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All Games Wednesday, April 10, 2019
FinalWin Prob.pScore
13
Heat
38%106
94
9
Nets
62%110
113
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
86.2109112.3
BKN logo BKN
105.6107104.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

NetsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

NetsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIABKN
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.94
0%
113
100%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.88 43.9%
BKN
0.97 48.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
21
34
62%
BKN
20
40
50%
Midrange
MIA
9
23
39%
BKN
2
16
13%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
8
12.0
41
20%
29%
BKN
21
31.5
58
36%
54%
Free Throws
MIA
10
15
67%
BKN
6
7
86%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2543%12.5 / 29
D. Robinson1558%7.5 / 13
D. Jones1359%6.5 / 11
U. Haslem1235%6.0 / 17
B. Adebayo1071%5.0 / 7
K. Olynyk956%4.5 / 8
J. Winslow844%4.0 / 9
Y. Maten2100%1.0 / 1
G. Dragic0-0.0 / 3
D. Waiters0-0.0 / 2
J. Johnson0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
BKN logo Nets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Russell2181%10.5 / 13
S. Napier2059%10.0 / 17
R. Kurucs1547%7.5 / 16
T. Graham1134%5.5 / 16
C. LeVert10100%5.0 / 5
R. Hollis-Jefferson1028%5.0 / 18
S. Dinwiddie850%4.0 / 8
E. Davis660%3.0 / 5
T. Pinson429%2.0 / 7
A. Williams467%2.0 / 3
D. Musa375%1.5 / 2
J. Allen110%0.5 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
95
+12
-14
107
BKN
95
+23
-12
118
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.88 43.9%
BKN
0.97 48.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
107.5
109.3
MIA 86.2 +19.4
BKN 105.6
Pace
98.1
101.2
MIA 112.3 +8.3
BKN 104.0
Avg. Poss. Time
15.0
14.2
MIA 12.8 +1.0
BKN 13.9
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.5%
52.0%
MIA 42.9%
BKN 46.9% +4.0%
TO %
14.3%
14.0%
MIA 12.5%
BKN 9.3% +3.2%
ORB %
24.8%
23.8%
MIA 14.3%
BKN 30.3% +16.0%
FTrt
24.7
28.4
MIA 15.3 +9.2
BKN 6.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
61.2%
59.2%
MIA 57.9%
BKN 67.4% +9.5%
STL %
7.8%
6.4%
MIA 8.3% +1.8%
BKN 6.5%
BLK %
10.2%
6.7%
MIA 7.1% +1.8%
BKN 5.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.9%
54.2%
MIA 43.9%
BKN 48.3% +4.4%
Rim FG%
60.8%
58.2%
MIA 61.8% +11.8%
BKN 50.0%
Mid FG%
36.8%
39.0%
MIA 39.1% +26.6%
BKN 12.5%
3P %
34.9%
35.3%
MIA 19.5%
BKN 36.2% +16.7%
FT %
69.5%
74.5%
MIA 66.7%
BKN 85.7% +19.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.3%
38.4%
MIA 34.7%
BKN 35.1% +0.4%
Mid Att. %
25.9%
21.3%
MIA 23.5%
BKN 14.0% +9.4%
3P Att. %
36.8%
40.3%
MIA 41.8%
BKN 50.9% +9.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.25 and 2.25.
Game TotalsMIABKN
Possessions109107
Possession Minutes23.324.7
Points94113
Rebounds5468
Assists2229
Steals97
Blocks43
Turnovers (Team)14 (1)12 (0)
Fouls1213
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (4)20 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)46 (4)48 (3)
Field Goals38-9843-114
At-the-Rim FG21-3420-40
Midrange FG9-232-16
2-Point FG30-5722-56
3-Point FG8-4121-58
Free Throws10-156-7
Fast Break Pts1519
2nd Chance Pts1116
Points in Paint4444
Pts off Turnovers1212
Bench Points4055
Biggest Lead329

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
13 Miami Heat
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Dwyane Wade
#3 · SG · 6'4" 220 · 37
36.2
25
43%
11
10
0
1
3
1
1
10
2-3
67%
7-15
47%
3-13
23%
Udonis Haslem
#40 · C · 6'8" 235 · 39
29.7
12
35%
11
2
0
0
0
2
2
9
0-0
-
6-11
55%
0-6
0%
Justise Winslow
#20 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 23
28.0
8
44%
5
4
4
0
3
3
1
4
1-2
50%
2-3
67%
1-6
17%
Kelly Olynyk
#9 · PF · 6'11" 240 · 28
24.0
9
56%
4
1
0
2
3
1
1
3
1-1
100%
4-7
57%
0-1
0%
Goran Dragic
#7 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 33
8.9
0
0%
2
0
1
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-3
0%
0-0
-
Duncan Robinson
#55 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 25
36.0
15
58%
5
3
2
0
2
2
1
4
2-3
67%
2-3
67%
3-9
33%
Derrick Jones Jr.
#5 · SF · 6'6" 210 · 22
31.3
13
59%
4
0
0
0
0
1
1
3
3-5
60%
5-8
63%
0-1
0%
Bam Adebayo
#13 · C · 6'9" 255 · 22
18.3
10
71%
6
0
1
0
2
0
0
6
1-1
100%
3-5
60%
1-2
50%
Yante Maten
#00 · PF · 6'8" 240 · 23
12.0
2
100%
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-1
0%
Dion Waiters
#11 · SG · 6'4" 215 · 27
8.6
0
0%
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-1
0%
James Johnson
#16 · PF · 6'8" 240 · 32
7.0
0
0%
2
1
0
0
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
Hassan Whiteside
#21 · C · 7'0" 265 · 30
DNP - Coach's Decision
Ryan Anderson
#31 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 31
DNP - Coach's Decision
Josh Richardson
#0 · SF · 6'6" 200 · 26
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left hip strain
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
94
44%
54
22
9
4
14
12
8
46
10-15
67%
30-57
53%
8-41
20%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.