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All Games Wednesday, April 10, 2019
FinalWin Prob.pScore
19
Mavericks
28%110
94
6
Spurs
72%118
105
ORTG#PossPace
DAL logo DAL
95.99896.6
SAS logo SAS
108.29798.4

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

SpursMavericksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

SpursMavericksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDALSAS
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.94
0%
105
100%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DAL
0.94 47.0%
SAS
1.07 53.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DAL
9
15
60%
SAS
14
18
78%
Midrange
DAL
17
39
44%
SAS
19
46
41%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DAL
11
16.5
37
30%
45%
SAS
8
12.0
24
33%
50%
Free Throws
DAL
9
12
75%
SAS
15
18
83%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DAL logo Mavericks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Nowitzki2048%10.0 / 21
J. Jackson1478%7.0 / 9
C. Lee14117%7.0 / 6
D. Harris1250%6.0 / 12
J. Brunson1142%5.5 / 13
D. Powell758%3.5 / 6
T. Burke643%3.0 / 7
D. Finney-Smith525%2.5 / 10
R. Broekhoff350%1.5 / 3
S. Mejri220%1.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. Aldridge3474%17.0 / 23
D. DeRozan1956%9.5 / 17
D. White1488%7.0 / 8
B. Forbes1063%5.0 / 8
D. Bertans950%4.5 / 9
R. Gay732%3.5 / 11
J. Poeltl4100%2.0 / 2
P. Mills433%2.0 / 6
M. Belinelli217%1.0 / 6
D. Motiejunas2-0.0 / 0
L. Walker IV0-0.0 / 1
D. Eubanks0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DAL
91
+9
-7
100
SAS
87
+11
-10
98
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DAL
0.94 47.0%
SAS
1.07 53.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
109.2
112.6
DAL 95.9 +12.3
SAS 108.2
Pace
99.1
98.6
DAL 96.6
SAS 98.4 +1.8
Avg. Poss. Time
14.8
15.0
DAL 14.9
SAS 14.6 +0.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.8%
53.4%
DAL 46.7%
SAS 51.1% +4.4%
TO %
13.6%
11.9%
DAL 6.8% +3.5%
SAS 10.3%
ORB %
22.6%
20.9%
DAL 13.5%
SAS 18.6% +5.1%
FTrt
29.1
23.7
DAL 13.2
SAS 20.5 +7.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.3%
58.0%
DAL 73.0% +19.3%
SAS 53.7%
STL %
6.5%
6.2%
DAL 5.1%
SAS 6.2% +1.1%
BLK %
7.6%
8.3%
DAL 6.3% +2.6%
SAS 3.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.2%
56.0%
DAL 47.0%
SAS 53.6% +6.6%
Rim FG%
62.0%
62.7%
DAL 60.0%
SAS 77.8% +17.8%
Mid FG%
39.0%
44.0%
DAL 43.6% +2.3%
SAS 41.3%
3P %
34.0%
39.2%
DAL 29.7%
SAS 33.3% +3.6%
FT %
74.2%
81.8%
DAL 75.0%
SAS 83.3% +8.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
33.8%
27.8%
DAL 16.5%
SAS 20.5% +4.0%
Mid Att. %
24.0%
43.7%
DAL 42.9% +9.4%
SAS 52.3%
3P Att. %
42.2%
28.6%
DAL 40.7% +13.4%
SAS 27.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.9 and 2.9.
Game TotalsDALSAS
Possessions9897
Possession Minutes24.423.6
Points94105
Rebounds4253
Assists2722
Steals56
Blocks42
Turnovers (Team)7 (0)10 (1)
Fouls1914
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (2)8 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)35 (2)45 (2)
Field Goals37-9141-88
At-the-Rim FG9-1514-18
Midrange FG17-3919-46
2-Point FG26-5433-64
3-Point FG11-378-24
Free Throws9-1215-18
Fast Break Pts129
2nd Chance Pts610
Points in Paint3646
Pts off Turnovers139
Bench Points3024
Biggest Lead122

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
19 Dallas Mavericks
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Devin Harris
#34 · SG · 6'3" 185 · 36
33.6
12
50%
2
4
0
2
1
4
0
2
2-2
100%
5-7
71%
0-4
0%
Dwight Powell
#7 · C · 6'10" 240 · 28
33.2
7
58%
11
2
0
0
0
3
4
7
5-6
83%
1-3
33%
0-0
-
Dirk Nowitzki
#41 · PF · 7'0" 245 · 41
31.6
20
48%
10
1
1
0
0
2
0
10
2-2
100%
6-15
40%
2-6
33%
Jalen Brunson
#13 · PG · 6'2" 190 · 23
30.3
11
42%
3
10
0
0
4
0
0
3
0-2
0%
4-9
44%
1-4
25%
Justin Jackson
#44 · SF · 6'8" 220 · 24
26.7
14
78%
2
2
0
0
1
3
2
0
0-0
-
4-6
67%
2-3
67%
Dorian Finney-Smith
#10 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 26
24.0
5
25%
3
2
0
0
0
3
1
2
0-0
-
1-6
17%
1-4
25%
Courtney Lee
#1 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 34
19.5
14
117%
3
2
1
0
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
4-5
80%
2-4
50%
Salah Mejri
#50 · C · 7'2" 235 · 33
14.8
2
20%
7
1
1
2
0
0
0
7
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-4
0%
Ryan Broekhoff
#45 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 29
13.7
3
50%
0
0
1
0
0
3
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-3
33%
Trey Burke
#23 · PG · 6'1" 191 · 26
12.6
6
43%
1
3
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
0%
2-5
40%
Luka Doncic
#77 · SG · 6'6" 230 · 20
DND - Injury/Illness | Left thigh contusion
Daryl Macon
#3 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 23
DNP - Coach's Decision
Kostas Antetokounmpo
#37 · SF · 6'11" 195 · 21
DNP - Coach's Decision
Maxi Kleber
#42 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 27
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left knee soreness
J.J. Barea
#5 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 35
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right achilles surgery
Kristaps Porzingis
#6 · PF · 7'2" 240 · 24
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left knee surgery
Tim Hardaway Jr.
#11 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 27
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left tibia stress reaction
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
94
47%
42
27
5
4
7
19
7
35
9-12
75%
26-54
48%
11-37
30%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.