel Embiid defensive rebound54
85.0%
40
15.0%
Q2 - 0:47.1NuggetsMason Plumlee misses regular free throw 2 of 254
84.8%
40
15.2%
Q2 - 0:47.1NuggetsMason Plumlee misses regular free throw 1 of 254
83.9%
40
16.1%
Q2 - 0:47.176ersFurkan Korkmaz shooting foul (Mason Plumlee draws the foul)54
82.9%
40
17.1%
Q2 - 0:59.176ersJosh Richardson makes two point pullup jump shot (Al Horford assists)54
83.7%
40
16.3%
Q2 - 1:1676ersAl Horford defensive rebound52
80.5%
40
19.5%
Q2 - 1:18NuggetsPaul Millsap misses two point driving floating jump shot52
80.2%
40
19.8%
Q2 - 1:26NuggetsPaul Millsap offensive rebound52
79.3%
40
20.7%
Q2 - 1:29NuggetsMason Plumlee misses two point jump shot52
80.2%
40
19.8%
Q2 - 1:4476ersAl Horford turnover (out of bounds bad pass)52
79.3%
40
20.7%
Q2 - 2:04NuggetsJamal Murray makes two point fadeaway jump shot52
80.0%
40
20.0%
Q2 - 2:10NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound52
81.8%
38
18.2%
Q2 - 2:1376ersAl Horford misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot52
82.4%
38
17.6%
Q2 - 2:3376ersJoel Embiid defensive rebound52
83.6%
38
16.4%
Q2 - 2:36NuggetsNikola Jokic misses three point jump shot52
83.1%
38
16.9%
Q2 - 2:5976ersFurkan Korkmaz makes two point pullup jump shot (Raul Neto assists)52
81.9%
38
18.1%
Q2 - 3:0276ersAl Horford defensive rebound50
78.7%
38
21.3%
Q2 - 3:04NuggetsJoel Embiid blocks Paul Millsap's two point driving dunk50
78.1%
38
21.9%
Q2 - 3:23NuggetsJamal Murray defensive rebound50
76.6%
38
23.4%
Q2 - 3:2476ersPaul Millsap blocks Joel Embiid's two point putback layup50
77.3%
38
22.7%
Q2 - 3:2576ersJoel Embiid offensive rebound50
78.8%
38
21.2%
Q2 - 3:2676ersJoel Embiid misses two point tip layup50
77.3%
38
22.7%
Q2 - 3:2676ersJoel Embiid offensive rebound50
78.8%
38
21.2%
Q2 - 3:2776ersJoel Embiid misses two point putback layup50
77.3%
38
22.7%
Q2 - 3:2976ersJoel Embiid offensive rebound50
78.8%
38
21.2%
Q2 - 3:3076ersNikola Jokic blocks Joel Embiid's two point layup50
77.3%
38
22.7%
Q2 - 3:52NuggetsJamal Murray makes two point jump shot50
78.9%
38
21.1%
Q2 - 4:0276ersKyle O'Quinn personal foul (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)50
79.7%
36
20.3%
Q2 - 4:0276ersKyle O'Quinn turnover (bad pass) (Nikola Jokic steals)50
79.7%
36
20.3%
Q2 - 4:19NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point cutting finger roll layup (Jamal Murray assists)50
81.5%
36
18.5%
Q2 - 4:3876ersFurkan Korkmaz makes three point jump shot (Raul Neto assists)50
83.1%
34
16.9%
Q2 - 4:59NuggetsJamal Murray makes two point driving finger roll layup47
79.8%
34
20.2%
Q2 - 5:1676ersFurkan Korkmaz makes three point jump shot (Kyle O'Quinn assists)47
80.8%
32
19.2%
Q2 - 5:2376ersKyle O'Quinn defensive rebound44
77.6%
32
22.4%
Q2 - 5:29NuggetsGary Harris misses two point driving floating jump shot44
76.9%
32
23.1%
Q2 - 5:41NuggetsNuggets defensive rebound44
75.3%
32
24.7%
Q2 - 5:4176ersKyle O'Quinn misses two point cutting layup44
76.0%
32
24.0%
Q2 - 5:5676ersTobias Harris defensive rebound44
77.6%
32
22.4%
Q2 - 5:59NuggetsNikola Jokic misses three point jump shot44
76.9%
32
23.1%
Q2 - 6:1376ersKyle O'Quinn makes three point jump shot44
74.6%
32
25.4%
Q2 - 6:33NuggetsPaul Millsap makes regular free throw 2 of 241
70.9%
32
29.1%
