FinalWin Prob.pScore
1029%110
127
371%117
116
ORTG#PossPace
OKC logo OKC
115.5110123.5
MIL logo MIL
105.511099.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

BucksThunderQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

BucksThunderQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventOKCMIL
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.127
100%
116
0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

OKC
1.18 58.8%
MIL
1.04 51.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
OKC
21
33
64%
MIL
21
34
62%
Midrange
OKC
4
12
33%
MIL
7
20
35%
3PT | Effective 3PT
OKC
23
34.5
54
43%
64%
MIL
15
22.5
46
33%
49%
Free Throws
OKC
8
13
62%
MIL
15
21
71%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
OKC logo Thunder
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Schröder3273%16.0 / 22
J. Grant2874%14.0 / 19
R. Westbrook1575%7.5 / 10
M. Morris1267%6.0 / 9
R. Felton1286%6.0 / 7
T. Ferguson1155%5.5 / 10
A. Nader1146%5.5 / 12
S. Adams429%2.0 / 7
N. Noel233%1.0 / 3
J. Evans0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIL logo Bucks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Frazier2956%14.5 / 26
B. Colson2158%10.5 / 18
K. Middleton2181%10.5 / 13
D. Wilson1845%9.0 / 20
P. Connaughton1260%6.0 / 10
S. Brown739%3.5 / 9
E. Ilyasova433%2.0 / 6
G. Hill433%2.0 / 6
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

OKC
98
+9
-12
107
MIL
96
+15
-14
111
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

OKC
1.18 58.8%
MIL
1.04 51.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
110.3
113.9
OKC 115.5 +10.0
MIL 105.5
Pace
102.9
103.2
OKC 123.5 +24.3
MIL 99.2
Avg. Poss. Time
13.2
13.9
OKC 11.7 +2.9
MIL 14.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.4%
55.0%
OKC 60.1% +9.6%
MIL 50.5%
TO %
13.2%
12.8%
OKC 11.0% +1.1%
MIL 12.1%
ORB %
26.0%
20.8%
OKC 17.6%
MIL 20.0% +2.4%
FTrt
26.6
25.5
OKC 13.1
MIL 21.0 +7.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
54.8%
60.1%
OKC 83.3% +20.5%
MIL 62.8%
STL %
9.0%
7.2%
OKC 6.4%
MIL 6.4%
BLK %
9.1%
10.4%
OKC 5.6% +3.4%
MIL 2.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.13 and 2.13.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.5%
57.1%
OKC 58.8% +7.0%
MIL 51.8%
Rim FG%
59.6%
64.1%
OKC 63.6% +1.8%
MIL 61.8%
Mid FG%
38.6%
39.4%
OKC 33.3%
MIL 35.0% +1.7%
3P %
34.8%
35.2%
OKC 42.6% +10.0%
MIL 32.6%
FT %
71.3%
77.2%
OKC 61.5%
MIL 71.4% +9.9%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
38.6%
40.2%
OKC 33.3%
MIL 34.0% +0.7%
Mid Att. %
26.7%
17.8%
OKC 12.1% +7.9%
MIL 20.0%
3P Att. %
34.7%
42.0%
OKC 54.5% +8.5%
MIL 46.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsOKCMIL
Possessions110110
Possession Minutes21.426.6
Points127116
Rebounds5353
Assists4027
Steals77
Blocks31
Turnovers (Team)12 (1)14 (1)
Fouls2014
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (0)11 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)44 (1)42 (3)
Field Goals48-9943-100
At-the-Rim FG21-3321-34
Midrange FG4-127-20
2-Point FG25-4528-54
3-Point FG23-5415-46
Free Throws8-1315-21
Fast Break Pts2816
2nd Chance Pts613
Points in Paint4646
Pts off Turnovers1212
Bench Points3723
Biggest Lead208

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#9 · PF · 6'7" 210 · 25
43.3
28
74%
5
1
0
0
0
1
2
3
2-2
100%
7-12
58%
4-8
50%
#17 · SG · 6'1" 175 · 26
39.9
32
73%
5
3
4
0
2
5
0
5
4-4
100%
2-6
33%
8-15
53%
#0 · PG · 6'3" 200 · 30
36.5
15
75%
11
17
1
1
4
3
0
11
0-2
0%
6-7
86%
1-3
33%
#23 · SF · 6'7" 184 · 21
33.1
11
55%
6
5
0
0
3
4
0
6
0-0
-
1-1
100%
3-9
33%
#12 · C · 6'11" 265 · 26
12.3
4
29%
2
0
0
1
0
1
2
0
2-4
50%
1-5
20%
0-0
-
#5 · SF · 6'10" 245 · 30
25.7
12
67%
10
3
0
0
0
4
3
7
0-0
-
3-5
60%
2-4
50%
#2 · PG · 6'1" 205 · 35
24.2
12
86%
4
7
0
0
1
1
0
4
0-0
-
0-0
-
4-8
50%
#11 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 26
14.3
11
46%
8
2
1
0
2
1
2
6
0-1
0%
4-6
67%
1-6
17%
#3 · PF · 6'11" 220 · 25
9.6
2
33%
2
2
1
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-0
-
#8 · PG · 6'0" 190 · 23
0.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
#30 · PG · 6'5" 250 · 25
0.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
#54 · PF · 6'9" 230 · 30
DNP - Coach's Decision
#6 · SG · 6'5" 197 · 21
DNP - Coach's Decision
#21 · SG · 6'7" 210 · 27
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left patellar tendon
#13 · SF · 6'8" 220 · 29
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right shoulder soreness
#15 · SF · 6'8" 205 · 24
Inactive - G League Team | Two-way
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
127
59%
53
40
7
3
12
20
9
44
8-13
62%
25-45
56%
23-54
43%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.