FinalWin Prob.pScore
265%116
120
2035%110
100
ORTG#PossPace
TOR logo TOR
116.5103103.5
MIN logo MIN
97.1103102.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

TimberwolvesRaptorsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

TimberwolvesRaptorsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventTORMIN
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.120
100%
100
0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

TOR
1.24 61.9%
MIN
1.01 50.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
TOR
23
36
64%
MIN
12
21
57%
Midrange
TOR
7
15
47%
MIN
13
28
46%
3PT | Effective 3PT
TOR
16
24.0
37
43%
65%
MIN
13
19.5
42
31%
46%
Free Throws
TOR
12
17
71%
MIN
11
14
79%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
TOR logo Raptors
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Leonard2071%10.0 / 14
F. VanVleet1662%8.0 / 13
C. Boucher1583%7.5 / 9
P. Siakam10100%5.0 / 5
N. Powell1050%5.0 / 10
M. Gasol964%4.5 / 7
O. Anunoby975%4.5 / 6
J. Lin844%4.0 / 9
D. Green758%3.5 / 6
J. Meeks770%3.5 / 5
J. Loyd6100%3.0 / 3
M. Miller375%1.5 / 2
E. Moreland0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIN logo Timberwolves
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
G. Dieng1680%8.0 / 10
A. Wiggins1653%8.0 / 15
D. Šarić1575%7.5 / 10
T. Jones1169%5.5 / 8
C. Reynolds840%4.0 / 10
K. Bates-Diop744%3.5 / 8
C. Williams758%3.5 / 6
A. Tolliver660%3.0 / 5
M. Creek650%3.0 / 6
J. Terrell536%2.5 / 7
J. Okogie338%1.5 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

TOR
85
+12
-18
97
MIN
91
+8
-12
99
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

TOR
1.24 61.9%
MIN
1.01 50.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
113.1
111.4
TOR 116.5
MIN 97.1 +19.4
Pace
100.2
100.2
TOR 103.5 +1.0
MIN 102.5
Avg. Poss. Time
14.4
14.5
TOR 13.9 +0.1
MIN 14.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
54.3%
51.1%
TOR 61.4% +12.5%
MIN 48.9%
TO %
13.2%
12.5%
TOR 15.9%
MIN 11.0% +4.9%
ORB %
21.8%
24.7%
TOR 18.9% +9.3%
MIN 9.6%
FTrt
24.7
26.6
TOR 19.3 +3.9
MIN 15.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.3%
59.1%
TOR 52.2%
MIN 68.4% +16.2%
STL %
8.2%
8.3%
TOR 9.7%
MIN 9.7%
BLK %
9.1%
8.9%
TOR 10.2%
MIN 17.6% +7.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
56.5%
53.9%
TOR 61.9% +11.4%
MIN 50.5%
Rim FG%
61.6%
60.0%
TOR 63.9% +6.8%
MIN 57.1%
Mid FG%
43.1%
39.7%
TOR 46.7% +0.3%
MIN 46.4%
3P %
36.6%
35.1%
TOR 43.2% +12.2%
MIN 31.0%
FT %
80.4%
78.7%
TOR 70.6%
MIN 78.6% +8.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
36.4%
36.2%
TOR 40.9% +17.8%
MIN 23.1%
Mid Att. %
25.6%
32.3%
TOR 17.0% +13.7%
MIN 30.8%
3P Att. %
37.9%
31.5%
TOR 42.0%
MIN 46.2% +4.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsTORMIN
Possessions103103
Possession Minutes23.924.1
Points120100
Rebounds5435
Assists2426
Steals1010
Blocks59
Turnovers (Team)18 (0)12 (0)
Fouls1716
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (5)5 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)47 (1)30 (1)
Field Goals46-8838-91
At-the-Rim FG23-3612-21
Midrange FG7-1513-28
2-Point FG30-5125-49
3-Point FG16-3713-42
Free Throws12-1711-14
Fast Break Pts1914
2nd Chance Pts105
Points in Paint4836
Pts off Turnovers1417
Bench Points5839
Biggest Lead327

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#23 · PG · 6'0" 197 · 25
27.0
16
62%
2
4
3
0
1
1
0
2
2-2
100%
4-7
57%
2-5
40%
#14 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 32
23.9
7
58%
2
4
1
1
1
0
0
2
2-2
100%
1-2
50%
1-3
33%
#2 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 28
23.9
20
71%
6
1
1
1
1
0
0
6
0-0
-
4-7
57%
4-7
57%
#33 · C · 7'1" 255 · 34
23.4
9
64%
6
1
1
0
2
1
2
4
1-4
25%
1-2
50%
2-3
67%
#43 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 25
17.6
10
100%
4
2
1
0
2
4
0
4
1-2
50%
3-4
75%
1-2
50%
#25 · PF · 6'9" 200 · 26
24.6
15
83%
13
2
0
2
2
2
1
12
0-0
-
6-7
86%
1-3
33%
#24 · SF · 6'4" 215 · 26
19.9
10
50%
5
2
1
0
1
3
0
5
0-0
-
2-6
33%
2-4
50%
#17 · PG · 6'3" 200 · 31
19.9
8
44%
4
5
1
0
3
2
1
3
4-4
100%
2-4
50%
0-4
0%
#3 · SF · 6'7" 240 · 22
18.5
9
75%
5
2
0
0
2
2
1
4
0-0
-
3-4
75%
1-2
50%
#20 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 32
17.9
7
70%
1
1
0
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
100%
1-3
33%
#13 · PF · 6'7" 210 · 26
8.8
3
75%
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
1-2
50%
1-2
50%
0-0
-
#15 · C · 6'10" 238 · 27
7.4
0
0%
4
0
1
1
2
0
1
3
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
#8 · PG · 6'4" 210 · 26
7.4
6
100%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1-1
100%
1-3
33%
1-1
100%
#1 · SG · 6'7" 185 · 23
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Sprained Right Thumb
#9 · C · 6'10" 235 · 30
Inactive - Rest
#7 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 33
Inactive - Rest
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
120
62%
54
24
10
5
18
17
7
47
12-17
71%
30-51
59%
16-37
43%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.