Q2 - 6:33NuggetsPaul Millsap makes regular free throw 1 of 241
71.3%
31
28.7%
Q2 - 6:3376ersMike Scott shooting foul (Paul Millsap draws the foul)41
71.8%
30
28.2%
Q2 - 6:44NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound41
72.5%
30
27.5%
Q2 - 6:4676ersTobias Harris misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot41
73.3%
30
26.7%
Q2 - 7:07NuggetsNikola Jokic makes regular free throw 2 of 241
74.0%
30
26.0%
Q2 - 7:07NuggetsNikola Jokic makes regular free throw 1 of 241
74.3%
29
25.7%
Q2 - 7:0776ersKyle O'Quinn shooting foul (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)41
74.7%
28
25.3%
Q2 - 7:2376ersKyle O'Quinn makes two point layup (Trey Burke assists)41
75.9%
28
24.1%
Q2 - 7:3376ersTrey Burke defensive rebound39
74.1%
28
25.9%
Q2 - 7:37NuggetsNikola Jokic misses three point jump shot39
73.5%
28
26.5%
Q2 - 7:4676ersTrey Burke makes three point jump shot (Tobias Harris assists)39
72.0%
28
28.0%
Q2 - 8:06NuggetsJamal Murray makes two point stepback jump shot36
67.4%
28
32.6%
Q2 - 8:21NuggetsJamal Murray makes technical free throw 1 of 136
69.4%
26
30.6%
Q2 - 8:2176ersTrey Burke technical foul36
70.0%
25
30.0%
Q2 - 8:2176ersJames Ennis III makes two point putback dunk36
71.6%
25
28.4%
Q2 - 8:2176ersJames Ennis III offensive rebound34
69.6%
25
30.4%
Q2 - 8:2576ersTrey Burke misses two point driving floating jump shot34
68.0%
25
32.0%
Q2 - 8:36NuggetsNikola Jokic makes regular free throw 2 of 234
69.6%
25
30.4%
Q2 - 8:36NuggetsNikola Jokic misses regular free throw 1 of 234
69.9%
24
30.1%
Q2 - 8:3676ersKyle O'Quinn shooting foul (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)34
68.1%
24
31.9%
Q2 - 8:5176ersKyle O'Quinn makes two point jump shot (Josh Richardson assists)34
69.5%
24
30.5%
Q2 - 9:0776ersTobias Harris defensive rebound32
66.7%
24
33.3%
Q2 - 9:11NuggetsNikola Jokic misses two point jump shot32
66.0%
24
34.0%
Q2 - 9:2376ersKyle O'Quinn makes two point reverse layup (Trey Burke assists)32
64.4%
24
35.6%
Q2 - 9:53NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. makes two point alley-oop dunk (Nikola Jokic assists)30
62.3%
24
37.7%
Q2 - 9:58NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound30
64.4%
22
35.6%
Q2 - 9:5976ersTobias Harris misses two point putback layup30
65.2%
22
34.8%
Q2 - 10:0076ersTobias Harris offensive rebound30
66.8%
22
33.2%
Q2 - 10:0376ersJerami Grant blocks Tobias Harris's two point hook shot30
64.7%
22
35.3%
Q2 - 10:21NuggetsJamal Murray makes two point driving finger roll layup (Nikola Jokic assists)30
66.3%
22
33.7%
Q2 - 10:3676ersJames Ennis III makes two point running reverse layup30
68.3%
20
31.7%
Q2 - 10:39NuggetsMalik Beasley turnover (bad pass) (James Ennis III steals)28
66.3%
20
33.7%
Q2 - 10:48NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound28
64.0%
20
36.0%
Q2 - 10:5076ersKyle O'Quinn misses regular free throw 1 of 128
64.3%
20
35.7%
Q2 - 10:50NuggetsNikola Jokic shooting foul (Kyle O'Quinn draws the foul)28
65.7%
20
34.3%
Q2 - 11:02NuggetsMason Plumlee turnover (offensive foul)26
61.2%
20
38.8%
Q2 - 11:02NuggetsMason Plumlee offensive foul (Charge) (Kyle O'Quinn draws the foul)26
59.1%
20
40.9%
Q2 - 11:09NuggetsMalik Beasley defensive rebound26
59.1%
20
40.9%
Q2 - 11:1176ersJosh Richardson misses two point stepback jump shot26
59.8%
20
40.2%
Q2 - 11:24NuggetsMonte Morris makes two point driving finger roll layup (Torrey Craig assists)26
61.2%
20
38.8%
Q2 - 11:4376ersTobias Harris makes two point jump shot (Kyle O'Quinn assists)26
63.6%
18
36.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.24
61.3%
18
38.7%
Q1 - 0:01.076ersTrey Burke makes two point fadeaway jump shot24
58.9%
18
41.1%
Q1 - 0:21.076ersJoel Embiid defensive rebound22
56.2%
18
43.8%
Q1 - 0:24.7NuggetsMalik Beasley misses two point pullup jump shot22
55.7%
18
44.3%
Q1 - 0:33.576ersJoel Embiid turnover (lost ball) (Mason Plumlee steals)22
54.4%
18
45.6%
Q1 - 0:42.676ersJoel Embiid defensive rebound22
56.2%
18
43.8%
Q1 - 0:44.9NuggetsMason Plumlee misses two point driving floating jump shot22
55.7%
18
44.3%
Q1 - 0:54.376ersJosh Richardson makes two point cutting layup (Joel Embiid assists)22
54.4%
18
45.6%
Q1 - 1:03NuggetsTorrey Craig personal foul (Loose ball) (Joel Embiid draws the foul)20
51.7%
18
48.3%
Q1 - 1:0376ers76ers offensive rebound20
51.7%
18
48.3%
Q1 - 1:0476ersTrey Burke misses two point pullup jump shot20
50.5%
18
49.5%
Q1 - 1:18NuggetsJerami Grant makes two point pullup jump shot (Monte Morris assists)20
51.7%
18
48.3%
Q1 - 1:32NuggetsTorrey Craig defensive rebound20
54.5%
16
45.5%
Q1 - 1:3776ersJerami Grant blocks Josh Richardson's two point pullup jump shot20
55.0%
16
45.0%
Q1 - 1:58NuggetsMason Plumlee makes two point alley-oop dunk (Malik Beasley assists)20
56.3%
16
43.7%
Q1 - 2:1276ersJoel Embiid turnover (offensive foul)20
58.4%
14
41.6%
Q1 - 2:1276ersJoel Embiid offensive foul (Charge) (Mason Plumlee draws the foul)20
60.5%
14
39.5%
Q1 - 2:2376ers76ers defensive rebound20
60.5%
14
39.5%
Q1 - 2:24NuggetsWill Barton misses two point driving floating jump shot20
59.9%
14
40.1%
Q1 - 2:34NuggetsWill Barton defensive rebound20
58.4%
14
41.6%
Q1 - 2:3676ersMike Scott misses three point jump shot20
59.1%
14
40.9%
Q1 - 2:46NuggetsMason Plumlee turnover (bad pass) (Al Horford steals)20
60.6%
14
39.4%
Q1 - 3:0376ersAl Horford makes three point jump shot (James Ennis III assists)20
57.7%
14
42.3%
Q1 - 3:0976ersJames Ennis III defensive rebound17
53.8%
14
46.2%
Q1 - 3:11NuggetsMonte Morris misses two point running reverse layup17
53.0%
14
47.0%
Q1 - 3:14NuggetsMonte Morris defensive rebound17
51.2%
14
48.8%
Q1 - 3:1776ersMason Plumlee blocks Trey Burke's two point driving finger roll layup17
52.0%
14
48.0%
Q1 - 3:2476ersJames Ennis III defensive rebound17
53.8%
14
46.2%
Q1 - 3:27NuggetsWill Barton misses three point pullup jump shot17
53.0%
14
47.0%
Q1 - 3:33NuggetsWill Barton defensive rebound17
51.3%
14
48.7%
Q1 - 3:3376ersMason Plumlee blocks Mike Scott's two point putback layup17
52.0%
14
48.0%
Q1 - 3:3476ersMike Scott offensive rebound17
53.8%
14
46.2%
Q1 - 3:3676ersMike Scott misses two point jump shot17
52.0%
14
48.0%
Q1 - 3:4876ersMike Scott defensive rebound17
53.8%
14
46.2%
Q1 - 3:52NuggetsWill Barton misses regular free throw 1 of 117
53.5%
14
46.5%
Q1 - 3:5276ersAl Horford shooting foul (Will Barton draws the foul)17
52.0%
14
48.0%
Q1 - 4:02NuggetsGary Harris offensive rebound17
55.4%
12
44.6%
Q1 - 4:05NuggetsJerami Grant misses two point pullup jump shot17
57.2%
12
42.8%
Q1 - 4:1876ersMike Scott makes technical free throw 1 of 117
55.4%
12
44.6%
Q1 - 4:18NuggetsNikola Jokic technical foul16
54.9%
12
45.1%
Q1 - 4:1876ersFurkan Korkmaz turnover (out of bounds bad pass)16
51.7%
12
48.3%
Q1 - 4:24NuggetsNikola Jokic turnover (lost ball) (Mike Scott steals)16
55.8%
12
44.2%
Q1 - 4:27NuggetsWill Barton defensive rebound16
53.3%
12
46.7%
Q1 - 4:3276ersFurkan Korkmaz misses two point stepback jump shot16
54.1%
12
45.9%
Q1 - 4:4276ersRaul Neto defensive rebound16
55.8%
12
44.2%
Q1 - 4:42NuggetsNikola Jokic misses two point putback layup16
55.1%
12
44.9%
Q1 - 4:42NuggetsNikola Jokic offensive rebound16
53.3%
12
46.7%
Q1 - 4:45NuggetsWill Barton misses two point driving layup16
55.1%
12
44.9%
Q1 - 4:54NuggetsWill Barton defensive rebound16
53.3%
12
46.7%
Q1 - 4:5776ersAl Horford misses two point jump shot16
54.1%
12
45.9%
Q1 - 5:1176ers76ers defensive rebound16
55.2%
12
44.8%
Q1 - 5:11NuggetsTobias Harris blocks Paul Millsap's two point driving layup16
54.6%
12
45.4%
Q1 - 5:17NuggetsPaul Millsap defensive rebound16
53.1%
12
46.9%
Q1 - 5:2076ersAl Horford misses three point jump shot16
53.7%
12
46.3%
Q1 - 5:29NuggetsPaul Millsap makes regular free throw 2 of 216
55.2%
12
44.8%
Q1 - 5:29NuggetsPaul Millsap makes regular free throw 1 of 216
55.7%
11
44.3%
Q1 - 5:2976ersTobias Harris shooting foul (Paul Millsap draws the foul)16
56.2%
10
43.8%
Q1 - 5:4176ersTobias Harris makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot16
57.1%
10
42.9%
Q1 - 5:58NuggetsWill Barton makes two point cutting dunk (Nikola Jokic assists)14
55.3%
10
44.7%
Q1 - 6:0576ersTobias Harris personal foul (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)14
56.6%
8
43.4%
Q1 - 6:1276ersJoel Embiid makes regular free throw 2 of 214
56.6%
8
43.4%
Q1 - 6:1276ersJoel Embiid makes regular free throw 1 of 213
56.3%
8
43.7%
Q1 - 6:12NuggetsNikola Jokic shooting foul (Joel Embiid draws the foul)12
55.9%
8
44.1%
Q1 - 6:31NuggetsMonte Morris turnover (offensive foul)12
54.6%
8
45.4%
Q1 - 6:31NuggetsMonte Morris offensive foul (Raul Neto draws the foul)12
52.8%
8
47.2%
Q1 - 6:3976ersJoel Embiid personal foul (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)12
52.8%
8
47.2%
Q1 - 6:46NuggetsPaul Millsap defensive rebound12
52.8%
8
47.2%
Q1 - 6:4876ersTobias Harris misses regular free throw 2 of 212
53.0%
8
47.0%
Q1 - 6:4876ersTobias Harris makes regular free throw 1 of 212
54.4%
8
45.6%
Q1 - 6:48NuggetsJamal Murray shooting foul (Tobias Harris draws the foul)11
54.1%
8
45.9%
Q1 - 6:54NuggetsJamal Murray turnover (lost ball) (Tobias Harris steals)11
52.7%
8
47.3%
Q1 - 7:1876ersJoel Embiid makes three point jump shot (Josh Richardson assists)11
50.4%
8
49.6%
Q1 - 7:2576ersJoel Embiid defensive rebound8
46.9%
8
53.1%
Q1 - 7:29NuggetsNikola Jokic misses three point jump shot8
46.3%
8
53.7%
Q1 - 7:4476ersRaul Neto makes three point jump shot (Al Horford assists)8
44.8%
8
55.2%
Q1 - 8:00NuggetsWill Barton makes two point running reverse layup (Nikola Jokic assists)5
41.3%
8
58.7%
Q1 - 8:0576ersJosh Richardson turnover (bad pass) (Nikola Jokic steals)5
43.2%
6
56.8%
Q1 - 8:09NuggetsJamal Murray personal foul (Josh Richardson draws the foul)5
45.2%
6
54.8%
Q1 - 8:1576ersTobias Harris defensive rebound5
45.2%
6
54.8%
Q1 - 8:17NuggetsPaul Millsap misses two point hook shot5
44.6%
6
55.4%
Q1 - 8:2976ers76ers turnover (shot clock violation)5
43.2%
6
56.8%
Q1 - 8:54NuggetsNikola Jokic makes regular free throw 1 of 15
45.2%
6
54.8%
Q1 - 8:5476ersAl Horford shooting foul (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)5
45.5%
5
54.5%
Q1 - 8:57NuggetsJamal Murray defensive rebound5
48.7%
3
51.3%
Q1 - 9:0076ersJoel Embiid misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot5
49.3%
3
50.7%
Q1 - 9:24NuggetsWill Barton makes three point jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)5
50.7%
3
49.3%
Q1 - 9:34NuggetsPaul Millsap defensive rebound5
53.9%
0
46.1%
Q1 - 9:3776ersJamal Murray blocks Josh Richardson's two point driving finger roll layup5
54.6%
0
45.4%
Q1 - 9:4776ersAl Horford defensive rebound5
56.1%
0
43.9%
Q1 - 9:50NuggetsJamal Murray misses two point pullup jump shot5
55.5%
0
44.5%
Q1 - 9:53NuggetsNuggets offensive rebound5
53.9%
0
46.1%
Q1 - 9:54NuggetsAl Horford blocks Gary Harris's two point cutting layup5
55.5%
0
44.5%
Q1 - 10:1176ersRaul Neto makes three point jump shot (Tobias Harris assists)5
53.9%
0
46.1%
Q1 - 10:2076ersTobias Harris defensive rebound2
50.4%
0
49.6%
Q1 - 10:22NuggetsPaul Millsap misses three point jump shot2
49.8%
0
50.2%
Q1 - 10:28NuggetsGary Harris defensive rebound2
48.4%
0
51.6%
Q1 - 10:3176ersJosh Richardson misses three point jump shot2
49.0%
0
51.0%
Q1 - 10:3376ersAl Horford offensive rebound2
50.4%
0
49.6%
Q1 - 10:3576ersJoel Embiid misses two point fadeaway jump shot2
49.0%
0
51.0%
Q1 - 10:5376ersAl Horford defensive rebound2
50.4%
0
49.6%
Q1 - 10:56NuggetsGary Harris misses two point driving floating jump shot2
49.8%
0
50.2%
Q1 - 11:1976ersTobias Harris makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot (Joel Embiid assists)2
48.4%
0
51.6%
Q1 - 11:3776ersTobias Harris defensive rebound0
46.7%
0
53.3%
Q1 - 11:38NuggetsJamal Murray misses two point fadeaway jump shot0
46.1%
0
53.9%
Q1 - 12:00Joel Embiid vs. Nikola Jokic (Jamal Murray gains possession)0
44.8%
0
55.2%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

PHI
1.02 51.1%
DEN
1.03 51.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
PHI
15
32
47%
DEN
19
32
59%
Midrange
PHI
10
28
36%
DEN
11
33
33%
3PT | Effective 3PT
PHI
13
19.5
26
50%
75%
DEN
9
13.5
22
41%
61%
Free Throws
PHI
8
17
47%
DEN
13
17
76%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
PHI logo 76ers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Embiid1950%9.5 / 19
T. Harris1343%6.5 / 15
R. Neto1393%6.5 / 7
F. Korkmaz12100%6.0 / 6
K. O'Quinn1192%5.5 / 6
A. Horford831%4.0 / 13
J. Richardson735%3.5 / 10
J. Ennis III675%3.0 / 4
T. Burke536%2.5 / 7
M. Scott330%1.5 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
N. Jokić2654%13.0 / 24
J. Murray2261%11.0 / 18
W. Barton2077%10.0 / 13
P. Millsap1558%7.5 / 13
G. Harris528%2.5 / 9
J. Grant440%2.0 / 5
M. Morris225%1.0 / 4
M. Plumlee225%1.0 / 4
M. Porter250%1.0 / 2
M. Beasley250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

PHI
80
+15
-17
95
DEN
86
+9
-10
95
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

PHI
1.02 51.1%
DEN
1.03 51.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
111.3
113.2
PHI 100.0
DEN 104.2 +4.2
Pace
99.1
97.1
PHI 88.5
DEN 106.1 +17.6
Avg. Poss. Time
15.0
15.1
PHI 16.3
DEN 13.6 +2.7
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
53.3%
53.5%
PHI 51.7% +1.7%
DEN 50.0%
TO %
13.6%
13.3%
PHI 16.1%
DEN 9.6% +6.5%
ORB %
24.1%
24.9%
PHI 24.4% +8.8%
DEN 15.6%
FTrt
25.5
23.5
PHI 19.8 +0.3
DEN 19.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
62.8%
63.6%
PHI 73.7% +1.9%
DEN 71.8%
STL %
8.1%
8.1%
PHI 8.2%
DEN 10.4% +2.2%
BLK %
9.4%
8.8%
PHI 12.3%
DEN 18.3% +6.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
55.1%
55.4%
PHI 51.1%
DEN 51.5% +0.4%
Rim FG%
62.2%
62.0%
PHI 46.9%
DEN 59.4% +12.5%
Mid FG%
40.9%
42.5%
PHI 35.7% +2.4%
DEN 33.3%
3P %
36.8%
35.9%
PHI 50.0% +9.1%
DEN 40.9%
FT %
75.5%
77.7%
PHI 47.1%
DEN 76.5% +29.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.5%
36.5%
PHI 37.2% +0.4%
DEN 36.8%
Mid Att. %
29.6%
29.1%
PHI 32.6% +5.4%
DEN 37.9%
3P Att. %
35.9%
34.4%
PHI 30.2% +4.9%
DEN 25.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsPHIDEN
Possessions9796
Possession Minutes26.321.7
Points97100
Rebounds4941
Assists2828
Steals810
Blocks811
Turnovers (Team)17 (1)10 (0)
Fouls1916
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (4)7 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)38 (3)34 (3)
Field Goals38-8639-87
At-the-Rim FG15-3219-32
Midrange FG10-2811-33
2-Point FG25-6030-65
3-Point FG13-269-22
Free Throws8-1713-17
Fast Break Pts618
2nd Chance Pts124
Points in Paint3246
Pts off Turnovers1421
Bench Points3712
Biggest Lead213

BOXSCORE

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4 Philadelphia 76ers
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Tobias Harris
#12 · SF · 6'8" 226 · 27
33.0
13
43%
10
4
2
2
1
2
1
9
1-2
50%
6-12
50%
0-2
0%
Josh Richardson
#0 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 26
32.2
7
35%
0
5
2
1
2
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-8
25%
1-2
50%
Al Horford
#42 · PF · 6'10" 245 · 33
31.1
8
31%
10
4
1
2
1
3
2
8
0-2
0%
1-5
20%
2-7
29%
Raul Neto
#19 · PG · 6'1" 179 · 27
30.4
13
93%
2
6
0
1
2
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-4
50%
3-3
100%
Joel Embiid
#21 · C · 7'0" 280 · 26
28.5
19
50%
15
2
0
1
8
6
5
10
5-7
71%
4-13
31%
2-4
50%
Furkan Korkmaz
#30 · SG · 6'7" 190 · 22
25.0
12
100%
2
1
0
0
2
1
0
2
1-2
50%
1-2
50%
3-3
100%
Mike Scott
#1 · PF · 6'8" 237 · 31
18.9
3
30%
4
0
2
0
0
3
2
2
1-1
100%
1-3
33%
0-2
0%
Trey Burke
#23 · PG · 6'1" 191 · 27
17.6
5
36%
1
3
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-5
20%
1-2
50%
James Ennis III
#11 · SF · 6'7" 210 · 29
15.5
6
75%
4
1
1
0
0
0
1
3
0-2
0%
3-3
100%
0-0
-
Kyle O'Quinn
#9 · C · 6'10" 250 · 30
8.0
11
92%
1
2
0
0
1
3
0
1
0-1
0%
4-5
80%
1-1
100%
Matisse Thybulle
#22 · SF · 6'5" 201 · 23
DNP - Coach's Decision
Jonah Bolden
#43 · PF · 6'10" 220 · 24
DNP - Coach's Decision
Norvel Pelle
#14 · C · 6'11" 216 · 27
DNP - Coach's Decision
Shake Milton
#18 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 23
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Bone bruise, mild sprain left knee
Zhaire Smith
#8 · SG · 6'4" 199 · 20
INACTIVE
Marial Shayok
#35 · SG · 6'5" 196 · 24
INACTIVE
Ben Simmons
#25 · PG · 6'10" 230 · 23
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Sprained AC joint, right shoulder
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
97
51%
49
28
8
8
17
19
11
38
8-17
47%
25-60
42%
13-26
50%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.